SATURDAY, JUNE 12
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
UTA at LAC 08:30 PM
UTA +5.0
O 223.0
+500 +500
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541UTAH -542 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 58-33 ATS (21.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.
NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, June 12
Utah @ LA Clippers
Jazz (Utah leads 2-0)
— Mitchell scored 82 points in Games 1-2.
— Utah won six in row, 13 of its last 16 games SU.
— Jazz is 5-2 ATS in its last seven road games.
— PG Conley didn’t play in first two games of series (check status)
— Over is 11-3 in last 14 Utah games.
— Jazz haven’t gotten past this round of playoffs since 2007.
— Clarkson scored 24 points in 27:00 off bench in Game 2.
Clippers
— Clippers starters were minus-62, subs +7 in Games 1-2.
— Jazz made 20-39 on the arc in Game 2.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Clippers are 2-6 ATS in last eight home games.
— Under is 13-7-1 in last 21 Clipper games.
— Paul George was 12-35 from floor in Games 1-2.
— Clipper subs were 6-17 from floor in Game 2.
— Jazz won nine of last 12 series games.
— Utah is 3-2 ATS in last five road series games.
— Under is 4-3-1 in last eight series games.
NBA
Saturday, June 12
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Trend Report
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Utah @ LA Clippers
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 10 games at home
LA Clippers is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home
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Saturday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders in walks (by pitcher):
37— John Gant, StL
35— Blake Snell SD/Triston McKenzie Clev
34— Garrett Richards Bos/German Marquez, Colo
31— Zach Davies Chi/Nick Pivetta Bos/Shane Bieber Clev
29— MKeller/BKeller/Peralta/Dunn/Skubal
28— Dylan Cease, CWS
Quote of the Day
“”I didn’t know Pete was a conspiracy theorist……..we’re going to look at players about relative to how the league is playing. So it would have no influence on how players are valued or paid.”
Mets’ GM Zack Scott, talking of conspiracies about the baseball used by MLB.
Saturday’s quiz
When Dodgers’ P Clayton Kershaw was in high school, he was the center on the football team; who was the quarterback on that team?
Friday’s quiz
Where did Clippers star Kawhi Leonard played his college basketball?
Thursday’s quiz
Before becoming the Wizards in 1997, Washington’s NBA team was known as the Bullets.
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Saturday’s Den: Mixing in some Pac-12 football knowledge in with baseball
Mets 3, Padres 2:
— Jacob deGrom threw six shutout innings, but left after six innings (80 PT) with a sore elbow. In his four starts since being on the IL, he’s thrown 63-70-85-80 pitches.
— Mets started a 31-day stretch where they’ll play 33 games; one day off, with three twinbills mixed in. Some consolation; 22 of those 31 days will be spent in New York City.
Cubs 8, Cardinals 5
— Anthony Rizzo hit a home run on the 14th pitch of an at-bat, sending the biggest crowd of the year into a frenzy.
— Cubs scored twice in the 7th inning after Bill Murray sang Take Me Out to the Ballgame.
Giants 1, Nationals 0
Max Scherzer left the game after 12 pitches with a leg injury, bad news for a Washington team facing a pair of games against the Giants Saturday.
Dodgers 12, Rangers 1
LA scored six runs in first inning, sending Texas to their 15th consecutive road loss.
Random strange stat of the day: Of all the active big leaguers with 125+ AB’s against the Indians, the player with the best batting average is?
Elvis Andrus, .367. Go figure.
A’s 4, Royals 3— That same Elvis Andrus hit a walk-off single to rightfield, as Oakland avoided what would’ve been a bad loss.
I’m watching the classic baseball movie Major League the other night and the Indians manager comes to the mound to bring in Wild Thing Vaughn (Charlie Sheen); manager Lou Brown wasn’t much for the analytics community: “I know he hasn’t done well against this guy, but I’ve got a hunch he’s due.”
— A little Pac-12 football knowledge:
Arizona- New coach Jedd Fisch was an offensive coordinator in the NFL; X’s and O’s won’t be a problem, but how will he recruit? Losing 70-7 to Arizona State last year make this year’s game with the Sun Devils more interesting.
Arizona State- 9 starters back on offense, 11 on defense; they were +8 in turnovers LY, in only four games. Sun Devils have a 3rd-year starting QB, unusual in this day and age. Expectations are high in Tempe; ASU lost 16 of its last 19 games against USC- they play Trojans November 8.
California- 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense; their two losses last year were by total of five points. Cal ranked outside top 100 nationally LY in scoring, rushing, passing- their QB has 23 career starts, most of anyone in the Pac-12.
Colorado- 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense; is there a hangover after you lose your bowl game 55-23, the way Colorado did last year? They’re not sure who the QB will be; Colorado was #23 in country in rushing LY, but they allowed 32+ points in four of six games.
Oregon- 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense; lot of returning starters all over the Pac-12 this fall. Ducks will have a Boston College transfer (28 starts) or a freshman at QB, which could be a problem, but otherwise they have quality depth all over the field.
Oregon State- 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense; notice a trend here? Beavers scored 31.2 ppg two years ago, 28.9 last year; coach Jonathan Smith knows his offense. Problem is, they gave up 65 points in their two wins LY. The defense needs some work.
USC- 8 starters back on both sides of the ball; QB Kedon Slovis had a pretty good OC in high school in Phoenix- NFL Hall of Famer Kurt Warner. Trojans were 5-1 LY, with three wins by 5 or fewer points; coach Clay Helton kept his job, but fired his 14th assistant over the last five years- they also fired the strength coach.
Stanford- Cardinal started season 0-2, then won their last four games, by total of 10 points. Stanford was 93rd running the ball, 112th in rushing defense, numbers that need to improve. The QB situation is up in the air for this fall, rarely a good thing.
UCLA- 9 starters back on both sides of the ball, as Chip Kelly fights to show that his success at Oregon wasn’t a fluke. Bruins were 3-4 last year; they scored 42-35-38-47 points in the losses. UCLA finished 114th in country in pass defense LY, a bad thing if you’re in the PAC-12.
Utah- Because QB’s transfer every 90 minutes or so, Utes have Baylor transfer Charlie Brewer on their roster now. Brewer threw for 9,700 yards in 44 games at Baylor; is Utah a better place to play than Waco? Utes are trying for third Pac-12 South title in last four years.
Washington- Huskies have 11 consecutive winning seasons, but they finished in top 25 in only four of those years. Washington only played four games LY, so their returning starting QB isn’t as experienced as it seems. A September 11 game at Michigan will be interesting.
Washington State- Coogs hired an assistant coach in charge of poaching transfers from other schools, probably a wave of the future. One of their transfers this year in QB Jarrett Guarantano from Tennessee; there weren’t a lot of people in Knoxville who were upset when he left. Wazzu has 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Last thing tonight; Just watched a 1995 episode of Columbo, where Norm from Cheers was the bad guy. This was shortly after Cheers went off the air; Norm’s character owned racehorses, but his brother was a degenerate gambler who owed money to the wrong people- Norm tried to make everything go away by killing his brother, and the guy he owned money to.
No bueno. Even Cliff Clavin could’ve figured that one out.
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DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
06/11/2021.......0-4-0......0.00%.......-22.00
06/10/2021.......3-1-0.....75.00%.......+9.50
06/09/2021.......2-0-0....100.00%.....+10.00
06/08/2021.......0-3-1......12.50%......-16.50
06/07/2021 ......2-2-0 .....50.00%....... -1.00
06/06/2021 ......2-2-0..... 50.00% ......-.1.00
06/05/2021 ......1-1-0..... 50.00%...... -.0.50
06/04/2021...... 0-2-0....... 0.00% .....-11.00
06/03/2021 ......2-2-0 ......50.00% .....-.1.00
06/02/2021...... 4-4-0 ......50.00% .....-.2.00
06/01/2021 ......4-2-0 ......66.67% ....+.9.00
Totals.............20-23-1.......46.51%.....- 26.50
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BEST BETS:
06/11/2021...............0 - 4 - 0..............-22.00
06/10/2021...............3 - 1 - 0...............+9.50
06/09/2021...............2 - 0 - 0..............+10.00
06/08/2021...............0 - 3 - 1...............-16.50
06/07/2021...............2 - 2 - 0............... - 1.00
06/06/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/05/2021...............1 - 1 - 0................- 0.50
06/04/2021...............0 - 2 - 0................-11.00
06/02/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/01/2021...............4 - 1 - 0...............+14.50
Totals:.....................16 - 18- 1..............- 19.00Leave a comment:
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FRIDAY, JUNE 11
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
PHI at ATL 07:30 PM
ATL +1.0
U 224.5
+500 +500
PHO at DEN 10:00 PM
DEN -1.5
O 223.5
+500 +500Leave a comment:
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531PHILADELPHIA -532 ATLANTA
PHILADELPHIA is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.
533PHOENIX -534 DENVER
PHOENIX is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.
NBA
Dunkel
Friday, June 11
NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Friday, June 11
Philadelphia @ Atlanta
76ers
— Embiid scored 79 points in two games, playing with torn meniscus.
— 76ers won 15 of their last 19 games (12-7 ATS).
— Over is 7-2 in Philly’s last nine games.
— Simmons was 3-12 on foul line in Games 1-2.
— Philly’s starters are +107 so far in this series.
— Philly is in this round for third time in four years; its been 20 years since they got beyond this round.
Hawks (series 1-1)
— Hawks won 12 of last 15 games (10-5 ATS).
— Under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games.
— Atlanta is in this round for first time in five years.
— Hawks covered their last four home games.
— In series so far, Atlanta subs were +50, starters minus-110.
— Hawks were 20-47 on the arc in Game 1, 11-30 in Game 2.
— 76ers won five of last eight series games.
— 76ers are 0-5 ATS in last five visits to Atlanta.
— Over is 7-4 in last 11 series games.
Phoenix @ Denver
Suns (lead series 2-0)
— Phoenix won nine of its last 11 games overall.
— Suns are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Phoenix allowed 105 or fewer points in all their playoff wins.
— Suns are in playoffs for first time in a decade.
— Phoenix scored 71 points in second half of Game 2.
Nuggets
— Nuggets are 4-4 SU in the playoffs so far.
— Denver won 25 of its last 36 games SU.
— Nuggets are 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
— Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.
— Denver scored 120+ points in its playoff wins, 109 or fewer in losses.
— Nuggets were outscored 32-17 on foul line in first two games.
— Denver had won 7 of last 8 games vs Phoenix, before this series.
— Suns are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Denver.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.
NBA
Friday, June 11
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Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Phoenix @ Denver
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver
Denver is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games at home
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Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here……..
— Started my college football research this week; last couple of football seasons have been weird for me, with the pandemic last year making it unusual for everyone, after my retina detached in October 2019, which screwed up the rest of that season for me.
I’ll be posting some notes on college football from now until Labor Day; we start today with some stuff from the SEC. I’m told they really like college football in the south.
— LSU went 5-5 LY, despite a +9 turnover ratio. They overhauled their coaching staff over the winter. Problem is, Joe Burrow lives in Cincinnati now. Ed Orgeron is a way better recruiter than he is a tactician; his new coordinators will need to be sharp guys.
— Kentucky had a +10 turnover ratio; they went 4-6 in the regular season, but somehow made it to a bowl game, where they beat NC State 23-21.
— Alabama also had a +10 turnover ratio; they won the national championship. Crimson Tide has only three starters back on offense this year.
Four new head coaches in the SEC this year:
Auburn, South Carolina, Tennessee, Vanderbilt
— Bad news for Ole Miss: they only have four starters back on defense.
— Good news for Ole Miss: their defense sucked LY; it’ll be better with new starters.
As the better college football magazines come out later this month, I’ll post better info, but we’re starting slow, which is fine, since we have a lot of time until the season starts.
One quick Pac-12 note; Stanford started last year 0-2, then won its last four games, by a total of 10 points:
— won 24-23 @ California
— won 31-26 @ Washington
— won 27-24 @ Oregon State
— won 48-47 @ UCLA, in OT
They lost their only home game LY, 35-32 to Colorado.
— Willie Adames was hitting .197 when Tampa Bay traded him to Milwaukee; in his first 18 games for the Brewers, he’s hitting .308, and has been an offensive spark.
— In 2015, Matt Harvey was 13-8, 2.71 in 29 starts for the Mets, when they lost the World Series to Kansas City. He was a big deal in New York City, the Dark Knight. Long time ago.
Since then, Harvey is 29-50 in the major leagues; his ERA the last three years: 7.09, 11.57, 7.41 In his last seven starts this year, he’s allowed 36 runs in 23.2 innings pitched. Why is he still in the major leagues?
— Minnesota 7, New York 5— Josh Donaldson tied it with a 9th inning homer, Hector Cruz walked it off two batters later with another one. Aroldis Chapman faced four hitters; they all scored.
— Arizona Diamondbacks fired their hitting coaches; you lose 19 road games in a row, and heads are going to roll. Doubtful that Arizona’s pitching is the hitting coaches’ fault, but you never know.
— ESPN’s Tim Kurkjian, on base running in the big leagues these days: “……..bad baserunning, the worst I can remember in the 41 years that I have covered the game.”
Kurkjian isn’t an overly critical guy; those words carry some weight.
Dusty Baker agrees: “Baserunning is terrible today. The two things we need the most work on is outfielders throwing and baserunning. Baserunning is just horrible.”
— White Sox 2B Nick Madrigal tore his right hamstring, could be out for the year.
— Bucks 86, Nets 83— NBA offices had to be relieved with this score; they need some series to be interesting, especially one with a New York City team in it. Nets still lead series 2-1.
— Jazz 117, Clippers 111– Donovan Mitchell has scored 82 points in first two games of this series, which Utah won despite PG Mike Conley being out with an injury.
— If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL— Mets, Mil or Cubs, Giants. Wild Card: Padres @ Dodgers
AL— Rays, White Sox, A’s Wild Card: Astros @ Red Sox
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DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
06/10/2021.......3-1-0.....75.00%.......+9.50
06/09/2021.......2-0-0....100.00%.....+10.00
06/08/2021.......0-3-1......12.50%......-16.50
06/07/2021 ......2-2-0 .....50.00%....... -1.00
06/06/2021 ......2-2-0..... 50.00% ......-.1.00
06/05/2021 ......1-1-0..... 50.00%...... -.0.50
06/04/2021...... 0-2-0....... 0.00% .....-11.00
06/03/2021 ......2-2-0 ......50.00% .....-.1.00
06/02/2021...... 4-4-0 ......50.00% .....-.2.00
06/01/2021 ......4-2-0 ......66.67% ....+.9.00
Totals.............20-19-1.......51.28%.....- 4.50
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BEST BETS:
06/10/2021...............3 - 1 - 0...............+9.50
06/09/2021...............2 - 0 - 0..............+10.00
06/08/2021...............0 - 3 - 1...............-16.50
06/07/2021...............2 - 2 - 0............... - 1.00
06/06/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/05/2021...............1 - 1 - 0................- 0.50
06/04/2021...............0 - 2 - 0................-11.00
06/02/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/01/2021...............4 - 1 - 0...............+14.50
Totals:.....................16 - 14- 1................ +3.00Leave a comment:
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THURSDAY, JUNE 10
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
BK at MIL 07:30 PM
BK +3.5
O 234.0
+500 +500
LAC at UTA 10:00 PM
UTA -3.0
O 223.0
+500 +500Leave a comment:
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523LA CLIPPERS -524 UTAH
UTAH is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games after 5 or more consecutive wins in the current season.
NBA
Dunkel
Thursday, June 10
NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, June 10
Brooklyn @ Milwaukee
Nets (lead series, 2-0)
— Harden is injured, won’t play in this game- he played 1:00 in Game 1.
— Brooklyn won/covered 11 of its last 12 games.
— Nets scored 125.5 ppg in last six games.
— Under is 3-0 in last three Brooklyn games.
— Nets were 36-82 on arc, 14-16 on foul line in Games 1-2.
— Brooklyn won Game 2 by 39.
Bucks
— Does Milwaukee want to compete? Big question here.
— Bucks are 7-5-1 ATS in last 13 road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 6-4 in last ten Milwaukee games.
— Bucks are 4-8-1 ATS in game following their last 13 losses.
— Milwaukee’s bench shot a combined 17-46 in Games 1-2.
— Whatever their best effort is, Bucks figure to give it here.
— Nets won four of last six series games.
— Brooklyn is 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Milwaukee.
— Under is 4-0 in last four series games.
LA Clippers @ Utah
Clippers
— Clippers starters were minus-31, subs +16 in Game 1.
— Third game in five nights for the Clippers.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Clippers are 5-2-1 ATS in last eight road games.
— Under is 13-6-1 in last 20 Clipper games.
— Paul George was 4-17 from floor in Game 1.
Jazz (Utah leads 1-0)
— Mitchell scored 45 points in Game 1.
— Utah won 12 of its last 15 games SU.
— Jazz is 5-8-1 ATS in its last 14 home games.
— PG Conley had an injury at end of Memphis series (check status)
— Over is 10-3 in last 13 Utah games.
— Jazz haven’t gotten past this round of playoffs since 2007.
— Jazz won eight of last 11 series games.
— Clippers are 1-3-1 ATS in last five visits to Utah.
— Under is 4-2-1 in last seven series games.
NBA
Thursday, June 10
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Trend Report
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Brooklyn @ Milwaukee
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Brooklyn is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
LA Clippers @ Utah
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Leave a comment:
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