519DALLAS -520 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.
523SACRAMENTO -524 NEW YORK
NEW YORK is 13-5 ATS (7.5 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the current season.
525LA CLIPPERS -526 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 72-48 ATS (19.2 Units) in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.
527WASHINGTON -528 DENVER
WASHINGTON is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.
529NEW ORLEANS -530 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, February 25
Dallas @ Philadelphia
Mavericks (15-15)
— Mavericks won six of its last seven games, all at home.
— Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in last ten road games.
— Over is 13-3-1 in last 17 Dallas games.
76ers (21-11)
— 76ers won three of their last four games.
— Sixers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
— Under is 3-0 in Philly’s last three games.
— Dallas won last three series games, covered last five.
— Mavericks are 3-2 ATS in their last five visits to Philly.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games played here.
Orlando @ Brooklyn
Magic (13-19)
— Orlando won/covered three of its last four games, after a 1-8 skid.
— Magic is 3-8 ATS in last 11 road games.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.
Nets (21-12)
— Brooklyn won/covered their last seven games.
— Nets are 5-2 ATS in last seven home games.
— 22 of last 27 Brooklyn games went over the total.
— Nets are 6-4 in last ten series games.
— Orlando covered its last four visits to Brooklyn.
— Three of last four series games went over.
Sacramento @ New York
Kings (12-19)
— Sacramento is 0-8 SU/ATS in last eight games overall.
— Kings lost last three road games, by 8-13-9 points.
— Over is 7-0 in Sacramento’s last seven games.
Knicks (15-17)
— New York won four of last six games (7-3 ATS last ten).
— Knicks are 6-3 ATS in last nine home games.
— Under is 3-0 in New York’s last three games.
— Sacramento won five of last six series games.
— Kings are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Manhattan.
— Under is 9-1 in last ten series games.
LA Clippers @ Memphis
Clippers (23-10)
— Clippers won six of their last eight games overall.
— Clippers are 5-2 ATS in last seven road games.
— Over is 10-3 in their last 13 games.
Grizzlies (13-14)
— Memphis is 4-8 SU in its last dozen games.
— Grizzlies are 6-8-1 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 3-0 in their last three games.
— Clippers won seven of last nine series games.
— LA is 2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Memphis.
— Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.
Washington @ Denver
Wizards (11-18)
— Wizards won/covered five of their last six games overall.
— Washington is 8-6 ATS on road this season.
— Over is 4-1 in Wizards’ last five games.
Nuggets (17-14)
— Denver split its last six games overall.
— Nuggets are 6-9 ATS at home this season.
— Over is 4-2 in Denver’s last six home games.
— Washington won three of last four series games.
— Wizards are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Denver.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
New Orleans @ Milwaukee
Pelicans (14-17)
— New Orleans won three of its last five games overall.
— Pelicans are 1-3 ATS if they played the night before.
— Over is 16-2-2 in their last 20 games.
Bucks (19-13)
— Milwaukee won/covered last three games, after an 0-5 skid.
— Bucks are 11-6 ATS at home this season.
— Over is 6-2 in Milwaukee’s last eight home games
— Bucks won four of last five series games.
— Pelicans are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
— Eight of last nine series games went over.
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NBA
Thursday, February 25
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Trend Report
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Dallas @ Philadelphia
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Orlando @ Brooklyn
Orlando
Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Sacramento @ New York
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
LA Clippers @ Memphis
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games
Washington @ Denver
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Denver
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Washington
New Orleans @ Milwaukee
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing at home against New Orleans
------------------------------------------------
NBA
Dunkel
Thursday, February 25
***********************
Hoop Trends for Thursday February 25
Vince Akins
ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: New Orleans at Milwaukee (9:35 p.m. ET)
-- The Bucks are 15-0-1 ATS (8.28 ppg) as a 7-17 point home favorite with less than two days of rest.
ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Orlando at Brooklyn (7:35 p.m. ET)
-- The Magic are 0-12 ATS (-14.21 ppg) after allowing at least 50 points in the paint last game.
OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: New Orleans at Milwaukee (9:35 p.m. ET)
-- The Pelicans are 14-0-1 OU (14.00 ppg) after Zion Williamson shot better than 58 percent from the field last game.
OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Clippers at Memphis (8:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Grizzlies are 0-11 OU (-19.18 ppg) with rest off a 10+ point loss in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
Announcement
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Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !
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Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack
Six of the Baltimore Orioles’ best prospects:
1) Adley Rutschman, C
2) Grayson Rodriguez, P
4) Heston Kjerstad, OF
5) Ryan Mountcastle, OF
7) Yusniel Diaz, OF
9) Dean Kremer, P
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 506,030
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.
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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….
Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….
13) Since the AFL/NFL merger 50+ years ago, only one NFL quarterback who has started 50+ games hasn’t thrown at least one pick-6. The answer is surprising; I’ll post it down below.
12) May 17, 1979; Phillies beat the Cubs 23-22 in ten innings, with the wind blowing out at Wrigley Field. One of the craziest ballgames ever:
— Neither starting pitcher finished the first inning.
— Cubs’ #3-4 hitters went a combined 7-13, with seven runs scored, 13 RBI and Chicago still lost.
— Cubs’ #3 hitter was Bill Buckner, who was a very good big league hitter.
— For some reason, Larry Bowa hit 2nd, Pete Rose 3rd for the Phillies. Bowa was a good fielder but a less-than-average hitter. Bake McBride batted leadoff for Philly.
—Tug McGraw gave up 7 runs (4 earned) in 0.2 innings; you may have heard of his son, Tim McGraw, the great singer. Tug McGraw saved 180 games in his 19-year MLB career.
— Rawly Eastwick got the win in relief, throwing two perfect innings in a 23-22 game.
— Six different players knocked in 4+ runs.
— Bob Boone (Aaron Boone’s father) was the Phillies’ catcher.
— The game took 4:03 to play; 14,952 fans watched it.
11) Jazz 114, Lakers 89:
— Jazz have played 32 games; they’re had a 20+ point lead in 20 of them.
— In its last 23 games, Utah is 20-2-1 against the spread.
10) NBA will host two 4-team play-in tournaments May 18-21, to determine the last four playoff teams this season, two in each conference:
— #7-seed hosts the #8-seed; winner is in.
— #10-seed visits the #9-seed; loser is out.
— Loser of the 7-8 game hosts the 9-10 winner; winner of that game gets in playoffs.
9) Arkansas 81, Alabama 66:
— Free throws: Arkansas 27-43, Alabama 3-8. Seems fair.
— One kid on Arkansas was 16-19 on the line; Alabama’s whole team was 3-8.
— Arkansas has won five in row, 8 of last 9 games.
— Alabama is 4-3 in its last seven games, after a 14-3 start.
8) Rutgers 74, Indiana 63— The pundits on the Big 14 Network preach endlessly about how great their league is; I’m a skeptic. FS1’s Doug Gottlieb was saying how fewer kids from the Big 14 jump early to the NBA, so they have an advantage early in the season, their teams have more continuity, an advantage that erodes as the season goes on.
7) ESPN missed the boat when they let Gottlieb walk; he is a way better analyst than Jay Bilas, who somehow is ESPN’s #1 analyst. Bilas played for Duke, which seems to mean a lot at ESPN.
Gottlieb speaks his mind, has some humor and doesn’t bitch about the refs every 90 seconds, the way Bilas does. Always learn stuff listening to Gottlieb.
6) NC State 68, Virginia 61:
— Virginia lost three in row, after a 15-3 start.
— Wolfpack won three in row, after an 8-9 start.
— NC State played seven guys the whole game. Not many teams have depth these days.
5) Wednesday night’s biggest upsets:
— Western Carolina (+14) 81, NC-Greensboro 80
— NC State (+12) 68, Virginia 61
— Marquette (+8.5) 83, North Carolina 70
— St Joe’s (+8) 97, Dayton 84
— Butler (+7.5) 61, Seton Hall 52
— Fresno State (+7) 67, UNLV 64
4) SNY in New York City does it right; they replay a classic Mets’ game every weekday at 3pm. Watching ballgames is the fun thing to do, listening to Cohen-Darling-Hernandez is a fine way to spend a winter afternoon, at least until exhibition games start this weekend.
3) Blue Jays’ 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr has lost 42 pounds since last season; he turns 22 next month, has hit .269 in his first 183 big league games, over two seasons. Curious to see if being so much lighter will make him a better hitter.
2) I’m amazed that people bet on the NFL Draft; you can wager on how many QB’s will get taken in the first round, what pick in the first round will the last QB be taken, basically anything you can think of.
Over the last 50 years, Mitch Trubisky is the only NFL quarterback with 50+ starts who hasn’t thrown at least one pick-6.
1) Conference tournaments start tonight; the Horizon League has four first-round games.
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WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 24
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
BOS at ATL 07:30 PM
BOS -2.0.........112 - 127..........LOSER
O 224.0...........WINNER
GS at IND 07:30 PM
GS +2.0............111 - 107........WINNER
O 231.5.......LOSER
HOU at CLE 07:30 PM
CLE +4.0 .............96 - 112
O 220.0..........LOSER
SA at OKC 08:00 PM
SA -1.0.........99 - 102
O 217.0........LOSER
MIN at CHI 08:00 PM
MIN +4.0........126 - 133......LOSER
O 227.5............WINNER
DET at NO 08:00 PM
NO -9.5.......118 - 128.....WINNER
O 222.5.................WINNER
TOR at MIA 08:00 PM
MIA -2.0............108 - 116
U 213.5............LOSER
CHA at PHO 09:00 PM
PHO -10.0..........124 - 121.....LOSER
O 224.0..............WINNER
LAL at UTA 10:00 PM
LAL +9.0......89 - 114........LOSER
O 218.5.................LOSER
NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:
Feb.24,2021...........6 - 8.......-14.00
Feb.23,2021...........6 - 10......-25.00
Feb.22,2021...........3 - 6........-18.00
Feb.21,2021...........7 - 6........+2.00
Feb.20,2021...........7 - 2........+24.00
Feb.19,2021...........8 - 8.........-4.00
Feb.18,2021...........3 - 3.........-1.50
Feb.17,2021...........9 - 5........+17.50
Feb.16, 2021...........3 - 5.........-12.50
Feb.15, 2021...........6 - 5.........+2.50
Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
Feb.12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
Feb.11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
Feb.10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
Feb.09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
Feb.08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
Feb.07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
Feb.06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
Feb.05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
Feb.04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb.03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb.02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb.01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00
TOTALS.................125 - 114.....-2.00
January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00
****************************************
December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00
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WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 24
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
BOS at ATL 07:30 PM
BOS -2.0
O 224.0
GS at IND 07:30 PM
GS +2.0
O 231.5
HOU at CLE 07:30 PM
CLE +4.0
O 220.0
SA at OKC 08:00 PM
SA -1.0
O 217.0
MIN at CHI 08:00 PM
MIN +4.0
O 227.5
DET at NO 08:00 PM
NO -9.5
O 222.5
TOR at MIA 08:00 PM
MIA -2.0
U 213.5
CHA at PHO 09:00 PM
PHO -10.0
O 224.0
LAL at UTA 10:00 PM
LAL +9.0
O 218.5
NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:
Feb.23,2021...........6 - 10......-25.00
Feb.22,2021...........3 - 6........-18.00
Feb.21,2021...........7 - 6........+2.00
Feb.20,2021...........7 - 2........+24.00
Feb.19,2021...........8 - 8.........-4.00
Feb.18,2021...........3 - 3.........-1.50
Feb.17,2021...........9 - 5........+17.50
Feb.16, 2021...........3 - 5.........-12.50
Feb.15, 2021...........6 - 5.........+2.50
Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
Feb.12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
Feb.11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
Feb.10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
Feb.09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
Feb.08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
Feb.07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
Feb.06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
Feb.05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
Feb.04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb.03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
Feb.02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
Feb.01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00
TOTALS.................119 - 106.....+12.00
January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00
****************************************
December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00
Leave a comment:
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501GOLDEN STATE -502 INDIANA
INDIANA is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.
503TORONTO -504 MIAMI
MIAMI is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.
505HOUSTON -506 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the current season.
507BOSTON -508 ATLANTA
BOSTON is 156-113 ATS (31.7 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1996.
509SAN ANTONIO -510 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 285-232 ATS (29.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game since 1996.
511MINNESOTA -512 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.
513DETROIT -514 NEW ORLEANS
Dwane Casey is 22-40 ATS (-22 Units) when the total >=220 (Coach of DETROIT)
513DETROIT -514 NEW ORLEANS
DETROIT is 22-40 ATS (-22 Units) when the total >=220 in the last 3 seasons.
517LA LAKERS -518 UTAH
UTAH is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games off a home win by 10 points or more in the current season.
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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Wednesday, February 24
Golden State @ Indiana
Warriors (17-15)
— Golden State won five of its last eight games SU.
— Warriors are 3-6 ATS as road underdogs TY.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five road games.
Pacers (15-14)
— Indiana won three of its last four games.
— Pacers are 2-8 ATS in their last ten home games.
— Over is 3-0 in Indiana’s last three games.
— Pacers won four of last six series games.
— Warriors covered three of last four trips to Indiana.
— Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.
Boston @ Atlanta
Celtics (15-16)
— Boston is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games.
— Celtics are 3-9 ATS in last 12 road games.
— Over is 3-1 in last four Boston games.
Hawks (13-18)
— Atlanta lost six of eight, nine of last 12 games.
— Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
— Nine of Atlanta’s 11 games went over the total.
— Boston won eight of last nine series games.
— Celtics covered their last three visits to Atlanta.
— Three of last four series games went over.
Houston @ Cleveland
Rockets (11-18)
— Houston lost its last eight games (1-7 ATS).
— Rockets covered twice in their last seven road games.
— Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
Cavaliers (10-21)
— Cleveland snapped an 0-10 skid last nite (1-13 ATS last 14).
— Cavaliers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
— Last four Cleveland games stayed under the total.
— Houston won five of last six series games.
— Rockets are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Cleveland.
— Under is 3-2 in last five series games played here.
Toronto @ Miami
Raptors (16-16)
— Toronto won/covered four of five, nine of its last 13 games.
— Raptors are 9-3 ATS in their last dozen road games.
— Under is 4-0 in last four Toronto games.
Heat (14-17)
— Miami won three in row, seven of its last ten games overall.
— Heat is 0-8-1 ATS in last nine home games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five home games.
— Toronto won six of last nine series games.
— Raptors are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Miami.
— Last four series games stayed under the total.
Minnesota @ Chicago
Timberwolves (7-25)
— Minnesota lost nine of last ten, 19 of its last 23 games.
— Wolves are 1-3 ATS in their last four road games.
— Four of last six Minnesota games stayed under the total.
Bulls (14-16)
— Chicago won four of its last five games SU.
— Bulls are 3-6-1 ATS in their last ten home games.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Minnesota won eight of last ten series games.
— Timberwolves are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Chicago.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.
Detroit @ New Orleans
Pistons (9-22)
— Detroit lost eight of its last 12 games (1-3 ATS last four)
— Pistons are 3-6-3 ATS in last 12 road games.
— Under is 9-4 in Detroit’s last 13 games.
Pelicans (13-17)
— New Orleans lost five of its last seven games overall.
— Pelicans are 6-4 ATS in their last ten home games.
— Over is 15-2-2 in their last 19 games.
— Detroit won three of last four series games.
— Pistons covered their last three visits to Bourbon Street.
— Four of last six series games stayed under.
San Antonio @ Oklahoma City
Spurs (16-11)
— Spurs haven’t played in ten days.
— San Antonio won five of its last six games overall.
— Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
— Under is 4-2 in Spurs’ last six games.
Thunder (12-19)
— Thunder lost seven of last nine games (1-4 ATS last five)
— OKC is 4-9-1 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.
— San Antonio won six of last nine series games.
— Spurs are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Oklahoma.
— Under is 5-4-1 in last ten series games.
Charlotte @ Phoenix
Hornets (14-16)
— Charlotte won four of its last seven games.
— Hornets are 1-3 ATS in their last four road games.
— Over is 6-2 in Charlotte’s last eight road games.
Suns (20-10)
— Phoenix won/covered 12 of its last 14 games.
— Suns are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games.
— Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.
— Suns won last two series games, after losing previous five.
— Charlotte is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Phoenix.
— Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.
LA Lakers @ Utah
Lakers (22-10)
— Lakers lost four of last five games, are 2-7 ATS in last nine.
— Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Under is 13-3 in their road games this season.
Jazz (25-6)
— Utah won 21 of its last 23 games (20-2-1 ATS).
— Jazz is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 home games.
— Over is 5-2 in Utah’s last six games overall.
— Lakers won/covered last four series games.
— Lakers are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Utah.
— Three of last four series games went over.
------------------------------
NBA
Wednesday, February 24
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Golden State @ Indiana
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
Golden State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Golden State
Indiana is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Golden State
Boston @ Atlanta
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
Houston @ Cleveland
Houston
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Toronto @ Miami
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Minnesota @ Chicago
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit @ New Orleans
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Orleans's last 14 games at home
San Antonio @ Oklahoma City
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games at home
Charlotte @ Phoenix
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Charlotte's last 11 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Phoenix is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
LA Lakers @ Utah
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of LA Lakers's last 19 games on the road
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
-----------------------------------------
NBA
Long Sheet
Wednesday, February 24
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GOLDEN STATE (17 - 15) at INDIANA (15 - 14) - 2/24/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 74-50 ATS (+19.0 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
INDIANA is 184-146 ATS (+23.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TORONTO (16 - 16) at MIAMI (14 - 17) - 2/24/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 255-208 ATS (+26.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HOUSTON (11 - 18) at CLEVELAND (11 - 21) - 2/24/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-54 ATS (-19.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 58-33 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BOSTON (15 - 16) at ATLANTA (13 - 18) - 2/24/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 65-51 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SAN ANTONIO (16 - 11) at OKLAHOMA CITY (12 - 19) - 2/24/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 63-44 ATS (+14.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1139-1010 ATS (+28.0 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 384-304 ATS (+49.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 458-383 ATS (+36.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MINNESOTA (7 - 25) at CHICAGO (14 - 16) - 2/24/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 37-56 ATS (-24.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-41 ATS (-17.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after allowing 130 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CHICAGO is 35-53 ATS (-23.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 147-195 ATS (-67.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DETROIT (9 - 22) at NEW ORLEANS (13 - 17) - 2/24/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 56-86 ATS (-38.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 133-101 ATS (+21.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CHARLOTTE (14 - 16) at PHOENIX (20 - 10) - 2/24/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 205-256 ATS (-76.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 39-61 ATS (-28.1 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
PHOENIX is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 55-80 ATS (-33.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA LAKERS (22 - 10) at UTAH (25 - 6) - 2/24/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games this season.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
UTAH is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
UTAH is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
UTAH is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 6-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 5-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NBA
Dunkel
Wednesday, February 24
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Hoop Trends for Wednesday February 24
Vince Akins
ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Utah (10:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Jazz are 19-0 ATS (9.16 ppg) as a favorite off a win.
ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Chicago (8:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Timberwolves are 0-15-1 ATS (-7.06 ppg) after Karl-Anthony Towns was their high scorer last game.
OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Golden State at Indiana (7:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Warriors are 12-0 OU (16.54 ppg) with no rest off a win as a favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers.
OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at Cleveland (7:35 p.m. ET)
-- The Rockets are 0-10 OU (-16.15 ppg) off a game as a dog in which Eric Gordon shot worse than 33 percent.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
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Breaking Down the Utah Jazz's Historic ATS Run
Jason Logan
The Jazz have been steamrolling teams and have an NBA-best 25-6 record and 23-8 ATS mark. They're winning by an average of 9.8 points per game and have been betting favorites in all but three contests.
The Utah Jazz are making sweet, sweet NBA betting music this season. Heading into Wednesday's home game versus the Los Angeles Lakers, the Jazz are not only the NBA’s top team at 25-6 SU but also its best bet at 23-8 against the spread.
That red-hot ATS record has earned +12.9 units for NBA bettors or a windfall of $1,290 if you wagered $100 on each of Utah’s 31 games this season at flat -110 juice.
Those earnings are bolstered by two winning streaks: an 11-game ATS run between January 8 and January 29 and an eight-game ATS streak that was snapped in Friday's 116-112 road loss to the Los Angeles Clippers, with Utah closing as a 1-point road underdog.
Utah's historic ATS run
The Jazz were 18-2 ATS in the 20 games heading into last Thursday's 114-96 win in the first of two road stops versus Clippers (failing to cover in back-to-back outings on January 31 and February 2), which ranked as the second-best 20-game ATS stretch in the past 30 NBA seasons. And, depending on the closing spread used for grading Utah's 117-105 win over Detroit on February 2 (-12 or -12.5), that mark could have been 18-1-1 ATS.
The 2014-15 Atlanta Hawks own the top 20-game ATS run in that span, posting a 19-1 ATS mark from December 15 to January 21 (a streak that went 20-1 ATS before coming to an end). Those Hawks also strung together 15 consecutive ATS wins – another NBA betting record.
Utah boasted an average margin of victory of 15.6 points during that 11-game ATS stretch versus an average point spread of -5.5. On the year, the Jazz own an average margin of victory of 9.8 points per game and closed as betting favorites in all but three of their 31 contests.
Can the Jazz keep covering?
As the momentum builds and the bettors get wise to Utah's profitable push (now 20-3 ATS in the past 23 outings), oddsmakers will pad those spreads knowing that public money is coming. And once that money comes in, these spreads can make major moves before tipoff.
Take Utah's recent eight-game ATS run for example. The Jazz faced an average closing spread of -6.6 but those lines opened at an average of -5.1, moving up 1.5 points per game. Utah opened -3.5 at L.A. Thursday (the first of two road games vs. the Clippers) and jumped to -4.5 before moving to -6.5 upon news that Los Angeles would be without stars Paul George and Kawhi Leonard.
According to Consensus numbers, Utah garnered an average of 57 percent of bets placed during those eight contests, including 60, 57, 69, and 59 percent of bets in four of those outings, despite taking on three of the tougher teams in the Eastern Conference in the Philadelphia 76ers, Miami Heat, and Milwaukee Bucks—as well as the Clippers.
Eventually, there will be a tipping point when public perception pushes the spreads too high, opening up value on the other side of the board. Friday's loss to L.A. could have started the dominoes falling, however, that game saw different line movement as past outings due to the available statuses of George and Leonard (Utah opened as low as -2 and climbed as high as -5 before L.A.'s star were given the thumbs up, shrinking this line as low as Jazz +1).
One thing working for Utah backers during this magical season is that the Jazz aren't a very popular team among casual NBA fans. If the Los Angeles Lakers or Boston Celtics had started stringing together ATS wins left and right, you could be sure the public players would be all over it and any value would dry up faster than a ShamWow in the middle of the Utah salt flats.
Looking at the 2014-15 Hawks (another team outside of the NBA public darlings), they opened with a 33-12 ATS record in the first 45 games of the schedule, another NBA betting best.
As Atlanta's streak gained attention from the betting public, however, the spreads grew and the betting bonanza eventually came to an abrupt halt when the Hawks were installed as 17.5-point home favorites versus Minnesota on January 25, 2015, winning the game 112-100 but falling short of that pile of chalk. That tipped off a 1-4 ATS skid for the Hawks, who also faced lofty spreads of -14 and -16 in that span.
Atlanta would finish the season with a 50-31-1 record against the spread, going 17-19-1 ATS in its final 37 games (then falling flat with a 6-10 ATS mark in the playoffs). The Hawks boasted an average margin of victory of +4.5 points per game that season.
Looking at the all-time best bets in NBA gambling history, the 2009-10 Bucks are at the top of the mountain with a 52-28-2 ATS record in an 82-game season (the 2011-12 San Antonio Spurs went 43-22-1 ATS in a 66-game lockout-shortened schedule).
The Bucks, who covered at an incredible 65 percent clip that year, strung together 10 straight covers and went on an 11-0-1 ATS tear between February 19 and March 12. Milwaukee, which went 46-36 SU, owned an average margin of victory of only +1.3 points per game.
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Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !
Wednesday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the college basketball title:
3-1— Gonzaga, Baylor
7-1— Michigan
11-1— Villanova
14-1— Houston, Ohio State, Texas
16-1— Florida State
18-1— Illinois, Iowa
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 501,724
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.
Quote of the Day
“We all wish we could have more rest. I’m here to work. I’m here to punch my clock in and be available to my teammates.”
Lebron James
Wednesday’s quiz
Which college team did Brad Stevens lead to two Final Fours?
Tuesday’s quiz
Doc Rivers was the Boston Celtics’ coach before Brad Stevens.
Monday’s quiz
Fred Thompson played a District Attorney on Law and Order; in real life, he was a US Senator from Tennessee, and unsuccessfully tried to run for President.
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Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….
13) A gambler bet $67,000 Tuesday night at @pointsbetusa that 17-0 Baylor would beat 2-16 Iowa State SU, but Baylor was down 32-15 early, was still down a point with 4:54 left to play- they wound up winning 77-72.
The gambler risked $67,000, made himself a stresssful $2,914. Very stressful.
12) Baylor 77, Iowa State 72— That was the Bears’ first game in three weeks; they just need to get games under their belt, to get ready for the tournament. Can a team get in midseason form in three weeks? We’re about to find out.
11) March’s college basketball schedule is going to be scrambled this year, but at least they’re going to play tournaments, unlike last year. Some of the conference tournaments start next week; I’ll be posting information on all that I can. Hopefully next season will be more normal.
10) NBA trends on back/backs:
— Road teams who played at home night before: Favorites 4-3 ATS, underdogs 6-10-1
— Teams on road for 2nd consecutive night: F 13-8 ATS, U 19-13-1
— Teams at home for 2nd consecutive night: F 12-9-1, U 14-14
— Home teams who played on road night before: F 2-9, U 10-6
— Home teams 38-38-1………favorites 31-29-1, underdogs 49-43-2
9) I’d be fascinated to know what NBA coaches who also coached in college think about the two sports: Billy Donovan, Brad Stevens, Quin Snyder. Even Lon Kruger, who coached the Hawks for a few years but who coaches Oklahoma now.
Recruiting and the transfer epidemic has to make college coaching less appealing; the money is better in the NBA, but lot of coaches like to teach— lot more of that in college.
Would be a fascinating HBO special this summer. Or NBA TV.
8) Lefty pitcher Scott Kazmir signed a minor league deal with the Giants; he has a career record of 108-96, but hasn’t pitched in the majors since 2016. Giants will be his 7th big league team.
7) NBA teams who play the fastest tempo, which could be helpful in betting totals:
1) Golden State
2) Houston
3) Chicago
4) Minnesota
5) Philadelphia
6) Michigan State 81, Illinois 72: Some nights Illinois looks like a Final Four team, then there are nights like tonight. You have to win four tournament games in a row to make the Final Four; is Illinois consistent enough?
5) There are already 110 kids on the college basketball transfer portal; with this year being a free year for college players, meaning that conceivably, everyone playing this year could also come back and play next year, the transfer portal should be fascinating this spring.
Over 1,000 kids transferred last year; I’m guessing this year’s number will be around 1,500.
4) All-Star reserves were announced Tuesday; couple of surprising omissions:
— Phoenis Suns are 20-10; Devin Booker is their best player, scoring 24.7 ppg.
— Domantas Sabonis is one of four players averaging at least 20 points, 10 rebounds and 5 assists per game.
NBA All-Star Game is way harder to make than the baseball/football All-Star Games
3) Michigan’s football team has six new assistant coaches for next season; now all ten of Jim Harbaugh’s assistant coaches are under 40 years old, which is highly unusual.
2) Georgia 91, LSU 78— Dismal effort by LSU, which is now 4-5 in its last nine games. LSU is #329 in the country in assists/FG’s made, meaning they go 1-on-1 a lot and depend on their rebounding for scoring. Not the best recipe for March, especially for experience team #327.
1) Auburn star Sharife Cooper has his foot in a walking boot, Auburn isn’t playing in the postseason and Cooper is likely headed to the NBA this summer, so his college career is pretty much over. So are Auburn’s chances of winning again this season. They’ve lost 7 of their last 8 games, and finish up with Tennessee/Alabama.Tags: None
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