Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh
October 14, 2014
The ACC Coastal may be one of the weaker major conference divisions in the nation, but it has been very competitive the last two years and at this point all seven teams are still legitimately in the running. Pittsburgh and Virginia Tech open the college football weekend Thursday night and the winner of this game will emerge as a serious threat to win the division at 2-1 as both teams have relatively favorable conference schedules.
Match-up: Virginia Tech Hokies at Pittsburgh Panthers
Venue: Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Date: Thursday, October 16, 2014
Time/TV: 7:00 PM ET – ESPN
Line: Virginia Tech -1
Last Meeting: 2013, Virginia Tech (-7) 19-9 at Virginia Tech
Pittsburgh upset Virginia Tech in 2012, the last time the Hokies visited Heinz Field, winning in a 35-17 rout with lopsided yardage as a 10-point underdog after starting the season 0-2. Last season in Blacksburg, it was a different story in a defensive grind as Virginia Tech won 19-9, with the only Pittsburgh touchdown coming with just two minutes left in the game. The Panthers, then with NFL draft pick Tom Savage at quarterback, managed just 210 total yards.
Both teams did very little on the ground in last season’s meeting and run defense has been a strong suit for both teams this season. Pittsburgh is allowing just 3.6 yards per rush while Virginia Tech surrenders only 3.4 yards per rush. That matchup appears to be the key for this game as Pittsburgh rushes for 244 yards per game on 5.3 yards per carry. As usual, Virginia Tech features a strong secondary and is a tough team to pass against. The Hokies have held opposing quarterbacks to less than 45 percent completions this season.
While Logan Thomas was always frustrating as quarterback for Virginia Tech with a tendency to turn the ball over, that problem has not been resolved with junior Michael Brewer leading the team this season. Brewer has 10 touchdown passes while passing for over 1,400 yards in six games, but he has 11 interceptions including at least one in every single game. The passing game has been limited for Pittsburgh under sophomore quarterback Chad Voytik, who has thrown an interception in all five FBS games as well this season.
This is the third season at Pittsburgh for Paul Chryst after being the offensive coordinator at Wisconsin for a number of years. The Panthers have wound up in bowl games each of the last two seasons, going 6-6 in both regular season campaigns as the team is yet to break through with a great season and that does not appear to be happening in 2014. After a 3-0 start including a road win in the ACC opener, Pittsburgh has now lost three straight games. Falling in a close game with Iowa in which the Panthers had a big yardage edge was perhaps forgivable, but in the last two games, Pittsburgh has lost at home against Akron while scoring just 10 points and then lost 24-19 at Virginia in a game that was not as close as the final score.
For Virginia Tech, a season that started with great promise has also soured in what is the 28th season for Frank Beamer on the sidelines. The Hokies scored a sizable upset at highly ranked Ohio State in the second week of the season, but then lost back-to-back home games against East Carolina and Georgia Tech. The Hokies appear to be back on track with consecutive wins, but it has been a while since Beamer has produced a team that has stayed nationally relevant for a full season.
Pittsburgh and Virginia Tech are both 1-1 in ACC play, so while discussion of making the national final four is out, both teams are alive and well in a wide open ACC Coastal division. Virginia is the only team in the division without a loss at this point in the season and it has been a division won with multiple losses each of the last two seasons. North Carolina was actually the favorite to win the division in August and they are the only team in the division without a win in what should truly be a wide open multi-team race that could come down to tiebreakers between multiple 5-3 teams as it did in 2012.
The Pittsburgh season will be defined in the next three games with challenging games in three straight home dates, hosting Georgia Tech and Duke in the following two games. A three-game win streak to cancel out the three-game losing streak that the Panthers are currently on would put Pittsburgh in the Coastal division driver’s seat. Next on the schedule for Virginia Tech is a prominent game with Miami and the schedule does line up well for Virginia Tech relative to its Coastal peers, drawing Boston College and Wake Forest in the two Atlantic games, avoiding Florida State, Clemson, and Louisville.
At this point in the season, Virginia Tech and Pittsburgh have nearly identical scoring figures with both teams posting 183 points and Pittsburgh actually allowing five fewer points through six games. The schedule for Virginia Tech rates slightly more difficult, however, with the high quality road win in Columbus. This may be a more critical game for the Pittsburgh season, needing to stop the slide and get some confidence back and a high profile home win in primetime would be just what the team needs. Virginia Tech has been one of the most consistently successful programs in the nation the last two decades and the Hokies have posted plenty of big primetime wins over the years.
Virginia Tech Historical Trends: The Hokies are 0-5 ATS at Pittsburgh since 1997 and 1-6 ATS in the series in any venue since 1999, losing four of the last five meetings S/U going back to 2001. Virginia Tech is 1-6 ATS as a road favorite since 2012 after going 21-7 ATS as a road favorite from 2004 to 2011.
Pittsburgh Historical Trends: The Panthers are 23-16 ATS as a home underdog since 1996, but just 25-29-1 ATS at home overall since 2006. Pittsburgh is just 3-6-1 ATS at home since the start of last season.
October 14, 2014
The ACC Coastal may be one of the weaker major conference divisions in the nation, but it has been very competitive the last two years and at this point all seven teams are still legitimately in the running. Pittsburgh and Virginia Tech open the college football weekend Thursday night and the winner of this game will emerge as a serious threat to win the division at 2-1 as both teams have relatively favorable conference schedules.
Match-up: Virginia Tech Hokies at Pittsburgh Panthers
Venue: Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Date: Thursday, October 16, 2014
Time/TV: 7:00 PM ET – ESPN
Line: Virginia Tech -1
Last Meeting: 2013, Virginia Tech (-7) 19-9 at Virginia Tech
Pittsburgh upset Virginia Tech in 2012, the last time the Hokies visited Heinz Field, winning in a 35-17 rout with lopsided yardage as a 10-point underdog after starting the season 0-2. Last season in Blacksburg, it was a different story in a defensive grind as Virginia Tech won 19-9, with the only Pittsburgh touchdown coming with just two minutes left in the game. The Panthers, then with NFL draft pick Tom Savage at quarterback, managed just 210 total yards.
Both teams did very little on the ground in last season’s meeting and run defense has been a strong suit for both teams this season. Pittsburgh is allowing just 3.6 yards per rush while Virginia Tech surrenders only 3.4 yards per rush. That matchup appears to be the key for this game as Pittsburgh rushes for 244 yards per game on 5.3 yards per carry. As usual, Virginia Tech features a strong secondary and is a tough team to pass against. The Hokies have held opposing quarterbacks to less than 45 percent completions this season.
While Logan Thomas was always frustrating as quarterback for Virginia Tech with a tendency to turn the ball over, that problem has not been resolved with junior Michael Brewer leading the team this season. Brewer has 10 touchdown passes while passing for over 1,400 yards in six games, but he has 11 interceptions including at least one in every single game. The passing game has been limited for Pittsburgh under sophomore quarterback Chad Voytik, who has thrown an interception in all five FBS games as well this season.
This is the third season at Pittsburgh for Paul Chryst after being the offensive coordinator at Wisconsin for a number of years. The Panthers have wound up in bowl games each of the last two seasons, going 6-6 in both regular season campaigns as the team is yet to break through with a great season and that does not appear to be happening in 2014. After a 3-0 start including a road win in the ACC opener, Pittsburgh has now lost three straight games. Falling in a close game with Iowa in which the Panthers had a big yardage edge was perhaps forgivable, but in the last two games, Pittsburgh has lost at home against Akron while scoring just 10 points and then lost 24-19 at Virginia in a game that was not as close as the final score.
For Virginia Tech, a season that started with great promise has also soured in what is the 28th season for Frank Beamer on the sidelines. The Hokies scored a sizable upset at highly ranked Ohio State in the second week of the season, but then lost back-to-back home games against East Carolina and Georgia Tech. The Hokies appear to be back on track with consecutive wins, but it has been a while since Beamer has produced a team that has stayed nationally relevant for a full season.
Pittsburgh and Virginia Tech are both 1-1 in ACC play, so while discussion of making the national final four is out, both teams are alive and well in a wide open ACC Coastal division. Virginia is the only team in the division without a loss at this point in the season and it has been a division won with multiple losses each of the last two seasons. North Carolina was actually the favorite to win the division in August and they are the only team in the division without a win in what should truly be a wide open multi-team race that could come down to tiebreakers between multiple 5-3 teams as it did in 2012.
The Pittsburgh season will be defined in the next three games with challenging games in three straight home dates, hosting Georgia Tech and Duke in the following two games. A three-game win streak to cancel out the three-game losing streak that the Panthers are currently on would put Pittsburgh in the Coastal division driver’s seat. Next on the schedule for Virginia Tech is a prominent game with Miami and the schedule does line up well for Virginia Tech relative to its Coastal peers, drawing Boston College and Wake Forest in the two Atlantic games, avoiding Florida State, Clemson, and Louisville.
At this point in the season, Virginia Tech and Pittsburgh have nearly identical scoring figures with both teams posting 183 points and Pittsburgh actually allowing five fewer points through six games. The schedule for Virginia Tech rates slightly more difficult, however, with the high quality road win in Columbus. This may be a more critical game for the Pittsburgh season, needing to stop the slide and get some confidence back and a high profile home win in primetime would be just what the team needs. Virginia Tech has been one of the most consistently successful programs in the nation the last two decades and the Hokies have posted plenty of big primetime wins over the years.
Virginia Tech Historical Trends: The Hokies are 0-5 ATS at Pittsburgh since 1997 and 1-6 ATS in the series in any venue since 1999, losing four of the last five meetings S/U going back to 2001. Virginia Tech is 1-6 ATS as a road favorite since 2012 after going 21-7 ATS as a road favorite from 2004 to 2011.
Pittsburgh Historical Trends: The Panthers are 23-16 ATS as a home underdog since 1996, but just 25-29-1 ATS at home overall since 2006. Pittsburgh is just 3-6-1 ATS at home since the start of last season.
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