Announcement

**StarDust Bum** · 12-02-2019, 01:55 AM

Monday’s 6-pack

Top six picks for Week 13 in Westgate Super Contest:

6) Tennessee +2.5 (712)- W

5) Arizona +3 (723)- L

4) Jets -3 (879)- L

3) San Francisco +6 (886)- W

2) New England -3 (920)- L

1) Green Bay -6.5 (1.034)- W

2019 record: 41-34-3

Quote of the Day
“I’m not worried about my future. I’m worried about this football team. We have a game coming up on Sunday.”
Carolina Panthers’ coach Ron Rivera

Monday’s quiz
What city did the football Cardinals call home, before moving to Arizona?

Sunday’s quiz
Arizona State football coach Herm Edwards played nine of his ten years in the NFL for the Philadelphia Eagles.

Saturday’s quiz
The Sun Bowl football game is played in El Paso every year.

**********************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……

Ravens 20, 49ers 17:
— 49ers will tied for 1st in NFC West if Seattle wins Monday.
— Ravens won field position by ten yards in this game.
— Both teams ran ball for 170+ yards on a very rainy day.

— Tucker kicked GW 49-yard FG at the gun, for the win.
— Baltimore won its 8th game in a row (5-1 ATS in last six).
— Ravens are only 4-9 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.

Broncos 23, Chargers 20:
— Chargers lost despite outgaining Denver, 359-218.
— Chargers are 1-4 TY in games decided by 3 or fewer points.
— In its last three games, LA has a minus-6 turnover ratio.

— McManus hit a 53-yard FG at gun, after Chargers committed a 34-yard PI penalty on the previous play to put Denver into FG range.
— Chargers scored in last minute of each half, but it wasn’t enough.
— Drew Lock is 11th QB to make his NFL debut TY; they’re 4-6-1 SU, 9-2 ATS.

Dolphins 37, Eagles 31:
— Dolphins’ first three drives: 7 plays, 6 yards, 1 first down, no points.
— Dolphins’ last seven drives: 56 plays, 403 yards, 25 first downs, 37 points.
— Eagles lost their last three games, by 7-8-6 points.

— DeVante Parker caught seven passes for 159 yards, two TD’s.
— Miami scored TD on a fake FG; punter passed to the kicker.
— Last NFL kicker to score a TD: Denver’s Jim Turner, back in 1977.

Packers 31, Giants 13:
— Green Bay’s first two drives: 12 plays, 138 yards, two TD’s.
— Over last 11 years, GB is 29-22-1 ATS coming off a loss, 3-0 TY.
— Packers won field position by 13 yards in this game.

— Under Shurmur, Giants are 1-9 ATS as a home underdog, 0-4 TY.
— Giants lost last eight games, outscored 117-53 in second half.
— Perils of playing a rookie QB: Giants are minus-13 in turnovers this year.

Redskins 29, Panthers 21:
— Washington ran ball for 248 yards, outgained Carolina by 84 yards.
— Redskins had a 9-yard advantage in field position.
— Washington won its second game in a row after a 1-9 start.

— Carolina is 1-6 TY when it scores less than 30 points; they’ve got a -10 TO ratio in their last six games.
— Panthers lost their last four games, allowing 29 ppg.
— Six of Carolina’s last eight games went over the total.

Titans 31, Colts 17:
— Titans ran blocked FG back for game-winning TD with 5:02 left.
— Tennessee scored 106 points in its last three games, scoring 13 TD’s on 32 drives.
— Titans scored 29.7 ppg in Tannehill’s six starts (5-1).

— Colts lost four of their last five games.
— Indy missed two of three FG’s; two of them were blocked.
— Only 4th win for Tennessee in last 23 games with Indy.

Chiefs 40, Raiders 9:
— Oakland lost its last two games by combined score of 74-12.
— Chiefs swept Raiders TY by combined score of 68-19.
— Raiders lost their last seven visits to Arrowhead (1-6 ATS)

— Chiefs converted 7-11 on third down, also scored a defensive TD.
— KC has seven takeaways in its last two games (+6); they had 12 takeaways in their first ten games.
— Chiefs won 12 of their last 14 games with Oakland.

Buccaneers 28, Jaguars 11:
— Bucs’ first three drives: 25 plays, 186 yards, 14 points.
— Tampa Bay won four of seven true road games SU.
— Bucs average 32.4 ppg in seven games with 2 or fewer turnovers; they average 22.6 ppg in their five games with 3+ turnovers. .

— Jaguars in first half: 6 drives: 27 plays, 91 yards, 5 first downs, 3 turnovers.
— Jaguars benched Nick Foles for Gardnew Minshew at halftime.
— Jaguars are 11-23-1 ATS in last 35 games where spread was 3 or fewer points

Bengals 22, Jets 6:
— There were no plays longer than 20 yards by either team in this game.
— Jets are 9-18-2 ATS in last 29 road games
— Jets in 2nd half: 6 drives, 32 plays- 71 yards, outscored 5-0.

— Cincy gets its first win; they’re still in position for #1 pick in draft.
— Dalton threw for 243 yards in his return to the starting lineup.
— Bengals won field position by 18 yards in this game.

Rams 34, Cardinals 7:
— Goff threw for 323 yards…..in the first half.
— Total yardage: Rams 549, Cardinals 198
— LA is 10-54 on 3rd down in their losses, 46-98 in its wins.

— In their last five games, Cardinals converted only 10-53 third down plays.
— Arizona lost its last five games, but covered six of last eight games.
— Rams won last five trips to Arizona, last three by combined score of 101-7.

Steelers 20, Browns 17:
— Cleveland in 2nd half: 5 drives, 26 plays, 96 yards, 2 turnovers, 3 points.
— Browns lost their last 16 visits to Heinz Field (6-7 ATS in last 13)
— Cleveland was favored in Pittsburgh for first time since 1989.

— Steelers are 9-1-1 SU in last 11 series games.
— Pitt won six of last seven games after a 1-4 start.
— Steelers are 6-0 when they allow less than 20 points, 1-5 when they allow more.

Texans 28, Patriots 22:
— Baltimore is now the #1 seed in the AFC.
— Patriots gained 244 yards on last three drives, 204 on first seven drives.
— Prior to those three 2nd half TD’s, Patriots had scored only two TD’s on their previous 30 drives.

— Texans won five of their six home games this year.
— Houston had 11-yard edge in field position, only 2nd time this year New England lost field position battle.
— Texans snapped a 6-game series skid against New England.

**StarDust Bum** · 12-02-2019, 02:02 AM

Preview: Vikings (8-3) at Seahawks (9-2)
Date: December 02, 2019 8:15 PM EDT

SEATTLE (AP) Just like a year ago, thereâ??s no avoiding the importance of this Monday night matchup in the Pacific Northwest between Minnesota and Seattle.

Except this time around, a division title is still very much in play for both teams.

â??This is a huge game for both of us. We know the stakes. Everybody knows the stakes,â?쳌 Vikings linebacker Eric Kendricks said. â??Monday night makes it a little bit bigger, in Seattle. But I mean, youâ??ve got to live for these kind of moments, you know what I mean?â?쳌

For the second straight year, the Seahawks will host the Vikings in a late-season, prime-time matchup filled with playoff implications. But unlike that last meeting - won by Seattle 21-7 - when a wild-card berth was the target, both the Vikings and Seahawks are in the middle of division title races this time.

Seattle (9-2) is one game behind San Francisco in the NFC West and trying to avoid any stumbles prior to a Week 17 meeting with the 49ers at home. The Vikings (8-3) are even with Green Bay in the NFC North, but the Packers already have a win over Minnesota with a Week 16 matchup still to come.

Both teams would need to suffer a significant slide in the final month to put their playoff hopes in jeopardy. The Vikings have a two-game lead on the Los Angeles Rams in the wild-card race. Seattle is a game better.

But the shot at a division title raises the stakes significantly.

â??We got a terrific schedule coming up, challenges and all that,â?쳌 Seattle coach Pete Carroll said. â??Weâ??re going to have to play really well. I do think, though, that it leads us to our best football still ahead of us.â?쳌

QBs

While the playoff implications are the primary focus, the quarterbacks will certainly get their share of attention. Itâ??s deserved as both Seattleâ??s Russell Wilson and Minnesotaâ??s Kirk Cousins have been among the best in the league this season. Cousins leads the league in passer rating; Wilson is second. Wilson has 24 TD passes; Cousins 21. Both have thrown just three interceptions. Both are completing better than 67% of their passes.

TIME FOR A REFRESHER

After missing four starters in their previous game against Denver on Nov. 17 - wide receiver Adam Thielen, right guard Josh Kline, nose tackle Linval Joseph, free safety Anthony Harris - the Vikings had the advantage of the latest possible bye week to heal for the most challenging game of the final stretch. This was the second-latest bye week in team history, with only the break in 1991 falling later on the calendar. The Vikings are 2-7 in the last nine seasons in their games immediately after the bye.

â??Give your body a rest, give your mind a rest. I think it came at a good time,â?쳌 linebacker Anthony Barr said. â??Hopefully we get some guys back healthy and be strong for this last five-game push we have.â?쳌

CARRYING THE LOAD

For most of the season, Chris Carson has carried the load for Seattleâ??s run game, while Rashaad Penny took on a complementary role, only getting a handful of carries.

That changed last week against the Eagles. Penny was the star, rushing for a career-high 129 yards and a clinching 58-yard touchdown in the fourth quarter. Carson was relegated to a lesser role, getting only eight carries to Pennyâ??s 14. Carson also added to his league-leading fumble total with one that was credited to him and another that was his fault. Carsonâ??s seven fumbles are the most among running backs in the NFL.

Carroll said Penny has earned more carries, but Carson will still get his share.

â??Rashaad did great. Iâ??m really fired up for that,â?쳌 Carroll said. â??We need his explosiveness. He continues to show up. He has had the real home run type of style of play. Weâ??ve got to give him chances to bring that to us.â?쳌

OH, BROTHER

For the fourth straight season, Eric Kendricks will take on the team of his older brother and fellow linebacker, Mychal Kendricks. Eric has lost each time, with the Vikings falling at Philadelphia in 2016 and in the NFC championship game after the 2017 season, and then at Seattle in 2018.

â??Weâ??re not going to face each other, really, but itâ??s pretty special,â?쳌 Eric said of his sibling whoâ??s two years older. They were both second-round draft picks, Mychal out of California in 2012 by the Eagles and Eric out of UCLA in 2015 by the Vikings.

These days, Eric is definitely not in Mychalâ??s shadow. He leads all linebackers in the NFL with 12 passes defensed, already matching Ben Leber (2008) and Matt Blair (1981) for the most by a linebacker in Vikings history. According to SportRadar research, no linebacker in the league has had more than 13 passes defensed in any of the last six seasons.

COMING IN BUNCHES

Seattle is getting back into the mode of taking away the ball. The Seahawks have forced 16 turnovers in the past six games, including eight in the past two against San Francisco and Philadelphia. The Seahawks are third in the league in total takeaways with 24, behind New England (29) and Pittsburgh (24). Minnesota has just 12 giveaways on the season, tied for seventh best in the league.

**StarDust Bum** · 12-02-2019, 02:16 AM

nfl december opinions and best bets: All based on 5 units

date........................... W-l-t............ %................ Units

12/01/2019..................7-10-1..........41.18%..........-20.00

totals........................7-10-1..........41.18%..........-20.00

best bets:

Date........................ats.............units. ............o/u...............units.............totals

12/01/2019...............6 - 6..............-3.00..............1 - 4..............-17.00..............-20.00

totals.....................6 - 6..............-3.00..............1 - 4..............-17.00..............-20.00

**StarDust Bum** · 12-02-2019, 02:00 PM

Betting Recap - Week 13
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

National Football League Week 13 Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 8-7
Against the Spread 6-9

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 7-8
Against the Spread 7-8

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 7-8

National Football League Year-to-Date Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 102-67-1
Against the Spread 81-102-5

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 102-85-1
Against the Spread 81-102-5

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 92-95-1

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Redskins (+10.5, +450) at Panthers, 29-21
Dolphins (+10, +425) vs. Eagles, 37-31
Bills (+6.5, +250) at Cowboys (Thu.), 26-15
Broncos (+4.5, +190) vs. Chargers, 23-20

The largest favorite to cover
Chiefs (-11) vs. Raiders, 40-9
Saints (-7) at Falcons (Thu.), 26-18
Packers (-6.5) at Giants, 31-13
Buccaneers (-3) at Jaguars, 28-11

It's Happening Again!

-- The Miami Dolphins (+10) posted a 37-31 victory over the Philadelphia Eagles at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla., and the Washington Redskins (+10.5) were able to run all over the Carolina Panthers, securing a 29-21 victory. We had a pair of double-digit underdogs win outright back in Week 10 when the Dolphins and the Atlanta Falcons posted outright wins as underdogs of 11 or more points. It was the first time that had happened in the NFL since Oct. 15, 2017. Now, it has happened within the past month on two occasions. The Kansas City Chiefs (-11) were the only other double-digit favorite in the NFL in Week 13, and they humbled the visiting Oakland Raiders by a 40-9 score at Arrowhead.

Total Recall

-- The two highest totals on the board Sunday were the Raiders-Chiefs (49.5) and Los Angeles Rams-Arizona Cardinals (47.5), both of which went 'under'. In fact, there were six games listed with totals of 46.5, and just one of those games cashed to the 'over', and that was the New England Patriots-Houston Texans (47) game on Sunday Night Football.

On the flip side, all games with totals closing at 39.5 or less ended up hitting the 'over', sometimes rather easily. In the Thanksgiving Day early game between the Chicago Bears-Detroit Lions (37), we saw third-string QB David Blough get off to a hot start before fizzling at the end. Even so, the teams combined for 44 points and an easy 'over'. In Charlotte, the Redskins-Panthers (39) was expected to a defensive slog with rather choppy offense. However, the Redskins posted a 29-21 win for 50 total points, ending up tied as the second-highest scoring game on Sunday. Not much offense was expected in Sunday's AFC West Division slugfest between the Los Angeles Chargers-Denver Broncos (38.5). It ended up being tied late at 20-20, and a field goal at the buzzer didn't make much difference, as the over was already in the bag.

The Cleveland Browns-Pittsburgh Steelers (40) was a defensive battle which saw the home side prevail 20-13. If you're scoring at home that's four straight under results for the Yinzers, and the under is 6-1 over their past seven and 9-3 in their 12 games overall, including 2-0 vs. Cleveland this season. In addition, the Steelers are now 6-2-2 ATS across their past 10 games, and they haven't failed against the spread in consecutive weeks since opening with a pair of losses and non-covers.

The 'over' connected in the primetime matchup Sunday against New England Patriots-Houston Texans (47), and is 1-1 for the weekend pending the result of Monday's contest between the Minnesota Vikings-Seattle Seahawks. The 'over' is just 14-25 (35.9%) during the 2019 primetime schedule, a stark change from previous seasons when the games under the lights were high-scoring affairs.

Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Injury Report

-- Panthers TE Greg Olsen (concussion) is in the league's mandated concussion protocol after being knocked from Sunday's game vs. Washington.

Looking Ahead -- The Cincinnati Bengals picked up a win in Week 13, assuring them of not becoming the third NFL team to finish with an 0-16 record over a full season. The last team to do it was the 2017 Cleveland Browns, their opponent for Week 14. The Bengals will be on the road at FirstEnergy Stadium, and they're 8-2 ATS across their past 10 away from home. The Browns, meanwhile, are 7-3 ATS in their past 10 inside the division, although they failed to cover in a 20-13 win at Pittsburgh in Week 12. The Bengals opened as an eight-point underdog, and they're 8-1 ATS in the past nine meetings and 5-0 ATS in the past five trips to Cleveland. As such, they're seeing a lot of early action.

-- The Minnesota Vikings will host the Lions in the second of two divisional meetings. The Vikings pasted the Lions 42-30 at Ford Field back in Week 7, easily covering a 2.5-point number as the 'over' (43.5) came in. The Vikings are an impressive 35-15-1 ATS in the past 51 at home, and 15-7-1 ATS in the past 23 vs. losing sides. The Lions have failed to cover the past four meetings, with the favorite 4-0 ATS in the past four. The under is 9-3 in the past 12 meetings in this series, and 6-0 in the past six battles in the Twin Cities.

-- The Panthers and Falcons do battle for the second time this season, squaring off at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. The Falcons surprised the Panthers 29-3 in Week 11 at Charlotte as 3.5-point underdogs as the 'under' (49) easily connected. The under is 5-1 in the past six for the Falcons, and 10-2-1 in the past 13 in this series, too. Carolina is 0-4 ATS in the past four battles overall, and 5-16-2 ATS in the past 23 trips to Georgia's capital.

-- The Jets and Dolphins meet in New Jersey, and Miami is looking for the season sweep. They're 3-0-1 ATS in the past four meetings with the Jets, and the under is 7-2 in the past nine meetings at Met Life Stadium.

-- The Seahawks and Rams lock horns in SoCal, with Seattle looking to improve on a 6-1 ATS mark in their past seven on the road. The Rams are 12-5 ATS in the past 17 games overall, and 10-2 ATS in the past 12 vs. NFC foes. In this series the road team is 4-1 ATS in the past five, the underdog has hit in four of the past five and the Seahawks are just 2-5 ATS in the past seven trips to SoCal. The over is 4-0 in the previous four battles, too.

-- On Monday the New York Giants travel to meet the Eagles, reeling after a shocking loss in Miami. The G-Men are a solid 10-3 ATS in the past 13 on the road, and 7-0 ATS in their past seven on a natural grass surface. While the Eagles are just 4-9 ATS in the past 13 at home, and 2-5 ATS in the past seven overall, they are an impressive 7-3 ATS in the past 10 appearances on MNF. The under is also 7-2 in the past nine meetings at Lincoln Financial Field.

**StarDust Bum** · 12-02-2019, 02:01 PM

MNF - Vikings at Seahawks
Tony Mejia

Minnesota at Seattle (-3, 50), 8:15 pm ET, ESPN

The Rams could’ve folded up shop after last Monday night’s trouncing at the hands of the Ravens. No matter what they say publicly, you know the Vikings were hoping to see Arizona throw a final uppercut on a Sunday and knock the defending NFC champs clean out of the playoff race.

Instead, Jared Goff played one of his best games of the season, Todd Gurley put together another big day and a defense that was embarrassed on national television took its collective frustration out on rookie Kyler Murray and the Cardinals in a 34-7 rout. Minnesota (8-3 SU, 6-5 ATS) may indeed have to deal with some pressure as it attempts to lock down its third postseason appearance in six years under Mike Zimmer. After last season’s 8-7-1 disappointment, returning to the playoffs has been the first in a series of goals for this veteran group, which is looking to hang with a Packers team that also dominated on Sunday and holds a head-to-head tiebreaker courtesy of their Week 2 win at Lambeau.

Following a 2-2 start that featured disappointing losses to both primary division rivals, the Vikings have won six of seven to match last season’s win total and come off a bye perfectly placed to have them prepared for the stretch run. Guys who were banged up should return with the exception of standout receiver Adam Thielen. With three divisional home games remaining, the team is certainly in control of their own destiny as far as a return to the playoffs is concerned.

Starting tonight, we’re about to see just how good they are. Traveling to Seattle (9-2 SU, 6-5 ATS) for a primetime date at one of the league’s toughest venues to get out of with a win offers up a great proving ground. It’s not the Vikings’ fault that the Falcons have been unexpectedly terrible or that the Eagles and Cowboys have really taken a tumble, but the fact is that they no longer own a single victory over a team currently above .500, which leads to questions about just how good they are.

Dalvin Cook has looked re-energized and ranked third in the NFL in rushing behind Carolina’s Christian McCaffrey and Cleveland’s Nick Chubb entering the week, amassing 1,017 yards and 11 rushing touchdowns, so he’ll be counted on to be the driving force against a Seattle run defense that hasn’t allowed a 100-yard rusher since QB Lamar Jackson gashed them in Week 7. Chubb is the lone running back that has topped the century mark against the Seahawks, so if he’s able to get on track, Minnesota could make headway.

The expectation is that Zimmer would love for offensive coordinator Kevin Stefanski to keep Kirk Cousins in manageable situations on the road, so heavy use of Cook, who has scored in nine of 11 games, and backups Alexander Mattison and Mike Boone, appears likely. The narrative that Cousins is useless in prime time has taken a hit this season since Minnesota is 2-0 under the lights.

Neither of those games have come on Monday night, where Cousins has earned his reputation for coming up short, coming in 0-7 straight up and ATS.

You’ll find plenty of people who will fade Cousins just on that, but considering the point spread here, there are plenty looking at this as a trap line since his Seahawks’ counterpart just happens to be an MVP candidate who is 25-5 in primetime games over his career.

Russell Wilson came in a 7-to-2, well behind Lamar Jackson (1/3) as far as MVP odds at the Westgate Superbook are concerned, so he’d love to serve up a reminder not to write his team off just yet. Seattle will host the 49ers on Dec. 29 to end the season and could still be in position to claim homefield advantage for the entire postseason, which is the position Jackson’s Ravens currently find themselves in. Winning here and looking good will be imperative, but Wilson’s pursuit of an MVP isn’t done yet.

The Seahawks are coming off a 17-9 road win over Philadelphia and have won 18 of 20 primetime games under head coach Pete Carroll. Although both of their losses on the season have come at Century Link Field and they’ve covered only one of five games there this season – in OT – everyone knows how difficult the 12th Man can make life on opposing quarterbacks, which makes this the perfect backdrop for Cousins to shut people up once and for all. Then again, he could sputter and continue to feed the monster, dragging the Vikings down with him since they would still be without a true signature win on the season.

A compelling duel awaits and Mother Nature is going to allow this one to go off without her usual obstacles in the Pacific Northwest. A clear night with no precipitation awaits as showery weather won’t arrive until Tuesday evening, per Accuweather. Legitimately a potential playoff preview, it’s time to see whether Wilson can continue to shine or see Cousins come into his house and leave with a much-needed win. We all like that.

TOTAL TALK

The total for the Week 13 finale opened at 49 and the number has been pushed up to 50 as of Monday morning at most sportsbooks.

The Seahawks and Vikings have both watched the ‘over’ go 6-5 this season but Minnesota has been a great wager to the high side recently, watching the ‘over’ go 5-1 in its last six games. That includes a run of three straight entering this matchup.

Seattle is coming off its best defensive effort on the season in Week 12 as it held to the Eagles to nine points on the road, which helped the ‘under’ (46) connect easily.

Resident totals expert Chris David provides his total thoughts each week on the Friday edition of the ”Bet and Collect” podcast and he focused on this matchup as one of his Best Bets (41:55).

Even though the number has gone up and Minnesota is rolling, he’s not buying the move or the Vikings.

“It’s crazy to realize that Seattle has allowed 29 PPG at home compared to 19.5 PPG on the road,” David said. “That effort has directly attributed to their record as hosts (3-2) and visitors (6-0) this season. Minnesota has had a nice season but its offense has watched its production go from 29 PPG at home to 23 PPG on the road. Fortunately for the Vikings, they’ve got a great defense and the unit is ranked sixth in scoring (18.6 PPG). When you look at those numbers, I believe the total is inflated and we’re going to get a grinder of a game here. Minnesota has watched the ‘under’ go 3-2 off the bye with Mike Zimmer as head coach and it could be 4-1 if it wasn’t for a bad beat last season.

“Another factor having me lean low is based on QB Kirk Cousins for the Vikings. In 20 primetime games, he’s 7-13 in his career and while the 28-24 win at the Dallas Cowboys on SNF in Week 10 was impressive (or was it), I can’t look past the fact that he’s never won on Monday Night Football,” added David. “He’s 0-7 all-time and that includes a 21-7 loss at CenturyLink Field last season in Week 14. With the Seahawks due for a great performance at home, I’ll go déjà vu and play the game ‘under’ (50) and the Vikings Team Total ‘under’ (23) too.”

LINE MOVEMENT

Minnesota Vikings
Projected season win total: 9 (Over -125, Under +105)
Odds to win NFC North (pre-Week 1/current): 2/1 to 13/10
Odds to win NFC (pre-Week 1/current): 9/1 to 6/1
Odds to win Super Bowl (pre-Week 1/current): 20/1 to 12/1

Seattle Seahawks
Projected season win total: 9 (Over +100, Under -120)
Odds to win NFC West (pre-Week 1/current): 5/2 to 8/5
Odds to win NFC (pre-Week 1/current): 9/1 to 6/1
Odds to win Super Bowl (pre-Week 1/current): 20/1 to 12/1

INJURY CONCERNS

Thielen was expected to be back in the fold for this contest but didn’t board the flight to Seattle and will have to wait until Sunday to try and return from a hamstring injury. The Vikes have been able to survive the past few weeks without him since this will be his fourth absence in five outings but they could have used his services against this aggressive Seahawks’ secondary. Minnesota’s biggest concerns are on defense, where star safeties Harrison Smith and Anthony Harris joined DT Linval Joseph in wearing ‘questionable’ tags. They were limited in practices but should go, while LB Ben Gedeon tried to battle back from a concussion but isn’t expected to be cleared.

The Seahawks are hoping to have DE Jadeveon Clowney back after he missed a game due to a core injury and should have DTs Jarran Reed and Al Woods back from ankle injuries, which could spell trouble for Cousins. LB Mychal Kendricks and tight end Luke Willson are expected to be game-time decisions as they look to return from hamstring injuries. Backup safety Neiko Thorpe and fullback Nick Bellore, both key special-teamers, are listed as doubtful.

RECENT MEETINGS
(Seahawks 5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS last seven, OVER 4-3)

12/10/18 Seahawks 21-7 vs. Vikings (SEA -3, 45.5)
12/6/15 Seahawks 38-7 at Vikings (SEA -1.5, 42)
11/17/13 Seahawks 41-20 vs. Vikings (SEA -13, 45)
11/4/12 Seahawks 30-20 vs. Vikings (SEA -4, 38.5)
11/22/09 Vikings 35-9 vs. Seahawks (MIN -11, 47)
10/22/06 Vikings 31-13 at Seahawks (MIN +7, 40.5)
12/12/04 Seahawks 27-23 at Vikings (SEA +6.5, 54)

NEXT WEEK'S NUMBERS POSTED

The Westgate opens its advance lines for the following week on Tuesdays and Week 14 currently has the Seahawks as a 3-point road underdog in L.A. as they try to close out the Rams’ dim playoff hopes. The Vikings would welcome some help from Seattle as they look to close in on wrapping up the No. 6 seed and will be favored at home against the Lions. No line was placed on that game yet due to question marks over the availability of QBs Matthew Stafford and Jeff Driskel. Rookie David Blough started for Detroit on Thanksgiving.

**StarDust Bum** · 12-02-2019, 02:16 PM

Tech Trends - Week 14
December 2, 2019
By Bruce Marshall

THURSDAY, DEC. 5

DALLAS at CHICAGO (FOX, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Cowboys had covered 4 of last 5 prior to Thanksgiving loss to Bills. Dallas has covered last 3 on road in 2019. Bears just 3-9 vs. spread this season, also “under” 15-4 since late in 2018.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Cowboys, based on “totals” and team trends.

***********************

SUNDAY, DEC. 1

BALTIMORE at BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Ravens have won last 6 SU and covered 7 of last 8 in 2019. Also 7-1 vs. spread last 8 on road. Bills 4-0-1 vs. spread last five TY and 4-0-1 last five as dog since late LY. Buffalo also “under” 9-3 this season.
Tech Edge: Slight to “under” and Ravens, based on “totals” and team trends.

WASHINGTON at GREEN BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Redskins have actually covered 4 of last 6 TY. Skins also 8-5 “under” since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Slight to Skins, based on tream trends.

DENVER at HOUSTON (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Broncos 6-2 vs. spread last eight TY. Texans only 2-4 vs. spread last six TY, and 2-4 vs. points at NRG Stadium. Denver on 16-5 “under” run since mid 2018, Houston “under” 12-5 at hoem sicne late 2017.
Tech Edge: “Under” and Broncos, based on “totals” and recent trends.

SAN FRANCISCO at NEW ORLEANS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)[/B]
Niners 5-1 SU and vs. line on road in 2019, also 4-0 as a dog. Saints no covers last two at Superdome TY, 2-7 last 9 vs. spread as host.
Tech Edge: 49ers, based on recent trends.

CINCINNATI at CLEVELAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Browns have won last 3 SU at home but still just 2-3-1 vs. spread as host this season and 4-7-1 vs. line overall. Bengals actually 4-1 vs. spread as true visitor in 2019 and a shocking 8-1 vs. points last nine in role (not counting London vs. Rams). Bengals have also won and covered last five at Cleveland. Cincy “under” 11-4-2 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Bengals and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

CAROLINA at ATLANTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Falcons 4-7-1 vs. line TY, 6-13-1 since mid 2018 against spread. Atlanta though has won and covered last four in series including 29-3 win at Charlotte on November 17. Panthers 5-2 vs. line last seven away from home. “Unders” 5-1 last six in series.
Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.trends.

DETROIT at MINNESOTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Lions broke 6-game spread L streak on Thanksgiving but still no covers last three on road TY, while Vikings no covers last 2 at US Bank Stadium after opening with three wins and covers at home. Minn is 5-0 SU as host TY. Vikings have also won and covered last 4 in series, including win at Ford Field on October 20.
Tech Edge: Vikings, based on series trends.

MIAMI at NY JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
J-Men won and covered 3 in a row TY, Cincy 0-4-1 vs. line at home TY, 1-9-1 last 11 vs. spread at Paul Brown, Bengals “under” 10-4-2 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Slight to Jets and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

INDIANAPOLIS at TAMPA BAY (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
If Colts a dog note 6-2 mark last 8 in role. Indy also 7-2 vs. line last 9 away. Bucs only 2-6 vs. spread last eight in 2019, 0-4 vs. spread as host TY. Tampa Bay also on 10-3 “over” run since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Colts and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

L.A. CHARGERS at JACKSONVILLE (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Bolts only 3-9 vs. line TY, also “under” 15-7 since early 2018. Chargers 2-5 vs. spread away TY after great road marks previous (10-3-2 vs. line reg season outside of LA city limits previous two years). But Jags no covers last 4 or 6 of last 8 TY.
Tech Edge: Chargers and “under,” based on extended and “totals” trends.

KANSAS CITY at NEW ENGLAND (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
KC 0-2 SU and 1-1 vs. line against Pats in wild games LY. But Andy Reid 8-2 last 10 as dog (1-1 TY). Belichick 16-5 vs. number last 21 at Gillette Stadium, also “under” 16-5 last 21 reg season games, though last three “over” vs. Chiefs since 2017.
Tech Edge: Slight to Patriots and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

PITTSBURGH at ARIZONA (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
If dog, Tomlin 4-2 in roleTY, 8-2 since 2018. Cards 4-2-1 vs. spread last 7 TY, also “over” 3-1 L4. Steel “under” 14-5 since late 2018 (8-3 “under” in 2019).
Tech Edge: Steelers and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

TENNESSEE at OAKLAND (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Titans 5-1 SU and vs. line last 5 (since switch to Tannehill at QB), also “over” last six this season. Raiders no covers last three in 2019. But Oak has won and covered last three ins series (2015-17).
Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

SEATTLE at L.A. RAMS (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)

Seahawks 6-0 SU and vs. line on road TY and have covered 5 of last 6 vs. Rams. Last four “over” in series. Rams 3-8 vs. line last 11 reg season at Coliseum. Last four “over” in series.
Tech Edge: Seahawks and “over,” based on team and series trends.

MONDAY, DEC. 9

N.Y. GIANTS at PHILADELPHIA (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)
G-Men 9-3 as road dog since LY. NY has covered last 2 at Linc. Birds 10-20-1 vs. spread in reg season games since late 2017, 3-10 last 13 vs. number at Linc.
Tech Edge: Giants, based on team trends.

**StarDust Bum** · 12-02-2019, 02:20 PM

Books ride 'dogs to Wk 13 win
December 2, 2019
By Micah Roberts

The underdogs were barking loud in Sunday’s Week 13 NFL action with eight of the 12 'dogs covering and seven of them winning outright which helped Nevada sportsbooks to another good day.

Of course, the fate of day ended up coming down to the final game to be posted, the Sunday night game with New England (-3 -120) at Houston.

“We give back most of the win on the day if the Patriots cover,” said MGM Resorts sportsbook director Jeff Stoneback.

The Texans would win 28-22 and a late scoring surge by the Patriots helped the game go over the total, which opened at 44.5 and closed at 47. The final score really isn’t as indicative of how poorly the Patriots executed on offense.

Quarterback Tom Brady was not happy, and now the Patriots (10-2) drop to the No. 2 seed in the AFC with the Ravens (10-2) taking over No. 1 after they beat the 49ers (10-2) in Baltimore, 20-17. The possible Super Bowl preview featuring the two highest-scoring teams in the NFL had rain and wind slowing both their offenses down. The 49ers (+5.5) cover makes them 7-4-1 against the spread (ATS) this season.

“Our best game of the day was the Niners covering and the worst was the Packers,” said Wynn sportsbook director Doug Castaneda.

The sportsbooks were dreading two teams coming into the weekend -- the Patriots and Packers. They were the two games that has the most lopsided ticket counts and cash that could thump the books together with two-team parlay payouts at 13-to-5 odds (Bet $100 to win $260), but more so as being a root two-teamer attached to several other legs in parlays.

“There are twice as many bets on the Packers than there are on any other team today,” Jeff Davis said before the morning games started.

The Packers' 31-13 win at the Giants (2-10) in the snow never had the look of the Giants covering +6.5. The Packers now move to 9-3 and stay atop the NFC North waiting to see what the 8-3 Vikings do at Seattle on Monday Night Football.

“The Steelers game was good for just because we took $200,000 on the Browns -1.5 earlier in the week,” Stoneback said.

The Browns closed as a one-point road favorite at Pittsburgh, but the Steelers defense was the key in the 20-13 win, along with third-string QB Devin Hodges managing the game well enough. The Browns drop to 5-7 while the Steelers improve to 7-5 and they are alive in the playoff mix.

“We didn’t win a lot of games on the day,” said CG Technology sportsbook director Tony DiTommaso. “Our best game ended up being the Broncos, but the Titans, Buccaneers, and Bengals game hurt us the most. The Bucs moved to the favorite and we had bets on them at each move.”

The Broncos 20-17 home win against the Chargers (-4.5) was done behind rookie QB Drew Lock making his NFL debut. It was because of Lock starting that so many bet the Chargers from -2.5 up to -4.5. Both teams are now 4-8 sitting in the AFC West cellar.

CG books had a bettor lay $15,000 on the Dolphins to win at +425 odds and the Dolphins would pick up a 37-31 win at home against the Eagles. They also had $50,000 bet late on the Texans against the Patriots, so they had different type of action on the day and didn’t hold as high as a win as others, but they did still win.

The three lowest-rated teams in the NFL all pulled off upsets. The Dolphins (+10), Redskins (+10.5 at Carolina), and winless Bengals (+2.5 vs. Jets) were three of the seven 'dogs that won outright. A three-team money-line parlay on the so-called "Ugly Three" would have returned a payout close to 68/1 odds.

“The Packers, Chiefs, and Buccaneers were really bad for us,” said Station Casinos sportsbook director Jason McCormick. “But dogs like the Redskins, Dolphins, 49ers, and Broncos ended up being very helpful (to the bottom line). It was a solid Sunday with liability rolling into the Patriots game but it’s not gigantic.”

**StarDust Bum** · 12-03-2019, 06:15 PM

NFL Week 14 opening odds and early action: 49ers draw support vs Saints
Patrick Everson

The NFL season rolls into its final month, with Week 14 featuring high-profile matchups in each conference. We check in on the opening odds and early action, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints (-3.5)

New Orleans can move atop the entire NFC with a win in this clash of teams with the best record in the conference. The Saints (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) come off the mini-bye, having topped Atlanta 26-18 as 7-point road favorites on Thanksgiving Day.

San Francisco also sports a 10-2 SU mark (7-4-1 ATS), but is on the road for a second straight week against a second straight solid opponent. The 49ers gave Baltimore a good go Sunday, but fell short on a final-seconds field goal 20-17 as 5.5-point underdogs.

“We opened Saints -3.5 and are down to -3 (-120),” Murray said. “This is the best game of the week and a possible NFC Championship Game preview. Tough spot for the 49ers. They just had a war of a game in Baltimore and now have to go on the road again.”

Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots (-3)

Like San Francisco, New England went into Week 13 with one loss and exited with two, losing its claim to the AFC’s No. 1 seed in the process. The Patriots (10-1 SU, 7-4 SU) were 3-point favorites at Houston, but got going too late in a 28-22 loss.

Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City got a much-needed bye in Week 12 and came out rolling in Week 13. The Chiefs (8-4 SU, 7-5 ATS) pounded Oakland 40-9 as 11-point home favorites Sunday to take a two-game lead in the AFC West.

“We opened Patriots -3 and took it off the board when the Sunday night game kicked,” Murray said. “I expect it to come lower when it reopens (Monday morning). The Patriots are smoke and mirrors, 10-2 because of a great coach and a super easy schedule.”

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills (+6)

Baltimore is scorching hot, peeling off eight wins in a row, but its five-game spread-covering streak came to an end in a tough Week 13 matchup. The Ravens (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS) needed a final-seconds field goal to edge San Francisco 20-17 laying 5.5 points at home.

By virtue of winning a tiebreaker with New England, John Harbaugh’s outfit is now the top seed in the AFC playoff race.

Buffalo continues to be one of the bigger surprises of this NFL season, on the field and for bettors, with marks of 9-3 SU and 8-3-1 ATS. On Thanksgiving Day, the Bills went off as 6.5-point pups at Dallas and had little trouble in a 26-15 upset.

“We opened Ravens -6 and are now at -5.5,” Murray said. “The Bills have struggled to stop the run. The Ravens won’t have any problem going on the road in inclement weather.”

Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams (+2.5)

Seattle is among the hottest teams in the league, winning four in a row and seven of eight, but still has Week 13 work to do, hosting Minnesota in the Monday night game. The Seahawks (9-2 SU, 6-5 ATS) topped Philadelphia 17-9 as 1-point Week 12 road favorites, their third straight cover.

Defending NFC champion Los Angeles has been wildly inconsistent as it tries to stay in the NFC playoff picture. The Rams (7-5 SU, 8-4 ATS) got housed at home by Baltimore 45-6 in Week 12, then went to Arizona as 2.5-point favorites and put the hammer down, 34-7.

“This will come off the board when the Monday night game kicks,” Murray said. “The Rams looked great today. Don’t be surprised if this drifts closer to pick if the Seahawks struggle with the Vikings.”

**StarDust Bum** · 12-03-2019, 06:16 PM

101DALLAS -102 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games in the current season.

131BALTIMORE -132 BUFFALO
BALTIMORE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games in the 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

133WASHINGTON -134 GREEN BAY
WASHINGTON is 18-4 ATS (13.6 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=6 yards/play in the second half of the season since 1992.

135DENVER -136 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games after allowing 400 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games since 1992.

137SAN FRANCISCO -138 NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS are 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in the last 2 seasons.

139CINCINNATI -140 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return in the last 3 seasons.

141CAROLINA -142 ATLANTA
CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

143DETROIT -144 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 2 seasons.

145MIAMI -146 NY JETS
MIAMI is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games with <=6 days rest in the last 3 seasons.

147INDIANAPOLIS -148 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse since 1992.

149LA CHARGERS -150 JACKSONVILLE
LA CHARGERS are 30-6 ATS (23.4 Units) against the AFC South since 1992.

151KANSAS CITY -152 NEW ENGLAND
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 in the last 2 seasons.

153PITTSBURGH -154 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 3 seasons.

155TENNESSEE -156 OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 30-64 ATS (-40.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game since 1992.

157SEATTLE -158 LA RAMS
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

157SEATTLE -158 LA RAMS
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 in the last 2 seasons.

159NY GIANTS -160 PHILADELPHIA
NY GIANTS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 10 pts. in the last 2 seasons.

159NY GIANTS -160 PHILADELPHIA
Pat Shurmur is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 10 pts. (Coach of NY GIANTS)

**StarDust Bum** · 12-03-2019, 06:19 PM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 14

Thursday, December 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (6 - 6) at CHICAGO (6 - 6) - 12/5/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 41-62 ATS (-27.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
CHICAGO is 54-80 ATS (-34.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CHICAGO is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, December 8

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (10 - 2) at BUFFALO (9 - 3) - 12/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (3 - 9) at GREEN BAY (9 - 3) - 12/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 198-143 ATS (+40.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 70-44 ATS (+21.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 64-41 ATS (+18.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (4 - 8) at HOUSTON (8 - 4) - 12/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (10 - 2) at NEW ORLEANS (10 - 2) - 12/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (1 - 11) at CLEVELAND (5 - 7) - 12/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 2-2 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (5 - 7) at ATLANTA (3 - 9) - 12/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 121-90 ATS (+22.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
CAROLINA is 85-57 ATS (+22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
ATLANTA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-1 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-1 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (3 - 8 - 1) at MINNESOTA (8 - 4) - 12/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 48-74 ATS (-33.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (3 - 9) at NY JETS (4 - 8) - 12/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 77-104 ATS (-37.4 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
MIAMI is 48-70 ATS (-29.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
MIAMI is 62-87 ATS (-33.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MIAMI is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NY JETS are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 6) at TAMPA BAY (5 - 7) - 12/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CHARGERS (4 - 8) at JACKSONVILLE (4 - 8) - 12/8/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS are 128-95 ATS (+23.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 128-95 ATS (+23.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 103-74 ATS (+21.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 30-6 ATS (+23.4 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CHARGERS is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (8 - 4) at NEW ENGLAND (10 - 2) - 12/8/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 269-205 ATS (+43.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 269-205 ATS (+43.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 134-103 ATS (+20.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 134-103 ATS (+20.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 206-150 ATS (+41.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 198-151 ATS (+31.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 129-87 ATS (+33.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 129-91 ATS (+28.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 91-58 ATS (+27.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 2-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (7 - 5) at ARIZONA (3 - 8 - 1) - 12/8/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 46-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
ARIZONA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (7 - 5) at OAKLAND (6 - 6) - 12/8/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 121-157 ATS (-51.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 55-85 ATS (-38.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 37-64 ATS (-33.4 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 35-60 ATS (-31.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (10 - 2) at LA RAMS (7 - 5) - 12/8/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS are 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 72-42 ATS (+25.8 Units) in December games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA RAMS are 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS are 145-191 ATS (-65.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS are 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS are 73-107 ATS (-44.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS are 71-105 ATS (-44.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
LA RAMS are 43-65 ATS (-28.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 3-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, December 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (2 - 10) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 7) - 12/9/2019, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasonse last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**StarDust Bum** · 12-03-2019, 06:20 PM

NFL

Week 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chicago Bears
Chicago is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Chicago is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Chicago is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Dallas's last 15 games
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Chicago

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Green Bay is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Green Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Washington
Green Bay is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Washington Redskins
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Washington is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Green Bay
Washington is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Washington is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay

Houston Texans
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Denver
Denver Broncos
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Denver's last 21 games
Denver is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
Denver is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Denver's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Houston

Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Minnesota's last 12 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games on the road
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 4-8-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Detroit is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
New Orleans is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
New Orleans is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
New Orleans is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
New Orleans is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
New Orleans is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New Orleans's last 19 games when playing at home against San Francisco
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games
San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
San Francisco is 6-11-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing New Orleans
San Francisco is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
San Francisco is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of San Francisco's last 19 games when playing on the road against New Orleans

Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Atlanta is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Carolina
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
Atlanta is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games
Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Carolina is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games on the road
Carolina is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Carolina is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games at home
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing Buffalo

Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Cleveland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
Cleveland is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
Cleveland is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
Cincinnati is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

New York Jets
NY Jets is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games
NY Jets is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games
NY Jets is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
NY Jets is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games at home
NY Jets is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
NY Jets is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
NY Jets is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Miami
NY Jets is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Jets's last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami Dolphins
Miami is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Miami is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Miami is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Miami is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Jets
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Jets
Miami is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Jets

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games
Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
Indianapolis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Indianapolis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 7 games on the road
Indianapolis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Jacksonville is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Jacksonville's last 11 games at home
Jacksonville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
Jacksonville is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Jacksonville's last 10 games when playing LA Chargers
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games
LA Chargers is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 11 games
LA Chargers is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
LA Chargers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
LA Chargers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
LA Chargers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 10 games when playing Jacksonville
LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville

Oakland Raiders
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games
Oakland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Oakland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Oakland's last 18 games at home
Oakland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Tennessee
Oakland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games
Tennessee is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oakland
Tennessee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Oakland

Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Arizona is 1-7-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 3-4-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Arizona
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona

New England Patriots
New England is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
New England is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of New England's last 24 games
New England is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New England's last 10 games at home
New England is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
New England is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 9 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Kansas City's last 16 games on the road
Kansas City is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing New England
Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
Kansas City is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing on the road against New England

Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
LA Rams is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 7 games
LA Rams is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 7 games at home
LA Rams is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
LA Rams is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing Seattle
LA Rams is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 9 games when playing at home against Seattle
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Seattle's last 21 games
Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 10 games on the road
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
Seattle is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Rams

Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Philadelphia is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games when playing NY Giants
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing NY Giants
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing at home against NY Giants
New York Giants
NY Giants is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games
NY Giants is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
NY Giants is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Giants's last 8 games on the road
NY Giants is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
NY Giants is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Philadelphia
NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Giants's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Giants's last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

**StarDust Bum** · 12-03-2019, 06:22 PM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 14

Cowboys (6-6) @ Bears (6-6)— Both teams played on Thanksgiving, had full week to prepare. Dallas lost three of last four games; they have no takeaways in last three (-4 TO’s)- they’re 3-3 SU on road TY, 15-7-1 ATS in last 23 games as a road favorite, 3-2 TY. In their last two games, Cowboys have two TD’s on 21 drives. Three of their last four road games went over. Chicago won its last two games after a 1-5 skid; they’re 3-3 SU at home TY, 9-2-2 ATS in last 13 games as a home underdog (0-0 TY). Five of their last six games stayed under. Dallas won last two series games, 41-28/31-17, with last meeting in ’16. NFC East non-divisional favorites are 4-13 ATS, 1-6 on road; NFC North underdogs are 5-6 ATS, 2-1 at home.

Ravens (10-2) @ Bills (9-3)— Baltimore won its last eight games, covering five of last six; in their last five games, they scored 22 TD’s on 40 drives. In their last three games, Ravens ran ball for 242 yards/game. Buffalo won three in row, six of last eight games; they’ve run ball for 178.7 ypg the last three weeks. Under McDermtt, Bills are 4-5 ATS as a home underdog, 1-0 TY- two of their three losses TY came at home. Four of their last five games stayed under. Home side won last seven Baltimore-Buffalo games; Ravens waxed Bills 47-3 in LY’s season opener- they lost last two trips to western NY, 23-20/19-14, with last visit here in 2013. AFC North non-divisional favorites are 4-8-1 ATS, 2-1 on road; AFC East underdogs are 10-7-1 ATS,, 5-3 at home.

Redskins (3-9) @ Packers (9-3)— Washington won its last two games after a 1-9 start; they ran ball for 248 yards LW in their upset win at Carolina. Redskins have 8 takeaways (+5) in their last three games, 13 sacks in last two; they’re 14-10 ATS in last 24 games as a road underdog, 3-2 TY. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. Green Bay split its last four games; they’re 24-14-2 ATS in last 40 games as a home favorite, 4-2 TY. Three of their last four games went under. Underdogs covered three of last four series games; Redskins lost last four visits to Lambeau, with 3 of 4 losses by 18+ points. NFC East non-divisional road underdogs are 8-3 ATS TY; NFC North home favorites are 6-7 ATS.

Broncos (4-8) @ Texans (8-4)— Denver split its last eight games (4-4 ATS) after an 0-4 start; rookie QB Lock got a win in his first NFL start LW, now makes his first road start. Broncos are 5-3 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog, 3-2 TY- three of their last four games went over the total. Houston won six of its last eight games; they converted 12 of last 23 third down plays. Texans are 7-11 ATS in last 18 games as a road favorite, 1-4 TY. Houston allowed 30+ points in three of their four losses. Four of their last five games went under. Favorites covered five of last seven series games; Denver split its last two visits here, wth last one here in ’13. AFC West non-divisional favorites are 8-5 ATS, 5-4 on road; AFC South underdogs are 9-6 ATS, 2-2 at home.

49ers (10-2) @ Saints (10-2)— 49ers split their last four games after an 8-0 start, with both losses by a FG;.under Shanahan- they lost field position by 10+ yards in both losses, Niners are out of first place in NFC West for first time TY; they’re 11-7 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog, 4-0 TY. SF is 4-0 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less points. New Orleans won its last three games, scoring 31.3 ppg; they were held to 9 points in both their losses TY. Saints are 10-14 ATS in last 24 games as a home favorite, 2-3 TY. Road team won three of last four series games; 49ers won two of last three visits to Bourbon Street. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 4-7 ATS, 3-6 at home; NFC West underdogs are 12-1 ATS, 10-1 on road.

Bengals (1-11) @ Browns (5-7)— Cincy got first win of the year LW with Dalton back under center; they covered last three games. In their last five games, Bengals were outscored 47-14 in 2nd half; they’re 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog, 4-1 TY. Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. This is *************** dot com. Cleveland won three of last four games; they’ve outscored opponents in 2nd half only once in their last eight games (1-5-2). Browns are 2-2-1 ATS TY as a home favorite. Three of their last four games went under. Browns swept Cincy LY, 35-20/26-18, after losing previous six series games. Bengals won four of last five trips to the Dawg Pound. Remember that Browns’ defensive star Garrett is suspended for rest of season.

Panthers (5-7) @ Falcons (3-9)— Atlanta (+5.5) picked Allen off four times, stuffed the Panthers 29-3 in Charlotte three weeks ago; Falcons won eight of last ten series games. Carolina lost its last four visits to Atlanta, by 7-12-15-7 points. Carolina lost its last four games overall, giving up 29 ppg; they’ve allowed 12 TD’s on last 42 drives, have converted only 12 of last 43 third down plays. Panthers are 14-8 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog, 3-2 TY; they’re 7-10-1 ATS in last 18 games on artificial turf, 1-0 TY. Six of their last eight games went over. Atlanta gave up 61 points in losing its last two games; they lost their last four home games, are 3-7 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite, 0-2 TY. Five of their last six games stayed under.

Lions (3-8-1) @ Vikings (8-4)— Short week for Minnesota after its Monday night loss in Seattle. Under Zimmer, Vikings are 25-9-1 ATS as a home favorite, 3-2 TY. Vikings (-2.5) won 42-30 in Detroit in Week 7, running ball for 166 yards in game that was 21-all at half. Detroit lost six of last nine series games, but won two of last three visits to the Twin Cities. Vikings split their last four games, despite scoring 27 ppg; they’ve converted 18 of last 26 third down plays. Six of their last seven games went over. This is first road start for rookie 3rd string QB Blough, who was 22-38/259 in LW’s 24-20 home loss to Chicago, his NFL debut. Under Patricia, Lions are 6-4 ATS as a road underdog, 2-2 TY; five of their last seven games went over.

Dolphins (3-9) @ Jets (4-8)— Miami won three of its last five games after an 0-7 start; they covered six of their last eight games, are 3-2 ATS as a road underdog TY. Dolphins allowed 20+ points in first half in each of their last three games, but they play hard for 60:00 and Fitzpatrick has given them a competitive spark. Four of their last five games went over. Jets (-3) lost 26-18 in Miami in Week 9, scoring 10 points on three trips to red zone; Dolphins won six of last seven series games, taking two of last three series games played here. Jets won three of last four games but laid an egg in Cincy LW; they won three of last four home games, are 1-4 ATS in last five games as a home favorite, 0-1 TY. Jets didn’t allow a play of 20+ yards in their last two games.

Colts (6-6) @ Buccaneers (5-7)— Colts lost four of last five games after a 5-2 start; they’re 2-3 SU on road TY, with all five games decided by 6 or fewer points. Under Reich, Indy is 7-2 ATS as a home favorite, 4-0 TY. Veteran K Vinatieri has missed 14 kicks (6 PAT, 8 FG) TY- they gave up a TD on a blocked FG when score was tied with 6:00 left in pivotal loss to Titans LW. Tampa Bay won three of last four games after a 2-6 start; Bucs lost three of their four home games, are 4-16 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite, 0-3 TY. Indy won three of last four series games; teams split last two meetings played here. AFC South non-divisional underdogs are 10-6 ATS, 8-4 on road; AFC South favorites are 4-7 ATS, 1-1 at home.

Chargers (4-8) @ Jaguars (4-8)— Chargers find weird ways to lose; all eight of their losses are by 7 or fewer points- their last four road games (1-3) were decided by total of nine points. LA turned ball over eight times in their last three games (-6); they’re 1-6 when they allow more than 16 points. Chargers are 2-5 SU away from home, and were favored in 4 of 7 games. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Jaguars lost last four games, allowing 32.3 ppg, with all four losses by 17+ points. Jags are 9- ATS in last 16 games as a home underdog, 1-2 TY. Bolts won six of last seven series games, losing 20-17 (+5.5) in last visit here, two years ago. AFC West non-divisional favorites are 6-11 ATS, 2-4 on road; AFC South underdogs are 10-6 ATS, 2-2 at home.

Chiefs (8-4) @ Patriots (10-2)— Chiefs scored 71 points in two games vs New England LY but lost both of them, losing AFC title game 37-31 in OT at Arrowhead. Chiefs lost five of last seven visits to Foxboro; underdogs covered last four series games. Chiefs scored 30.5 ppg in winning three of last fur games overall; under Reid, they’re 14-8 ATS as a road underdog (0-0 TY). Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. New England split its last four games after an 8-2 start; they’re 31-15-3 in last 49 games as a home favorite, 3-2 TY. Under is 8-4 in their games this season. AFC West non-divisional underdogs are 7-6 ATS, 5-4 on road; AFC East favorites are 8-7 ATS, 5-5 at home. Patriots are behind Baltimore now in race for #1 seed in the AFC.

This report will update....

**StarDust Bum** · 12-03-2019, 06:23 PM

Trends to Watch - December
Marc Lawrence

HOME TEAMS

Keep an eye on (Good): 5-Teams
Carolina 31-20 ATS - Cincinnati 41-25 ATS - Green Bay 37-22 ATS
New England 36-21 ATS - Seattle 41-21 ATS

The Panthers will be home on the odd numbers Sunday's beginning with Washington (12/1), which is winnable. However, games against Seattle (12/15) and New Orleans (12/29) will be harder.

If Miami can beat the Jets (12/1) at home, so can Cincinnati. The Bengals against New England (12/15) will be more challenging. Cincy closes with Cleveland (12/29) having played them three weeks prior.

Green Bay's cold weather edge will be slightly diminished facing cold weather opponents Chicago (12/15) and Washington (12/8).

New England will have an anticipated showdown with Kansas City (12/8), plus, divisional games with Buffalo (12/21) and Miami (12/29).

The Seahawks slate is anything but simple home and away. At CenturyLink Field they have Minnesota on the first Monday of the month and later Arizona (12/22) and San Francisco (12/29).
Keep an eye on (Bad): Cleveland 15-26 ATS - L.A. Rams 22-34 ATS
Cleveland’s trying to fight back and concludes with the Bengals (12/8) in the first of two and two weeks later versus Baltimore (12/29).

The Rams have a rugged road schedule along with home games against the Seahawks (12/8) and Cardinals (12/29).

AWAY TEAMS

Keep an eye on (Bad): 5-Teams
Dallas 26-39 ATS - Houston 15-24 ATS - Miami 21-33 ATS
Oakland 21-39 ATS - San Francisco 23-39 ATS

If the Cowboys blow it like usual on the road at Chicago (12/5) and at Philadelphia (12/22), they might not reach the playoffs.

Off a trio of home contests, Houston hits the road for Tennessee (12/15) and Tampa Bay (12/21), hoping that does screw up their postseason plans.

In a manner of speaking, everything will be new for Miami away from home. (and chilly)
With trips two trips to New Jersey to take on the New York Jets (12/8) and New York Giants (12/15), followed by two weeks later to face New England.

With all three AFC West teams having made one last visit to Oakland, the Raiders will make stops in K.C. (12/1), Carson (12/22) at a Mile High (12/29).

With how improved San Francisco is, one might imagine they would have the same problems of the past. Then you find that the Niners will be unwelcome guests at Baltimore (12/1), at New Orleans (12/8) and at the Seahawks and now it sure looks harder.

FAVORITES

Good: Seattle - 43-21 ATS
The Seahawks are sensational in this role this month, but how often is hard to say with their schedule. For sure Seattle will be the favorite at home against Arizona (12/22) and now versus Minnesota (12/2). However, at the L.A. Rams (12/8) at Carolina (12/15) and home against San Fran (12/29) will be TBD.

Keep an eye on (Good): Green Bay 56-29 ATS
The Packers have been impervious to the cold in December and usually are playing their best football. They will be dishing out the digits at the Giants (12/1) and home against Washington (12/8) and Chicago (12/15). The season finale at Detroit is the only unknown.

Bad: Miami - 24-49 ATS
The Dolphins might have cost themselves the No.1 overall pick in season where the front office did all but everything to lose. Though Miami will play the Jets and Giants, both are in New Jersey, setting up Cincinnati (12/22) as the lone possible favorite role.

Keep an eye on (Bad): 3-Teams
Cleveland 6-11 ATS - Dallas 25-38 ATS
N.Y. Jets 18-28 ATS

Cleveland's season has not turned out as expected and they hope not to make to worse with two games against the Bengals (12/08 and 12/29) and possible as favorite at Arizona (12/15).

Most seasons, the last thing Dallas is clutch and a money-maker this month. They will have two chances not to make it worse against the Rams (12/15) and the Redskins (12/29).

Could the Jets possibly be favored at Cincy (12/1)? Yes, it turned out to be. Otherwise, they'll be smallish home faves with revenge against the Dolphins (12/8).

UNDERDOGS

Keep an eye on (Good): 3-Teams
Carolina 34-19 ATS - Seattle 43-22 ATS
Pittsburgh 20-12 ATS
Both Carolina and Seattle have been outstanding underdogs this month, but what we don't know who will be in what role when they meet in Charlotte on the 15th. Stayed tuned.

The Panthers will be a smaller dog at Indianapolis on the 22nd and we’ll have to wait and see on Atlanta.

The Seahawks might catch a point or two at the Rams (12/8), but not for sure.

Right now, one would presume Pittsburgh will be favored at Arizona (12/8) and Jets (12/22), however, they will be underdogs to close the regular season at Baltimore, unless the Ravens are resting players.

Keep an eye on (Bad): 3-Teams
Chicago 27-42 ATS - L.A. Rams 22-43 ATS
Oakland 27-48 ATS

Chicago has been a bad dog, like one tearing up Christmas packages, late in the season and that could continue. The Bears have Dallas (12/5) at home a week after they played on Thanksgiving. Then 17 days later at Soldier Field versus the Chiefs, plus away battles at the Packers (12/15) and Vikings (12/29).

The Rams sure look like underdogs at Dallas (12/15) and at Frisco (12/21) and as mentioned, their home game with Seattle (12/8) could be a TBD matchup.

Though Oakland is in thick of the playoff chase, they are all but certain to be a division road underdog at Kansas City (12/1), at Carson (12/22) and depending where everything is, maybe at Denver (12/29).

DIVISION

Because we don't want to keep repeating basically the same information over and over for this article, which you have already read about these teams, we are listing their record and who they are playing only.

Keep an eye on (Good):
Carolina 30-19 ATS - @ Atlanta (12/8) and New Orleans (12/29)
New England 35-21 ATS - Buffalo (12/21) and Miami (12/29)

Keep an eye on (Bad):
Cleveland 12-21 ATS - @ Pittsburgh (12/1), Cincinnati (12/8), Baltimore (12/22) and @ Cincinnati (12/29)
Miami 23-39 ATS - @ N.Y. Jets (12/8) and @ New England (12/29)
Oakland 24-37 ATS - @ Kansas City (12/1) @ L.A. Chargers and @ Denver (12/29)

**StarDust Bum** · 12-03-2019, 06:24 PM

Tech Trends - Week 14
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Dec. 5

DALLAS at CHICAGO (FOX, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Cowboys had covered 4 of last 5 prior to Thanksgiving loss to Bills. Dallas has covered last 3 on road in 2019. Bears just 3-9 vs. spread this season, also “under” 15-4 since late in 2018.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Cowboys, based on “totals” and team trends.

Sunday, Dec. 1

BALTIMORE at BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Ravens have won last 6 SU and covered 7 of last 8 in 2019. Also 7-1 vs. spread last 8 on road. Bills 4-0-1 vs. spread last five TY and 4-0-1 last five as dog since late LY. Buffalo also “under” 9-3 this season.
Tech Edge: Slight to “under” and Ravens, based on “totals” and team trends.

WASHINGTON at GREEN BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Redskins have actually covered 4 of last 6 TY. Skins also 8-5 “under” since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Slight to Skins, based on tream trends.

DENVER at HOUSTON (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Broncos 6-2 vs. spread last eight TY. Texans only 2-4 vs. spread last six TY, and 2-4 vs. points at NRG Stadium. Denver on 16-5 “under” run since mid 2018, Houston “under” 12-5 at hoem sicne late 2017.
Tech Edge: “Under” and Broncos, based on “totals” and recent trends.

SAN FRANCISCO at NEW ORLEANS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Niners 5-1 SU and vs. line on road in 2019, also 4-0 as a dog. Saints no covers last two at Superdome TY, 2-7 last 9 vs. spread as host.
Tech Edge: 49ers, based on recent trends.

CINCINNATI at CLEVELAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Browns have won last 3 SU at home but still just 2-3-1 vs. spread as host this season and 4-7-1 vs. line overall. Bengals actually 4-1 vs. spread as true visitor in 2019 and a shocking 8-1 vs. points last nine in role (not counting London vs. Rams). Bengals have also won and covered last five at Cleveland. Cincy “under” 11-4-2 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Bengals and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

CAROLINA at ATLANTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Falcons 4-7-1 vs. line TY, 6-13-1 since mid 2018 against spread. Atlanta though has won and covered last four in series including 29-3 win at Charlotte on November 17. Panthers 5-2 vs. line last seven away from home. “Unders” 5-1 last six in series.
Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.trends.

DETROIT at MINNESOTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Lions broke 6-game spread L streak on Thanksgiving but still no covers last three on road TY, while Vikings no covers last 2 at US Bank Stadium after opening with three wins and covers at home. Minn is 5-0 SU as host TY. Vikings have also won and covered last 4 in series, including win at Ford Field on October 20.
Tech Edge: Vikings, based on series trends.

MIAMI at NY JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
J-Men won and covered 3 in a row TY, Cincy 0-4-1 vs. line at home TY, 1-9-1 last 11 vs. spread at Paul Brown, Bengals “under” 10-4-2 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Slight to Jets and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

INDIANAPOLIS at TAMPA BAY (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
If Colts a dog note 6-2 mark last 8 in role. Indy also 7-2 vs. line last 9 away. Bucs only 2-6 vs. spread last eight in 2019, 0-4 vs. spread as host TY. Tampa Bay also on 10-3 “over” run since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Colts and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

L.A. CHARGERS at JACKSONVILLE (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Bolts only 3-9 vs. line TY, also “under” 15-7 since early 2018. Chargers 2-5 vs. spread away TY after great road marks previous (10-3-2 vs. line reg season outside of LA city limits previous two years). But Jags no covers last 4 or 6 of last 8 TY.
Tech Edge: Chargers and “under,” based on extended and “totals” trends.

KANSAS CITY at NEW ENGLAND (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
KC 0-2 SU and 1-1 vs. line against Pats in wild games LY. But Andy Reid 8-2 last 10 as dog (1-1 TY). Belichick 16-5 vs. number last 21 at Gillette Stadium, also “under” 16-5 last 21 reg season games, though last three “over” vs. Chiefs since 2017.
Tech Edge: Slight to Patriots and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

PITTSBURGH at ARIZONA (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
If dog, Tomlin 4-2 in roleTY, 8-2 since 2018. Cards 4-2-1 vs. spread last 7 TY, also “over” 3-1 L4. Steel “under” 14-5 since late 2018 (8-3 “under” in 2019).
Tech Edge: Steelers and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

TENNESSEE at OAKLAND (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Titans 5-1 SU and vs. line last 5 (since switch to Tannehill at QB), also “over” last six this season. Raiders no covers last three in 2019. But Oak has won and covered last three ins series (2015-17).
Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

SEATTLE at L.A. RAMS (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Seahawks 6-0 SU and vs. line on road TY and have covered 5 of last 6 vs. Rams. Last four “over” in series. Rams 3-8 vs. line last 11 reg season at Coliseum. Last four “over” in series.
Tech Edge: Seahawks and “over,” based on team and series trends.

Monday, Dec. 9

N.Y. GIANTS at PHILADELPHIA (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)
G-Men 9-3 as road dog since LY. NY has covered last 2 at Linc. Birds 10-20-1 vs. spread in reg season games since late 2017, 3-10 last 13 vs. number at Linc.
Tech Edge: Giants, based on team trends.

**StarDust Bum** · 12-03-2019, 06:27 PM

Best spot bets for the NFL Week 14 odds: Texans tackling 'letdown' as big favorites
Jason Logan

The Texans entered the 2019 season with the hardest slate of games, as ranked by strength of schedule. So, it’s no surprise that Houston has been a mainstay of this weekly spot bet showcase and makes its fifth appearance in Week 14.

Plenty of times when NFL bettors get hit with a result they didn’t see coming, they instantly wonder, “What did I miss?” And often, the underlying X-factor in that final score fits the mold of the situational spot.

Letdowns, lookaheads, and schedule spots are just part of the puzzle when it comes to capping the weekly NFL odds, and sometimes that puzzle piece is bigger than you’d imagine. *********** Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan is a big fan of situational capping and gives his favorite spot bets for the NFL Week 14 odds.

LETDOWN SPOT: DENVER BRONCOS AT HOUSTON TEXANS (-9.5, 41.5)

The Texans entered the 2019 season with the hardest slate of games, as ranked by strength of schedule. So, it’s no surprise that Houston has been a mainstay of this weekly spot bet showcase and makes its fifth appearance in Week 14.

The Texans are coming off a huge win over the New England Patriots last Sunday and now take on the Denver Broncos as big home faves. Houston was as big as 10-point chalk but has been bet down as low as -9 with early money recognizing this tricky spot for the Texans. No only is the letdown off the victory over New England possible but Houston could also get caught looking ahead to what is now an important road game in Tennessee next week.

The Broncos are coming off a last-second victory over the Chargers at home in Week 13 and have been raking in the Rocky Mountain money for Denver bettors, covering in six of their previous eight games. Houston, on the other hand, is 2-4 ATS inside NRG Stadium and is 1-6 against the spread in its last seven games following an ATS winner.

LOOKAHEAD SPOT: TENNESSEE TITANS AT OAKLAND RAIDERS (+3, 47.5)

Staying in the AFC South and piggybacking on the Texans' sandwich spot in Week 14, we have red-hot Tennessee traveling across the country to face the Oakland Raiders as a field-goal favorite. The Titans have won three in a row behind a suddenly-sizzling offense, averaging 36 points during this winning streak.

That run has Tennessee back in the divisional hunt and hot on the heels of Houston in the final four games of the season. The Titans, at 7-5 SU, could get caught looking ahead to that Week 15 showdown versus the Texans at home. Oakland has looked terrible the past two games, getting outscored 74-12 in road losses to the Jets and Chiefs, but is back in the Bay Area where the Silver and Black are 4-2 ATS on the season and 7-2 ATS in their last nine homestands.

Tennessee could also find itself dining at the situational sandwich shop this Sunday, chewing back a letdown spot after that huge win at Indianapolis and washing it down with a cool drink of schedule spot, playing in its second straight road game.

SCHEDULE SPOT: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS AT NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-2.5, 44.5)

The Niners are no doubt blowing through the ice packs and Advil (or stronger) the week following a very physical matchup with the Baltimore Ravens last Sunday (Bonus trend: teams are 4-7 ATS immediately following a game vs. Baltimore this season). San Francisco doesn’t get much time to lick those wounds, traveling to the Big Easy for an important NFC game.

The 49ers opened as 3-point underdogs versus the Saints in Week 14 and early money on San Francisco has moved this spread under the key number to NOLA -2.5. This will the Niners’ second straight road game, a situation that hasn’t been historically kind to the franchise: going 5-10 SU and 6-8-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games since 2014.

Now, this 2019 edition of the 49ers is much different than past San Fran teams but there’s no denying this sticky schedule spot, which also sees the opponent – New Orleans – well rested off a mini bye due to playing (and beating) the Falcons on Thanksgiving Thursday. Sean Payton and his staff were able to sit back and watch that 49ers-Ravens game, giving them extra prep time. New Orleans is a solid 14-8 ATS with the edge in rest since 2010.

******************************

Bet Now/Bet Later NFL Week 14 odds: Chase the Chiefs before this big line move
Jason Logan

The Chiefs' stock is soaring after a big win over Oakland and now early action is dropping Kansas City under the key number in New England this Sunday. Get K.C. +3 while you can.

Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team but betting the best number.

Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window – or your mobile – to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it’s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.

Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best “Bet Now/Bet Later” games on the NFL Week 14 board.

SPREAD TO BET NOW: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS AT NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-3, 49)

The Chiefs’ 2019 stock has never been higher after a thrashing of rival Oakland at home in Week 13. And, the 2019 stock on the Patriots has never been lower, after a losing effort at Houston this past Sunday night. Those contrasting results has the line for this AFC Championship Game rematch trending toward the visitor.

Kansas City opened as high as +3.5 for this trip to Foxborough and that half-point hook didn’t last long, quickly getting bet down to a field goal. Some online markets opened K.C. +3 and action on the Chiefs moved it to +2.5 before buyback on Belichick’s boys pushed it back to three.

As it stands, with those Week 13 results still fresh out of the oven, plenty of books are moving to New England -2.5. So, if you like Kansas City in this revenge spot on the road, take K.C. now at +3. The “Pats off a loss” trends will make their rounds later in the week (41-16 ATS off a loss since 2003), so if you did miss out on a field goal there’s a slight chance it may pop back up.

SPREAD TO BET LATER: DENVER BRONCOS AT HOUSTON TEXANS (-10, 41.5)

Nothing inflates a number like a win over New England. The Texans are riding high off a very impressive showing versus the Patriots on Sunday night, and that has pushed the opening spread for this matchup with Denver from Houston -8 (set before SNF) to -10.

If you’re not sold on the Texans or are buying into a letdown spot, hold your horses and see if this creeps over the key number of 10. Denver is coming off a last-second win over the Chargers, thanks to a late pass interference call that set up a game-winning field goal. But, the Broncos have a rookie QB at the helm in Drew Lock, who makes his first road start in NRG Stadium this Sunday.

Denver has been one of the sneaky-good bets in the second half of the schedule, going 6-2 ATS in its last eight outings. The Texans have been a bad bet at home (2-5 ATS last seven at home) and are inconsistent in their efforts, with a 1-6 ATS record in their last seven when covering the spread the game before.

TOTAL TO BET NOW: UNDER 43 DALLAS COWBOYS AT CHICAGO BEARS

If you’re planning on an uneventful Thursday night matchup between the Boys and Bears, you may want to get down on the Under now. The total for the mid-week showcase opened as high as 44 and has been chopped down a full point and likely will keep ticking down before kickoff.

The Cowboys are coming off an embarrassing effort versus the Bills at home on Thanksgiving, scoring just 15 points a week after being limited to only nine in a bad-weather game at New England. Dallas comes to Chicago, where game-time temperatures will hover around freezing and winds could reach gusts of up to 20 mph. Star receiver Amari Cooper is nursing a knee injury and there are also rumblings that he’s planning to bolt from Dallas this offseason. Hmmm…

Chicago, on the other hand, is THE Under team in the NFL. Save for a sudden outpouring from the Lions’ third-string QB on Thanksgiving, the Bears have played Under the total in eight of their dozen games this season, including a 1-5 O/U mark inside Soldier Field. The defense is especially stingy in the Windy City, allowing only 16 points against on home soil.

TOTAL TO BET LATER: OVER 43 PITTSBURGH STEELERS AT ARIZONA CARDINALS

A lone touchdown from Kyler Murray was all Arizona could muster in a blowout loss to Los Angeles in Week 13. That awful offensive effort is skewing the total for Week 14’s home date with the Steelers and should have fans of the Over pushing pause on their action until this number dips lower.

The total for Sunday opened at 43.5 and is starting to dwindle with money coming in on the Under, sitting at 43 points at some books. Pittsburgh isn’t lighting up the scoreboard by any means, but the offense looks a little more dangerous with “Duck” Hodges under center and the Cardinals “stop unit” is that in name only: giving up scores of 30, 36 and 34 in its last three games.

The Cardinals offense is much better than whatever that was in Week 13, averaging almost 23 points per game since Week 5. Pittsburgh's defense is playing well - giving up just 18.8 points per contest on the season - but has benefited from a home-friendly stretch, that saw the Steelers in Heinz Field in four of their last six outings. Arizona has gone Over the total in four of its six homestands and won’t need much from either team to top this total, especially after it drops lower throughout the week.

*******************************

NFL Betting Stats heading into Week 14:

Road Teams: 106-83-4 ATS
Home Teams: 83-106-4 ATS

Favorites: 84-105-4 ATS
Underdogs: 105-84-4 ATS

Home Faves: 48-70-4 ATS
Home Dogs: 35-36 ATS

Road Faves: 36-35 ATS
Road Dogs: 70-48-4 ATS

O/U: 93-100

Announcement

Da bum's 2019 nfl season's best bets- opinions-news-trends thru the superbowl !

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment