The bum's 2012 nfl sept. Best bets !

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Monday, September 24

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Green Bay - 8:30 PM ET Seattle +3 500

Seattle - Over 45 500

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Baltimore Ravens At Risk For Letdown Versus Browns

The Baltimore Ravens could be ripe for a physical and emotional letdown when they host the Cleveland Browns on Thursday Night Football.

The NFL Week 4 odds have just been released at Don Best and Baltimore is a sizable 12-point favorite with a total of 44 points. M&T Bank Stadium is the site for the 8:20 p.m. (ET) broadcast on the NFL Network.

Baltimore is breathing a sigh of relief after Sunday night’s 31-30 thrilling home win over New England. The officials were brutal for both teams with 24 total penalties, but the Ravens prevailed with rookie kicker Justin Tucker sneaking in the game-winning field goal as time expired. That was much-needed revenge for last year’s AFC title game loss.

Coach John Harbaugh’s team (2-1 straight up and against the spread) did suffer its first ATS failure this year as 2½-point favorites. All three games have gone ‘over’ the total with the scoring offense (32.7 PPG) ranked second in the league and the defense (22.3 PPG) tied-for-15th.

The defensive figure is more surprising after ranking third last year (16.6 PPG). It hurts that linebacker Terrell Suggs is injured and Jarret Johnson departed as a free agent. Ray Lewis and Ed Reed are playing very well despite their advanced age, but it will be hard for those two and the whole team to bounce back so quickly from New England.

Quarterback Joe Flacco did great in leading the comeback last week. Receiver Torrey Smith had an incredible game (127 yards, two TDS), especially given the fact that his younger brother died less than 24 hours earlier in a motorcycle accident. Smith will likely be very preoccupied leading up to this game.

Baltimore would be smart to concentrate on Ray Rice and the running game. He is averaging a whopping 5.8 yards per pop and has seen his carries increase (10, 16, 20) the last three weeks.

Cleveland (0-3 SU, 1-1-1 ATS) is still winless in coach Pat Shurmur’s second season, the latest being a 24-14 home loss to Buffalo as 2½-point ‘dogs. The team lost the final six games of last season, although was an impressive 5-1 ATS.

Brandon Weeden has a 60.7 quarterback rating (ranked 30th), but has at least played better since the horrendous Week 1 performance against Philly with four picks. The almost 29-year-old rookie from Oklahoma State is not blessed with good weapons and now leading receiver Mohamed Massaquoi (185 yards) is questionable with a hamstring injury.

Running back Trent Richardson was drafted high in the first round to take pressure off the passing game. He’s had one breakout game at Cincinnati (109 yards), but has just 175 rushing yards this season on 3.5 per carry.

Baltimore’s defense should be able to contain Richardson at home and will look to add to Weeden’s six interceptions for the year.

The Browns’ defense continues to struggle at 391.7 YPG (ranked 25th). The four-game suspension of cornerback Joe Haden has really hurt the secondary. The front-seven caught a break with Buffalo running back C.J. Spiller getting hurt last game, but still let up 91 yards to the underwhelming Tashard Choice. That doesn’t bode well against Rice.

Cleveland has lost 8-straight against the Ravens, but covered the last two in Baltimore at around 12-point underdogs each time.

Both matchups went ‘under’ last year and it’s 5-1 in the last six between the teams. The ‘under’ is 11-3-1 in the Browns last 15 games overall.

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Books dominate weekend

September 24, 2012

The Las Vegas sports books had one of those epic type of weekends, where three or four years down the road when discussing some of their biggest winning weeks, they’ll always refer back to Week 3 of the 2012 season. Between Saturday’s college football action and Sunday’s NFL slate, the recreational bettor -- the type that comprises the majority of the handle -- never had a chance.

There were some instances of bettors changing their habits a little by siding with a few underdogs, but for the most part, it’s not easy for them to bet against the favorites they all know and love. Saturday’s college action saw the favorites go 17-28-2 against-the-spread, and it got even worse Sunday when almost every elite favorite went down for the count, going 4-10 ATS.

The underdogs didn’t just cover the spread, a large portion of them also won outright, which not only rakes in a ton of win through parlays, but also wipes out the bulk of all teaser and money-line plays. Fourteen of the 28 underdogs that covered in college won outright. Eight of the 10 ’dogs that covered in the pros won straight-up, an obscene amount that is nearly comparable to an eclipse occurring.

Saturday’s college action was helped by some of the top-ranked college teams not covering, such as Alabama, LSU, Florida State, and Oklahoma. Bettors also took it on the chin when they surprisingly sided No. 23 Arizona at No. 3 Oregon, taking the 23 points, only to watch their attempt at adapting to recent trends blow up in their face when Oregon rolled, 49-0 for their first cover of the season.

One of the sports books' biggest wins on Saturday was when No. 19 UCLA lost at home as a seven-point favorite to Oregon State, 27-20. The Bruins had covered all three of their games this season, and looked to be a changed team under Jim Mora Jr., putting all kinds of points of the board and covering easily, traits bettors love to see. It didn’t matter that sharp money had backed the Beavers, pushing the line from 9 ½ to 7 early in the week, because the bettors were enamored with what UCLA did the first three weeks.

When the bettors regrouped their thought process and went to the ATM to reload funds, they came into Sunday’s action full of confidence. Many reports around town say that Sunday’s handle was above Week 3 last season, continuing an upswing through the first three weeks.

In Week 2, the NFL teams showed a glimpse of how anything can happen on any given day with six underdogs winning outright. That should have been a nice introductory course on how to handle Week 3, but instead, their process went like this: the 49ers look indestructible, the Saints can’t start off 0-3, the Jaguars might be one of the worst teams in football and if they’re not, the Titans are.

The 49ers were the most lopsided one-way action of the day, laying seven points on the road at Minnesota. The majority of the betting public had the 49ers on at least one of their tickets, if not all of them, as one of the gimmes of the day. The public likes to bet what they saw last, and wiping out two playoff teams -- the Packers and Lions -- was a pretty impressive resume. The Vikings controlled the game from the outset, winning 24-13 in a game that was probably one of the least competitive on the day.

The Saints are one of the biggest mysteries of all, and this last of act of theirs, may have finally had the last bettor jumping off their wagon. Last season they covered all nine of their home games, a hard habit to break for bettors that had been cashing in on them. On Sunday, beyond not covering, they also lost in overtime, at home, 27-24 to the Chiefs, one of the least respected teams in the bettors’ mind.

Those two games alone would have been enough for the sports books to salvage a winning day. The 49ers were the root of most every parlay and the Saints were the second. But things got even better for the books. The Titans, who have looked uncompetitive in their first two games, played inspired and beat the Lions, 44-41 as 4-point ‘dogs. The Bengals were getting three points in Robert Griffin III’s home debut at Washington and won, 38-31. The Jaguars beat the Colts, 22-17 as a three-point dog with some more impressive late game heroics by Blaine Gabbert.

If a bettor had bet a five-team money-line parlay with those underdogs, $10 would have fetched $3,034, or at least got them to the books’ cap price on off-the-board parlays. It’s hard for people to change their patterns, but we have witnessed almost the same thing happen the past two weeks.

Is it likely to continue? Probably not, it could just be one of those things the sports books loves that keeps bettors guessing. What is likely to happen is as soon as bettors start sided with the dogs more, the cycle will shift, lines won’t be as inflated, and the favorites begin to go on a run. When that happens, the books won’t be as hurt as much in the past because a portion of their patrons will have come up with new strategies to try and beat the number.

During the afternoon games, we started to see a shift in the public betting patterns as they sided with two underdogs, the Cardinals and Falcons. Granted, both aren’t your average underdog, but both were getting three points and found lots of support. Even though those wins were small consolations on the day, the bettors didn’t have anything live going into them so instead of paying 20-to-1 on a five-team parlay, they maybe only paid out 10/11 on a straight bet or 13-to-5 on a two-teamer.

By the time the big Sunday night came out between the Patriots and Ravens, bettors were either busted or had to run to the ATM again. Wouldn’t you know it, the majority sided with the Ravens laying 2 ½ points. The Ravens won 31-30, but didn’t cover. The books win again and it was the ultimate cherry on top of the days‘ sundae, a weekend that will be hard to top for the remaining 14 weeks.

Hang in there folks, it will get better.

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Close Calls - Week 3

September 24, 2012

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the 4th quarter last week in a wild Week 3 in the NFL. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows, get the details in this weekly column.

Chicago Bears (-7) 23, St. Louis Rams 6 (42): The Bears led just 10-6 entering the 4th quarter and the Rams appeared to be gaining some momentum despite very limited offensive production on the day. Chicago tacked on a field goal early in the final frame and then got the game-changing play it needed with a 45-yard interception return for a touchdown with nine minutes to go to put the game out of reach.

Dallas Cowboys (-7) 16, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10 (45½): Dallas nearly doubled Tampa Bay’s yardage for the game, but Dallas only led 10-7 after a scoreless third quarter filled with two Tony Romo fumbles, both that needed questionable overturns on challenges. Tampa Bay kept holding Dallas to field goals to stay in the game and Dallas took a 16-7 lead with less than three minutes to go in the game to get past the spread after a 22-yard field goal. Tampa Bay was backed up deep, but hit a huge pass play on a miracle 4th and long heave to keep the game alive and eventually setup a spread-stealing field goal with less than a minute to go.

Tennessee Titans (+4) 44, Detroit Lions 41 (47): The Titans led by four entering the fourth quarter and the total was still well ‘under’ at that point before a remarkable finish ensued. Detroit got a field goal to get within one early in the fourth but then there was no scoring until less than seven minutes to go. The Lions found the end zone and hit the two-point conversion to push the lead to seven points. The Titans answered immediately with a 105-yard kickoff return touchdown. Tennessee got the ball back and Nate Washington made an amazing catch and broke away for 71 yards and a score to put the underdog Titans up by seven, then with just over a minute to go Tennessee got a 72-yard fumble return touchdown. Those on the underdog Titans were certainly feeling good with a 14-point lead. Even with Calvin Johnson scoring a touchdown with 18 seconds left, there was little worry, but the Lions got the onside kick and then incredibly hit a deflected Hail Mary pass for a touchdown and overtime. The Titans got the ball first and aided by a misapplied penalty got the go-ahead field goal. The Lions went right down the field, but then opted to go for it on 4th-and-one deep in Tennessee territory, eschewing the tying field goal. Backup QB Shaun Hill bobbled the snap on the sneak call and the game finally ended.

New York Jets (-2½) 23, Miami Dolphins 20 (40½): The Dolphins led 17-10 entering the 4th quarter and the ‘under’ also looked in good shape. New York eventually took a three-point lead with about three minutes to go, getting past or right at the spread for the first time in the game. Miami would rally for the tie with a late field goal, however to force overtime. The Jets got the ball first but eventually had to punt, leaving Miami the opportunity to win with just a field goal under the new OT rules. Miami was able to complete a few big plays and got to the New York 30-yard line, but Dan Carpenter missed his second field goal of the game. The Jets hit a big pass play down the sidelines to Santonio Holmes and the winning field goal was pushed through for New York, getting a win or at least a push for those on the slight road favorite, and also pushing the total just ‘over’.

Kansas City Chiefs (+8½) 27, New Orleans Saints 24 (51½): New Orleans led this game 24-6 late in the third quarter, but Jamaal Charles broke a 91-yard run to bring the margin to just 11 points and turning the tide in the game. Kansas City played an inspired fourth quarter, delivering three field goal drives and also getting a safety. The final field goal came with three seconds left to send the game to overtime. Kansas City moved into New Orleans territory, but had to punt on the opening possession, while New Orleans then went three-and-out. There was some drama on the next drive as the on-field ruling gave the Saints a fumble return touchdown, but the egregiously bad call was overturned in the replay system. On the next play, the Chiefs boldly went for it on fourth down near midfield and got it, and then marched deep into Saints territory, lining up the game-winning field goal and sending the Saints to 0-3.

Buffalo Bills (-3) 24, Cleveland Browns 14 (45): The Bills had a big early lead in this game, but Cleveland closed to three points late in the third quarter. Both teams threatened in the fourth, but the Bills struck with a nine-yard touchdown pass to go up by 10. The final two drives for the Browns ended in interceptions and the Bills opted to take a knee with a lot of time on the clock at the Cleveland one-yard line, enraging those that were on the ‘over’ in the game.

Oakland Raiders (+4) 34, Pittsburgh Steelers 31 (45): The Steelers led 31-21 entering the 4th quarter, but the Raiders cut that margin to three early in the fourth. Pittsburgh moved the ball nicely on the next drive, but an Antonio Brown fumble gave the Raiders new life. Oakland got the tying field goal with six minutes to go and then held on defense to get a shot at the win, setting up Sebastian Janikowski for the 43-yard game winner to get into the win column.

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Double-Digit Trends

September 25, 2012

It's well known in handicapping circles that the NFL is the most difficult sport to beat and this year's regular season backs up that statement, at least for the betting public.
Through three weeks of action, underdogs have produced an overall record of 28-19-1 (60%) against the spread, which includes an eye opening 11-5 (69%) mark in Week 3. So what should bettors expect going forward?

VegasInsider.com handicapper Marc Lawrence explains that you should always expect the unexpected in the NFL.

He said, "You're never as good as you are in your best win and at the same time never as bad in your worst loss."

Put simply, NFL teams have good and bad weeks and the margins should never be emphasized. Unfortunately, most pundits in television and radio put a lot of stock into blowout victories and losses, which often misleads the betting public.

With the help of Lawrence, we broke down the first 48 games and found some intriguing results when it comes to double-digit victories.

After three weeks, we've seen 14 wins by 10 or more points.

In the following game, the team that has lost by double digits has produced a 12-2 straight up record. For betting purposes, those clubs have gone 10-3-1 against the spread.

Double-Digit Losers - Week 1
Outcome Week 2 Result
Team Week 1 Loss SU ATS

Tennessee 13-34 vs. New England L L
Miami 10-30 @ Houston W W
Kansas City 24-40 vs. Atlanta L L
Indianapolis 21-41 @ Chicago W W
Buffalo 28-48 @ N.Y. Jets W W
Cincinnati 13-44 @ Baltimore W P
Pittsburgh 19-31 @ Denver W W

Double-Digit Losers - Week 2
Outcome Week 3 Result
Team Week 2 Loss SU ATS

Chicago 10-23 @ Green Bay W W
Jacksonville 7-27 @ Houston W W
Kansas City 17-35 @ Buffalo W W
N.Y. Jets 10-27 @ Pittsburgh W W
Tenneessee 10-38 @ San Diego W W
Oakland 13-35 @ Miami W W
Dallas 7-27 @ Seattle W L


And if you delve deeper into the above table, you could take out the results from the Buffalo-Kansas City matchup in Week 2 since both teams were coming off double-digit losses. If you do that, the numbers are 11-1 SU and 9-2-1 ATS.
While it's safe to say that the league as a whole has rebounded from rough losses, it's also fair to say that teams have had trouble duplicating big wins. According to Lawrence, clubs off double-digit wins are 5-9 SU and 6-8 ATS. And if you take out the matchups where two teams meet off wins by 10-plus points, the number dips to 3-7 SU and 4-6 ATS. (Denver-Atlanta, Green Bay-Seattle).

Double-Digit Winners - Week 1
Outcome Week 2 Result
Team Week 1 Win SU ATS

Chicago 41-21 vs. Indianapolis L L
N.Y. Jets 48-28 vs. Buffalo L L
New England 34-13 at Tennessee L L
Atlanta 40-24 vs. Kansas City W W
Houston 30-10 vs. Miami W W
Denver 31-19 vs. Pittsburgh L L
Baltimore 44-13 vs. Cincinnati L W

Double-Digit Winners - Week 2
Outcome Week 3 Result
Team Week 2 Win SU ATS

Green Bay 23-10 vs. Chicago L L
Miami 35-13 vs. Oakland L L
Houston 27-7 at Jacksonville W W
Seattle 27-7 vs. Dallas W W
Pittsburgh 27-10 vs. N.Y. Jets L L
San Diego 38-10 vs. Tennessee L L
Buffalo 35-17 vs. Kansas City W W

Will these trends continue?
Only time will tell but the below table lists the 12 teams that were involved in the six decisions from Week 3 that were decided by more than 10 points. Of those 12, we'll have two matchups where a team that lost by double digits will be facing a team that won by double digits. Carolina will visit Atlanta, while Philadelphia hosts the N.Y. Giants.

Week 3 Double-Digit Winners & Losers
Loser Week 4 Opponent Winner Week 4 Opponent

Carolina @ Atlanta N.Y. Giants @ Philadelphia
St. Louis vs. Seattle Chicago @ Dallas
San Francisco @ N.Y. Jets Minnesota @ Detroit
Cleveland @ Baltimore Buffalo vs. New England
San Diego @ Kansas City Atlanta vs. Carolina
Philadelphia vs. N.Y. Giants Arizona vs. Miami

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Browns at Ravens

September 26, 2012

Following a nail-biting 31-30 win over New England on Sunday night, Baltimore is poised to host division-rival Cleveland on Thursday night at home.

As of early Wednesday, most books had Baltimore (2-1 straight up, 2-1 against the spread) favored by 12 ½ or 13 with the total at 43 ½. Bettors can take the Browns to win outright for a lucrative plus-550 payout (risk $100 to win $550).

John Harbaugh’s club rallied from a 30-21 fourth-quarter deficit to beat the Patriots on Justin Tucker’s 27-yard field goal as time expired. Joe Flacco completed 28-of-39 passes for 382 yards and three touchdowns compared to one interception.

Flacco’s favorite target was second-year wide receiver Torrey Smith, who played despite the fact that his 19-year-old younger brother was killed in a motorcycle crash Saturday night. In honor of his late brother, Smith hauled in six receptions for 127 yards and two touchdowns.

Ray Rice rushed 20 times for 101 yards and one score, a seven-yard scamper to paydirt early in the third quarter. Rice also had five catches for 49 yards.

For the season, Flacco is second in the NFL with 913 passing yards. He has completed 64.5-percent of his throws with a 6/2 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Flacco has a QB rating of 101.1, which is notable because his career-best rating is 93.6.

Rice is seventh in the NFL with 268 rushing yards and is tied for the league lead with three rushing TDs. Rice is averaging 5.8 yards per carry.

Cleveland (0-3 SU, 1-1-1 ATS) and New Orleans are the NFL’s only winless teams left. The Browns have losses vs. Philadelphia (17-16), at Cincinnati (34-27) and vs. Buffalo (24-14). They covered the spread as home underdogs against the Eagles, pushed in the loss to the Bengals and failed to cover as 2 ½-point ‘dogs against the Bills.

Since throwing four interceptions in a nightmare Week 1 performance, Cleveland rookie quarterback Brandon Weeden has played much better. The Oklahoma St. product threw for 322 yards and a pair of TDs without an interception against the Bengals.

Weeden was picked off twice by Buffalo, but he did throw for 237 yards and a 22-yard scoring strike to rookie Travis Benjamin.

Cleveland rookie RB Trent Richardson was limited during training camp with a knee problem, and he was held to just 27 rushing yards on 12 carries against the Bills. Richardson was also held in check against the Eagles, but he produced his first 100-yard rushing game against the Bengals by rushing for 107 yards on 19 carries.

Richardson has rushed for 175 yards and two TDs, averaging just 3.5 yards per carry. He has 11 catches for 65 yards and one score.

Dating back to last season, the Browns have lost nine in a row and 12 of their last 13. However, they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games.

Baltimore has won eight in a row over Cleveland, compiling a 6-2 spread record in the process. The Ravens have been favored by double digits in four of those eight contests, going 2-2 ATS.

The ‘over’ has been a winner in all three of Baltimore’s games this year. The ‘under’ is 2-1 for the Browns. In the last six head-to-head meetings between these AFC North rivals, the ‘under’ has cashed at a 5-1 clip.

Cleveland starting cornerback Joe Haden is ‘out’ as he continues to serve a four-game suspension from the NFL. WR Mohamed Massaquoi (9 catches for 145 yards) left the Buffalo game with a hamstring injury and sat out Tuesday’s practice. However, according the Cleveland Plain-Dealer, the coaching staff is optimistic that he’ll play at Baltimore.

The NFL Network will have the telecast at 8:20 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--There are five home underdogs in Week 4: Jets +4 vs. 49ers, Bills +4 vs. Patriots, Chiefs +1 vs. Chargers, Rams +2.5 vs. Seahawks and Jags +2.5 vs. Bengals.

--Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan owns a 46-19 career record in games he’s started.

--With last week’s win at San Diego, the Falcons have won all six games they have played in the Pacific time zone since Mike Smith took over as head coach.

--Sportsbook.ag has updated its futures to win this year’s Super Bowl. The Texans are the plus-350 ‘chalk,’ followed by the 49ers (5/1), Falcons (7/1), Ravens (8/1), Packers (9/1), Patriots (10/1) and the Giants (18/1).

--The Browns are 200/1 long-shots to hoist the Lombardi Trophy at the offshore betting shop. They are joined with the longest NFL odds by the Colts, Jaguars, Rams and Dolphins.

--There aren’t many believers in the 2-1 Vikings, as evidenced by their 100/1 odds to win the Super Bowl at Sportsbook.

--Baltimore has the second-shortest odds to win the AFC with 4/1 odds. The Texans are the plus-140 ‘chalk.’

--Green Bay, New England and New Orleans have combined to post a 2-7 record to date. Who saw that coming?

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NFL Tech Trends - Week 4

September 26, 2012

College Football Trends

Thursday, Sept. 27 - NFL, 8:25 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Brownies haven't beaten Ravens SU since 2007 (Billick's days; 8 straight up losses to John Harbaugh), but lately this has been a visitor series with road team covering last five. Series also "under" 5 of last 6, and Cleveland "under" 11-6-1 since LY. "Under" and slight to Browns, based on series road and "totals" trends.

Sunday, Sept. 30 - All games to start at 1:00 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Belichick had a 15-game SU win streak over Buffalo snapped in the first meeting last season. Pats 11-5-1 last 17 vs. Bills. Belichick, based on series and team trends.

Lions 1-9 vs. line last 10 since mid 2011 and 3-12 last 15 on board since losing to 49ers in mid-Oct. 2011. Lions also "over" 25-13-2 last 40 since late 2009. Slight to "over," based on "totals" trends.

Falcs have won and covered all four meetings since 2010, including both vs. Cam LY. Falcs 10-4-1 vs. spread last 15 at Georgia Dome since early 2010. Falcons, based on series trends.

Harbaugh 14-6-1 vs. line since taking over 49ers LY. Rexy has covered just 3 of last 11 on board since mid 2011. Jets also "over" 5-1 last 6 as host. 49ers and slight to "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

Chiefs have beaten Norv last two years at Arrowhead and are 5-1 vs. number since 2009 vs. Bolts. Norv 4-11 as road chalk first half of season since 2007. Chiefs, based on series trends.
Kubiak won and covered both meetings LY and is 17-5 vs. number since late in 2010 campaign. Texans also "under" 15-6 since LY. Texans and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

Pete Carroll has won and covered last three vs. Rams. Carroll 15-7 vs. points last 21 on board since late 2010. Seahawks, based on team and series trends.

Sunday, Sept. 30 - Games to start at 4:05 p.m. and 4:25 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Whisenhunt 10-2 SU last 12 and 10-3 vs. spread since mid 2011. Cards "under" 8-3-1 last 12 since mid 2011, Miami "under" 13-6 since 2011. "Under" and Cards, based on "totals" and team trends.

Raiders had won and covered 4 straight in series prior to Tebow's win LY at Coliseum, 38-24. Last five "over" in series, Broncos "over" 29-13 since late '09. "Over," based on "totals" trends.

Cincy "over" 13-6-1 since 2011, and this matchup was "over" LY (30-20 Bengals win last Oct. 9 at JV). "Over," based on "totals" trends.

Saints now 0-3 SU and vs. line in 2012, and "over" 14-8 last 22 since late 2010. Pack "over" 14-6 last 20 since late 2010 and 12-4 vs. line last 16 at Lambeau. "Over" and Pack, based on "totals" and team trends.

Schiano has covered first 3 as Bucs reverse form from late LY when dropping 9 of last 10 vs. line (and 10 in a row SU). But Bucs still just 1-12 last 13 SU. Shan 7-4 vs. line last 11 away, and "over" 8-2 last 10 since late LY. "Over" and Skins, based on "totals" and team trends.

Sunday, Sept. 30 - NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Andy Reid has won and covered 7 of last 8 vs. Coughlin, although road teams won and covered both games LY. But Reid just 4-10 last 14 as chalk. And G-Men have covered their last 6 away from home. Giants, based on team trends.

Monday, Oct. 1 - ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Dallas 4-18-1 in favorite role since 2010. Cowboys also just 5-12 last 16 vs. points at Jerry Jones Stadium since 2010. Cowboys also "under" 14-6 last 19 since late 2010. Bears and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

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NFL Week 4 Preview: Browns at Ravens

CLEVELAND BROWNS (0-3)

at BALTIMORE RAVENS (2-1)


Kickoff: Thursday, 8:35 p.m. EDT
Line: Baltimore -13, Total: 43½

Baltimore looks for a ninth straight series victory over Cleveland when the AFC North foes clash on Thursday night at M&T Bank Stadium.

QB Brandon Weeden and the Browns’ struggling offense could be in for a long night in this matchup. The rookie has been quite shaky through his first three NFL games, and a road start in Baltimore is an incredibly tough environment. The Ravens figure to utilize their up-tempo, no-huddle offense even more in this one in order to maximize possessions and keep Cleveland from shortening the game. Baltimore is coming off an emotional win over New England, with WR Torrey Smith having a career night (127 yards, 2 TD) less than 24 hours after losing his brother in a motorcycle accident.

Can the Ravens cover this hefty spread against the Browns? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the ******* Experts picks for every NFL game throughout the 2012 season and playoffs.

Weeden actually had his best game of the young season on the road, when he threw for 322 yards, 2 TD and 0 INT at Cincinnati in Week 2. But he regressed last week at home in a 24-14 loss to Buffalo, throwing for just 5.5 yards per attempt with 1 TD and 2 INT. Same goes for RB Trent Richardson who rushed for 109 yards (5.7 YPC) against the Bengals, but just 27 yards (2.3 YPC) against the Bills. Richardson will have to be much better as the clear focal point of this Browns offense, likely handling the football 20+ times per game. Many of these touches could be in the passing game, where Baltimore surrenders 290 passing YPG (fifth-most in NFL). Cleveland could be without top receiver Mohamed Massaquoi, who is questionable with a hamstring injury. WR/KR Josh Cribbs (knee) and TE Alex Smith (concussion) are also questionable for Thursday. Defensively, the Browns have done some good things, like forcing seven turnovers (five versus Philadelphia) and holding the past two opponents to a combined 218 yards on 49 carries (4.4 YPC). However, Cleveland clearly misses suspended CB Joe Haden, as the team has surrendered 269 passing YPG (sixth-most in NFL).

The Ravens figure to use a steady diet of Ray Rice on Thursday night, especially considering he piled up 349 total yards in the two meetings with the Browns last year. Rice is also coming off 150 total yards against New England and has averaged 5.8 yards per carry this season. He also has 11 catches in the past two weeks, helping QB Joe Flacco compile 913 passing yards (2nd in NFL). Flacco has thrown 6 TD and just 2 INT this season, and is coming off a huge 382-yard, 3-TD outburst against the Patriots. Although he is 8-0 all-time versus Cleveland, his numbers in this series are pretty ordinary: 1,528 passing yards (191 YPG), 10 TD, 4 INT. There was nothing ordinary about Torrey Smith’s performance just hours after his 19-year-old brother died in a motorcycle accident. Smith caught six passes for 127 yards and 2 TD against New England. The Ravens defense has struggled without reigning Defensive Player of the Year OLB Terrell Suggs, allowing 401 total YPG (27th in NFL). However, Baltimore has held Cleveland to a mere 11.3 PPG and 256 total YPG in the past three meetings.

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NFL
Short Sheet

Week 4

Thursday, September 27, 2012

Cleveland at Baltimore, 8:20 ET NFL
Cleveland: 13-5 Under in all games
Baltimore: 9-1 ATS in home games after a win by 3 or less


Sunday, September 30, 2012

New England at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
New England: 13-4 ATS in road games
Buffalo: 10-2 Over as an underdog

Minnesota at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Minnesota: 0-6 ATS off a home win
Detroit: 9-2 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs

Carolina at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Carolina: 40-23 Under in the first month
Atlanta: 1-12 ATS at home after 3 wins ATS

San Francisco at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
San Francisco: 6-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite
NY Jets: 9-1 Over off a road win

San Diego at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
San Diego: 0-7 ATS where the total is between 42.5 and 45
Kansas City: 13-3 ATS after playing their last game on the road

Tennessee at Houston, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 11-2 Under in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49
Houston: 7-0 ATS after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game

Seattle at St. Louis, 1:00 ET
Seattle: 8-1 ATS after playing a game at home
St. Louis: 5-13 ATS in all lined games

Miami at Arizona, 4:05 ET
Miami: 13-4 Under in road lined games
Arizona: 5-15 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins

Oakland at Denver, 4:05 ET
Oakland: 6-0 ATS in road games versus division opponents
Denver: 51-29 Over as a home favorite of 7 points or less

Cincinnati at Jacksonville, 4:05 ET
Cincinnati: 4-17 ATS after allowing 200 or more rushing yards last game
Jacksonville: 10-2 ATS after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half

New Orleans at Green Bay, 4:25 ET
New Orleans: 32-17 Over against NFC North division opponents
Green Bay: 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread

Washington at Tampa Bay, 4:25 ET
Washington: 12-2 ATS in road games after gaining 175 or more rushing yards
Tampa Bay: 50-28 Under in the first month of the season

NY Giants at Philadelphia, 8:30 ET NBC
NY Giants: 9-2 ATS as an underdog
Philadelphia: 6-0 Under versus division opponents


Monday, October 1, 2012

Chicago at Dallas, 8:35 ET ESPN
Chicago: 6-0 ATS in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3
Dallas: 1-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins


** Week 4 Byes: Indianapolis, Pittsburgh **

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NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 4

Thursday's game
Browns (0-3) @ Ravens (2-1)—Short week for both teams; Ravens playing with heavy hearts after burial of Torrey Smith’s brother, and with possible letdown after emotional revenge win over Patriots- they’ve beaten Cleveland eight times in row and 19 of 26 overall, with six of those eight wins by 10+ points. Browns lost last four visits here by average score of 26-11. Since 2007, Ravens are just 4-8-1 vs spread as a divisional home favorite; they’re 1-7 in last eight games as double digit favorite. Last two Baltimore games were both decided by a single point. Browns lost Weeden’s first three starts by 1-7-10 points; they were down 7 at half in all three games. Cleveland is 7-4 vs spread in last 11 games as divisional road dogs. Average total in last six series games, 32.0. All three Baltimore games this season went over total. Divisional home favorites are 4-2 vs spread, so far this season.

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NFL

Week 4

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Tale of the tape: Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens
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The AFC North steps into the Thursday night spotlight when the Cleveland Browns visit the Baltimore Ravens. We break down the offenses, defenses and special teams and give you a tale of the tape for Thursday Night Football.

Offense

The Ravens’ new no-huddle attack is getting the job done, ranked fourth in yards and second in scoring, averaging over 32 points a game. Baltimore unleashed its down-field attack versus New England last Sunday night, putting up 382 yards and three scores – two of which went to budding WR Torrey Smith, who played Week 3 with a heavy heart following the death of his brother.

The Browns offense took a step back last week after a promising effort versus Cincinnati. Cleveland is averaging only 19 points on 296.3 yards per game – both ranked 26th in the league. Rookie QB Brandon Weeden told reporters he’s going to be looking for big strikes against the Ravens defense, after posting no completion over 27 yards through the first three games. Weeden has a 3-to-6 TD-to-INT ratio and has been sacked eight times. Fellow first-year stud, RB Trent Richardson, took a step backwards in Week 3 following his first 100-yard effort in against Cincy.

Edge: Baltimore


Defense

While the identity of the Ravens has swung a bit from hard-nosed defense to free-wheelin’ offense, the heart and soul of Baltimore football remains the stop unit. The Ravens defense features staples like S Ed Reed and LB Ray Lewis, but these players may be getting on in age. Baltimore is ranked 27th in yards allowed, giving up more than 400 per game so far. The Ravens, however, do cause chaos, recovering three fumbles, picking off three passes and sacking the QB eight times.

Cleveland has been picked apart by opponents’ passing games through the first three weeks of the schedule, allowing 269 yards through the air an outing - 27th in the NFL. The Browns watched Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick connect for three TDs last week and failed to record a sack after picking up six against the Bengals. They do, however, lead the league with five interceptions – two coming from LB D'Qwell Jackson.

Edge: Baltimore


Special teams

The Ravens special teams came away with a controversial field goal in the final seconds versus New England. Baltimore kicker Justin Tucker is 7 for 7 on FG attempts, hitting three between 40-49 yards and two of 50-plus. The Ravens kick coverage isn’t great, ranked 27th in kickoffs and 24th in punts. They haven’t been outstanding in returning kicks either.

The Browns' kick coverage has been one of the biggest weaknesses for the club this season. Cleveland watched Pacman Jones go 81 yards for a punt return TD in Week 2 and have allowed an average of 24.8 yards on their six punts this season. Kickoff coverage is a little better, allowing 25.1 yards per kickoff. Josh Cribbs is still a return threat and sits eighth in average kickoff return yards and seventh in punt return yards. Kicker Phil Dawson is 5 for 5 on FG attempts, including two between 40-49 yards.

Edge: Tie


Word on the street

"Not to be cocky or talking mess, but if you're an athlete or you're a competitor, why would you stand down for anybody?" Richardson said. "I know Ray Lewis is going to come at me and I'm going to come right back at him. That's just football. He knows what football's about and I know what football's about, we've been playing it for years. Both of us are going to give all we can." – Browns RB Trent Richardson, about his matchup with veteran LB Ray Lewis.

"I never liked it when the Thursday night game came out," Reed told the Ravens' official website. "It's all about money. Like I said, it's out of my hands." – Ravens S Ed Reed, about how the Thursday game has Baltimore playing four games in 17 days.

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NFL

Week 4

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Thursday Night Football: Browns at Ravens
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Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-13, 43.5)

The Baltimore Ravens won't have much time to enjoy last week's thrilling win, as they make a quick turnaround to host the Cleveland Browns on Thursday.

The Ravens are coming off an emotional 31-30 victory over New England on Sunday night, a game in which they racked up 503 total yards and rallied from an early 13-0 deficit. Trying to keep up with Baltimore's explosive offense will be a challenge for the Browns, who start rookies at quarterback (Brandon Weeden) and running back (Trent Richardson).

The Browns have averaged just 296 total yards per game during an 0-3 start, and they managed only 240 yards in Sunday's 24-14 home loss to Buffalo. Cleveland has lost nine straight dating to last season. To snap the skid, the Browns will have to end an eight-game losing streak against Baltimore dating to 2007. Only two games during the streak have been decided by a touchdown or less.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE: Baltimore opened as a 12-point favorite and has been bet up to -13. The total has moved from 44 to 23.5 since opening.

WEATHER: There is a chance of rain in Baltimore Thursday night, with the forecast calling for a 43 percent chance later in the evening. Temperatures will dip into the low 60s and winds are expected to reach speeds of 5 mph, blowing east from corner to corner.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Over 58 percent of players are on Baltimore. 50.6 percent is on the under.

ABOUT THE BROWNS (0-3, 1-1-1 ATS): Cleveland has managed to stay in games so far this season, but it hasn't been able to finish. The Browns dropped a tough 17-16 loss to the Eagles in Week 1, fell 34-27 to Cincinnati in Week 2 and couldn't overcome an awful first quarter last week against Buffalo. The defense has been solid, especially against the pass, but the young offense hasn't been able to keep up.

ABOUT THE RAVENS (2-1, 2-1 ATS): Quarterback Joe Flacco is off to a strong start with a 101.1 rating after passing for 913 yards with six touchdowns and two interceptions through three games. Ray Rice notched his first 100-yard rushing game of the season against the Patriots with 101 yards and a touchdown on 20 carries. He could be a handful for a Browns defense that was gashed by Buffalo backs C.J. Spiller and Tashard Choice last week.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Browns are 2-6 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Baltimore's defense, which has been dominant for so long, might have finally lost a step. The Ravens rank 27th in the league in total defense, allowing 401.3 yards per game, but they have forced six turnovers.

2. Weeden, the 22nd pick in this year's draft, looked overmatched in Week 1 but has quickly improved. He has completed 56.5 percent of his passes for 677 yards with three touchdowns and six interceptions.

3. Ravens WR Torrey Smith matched a career-high with six catches totaling 127 yards and two touchdowns Sunday, just hours after learning his younger brother had been killed in a motorcycle accident.

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NFL injuries bettors should watch in Week 4

The Bills know that beating the Patriots, even at home, requires keeping the offensive engine tuned up. That’s why all eyes are on running Fred Jackson this week as he tries to return from knee injuries suffered in Week 1 of the season.

"From the workout and the rehab (Monday) morning, it went extremely well,” Bills coach Chan Gailey told the Buffalo News. “It looks like he's going to practice Wednesday and we'll see how he feels during the course of the week. I'm very optimistic."

Having Jackson on board might help push money towards the Bills, who have held at +4 (52) midweek. Getting him back for Week 4 is especially imperative after backup C.J. Spiller suffered a shoulder injury last week, after two solid outings, and will miss the next few weeks recovering.

Here are other injuries that could push lines either way in Week 4:

Jacob Tamme, Denver Broncos TE

Peyton Manning is having a tough time getting rolling and not having one of his familiar go-to guys in the lineup at 100 percent wouldn’t help. Tamme is listed as probable, but could be slowed by a groin injury when Denver is home against the Raiders (Broncos -6.5, 47.5) Sunday.

Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions QB

Stafford was actually hurt (hip) playing defense after the Lions lost a fumble and at mid-week the team is uncertain if he’ll go vs. Minnesota. Shaun Hill actually got late snaps in Detroit’s wild 44-41 loss to Tennessee, but Hill isn’t the long-term answer. Detroit is -7 (45.5) at home against the Vikings.

Darrelle Revis, New York Jets CB

Revis is perhaps the only defensive player in the league who can bump a line one way or the other, and oddsmakers have the Jets at +4 against the Niners at home this week in what probably would have been a field-goal game with him in the lineup.

Reggie Bush, Miami Dolphins RB

Speaking of Revis, Bush threw salt on the wound with his comments on a radio show this week, saying “What goes around comes around” when asked about the Jets shutdown corner. Bush is dealing with his own ailment and is currently listed as questionable against the Cardinals (Arizona -6) Sunday. The running back is very important to the Fins attack, especially with the roster thin on playmakers.

Matt Forte, Chicago Bears RB

The Bears have a huge Monday night meeting with the Cowboys (Dallas -3.5) and may not have their top offensive weapon in the holster. Forte is listed as doubtful due to a sprained ankle and Chicago is scrambling for options at RB. Former Packers RB Ryan Grant looked like an option but took a job with the Redskins. Jacob Hester, Steve Slaton and DuJuan Harris have all tried out for the Bears empty RB position.

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NFL
Long Sheet

Week 4

Thursday, September 27

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CLEVELAND (0 - 3) at BALTIMORE (2 - 1) - 9/27/2012, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 30

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NEW ENGLAND (1 - 2) at BUFFALO (2 - 1) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 147-109 ATS (+27.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (2 - 1) at DETROIT (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (1 - 2) at ATLANTA (3 - 0) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 1) at NY JETS (2 - 1) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN DIEGO (2 - 1) at KANSAS CITY (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 2-2 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (1 - 2) at HOUSTON (3 - 0) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (2 - 1) at ST LOUIS (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 87-124 ATS (-49.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 94-125 ATS (-43.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 42-67 ATS (-31.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 61-88 ATS (-35.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-1 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (1 - 2) at ARIZONA (3 - 0) - 9/30/2012, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OAKLAND (1 - 2) at DENVER (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 27-60 ATS (-39.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 39-68 ATS (-35.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 3-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (2 - 1) at JACKSONVILLE (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 105-139 ATS (-47.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
JACKSONVILLE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (0 - 3) at GREEN BAY (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 144-105 ATS (+28.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (1 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 0-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY GIANTS (2 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (2 - 1) - 9/30/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 148-108 ATS (+29.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, October 1

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CHICAGO (2 - 1) at DALLAS (2 - 1) - 10/1/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Thursday, September 27

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Cleveland - 8:20 PM ET Cleveland +12 500

Baltimore - Under 44 500