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  • Sunday's Essentials - Week 12
    November 24, 2019
    By Tony Mejia


    Dolphins at Browns (-10.5/45), 1 p.m. ET, FOX: The Browns play only one more team that enters Week 12 action above .500 between now and the end of the regular season, so talk of running the table isn’t evidence Baker Mayfield has gone mad and should be committed. It’s feasible, albeit unlikely, but considering the winless are on tap twice, certainly possible. Cleveland is looking for just its second three-game winning streak since 2014 as it attempts to handle business as a double-digit favorite for the first time in 12 years and only the second time since 1999. The last time we saw the Browns, Myles Garrett was swinging a helmet at Pittsburgh’s Mason Rudolph following a 21-7 Thursday night triumph. The former No. 1 pick won’t play again until next season at the earliest, so Cleveland will need to be more creative in generating pressure since it can no longer rely on one of the most talented guys on the field simply beating his man one-on-one. Miami’s Ryan Fitzpatrick was sacked seven times last week in Buffalo, so the Dolphins will make a good guinea pig for defensive coordinator Steve Wilks, who will also be without DT Larry Ogunjobi.

    Miami is looking for more from Kalen Ballage at running back as he gets his crack at handling the position. Speedy receivers Jakeem Grant and Albert Wilson will both be available, so there should be an opportunity to challenge a shorthanded Browns’ defense that has also ruled out Miami native Olivier Vernon up front. Fitzpatrick missed practice time due to right shoulder and forearm discomfort, so the possibility exists you may have to rely on Josh Rosen at some point if you’re taking points here. Gusty winds should be a part of the equation, but former Dolphins’ WR Jarvis Landry and his pal Odell Beckham, Jr. are both expected to play despite appearing on the injury report with nagging ailments. Tight end David Njoku will miss at least one more week after not being activated from IR with his wrist not ready.

    Broncos at Bills (-4/37), 1 p.m. ET, CBS: Denver dominated Minnesota early before collapsing and ultimately falling short, but first-year coach Vic Fangio has guys playing hard for him despite the season not going as expected and the group already out of playoff contention after blowing a 20-0 halftime lead. The Broncos are playing their second road game of four in a five-week span, so surviving between now and mid-December will likely be as mentally taxing as it will be physically, particularly if the losses keep piling up. Brandon Allen beat the Browns in his debut but contributed to last week’s loss by completing just 44 percent of his passes (17-for-39). He missed rookie tight end Noah Fant in the end zone on the game’s final play despite having him open, and that throw would’ve gone a long way in changing what the past week would’ve been like. It would appear that we’ll see second-round pick Drew Lock sooner than later, but Allen remains the starter and will lead his team into a Buffalo in an underdog role with Fant again looking to build on his recent progress, coming in tops among rookie tight ends with 27 catches for 360 yards.

    The Bills have seen corner Kevin Johnson emerge to share snaps with Levi Wallace next to Tre-Davious White, so the Broncos will have their work cut out for them moving the ball effectively through the air. WR Tim Patrick has been cleared to play after entering Sunday questionable with a shoulder injury. RB Phillip Lindsay should get a lot of work despite a sore wrist. Buffalo is 5-1 SU as a favorite this season, covering on three occasions. Josh Allen has been one of the NFL’s top dual-threat quarterbacks, which should serve the offense well since wind gusts of over 20 miles per hour are expected to come into play on a chilly day. Nose tackle Mike Purcell has been cleared for the Broncos, so the key to their improved run defense is a go despite a rib injury suffered early last week.

    Steelers (-6.5/37.5) at Bengals, 1 p.m. ET, CBS: If Cincinnati is going to win a game this season, this is as good a shot as any, which is saying something since games against the Jets and Dolphins remain. Rookie Ryan Finley has struggled and gets another chance to impress at home after the entire team was squashed by Baltimore two weeks ago. Strictly talking upset, Pittsburgh is vulnerable due to the absence of center Maurkice Pouncey, suspended for his role in the Garrett-Rudolph incident. Running back James Conner is out again, as is top wide receiver Juju Smith-Schuster, who was dealing with a concussion and an injured knee. WR Diontae Johnson will be available and teams with James Washington as Rudolph’s top targets. RB Jaylen Samuels should be in for a heavy workload.

    The Bengals expect to get a huge boost with left tackle Cordy Glenn back and making his debut after being sidelined with concussion issues the past few months. When he’s seen the field, he’s been an asset, but it remains to be seen whether he can find a rhythm with the lights on after such a lengthy layoff. Talented WR Auden Tate is also expected back from concussion symptoms, giving Finley another key target to alongside Tyler Boyd and his tight ends. RB Joe Mixon has been productive and the offensive line should be better with Glenn in the mix, so a Pittsburgh defense that has keyed the team’s resurgence thanks to the addition of safety Minkah Fitzgerald will have to step up to help make up for the team’s offensive absences. Considering how much Finley has struggled, it’s entirely possible Pittsburgh can outscore Cincinnati’s offense by itself. Finley is 1-for-6 on passes of 20 or more yards. Temperatures will be in the low 40s as rain that had been in the area has cleared out.

    Giants at Bears (-6/41), 1 p.m. ET, FOX: Mitch Trubisky will start after being pulled late in last week’s 17-7 loss to the Rams with a hip pointer. He threw the ball well Thursday and won’t have to deal with awful weather conditions, so there really will be no excuse if he struggles against a vulnerable New York secondary. There will be over 60,000 fans in place hoping to see progress and expressing their opinions if he continues to struggle, so this could certainly turn into a situation where playing at home works against you. Backup Chase Daniel doesn’t want to be the most popular guy in the building come second quarter, but there’s a chance that ends up the case.

    The Giants come into on a six-game losing streak but did have a bye week that allowed WR Sterling Shepard (concussion) to get back in the mix for this one, but tight ends Evan Engram and Rhett Ellison are both out. Untested Scott Simonson and rookie Kaden Smith will be called upon but we may see more four-receiver sets considering the weather won’t be a factor. Daniel Jones had a big day against the Jets in a 34-27 loss prior to the bye week but will face one of the toughest defenses he’s seen all season. Chicago has surrendered just 17.4 points per game, second in the NFC and have been disruptive despite sack numbers being down. This game certainly looks likely it will come down to what quarterback can be most productive while eliminating mistakes. Saquon Barkley says he’s feeling much better and expects to be more of a factor than he’s been in recent weeks.

    Raiders (-3/45.5) at Jets, 1 p.m. ET, CBS: After playing three consecutive games in Oakland, the Raiders go back on the road for the first time since Oct. 27. They’ve handled business at home in a favorite’s role over the Lions, Chargers and Bengals, which isn’t exactly murderer’s row. The Jets aren’t either, but have posted 34 points in back-to-back wins over the Redskins and Giants, two of the worst teams in football. Adding to this interesting mix will be inclement weather since heavy rain is expected to play as large a role as starting QBs Derek Carr and Sam Darnold. Wet, windy conditions will be tough for both teams to navigate, but Carr has a history of really struggling with the elements so he’ll need Josh Jacobs to make headway against the NFL’s top-ranked run defense.

    Panthers at Saints (-10/46), 1 p.m. ET, CBS: Christian McCaffrey has enjoyed a single victory in his four matchups with the Saints and he’s amassed just 103 yards on 29 carries and only found the end zone once. The Saints will likely key on Carolina’s primary weapon, so Kyle Allen will need to find ways to bounce back from a pair of rough efforts as the team has produced 10.6 points in losses to the 49ers, Packers and Falcons over the past month. Allen’s chore of moving the ball against the New Orleans defense gets a little easier with word coming down that corner Marshon Lattimore is going to sit this one out with a hamstring injury. He should have tackles Dennis Daley and Greg Little available too, but will have to deal with the loudest road atmosphere he’ll have seen to date in the Superdome.

    Drew Brees got back on track after his post-bye setback against the Falcons but against won’t have one of his top offensive linemen available with guard Andrus Peat also out. We’ll get a great individual matchup pitting Alvin Kamara against Luke Kuechly. Judging by how often he got the ball against Tampa Bay last week, we should see Kamara get even more touches as he looks to pad a TD count that stands at just two after he found the end zone 32 times in his first two seasons. He wasn’t available for New Orleans’ lone loss to Carolina over the past two season and has found the end zone three times in as many games, racking up 371 yards.

    Seahawks at Eagles (-1/45.5), 1 p.m. ET, FOX: Philadelphia comes off a disappointing offensive effort against the Patriots and now find themselves tasked with staying within striking distance of Dallas so that it can catch them in Week 16 when the teams square off at Lincoln Financial Field. Considering the friendly schedule ahead, pulling off its first victory over Seattle since 2008 would go a long way in ensuring that will be the case for Philly, which is also attempting to avoid slipping under .500. The Eagles are just 3-2 at home, so making sure that the Linc is again the fortress it has been will dictate the team’s success the rest of the way.

    The Seahawks are perfect on the road through five outings and look like a lock to make the postseason. They’ve got a shot to finish as the No. 1 overall seed if they’re able to overcome the 49ers. Coming off a bye week, Pete Carroll will have a great defensive game plan in place, but may be hindered by the absence of DE Jadeveon Clowney if he’s not able to play after seeing a specialist for nagging knee and hip ailments. New safety Quandre Diggs has upgraded the secondary, so a defense that has surrendered 27.5 over the last six games has a chance to look far more imposing coming out of the break with everyone rejuvenated. The Eagles are going to be without Desean Jackson again and list WRs Alshon Jeffery and Nelson Agholor as questionable. RB Jordan Howard doesn’t look like he’s be cleared to return from a shoulder injury, which will leave rookie Miles Sanders, Boston Scott and Jay Ajayi as ball carriers. Tackle Lane Johnson also failed to make it back from concussion protocol. Rain and windy weather will be a part of this game too but both teams should be used to those conditions.

    Jaguars at Titans(-3.5/41.5), 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS: The AFC South saw the Texans climb to the top with Thursday’s win over the Colts, who are now 6-5 and may have company there if Tennessee is able to hold serve at home here. Jacksonville is looking to stay alive after faltering in Nick Foles’ return last week, sputtering offensively in Indianapolis. They’ll try to get things going in Nashville and will have nice weather to help aid the cause. Foles has shown nice chemistry with DJ Chark and will have more preparation time in place to try and punish a defense that has surrendered an average of 26.3 points per game over the last four games. Despite that, Tennessee has won three of those four games and come off a win in a shootout over Kansas City. Ryan Tannehill has left Marcus Mariota in the dust with fans openly lamenting the change not being made sooner since it has obviously cost them a few games.

    The Titans will likely feed Derrick Henry, who ran for 238 yards and four scores in the most recent matchup with Jacksonville, including a 99-yard run. Tennessee ran for 470 yards against Jacksonville in its two games last season and saw its start back rack up 188 yards against the Chiefs prior to the bye. The Jags rank last in the NFL in yards allowed per carry (5.2). The Jags won 20-7 in Week 3 by pressuring Mariota and may not have as much success this time around considering they’ll be dealing with an improved offensive line now featuring Taylor Lewan, who was suspended for that game. Delanie Walker is expected back from a lengthy absence, so this should be a big game for Tennessee as it makes its push to try and reach another postseason.

    Cowboys at Patriots (-5.5/45.5), 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX: Outside of North Florida and Tennessee, most eyes will be on this game late in the day. The Cowboys have been inconsistent all season and come off a 35-27 win where they took advantage of Detroit’s defensive shortcomings but the fact is that this will be the toughest defense that Dak Prescott has run into. Only the Ravens have managed to score more than 14 points against the New England defense this season, so a mobile Prescott may be part of the game plan early despite the fact that both he and the Cowboys prefer he hang in the pocket. New England hasn’t played at home since taking down the Patriots on Oct. 27, but both Tom Brady and Prescott will have to deal with steady rain. For the Pats, this should be nothing new given last week’s conditions in Philadelphia and other games they’ve toiled in this season, but it’s certainly cause for concern where Dallas is concerned since it has played almost exclusively in domes over the past few months. They have run into inclement weather at Met Life Stadium, but the combination of facing a stifling defense in less than ideal weather should be disconcerting if you’re a Cowboys fan.

    Dallas doesn’t have much experience playing at Gillette Stadium, facing Bill Belichick and Tom Brady in their house for just the third time over the past two decades. Aaron Hernandez scored the game-winning TD when the teams last met in 2011 and Bill Parcells left with a 9-0 loss back in ’03, so we’re definitely witnessing history here. New England must find a way to move the football better than it has of late since Brady has been stifled and has been nursing an elbow injury that landed him on the injury report. Brady has thrown 14 touchdowns this season against just five interceptions and is just 248 yards shy of 3,000, so reports of his demise have been exaggerated. The total here reflects his struggles and takes the weather into account, so don’t jump all over the ‘over’ despite the low bar.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • Vegas Money Moves - Week 12
      November 22, 2019
      By Micah Roberts


      The casual regular Joe bettor had their best week of the NFL season last week and they come into Week 12 flush with cash and strong opinions collectively on who is going to help them cash again. The South Point sportsbook in Las Vegas has identified the teams that stand out the most in regards to tickets written.

      “The Lions (-3.5 at Washington) are the top public play, no sharp play on it at all,” said South Point book director Chris Andrews. “There’s an 8-to-1 ticket count on them. Everyone knows the Redskins are garbage.”

      Yes, the Redskins with rookie quarterback Dwayne Haskins have not been competitive. Also true, the Redskins with any QB have not been competitive. Their only win this season came at Miami, 17-16, but they didn’t even get the cover (-6) in that road victory back in Week 6.

      The odd part about the public jumping all over the Lions this week is that QB Matthew Stafford has already been ruled 'out' for the third straight week. Back-up Jeff Driskel has looked decent the past two weeks starting, but the Lions still lost both games to extend their non-cover streak to five games.

      Despite all those negative stats on the Lions, the public is basically saying “so what, the Redskins suck worse.”

      The second most popular public wager at the South Point is the Seahawks who are getting +1 at Philadelphia.

      “We’re at a 5-to-1 ratio on ticket counts with the Seahawks, and after them, the most popular is the Saints (-10 vs. Panthers) and Falcons (-3.5 vs. Buccaneers) each at a 4-to-1 ratio,” Andrews said

      The Eagles are off a 17-10 home loss to the Patriots last Sunday while Seahawks will be coming off their bye week. The last image the public has of the Seahawks came in Week 10, when Seattle was giving the 49ers their first loss (27-24) of the season on Monday Night Football. The Seahawks are riding a three-game wining streak and are a perfect 5-0 on the road, 4-1 against the spread. Meanwhile, the Eagles are in desperation mode at 5-5 and their playoff hopes are slowly diminishing.

      The Falcons have won and covered the last three meetings with the Buccaneers, but the public popularity with them this week is based on the Bucs failing to cover their last six games coupled with the Falcons climbing out of the grave with two big road wins the last two weeks at New Orleans (26-9) and at Carolina (29-3). The Falcons defense apparently works now and the effort from that unit has helped them stay 'under' the total in those victories and their last four overall.

      However, sharp money feels differently about the Falcons, who lost six straight before breaking out the last two weeks.

      “Sharp money took the Bucs at +5 and +4.5,” said Andrews.

      There’s a mix around Las Vegas books showing the Falcons at -3.5 and -4.

      Station Casinos Jason McCormick and CG Technology’s Tony DiTommaso both said the Bucs have been their most bet sharp game of the week.

      Just a side note with the Bucs total at 51.5: the Bucs have gone 'over' the total in their last eight games:

      McCormick also said sharp play has come on the Rams (+3 vs. Ravens on MNF) and Titans (-3.5 vs. Jaguars).

      Jeff Davis at Caesars Palace says his top sharp plays have been the Seahawks, Titans, and the 'over' (48) in the Packers-49ers matchup on Sunday Night Football.

      The 49ers have gone 'over' the total in their last four games and their strong defense has looked ragged at times in two wins against the Cardinals and a loss to the Seahawks.

      The sharp play on the Titans was laying -3. The Jaguars got Nick Foles back at QB last week and while he completed 70 percent of his passes for 296 yards they still lost 31-13 at Indianapolis. The Titans come off a bye but have three of their last four with Ryan Tannehill looking sharp. The Titans last game was a 35-32 win against the Chiefs. The Jaguars beat the Titans in Week 3, 20-7, to continue an ongoing trend where the home team is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

      The game I find most intriguing in regards to the spread is the Ravens -3 at the L.A. Rams on Monday. The numbers say there has been a meteoric rise with the Ravens rating while also equally decrease with the Rams rating. I think it may be too much of a knee-jerk reaction with both numbers.

      The Ravens have won six straight behind the top rushing team (203 YPG) and they're also the highest-scoring team (34 PPG). At the same time, the Rams don’t resemble the Super Bowl team from last season with QB Jared Goff looking shaky at times. But they’re still 7-3 ATS this season while the Ravens are 5-5 ATS. The Rams are currently on an 11-4 ATS run plus the defense has been steady lately, which has helped the 'under' cash in their last five games.

      No one can stop the Ravens run game, but the Rams run defense has been strong allowing only 89 yards per game this season.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • SuperContest Picks - Week 12
        November 23, 2019
        By VI News


        The Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest is the biggest, most prestigious, challenging pro football handicapping contest in the country. The fees are $1,500 per entry.

        Contestants must pick 5 pro football games against the spread each week for the entire 17-week season. A win is worth one point while a push earns a half point. The individual that has the best record after the season will be deemed the winner.

        The Westgate Las Vegas Resort is a hotel, casino, and convention center, which is located in Las Vegas, Nevada. SuperBook vice-president Jay Kornegay is in charge of the SuperContest.

        This year's contest has 3,328 entries.

        Each week throughout the season, we'll post the Top 5 Consensus Picks in the SuperContest on Saturday afternoon and list all of the selections for each matchup.


        Week 12

        1) Green Bay +3.5 (1312)

        2) Seattle +2 (1148)

        3) Baltimore -3 (1021)

        4) N.Y. Jets +3 (891)

        5) Dallas +6.5 (840)

        SUEPRCONTEST - WEEK 12 MATCHUPS & ODDS
        Away Team Selections Home Team Selections
        Indianapolis (+4) 227 Houston (-4) 232
        Miami (+10.5) 551 Cleveland (-10.5) 266
        Denver (+4) 628 Buffalo (-4) 689
        Pittsburgh (-6.5) 260 Cincinnati (+6.5) 492
        N.Y. Giants (+6) 481 Chicago (-6) 280
        Oakland (-3) 647 N.Y. Jets (+3) 891
        Carolina (+9.5) 404 New Orleans (-9.5) 429
        Tampa Bay (+4.5) 624 Atlanta (-4.5) 601
        Detroit (-3.5) 623 Washington (+3.5) 262
        Jacksonville (+3) 251 Tennessee (-3) 748
        Dallas (+6.5) 840 New England (-6.5) 620
        Green Bay (+3.5) 1312 San Francisco (-3.5) 433
        Seattle (+2) 1148 Philadelphia (-2) 617
        Baltimore (-3) 1021 L.A. Rams (+3) 688

        SUPERCONTEST - WEEKLY AND OVERALL CONSENSUS RECORDS
        Week Consensus Record Overall Record Percentage
        1 3-2 3-2 60%
        2 3-2 6-4 60%
        3 3-2 9-6 60%
        4 2-3 11-9 55%
        5 3-2 14-11 56%
        6 2-3 16-14 53%
        7 3-2 19-16 54%
        8 2-3 21-19 53%
        9 0-4-1 21-23-1 47%
        10 1-3-1 22-26-2 46%
        11 4-1 26-27-2 49%
        12 - - -
        13 - - -
        14 - - -
        15 - - -
        16 - - -
        17 - - -
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

          Top six picks for Week 12 in Westgate Super Contest:

          6) Titans -3, (748)

          5) Cowboys +6.5 (840)

          4) Jets +3 (891)

          3) Ravens -3 (1,021)

          2) Seahawks +2 (1,148)

          1) Packers +3.5 (1,312)

          2019 record: 33-30-3


          **********

          Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13:Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

          13) Ohio State 28, Penn State 17— Buckeye coach Ryan Day was complaining at halftime because his team (which was up 14-0) wasn’t up 34-0. Wonder how his mood was when Penn State closed the gap to 21-17.

          Buckeyes outgained Penn State 417-227; playing in a competitive game should help them down the road. Nittany Lions got a 3rd quarter boost from freshman backup QB Will Lewis, but they came up short.

          Penn State coach James Franklin is 54-23 in Happy Valley, 33-18 in conference games, 2-3 in bowls; before that, he was 24-15 in three years at Vanderbilt, 11-13 in SEC games, 2-1 in bowl games. Winning at Vanderbilt is no small feat.

          12) Florida International 30, Miami 24— Panthers become bowl eligible with this stunning upset, which happened at Marlins’ Park, which was built on the spot where the old Orange Bowl used to be. The Orange Bowl was Miami’s home stadium.

          Former Miami coach Butch Davis is FIU’s coach; all of FIU’s players probably grew up wanting to play for Miami. Hard to underestimate how much this win means for the FIU program.

          11) USC 52, UCLA 35— Trojans finish their regular season 8-4 after using three different QB’s due to injuries; the kid who emerges as the #1 QB is a true freshman who threw for 515 yards and four TD’s. The new USC athletic director has an interesting decision; do you bring in a new coach, or give Clay Helton another chance?

          To be clear here, lot of rich boosters aren’t all that excited by an 8-4 record.

          10) Arizona State 31, Oregon 28— Sun Devils become bowl eligible while they knock Oregon out of the national title picture. In his two years at ASU, Herm Edwards is 2-7 ATS when ASU is favored, 8-4 when they’re the underdog.

          9) SouthPoint Casino in Las Vegas has a fun prop bet every week; which team will score the first touchdown of the day? Lowly UConn (25-1) was this week’s winner.

          8) Washington State 54, Oregon State 53— Coogs scored two TD’s in last 2:10 to stave off the surging Beavers, who now have to upset Oregon next week to become bowl eligible.

          Wazzu started this season 3-0, then blew a 49-17 3rd quarter lead and lost 67-63 to UCLA- they fired their defensive coordinator and limp into the Apple Cup with a 6-5 record.

          Coogs’ QB Gordon threw for 606 yards, with three INTs.

          7) College football upsets:
          — Florida International (+20.5) 30, Miami 24
          — Colorado (+14) 20, Washington 14
          — Arizona State (+14) 31, Oregon 28
          — Nevada (+13.5) 35, Fresno State 28
          — Charlotte (+7) 24, Marshall 13
          — UNLV (+7) 38, San Jose State 35

          6) Charlotte 24, Marshall 13— 49ers upset the Thundering Herd on a rainy night, becoming bowl eligible for the first time in their five years of I-A football.

          5) Tennessee 24, Missouri 20— Vols win their 4th game in a row, becoming bowl eligible for the first time in three years. Solid coaching job by Jeremy Pruitt.

          4) College basketball upsets:
          — Penn (+13.5) 81, Providence 75
          — Sacramento State (+12) 77, Pepperdine 72
          — NC-Wilmingtonn (+10) 66, FIU 63
          — Cleveland State (+7) 65, Eastern Kentucky 51
          — George Washington (+7) 78, Evansville 70
          — Utah Valley (+6) 68, North Dakota State 62

          3) College basketball games of the day:
          Boise State 82, Pacific 76, 3OT— Broncos won second consecutive OT game; they made 11-23 on arc, Pacific 3-12.

          Memphis 87, Ole Miss 86— Rebels were down 16 in 2nd half, but drained 12-27 on arc and made it a ballgame. Both teams took 30+ foul shots in what is a regional rivalry game.

          2) I enjoy SEC football, but this shouldn’t happen on November 23:
          — Alabama 66, Western Carolina 3
          — Auburn 52, Samford 0
          — Kentucky 50, UT-Martin 7
          — Vanderbilt 38, East Tennessee State 0
          — Mississippi State 45, Abilene Christian 7

          It is embarrassing to brag that you’re the best league in the country, then play I-AA teams the week before Thanksgiving. There are plenty of bad I-A teams (UMass, New Mexico State, MAC, Sun Belt teams) who could use a payday. Charging people to watch Alabama play a I-AA team is theft.

          In the ACC, North Carolina/Virginia also played I-AA teams this week. Not good.

          1) Arkansas State 38, Georgia Southern 33— Great coaching job this season by ASU coach Blake Anderson, whose wife passed away just before this season started. Red Wolves are 7-4 and will go to a bowl, putting a cap on what has had to be a very emotional season.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 24
            GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


            SEA at PHI 01:00 PM
            SEA -2.0
            O 45.5


            CAR at NO 01:00 PM
            NO -10.0
            O 46.5

            TB at ATL 01:00 PM
            ATL -3.5
            U 51.0

            MIA at CLE 01:00 PM
            MIA +10.5
            O 46.0

            PIT at CIN 01:00 PM
            CIN +6.5
            O 37.0

            OAK at NYJ 01:00 PM
            NYJ +3.0
            O 45.5


            DEN at BUF 01:00 PM
            DEN +3.5
            O 37.0

            NYG at CHI 01:00 PM
            CHI -6.0
            U 40.5

            DET at WAS 01:00 PM
            WAS +4.0
            O 40.0
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • LATE GAMES + SUNDAY NIGHT PLAY:


              JAC at TEN 04:05 PM
              JAC +4.0
              U 42.5


              DAL at NE 04:25 PM
              DAL +5.5
              O 44.0


              GB at SF 08:20 PM
              GB +3.0
              O 48.0
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • Seahawks remain unbeaten on road, win at Philadelphia
                November 24, 2019
                By The Associated Press


                PHILADELPHIA (AP) Rashaad Penny ran for a career-best 129 yards, including a 58-yard touchdown, Russell Wilson threw one TD pass and the Seattle Seahawks beat the Philadelphia Eagles 17-9 Sunday.

                Missing their top three wide receivers, leading rusher and two Pro Bowl offensive linemen, the Eagles (5-6) couldn't do much on offense and hurt themselves with three turnovers inside Seattle territory and another near midfield.

                The Seahawks (9-2) remain undefeated on the road in six games.

                The Eagles didn't have wideouts DeSean Jackson, Alshon Jeffery and Nelson Agholor, running back Jordan Howard and right tackle Lane Johnson from the start. Right guard Brandon Brooks left in the first quarter. First-round pick Andre Dillard made his first career start at right tackle after playing the left side all season and was benched at halftime.

                The Seahawks were without star defensive end Jadeveon Clowney.

                Philadelphia's defense did its best to keep it close, sacking Wilson six times.

                But Carson Wentz struggled again and the offense was awful. Wentz was 33 of 45 for 256 yards, one TD, two interceptions and lost two fumbles, including one on a handoff exchange.

                Wilson was 13 of 25 for 200 yards, one TD and one pick.

                SAINTS 34, PANTHERS 31

                NEW ORLEANS (AP) - Wil Lutz kicked a 33-yard field goal as time expired, and the Saints took a four-game lead in the NFC South with five games left.

                Drew Brees completed 30 of 39 passes for 311 yards and three touchdowns, and led New Orleans from its 14-yard line with 1:51 left to the Carolina 15 with 3 seconds remaining to set up the winning kick. That capped a contest filled with late momentum shifts and critical errors - none bigger than Carolina kicker Joey Slye's missed field goal from 28 yards with 2 minutes left.

                New Orleans scored on the game's opening possession and led until 9:23 remained in the fourth quarter, when D.J. Moore reached up with his right hand to corral a fourth-and-goal pass in the back of the end zone to tie it at 31.

                Soon after, Panthers safety Eric Reid stuffed Alvin Kamara on a run to the right side on fourth-and-1 from the New Orleans 45. That set up a dramatic sequence in which Carolina coach Ron Rivera successfully challenged officials' decision not to call pass interference on a third-down incomplete pass, setting up a first-and-goal at the 3 with 2:21 to go.

                Carolina squandered its opportunity, however, after Christian McCaffrey's run was stuffed and Kyle Allen threw incomplete on second down and was sacked on third down by Marcus Davenport, setting up the end of a difficult day for Slye, who'd also missed two extra-point kicks.

                Michael Thomas had 10 catches for 101 yards and a touchdown for New Orleans (9-2), including receptions of 14 and 24 yards on the winning drive.

                Allen passed for 256 yards and three TDs for Carolina (5-6), which saw its playoff hopes pushed to the brink. McCaffrey had 133 yards and two touchdowns from scrimmage on a balance of runs and receptions.

                PATRIOTS 13, COWBOYS 9

                FOXBOROUGH, Mass. (AP) - The Patriots held the Cowboys' top-ranked offense without a TD for the first time this season as New England got its 18th straight regular-season victory at home.

                Dallas (6-5) had a chance to take the lead late. But facing fourth-and-11 on its 25 with 1:50 left, Dak Prescott's 20-yard apparent completion to Amari Cooper was nullified after an official review.

                The Patriots (10-1), who struggled to move the ball in their win over Philadelphia last week, played without two key receivers after Mohamed Sanu and Phillip Dorsett were ruled out with injuries. Tom Brady made the most of what he had, tossing a first-quarter touchdown pass to rookie N'Keal Harry and completing a 32-yard pass to rookie Jakobi Meyers.

                Brady finished 17 of 37 for 190 yards. Julian Edelman caught eight passes for 93 yards.

                Dallas struggled to move the ball for most of the game. Ezekiel Elliott rushed 21 times or 86 yards, but the Cowboys were 2 of 13 on third down.

                49ERS 37, PACKERS 8

                SANTA CLARA, Calif. (AP) - Jimmy Garoppolo threw two long touchdown passes and the San Francisco harassed Aaron Rodgers all night, helping the 49ers rout Green Bay.

                Garoppolo connected on a 42-yard touchdown strike to Deebo Samuel in the second quarter and a 61-yarder to George Kittle in the third to get San Francisco (10-1) off to a resounding start to a grueling three-game stretch.

                Following the game against the first-place Packers (8-3), the Niners will travel to Baltimore (8-2) and New Orleans (9-2) the next two weeks in a stretch that will go a long way to determining whether San Francisco will be able to hold off Seattle (9-2) in a tight NFC West race.

                Rodgers lost a fumble on the opening drive one of the five sacks he took and failed to convert a single third down on 13 tries before getting pulled late in the fourth quarter. He finished 20 for 33 for 104 yards and Green Bay averaged an anemic 1.7 yards per pass play when he was in the game.

                Garoppolo put it away with the two long touchdowns, part of a day when he went 14 for 20 for 253 yards and most importantly committed no turnovers. He was helped by the return of Kittle, who had six catches for 129 yards in his first game back after missing the past two contests with injuries to his knee and ankle.

                TITANS 42, JAGUARS 20

                NASHVILLE, Tenn. (AP) - The Titans scored four touchdowns over six offensive plays in the third quarter for their second straight victory to keep themselves firmly in the AFC playoff hunt.

                Ryan Tannehill ran for two TDs and threw two TDs to improve to 4-1 as Tennessee's starter. Derrick Henry ran for two TDs just 16 seconds apart, and rookie receiver A.J. Brown capped the scoring spurt with a 65-yard TD catch that made it 35-3 with 6:57 left in the third quarter.

                The Titans (6-5) are tied with Indianapolis and Oakland just outside the AFC's final wild-card spot; those are their next two opponents, both on the road.

                Jacksonville (4-7) lost its third straight, the past two since Nick Foles returned to the lineup.

                The Jaguars had nine sacks in beating the Titans 20-7 in September with Marcus Mariota at quarterback for Tennessee. They sacked Tannehill only once, though they forced a pair of fumbles by Tennessee. Ranked 29th in the NFL against the run, the Jaguars gave up 219 yards as the Titans had a 471-369 edge in total offense.

                Leonard Fournette had a pair of 1-yard TD runs and finished with 97 yards.

                JETS 34, RAIDERS 3

                EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. (AP) - Sam Darnold threw two touchdown passes and ran for another score for the Jets' first three-game winning streak in over two years.

                Brian Poole returned an interception 15 yards for a TD and the rest of the Jets defense made things miserable for Derek Carr, who was pulled by coach Jon Gruden with just under two minutes left in the third quarter.

                The Raiders (6-5) came into a rain-soaked MetLife Stadium on a three-game winning streak with an eye on a possible AFC West first-place showdown at Kansas City next week. Instead, they got outplayed by a suddenly resurgent Jets (4-7) team that pulled away in the second half.

                Darnold was 20 of 29 for 315 yards - the fourth 300-yard game of his career - with TDs to Robby Anderson and Ryan Griffin in another efficient outing that helped New York to its first three-game winning streak since Weeks 3-5 of the 2017 season. The Jets didn't punt until the 2-minute mark of the third quarter.

                Carr fell to 2-9 in his career in games that started with the temperature below 50 degrees. The temperature at kickoff at the Meadowlands was 43 degrees.

                BILLS 20, BRONCOS 3

                ORCHARD PARK, N.Y. (AP) - Josh Allen threw two touchdowns passing and Shaq Lawson had two of Buffalo's four sacks. The Bills have their best record through 11 games in 23 years.

                Buffalo improved to 8-3, to match its best start since Hall of Fame quarterback Jim Kelly's final season in 1996, while keeping the Bills firmly in position to secure their second playoff berth in three years.

                John Brown made a diving 34-yard touchdown catch, and Cole Beasley scored on an 18-yard reception. Allen finished 15 of 25 for 185 yards and threw his first interception in 172 attempts.

                Frank Gore had 65 yards rushing to up his total to 15,289 and move ahead of boyhood idol Barry Sanders into third on the NFL career list. The 15-year veteran also increased his total to 19,154 yards from scrimmage to pass Marshall Faulk for fourth on the list.

                Rookie Ed Oliver and Star Lotulelei had a sack apiece, while cornerback Tre'Davious White snuffed out a potential scoring drive by intercepting Brandon Allen at the Buffalo 8 in the final minute of the first half.

                The Broncos dropped to 3-8 in Vic Fangio's first season as coach.

                BROWNS 42, DOLPHINS 24

                CLEVELAND (AP) - Jarvis Landry caught two touchdown passes against his former team and the Browns won their third straight in their first game since losing star defensive end Myles Garrett to a season-ending suspension.

                Landry couldn't wait to get back at the Dolphins (2-9), who had him for four seasons before they decided not to give him a long-term contract extension and traded him to Cleveland in 2018. He got his revenge, finishing with 10 catches for 148 yards.

                Baker Mayfield had 327 yards passing and hit a TD pass to Odell Beckham Jr., and Joe Schobert had two interceptions as the Browns (5-6) continued their climb back into the AFC playoff hunt.

                The lopsided win capped an emotionally complicated week for the Browns in the aftermath of Garrett being banned by the NFL for pulling off Pittsburgh quarterback Mason Rudolph's helmet and hitting him over the head with it. That touched off a wild brawl in the final seconds of Cleveland's 21-7 win over the Steelers on Nov. 14.

                Garrett's appeal was denied this week in New York, where he told the league Rudolph used a racial slur, something the league said it didn't find any evidence of.

                On Saturday, the league fined Garrett and 32 other players from Pittsburgh and Cleveland for their roles in the ugly melee between the bitter rivals, who will meet against next Sunday at Heinz Field.

                STEELERS 16, BENGALS 10

                CINCINNATI (AP) - Devlin ''Duck'' Hodges took over for struggling Mason Rudolph and threw a 79-yard touchdown pass, sparking the depleted Steelers and keeping the Bengals the only winless team in the NFL.

                Hodges connected with James Washington on the game-turning play in the third quarter, leaving Pittsburgh (6-5) with a quarterback decision as it moves forward without Ben Roethlisberger.

                The Steelers defense has steadied them through the transition, and it had a major impact in Pittsburgh's 10th straight win over the hapless Bengals (0-11), who set franchise records for worst start and longest losing streak.

                Tyler Boyd made a catch and was stripped by Devin Bush at the Steelers 8-yard line in the fourth quarter, preserving the lead. Bud Dupree sacked Ryan Finley and forced a fumble that he recovered with 2:38 left, closing it out.

                What's left of the Steelers offense - hollowed out by injuries and a suspension - struggled in the first half and prompted coach Mike Tomlin to switch from Rudolph to Hodges, who provided an immediate boost. His touchdown pass to Washington gave the Steelers a 10-7 lead and got thousands of Terrible Towels twirling at Paul Brown Stadium.

                Hodges filled in for one game after Rudolph suffered a concussion and directed a 24-17 win over the Chargers on Oct. 13. Tomlin went back to Rudolph as soon as he was healthy.

                Now, he's got a big decision as the Steelers try to stay in the playoff chase.

                BUCCANEERS 35, FALCONS 22

                ATLANTA (AP) - Massive defensive lineman Vita Vea turned receiver to haul in his first career touchdown, one of three scoring throws by Jameis Winston. Tampa Bay escaped last place in the NFC South.

                Winston shook off two more interceptions to post his sixth straight 300-yard passing game, leading the Buccaneers (4-7) to just their second victory in the last seven games.

                Atlanta (3-8) had pulled even with Tampa Bay at the bottom of the division standings with a modest two-game winning streak. But the Falcons couldn't keep the momentum going, dropping to 1-4 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in what has become a lost season for a team that reached the Super Bowl just three years ago.

                Winston has been picked off an NFL-high 20 times but completed 18 of 28 for 313 yards, including a pair of touchdown passes to Chris Godwin. Yet the scoring play everyone will remember was a little 1-yard pass in the final minute of the first half to Vea, a 6-foot-4, 347-pound defensive lineman.

                With the Bucs facing second-and-goal, Vea checked into the game - apparently to provide an extra blocker. After lining up at fullback, he slipped into the flat on play-action by Winston, going completely uncovered as he gobbled up the short pass for his first career reception.

                BEARS 19, GIANTS 14

                CHICAGO (AP) - Khalil Mack set up a touchdown with a strip-sack and Allen Robinson had a season-high 131 yards receiving for Chicago.

                Trying to salvage something from a disappointing season, the Bears (5-6) bounced back from a loss to the Los Angeles Rams. The Giants (2-9) dropped their seventh straight and clinched their third losing season in a row.

                Mack broke through in the third quarter for just his second sack in seven games. Held without a tackle at Los Angeles, the three-time All-Pro nailed Jones deep in New York territory, and Chicago's Nick Williams recovered at the 3. That led to a 2-yard touchdown run by quarterback Mitchell Trubisky to make it 19-7.

                New York cut the lead to five with 4:10 left in the game when Golden Tate hauled in a 23-yard pass on fourth-and-18. The Bears then went three-and-out before Pat O'Donnell pinned the Giants at the 6 with a 61-yard punt, and Chicago hung on.

                Trubisky threw for a season-high 278 yards, including a touchdown to Robinson, and two interceptions after missing the final drive the previous week because of a right hip pointer. Robinson had six catches.

                REDSKINS 19, LIONS 16

                LANDOVER, Md. (AP) - Quinton Dunbar intercepted Jeff Driskel in the final minute, Dustin Hopkins hit the go-ahead field goal from 39 yards with 16 seconds left as Washington snapped a four-game losing streak.

                Rookie quarterback Dwayne Haskins picked up his first NFL win after leading Washington (2-9) into field goal range following Dunbar's interception. Haskins finished 13 of 29 for 156 yards and an interception but made a couple fewer mistakes than Driskel, who was picked off three times as the Lions (3-7-1) lost their fourth in a row and third since starter Matthew Stafford went out with injury.

                For long stretches, the game was a comedy of errors with neither team looking like it wanted to win. Haskins fumbled on third down on Washington's first possession; Detroit turned the ball over on consecutive offensive plays; Lions kicker Matt Prater missed a 39-yard field goal; and his teammates were baffled on Steven Sims' 91-yard kickoff return for a Redskins touchdown - after muffing the catch.

                Driskel finished 20 of 32 for 207 yards, with a touchdown pass and the three interceptions.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • NFL NOVEMBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

                  DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

                  11/24/2019...........8-16-0..........33.33%........-48.00
                  11/21/2019.............1-1-0..........50.00%..........-0.50
                  11/18/2019.............2-0-0........100.00%........+10.00
                  11/17/2019...........6-13-1..........31.58%.........-41.50
                  11/14/2019.............0-2-0............0.00%.........-11.00
                  11/11/2019.............1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
                  11/10/2019...........7-11-1..........38.89%.........-25.50
                  11/07/2019.............1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
                  11/04/2019.............1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
                  11/03/2019..........12-10-0..........54.55%..........+5.00

                  Totals...................39-55-1.........41.48%..........-113.00


                  *****************************

                  BEST BETS:

                  DATE........................ATS.............UNITS. ............O/U...............UNITS.............TOTALS

                  11/24/2019..............4 - 4...........-2.00..............2 - 9..............-38.50..............-40.50
                  11/21/2019..............1 - 0...........+5.00.............0 - 1...............-5.50..............-0.50
                  11/18/2019..............1 - 0...........+5.00.............1 - 0...............+5.00.............+10.00
                  11/17/2019..............0 - 8............-44.00............4 - 4...............-2.00..............-46.00
                  11/14/2019..............0 - 1............-5.50..............0 - 1...............-5.50..............-11.00
                  11/11/2019..............0 - 1............-5.50..............1 - 0...............+5.00.............-0.50
                  11/10/2019..............4 - 4............-2.00..............2 - 6...............-23.00............-25.00
                  11/07/2019..............1 - 0............+5.00.............0 - 1...............-5.50..............-0.50
                  11/04/2019..............1 - 0............+5.00.............0 - 1...............-5.50..............-0.50
                  11/03/2019..............5 - 3............+8.50.............3 - 5...............-12.50.............-4.00


                  Totals.....................17 - 21..........-30.50..........15 - 28..............-88.00.............-118.50



                  *******************************

                  NFL SEPT./ OCTOBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

                  Totals............108-93-1.......... 53.73%........... +28.50

                  BEST BETS:

                  DATE........................ATS.............UNITS. ............O/U...............UNITS.............TOTALS

                  Totals..................55 - 51............-0.00................52 - 42 ..........+33.00............+33.00
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

                    Top six picks for Week 12 in Westgate Super Contest:

                    6) Titans -3, (748)- W

                    5) Cowboys +6.5 (840)- W

                    4) Jets +3 (891)- W

                    3) Ravens -3 (1,021)

                    2) Seahawks +2 (1,148)- W

                    1) Packers +3.5 (1,312)- L

                    2019 record: 37-31-3


                    **********

                    Armadillo: Monday's Den; Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

                    Browns 41, Dolphins 24:
                    — Dolphins had 8 penalties for 94 yards; they had been the least penalized team in league.
                    — Fitzpatrick turned 37 Sunday; how does it help Miami for him to play?
                    — Dolphins are 7-14 ATS in last 21 road games, 3-2 TY.

                    — Former Dolphin Landry caught 10 balls for 148 yards, two TD’s.
                    — Cleveland’s first five drives: 34 plays, 264 yards, four TD’s.
                    — Browns won their last three games after a 2-6 start.

                    Bills 20, Broncos 3:
                    — Broncos’ first five drives: 30 plays, 127 yards, nine first downs, 3 points.
                    — Broncos’ last five drives: 15 plays, 2 yards, no first downs, no points.
                    — Denver lost four of its last five games; they’ve converted only 18 of last 88 3rd down plays..

                    — Buffalo is 8-0 TY when it scores 17+ points, 0-3 when it doesn’t.
                    — Bills outgained Denver 424-134; they ran ball for 244 yards.
                    — Under is 8-3 in Buffalo games TY.

                    Steelers 16, Bengals 10:
                    — Steelers benched QB Rudolph at halftime; 3rd-stringer Devlin played 2nd half.
                    — Pitt won five of its last six game, after a 1-4 start.
                    — Steelers are 3-9 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite (0-1 TY)

                    — Winless Bengals are 0-5 SU at home, with three losses by 10+ points.
                    — Cincy scored three TD’s on 33 drives in Finley’s three starts
                    — Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

                    Bears 19, Giants 14:
                    — Giants lost their last seven games (2-5 ATS).
                    — Giants started three drives in row in 2nd quarter in Chicago territory, went TD/MFG/MFG, missing 42-43 yard field goals.
                    — Big Blue threw for 134 yards, averaging 3.6 yards/pass attempt.

                    — Bears are 4-0 when they allow 15 or fewer points, 0-6 when they allow more.
                    — Five of Bears’ six home games, and last five games overall, stayed under total.
                    — Trubisky threw for 278 yards; the hip pointer he had last week healed pretty quickly.

                    Jets 34, Raiders 3:
                    — Didn’t see this coming; Jets outgained Raiders, 401-208.
                    — Oakland has lost four of five true road games this year.
                    — Darnold averaged 10.4 yards/pass attempt against the Raider defense.

                    — Jets won their last three games, scoring 34-34-34 points.
                    — NYJ’s first six drives: 44 plays, 330 yards, 18 first downs, 3 TD’s, 2 FG’s, one missed FG.
                    — Jets are 13-8-2 ATS in last 23 games as a home underdog.

                    Saints 34, Panthers 31:
                    — Carolina missed a PAT, and a 28-yard FG with 1:56 left, with score tied.
                    — Panthers lost four of last five games after a 4-2 start.
                    — Carolina is 25-13 ATS in last 38 games as a road underdog, 3-2 TY.

                    — Saints won eight of their last nine games (7-2 ATS).
                    — New Orleans scored 31+ points in five of last seven games.
                    — Underdogs covered nine of last ten Panther-Saint games.

                    Bucs 35, Falcons 16:
                    — Tampa Bay averaged 11.2 yards/pass attempt; Godwin caught 7 balls for 184 yards, two TD’s.
                    — Bucs are 3-3 when they’re even/positive in turnovers; 1-4 otherwise.
                    — Tampa Bay turned it over twice; thats 27 turnovers for season (-10).

                    — Under Quinn, Atlanta is 11-20 ATS as a home favorite, 0-2 TY.
                    — Falcons lost their last four home games, giving up 30.8 ppg.
                    — Atlanta scored only one TD, kicked three FG’s in four red zone drives.

                    Redskins 19, Lions 16:
                    — Detroit outgained Redskins 364-230, but turned ball over four times (-2).
                    — Lions scored only 13 points on three trips to red zone.
                    — Detroit lost four games in row, seven of last eight.

                    — Washington’s only TD was a 91-yard kick return in second quarter.
                    — Redskins scored two TD’s on their last 46 drives.
                    — Six of Redskins’ last eight games stayed under the total.

                    Seahawks 17, Eagles 9:
                    — Seattle is 9-2 with one win by more than eight points.
                    — Seahawks covered seven of last ten post-bye games.
                    — Seahawks are 6-0 SU on road TY, giving up 19.5 ppg; they’re 5-3-1 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite, 2-1 TY.

                    — Eagles went 21 drives between touchdowns, scoring one here with 0:20 left.
                    — Hard to win when you turn ball over five times on 12 drives (-3).
                    — Four of Philly’s last five games stayed under the total.

                    Titans 42, Jaguars 20:
                    — Jacksonville was outscored 101-36 in losing its last three games.
                    — Jax is 11-21-1 ATS in last 33 games where spread was 3 or fewer points
                    — Jaguars allowed 13.3 yards/pass attempt vs Ryan Tannehill.

                    — Tennessee scored 29.4 ppg in winning four of Tannehill’s first five starts.
                    — Titans’ first four drives of 2nd half: 9 plays, 225 yards, 8 first downs, 4 TD’s.
                    — Tennessee won last four home games; their last five games went over.

                    Patriots 13, Cowboys 9:
                    — Cowboys lost field position by 20 yards in this game.
                    — Dallas lost five of its last eight games after a 3-0 start.
                    — Dallas missed a FG off the upright, had punt blocked on next series.

                    — New England scored one TD, on a 12-yard drive.
                    — Patriots are 24-9-2 ATS in last 35 games as a home favorite.
                    — New England won all five home games TY by average score of 27-11

                    49ers 37, Packers 8:
                    — Green Bay converted 1-15 on 3rd down, averaged 1.9 yards/pass attempt.
                    — Packers won five of last seven games, with both losses in California.
                    — Green Bay/Minnesota are tied for first place in NFC North.

                    — 49ers outscored last five opponents 91-33 n first half.
                    — Garoppolo averaged 9.9 yards/pass attempt.
                    — This was fourth time this season 49ers held an opponent under 200 yards.
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • Betting Recap - Week 12
                      Joe Williams

                      Overall Notes

                      National Football League Week 12 Results

                      Wager Favorites-Underdogs
                      Straight Up 10-3
                      Against the Spread 5-7-1

                      Wager Home-Away
                      Straight Up 10-3
                      Against the Spread 7-5-1

                      Wager Totals (O/U)
                      Over-Under 4-9

                      National Football League Year-to-Date Results
                      Wager Favorites-Underdogs
                      Straight Up 111-60-1
                      Against the Spread 74-93-5

                      Wager Home-Away
                      Straight Up 95-76-1
                      Against the Spread 74-93-5

                      Wager Totals (O/U)
                      Over-Under 84-87-1

                      The largest underdogs to win straight up
                      Redskins (+4, ML +170) vs. Lions, 19-16
                      Buccaneers (+3.5, ML +165) at Falcons, 35-22
                      Jets (+3.5, ML +160) vs. Raiders, 34-3

                      The largest favorite to cover
                      Browns (-10.5) vs. Dolphins, 41-24
                      Titans (-4.5) vs. Jaguars, 42-20
                      Bills (-4) vs. Broncos, 20-3

                      How About Dem Cowboys?

                      -- The Dallas Cowboys (+5.5) were able to grab the cover on the road against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Mass. in a chilly, mist and fog. While, yes, the Cowboys were able to grab a cover, they fell against a winning team yet again. The Cowboys have beaten the New York Giants (twice), the Washington Redskins, the Miami Dolphins, the Philadelphia Eagles and Detroit Lions. The combined records of the teams Dallas has beaten is 16-49-1, and they haven't recorded a win over a team with a record over .500. The best record of anyone they have beaten is Philadelphia at 5-6. Someone has to win the NFC East, as the Cowboys (6-5) are the only team over .500. They don't seem like to go very far, however.

                      While they're all well and good, they're still covering. The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS across the past five outings, and 7-4 ATS overall. That includes a 4-2 ATS mark on the road, and they're 3-0 ATS across the past three away from home. Sunday's game in Foxboro marked the first time they were an underdog, and they covered at most shops.

                      Total Recall

                      -- The two highest totals on the board Sunday were the Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Atlanta Falcons (51.5) and Green Bay Packers-San Francisco 49ers (48). The Buccaneers certainly did their part, throwing up 35 points, incuding 19 points in the first-half. The teams combined for 29 points to hit the first-half 'over' in this one, too. In the SNF game, over bettors weren't as fortunate, which is part for the course for primetime games this season. The first-half under narrowly cashed thanks mostly to a goose egg for the Pack, as San Francisco hoisted up 23 points in the first 30 minutes.

                      The next highest totals on the board were the Thursday night battle between the Indianapolis Colts-Houston Texans (46.5) and Sunday's NFC South tilt under the roof between the Carolina Panthers-New Orleans (46.5). The TNF game was a low-scoring 20-17 battle in favor of the home team, while the home side also won by three in the NFC South battle in NOLA, but this game hit the over rather easily. In fact, we had 10 or more combined points in each quarter, and 32 total points on the board at halftime to cover a first-half 'over'.

                      There were three totals on the board under 40, the Denver Broncos-Buffalo Bills (37), Pittsburgh Steelers-Cincinnati Bengals (37) and Detroit Lions-Washington Redskins (39) each hit the 'under'. The Broncos-Bills game saw a total of just 23 points, the Steelers-Bengals game saw just 26 point sand the Lions-Redskins tilt was the 'highest' scoring of the trio, totaling 35 points. Still, defense reigned supreme, which is never good for a betting public which tends to lean 'over' more often than not.

                      The 'under' made a clean sweep in the Week 11 primetime battles, and so far the 'under' is 2-0 under the lights with the Baltimore Ravens-Los angeles Rams (47) game still pending. The 'over' is just 12-24 (33.3%) during the 2019 primetime schedule, a stark change from previous seasons when the games under the lights were high-scoring affairs.

                      Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

                      In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

                      In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

                      In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

                      In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

                      Injury Report

                      -- Eagles QB Carson Wentz (hand) will have tests on his right hand after suffering an injury in Sunday's game vs. the Seahawks.

                      Looking Ahead - Divisional Battles

                      -- We have two divisional battles out of the three Thanksgiving games. The Bears and Lions kick off the festivities at 12:30 p.m. ET at Ford Field. The Lions, coming off a disappointing 19-16 loss in Washington, has dropped four in a row while failing to cover six in a row after a 4-1 ATS start. The four-game losing streak including a 20-13 loss on Nov. 10 in Chicago, a game which hit the 'under'. Chicago heads into this game with a 9-1 ATS mark in their past 10 divisional games, while Detroit is 2-6 ATS in their past eight at home and 2-6 ATS in the past eight inside the division. The Bears are an impressive 5-1-1 ATS in the past seven in this series, with the favorite 4-0-1 ATS in the past five battles and the under 6-2 in the previous eight meetings.

                      -- The other divisional battle on Turkey Day is a rematch between the Saints and Falcons in Atlanta. The Falcons stunned the Saints by a 26-9 score in Week 10, winning outright as 13.5-point underdogs. It served as a wake-up call for the Saints, who have scored 34 points in each of the past two outings, both wins and 'over' results. New Orleans has cashed in 24 of the past 32 road games, while Atlanta is still just 6-13 ATS in the past 19 games overall. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the past 12 meetings in this series, and the under has hit in four of the past five meetings, and seven of the past 10 in Atlanta.

                      -- The Browns and Steelers will renew acquaintances at Heinz Field just 18 days after 'Helmetgate', or whatever you want to call the brawl which saw DE Myles Garrett suspended for the remainder of the field for swinging QB Mason Rudolph's helmet at the signal caller. After a 2-6 SU start the Browns have rattled off three straight wins, including a 21-7 victory over the Steelers on Nov. 14. Of course, all three of those victories came at FirstEnergy Stadium. The Browns are 2-3 SU/ATS in their five games away from home. Cleveland is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six in this series, but the home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six meetngs, too, with the 'over' 4-1 in the past five meetings in Pittsburgh.

                      -- The Titans and Colts will square off in Indy. Tennessee is 15-33-3 ATS in the past 51 AFC South battles, and they're 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning teams. Indy has covered in seven straight divisional games, and they're 18-7-1 ATS in the past 26 against winning teams. In this series, the Titans are a dismal 3-13 ATS in the past 16 meetings, with Tennessee 1-7 ATS in the past eight trips to Lucas Oil Stadium.

                      -- The Rams travel to meet the Cardinals, looking to stay hot on the road. L.A. is 6-1 ATS in the past seven on the road. The Rams have dominated this series, too, covering four in a row overall, and four straight in Arizona. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the past nine meetings, too.

                      -- The Chargers and Broncos square off in Denver. The Bolts have been strong on the road, going 9-3-1 ATS in the past 13 on the road, including 6-0-1 ATS in the past seven on the road against a team with a losing home record. On the flip side, the Broncos have a dismal 1-4 ATS record in the past five insisde the division. The Chargers have an odd 9-2-5 ATS mark in their past 16 trips to Denver, and the road team is 15-5-2 ATS in the past 22 meetings in this series.

                      -- The Raiders and Chiefs get together, with Kansas City already a double-digit favorite in this one. Oakland has managed a 3-9 ATS mark in the past 12 on the road, while the Chiefs are 19-7 ATS in the past 26 inside the AFC West. The Raiders have failed to cover in five of their past six trips to Arrowhead, while going 2-5 ATS in the past seven meetings overall. The favorite has connected in 10 of the past 14 meetings in this series. The under is 17-5 in the past 22 meetings in Kansas City, too.
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                      • NFL Week 13 opening odds and early action: Bills draw sharp play for Thanksgiving battle vs Cowboys
                        Patrick Everson

                        Frank Gore has helped Buffalo post an 8-3 SU mark (7-3-1 ATS) heading into a Thanksgiving Day game at Dallas. The Bills opened as 7.5-point underdogs and drew early cash, moving the line to +7.

                        Week 13 of the NFL season includes a Thanksgiving Day feast of three games, along with an intriguing Sunday/Monday menu. We check in on the opening odds and early action, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

                        Buffalo Bills at Dallas Cowboys (-7.5)

                        Somewhat under the radar, Buffalo heads into this Turkey Day contest with an 8-3 SU mark and a more-than-respectable 7-3-1 ATS record, as well. The Bills had little trouble with Denver in Week 12, winning 20-3 as 3.5-point home favorites.

                        Meanwhile, Dallas dropped two of its last three games, though it still leads a very weak NFC East at 6-5 SU (7-4 ATS). In Week 12, the Cowboys faced a stern test in the rain at New England, losing 13-9 but cashing as 5.5-point underdogs.

                        “We opened Cowboys -7.5 and took some respected money on the Bills, and lowered it to -7,” Murray said. “I see a lot of Cowboys-to-Saints parlays in our future.”

                        The Saints-Falcons game is the Thanksgiving nightcap, following the Bills-Cowboys clash.

                        San Francisco 49ers at Baltimore Ravens (-4.5)

                        Baltimore still has Week 12 work to do, playing Monday night at the Los Angeles Rams, but John Harbaugh’s squad is arguably the hottest in the league. The Ravens (8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS) are on runs of 6-0 SU and 4-0 ATS, including a 41-7 bashing of Houston as 4-point faves in Week 11.

                        San Francisco continues to impress, tied with New England for the best record in the NFL at 10-1 SU (6-4-1 ATS). On Sunday night, the 49ers hosted a Green Bay squad that was a very public ‘dog, but San Fran rumbled to a 37-8 victory laying 3 points at home.

                        “We opened Ravens -4.5, but took it off the board when the Packers-49ers game kicked off,” Murray said as the Sunday night game was in progress. “No betting action to report here, but we could see an adjustment in this number depending on how the Sunday and Monday night games turn out.”

                        The SuperBook’s standard operating procedure is to take the following week’s game off the board when a team is in the Sunday or Monday nighter. That means this line will go back up Monday morning, then come down again Monday night during the Ravens-Rams tilt.

                        New England Patriots at Houston Texans (+3.5)

                        Following its lone loss of the season, at Baltimore, New England scored a combined 30 points in its next two games – and won them both. In Week 12 at home against Dallas, the Patriots (10-1 SU, 7-4 ATS) mustered just one touchdown and two field goals in a 13-9 victory giving 5.5 points.

                        Houston won three of its last four SU – while going 1-3 ATS – and is atop the AFC South at 7-4 SU (5-6 ATS). The Texans took sole possession of first with a 20-17 home win over Indianapolis giving 3.5 points in the Week 12 Thursday nighter.

                        “The public will come in heavy on the Patriots in this spot, and the books will need Houston huge by kickoff,” Murray said. “New England’s offense is really struggling the last few weeks, to put it nicely.”

                        Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-10)

                        Oakland saw its three-game winning streak end in embarrassing fashion in Week 12. The Raiders (6-5 SU and ATS) went off as 3.5-point favorites at the New York Jets and got boatraced 34-3, with Oakland’s lone score coming on the first possession of the game.

                        Meanwhile, Kansas City is coming off its bye week, giving Patrick Mahomes some time to better heal up from a nagging ankle injury. In Week 11, Mahomes and the Chiefs (7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS) held off the Los Angeles Chargers 24-17 as 5.5-point road favorites.

                        “This number bumped up a point-and-a-half off our look-ahead number, due to the Raiders’ loss on the road against the Jets,” Murray said. “The Chiefs are a team to keep an eye down the stretch, if they can get healthy.”
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                        • Hot & Not Report - Week 13
                          Matt Blunt

                          Week of November 25th

                          Last week's piece focused on two NFC divisions and the results they've had in non-division games the past few weeks, and in Week 12 action there were some mixed results.

                          NFC West teams continued to dominate non-division foes, as both Seattle and San Francisco were able to cover short numbers with relative ease. Seattle continued to shoot themselves in the foot to allow the Eagles to hang around, but thankfully for Seattle backers/fans, Philly has Dorian Gray at QB, and after Sunday's awful performance from Wentz, more and more people are starting to see all the ugliness Wentz has in his game that I touched on weeks ago in that piece.

                          San Francisco rolled over the Packers on SNF as it was a beat down from start to finish for the 49ers. Jimmy Garoppolo could be in the midst of his “lightning in a bottle” season like the only other past FCS QB's to be drafted in the last 10+ years have experienced (Wentz in 2017, Joe Flacco in January 2013), but it's this San Francisco defense that's the key to the 49ers success. When you've got the type of game wreckers they do in the front seven, most opponents are going to buckle when the 49ers are on their game.

                          We've got the Rams still pending in this scenario tonight as they host a red hot Baltimore team, and based on early action reports – Baltimore's getting bet at about a 70% clip currently – the oddsmakers would prefer to see LA get across the finish line as well.

                          Over on the “Not” side of things from last week, the NFC East teams in non-division action this past week ended up going 3-1 ATS, with everyone but the aforementioned Philadelphia Eagles getting an ATS win. Only the Washington Redskins were lucky enough to get a SU win though, as both Dallas and the NY Giants kept things close enough in low-scoring road defeats.

                          This week we've got a continuation of last week's angle of sorts, as we begin with teams from an AFC division and their recent non-division results, as well as a different take that's been going well. You put the two of them together for Week 13 and the entire betting board in the NFL is basically covered, so I'll even lay out all the teams you should be looking at for Week 13 and we can come back a week from now and see if these runs hold up.

                          Who's Hot

                          AFC East teams are 14-6-1 ATS in non-division games since October 1st


                          This trend wasn't stellar in Week 12 as it was a 2-2 ATS record for the likes of New England, Buffalo, NY Jets, and Miami, but overall, when these teams venture outside of the division, you generally want to be looking their way. All four of them have winning ATS records in non-division play since the beginning of October – New England are 4-2 ATS, Buffalo are 3-1-1 ATS, the NY Jets are 4-2 ATS, and Miami are 3-1 ATS – and about a handful of those ATS victories for the three teams not named “New England” have come as outright wins as underdogs as well.

                          I mean, look at this Jets team right now who have put up 34 points in three straight weeks, winning all three of those games by double digits, and closing as an underdog in all of them. QB Sam Darnold is probably feeling like himself again after his Mono issue earlier this year, as this offense that had many new faces show up this year is starting to play like a cohesive unit. Three straight SU and ATS wins as underdogs will start to bring attention in the betting market, and with a trip to Cincinnati on deck for the Jets this week, this run of New York catching points will end. We will have to see if the Jets – laying 3.5 points vs Cincinnati - can continue their strong play as favorites now, a role New York is 0-2 SU and ATS in this year, although both of those did come within AFC East division play.

                          The rest of this division is out playing non-conference foes in Week 13 as well, as early numbers have Buffalo (+7) in Dallas on Thanksgiving, Miami (+8.5) hosting Philadelphia, and New England (-3.5) at Houston on SNF. All three of these games have some interesting dynamics to them and you should find more support for any plays you do make, but Buffalo and Miami catching those points against Dallas and Philadelphia do look awfully attractive.

                          New England's got to deal with a Texans team that's had extended rest and hasn't had to travel, which makes backing the Patriots a little trickier, especially when the chances are they'll be a side the oddsmakers would prefer to see lose again.

                          But put all four plays in as early leans right now – NY Jets (-3.5), Buffalo (+7), Miami (+8.5) and New England (-3.5) and let's go on to build out the rest of this card with...

                          Who's Not

                          Fading teams that put up 30 or more points in their last outing – 5-12 ATS last three weeks, and 2-9 ATS past two weeks


                          I'll start with the pending game as that is tonight's MNF game between the Ravens and Rams. It's the Ravens who are coming off a 30+ point performance in their last outing, and that's going directly up against that run for NFC West teams in non-division play, so that's why it's so important to find further support for what side you decide to back. Tonight's game is a pass for me (at least with the side) as those conflicting runs suggest it will be a close game that could easily land on either side of the current number (Baltimore -3.5).

                          But a 9-2 ATS record for teams coming off a 30-point effort suggests that the offenses that achieve that production really go out and have a great week of practice afterwards, and build upon that momentum. These teams are 8-3 SU in those 11 games, so taking the points where you can may be better option. And going into Week 13 there are plenty of teams that qualify in this role.

                          Astute readers will know that the NY Jets (-3.5) fit both of these Hot/Not scenarios, and laying points with them against Cincinnati is something that does seem easy to get behind. So that's another piece of supporting evidence for Jets backers this week, although they've still got that nasty hook lying there. The number won't go down so buying off that hook may be the best option now, or just bypass the spread all together and take NY on the ML and go from there.

                          The list of the other teams you should be playing on in Week 13 based on them putting up 30+ in their last effort are: Tampa Bay (+1) at Jacksonville, Cleveland (-1) at Pittsburgh, New Orleans (-6.5) at Atlanta on Thursday, Carolina (-10) vs Washington, Tennessee (+3) at Indianapolis, and San Francisco (+4.5) at Baltimore – pending Baltimore doesn't land here themselves with 30+ on MNF.

                          That's already a lot of the board covered, but the majority of the teams listed here are on the road. That isn't exactly ideal, but it's how it goes and if your own handicapping throughout the week has you landing on a few of these teams, it's probably a good decision to fire.

                          In the end, these two situations have most of the Week 13 NFL board covered, with none of them conflicting. And as I said at the top, we can see how these plays end up in the coming week. They are:

                          Buffalo (+7)
                          New Orleans (-6.5)
                          Miami (+8.5)
                          NY Jets (-3.5)
                          Tennessee (+3)
                          Cleveland (-1)
                          Carolina (-10)
                          San Francisco (+4.5) – pending Baltimore's result
                          Tampa Bay (+1)
                          New England (-3.5)
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                          • MNF - Ravens at Rams
                            Tony Mejia

                            Baltimore (-3.5, 47) at L.A. Rams, 8:15 pm ET, ESPN

                            A storied rivalry that began in 1996 with Vinny Testaverde outlasting Tony Banks’ Rams in OT to give the Ravens franchise its third-ever win in the team’s inaugural season is ready for its close-up and L.A. debut.

                            Ok, so maybe Monday night’s matchup doesn’t feature storied rivals, but it is an attractive matchup despite lacking an extensive history. The Rams were St. Louis’ team last time they crossed paths with John Harbaugh and the Ravens, falling 16-13 on a Justin Tucker field goal at the gun back in 2015. Todd Gurley scored the Rams’ lone touchdown, but there aren’t a lot of holdovers on either side from that most recent meeting, which featured the Rams blowing a 10-point fourth-quarter lead under Jeff Fisher’s watch. Neither went on to make the playoffs.

                            Four years later, the teams meet again with the Lamar Jackson-led Ravens (8-2 SU, 6-3-1 ATS) atop the NFL world and the Rams (6-4, 7-3) scrambling to make a playoff push after reaching the Super Bowl last season. In foru years, there’s a good chance we’ll remember this game for being Jackson’s Monday night debut.

                            Because the 49ers and Seahawks each won high-profile matchups against NFC contenders on Sunday to improve to a combined 19-3, L.A.’s already slim chances of winning its division dwindled further. That means the Rams will have to land one of the two wild card spots and need to remain in striking distance of the Vikings, who have taken up residence as the likeliest No. 6 seed with six games still left. They’ll face San Francisco and Seattle one more time and visit the Cowboys, so Sean McVay’s team is set to play a significant role in writing the rest of the story in the conference. Pulling off a win against the Ravens on Monday night would give them a better shot at a starring role as opposed to setting for playing spoiler. This will be their first Monday night appearance since last season’s epic 54-51 win over Kansas City.

                            Los Angeles is 2-1 under the lights in 2019, beating the Browns and Bears in Sunday night slugfests, the most recent of which came at home against Chicago on Nov. 17. They dropped a 30-29 Thursday night clash at Seattle that may ultimately cost it dearly. Greg Zuerlein unexpectedly missed a 44-yard field goal in that game to doom the Rams, who went on to lose to the Niners 20-7 the next week, digging themselves their current hole.

                            Baltimore’s only primetime appearance this season booked it a leading role the rest of the way. The Ravens destroyed the defending champion Patriots 37-20 on Nov. 3, producing nearly half the scoring New England has surrendered in its other 10 games (80 points) in four quarters of a Sunday night rout. The Ravens followed that up with a 49-13 blowout of the winless Bengals and a 41-7 annihilation of the AFC South-leading Texans, establishing themselves as the primary contender to the Patriots’ throne.

                            Jackson has become the MVP frontrunner this month, throwing for 608 yards and eight touchdowns without an interception while running for 205 more yards and three scores. He’ll be the AFC Player of the Month regardless of what happens here but will be looking to close out a second straight perfect month. The Ravens carry a six-game winning streak into Monday night (4-1-1 ATS), outscoring opponents 206-97. They last lost on Sept. 29, surrendering 40 points at home against the Browns after losing a 33-28 shootout in Kansas City.

                            Baltimore’s defense has gotten its act together and posted wins over Russell Wilson, Tom Brady and Deshaun Watson, so Jared Goff probably hasn’t had the unit too concerned this past week. Goff is coming off completing a season-low 11 passes in a 17-7 win over the Bears but gets back receivers Robert Woods and Brandin Cooks to try and test the Baltimore secondary. For a free pick on a prop, click here.

                            The Rams leaned on Gurley with the passing game an afterthought against the Bears, and opportunities could open up with the Ravens expected to be without DT Michael Pierce, but McVay’s preference for breaking a defense down via the pass and the fact the Ravens rank in the bottom 25 percent in the league in sacks could yield opportunities for Goff to take shots.

                            It remains to be seen how the presence of Aaron Donald affects Jackson since this rare matchup is highlighted by the game’s top interior lineman looking to disrupt an elusive dual-threat QB who is at the top of his game. Will Donald shutting down the middle allow the Rams to better help contain Jackson as he tries to break outside? Will being able to hit one of his tight ends or electric rookie “Hollywood” Brown help Jackson settle in and carve up a Rams’ defense that has looked sturdy?

                            Marcus Peters, traded by L.A. to Baltimore after one too many gambles, has been an asset in aiding the Ravens’ defensive resurgence. He’d just love to pick off Goff. Will McVay look to take advantage of his aggressiveness and bait him? You count on him trying at least a few times. A beautiful night awaits at the Coliseum as far as the weather is concerned, so that won’t interfere with either game plan.

                            TOTAL TALK

                            Oddsmakers sent out an opening total of 49 and the number has dropped to 46 ½ at most betting shops as of Monday morning. Baltimore enters this game with a 6-4 ‘over’ record while Los Angeles has seen the ‘under’ produce a 7-3 mark and that includes a run of five straight tickets to the low side.

                            Chris David offered up his thoughts on Monday’s number and his lean.

                            “This is one of those games where your opinion on the side will be correlated to your total wager. If you’re leaning to the Ravens to capture the win and cover, then an ‘over’ lean would be obvious based on trends we’ve seen from them,“ David said. “In five road games, Baltimore is averaging 38.4 PPG this season and that’s led to a 4-1 ‘over’ mark. As road favorites, that number jumps to an eye-opening 44.6 PPG albeit the results came against the Dolphins, Bengals and Steelers.

                            “The 5-0 ‘under’ for the Rams can be attributed to solid defensive play and a very inconsistent offense, which has been alarming for Los Angeles this season. After getting taxed for 55 and 30 points against the Buccaneers and Seahawks respectively in Week 4 and 5, the defensive unit has allowed 12.8 PPG in their last five games and just 9.0 PPG in three wins. Los Angeles has only won one game this season where it allowed 20 or more points and that came in Week 1. It’s easy to forget that the Rams have Wade Phillips as their defensive coordinator but he’s been a major asset this season.”

                            Baltimore has watched the ‘under’ go 2-0 this season versus NFC West opponents and going back to last season, the ‘under’ is 5-1 in non-conference games for the Ravens. The club will finish out their NFC slate next week at home against San Francisco.

                            Los Angeles is also on a 5-1 ‘under’ run in non-conference matchups and that includes a 3-0 record this season. The Rams have only allowed 13.3 PPG against the AFC North, which has resulted in a 2-1 record. The loss was a 17-12 decision at Pittsburgh in Week 10.

                            Even though Baltimore is the hottest team in the league, David believes the Ravens will get tested in this spot.

                            “This will be the second primetime game of the season for Baltimore and playing on the road is much different than at home. The Rams defense has been great against the run and I would expect them to load up the box and make Lamar Jackson beat them, which won’t be easy against a very good secondary,” said David. “The primetime games have been on a solid ‘under’ run and I believe the winner in this contest will have trouble scoring over 20 points. Along with the game going ‘under’ I would also lean to the Team Total ‘under’ on Baltimore (24) as well.”

                            LINE MOVEMENT

                            Baltimore Ravens
                            Projected season win total: 8.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
                            Odds to win AFC North (pre-Week 1/current): 4/1 to OTB (Clinched)
                            Odds to win AFC (pre-Week 1/current): 20/1 to 7/4
                            Odds to win Super Bowl (pre-Week 1/current): 40/1 to 9/2

                            Los Angeles Rams
                            Projected season win total: 10.5 (Over +120, Under -140)
                            Odds to win NFC West (pre-Week 1/current): 2/3 to 40/1
                            Odds to win NFC (pre-Week 1/current): 7/1 to 25/1
                            Odds to win Super Bowl (pre-Week 1/current): 14/1 to 50/1

                            ODDSMAKER'S TAKE

                            Caesars' Senior Oddsmaker Alan Berg provides insights from behind the counter.

                            "This one is pretty simple, really. The public loves Baltimore and sharps take any 3.5 that isn’t juiced." said Berg, whose poignant observations can be found on Twitter at @PercentBerg. Pros vs. Joes here.

                            INJURY CONCERNS

                            The Ravens likely won’t have Pierce but come in relatively healthy. Offensive tackle Ronnie Stanley and guard Ben Powers are expected to play after practicing on Saturday.

                            Woods has looked good in practice upon his return but the team hadn’t committed to him playing as of Monday morning. Cooks is a go as he returns from concussion protocol. L.A. will be without tackle Rob Havenstein due to a knee injury and will also be without DB Darious Williams but are relatively healthy as well.

                            ALL-TIME MEETINGS

                            (Ravens 4-2 SU, 3-2-1 ATS last 10, OVER 3-3)


                            11/22/15 Ravens 16-13 vs. Rams (BAL -2.5, 42)
                            9/25/11 Ravens 37-7 at Rams (BAL -6, 42)
                            10/14/07 Ravens 22-3 vs. Rams (BAL -9, 36.5)
                            11/9/03 Rams 33-22 vs. Ravens (STL -6.5, 42)
                            9/12/99 Rams 27-10 vs. Ravens (PK’em, 39)
                            10/27/96 Ravens 37-31 OT vs. Rams (BAL -6, 43)

                            NEXT WEEK'S NUMBERS POSTED

                            The Westgate opens its advance lines for the following week on Tuesdays and Week 13 numbers featured the Rams laying 3.5 points at Arizona on Sunday and the Ravens favored by 4.5 points at home against the 49ers in a potential Super Bowl preview.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                            • MONDAY, NOVEMBER 25
                              GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

                              BAL at LAR 08:15 PM

                              BAL -3.5

                              U 46.5
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                              • Lamar Jackson throws 5 TD passes, Ravens rout Rams 45-6
                                November 25, 2019


                                LOS ANGELES (AP) Lamar Jackson added another argument to his Most Valuable Player case in his â??Monday Night Footballâ?? debut, leading the fearsome Baltimore Ravens to another blowout win.

                                Jackson matched his career high with five touchdown passes and ran for 95 yards in another splendid all-around performance, and the Ravens routed the Los Angeles Rams 45-6 on Monday night for their seventh consecutive victory.

                                Mark Ingram rushed for 111 yards and a TD and caught a scoring pass while the Ravens (9-2) became the fourth team in the 21st century to score touchdowns on its first six drives in a game. With Jackson operating almost flawlessly at the controls, Baltimore embarrassed a previously solid Rams defense by racking up 480 yards with its evolving brand of high-octane football.

                                The Ravensâ?? 22-year-old quarterback went 15 for 20 for 169 yards while constantly making smart decisions with his arm and his feet. He hit Willie Snead with his fifth TD pass with 14:43 to play and took the rest of the night off.

                                Snead and Marquise Brown had two TD catches apiece for the Ravens, whose winning streak is their longest since they won seven straight to close the 2000 season on the way to their first Super Bowl title. At 9-2, the Ravens have matched their best start since 2012, which ended in their second Super Bowl championship. Baltimore has outscored its last three opponents 135-26.

                                Jared Goff passed for 212 yards with two interceptions and Todd Gurley rushed for just 22 for the defending NFC champion Rams (6-5), who took the worst loss of their three seasons under coach Sean McVay.

                                Los Angeles hadnâ??t lost by more than 21 points in its first 43 games under McVay, whose once-prolific offense had another embarrassing performance with just 111 yards in the first three quarters before finishing with 221. The Rams failed to score a touchdown for the second time in three games.

                                In the Coliseumâ??s first Monday night game since the Ramsâ?? epic 54-51 win over Kansas City last November, the Rams gave up one more point than they had allowed in their previous four games combined. The Rams also were among the NFLâ??s best offensive teams for the previous two seasons, but theyâ??ve lost that status this year while Baltimore has ascended to dominance.

                                The Ravens scored on their opening drive for the seventh time already this season when Jackson lofted an easy TD pass to Brown, who spent a year playing community college ball in nearby Santa Clarita. Brown got his second TD from 18 yards out on Baltimoreâ??s second drive, and Ingram capped a 75-yard march with an 11-yard TD run on the third.

                                Baltimore got the ball back with only 1:55 left in the first half, but that was plenty for Jackson, who went 9 for 9 in the first half. He hit Snead with a 7-yard TD pass with 12 seconds left, and Rams fans booed their team off the field down 28-6.

                                Baltimore opened the second half with another 75-yard drive capped by Ingramâ??s TD catch. The Ravens held the ball for all but 59 seconds of the third quarter, and Snead made his second TD catch early in the fourth.

                                The Ravens finally had to punt in the fourth quarter, ending a streak of 18 consecutive drives without a punt.

                                LA REUNION

                                Baltimore cornerback Marcus Peters made an interception in the fourth quarter to cap his first meeting with the Rams since they traded him to the Ravens last month. Peters shook hands with dozens of former teammates throughout the night, but he also engaged in some demonstrative trash talking with Robert Woods on the field, and he celebrated his pick with relish.

                                INJURED

                                Ravens: C Matt Skura was taken off the field on a cart in the first quarter with a knee injury. He didnâ??t return.

                                Rams: Brandin Cooks had two catches for 32 yards in his return from a two-game absence with his second concussion of the season.

                                UP NEXT

                                Ravens: Host the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday.

                                Rams: Visit the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday.
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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