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  • Wednesday’s 6-pack

    Interesting NFL spreads for Week 15:

    — Houston @ Tennessee (-3)

    — Buffalo @ Pittsburgh (-2.5)

    — Cleveland (-2.5) @ Arizona

    — Rams (-1) @ Dallas

    — Minnesota (-2.5) @ LA Chargers

    — Indianapolis @ New Orleans (-9)

    Quote of the Day:
    “[Our recent play] is sickening. [Changes are] tough, but it’s a necessary evil. Right now, we’ve got to play better, and we’re going to play better, and there will be changes. There will be changes. What happened [Sunday] will not happen again. I can’t allow it to happen.”
    Jon Gruden

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Which NFL team did Steve Spurrier coach for two seasons?

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Of the 32 NFL stadiums, LA Coliseum and Oakland Coliseum have hosted a World Series.

    Monday’s quiz
    Steph Curry played his college basketball at Davidson.


    Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

    13) I get it that all retired baseball players speak glowingly of the late Marvin Miller, who was the head of the players’ union; he made them all very rich. If Miller made me rich, I’d want him to be inducted into the Hall of Fame, too.

    But as an Oakland A’s fan, I had no great fondness for Miller, who helped institute a system that made the A’s a 2nd-rate franchise, financially. Stephen Strasburg making $35M a year is a bit much; not really sure Miller deserves to be in the Hall of Fame- did he make the game better? Did star players being multi-millionaires improve the game?

    I’d rather see Dr Frank Jobe get in the Hall of Fame; surgeons who perform Tommy John surgery have done a hell of a lot more to help baseball than a guy who helped make all the players millionaires.

    12) Speaking of Marvin MIller, Bronx Bombers signed Gerrit Cole to a 9-year, $324M contract late Tuesday night. Cole is 29 years old, so this might be his last contract.

    Last three years, Cole started 33-32-33 regular season games; if he does that next season, it works out to $1,090,909.09 per start.

    11) 2020 Bronx Bombers:
    — Gerrit Cole, $36M
    — Giancarlo Stanton, $26M
    — Masahiro Tanaka, $23M
    — Aroldis Chapman $17.2M

    That adds up to $101.5M…….for four guys.

    Oakland A’s made the playoffs the last two years; their ENTIRE payroll last year?

    $92,178,333

    10) Excellent article on actionnetwork.com about how college bowl betting lines are made; it ain’t easy, especially when you have to make them quickly, with matchups coming out early Sunday afternoon- lines were posted roughly four hours later.

    9) NHL leaders in going over in first period:
    Colorado 23-7, Los Angeles 21-10, Carolina 20-10

    NHL leaders in going under in first period:
    Calgary 9-23, Dallas 12-19, Jets/Wild/Penguins 13-17

    8) Baseball stuff:
    — Giants signed P Kevin Gausman to a 1-year deal.
    — Phillies signed SS Didi Gregorius
    — Angels dumped some salary, trading SS Zack Cozart for cash and a prospect.

    7) Random question: Are people allowed to meet at a vegan restaurant?
    (Think about it, maybe you’ll chuckle later)

    6) Every player at the Outback Bowl will get a gift suite that includes a Fossil watch; $125 Amazon gift card; Jostens ring; Outback Steakhouse gift card; hat.

    All the bowls have gift packages like that.

    5) Funny how Golden State Warriors seem to have disbanded for a year; Draymond Green still plays most of he time, the uniforms are the same, and Steve Kerr still coaches, but with Steph Curry and Klay Thompson not playing, this is a totally different team, one that will be in the NBA Draft Lottery, maybe even getting the first pick.

    Would Golden State draft LaMelo Ball, the youngest of the three Ball brothers? Cole Anthony? James Wiseman, the big kid from Memphis?

    4) Major League Baseball will relocate its annual amateur draft to Omaha to try and increase interest; Omaha is where the College World Series is played every year. I’m guessing some of the college coaches in the CWS won’t be thrilled with the potential distractions.

    3) Of course the Miami Marlins move their outfield fences in the year after they trade Stanton, Yelich and Ozuna. Makes perfect sense.

    2) Texas Tech 70, Louisville 57— Cardinals are already the 4th #1 team in country to lose this season and it is only December 11. There aren’t any great teams this year.

    1) ESPN drained every last drop out of the Eli Manning story Monday night; he played really well in the first half but the Giants were shut out in the 2nd half as Manning made what will probably be his last-ever appearance on MNF.

    Now America will have to wait a couple years for the next Manning; Eli’s nephew Arch is a 9th-grader at Newman HS in New Orleans, where he already is the starting QB.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • Betting Recap - Week 14
      Joe Williams

      Overall Notes

      National Football League Week 14 Results


      Wager Favorites-Underdogs
      Straight Up 11-4
      Against the Spread 8-6-1

      Wager Home-Away
      Straight Up 8-7
      Against the Spread 5-9-1

      Wager Totals (O/U)
      Over-Under 7-8

      National Football League Year-to-Date Results

      Wager Favorites-Underdogs
      Straight Up 113-71-1
      Against the Spread 89-108-6

      Wager Home-Away
      Straight Up 110-92-1
      Against the Spread 86-111-6

      Wager Totals (O/U)
      Over-Under 99-103-1

      The largest underdogs to win straight up
      Broncos (+8, ML +350) at Texans, 38-24
      Bears (+3, ML +145) vs. Cowboys (Thu.), 31-24
      Chiefs (+3, ML +140) at Patriots, 23-16

      The largest favorite to cover
      Vikings (-12) vs. Lions, 20-7
      Browns (-6.5) vs. Bengals, 27-19
      Ravens (-6) at Bills, 24-17

      It's a LOCK!

      -- The Denver Broncos (+8) have turned the keys over to rookie QB Drew Lock and he led the biggest upset of the weekend with a surprising 38-24 win on the road over the Houston Texans. It was a surprise going by pregame preview, and the line, only. If you watched the game, it was a thorough beatdown in favor of the visitors. The Broncos fired out to a 21-0 lead with 11:24 to go in the second quarter, as the Broncos had two TD passes for Lock and a 70-yard fumble recovery for touchdown. They took a surprising 38-3 lead at halftime, and they held a 38-3 lead at 9:15 of the third quarter before the Texans found the end zone midway through the third. The Broncos are 2-0 SU/ATS with Lock under center, and they're 5-1 ATS across the past six with the over 4-1 in the past five outings. Denver is also 7-2 ATS across the past nine contests.

      Total Recall

      -- There were three games with totals of 48 or greater -- Kansas City Chiefs-New England Patriots (49), Carolina Panthers-Atlanta Falcons (48) and the Sunday Night Football game between the Seattle Seahawks-Los Angeles Rams (48). Only one of those games managed to go 'over', as the Falcons beat up on the Panthers 40-20. Atlanta led just 3-0 after 15 minutes, but the Falcons ended up posting 10 or more points in each of the final three quarters, and the Panthers also hit double digits in the second and fourth. The Chiefs and Patriots appeared headed for a high-scoring affair, totaling 27 points in the first half, but there were a total of just 12 points in the final 30 minutes. The same held true in the Seahawks-Rams affair, with 24 total points on the board at halftime, but just 16 total points in the final two quarters.

      There were three games at 42.5 or lower on Sunday, with Denver Broncos-Houston Texans (42.5), Los Angeles Chargers-Jacksonville Jaguars (42) and Washington Redskins-Green Bay Packers (42) saw the over hit in two of the outings, with the Chargers taking care of business themselves, 45-10. We mentioned the Broncos, and their prolific offensive effort above. Only the Redskins and Packers hit the under, totaling just 35 points. The Packers fired out of the chute at 14-0 after one quarter, but we had just two touchdowns and three field goals the rest of the way.

      The Pittsburgh Steelers-Arizona Cardinals (43.5) ended up with 23 points in the first half, but just 17 points in the second half. A turnover in the end zone in the second half by QB Kyler Murray was rather costly, and he made some real rookie mistakes in this one which likely prevented this game from going over. That's five straight under results for the Steelers, seven in the past eight, and 10-3 in their 13 games overall this season.

      The 'over' connected in the Thursday game between the Dallas Cowboys-Chicago Bears (43), while the Seahawks-Rams game on SNF went 'under'. We still have the New York Giants-Philadelphia Eagles (45) game to go. The 'over' is just 16-26 (38.1%) during the 2019 primetime schedule, a stark change from previous seasons when the games under the lights were high-scoring affairs.

      Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

      In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

      In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

      In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

      In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

      Looking Ahead - Division Matchups

      -- The Eagles and Redskins tangle in D.C., a rematch of their Week 1 affair. The Eagles won that opener by a 32-27 at Lincoln Financial Field, failing to cover a 10-point number as the 'over' (44) easily hit. The Redskins saw the 'over' hit in their first three games this season, but the 'under' is 8-2 across the past 10, including 3-1 in the previous four at home.

      -- The Texans and Tennessee Titans square off in a key AFC South Division battle, and it got that much more important following Houston's complete failure at home against the lowly Broncos. The Texans are just 2-5 ATS across the past seven games overall, and they're 3-9 ATS in the past 12 against teams with a winning overall mark. The Texans are also 1-4 ATS in the past five inside the division. For the Titans, they have covered four in a row, they're 3-0-1 ATS in the past four at home and they're 4-0-1 ATS in the past five as a favorite.

      -- The Broncos and Chiefs do battle on Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium at 1:00 p.m. ET, and suddenly Denver looks alive and well with Lock under center. The Chiefs looked alive and well going on the road and exacting revenge for their AFC Championship Game loss, topping the Patriots at Gillette. While Denver has been hot lately, they're still just 4-10 ATS in the past 14 games inside the division. The under is also 8-1-1 in the past 10 games inside the division. Denver is 1-7 ATS in the past eight meetings with the Chiefs, but 7-3 ATS in their past 10 trips to Kansas City. The over is 5-2-2 in the past nine meetings, including 3-0-1 in the past four at Arrowhead.

      -- The Bears and Packers renew acquaintances at Lambeau Field. They met back in Week 1 on Thursday night with the Packers scratching out a 10-3 win in a defensive battle. The under is 3-3 at home, and 3-3 on the road, for the Packers so far this season, so not much to glean there. The under is 8-5 for the Bears this season, with the over/under at 3-3 on the road. The Bears have cashed in just two of the past nine overall, but they did cover at home as three-point 'dogs against the Cowboys on TNF last week. Still, they're 0-4 ATS in the past four on the road. The Packers are 5-1 ATS in the past six against teams with a winning record, but they're just 3-8 ATS in the past 11 inside the division.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • NFL Week 15 opening odds and early action: Rams-Cowboys line could quickly tighten
        Patrick Everson

        The Rams and Cowboys, both trying to gain spots in the NFC playoff field, square off Sunday. Dallas opened as 3-point home chalk, but SuperBook director John Murray expects that line to tighten.

        With three weeks remaining in the regular season, playoff pursuits are heating up in the NFL. We check in on the opening lines and early action for four Week 15 matchups, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

        Los Angeles Rams at Dallas Cowboys (-3)

        Dallas is flailing about after two straight losses from the favorite’s role, yet somehow still leads the NFC East at 6-7 SU (7-6 ATS). In the Week 14 Thursday nighter, the Cowboys dug themselves into a 24-7 hole at Chicago and couldn’t come all the way back, losing 31-24 as 3-point favorites.

        Los Angeles is the defending NFC champion, but hasn’t lived up to that status this season. That said, the Rams (7-5 SU, 8-4 ATS) notched one of their most impressive wins of the season under the Sunday night spotlight, dumping Seattle 28-12 giving 1 point at home.

        “We had this game Cowboys -3 before the Sunday night game, but the Rams looked so good that I think this line should reopen less than 3,” Murray said, noting the Rams-Cowboys line was taken off the board during the Sunday night game and will go back up Monday morning. “There will be a lot of support for both sides this week.”

        Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (-3)

        Houston is kind of like the Dallas of the AFC South, given ample opportunity to seize the division and consistently failing to do so. The Texans (8-5 SU, 6-7 ATS) went off as 8-point home favorites against a four-win Denver team, but trailed 31-3 at halftime and fell 38-24.

        That loss allowed Tennessee to stay right with Houston in the AFC South race. The Titans (8-5 SU and ATS) were 3-point favorites at Oakland on Sunday and turned a 21-21 halftime tie into a 42-21 victory, moving to 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven games.

        “The Titans have been on a roll lately, and the line already moved from -3 (even) to -3 (-110),” Murray said. “The Texans laid an egg Sunday, but they have been much better on the road.”

        Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers (-1)

        Pittsburgh is among the biggest surprises of the year, after Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown moved on in the offseason, and Ben Roethlisberger (elbow) was lost for the season in Week 2. In Week 14, the Steelers (7-5, 6-4-2) topped Arizona 23-17 laying 2.5 points on the road, their sixth win in the last seven games.

        Likewise, Buffalo is arguably a surprise playoff contender, although its three-game SU and ATS upswing ended in Week 14. The Bills (9-4 SU, 8-4-1 ATS) fell to Baltimore 24-17 catching 6 points at home.

        “We opened Steelers -1 and have been pushed up to -1.5,” Murray said. “The public will be all over the Steelers here. We will need the Bills.”

        Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-5.5)

        Green Bay hardly looked impressive in Week 14, but Aaron Rodgers and Co. did enough to remain atop the NFC North. The Packers (10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS) held off Washington 20-15 as hefty 13-point home favorites.

        Chicago has fallen off in a huge way from its 2018-19 form, when it went 12-4 SU and a league-leading 12-4 ATS. However, the Bears (7-6 SU, 4-9 ATS) have won three in a row and four of five to climb above .500. And Chicago gets the benefit of a mini-bye this week, after beating Dallas 31-24 as 3-point home underdogs in the Week 14 Thursday nighter.

        “We opened this game Packers -5.5 and are down to -5,” Murray said. “The Packers didn’t look good at all Sunday, and the Bears are always a popular public side, so there should be support for both in this game.”
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • 301NY JETS -302 BALTIMORE
          BALTIMORE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game in the last 3 seasons.

          305TAMPA BAY -306 DETROIT
          DETROIT is 7-25 ATS (-20.5 Units) vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 27 or more points/game since 1992.

          307PHILADELPHIA -308 WASHINGTON
          PHILADELPHIA is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in road games vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season in the second half of the season since 1992.

          309CHICAGO -310 GREEN BAY
          GREEN BAY is 38-14 ATS (22.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

          311NEW ENGLAND -312 CINCINNATI
          CINCINNATI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game over the last 2 seasons.

          313HOUSTON -314 TENNESSEE
          TENNESSEE is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

          315SEATTLE -316 CAROLINA
          SEATTLE is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread in the last 2 seasons.

          317DENVER -318 KANSAS CITY
          DENVER is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games in the last 2 seasons.

          319MIAMI -320 NY GIANTS
          NY GIANTS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons.

          319MIAMI -320 NY GIANTS
          Pat Shurmur is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return (Coach of NY GIANTS)

          321BUFFALO -322 PITTSBURGH
          BUFFALO is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.

          323JACKSONVILLE -324 OAKLAND
          OAKLAND is 15-44 ATS (-33.4 Units) in home games vs. losing teams since 1992.

          325CLEVELAND -326 ARIZONA
          ARIZONA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 3 seasons.

          327ATLANTA -328 SAN FRANCISCO
          ATLANTA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 2 seasons.

          327ATLANTA -328 SAN FRANCISCO
          ATLANTA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game in the last 2 seasons.

          329LA RAMS -330 DALLAS
          LA RAMS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) with <=6 days rest in the current season.

          331MINNESOTA -332 LA CHARGERS
          LA CHARGERS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) at home when the total is 45.5-49 in the last 2 seasons.

          333INDIANAPOLIS -334 NEW ORLEANS
          NEW ORLEANS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games in the last 2 seasons.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • NFL
            Long Sheet

            Week 15


            Thursday, December 12

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NY JETS (5 - 8) at BALTIMORE (11 - 2) - 12/12/2019, 8:20 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            BALTIMORE is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Sunday, December 15

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TAMPA BAY (6 - 7) at DETROIT (3 - 9 - 1) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            DETROIT is 147-184 ATS (-55.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DETROIT is 1-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
            DETROIT is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PHILADELPHIA (5 - 7) at WASHINGTON (3 - 10) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
            PHILADELPHIA is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
            WASHINGTON is 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
            WASHINGTON is 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
            WASHINGTON is 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
            WASHINGTON is 26-49 ATS (-27.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
            PHILADELPHIA is 5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CHICAGO (7 - 6) at GREEN BAY (10 - 3) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            CHICAGO is 16-35 ATS (-22.5 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
            GREEN BAY is 115-84 ATS (+22.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
            GREEN BAY is 198-144 ATS (+39.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
            GREEN BAY is 70-45 ATS (+20.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
            GREEN BAY is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
            GREEN BAY is 74-48 ATS (+21.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
            GREEN BAY is 64-42 ATS (+17.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
            GREEN BAY is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NEW ENGLAND (10 - 3) at CINCINNATI (1 - 12) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NEW ENGLAND is 269-206 ATS (+42.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 269-206 ATS (+42.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 129-97 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 129-97 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 206-151 ATS (+39.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 198-152 ATS (+30.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 129-88 ATS (+32.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 67-45 ATS (+17.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 64-41 ATS (+18.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            HOUSTON (8 - 5) at TENNESSEE (8 - 5) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
            TENNESSEE is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
            TENNESSEE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
            TENNESSEE is 122-157 ATS (-50.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            TENNESSEE is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
            TENNESSEE is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            SEATTLE (10 - 3) at CAROLINA (5 - 8) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            CAROLINA is 121-91 ATS (+20.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
            SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
            SEATTLE is 72-43 ATS (+24.7 Units) in December games since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
            SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DENVER (5 - 8) at KANSAS CITY (9 - 4) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            KANSAS CITY is 4-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
            KANSAS CITY is 5-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MIAMI (3 - 10) at NY GIANTS (2 - 10) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MIAMI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
            NY GIANTS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
            NY GIANTS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            NY GIANTS are 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            BUFFALO (9 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (8 - 5) - 12/15/2019, 8:20 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            PITTSBURGH is 97-70 ATS (+20.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
            PITTSBURGH is 105-78 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            JACKSONVILLE (4 - 9) at OAKLAND (6 - 7) - 12/15/2019, 4:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            OAKLAND is 83-111 ATS (-39.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
            OAKLAND is 83-111 ATS (-39.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
            OAKLAND is 83-111 ATS (-39.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
            OAKLAND is 37-65 ATS (-34.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
            OAKLAND is 41-84 ATS (-51.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
            OAKLAND is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
            OAKLAND is 35-61 ATS (-32.1 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CLEVELAND (6 - 7) at ARIZONA (3 - 9 - 1) - 12/15/2019, 4:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            ARIZONA is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
            ARIZONA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            ATLANTA (4 - 9) at SAN FRANCISCO (11 - 2) - 12/15/2019, 4:25 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            ATLANTA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            ATLANTA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            ATLANTA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
            ATLANTA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            ATLANTA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
            ATLANTA is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LA RAMS (8 - 5) at DALLAS (6 - 7) - 12/15/2019, 4:25 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            LA RAMS are 94-124 ATS (-42.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
            LA RAMS are 146-191 ATS (-64.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
            LA RAMS are 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
            LA RAMS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
            LA RAMS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
            DALLAS is 41-63 ATS (-28.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            LA RAMS is 2-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
            LA RAMS is 2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MINNESOTA (9 - 4) at LA CHARGERS (5 - 8) - 12/15/2019, 4:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            LA CHARGERS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
            LA CHARGERS are 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Monday, December 16

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 7) at NEW ORLEANS (10 - 3) - 12/16/2019, 8:15 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            INDIANAPOLIS is 110-82 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
            NEW ORLEANS is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
            NEW ORLEANS is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


            NFL

            Week 15


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


            Thursday, December 12

            Baltimore Ravens
            Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
            Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            Baltimore is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
            Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games at home
            Baltimore is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing NY Jets
            Baltimore is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Jets
            Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
            Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
            New York Jets
            NY Jets is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 games
            NY Jets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            NY Jets is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games
            NY Jets is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
            NY Jets is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games on the road
            NY Jets is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Baltimore
            NY Jets is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore
            NY Jets is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
            NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore


            Sunday, December 15

            Green Bay Packers
            Green Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
            Green Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
            Green Bay is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Chicago
            Green Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing Chicago
            Green Bay is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Chicago
            Chicago Bears
            Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
            Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Chicago's last 18 games
            Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            Chicago is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Green Bay
            Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Green Bay
            Chicago is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Green Bay

            Kansas City Chiefs
            Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
            Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            Kansas City is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games at home
            Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Denver
            Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
            Kansas City is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Denver
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
            Denver Broncos
            Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
            Denver is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Denver's last 22 games
            Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
            Denver is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Denver's last 12 games on the road
            Denver is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
            Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
            Denver is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

            Tennessee Titans
            Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
            Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games
            Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
            Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
            Tennessee is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Houston
            Tennessee is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Houston
            Tennessee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
            Houston Texans
            Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
            Houston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
            Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            Houston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games on the road
            Houston is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Tennessee
            Houston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Tennessee
            Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee

            Carolina Panthers
            Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
            Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 9 games
            Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
            Carolina is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 9 of Carolina's last 13 games at home
            Carolina is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
            Carolina is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Seattle
            Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
            Seattle Seahawks
            Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
            Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone OVER in 15 of Seattle's last 22 games
            Seattle is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
            Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
            Seattle is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
            Seattle is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Carolina
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Carolina
            Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing on the road against Carolina

            Cincinnati Bengals
            Cincinnati is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
            Cincinnati is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
            Cincinnati is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
            Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
            Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
            Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing New England
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing New England
            Cincinnati is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against New England
            New England Patriots
            New England is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
            New England is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 18 of New England's last 25 games
            New England is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
            New England is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 8 games on the road
            New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
            New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
            New England is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati

            Detroit Lions
            Detroit is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
            Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
            Detroit is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
            Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
            Detroit is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Tampa Bay
            Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
            Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
            Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
            Tampa Bay Buccaneers
            Tampa Bay is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
            Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            Tampa Bay is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games
            The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games
            Tampa Bay is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games on the road
            Tampa Bay is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Detroit
            Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
            Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
            Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit

            New York Giants
            NY Giants is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
            NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games
            NY Giants is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
            NY Giants is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games at home
            NY Giants is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Giants's last 7 games when playing Miami
            Miami Dolphins
            Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
            Miami is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
            Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
            Miami is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
            Miami is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
            Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing NY Giants

            Washington Redskins
            Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
            Washington is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games
            Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
            Washington is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games at home
            Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
            Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
            Washington is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
            The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Washington's last 18 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
            Philadelphia Eagles
            Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
            Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
            Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
            Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
            Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
            Philadelphia is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Washington
            The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 18 games when playing on the road against Washington

            Oakland Raiders
            Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
            Oakland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
            Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
            Oakland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
            Jacksonville Jaguars
            Jacksonville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
            Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
            Jacksonville is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
            Jacksonville is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road
            Jacksonville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing Oakland
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland

            Arizona Cardinals
            Arizona is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
            Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
            Arizona is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
            Arizona is 1-8-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
            Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
            Cleveland Browns
            Cleveland is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
            Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
            Cleveland is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
            Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona

            Los Angeles Chargers
            LA Chargers is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games
            LA Chargers is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 12 games
            LA Chargers is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
            LA Chargers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
            Minnesota Vikings
            Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
            Minnesota is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing LA Chargers

            San Francisco 49ers
            San Francisco is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games
            San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
            San Francisco is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Atlanta
            San Francisco is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Atlanta
            The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Francisco's last 15 games when playing at home against Atlanta
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
            Atlanta Falcons
            Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
            Atlanta is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games
            Atlanta is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
            Atlanta is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
            Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
            Atlanta is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
            Atlanta is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
            The total has gone OVER in 10 of Atlanta's last 15 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco

            Dallas Cowboys
            Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 11 of Dallas's last 16 games
            Dallas is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing LA Rams
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
            Los Angeles Rams
            LA Rams is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games
            LA Rams is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Rams's last 8 games
            LA Rams is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
            LA Rams is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 6 games when playing Dallas
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas

            Pittsburgh Steelers
            Pittsburgh is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
            Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
            Pittsburgh is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
            Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
            Pittsburgh is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Buffalo
            Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
            Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
            Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo
            Buffalo Bills
            Buffalo is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
            Buffalo is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
            Buffalo is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
            Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games on the road
            Buffalo is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh
            Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
            Buffalo is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
            Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh


            Monday, December 16

            New Orleans Saints
            New Orleans is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
            New Orleans is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
            New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Indianapolis
            New Orleans is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Indianapolis
            New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
            New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
            Indianapolis Colts
            Indianapolis is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
            Indianapolis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
            Indianapolis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
            Indianapolis is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New Orleans
            Indianapolis is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
            Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
            Indianapolis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • Bet Now/Bet Later NFL Week 15 odds: Wait for the Brady bashing to begin before betting this total
              Jason Logan

              Tom Brady and the Patriots are struggling to meet their lofty standards this season, averaging only 17 points over their last three games.

              Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team but betting the best number.

              Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window – or your mobile – to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it’s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.

              Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best “Bet Now/Bet Later” games on the NFL Week 15 board, so download the new Covers Live App and punch these odds into your line alerts.

              SPREAD TO BET NOW: CHICAGO BEARS AT GREEN BAY PACKERS (-5, 41)

              These NFC North rivals do battle at Lambeau Field, with the Packers opening at the dead number of -5 hosting a Bears team on a three-game winning streak. While Chicago has feasted on a high-fat diet during this span, it did dominate Dallas last Thursday night.

              The big turnaround is the offense, which is averaging 5.7 yards per play during this streak – a full yard higher than the Bears’ season average. Chicago has scored 19, 24, and 31 points in those wins, picking up steam ahead of this important divisional game.

              Some books have already moved to Green Bay -4.5 while others are discounting the juice on Packers -5. If you like the Bears, grab them now because bookmakers will move through the dead numbers much faster and we could see this sitting -4 or -3.5 by Sunday.

              SPREAD TO BET LATER: HOUSTON TEXANS AT TENNESSEE TITANS (-3, 49.5)

              The Titans are the hottest team in the NFL with a sudden surge on offense since Week 10. Tennessee has won four in a row with a combined 150 points scored in that span. To put that uptick into perspective, the Titans scored a combined 169 points from Week 1 to Week 9, and 43 of those points came in a Week 1 win over Cleveland.

              Houston’s roller-coaster ride continues, following a big win over New England with a pure stinker versus Denver. The Texans rank 25th in defensive DVOA at FootballOutsiders and hit the road for the first time since Week 11 for what will be the first of two meetings with Tennessee over the next three weeks.

              If you like Houston here, take your time and see if you can get that oh-so valuable half-point hook at +3.5. The Titans are turning heads and while some books are taking money on the underdog, there could be a heavy public push closer to the weekend. If you're skeptical, take the field goal now. If you're greedy, wait for the hook.

              TOTAL TO BET NOW: UNDER 37 BUFFALO BILLS AT PITTSBURGH STEELERS

              Two of the better defenses in the NFL butt heads on Sunday Night Football with these teams each vying for a Wild Card ticket to the postseason in the AFC. Books opened the Over/Under at 37 points and early money is coming in on the Under, pushing the total down to 36.5 at some books.

              This total sits among the lowest of the 2019 season, but for good reason The Bills just checked the high-powered Ravens to only 24 points and that defense gave them a chance to win the game in the final minutes. They didn’t pull it off but that effort proved this Buffalo stop unit is for real after crushing some cupcake foes earlier in the year.

              The Steelers have seen a subtle upgrade on offense with Devlin “Duck” Hodges under center but the backbone of this squad is the stop unit, which has limited its last five opponents to an average of only 12.8 points per game. If you like the Under, jump in the pool now and collect as many points as you can.

              TOTAL TO BET LATER: OVER 40.5 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS AT CINCINNATI BENGALS

              Boy, the Patriots offense has fallen off. But no matter how bad things are for Tom Brady & Co. they should still be able to hang a healthy dose of scoring on the Bengals' 31st-ranked defense. Hell, even if Brady and the offense don’t find the end zone much, this New England defense is no stranger to paydirt and Cincy has coughed the ball up 23 times this season.

              The Bengals, on the other hand, have enjoyed a slight resurgence with veteran QB Andy Dalton back at the helm. Cincinnati has scored 19 and 22 points the past two games after posting efforts of 10, 10, 13 and 10 points in the four games prior.

              If you like the Over, pump the breaks on your bet and see if you can get something a little lower. A few books have discounted the juice on the Over, with early play on the Under so a move to 40 or 39.5 could be on the way, especially with the media making a big fuss over Brady’s fall from grace.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • Tech Trends - Week 15
                Bruce Marshall

                Thursday, Dec. 12

                N.Y. JETS at BALTIMORE (FOX, 8:20 p.m. ET)

                Ravens have covered 6 of last 7 this season, though are only 2-4 vs. line at home. Jets have won 4 of last 5 outright but still just 5-8 overall vs. number this term.
                Tech Edge: Ravens, based on team trends.



                Sunday, Dec. 15

                TAMPA BAY at DETROIT (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

                One-time old NFC Central rivals! Bucs have won last 3 outright in 2019 although they';ve only covered 2 of last 9 against the number. Bucs also now on 11-3 “over” run since late 2018. Lions on 1-7 spread skid, also “over” 8-5 this season.
                Tech Edge: "Over” and slight to Bucs, based on “totals” and team trends.


                PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                Birds had covered 4 straight in series before falling short in opener. Philly though has won SU last five meetings.After Monday vs. G-Men, Eagles only 10-21-1 vs. spread in regular season since late in 2017 campaign. Skins have covered 5 of last 7 this season. Philly 11-4 “over” last 15 on regular-season road.
                Tech Edge: Slight to “over” and Redskins, based on “totals” and team trends.


                CHICAGO at GREEN BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                Bears had dropped 7 of 8 vs. number prior to last Thursday’s win over Dallas. Chicago 1-5 vs. spread away from Solider Field this season. Pack 4-3 vs. spread at Lambeau this season and won opener at Soldier Field, as teams have split last 8 meetings vs. spread. Though “over” last two in 2019, Bears still “under” 15-5 last 20 since late 2018.
                Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.


                NEW ENGLAND at CINCINNATI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                Cincy has lost seven games by 8 points or fewer this season, which is why its spread mark (5-7-1) isn’t as bad as its SU mark (1-12). Bengals only 1-4-1 vs. points at home in 2019 but have dropped just one of last four vs. line. Pats only 1-4 vs. spread last five. Cincy “under” 11-5-2 since late 2018, Belichick “under” 17-5 last 22 in regular season.
                Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.


                HOUSTON at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                Texans 8-3-1 vs. line last 12 away from NRG Stadium. Titans 6-1 SU and vs. line since Ryan Tannehill took over at QB, also “over” 7-0 in those games. Houston “over” 7-1 last 8 as true visitor. Note home team has covered last six in series.
                Tech Edge: Titans and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


                SEATTLE at CAROLINA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                Seahawks have been solid on road, 6-1 SU and 5-2 vs. line this season. Hawks also 3-1 vs. line last 4 overall this year. Panthers 0-5 SU last five TY, on 2-5 spread slide since late October. Carolina “over” 10-4 since last 2018, Seattle “over” 15-7 since mid 2018.
                Tech Edge: Seahawks and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


                DENVER at KANSAS CITY (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                KC now on 8-game SU series win streak, with 7-1 spread mark in those games. Chiefs have only covered 2 of last 7 at Arrowhead but the last two have been wins. Broncos have covered 7 of last 9 this season, however, and “under” 16-6 since mid 2018.
                Tech Edge: Slight to Broncos and “under,” based on recent and “totals” trends.


                MIAMI at N.Y. GIANTS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                Back-to-back weeks for Dolphins at MetLife! Miami on uptick with covers in 7 of last 9 this season, including covers 4 of last 5 on road. G-Men 1-5 vs. line at home this season, 1-7 last 8 vs. number at MetLife since late 2018, and 2-6-1 last 9 as chalk. G-Men also on 13-8 “over” run.
                Tech Edge: Dolphins and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


                MINNESOTA at LA CHARGERS (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
                Bolts 1-6 vs. spread last 7 at Carson since late 2018. Chargers also “under” 10-5 last 15 in reg season.
                Tech Edge: Vikings and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


                JACKSONVILLE at OAKLAND (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
                Last Raiders’ game in the Coliseum. Jags have been cold, losing and failing to cover last five this season, not closer than 17 in process. Raiders no covers last four this season but had covered 5 of 6 previously.
                Tech Edge: Slight to Raiders, based on recent Jags woes.


                CLEVELAND at ARIZONA (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
                Brownies 0-4 SU and vs. line last four on road this season, also surprising “under” 5-1 away in 2019. Cards 5-3-1 vs. spread last 9 TY but have lost last six SU.
                Tech Edge: Slight to Cards and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


                ATLANTA at SAN FRANCISCO (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
                Falcons a bit better lately with four covers in last six games. Atlanta “under” 8-5 this season and 13-8 since mid 2018. Niners 8-4-1 vs. spread in 2019 though just 3-4-1 as chalk.
                Tech Edge: Slight to Falcons and “under,” based on recent and “totals” trends.


                L.A. RAMS at DALLAS (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
                Cowboys have lost last 3 SU but still 7-6 vs. line this season. Dallas “over” 9-5 in regular season since late 2018. Rams actually on 11-4 uptick vs. spread in regular season since late 2018 and 7-1 vs. spread last 8 regular season away from Coliseum. LA also on 12-6 “under” run in reg season since late 2018.
                Tech Edge: Rams and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


                BUFFALO at PITTSBURGH (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
                Now the Sunday night game. Bills on nice uptick with 4-1-1 spread mark last six this season, also 5-0-1 vs. spread away from Orchard Park. Steel however on 8-2-1 spread run this season. Buffalo “under” 10-3 in 2019, 12-4 “under” since late 2018, while Pitt “under” 15-5 last 20 since late 2018.
                Tech Edge: Rams and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.



                Monday, Dec. 16

                INDIANAPOLIS at NEW ORLEANS (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)

                Colts have only won and covered 2 of last 7 this season, but are 7-3 last 10 as dog. Indy also 7-1 last 8 away in regular season. Saints only 3-8 vs. spread last 11 at Superdome.
                Tech Edge: Colts, based on team trends.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • Best spot bets for the NFL Week 15 odds: Lookahead could clip Eagles' wings
                  Jason Logan

                  The Eagles haven't covered in four straight games and could get caught looking past Washington this Sunday and to a huge showdown in Dallas in Week 16.

                  Only three games remain for each NFL team and by this point in the schedule, bookies know the league inside out. That’s why you’ve got to fight dirty when it comes to gaining an edge versus their odds, and part of that battle is singling out the best situational spots.

                  Senior industry analyst Jason Logan picks apart the Week 15 slate and gives you his top spot bets: letdowns, lookaheads, and schedule spots heading into the weekend.

                  LETDOWN SPOT: TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS AT DETROIT LIONS (-3.5, 47.5)

                  The Buccaneers are riding high off a victory versus Indianapolis in Week 14, extending their winning streak to three games. Tampa Bay high steps into Motown to take on the lost Lions, who haven’t won since Week 11 and are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games, including a 1-1 ATS mark with backup David Blough under center.

                  Tampa Bay got good news on QB Jameis Winston – if you want to call it that – concerning his injured thumb, and he’s cleared to play this Sunday a week removed from his fourth game with three or more interceptions. However, Winston’s top target WR Mike Evans will sit out Week 15 after suffering a hamstring injury last weekend.

                  The Bucs could not only get caught in a letdown at Detroit but might also face a sandwich spot with a possible lookahead to Houston at home on the short week next Saturday. Tampa Bay is also in a rare spot as a road favorite, having gone 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 games when giving the points as a visitor.

                  LOOKAHEAD SPOT: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES AT WASHINGTON REDSKINS (+6, 40.5)

                  The Eagles finally got one up on the Dallas Cowboys, escaping with a comeback win at New York on Monday Night Football in Week 14. Philadelphia was missing opportunities to catch the Cowboys in the NFC East standings, with both teams unable to pick up wins in recent weeks.

                  The Eagles now sit tied with Dallas at 6-7 and have a huge matchup in Arlington next Sunday, but first face the Redskins in D.C. in Week 15. Washington has been playing well – or at least well enough to cover three straight spreads and take victories over Detroit and Carolina before losing a tight game with Green Bay last Sunday.

                  Philadelphia has come up short for spread bettors in four straight games and is just 2-5 ATS as a favorite. This line opened Eagles -6 and some early action has pushed it to -5.5 at some books. As we’ve seen in outright losses to the Miami Dolphins, this team is not above falling flat on its face.

                  SCHEDULE SPOT: MIAMI DOLPHINS AT NEW YORK GIANTS (-3, 48)

                  If you bailed on betting the Dolphins after that dismal September, you missed out on one of the best bets in the NFL over the past two and a half months. With oddsmakers piling on the points and the public pushing those spreads even higher with money fading the Fins, Miami has cruised to a 7-2 ATS mark in its last nine games with big cushions at the sportsbook.

                  Miami faces a tough schedule spot in Week 15, making the trip to East Rutherford to face the Giants as field-goal pups. This is the second straight road game for the Dolphins – staying in MetLife Stadium for a second straight week after losing a field-goal fest to the Jets in Week 14. This is also Miami’s third stop in the past four weeks and its sixth road test in the last nine games.

                  The G-Men showed some teeth against the Eagles Monday night, at least for the first half. Eli Manning will be back under center for what is likely his farewell tour and with a rematch with Philadelphia at home in Week 17, this might be his best chance to win one more in front of the Big Apple faithful.


                  ****************************


                  NFL's Top ATS Teams:

                  t1. Steelers 9-4 ATS
                  t1. Rams 9-4
                  t3. Bills 8-4-1 ATS
                  t3. Niners 8-4-1
                  t5. Chiefs 8-5 ATS
                  t5. Broncos 8-5
                  t5. Saints 8-5
                  t5. Packers 8-5
                  t9. Titans 7-5-1 ATS
                  t9. Cardinals 7-5-1


                  **********************************


                  NFL's Worst ATS Teams:

                  t31. Bears 4-9 ATS
                  t31. Eagles 4-9
                  30. Bucs 4-8-1 ATS
                  29. Chargers 4-7-2 ATS
                  t23. Lions 5-8 ATS
                  t23. Falcons 5-8
                  t23. Giants 5-8
                  t23. Bengals 5-8
                  t23. Jets 5-8
                  t23. Jaguars 5-8
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • Thursday’s 6-pack

                    Too-early 2020 baseball over/under in totals:

                    — Astros 99.5

                    — Dodgers 98.5

                    — Twins 90.5

                    — Padres 84.5

                    — Giants 68.5

                    — Mariners/Royals 66.5

                    Quote of the Day:
                    “I like Kiffin a lot. He’s a fun interview and honestly one of the smartest offensive minds out there. He’ll make Ole Miss entertaining again — and that’s saying something considering its last game was lost due to a dog pissing celebration.”
                    Ben Kercheval, CBSsports.com

                    Thursday’s quiz
                    Where did Lamar Jackson play his college football?

                    Wednesday’s quiz
                    Steve Spurrier coached the Washington Redskins for two seasons.

                    Tuesday’s quiz
                    Of the 32 NFL stadiums, LA Coliseum and Oakland Coliseum have hosted a World Series.

                    ***************************

                    Thursday’s List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

                    13) Los Angeles Angels signed 3B Anthony Rendon to a 7-year, $245M contact Wednesday night; Angels have a potent lineup, but they still lack pitching.

                    12) Want to know why fantasy baseball is increasingly popular? I’ll repeat something that I posted yesterday; it tells a story of why it is difficult to be a fan of a small market team:

                    2020 Bronx Bombers:
                    — Gerrit Cole, $36M
                    — Giancarlo Stanton, $26M
                    — Masahiro Tanaka, $23M
                    — Aroldis Chapman $17.2M

                    That adds up to $101.5M…….for four guys.

                    Oakland A’s made the playoffs the last two years; their ENTIRE payroll last year?

                    $92,178,333

                    11) If you and I play checkers, and you start wth 12 checkers but I start with 24, then I’m going to win most of the time, even if you’re smarter than me.

                    Gerrit Cole is going to make $1,090,909 per start next year; Oakland’s five starting pitchers LY made a total of roughly $12,500,000 for the whole season.

                    10) So having your own fantasy team where there are no salaries and you compete against people you know eliminates a lot of that BS and makes the summer more fun. At least if you have a cruddy season, you can blame yourself, instead of a ridiculous system that rewards the teams with the most money to spend.

                    9) 84 basketball players left college early LY and declared for the NBA Draft; only 44 of them were taken in the draft.

                    8) College football stuff:
                    — Colorado State hired former BC coach Steve Addazio as its new football coach.
                    — UNLV hired Oregon OC Marcus Arroyo as its new football coach.
                    — Florida Atlantic hired former Florida State coach Willie Taggart.

                    7) Baseball stuff:
                    — Mets signed P Michael Wacha to a 1-year deal, $3M deal (with incentives).
                    — Dodgers signed P Blake Treinen for one year, $10M.
                    — Blue Jays gave P Tanner Roark $24M for two years.

                    6) Adam Jones signed an $8M deal to play baseball for the Orix Buffaloes in Japan; Jones has played 14 years in the majors, mostly with the Orioles.

                    5) I’d track the movement of college football coaches on here, but those guys are nomadic- they constantly change jobs, especially assistants. Coaches’ wives must be experts at packing.

                    4) There have been 12 NBA games this season where a player had 20+ points and 20+ rebounds; Detroit’s Andre Drummond has five of those 12 games.

                    3) Diamondbacks/Padres will play two regular season games in Mexico City April 18-19; the first regular season MLB games in Mexico City. Games had previously been played in Monterrey.

                    2) Bad beat of the week: NBA’s Atlanta Hawks (+8.5) led Miami by 6 points with 0:59 left in regulation Tuesday night, but they didn’t cover. Seriously.

                    Miami scored the next 22 points and won by 14 in OT. It was the NBA’s widest margin of victory in an OT game since October 31, 2009, when Philadelphia beat the Knicks, 141-127.

                    1) Good trivia; Denver rookie QB Drew Lock plays against the Chiefs this week; Lock’s dad Andy was the starting right guard for the Missouri Tigers in 1989, when KC coach Andy Reid was his offensive line coach. 30 years later, they cross paths again.
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • TNF - Jets at Ravens
                      December 11, 2019
                      By Kevin Rogers


                      LAST WEEK
                      The Jets (5-8 SU, 5-8 ATS) rebounded from an embarrassing loss to the previous winless Bengals to sneak past the rival Dolphins, 22-21. New York won for the fourth time in the last five games, but time will likely run out on a long-shot playoff berth following a 1-7 start. In spite of allowing 21 points, the Jets held the Dolphins out of the end zone as Miami settled for seven field goals.

                      New York used the newly-instituted pass interference challenge to its advantage after an incomplete pass by Sam Darnold on third down and 18 at the Dolphins’ 46 yard-line. After review, Miami cornerback Nik Needham interfered with Jets’ receiver Vyncint Smith to give New York a fresh set of downs. Darnold completed a 12-yard pass after the penalty to get the Jets in field goal range as Sam Ficken booted the game-winning kick from 44 yards out. The Dolphins managed the cover as five-point underdogs, making Darnold 0-4 ATS in four career starts against Miami.

                      The Ravens (11-2 SU, 7-6 ATS) continue to be a runaway train as they are currently on a path for home-field advantage in the AFC playoffs. Baltimore picked up its ninth consecutive victory last Sunday in a 24-17 triumph at Buffalo as 6 ½-point favorites. The Ravens limited an opponent to 17 points or fewer for the seventh time during this nine-game hot streak, while allowing only one touchdown to the Bills, which came midway through the fourth quarter.

                      MVP candidate Lamar Jackson threw three touchdown passes, but was held to less than 170 yards passing for the third consecutive game. In the last six contests, Jackson has tossed 17 touchdowns to go along with no interceptions, while the Ravens’ quarterback enters Week 15 as one of nine players in the NFL that has rushed for over 1,000 yards.

                      GOING STREAKING
                      The Ravens are headed to the playoffs for the eighth time in 12 seasons since John Harbaugh took over as head coach. Prior to this season, Baltimore never won more than four straight regular season games under Harbaugh, as this nine-game winning streak is the longest since capturing five victories in a row under Brian Billick in 2006. The 2000 Super Bowl championship team finished that season on an 11-game hot streak (including three wins in the playoffs), while covering 10 times in that stretch.

                      TO BARK OR NOT TO BARK
                      The Jets have not been a reliable team to back in the role of a favorite this season by failing to cash in four opportunities when laying points. Obviously, they are not favored on Thursday against the Ravens, but New York has brought home the cash in its last three chances when listed as an underdog.

                      The caveat there is the Jets did this against the likes of the Redskins, Raiders, and Bengals. In the other six instances as a ‘dog, Adam Gase’s team has compiled a 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS mark with the lone upset win coming against the Cowboys in Week 6.

                      THURSDAY NIGHT FINALE
                      This marks the final Thursday night contest of 2019 as underdogs have posted a solid 10-4 ATS mark. Last week, the Bears became the sixth ‘dog to win outright on a Thursday night in their home victory over the Cowboys, but the largest ‘dog to pick up a victory in this scenario is Tampa Bay (+6 ½) in Week 2 at Carolina.

                      Double-digit favorites have put together a 3-0 SU and 1-2 ATS mark on Thursdays, as the Patriots (-17) were the only heavy chalk to cash back in Week 6 over the Giants, 35-14.

                      The Ravens have won three of the last four Thursday contests, but lost in their previous Thursday affair at Cincinnati last season. The Jets dropped a 21-17 decision at Cleveland in its last Thursday matchup in 2018, snapping a modest two-game winning streak on Thursdays dating back to 2016.

                      SERIES HISTORY
                      These AFC squads haven’t met since 2016 when the Jets held off the Ravens at Met Life Stadium, 24-16 as 2 ½-point favorites. Baltimore squandered an early 10-0 lead as Jets’ running back Matt Forte scored a pair of touchdowns and racked up 154 all-purpose yards. The Ravens have won the last three matchups at M&T Bank Stadium dating back to 2007 with the most recent victory coming in 2013 by a 19-3 count.

                      TOTAL TALK
                      Oddsmakers sent out an opening total of 44 ½ and the number is holding steady at most betting shops but a few have pushed their number to 45.

                      Neither team has shown a strong total lean this season with Baltimore owning a 7-6 ‘over’ mark and New York holding a 7-6 record to the ‘under’ through 13 games.

                      Total bettors looking for a Thursday Night Football angle could be scratching their head as well, with the ‘under’ going 8-6 this season and the averaged combined score was 41 PPG.

                      Chris David of VegasInsider.com dug into those numbers further and provided his thoughts on the opener for Week 14.

                      He said, “The Jets have played two primetime games this season and the ‘under’ has produced a 2-0 record and New York was the guilty party in both efforts, scoring a combined three points. Expecting New York to put forth a great offensive effort on a short week versus a quality team on the road is a stretch in my opinion. The Jets have only played three winning teams all season, all coming in the division and the offense mustered up 16 points in Week 1 against the Bills before the unit was blanked twice by the Patriots.”

                      To David’s point, the Jets scored 34 points at Washington in Week 11 but they only managed 11.8 PPG in five other road contests and that number drops to 9 PPG if you take out the 14 points the defense scored in their 30-14 loss at New England in Week 3. Despite the inept offense, the Jets own a 4-2 ‘over’ mark on the road and that’s attributed to New York’s poor defensive numbers (25.8 PPG).

                      Will Baltimore’s top-ranked scoring offense (33.1 PPG) light up New York? David isn’t sold on a power surge from this host this Thursday.

                      “Baltimore has had a great season but if you want to nitpick its hot run, the team has been stronger on the road and it has gone through the motions at home against inferior teams. In two spots listed as double-digit home favorites, the Ravens only scored 23 in each contest against the Cardinals and Bengals. I believe Baltimore will get four to five scores in this game but knowing the Jets own the second-best rushing defense has me thinking field goals instead of touchdowns. My first lean would be to the Ravens Team Total Under (29 ½) and I believe we’ll see a 23-10, 26-13 win by the Ravens,” added David.

                      HANDICAPPER’S CORNER
                      VegasInsider.com handicapper Joe Nelson checks in with an analysis on the close calls that have benefited Baltimore this season, “Five wins this season for the Ravens have come by seven or fewer points as there have been many close calls despite the league-leading +194 scoring differential and last week’s win in Buffalo featured minimal production with only 257 net yards and a few missed officiating calls were in Baltimore’s favor.”

                      This is the third time this season that the Ravens are listed as a double-digit favorite, but Nelson points out that hasn’t fared well for them, “This spread is currently priced as the second-largest for the Ravens under Harbaugh who took over in 2008 with the only exception a 2011 game vs. the Colts started by Dan Orlovsky. Despite the great success this season, Baltimore has lost six consecutive games against the spread as a home favorite of six or more points. The Jets have been a double-digit underdog three times this season and lost those games by a combined score of 94-20.”

                      LINE MOVEMENT
                      The Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas opened the Ravens as 14 ½-point favorites on Monday. That line has remained steady at the Westgate, while the total sits at 45. The weather should not be a factor on Thursday as game time temperatures are expected to be in the mid-30’s with clear skies.
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • 301NY JETS -302 BALTIMORE
                        BALTIMORE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game in the last 3 seasons.


                        *********************


                        NFL
                        Long Sheet

                        Week 15


                        Thursday, December 12

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        NY JETS (5 - 8) at BALTIMORE (11 - 2) - 12/12/2019, 8:20 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        BALTIMORE is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


                        **************************


                        NFL

                        Week 15


                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                        Trend Report
                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        Thursday, December 12

                        Baltimore Ravens

                        Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
                        Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                        Baltimore is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
                        Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games at home
                        Baltimore is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing NY Jets
                        Baltimore is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Jets
                        Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
                        Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets

                        New York Jets
                        NY Jets is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 games
                        NY Jets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                        NY Jets is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games
                        NY Jets is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                        NY Jets is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games on the road
                        NY Jets is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Baltimore
                        NY Jets is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore
                        NY Jets is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
                        NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore


                        ***************************


                        NFL
                        Armadillo's Write-Up

                        Week 15


                        Jets (5-8) @ Ravens (11-2)
                        — Baltimore won its last nine games, covering six of last seven; Ravens are 4-9 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite, 1-4 TY. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. Baltimore was held under 300 yards in last two games (vs 49ers/Bills), converting only 6-21 on 3rd down. Jets won four of their last five games, after a 1-7 start; Gang Green gave up only two TD’s on 32 drives their last three games, but Miami tried eight FG’s against them LW. Ravens won 7 of last 8 series games, with favorites 7-1 ATS; Jets won last meeting 24-16 (-2) three years ago, lost last five visits here (1-4 ATS), with last visit in ’13. AFC North non-divisional home favorites are 2-9-1 ATS; AFC East road underdogs are 5-4-1 ATS.
                        [B]


                        **************************


                        NFL
                        Dunkel

                        Week 15


                        Thursday, December 12

                        NY Jets @ Baltimore


                        Game 301-302
                        December 12, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        NY Jets
                        125.103
                        Baltimore
                        148.249
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        Baltimore
                        by 23
                        47
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        Baltimore
                        by 14 1/2
                        44 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        Baltimore
                        (-14 1/2); Over



                        *****************************


                        Tech Trends - Week 15
                        Bruce Marshall

                        Thursday, Dec. 12

                        N.Y. JETS at BALTIMORE (FOX, 8:20 p.m. ET)

                        Ravens have covered 6 of last 7 this season, though are only 2-4 vs. line at home. Jets have won 4 of last 5 outright but still just 5-8 overall vs. number this term.
                        Tech Edge: Ravens, based on team trends.


                        ********************************


                        Jets' Powell, Griffin, Poole out vs. Ravens
                        December 11, 2019
                        By The Associated Press


                        NEW YORK (AP) The New York Jets will take on Lamar Jackson and the Ravens in Baltimore without some of their key playmakers.

                        Running back Bilal Powell, tight end Ryan Griffin, cornerback Brian Poole and offensive linemen Chuma Edoga were all ruled out Wednesday for the game Thursday night because of injuries.

                        Star safety Jamal Adams is doubtful and also unlikely to play because of a sprained ankle that kept him out of New York's win over Miami last Sunday - the first game he missed in his three-year NFL career.

                        Powell is dealing with an ankle injury, suffered during the Jets' winning drive against the Dolphins, as well as the flu. He ran for 74 yards on 19 carries while starting in place of Le'Veon Bell, who was sidelined with the flu. Bell is healthy and is expected to play against the Ravens.

                        Griffin also injured an ankle early in the game against Miami. He had developed a good rapport with quarterback Sam Darnold with a team-leading five touchdown catches this season, and recently received a three-year contract extension from New York.

                        Poole will miss his second straight game after suffering a concussion two weeks ago at Cincinnati.

                        Edoga has sat out the last two games with a knee injury.

                        Wide receiver Demaryius Thomas (hamstring/knee), rookie defensive lineman Quinnen Williams (neck) and cornerback Arthur Maulet (calf) are doubtful and unlikely to play.

                        Defensive end Henry Anderson, left tackle Kelvin Beachum, running back/wide receiver Ty Montgomery, nose tackle Steve McLendon, safety Matthias Farley and defensive lineman Nathan Shepherd are all questionable.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • by: Josh Inglis


                          LES COUSINS NONDANGEREUX

                          If you would have said that Kirk Cousins would be in the Top-10 in MVP odds after Week 4, you would have been laughed out of the room. Fast forward to Week 15 and the Minnesota Vikings quarterback has his team at 9-4, battling for a division title and sits second in QB ratintg. This week, Cousins and the Vikes head to Los Angeles to take on the Chargers.

                          The Chargers have been playing exceptional pass defense of late as they have the second-best passing yards against oveer their last three games and have held Aaron Rodgers, Derek Carr and Patrick Mahomes to just 561 yards combined and three touchdowns in three of their last five games. The numbers look even better when you look at all their games since November: 171.4 yards passing and only one opposing QB to throw for more than one TD.

                          Cousins is 3-4 SU on the road this year and has a completion percentage 17 points lower on the road than at home. Even with Adam Thielen returning to practice after missing five games, we are taking the Under on Cousins’ passing total of 273.5, a number he is 3-4 O/U on the road this year.


                          JAGUARS PLAYING DEAD

                          Last week the Jaguars and their 31st-ranked run defense lost their best linebacker and leading tackler in Myles Jack. This week they lost another linebacker in Quincy Williams who is the fourth linebacker that Jacksonville has had to put on the shelf. The Jaguars have just flat-out quit defensively and should be faded for another three weeks.

                          This week’s running back who gets to pad his stats against a run defense that is allowing 163 yards rushing a game of late and 5.2 yards per carry is Josh Jacobs. The Oakland running back missed Week 14 with a shoulder problem but reports are that ROY contender has a good shot of starting this week. Things could obviously change between now and Sunday, but in a dream matchup versus a soft Jags’ D, we are going to monitor the situation closely and may even get a little discount on his total in what will be a higher risk/reward bet.

                          Jacobs needs just 246 yards rushing to top Saquon Barkley’s rookie-of-the-year mark of 1,307 yards (although Barkley added another 700-plus yards receiving) and he currently sits at -350 to win the Offensive ROY. We like the matchup more than anything and hope Jacobs’ recent injury gives us a better number on his rushing total. We are waiting for the Raiders RB to practice Thursday and Friday with no setbacks and will be riding the Over on his' rushing total on any number below 70 yards as we think 12-15 rushes is a realistic workload. If Jacobs does miss Week 15, DeAndre Washington will get the chance to carve up the Jaguars.


                          BREESIN’ PAST THE COLTS

                          The Indianapolis Colts have lost five of their last six with their only win coming against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Indy has been allowing the second-most passing yards since Week 12 (300 yards) and got torched for 467 yards through the air last week versus Jameis Winston. This week, the Colts will hit the primetime lights of Monday night and face the New Orleans Saints on the road where their defense has let four opposing QBs to surpass 295 yards this year.

                          Drew Brees is coming off a 349-yard performance where he lobbed five touchdowns in what was the NFL’s game of the year last week versus the 49ers. Since coming back from injury in Week 8, Brees is averaging 287 yards passing and that number jumps up to 330 yards a gamr in his four games in New Orleans.

                          We like Brees to keep his foot on the throttle as the Saints need to get a playoff game at home, even if it means the No. 2 seed. Jump on Brees’ Over 298.5 passing yards, a total he has eclipsed in four of his five home games this year.


                          THURSDAY NIGHT QUICKIE

                          Don’t have time to watch all the Thursday night game? The Jets will do that to you, no worries. It’s a good thing that the Baltimore Ravens lead the league in first-quarter scoring at 8.3 points per the opening frame. The Jets will likely be missing a handful of starters on the defensive side of the ball as safety Jamal Adams, DT Quinnen Williams and a pair of starting defensive backs are all doubtful.

                          This Jets’ defense has seen Miami (twice), Cincinnati, Oakland, Washington, the Giants and Jacksonville in consecutive weeks — that’s five of the six-worst offenses. New York might be down 10 before it knows what hit them. If you're looking for a quick banger, take the Ravens -3.5 first-quarter spread.
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • THURSDAY, DECEMBER 12
                            GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


                            NYJ at BAL 08:20 PM

                            BAL -17.0

                            O 44.0
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • Ravens rout Jets to clinch AFC North
                              December 12, 2019


                              BALTIMORE (AP) Lamar Jackson threw five touchdown passes, scurried into the NFL record book and guided the Baltimore Ravens to their second straight AFC North title and 10th consecutive victory, 42-21 over the New York Jets on Thursday night.

                              Baltimore (12-2) took control with touchdowns on its first three possessions and Jackson made it 28-7 in the third quarter with a 24-yard scoring pass to rookie Marquise Brown following a turnover by New York (5-9).

                              That was enough to assure the Ravens another division title after they clinched a playoff berth four days earlier in Buffalo. With a victory next week in Cleveland, the Ravens will be assured the top seed in the AFC, a distinction that comes with home-field advantage leading up to the Super Bowl.

                              Jackson ran for 86 yards (on eight carries) to break Michael Vick's single-season record for a quarterback. Jackson has 1,108 yards rushing. Vick had 1,039 for Atlanta in 2006.

                              On this night, however, Jackson did most of the damage with his right arm. He completed 15 of 23 passes for 212 yards and increased his NFL-leading total of touchdown passes to 33, tying the franchise season record set by Vinny Testaverde in 1996.

                              After Jackson's pass to Brown, many in the crowd of 70,545 chanted ''MVP! MVP!'' There was a reprise of the mantra late in the third quarter when Jackson hit Seth Roberts for a 33-yard touchdown. The score came after Jackson connected with tight end Mark Andrews for a 36-yard completion on a fourth-and-1 from the Baltimore 29.

                              Jackson celebrated the first down by dancing downfield with his arm pointing toward the New York goal line. Not once throughout his exceptional performance did Jackson show any sign of being slowed by a quadriceps injury that made headlines in the days leading up to the game.

                              The Jets, meanwhile, hardly looked like a team that had won four of their previous five games. Sam Darnold threw two touchdown passes to Jamison Crowder but the second-year quarterback also tossed an interception and lost a fumble.

                              The first turnover ruined a potential scoring drive near the end of the first half and the latter miscue immediately preceded Jackson's TD pass to Brown.

                              Darnold went 18 for 32 for 218 yards.

                              The Jets' other touchdown came on a blocked punt in the fourth quarter.

                              New York's defense came in ranked second in the NFL against the rush, but the unit was no match for the league's top running game. The Ravens amassed 218 yards on the ground, including 76 by Mark Ingram.

                              Jackson broke Vick's rushing mark on Baltimore's opening possession while guiding the Ravens on an 84-yard march. The dual-threat quarterback ran three times for 27 yards and completed all three of his passes for 41 yards before Ingram ran in from the New York 6.

                              Jackson supplanted Vick in the record book with a 5-yard run from the Jets 11.

                              It was more of the same on Baltimore's second drive. A 29-yard run by Ingram and a 25-yard impromptu jaunt out of the pocket by Jackson preceded a 5-yard touchdown pass to rookie Miles Boykin.

                              Darnold threw a 4-yard touchdown pass to get New York to 13-7 before the Ravens rolled to their third TD in three possessions. A 43-yard pass interference penalty against the Jets set up a 1-yard touchdown pass to Andrews, and Ingram tacked on a 2-point conversion.

                              INJURIES

                              Jets: Before the game, New York placed TE Ryan Griffin (ankle) on IR. ... S Jamal Adams (ankle) and CB Brian Poole (concussion) were inactive. .

                              Ravens: OT Ronnie Stanley (concussion) was inactive.

                              UP NEXT

                              Jets: Another game against an AFC North foe looms Sunday for New York, at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

                              Ravens: The last team to beat Baltimore was the Browns, 40-25 on Sept. 29.
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • Sunday, December 15, 2019
                                Time (ET) Away Home
                                1:00 PM Seattle Seahawks Carolina Panthers
                                1:00 PM New England Patriots Cincinnati Bengals
                                1:00 PM Tampa Bay Buccaneers Detroit Lions
                                1:00 PM Chicago Bears Green Bay Packers
                                1:00 PM Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs
                                1:00 PM Miami Dolphins New York Giants
                                1:00 PM Houston Texans Tennessee Titans
                                1:00 PM Philadelphia Eagles Washington Redskins
                                4:05 PM Cleveland Browns Arizona Cardinals
                                4:05 PM Jacksonville Jaguars Oakland Raiders
                                4:05 PM Minnesota Vikings Los Angeles Chargers
                                4:25 PM Los Angeles Rams Dallas Cowboys
                                4:25 PM Atlanta Falcons San Francisco 49ers
                                8:20 PM Buffalo Bills Pittsburgh Steelers

                                Monday, December 16, 2019
                                Time (ET) Away Home
                                8:15 PM Indianapolis Colts New Orleans Saints


                                ************************


                                nfl december opinions and best bets: All based on 5 units

                                date........................... W-l-t............ %................ Units

                                12/12/2019...................2-0-0.........100.00%.........+10.00
                                12/09/2019...................1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
                                12/08/2019................12-12-2..........50.00%..........-6.00
                                12/01/2019..................7-10-1..........41.18%..........-20.00

                                totals.........................22-23-3..........48.88%..........-16.50


                                best bets:

                                Date........................ats.............units. ............o/u...............units.............totals

                                12/12/2019...............1 - 0.............+5.00..............1 - 0.............+5.00..............+10.00
                                12/09/2019...............1 - 0.............+5.50..............0 - 1..............-5.50...............-0.50
                                12/08/2019...............6 - 3.............+13.50............4 - 4..............-2.00...............+11.50
                                12/01/2019...............6 - 6..............-3.00..............1 - 4..............-17.00..............-20.00

                                totals.......................13 - 9.............+21.00...........6 - 9..............-19.50...............+1.50
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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