Da bum's 2019 nfl season's best bets- opinions-news-trends thru the superbowl !

[StarDust Bum]

Steelers overcome slow start, drop winless Dolphins 27-14
October 28, 2019

PITTSBURGH (AP) The Pittsburgh Steelers stopped beating themselves long enough to keep the Miami Dolphins winless.

James Conner ran for 145 yards and a touchdown, and Mason Rudolph overcame a shaky start to throw for 251 yards and two scores as the Steelers pulled away for a 27-14 victory on Monday night.

Pittsburgh (3-4) spotted the Dolphins (0-7) a 14-point first quarter lead before steadying itself to win consecutive games for the first time since ripping off six straight in the middle of last season. Steelers safety Minkah Fitzpatrick, acquired in a trade with Miami last month, picked off Dolphins quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick twice, and Pittsburgh forced four turnovers in all to avoid an embarrassing loss that would have effectively ended the competitive portion of its season.

Rudolph completed 20 of 36 passes, including a 45-yard touchdown to rookie Diontae Johnson late in the second quarter and a 26-yard strike to JuJu Smith-Schuster in the third quarter that put the Steelers in control. Smith-Schuster caught five passes for 103 yards, his first 100-yard game of the year.

Ryan Fitzpatrick passed for 190 yards with two touchdowns and two picks, but a rare hot start couldn't prevent Miami from staying winless through seven games for the first time since 2011. The Dolphins have dropped 10 straight dating back to last season.

Rudolph stressed he wasn't worried about the long-term effects of a frightening concussion he suffered against Baltimore on Oct. 6, when he was knocked unconscious from a helmet-to-helmet hit by Ravens safety Earl Thomas. Still, playing for the first time in three weeks, he looked shaky at best and completely out of sorts at worst during an ugly opening quarter that saw the Dolphins grab their first two-touchdown lead over any opponent in more than a year.

Pittsburgh's first possession ended with Rudolph throwing a pick to Xavien Howard - back in the lineup after missing two games with a knee injury - and its second ended with an ugly fourth-down misfire by Rudolph.

The Dolphins, in the midst of a massive and ceaseless roster overhaul under first-year coach Brian Flores that included trading running back Kenyan Drake to Arizona on Monday for a conditional sixth-round pick in next year's draft, showed their first extended signs of life in an already lost season.

Fitzpatrick found Albert Wilson for a 5-yard touchdown after Howard's interception, and Allen Hurns plowed through several tackles on his way to a 12-yard score that gave Miami - a 14-point underdog - a 14-point advantage for the first time since Oct. 7, 2018. The Dolphins couldn't hold on then, allowing the Bengals to rally for a victory. A year later, not much has changed.

The Steelers pulled within 14-10 at the break thanks to the first of Minkah Fitzpatrick's two interceptions and some curious defensive play-calling by the Dolphins.

Leading by 11 points and with Pittsburgh facing third-and-20 outside of field goal range, Miami opted to blitz and didn't bother to guard Johnson, who took a short pass from Rudolph and used a couple of downfield blocks by James Washington to weave his way 45 yards to the end zone.

Fitzpatrick's second pick - basically an arm punt by Ryan Fitzpatrick - gave the Steelers the ball at Pittsburgh 3. Rudolph then led Pittsburgh 97 yards in 12 plays, the last 26 coming on a pretty lob to the end zone that Smith-Schuster hauled in to put the Steelers up 17-14. Pittsburgh stopped Fitzpatrick on a fourth-down scramble on Miami's ensuing possession - a stop made possible by coach Mike Tomlin's first successful officiating challenge since 2017 - and five plays later, Conner bulled over from 9 yards out to boost Pittsburgh's lead to 10.

INJURIES

Dolphins: Howard's return was brief. He left in the second half after aggravating his knee injury. ... CB Ken Webster left with an ankle injury in the first half and did not return.

Steelers: Conner left in the fourth quarter with an upper-body injury. ... Ramon Foster (concussion) exited with a concussion in the first half and did not return. ... RB Benny Snell left with an ankle injury in the third quarter.

UP NEXT

Dolphins: Welcome the New York Jets (1-6) next Sunday. Miami swept the Jets last season.

Steelers: Host Indianapolis (5-2) next Sunday. Pittsburgh has won each of its last five meetings with the Colts.

[StarDust Bum]

WEEK 9

Thursday, October 31, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
8:20 PM San Francisco 49ers Arizona Cardinals

Sunday, November 3, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
9:30 AM Houston Texans Jacksonville Jaguars
1:00 PM Washington Redskins Buffalo Bills
1:00 PM Tennessee Titans Carolina Panthers
1:00 PM Minnesota Vikings Kansas City Chiefs
1:00 PM New York Jets Miami Dolphins
1:00 PM Chicago Bears Philadelphia Eagles
1:00 PM Indianapolis Colts Pittsburgh Steelers
4:05 PM Detroit Lions Oakland Raiders
4:05 PM Tampa Bay Buccaneers Seattle Seahawks
4:25 PM Cleveland Browns Denver Broncos
4:25 PM Green Bay Packers Los Angeles Chargers
8:20 PM New England Patriots Baltimore Ravens

Monday, November 4, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
8:15 PM Dallas Cowboys New York Giants


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NFL SEPT./ OCTOBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


10/28/2019.......1-1-0..........50.00%..............-0.50
10/27/2019.....14-9-0..........60.87%.............+20.50
10/24/2019.......1-1-0..........50.00%..............-0.50
10/21/2019.......1-1-0..........50.00%..............-0.50
10/20/2019.....13-8-1...........61.90%............+21.00
10/17/2019.......1-1-0...........50.00% .............-0.50
10/14/2019.......2-0-0.........100.00%.............+10.00
10/13/2019...11-11-0...........50.00%...............-5.50
10/10/2019.......0-2-0............0.00%..............-11.00
10/07/2019.......2-0-0..........100.00%............+10.00
10/06/2019....11-11-0...........50.00%...............-5.50
10/03/2019.......1-1-0............50.00%...............-0.50
09/30/2019.......2-0-0..........100.00%.............+10.00
09/29/2019.....8-14-0............36.36%..............-37.00
09/26/2019.......1-1-0............50.00%...............-0.50
09/23/2019.......1-1-0............50.00%...............-0.50
09/22/2019....14-12-1............53.85%.............+4.00
09/19/2019.......0-2-0..............0.00%.............-11.00
09/16/2019.......1-1-0.............50.00%..............-0.50
09/15/2019....15-11-1.............57.69%............+14.50
09/12/2019.......1-1-0.............50.00%............-0.50
09/09/2019.......3-1-0.............75.00%.............+9.50
09/08/2019.....16-10-0............61.54%............+25.00
09/05/2019..... 1-1-0............. 50.00%............ -0.50

Totals............107-92-1.......... 53.76%........... +29.00


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BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS.............UNITS. ............O/U...............UNITS.............TOTALS


10/28/2019.............1 - 0..........+5.00..................0 - 1...........-5.50.............-0.50
10/27/2019.............6 - 4..........+8.00..................4 - 4...........-2.00.............+6.00
10/24/2019.............0 - 1...........-5.50..................1 - 0...........+5.00............-0.50
10/21/2019.............1 - 1...........-5.50..................1 - 0...........+5.00............-0.50
10/20/2019.............8 - 4..........+18.00................5 - 5............-2.50............+15.50
10/17/2019.............0 - 1...........-5.50..................1 - 0............+5.00............-0.50
10/14/2019.............1 - 0...........+5.00.................1 - 0............+5.00.............+10.00
10/13/2019.............6 - 5...........+2.50.................5 - 6.............-3.00.............-0.50
10/10/2019.............0 - 1............-5.50.................0 - 1.............-5.50.............-11.00
10/07/2019.............1 - 0...........+5.00.................1 - 0.............+5.00............+10.00
10/06/2019.............5 - 7...........-13.50................6 - 4..............+8.00.............-5.50
10/03/2019.............1 - 0...........+5.00.................0 - 1..............-5.50..............-0.50
09/30/2019.............1 - 0...........+5.00.................1 - 0.............+5.00.............+10.00
09/29/2019.............5 - 8...........-19.00................3 - 6..............-18.00............-37.00
09/26/2019.............0 - 1............-5.50.................1 - 0..............+5.00.............-0.50
09/22/2019.............6 - 5............+8.00................4 - 7..............-18.50............-10.50
09/19/2019.............0 - 1............-5.50.................0 - 1..............-5.50..............-11.00
09/16/2019.............0 - 0........... +0.00................1 - 0..............+5.00.............+5.00
09/15/2019.............6 - 4............+8.00................7 - 4..............+13.00...........+21.00
09/12/2019.............1 - 0............+5.00................0 - 1..............-5.50...............-0.50
09/09/2019.............1 - 1.............-0.50................2 - 0..............+10.00............+9.50
09/08/2019.............6 - 5............+2.50................8 - 3..............+23.50...........+26.00
09/05/2019.............0 - 1.............-5.50................1 - 0..............+5.00..............-0.50

Totals..................54 - 51............-5.00................52 - 41 ..........+38.50............+33.50

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s 6-pack

college basketball coaches:

— Mike Krzyzewski, Duke $8.98M/year

— John Calipari, Kentucky $8.04M

— Mick Cronin, UCLA $5.5M

— Rick Barnes, Tennessee $4.7M

— Bill Self, Kansas $4.48M

— Chris Beard, Texas Tech $4.2M

Quote of the Day
“That’s the worst offense I’ve ever seen. He (Malzahn) has no idea how to throw the football. Zero. Zero. All he does is scream at the players. He has no idea how to throw the football. He has no passing game.”
Former NFL GM Mike Lombardi, talking about Auburn coach Gus Malzahn, who is 59-29 at Auburn, 31-22 in SEC games

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was the Miami Dolphins’ coach last time they made the playoffs?

Monday’s quiz
Before moving to Washington, the Nationals called Montreal home; they were known as the Expos.

Last Tuesday’s quiz
Lamar Jackson played his college football at Louisville.

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Tuesday’s List of 13: Glad to be back……

13) Here is a pro tip if you’re having surgery; go to the right bleepin’ hospital.

Thats right, I show up 20 minutes early for my operation last Tuesday, but turns out I’m at Albany Medical Center when I’m supposed to be at Albany Memorial Hospital, which according to Mapquest, is 2.6 miles away. Not good, but we got there and the staff at Memorial couldn’t have been nicer.

12) Backtracking a little bit, couple of Saturdays ago I’m sitting in the sportsbook at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, watching college football and talking with a buddy, when the vision in my right eye became foggy. Had no idea what the problem was, but it didn’t get better, and after flying home that Tuesday, it got way worse. Turns out the retina in my right eye had detached.

On October 22 (the 47th anniversary of the Oakland A’s first World Series title), I had my right eye operated on, and now I wait and hope it bounces back to where it was. In the meantime, I’d like to thank anyone who sent a text, e-mail or called to offer help/best wishes. Much appreciated.

— Thanks to Dr Mallick, who was my eye surgeon; appreciate you answering all my questions, and obviously, thanks a lot for putting my eye back together. Thanks isn’t really enough to say, but I really appreciate your work.

11) Part of rehabbing your re-attached retina is having your head pointed down a lot, so I’m listening to TV more than watching it; two observations:

a) Joe Buck is very good at baseball play-by-play.
b) 86-year old Hubie Brown is still great fun to listen to on NBA games.

10) When Washington Nationals’ OF Juan Soto was 10 years old, he played on an all-star team in the Dominican Republic that was coached by Robinson Cano’s father.

9) Since the start of last season, 56.4% of NBA players have changed teams, an amazing stat. NBA is the only league where the preseason is more interesting than the regular season.

8) A friend of mine here in Albany is opening a bar/golf simulator soon in Guilderland, out on Route 20 by Western Turnpike golf course. It is going to be called The Bunker, and once I get out and about more, I’ll give you an in-person report, but it sounds like an excellent place to hang out and have fun with friends.

7) Major league managerial hirings:
— Cubs hired David Ross, who was an active player only three years ago.
— Phillies hired Joe Girardi, an excellent hire.
— Angels announced hiring of Joe Maddon; he worked for the Halos for 30 years before he became a big league skipper in Tampa Bay.
— Maddon hired former Mets’ skipper Mickey Callaway as his pitching coach.
— Padres hired 38-year old Jayce Tingler, who worked for years in the Texas Rangers’ system.

6) Last Wednesday, the first full night of NBA games, 22 Kentucky alums played and first thing Thursday morning, John Calipari posted all their stats on Twitter. Effective recruiting tool.

5) NFL knowledge:
— Denver QB Joe Flacco (neck) is out for this week’s game with Cleveland. Brandon Allen is the new starter; he has never taken an NFL snap. Allen started for 2.5 years at Arkansas, where the Hogs went 15-11 his junior/senior seasons.
— Chargers fired OC Ken Whisenhunt Monday night.
— Texans’ star DE JJ Watt is done for the season (torn pectoral muscle).

4) From ESPN stats: New Jersey Jets are first NFL team since the ’91 Colts who, through seven games, have fewer than 450 yards rushing, while giving up 200+ yards in sacks.

3) Of the 64 teams who trailed a World Series 3-2, 20 of them came back to win the Series.

2) Good news/bad news after my eye surgery:
Bad news: Had to cancel my annual Christmas trip to Las Vegas; can’t fly for a couple months after the surgery. I’ll survive, but I’ve enjoyed spending my birthday/Christmas in the desert.

Good news: Looking like a March trip instead; second weekend of NCAA tournament, and first week of baseball season.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday’s 6-pack

Six interesting college football games this week:

— Oregon -5 at USC

— Kansas State -5.5 at Kansas

— SMU at Memphis -5.5

— Georgia -6.5 vs Florida

— TCU @ Oklahoma State -3

— Miami @ Florida State -3.5

Quote of the Day
“…….Yet Irving’s infamous mood swings, confirmed by his ex-teammates, which followed him from Cleveland to Boston to Brooklyn, are the unspoken concern that makes Nets officials queasy. When Irving lapses into these funks, he often shuts down, unwilling to communicate with the coaching staff, front office and sometimes, even his teammates.”
From ESPN…….Nets are paying Irving $136M the next four years. Oy.

Wednesday’s quiz
Who was the Miami Dolphins’ coach last time they won a playoff game?

Tuesday’s quiz
Adam Gase was the Miami Dolphins’ coach last time they made the playoffs, in 2016.

Monday’s quiz
Before moving to Washington, the Nationals called Montreal home; they were known as the Expos


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Wednesday’s List of 13: Wrapping up last Saturday’s college football

13) Kansas State 48, Oklahoma 41— Wildcats scored on eight consecutive possessions in this massive upset; K-State had perfect balance; 213 passing yards, 213 rushing yards, as they scrambled the national playoff picture.

I’m guessing Saturday night was a fun one in the Little Apple.

12) LSU 23, Auburn 20— I’ve mentioned this a couple times, but Joe Burrow used to be the #3 QB at Ohio State— imagine ac college team having that much talent in their QB room?

Several years ago, I read a book called Meat Market, about recruiting in bigtime college football; it revolves around Ed Orgeron when he was head coach at Ole Miss. After reading that book, I wouldn’t have hired Orgeron as anything other than a defensive line coach/recruiter, but have to give him credit, he somehow got the LSU job and is running with it, primarily by giving up control of the offense to a 20-something who came in from the NFL’s Saints.

11) Minnesota 52, Maryland 10— Golden Gophers are 8-0 for first time since 1941; they’ve got a two-game lead in the Big 14 West.

10) Penn State 28, Michigan State 7— Spartans covered only once in their last 12 home games. Penn State is 8-0; they visit 8-0 Minnesota next week.

9) Kansas 37, Texas Tech 34— Never saw this before; Tech blocked the go-ahead FG with 0:13 left, but a Tech player lateraled the ball to a teammate, it was fumbled, and Kansas recovered with 0:02 left, where they kicked the game-winning FG, as Les Miles won his first Big X game with the Jayhawks.

8) Toledo 37, Eastern Michigan 34 (OT)— Bad beat for EMU (+2.5) backers; Eagles came into the game on a 19-5-1 ATS run as an underdog, but lost by half a point here.

7) Upsets:
Kansas State (+23.5) 48, Oklahoma 41
Colorado State (+14) 41, Fesno State 31
Oklahoma State (+10.5) 34, Iowa State 27
Kentucky (+10) 29, Missouri 7
San Jose State (+9.5) 34, Army 29
Illinois (+9.5) 24, Purdue 6
Rutgers (+7.5) 44, Liberty 34

6) Charlotte 39, North Texas 38— 49ers scored on a 34-yard pass play with 0:18 left, rallying back from a 35-21 4th quarter deficit. Total yardage was 589-539, Charlotte.

5) USC 35, Colorado 31- Trojans, Stanford and Cal are three Pac-12 teams that’ve all started three different QB’s this year, and before Halloween. Trojans trailed this game 31-21 after three quarters but rallied to improve to 5-3, 4-1 in Pac-12 tilts.

4) Oregon 37, Washington State 35— Ducks kicked FG at the gun for the win, giving Wazzu its fourth loss in five games, despite scoring 34+ points in three of the four losses. Oregon blew a 31-20 foutth quarter lead before pulling the game out at the end.

3) Kind of a funny moment in the Washington State-Oregon telecast Saturday night; Wazzu had the ball on its own 5-yard line, 3rd-and-25, with 2:00 left in first half, up 10-9. Analyst Brian Griese was preaching a conservative (draw play, punt) approach, while the play-by-play guy said they should throw and try and move the chains.

They threw the ball alright, and threw a pick-6. You could almost hear Griese smirking.

2) Navy 41, Tulane 38— Middies blew a 31-14 halftime lead, then kicked a 48-yard FG at the gun to send everyone home happy. Navy ran the ball for 385 yards, which usually means a win.

1) Memphis 42, Tulsa 41— Golden Hurricane missed a 29-yard field goal at the gun; sometimes its better to be lucky than good. 7-1 Memphis plays unbeaten SMU this week.

[StarDust Bum]

Betting Recap - Week 8
Joe Williams

National Football League Week 8 Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 12-2
Against the Spread 7-7

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 11-3
Against the Spread 6-8

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 6-8

National Football League Year-to-Date Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 75-41-1
Against the Spread 50-65-2

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 56-60-1
Against the Spread 43-72-2

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 55-61-1

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Chargers (+3.5, ML +165) at Bears, 17-16

The largest favorite to cover
Saints (-12.5) vs. Cardinals, 31-9
Rams (-11.5) vs. Bengals (London), 24-10
Patriots (-10) vs. Browns, 27-13
Jaguars (-7) vs. Jets, 29-15
Packers (-5.5) at Chiefs, 31-24
49ers (-4) vs. Panthers, 51-13

Razor Thin Margin

-- The Los Angeles Chargers (+3.5, ML +165) finally won one of those close games, taking advantage of the kicking woes of the Chicago Bears, 17-16. PK Eddy Pineiro was the hero earlier this season, sinking the Denver Broncos on a kick at the buzzer in the Mile High City. The Bears thought they had found their guy after years of ugly kicking performances, lowlighted by the playoff meltdown of Cody Parkey.

The Bolts have had their shortcomings, too, especially in close games. It's cliche' to say it, but football, in particular professional football, really is a game of inches. The Chargers found that out last week when they were stuffed at the 1-yard line, fumbling away a win on the road against the Tennessee Titans, much to the dismay of Chargers bettors holding a +2 ticket. The week before they were beaten by one score by an undrafted rookie QB. The week before that, they lost by one score. In Week 3, they lost by one score. In Week 2, they lost by a field goal. In week 1, they won in overtime by one score. Unfortunately for the Bolts, they won just two of the first seven games, so they really needed this, and they were facing a team in the exact same boat. They finally found an opponent with worse luck they they have.

For the Chargers, not only are close games inevitable, but low-scoring games are inevitable, too. The 'under' is 6-1 across the past seven, and last week's 'over' hit by just a half-point, although they should have had a touchdown in the closing moments.

London Fog

-- The Los Angeles Rams (-11.5) weren't feeling sorry for the Cincinnati Bengals, and they weren't about to play down to the competition. They won and cover 24-10, although the offense was a bit sluggish at times. Still, the defense showed up and kept the Bengals winless at 0-8. Cincinnati hits the halfway point with a goose egg in the win column while allowing 21 or more points in each game. They're just 3-5 ATS, failing to cover in back-to-back games all season. The 'under' is also 5-2-1 so far for Cincinnati, who will join the Rams in a bye in Week 9 after the trip back overseas.

Total Recall

-- The highest total on the board was the Oakland Raiders-Houston Texans (52.5) battle, and it was a close call. One decision might have changed everything. Down 21-13, the Texans scored a touchdown early in the fourth quarter. Instead of going for two, head coach Bill O'Brien elected to kick the extra point. With plenty of time on the clock, it was probably the correct decision, but for bettors it changes things. Perhaps it didn't. We'll never know now. The game ended up 27-24, and just 'under'.

The second-highest total was the New York Giants-Detroit Lions (49.5) battle, and if you were holding a Lions (-6) ticket, it was a bad beat. RB Saquon Barkley gave Giants bettors (+6) and fantasy owners a gift touchdown with 1:19 to go in regulation, needing an onside kick for a chance at a win. That didn't happen, as it hardly ever does now, but the game was already well 'over' before that late score.

The next highest totals were the Seattle Seahawks-Atlanta Falcons (49) and Arizona Cardinals-New Orleans Saints (48.5) games. The Falcons were driving down the field, down 27-17, and needing two scores late, they elected to take the field goal first, then try to get the onside kick (again, you know how that works out) and go get the touchdown. 'Over' bettors, and those holding Seattle (-7.5) tickets were screaming "NO!!!" in unison, but a PK Matt Bryant field goal was made and the onside kick wasn't...

In the Saints game, people were concerned that QB Drew Brees (thumb) returning for the first time since Week 2 would upset things, maybe make the offense a bit rusty. He was just fine. It was the Cardinals who looked like they've been off for weeks after the 31-9 loss.

-- On the flip side, the lowest total on the board was the Philadelphia Eagles-Buffalo Bills (39) game. Buffalo was the last team to see an 'over' result, hitting the 'under' in each of their first five. Now, they're on an 'over' streak in the past two outings. The New York Jets-Jacksonville Jaguars (40) game also went over by four points, and in the Carolina Panthers-San Francisco 49ers (40.5) game saw the over taken care of by the home team all by themselves, 51-13.

-- The 'over/under' split 1-1 in the first two primetime games of Week 8, with the Monday Night Football contest between the Miami Dolphins-Pittsburgh Steelers (43) stiil to be played. The 'over' is just 6-18 (25.0%) during the 2019 primetime schedule, a stark change from previous seasons when the games under the lights were high-scoring affairs. The 'under' was a perfect 8-0 for Sunday Night Football this season, but the Green Bay Packers-Kansas City Chiefs (48) game finally was a SNF game with an over - barely - 31-24.

Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Injury Report

-- There was really only one 'major' injury, but it's a big one for a contender. Texans DE J.J. Watt (pectoral) left Sunday's game against the Raiders, and he immediately went to the hospital. He tweeted out Sunday night indicating his season is over, and sources said has a torn pec. Not good.

Looking Ahead

-- The unbeaten 49ers hit the road to face the Cardinals on Thursday Night Football. Will we get a trick or a treat on Halloween night? The 49ers have covered five of their past seven, but they're just 2-5 ATS in the past seven inside the division. They open as more than a touchdown favorite. For the Cards, they're just 2-5 ATS in the past seven at home, and 2-6-1 ATS in the past nine appearances on TNF. Arizona is also 4-9 ATS in the past 13 tries at home against San Francisco.

-- The Watt-less Texans will travel to meet the Jaguars overseas in London. The 'over' is 2-1 in the three previous London games so far, with the Week 8 Bengals-Rams battle at Wembley Stadium going under. The Texans are 1-4 ATS in the past five inside the AFC South, while the Jags are 1-3-1 ATS in the past five against teams with a winning record. The underdog has connected in 10 of the past 14 meetings in this series.

-- The Jets and Dolphins will meet in South Florida, and the one-win Jets will be looking to keep the Fins winless. The Jets lost and failed to cover in NE Florida in Week 8 in the heat and humidity in Jacksonville, and they're just 3-7 ATS in the past 10 road games. New York is also 2-8 ATS in the past 10 AFC East battles, including their 33-0 whitewashing against the Patriots last Monday night. The Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their past five at home, though, and 2-7 ATS in the past nine overall. In this series, the Jets are 15-5-1 ATS in the past 21 trips to Miami, so that's probably the way to go.

-- In the fourth and final divisional game on the schedule we get the Cowboys and Giants squaring off on Monday Night Football. Dallas has an impressive 13-3 ATS mark in the past 16 games inside the NFC East, but they're just 4-10 ATS in the past 14 appearances on MNF. The G-Men are 1-5 ATS in the past six at home, and 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning teams. However, Dallas is 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings, and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the past five in this series.

[StarDust Bum]

Close Calls - Week 8
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread or total in the fourth quarter last week in Week 8 of the NFL regular season. Most of this week’s games apply as if you won in Week 8 on sides, congratulations, almost every game could have gone the other way with many of those games certainly deserving of an opposite spread result.

Minnesota Vikings (-17) 19, Washington Redskins 9 (41½): There were eight scoring plays on Thursday night, but seven were field goals as Minnesota posted more than twice as many yards but couldn’t pull away. Washington trailed by just seven late in the third quarter and got the ball back with a stop on 4th-and-1 just outside of Minnesota field goal range. Two plays later, Dwayne Haskins was intercepted to set-up a Dan Bailey field goal early in the fourth quarter to put Minnesota up by 10. A late touchdown would be enough for most Vikings backers on a spread that opened at -14½ and only hit -17 very late in the day before kickoff. The Vikings had the opportunity and attempted to score despite Washington being out of timeouts late, but ultimately wound up stopped on 4th-and-4 from the Washington 7-yard-line in the final minute.

Detroit Lions (-6) 31, New York Giants 26 (49): The Lions had a 14-0 lead early, but Detroit has made a habit of blowing leads this season. Sure enough the Giants scored the next two touchdowns, but missed a PAT to trail by one. The Lions would stretch the edge to four by halftime and led by five through three quarters after an exchange of touchdowns in the third with the Giants failing going for two. Detroit hit a big play early in the fourth quarter to lead by 12 before New York was stopped on downs on back-to-back possessions. Detroit would go backwards on both late possessions and getting the ball back just ahead of the two-minute warning, the Giants were a backdoor threat. A 25-yard pass interference call put New York in business and with 1:19 remaining the Giants found the end zone. Down six, New York matched the closing number and opted to kick the important PAT to lose by just five.

Tennessee Titans (-2) 27, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23 (45½): The Buccaneers have appealing numbers but the consistent turnovers stand out and they came to bite in this contest with Tampa Bay posting a 389-246 yardage edge in a narrow loss. The Titans led by two at halftime after the Buccaneers went for two after a score right before the break and came up short. The Buccaneers would get eight on an early third quarter score however to lead by six. Tennessee added a late third quarter field goal to trail by three, but forced a punt with Tampa Bay unwilling to go for it on 4th-and-1 in its own territory. The Titans then nearly doubled their offensive production for the game with a 12-play, 90-yard drive to deliver the go-ahead score, slipping past the slight favorite spread with 6:55 to go as well. Tampa Bay had three more possessions that ended in a fumble, failing on 4th-and-1 in Tennessee territory, and finally a deep pass from Jameis Winston intercepted at the Tennessee 25-yard-line.

Los Angeles Chargers (+3) 17, Chicago Bears 16 (41): The Bears commanded this game in the numbers, but settled for three first half field goals while the Chargers got a touchdown. The scoring mode flipped in the third quarter as the Bears were able to find the end zone and led 16-10 as a slight home favorite after a Chargers field goal late in the third quarter. Mitchell Trubisky fumbled in Chicago territory on the next possession and the Chargers were able to go 26 yards for a touchdown in three plays to lead by one. Chicago had a productive drive to reach the Los Angeles 37-yard-line, but Trubisky took a 3rd down sack and the Bears had to punt. The defense got the stop to give the Bears another chance and rather than taking a few shots to get a touchdown or get closer, the Bears took a knee in the final minute and watched Eddy Pinero miss left from 41 yards.

Seattle Seahawks (-7) 27, Atlanta Falcons 20 (48½): The closing line says seven but that wasn’t an overly common price on this game. Seattle opened at -3 and held at -3½ early in the week before number jumped with Matt Ryan ruled out. Seahawks -8 was typical over the weekend as results wound up varying on this game. Multiple outcomes didn’t seem possible as Seattle led 24-0 at halftime, but Matt Schaub would prove to be a productive backup getting the Falcons 11 points in the third quarter. A Seattle field goal with about six minutes left in the game made the lead 16 and seemed safe, but Atlanta went the distance in fewer than three minutes and suddenly was within 10, failing on a two-point conversion that mattered for many. In many ways that might have been a worse outcome for Seattle backers as with a two-score lead, the Seahawks could still relax and they punted back while taking just 27 seconds off the clock. Schaub and the Falcons managed the clock well and kicked a second down field goal without using a timeout to trail by seven while still leaving more than a minute on the clock, giving many late-week Falcons backers a win. The on-side kick went out of bounds to end any further threat as Seattle held on and the total that fell throughout the week stayed just ‘under’.

Jacksonville Jaguars (-7) 29, New York Jets 15 (40): Jacksonville dominated this game in most ways and led 22-7 after a late third quarter field goal. An early fourth quarter touchdown with a successful two-point conversion suddenly put the Jets down just seven to land even with the common weekend number though early in the week Jacksonville opened at -4½ and was -6 to -6½ for long stretches. The Jaguars gained 30 yards on the next possession but had to punt. Hopes for a New York comeback were short-lived however with a penalty, a negative rushing play, and an interception on three snaps for the Jets. On a short field, Jacksonville found the end zone on 3rd-and-goal to go up by 14. Sam Darnold was intercepted across midfield on the next possession for the Jets while another late series ended on downs.

Los Angeles Rams (-12) 24, Cincinnati Bengals 10 (48½): In London, the Rams got more they bargained for with the winless Bengals with a 10-10 tie late in the second quarter before a trick play gave Los Angeles a 65-yard touchdown. Out of halftime, the Rams added another touchdown to slip past the heavy favorite spread. The Bengals appeared ready to answer reaching the edge for field goal range before going backwards and needing to punt on 4th-and-long. Cincinnati held the Rams to four straight punts the rest of the game, but two late drives deep into Los Angeles territory came up empty with a field goal not being worth considering given the time and score. The Bengals couldn’t convert from the 6-yard-line with about five minutes remaining and on a late drive appeared to get the underdog cover with a touchdown with eight seconds to go. On review, the play was overturned and the Bengals came up incomplete on its last shot from inside the 10. Winning by 14 with only 24 points, Rams backers escaped with a very fortunate cover in a game where the Bengals had more than 400 total yards, but just 10 points.

New Orleans Saints (-12½) 31, Arizona Cardinals 9 (48): Arizona trailed New Orleans just 10-6 at halftime but opted to go for it on 4th-and-1 form its own 30 early in the third quarter. The aggressive play was commendable as Kliff Kingsbury is breaking the mold, but the move backfired with the Saints adding a short-field touchdown to go up 17-6 a few plays later. Arizona would add a field goal and through three quarters both teams had three scores, but Arizona had only field goals. Still down one score, Arizona couldn’t get a big third down stop early in the fourth quarter and the Saints went up by 15. About halfway through the final frame, the Cardinals reached the New Orleans 27-yard-line, but a field goal did no good at that point and 3rd-and-2 and 4th-and-2 attempts to extend the series were stopped. A deflated Cardinals defense gave up back-to-back big plays as the Saints put the game away with another touchdown with five minutes to go.

Houston Texans (-5½) 27, Oakland Raiders 24 (52): The total wound up with mixed results on this game landing right on 51 where the number sat for big chunks of the week. Oakland led this game 21-13 as a Houston win didn’t seem in play but the Texans scored in the first few seconds of the fourth quarter and just went for one to trail 21-20. The Raiders managed a field goal to go up by four before a wild sequence with Deshaun Watson delivering a go-ahead touchdown pass but appearing to be seriously injured. Up three, the Houston defense forced an Oakland punt and was a serious threat to steal the cover, but Oakland exhausted its timeouts and Houston with Watson still in the game, was ultimately able to take a knee well across midfield after the two-minute warning without needing to try to advance further or consider a late field goal.

New England Patriots (-10) 27, Cleveland Browns 13 (43): Double-digit spreads in the NFL are rarely out of play as while the Patriots were in complete control after 17-0 first quarter, a Browns cover lurked as a real possibility. Down 27-10, Cleveland went for it on 4th-and-16 deep in its own territory and went further backwards. Dealt a 14-yard field, the Patriots went backwards as well and missed on a 34-yard field goal with about four minutes remaining. A touchdown would have trimmed the margin to 10, but the Browns came up just short of a 1st down on a late series in New England territory and after a false start pushed it to 4th-and-6, they opted to kick a field goal to trail by 13. The Browns would get the ball back with about a minute to go and picked up a big gain with a pass interference call but a sack followed. With no timeouts left and the clock would run out a few plays later with the game staying just ‘under’ as well.

Green Bay Packers (-5) 31, Kansas City Chiefs 24 (48): A quick 14-0 lead for the Packers was erased in the second quarter as the Chiefs got a good performance from Matt Moore and the defense created some pressure. The Sunday night game was tied 17-17 through three quarters and 24-24 with nine minutes to go. The Packers scored on a 67-yard short pass and run from Aaron Jones to lead by seven but more than eight minutes remained. The Chiefs reached the 40-yard-line and opted to punt on 4th-and-3 with more than five minutes remaining and three timeouts left, a decision it isn’t clear they would make with Patrick Mahomes. Green Bay was able to covert a pair of third downs and run out the remaining clock for the win and narrow cover.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL Week 9 opening odds and early action: Patriots-Ravens quickly draws two-way play
Patrick Everson

Bill Belichick and Tom Brady have put together a 13-game win streak. New England opened -5 at Baltimore, the Ravens immediately got bet at +5 and +4.5, then New England drew a $31,045 wager.

NFL Week 9 is on deck, and the Sunday night game is already on the move. We check in on the opening odds and early action for that matchup and three others, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens (+5)

Defending Super Bowl champion New England hasn’t lost since the middle of last December, going 13-0 SU and 10-3 ATS. In Week 8, the Patriots (8-0 SU, 6-2 ATS) topped Cleveland 27-13 as 9.5-point favorites.

Baltimore leads the AFC North at 5-2 SU after winning its last three before a Week 8 bye. In Week 7, the Ravens (2-5 ATS) snapped a five-game spread-covering slide, knocking off Seattle 30-16 as 3-point road underdogs.

“We opened Patriots -5 and saw money come in on Baltimore at +5 and +4.5,” Murray told Covers on Sunday night. “Then we took a bet for $31,045 on the Patriots -4. The Ravens will be a huge-need game for the books everywhere next Sunday night, especially if the afternoon games are chalky.”

Minnesota Vikings at Kansas City Chiefs (no line)

Kansas City was without Patrick Mahomes in the Week 8 Sunday nighter, but Matt Moore and Co. gave Green Bay all it could handle. The Chiefs (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) scored 17 straight second-quarter points to erase a 14-0 first-quarter deficit and were in it the rest of the way, losing 31-24 as 5-point home ‘dogs.

Minnesota returns from its bye week looking to build on a four-game win streak. The Vikings (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) went off as hefty 16.5-point Week 7 home faves against Washington and managed a 19-9 victory, halting a three-game spread-covering streak.

With Mahomes’ Week 9 status unclear, The SuperBook held off on posting the opening number for this game. But Murray offered a little insight into where the line might land if Moore is still under center.

“It would depend a lot on the result of (the Sunday night) game and how K.C. and Moore look without Mahomes,” Murray said during the Packers-Chiefs tilt, in which Green Bay was a 5-point road chalk. “But Minnesota is considered slightly better than Green Bay, so it would be something close to what Packers-Chiefs was. Maybe a touch higher, unless K.C. wins, then a touch lower.”

That being the case, Murray said if Mahomes returns, the Chiefs will be short home favorites.

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals (+7.5)

San Francisco remained in elite company through eight weeks, sticking with New England as the only unbeaten outfits. The 49ers (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS) steamrolled Carolina 51-13 as 4.5-point favorites Sunday.

Arizona is better than expected this year, with a rookie coach and quarterback, but its three-game SU and ATS win streak ended in Week 8. The Cardinals went to New Orleans as 12.5-point pups and were dealt a 31-9 setback.

“We opened 49ers -7.5 and are still there,” Murray said. “Arizona will be one of the biggest needs of the week for us in the NFL. A ton of moneyline parlay and teaser wagers will start with the 49ers.”

Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5)

Philadelphia got a much-needed Week 8 win, snapping a two-game skid to get back to .500. The Eagles (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS) shuffled over Buffalo 31-13 laying 1 point on the road Sunday.

Chicago looks little like the squad that last season went 12-4 SU and ATS, leading the league in spread-covers. The Bears (3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS) held a 16-7 third-quarter advantage against the Los Angeles Chargers, but didn’t score again in a 17-16 loss laying 3.5 points at home Sunday.

“We opened Eagles -4.5 and have been bet up to -5,” Murray said. “It’s hard to imagine people wanting to bet on Chicago right now.”

[StarDust Bum]

301SAN FRANCISCO -302 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) versus excellent defensive teams - allowing <=260 yards/game since 1992.

451HOUSTON -452 JACKSONVILLE
HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

451HOUSTON -452 JACKSONVILLE
JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game in the last 3 seasons.

453WASHINGTON -454 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 56-31 ATS (21.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.

455TENNESSEE -456 CAROLINA
TENNESSEE is 15-34 ATS (-22.4 Units) in road games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992.

457CHICAGO -458 PHILADELPHIA
CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in the 2nd half of the season in the last 2 seasons.

457CHICAGO -458 PHILADELPHIA
Matt Nagy is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in the 2nd half of the season (Coach of CHICAGO)

459MINNESOTA -460 KANSAS CITY
MINNESOTA is 26-11 ATS (13.9 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=375 yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992.

461NY JETS -462 MIAMI
NY JETS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game in the last 3 seasons.

463INDIANAPOLIS -464 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 67-37 ATS (26.3 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game since 1992.

465DETROIT -466 OAKLAND
DETROIT is 5-21 ATS (-18.1 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.

467TAMPA BAY -468 SEATTLE
SEATTLE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread in the last 2 seasons.

467TAMPA BAY -468 SEATTLE
TAMPA BAY is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 2 straight overs in the last 2 seasons.

469CLEVELAND -470 DENVER
CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return in the last 3 seasons.

471GREEN BAY -472 LA CHARGERS
LA CHARGERS are 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. since 1992.

473NEW ENGLAND -474 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after playing their last game on the road in the last 2 seasons.

475DALLAS -476 NY GIANTS
DALLAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games in the last 3 seasons.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 9

Thursday, October 31

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SAN FRANCISCO (7 - 0) at ARIZONA (3 - 4 - 1) - 10/31/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 4-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, November 3

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HOUSTON (5 - 3) at JACKSONVILLE (4 - 4) - 11/3/2019, 9:30 AM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (1 - 7) at BUFFALO (5 - 2) - 11/3/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TENNESSEE (4 - 4) at CAROLINA (4 - 3) - 11/3/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against NFC South division opponents since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 55-29 ATS (+23.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CHICAGO (3 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 4) - 11/3/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 54-80 ATS (-34.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CHICAGO is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (6 - 2) at KANSAS CITY (5 - 3) - 11/3/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY JETS (1 - 6) at MIAMI (0 - 6) - 11/3/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 76-103 ATS (-37.3 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
MIAMI is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
MIAMI is 60-86 ATS (-34.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANAPOLIS (5 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (2 - 4) - 11/3/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 82-55 ATS (+21.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 73-44 ATS (+24.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (3 - 3 - 1) at OAKLAND (3 - 4) - 11/3/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 53-85 ATS (-40.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 81-109 ATS (-38.9 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 81-109 ATS (-38.9 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 81-109 ATS (-38.9 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TAMPA BAY (2 - 5) at SEATTLE (6 - 2) - 11/3/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 65-40 ATS (+21.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CLEVELAND (2 - 5) at DENVER (2 - 6) - 11/3/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
DENVER is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 63-89 ATS (-34.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (7 - 1) at LA CHARGERS (3 - 5) - 11/3/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 197-141 ATS (+41.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
LA CHARGERS is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ENGLAND (8 - 0) at BALTIMORE (5 - 2) - 11/3/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 128-95 ATS (+23.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 128-95 ATS (+23.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 206-148 ATS (+43.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 198-148 ATS (+35.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 120-89 ATS (+22.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 128-88 ATS (+31.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, November 4

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DALLAS (4 - 3) at NY GIANTS (2 - 6) - 11/4/2019, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 39-64 ATS (-31.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NFL

Week 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Thursday, October 31

Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Arizona is 3-8-1 SU in its last 12 games
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Arizona is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Arizona is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing San Francisco
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Arizona is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
San Francisco is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Arizona
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Arizona
San Francisco is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Arizona
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona


Sunday, November 3

Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games
Jacksonville is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Jacksonville is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 9 games at home
Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Jacksonville is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing Houston
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
Houston Texans
Houston is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
Houston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Houston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville

Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Kansas City's last 16 games
Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Kansas City

Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Buffalo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games
Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Buffalo's last 25 games at home
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Washington Redskins
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Washington is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Carolina is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Tennessee Titans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Carolina

Miami Dolphins
Miami is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
Miami is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Miami is 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 games when playing at home against NY Jets
New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games
NY Jets is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
NY Jets is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
NY Jets is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games on the road
NY Jets is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
NY Jets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
NY Jets is 15-5-1 ATS in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Miami

Philadelphia Eagles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Philadelphia's last 16 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
Chicago Bears
Chicago is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Chicago is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chicago's last 12 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

Pittsburgh Steelers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Pittsburgh is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Pittsburgh is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Indianapolis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Indianapolis is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Indianapolis is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 4-7-1 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Oakland

Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Seattle's last 17 games
Seattle is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Seattle is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games at home
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle's last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 7-11-3 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Tampa Bay's last 21 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games when playing Seattle
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle

Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
LA Chargers is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
LA Chargers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 7 games
LA Chargers is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Chargers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games at home
LA Chargers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
LA Chargers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Green Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games
Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Green Bay is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Green Bay's last 23 games on the road
Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Chargers
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing LA Chargers

Denver Broncos
Denver is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Denver is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Denver's last 17 games
Denver is 5-11-1 ATS in its last 17 games at home
Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 11 games at home
Denver is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Cleveland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Denver
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver

Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
Baltimore is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games at home
Baltimore is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing at home against New England
New England Patriots
New England is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 5 games on the road
New England is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore


Monday, November 4

New York Giants
NY Giants is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
NY Giants is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
NY Giants is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
NY Giants is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games at home
NY Giants is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 14 of NY Giants's last 21 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games when playing Dallas
NY Giants is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Dallas's last 16 games on the road
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Dallas's last 21 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing NY Giants
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Giants

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9

49ers (7-0) @ Cardinals (3-4-1)— Unbeaten 49ers have five wins by 13+ points; they’ve held last five opponents to 100 or fewer passing yards, outscoring them 56-10 in 2nd half. SF is 4-0 on road, winning by 14-24-13-9 points; four of their last five games stayed under total. In last five games, 49ers won field position by average of 9.8 yds/game- they’re 32 of last 70 on third down. Arizona won three of last four games; they’re 1-2-1 SU at home. Redbirds’ last three losses were by 18-17-22 points; they’re 16-49 on 3rd down in their losses, 29-63 in other games. Since 2009, Arizona is 21-14-1 ATS as a home dog. Cardinals won last eight series games, taking last five played here, with last three by 3-3-3 points- they lost last two visits by identical 18-15 scores.

Texans (5-3) vs Jaguars (4-4) (@ London)— Season series has been swept last eight years; Houston (-7) won first meeting 13-12 in Week 2; neither team gained 300 TY, Texans’ only TD drive was 11 yards. Losing side scored 12 of fewer points in last five series games. Houston won three of last four games, despite allowing 27.5 ppg; they trailed five of last six games at halftime. Jaguars allowed 17 or less points in last three games; in their wins, they’re +8 in turnovers, in losses, -7. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Texans are 13-4 ATS in pre-bye games, winning/covering last four; Jaguars won three of last four pre-bye tilts. Dogs covered six of last eight series games; Texans are 4-6 ATS in last 10 games as a series fave. JJ Watt is out for the year.

Redskins (1-7) @ Bills (5-2)— Washington scored total of 36 points in last five games, with no TD’s on 14 drives in last two games; they’re 13-9 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog, 2-1 TY. Redskins’ last five games stayed under the total. Buffalo allowed 21-31 points in splitting last two games, after giving up 14 ppg in first five games; they’re 0-3 ATS as a home favorite this year. Since ’12, Bills are 33-25-1 ATS coming off a loss; five of their seven games stayed under total. Buffalo won six of last seven series games, losing last meeting 35-25; Redskins lost last three visits here, but also haven’t been here since ’03. AFC East favorites are 5-3 ATS this year outside the division, 3-3 at home; NFC East road underdogs are 5-2 ATS.

Titans (4-4) @ Panthers (4-3)— Tennessee scored 23+ points in their wins, 17 or less in losses (7 or less in 3 of 4 losses); they’re 2-0 in Tannehill starts, converting 11-24 third down plays- five of their last seven games stayed under total. Titans are 11-21 ATS in last 32 games as a road dog, 1-2 TY. Carolina won four of its last five games but lost two of three at home; they’re 9-11 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite, 1-1 TY. Panthers converted only 9 of last 40 third down plays; their last three games went over total. Home side lost four of last five series games; Titans won 37-17/30-3 in last two visits to Charlotte. AFC South road underdogs are 8-2 ATS outside their division; NFC South non-divisional favorites are 2-5 ATS, 2-4 at home.

Bears (3-4) @ Eagles (4-4)— Eagles won last four series games, last of which was 16-15 upset (+6.5) win in LY’s playoffs, when they tipped a last-second Chicago FG to seal the win. Bears lost last two visits here, 54-11/31-3. Chicago lost its last three games overall, allowing 25.7 ppg; they won both their true road games- this is their first true road game since Week 3. Chicago is 7-10 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog; they allowed 15 or fewer pints in their three wins, are 0-4 when allowing more than 15 points. Philly ran ball for 218 yards in LW’s 31-13 win, after running for 102.3 ypg the three games before that; Iggles are 3-8 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite, 1-2 TY. Philly scored 31+ points in its wins, 18.5 ppg in their losses.

Vikings (6-2) @ Chiefs (5-3)— Chiefs lost last three home games but still lead AFC West; backup QB Moore played well in 31-24 home loss to Packers LW, but he ain’t Mahomes (check status), and has started only six games since 2011. Chiefs allowed 28+ points in four of last six games; they’re 17-19 ATS in last 36 home games. Vikings won last four games, have extra prep time after LW’s Thursday win; they were held to 16-6 points in their losses, are 6-0 scoring more than 16. Under Zimmer, Vikings are 26-18 ATS on the road. Home side won last five series games; Vikings lost last four trips to Arrowhead, all by 5 or fewer points. NFC North teams are 11-7-1 ATS outside the division, 4-2-1 on road; AFC West teams are 10-12, 3-7 at home.

Jets (1-6) @ Dolphins (0-7)— How are the Jets a road favorite over anyone? Adam Gase coaches against his old team for first time here; he was 23-26 SU in Miami. Gang Green already has five loses by 14+ points; they’re been outscored 93-35 in three road games, are 3-5-1 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite. Jets converted only 9 of last 70 third down plays. Short week for 0-7 Miami team that covered its last three games, but has been outscored 130-20 in second half of games this season. Dolphins are -14 in turnovers, with only one takeaway in last four games; five of their last six games stayed under total. Dolphins won last three series games, by 3-8-7 points; Jets lost their last two visits here. Miami is 6-4 ATS in last ten games as a series underdog

Colts (5-2) @ Steelers (3-4)— Indy won three in row, five of last six games; they’re 3-0 ATS on road this year, with only road loss in OT vs Chargers in Week 1. Colts allowed 30-31 points in their two losses, are 5-0 allowing fewer than 30. Steelers won three of last four games after an 0-3 start, covering four of last five; they’re 7-10 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite, 1-2 TY. Wasn’t impressed by Monday’s win over a hideous Miami team, but Steelers have had a positive turnover ratio in each of their last six games (+9 for year). Pitt won last five series games, with last loss in ’08; Colts lost 14 of last 15 visits here, with that ’08 game the only win. AFC South non-divisional road teams are 9-2 ATS; AFC North home teams are 0-11 ATS.

Lions (3-3-1) @ Raiders (3-4)— Oakland lost its last two games, allowing 42-27 points; this is their first home game since Week 2. Raiders are 5-9-2 ATS in last 16 games with spread of 3 or fewer points. Four of their last five games went over. Detroit lost three of its last four games; six of their seven games were decided by 6 or fewer points. Under Patricia, Lions are 6-2 ATS as road underdogs, 5-4 in games with spread of 3 or fewer points. Four of their last five games went over the total. Detroit allowed 91 points in last three games; they’ve held only one team (LAC) under 23. Detroit won last four series games, including last two visits here; their last loss to Oakland was in ’96. NFC North teams are 11-7-1 ATS outside the division, 4-2-1 on road.

Buccaneers (2-5) @ Seahawks (6-2)— These teams came into the NFL together in ’76. Tampa Bay is playing its 5th straight game away from home; they’ve turned ball over 11 times on 29 drives the last two games (-9)- maybe Arians should call the plays? Bucs scored 32.5 ppg in four games with no or one turnover; they lost other three games by 14-16-4 points. Tampa is 2-5-4 ATS in last 11 games on artificial turf. Seattle won four of last five games but split their four home games, with both wins by a single point; they’re 0-4 ATS as a home favorite this year, 4-11-1 since ’17. Home side won five of last six series games; Bucs lost four of last six visits to Seattle. NFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 5-6 ATS; NFC West home faves are 2-6.

Browns (2-5) @ Broncos (2-6)— Denver didn’t allow an offensive TD in either of its wins; they’re 0-6 when giving up more than 13 points. Flacco (neck) is out; Brandon Allen gets his first NFL action- he started for 2.5 years at Arkansas in SEC. Backup QB Rypien also has no NFL snaps. Broncos are 1-3 at home, with two losses with 2 points- they’re 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a home underdog. Six of their eight games went under. Cleveland lost its last three games, giving up 30 ppg; they split their four road games. Since 2013, Browns are 1-3 as road favorites, 1-0 TY, when they beat Jets, who also had a backup QB playing. Denver won seven of last eight series games, losing 17-16 to the Browns LY- they won four of last five meetings played here.

Packers (7-1) @ Chargers (3-5)— Packers won last four games, scoring 32.5 ppg; they converted 14 of last 23 3rd down plays. GB won/covered all three road games, is 12-9 ATS in last 21 games as a road favorite- five of their last six games went over. Chargers lost three of last four games; only one of their eight games was decided by more than 7 points. LA is 1-3 at home, with only win in OT; their home losses are by 7-7-7 points. Bolts are 2-7 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog. Green Bay won 10 of last 11 series games; Packers won their last six visits to San Diego- hard to imagine stadium in Carson won’t be full of mostly Packer fans. NFC North teams are 11-7-1 ATS outside the division, 4-2-1 on road; AFC West teams are 10-12, 3-7 at home.

Patriots (8-0) @ Ravens (5-2)— New England defense has allowed only four TD’s on 96 drives, while scoring four TD’s of their own; they’re 17-10 ATS in last 27 games as a road favorite, 3-1 TY. Only one of its eight wins was by less than 14 points; their turnover rate is +17. Only close game (@ Buffalo) was only time they lost field position battle. Ravens are 13-4 ATS in last 17 post-bye games; they won last three games, scoring 26.3 ppg; they’ve scored 23+ points in every game this year. Baltimore is 5-3 ATS in last eight games as a home underdog. Six of eight NE games stayed under total. NE won 10 of last 13 series games (2-2 in playoffs); Patriots won three of last four visits to Baltimore. Average total in last three series games is 54.

Cowboys (4-3) @ Giants (2-6)— Dallas (-7) beat Giants 35-17 in season opener, with five TD drives of 75+ yards; they averaged 12.7 yards/pass attempt, scoring three TD’s of 20+ yards. Cowboys won last five series games, winning 30-10/36-35 in last two series games here- they lost here 24-22 to Jets three weeks ago. Dallas lost three of last four games overall; they’ve scored 31+ points in all four of their wins, 10-24-22 in their losses. Last two years, Cowboys are 1-3 ATS as a road favorite; they’re 5-3 ATS last eight times they were favored over the Giants. Big Blue lost its last four games, losing last two weeks by 6-5 points; under Shurmur, Giants are 1-7 ATS when getting points at home. Last four games, NYG opponents are 26-53 on third down.

[StarDust Bum]

TNF - 49ers at Cardinals
October 30, 2019
By Kevin Rogers

LAST WEEK
The 49ers (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS) remained the lone unbeaten team in the NFC by blowing out the Panthers, 51-13 to easily cash as 4 ½-point home favorites. Carolina not only entered last week’s affair at Levi’s Stadium off the bye, but the Panthers were riding a four-game winning streak before the Niners stormed out to a commanding 27-3 halftime advantage. Brand new 49ers’ wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders scored the first touchdown of the game on a four-yard reception from Jimmy Garoppolo as the former Bronco and Steeler finished his San Francisco debut with four receptions for 25 yards.

The day belonged to running back Tevin Coleman, who rushed for 105 yards and scored four touchdowns for the Niners, who totaled 232 yards on the ground as a team. Coleman reached the end zone twice during the first half scoring surge, capped off by a 48-yard touchdown scamper right past the two-minute warning for the 24-point edge. The 49ers busted the 40-point mark for the second time this season, as San Francisco posted 41 points in a Week 2 rout of Cincinnati, while limiting its fourth straight opponent to 13 points or fewer.

The Cardinals (3-4-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) entered the Mercedes-Benz Superdome on a three-game winning streak last Sunday, as Arizona has made plenty of strides after finishing 2018 with the league’s worst record at 3-13. However, the Cardinals ran into a buzz saw as the Saints won their sixth consecutive contest, 31-9, while also getting future Hall of Fame quarterback Drew Brees back in the lineup after missing five games with a thumb injury.

Brees threw for 373 yards and three touchdowns, while his counterpart, rookie Kyler Murray failed to throw a touchdown pass for the fourth time in five games. Murray has gone four straight games without being intercepted, but the top pick out of Oklahoma only posted 220 yards, while Arizona’s offense produced 10 first downs and 40 yards rushing. In the last two games against winning teams, Arizona has been outscored, 58-9, which includes a 27-10 home defeat to Seattle back in Week 4.

GETTING DEFENSIVE
San Francisco’s defense ranks first in the NFL in yards allowed per game (224.4) and sits second behind New England in points allowed per game (11.0). The 49ers have not given up more than two touchdowns in a game since Week 3 against Pittsburgh, while yielding 17 points or less in six of seven contests. The ‘under’ has hit in three in four games away from Levi’s Stadium, while allowing a total of seven points in the last two road wins against the Rams and Redskins.

Arizona’s defense has been shredded at home in four games at State Farm Stadium this season. The Cardinals have allowed 27 points to the Lions, 38 to the Panthers, 27 to the Seahawks, and 33 to the Falcons, while the only win at home came against Atlanta in a one-point triumph. Arizona was without its top player in the secondary for those four games as Patrick Peterson sat out due to a six-game suspension, as the former LSU standout will make his home season debut on Thursday.

SERIES HISTORY
Two of Arizona’s three wins last season came against San Francisco, but there are several asterisks involved in those victories. First, the 49ers did not have Garoppolo under center, as he missed these losses due to a torn ACL suffered in September. Secondly, San Francisco was tripped up at home despite outgaining Arizona by 227 yards and committing five turnovers, while blowing a 12-point fourth quarter lead in the second matchup in Arizona.

Josh Rosen led the Cardinals past the 49ers at Levi’s Stadium, 28-18 as three-point underdogs, but the biggest disappointment belonged to ‘under’ backers. The total closed at 40 ½ as Arizona led San Francisco, 14-6 heading to the fourth quarter, but the two NFC West rivals combined for 26 points in the final seven minutes, including a fumble return for a touchdown by Arizona.

San Francisco jumped out to a 15-3 advantage in Glendale three weeks later as 2 ½-point road favorites, but Rosen marched the Cardinals to a pair of touchdown drives in the fourth quarter, capped off by a nine-yard scoring strike to Christian Kirk for the go-ahead score with 34 second remaining. The Niners went with C.J. Beathard in those two games in place of Garoppolo at quarterback, as the former University of Iowa signal-caller threw for 190 yards (55 of which on a touchdown pass to Marquise Goodwin.

Arizona has captured five consecutive home meetings with San Francisco dating back to 2014, while beating San Francisco in eight straight matchups. The Niners edged the Cardinals, 23-20 in 2013 for their last win in the desert, while dominating Arizona, 24-3 in 2012 for their last victory as a road favorite (-7) in the series.

THURSDAY NIGHT LIGHTS
Underdogs have cashed in six of eight Thursday night games this season, including the Redskins covering as 16 ½-point ‘dogs in last week’s 19-9 defeat at Minnesota. However, the favorite has won the last four Thursday contests, while road favorites are 1-1 SU/ATS in these games, as Tennessee lost at Jacksonville in Week 3 and Kansas City blasted Denver in Week 7.

San Francisco last appeared on a Thursday night came in 2018 as the 49ers routed the rival Raiders, 34-3 at Levi’s Stadium. Arizona would certainly like to forget its past time in the Thursday spotlight as the Broncos destroyed the Cardinals, 45-10 last season as one-point home underdogs.

TOTAL TALK
The total on this game opened at 44 and the number has dropped to 43 as of Thursday. Chris David of VegasInsider.com offered up his thoughts on the midweek matchup.

“The success of the 49ers turnaround has been their defense and it’s truly amazing that this year’s unit is allowing 11 PPG while the club gave up 27.2 PPG last season. That production has translated into plenty of ‘under’ tickets even though the San Francisco offense has put up some crooked numbers at times, which includes last week’s 51-13 dominating home win over Carolina. I wouldn’t be surprised to see San Francisco light up the scoreboard again, knowing Arizona is ranked 29th in both scoring defense (27.9 PPG) and total yards allowed (407.1 YPG). The team total on the 49ers is hovering around 26 ½ points, which seems a tad low in my opinion. Especially when you know Arizona has allowed 27-plus points in all four of its home games this season,” said David.

San Francisco has watched the ‘under’ go 5-2 on the season, which includes a 3-1 mark away from home. Meanwhile, Arizona’s total results have been a stalemate at 4-4 but the high side has gone 3-1 in its four games from the desert. This series has leaned to the ‘under’ with the low side cashing in four of the last five encounters. The averaged combined points in those games was 37 PPG between the pair.

David dug up a solid season angle to watch on this matchup and it could have you leaning to the ‘under’ in this divisional contest. He said, “The 49ers will likely close -10 or higher and if that’s the case, they’ll be the 19th team that is listed as a double-digit favorite this season. When you see teams laying heavy points in the NFL, most bettors would side with the favorite-over combo since a wire-to-wire blowout is expected. That hasn’t been the case though. Rather, it’s the defensive units that have carried the ‘chalky’ clubs so far. In the 18 games, the ‘under’ has gone 14-4 and that includes a 5-0 record last week.

HANDICAPPER’S CORNER
VegasInsider.com NFL expert Joe Nelson checks in with his thoughts on the quarterback matchup between Murray and Garoppolo, “Murray ranks 23rd in the league in QB Rating, but that is only a few spots behind Garoppolo. Murray has only seven passing touchdowns and hasn’t been a big play threat with just 6.8 yards per attempt, with Arizona’s offense often settling for field goals with Zane Gonzalez tied for first in the NFL with 21 made 3-pointers. Garroppolo has a nearly 70 percent completion rate but he has only nine touchdown passes along with seven interceptions as he doesn’t have the profile of a 7-0 signal-caller.”

The 49ers have been a surprise in the loaded NFC, but Nelson dug deeper into their schedule and it’s easy to see why they have been successful, “The first six wins for the 49ers came against teams that currently have a 13-32 record. The dominant performance against the Rams stood out but last week’s blowout win over a surging Carolina team has most finally paying attention to San Francisco as a top NFC contender. Facing a short week as a road favorite in a division game will be a different role for the team and certainly the back half of the 2019 schedule is much tougher than the front half still playing Seattle twice plus games with the Packers, Ravens, and Saints in succession.”

PLAYER PROPS – According to Westgate Superbook

Total Completions – Jimmy Garoppolo (SF)
Over 19 ½ (-110)
Under 19 ½ (-110)

Total Touchdown Passes – Jimmy Garoppolo (SF)
Over 1 ½ (-130)
Under 1 ½ (+110)

Total Rushing Yards – Tevin Coleman (SF)
Over 75 ½ (-110)
Under 75 ½ (-110)

Total Receiving Yards – George Kittle (SF)
Over 68 ½ (-110)
Under 68 ½ (-110)

Total Gross Passing Yards – Kyler Murray (ARZ)
Over 227 ½ (-110)
Under 227 ½ (-110)

Will the Cardinals get a rushing touchdown?
Yes +150
No -180

Total Receiving Yards – Christian Kirk (ARZ)
Over 56 ½ (-110)
Under 56 ½ (-110)

LINE MOVEMENT
The 49ers opened up as 8 ½-point favorites at the Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas on Monday with a total of 44. Rewinding back to May when CG Technologies first opened up lines on every NFL game, San Francisco was listed as a three-point favorite. The Niners have jumped to a 10-point favorite at both Westgate and CG, while the total has slipped to 42 ½.

[StarDust Bum]

Rolling 49ers meet inconsistent Cards
October 30, 2019
By The Associated Press

GLENDALE, Ariz. (AP) Cardinals cornerback Patrick Peterson remembers this version of the San Francisco 49ers.

The nine-year veteran broke into the NFL back in 2011 with Arizona and during his early years, the games against division rival San Francisco were always a difficult task. The Niners won 36 regular-season games from 2011-13 and made the Super Bowl in the 2012 season.

''To me, it resembles that same style of football,'' Peterson said. ''Building that team up front on both sides of the ball, taking their shots when they can and playing great defense. They have their personnel and they're playing some real good football.''

San Francisco (7-0) travels to face Arizona (3-4-1) on Thursday night and enters the game on quite a roll. The 49ers crushed the Carolina Panthers 51-13 on Sunday and have been plowing through their schedule with one of the league's best defenses.

Arizona is coming off a 31-9 loss to the New Orleans Saints on Sunday. That dud ended a three-game winning streak for the Cardinals, who knocked off the Bengals, Falcons and Giants in consecutive weeks before the setback in New Orleans.

Cardinals rookie quarterback Kyler Murray said that after Sunday's poor performance, the team is eager to get back on the field, especially at home.

''That should be fun. Wearing all black, Thursday night, real first prime-time game for us,'' Murray said. ''Just really trying to go out there and put on a show and protect home.''

CONDENSED SCHEDULE

The Niners took a different approach this week with a Thursday game. The coaches slept at the facility to get as much work on the game plan done as possible. For the players, sleep was the priority. San Francisco didn't practice Monday and then had a walkthrough on Tuesday under the stadium lights rather than the usual afternoon practice.

''I feel like sleep is so important on these quick turnarounds, so we wanted the guys to sleep in a little bit more than usual,'' coach Kyle Shanahan said.

Then the team planned a quick practice Wednesday before flying to Arizona.

RAGGED RUNNING GAME

Arizona's three-game winning streak was built on a balanced offense, with the team leaning on the running back duo of David Johnson and Chase Edmonds.

Now both players are injured and the Cardinals have had to adjust in a hurry.

With Edmonds (hamstring) out and Johnson (ankle) questionable for Thursday's game, the Cardinals traded for Kenyan Drake on Monday, giving up a conditional sixth-round pick in 2020.

The 25-year-old Drake joins Alfred Morris and Zach Zenner, who were signed last week because of injuries, in the running back rotation. He'll have to learn the offense in less than 72 hours to have an impact.

''It's actually funny - the longest-tenured running back here who is healthy has been here in six days,'' Drake said. ''We've all got a learning curve, but we're helping each other out.''

BOSA VS. MURRAY

This marks the first of what should be several meetings between the top two picks in the 2019 draft. Both teams are pleased with their choices with Murray off to a solid start in Arizona after being picked first and defensive end Nick Bosa dominating in San Francisco as the second pick. Bosa became the third rookie to get three sacks and an interception in a game last week against Carolina and now gets a tougher test chasing down the mobile Murray.

''I try to keep my eyes on my work, which is the offensive lineman, which helps me beat offensive linemen,'' Bosa said. ''But with a quarterback like this, you have to have eyes on the backfield and you have to know what his tendencies are when it comes to escaping so you can counter it.''

CAREFUL CARDINALS

Arizona has had no turnovers over the past four games, which is tied for the longest streak in franchise history.

The ball security is remarkable considering the Cardinals are playing with a rookie quarterback and several young players at other skill positions. Murray has thrown four interceptions this year and the Cardinals haven't lost a fumble.

The four turnovers through eight games are the fewest in the NFL.

SHERMAN VS. FITZ

San Francisco cornerback Richard Sherman and Arizona receiver Larry Fitzgerald have had plenty of meetings over the years as NFC West rivals. The two have faced off 14 times since Sherman entered the league with Seattle in 2011 and are often matched up against each other. Fitzgerald has 77 catches for 882 yards and three TDs in those games and the two have formed a close relationship over that time.

''I appreciate going against him the most,'' Sherman said. ''He always gives great challenges.''

[StarDust Bum]

49ers look to end skid vs. NFC West rival
October 30, 2019
By The Associated Press

Jim Tomsula and Chip Kelly couldn't do it in their one season as head coach in San Francisco. Kyle Shanahan hasn't done it in two years with the 49ers.

The past three coaches in San Francisco have combined to lose eight straight games against the NFC West rival Cardinals heading into the first meeting this year on Thursday night in Arizona.

The Niners' last win in this rivalry came in Jim Harbaugh's final game as coach in 2014 when the playoff-bound Cardinals lost a most meaningless Week 17 game in San Francisco. It's not as if the Cardinals have been world-beaters during this stretch. After winning 13 games in 2015, Arizona hasn't had a winning record the past three seasons despite sweeping the 49ers.

Last season's result was most glaring as Arizona won both meetings and only one other game in a 3-13 campaign.

This season, the Niners (7-0) come into the game tied for second in the AP Pro32 power poll and are one of two remaining undefeated teams, while the Cardinals (3-4-1) are 21st and once again have a losing record.

Could the streak continue even though San Francisco is favored by 10 points? ...

49ERS, 27-10

KNOCKOUT POOL: The AP prognostication crew is still alive after eight weeks but it's getting tougher to find good choices still available. Considered taking the Jets at winless Miami but remembered they are still the Jets.

So the pick will be SAN FRANCISCO.

No. 26 Tampa Bay (plus 6+) at No. 7 Seattle

Jameis Winston makes plenty of big plays for the Buccaneers and far too many mistakes. Russell Wilson simply makes big plays for the Seahawks.

SEAHAWKS, 31-27

No. 10 Houston (minus 1+) vs. No. 18 Jacksonville in London

The Texans needed a goal-line stand to beat Gardner Minshew and the Jaguars in Week 2 but won't have J.J. Watt in the rematch.

UPSET SPECIAL: JACKSONVILLE, 23-21

No. 30 Washington (plus 9+) at No. 12 (tie) Buffalo

The Bills didn't have enough to handle the Eagles last week, but Washington should be a lot easier.

BUFFALO, 17-10

No. 17 Tennessee (plus 3+) at No. 15 Carolina

Ryan Tannehill won his first two starts in place of Marcus Mariota for the Titans, while Kyle Allen lost his first in place of Cam Newton. That trend won't continue.

CAROLINA, 24-21

No. 20 Chicago (plus 5) at No. 14 Philadelphia

Eagles have struggled in the secondary. That shouldn't be a problem against Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears.

PHILADELPHIA, 23-13

No. 5 Minnesota (off) at No. 8 (tie) Kansas City

Patrick Mahomes' status remains in doubt for Chiefs but no way they lose four straight at home, especially with how well Andy Reid's offense is functioning with Matt Moore at the helm.

KANSAS CITY, 27-24

No. 28 New York Jets (minus 3) at No. 32 Miami

If Dolphins are going to win a game this figures to be one of their best chances. Nope, maybe wait for the Bengals in Week 16.

NEW YORK, 21-20

No. 8 (tie) Indianapolis (pick `em) at No. 21 Pittsburgh

Steelers got back into contention by beating winless Dolphins. The Colts offer much stiffer competition.

INDIANAPOLIS, 23-20

No. 16 Detroit (plus 2) at No. 19 Oakland

The Raiders look to give home fans something to celebrate in their first home game since Week 2.

OAKLAND, 31-27

No. 24 Cleveland (minus 3) at No. 25 Denver

The Browns were unable to dig out of an early hole last week at New England. Beating the Broncos with backup Brandon Allen at QB should be a bit easier.

CLEVELAND, 20-16

No. 4 Green Bay (minus 3) at No. 23 Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers got lucky to win at Chicago last week. That might be just enough to provide momentum against the much tougher Packers.

LOS ANGELES, 28-24

No. 1 New England (minus 3+) at No. 6 Baltimore

League's top two scoring offenses meet up in prime-time showdown. Patriots also have stingiest defense.

NEW ENGLAND, 27-24

No. 12 (tie) Dallas (minus 7) at No. 27 New York Giants

The Cowboys have beat up against bad teams except for a loss at the Jets. No way they lose twice at the Meadowlands.

BEST BET: Dallas, 30-17

---

2019 RECORD:

Last Week: 9-6 against spread, 12-3 straight up.

Season Totals: 66-54-1 against spread, 76-43-1 straight up.

Best Bet: 6-2 against spread, 6-2 straight up.

Upset special: 5-3 against spread, 5-3 straight up.

[StarDust Bum]

by: Josh Inglis


THE HYPE IS LOUD

One would think that the loss of Davante Adams would affect Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers’ offense. However, the Packers are a perfect 4-0 without the star receiver and averaging 32.5 points. That mark would put them tops in the league and nearly 10 points higher than their PPG with Adams on the Field.

Rodgers has also seen his passer rating jump 18 points up to 118.7 as he will look to take Matt LaFleur’s rolling offense to L.A. to face the Chargers. The Bolts have seen the weakest stretch of opposing QBs over the last five weeks: M.Trubisky, R.Tannehill, D.Hodges, J.Flacco, and J.Rosen. The Bolts went 2-3 SU (2-3 ATS) over those five games and allowed an average of 18.4 completions, 211 yards passing with one touchdown and one interception.

All the Rodgers hype has led to some bloated prop lines especially on his completions which sit at 25.5 — a number he has eclipsed just twice this year and no QB has topped versus LAC. The Chargers are also giving up 140 rushing yards at home which has us leaning on a heavier Green Bay rushing attack. We are hitting the Under on Rodgers’ completions of 25.5.


AS FIT AS A KITTLE

If you are a fan of betting on offensive/defensive matchups, then you have probably already circled tonight’s San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals game on your calendar. The Cards have the worst pass defense to opposing tight ends, allowing 90 yards on 8.3 passes per game to the big receivers. Tonight, the Cards will face one of the best in the business in George Kittle.

The 49ers are dinged up in the running-back department as Matt Breida and Raheem Mostert are questionable. This leaves the door open for Kittle to have a big game against the Cardinals linebacker Jordan Hicks who is allowing a 93 percent catch rate to TEs. Look for Kittle to pass his reception total of 5.5 — a number he has passed in four of his last five games.


THE BOYS ARE BACK IN TOWN

With the news that New York Giants receiver Sterling Shepard has shed his non-contact jersey after missing time with a concussion, it would mean that the Giants may finally get their full offensive unit for their Monday night game versus Dallas. It will be the first game that Daniel Jones, Saquon Barkley, Evan Engram Golden Tate and Shepard will share the field.

The Giants may not be winning of late but the offense has been competent as Daniel Jones is coming off a career-high in passing yards with 322 versus the Detroit Lions. The Giants showed that they can play catch up and put points on the board after trailing by double digits three separate times last week and losing by just five.

With the Cowboys defense being anything but consistent (19th DVOA defense), we are leaning on the Over of the Giants’ team total of 19.5.


JAX THE RIPPER

The Jacksonville Jaguars will head to their second home this Sunday as the Garner Minshew-led Jags will take on the Houston Texans in jolly old London. Receiver D.J. Chark may lead the team in receiving yards, but Minshew has a new side piece that has been getting a lot of attention of late.

Chris Conley leads the Jags in receiving yards over the last two weeks hauling in seven passes for 186 yards and a score with catches of 70 and 47 yards. The 4.3 speedster has the ability to turn short catches into long gains and can get behind the defense as his 20.4 yards per reception indicates.

Also in Conley’s favor is that Houston is allowing over 300 yards passing on the road this year and fellow Jag receiver Dede Westbrook is questionable after being removed from last Sunday’s game.

Take the Over on Conley’s receiving yards on any total below 60 yards.


GONE IN 30 MINUTES

The Buffalo Bills bandwagon blew a tire last week with their loss to the Philadelphia Eagles and now have the Redskins on tap for Week 9. Many are starting to worry about the capabilities of their offense as Josh Allen has put up just 558 yards and been out produced by opposing offenses in back-to-back weeks — that includes the Dolphins.

Where the team is struggling the most is putting up points early; specifically in the first half where they sit 26th in first-half points with 8.7. Luckily for them, Washington is even worse in the first 30 minutes, scoring just 6.6 points in the first half and even less (4.3) over their last three games.

With the lowest total of the week at 36.5, take the 1H Under 19.5 points as it could be a cold and windy day in Buffalo.