Da bum's 2019 nfl season's best bets- opinions-news-trends thru the superbowl !

[StarDust Bum]

Hot & Not Report - Week 1
September 1, 2019
By Matt Blunt

Week of September 2nd

2019 NFL Week 1 Betting Angles

Super Bowl Combatants

Meaningful professional football is finally back, as for the first time in years we get a season opening game not featuring the defending Super Bowl Champions. New England gets its season started on Sunday Night Football against Pittsburgh, and the Patriots along with the Los Angeles Rams are apart of an ever popular theory regarding Super Bowl combatants in the season opener the following year.

Generally speaking, fading defending champions is a great starting point to look at with a defending champion in any professional sport – so NBA and NHL bettors keep that in mind - with the Toronto Raptors and St. Louis Blues beginning new seasons in October.

However, the opposite holds true in the NFL this century as defending champions have been a great team to back in the first game the following season.

So with the Rams and Patriots both in action on Sunday, and both laying less than a touchdown, will historical trends for both the defending champion and Super Bowl loser hold true?

Super Bowl Winners in Week 1

SUPER BOWL WINNER - WEEK 1 HISTORY (2000-2018)
Year SB Winner Opponent Score (SU-ATS-O/U Result)
2018 Philadelphia (PK) vs. Atlanta 18-12 (Win-Win-Under)
2017 New England (-8) vs. Kansas City 42-27 (Loss-Loss-Over)
2016 Denver (+3) vs. Carolina 21-20 (Win-Win-Over)
2015 New England (-7) vs. Pittsburgh 28-21 (Win-Push-Under)
2014 Seattle (-4.5) vs. Green Bay 36-16 (Win-Win-Over)
2013 Baltimore (+7.5) at Denver 27-49 (Loss-Loss-Over)
2012 N.Y. Giants (-3.5) vs. Dallas 17-24 (Loss-Loss-Under)
2011 Green Bay (-4.5) vs. New Orleans 42-34 (Win-Win-Over)
2010 New Orleans (-4.5) vs. Minnesota 14-9 (Win-Win-Under)
2009 Pittsburgh (-5) vs. Tennessee 13-10 (Win-Loss-Under)
2008 N.Y. Giants (-4) vs. Washington 16-7 (Win-Win-Under)
2007 Indianapolis (-5) vs. New Orleans 41-10 (Win-Win-Under)
2006 Pittsburgh (-7.5) vs. Miami 28-17 (Win-Win-Over)
2005 New England (-7.5) vs. Oakland 30-20 (Win-Win-Over)
2004 New England (-3) vs. Indianapolis 27-24 (Win-Push-Over)
2003 Tampa Bay (+3) vs. Philadelphia 17-0 (Win-Win-Under)
2002 New England (PK) vs. Pittsburgh 30-14 (Win-Win-Over)
2001 Baltimore (-10) vs. Chicago 17-6 (Win-Win-Under)
2000 St. Louis (-7) vs. Denver 41-36 (Win-Loss-Over)

Thanks to the Eagles opening up last year with a 18-12 win over the Atlanta Falcons, Super Bowl winners are now 16-3 straight up and 12-5-2 against the spread since 2000, with the 2012 and 2013 season openers being the only time a defending champion has failed to cover two years in a row. That's quite a run of cashing tickets for defending champions, and even with New England's spread currently being in that no man's land zone of -5.5, laying that chalk against Pittsburgh on SNF may be worth it.

However, history is only a guide into the future and not a certainty in predicting the future, and the fact that the Patriots spread has been relatively static in that -5.5/-6 range all summer long is telling as well. Spreads usually get put in that range so as the oddsmakers can let the initial market dictate where a more true number should be and move accordingly. But minimal movement there is just as potentially problematic, because the market is just as unsure about this number with only past year's data and analysis to go off of.

The Patriots are the Patriots, so they will always get their fair share of support in the market regardless, so if you are a believer in history for these defending champs, you'll probably want to get on New England sooner rather then later. The more money the Patriots get leading into Sunday will help push that number potentially back up over -6, so if Pittsburgh's the team you are eyeing, it's likely best to wait.

But one more final note on New England before we get over to the Rams as the Super Bowl loser. These past champions that went into next season not laying at least a full seven points are 8-3-1 ATS in season opener's. That's a very strong sub-set that specifically applies to the Patriots this week, and given all the change we are likely to get from Pittsburgh with the roster moves they made this summer, Patriots at -6 or lower probably is the way to go.

Super Bowl Losers in Week 1

SUPER BOWL LOSER - WEEK 1 HISTORY (1999-2018)
Year SB Loser Opponent Score (SU-ATS-O/U Result)
2018 New England (-6) vs. Houston 27-20 (Win-Win-Under)
2017 Atlanta (-7) at Chicago 23-17 (Win-Loss-Under)
2016 Carolina (-3) at Denver 20-21 (Loss-Loss-Over)
2015 Seattle (-3.5) at St. Louis 31-34 - OT (Loss-Loss-Over)
2014 Denver (-8) vs. Indianapolis 31-24 (Win-Loss-Over)
2013 San Francisco (-5.5) vs. Green Bay 34-28 (Win-Win-Over)
2012 New England (-5) at Tennessee 34-13 (Win-Win-Under)
2011 Pittsburgh (+1) at Baltimore 7-35 (Loss-Loss-Over)
2010 Indianapolis (-2.5) at Houston 24-34 (Loss-Loss-Over)
2009 Arizona (-6.5) vs. San Francisco 6-20 (Loss-Loss-Under)
2008 New England (-16) vs. Kansas City 17-10 (Win-Loss-Under)
2007 Chicago (+6) at San Diego 3-14 (Loss-Loss-Under)
2006 Seattle (-6) at Detroit 9-6 (Win-Loss-Under)
2005 Philadelphia (-1) at Atlanta 10-14 (Loss-Loss-Under)
2004 Carolina (-3) vs. Green Bay 14-24 (Loss-Loss-Under)
2003 Oakland (+3) at Tennessee 20-25 (Loss-Loss-Under)
2002 St. Louis (-3) at Denver 16-23 (Loss-Loss-Under)
2001 N.Y. Giants (+3) vs. San Francisco 13-16 (Loss-Loss-Under)
2000 Tennessee (PK) at Buffalo 13-16 (Loss-Loss-Under)
1999 Atlanta (+4) at Minnesota 14-17 (Loss-Win-Under)

While backing the defending champ has worked well in recent years, so has fading the Super Bowl loser from the past season. This year that role goes to the aforementioned Rams and thrown on top of that is the fact that Los Angeles begins its 2019 season out on the road laying points for an early body clock (1:00 p.m. ET) start time in Carolina this Sunday. Super Bowl loser or not, that's a really tough situational spot to back a team like the Rams as it is.

Super Bowl losers have gone 7-13 SU and 5-15 ATS the following years since 1999, and both of those numbers were boosted by a Patriots seven-point win as -6 favorites at home last year against Houston in the opener. It was the first time in five seasons that the Super Bowl loser covered their opener the next year, and the previous three that had all failed to cover, all dealt with what the Rams are dealing with this week; laying points on the road. New England didn't have to deal with that last year as they were able to start at home, but road teams in this role have gone 3-10 SU and 2-11 ATS in that same span, which is just downright brutal.

That's the type of history that Rams backers will be spitting on this upcoming week, but with Panthers quarterback Cam Newton's health still being a bit up in the air for Carolina, it's not like there aren't some sound reasons behind backing the Rams as well. But with how cautious they took the preseason in terms of starters not getting reps, and running back Todd Gurley still dealing with a contract issue, fading the Rams in Week 1 might gain so much steam early in the week that we could get a scenario where Carolina all of a sudden finds themselves in that public underdog role.

It will be an interesting game to see how the line shakes out by kickoff, but even with history on Carolina's side and going against the Rams, there is too much uncertainty in terms of health/sharpness on both sides that it's probably best to wait and see what news comes out during the week. Sleeping on backing Carolina in such a good spot isn't necessarily a bad option.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL 2019: 49ers need to deliver in Year 3 under Shanahan
August 31, 2019
By The Associated Press

SANTA CLARA, Calif. (AP) Coach Kyle Shanahan gathered his team during the offseason program and delivered a clear message.

After one year of rebuilding and one plagued by injuries, the San Francisco 49ers had no more excuses. The third year of the Shanahan-John Lynch era was time for the struggling franchise to take a big step and finally get back to being a contender after five down seasons.

''You get a new general manager, new head coach in here, it's going to take a year or two to get people that they want, the system that they want, everybody dialed in,'' said left tackle Joe Staley, one of the only remaining ties to the franchise's previous playoff berth in 2013. ''Last year was the year we really felt like going into the year we had the pieces in the right spots. I think we added a ton more this offseason. It's time to win.''

With a healthy Jimmy Garoppolo at quarterback after his first full season in San Francisco was aborted by a season-ending knee injury in Week 3, a defensive line upgraded by the additions of two dangerous edge rushers in Dee Ford and rookie Nick Bosa, and a core of young players ready to emerge as key contributors, the Niners believe the pieces are now in place.

San Francisco won 10 games total in the first two seasons under Shanahan and Lynch and has the second-most losses in the NFL (47) since Jim Harbaugh was forced out following the 2014 season. Shanahan and Lynch have brought needed stability after a run of three coaches in three seasons, but the results haven't been there yet.

''We're very happy with the people we have in this building, talent-wise and character-wise. That's good, we've accomplished that part,'' Shanahan said. ''Now we need to win some games, we need to get better. I think our guys feel that, we feel that, and I think that's why we added some key players that we thought would help us.

Here are some other things to watch on the 49ers this season:

JIMMY G

Garoppolo was a revelation after being acquired midway through the 2017 season from New England, going 5-0 as starter to end the season and earn a $137.5 million, five-year contract. Garoppolo didn't look nearly as efficient at the start of last season despite having a full offseason to absorb Shanahan's offense. He remains a mostly untested commodity with 10 career starts in five seasons and has struggled in training camp and exhibitions. He must show that the Niners made the right choice when they invested in him.

TURN IT OVER

The 49ers set records for futility last season by making just two interceptions all year and generating only seven takeaways. The minus-25 turnover margin was the second worst in the NFL over the past 18 seasons, a major reason for the lack of success. San Francisco is counting on the additions of Ford and Bosa up front to put more pressure on quarterbacks and lead to bad decisions and turnovers. Speedy linebacker Kwon Alexander also could make a big impact.

HEALTH REPORT

Season-ending injuries to Garoppolo and starting running back Jerick McKinnon last September derailed San Francisco's season almost before it started. The team dealt with several more injuries throughout the year, especially at running back, linebacker and the secondary. That led the organization to overhaul its strength and conditioning and medical departments in the offseason. Whether that pays off remains to be seen as the team has dealt with several minor injuries early in training camp that could impact the availability of some key players at the beginning of the season. McKinnon is out again for all of this season after having several setbacks this summer, although the team is hopeful none of the other injuries will have long-term implications.

SUSPECT SECONDARY

Richard Sherman had a strong season in his first year in San Francisco, showing that he had recovered from an Achilles tendon injury that ended his 2017 season early and led to his departure from Seattle.

But it didn't matter much because quarterbacks picked on the other side of the field where second-year cornerback Ahkello Witherspoon struggled mightily. The Niners also had issues at safety with Jimmie Ward and Jaquiski Tartt hampered by injuries. The team made few major moves to upgrade the secondary, hoping that better health and development of young players such as Witherspoon and Tarvarius Moore provide a needed boost.

TARGET PRACTICE

Tight end George Kittle emerged as a star in his second season, setting an NFL record for tight ends with 1,377 yards receiving. The situation at wide receiver is much less settled. Dante Pettis showed flashes as a rookie but has yet to prove he can handle the load as a No. 1 receiver in the NFL. Marquise Goodwin has blazing speed but has a more limited role. There are no other proven players at the position and rookies Deebo Samuel and Jalen Hurd will be counted on to make an impact this season.

[StarDust Bum]

Tech Trends - Week 1
September 2, 2019
By Bruce Marshall

THURSDAY, SEPT. 5
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
GREEN BAY at CHICAGO (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
LaFleur Pack debut! Teams have split last 8 games since 2015. Pack only 5-010-1 as dog past two years (much of that minus Rodgers, however. Nagy 7-1 vs. line at home in reg season LY’s debut, Bears also 9-3 as chalk in 2018. Chicago closed 2018 “under” 7 in a row.
Tech Edge: Bears and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

SUNDAY, SEPT. 8
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
ATLANTA at MINNESOTA (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Falcs 4-12 vs. line last two years on reg season road. Zimmer 11-4-1 vs. spread as host since 2017, also “under” 9-1-1 last 11 home.
Tech Edge: Vikings and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
WASHINGTON at PHILADELPHIA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Birds have won and covered last four meetings since 2017. Though Philly just 2-6 vs. points at Linc LU after Pederson was 11-4-1 vs. spread reg season as host previous two years. Note division dogs 17-4 vs. line last 21 in opening week.
Tech Edge: Slight to Eagles, based on series trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
BUFFALO at NY JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Gase Jets debut! Teams split four the past two years, though Gase 0-3-1 vs. line vs. Bills last two years with Miami. Jets 0-4-1 vs. points last five at home. Bills “under” 8-2 last 10 away
Tech Edge: Slight to Bills, based on team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
BALTIMORE at MIAMI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Flores Dolphins debut! Miami 7-3-1 as home dog for Gase past three years, but failed to cover last 8 vs. Ravens (all Harbaugh). Balt won and covered last 3 openers, and covered last 3 away LY.
Tech Edge: Ravens, based on team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
SAN FRANCISCO at TAMPA BAY (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Arians Bucs debut! The last two Arians Cards teams were only 12-19-1 vs. line. Niners only 2-6 vs. line away LY and lost 27-9 at Raymond James. Bucs have won and covered last three openers.
Tech Edge: Slight to Bucs, based on team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
KANSAS CITY at JACKSONVILLE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Jags closed 2018 on 2-10 SU and 3-8-1 spread run down stretch. Marrone was 3-0 as home dog LY, though Jags on 6-11-1 spread slide last 18 reg season games. Also “under” 11-6 last 17 reg season games. Andy Reid 7-2 vs. line last nine away, and Chiefs 9-1 “over” last ten away.
Tech Edge: Chiefs and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals’ trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
TENNESSEE at CLEVELAND (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Browns closed 2018 on 5-2 spread run. Titans have lost and failed to cover last three openers. Vrabel 6-4 as dog LY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Browns, based on team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
LA RAMS at CAROLINA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Rams only covered 4 of last 12 in reg season LY, also “under” 6-2 as reg season visitor LY. Cam 4-1 as home dog since 2017, 16-8 overall as dog past four years.
Tech Edge: Slight to Panthers, based on team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
DETROIT at ARIZONA (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Kingsbury Cards debut! Lions ended 2018 “under” last 7 and 9 of last 10 games. Big Red “under” 1–5 as host past two years.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Lions, based on “totals” and team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
CINCINNATI at SEATTLE (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Taylor Bengals debut! Cincy was 6-2 as away dog LY for Marvin Lewis. Pete Carroll 5-2-1 vs. line at home LY, and 9-5-2 overall vs. number. Hawks also “over” 7 of last 8 LY.
Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to Seahawks, based on “totals” and team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
INDIANAPOLIS at LA CHARGERS (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Colts were 6-3-1 v. line LY down stretch in reg season but that was with Luck. Indy covered 4 of last 9 in 2017 with Brissett. Bolts just 2-6 as home chalk LY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Colts, based on team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NY GIANTS at DALLAS (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Dallas has now won and covered last four vs. Giants, though both close LY. Eli was 6-1 as road dog in 2018 and Giants 10-4 in role since 2017. Five of last six in series “under” (exception was Week 16 game LY).
Tech Edge: Slight to Giants and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
PITTSBURGH at NEW ENGLAND (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Tomlin finally beat Belichick LY after losing and failing to cover previous five. Last four meetings “under” as well. Belichick 13-3 vs. line last 16 at home. Tomlin has covered last five as road dog and was 6-0 as underdog LY.
Tech Edge: Belichick, based on extended series trends.

MONDAY, SEPT. 9
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
HOUSTON at NEW ORLEANS (ESPN, 7:10 p.m. ET)
Texans 3-1 as away dog LY but only 8-8-1 overall vs. line. Saints have failed to cover last five openers. Saints also “over” 11-6 last 17 at Superdome.
Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to Texans, based on “totals” and team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
DENVER at OAKLAND (ESPN, 10:15 p.m. ET)
Fangio Broncos debut! Denver closed 2018 “under” nine in a row, and last 5 “under” vs. Oakland. Raiders have covered last 3 in series.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

[StarDust Bum]

451GREEN BAY -452 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

453ATLANTA -454 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) in dome games in the last 3 seasons.

455WASHINGTON -456 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) at home when the total is 45.5-49 since 1992.

457BUFFALO -458 NY JETS
BUFFALO is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a road dog of <=3 since 1992.

459BALTIMORE -460 MIAMI
BALTIMORE is 31-17 ATS (12.3 Units) against the AFC East since 1992.

461SAN FRANCISCO -462 TAMPA BAY
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

463KANSAS CITY -464 JACKSONVILLE
KANSAS CITY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.

465TENNESSEE -466 CLEVELAND
TENNESSEE is 117-153 ATS (-51.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

467LA RAMS -468 CAROLINA
LA RAMS are 139-189 ATS (-68.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

469DETROIT -470 ARIZONA
DETROIT is 7-20 ATS (-15 Units) in road games against the NFC West since 1992.

471CINCINNATI -472 SEATTLE
CINCINNATI is 80-107 ATS (-37.7 Units) in the 1rst half of the season since 1992.

473INDIANAPOLIS -474 LA CHARGERS
LA CHARGERS are 16-1 ATS (14.9 Units) in home games against the AFC South since 1992.

475NY GIANTS -476 DALLAS
DALLAS are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

477PITTSBURGH -478 NEW ENGLAND
NEW ENGLAND is 24-8 ATS (15.2 Units) at home when the total >=49.5 since 1992.

481DENVER -482 OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 26-51 ATS (-30.1 Units) in home games when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 1

Thursday, September 5

Green Bay @ Chicago

Game 451-452
September 5, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
135.600
Chicago
135.249
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
Even
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 3
46
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(+3); Over


Sunday, September 8

LA Rams @ Carolina

Game 467-468
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Rams
138.483
Carolina
138.587
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
Even
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 3
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(+3); Under

Washington @ Philadelphia

Game 455-456
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
118.165
Philadelphia
133.740
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 15 1/2
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 8 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-8 1/2); Under

Buffalo @ NY Jets

Game 457-458
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
120.399
NY Jets
127.894
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Jets
by 7 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Jets
by 3
40
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(-3); Over

Atlanta @ Minnesota

Game 453-454
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
132.898
Minnesota
134.341
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 4
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+4); Under

Baltimore @ Miami

Game 459-460
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
130.334
Miami
128.741
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 5 1/2
37 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+5 1/2); Over

Kansas City @ Jacksonville

Game 463-464
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
140.011
Jacksonville
125.446
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 14 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 3 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-3 1/2); Over

Tennessee @ Cleveland

Game 465-466
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
129.627
Cleveland
136.369
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 7
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 5 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-5 1/2); Under

Cincinnati @ Seattle

Game 471-472
September 8, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
124.693
Seattle
139.197
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 14 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 9
44
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-9); Over

Indianapolis @ LA Chargers

Game 473-474
September 8, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indianapolis
133.228
LA Chargers
141.331
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Chargers
by 8
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 6 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Chargers
(-6 1/2); Under

San Francisco @ Tampa Bay

Game 461-462
September 8, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
124.752
Tampa Bay
134.571
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 10
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
Pick
50
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
Over

NY Giants @ Dallas

Game 475-476
September 8, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
128.072
Dallas
137.080
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 9
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 7
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-7); Under

Detroit @ Arizona

Game 469-470
September 8, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
120.036
Arizona
126.920
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 7
32
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 2 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+2 1/2); Under

Pittsburgh @ New England

Game 477-478
September 8, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
135.756
New England
143.602
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 8
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 6
51
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-6); Under


Monday, September 9

Houston @ New Orleans

Game 479-480
September 9, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
133.867
New Orleans
136.699
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 3
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 7
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+7); Under

Denver @ Oakland

Game 481-482
September 9, 2019 @ 10:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
121.907
Oakland
127.836
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 6
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 1
43
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+1); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 1

Thursday, September 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GREEN BAY (6 - 9 - 1) at CHICAGO (12 - 5) - 9/5/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 192-139 ATS (+39.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CHICAGO is 54-79 ATS (-32.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 8

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ATLANTA (7 - 9) at MINNESOTA (8 - 7 - 1) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (7 - 9) at PHILADELPHIA (10 - 8) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (6 - 10) at NY JETS (4 - 12) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 2-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 2-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (10 - 7) at MIAMI (7 - 9) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 12) at TAMPA BAY (5 - 11) - 9/8/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (13 - 5) at JACKSONVILLE (5 - 11) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (9 - 7) at CLEVELAND (7 - 8 - 1) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 117-153 ATS (-51.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA RAMS (15 - 4) at CAROLINA (7 - 9) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 193-240 ATS (-71.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 193-240 ATS (-71.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 139-189 ATS (-68.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 68-103 ATS (-45.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road games in September games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 118-87 ATS (+22.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (6 - 10) at ARIZONA (3 - 13) - 9/8/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (6 - 10) at SEATTLE (10 - 7) - 9/8/2019, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANAPOLIS (11 - 7) at LA CHARGERS (13 - 5) - 9/8/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 29-5 ATS (+23.5 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY GIANTS (5 - 11) at DALLAS (11 - 7) - 9/8/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (9 - 6 - 1) at NEW ENGLAND (14 - 5) - 9/8/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 262-200 ATS (+42.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 262-200 ATS (+42.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 46-23 ATS (+20.7 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 202-146 ATS (+41.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 125-84 ATS (+32.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 80-54 ATS (+20.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, September 9

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HOUSTON (11 - 6) at NEW ORLEANS (14 - 4) - 9/9/2019, 7:10 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (6 - 10) at OAKLAND (4 - 12) - 9/9/2019, 10:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 52-85 ATS (-41.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 80-108 ATS (-38.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 80-108 ATS (-38.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 146-183 ATS (-55.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NFL

Week 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, September 5

Chicago Bears
Chicago is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Chicago is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
Chicago is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Chicago is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Green Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Green Bay's last 10 games
Green Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Green Bay is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Green Bay's last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games on the road
Green Bay is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Green Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago


Sunday, September 8

Minnesota Vikings
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 12 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Carolina is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Carolina is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games at home
Carolina is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Rams
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing LA Rams
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
LA Rams is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
LA Rams is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 7 games on the road
LA Rams is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
LA Rams is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 6 games when playing Carolina
LA Rams is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
LA Rams is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina

Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 7-17-1 SU in its last 25 games
Cleveland is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Cleveland is 6-18-1 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Cleveland's last 21 games at home
Cleveland is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Tennessee
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games
Tennessee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games on the road
Tennessee is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Tennessee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 2-8-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Jacksonville is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
Jacksonville is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games at home
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Jacksonville is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Kansas City is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games
Kansas City is 15-6-1 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Kansas City is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville

Miami Dolphins
Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Miami is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Miami's last 21 games at home
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Miami is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Baltimore is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 11 games when playing on the road against Miami

New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games
NY Jets is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games
NY Jets is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets's last 7 games at home
NY Jets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
NY Jets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
NY Jets is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets's last 9 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Buffalo is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Jets

Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
Philadelphia is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Philadelphia is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 13 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Washington
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Washington Redskins
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games
LA Chargers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Chargers is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games at home
LA Chargers is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Indianapolis
LA Chargers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
LA Chargers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
LA Chargers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indianapolis's last 9 games
Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Indianapolis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Indianapolis is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LA Chargers
Indianapolis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
Indianapolis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers

Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 9 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 1-4-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Seattle is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Seattle
Cincinnati is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle

Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 10 games at home
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Arizona is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Arizona's last 15 games when playing Detroit
Arizona is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
Arizona is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Detroit is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Detroit's last 15 games when playing Arizona
Detroit is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Detroit is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona

Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games at home
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
Dallas is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing at home against NY Giants
New York Giants
NY Giants is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Giants is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games
NY Giants is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
NY Giants is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games on the road
NY Giants is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
NY Giants is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing Dallas
NY Giants is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
NY Giants is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Giants's last 10 games when playing on the road against Dallas

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 19 games when playing San Francisco
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games on the road
San Francisco is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of San Francisco's last 19 games when playing Tampa Bay
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

New England Patriots
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New England's last 12 games
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games at home
New England is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Pittsburgh
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
New England is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 16-5-1 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing New England
Pittsburgh is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against New England


Monday, September 9

New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 9 games
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
Houston Texans
Houston is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 3-6-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road

Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 8-15-2 ATS in its last 25 games
Oakland is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Oakland's last 23 games
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oakland's last 12 games at home
Oakland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
Denver Broncos
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Denver is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
Denver is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Denver is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oakland

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NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 1

Green Bay @ Chicago (-4)— Packers won 15 of last 18 series games; they’re 8-1 in last nine trips here, losing 24-17 in Week 15 LY. Chicago was 6-0 as a home favorite LY, after being 11-21 from 2010-17; last three years, Bears are 7-1-1 vs spread in NFC Central home games. Last two years, Green Bay is 4-10-1 vs spread as a single digit underdog, 4-6-1 as a road dog. Over last decade, favorites are 16-9 vs spread in Packers’ NFC Central road games. Green Bay won last four season openers, but lost five of last seven road openers; over is 11-2 in their last 13 RO’s. Chicago started 0-1 the last five years; they lost four of last five home openers (under 3-1-1).

Atlanta @ Minnesota (-4)— Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 22-7-1 vs spread as a home favorite, 16-2-1 outside NFC North. Vikings won last three series games; Falcons won three of last five visits to the Twin Cities. Last two years, Atlanta is 4-12 vs spread on road, 1-6 as a road underdog; they’re 6-14 vs spread n last 20 non-division games. Falcons won three of last four road openers; they split last eight season openers. Five of their last six RO’s stayed under. Minnesota won four of last five season openers; they won/covered their last four home openers- Vikings’ last five HO’s stayed under. Minnesota struggled to find a kicker this summer; they traded a 5th-round pick for a kicker, then cut him three weeks later.

Washington @ Philadelphia (-8.5)— Keenum is on his 4th team in four years; he started 39 games (21-18) the last three years. Eagles won last four series games, all by 10+ points; Skins lost last two visits here, 34-24/28-13. Since 2012, Iggles are 7-13-1 vs spread in NFC East home games; under Pederson, Philly is 8-8-1 as a HF (2-6 LY). Last three years, Redskins are 11-8 vs spread as a road underdog- they covered once in last six NFC East road games. Washington snapped a 5-game skid on Opening Day LY; they won last three road openers. Over is 7-3 in their last ten RO’s. Philly started 1-0 in seven of last eight seasons; they won four of last five home openers (under 4-1). Redskins’ LT Williams is holding out; thats a problem.

Buffalo at Jets (-3)— Teams split eight meetings last four years, going 2-2 in each stadium; average total in last three meetings is 52. Gase lost three of last four games vs Bills when he was in Miami. Jets won six of their last eight home openers; since ’13, they’re 16-8-2 as a home underdog. Over last decade, Gang Green is 11-3 as an AFC East home dog. Since 2014, Buffalo is 2-6-1 vs spread as a road favorite; they’re opening on road for first time in five years. Over last decade, Bills are 1-3 vs spread as an RF in AFC East road games. Bills lost last three road openers, scoring 7-3-3 points. Gase was 7-3-1 as a home underdog with the Dolphins. Jets picked up the kicker Minnesota cut, so they’re struggling to find a kicker, too.

Baltimore (-4.5) @ Miami— Miami traded LT Tunsil and two other starters for mostly draft picks, so they’ve already given up on this year, like Oakland did LY. Ravens won last three Week 1 games by combined score of 80-10; they’re 7-4 vs spread in last 11 road openers. Baltimore won last two games wth Miami by a combined score of 78-6, with last meeting in ’17. Since 2013, Baltimore is 6-11-1 as a road favorite. Over is 8-3-1 in their last dozen RO’s. Miami covered five of its last six home openers (4-2 SU). Dolphins’ last ten home openers stayed under the total; nine of their last ten RO’s went over. Over last eight years, Ravens are 14-25-2 vs spread in non-division road games. Since 2012, Dolphins are 14-7-2 as home underdogs, 9-3-1 outside the AFC East. 36-year old Fitzpatrick leads an offense that just traded his blindside protection.

San Francisco @ Tampa Bay (-1)— When Arians was in Arizona, he won his last six meetings with SF. Last four years, 49ers are 5-27 SU on road; they’re 8-12 vs spread in last 20 road tilts outside NFC West. Over last five years, Bucs are 16-24 vs spread at home. 49ers lost last four road openers (1-3 vs spread), losing by average of 13.8 ppg; four of their last six road openers stayed under. Tampa Bay won its last two Week 1 games, scoring 31-48 points; they didn’t play in Week 1 in 2017 because of a hurricane. Arians was 2-3 in openers while he was Arizona’s coach. Keeping an eye out to see if the hurricane impacts life in the Tampa Bay area.

Kansas City (-3.5) @ Jacksonville— Chiefs won last four season openers; they covered five of last six road openers. Over is 5-3 in their last eight RO’s. Since ’13, KC is 15-7 vs spread as road favorites, 8-4 outside AFC West. KC won last four series games, pounding Jags 30-14 (-3) at home LY- they’re 2-4 SU in six visits here, with last visit in ‘13. Under Marrone, Jaguars are 6-4 as home underdogs, after being 10-24-1 from 2009-15. Jacksonville won its last two season openers, but lost six of last seven home openers- they’re 3-9 vs spread in 12 HO’s. Four of their last five home openers went over.

Tennessee @ Cleveland (-5.5)— Lot of pressure on Browns; they’re actually favored to win AFC North. Since re-joining NFL in 1999, Browns are 1-18-1 SU in Week 1; they tied Steelers in LY’s opener. Cleveland did cover five of last seven home openers. Tennessee beat Browns last two years, by total of five points- they nipped Cleveland 12-9 in OT here LY. Titans lost last three season openers, but won/covered five of last six road openers. Over last nine years, Browns are 7-14-2 as a HF, 6-10-2 outside AFC North- over last three years, they’re 1-3 ATS when favored. Tennessee was 6-4 vs spread as an underdog LY, in Vrabel’s first year as HC.

Rams (-3) @ Carolina— Under McVay, Rams won their season openers 46-9/33-13; they’re 7-6 as RF under McVay, 3-4 outside NFC West. Since 2014, Panthers are 7-3 as home dogs, 4-0 outside the NFC South. Since 2000, Rams are 4-15 vs spread in road openers (4-5 in last nine). Four of their last five road openers stayed under total. Carolina won its last five home openers, allowing 8-3 points last two years; they won four of last five season openers. Under is 5-1 in their last six HO’s. Carolina won six of last seven series games, but teams haven’t met in McVay era. Rams’ lost last three visits here, with last win 38-32 in 2001. Since 2003, Super Bowl loser is 3-13 vs spread in its first game the next season.

Detroit (-1.5) @ Arizona— Rookie head coach, rookie QB; Cardinals are a great unknown. Lions beat Arizona last two years, after losing previous seven meetings. Last five years, Lions are 11-4-4 vs spread when laying 3 or fewer points; they were 5-0 vs spread LY in non-divisional road games. Last three years, Cardinals are 8-16 SU at home; since 2013, Redbirds are 18-11-1 vs spread in non-divisional home games. Detroit started six of last eight seasons 1-0; Lions covered last three road openers; over is 9-4-1 in their last 14. Cardinals lost last three home openers, scoring 14.7 ppg; six of their last seven home openers stayed under.

Cincinnati @ Seattle (-8.5)— Seahawks won their last ten home openers (8-2 vs spread); under is 15-2-1 in their last 18 HO’s. Bengals won four of last five road openers; eight of their last nine RO’s went over total. Cincy won four of last five Week 1 games. Bengals won three of last four series games; home side won five of last six meetings- Cincy lost three of last four visits here. Last four years, Seattle is 12-15-1 vs spread as a home favorite, 8-8-1 outside NFC West. Since 2011, Bengals are 22-14-4 vs spread as road underdogs, 12-7-3 outside AFC North. New coaches went 0-7 SU (1-6 ATS) in Week 1 LY, after they were 17-10 SU from 2014-17.

Indianapolis @ Chargers (-7)— Line jumped after Andrew Luck retired; Brissett was 4-11 as a starter for the ’17 Colts. Last five years, Chargers are 13-25 vs spread at home, whether it be San Diego or Carson, 11-14 outside AFC West. Chargers won six of last eight meetings, taking pair of playoff wins over Indy in 2007-08. Teams haven’t met in California since 2013. Last four years, Colts are 11-9 vs spread as non-division road underdog. Colts lost seven of last nine road openers; they’ve started last five seasons 0-1. Indy’s last three season openers went over. LA lost its two home openers in Carson after winning six of last seven in San Diego; 13 of their last 16 HO’s went over. Bolts started last three seasons 0-1.

Giants @ Dallas (-7.5)— Giants lost seven of last eight season openers; they’re playing road opener in Dallas for 6th time in last seven years. NY is 2-7 in last nine RO’s overall, 1-4 in last five RO’s here- their last three RO’s stayed under. Cowboys are 4-0 vs Big Blue last two years, winning 19-3/20-13 here. Dallas won six of last eight home openers; they split last ten season openers, with four of last five staying under. Last couple years, Giants are 10-4 vs spread as road underdogs, but only 2-3 in NFC East games. Since 2010, Cowboys are 9-22-1 vs spread when laying points in divisional home games. RB Elliott is still holding out, which is a problem for the Dallas offense.

Pittsburgh @ New England (-6)— Pitt opens on road for 5th straight year; since 1997, Steelers are 1-8-1 vs spread when an underdog in their road opener; five of their last six RO’s stayed under. Patriots won 15 of last 17 home openers, but are 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven (under 5-2). NE started 13 of last 15 seasons 1-0, losing in ’14/’17. Patriots won five of last six series games; Pitt lost last three visits here, with last win at NE in 2008. Over last decade, Steelers are 18-11-1 vs spread as road underdog, 5-0 last three years; they’re 25-15-2 vs spread in last 42 games as a single digit underdog. Since 2013, Patriots are 28-13-3 as home favorites, 17-8-1 outside AFC East. Last five Super Bowl champs are 3-1-1 vs spread in their season opener the next year.

Houston @ New Orleans (-7)— Saints started last five seasons 0-1; NO lost its last four home openers and were favored in three of them- last three went over total, with Saints giving up 35-36-48 points. Since 2014, New Orleans is 13-20-1 as a home favorite, 8-13-1 outside NFC South. Home side won all four series games; Texans lost 31-10/40-33 in their visits here. Under O’Brien, Houston is 14-16-1 as road underdogs (3-1 LY)- they covered six of last eight games as a non-divisional road dog. Texans lost three of last four road openers (under 4-0); in franchise history, they’re 4-8 vs spread in RO’s. Houston fortified QB Watson’s blindside by trading for LT Tunsil.

Denver @ Oakland (-2.5)— Broncos are opening on road for first time since 2010; they won last seven season openers, but obviously, all those were in Denver. New coach, new QB for Denver, which over last nine years is 4-12 vs spread as an AFC West road underdog. Over last decade, Oakland is 13-18 as a home favorite. Broncos are 7-8 in last 15 road openers, with three of last four going over total. Raiders lost four of last five home openers; since 2003, they’re 4-12 vs spread in HO’s, with four of last five going over. Teams split season series last four years; Raiders lost six of last seven visits here, dropping last three, by 1-6-18 points. This is likely Raiders’ last home opener in Oakland, with Las Vegas move on deck in 2020.

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TNF - Packers at Bears
Kevin Rogers

PRESEASON RECORDS
Green Bay: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 4-0 O/U
Chicago: 1-3 SU, 1-3, 4-0 O/U

The Bears were limited to 15 points or fewer in three exhibition losses, while dropping to 3-6 in the last two preseasons. The Packers won both their home games, but lost both their exhibition contests away from Lambeau Field. Since 2016, Green Bay hasn’t lost a home preseason game by posting an 8-0 record.

2018 REVIEW
Green Bay: 6-9-1 SU, 6-9-1 ATS, 8-8 O/U
Chicago: 12-4 SU, 12-4 ATS, 8-8 O/U

The Packers qualified for the postseason for eight consecutive seasons from 2009-2016, which included a Super Bowl title in 2010 over the Steelers. However, Green Bay has been shut out of the playoffs the last two seasons, while suffering its worst record since Aaron Rodgers’ rookie season of 2008 when the Packers finished 6-10.

Green Bay didn’t win consecutive games once last season, while grabbing only one victory within the NFC North. Five of the Packers’ six wins came against teams owning losing records, as longtime head coach Mike McCarthy was fired following a Week 13 defeat as a 13 ½-point home favorite to Arizona. In spite of the struggles in the win column, quarterback Aaron Rodgers put together one of the best seasons of his career by throwing 25 touchdown passes and only two interceptions, while accumulating 4,442 yards through the air.

The Bears captured their first NFC North title since 2010 as Matt Nagy’s first season as head coach was an absolute success. Although Chicago lost to Philadelphia in the Wild Card round on a missed field goal in the closing seconds, the Bears won their most games since 2006, when they took home the NFC championship. Four of Chicago’s five losses came by three points or fewer, while the Bears covered the spread 11 times in 12 victories.

Mitchell Trubisky rebounded from a rough rookie season to throw for 3,223 yards and 24 touchdowns, but was intercepted 12 times. The acquisition of standout linebacker Khalil Mack from Oakland prior to the season boosted Chicago’s defense, which finished third in the NFL in yards allowed per game (299.7), and tops in the league in rushing defense (80 yards per game).

HOME/ROAD SPLITS
The Bears put together a solid 7-1 SU/ATS regular season record at Soldier Field in 2018 with the lone loss coming to the Patriots in a 38-31 Week 7 setback. Chicago’s defense yielded 17 points or less in five home games, while giving up 16 points in the playoff loss to Philadelphia. This was in stark contrast to the 3-5 home mark in 2017, as the Bears scored 17 points or fewer in regulation six times that season.

It took until the final road game of the season for Green Bay to break through away from Lambeau Field in a Week 16 overtime triumph over the Jets. The Packers had lost their first seven away contests, while covering only once in the road underdog role in a 29-27 defeat to the Rams as 7 ½-point ‘dogs in Week 8.

SERIES HISTORY
The Packers and Bears kick off the season in primetime for the second consecutive season after Green Bay rallied to stun Chicago, 24-23 at Lambeau Field in Week 1. The Bears jumped out to a commanding 17-0 halftime lead, highlighted by a 27-yard interception return for a touchdown by Mack on an errant screen pass by backup quarterback DeShone Kizer.

Rodgers exited the game in the second quarter with a leg injury, but limped back after halftime to lead an epic comeback as Green Bay erased a 20-0 deficit. Rodgers connected on a pair of touchdown passes to Geronimo Allison and Davante Adams early in the fourth quarter, while hitting Randall Cobb on a 75-yard scoring strike in the final minutes to put the Packers in front. In spite of the loss, the Bears grabbed the cover as seven-point underdogs, while the final touchdown pushed the total over 45.

Chicago picked up revenge against Green Bay in Week 15 by clinching the NFC North title in a 24-17 victory to cash as 5 ½-point favorites. Trubisky tossed a pair of touchdowns, including a 13-yard connection to Trey Burton in the fourth quarter to break a 14-14 tie. The win snapped a five-game skid to the Packers dating back to 2016, while Chicago beat Green Bay at home for the first time since 2010.

THURSDAY NIGHT HISTORY
The underdog has won outright in the Thursday night season opener in each of the past three seasons. The Broncos (+3) edged the Panthers, 21-20 in a Super Bowl matchup in 2016, while the Chiefs (+8) chased the Patriots in 2017 at Gillette Stadium in a 42-27 upset. Last season, the Eagles (+1) slipped past the Falcons, 18-12 in a playoff rematch, marking a victory by the home team in the league season opener for the fifth time in the last six seasons.

For the fourth time in five years, the Packers and Bears are meeting for a Thursday night contest and for the first time in this stretch, the game will be played in Chicago. Green Bay won the last two Thursday matchups with Chicago by double-digits, including a 35-14 blowout at Lambeau in 2017.

SEASON OPENERS
The Packers have won four consecutive Week 1 games with the most recent loss coming on a Thursday night at Seattle in 2014. Green Bay started the last two seasons at home as the Pack is playing their first road season opener since 2016 at Jacksonville when they edged the Jaguars, 27-23.

The Bears are looking to snap a five-game skid in season openers with the last Week 1 win occurring in 2013 against the Bengals. Chicago is favored in a season opener for the first time since 2014 when the Bears were tripped up by the Bills in overtime, 23-20 as seven-point chalk.

HANDICAPPER’S CORNER
Expert Joe Nelson checks in with his thoughts on these old rivals hooking up on Thursday, “There isn’t a clear consensus on either of these teams for 2019 with the Packers featuring an unproven head coach in Matt LaFleur and Rodgers battling injuries the past two seasons and last season featuring the lowest touchdown count of his career in a season in which he played in all 16 games. The Packers went just 6-9-1 last season, but six defeats came by a single-score as it isn’t hard to envision a turnaround in 2019 back to contention in the NFC.”

From a primetime standpoint, that advantage belongs to Green Bay’s All-Pro quarterback according to Nelson, “Trubisky has not yet played on a Thursday night game and he has eight interceptions in going 3-2 in night games in his career. Rodgers is 26-22 in prime time contests in his career, going 8-4 on Thursdays with 26 touchdowns and only four interceptions as there is a clear disparity in the experience levels on this stage.”

In the Week 15 matchup at Soldier Field last December, Nelson points out some interesting tidbits from Chicago’s seven-point win, “The box score reveals a few surprises from that most recent meeting with the Packers posting a big edge in rushing per attempt at 4.6 compared to 3.4 for Chicago, while Trubisky and the Bears averaged 3.0 more yards per pass than Rodgers and the Packers. Green Bay had twice as many penalty yards and took five sacks in a game that was led by Joe Philbin as an interim coach.”

LINE MOVEMENT
The Bears opened up as 3 ½-point favorites at the Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas back in April, as Chicago has dropped slightly to three-point chalk. The opening total of 46 has stayed put at the Westgate, which is a half-point lower than the Week 15 game in Chicago last season.

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Bet Now/Bet Later NFL Week 1 odds: Have patience with these primetime lines
Jason Logan

The Steelers are anywhere between +5.5 and +6.5 for their season debut versus the Patriots on Sunday Night Football in Week 1.

Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team, but betting the best number. Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window – or your mobile – to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it’s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.

Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best “Bet Now/Bet Later” games on the NFL board each week.

As for Week 1, this is an unusual slate since the spreads and totals come out when the schedule is announced in the spring. The 2019 NFL Week 1 odds hit the board back in mid-April and have taken action ever since. However, books estimate as much as 95 percent of their total handle (money taken on the games) will come in the three days leading up to kickoff, so there's plenty of time for significant line moves.

SPREAD TO BET NOW: LOS ANGELES CHARGERS -6

When the news broke that Andrew Luck was retiring from football, the Indianapolis Colts went from +3 to as high as +8.5 at some sportsbook for their Week 1 road game against the Los Angeles Chargers. As bettors reacted to that shift, the line eventually settled at Chargers -7 and even dropped to -6 days before the opener.

Honestly, I was surprised the spread on the Bolts dipped under the key number of a touchdown, but sharp money is pushing this in favor of the Colts. If you do like Los Angeles, getting the host under a TD is a gift as I do project the spread climbing in the days before kickoff Sunday.

As public money comes in, those players will be reacting to a Luck-less Indianapolis team on the road. That opinion will add a point or maybe even two to this spread before closing Sunday afternoon. I could see it close Chargers -7.5 or even -8 – a dead number for a strange game to handicap. If you like L.A., bang it now before joe public puffs up this spread.

SPREAD TO BET LATER: PITTSBURGH STEELERS -6

AFC heavyweights collide when the Pittsburgh Steelers take on the New England Patriots on Sunday Night Football. This line opened Patriots -6 and has bounced around a bit, with a few -6.5 spreads popping up and a handful of books dealing -5.5 as well.

While we don’t know how quick Tom Brady will gel with some of his new receivers, we do know the public money is going to be riding New England in this opener – even with Pittsburgh among the most popular teams in the NFL.

Not only will there be plenty of plays on the favorite in this primetime game, but most parlays still alive come Sunday night will be riding on the defending Super Bowl champs. Due to this, those bettors siding with the Steelers may want to wait it out until Sunday night and see if they can get Pittsburgh +6.5 or maybe even +7. This is one of those games for which you should have multiple accounts and the ability to shop around.

TOTAL TO BET NOW: GREEN BAY AT CHICAGO - OVER 46.5

The football-starved masses get their first bite of NFL regular season action when the NFC North takes center stage on Thursday Night Football. The total for Packers at Bears opened at 46 and has ticked a half-point higher to 46.5, with early money on the Over.

I’m expecting more of the same in the hours before kickoff, driving the total upwards and shifting the vig on the Over and Under. If you look back at past NFL season openers, they’ve seen an uptick in Over play on gameday until right before kickoff, capped by last-second Under money from the wiseguys.

If you do like the Over Thursday, now might be the best time to pull the trigger. The Bears offense has gotten a ton of hype this season (Mitch Trubisky for MVP, anyone?) and Aaron Rodgers playing in a new system should get people excited. For me, it's all about the Chicago defense and a Packers stop unit that is building on a solid 2018 effort, but if you're banking on fireworks, bet the Over now.

TOTAL TO BET LATER: HOUSTON AT NEW ORLEANS – UNDER 53.5

Another primetime game with a tempting total is Houston at New Orleans Monday night. This is the highest number on the Week 1 board, and for good reason. The Texans and Saints have a surplus of talents in the passing game and boast two defenses that gave up chunks of yardage through the air last season.

On top of that perception, the Monday Night Football crowd loves to bet “favorite and Over” each week, which means this sky-high total could climb even further. And, much like the Sunday Night Football patterns, once that number goes up, the sharp guys buy back the Under just before kickoff.

If you’re looking to the Under, be warned: tall totals in Week 1 have led to Over results in recent seasons. Totals of 50 or more points in Week 1 have gone 5-2 Over/Under since the 2014 season. That trend makes it even more important to milk that late line movement for every half point you can get.

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Bears-Packers Capsule
September 4, 2019
By The Associated Press

GREEN BAY (6-9-1) at CHICAGO (12-5)

Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

OPENING LINE - Bears by 3 1/2

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Packers 6-9-1; Bears 12-4

SERIES RECORD - Packers lead 97-95-6

LAST MEETING - Bears beat Packers 24-17, Dec. 16, 2018

AP PRO32 RANKING - Packers No. 16, Bears No. 6

PACKERS OFFENSE - OVERALL (12), RUSH (22), PASS (9).

PACKERS DEFENSE - OVERALL (18), RUSH (22), PASS (12).

BEARS OFFENSE - OVERALL (21), RUSH (11), PASS (21).

BEARS DEFENSE - OVERALL (3), RUSH (1), PASS (7).

STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - Packers have won 15 of last 18 regular-season matchups. ... Bears last won consecutive games against Packers in 2007. ... This is third time in five seasons these teams opened season against each other. ... Green Bay last played night game in Chicago in 2010, Bears winning 20-17. ... Bears are 53-49-2 against Packers at home. ... Packers' offense ranked No. 2 in fewest turnovers made last year (15) while Bears' defense was No. 1 in takeaways (36). ... Packers QB Aaron Rodgers is 16-5 against Bears in regular season as starter. Rodgers has lifetime passer rating of 103.7 for 22 games against Bears. He's been at 100 or higher in six of last nine games, including 130.7 in last year's opener. ... Rodgers has third-down passer rating of 107.9, highest in NFL since 1991. ... Packers wide receiver Davante Adams is coming off first season with 100 catches (111), 1,000 yards (1,386). ... In three starts against Green Bay, Bears quarterback Mitchell Trubisky has 96.6 passer rating with three touchdowns, no interceptions (64 of 98, 703 yards). ... In three career games against Green Bay, Bears linebacker Khalil Mack has 4 1/2 sacks, four quarterback hits, interception, forced fumble, fumble recovery, touchdown on interception return. ... Bears running back Tarik Cohen led NFL with 411 punt return yards last year. He has at least one reception in all 32 games he has played. ... Bears safety Eddie Jackson has five defensive TD returns in his first two seasons, tied with Jets' Erik McMillan for most in NFL history over that span. ... Jackson's interception against Packers in last game ended Rodgers' streak of 402 straight passes without being picked, NFL record, and helped lock up NFC North title. ... Cornerback Kyle Fuller tied for most interceptions in NFL last year with seven, most for Chicago since Tim Jennings had nine in 2012. ... Bears were only team to hold lead in second half of every game last season. ... Fantasy tip: Adams has 35 catches for 467 yards and five touchdowns in his last six games against Bears.

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Packers and Bears reverse roles in opener
September 4, 2019
By The Associated Press

CHICAGO (AP) The NFL's oldest rivalry takes on a different look to open the league's 100th season.

It's a role reversal for the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers.

A year after new coach Matt Nagy took quarterback Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears to Lambeau Field to kick off the season, the script flipped, with Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers and new coach Matt LaFleur coming to Soldier Field.

''It was always big Chicago against little Green Bay,'' Rodgers said. ''We've held our own over the years and it's always been a great rivalry.

''It's one of the special ones in the history of professional sports.''

In Rodgers' experience the Packers trust, even using a new offense for the first time since he became starter in 2008.

''He's been there before, he's got a lot of game reps,'' LaFleur said of Rodgers. ''The one thing you can always find comfort in is that you know the moment won't be too big for him. He's played in a lot of big games.''

Rodgers has been a particular problem for the Bears, beating them in 16 of 21 starts. Last year Rodgers shook off a 20-point deficit in the second-half and a knee injury to lead a 24-23 win over Khalil Mack and the Bears.

Chicago returned the favor in December and ended Green Bay's five-game series winning streak to clinch the NFC North title en route to a 12-4 record.

Now it's a matter for Rodgers of using an offense emphasizing more running and deception while facing the NFL's top defense at intercepting passes (27).

''It's so new, it's so different than what we've done in the past,'' Rodgers said.

The Packers ran less than any team in the NFL last year, and look to get running back Aaron Jones more carries.

''Now we're throwing new things at them with personnel groupings and motions and alignments and movement and adjustments that they haven't seen from us,'' Rodgers said.

The Bears have revealed nothing offensively after sitting starters in the preseason, including Trubisky.

''He's mentally grown, he really has,'' Nagy said. ''That's what we look for, and now we have to do it on the field.''

The defense also sat out preseason, but inactivity failed to slow Mack in last year's opener. With no training camp and only five practices after his trade from Oakland, Mack decimated Green Bay's offense with a strip sack, fumble recovery, and a touchdown return after an interception.

He's aching to face Green Bay again as the Bears seek their first season-opening win since 2013.

''Oh man, I'm so ready to hit somebody other than my teammate,'' Mack said. ''You know what I mean?''

SAFETY SWITCH

The Packers will start free agent safety acquisition Adrian Amos, the former Bears safety, while his Bears replacement is former Packers safety Ha Ha Clinton-Dix.

Clinton-Dix was traded by the Packers to Washington last year before signing for one year with the Bears.

''He's come in and he's been a great pro,'' Bears defensive coordinator Chuck Pagano said. ''All we ask these guys to do every single day - it doesn't matter if they were here before or they're new coming in - is what coach Nagy's expectation was. You come in and earn your way. Every single day he's done it.''

Amos is one of eight Packers starters on defense who are different than in last year's opener.

CHESS MATCH

Elements of surprise are at work in this matchup.

The Bears had to watch tape on Tennessee from 2018 to determine how LaFleur's offense operates. He was Titans offensive coordinator last year. Pagano, the former Colts coach and Ravens assistant, has altered the Bears' defensive look somewhat.

''I'm sure they're studying all the tape, just like we're going back and looking at Chuck from all the way back to Baltimore,'' LaFleur said. ''So yeah, again, it just goes back to having plays that start off looking the same that are different to try and keep them off a little bit.''

CHICAGO GUY

Rodgers disagreed with the notion he has a hatred for Chicago.

''I have a lot of respect for the city of Chicago and their fans,'' Rodgers said. ''I grew up a fan of Michael Jordan and one of the channels we had on our 10-channel TV was WGN. So we got the Cubs games, as well.''

100 YEARS

Trubisky expressed how little the NFL hype machine about 100 seasons means to players.

''It really doesn't matter, all the hoopla, kicking off the NFL season, the 100th season,'' Trubisky said. ''If we get caught up in the moment and you let your adrenaline take over and you don't do what the team needs you to do, then I think you could do things that are out of character and put your team in a bad spot.''

INJURY CONCERNS

The availability of Bears tight end Trey Burton will be a game-time decision due to a groin injury suffered last week. A groin injury also kept him out of last season's playoff loss to Philadelphia.

The Packers likely will start rookie Ty Summers at inside linebacker due to a torn pectoral muscle to starter Oren Burks and a knee injury to backup Curtis Bolton.

[StarDust Bum]

TNF - Packers at Bears
September 1, 2019
By Kevin Rogers

PRESEASON RECORDS

Green Bay: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 4-0 O/U
Chicago: 1-3 SU, 1-3, 4-0 O/U

The Bears were limited to 15 points or fewer in three exhibition losses, while dropping to 3-6 in the last two preseasons. The Packers won both their home games, but lost both their exhibition contests away from Lambeau Field. Since 2016, Green Bay hasn’t lost a home preseason game by posting an 8-0 record.

2018 REVIEW

Green Bay: 6-9-1 SU, 6-9-1 ATS, 8-8 O/U

Chicago: 12-4 SU, 12-4 ATS, 8-8 O/U

The Packers qualified for the postseason for eight consecutive seasons from 2009-2016, which included a Super Bowl title in 2010 over the Steelers. However, Green Bay has been shut out of the playoffs the last two seasons, while suffering its worst record since Aaron Rodgers’ rookie season of 2008 when the Packers finished 6-10.

Green Bay didn’t win consecutive games once last season, while grabbing only one victory within the NFC North. Five of the Packers’ six wins came against teams owning losing records, as longtime head coach Mike McCarthy was fired following a Week 13 defeat as a 13 ½-point home favorite to Arizona. In spite of the struggles in the win column, quarterback Aaron Rodgers put together one of the best seasons of his career by throwing 25 touchdown passes and only two interceptions, while accumulating 4,442 yards through the air.

The Bears captured their first NFC North title since 2010 as Matt Nagy’s first season as head coach was an absolute success. Although Chicago lost to Philadelphia in the Wild Card round on a missed field goal in the closing seconds, the Bears won their most games since 2006, when they took home the NFC championship. Four of Chicago’s five losses came by three points or fewer, while the Bears covered the spread 11 times in 12 victories.

Mitchell Trubisky rebounded from a rough rookie season to throw for 3,223 yards and 24 touchdowns, but was intercepted 12 times. The acquisition of standout linebacker Khalil Mack from Oakland prior to the season boosted Chicago’s defense, which finished third in the NFL in yards allowed per game (299.7), and tops in the league in rushing defense (80 yards per game).

HOME/ROAD SPLITS

The Bears put together a solid 7-1 SU/ATS regular season record at Soldier Field in 2018 with the lone loss coming to the Patriots in a 38-31 Week 7 setback. Chicago’s defense yielded 17 points or less in five home games, while giving up 16 points in the playoff loss to Philadelphia. This was in stark contrast to the 3-5 home mark in 2017, as the Bears scored 17 points or fewer in regulation six times that season.

It took until the final road game of the season for Green Bay to break through away from Lambeau Field in a Week 16 overtime triumph over the Jets. The Packers had lost their first seven away contests, while covering only once in the road underdog role in a 29-27 defeat to the Rams as 7 ½-point ‘dogs in Week 8.

SERIES HISTORY

The Packers and Bears kick off the season in primetime for the second consecutive season after Green Bay rallied to stun Chicago, 24-23 at Lambeau Field in Week 1. The Bears jumped out to a commanding 17-0 halftime lead, highlighted by a 27-yard interception return for a touchdown by Mack on an errant screen pass by backup quarterback DeShone Kizer.

Rodgers exited the game in the second quarter with a leg injury, but limped back after halftime to lead an epic comeback as Green Bay erased a 20-0 deficit. Rodgers connected on a pair of touchdown passes to Geronimo Allison and Davante Adams early in the fourth quarter, while hitting Randall Cobb on a 75-yard scoring strike in the final minutes to put the Packers in front. In spite of the loss, the Bears grabbed the cover as seven-point underdogs, while the final touchdown pushed the total over 45.

Chicago picked up revenge against Green Bay in Week 15 by clinching the NFC North title in a 24-17 victory to cash as 5 ½-point favorites. Trubisky tossed a pair of touchdowns, including a 13-yard connection to Trey Burton in the fourth quarter to break a 14-14 tie. The win snapped a five-game skid to the Packers dating back to 2016, while Chicago beat Green Bay at home for the first time since 2010.

THURSDAY NIGHT HISTORY

The underdog has won outright in the Thursday night season opener in each of the past three seasons. The Broncos (+3) edged the Panthers, 21-20 in a Super Bowl matchup in 2016, while the Chiefs (+8) chased the Patriots in 2017 at Gillette Stadium in a 42-27 upset. Last season, the Eagles (+1) slipped past the Falcons, 18-12 in a playoff rematch, marking a victory by the home team in the league season opener for the fifth time in the last six seasons.

For the fourth time in five years, the Packers and Bears are meeting for a Thursday night contest and for the first time in this stretch, the game will be played in Chicago. Green Bay won the last two Thursday matchups with Chicago by double-digits, including a 35-14 blowout at Lambeau in 2017.

SEASON OPENERS

The Packers have won four consecutive Week 1 games with the most recent loss coming on a Thursday night at Seattle in 2014. Green Bay started the last two seasons at home as the Pack is playing their first road season opener since 2016 at Jacksonville when they edged the Jaguars, 27-23.

The Bears are looking to snap a five-game skid in season openers with the last Week 1 win occurring in 2013 against the Bengals. Chicago is favored in a season opener for the first time since 2014 when the Bears were tripped up by the Bills in overtime, 23-20 as seven-point chalk.

HANDICAPPER’S CORNER

VegasInsider.com expert Joe Nelson checks in with his thoughts on these old rivals hooking up on Thursday, “There isn’t a clear consensus on either of these teams for 2019 with the Packers featuring an unproven head coach in Matt LaFleur and Rodgers battling injuries the past two seasons and last season featuring the lowest touchdown count of his career in a season in which he played in all 16 games. The Packers went just 6-9-1 last season, but six defeats came by a single-score as it isn’t hard to envision a turnaround in 2019 back to contention in the NFC.”

From a primetime standpoint, that advantage belongs to Green Bay’s All-Pro quarterback according to Nelson, “Trubisky has not yet played on a Thursday night game and he has eight interceptions in going 3-2 in night games in his career. Rodgers is 26-22 in prime time contests in his career, going 8-4 on Thursdays with 26 touchdowns and only four interceptions as there is a clear disparity in the experience levels on this stage.”

In the Week 15 matchup at Soldier Field last December, Nelson points out some interesting tidbits from Chicago’s seven-point win, “The box score reveals a few surprises from that most recent meeting with the Packers posting a big edge in rushing per attempt at 4.6 compared to 3.4 for Chicago, while Trubisky and the Bears averaged 3.0 more yards per pass than Rodgers and the Packers. Green Bay had twice as many penalty yards and took five sacks in a game that was led by Joe Philbin as an interim coach.”

PLAYER PROPS - According to Westgate Superbook

Total Gross Passing Yards - Aaron Rodgers (GB)
Over 267 ½ (-110)
Under 267 ½ (-110)

Total Touchdown Passes - Aaron Rodgers (GB)
Over 1 ½ (-110)
Under 1 ½ (-110)

Total Receiving Yards - Devante Adams (GB)
Over 81 ½ (-110)
Under 81 ½ (-110)

Total Completions - Mitchell Trubisky (CHI)
Over 21 ½ (-110)
Under 21 ½ (-110)

Total Touchdown Passes - Mitchell Trubisky (CHI)
Over 1 ½ (-110)
Under 1 ½ (-110)

LINE MOVEMENT
The Bears opened up as 3 ½-point favorites at the Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas back in April, as Chicago has dropped slightly to three-point chalk. The opening total of 46 has stayed put at the Westgate, which is a half-point lower than the Week 15 game in Chicago last season.

[StarDust Bum]

GREEN BAY VS. CHICAGO MATCH UP:

451GREEN BAY -452 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

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NFL
Dunkel

Week 1

Thursday, September 5

Green Bay @ Chicago

Game 451-452
September 5, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
135.600
Chicago
135.249
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
Even
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 3
46
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(+3); Over


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NFL
Long Sheet

Week 1

Thursday, September 5

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GREEN BAY (6 - 9 - 1) at CHICAGO (12 - 5) - 9/5/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 192-139 ATS (+39.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CHICAGO is 54-79 ATS (-32.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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NFL

Week 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Thursday, September 5

Chicago Bears

Chicago is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Chicago is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
Chicago is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Chicago is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Green Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Green Bay's last 10 games
Green Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Green Bay is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Green Bay's last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games on the road
Green Bay is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Green Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago


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NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 1

Green Bay @ Chicago (-4)— Packers won 15 of last 18 series games; they’re 8-1 in last nine trips here, losing 24-17 in Week 15 LY. Chicago was 6-0 as a home favorite LY, after being 11-21 from 2010-17; last three years, Bears are 7-1-1 vs spread in NFC Central home games. Last two years, Green Bay is 4-10-1 vs spread as a single digit underdog, 4-6-1 as a road dog. Over last decade, favorites are 16-9 vs spread in Packers’ NFC Central road games. Green Bay won last four season openers, but lost five of last seven road openers; over is 11-2 in their last 13 RO’s. Chicago started 0-1 the last five years; they lost four of last five home openers (under 3-1-1).


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Tech Trends - Week 1
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Sept. 5

GREEN BAY at CHICAGO (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
LaFleur Pack debut! Teams have split last 8 games since 2015. Pack only 5-010-1 as dog past two years (much of that minus Rodgers, however. Nagy 7-1 vs. line at home in reg season LY’s debut, Bears also 9-3 as chalk in 2018. Chicago closed 2018 “under” 7 in a row.
Tech Edge: Bears and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 5
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

GB at CHI 08:20 PM

CHI -3.5

U 46.0