NBA
Dunkel
Thursday, June 24
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Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !
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571PHOENIX -572 LA CLIPPERS
PHOENIX is 15-2 ATS (12.8 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.
NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, June 24
Phoenix @ LA Clippers
Suns (lead series 2-0)
— Suns won first two series games by total of 7 points.
— Phoenix won 8 in row, 13 of last 15 games overall.
— Suns are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Phoenix was held to 102-95 points in its two playoff losses.
— Suns are in playoffs for first time in a decade.
— Phoenix subs were a combined +35 in Game 1, minus-5 in Game 2.
Clippers
— Clippers have been playing every other day since June 2.
— Clippers won last two series, after falling behind 2-0 in both.
— Jackson/George shot 37-85 in first two games; other starters were 17-41.
— LA subs were a combined minus-35 in Game 1, +1 in Game 2.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Clippers are 4-0 ATS in last four home games.
— Chris Paul is expected back for this game.
— Clippers won five of last eight series games.
— Suns are 1-3 ATS in last four road series games.
— Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.
NBA
Thursday, June 24
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Trend Report
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Phoenix @ LA Clippers
Suns (lead series 2-0)
— Suns won first two series games by total of 7 points.
— Phoenix won 8 in row, 13 of last 15 games overall.
— Suns are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Phoenix was held to 102-95 points in its two playoff losses.
— Suns are in playoffs for first time in a decade.
— Phoenix subs were a combined +35 in Game 1, minus-5 in Game 2.
Clippers
— Clippers have been playing every other day since June 2.
— Clippers won last two series, after falling behind 2-0 in both.
— Jackson/George shot 37-85 in first two games; other starters were 17-41.
— LA subs were a combined minus-35 in Game 1, +1 in Game 2.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Clippers are 4-0 ATS in last four home games.
— Chris Paul is expected back for this game.
— Clippers won five of last eight series games.
— Suns are 1-3 ATS in last four road series games.
— Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.
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Thursday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders in hits:
91— Nick Castellanos, Cin/Adam Frazier, Pitt
90— Trea Turner, Wash
88— Vladimir Guerrero, Tor
87— Cedric Mullins, Balt
86— Jesse Winker, Cin
84— Bogaerts, Kiner-Falefa, Tapia
Quote of the Day
“I’m still stunned sitting here that we didn’t win Game 7 at home……….look, ultimately you win or lose mostly with your players. It’s my job to get the best players, and frankly, we didn’t have quite good enough players.”
Daryl Morey, GM of the 76ers
Thursday’s quiz
Who managed the Mets, last time they won the World Series?
Wednesday’s quiz
James Woods played the team doctor in Any Given Sunday.
Tuesday’s quiz
Chicago Bears beat New England when they won their only Super Bowl title after the 1985 season.
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Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….
13) Padres 5, Dodgers 3:
— Dodgers get swept in San Diego for first time since 2010.
— Padre closer Melancon got his 4th save in five days.
— Dodgers are 7-9 in Trevor Bauer’s starts.
12) Nationals 13, Phillies 12:
— Phillies led 5-0 after four innings.
— Starlin Castro’s two-run single was the game-winner.
— Kyle Schwarber has 10 home runs in his last dozen games.
11) Giants 9, Angels 3 (13)
— If you had under 8 in this game, the gambling gods owe you one.
— Teams were a combined 4-34 with RISP.
— Mike Tauchman whiffed five times, then homered in the 13th inning.
This game took so long that Giants’ radio guy Dave Flemming had to log off the air, in order to do the ESPN broadcast of the Dodger-Padre game. Giants’ radio finished up using the TV feed with Jon Miller doing play-by-play.
Angels didn’t use a DH, because Ohtani pitched; P Griffin Canning played a couple innings out in left field, which isn’t normal. P Dylan Bundy pinch-hit for the Angels.
10) Was watching a replay of Monday’s NC State-Vanderbilt game in the College World Series; Vandy P Jack Leiter threw 123 pitches, struck out 15 guys. He is going to get drafted in a couple weeks; how much wear and tear do college coaches put on their pitchers’ arms?
Earlier this season, Leiter threw 126 pitches in his no-hitter; no one in the major leagues has thrown that many pitches in a game this year. Chances are that Leiter will never throw 126 pitches in a game the rest of his career.
9) Former big league SS Troy Tulowitzki is a volunteer assistant coach at Texas; the Longhorns’ SS is using the glove Tulowitzki used back when he won the Gold Glove in 2010-11.
8) Wednesday was the 104th anniversary of the ballgame when pitcher Babe Ruth walked the leadoff hitter in a game, got thrown out by the umpire, then his replacement retired 27 hitters in a row, one of the strangest games in big league history.
I’m guessing Babe Ruth would’ve been the center of attention in our current social media era.
7) Hawks 116, Bucks 113:
— Trae Young scored 48 points, dished out 11 assists.
— Hawks won despite their subs playing a combined 60:00- they were minus-38.
— John Collins had 23 points, 15 rebounds for Atlanta.
6) Last time the Hawks got this far along in the playoffs was six years ago, when their coach was Mike Budenholzer, who obviously is now Milwaukee’s coach.
5) Last time the Detroit Pistons picked first in the NBA Draft was 1970; they took Bob Lanier, who scored 22.7 ppg over ten years with Detroit.
4) Thinking back on the Suns’ last-second alley-oop the other night:
— Devin Booker set a set screen, despite playing with a broken nose.
— Jae Crowder threw a great pass, a truly great pass; should’ve been mentioned more.
3) Forgot to mention this when the NFL schedule came out, but they did something really smart; three exhibition games per team, but no games on Labor Day weekend, the week before the regular season starts. Very good idea, long overdue.
Not sure what this does to HBO’s Hard Knocks; the best episode is usually when the team makes its last cuts— will that be after Labor Day, or the week before?
2) I’m seriously hoping MLB bans shifts next year; Manny Machado is San Diego’s 3B, but last night, he was so far out in right field, when he dove for a fly ball, he wound up on the warning track. Keeping four infielders on the infield would create more offense, and baseball claims they want more offense in their game. We’ll see.
1) If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Mets-Brewers-Giants. Wild Card: San Diego @ Los Angeles
AL: Red Sox-White Sox-Astros. Wild Card: Tampa Bay @ A’s
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DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
06/23/2021......2-0-0...100.00%....+10.00
06/22/2021......4-2-0.....66.67%.....+9.00
06/20/2021......2-0-0....100.00%...+10.00
06/19/2021......4-2-0......66.67%....+9.00
06/18/2021......2-0-0.......0.00%....+10.00
06/17/2021......5-4-1 .....55.55%....+3.00
06/16/2021......1-1-0......50.00%.....-0.50
06/15/2021......1-5-0 .....16.67%....-22.50
06/13/2021......3-5-0 .....37.50%....-12.50
06/12/2021......3-1-0 .....75.00%.....+9.50
06/11/2021......2-2-0 .....50.00%......-1.00
06/10/2021......1-1-0 .....50.00%......-0.50
06/09/2021......0-4-0.......0.00%.....-22.00
06/08/2021 .....1-3-0 .....25.00%.....-11.50
06/06/2021 .....2-2-0..... 50.00%...... -1.00
06/05/2021 .....5-1-0 .....83.33% ...+19.50
06/04/2021 .....2-2-0 .....50.00%...... -1.00
06/01/2021..... 5-3-0 .....62.50%..... +8.50
Totals:..........45-38-0 .....54.21%.....+ 13.00
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BEST BETS:
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
06/23/2021......2-0-0....100.00%....+ 10.00
06/22/2021......3-2-0......60.00%....+ 4.50
06/20/2021......2-0-0....100.00%....+10.00
06/19/2021......4-2-0......66.66%....+ 9.00
06/18/2021......2-0-0.....100.00%....+10.00
06/17/2021......3-3-0......50.00%.....- 1.50
06/16/2021......1-1-0......50.00%......-0.50
06/15/2021......1-5-0......16.66%.....-22.50
06/13/2021......3-3-0......30.00%.......-1.50
06/12/2021......3-1-0......75.00%......+9.50
06/11/2021......2-2-0 .....50.00%.......-1.00
06/10/2021......1-1-0 .....50.00%.......-0.50
06/09/2021......0-4-0.......0.00%......-22.00
06/08/2021 .....1-3-0 .....25.00%.....-11.50
06/06/2021 .....2-2-0 .....50.00%..... - 1.00
06/05/2021 .....3-1-0..... 75.00% .....+9.50
06/04/2021 .....2-2-0 .....50.00%..... - 1.00
06/01/2021......5-3-0 ......62.50%....+ 8.50
Totals:..........40-31-0.......56.33%......+ 19.50Last edited by StarDust Bum; 06-24-2021, 12:45 AM.
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WEDNESDAY, JUNE 23
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
ATL at MIL 08:30 PM
ATL +8.5
O 226.0
+500 +500
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561ATLANTA -562 MILWAUKEE
ATLANTA is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.
NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Wednesday, June 23
Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Hawks
— Hawks won 15 of last 20 games (13-7 ATS).
— Under is 12-2-1 in their last 15 games.
— Atlanta won Game 7 in Philly Sunday.
— Hawks are 5-2 ATS in road playoff games.
— Last time Hawks were in this round was 2015; their coach was Mike Budenholzer, now coach of Milwaukee.
Bucks
— Bucks won four of their last five games.
— Milwaukee won its Game 7 on Saturday.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 9-5-1 in last 15 Milwaukee games.
— Bucks’ starters were a combined +106 in Games 6-7 last series.
— Milwaukee won Game 7 despite Holiday shooting 5-23 from floor.
— Bucks won eight of last ten series games.
— Hawks are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Milwaukee.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
NBA
Wednesday, June 23
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Trend Report
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Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders in walks:
56— Joey Gallo, Tex
54— Yasmani Grandal, CWS
47— Carlos Santana, KC/Max Muncy, LA
46— Yandy Diaz, TB
45— Yoan Moncada, CWS
44— Freddie Freeman Atl/Juan Soto Wash
Quote of the Day
“You’re a goddamn quarterback! You know what that means? It’s the top spot, kid. It’s the guy who takes the fall. It’s the guy everybody’s looking at first – the leader of a team – who will support you when they understand you. Who will break their ribs and their noses and their necks for you, because they believe. ‘Cause you make them believe. That’s a quarterback.”
Al Pacino, Any Given Sunday
Wednesday’s quiz
What fine actor played the team doctor in Any Given Sunday?
Tuesday’s quiz
Chicago Bears beat New England when they won their only Super Bowl title after the 1985 season.
Monday’s quiz
Fred Dalton Thompson played a District Attorney on Law & Order, and in real life, was a US Senator from Tennessee from 1994-2003.
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Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..
13) Weird story broke this week, about how basketball players for the Wisconsin Badgers were unhappy with their coach last year; at one point, the seven seniors met with head coach Greg Gard and the three assistant coaches and aired their grievances.
Here’s the thing; someone RECORDED THE WHOLE THING, and it became public, which makes the head coach look really bad. Recruiting just became a whole lot harder.
Wisconsin had a very experienced team last year; their starting 5 was older than the starting 5 for one or two NBA teams. The pandemic created unusual circumstances, which created a lot of tension. When you don’t win as much as you think you should, sometimes that spills over.
12) Suns 104, Clippers 103:
— Phoenix ran great OB under play, scoring on alley-oop with 0:00.7 left.
— Cam Payne led the Suns with 29 points.
— Clippers are down 2-0 for third series in a row.
— Suns’ star Devin Booker broke his nose during this game, came back and finished the game, scoring 20 points.
11) Detroit Pistons won the NBA Draft Lottery; I always wonder what the kid who is supposed to be the #1 pick thinks when he finds out where he is probably headed. Cade Cunningham is from Texas; he needs to buy a parka or two. Detroit gets very cold in the winter.
10) In the 7-game Hawks-76ers series, a very dramatic series, Ben Simmons took a total of three shots in the 4th quarter, none in Games 4-7. One of the more interesting parts of this summer will be if the 76ers unload Simmons or keep him.
9) Suns’ G Chris Paul said he won’t be playing in the Olympics this summer; same thing for Kyle Lowry, who is a free agent.
If I owned an NBA team and was paying guys $20-$30M a year (or more) to play for our team, I sure as hell wouldn’t want them playing in the freakin’ Olympics.
8) Baseball injuries:
— Twins’ OF Byron Buxton broke his pinky, is on the IL.
— Mets’ P Marcus Stroman (hip) left his start early Tuesday
— Mets’ P Joey Lucchesi will have Tommy John surgery
— Braves’ P Max Fried (blister) went on the IL.
7) Arizona Diamondbacks have already used 51 players this season, most of any team; Milwaukee has used 49 players. Lot of frequent flyer miles for guys going between AAA and the big leagues.
6) Two years ago, Diamondbacks were 85-77, a pretty good team, and that was with Paul Goldschmidt already off to St Louis. Wheels have fallen off since then; they’re 21-54 this year.
5) Sounds like the college football playoff is going to expand from four teams to 12 teams in 2023; they’re going through the process to make it happen this summer, a slow process, but there is just too much money at stake for this not to happen.
4) Sports betting became legal in Louisiana this week, should begin by football season.
3) Someone in California did a lab test on a Subway tuna sub, but found no tuna; not really sure what they did find, but hopefully nothing too bad. I’ve had more than my share of their subs over the years, though I get subs at Jersey Mike’s now.
2) Doc Rivers won an NBA title coaching the Celtics in 2008, then made it to the Finals in 2010. At that point, his career playoff record was 46-40, 38-26 with Boston.
Since then, Rivers’ playoff record is 52-54; he hasn’t been back to the Finals. Overall his playoff record is 98-94.
1) Miami Marlins’ P Sandy Alcantara is pretty good, but his teammates don’t hit much for him:
— Last night, Marlins’ bullpen lost game 2-1 in ninth inning.
— His previous start, Alcantara lost 1-0 to St Louis in ninth inning. Not good.
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DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
06/22/2021.......0-2-0.....0.00%.....-11.00
06/20/2021.......1-3-0....25.00%.....-11.50
06/19/2021.......2-0-0...100.00%...+10.00
06/18/2021.......0-4-0.....0.00%.....-22.00
06/17/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%.......-0.50
06/16/2021.......2-2-0....50.00%.......-1.00
06/15/2021.......2-0-0..100.00%.....+10.00
06/14/2021.......2-2-0...50.00%........-1.00
06/13/2021.......4-0-0..100.00%......+20.00
06/12/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%........-0.50
06/11/2021.......0-4-0......0.00%.......-22.00
06/10/2021.......3-1-0.....75.00%.......+9.50
06/09/2021.......2-0-0....100.00%.....+10.00
06/08/2021.......0-3-1......12.50%......-16.50
06/07/2021 ......2-2-0 .....50.00%....... -1.00
06/06/2021 ......2-2-0..... 50.00% ......-.1.00
06/05/2021 ......1-1-0..... 50.00%...... -.0.50
06/04/2021...... 0-2-0....... 0.00% .....-11.00
06/03/2021 ......2-2-0 ......50.00% .....-.1.00
06/02/2021...... 4-4-0 ......50.00% .....-.2.00
06/01/2021 ......4-2-0 ......66.67% ....+.9.00
Totals.............36-40-1.......47.36%.....- 11.00
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BEST BETS:
06/22/2021...............0 - 2 - 0...........- 11.00
06/20/2021...............1.-.3.-.0.............-11.50
06/19/2021...............2 - 0 - 0.............+10.00
06/18/2021...............0 - 4 - 0.............- 22.00
06/17/2021...............1 - 1 - 0..............- 0.50
06/16/2021...............2 - 2 - 0...............-1.00
06/15/2021...............2 - 0 - 0.............+ 10.00
06/14/2021...............2 - 2 - 0..............- 1.00
06/13/2021...............4 - 0 - 0...........,+ 20.00
06/12//2021..............1 - 1 - 0..............- 0.50
06/11/2021...............0 - 4 - 0..............-22.00
06/10/2021...............3 - 1 - 0...............+9.50
06/09/2021...............2 - 0 - 0..............+10.00
06/08/2021...............0 - 3 - 1...............-16.50
06/07/2021...............2 - 2 - 0............... - 1.00
06/06/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/05/2021...............1 - 1 - 0................- 0.50
06/04/2021...............0 - 2 - 0................-11.00
06/02/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/01/2021...............4 - 1 - 0...............+14.50
Totals:...................31 - 32 - 1..............-- 28.50
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TUESDAY, JUNE 22
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
LAC at PHO 09:00 PM
PHO -4.5
O 223.0
+500 +500
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