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Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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  • Udog
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  • Udog
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    Thursday’s 6-pack
    Odds to win the College Baseball World Series:

    5-2— Vanderbilt
    7-2— Texas
    5-1— Tennessee
    8-1— Arizona, Mississippi State, Stanford
    16-1— NC State
    18-1— Virginia

    Quote of the Day
    “There’s no quit. We always talk about playing a 48-minute game. It’s a long game. And it took all 48 minutes tonight to get it done.”
    Atlanta Hawks’ coach Nate McMillan

    Thursday’s quiz
    Where did Nate McMillan play his college basketball?
    (Hint: That school is in the College World Series)

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Orel Hershiser pitched for the Dodgers for 12 years, then played for three other teams, before finishing his career back with the Dodgers in 2000.

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Jim Mora Sr coached the Saints/Colts in the NFL; he led the Philadelphia/Baltimore Stars to two USFL championships.

    *******************************************

    Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

    13) Robert Griffin III hasn’t retired as an NFL player yet, but if he does, TV networks will be scrapping for his services as an analyst.

    Apparently, RG3’s TV auditions went so well that FOX/ESPN will be bidding for his services as soon as he puts his retirement papers in.

    Griffin was the 2nd player taken in the 2012 Draft; he went 9-6 in his rookie year as a QB with Washington, but has gone 7-20 since then, drifting to Cleveland, then Baltimore.

    12) Hawks 109, 76ers 106:
    — Atlanta trailed by 24 with 2:10 left in third quarter.
    — Hawks scored 54 points on their first 66 possessions.
    — Hawks scored 55 points on their last 31 possessions.
    — Atlanta leads series, 3-2.

    11) Over the last 25 years, 76ers are ONLY TEAM to blow a lead of 18+ points in consecutive playoff games.

    10) Clippers 119, Jazz 111— Clippers grab 3-2 series lead despite Kawhi Leonard missing this game with a leg injury. LA leads this series 3-2.

    9) Red Sox 10, Braves 8:
    — Arroyo hit a pinch-hit grand slam in the 7th inning.
    — Atlanta has four losses this year when they scored 8+ runs; in the last three years combined, they lost a total of five such games.

    8) Giants 13, Diamondbacks 7:
    — Arizona has lost 13 in row, 26 of its last 28 games.
    — Arizona lost its last 22 road games.

    7) Alex, I’d like Strange Scheduling for $100— Mets’ last four games before the All-Star break are against Pittsburgh; their first three games after All-Star break are also against the Pirates, so the teams will play seven consecutive games against each other, which is odd.

    6) Twins 7, Mariners 2— Coming into this game, Minnesota’s Williams Astudillo had batted 116 games this season, without drawing a walk. His first two at-bats in this game, he walked both times.

    5) Astros 8, Rangers 4— Jose Altuve is first player EVER to hit a walk-off grand slam, then lead off the first inning of the next game with another home run.

    4) Pretty good 4-team basketball tournament down in Florida in November: Yale, Bowling Green, Southern Utah and Western Michigan.

    3) Phoenix Suns’ guard Chris Paul is in COVID protocol, is out indefinitely.

    2) Sounds the Jets are committing to starting rookie QB Zach Wilson in Week 1, when they play Carolina and the Panthers’ new QB, Sam Darnold. Should be good theater.

    1) I’m not 100% sure this is true, but if it isn’t, it should be:

    — Chess is the most popular game in Czecholslovakia
    — There is a dating service in Prague that caters primarily to chess players.
    — The dating service is called Czech Mate.


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  • StarDust Bum
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    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    06/16/2021.......2-2-0....50.00%.......-1.00
    06/15/2021.......2-0-0..100.00%.....+10.00
    06/14/2021.......2-2-0...50.00%........-1.00
    06/13/2021.......4-0-0..100.00%......+20.00
    06/12/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%........-0.50
    06/11/2021.......0-4-0......0.00%.......-22.00
    06/10/2021.......3-1-0.....75.00%.......+9.50
    06/09/2021.......2-0-0....100.00%.....+10.00
    06/08/2021.......0-3-1......12.50%......-16.50
    06/07/2021 ......2-2-0 .....50.00%....... -1.00
    06/06/2021 ......2-2-0..... 50.00% ......-.1.00
    06/05/2021 ......1-1-0..... 50.00%...... -.0.50
    06/04/2021...... 0-2-0....... 0.00% .....-11.00
    06/03/2021 ......2-2-0 ......50.00% .....-.1.00
    06/02/2021...... 4-4-0 ......50.00% .....-.2.00
    06/01/2021 ......4-2-0 ......66.67% ....+.9.00

    Totals.............31-28-1.......52.53%.....+ 1.00


    ************************

    BEST BETS:

    06/16/2021...............2 - 2 - 0...............-1.00
    06/15/2021...............2 - 0 - 0.............+ 10.00
    06/14/2021...............2 - 2 - 0..............- 1.00
    06/13/2021...............4 - 0 - 0...........,+ 20.00
    06/12//2021..............1 - 1 - 0..............- 0.50
    06/11/2021...............0 - 4 - 0..............-22.00
    06/10/2021...............3 - 1 - 0...............+9.50
    06/09/2021...............2 - 0 - 0..............+10.00
    06/08/2021...............0 - 3 - 1...............-16.50
    06/07/2021...............2 - 2 - 0............... - 1.00
    06/06/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
    06/05/2021...............1 - 1 - 0................- 0.50
    06/04/2021...............0 - 2 - 0................-11.00
    06/02/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
    06/01/2021...............4 - 1 - 0...............+14.50


    Totals:.....................27 - 23- 1..............-+ 8.50

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  • StarDust Bum
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    WEDNESDAY, JUNE 16
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    ATL at PHI 07:30 PM
    PHI -6.5
    O 224.0

    +500 +500

    LAC at UTA 10:00 PM
    LAC +7.0
    O 221.5

    +500 +500

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  • Udog
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  • Udog
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, June 16





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  • Udog
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    581ATLANTA -582 PHILADELPHIA
    ATLANTA is 13-35 ATS (-25.5 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

    583LA CLIPPERS -584 UTAH
    UTAH is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half in the last 3 seasons.




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, June 16


    Atlanta @ Philadelphia
    Hawks
    — Hawks won 13 of last 17 games (11-6 ATS).
    — Under is 9-2-1 in their last 12 games.
    — Atlanta is in this round for first time in five years.
    — Hawks are 3-2 ATS in road playoff games.
    — In series so far, Atlanta subs are +8, starters minus-133.
    — Hawks were 20-47 on the arc in Game 1, 29-93 in Games 2-4.
    — Trae Young had 25 points, 18 assists last game.

    76ers (series 2-2)
    — Embidd was 4-20 in Game 4, 0-12 in second half. He’s playing hurt.
    — Embiid scored 106 points in first three games, playing with torn meniscus.
    — 76ers won 16 of their last 21 games (13-8 ATS).
    — Over is 8-3 in Philly’s last 11 games.
    — Simmons was 8-25 on foul line in Games 1-4.
    — Philly’s starters are +144 so far in this series.
    — Philly is in this round for third time in four years; its been 20 years since they got beyond this round.

    — 76ers won six of last ten series games.
    — Hawks are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Philly.
    — Over is 8-5 in last 13 series games.

    LA Clippers @ Utah
    Clippers
    — Clippers led last game 68-44 at the half.
    — Clippers starters were minus-62, subs +7 in Games 1-2.
    — Clippers starters were +120 in Games 3-4.
    — Clipper subs were +80 in Games 3-4.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Clippers are 3-1-1 ATS in road playoff games.
    — Under is 14-8-1 in last 23 Clipper games.

    Jazz (series 2-2)
    — Home side won all four games in this series.
    — Utah won 13 of its last 18 games SU.
    — Jazz is 3-1-1 ATS in home playoff games.
    — PG Conley didn’t play in first four games of series (check status)
    — Over is 12-4 in last 16 Utah games.
    — Jazz haven’t gotten past this round of playoffs since 2007.
    — Clarkson scored 24 points in Game 2, was 8-28 in Games 3-4.

    — Home side won all four games in this series.
    — Jazz won nine of last 14 series games.
    — Clippers are 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Utah.
    — Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games.


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  • Udog
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  • Udog
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    Wednesday’s 6-pack
    Odds to win US Open golf tournament:

    19-2— Jon Rahm
    15-1— Dustin Johnson
    16-1— Bryson Dechambeau
    18-1— Brooks Koepka, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele
    19-1— Collin Morikawa
    21-1— Jordan Spieth

    Quote of the Day
    “I’d probably quit football if I had to play for somebody else. I am a Raider for my entire life. I’m going to root for one team for the rest of my life — it’s the Raiders. So, I just feel that so strong in my heart I don’t need a perfect situation … to make things right. I’d rather go down with the ship, you know what I’m saying, if I have to.”
    Raiders’ QB Derek Carr

    Wednesday’s quiz
    What team did Orel Hershiser finish his 18-year major league career with?

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Jim Mora Sr coached the Saints/Colts in the NFL; he led the Philadelphia/Baltimore Stars to two USFL championships.

    Monday’s quiz
    Marv Levy went 123-78 as coach of the Buffalo Bills, winning four AFC titles; he went 31-42 as coach of the Chiefs, from 1978-82.

    *****************************************

    Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings and Big 14 football knowledge

    Nets 114, Bucks 108:
    — Milwaukee was up 16 points at the half.
    — Durant scored 49 points, had 17 rebounds, 10 assists.
    — James Harden wasn’t expected to play, but played 46:00.
    — Brooklyn leads series 3-2.

    — Bad news for the Tampa Bay Rays; ace P Tyler Glasnow has a partial tear in his right UCL; team isn’t sure if surgery will be needed.

    — Oakland A’s announced that manager Bob Melvin will back next year, which will be his 12th year managing in Oakland. He’s a very, very good manager.

    — Royals’ OF Jorge Soler has already reached base on catcher’s interference six times this year; the record is 12, set by Jacoby Ellsbury five years ago.

    — CFL announced that their 14-game season will start August 5; the Grey Cup game will be played December 12, in Hamilton.

    Mets 3, Cubs 2
    — Mets threw tying run out at plate in 9th inning, on great relay from CF.
    — Cubs’ 3B Kris Bryant left game after he was hit on hand by a pitch.

    Giants 9, Diamondbacks 8:
    — Arizona led this game 7-0 in 2nd inning, 8-3 after five.
    — Mike Yastzremski hit a grand slam in the 8th inning.
    — Arizona has lost 12 in row overall, 21 in row on the road.

    Notes on Big 14 football teams:
    Illinois
    — Former Wisconsin/Arkansas coach Bret Bielema is new HC.
    — 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
    — Illinois’ last winning season was in 2011.

    Indiana
    — Went 6-2 LY, gave the coach a raise to $4.9M a year.
    — Last two years, Hoosiers are 15-5 against the spread.
    — 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.

    Iowa
    — Lost first two games 24-20/21-20 LY, then won last six games.
    — Hawkeyes will have 3 new starters on OL this fall.
    — 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.

    Maryland
    — Locksley is 8-43 as a head coach, 6-17 at Maryland.
    — 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
    — Former Florida HC Ron Zook will coach special teams.

    Michigan
    — Gave up 34.5 ppg LY, fired the DC.
    — Wolverines will have another new starting QB this year.
    — 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.

    Michigan State
    — Spartans brought in 20 transfers this season.
    — QB Anthony Russo started 26 games at Temple.
    — 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.

    Minnesota
    — 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
    — Gave up 207.1 rushing yards/game LY (#102)
    — Gophers poached kicker from Kent State to help their special teams.

    Nebraska
    — Went 3-5 LY, with a minus-11 turnover ratio.

    — Cornhuskers have five 6th-year seniors on their defense.
    — 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.

    Northwestern
    — Played in Big 14 title game LY, beat Auburn in their bowl.
    — only 4 starters back on offense, 5 on defense this year.
    — Lost their QB and top four WR’s from last season.

    Ohio State
    — Ryan Day is 23-2 SU coaching the Buckeyes.
    — OSU has 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
    — Buckeyes don’t have a QB who has a thrown a college pass.

    Penn State
    — Started 0-5 LY, won last four games; were minus-7 in turnovers.
    — Gave up 27.7 ppg LY, most in school history.
    — 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.

    Purdue
    — Went 6-12 SU the last two seasons.
    — ranked 124th in country in rushing LY (81.5 ypg)
    — 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.

    Rutgers
    — Hasn’t been to a bowl game since 2014.
    — K-State transfer Youngblood ran three kicks back for TD’s in 2019.
    — 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.

    Wisconsin
    — 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
    — Ranked 103rd in country in yards/game LY.
    — Last time Badgers didn’t go bowling; 2001.


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  • StarDust Bum
    replied
    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    06/15/2021.......2-0-0..100.00%.....+10.00
    06/14/2021.......2-2-0...50.00%........-1.00
    06/13/2021.......4-0-0..100.00%......+20.00
    06/12/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%........-0.50
    06/11/2021.......0-4-0......0.00%.......-22.00
    06/10/2021.......3-1-0.....75.00%.......+9.50
    06/09/2021.......2-0-0....100.00%.....+10.00
    06/08/2021.......0-3-1......12.50%......-16.50
    06/07/2021 ......2-2-0 .....50.00%....... -1.00
    06/06/2021 ......2-2-0..... 50.00% ......-.1.00
    06/05/2021 ......1-1-0..... 50.00%...... -.0.50
    06/04/2021...... 0-2-0....... 0.00% .....-11.00
    06/03/2021 ......2-2-0 ......50.00% .....-.1.00
    06/02/2021...... 4-4-0 ......50.00% .....-.2.00
    06/01/2021 ......4-2-0 ......66.67% ....+.9.00

    Totals.............29-26-1.......52.72%.....+ 2.00


    ************************

    BEST BETS:

    06/15/2021...............2 - 0 - 0.............+ 10.00
    06/14/2021...............2 - 2 - 0..............- 1.00
    06/13/2021...............4 - 0 - 0...........,+ 20.00
    06/12//2021..............1 - 1 - 0..............- 0.50
    06/11/2021...............0 - 4 - 0..............-22.00
    06/10/2021...............3 - 1 - 0...............+9.50
    06/09/2021...............2 - 0 - 0..............+10.00
    06/08/2021...............0 - 3 - 1...............-16.50
    06/07/2021...............2 - 2 - 0............... - 1.00
    06/06/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
    06/05/2021...............1 - 1 - 0................- 0.50
    06/04/2021...............0 - 2 - 0................-11.00
    06/02/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
    06/01/2021...............4 - 1 - 0...............+14.50

    Totals:.....................25 - 21- 1..............-+ 9.50

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  • StarDust Bum
    replied
    TUESDAY, JUNE 15
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    MIL at BK 08:30 PM
    BK +4.0
    O 218.5

    +500 +500

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  • Udog
    replied
    MILWAUKEE (52 - 28) at BROOKLYN (54 - 27) - 6/15/2021, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 36-44 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 236-286 ATS (-78.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 29-39 ATS (-13.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    BROOKLYN is 45-36 ATS (+5.4 Units) in all games this season.
    BROOKLYN is 44-33 ATS (+7.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    BROOKLYN is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
    BROOKLYN is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BROOKLYN is 41-30 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    BROOKLYN is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    BROOKLYN is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    BROOKLYN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 84-57 ATS (+21.3 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 7-6 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 8-5 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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  • Udog
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  • Udog
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, June 15





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  • Udog
    replied
    571MILWAUKEE -572 BROOKLYN
    BROOKLYN is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, June 15


    Milwaukee @ Brooklyn
    Bucks
    — In Games 3-4, Giannis/Middleton were 47-97; rest of Bucks were 26-81.
    — Bucks are 2-5-1 ATS in last eight road games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Under is 8-4 in last 12 Milwaukee games.
    — Milwaukee’s bench shot a combined 25-72 in Games 1-4.
    — Connaughton was +23 in 22:00 off bench in Game 4; rest of Bucks’ subs were a combined minus-23.

    Nets (series 2-2)
    — Harden/Irving are both out for this game.
    — Brooklyn scored 125-115 points in its series wins, 83-96 in losses.
    — Under is 5-0 in last five Brooklyn games.
    — Durant was 9-25 from floor in Game 4.
    — Brooklyn covered its last eight home games.
    — Games 3-4 is first time all year Nets scored less than 100 in consecutive games.

    — Home side won all four series games (3-0-1 ATS)
    — Teams split last eight series games.
    — Milwaukee is 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Brooklyn.
    — Under is 6-0 in last six series games.




    NBA

    Tuesday, June 15

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Trend Report

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Milwaukee @ Brooklyn
    Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
    Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
    Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


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