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Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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  • Udog
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  • Udog
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Saturday, June 26





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  • Udog
    replied
    591PHOENIX -592 LA CLIPPERS
    PHOENIX is 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Saturday, June 26


    Phoenix @ LA Clippers
    Suns (lead series 2-1)
    — Suns starters were a combined minus-86 in Game 3.
    — Phoenix won 13 of their last 16 games.
    — Suns are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight road games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Phoenix was held to 102-95-92 points in its three playoff losses.
    — Suns are in playoffs for first time in a decade.
    — Chris Paul shot 5-19 in his return to lineup in Game 3.

    Clippers
    — Clippers have been playing every other day since June 2.
    — Clippers won last two series, after falling behind 2-0 in both.
    — Clippers’ starters were a combined +104 in Game 3.
    — LA held the Suns to 44 second half points in Game 3.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Clippers are 5-0 ATS in last five home games.

    — Clippers won six of last nine series games.
    — Suns are 1-4 ATS in last five road series games.
    — Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.




    NBA

    Saturday, June 26

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Trend Report

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Phoenix @ LA Clippers
    Phoenix
    Phoenix is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    Phoenix is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
    LA Clippers
    LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



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  • Udog
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  • Udog
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    Saturday’s 6-pack
    Major league leaders in doubles:

    25— Nick Castellanos, Cin
    24— Adam Frazier, Pitt
    23— Rafael Devers, Bos
    22— Michael Brantley, Nolan Arenado, Ozzie Albies
    21— Xander Bogaerts Bos
    20— Cedric Mullins Balt, Brian Reynolds Pitt

    Quote of the Day
    “He’s not ready yet, but he doesn’t have to be ready yet. We got a long training camp coming up. He’s probably advanced maybe a little quicker than we would’ve thought, which was a positive.”
    Jaguars coach Urban Meyer, on rookie QB Trevor Lawrence

    Saturday’s quiz
    Who was the Dodgers’ manager, last time they missed the playoffs?

    Friday’s quiz
    Terry Collins managed the Mets the last time they played in a World Series, in 2015.

    Thursday’s quiz
    Davey Johnson managed the Mets, last time they won the World Series, in 1986.

    *******************************************

    Saturday’s Den: SEC football knowledge

    Alabama:
    — Crimson Tide hasn’t been underdog in a game since 2015
    — Last six years, covering 85 games, Alabama is +68 in turnovers.
    — Alabama is 54-35-1 ATS in last 90 SEC games, 23-25-1 in last 49 non-league tilts.

    Arkansas
    — Last six years, Arkansas is 8-12 ATS as a home favorite.
    — Since 2012, Razorbacks are 13-24 ATS in game coming off a win.
    — Arkansas is 11-35 SU last four years; their last bowl was 2016.

    Auburn
    — Since 2014, Auburn is 19-33-1 ATS in game coming off a SU win.
    — Since 2015, Tigers are 9-5-1 ATS as a road underdog.
    — Auburn lost four of last five bowls, giving up 31+ points in all four losses.

    Florida
    — Dan Mullen is 32-22-1 ATS as a home favorite, 7-3 SU in bowls
    — At Florida, Mullen is 15-10-1 ATS as a home favorite.
    — Gators have a freshman QB Jalen Kitna, son of former NFL QB Jon Kitna.

    Georgia
    — Last four years, Dawgs are 44-9 SU; they won 4 of last 6 bowls.
    — Last ten years, Georgia is 23-14 ATS as a road favorite.
    — Last four years, Dawgs are 26-16 ATS in game coming off a win.

    Kentucky
    — Favorites are 27-15-2 ATS in Kentucky home games in the Stoops era.
    — Wildcats are 15-8 in last 23 games as a home favorite, 7-12-2 as a home dog.
    — Since 2012, Kentucky is 19-31-3 ATS in game coming off a loss.

    LSU
    — Under Orgeron, LSU is 7-0 ATS as a road underdog.
    — Last 10 years, LSU is 17-9 ATS in games coming off a loss.
    — LSU won its last three bowls, scoring 40-63-42 points.

    Ole Miss
    — Lane Kiffin is 1-8 ATS as a home underdog, 13-5-1 as a road dog.
    — Last four years, Ole Miss is 2-8 ATS as a home underdog.
    — Rebels won 4 of last 5 bowls (favorites 4-1 ATS)

    Mississippi State
    — Mike Leach is 90-72 ATS in league games, 31-38-2 out of conference.
    — Underdogs covered Miss State’s last five bowls.
    — Bulldogs are 3-8 ATS in last 11 home games.

    Missouri
    — Last three years, Mizzou is 9-5 ATS as a home favorite.
    — Tigers have 88 returning starts on the offensive line; that’s good.
    — Since 2015, Mizzou is 5-11 ATS as a road underdog.

    South Carolina
    — Last three years, Gamecocks are 3-8 ATS as a home underdog.
    — Carolina has 4 starters back (84 starts) on the offensive line.
    — Gamecocks have only 3 scholarship QB’s on the roster.

    Tennessee
    — Vols are 12-22 ATS in last 34 home games, since 2017, they’re 5-10 ATS as home favorites.
    — Last 10 years, Tennessee is 19-34-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
    — Good news; Vols won last four bowls; they have QB’s transferring in from Va Tech/Michigan.

    Texas A&M
    — Last three years, Aggies are 6-0 ATS as a road favorite.
    — Jimbo Fisher is 8-2 SU in bowls, 33-18 ATS in non-conference games.
    — Aggies covered 14 of last 21 games coming off a SU win.

    Vanderbilt
    — Last four years, Vandy is 3-12 ATS as a home underdog.
    — Vandy gave up 41-45 points in last two bowls; their last bowl win was 2013.
    — The new coach was a walk-on FB at Vandy; his last job was DC at Notre Dame. Both the coordinators come to Vandy from NFL jobs.


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  • StarDust Bum
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    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    06/25/2021.......2-0-0...100.00%...+10.00
    06/24/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%......-0.50
    06/23/2021.......2-0-0...100.00%...+10.00
    06/22/2021.......0-2-0.....0.00%.....-11.00
    06/20/2021.......1-3-0....25.00%.....-11.50
    06/19/2021.......2-0-0...100.00%...+10.00
    06/18/2021.......0-4-0.....0.00%.....-22.00
    06/17/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%.......-0.50
    06/16/2021.......2-2-0....50.00%.......-1.00
    06/15/2021.......2-0-0..100.00%.....+10.00
    06/14/2021.......2-2-0...50.00%........-1.00
    06/13/2021.......4-0-0..100.00%......+20.00
    06/12/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%........-0.50
    06/11/2021.......0-4-0......0.00%.......-22.00
    06/10/2021.......3-1-0.....75.00%.......+9.50
    06/09/2021.......2-0-0....100.00%.....+10.00
    06/08/2021.......0-3-1......12.50%......-16.50
    06/07/2021 ......2-2-0 .....50.00%....... -1.00
    06/06/2021 ......2-2-0..... 50.00% ......-.1.00
    06/05/2021 ......1-1-0..... 50.00%...... -.0.50
    06/04/2021...... 0-2-0....... 0.00% .....-11.00
    06/03/2021 ......2-2-0 ......50.00% .....-.1.00
    06/02/2021...... 4-4-0 ......50.00% .....-.2.00
    06/01/2021 ......4-2-0 ......66.67% ....+.9.00

    Totals.............39-41-1.......48.75%.....- 1.50


    ************************

    BEST BETS:

    06/25/2021...............2 - 0 - 0............+10.00
    06/24/2021...............1 - 1 - 0.............- 0.50
    06/23/2021...............2 - 0 - 0............+10.00
    06/22/2021...............0 - 2 - 0...........- 11.00
    06/20/2021...............1.-.3.-.0.............-11.50
    06/19/2021...............2 - 0 - 0.............+10.00
    06/18/2021...............0 - 4 - 0.............- 22.00
    06/17/2021...............1 - 1 - 0..............- 0.50
    06/16/2021...............2 - 2 - 0...............-1.00
    06/15/2021...............2 - 0 - 0.............+ 10.00
    06/14/2021...............2 - 2 - 0..............- 1.00
    06/13/2021...............4 - 0 - 0...........,+ 20.00
    06/12//2021..............1 - 1 - 0..............- 0.50
    06/11/2021...............0 - 4 - 0..............-22.00
    06/10/2021...............3 - 1 - 0...............+9.50
    06/09/2021...............2 - 0 - 0..............+10.00
    06/08/2021...............0 - 3 - 1...............-16.50
    06/07/2021...............2 - 2 - 0............... - 1.00
    06/06/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
    06/05/2021...............1 - 1 - 0................- 0.50
    06/04/2021...............0 - 2 - 0................-11.00
    06/02/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
    06/01/2021...............4 - 1 - 0...............+14.50

    Totals:...................36 - 34 - 1..............-- 9.00

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  • StarDust Bum
    replied
    FRIDAY, JUNE 25
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    ATL at MIL 08:30 PM
    MIL -8.0
    U 225.0

    +500 +500

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  • Udog
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Friday, June 25





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  • Udog
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    581ATLANTA -582 MILWAUKEE
    ATLANTA is 16-35 ATS (-22.5 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Friday, June 25


    Atlanta @ Milwaukee
    Hawks (lead series 1-0)
    — Hawks won 16 of last 21 games (14-7 ATS).
    — Under is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games.
    — Trae Young scored 48 points, had 11 assists in Game 1.
    — Hawks are 6-2 ATS in road playoff games.
    — Last time Hawks were in this round was 2015; their coach was Mike Budenholzer, now coach of Milwaukee.

    Bucks
    — Bucks won four of their last six games.
    — Milwaukee is 3-2-1 ATS in home playoff games.
    — Middleton was only 6-23 from floor in Game 1.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Under is 9-6-1 in last 16 Milwaukee games.
    — Bucks’ starters were combined minus-28 in Game 1.
    — Giannis/Holiday both shot 14-25 from floor in Game 1.

    — Bucks won eight of last ten series games.
    — Hawks are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Milwaukee.
    — Under is 4-1 in last five series games.




    NBA

    Friday, June 25

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Trend Report

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Atlanta @ Milwaukee
    Atlanta
    Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Milwaukee
    Milwaukee is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
    Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


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  • Udog
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  • Udog
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    Friday’s 6-pack
    According to Phil Steele Magazine, this year’s six best college QB’s

    6) Kedon Slovis, USC
    5) Desmond Ridder, Cincinnati
    4) Carson Strong, Nevada
    3) JT Daniels, Georgia
    2) Sam Howell, North Carolina
    1) Spencer Rattler, Oklahoma

    Late Night Update
    Zach Davies and three relievers no-hit the Dodgers 4-0; LA got eight walks, but didn’t get a hit and lost their fourth game in a row.

    Saturday’s quiz
    Who managed the Mets, last time they played in a World Series?

    Thursday’s quiz
    Davey Johnson managed the Mets, last time they won the World Series, in 1986.

    Wednesday’s quiz
    James Woods played the team doctor in Any Given Sunday.

    ************************************************

    Friday’s Den: College football coaching changes for this year

    College football coaching changes for 2021:
    Arizona
    — First-time head coach Jedd Fisch is a longtime offensive coordinator.
    — Arizona hired alums Ricky Hunley, Chuck Cecil as assistant coaches/defense.
    — Wildcats went 0-5 LY, losing 70-7 to rival Arizona State; they gave up 39.8 ppg. .

    Arkansas State
    — Butch Jones went 50-27 at Central Michigan/Cincinnati, but went 14-24 in SEC games while at Tennessee. After three years working for Nick Saban, Jones is a head coach again.
    — Previous coach bolted to Utah State, after Red Wolves had first losing season since 2010.
    — ASU threw ball for 384.4 yards/game LY, #2 in country.

    Auburn
    — Previous coach Malzahn went 68-35 at Auburn, 39-27 in SEC, got told to take a hike.
    — When you go 39-27 in SEC games and still get fired, expectations are high.
    — Bryan Harsin comes from Boise State, where he was 69-19, 45-8 in Mountain West.
    — Auburn opponents converted 50.3% of their 3rd down plays LY. Not good.

    Boise State
    — First-time head coach Andy Avalos was defensive coordinator at Oregon.
    — Avalos is a Boise alum, like every Boise HC since 1998.
    — Last four years, Boise is 27-2 in Mountain West
    — Last three years, Broncos are only 7-6 outside Mountain West.

    Buffalo
    — Previous HC went 20-10 last three years, won two bowls, bolted to Kansas.
    — First-time HC is 35 years old, was Dallas Cowboys’ cornerbacks’ coach LY
    — Buffalo went 6-1 LY, scored 43.4 ppg, lost MAC title game, but won bowl.

    Central Florida
    — Previous coach bolted to Tennessee; UCF hired former Auburn coach Malzahn.
    — Malzahn was 39-27 in SEC games at Auburn, but coaching Auburn during the Saban era at Alabama hasn’t been good for job security.
    — Knights scored 42.2 ppg LY but went 6-4; the defense needs work.
    — QB Gabriel has thrown for 7,223 yards in two seasons.

    Illinois
    — Illini hasn’t had a winning season since 2011.
    — Bielema was 68-24 at Wisconsin, but was 11-29 in SEC games at Arkansas.
    — QB Peters is 6th-year college player; he started here last two years. He figures to hand off a lot this season; Bielema prefers to run the ball a lot.

    Kansas
    — Leipold won six D-3 national titles, went 24-10 his last three years at Buffalo.
    — Leipold was hired the day before Kansas’ spring game, which was awkward.
    — Jayhawks haven’t been to a bowl game since 2008.
    — Kansas will try to run ball well, to keep their defense off the field.

    UL-Monroe
    — 64-year old HC Terry Bowden spent last two years as a Clemson assistant.
    — Former Arizona/Michigan HC Rich Rodriguez is the new OC- his son is the QB.
    — Nine of their 10 losses LY were by double digits; this is a total rebuild.

    Marshall
    — Previous coach was 85-54 but got fired; the governor of West Virginia didn’t like him.
    — When you go 55-30 in conference games and still get fired, expectations are high.
    — New coach Huff has been NFL/college assistant for 16 years, last two at Alabama.
    — Huff kept the same offensive coordinator, has 9 starters back on offense.

    South Alabama
    — New HC Wommack was an assistant at Indiana during their turnaround.
    — QB Jake Bentley has 8,409 passing yards, playing for South Carolina/Utah.
    — Major Applewhite is the new OC; they’ll throw more vertical passes.
    — Jaguars haven’t been to a bowl since 2016.

    South Carolina
    — New HC Beamer is son of former Va Tech coach Frank Beamer.
    — Gamecocks went 2-8 LY, giving up 41+ points in five of last six games.
    — South Carolina has only 9 starters back; 5 on offense, 4 on defense.
    — No returning WR had more than 11 catches last season.

    Southern Mississippi
    — Golden Eagles had three different head coaches, just last year.
    — New HC Hall was OC at Tulane; he’ll be his own OC here.
    — RB Frank Gore Jr ran for 708 yards LY; his dad is still active in the NFL.
    — Southern Miss has 10 starters back on offense.

    Tennessee
    — New coach Heupel comes from UCF, with new AD White.
    — NCAA is investigating, which usually screws up recruiting for a while.
    — Tennessee hasn’t been to a bowl since 2016- last year was their worst record in 97 years.
    — Heupel is an offensive guru, but this turnaround will take a while.

    Texas
    — Tom Herman went 32-18 in four years, 22-13 in Big X games, got the ax anyway.
    — Rival Oklahoma has won six consecutive Big X titles; Texas boosters don’t like Oklahoma.
    — Longhorns were 7-3 LY, will be breaking in a new QB this year.
    — New coach Sarkisian was fired at USC for showing up drunk, but he knows Nick Saban, so he gets another head coaching job.

    Utah State
    — New HC Anderson led Arkansas State to 6 bowls in 7 years.
    — Utah State has regressed since scoring 47.5 ppg in 2018.
    — Aggies went 1-5 LY, scoring 10.4 ppg in the losses.
    — Utah State has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.

    Vanderbilt
    — New coach Clark Lee is a Vanderbilt alum.
    — Commodores get three guys on OL back who opted out of last year.
    — Vandy allowed 38+ points in seven of nine games LY.
    — QB Seals completed 64.6% of his passes LY, so they’re good there.


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  • StarDust Bum
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    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    06/24/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%......-0.50
    06/23/2021.......2-0-0...100.00%...+10.00
    06/22/2021.......0-2-0.....0.00%.....-11.00
    06/20/2021.......1-3-0....25.00%.....-11.50
    06/19/2021.......2-0-0...100.00%...+10.00
    06/18/2021.......0-4-0.....0.00%.....-22.00
    06/17/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%.......-0.50
    06/16/2021.......2-2-0....50.00%.......-1.00
    06/15/2021.......2-0-0..100.00%.....+10.00
    06/14/2021.......2-2-0...50.00%........-1.00
    06/13/2021.......4-0-0..100.00%......+20.00
    06/12/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%........-0.50
    06/11/2021.......0-4-0......0.00%.......-22.00
    06/10/2021.......3-1-0.....75.00%.......+9.50
    06/09/2021.......2-0-0....100.00%.....+10.00
    06/08/2021.......0-3-1......12.50%......-16.50
    06/07/2021 ......2-2-0 .....50.00%....... -1.00
    06/06/2021 ......2-2-0..... 50.00% ......-.1.00
    06/05/2021 ......1-1-0..... 50.00%...... -.0.50
    06/04/2021...... 0-2-0....... 0.00% .....-11.00
    06/03/2021 ......2-2-0 ......50.00% .....-.1.00
    06/02/2021...... 4-4-0 ......50.00% .....-.2.00
    06/01/2021 ......4-2-0 ......66.67% ....+.9.00

    Totals.............39-41-1.......48.75%.....- 1.50


    ************************

    BEST BETS:

    06/24/2021...............1 - 1 - 0.............- 0.50
    06/23/2021...............2 - 0 - 0............+10.00
    06/22/2021...............0 - 2 - 0...........- 11.00
    06/20/2021...............1.-.3.-.0.............-11.50
    06/19/2021...............2 - 0 - 0.............+10.00
    06/18/2021...............0 - 4 - 0.............- 22.00
    06/17/2021...............1 - 1 - 0..............- 0.50
    06/16/2021...............2 - 2 - 0...............-1.00
    06/15/2021...............2 - 0 - 0.............+ 10.00
    06/14/2021...............2 - 2 - 0..............- 1.00
    06/13/2021...............4 - 0 - 0...........,+ 20.00
    06/12//2021..............1 - 1 - 0..............- 0.50
    06/11/2021...............0 - 4 - 0..............-22.00
    06/10/2021...............3 - 1 - 0...............+9.50
    06/09/2021...............2 - 0 - 0..............+10.00
    06/08/2021...............0 - 3 - 1...............-16.50
    06/07/2021...............2 - 2 - 0............... - 1.00
    06/06/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
    06/05/2021...............1 - 1 - 0................- 0.50
    06/04/2021...............0 - 2 - 0................-11.00
    06/02/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
    06/01/2021...............4 - 1 - 0...............+14.50

    Totals:...................34 - 33 - 1..............-- 19.00

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  • StarDust Bum
    replied
    THURSDAY, JUNE 24
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    PHO at LAC 09:00 PM
    PHO -1.5
    U 221.0

    +500 +500

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  • Udog
    replied

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