501MILWAUKEE -502 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.
501MILWAUKEE -502 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival in the current season.
NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, July 6
Milwaukee @ Phoenix
Bucks
— Bucks won eight of their last 11 games SU.
— Bucks’ last 11 games: WWL-WWL-WWL-WW
— Milwaukee is 5-4 ATS in road playoff games.
— Antetokounmpo probably doesn’t play here (check status)
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 12-8-1 in last 21 Milwaukee games.
— Holiday/Middleton shot 12-34 from floor in Game 4, 19-40 in Game 5, 21-43 in Game 6.
Suns
— Phoenix won 15 of its last 19 games.
— Suns are 5-3 ATS in home playoff games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Phoenix was held to 102-95-92-102 points in its four playoff losses.
— Suns are in playoffs for first time in a decade.
— Chris Paul scored 41 points in Suns’ last game.
— Bucks were last in Finals in 1974, Suns in 1976.
— Suns won both meetings this year, both by one point.
— Bucks are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Phoenix.
— Last four series games went over the total.
NBA
Tuesday, July 6
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Trend Report
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Milwaukee @ Phoenix
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games at home
Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
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Tuesday’s 6-pack
— Phillies 13, Cubs 3— Cubs have lost 10 games in a row.
— 2B Eric Sogard pitched in three of those ten games.
— Joey Chestnut banked $10,000 for winning the hot dog eating contest.
— Blue Jays have requested a return to Toronto by July 30.
— Tigers’ 3B coach Chip Hale is leaving to be baseball coach at U of Arizona.
— Today’s Indians-Rays game was ppd because of cruddy weather in Florida; they’ll play a doubleheader Wednesday.
Quote of the Day
“Sometimes the loudest person in the room is not the person who has all the facts on their side or the truth on their side. Sometimes there’s a lot of wisdom in silence.”
Aaron Rodgers
Tuesday’s quiz
Other than Joey Chestnut, who was the last male to win the Nathan’s hot dog eating contest?
Monday’s quiz
Joe Girardi was the manager of the Bronx Bombers before Aaron Boone.
Sunday’s quiz
NFL Hall of Famer Kurt Warner played his college football at Northern Iowa.
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Tuesday’s Den: Week 1-2 trends for NFC teams
Cardinals:
— 1-3-1 in last five Week 1 games.
— 0-4-1 in last five home openers.
— Under 7-2 last nine home openers.
— 10-3 ATS last 13 road openers.
— 1-4 SU last five road openers.
— Under 10-5 last 15 road openers.
Falcons:
— 1-4 in last five Week 1 games.
— 17-5 ATS in last 22 home openers.
— Since 2004, 8-1 ATS as a favorite in HO’s.
— Over 4-1 last five home openers.
— Lost last three road openers.
— 5-12 ATS last 17 road openers (under 13-4).
Panthers:
— Host Sam Darnold’s old team (Jets) in Week 1.
— Last 2 years, lost 30-27/34-30 at home in Week 1.
— 6-11-1 ATS last 18 home openers.
— Under 16-6-1 last 23 home openers.
— 4-8 ATS last dozen road openers.
— Over 4-1 last five road openers.
Bears:
— 1-6 in last seven Week 1 games.
— 2-5 SU/ATS last seven home openers.
— Under 4-0 last four home openers.
— 4-6 last ten road openers.
— 2-4 ATS last six road openers.
— Under 16-5 last 21 road openers.
Cowboys:
— Under 5-2 last seven Week 1 games.
— Won last four home openers, scoring 35-40 points in last two.
— Over 8-6 last 14 home openers.
— Lost three of last four road openers.
— 10-4 ATS last 14 games as an underdog in road openers.
— Under 6-3 last nine road openers.
Lions:
— Last ten season openers went over the total.
— 0-2-1 SU last three season openers (favored in all 3)
— Lost four of last six home openers.
— Over 8-3 last 11 home openers.
— 3-6 ATS last nine road openers.
— Five of last six road openers went over.
Packers:
— Won last six season openers (5-1 ATS)
— Over 7-3 last ten season openers.
— Won 8 in row, 13 of last 14 home openers (11-3 ATS)
— Under 3-1 last four home openers.
— Won/covered last four Week 1 road games.
— Over 12-3 last 15 road openers.
Rams:
— Under McVay, Rams are 4-0 SU in Week 1.
— Won/covered last six home openers.
— Under is 4-1 in last five home openers.
— Under McVay, Rams are 4-0 in road openers, covering last three
— Last four road openers, Rams scored 41-33-30-37 points.
— Over is 3-1 in last four road openers.
Vikings:
— This is first time in 5 years they open on road.
— Won/covered four of last five Week 1 games.
— Won/covered five of last six home openers.
— Under is 6-1 in last seven home openers.
— 0-3-1 SU, 0-4 ATS last four road openers.
— Under 12-5 last 17 road openers.
Giants:
— Started nine of last ten seasons 0-1.
— 1-8 SU, 0-9 ATS last nine home openers.
— Scored 14.2 ppg in last five home openers.
— Under 7-0 last seven home openers.
— Lost 9 of last 11 road openers (3-7-1 ATS)
— Under 4-1 last five road openers.
Saints:
— Lost five of last seven season openers.
— 1-5 ATS in last six home openers.
— Last 3 years, scored 40-30-34 points in home opener.
— Last five home openers went over total.
— 3-12 ATS in last 15 road openers.
— Over 9-4 last 13 road openers.
Eagles:
— Won four of last five season openers.
— Won four of last five home openers.
— Won 5 of last 7 Week 1 games on road.
— Despite that, are 3-9 ATS in last 12 home openers.
— Lost last 3 road openers, giving up 27-24-27 points.
— Over 7-4-1 last dozen road openers.
49ers:
— Won 8 of last 10 season openers.
— Under 6-1 last seven season openers.
— Won 7 of last 10 home openers (0-4 ATS last four)
— Under 6-1 last seven home openers.
— Last 2 years, won road opener 31-17/31-13.
— Under 7-4-1 last dozen road openers.
Seahawks:
— Split last six season openers SU.
— Won 17 of last 18 home openers (14-4 ATS)
— Under 16-3-1 last 20 home openers.
— Won last 2 road openers 28-26/38-25, after losing 11 of previous 12.
— 3-12-1 ATS in last 16 road openers.
— Over 5-2 last seven road openers.
Buccaneers:
— Won three of last four Week 1 games.
— Four of last five Week 1 games went over.
— Won/covered three of last four home openers.
— Scored 27+ points in four of last five home openers.
— 7-4 ATS in last 11 road openers.
— Over 4-1 in last five road openers.
Washington:
— Covered last three Week 1 games.
— 1-4 ATS in last five home openers as a dog.
— 2-7 SU in last nine home openers.
— Over 7-3 last ten home openers.
— Covered four of last five road openers.
— Over is 8-4 in last dozen road openers.
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Giannis Antetokounmpo of Milwaukee Bucks draws doubtful tag for Game 1 of NBA Finals vs. Phoenix Suns
PHOENIX -- Giannis Antetokounmpo is listed as doubtful for Game 1 of the NBA Finals against the Phoenix Suns on Tuesday after missing the Milwaukee Bucks' last two games because of a hyperextended left knee.
Antetokounmpo was injured in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference finals against the Atlanta Hawks.
Bucks coach Mike Budenholzer said earlier Monday that Antetokounmpo was able to do some on-court work separately from the team's afternoon practice. When asked what specific exercises and movements Antetokounmpo was able to do without pain, Budenholzer declined to answer.
"He's had a good day," Budenholzer said. "He's making good progress."
The NBA announced that because Antetokounmpo's status was uncertain for Game 1, he was exempt from speaking to reporters Monday.
After injuring his knee against the Hawks on Tuesday, Antetokounmpo was able to do work on the basketball court for the first time Saturday. Before then, he had only been able to do exercises in the weight room, according to Budenholzer.
Without their two-time MVP in the final two games of the East finals, the Bucks were able to find a way to win behind dominant play from Khris Middleton, Jrue Holiday and Brook Lopez.
"When Giannis is out there, a lot of times we can just give him the ball and let him go to work and let him orchestrate a lot of things out there," Middleton said. "Without him, we have to do it by committee."
Bobby Portis started in both games Antetokounmpo missed, while Middleton scored a combined 64 points and Holiday 60.
Without the "Greek Freak," Holiday said that he felt he needed to step in and fill some of the offensive void -- and make up for some of the void left without Antetokounmpo there to attack the basket.
"[I'm trying to] just continue to be aggressive," Holiday said. "No letdowns, because the way Giannis [plays] there are no let downs. He's continuously going to the basket, being aggressive on both ends of the floor. He does so much for this team that I just felt like losing that would be really hard for us."
Middleton said that he has tried to support Antetokounmpo by telling him not to hurry back before he is ready.
"[I told him] don't rush back in and put yourself at a greater risk for a greater injury," Middleton said. "He's a guy -- he puts so much time and effort into his body to be the best version of himself also."Leave a comment:
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SATURDAY, JULY 3
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
MIL at ATL 08:30 PM
MIL +2.0
O 217.0
+500 +500Leave a comment:
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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, July 3
Milwaukee @ Atlanta
Bucks (lead series 3-2)
— Four Milwaukee starters scored 22+ points in Game 5.
— Bucks won seven of their last ten games SU.
— Milwaukee is 4-4 ATS in road playoff games.
— Brook Lopez shot 14-18 from floor, scored 33 points in Game 5
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 12-7-1 in last 20 Milwaukee games.
— Bucks subs were a combined +43 in Game 3, minus-25 in Game 4
— Holiday/Middleton shot combined 12-34 from floor in Game 4, 19-40 in Game 5.
Hawks
— Atlanta starters were combined +104 in Game 4, minus-71 in Game 5.
— Hawks won 17 of last 25 games (15-10 ATS).
— Under is 16-3-1 in their last 20 games.
— Hawks are 4-3 ATS in home playoff games.
— Atlanta shot 64% inside arc in Game 4, 50% in Game 5.
— Last time Hawks were in this round was 2015; their coach was Mike Budenholzer, now coach of Milwaukee.
— Check status here for both Antetokounmpo (knee), Trae Young (foot)
— Bucks won 11 of last 14 series games.
— Bucks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Atlanta.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.
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Saturday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the Big X in football this fall:
7-5— Oklahoma
5-2— Iowa State
6-1— Texas
10-1— Oklahoma State
12-1— TCU
15-1— West Virginia
50-1— Baylor
60-1— Kansas State
75-1— Texas Tech
500-1— Kansas
Quote of the Day
“It’s supposed to be hard. If it wasn’t hard, everyone would do it. The hard… is what makes it great.”
Tom Hanks in A League of Their Own
Saturday’s quiz
Which team did Trevor Bauer break into the majors with?
Friday’s quiz
Bobby Bonilla hit 287 major league homers, playing for 8 teams; he hit the most home runs (114) playing for Pittsburgh.
Thursday’s quiz
Back in July 1979, Chicago White Sox hosted “Disco Demolition Night”, where they blew up a vat of disco records in between games of a doubleheader, but right field caught on fire and they had to forfeit the second game of the twinbill.
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Saturday’s Den: ACC football knowledge
Boston College:
— BC is 24-9-1 ATS in last 34 games as an underdog.
— Last four years, Eagles are 9-2-1 ATS as home underdogs.
— Last four years, BC is 24-9-1 ATS in ACC games.
— Eagles lost three of last four bowls (beat Maryland 36-30 in ’16).
Clemson
— Since 2012, Clemson is 111-14 SU.
— Offensive coordinator is in 6th year there; DC is in his 9th year.
— Tigers lost last two bowl games, 42-25/49-28.
— Clemson is 27-17-1 ATS in last 45 games as a favorite.
Duke
— Last 2 years, Blue Devils are 7-16 SU, with minus-30 turnover ratio.
— Under Cutcliffe, Duke is 8-3-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Blue Devils scored 43 ppg in last five bowls, winning last three.
— Last three years, Duke is 4-9 ATS coming off a win.
Florida State
— Last three years, Seminoles are 14-20 SU.
— This is first time in five years they’ve had same OC two years in row.
— FSU covered once in its last ten non-conference games.
— Since 2016, Seminoles are 10-15 ATS as home favorites.
Georgia Tech
— Last 2 years, Tech was 6-16 SU, transitioning from option to spread attack.
— HC Collins is 3-8-1 ATS as a home favorite, 4-1-1 as road favorite.
— Last three years, Yellow Jackets are 5-12-1 ATS at home.
— Last three years, Tech is 4-9 ATS coming off a win.
Louisville
— Last three years, Louisville is 14-22 SU, with minus-25 turnover ratio
— Last three years, Cardinals are 2-9-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last four years, Louisville is 6-14 ATS coming off a win.
— As head coach, Satterfield is 31-24-1 ATS when favored, 9-14-3 as a dog.
Miami
— As head coach, Diaz is 6-9 ATS when favored, 4-1 as an underdog.
— Last four years, Miami is 12-17 ATS coming off a win.
— Miami lost its last four bowls, scoring only 15.3 ppg.
— From 2015-17, Hurricanes were +34 in turnovers; last three years, +6.
North Carolina
— Tar Heels are 15-10 last two years, after going 5-18 in 2017-18.
— Last three years, Carolina is 5-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— UNC lost four of last five bowl games, giving up 33.6 ppg.
— QB has 25 career starts, offensive line has 116 career starts.
NC State
— Under Doeren, State is 14-23-2 ATS as an underdog.
— Last three years, Wolfpack is 8-13 ATS coming off a win.
— Last three years, State is 9-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— Favorites covered four of their last five bowls.
Pittsburgh
— Last six years, Pitt is 8-15-2 ATS as home favorite, 22-11 ATS on road.
— Last four years, Panthers are 14-9 ATS off a loss.
— Pitt lost four of last five bowls (underdogs 4-1 ATS)
— Pitt has a senior QB with 36 career starts.
Syracuse
— Syracuse was outgained by 199 yards/game last year.
— Orange OL has 120 career starts returning.
— Syracuse won its last four bowls; last loss was in 2004.
— Syracuse has played in only one bowl since 2013.
Virginia
— Last years, Cavaliers are 13-6 ATS at home.
— Virginia is 8-3 ATS in last 11 non-conference games.
— Cavaliers lost four of last five bowls, were underdog in all five.
— Virginia’s OL has 132 returning starts this season.
Virginia Tech
— Last year was first time in 28 years Hokies didn’t go to a bowl.
— Last three years, Virginia Tech is only 19-18 SU.
— Last five years, Hokies are 5-12 ATS as home favorites.
— Tech lost its last three bowls, giving up 34 ppg.
Wake Forest
— Last 5 years, Wake is 3-2 in bowls; first time ever they played in 5 straight bowls.
— Since 2015, Deacons are 2-6 ATS as road favorites, 15-7 as road dogs.
— Over their last 22 games, Wake Forest is +18 in turnovers.
— Wake has 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense; their QB has 19 career starts.
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561MILWAUKEE -562 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.
Milwaukee @ Atlanta
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Milwaukee is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games
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Friday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders in hits:
103— Nick Castellanos, Cin
101— Adam Frazier, Pitt
100—Trea Turner Wash
99— Cedric Mullins, Balt
96— Vladimir Guerrero, Tor
95— Xander Bogaerts, Bos
Quote of the Day
“People forget my birthday, but no one forgets July 1. I get more texts and calls that day than any other during the year.”
Bobby Bonilla
Friday’s quiz
Bobby Bonilla hit 287 major league homers, playing for 8 teams. What did team did he hit the most home runs for?
Thursday’s quiz
Back in July 1979, Chicago White Sox hosted “Disco Demolition Night”, where they blew up a vat of disco records in between games of a doubleheader, but right field caught on fire and they had to forfeit the second game of the twinbill.
Wednesday’s quiz
Bruce Bochy managed the San Diego Padres last time they played in a World Series; he later won three World Series managing the Giants.
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Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here……..
13) Hopefully every had a good day Thursday. It was:
a) Canada Day— Our neighbors to the north celebrated the anniversary of Canadian Confederation which occurred on July 1, 1867. Unfortunately the Blue Jays are still playing home games in Buffalo, but hopefully soon they’ll be back in Toronto.
b) Bobby Bonilla Day— Every July 1, Bobby Bonilla gets a check for $1,193,248.20 from the New York Mets, as he will every July 1 until 2035.
Back in 2011, instead of paying Bonilla a $5.9M buyout right there and then, the Mets agreed to make annual payments of nearly $1.2M for 25 years starting July 1, 2011, including a negotiated 8% interest. Hopefully Bonilla buys his agent a nice gift every year.
12) Orioles-Astros game Wednesday night, CB Bucknor behind the plate and Brent Strom, the Astros’ pitching coach, gets tossed after the second batter of the game. Not good.
Bucknor is widely known to be one of the worst umpires, but you don’t see a guy get tossed after two batters very often.
11) Reds’ 1B Joey Votto got his 1,000th career RBI Wednesday, and he did it the right way, by hitting a home run against San Diego. Votto should get his 2,000th career hit later this summer.
10) Seattle Mariners won 12 of their last 16 games; their 9-1 in extra innings this year.
9) In their last 21 games, Baltimore Orioles have zero wins from starting pitchers, as in, none.
Orioles are 5-16 in those 21 games, but relievers got all five of the wins.
8) Miami’s Adam Duvall has homered in consecutive games six times this season, more than any other player in the big leagues.
7) Congrats to Mississippi State on winning the College World Series, their first national title in any team sport. Bulldogs lost Game 1 of the finals to Vanderbilt, but then swept the last two.
6) White Sox’ rookie Gavin Sheets hit his first big league homer Wednesday night; can’t imagine how great a feeling that must be. Young man couldn’t stop grinning.
5) Hallmark Channel is running Christmas movies 24/7 this week and next; people must watch this stuff or else they wouldn’t do it, but why watch a Christmas movie in July?
4) Chris Paul has played in the NBA for 16 years, played in 123 playoff games, but this is the year he finally made it to the NBA Finals for the first time, scoring 41 points in the decisive Game 6 win over the Clippers. Congrats to him.
3) Fernando Tatis Jr will be the first position player from the Padres to start an All-Star Game since Tony Gwynn, in 1998.
2) Wednesday, Cubs scored 7 runs in the first inning, but lost 15-7 in Milwaukee; they were the first team since 1976 to score 7+ runs in the first inning, then lose by 7+ runs- the Giants also did that April 26, 1976. Those are the only two times that has happened in the last 100 years.
1) Thursday was also the first day rules allowing college athletes to benefit from their name, image and likeness went into effect. We’ll see how this works out; there are usually unintended consequences that pop up when stuff like this happens, but I’m guessing lot of college QB’s are going to be driving really nice cars this fall.
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THURSDAY, JULY 1
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
ATL at MIL 08:30 PM
ATL +2.5
U 215.0
+500 +500Leave a comment:
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541ATLANTA -542 MILWAUKEE
ATLANTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NBA
Dunkel
Thursday, July 1
NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, July 1
Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Hawks
— Trae Young (foot) is questionable for this game.
— Atlanta starters were combined +104 in Game 4
— Hawks won 17 of last 24 games (15-9 ATS).
— Under is 15-3-1 in their last 19 games.
— Hawks are 6-3 ATS in road playoff games.
— Atlanta shot 64% inside arc in Game 4.
— Last time Hawks were in this round was 2015; their coach was Mike Budenholzer, now coach of Milwaukee.
Bucks (series 2-2)
— Antetokounmpo (knee) is listed as doubtful for this game.
— Bucks won six of their last nine games SU.
— Milwaukee is 4-2-1 ATS in home playoff games.
— Milwaukee shot 8-39 on the arc in Game 4
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 12-6-1 in last 19 Milwaukee games.
— Bucks subs were a combined +43 in Game 3, minus-25 in Game 4.
— Holiday/Middleton both shot 6-17 from floor in Game 4.
— Bucks won 10 of last 13 series games.
— Hawks are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Milwaukee.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.
NBA
Thursday, July 1
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Trend Report
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Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta
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