Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[Udog]

505PHOENIX -506 MILWAUKEE
PHOENIX is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game in the current season.




NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, July 11






NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, July 11

Phoenix @ Milwaukee
Suns (lead series 2-0)
— Phoenix won 17 of its last 21 games.
— Suns are 6-2 ATS in home playoff games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Phoenix was held to 102-95-92-102 points in its four playoff losses.
— Suns are in playoffs for first time in a decade.
— Suns made 20 of 40 3-pointers in last game.
— Last four Phoenix games went over the total.

Bucks
— Bucks lost three of their last five games SU.
— Milwaukee is 5-2-1 ATS in home playoff games.
— Antetokounmpo scored 42 points in Game 2; Bucks were minus-13 in 8:00 he sat out.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Over is 4-0 in last four Milwaukee games.
— Milwaukee was 9-31 on arc in Game 2, Suns 20-40.
— Starters other than Antetokounmpo were 19-52 from floor in Game 2.

— Bucks were last in Finals in 1974, Suns in 1976.
— Suns are 4-0 vs Milwaukee this year, winning by 1-1-13-10 points.
— Suns are 3-1 ATS in last four visits to Milwaukee.
— Last six series games went over the total.




NBA

Sunday, July 11
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Trend Report

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Phoenix @ Milwaukee
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Milwaukee is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home


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[Udog]

Sunday’s 6-pack
Week 2 NFL spreads
— Atlanta @ Tampa Bay (-7.5)
— Minnesota @ Arizona (-1.5)
— Dallas @ LA Chargers (-1.5)
— Tennessee @ Seattle (-4.5)
— Kansas City (-2) @ Baltimore
— Detroit @ Green Bay (-7.5)

Quote of the Day
“In a way, I’m kind of glad it happened. That means nothing if we don’t learn from it. It could be the most important thing in this tournament for us.”
Gregg Popovich, on losing to Nigeria.
I call BS on his saying he’s glad it happened.

Sunday’s quiz
2004 was the last time the Americans didn’t win the Olympic gold medal in basketball- they won a bronze medal; what country won the gold medal that year?

Saturday’s quiz
Dick Williams managed the Oakland A’s the first two times they won the World Series.

Friday’s quiz
Paul Westphal was coach of the Phoenix Suns, last time they played in NBA Finals.

**************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Starting today with a recommendation of a fun place to go in the Albany area:

— Do you like to play golf?
— The Bunker in Guilderland is a golf simulator, where you can play lot of famous courses around the country.
— Hit a shot and it gives you club head speed, distance, lot of stats.
— There is even a mulligan button, if you hit a bad shot.
— There is a bar, you can order out food, comfortable places to sit/hang out.
— Was there Friday night with group of friends; excellent place to have fun.
— 2390 Western Avenue, just east of Western Turnpike golf course.

12) Braves 5, Marlins 4— Very costly win; Ronald Acuna tore his ACL, is out for year.

11) New York 1, Houston 0:
— Gerrit Cole threw 129-pitch complete game, most pitches thrown in a game this year.

— Aaron Boone came to mound to take him out with one out to go and Jordan Alvarez uo, but you could see Cole vehemently refusing to come out.
— Houston lost its last three games, scoring one run.

10) Nigeria 90, USA 87:
— 9 years ago, the Americans beat Nigeria by 83 points in the Olympics.
— In this game, Nigeria never trailed in the 4th quarter.
— Americans were favored by 28.5 points; yes, people bet on this stuff.

9) Lot of guys are dropping out of next week’s All-Star Game:
— All four Astros (read into that what you like)
— Mookie Betts
— Yadier Molina

There will be at least 40 first-time All-Stars in next week’s game.

8) There are only two divisional games in Week 1 of NFL in September:

Jaguars-Texans and Dolphins-Patriots.

7) San Diego Padres are rolling along at 53-38, in line for a Wild Card slot, but much of their success has happened late in games.

If games were only five innings long, San Diego’s record would be 35-41-15, so they’ve improved by 10.5 games after the 5th inning. Clutch hitting, good bullpen.

6) Biggest point spread in NFL history? In 1976, Steelers were -27 over the expansion Buccaneers- they whacked them 42-0. Tampa Bay went 0-14 that first season, then started the next season 0-12 before winning their last two games.

Only two years after that, Tampa Bay played in the NFC Championship game, and would’ve played those same Steelers in the Super Bowl had they won that game.

5) Joey Votto is 37 years old, on the tail end of an excellent career, but the Reds owe him $45M over the next two seasons. If MLB gets smart and puts the universal DH in next year, then he will still be useful, but if not, that contract could be an albatross.

Would the Reds trade Votto this month, to get rid of that $45M commitment?

4) Obscure NBA record; most points scored off the bench in an NBA Finals game is 31,
scored by Sam Cassell for the ’95 Rockets against Orlando.

3) Since 2001, longest streaks of consecutive games reaching base:
63— Orlando Cabrera
57— Barry Bonds
56— Ryan Klesko

All-time record is 84, set by Ted Williams in 1949. Very underrated record.

2) Guys who own the Dodgers now also own 27% of the Lakers. Must be fun to be really, really rich.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Mets, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: San Diego @ Los Angeles
AL: Red Sox, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: Oakland @ Tampa Bay

[Udog]

[Udog]

Saturday’s 6-pack
— Braves 5, Marlins 0— Morton threw 7 shutout innings.
— Mets 13, Pirates 4— Villar hit pair of home runs.
— White Sox 12, Orioles 1— Engel knocked in four runs.
— Indians 2, Royals 1— Bradley hit a walk-off homer.
— Red Sox 11, Phillies 5— Martinez knocked in four runs.
— Mariners 7, Angels 3— Haniger hit a grand slam in the 8th. .

Quote of the Day
“What I’ll say is the energy in the ballpark was fantastic and I really liked the choice of music throughout the game.”
Giants manager Gabe Kapler, when asked about the new uniforms his team wore Friday

Saturday’s quiz
Who managed the Oakland A’s the first time they won the World Series?

Friday’s quiz
Paul Westphal was coach of the Phoenix Suns, last time they played in NBA Finals.

Thursday’s quiz
Before this year, Pittsburgh Penguins were NHL team was last to repeat as Stanley Cup champs.



Saturday’s Den: Mountain West football trends…….

Air Force:
— HC Calhoun is 44-52-1 ATS as favorite, 34-26-2 as underdog.
— Last four years, Air Force is 7-3-1 ATS as road underdog.
— Since 2014, Falcons are 21-8-1 ATS out of conference.
— Since 2013, Air Force is 13-29-1 ATS coming off a loss.

Boise State:
— Last 3 years, Boise is 16-8 ATS in conference games.
— Over last decade, Broncos are 6-3 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last five years, Boise is 3-6 ATS coming off a loss.
— 2017-18, Boise was +24 in turnovers; last two years, they were minus-4.

Colorado State:
— Rams’ last bowl was 2017; last bowl win, 2013.
— Rams haven’t been better than 7-6 since McElwain left after 2014 season.
— HC Addazio is 38-25-2 ATS as an underdog.
— State is 3-7 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog.

Fresno State:
— 2017-18, Fresno was 22-6; last two years, they were 7-11.
— Since 2013, Bulldogs are 13-7-3 ATS as road favorites.
— Last four years, Bulldogs are +24 in turnovers.
— QB Haener transferred to Fresno from Washington.

Hawai’i:
— Todd Graham went 5-4 in his first year here LY, won a bowl.
— Since 2014, Rainbows are 6-20-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Over last decade, Hawaii is 2-6 ATS as a road favorite.
— Underdogs covered their last five bowl games.

Nevada:
— Under Norvell, Nevada is 15-7 ATS at home, 8-12 on road.
— Wolf Pack won 3 of last 4 bowls; they weren’t favored in any of them.
— Last five years, Nevada is 8-12 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last four years, Wolf Pack is 19-13 ATS in conference tilts.

UNLV:
— Last ten years, UNLV is 33-84 SU- they were 0-6 LY.
— Rebels’ last bowl was 2013; their last bowl win, 2000.
— Last five years, UNLV is 5-10 ATS as a home favorite.
— This year’s over/under win total is 1.5; not lot of optimism there.

New Mexico:
— Last four years, Lobos are minus-31 in turnovers (10-33).
— Last six years, New Mexico is 3-14 ATS as a home favorite.
— Lobos’ last bowl outside of New Mexico was in 2004.
— Veteran HC Rocky Long is in his 2nd year as Lobos’ DC.

San Diego State:
— They’re playing home games 113 miles from their campus.
— Aztecs are 6-13 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite.
— Last six years, San Diego State is +61 in turnovers.
— 65 returning starts on OL and a new QB; they’ll run ball more this year.

San Jose State:
— Spartans went 7-1 LY; previous six years, they were 21-53.
— Under Brennan, San Jose is 27-17-1 ATS.
— In 2017, Spartans were minus-26 in turnovers; since then, they’re +13.
— QB Starkel played previously at Texas A&M/Arkansas.

Utah State:
— New HC Anderson made 6 bowls (2-4) in 7 years at Arkansas State.
— Since 2013, Aggies are 3-10 ATS as a home underdog.
— Utah State lost 3 of last 4 bowls; they were favored in all four.
— Junior QB Bonner (15 starts) transferred to Utah State from Arkansas State.

Wyoming:
— Last five years, Wyoming is 10-4 ATS as home favorites.
— Last three years, Cowboys are 3-6 ATS as road underdogs.
— Wyoming won its last two bowls, covered four of last five.
— Cowboys have 21 of 22 starters back this season.

[StarDust Bum]

nba championship best bet record:


Game 2 - 07/08/2021....... 2-0-0...100.00%........+10.00
game 1 - 07/06/2021....... 0-2-0.......0.00%.........-11.00

totals............................2-2-0,,,,,,50.00%..........-1.00

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, JULY 8
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIL at PHO 09:00 PM
PHO -4.5
O 220.5
+500 +500

[Udog]

[Udog]

503MILWAUKEE -504 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 17-3 ATS (13.7 Units) as a home favorite of 6 points or less in the current season.




NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, July 8






NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, July 8

Milwaukee @ Phoenix
Bucks
— Bucks won eight of their last 12 games SU.
— Bucks’ last 12 games: WWL-WWL-WWL-WWL
— Milwaukee is 5-5 ATS in road playoff games.
— Antetokounmpo was +1 in Game 1; other starters were all minus-11 or worse.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Over is 3-0 in last three Milwaukee games.
— Suns outscored Milwaukee 25-9 on foul line in Game 1.

Suns (lead series, 1-0)
— Phoenix won 16 of its last 20 games.
— Suns are 6-3 ATS in home playoff games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Phoenix was held to 102-95-92-102 points in its four playoff losses.
— Suns are in playoffs for first time in a decade.
— Chris Paul scored 73 points in Suns’ last two games.

— Bucks were last in Finals in 1974, Suns in 1976.
— Suns are 3-0 vs Milwaukee this year, winning by 1-1-13 points.
— Bucks are 2-4 ATS in last five visits to Phoenix.
— Last five series games went over the total.




NBA

Thursday, July 8
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Trend Report

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Milwaukee @ Phoenix
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Phoenix is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home


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[Udog]

[Udog]

Thursday’s 6-pack
According to AAA Magazine, six of the most popular honeymoon spots:
6) Punta Cana— There are 11 golf courses here, beaches ideal for surfing.
5) Jamaica— Has some of the best all-inclusive resorts in the Caribbean.
4) Hawai’i— Each of the islands is unique in its geography/history.
3) Bahamas— Grand Bahama Island is only 66 miles east of West Palm Beach.
2) Aruba— Sits outside of Hurricane Alley, is less than 20 miles from Venezuela.
1) Antigua— Famous for its resorts and beaches, where snorkeling is popular.

Quote of the Day
“Brandon (Beane) mentioned [a new contract], I think at the end of the spring practice period there, and these things handle themselves. They work themselves out when you got two parties that want to be together and have the same end goal in mind. Josh (Allen) is a great, young talent and he fits so well with Buffalo and the city and the town and the people of Buffalo. So, I firmly believe it’s gonna work itself out.”
Bills coach Sean McDermott

Thursday’s quiz
Before this year, which NHL team was last to repeat as Stanley Cup champs?

Wednesday’s quiz
Lou Piniella was manager of the Seattle Mariners, last time they made the playoffs.

Tuesday’s quiz
Matthew Stonie (62 hot dogs) was the last male other than Joey Chestnut to win the Nathan’s hot dog eating contest, in 2015.

************************************

Thursday’s Den: Big X football knowledge

Baylor:
— From 2013-15, they were 32-7; since then, they’re 28-33.
— Their 4-year starting QB bolted to Utah.
— LY was Aranda’s first year as a HC; he went 2-7.
— Underdogs covered 4 of their last five bowls (3-2 SU)

Iowa State
— HC Campbell is 29-13-2 ATS as an underdog, 30-29-2 as a favorite.
— Last three years, Cyclones are 6-10 ATS as home favorites.
— Last six years, Iowa State is 22-10-1 ATS off a loss.
— Returning QB has 33 starts; offensive line has 93 returning starts.

Kansas
— Last 10 years, Jayhawks are 18-99 SU. 18 wins. 99 losses.
— New coach Leipold won six D-III national titles, was 37-33 at Buffalo.
— Since 2012, Kansas is 4-12 ATS as home favorites, 0-0 as road favorites.
— Last 10 years, Jayhawks are 40-56-3 ATS as underdogs, 20-32-2 on road.

Kansas State
— Since 2016, K-State is 24-9 ATS as an underdog.
— Since 2015, K-State is 7-14 ATS as a home favorite.
— In 2016-17, Wildcats went 17-9 SU, were +23 in turnovers.
— Last three years, Wildcats are 17-18 SU (even in turnovers)
— K-State has a senior QB (30 starts), all 5 starters back on OL.

Oklahoma
— Last 6 years, Sooners are 67-12 SU; their turnover ration last 5 years is even.
— Riley is 9-5 ATS in non-conference games.
— Sooners lost 3 of last 4 bowl games, giving up 45.5 ppg.
— Last year’s #2 QB bolted to SMU.

Oklahoma State
— Cowboys have played in a bowl each of last 15 years.
— Coach Gundy is 71-48-5 ATS as a favorite.
— OSU won four of last five bowls, covering all five games.
— Oklahoma State covered 16 of last 18 non-conference games.

Texas
— Sarkisian is Texas’ 4th HC in last nine years.
— Last four years, Longhorns were +31 in turnovers.
— Last four years, Texas is 7-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last five years, Longhorns are 12-5 ATS out of conference.

TCU
— Last 5 years, Horned Frogs are 6-11-1 ATS as home favorites.
— In 2014, TCU was +18 in turnovers; in 75 games since then, they’re minus-8.
— Since 2013, TCU is 14-21 ATS coming off a loss.
— Frogs won 3 of last 4 bowls, winning by 2-3-6(OT) points.

Texas Tech
— Last bowl game was 2017; last bowl win, 2013.
— HC Wells is 20-12-1 ATS as home favorite, 11-18 as road underdog.
— Since 2014, Red Raiders are 2-6 ATS as road favorite.
— New OC is Sonny Cumbie; he spent last 7 years at TCU.

West Virginia
— HC Brown is 14-19-1 ATS at home, 22-12 ATS on road.
— WVU is 0-5 ATS in last 5 bowls (2-3 SU, wins by 1-3 points)
— Since 2012, Mountaineers are 12-19 ATS out of conference.
— Last 2 years, WVU is 11-11 SU; previous 8 years, they were 61-39.

[StarDust Bum]

nba championship best bet record:

Game 1 - 07/06/2021....... 0-2-0.......0.00%.........-11.00

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, JULY 6
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIL at PHO 09:00 PM
MIL +5.5
U 219.5
+500 +500

[Udog]

[Udog]

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, July 6