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The Bum's NBA Playoffs Previews and Best Bets !

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  • #76
    NBA Odds: LA Lakers at New Orleans Hornets

    Order appears to have been restored in the playoff series between the Los Angeles Lakers and New Orleans Hornets whose stunning Game 1 victory is but a distant memory now.

    Kobe Bryant scored 30 points and Pau Gasol netted seven of his 17 in the final quarter to help the Lakers pull away for a 100-86 Game 3 win Friday night at New Orleans Arena. The triumph gave Los Angeles a 2-1 lead in the series that resumes Sunday evening in the Crescent City.

    TNT will begin its broadcast at 6:30 p.m. (PT), the second game on its Easter lineup following Game 4 of the Magic, Hawks series from Atlanta.

    Bryant scored 10 of his 30 in the first quarter, his first bucket negating New Orleans' only lead of the game a little more than two minutes into the contest. Los Angeles was in control from that point on to easily cover the five-point spread.

    Kobe's final two points with about 1:30 left in the fourth gave the Lakers their largest lead at 100-82 and also sent 'over' 181½ backers to the pay station. Bryant's effort marked the 80th time in his career he has scored at least 30 in a postseason game.

    Gasol finished with 10 rebounds to go with his 17 points with Andrew Bynum also registering a double-double (14 points, 11 rebounds). Nine of the duo's 21 boards came on the offensive end of the court.

    Carl Landry led the Hornets with 23 points while Chris Paul added 22. The pair hit 15-of-25 from the field but got little help from the rest of their teammates who converted on just 18-of-47 attempts (38.2 percent).

    Los Angeles' first cover in the series was triggered by Gasol's effort after the 7-foot Spaniard was all but absent from the first two games of the series. He had 16 points combined in Games 1 and 2 on 4-of-19 shooting and totaled just 11 rebounds in those contests.

    "It was a much better game on my part," Gasol noted after the win, making the understatement of the evening.

    The final was the second 'over' of the series following the Hornets' big Game 1 upset, 109-100 as 11-point dogs. Los Angeles' 87-79 Game 2 win as 11½-point chalk fell short of the 185½-point closing number.

    With Gasol's game back on track and having the large cushion, Lakers coach Phil Jackson had the luxury of resting Bynum much of the final quarter. The sixth-year center continues to be troubled by his injured right knee but is expected to start and play in Sunday's matchup.

    New Orleans came out of the game healthy but facing a must-win at home in Game 4. The lack of scoring off his bench and the Lakers' dominance on the glass all three games have Hornets coach Monty Williams searching for answers as his club tries to even the series before heading back to LA.

    After taking Monday off, the teams pick up the action in Game 5 at Los Angeles' Staples Center on Tuesday. TNT has that broadcast beginning at 7:30 p.m. (PT).
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #77
      Sunday's Playoff Tips

      April 24, 2011


      They don’t serve beer on Sundays in Atlanta, but the bank stays open late on Friday nights at Philips Arena. At least that was the case in Game 3 when Jamal Crawford banked home a 3-pointer with 5.7 seconds remaining to lift the Hawks to an 88-84 win over Orlando.

      Crawford has been the catalyst for Atlanta, which will try to take a 3-1 series lead when these teams collide Sunday. The Michigan product is averaging 23.7 points per game in this first-round series against the Magic, who came up short as a 1 ½-point road ‘chalk’ in Game 3.

      The Hawks have now won five of seven head-to-head meetings against Orlando this season. The ‘under’ is 6-1 in those seven encounters.

      Larry Drew’s team led for nearly the entire game until the Magic made a strong run in the fourth quarter. There were four lead changes in the last two minutes, the last of which came when Hawks’ All-Star Al Horford buried a clutch jumper with 46 ticks left.

      With 2:22 remaining, Atlanta reserve center Zaza Pachulia and Orlando starting guard Jason Richardson got into an altercation after Pachulia and Dwight Howard got tangled up. Richardson and Pachulia have both been suspended for Game 4.

      Does either team have a decided advantage with these players unavailable? I don’t think it’s a huge edge by any means, but this space feels like the Magic will benefit.

      Pachulia and Jason Collins are the primary defenders on Dwight Howard so when Collins inevitably gets into foul trouble Sunday, the Hawks are going to have issues. This will likely mean more playing time for Josh Powell and Hilton Armstrong.

      Although Richardson is a starter and a key piece for Stan Van Gundy’s team, the head coach probably wants to get veteran sharpshooter Quentin Richardson more minutes anyway. Richardson drained all three of his 3-point attempts in Game 3.

      With Q-Richardson and J.J. Redick available, it says here that the Magic will be ok. But without Pachulia, Horford might have to defend Howard and that could result in foul trouble for him. Plus, Zaza has played well in this series and his toughness and grit will be missed by the Hawks.

      For Game 4, most betting shops have installed Orlando (53-32 straight up, 35-49-1 against the spread) as a two-point favorite with a 179-point total. The Hawks are plus-110 on the money line (risk $100 to win $110).

      The ‘under’ has been a lucrative investment in Atlanta (46-39 SU, 40-45 ATS) games, cashing at a 50-35 overall clip. The Hawks have seen the ‘under’ go 25-17 in their home games.

      As for Orlando, it has watched the ‘under’ go 48-35-2 overall, 21-20-1 in its road assignments.

      Tip-off for Sunday’s Game 4 is slated for 7:05 p.m. Eastern on TNT.

      The late-night option for bettors will be Game 4 of the Lakers-Hornets in the Big Easy. Most books are listing Los Angeles (59-26 SU, 40-44-1 ATS) as a 5 ½-point favorite with a total of 183. Monty Williams’s team is plus-210 on the money line (risk $100 to win $210).

      Phil Jackson’s club took a 2-1 series lead by winning a 100-86 decision Friday at New Orleans Arena. The Lakers hooked up their backers as five-point road ‘chalk.’

      Kobe Bryant led the way with a game-high 30 points. Perhaps most importantly, Pau Gasol snapped out of a personal slump to post a double-double with 17 points and 10 rebounds. Andrew Bynum added 14 points and 11 boards.

      Chris Paul produced 22 points and eight assists while making 9-of-13 shots from the field. However, the Hornets connected on just 2-of-13 shots from beyond the arc. Carl Landry played his best game of the series, scoring a team-high 23 points.

      Paul will be dealing with an injury to his left thumb that he sustained on a hard foul from Bynum in Game 3. He practiced Saturday with his entire non-shooting hand wrapped.

      Game 4 will be on TNT at 9:35 p.m. Eastern.

      **B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

      --Portland pulled even with Dallas by rallying from 23 points down to capture an 84-82 win in Saturday’s Game 4 at the Rose Garden. Nevertheless, the Mavericks hooked up their backers as 3 ½-point underdogs, although those going the money-line route were left heartbroken and unable to collect a plus-160 payout. Brandon Roy was the catalyst with 24 points and five assists.

      --The Mavs now own a 16-6 spread record in 22 games as road underdogs this year.

      --Sunday’s action gets started at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, where the 76ers will try to avoid a sweep against the Heat. As of Saturday night, most books were listing Miami as a six-point favorite with a total of 188. Philadelphia is plus-190 on the money line. ABC will provide television coverage at 1:00 p.m. Eastern.

      --The Knicks will also look to avoid broom treatment when they host Boston in Game 4 at Madison Square Garden. The Celtics have been installed as 3 ½-point favorites at most spots. The total is 195 and New York is plus-130 to win outright. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. Eastern on ABC.

      --Van Gundy gave Gilbert Arenas a DNP-coach’s decision in Game 3. Ouch! But I can’t say I blame the Orlando head coach.

      --Indiana covered the spread for the fourth consecutive time in its first-round series with Chicago, taking an 89-84 triumph as a 4 ½-point underdog in Game 4 at Conseco Fieldhouse. This time around, the Pacers won outright and avoided the sweep, hooking up money-line supporters with a plus-175 return (paid $175 on $100 wagers).
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #78
        Playoff Results - First Round

        April 24, 2011

        First Round Results

        Favorites are 18-6 straight up
        Underdogs are 16-8 against the spread
        The 'under' stands at 14-10
        Home teams are 16-8 straight up

        Visitor Home Final Score ATS OVER/UNDER

        Saturday Apr. 16
        Indiana Chicago (-12.5) 104-99 UNDERDOG OVER 189
        Philadelphia Miami (-10.5) 97-89 UNDERDOG UNDER 190
        Atlanta (+9) Orlando 103-93 UNDERDOG OVER 181
        Portland Dallas (-5) 89-81 FAVORITE UNDER 186

        Sunday, Apr. 17
        Memphis (+6.5) San Antonio 101-98 UNDERDOG OVER 195.5
        New Orleans (+11) L.A. Lakers 109-100 UNDERDOG OVER 184.5
        New York Boston (-6) 87-85 UNDERDOG UNDER 197.5
        Denver Oklahoma City (-6) 107-103 UNDERDOG OVER 206

        Monday, Apr. 18
        Philadelphia Miami (-9) 94-73 FAVORITE UNDER 190
        Indiana Chicago (-11) 96-90 UNDERDOG UNDER 192

        Tuesday, Apr. 19
        New York Boston (-6.5) 96-93 UNDERDOG UNDER 192.5
        Atlanta Orlando (-9.5) 88-82 UNDERDOG UNDER 182.5
        Portland Dallas (-4) 101-89 FAVORITE OVER 184.5

        Wednesday, Apr. 20
        Denver Oklahoma City (-4.5) 106-89 FAVORITE UNDER 206.5
        Memphis San Antonio (-8) 93-87 UNDERDOG UNDER 193.5
        New Orleans L.A. Lakers (-11.5) 87-79 UNDERDOG UNDER 185.5

        Thursday, Apr. 21
        Chicago (-3.5) Indiana 88-84 FAVORITE UNDER 189.5
        Miami (-4.5) Philadelphia 100-94 FAVORITE OVER 185
        Dallas Portland (-5.5) 97-92 UNDERDOG OVER 187.5

        Friday, Apr. 22
        Boston (+3) New York 113-96 UNDERDOG OVER 191
        Orlando Atlanta (+1.5) 88-84 UNDERDOG UNDER 180
        L.A. Lakers (-5) New Orleans 100-86 FAVORITE OVER 180

        Saturday, Apr. 23
        Chicago Indiana (+4.5) 89-84 UNDERDOG UNDER 190
        Dallas Portland (-4) 84-82 UNDERDOG UNDER 187
        San Antonio Memphis (-2) 91-88 FAVORITE UNDER 191
        Oklahoma City (+5) Denver 97-94 UNDERDOG UNDER 208

        Sunday, Apr. 24
        Miami Philadelphia
        Boston New York
        Orlando Atlanta
        L.A. Lakers New Orleans

        Monday, Apr. 25
        San Antonio Memphis
        Portland Dallas
        Oklahoma City Denver

        Tuesday, Apr. 26
        Indiana Chicago
        New York Boston
        Atlanta Orlando
        New Orleans L.A. Lakers

        Wednesday, Apr. 27
        Philadelphia Miami
        Memphis San Antonio
        Denver Oklahoma City

        Thursday, Apr. 28
        Chicago Indiana
        Orlando Atlanta
        L.A. Lakers New Orleans
        Dallas Portland

        Friday, Apr. 29
        Miami Philadelphia
        Boston New York
        San Antonio Memphis
        Oklahoma City Denver

        Saturday, Apr. 30
        Indiana Chicago
        Atlanta Orlando
        New Orleans L.A. Lakers
        Portland Dallas

        Sunday, May 1
        Philadelphia Miami
        New York Boston
        Memphis San Antonio
        Denver Oklahoma City




        Winners in BOLD
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #79
          Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
          04/23/11 6-*2-*0 75.00% +*1900 Detail
          04/22/11 2-*4-*0 33.33% -*1200 Detail
          04/21/11 4-*1-*1 80.00% +*1450 Detail
          04/20/11 4-*2-*0 66.67% +*900 Detail
          04/19/11 2-*4-*0 33.33% -*1200 Detail
          04/18/11 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
          04/17/11 4-*4-*0 50.00% -*200 Detail
          04/16/11 2-*6-*0 25.00% -*2300 Detail
          Totals 26-*25-*1 50.98% -*750

          Sunday, April 24

          Game Score Status Pick Amount

          Miami - 1:00 PM ET Philadelphia +6 500
          Philadelphia - Over 188.5 500

          Boston - 3:30 PM ET Boston -3.5 500
          New York - Over 195 500

          Orlando - 7:00 PM ET Atlanta +2 500
          Atlanta - Over 178.5 500

          L.A. Lakers - 9:30 PM ET New Orleans +5.5 500
          New Orleans - Under 182.5 500
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #80
            good luck, Bum! looks good!

            Comment


            • #81
              Mavericks host Blazers in Monday's Game 5


              PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS

              at DALLAS MAVERICKS


              Western Conference Playoffs – First Round
              Game 5 – Series tied 2-2
              Tip-off: Monday, 8:35 p.m. EDT
              Line: Dallas -5, Total: 183.5

              The Blazers-Mavericks series shifts back to Dallas for Monday’s Game 5, following an incredible Portland comeback in Saturday’s Game 4 when it erased a 23-point, second-half deficit to even the series at two games apiece.

              A lot was made of Dallas’s 2-0 lead, and not all of it good for the Mavs. The last time they had a 2-0 series lead was in the 2006 NBA Finals, when they also led by 13 points in the fourth quarter of Game 3. But they blew that lead, and then proceeded to blow the entire series by dropping the final three contests to the Heat to lose the series in six games. Since that series, Dallas has gone 2-15 SU and 5-11-1 ATS on the road in the postseason.

              But now the Mavericks are home, where they are 31-12 SU this season, including five straight victories. The last two were pretty comfortable wins, as they beat Portland by a combined 20 points in Games 1 and 2. Dirk Nowitzki is averaging 26.5 PPG in the series, making 4-of-7 three pointers, but his two-point accuracy has been brutal (39.7%, 29-of-73). Luckily his other teammates are shooting 47% FG in this series and Dallas’ three-point shooting is a stellar 43%. Jason Kidd (14.8 PPG, 55% FG, 48% 3-pt FG) has been uncharacteristically hot, while both Jason Terry (15.5 PPG) and Peja Stojakovic (10.5 PPG) are also in double-figure scoring for Dallas.

              The Blazers have six players averaging at least nine points per game in the series, led by LaMarcus Aldridge (22.3 PPG, 6.5 RPG) and Andre Miller (16.5 PPG, 5.5 APG). But it has been Brandon Roy’s heroics that have tied the series up. He has scored 40 points (15-of-28 FG) with nine assists in the past two wins in just 48 total minutes of action. Roy netted 18 points in the fourth quarter of the Game 4 comeback win, including a go-ahead bank shot with less than 40 seconds remaining.

              Despite the two straight losses by Dallas, the Mavericks covered the spread in each game, and have now won eight straight ATS, dating back to the regular season. Meanwhile, the Blazers have dropped five straight ATS and are just 18-21 ATS on the road this season, including 9-13 ATS (41%) as a road underdog. I expect Dallas to bounce back with another convincing home win, which is supported by these two FoxSheets trends:

              Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more three-point shots. (75-40 since 1996.) (65.2%, +31 units. Rating = 2*).

              DALLAS is 16-5 ATS (76.2%, +10.5 Units) versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game on the season this season. The average score was DALLAS 101.6, OPPONENT 95.0 - (Rating = 2*).

              This highly-rated FoxSheets trend foresees a bit of a defensive struggle finishing Under the total.

              Play Under - Home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game. (30-8 since 1996.) (78.9%, +21.2 units. Rating = 3*).
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #82
                Nuggets try to avoid Thunder sweep on Monday


                OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER

                at DENVER NUGGETS


                Western Conference Playoffs – First Round
                Game 4 – Oklahoma City leads series 3-0
                Tip-off: Monday, 10:35 p.m. EDT
                Line: Denver -3, Total: 205.5

                The Thunder will try to beat the Nuggets for the sixth time in less than three weeks when the teams meet Monday night in Denver for Game 4. Oklahoma City will try for the sweep which will hand Denver a first-round series defeat for the seventh time in the past eight years.

                Despite shooting just 43% from the floor, Oklahoma City has averaged 103.3 PPG in the series. The offense has been led, per usual, by the duo of Kevin Durant (30.0 PPG, 46% FG in series) and Russell Westbrook (25.0 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 7.3 APG in series). Serge Ibaka has also been a beast, averaging a double-double with 12.3 PPG and 11.0 RPG in the three games. Ibaka had 22 points, 16 rebounds and four blocks in Saturday’s win. All three of these players are looking to advance past the first round of the playoffs for the first times in their careers, and also to give the franchise its first series win since moving from Seattle.

                Denver has not shot the ball well from anywhere on the court in this series with 42.4% FG, 30.9% 3-pt FG and 68.7% FT. Six players are in double figures, but only two of those players are making more than 40% of their FG attempts. Nene Hilario has been Denver’s best player with team highs in scoring (17.7 PPG), rebounding (9.0 RPG) and shooting (55.2% FG).

                Despite the way the series has gone so far, the Nuggets are due for a big night. They are 20-15 ATS following an ATS loss and are 27-19 ATS (59%) with one day’s rest. My pick is Denver, which is supported by these two FoxSheets trends.

                Play Against - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. (64-39 since 1996.) (62.1%, +21.1 units. Rating = 1*).

                Play On - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. (46-23 since 1996.) (66.7%, +20.7 units. Rating = 1*).

                Five of the past six meetings between these teams have finished Under the total, and this four-star FoxSheets trend also likes the Under for Monday’s matchup.

                DENVER is 21-5 UNDER (80.8%, +15.5 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season. The average score was DENVER 102.1, OPPONENT 96.4 - (Rating = 4*).
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #83
                  Grizzlies try to take 3-1 series lead over Spurs


                  SAN ANTONIO SPURS

                  at MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES


                  Western Conference Playoffs – First Round
                  Game 4 – Memphis leads series 2-1
                  Tip-off: Monday, 8:35 p.m. EDT
                  Line: San Antonio -1.5, Total: 188.5

                  The Memphis Grizzlies have gone from never winning a playoff game to leading 2-1 in the series with the NBA’s best San Antonio Spurs.

                  The Spurs looked dominant for most of the year and wound up with the best record in the NBA. The problem is that as of late, San Antonio can’t stay healthy. Manu Ginobili (17.4 PPG) still has a lingering right elbow injury and Antonio McDyess (5.3 PPG, 5.4 RPG) hurt his neck in Saturday’s 91-88 loss but will try to play on Monday. The Spurs need their point guard Tony Parker (17.5 PPG) to play better after only scoring 28 points combined the past two games and shooting 39% from the field. Tim Duncan (13.4 PPG, 8.7 RPG) may be getting old, but he definitely knows what to do when playoff time comes around. Duncan is averaging a double-double (15.0 PPG 11.3 RPG) in the series and will have to lead his team down the stretch.

                  The Grizzlies came into the series with the Spurs with zero all-time playoff wins. Memphis ended that quickly by winning a thrilling Game 1, 101-98. Six days later the Grizz won their first home playoff game, beating San Antonio 91-88 on Saturday. In Saturday’s win, Zach Randolph (20.3 PPG) had 25 points and hit a clinching three-pointer with 41.9 seconds on the clock. Marc Gasol (11.7 PPG, 7.0 RPG) has been playing better than brother Pau in the series, averaging 17.6 PPG and 11.6 RPG. If Memphis can win Game 4 at home and go up 3-1, it will put the pressure on a Spurs team that already knows they are “supposed” to win. The Grizzlies are trying to become only the fourth No. 8 seed to knock off a No. 1 seed.

                  San Antonio has been good on the road this year going 26-15 ATS, but as a favorite are only 33-30 ATS. The Spurs have lost eight straight games against the spread to Memphis and are 4-9 ATS the last three years in the first round of the playoffs. The Grizzlies, on the other hand, love being the underdog in which they are 28-11 ATS. Memphis also has dominated teams in its division (15-4 ATS) and is 31-14 ATS against teams with a winning record. The Grizzlies also wouldn’t mind a shootout where they are 31-14 ATS against teams that score 99.0 PPG or more. I believe the Spurs are the better team, but with momentum and a home crowd at their side, I like Memphis to win in an extremely back-and-forth, close game. The FoxSheets many trends supporting the Grizzlies including these two highly-rated ones:

                  MEMPHIS is 13-2 ATS (86.7%, +10.8 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) this season. The average score was MEMPHIS 98.1, OPPONENT 99.5 - (Rating = 3*).

                  Play Against - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a close loss vs. opponent of 3 points or less, off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival. (24-5 since 1996.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 3*).

                  This four-star FoxSheets trend supports the Over on Monday night.

                  Play Over - Home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (MEMPHIS) - off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. (35-8 since 1996.) (81.4%, +26.2 units. Rating = 4*).
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #84
                    NBA Odds: Thunder up 3-0 at Denver Nuggets

                    The Oklahoma City Thunder look for a surprising 4-0 sweep of the Denver Nuggets when they meet Monday night in the Mile High City. That wasn’t supposed to happen with a four-seed meeting a five.

                    The Don Best odds screen has Denver as 3 ½-point favorites with a total of 206 points as it tries to stave off elimination. TNT will have the coverage from the Pepsi Center beginning at 7:30 p.m. (PT).

                    This series was billed as a battle of Oklahoma City’s star power versus Denver’s depth. The stars have carried the day for Oklahoma City, with role players stepping up big as well.

                    The Thunder (58-27 straight-up, 45-39-1 against the spread) took the first two games at home. The first was a 107-103 win as six-point favorites, getting fortunate on a late Kendrick Perkins tip-in that should have been offensive goaltending. The dynamic duo of Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook scored 41 and 31 points respectively.

                    The Perkins call may have affected Denver in Game 2, a 106-89 no-show as 4 ½-point ‘dogs which was never in single digits after the first quarter. Durant and Westbrook combined for 44 points, but it was a more balanced effort with power forward Serge Ibaka adding 12 and James Harden 18 off the bench.

                    The series moved to Mile High for Game 3 on Saturday. There’s an old expression that a playoff series doesn’t start until the road team wins a game and Oklahoma City did just that, 97-94 as five-point underdogs.

                    Ibaka built on his Game 2 momentum with 22 points and 16 rebounds. Durant and Westbrook combined for 49 points, but it showed how tough this team is to beat with a third scorer.

                    The 191 combined points scored went ‘under’ the 208 point total. The ‘under’ is 2-0 in the last two after going ‘over’ in the opener. The ‘under’ is 5-1 in the last six meetings between the teams overall.

                    The Nuggets (50-35 SU, 45-36-4 ATS) are on the verge of losing in the first round of the playoffs for the seventh time in eight years. They did have a nice run to the conference finals two years ago before losing to eventual champion L.A. Lakers.

                    Denver’s big change this year was the Carmelo Anthony and Chauncey Billups trade to the Knicks for Raymond Felton, Danilo Gallinari and Wilson Chandler. The team did great down the stretch post-trade (18-7 SU, 20-4-1 ATS), but there were questions about team makeup for the postseason.

                    Denver has five players scoring in double-digits this series, but Nene is the leader at just 17.7 PPG and he’s the only one over 12.7 PPG. That doesn’t include guard Arron Afflalo, who scored 13 points in Game 3 after missing the first two with a hamstring injury.

                    Scoring depth is great during the regular season, but the playoffs are often about winning games in the fourth quarter. Anthony has his faults as a player, but he was a clutch scorer. Games 1 and 3 of this series may have gone the other way with Anthony still aboard.

                    George Karl’s squad needs to muster some pride for Monday and he’s certainly not the type of coach who quits. The Thunder do seem to be in the Nuggets’ head, winning five straight and six of seven this year (5-2 ATS).

                    Denver is 11-2 SU at home since the Anthony trade, but both losses were to Oklahoma City.

                    The Nuggets will need to rebound the ball better in Game 4. They’ve been out-rebounded every game. Their 95.3 scoring average and 42.4 field goal percentage are both way below season averages (107.5 PPG, 47.6 percent shooting).

                    Neither team is reporting any significant injuries. Game 5 of the series will go back to the Midwest on Wednesday if necessary.
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #85
                      Underdogs Thriving

                      April 24, 2011

                      If you enjoy betting the games and you are weak of heart, the 2011 NBA playoffs have been a torment of major proportions.

                      Charting results from the first eight days of action this playoff season, from Saturday April 16 through Saturday April 23, the results have been confounding to say the least.

                      Bookmaker’s delight

                      If you’re a veterinarian or a dog lover, you’ve likely been living in dog-pound heaven thus far as favorites have bit the bone, going 19-7 SU and 7-17-2 ATS.

                      Meanwhile, home teams are on a similar course as they stand 18-8 SU and an identical 7-17-2 ATS.

                      Magnifying the situation, favorites of six or more points are 10-3 SU and 1-12 ATS. Amazingly, seven of ten SU wins have been by an average 3-points off the line, meaning 70% of the straight-up winners results were a scant three-point shot away from a pointspread reversal.

                      Sour apple carts

                      Teams that had the rug pulled out on them as a playoff favorite have bounced back on the scoreboard - but not in the wallet - going 3-0 SU and 0-3 ATS in follow up affairs.

                      That drops teams off a SU favorite apple cart loss to 2-11 ATS since midway of last year’s NBA playoffs.

                      Under slumber

                      Through the first eight days of the 2011 playoffs UNDER players have had a party, cashing 16 of 26 totals plays.

                      In games in which the posted total was 189 or higher points, the UNDER players have lost only three of 14 tickets.

                      And not surprisingly, favorites in games with a total of 189 or more are just 3-10-1 ATS.

                      Now, pop a nitroglycerin pill and get ready for another round of heart-pounding results in the NBA playoffs. The party is just beginning.
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #86
                        Monday's Playoff Tips

                        April 24, 2011


                        Gamblers have options galore with another tripleheader in the NBA Playoffs on tap for Monday. The action begins at 8:05 p.m. Eastern when Memphis (48-37 straight up, 55-29-1 against the spread) looks to take a commanding 3-1 series lead over the top-seeded Spurs.

                        Only three times in NBA history has a No. 8 seed knocked off a No. 1 seed. Denver beat Seattle back in the mid-90s and the Knicks sent Miami home on Allan Houston’s winner in Game 7 of their 1998 series. Most recently, Golden State took out Dallas in 2007.

                        For Game 4 at FedEx Forum, most betting shops have installed San Antonio (62-23 SU, 44-39-2 ATS) as a one-point favorite with a total of 189.

                        After splitting a pair of games in the Lone Star State, Memphis won a 91-88 decision as a two-point home favorite in Saturday’s Game 3. Zach Randolph scored a game-high 25 points and buried a crucial 3-pointer at crunch time. Marc Gasol scored 17 points and pulled down nine rebounds, while Mike Conley Jr. chipped in with 14 points, eight assists, six rebounds and three steals compared to just one turnover.

                        Trailing by 10 at intermission, the Spurs did hook up their backers for second-half wagers. They were 2 ½-point favorites in the second half, leaving their adjusted number at plus 7 ½ for the game.

                        In the losing effort, Manu Ginobili had a team-high 23 points, while Tony Parker scored 16. However, Parker committed six turnovers.

                        Antonio McDyess sustained a strained neck in Game 3, but he is expected to be ready to go. McDyess averages 5.3 points and 5.4 rebounds per game for the Spurs.

                        Memphis has now taken the cash in eight straight head-to-head meetings against San Antonio. Furthermore, the Grizzlies have won outright in four of the last five encounters.

                        The ‘over’ is 25-17 for the Spurs when they go on the road, 23-19 for the Grizz in their home outings.

                        TNT will have the telecast.

                        The second game Monday night will be on NBA-TV at 8:35 p.m. Eastern when Dallas (59-27 SU, 47-36-3 ATS) tries to bounce back from its epic collapse in Game 4 at Portland. The Mavericks blew a 23-point lead and lost an 84-82 decision. Although it’s zero consolation to Dirk Nowitzki, Mark Cuban and Co., they did still manage to cover the spread as four-point road underdogs.

                        Brandon Roy was the catalyst for the Trail Blazers, scoring 24 points on 9-of-13 shooting from the field. LaMarcus Aldridge added 18 points, six rebounds and three blocked shots.

                        Roy’s heroics have pulled Nate McMillan’s team even going into Game 5 back in Dallas. Most spots have installed the Mavs as 4 ½-point ‘chalk’ with a total of 184 ½. Gamblers can take the Blazers to win a third straight game for a plus-175 return (risk $100 to win $175).

                        Rick Carlisle’s squad has covered the number in eight straight games, including a pair of home wins (89-81 and 101-89) to start the series. For the year, the Mavs are 21-20-2 ATS at home.

                        Portland has lost all four of its games at Dallas this year, including a pair of regular-season game and the first two games of the playoffs. The Blazers have only covered the spread in one of those contests.

                        In order to pull an upset in Game 5, Portland will need Roy to return to his All-Star form that he demonstrated in Games 3 and 4 but has mostly been missing since his return from knee injuries. Also, Aldridge will need to get it going again after a subpar effort (6-of-16 from field) in Game 4.

                        The late game will go down in the Mile High City, where the Nuggets are hoping to avoid broom treatment from the Thunder when they collide at Pepsi Center at 10:35 p.m. Eastern. Most books are listing Denver (50-25 SU, 45-36-4 ATS) as a three-point favorite with the total at 206 or 206 ½. OKC is plus-140 on the money line (risk $100 to win $140).

                        Oklahoma City (58-27 SU, 45-39-1 ATS) took a 3-0 series lead late Saturday night when it captured a 97-94 win as a five-point road underdog. Serge Ibaka erupted for a monster game with 22 points, 16 rebounds and four blocked shots. Kevin Durant scored a team-high 26 points, while Russell Westbrook tallied 23 points, nine rebounds and eight assists.

                        Denver got 15 points out of Kenyon Martin, Nene and J.R. Smith, but the Nuggets missed 15 free throws and were just 6-of-23 from 3-point range.

                        The ‘under’ is on a 5-1 run in the last six head-to-head meetings between the Nuggets and Thunder.

                        **B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets**

                        --Atlanta took a 3-1 series advantage over Orlando with last night's 88-85 win as a 1 1/2-point underdog. The 173 combined points stayed 'under' the 178 1/2-point total. The 'under' is now 7-1 in eight head-to-head meetings between the Magic and Hawks this year. Jamal Crawford was once again the top scorer for Atlanta with 25 points. Game 5 is back in Orlando on Tuesday with most spots listing the Magic as a 7 1/2-point 'chalk.'

                        --New Orleans drew even with the Lakers last night by winning a 93-88 decision as a six-point home underdog. Chris Paul was the best player on the court again, producing a triple-double with 27 points, 15 assists and 13 rebounds. Game 5 is at Staples Center on Tuesday with the Lakers tabbed as 10 1/2-point favorites.

                        --Although New York was swept out of the playoffs Sunday in a 101-89 loss to Boston, it should be given props for its second-half performance. Trailing 55-38 at intermission, most books made the Knicks three-point favorites for halftime wagers. This resulted in an adjusted number of Knicks +14. They hooked up backers thanks in part to a late 3 from Carmelo Anthony.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • #87
                          Playoff Results - First Round

                          April 25, 2011

                          First Round Results

                          Favorites are 21-12 straight up
                          Underdogs are 23-10 against the spread
                          The 'under' stands at 23-10
                          Home teams are 23-10 straight up

                          Visitor Home Final Score ATS OVER/UNDER

                          Saturday Apr. 16
                          Indiana Chicago (-12.5) 104-99 UNDERDOG OVER 189
                          Philadelphia Miami (-10.5) 97-89 UNDERDOG UNDER 190
                          Atlanta (+9) Orlando 103-93 UNDERDOG OVER 181
                          Portland Dallas (-5) 89-81 FAVORITE UNDER 186

                          Sunday, Apr. 17
                          Memphis (+6.5) San Antonio 101-98 UNDERDOG OVER 195.5
                          New Orleans (+11) L.A. Lakers 109-100 UNDERDOG OVER 184.5
                          New York Boston (-6) 87-85 UNDERDOG UNDER 197.5
                          Denver Oklahoma City (-6) 107-103 UNDERDOG OVER 206

                          Monday, Apr. 18
                          Philadelphia Miami (-9) 94-73 FAVORITE UNDER 190
                          Indiana Chicago (-11) 96-90 UNDERDOG UNDER 192

                          Tuesday, Apr. 19
                          New York Boston (-6.5) 96-93 UNDERDOG UNDER 192.5
                          Atlanta Orlando (-9.5) 88-82 UNDERDOG UNDER 182.5
                          Portland Dallas (-4) 101-89 FAVORITE OVER 184.5

                          Wednesday, Apr. 20
                          Denver Oklahoma City (-4.5) 106-89 FAVORITE UNDER 206.5
                          Memphis San Antonio (-8) 93-87 UNDERDOG UNDER 193.5
                          New Orleans L.A. Lakers (-11.5) 87-79 UNDERDOG UNDER 185.5

                          Thursday, Apr. 21
                          Chicago (-3.5) Indiana 88-84 FAVORITE UNDER 189.5
                          Miami (-4.5) Philadelphia 100-94 FAVORITE OVER 185
                          Dallas Portland (-5.5) 97-92 UNDERDOG OVER 187.5

                          Friday, Apr. 22
                          Boston (+3) New York 113-96 UNDERDOG OVER 191
                          Orlando Atlanta (+1.5) 88-84 UNDERDOG UNDER 180
                          L.A. Lakers (-5) New Orleans 100-86 FAVORITE OVER 180

                          Saturday, Apr. 23
                          Chicago Indiana (+4.5) 89-84 UNDERDOG UNDER 190
                          Dallas Portland (-4) 84-82 UNDERDOG UNDER 187
                          San Antonio Memphis (-2) 91-88 FAVORITE UNDER 191
                          Oklahoma City (+5) Denver 97-94 UNDERDOG UNDER 208

                          Sunday, Apr. 24
                          Miami Philadelphia (+5.5) 86-82 UNDERDOG UNDER 188.5
                          Boston (-3.5) New York 101-89 FAVORITE UNDER 194
                          Orlando Atlanta (+2) 88-85 UNDERDOG UNDER 178.5
                          L.A. Lakers New Orleans (+6) 93-88 UNDERDOG UNDER 183.5

                          Monday, Apr. 25
                          San Antonio Memphis
                          Portland Dallas
                          Oklahoma City Denver

                          Tuesday, Apr. 26
                          Indiana Chicago
                          Atlanta Orlando
                          New Orleans L.A. Lakers

                          Wednesday, Apr. 27
                          Philadelphia Miami
                          Memphis San Antonio
                          Denver Oklahoma City

                          Thursday, Apr. 28
                          Chicago Indiana
                          Orlando Atlanta
                          L.A. Lakers New Orleans
                          Dallas Portland

                          Friday, Apr. 29
                          Miami Philadelphia
                          San Antonio Memphis
                          Oklahoma City Denver

                          Saturday, Apr. 30
                          Indiana Chicago
                          Atlanta Orlando
                          New Orleans L.A. Lakers
                          Portland Dallas

                          Sunday, May 1
                          Philadelphia Miami
                          Memphis San Antonio
                          Denver Oklahoma City




                          Winners in BOLD
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • #88
                            Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
                            04/24/11 5-*3-*0 62.50% +*850 Detail
                            04/23/11 6-*2-*0 75.00% +*1900 Detail
                            04/22/11 2-*4-*0 33.33% -*1200 Detail
                            04/21/11 4-*1-*1 80.00% +*1450 Detail
                            04/20/11 4-*2-*0 66.67% +*900 Detail
                            04/19/11 2-*4-*0 33.33% -*1200 Detail
                            04/18/11 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
                            04/17/11 4-*4-*0 50.00% -*200 Detail
                            04/16/11 2-*6-*0 25.00% -*2300 Detail
                            Totals 31-*28-*1 52.54% +100

                            Monday, April 25

                            Game Score Status Pick Amount

                            San Antonio - 8:00 PM ET Memphis +1.5 500
                            Memphis - Under 188.5 500

                            Portland - 8:30 PM ET Dallas -5 500
                            Dallas - Under 183.5 500

                            Oklahoma City - 10:30 PM ET Denver -3 500
                            Denver - Under 205 500
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • #89
                              NBA Betting: Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic Game 5

                              Atlanta’s Game 5 win left the Hawks a perfect 8-0 ATS vs. the Magic this season.
                              The Atlanta Hawks and Orlando Magic have put on quite a show over the course of the first four games of their NBA playoff betting series in the first round of the Eastern Conference playoffs. The Magic are on the ropes though, and they need to win Game 5 at Amway Center on Tuesday night to keep their season alive.

                              Tip time on from the City Beautiful is slated for 4:30 p.m. (PT), and the game can be seen on NBA TV.

                              No one really gave the Hawks all that much credit in Game 3 or Game 4 at Phillips Arena, but that lack of confidence might have been just what the doctor ordered for them. Atlanta won both games as short underdogs on the NBA odds, and is now 6-2 SU and 8-0 ATS over the course of the eight meetings this season between these two squads.

                              Jamal Crawford might be coming off the bench, and he might not have more than 33 minutes played in a game in this series, but Orlando head coach Stan Van Gundy and crew have to be getting tired of seeing him drain shots. Crawford just keeps nailing dagger after dagger for Atlanta, and is averaging 24.0 per game on the series, including dropping 25 on the Magic in Game 4 on Sunday. Joe Johnson has also scored at least 20 in three of the four games in this set.

                              The game plan for the Hawks seems to be to let Dwight Howard get all of the points and rebounds that he wants and to shut down the rest of the team. So far it has been a strategy that has worked absolutely beautifully.

                              Orlando, a team that averaged 99.2 PPG on the season, has come up at least 11 points shy of that average three games in a row in this series, and it hasn't come anywhere near that point total since the beginning of April.

                              Of course, Howard does deserve a ton of credit for the way that he has played. He has ultimately ended up in foul trouble basically in every game in this series, but he has still accounted for 46, 33, 21 and 29 points in the four games respectively to go with 19, 19, 15 and 17 rebounds. He also has seven blocked shots, but he does have an eye popping 26 turnovers in four games.

                              There have only been two players that have had a game of more than 14 points aside from Howard for the Magic, though. Gilbert Arenas, who didn't even come off of the bench for a single minute in Game 3, scored 20 points in Game 4, while Jameer Nelson put up 27 in Game 1.

                              Both Zaza Pachulia and Jason Richardson were suspended for Game 4 in this series, and both men will return to their respective lineups in Game 5.

                              Finishing off the Magic would make for some sweet revenge for an Atlanta team that was swept out of the postseason by Orlando last year. The Magic, who had a completely different composition of their team at the time, won that series by an aggregate of 111 points.

                              If Orlando does win Tuesday's contest, the two clubs will return to Philips Arena for Game 6 on Thursday.
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • #90
                                NBA Odds: Lakers and Hornets back to LA tied

                                The Los Angeles Lakers have their hands full with the New Orleans Hornets at 2-2, but their bigger concern is the health of superstar Kobe Bryant.

                                Game 5 of this series will be held Tuesday night in Los Angeles. Oddsmakers have New Orleans as big 10 ½-point road ‘dogs with a total of 183 points. TNT will have the tip-off at 7:30 p.m. (PT).

                                Bryant added injury to insult by rolling his ankle towards the end of Sunday’s 93-88 loss in Game 4. He was held scoreless in the first half and shot just 5-of-18 for the game (17 points). Bryant was on crutches after the game and is listed as probable at Don Best after strongly hinting he’ll play no matter what.

                                The Hornets (48-38 straight-up, 42-42-2 against the spread) tied up the series yesterday by winning as six-point underdogs. They’re 3-1 ATS this series after ‘covering’ the first two games in L.A. as double-digits ‘dogs.

                                Point guard Chris Paul was the hero last game with 27 points, 15 assists and 13 rebounds. His rebound total was the same as twin-towers Pau Gasol and Andrew Bynum combined. New Orleans won the battle of the boards (39-32) for the first time this series.

                                Paul is averaging 25.5 PPG this series, 30 PPG in the two wins versus 21 PPG in the two defeats. He had his great effort last game despite jamming his thumb in Game 3.

                                New Orleans is a limited offensive team, averaging 94.9 PPG in the regular season (ranked 27th) even with leading scorer David West playing until March 24 before his season-ending injury (torn ACL). The team scored 109 points in the opening win in Los Angeles, but is averaging just 85.7 PPG since.

                                The ‘over’ and ‘under’ are both 2-2 this series, 1-1 at each location.

                                Forwards Carl Landry and Trevor Ariza are trying ease Paul’s scoring load at 17 and 14.8 PPG respectively. However, they’re the only two in double-digits this series besides Paul. Shooting guard Marco Belinelli has been a huge disappointment at 6.5 PPG and 29.7 percent shooting.

                                New Orleans’ margin of error to win is very small. It’s averaging 6.5 turnovers in the two wins versus 15 in the losses. The bench has outscored L.A. in the victories (57-39 in total), getting outscored (47-22) in the defeats.

                                The Lakers (59-27 SU, 40-45-1 ATS) can’t be feeling good about the Bryant injury. He’s normally capable of exploding for 30-35 points in any game and taking over in the fourth quarter, plus he’s a good defensive option on Paul in spurts. The good news is he’s played effectively with injuries in the past.

                                Bryant’s ailment wouldn’t be so worrisome if Gasol was playing up to par. He’s averaging just 12.3 points and 6.3 rebounds this series. Both are way below his regular season averages (18.8 PPG, 10.2 RPG). He has a big size advantage over Landry in the post, but has to be more aggressive.

                                Coach Phil Jackson is a master motivator as the Lakers aim for a ‘three-peat’ and to tie Boston for the most NBA Championships all-time (17). It’s hard to see anything short of a great effort on Tuesday.

                                Gasol and Bynum will likely reassert themselves on the boards and the whole team will help pick up the scoring slack for Bryant is he’s indeed hobbled. The problem is Derek Fisher will continue to be a defensive liability, needing a huge team defensive effort on Paul.

                                The series will go back to New Orleans for Game 6 on Thursday, with a potential Game 7 in L.A. on Saturday for all the marbles.
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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