Browns fire head coach Hue Jackson
October 29, 2018
By The Associated Press
BEREA, Ohio (AP) Hue Jackson's failed, flawed tenure with the Cleveland Browns is finally over.
The team fired its embattled coach on Monday, ending a run of futility nearly unmatched in NFL history. Jackson, who went 3-36-1 in two-plus seasons, was dismissed on Monday by general manager John Dorsey, a person familiar with the decision told The Associated Press. The person spoke on condition of anonymity because the team has not yet announced the expected move.
Jackson's firing came on day after the Browns (2-5-1) lost their 25th straight road game - 20 of them coming with Jackson in charge.
The Browns, who have not made the playoffs since 2002, have lost three straight games after a promising start to this season. They tied Pittsburgh in Week 1, but were beaten 33-18 on Sunday by the Steelers.
Jackson is the six straight Cleveland coach to be fired following the team's second game against Pittsburgh. Romeo Crennel, Eric Mangini, Pat Shurmur, Rob Chudzinski and Mike Pettine all met the same demise.
It's not immediately clear who will fill in for Jackson for the rest of this season. The Browns host the Kansas City Chiefs (7-1) on Sunday.
Offensive coordinator Todd Haley, defensive coordinator Gregg Williams and wide receivers coach Al Saunders are all interim candidates capable of finishing the season. Haley and Williams are former NFL head coaches.
Jackson was hired in 2016 by owners Dee and Jimmy Haslam, who stuck by him despite a 1-15 record in his first season and the Browns losing all 16 games last season, joining the 2008 Detroit Lions as only the second team in league history to go 0-16.
But beyond the lopsided losses, quarterback changes and bad luck, the Browns have been constantly saddled with drama and dysfunction under Jackson, who came to Cleveland after serving as Cincinnati's offensive coordinator and went 8-8 as Oakland's head coach in 2011.
Last week, Jackson's offer to help Haley following a loss in Tampa Bay underscored another power struggle as Jackson fought to stay in control.
Jackson's firing comes one day after the Cleveland Cavaliers fired coach Tyronn Lue, who led the team to an NBA title in 2016 but was struggling in his first season without star LeBron James. The Cavs are 0-6.
Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
It was a NBA focus with this piece last week, as the season was about a week old at the time, and the ATS leaderboard was seemingly flipped upside down. Championship contenders from the West like Golden State, Houston, OKC, and the Lakers were all struggling to cover a number, while many of the expected bottom-feeders in the standings were cashing tickets every night.
Well, a week later and things flipped for many of the teams mentioned on both sides of the coin last week. Cleveland's 2-1 ATS start quickly fell to 3-3 ATS, as the Cavs remain the only winless team (SU) in the league and it cost HC Tyronn Lue his job. New York, Charlotte, and Orlando also had losing weeks against the spread after a hot first seven days, as you had to figure these sub-par teams with lackluster talent were eventually going to fall sooner rather than later.
At the same time, those expected contenders out West are all still in the bottom third of the ATS records league wide at the moment, with OKC just getting their first outright victory on Sunday night. But the 2-9 ATS combined record the Warriors, Lakers, Thunder, and Rockets had last Monday sits at 7-16 ATS a week later, so it was still profitable to be fading all those teams and their inflated point spread numbers.
I'll check back in on the NBA in a few weeks as there is still plenty of basketball to be played – and subsequent data to settle – so it's back to the gridiron this week to take a look at the streaky NFL scenarios worth pointing out.
Who's Hot
Veteran 30+ year-old QB's head into Week 9 on a roll – 5 teams on streaks of 3+ ATS wins
Entering Week 9, we will have five NFL teams who come into the week having covered the spread in at least their last three contests. Those teams would be Seattle (3-0 ATS), New Orleans (5-0 ATS), Washington (3-0 ATS), Denver (3-0 ATS) and Pittsburgh (3-0 ATS). That's quite a strong run for those five organizations, and what they all have in common is some stability at the QB position with signal callers that all 30 years old or older this year (Seattle's Russell Wilson turns 30 at the end of November).
That's not to say that experience runs this league right now, but at the halfway point of the season when teams are really separating themselves one way or another, it clearly doesn't hurt to have your money backing a QB that's been around the league a few times.
What makes a trend like this even more prominent is the fact that in Week 8 alone, of the 11 teams to cover the point spread on Sunday, seven of them finished the game with signal callers in their age 30 year or greater (again counting Russell Wilson as a 30-year old).
Those results are a bit of a throwback to the days when the NFL was a rough place for rookie/young QB's as they either sat on the bench for a few years to learn the intricacies of the game (like Aaron Rodgers) or took their lumps for a year or two and learned via the “trial by fire” method (like Peyton Manning). It's only been in the past decade or so that we've really seen young QB's flourish right out of the gate, and it's probably because of those positive results organizations have experienced going that route that we see more and more teams going with the “trial by fire” method for their presumed future of the franchise QB's.
These ATS results would suggest that there is at least some pullback to those results/expectations for young QB's as it seemingly doesn't hurt to have a veteran chucking the ball around and reading defenses. Those five teams I isolated earlier are all in action in Week 9, with four of the five (everyone but Pittsburgh) at home and laying less than a FG. In games where you've just got to pick the outright winner, chances are backing the likes of Seattle, Denver, New Orleans, and Washington at home in Week 9 with their veteran QB's calling the shots may not be such a bad idea.
Who's Not
Warm weather teams that can't take care of the ball – Bottom four teams in Turnover Margin all have losing ATS records
It should never come as a surprise that when a team turns the ball over frequently that wins (SU or ATS) will be extremely had to come by, but the fact that the four worst teams in turnover margin through eight weeks – Oakland (-6), Jacksonville (-11), San Francisco (-13) and Tampa Bay (-13) all play in warm weather climates isn't the only common bond they all have. Questions at the QB position plague all four of these organizations in 2018, with San Francisco being the only ones with a long-term answer in their pocket once Jimmy Garoppollo comes back.
Now turnovers tend to regress towards the mean through a full 16-game schedule, but can you really be confident in that happening for any of these organizations? Tampa Bay has flipped flopped between QB's all year and appear to be going back to 30+ year-old Ryan Fitzpatrick again, but he originally lost his starting role this year – one that he earned from great play – because of throwing too many INT's with his gunslinger mindset. Fitzpatrick isn't going to change how he plays the game, so chances are Tampa Bay is going to remain at or near the bottom of this turnover margin list.
Jacksonville is one more bad Blake Bortles game away from an all-out mutiny in that locker room, although Bortles wasn't entirely to blame for their loss to the Eagles over in London this week. But the whole is Bortles a capable NFL starting QB debate is not something new for the Jaguars, and they are on the brink of wasting a season with a talented defense simply because the offense can't hold onto the ball and give them a chance. You'd like to think that Bortles development as a NFL player would help him mitigate his turnovers, but that's been his issue throughout his career.
Finally, had Tampa Bay not come back for a back-door cover against the Bengals on Sunday, all four of these teams would be on some brutal ATS streaks at the moment. San Francisco is on a 0-2 ATS run the past two weeks, while Oakland is 0-3 ATS in their last three and Jacksonville is 0-4 ATS in their last four. Hopefully for Jags fans, their team can figure out some of their issues during their bye in Week 9, but we will see either Oakland or San Francisco snap their respective streaks since they meet on TNF this week.
That TNF game may have already been one you were looking to avoid because it's two bad teams going nowhere on a short week, but given the ATS records of the Raiders and 49ers this year, I wouldn't be surprised to see whomever does cover the spread to be gifted the ATS victory thanks to a turnover advantage.
Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
Betting Recap - Week 8
October 29, 2018
By Joe Williams
College Football Recap - Week 9
Overall Notes
NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE WEEK 8 RESULTS
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 10-3
Against the Spread 7-6
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 8-5
Against the Spread 4-8
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 5-8
NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE YEAR-TO-DATE RESULTS
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 79-39-2
Against the Spread 55-63-2
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 72-46-2
Against the Spread 57-60-2
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 60-60
The largest underdogs to win straight up
Seahawks (+3, ML +145) at Lions, 28-14
Cardinals (+2.5, ML +130) vs. 49ers, 18-15
Panthers (+2.5, ML +125) vs. Ravens, 36-21
The largest favorite to cover
Steelers (-8.5) vs. Browns, 33-18
Texans (-7.5) vs. Dolphins, 42-23
Eagles (-4) vs. Jaguars, 24-18
No Respect
-- The Baltimore Ravens lost at home in Week 7 on a missed extra point, yet were favored on the road against the Carolina Panthers, a team which went on the road and won against the defending champs in the previous weekend. It was one of the eyebrow-raising lines from Sunday.
Yes, the Los Angeles Rams were/are still unbeaten, but they closed as near double-digit favorites against the Green Bay Packers, who were coming off a bye, by the way. The cappers playing in the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest certainly took notice, as the Packers were the most selected team in a perfect week for the consensus picks (5-0 ATS). The Rams came away with a narrow 29-27 victory. Of course, Todd Gurley's selflessness, giving himself up rather than scoring late in the game also helped matters.
The Seattle Seahawks were also coming off a bye, and they entered 2-0 ATS in their previous two, and 3-1 ATS in the previous four. However, Vegas gave the Detroit Lions the three-point home benefit, essentially calling this a coin-flip game. It didn't turn out that way, as Russell Wilson and the rested 'Hawks doubled up the Lions 28-14. Again, the cappers in the SuperContest took notice of this one, too.
Total Recall
-- The Seahawks have now hit the 'under' in five of their past six outings. The Washington Redskins have hit the under in three straight after their 20-13 win on the road against the New York Giants. In the AFC, the under is 23-1 in the past four for the Jacksonville Jaguars, although this was the first time the under has cashed in back-to-back games for them this season. The New York Jets saw their 4-0 'over' run snapped with an under result on the road against the Chicago Bears. On the flip side, the 'over' has hit in four of the past five for the Indianapolis Colts.
The lowest total on the board, San Francisco 49ers-Arizona Cardinals (40) lived up to its non-offensive prediction, as there were just eight total points (5-3) on the board at halftime, and 15 total points through three quarters. There was an 18-point outburst in the final quarter, but the 'over' was never really threatened.
-- Just one of the four-highest totals actually went over, as Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Cincinnati Bengals (55) turned out to be an offensive showcase with 71 points. Denver Broncos-Kansas City Chiefs (53.5), New Orleans Saints-Minnesota Vikings (54.5) and Packers-Rams (57.5) all fell just short, although some people might have hit the over with adjusted lines or in teasers, etc. since a couple of these games barely missed the mark. The other 50-plus game, Indianapolis Colts-Oakland Raiders (51) also comfortably hit.
-- The AFC South doesn't care for overs. Only the Colts have more overs than unders (5-3-0). The Tennessee Titans, on a bye this week, have just two overs and five under results. The Buccaneers have cashed the over in six of their seven games this season, most in the NFL.
-- The 'over/under' went 1-1 in the first two primetime games in Week 8, with the MNF battle between the New England Patriots-Buffalo Bills (44.5) still pending. Overall for the 2018 season the 'over' in primetime games is 12-12 (50.0%). The 'under' has cashed in five of the six five battles on Sunday Night Football.
Officially, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 games under the lights in 2017.
In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.
In 2015, the over finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.
In 2014, the over went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the over was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.
Injury Report
-- Broncos WR Emmanuel Sanders (shoulder) nicked up his shoulder late in the game against the Kansas City Chiefs.
-- Buccaneers RB Ronald Jones (hamstring) checked out early in Sunday's game in Cincinnati with a hamstring ailment.
-- Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill (groin) checked out of the win against the Denver Broncos due to a strained groin, and the severity of his injury is not yet known.
Looking Ahead
-- The Lions look to rebound against the Vikings, who are also looking to bounce back. Detroit is 5-1 ATS in their past six games overall, and 5-1-1 ATS in the past seven inside the division. They're also 4-1 ATS in the past five on the road. Minnesota is 11-5-1 ATS in the past 17 against teams with a losing record, and 35-16-2 ATS in the past 53 at home. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings, however, and the underdog is 9-4-1 ATS in the past 14 in this series. The 'under' is also 5-0 in the past five in Minneapolis, and 7-2 in the past nine meetings overall.
-- The Steelers hit the road to meet the Ravens in Baltimore. These teams met Sept. 30 in the Steel City, with the Ravens coming out on top, 26-14 in a cover and under. The Steelers are just 2-5 ATS in the past seven inside the division, while the Ravens are 13-5 ATS in their past 18 inside the division. Pittsburgh is 1-6-1 ATS in the past eight meetings, but the road team is 4-0 ATS in the past four in this series with the underdog 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight. The under is also 5-2-1 in the past eight in the series, and a perfect 4-0 in the past four in Balto.
-- The Jets and Dolphins meet in South Florida, the second battle of the season. Miami won 20-12 in New Jersey back in Week 2, covering as a three-point 'dog while the 'under' cashed. New York is 16-5-1 ATS in the past 22 trips to South Florida, but they're just 1-3-1 ATS in their past five tries against the Fins.
-- The Bucs and Panthers hook up in Charlotte. Tampa has cashed in four of their past five divisional games, while Carolina is 1-4 ATS in their past five vs. NFC South foes. The Bucs are 3-7 ATS in the past 10 meetings, although the underdog has hit in four in a row, and the road team is also 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings. The under is also 4-0 in the past four in this series, and 4-1 in the past five in Charlotte.
Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
2019 Cowboys Coaching Odds
October 29, 2018
By BetDSI
By Tom Wilkinson
2019 Cowboys Head Coach Odds
Who will be the coach of the Dallas Cowboys next season? Odds are on the board at BetDSI with Josh McDaniels the current betting favorite at odds of +250. Jason Garrett has been the head coach of the Cowboys since 2008 and the Cowboys have made the playoffs just twice.
Most people believe that owner Jerry Jones will finally get rid of Garrett and you can bet on who you think will be the coach of the Cowboys in Week 1 of the 2019 regular season. Let’s look at the latest odds and some of the top contenders.
Dallas Cowboys Head Coach in Week 1 of 2019 Regular Season
Josh McDaniels +250
Sean Payton +300
John DeFilippo +500
Jason Garrett +600
George Edwards +1000
Dave Toub +1500
Jim Harbaugh +2000
Ken Norton Jr. +2000
Kris Richard +2000
Jeff Brohm +2000
Dan Campbell +2000
Matt LaFleur +2000
Jim Bob Cooter +2000
Chris Petersen +2500
David Shaw +2500
Lincoln Riley +2500
Pete Carmichael +2500
Tom Herman +3000
Urban Meyer +3000
Mike Munchak +3000
Bruce Arians +3000
Jim Schwartz +3000
Leslie Frazier +3000
Gus Bradley +3000
James Bettcher +3000
Gus Malzahn +4000
Dabo Swinney +4000
Todd Haley +4000
Nick Saban +5000
Les Miles +5000
Brian Kelly +5000
Chip Kelly +5000
Lane Kiffin +5000
Jimbo Fisher +5000
Mike Leach +5000
Matt Rhule +7500
Mike Gundy +7500
James Franklin +7500
Kliff Kingsbury +10000
Gary Patterson +10000
Bob Stoops +20000
Bobby Petrino +20000
Tony Romo +25000
Bill Cowher +25000
Jimmie Johnson +50000
Barry Switzer +50000
Ron James +50000
Jerry Jones +50000
Field (Any Other Coach) +150
There are six men listed with odds of less than +2000 led by New England Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels at odds of +250. You may remember that McDaniels backed out of becoming the head coach of the Indianapolis Colts in the offseason and returned to the Patriots. Perhaps he could be tempted by the chance to coach the Cowboys, but it seems more likely he is going to wait until after Tom Brady retires to leave New England.
Sean Payton has the next shortest odds at +300, but unless the Saints totally collapse and Drew Brees decides to retire it is hard to see Payton leaving New Orleans and going to Dallas. And keep in mind that Payton signed a five-year extension for more than $40 million in 2016.
John DeFilippo is the offensive coordinator of the Minnesota Vikings and he would make more sense than either of the first two men and could have some value at odds of +500. The Vikings are having a good offensive season and DeFilippo should be in high demand, as he has done some good work in the past with quarterbacks like Carson Wentz and Kirk Cousins.
It is hard to fathom how Garrett could return to the Cowboys next season, but that could have been said in previous years and Jones brought him back. It is almost inconceivable that Garrett still has the job, as the Cowboys have had two good seasons in his ten years. There does not seem to be much value in taking Garrett at odds of +600.
George Edwards is listed with odds of +1000. He is the defensive coordinator of the Vikings. Edwards may have had more appeal last season when the Minnesota defense was near the top of the league. The Minnesota defense has not been as good this season and I think Edwards is overvalued at these odds.
Dave Toub is an assistant coach with the Kansas City Chiefs and any coach on the staff of the Chiefs has to be given some attention considering how well the Chiefs are playing this season.
All of the other men on the list have odds of +2000 or greater including some football head coaches including Michigan’s Jim Harbaugh, Washington’s Chris Petersen, Oklahoma’s Lincoln Riley and Purdue’s Jeff Brohm. Of those coaches, Lincoln Riley could be the one who has the most value at odds of +2500. The Sooners have a high-powered offense and Riley would hold some appeal considering Dallas has struggled on offense in recent seasons.
Check out the latest odds available at BetDSI.
Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
Bettors capture Week 8 win
October 29, 2018
By Micah Roberts
The World Series wrapped up Sunday and all the futures posted, which were up at most books since last October, finalized. Lots of time and lots of cash wagered out there in the World Series over the last year, but while the Dodgers and Red Sox were popular wagers, they were two of the favorites coming in which means the books absorbed those short losses easily and showed a big win which in turn helped ease the pain for most in NFL Week 8 action where the public did some damage.
"Crummy day," said Atlantis Reno sports book director Marc Nelson prior to the Red Sox 5-1 win at Dodger Stadium. "That Rams guy not scoring was the kicker. That (score) would have saved a lot."
That Rams guy was running back Todd Gurley who busted loose with 1:05 to go for an what would have been an easy 21-yard touchdown, but he chose to down the ball at the Packers 4-yard-line instead once he got the first down. At the time the Rams were up 29-27, and a TD and extra-point would have made it a nine-point game. The spread dropped from Rams -9.5 to -8, and the Packers backers all got there. The total also stayed 'under' 57 because he didn't score.
It was kind of surprising to see the public flip on a 7-0 Rams squad.
"Yeah, a little bit," said Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook VP Jay Kornegay, "but it took Aaron Rodgers and the Packers for them to flip-flop."
Nelson had another storm brewing at his Reno book in the Sunday night NFL game as well.
"The Sunday night game we lose every way," Nelson said of all four possible outcomes. "The Saints and Over is the worst and Viking money-line and Under are the best."
The Saints would go on to win 30-20 at Minnesota, their sixth win in a row.
"It was a bad day," said CG Technology VP of risk management Jason Simbal. "We're down six figures no matter what happens in the Sunday night game because of parlays."
Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins went 31-of-41 for 359 yards with 2 TDs while Drew Brees threw his first interception of the season and had just 120 yards passing.
"It was a small loser on the day," said MGM Resorts VP of race and sports Jay Rood. "We need the Vikings to cut the loss in half."
The real story to most of the books losing before the Packers and Saints wins was the makings of the storm with other popular teams.
"The day wasn't good," said Station Casinos race and sports director Jason McCormick. "The combo of favorites like the Bears, Steelers, Eagles, Redskins, and Colts was bad. Lots of sharp Packers money as well."
The Bears (-7) won 24-10 against a banged up Jets squad, the Steelers (-8) rolled 33-18 against the Browns, The Eagles (-3) won 24-18 against the Jaguars at London early in the morning, the Redskins (-1) won 20-13 at the Giants and the Colts (-3.5) scored twice late to win 42-28 at Oakland. The bettors do well again simply by betting against bad teams like the Raiders and Giants.
"Thank goodness for the Cardinals win and the Broncos second backdoor cover against the Chiefs or it would have been a disaster," said McCormick.
The Cardinals (+3) beat the 49ers for the second time this season, 18-15, and the Broncos kicked a late field goal to make it 30-23 to pull within a TD at Kansas City. The Chiefs dropped from -10 to -8 by kickoff. It was the first time this season the Chiefs failed to cover the spread.
"We had another average day and split the top decisions," said Kornegay. "Our big losers were the Bears, Colts, and Packers. But our big winners were the Broncos, Panthers, and Cardinals."
William Hill's head bookmaker Nick Bogdanovich said they had a horrible day in the NFL, but the lone survivor in Week 8 action that fared extremely well was the Caesars Palace chain of properties.
"Solid winning NFL Sunday -- times two -- thanks to Red Sox future money," said Caesars Palace senior oddsmaker Alan Berg. "The best games for us were the Saints, Cardinals, and Panthers and our biggest losers were the Colts, Bears, and Steelers."
The big divide here looks to be books that have huge parlay action, mostly those on the outskirts and neighborhoods catering to locals, against the strip properties which deal mostly with tourists and wise guys.
Anyway, bettors are on an NFL roll lately. Keep it up!
Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
McCourty's pick-6 seals Patriots' 25-6 win over Bills
October 29, 2018 ShareFacebookTwitterDiggMySpace
ORCHARD PARK, N.Y. (AP) Devin McCourty returned an interception 84 yards for a touchdown, and the New England Patriots' defense smothered the Buffalo Bills' anemic offense in a 25-6 win on Monday night.
James White scored on a 1-yard run, and the Patriots relied more on Stephen Gostkowski's leg than on Tom Brady's arm for their fifth straight win, which improved their AFC East-leading record to 6-2. Brady finished 29 of 45 for 324 yards, but was held without a touchdown pass for the first time this season.
Gostkowski hit four of five field-goal attempts, including two from 25 yards after New England drives stalled inside Buffalo's 10.
McCourty sealed the win with 5:54 remaining by intercepting Derek Anderson's pass over the middle intended for LeSean McCoy and taking it to the end zone.
Two plays before the pick, Bills tight end Jason Croom's diving one-handed touchdown catch was negated following a video review. Replays clearly showed Croom never had possession in attempting to make the 25-yard catch, which would have made it a one-score game.
Buffalo lost its third straight and dropped to 2-6 for its worst start since opening the 2010 season with eight losses.
Credit the Bills' defense for not playing the role of the expected pushover against a Brady-led offense that had scored 38 or more points in each of its past four games.
Buffalo's problem continued to be an offense that has managed just 87 points this season, and was held to under seven points for the fourth time. Stephen Hauschka accounted for the scoring by hitting field goals from 51 and 47 yards.
Anderson was escorted off the field with 1:25 left when he was sacked by Kyle Van Noy. Anderson was making his second start in place of rookie Josh Allen, who's listed as week to week with a sprained elbow on his throwing arm.
Anderson finished 22 of 39 for 290 yards and two interceptions.
Brady continued his string of career-long dominance over the Bills by improving to 29-3, extending the NFL record for most wins by a quarterback against one opponent.
The Patriots beat Buffalo for the seventh straight time and improved to 32-5 in their last 37 meetings under coach Bill Belichick.
HONORING THURMAN
The highlight for Bills fans was a halftime ceremony in which the team retired Hall of Fame running back Thurman Thomas' No. 34.
He became the third player in Bills history to receive the honor. Jim Kelly had his No. 12 retired in 2001, and Bruce Smith's No. 78 was retired in 2016.
With the lights turned out at the sold-out stadium, highlights from Thomas' Hall of Fame career were shown on the video scoreboard while two spotlights projected 34s onto the field. ''When I look up and see the No. 34 retired under my name, I'll be reminded that number doesn't just belong to me,'' Thomas said. ''It belongs to the Bills fans everywhere.''
PRYOR VISIT
The receiver- and quarterback-needy Bills had free agent Terrelle Pryor in for a visit earlier in the day. Pryor is a seventh-year player who was released by the New York Jets on Oct. 20 with an injury settlement after hurting his groin.
INJURIES
Patriots: Rookie RB Sony Michel (left knee) and starting LB Dont'a Hightower (knee) were inactive.
Bills: Rookie starting middle linebacker Tremaine Edmunds did not return in the second half after being diagnosed with a concussion.
UP NEXT
Patriots: Prepare for a Brady-vs.-Aaron Rodgers showdown, hosting the Green Bay Packers on Sunday night.
Bills: Host the Chicago Bears on Sunday.
Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
Thursday, November 1, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
8:20 PM Oakland Raiders San Francisco 49ers
Sunday, November 4, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
1:00 PM Pittsburgh Steelers Baltimore Ravens
1:00 PM Chicago Bears Buffalo Bills
1:00 PM Tampa Bay Buccaneers Carolina Panthers
1:00 PM Kansas City Chiefs Cleveland Browns
1:00 PM New York Jets Miami Dolphins
1:00 PM Detroit Lions Minnesota Vikings
1:00 PM Atlanta Falcons Washington Redskins
4:05 PM Houston Texans Denver Broncos
4:05 PM Los Angeles Chargers Seattle Seahawks
4:25 PM Los Angeles Rams New Orleans Saints
8:20 PM Green Bay Packers New England Patriots
Monday, November 5, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
8:15 PM Tennessee Titans Dallas Cowboys
Some interesting college football games this weekend:
— Iowa (+3) @ Purdue
— Georgia (-9.5) @ Kentucky
— West Virginia (-1) @ Texas
— Stanford (+8.5) @ Washington
— Texas A&M (+5) @ Auburn
— Penn State (+10) @ Michigan
Tweet of the Day
“It costs absolutely nothing to be nice.”
Browns’ OC Freddie Kitchens
Tuesday’s quiz
Terry Francona and John Farrell both won World Series managing the Red Sox; who managed the Red Sox for one season, in between Francona and Farrell?
Monday’s quiz
Tennessee Volunteers play their home football games in Neyland Stadium.
Sunday’s quiz
Utah is known as the Beehive State.
**********************
Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….
13) Rough week to be a coach in Cleveland; Browns fired Hue Jackson Monday, as well as OC Todd Haley. DC Gregg Williams is now the interim coach.
Freddie Kitchens is the new OC; saw an NFL Films segment on Kitchens Monday, on how beloved he is by players he has coached. In these turbulent times, it was great to see.
12) Cleveland Cavaliers started 0-6, then quickly fired coach Tyronn Lue, like it was Lue’s fault that Lebron James skipped town. What did they think was going to happen? Lue gets $13M to take a hike, so at least he walks away with a championship ring and a smile on his face.
11) Terry Francona, John Farrell and Alex Cora all won the World Series in their first year managing the Red Sox.
10) Mets hired agent Brodie Van Wagenen to run their franchise; not sure if that is a good idea or not, but Van Wagenen’s wife’s stepfather is Neil Armstrong, the first man to walk on the moon, so he has that going for him.
9) Dallas Cowboys fired offensive line coach Paul Alexander less than halfway into his first season with the team, the first time HC Jason Garrett fired an assistant coach during a season.
Former Cowboys OL Marc Colombo, who had served as assistant OL coach since 2016, will take over as OL coach. A former Cowboys’ OL coach, 75-year old Hudson Houck is back to work with Colombo and the offensive staff in an advisory role.
USC also fired their offensive line coach Monday; HC Clay Helton is taking over play calling duties, too.
8) Buccaneers named Ryan Fitzpatrick as its starting QB for Sunday’s game at Carolina.
7) On Sunday, Los Angeles became the first city ever to host an MLB (Dodgers), NFL (Rams), NBA (Clippers), and NHL (Kings) game, all on the same day. Those games all happened within five miles of each other.
6) Syracuse football team is ranked in the Top 25 for the first time since 2001.
5) The Mets hired Yoenis Cespedes’ agent to run their franchise; he has never run a ball club before, but obviously has dealt with the Wilpons before, dealing with the Cespedes contract.
I’m guessing that behind closed doors, the Mets’ front office would make a great reality show, and that isn’t a compliment.
4) Game 3 of the World Series lasted 7:20; in 1939, New York swept the Reds 4-0 in the Series- the four games COMBINED lasted 7:04. Seriously.
Boston’s 1-4 batters Friday went a combined 0-28 at the plate; the most hitless AB in any baseball game – regular or postseason, since 1920 by a team’s 1-4 hitters was 0-24 by the 1963 Milwaukee Braves against the Houston Colt 45’s (now the Astros).
3) It surprised me that no team down 3-0 in a World Series has ever even forced a Game 6, much less won the Series. You’d think by this time, just about everything has happened.
2) Red Sox won the World Series, won 119 games; their GM west to Western Michigan, a state school. Just thought I’d mention that.
1) Dodgers’ manager Dave Roberts is a free agent; his contract is up. If you owned the Dodgers, would you give him a new deal? Guy just won the NL pennant two years in a row-I’d re-sign him, but the longer he goes without a deal, the more you wonder.
Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
Tweet of the Day
“I want to develop teams and develop players and build a winner. I want to fit into an organization. At this stage, that’s all I’m interested in.”
Rick Pitino, campaigning for an NBA head coaching job
Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Shaquille O’Neal play his college basketball?
Tuesday’s quiz
Terry Francona and John Farrell both won World Series managing the Red Sox; Bobby Valentine managed the Red Sox for one season, in between Francona and Farrell.
Monday’s quiz
Tennessee Volunteers play their home football games in Neyland Stadium.
*********************
Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings…….
13) Hard to believe that Sunday night’s Packer-Patriot game will be only second time that Aaron Rodgers-Tom Brady have faced each other in a regular season game. Green Bay won the first meeting, 26-21 at home four years ago.
12) Giants’ backup QB Kyle Lauletta was arrested in New Jersey Tuesday morning for a third-degree offense of eluding police as well as obstructing justice and resisting arrest. Lauletta has a history of dangerous driving, according to the Weehawken PD in New Jersey.
The kid hasn’t taken an NFL snap, but drives a Jaguar and apparently not very well; he wasn’t at practice Tuesday, so doubtful he replaces Eli Manning anytime soon.
11) Ben Roethlisberger is playing thru a broken LEFT index finger; non-throwing hand makes it whole lot better, but I’m sure that taking snaps from center still hurts like hell.
10) NFL trades at the deadline Tuesday:
— Broncos traded WR DeMaryus Thomas to the Texans, who they play Sunday.
— Rams acquired pass rusher Dante Fowler from Jacksonville.
— Eagles acquired WR Golden Tate from Detroit.
— Packers traded RB Ty Montgomery to Houston.
9) Buffalo Bills’ QB Derek Anderson (concussion) is out Sunday, meaning that Nathan Peterman gets another start. Line opened at 8.5, is up to 9.5 as I type this (10 at the Wynn), By kickoff on Sunday, line could get to 11 or 12— not lot of support for Peterman out there.
Matt Barkley was signed to be Buffalo’s backup QB; Terrelle Pryor was also signed; he could be a wildcat QB, seeing how he once played QB for the Raiders, before moving to WR. Going to be a long couple months for Bills coaches/fans.
8) Denver QB Case Keenum was with the Texans in 2014; apparently that year coach Bill O’Brien told Keenum that he “would never be more than a 3rd string NFL QB.”
Now that Keenum is making $18M a year playing for the Broncos, wonder what he’ll say to O’Brien Sunday when the Texans visit Denver?
7) A college football player at Maryland passed away during off-season workouts; the coach was suspended, but Tuesday DJ Durkin got his job back, and not everyone is happy about it.
When Durkin addressed the players for the first time, several players walked out, including some starters. Saturday’s home game with Michigan State should be interesting.
6) Marlins’ catcher JT Realmuto has let it be known that he wants to be traded, and will not sign a long-term deal with Miami. He is by far their best player, should bring back a pretty good haul. Good catchers are hard to find.
5) Chicago White Sox turned down P James Shields’ 2019 option, paid him $2M to go away; same thing for Milwaukee with Mike Moustakas, Joakim Soria ($1M each).
4) This isn’t a criticism or a complaint, just a statement of fact: 41.9% of runs scored this in postseason scored on home runs; during the season, 40.3% of runs scored via taters.
3) I don’t think Stephen Curry is getting enough credit for how much he has helped basketball, as a whole; kids see how great a shooter he is and they work more on their games, and now shooting has become so much better. Skilled basketball players are way more fun to watch.
Curry isn’t a dunker; he isn’t huge (6-3, 190), but he is incredibly skilled because he works his butt off on those skills, and that has caught on all over the country. Good for him.
2) Klay Thompson was 14-24 from the arc Monday night in Golden State’s 149-124 win over the Bulls, who are not good. 14 treys is one game is an all-time NBA record. Coming into the game, Thompson was 5-36 from the arc for the season.
Golden State led the Bulls 92-50 at halftime…..at HALFTIME!!!!!
How about competing? Chicago has an awful team…..embarrassing.
1) On NBA.TV, Isiah Thomas was killing the Bulls at halftime; Chicago’s own PR people put out a tweet mocking the team’s first half. No bueno.
Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
We're halfway through the National Football League regular season, and it seems like only yesterday that we were just starting out. All of a sudden there is a chill in the air, the leaves have changed colors in the northern tier and the calendar is about to flip to November. We're also seeing divisional teams start to play each other for the second time this season.
In Week 9, the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens will meet in Charm City, and the Steelers are seeking revenge after a 26-14 setback on their home field earlier in the season on a Sunday night. The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins are meetings under the same circumstances, as the Dolphins picked up a win in New Jersey earlier this season.
This week's most anticipated games will be later Sunday afternoon and on Sunday evening. The Los Angeles Rams and New Orleans Saints meet in a possible playoff preview down on the Bayou, while the Green Bay Packers and New England Patriots hook up in a battle of two potential first-ballot Hall of Fame signal callers in Foxboro.
Thursday, Nov. 1
Oakland Raiders at San Francisco 49ers (-3, 46.5)
There has been very little movement so far on this game. The game did open at 3 1/2 at a few shops like Jerry
s Nugget, Stations and Stratosphere, but they're in line with most every other shop at a flat three as of Tuesday morning. The Raiders have a lot of uncertainty on offense, the 49ers folded late on the road against the Cardinals, and personnel could change at the 4:00 p.m. ET trade deadline on Tuesday, too, which might impact the line slightly.
Sunday, Nov. 4
Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings (-5.5, 50.5)
Speaking of the trade deadline, the Lions might be sellers of WR Golden Tate, although reports say they'd need to be bowled over. The Vikings might be looking to add personnel, so we'll see what happens there.
Most shops opened this game on the 5 1/2 line, although if you really love the Vikings you need to run, not walk, to Treasure Island, as they opened the Vikings at just -4 1/2. There movement on the line has been from an open of 51 down slightly to 50 1/2 across the board, althoug the Wynn still offered the game at 51 at last check.
Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5, 51.5) at Cleveland Browns
Oh those crazy Cleveland Browns. They should be super prepared for the Kansas City Chiefs with an interim head coach and a new offensive coordinator, right? Oct. 29 was Black Monday in 'The Land', as head coach Hue Jackson and dueling offensive coordinator Todd Haley were each shown the door in favor of Gregg Williams, who will stick as the defensive coordinator, too. Freddie Kitchens moves into an OC role for now.
Jerry's Nugget opened this game at -8, it slid to -7 1/2 at one point, and is now back up to -8. The Strat opened at -7 1/2 and it was quickly bet up to -8 1/2. It wouldn't be surprising in the least to see this game peak at double digits before all is said and done. Offshore, Sportsbook.ag is holding steady at -9 if you love the Browns and want more points, while BetOnline.ag sits at -8. This will be one of the more interesting game lines to watch all week.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (-3, 47)
All shops offered this up at -3 with the lone exception being TI, which opened the game at -2 1/2. That was quickly bet up to 3, getting in line with everyone else. While the Steelers are 1-6-1 ATS in the past eight in this series, the road team is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings, and the underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight. Total bettors might start jumping on the 47, too, perhaps driving that down. Last time they met, the teams combined for just 40 points, and the under is 4-0 in the past four meetings in Charm City.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (-7, 54)
The Buccaneers made a switch at QB, going from Jameis Winston to Ryan Fitzpatrick, but Vegas isn't buying Fitz-magic. The line opened at -6 1/2 at most shops and quickly went to a flat 7. Southpoint and Strat opened the game at -6, and you can still get it at less than a touchdown.
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-3, 45)
This line hasn't moved one iota, opening at -3 and staying at -3 throughout the day on Monday. There was some movement on the line, going from 46 to 45 1/2 at Caesars/Harrah's, but Round 2 of this AFC East rivalry hasn't generated a lot of interest as of yet.
Atlanta Falcons at Washington Redskins (-1.5, 47.5)
This line has had a lot of movement during the early going. Caesar's opened at Washington -1 1/2, it slipped to a pick 'em, and now the Redskins are back listed at -1. Most everyone is offering at -1 1/2, and even the Strat, which had the 'Skins at -2 1/2 is down a full point to where everyone else is at the moment. The same holds true with Westgate Superbook, which is down a full point from -2 1/2 to -1 1/2, which the total went down slightly from 48 to 47 1/2, too.
Chicago Bears at Buffalo Bills (OFF)
The books are still dealing with the dumpster fire that is Buffalo's offense. Derek Anderson left the game late with an arm injury, Josh Allen remains sidelined and Nathan Peterman could be thrust into action. There is also the uncertainty of whether Khalil Mack can play for Chicago in the city he played his college ball. Stay tuned.
Houston Texans at Denver Broncos (-2.5, 46)
The Texans are on a roll, winners of five in a row to get to the top of the AFC South. So they're underdogs to the skidding Broncos. Hmm. This game could see personnel changes on offense for the Broncos, as WR Demaryius Thomas can reportedly be had. Watch that closely. Westgate opened this one as a pick 'em and the bread came flowing in on the home team, as now Denver is favored by -2 1/2.
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks (-1.5, 48)
It seems the Seahawks have been flying under the radar and now they're starting to fly high. A big road win in Detroit, 28-14, has them on a roll, although well behind the first-place Rams. Bettors seem to like the Bolts, though, especially coming off a bye. Mirage-MGM opened the game at -1 1/2, and it's down to Seattle -1. Westgate opened at -2 1/2, and it fell all the way to a pick 'em in a matter of a few hours, but going back up to -1 1/2. This is another line to watch with plenty of movement.
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints (-1, 60)
Back on Oct. 29, 2000, the then St. Louis Rams traveled to San Francisco with a line that closed at 61 1/2. That was the highest-ever during the regular season. NFL lines rarely go over 60. Vegas is expecting quite a bit of fireworks under the dome on Sunday afternoon, eh?
The under is 4-1 in the past five for the Saints on field turf, including last week in Minnesota. However, the over is 18-7-1 in the past 26 at home for the Saints, and the over is 4-1 in the past five meetings in NOLA between these two sides.
Going back to that 2000 game, the total amount of points scored that afternoon was 58, slightly under the close.
Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots (-6.5, 57.5)
The line has been holding steady at Patriots -6 1/2 across the board, not that many bettors could feel terribly confident with the offense they saw in Buffalo on Monday night. New England was atrocious, and their leading rusher was WR Cordarrelle Patterson. Changes could be made, though, as again...trade deadline. The Pats are also known to have a plan up their sleeve.
Monday, Nov. 5
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys (-6.5, 41)
The Titans will be the first team to try and slow down WR Amari Cooper in a Cowboys uniform. Both teams come off a bye, and they have the luxury of an extra day of rest, too, with the game being played on Monday.
CG Technology had Dallas listed at -4 1/2 to open, quickly moving to -6. The Strat also opened at -4 1/2, and quickly rose to -6 1/2 in less than 24 hours. Westgate went all the way from -4 to -6 1/2 in about 19 hours. Early bettors are feeling the Cowboys in their Jerry World on Monday night. Meanwhile, the total has tumbled from 42 1/2 to 41 at BetOnline.ag offshore.
Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
It was a NBA focus with this piece last week, as the season was about a week old at the time, and the ATS leaderboard was seemingly flipped upside down. Championship contenders from the West like Golden State, Houston, OKC, and the Lakers were all struggling to cover a number, while many of the expected bottom-feeders in the standings were cashing tickets every night.
Well, a week later and things flipped for many of the teams mentioned on both sides of the coin last week. Cleveland's 2-1 ATS start quickly fell to 3-3 ATS, as the Cavs remain the only winless team (SU) in the league and it cost HC Tyronn Lue his job. New York, Charlotte, and Orlando also had losing weeks against the spread after a hot first seven days, as you had to figure these sub-par teams with lackluster talent were eventually going to fall sooner rather than later.
At the same time, those expected contenders out West are all still in the bottom third of the ATS records league wide at the moment, with OKC just getting their first outright victory on Sunday night. But the 2-9 ATS combined record the Warriors, Lakers, Thunder, and Rockets had last Monday sits at 7-16 ATS a week later, so it was still profitable to be fading all those teams and their inflated point spread numbers.
I'll check back in on the NBA in a few weeks as there is still plenty of basketball to be played – and subsequent data to settle – so it's back to the gridiron this week to take a look at the streaky NFL scenarios worth pointing out.
Who's Hot
Veteran 30+ year-old QB's head into Week 9 on a roll – 5 teams on streaks of 3+ ATS wins
Entering Week 9, we will have five NFL teams who come into the week having covered the spread in at least their last three contests. Those teams would be Seattle (3-0 ATS), New Orleans (5-0 ATS), Washington (3-0 ATS), Denver (3-0 ATS) and Pittsburgh (3-0 ATS). That's quite a strong run for those five organizations, and what they all have in common is some stability at the QB position with signal callers that all 30 years old or older this year (Seattle's Russell Wilson turns 30 at the end of November).
That's not to say that experience runs this league right now, but at the halfway point of the season when teams are really separating themselves one way or another, it clearly doesn't hurt to have your money backing a QB that's been around the league a few times.
What makes a trend like this even more prominent is the fact that in Week 8 alone, of the 11 teams to cover the point spread on Sunday, seven of them finished the game with signal callers in their age 30 year or greater (again counting Russell Wilson as a 30-year old).
Those results are a bit of a throwback to the days when the NFL was a rough place for rookie/young QB's as they either sat on the bench for a few years to learn the intricacies of the game (like Aaron Rodgers) or took their lumps for a year or two and learned via the “trial by fire” method (like Peyton Manning). It's only been in the past decade or so that we've really seen young QB's flourish right out of the gate, and it's probably because of those positive results organizations have experienced going that route that we see more and more teams going with the “trial by fire” method for their presumed future of the franchise QB's.
These ATS results would suggest that there is at least some pullback to those results/expectations for young QB's as it seemingly doesn't hurt to have a veteran chucking the ball around and reading defenses. Those five teams I isolated earlier are all in action in Week 9, with four of the five (everyone but Pittsburgh) at home and laying less than a FG. In games where you've just got to pick the outright winner, chances are backing the likes of Seattle, Denver, New Orleans, and Washington at home in Week 9 with their veteran QB's calling the shots may not be such a bad idea.
Who's Not
Warm weather teams that can't take care of the ball – Bottom four teams in Turnover Margin all have losing ATS records
It should never come as a surprise that when a team turns the ball over frequently that wins (SU or ATS) will be extremely had to come by, but the fact that the four worst teams in turnover margin through eight weeks – Oakland (-6), Jacksonville (-11), San Francisco (-13) and Tampa Bay (-13) all play in warm weather climates isn't the only common bond they all have. Questions at the QB position plague all four of these organizations in 2018, with San Francisco being the only ones with a long-term answer in their pocket once Jimmy Garoppollo comes back.
Now turnovers tend to regress towards the mean through a full 16-game schedule, but can you really be confident in that happening for any of these organizations? Tampa Bay has flipped flopped between QB's all year and appear to be going back to 30+ year-old Ryan Fitzpatrick again, but he originally lost his starting role this year – one that he earned from great play – because of throwing too many INT's with his gunslinger mindset. Fitzpatrick isn't going to change how he plays the game, so chances are Tampa Bay is going to remain at or near the bottom of this turnover margin list.
Jacksonville is one more bad Blake Bortles game away from an all-out mutiny in that locker room, although Bortles wasn't entirely to blame for their loss to the Eagles over in London this week. But the whole is Bortles a capable NFL starting QB debate is not something new for the Jaguars, and they are on the brink of wasting a season with a talented defense simply because the offense can't hold onto the ball and give them a chance. You'd like to think that Bortles development as a NFL player would help him mitigate his turnovers, but that's been his issue throughout his career.
Finally, had Tampa Bay not come back for a back-door cover against the Bengals on Sunday, all four of these teams would be on some brutal ATS streaks at the moment. San Francisco is on a 0-2 ATS run the past two weeks, while Oakland is 0-3 ATS in their last three and Jacksonville is 0-4 ATS in their last four. Hopefully for Jags fans, their team can figure out some of their issues during their bye in Week 9, but we will see either Oakland or San Francisco snap their respective streaks since they meet on TNF this week.
That TNF game may have already been one you were looking to avoid because it's two bad teams going nowhere on a short week, but given the ATS records of the Raiders and 49ers this year, I wouldn't be surprised to see whomever does cover the spread to be gifted the ATS victory thanks to a turnover advantage.
Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
OAKLAND (1 - 6) at SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 7) - 11/1/2018, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 51-83 ATS (-40.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 38-80 ATS (-50.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
DETROIT (3 - 4) at MINNESOTA (4 - 3 - 1) - 11/4/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 63-88 ATS (-33.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY (7 - 1) at CLEVELAND (2 - 5 - 1) - 11/4/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
PITTSBURGH (4 - 2 - 1) at BALTIMORE (4 - 4) - 11/4/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 71-43 ATS (+23.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY (3 - 4) at CAROLINA (5 - 2) - 11/4/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 160-125 ATS (+22.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CAROLINA is 83-51 ATS (+26.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 64-38 ATS (+22.2 Units) in November games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 2-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS (3 - 5) at MIAMI (4 - 4) - 11/4/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 72-101 ATS (-39.1 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
MIAMI is 56-82 ATS (-34.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MIAMI is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA (3 - 4) at WASHINGTON (5 - 2) - 11/4/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 63-96 ATS (-42.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
HOUSTON (5 - 3) at DENVER (3 - 5) - 11/4/2018, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival since 1992.
DENVER is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LA CHARGERS (5 - 2) at SEATTLE (4 - 3) - 11/4/2018, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
SEATTLE is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
LA RAMS (8 - 0) at NEW ORLEANS (6 - 1) - 11/4/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 188-235 ATS (-70.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 188-235 ATS (-70.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 134-185 ATS (-69.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 146-186 ATS (-58.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 68-100 ATS (-42.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-1 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-1 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY (3 - 3 - 1) at NEW ENGLAND (6 - 2) - 11/4/2018, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 33-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 33-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TENNESSEE (3 - 4) at DALLAS (3 - 4) - 11/5/2018, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 51-28 ATS (+20.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Oakland's last 14 games
Oakland is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Francisco's last 11 games
San Francisco is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
San Francisco is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
Sunday. November 4
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games on the road
Detroit is 8-14-3 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 4-7-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Detroit is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 3-6-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Minnesota is 16-5-1 SU in its last 22 games
Minnesota is 16-7-1 ATS in its last 24 games at home
Minnesota is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Chicago Bears
Chicago is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Chicago is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Chicago is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Buffalo Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Buffalo's last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Carolina
Tampa Bay is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Carolina
Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games
Carolina is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games at home
Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay
Carolina is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Cleveland is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
Cleveland is 2-22-1 SU in its last 25 games
Cleveland is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Cleveland is 3-17-1 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cleveland's last 17 games at home
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Jets is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games
NY Jets is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
NY Jets is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of NY Jets's last 23 games on the road
NY Jets is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing Miami
NY Jets is 15-4-1 ATS in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Miami
NY Jets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami Miami Dolphins
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Miami's last 19 games
Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
Miami is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing NY Jets
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Miami is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games
Pittsburgh is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 8-0-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Pittsburgh's last 25 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore Baltimore Ravens
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington Washington Redskins
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of LA Chargers's last 18 games
LA Chargers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
LA Chargers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 9 games on the road
LA Chargers is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
LA Chargers is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing Seattle
LA Chargers is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
LA Chargers is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games at home
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
Houston Texans
Houston is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Houston is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Denver Denver Broncos
Denver is 5-14-1 ATS in its last 20 games
Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games
Denver is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games at home
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Houston
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Rams is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 9 games
LA Rams is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Rams's last 12 games on the road
LA Rams is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
New Orleans is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games at home
New Orleans is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Green Bay is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Green Bay's last 13 games
Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Green Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 8 games on the road
Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing New England
Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England New England Patriots
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New England is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games at home
New England is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
New England is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Green Bay
New England is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
New England is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Monday. November 5
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games on the road
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas Dallas Cowboys
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 11 games
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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