Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Da bum's 2019 nfl season's best bets- opinions-news-trends thru the superbowl !

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • MONDAY, NOVEMBER 4
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    DAL at NYG 08:15 PM

    DAL -6.5 *****

    U 48.5 *****
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • Prescott throws for 3 TDs as Cowboys beat Giants again
      November 4, 2019

      EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. (AP) Dak Prescott shook off an interception on his first pass of the game and threw three touchdown passes, leading the Dallas Cowboys to a 37-18 victory over the New York Giants in a Monday night game briefly delayed by an elusive black cat.

      Prescott hit Blake Jarwin for a much-needed 42-yard touchdown late in the second quarter. He added a 15-yarder to Michael Gallup and a 45-yarder to Amari Cooper in the fourth as Dallas (5-3) beat New York (2-7) for the sixth straight time.

      Brett Maher kicked three field goals, including a 52-yarder in the waning seconds of the first half that gave Dallas the lead for good after falling behind 12-3 in the second quarter. Jourdan Lewis scored on a 63-yard fumble return in the final seconds.

      The win gave the Cowboys, who were coming off a bye, a half-game lead over Philadelphia in the NFC East and improved their record in the division to 4-0, including a win over the Eagles.

      Ezekiel Elliott ran for 139 yards for Dallas, which outscored the Giants 34-9 after the cat appeared late in the second quarter, forcing referee Clay Martin to delay the game for a couple of minutes until the feline was herded up a stadium tunnel.

      Daniel Jones threw a 1-yard touchdown pass to Cody Latimer for fading New York. Aldrick Rosas hit four field goals, but he also missed an extra point attempt that was important in sending New York to its fifth straight loss.

      Rosas' 25-yarder gave the Giants a 12-3 lead with 2:50 left, but the Cowboys scored 10 points in the final 52 seconds of the half to take a 13-12 lead.

      Jarwin, who has scored five of his six career touchdowns against the Giants, rambled most of the 42 yards on the score to get Dallas within 12-10 with :52 left in the half.

      Xavier Woods intercepted a third-down pass by Jones on the ensuing series and returned it to the Giants 38, setting up Maher's go-ahead field goal on the final play.

      The teams exchanged field goals in the third quarter, with a Jones fumble forced by Woods setting up Dallas. Rosas answered for New York.

      The chippy fourth quarter belonged to Dallas and Prescott, who finished 22 of 35 for 257 yards. He has thrown for 12 TDs against New York in the last four games.

      Jones finished 26 of 41 for 210 yards, with most coming on a 65-yard play by Saquon Barkley, his longest reception.

      WORTH NOTING

      Jones has dropped five in a row after winning his first two starts. The only other rookie quarterback who lost five in a row after winning his first two starts was John Elway in 1983, according to Stats .

      INJURIES

      Cowboys: Safety Jeff Heath left early in second half with a leg injury.

      UP NEXT

      Cowboys: Host Minnesota on Sunday night.

      Giants: Home to play an away game against the Jets on Sunday.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • WEEK 10

        Thursday, November 7, 2019

        Time (ET) Away Home
        8:20 PM Los Angeles Chargers Oakland Raiders

        Sunday, November 10, 2019
        Time (ET) Away Home
        1:00 PM Detroit Lions Chicago Bears
        1:00 PM Baltimore Ravens Cincinnati Bengals
        1:00 PM Buffalo Bills Cleveland Browns
        1:00 PM Atlanta Falcons New Orleans Saints
        1:00 PM New York Giants New York Jets
        1:00 PM Arizona Cardinals Tampa Bay Buccaneers
        1:00 PM Kansas City Chiefs Tennessee Titans
        4:05 PM Miami Dolphins Indianapolis Colts
        4:25 PM Carolina Panthers Green Bay Packers
        4:25 PM Los Angeles Rams Pittsburgh Steelers
        8:20 PM Minnesota Vikings Dallas Cowboys

        Monday, November 11, 2019
        Time (ET) Away Home
        8:15 PM Seattle Seahawks San Francisco 49ers


        ******************************


        NFL NOVEMBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

        DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

        11/04/2019.............1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
        11/03/2019..........12-10-0..........54.55%..........+5.00

        Totals...................13-11-0..........54.16%..........+4.50


        *****************************

        BEST BETS:

        DATE........................ATS.............UNITS. ............O/U...............UNITS.............TOTALS

        11/04/2019..............1 - 0............+5.00.............0 - 1...............-5.50..............-0.50
        11/03/2019..............5 - 3............+8.50.............3 - 5...............-12.50.............-4.00


        Totals......................6 - 3............+13.50.............3 - 6...............-18.00.............-4.50



        *******************************

        NFL SEPT./ OCTOBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

        Totals............108-93-1.......... 53.73%........... +28.50

        BEST BETS:

        DATE........................ATS.............UNITS. ............O/U...............UNITS.............TOTALS

        Totals..................55 - 51............-0.00................52 - 42 ..........+33.00............+33.00
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • 🏈Nick Foles has regained his job as the Jaguars’ starting QB.


          🏈Gardner Minshew has resumed his spot as a backup.


          🏈Cam Newton has been placed on IR, likely ending his season and potentially his time in Carolina.





          NFL Betting Stats heading into Week 10:

          Road Teams: 75-58-2 ATS
          Home Teams: 58-75-2 ATS

          Favorites: 57-76-2 ATS
          Underdogs: 76-57-2 ATS

          Home Faves: 35-53-2 ATS
          Home Dogs: 23-22 ATS

          Road Faves: 22-23 ATS
          Road Dogs: 53-35-2 ATS

          O/U: 65-70




          NFL's Top ATS Teams:

          t1. Saints 6-2 ATS
          t1. Rams 6-2 ATS
          t3. Patriots 6-3 ATS
          t3. Packers 6-3 ATS
          t3. Cardinals 6-3 ATS
          t6. 49ers, Bills, Panthers, Cowboys, Raiders, & Steelers Tied at 5-3 ATS


          NFL's Worst ATS Teams:

          t28. Jets 2-6 ATS
          t28. Falcons 2-6 ATS
          t28. Buccaneers 2-6 ATS
          t28. Browns 2-6 ATS
          t28. Bears 2-6 ATS
          t26. Redskins 3-6 ATS
          t26. Giants 3-6 ATS

          Comment


          • Tech Trends - Week 10
            Bruce Marshall

            Thursday, Nov. 7

            LA CHARGERS at OAKLAND (FOX, 8:20 p.m. ET)

            Chargers have won and covered last four in series, and have covered last four at Coliseum. Bolts 13-4-1 vs. spread last 18 reg season games outside LA city limits. Chargers “under” 9-2 last 11 reg season.
            Tech Edge: Chargers and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


            Sunday, Nov. 10

            KANSAS CITY at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

            Chiefs 3-1 vs. line away TY, 9-3 vs. spread on road since LY. KC “over” 11-4 last 15 reg season games, Titans “over” 6-2 last 8 at Nashville.
            Tech Edge: “Over” and Chiefs, based on “totals” and team trends.


            BUFFALO at CLEVELAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
            Bills 5-0-1 vs. spread last six on road, also 8-3 “under” since late 2018. Browns no covers last four as host.
            Tech Edge: Bills and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


            ARIZONA at TAMPA BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
            Cardinals have covered 4 of last 5 after SF last Thursday, also 3-1 vs. line away TY. Bucs now “over” 7-2 last 9 since late LY. Also TB first home game since Week 3!
            Tech Edge: Cards and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


            NY GIANTS at NY JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
            Jets 2-6 vs. line TY, 2-8-1 last eleven dating to late 2018. G-Men “over” 11-6 since mid 2018.
            Tech Edge: “Over” and Giants, based on “totals” and team trends.


            ATLANTA at NEW ORLEANS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
            Falcs have lost and failed to cover 6 of last 8 in series, including 3 of last 4 at Superdome. Atlanta no covers last five as visitor. Saints on 6-game spread win streak.
            Tech Edge: Saints, based on team trends.


            BALTIMORE at CINCINNATI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
            Ravens 6-1 vs. spread last seven on road. Winless Bengals 0-3 vs. spread at Paul Brown TY, also “under” 8-3-2 last 13 since late 2018.
            Tech Edge: Ravens and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.


            DETROIT at CHICAGO (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
            Bears only 2-7 last 9 on board since late 2018 , 12-3 “under” last 15 since late 2018. Lions 5-2 vs. spread last seven on road since late 2018. “Unders” 5-2 last seven meetings.
            Tech Edge: Lions and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals’ trends.


            MIAMI at INDIANAPOLIS (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
            Dolphins have covered last four TY. Colts “over” 4-1 last five at Lucas Oil.
            Tech Edge: Dolphins and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


            CAROLINA at GREEN BAY (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
            Panthers 5-1 vs. spread last five TY, 3-1 on road in 2019. Rivera 2-2 as dog TY, 20-10 as dog since late 2014. Pack 6-3 vs. line TY.
            Tech Edge: Panthers, based on team trends.


            L.A. RAMS at PITTSBURGH (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
            Rams 8-2 vs. line last 10 reg season games, and have covered last six reg season away from Coliseum. Also 8-2 “under” last ten away from home. Steel 5-1 vs. line since Big Ben went down, and note Tomlin's 8-1 mark in dog role since LY. Steel on 6-2 “under” run.
            Tech Edge: “Under,” based on totals” trends.


            MINNESOTA at DALLAS (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
            Dak 6-1-1 vs. spread last eight at home (3-1 TY). Zimmer “under” 18-9-2 since late 2017. Vikes 2-6 last 8 as dog.
            Tech Edge: Cowboys and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


            Monday, Nov. 11

            SEATTLE at SAN FRANCISCO (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)

            Hawks have covered six straight as road dog. Visitor and dog is 9-2 vs. line last eleven Seattle games since late LY. Hawks had won 10 in a row SU vs. Niners prior to loss last December at Levi’s.
            Tech Edge: Seahawks, based on team and series trends.

            Comment


            • 107LA CHARGERS -108 OAKLAND
              OAKLAND is 14-43 ATS (-33.3 Units) in home games vs. losing teams since 1992.

              251KANSAS CITY -252 TENNESSEE
              KANSAS CITY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents in the last 2 seasons.

              253BUFFALO -254 CLEVELAND
              CLEVELAND is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return in the last 3 seasons.

              255ARIZONA -256 TAMPA BAY
              TAMPA BAY is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after 2 straight overs in the last 2 seasons.

              257NY GIANTS -258 NY JETS
              NY GIANTS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game over the last 2 seasons.

              259ATLANTA -260 NEW ORLEANS
              NEW ORLEANS are 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread in the last 2 seasons.

              259ATLANTA -260 NEW ORLEANS
              ATLANTA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game in the last 2 seasons.

              261BALTIMORE -262 CINCINNATI
              BALTIMORE is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=375 yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992.

              263CAROLINA -264 GREEN BAY
              GREEN BAY is 37-14 ATS (21.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

              265DETROIT -266 CHICAGO
              CHICAGO is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in home games after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992.

              267MIAMI -268 INDIANAPOLIS
              MIAMI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game in the last 3 seasons.

              269LA RAMS -270 PITTSBURGH
              PITTSBURGH is 64-30 ATS (31 Units) vs. good passing QB (>7 PYA) since 1992.

              271MINNESOTA -272 DALLAS
              MINNESOTA is 20-8 ATS (11.2 Units) in games played on turf in the last 3 seasons.

              273SEATTLE -274 SAN FRANCISCO
              SAN FRANCISCO is 33-11 ATS (20.9 Units) when playing on Monday night since 1992.

              Comment


              • NFL
                Long Sheet

                Week 10


                Thursday, November 7

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                LA CHARGERS (4 - 5) at OAKLAND (4 - 4) - 11/7/2019, 8:20 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                LA CHARGERS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
                LA CHARGERS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                LA CHARGERS is 103-73 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
                LA CHARGERS is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
                LA CHARGERS is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
                OAKLAND is 54-85 ATS (-39.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
                OAKLAND is 30-51 ATS (-26.1 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
                OAKLAND is 40-82 ATS (-50.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
                OAKLAND is 23-44 ATS (-25.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                LA CHARGERS is 4-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
                LA CHARGERS is 4-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
                4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Sunday, November 10

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                KANSAS CITY (6 - 3) at TENNESSEE (4 - 5) - 11/10/2019, 1:00 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                KANSAS CITY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                KANSAS CITY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
                TENNESSEE is 118-157 ATS (-54.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
                TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
                1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                BUFFALO (6 - 2) at CLEVELAND (2 - 6) - 11/10/2019, 1:00 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                CLEVELAND is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
                CLEVELAND is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
                CLEVELAND is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                ARIZONA (3 - 5 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (2 - 6) - 11/10/2019, 1:00 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                TAMPA BAY is 65-41 ATS (+19.9 Units) in November games since 1992.
                ARIZONA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
                ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
                1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                NY GIANTS (2 - 7) at NY JETS (1 - 7) - 11/10/2019, 1:00 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                NY GIANTS are 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
                NY GIANTS are 39-65 ATS (-32.5 Units) in November games since 1992.
                NY GIANTS are 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
                NY GIANTS are 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
                NY GIANTS are 57-34 ATS (+19.6 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.
                NY JETS are 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                NY JETS are 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                ATLANTA (1 - 7) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 1) - 11/10/2019, 1:00 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                ATLANTA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                ATLANTA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                ATLANTA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                ATLANTA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons.
                ATLANTA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons.
                ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
                NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
                NEW ORLEANS is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
                NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
                3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                BALTIMORE (6 - 2) at CINCINNATI (0 - 8) - 11/10/2019, 1:00 PM
                There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                CINCINNATI is 4-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
                BALTIMORE is 3-2 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
                3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                CAROLINA (5 - 3) at GREEN BAY (7 - 2) - 11/10/2019, 4:25 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                GREEN BAY is 113-84 ATS (+20.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
                GREEN BAY is 197-142 ATS (+40.8 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
                GREEN BAY is 73-47 ATS (+21.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
                CAROLINA is 120-89 ATS (+22.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
                CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
                1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                DETROIT (3 - 4 - 1) at CHICAGO (3 - 5) - 11/10/2019, 1:00 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                CHICAGO is 54-80 ATS (-34.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                CHICAGO is 2-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
                CHICAGO is 2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
                2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                MIAMI (1 - 7) at INDIANAPOLIS (5 - 3) - 11/10/2019, 4:05 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                MIAMI is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
                MIAMI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
                INDIANAPOLIS is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
                INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
                1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                LA RAMS (5 - 3) at PITTSBURGH (4 - 4) - 11/10/2019, 4:25 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                LA RAMS is 72-105 ATS (-43.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
                PITTSBURGH is 82-55 ATS (+21.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
                LA RAMS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                MINNESOTA (6 - 3) at DALLAS (5 - 3) - 11/10/2019, 8:20 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                MINNESOTA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
                MINNESOTA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Monday, November 11

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                SEATTLE (7 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (8 - 0) - 11/11/2019, 8:15 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                SAN FRANCISCO is 33-11 ATS (+20.9 Units) when playing on Monday night since 1992.
                SEATTLE is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
                SEATTLE is 3-1 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
                2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Comment


                • NFL

                  Week 10


                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Trend Report
                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Thursday, November 7

                  Oakland Raiders
                  Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                  Oakland is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games
                  Oakland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
                  Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
                  The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Oakland's last 16 games at home
                  Oakland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Chargers
                  Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
                  Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
                  Oakland is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
                  Los Angeles Chargers
                  LA Chargers is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
                  LA Chargers is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Chargers's last 8 games
                  LA Chargers is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
                  LA Chargers is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 7 games on the road
                  LA Chargers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
                  LA Chargers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing Oakland
                  LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
                  LA Chargers is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Oakland
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oakland


                  Sunday, November 10

                  Chicago Bears
                  Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
                  Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 13 games
                  Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                  Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
                  The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games at home
                  Chicago is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
                  Chicago is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Detroit
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Detroit
                  Chicago is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Detroit
                  Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
                  Detroit Lions
                  Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
                  Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
                  Detroit is 4-8-1 SU in its last 13 games on the road
                  Detroit is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
                  Detroit is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Chicago
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Chicago
                  Detroit is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
                  Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
                  Detroit is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Chicago
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago

                  New Orleans Saints
                  New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                  New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                  New Orleans is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
                  New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
                  New Orleans is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Atlanta
                  New Orleans is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
                  New Orleans is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Atlanta
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
                  Atlanta Falcons
                  Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
                  Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
                  Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                  Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
                  Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
                  Atlanta is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing New Orleans
                  Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
                  Atlanta is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans

                  Tennessee Titans
                  Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
                  Tennessee is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games at home
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 8 games at home
                  Tennessee is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
                  Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
                  Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
                  Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
                  Kansas City Chiefs
                  Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
                  Kansas City is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games
                  Kansas City is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
                  Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                  The total has gone OVER in 11 of Kansas City's last 14 games on the road
                  Kansas City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
                  Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
                  Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
                  Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee

                  Cincinnati Bengals
                  Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
                  Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
                  Cincinnati is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home
                  Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games at home
                  Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
                  Cincinnati is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Baltimore
                  Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore
                  Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore
                  Baltimore Ravens
                  Baltimore is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
                  Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
                  Baltimore is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
                  Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
                  Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
                  Baltimore is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati
                  Baltimore is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
                  Baltimore is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati

                  Cleveland Browns
                  Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
                  Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
                  Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                  Cleveland is 6-18-1 SU in its last 25 games at home
                  The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Cleveland's last 24 games at home
                  Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
                  Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
                  Buffalo Bills
                  Buffalo is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
                  Buffalo is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games
                  Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                  Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
                  Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
                  Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Cleveland

                  New York Jets
                  NY Jets is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games
                  NY Jets is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games
                  NY Jets is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
                  NY Jets is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home
                  NY Jets is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
                  NY Jets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
                  NY Jets is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
                  NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
                  New York Giants
                  NY Giants is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
                  NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
                  NY Giants is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
                  NY Giants is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games on the road
                  NY Giants is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
                  NY Giants is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
                  NY Giants is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets

                  Tampa Bay Buccaneers
                  Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
                  Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
                  Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                  Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
                  The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Tampa Bay's last 22 games at home
                  Tampa Bay is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
                  Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
                  The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games when playing Arizona
                  Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
                  Arizona Cardinals
                  Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                  Arizona is 3-9-1 SU in its last 13 games
                  Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                  Arizona is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
                  Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
                  Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
                  The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games when playing Tampa Bay
                  Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

                  Indianapolis Colts
                  Indianapolis is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
                  Indianapolis is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games at home
                  Indianapolis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
                  Indianapolis is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
                  Indianapolis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
                  Miami Dolphins
                  Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                  Miami is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
                  Miami is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
                  Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                  The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 12 games on the road
                  Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Indianapolis
                  Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
                  Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis

                  Green Bay Packers
                  Green Bay is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
                  Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games
                  Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
                  Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Carolina
                  Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
                  Carolina Panthers
                  Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
                  Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games
                  Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                  Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                  Carolina is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
                  Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
                  Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay

                  Pittsburgh Steelers
                  Pittsburgh is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
                  Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
                  Pittsburgh is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
                  Pittsburgh is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
                  The total has gone OVER in 14 of Pittsburgh's last 20 games at home
                  Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
                  Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
                  Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
                  Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Rams
                  Los Angeles Rams
                  LA Rams is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
                  LA Rams is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 7 games
                  LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                  LA Rams is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                  The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 8 games on the road
                  LA Rams is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
                  LA Rams is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
                  LA Rams is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
                  LA Rams is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

                  Dallas Cowboys
                  Dallas is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 11 games
                  Dallas is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
                  Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
                  The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games at home
                  Dallas is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
                  Dallas is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
                  Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
                  Minnesota Vikings
                  Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 15 games
                  Minnesota is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
                  Minnesota is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
                  The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games on the road
                  Minnesota is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
                  Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Dallas
                  Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas


                  Monday, November 11

                  San Francisco 49ers
                  San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games
                  San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
                  San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home
                  San Francisco is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Seattle
                  San Francisco is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Seattle
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing Seattle
                  San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
                  San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
                  Seattle Seahawks
                  Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 13 of Seattle's last 18 games
                  Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                  Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games on the road
                  Seattle is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games when playing San Francisco
                  Seattle is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Francisco
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing San Francisco
                  Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
                  Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco


                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Comment


                  • NFL
                    Dunkel

                    Week 10



                    Thursday, November 7

                    LA Chargers @ Oakland


                    Game 107-108
                    November 7, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    LA Chargers
                    134.505
                    Oakland
                    130.969
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    LA Chargers
                    by 3 1/2
                    54
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    LA Chargers
                    Pick
                    48
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    LA Chargers
                    Over


                    Sunday, November 10

                    Baltimore @ Cincinnati


                    Game 261-262
                    November 10, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Baltimore
                    134.439
                    Cincinnati
                    127.788
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Baltimore
                    by 6 1/2
                    39
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Baltimore
                    by 10
                    46
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Cincinnati
                    (+10); Under

                    Kansas City @ Tennessee


                    Game 251-252
                    November 10, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Kansas City
                    136.827
                    Tennessee
                    129.623
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Kansas City
                    by 7
                    51
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Kansas City
                    by 4
                    48
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Kansas City
                    (-4); Over

                    Arizona @ Tampa Bay


                    Game 255-256
                    November 10, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Arizona
                    126.803
                    Tampa Bay
                    128.994
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Tampa Bay
                    by 2
                    49
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Tampa Bay
                    by 4 1/2
                    52 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Arizona
                    (+4 1/2); Under

                    Detroit @ Chicago


                    Game 265-266
                    November 10, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Detroit
                    129.906
                    Chicago
                    129.780
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Detroit
                    Even
                    38
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Chicago
                    by 3
                    42 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Detroit
                    (+3); Under

                    Atlanta @ New Orleans


                    Game 259-260
                    November 10, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Atlanta
                    122.507
                    New Orleans
                    139.694
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    New Orleans
                    by 17
                    54
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    New Orleans
                    by 12 1/2
                    51 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    New Orleans
                    (-12 1/2); Over

                    Buffalo @ Cleveland


                    Game 253-254
                    November 10, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Buffalo
                    129.831
                    Cleveland
                    129.355
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Buffalo
                    Even
                    37
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Cleveland
                    by 3
                    40 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Buffalo
                    (+3); Under

                    NY Giants @ NY Jets


                    Game 257-258
                    November 10, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    NY Giants
                    122.287
                    NY Jets
                    117.176
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    NY Giants
                    by 5
                    46
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    NY Giants
                    by 1 1/2
                    42 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    NY Giants
                    (-1 1/2); Over

                    Miami @ Indianapolis


                    Game 267-268
                    November 10, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Miami
                    123.576
                    Indianapolis
                    130.333
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Indianapolis
                    by 7
                    39
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Indianapolis
                    by 11
                    44 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Miami
                    (+11); Under

                    LA Rams @ Pittsburgh


                    Game 269-270
                    November 10, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    LA Rams
                    134.742
                    Pittsburgh
                    133.838
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    LA Rams
                    by 1
                    41
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    LA Rams
                    by 4
                    45
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Pittsburgh
                    (+4); Under

                    Carolina @ Green Bay


                    Game 263-264
                    November 10, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Carolina
                    133.861
                    Green Bay
                    135.198
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Green Bay
                    by 1 1/2
                    44
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Green Bay
                    by 5 1/2
                    48
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Carolina
                    (+5 1/2); Under

                    Minnesota @ Dallas


                    Game 271-272
                    November 10, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Minnesota
                    137.255
                    Dallas
                    134.726
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Minnesota
                    by 2 1/2
                    45
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Dallas
                    by 3
                    47
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Minnesota
                    (+3); Under


                    Monday, November 11

                    Seattle @ San Francisco


                    Game 273-274
                    November 11, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Seattle
                    130.856
                    San Francisco
                    141.428
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    San Francisco
                    by 10 1/2
                    48
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    San Francisco
                    by 6
                    45 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    San Francisco
                    (-6); Over

                    Comment


                    • NFL
                      Armadillo's Write-Up

                      Week 10


                      Chargers (4-5) @ Raiders (4-4)
                      — Chargers won last two games after a 2-5 start; they outrushed Green Bay 159-45 LW, first time since Week 2 they ran for 100+ yards. Bolts held last two foes (Chi-GB) to two TD’s on 19 drives; they split four road games TY, seven of their last eight games stayed under the total. Under Lynn, LA is 4-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points, 0-2-1 TY. Oakland covered four of last five games, won two of three SU at home; four of their last five games went over. Raiders allowed 24+ points in six of its last seven games. Chargers won last four series games, last three by combined score of 76-26; they won 17-16/20-6 in last two visits to Oakland.

                      Chiefs (6-3) @ Titans (4-5)
                      — Mahomes (knee) may return here; check status. Chiefs are 4-0 SU on road, 2-3 at home TY; they’re 13-6 ATS in last 19 games as a road favorite, 3-1 TY. KC has only one takeaway in its last three games and scored only 22 points in last six red zone drives. Tennessee won its last two home games by total of 7 points; their home losses are by 2-7 points. Titans covered four of last six games as a home underdog; all three Tannehill starts went over. Tennessee won last three series games, winning last meeting 22-21 in a 2017 playoff game at Arrowhead. This is KC’s first visit to Nashville since ’13. AFC West teams are 14-12 ATS outside the division, 2-2 as road favorites; AFC South teams 13-11 ATS, 8-5 as an underdog.

                      Bills (6-2) @ Browns (2-6)
                      — Cleveland lost its last four games, giving up 28.5 ppg; they lost all three home games SU, by 30-7-4 points. Browns are 0-3 in games decided by 7 or less points, 5-11 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite, 0-2 TY. Buffalo is 19-12-2 ATS in last 33 games as a road underdog, 2-0 TY; they’re 3-0 SU on road, last of which was in Week 5. Bills were held to 10-13 points in their two losses; six of eight Buffalo games stayed under the total. Buffalo won four of last five series games; last four meetings were all decided by 10+ points. Bills lost two of last three visits to Dawg Pound. AFC East underdogs are 4-6 ATS outside the division, 2-3 on road; AFC North home favorites are 0-8 ATS outside the division.

                      Cardinals (3-5-1) @ Buccaneers (2-6)
                      — Tampa Bay is 4-15-1 ATS in its last 20 games as a home favorite; Bucs’ coach Arians faces his old team (49-30-1 from 2013-17) here- this is Tampa Bay’s first home game since Week 3. Bucs lost their last four games overall, giving up 33.8 ppg- they scored 32.8 ppg in five games where they turned ball over less than two times. Cardinals covered four of last five games, three of four road games; they haven’t turned ball over at all (+4) in their last five games. Redbirds are 7-4-1 ATS in last dozen games as a road underdog, 3-1 TY. Arizona won last three series games, winning last one 38-33 two years ago. NFC West road underdogs are 7-1 ATS outside their division.

                      Giants (2-6) vs Jets (1-7)
                      — This is both teams’ home field; not much to choose from here. Giants turned ball over three times in their 37-18 home loss to Dallas Monday nite; they’ve coughed ball up 16 times (-5) in their last six games, are 1-4 SU on this field, with only win over Washington. Three of their last four games went over total. Jets lost last three games, by 33-14-8 points; they were outscored 64-19 in first half of those games. Gang Green has a -12 turnover ratio in last five games- five of their seven losses are by 14+ points. Giants won five of last six series games; two of last four meetings went to OT. NFC East non-divisional favorites are 3-7 ATS; AFC East non-divisional underdogs are 4-6 ATS.

                      Comment


                      • Bet Now/Bet Later NFL Week 10 odds: Take your time with those Tampa Bay bets
                        Jason Logan

                        Tampa Bay opened as big as -6 hosting Arizona and has watched that line drop as low as -4, with money on the road underdog in NFL Week 10.

                        Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team but betting the best number.

                        Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window – or your mobile – to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it’s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.

                        Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best “Bet Now/Bet Later” games on the NFL Week 10 board, so download the new Covers Live App and punch these odds into your line alerts.

                        SPREAD TO BET NOW: BUFFALO BILLS AT CLEVELAND BROWNS (-3, 40)

                        Have you seen that image of Baker Mayfield in the postgame press conference after last week’s loss to Denver? Of course, you have. That meme-inspiring mug shot is the personification of how the betting public views the Browns right now. And it ain’t pretty.

                        Cleveland is sitting as a field-goal favorite hosting the Buffalo Bills in Week 10, and that line is swinging towards the road team. There are some books that have already ticked off the key number to -2.5 (and a handful that actually went to -2) while others are on their way, with discounted juiced on Cleveland -3 trying to stick to the field goal.

                        If you like the Bills in this one, grab them +3 if you can. Buffalo has bookended a bad loss at home to Philadelphia in Week 8 with cupcake wins over the Dolphins and Redskins, but is 3-0 ATS as a visitor in 2019.

                        SPREAD TO BET LATER: ARIZONA CARDINALS AT TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-4.5, 51.5)

                        The Buccaneers are back home for the first time in almost 50 days in Week 10 and welcome the Arizona Cardinals to Raymond James Sunday. Oddsmakers sent out Tampa Bay as big as a 6-point home chalk and that has been bet down to -4.5 with money on the underdog.

                        Now, the Bucs have had some bad luck in the past two games. Tampa Bay was robbed of a vital scoop-and-score at Tennessee in Week 8 and got hosed on a similar call in its overtime loss to Seattle last Sunday. This team could easily be on a two-game winning streak and this spread would look much different.

                        Arizona put up a good fight versus San Francisco and has a mini bye due to that Thursday outing in Week 9. Even after the move to -4.5 (and -4 at select markets), some books are slimming the vig on Tampa Bay and at that dead number, a sudden jolt to -3.5 isn’t out of the question. In you’re backing the Buccos, play the waiting game.

                        TOTAL TO BET NOW: MIAMI DOLPHINS AT INDIANAPOLIS COLTS UNDER 43.5

                        The status of Colts QB Jacoby Brissett will have a large impact on this number, after getting his knee and ankle twisted up in Week 9. Brissett is playing well – safe but well – for Indianapolis in the wake of Andrew Luck’s sudden retirement, but this offense is still very much about the run (46.7 percent rushing plays).

                        Given his importance to the Colts’ playoff chances and the fact that this week’s opponent is Miami – the red-hot Fins, I should add – the team will likely lean to resting Brissett, bringing out backup QB Brian Hoyer to hand off a lot.

                        Once Brissett is officially announced out of action, the public will overreact to his absence and walk this total down a few more points. If you like the Under in this one, bet it now at 43.5. The Dolphins offense is still a mess, just lost RB Mark Walton to a suspension, and Indy will ground and pound in what should be a very uneventful afternoon.

                        TOTAL TO BET LATER: LOS ANGELES RAMS AT PITTSBURGH STEELERS OVER 44

                        This non-conference clash opened with the Over/Under as high as 45.5 and has watched a point and a half chopped off with early money on the Under. The Rams are coming off a bye week and suffocated a pair bad teams – Atlanta and Cincinnati – to 10 points apiece in their last two outings.

                        The Steelers defense has looked solid since Week 4, giving up just 16.8 points per game over their last five contests. Also working in Pittsburgh’s favor could be the forecast, which is calling for a little “Guns N’ Roses” late on Sunday: cold November rain. That’s a far cry from the sun and surf of southern California.

                        Los Angeles has put up some sizable numbers on the road this season, averaging 28 points as a visitor in 2019, and while a lot will be made of QB Jared Goff’s career home/road splits, the production isn’t that different to warrant an auto-Under play. If you’re thinking about the Over in this 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff, play it cool and see how low the total will go before pulling the trigger.

                        Comment


                        • Best spot bets for the NFL Week 10 odds: Baltimore bettors in a bad situation
                          Jason Logan

                          The Ravens have shown a tendency to play down to opponents, going 0-6 ATS in their last six meetings with a losing team, and are just 3-5 ATS on the year.

                          With nine weeks of NFL season on the tires, teams can be even more susceptible to situational spots – AKA spots bets – in the backend of the schedule. Football bettors will want to give the calendar a once-over while handicapping the NFL odds, circling the possible letdowns, lookaheads, and schedule spots that could hold value.

                          Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan does just that in NFL Week 10, giving his favorite spot bet opportunities and how they could impact this Sunday’s outcomes.

                          LETDOWN SPOT: BALTIMORE RAVENS AT CINCINNATI BENGALS (+10. 45.5)

                          There are few bigger highs than taking a win from the Patriots. That’s where we find the Baltimore Ravens in Week 10, playing the downtrodden Cincinnati Bengals a week removed from putting the boots to Brady & Co.

                          Baltimore not only has to deal with that change in intensity – from battling an undefeated Super Bowl champ to facing an 0-8 Bengals teams starting rookie QB Ryan Finley – but takes a sour smack of a situational sandwich, walking into a possible lookahead spot as well, with a huge home stand against Houston in Week 11 (which could have playoff seeding implications).

                          The Ravens have shown a tendency to play down to opponents, going 0-6 ATS in their last six meetings with a losing team, and are just 3-5 ATS on the year. Baltimore blew away Miami in Week 1, battled hard for a win in Seattle in Week 7, and upset New England at home last week. But the Ravens failed to cover versus the likes of Arizona, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and these very Bengals in Week 6.


                          LOOKAHEAD SPOT: MIAMI DOLPHINS AT INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-10.5, 44)

                          If any team was going to look past this week’s foe, the Colts have the best case. Indianapolis was biting its nails while waiting for word on QB Jacoby Brissett’s health after he suffered a knee injury last Sunday. Brissett looks like he avoided any serious damage but his status for Week 10’s home date versus Miami is still undetermined.

                          While he may be able to grit it out, the Colts might not need him to suit up to upend the Dolphins, and backup Brian Hoyer may get the nod. Even if Brissett does play, expect the team to protect any further injury as they plan for a big divisional matchup with the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 11.

                          The Jaguars are coming off the bye week and making a move to the returning Nick Foles at QB, benching rookie passer and pop-culture phenomenon Gardner Minshew. Indianapolis will be playing it safe ahead of that divisional dance and brings a 0-5-1 ATS mark in its last six meetings with losing teams into a Week 10 game against one of the NFL's worst.


                          SCHEDULE SPOT: ARIZONA CARDINALS AT TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-4.5, 51)

                          It’s a pirate’s life for the Buccaneers, who have been out to sea for nearly 50 days before making port at Raymond James Stadium in Week 10. Tampa Bay is coming off a grueling stretch of games away from home, starting at L.A. in Week 4 and spanning a trip to London, England in Week 6, a bye in Week 7, and back-to-back controversial losses at Tennessee and Seattle the past two outings.

                          This matchup with the Cardinals is just Tampa Bay’s third true road game of the season, having lost the other two to San Francisco and the New York Giants. There’s a lot of motivation to get the football-starved Florida faithful a victory this Sunday and the home-field edge could be just what the Buccaneers need to get over the hump after four of their six losses were decided by a touchdown or less.

                          The Bucs could easily be taking a two-game winning streak into this matchup with Arizona, if not for some botched calls by the officials in Weeks 8 and 9. We saw the Oakland Raiders in a similar schedule spot in Week 9, returning home for the first time after a 49-day period with a bang: winning and covering as 2-point chalk over Detroit last Sunday.

                          Comment


                          • by: Josh Inglis


                            MVP PATH GOES THROUGH SAN FRAN

                            The San Francisco 49ers stand as the only undefeated team in the league having won against QBs Kyler Murray, Kyle Allen, Case Keenum, Jared Goff, Baker Mayfield and Mason Rudolph in the last month and a half.

                            Out of all those signal callers, the more mobile Murray was the one whose offense put up 357 yards (the most San Francico has allowed this year) and 19 first downs (the most allowed since Week 2). This Monday, the 49ers will start a tough schedule where they have to play three Super Bowl-winning quarterbacks in a month, starting with the league’s MVP frontrunner: Russell Wilson.

                            Wilson is coming into this matchup with a league-best passer rating of 118.2 and 22 touchdowns to one interception. The Seattle Seahawks QB will have to use his legs and elusiveness to breakdown the league’s best DVOA pass defense and aggressive pass rush.

                            Wilson will face a San Fran defense that plays zone more than nearly every other team in the league. Per Sharp Football, Wilson picks up 9.3 yards per attempt and has a 61-percent success versus zone defenses, compared to 6.7 YPA and 45 percent versus man coverage.

                            This is good news for the Seahawks receivers D.K. Metcalf, Jaron Brown and Josh Gordon, who average six-foot-three and nearly 220 pounds. Look for Wilson to use that size advantage versus the smaller San Francisco secondary while also allowing Tyler Lockett to do what he does: 19 catches for 252 yards and two scores in his last two games.

                            San Francisco's loss of linebacker Kwon Alexander is also a huge problem as he was ranked as the best coverage linebacker in the league per ProFootballFocus.

                            We like the Seahawks +6. They are also 3-1 ATS on the road this year with the only ATS loss being a 7-point win in Atlanta as 7.5-point chalk.


                            JONES EATS WITH THE LEAD

                            Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Ronald Jones started again last week and outperformed Peyton Barber for the second straight week.

                            In games where Jones receives at least 14 carries (three games), the RB is averaging 4.3 yards per carry with two TDs. The problem for Jones lies in the game flow. If Tampa Bay is playing from behind, then third-down back Dare Ogunbowale will get the majority of the snaps. With the 3-5-1 Arizona Cardinals on deck for Sunday, the Bucs will have a much better shot at playing with the lead as 4.5-point home favorites.

                            The Cardinals sit 23rd in rush attempts against at 28 and are allowing 4.5 yards per carry. However, stay away from the Jones anytime TD prop as Arizona is tied for third fewest rushing TDs allowed.

                            We like Jones’ total yards prop better than just rushing as he has been steadily chipping in one or two grabs a game and averaging 15.5 yards per reception. Take the Over on Jones’ total yards on any number below 82.


                            THURSDAY NIGHT AIR RAID

                            No team in the league has allowed more passing touchdowns than the Oakland Raiders. So far in 2019, Jon Gruden’s team is giving up 2.7 touchdowns through the air per game and is allowing a tasty 3.7 passing TDs a game over its last three.

                            This is great news for Los Angeles Chargers QB Philip Rivers, whose team is coming off a dominating performance versus Green Bay last week where Rivers tossed for 294 yards but no touchdown passes. Rivers has not been held to zero touchdowns in back-to-back games since December 2015 and has 45 TDs in 26 career games against the Raiders including three straight games of two or more versus his AFC West rivals.

                            We are jumping on the Rivers Over 1.5 TDs play for some Thursday Night Football action.


                            SOMEONE HAS TO WIN THIS GAME

                            Just when things were getting exciting for the Giants as the offense was finally getting healthy, Sterling Shepard re-entered concussion protocol before Monday night’s game and now Evan Engram is dealing with a foot injury.

                            Having lost five straight games while averaging a league-worst 2.4 giveaways, things are looking bleak ahead of their game against the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium on Sunday.

                            Speaking of turnovers, this game could easily feature half a dozen as the Jets are just as bad at keeping the ball, turning it over 3.3 times over their last three games. Despite all the poor quarterback play from both teams, playing on a short week won’t help the Giants get healthier versus a Jets team that just lost to the lowly Dolphins – an added motivation.

                            We’re grabbing the home dogs at +3 as it looks as if that line will move under that key number, with some markets already showing +2.5.

                            Comment


                            • NFL
                              Armadillo's Write-Up

                              Week 10


                              Falcons (1-7) @ Saints (7-1)
                              — Atlanta shuffled some assistant coaches during bye week, signed their 5th punter of year; not good. Falcons lost their last six games (1-5 ATS); they’re 0-4 SU on road, losing by 16-3-1-21 points- they’re 1-9 ATS in last ten games a road underdog, 0-3 TY. Three of their four road games went over total. New Orleans won/covered its last six games; Brees came back from injury last game and threw for 373 yards. Saints won last three series games, by 10-6-14 points; Falcons lost six of last eight visits to Bourbon Street, losing 23-13/31-17 in last two. Both teams are coming off a bye; Atlanta covered six of last eight post-bye games, New Orleans is 8-1-1 ATS in last ten post-bye tilts.

                              Ravens (6-2) @ Bengals (0-8)
                              — Trap game for Ravens after they spanked Patriots LW. Rookie QB Finley gets his first NFL start here for winless Bengals; QB’s making their first career start this season are an amazing 9-1 ATS (5-4-1 SU). Ravens (-11) beat Bengals 23-17 at home four weeks ago, running ball for 269 yards- they outgained Cincy 497-250. Teams split season series last three years; Ravens lost six of last seven visits to Cincy. Ravens won last four games, scoring 25.3 ppg; they’re 7-12-1 ATS ij last 20 games as a road favorite, 1-1 TY- five of their last six games went over. Bengals are 0-3 SU at home, losing by 24-3-10 points; they covered one of last five post-bye games. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

                              Panthers (5-3) @ Packers (7-2)
                              — Carolina won five of six Allen starts; they’re 2-1 SU in true road games, with only loss at 8-0 49ers- their last four games went over. Panthers are 13-7 ATS in last 20 games as a road underdog, 2-1 TY. Packers had 4-game win streak snapped by Chargers LW; LA outgained them 442-184. Green Bay is 23-14-2 in last 39 games as a home favorite, 3-2 TY. Five of their last seven games went over. Since 2015, Packers are 13-15 ATS coming off a loss. Carolina won last two series games, 37-29/31-24; this is Carolina’s first trip to Lambeau in five years- they’re 2-4 SU in Green Bay. NFC South road underdogs are 5-7 ATS outside the division; NFC North home favorites are 5-5.

                              Lions (3-4-1) @ Bears (3-5)
                              — Detroit had ball on Oakland’s 1-yard line at end of LW’s game, didn’t score and lost for third time TY by 7 or less points- only one of Lions’ eight games was decided by more than 7 points. Under Patricia, Detroit is 6-3 ATS as a road underdog, 2-1 TY. Last six Detroit games went over the total. Bears lost last four games, outscored 48-19 in first half; they have one takeaway (-4) in last three games, after having 10 in first five games. Chicago is 1-3 ATS as a home favorite TY, after being 6-0 LY. Bears are 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 games with a spread of 3 or fewer points. Chicago swept Lions 34-22/23-16 LY, after losing nine of previous ten series games; Detroit lost two of last three visits to the Windy City.

                              Dolphins (1-7) @ Colts (5-3)
                              — Indy QB Brissett has sprained MCL (check status). Miami led its last three games at halftime; they covered last four games, but have been outscored 136-25 in 2nd half of games this year. Dolphins are 5-13 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog, 2-1 TY. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Colts had 3-game win snapped when they missed a 43-yard FG with 1:11 left; Indy won three of four home games, is 7-5-1 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite. Five of their eight games were decided by 3 or fewer points or in OT. Indy won six of last seven series games; five of the six wins were by 6 or fewer points. AFC South non-divisional home favorites are 4-5 ATS; AFC East underdogs are 4-6 ATS, 2-3 on road.

                              Rams (5-3) @ Steelers (4-4)
                              — Steelers won last three games after a 1-4 start; they covered five of last six games, are 3-2 SU at home, with two losses by total of 5 points. Over last decade, Pitt is 9-4-1 ATS as a home underdog, 2-0 TY- they’ve had a positive TO ratio in their last seven games. LA won its last two games, converting 15-29 3rd down plays, after a 3-game skid when they were 7-31 on 3rd down. Rams are 10-6 as road favorites under McVay, 9-2-1 ATS in last 12 post-bye games, winning 51-17/30-16 in last two. Pitt won last three series games by combined score of 80-30; Rams lost five of last six visits to Steel City, with their last win here in ’03. AFC North home teams are 1-10 ATS outside their division; NFC West road favorites are 3-2.

                              Vikings (6-3) @ Cowboys (5-3)
                              — Minnesota won four of last five games, losing on last-second FG at Arrowhead LW; Vikings are 6-10 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog, 0-3 TY— they held six of eight opponents to 21 or fewer points. Cowboys scored 31+ points in all five of their wins, 10-24-22 in their losses. Dallas is 6-3-1 ATS in last 10 games as a home favorite, 3-1 TY; they ran ball for 189-172 yards in their last two games, both divisional wins. Three of last four games for both teams went over the total. Teams split last six series games, with last one in ‘16; Vikings split last six visits here, last of which was in ’13. NFC East teams are 9-14 ATS outside the division, 3-3 as HF; NFC North teams are 11-12-1 ATS, 2-3 as road underdogs.

                              Seahawks (7-2) @ 49ers (8-0)
                              — Richard Sherman’s first game against his old team. Seattle won 10 of last 11 series games; their 26-23 OT loss here LY was their first loss in last five trips to Santa Clara. Unbeaten 49ers are 5-3 ATS this year, 2-1 as HF’s; five of their eight wins are by 13+ points- they held six of eight foes under 300 TY, holding five opponents under 250. Seattle rallied from down 21-7 LW to beat the Bucs in OT; Seahawks scored 28.5 ppg in winning all four of their road games; they’re 5-1-1 ATS in last seven games as a road underdog. 2-0 TY. Seattle ran ball for 145+ yards in four of last five games; they allowed 33-30 points in their two losses, giving up three defensive TDs and a punt return TD in those two games.

                              Comment


                              • TNF - Chargers at Raiders
                                Kevin Rogers

                                LAST WEEK
                                For the first time this season, the Chargers (4-5 SU, 3-5-1 ATS) are coming off consecutive victories after dominating the Packers, 26-11 as four-point home underdogs. Although Los Angeles didn’t score its first touchdown until the second half, the Chargers owned a 9-0 halftime lead and were aided by a pair of Melvin Gordon short touchdown runs to build a commanding 26-3 advantage.

                                The Chargers picked up their first home win since a Week 1 overtime triumph over the Colts as L.A.’s defense stepped up by holding Green Bay to 13 first downs and 184 total yards. The Lightning Bolts posted 442 yards of offense, its highest output since a Week 2 loss at Detroit when Los Angeles racked up 424 yards offensively in spite of scoring only 10 points. Philip Rivers was held without a touchdown pass for the first time in four games, but Gordon busted out with 80 yards rushing after putting up 112 yards in the previous four contests combined.

                                The Raiders (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS) climbed back to the .500 mark after holding off the Lions, 31-24 at the Coliseum last Sunday. Rookie Josh Jacobs found the end zone twice in the first half, while quarterback Derek Carr hit Hunter Renfrow on the go-ahead touchdown for Oakland with two minutes remaining in regulation. Detroit had an opportunity to tie the game in the final seconds with four and goal at the Oakland 1-yard line, but Matthew Stafford’s pass was incomplete and the Raiders grabbed their first home victory since Week 1 against Denver.

                                Jacobs has topped the 120-yard rushing mark for the third time in four games, while the Raiders are 3-0 when he scores a touchdown (he has actually scored twice in all three of those wins). Carr has been intercepted only once in the last five games, leading the Raiders to at least 24 points or more in five consecutive contests. The Raiders are allowing the most passing yards per game by averaging nearly 300 a contest, as Stafford and Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers each threw for over 400 yards in two of the past three weeks.

                                SERIES HISTORY
                                It’s been all Chargers the last two seasons against their rivals from the East Bay as Los Angeles is 4-0 both straight up and against the spread. Oakland actually posted a 4-0 mark against the Lightning Bolts from 2015-2016, which included three wins by three points each. The Chargers broke that four-game skid with a 17-16 triumph in Oakland in October 2017, followed by a 30-10 rout in the season finale at home.

                                In Jon Gruden’s return to the Raiders’ sidelines last season, the Raiders couldn’t figure out the Chargers in a pair of double-digit defeats that each finished ‘under’ the total. The Bolts cruised past the Raiders at home, 26-10 as five-point favorites in Week 5 of 2018, led by 339 yards passing and two touchdown passes by Rivers. Los Angeles took care of Oakland at the Black Hole in the next meeting five weeks later, 20-6 as 10 ½-point favorites, highlighted by two touchdown tosses from Rivers, including a 66-yard scoring play to Gordon.

                                TWO MUCH?
                                The Raiders have won back-to-back games only once since Gruden came back to Oakland in 2018 and that was earlier this season in victories over the Colts and Bears. Both came as an underdog and both came away from the Coliseum, as Oakland is 0-4 since last season off a home win. The Chargers are fresh off their first two-game winning streak of the season, while playing only their second division opponent of 2019 after losing to Denver back in Week 5.

                                TRUST THE CHALK?
                                The Chargers won their last two games in the underdog role against the Bears and Packers, but Anthony Lynn’s squad has covered only once when laying points this season, coming at Miami in Week 4 as 15-point favorites. Thursday night favorites this season have cashed twice in nine opportunities, including a pair of straight up wins/non-covers the last two weeks with the Vikings and 49ers as double-digit chalk not covering the spread in victories. The only road favorite to win and cover on Thursday night this season did so in a battle of AFC West teams in Week 7 when the Chiefs blew out the Broncos, 30-3.

                                TOTAL TALK
                                The 2019 Thursday Night Football matchup has had solid back-and-forth total results with the ‘under’ holding a 5-4 record and that includes the Week 1 outcome between the Packers and Bears.

                                Of the nine games, six of them were divisional matchups and the ‘under’ has produced a 4-2 record in those contests but the two ‘over’ tickets did occur on the West Coast.

                                Will that trend continue this week at RingCentral Coliseum from Oakland? Chris David of VegasInsider.com offered up his thoughts on this total.

                                “Part of my handicapping philosophy is that results usually find a way to balance out in the long run and we saw that firsthand last Sunday when the home teams finally showed up. Sticking with that thought and this divisional matchup, we’re starting to see an uptick in totals for these games. The ‘under’ went 19-10 (66%) in divisional matchups through the first six weeks of the season but the ‘over’ has posted a 7-3 (70%) mark over the previous three weekends,” said David.

                                Backing the ‘over’ in this game could be a reach for some, especially when you look at the recent encounters. The ‘under’ has cashed in five straight games between the Chargers and Raiders, all of them clear-cut winners too with a combined score of 34 PPG.

                                David offered up his lean, “It’s a bit of a head-scratcher to see a line get juiced up from 47 ½ to 49 when the Chargers have been the best ‘under’ team (7-2) in the NFL. Los Angeles certainly has the ability to move the chains but its inability to cash in the red zone is beyond frustrating. This season, the Bolts have 17 field goals and 18 touchdowns, not a good ratio for ‘over’ tickets.”

                                “While that production certainly could make you hesitant to back them or the high side, we did see the Chargers put up 33 and 29 points in two road games played in the primetime slots last season. I’m going to buy L.A. and its sporadic offense against a suspect Raiders of the defense. If they put up sixes instead of threes, the Team Total Over (24) will connect easily.”

                                HANDICAPPER’S CORNER
                                NFL expert Joe Nelson checks in with his analysis on the improvement on the offensive side of the ball for the Silver and Black, “The offense for the Raiders has been exceptional with a great rebound season from Carr who is 6th in QB Rating in the NFL. Oakland is 6th in passing yards per attempt, but the scoring has been middle-of-the-pack, averaging just below 23 points per game and sitting 20th in yards per point as there have been some red zone issues and a negative turnover differential.”

                                The upcoming schedules for these teams should be telling ahead according to Nelson, “The Chargers are on the road three of the next four weeks and the next two home games are against the Chiefs and the Vikings as the playoff opportunity for this team isn’t likely. This team remains capable of high-level performances and a late season run shouldn’t be ruled out while this team could be an attractive underdog in many upcoming games.”

                                On the flip side, if things break right for the Raiders, Nelson notes this could be a Wild Card team, “If Oakland can win this week they draw the Bengals and Jets the next two weeks before heading to Kansas City. If Oakland wins the games they are favored in, 10-6 is possible which should be enough in most scenarios for a playoff spot in the AFC.”

                                PLAYER PROPS – According to Westgate Superbook
                                Total Completions – Philip Rivers (LAC)
                                Over 23 ½ (-110)
                                Under 23 ½ (-110)

                                Total Touchdown Passes – Philip Rivers (LAC)
                                Over 1 ½ (-180)
                                Under 1 ½ (+150)

                                Total Rushing Yards – Melvin Gordon (LAC)
                                Over 60 ½ (-110)
                                Under 60 ½ (-110)

                                Will Melvin Gordon (LAC) Score a Touchdown?
                                Yes -125
                                No +105

                                Total Gross Passing Yards – Derek Carr (OAK)
                                Over 259 ½ (-110)
                                Under 259 ½ (-110)

                                Total Touchdown Passes – Derek Carr (OAK)
                                Over 1 ½ (-140)
                                Under 1 ½ (+120)

                                Total Rushing Yards – Josh Jacobs (OAK)
                                Over 84 ½ (-110)
                                Under 84 ½ (-110)

                                LINE MOVEMENT
                                The Raiders opened as a one-point home favorite at the Westgate Superbook on Sunday evening, but the Chargers were flipped to a 1 ½-point favorite by Monday afternoon. Los Angeles has settled at that number for most of the week, while the total has moved up from 47 ½ to 49. The first half line is currently Los Angeles -½ (+105), while the total sits at 23 ½ (Over -120).

                                Comment

                                Working...
                                X