FRIDAY, MARCH 12
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
PHI at WAS 08:00 PM
WAS +4.5
O 234.0
CLE at NO 08:00 PM
NO -7.0
O 229.0
DEN at MEM 08:00 PM
DEN -3.0
U 227.5
ORL at SA 09:00 PM
ORL +6.5
U 215.5
MIA at CHI 09:00 PM
MIA -2.0
O 220.5
HOU at UTA 10:00 PM
UTA -17.0
O 228.5
IND at LAL 10:30 PM
IND +4.5
O 217.0
NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850
TOTALS......38-28-4.....57.57%......+36.00
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Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50
Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00
Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00
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527CLEVELAND -528 NEW ORLEANS
CLEVELAND is 52-72 ATS (-27.2 Units) after a loss in the last 3 seasons.
529PHILADELPHIA -530 WASHINGTON
PHILADELPHIA is 39-57 ATS (-23.7 Units) in road games in the last 3 seasons.
531DENVER -532 MEMPHIS
DENVER is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the current season.
533ORLANDO -534 SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.
535MIAMI -536 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.
537HOUSTON -538 UTAH
UTAH is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the current season.
539INDIANA -540 LA LAKERS
INDIANA is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Friday, March 12
Philadelphia @ Washington
76ers (25-12)
— 76ers won seven of their last nine games.
— Sixers are 2-4 ATS in their last six road games.
— Over is 4-0 in Philly’s last four games.
Wizards (14-21)
— Wizards won eight of their last 12 games (9-3 ATS)
— Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last six home games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
— 76ers won last four series games, by 5-6-9-17 points.
— Wizards covered five of last six series games.
— Under is 3-1 in last four series games played here.
Denver @ Memphis
Nuggets (21-15)
— Denver is 9-4 in its last 13 games overall.
— Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in last six road games.
— Under is 4-2 in Denver’s last six games overall.
Grizzlies (17-16)
— Memphis won four of its last six games.
— Grizzlies are 7-3 ATS in last nine games overall.
— Under is 8-1 in their last nine games.
— Denver won four of last five series games.
— Nuggets covered once in last six visits to Memphis.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.
Cleveland @ New Orleans
Cavaliers (14-21)
— Cleveland won four of last five games, after an 0-10 skid .
— Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.
— Five of last seven Cleveland games stayed under the total.
Pelicans (15-22)
— New Orleans lost five of its last six games overall.
— Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.
— Over is 20-4-2 in their last 26 games.
— Pelicans won six of last seven series games.
— Cavaliers covered once in last five trips to New Orleans.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.
Miami @ Chicago
Heat (19-18)
— Miami won eight of its last nine games overall.
— Heat is 4-0 ATS in last four road games.
— Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
Bulls (16-19)
— Chicago lost three of its last four games SU.
— Bulls are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 home games.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Miami won eight of last ten series games.
— Heat covered four of last six visits to Chicago.
— Three of last four series games went over.
Orlando @ San Antonio
Magic (13-24)
— Orlando lost six in row, 14 of its last 18 games.
— Magic is 4-9 ATS in last 13 road games.
— Over is 4-0 in their last four games.
Spurs (18-15)
— San Antonio lost four of last six games overall.
— Spurs are 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
— Under is 7-3-1 in Spurs’ last 11 games.
— Teams split last six series games.
— Magic covered four of last five trips to the Alamo.
— Last four series games went over the total.
Houston @ Utah
Rockets (11-24)
— Houston lost its last 14 games (1-13 ATS).
— Rockets covered once in their last eight road games.
— Over is 7-2 in their last nine road games.
Jazz (27-9)
— Utah is 3-4 in its last seven games, after a 19-1 run (22-5-1 ATS last 28).
— Jazz is 12-0-1 ATS in its last 13 home games.
— Over is 6-1 in Utah’s last seven games.
— Houston won eight of last ten series games.
— Rockets covered four of last five visits to Utah.
— Under is 5-1 in last six series games.
Indiana @ LA Lakers
Pacers (16-19)
— Indiana lost 10 of its last 14 games.
— Pacers are 3-6 ATS in their last nine road games.
— Over is 6-2-1 in Indiana’s last nine games.
Lakers (24-12)
— Lakers lost six of their last eight games.
— Lakers are 3-7 ATS in their last ten home games.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
— Home side won last nine series games.
— Pacers are 0-4 ATS in last four series games played here.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
--------------------------------
NBA
Friday, March 12
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Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ Washington
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Washington
Washington is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Cleveland @ New Orleans
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games at home
Denver @ Memphis
Denver
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Orlando @ San Antonio
Orlando
Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Orlando
Miami @ Chicago
Miami
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Houston @ Utah
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Utah
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Indiana @ LA Lakers
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana
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NBA
Long Sheet
Friday, March 12
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CLEVELAND (14 - 22) at NEW ORLEANS (15 - 22) - 3/12/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 129-165 ATS (-52.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHILADELPHIA (25 - 12) at WASHINGTON (14 - 21) - 3/12/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DENVER (21 - 15) at MEMPHIS (17 - 16) - 3/12/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 187-143 ATS (+29.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ORLANDO (13 - 24) at SAN ANTONIO (18 - 15) - 3/12/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1141-1014 ATS (+25.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 582-493 ATS (+39.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 102-67 ATS (+28.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 382-316 ATS (+34.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 92-65 ATS (+20.5 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 459-385 ATS (+35.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
ORLANDO is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 2-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MIAMI (19 - 18) at CHICAGO (16 - 19) - 3/12/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 169-132 ATS (+23.8 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HOUSTON (11 - 24) at UTAH (27 - 9) - 3/12/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
HOUSTON is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games this season.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
UTAH is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-5 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 8-4 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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INDIANA (16 - 19) at LA LAKERS (24 - 13) - 3/12/2021, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
LA LAKERS are 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 182-230 ATS (-71.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NBA
Dunkel
Friday, March 12
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Hoop Trends for Friday March 12
Vince Akins
ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Denver at Memphis (8:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Grizzlies are 12-0 ATS (8.12 ppg) at home off a win in which they had at least three players with at least 20 points.
ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cleveland at New Orleans (8:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Pelicans are 0-19 ATS (-11.61 ppg) at home after they shot worse than 26% on threes last game.
OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Philadelphia at Washington (8:05 p.m. ET)
-- The 76ers are 13-0 OU (12.69 ppg) as a favorite after playing as a road dog last game.
OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at Utah (10:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Rockets are 0-9 OU (-6.50 ppg) as a dog off a loss as a dog in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)Leave a comment:
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Friday’s 6-pack
Leading scorers in country in Division I:
24.2— Max Abmas, Oral Roberts
24.0— Antoine Davis, Detroit
23.8— Luke Garza, Iowa
23.1— Cameron Thomas, LSU
21.8— Santi Aldama, Loyola, MD
21.8— Marcus Burk, IUPUI
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 527,950
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.
Quote of the Day
“He is our starting quarterback right now. He is our starting quarterback. Things happen between now and then. We’ll see what happens. He’s our starting quarterback. — that’s right, right now. And hopefully in the future.”
Houston Texans’ coach David Culley
Friday’s quiz
Of the 31 conference tournaments this month, how many were/are being played in Las Vegas?
Thursday’s quiz
Bob Brenly was manager of the Arizona Diamondbacks when they won their only World Series title.
Wednesday’s quiz
Before becoming head coach at Duke, Mike Krzyzewski was the head coach at West Point.
********************
Friday’s Den: Wrapping up a hectic Thursday
13) Big East tourney:
Georgetown 72, Villanova 71
— Hoyas went 23-for-23 on foul line in a big upset.
— Villanova is #321 in bench minutes; they missed injured PG Gillespie.
— Patrick Ewing is obviously one of the best players in Knicks history; Ewing told reporters after the game that event staff at Madison Square Garden were regularly stopping him to check his passes- they don’t know who he is? His number is up in the freakin’ rafters!!!
Seton Hall 77, St John’s 69 OT— This score could KO the Johnnies from the field of 68; if so, it could be the first year since 1993 that the Big East had only three teams in the NCAA’s.
12) SEC tourney:
Mississippi State 74, Kentucky 73— Bulldogs end a 15-game losing skid vs Kentucky
— This is the first time since 1976 that neither Kentucky/Duke will be in the NCAA’s.
11) ACC tourney:
— Duke-Florida State game was cancelled because of a positive COVID test in the Duke program; that ends Duke’s season, and their streak of 24 straight years in NCAA tourney.
Virginia 72, Syracuse 69— Freshman Reece Beekman buried a 3-pointer at the buzzer for Virginia, which trailed by 11 in first half. It was Beekman’s only basket of the game.
10) Big X tourney:
Texas 67, Texas Tech 66:
— Longhorns won four in row, seven of last nine games.
— Tech was only 12-20 on foul line, shot 41.9% inside arc, missed several tips/layups in last 2:00.
Kansas 69, Oklahoma 62
— Jayhawks won 8 of their last 9 games.
— Oklahoma limps into the NCAA’s, on a 1-5 skid.
9) Pac-12 tourney:
Oregon State 83, UCLA 79 OT— Beavers won four of last five games; they were down 16 late in first half.
— With 10:00 left in game, OSU had 40 points; they scored 30 in last 10:00 of regulation.
— UCLA lost its last four games.
USC 91, Utah 85 2OT:
— Three Trojans played 42:00+.
— Lot of foul shots: USC was 29-39, Utah 25-30
8) Big 14 tourney:
Maryland 68, Michigan State 57— Spartans will have a long few days, waiting to see if they’re in the field of 68, or are heading to Texas for the NIT.
Wisconsin 75, Penn State 74:
— Badgers led 68-50 with 7:48 left, hung on for only their 2nd win in seven games.
— Wisconsin made 12-23 on the arc, won by a point. Bit of a red flag.
7) Upsets of the Day:
— Georgetown (+8) 72, Villanova 71
— Montana (+6.5) 80, Weber State 75
— Oregon State (+5) 83, UCLA 79 OT
— Mississippi State (+3.5) 74, Kentucky 73
— Tulane (+3.5) 77, Tulsa 70
— Nevada (+3.5) 89, Boise State 82
— Cal-Davis 58 (+3.5), Cal-Bakersfield 56
6) Big West tourney:
Cal-Davis 58, Cal-Bakersfield 56— 7th win in last eight games for the Aggies.
Cal-Irvine 58, Cal Poly 51— Anteaters jumped out to a 31-9 lead, then held on. Cal Poly shot 29% inside the arc.
5) Conference USA tourney— All four favorites won, three covered; this tournament is being played at Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas- they have two games going on at once.
4) MAC tourney:
Toledo 91, Ball State 89 OT:
— Toledo blew a 10-point lead with 5:49 left, then trailed by 5 in overtime.
— Rockets won five of their last six games.
3) Mountain West tourney:
San Diego State 69, Wyoming 66:
— Top-seeded Aztecs struggled here; Wyoming is going to be good down the road.
— San Diego State won its last 12 games, plays Nevada tonight.
Disappointing that UNLV hasn’t made the semi-finals of this event since 2014; they’re the host team, but the program has slipped into mediocrity.
2) Big Sky tourney:
Montana 80, Weber State 75
— Montana is 14-12, but five of those wins are against non-Division I teams. This was the 2nd biggest upset of the day nationally.
— Grizzlies can shoot though; they’re shooting 37.5% on arc (#31), 79.8% on foul line (#7)
1) AAC tourney:
South Florida 73, Temple 71— Why did Temple fire Fran Dunphy? Guy went 23-10 his last year, won 21+ games nine of his 13 years there- Owls are 10-22 in AAC games since he left.Leave a comment:
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THURSDAY, MARCH 11
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
DET at CHA 07:00 PM
CHA -4.5..........102 - 105.......LOSER
O 225.0........................LOSER
BOS at BK 07:30 PM
BK -2.5................109 - 122.......WINNER
O 233.5
ATL at TOR 07:30 PM
TOR +3.0..................121- 120
O 226.5......................WINNER
ORL at MIA 08:00 PM
MIA -8.0.............103 - 111
U 211.0...................LOSER
MIN at NO 08:00 PM
MIN +8.5..........135 - 105
O 238.0.................WINNER
NY at MIL 08:00 PM
NY +10.5..........101 - 134.....LOSER
O 222.5.........................WINNER
PHI at CHI 08:00 PM
PHI +3.5...........127 - 105....WINNER
O 227.5
DAL at OKC 09:00 PM
OKC +5.5.............108 - 116
O 219.5.....................WINNER
GS at LAC 10:00 PM
GS +7.0...........104 - 130
O 229.5................WINNER
PHO at POR 10:00 PM
POR +4.5...........127 - 121......LOSER
O 226.5....................WINNER
HOU at SAC 10:00 PM
SAC -4.5.......105 - 125......WINNER
U 231.0...................WINNER
NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850
TOTALS......38-28-4.....57.57%......+36.00
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Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50
Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00
Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00Leave a comment:
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THURSDAY, MARCH 11
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
DET at CHA 07:00 PM
CHA -4.5
O 225.0
BOS at BK 07:30 PM
BK -2.5
O 233.5
ATL at TOR 07:30 PM
TOR +3.0
O 226.5
ORL at MIA 08:00 PM
MIA -8.0
U 211.0
MIN at NO 08:00 PM
MIN +8.5
O 238.0
NY at MIL 08:00 PM
NY +10.5
O 222.5
PHI at CHI 08:00 PM
PHI +3.5
O 227.5
DAL at OKC 09:00 PM
OKC +5.5
O 219.5
GS at LAC 10:00 PM
GS +7.0
O 229.5
PHO at POR 10:00 PM
POR +4.5
O 226.5
HOU at SAC 10:00 PM
SAC -4.5
U 231.0
Leave a comment:
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505DETROIT -506 CHARLOTTE
CHARLOTTE is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
507BOSTON -508 BROOKLYN
BROOKLYN is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.
509ATLANTA -510 TORONTO
ATLANTA is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.
511ORLANDO -512 MIAMI
MIAMI is 57-37 ATS (16.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.
513PHILADELPHIA -514 CHICAGO
PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games in the current season.
515MINNESOTA -516 NEW ORLEANS
MINNESOTA is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) after allowing 130 points or more in the last 3 seasons.
517NEW YORK -518 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games as a favorite of 10 or more in the current season.
519DALLAS -520 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 89-70 ATS (12 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.
521GOLDEN STATE -522 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 136-173 ATS (-54.3 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots since 1996.
523HOUSTON -524 SACRAMENTO
HOUSTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the current season.
-----------------------------------
NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, March 11
Detroit @ Charlotte
Pistons (10-26)
— Detroit lost seven of its last nine games
— Pistons are 5-4 ATS in last nine road games.
— Under is 6-3 in Detroit’s last nine games.
Hornets (17-18)
— Charlotte is 7-5 in its last 13 games SU.
— Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
— Over is 7-1 in Charlotte’s last eight games.
— Hornets won last ten series games.
— Pistons are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Charlotte.
— Under is 7-1 in last eight series games.
Boston @ Brooklyn
Celtics (19-17)
— Boston won its last four games SU.
— Celtics are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games.
— Over is 7-2 in last nine Boston games.
Nets (24-13)
— Brooklyn won/covered 10 of their last 11 games.
— Nets are 5-2 ATS in last seven home games.
— Three of last four Brooklyn home games stayed under.
— Nets won five of last eight series games.
— Boston is 0-3 ATS in last three visits to Brooklyn.
— Four of last five series games went over.
Atlanta vs Toronto (@ Tampa)
Hawks (16-20)
— Hawks won both their games since they fired their coach .
— Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.
— 12 of Atlanta’s 16 games went over the total.
Raptors (17-19)
— Toronto lost three of its last its four games.
— Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Last three Toronto games went over the total.
— Raptors won nine of last ten series games.
— Hawks are 1-3 ATS in last four road series games.
— Last four series games went over the total.
Orlando @ Miami
Magic (13-23)
— Orlando lost five in row, 13 of its last 17 games.
— Magic is 3-9 ATS in last dozen road games.
— Over is 3-0 in their last three games.
Heat (18-18)
— Miami won seven of its last eight games overall.
— Heat is 4-0 ATS in last four road games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Heat won three of last four series games.
— Magic covered four of last five visits to Miami.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.
Philadelphia @ Chicago
76ers (24-12)
— Embiid, Simmons are expected to miss this game.
— 76ers won six of their last eight games.
— Sixers are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
— Over is 3-0 in Philly’s last three games.
Bulls (16-18)
— Chicago won six of its last nine games SU.
— Bulls are 4-8-1 ATS in their last 13 home games.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— 76ers won last five series games (4-1 ATS)
— Sixers covered once in their last four visits to Chicago.
— Under is 4-2 in last six series games.
New York @ Milwaukee
Knicks (19-18)
— New York won eight of last 11 games (11-4 ATS last 15).
— Knicks are 4-2 ATS in their last six road games.
— Under is 7-1-1 in New York’s last nine road games.
Bucks (22-14)
— Milwaukee won six of its last seven games (4-3 ATS).
— Bucks are 4-1 ATS in last five home games.
— Under is 3-0 in Milwaukee’s last three games
— Bucks won five of last six series games.
— Knicks are 1-3-1 ATS in last five trips to Milwaukee.
— Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.
Minnesota @ New Orleans
Timberwolves (7-29)
— Minnesota lost 13 of last 14, 23 of its last 27 games.
— Wolves are 0-9 ATS in their last eight games overall.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
Pelicans (15-21)
— New Orleans lost four of its last five games overall.
— Pelicans are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
— Over is 19-4-2 in their last 25 games.
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Minnesota is 2-1 ATS in last three visits to Bourbon Street.
— Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.
Dallas @ Oklahoma City
Mavericks (19-16)
— Mavericks won 10 of their last 12 games.
— Mavericks are 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
— Under is 6-1 in last seven Dallas games.
Thunder (15-21)
— Thunder split their last eight games.
— OKC is 6-10-1 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 9-3 in their last dozen games.
— Dallas won seven of last ten series games.
— Mavericks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Oklahoma.
— Under is 6-1 in last seven series games.
Golden State @ LA Clippers
Warriors (19-18)
— Golden State is 3-5 in its last eight games overall.
— Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Under is 8-1 in their last nine road games.
Clippers (24-14)
— Clippers lost six of their last nine games overall.
— Clippers are 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Clippers won four of last five series games.
— Golden State covered three of last four road series games.
— Three of last four series games stayed under.
Phoenix @ Portland
Suns (24-11)
— Phoenix won/covered 16 of its last 19 games.
— Suns are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five road games.
Trailblazers (21-14)
— Portland won four in row, 11 of last 16 games SU.
— Blazers are 3-1 ATS in last four home games.
— Over is 7-3 in Portland’s last ten home games.
— Phoenix won three of last four series games.
— Suns are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Portland.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.
Houston @ Sacramento
Rockets (11-23)
— Houston lost its last 13 games (1-12 ATS).
— Rockets covered once in their last seven road games.
— Over is 7-1 in their last eight road games.
Kings (14-22)
— Sacramento is 2-11 SU/ATS in last 13 games overall.
— Kings are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games.
— Over is 11-1 in Sacramento’s last 12 games.
— Houston won eight of last nine series games.
— Rockets covered four of last five visits to Sacramento.
— Four of last six series games went over the total.
-----------------------------------
NBA
Thursday, March 11
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Trend Report
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Detroit @ Charlotte
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Boston @ Brooklyn
Boston
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Brooklyn is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Atlanta @ Toronto
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Atlanta's last 14 games
Toronto
Toronto is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Atlanta
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Orlando @ Miami
Orlando
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
New York @ Milwaukee
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 8 games on the road
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Minnesota @ New Orleans
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 11 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans's last 11 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games at home
Philadelphia @ Chicago
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Dallas @ Oklahoma City
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games
Golden State @ LA Clippers
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Houston @ Sacramento
Houston
Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Sacramento
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Sacramento's last 12 games
Phoenix @ Portland
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Portland
Portland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
-----------------------------------------------------
B]NBA
Long Sheet
Thursday, March 11[/B]
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DETROIT (10 - 26) at CHARLOTTE (17 - 18) - 3/11/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 58-86 ATS (-36.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 7-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 8-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BOSTON (19 - 17) at BROOKLYN (24 - 13) - 3/11/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
BOSTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BROOKLYN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
BROOKLYN is 85-62 ATS (+16.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 159-121 ATS (+25.9 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 259-202 ATS (+36.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 6-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 5-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ATLANTA (16 - 20) at TORONTO (17 - 19) - 3/11/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ORLANDO (13 - 23) at MIAMI (18 - 18) - 3/11/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-4 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHILADELPHIA (24 - 12) at CHICAGO (16 - 18) - 3/11/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CHICAGO is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 77-112 ATS (-46.2 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
CHICAGO is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MINNESOTA (7 - 29) at NEW ORLEANS (15 - 21) - 3/11/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 37-60 ATS (-29.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-54 ATS (-31.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) after allowing 130 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-52 ATS (-27.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-43 ATS (-20.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW YORK (19 - 18) at MILWAUKEE (22 - 14) - 3/11/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DALLAS (19 - 16) at OKLAHOMA CITY (15 - 21) - 3/11/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 66-46 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 81-55 ATS (+20.5 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 89-69 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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GOLDEN STATE (19 - 18) at LA CLIPPERS (24 - 14) - 3/11/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 83-61 ATS (+15.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 8-7 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-7 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HOUSTON (11 - 23) at SACRAMENTO (14 - 22) - 3/11/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in home games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
SACRAMENTO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 8-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHOENIX (24 - 11) at PORTLAND (21 - 14) - 3/11/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHOENIX is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHOENIX is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHOENIX is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
-------------------------------------------
NBA
Dunkel
Thursday, March 11
--------------------------------
Hoop Trends for Thursday March 11
Vince Akins
ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Phoenix at Portland (10:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Suns are 12-0 ATS (9.92 ppg) on the road coming off a 10+ point win.
ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at Sacramento (10:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Kings are 0-12 ATS (-8.50 ppg) at home after they scored more than 50 points in the paint last game.
OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Golden State at L.A. Clippers (10:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Warriors are 10-0-1 OU (13.41 ppg) on the road with more than two days of rest.
OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at Sacramento (10:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Rockets are 0-10 OU (-8.40 ppg) coming off a 10+ point loss as a home dog.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)Leave a comment:
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Thursday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the PLAYERS Championship this week:
12-1— Dustin Johnson
13-1— Bryson Dechambeau, Rory McIlroy
15-1— Jon Rahm
16-1— Justin Thomas
20-1— Morikawa, Schauffele, Simpson
24-1— Patrick Cantlay, Viktor Hovland
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 527,950
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.
Quote of the Day
“……..fear and desperation are running neck and neck as the prevailing sentiment within the Bears’ front office right now, as its criminal mismanagement of the quarterback position has come to a crest with few easy ways out.”
Jason LaCanfora, CBS Sports
Thursday’s quiz
Who was manager of the Arizona Diamondbacks when they won their only World Series title?
Wednesday’s quiz
Before becoming head coach at Duke, Mike Krzyzewski was the head coach at West Point.
Tuesday’s quiz
Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State
**********************
Thursday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….
13) Butler-Xavier, tied 59-all with 0:24 left at the Big East tournament. FS1 shows how Xavier is on the NCAA bubble and needs to win this game.
FS1 announcer: “This would be a bad loss for Xavier. Not to speak disparagingly of Butler, but this would be a bad loss.”
Hahaha. Can’t have it both ways, chief. If you say losing to Team A is a bad loss, then you’re speaking disparangly of Team A. No way around it.
Butler 70, Xavier 69 OT— Bad loss for Xavier, which lost six of its last eight games.
12) ACC tournament:
— Syracuse 89, NC State 68— Syracuse was 3-0 against the Wolfpack this season.
— Miami 67, Clemson 64— Hurricanes played seven guys yesterday. Seven.
— North Carolina 101, Notre Dame 59— UNC-Virginia Tech is a good game today.
11) Big X tournament:
— Kansas State 71, TCU 50— Wildcats won four of last five games, after an 0-13 skid.
— Oklahoma 79, Iowa State 73— Cyclones didn’t win a conference game this year.
10) Big 14 tournament:
— Minnesota 51, Northwestern 46— Gophers snap a 7-game skid here; they say Richard Pitino’s job is in jeopardy, and San Diego State’s Brian Dutcher would be their target to take Pitino’s place. Dutcher’s dad coached Minnesota in the early 80’s.
Here’s my proposal, and I’ve said this before: Louisville has an assistant coach named Luke Murray, who is Bill Murray’s son. If you’ve ever seen the movie Caddyshack, you remember the tense relationship Bill Murray’s character had with gophers on the golf course.
Having Bill Murray’s son being head coach of the Minnesota Gophers would open up a huge pool of possibilities for great TV commercials. Just an idea.
9) MAAC tournament:
— Iona 55, Siena 52— Rick Pitino gets his Gaels into the MAAC semi-finals, upsetting the top-seeded Saints.
— Fairfield 79, Monmouth 60— Pretty big upset, but Stags have won four of last five games.
8) Mountain West tournament had some sanity; all three favorites won Wednesday and two of them covered the spread. 2-seed Utah State gets to play UNLV on the Rebels’ home court Thursday.
7) Upsets of the Day:
— Rice (+9.5) 72, Marshall 68
— California (+8) 76, Stanford 58
— Miami (+8) 67, Clemson 64
— Fairfield (+8) 79, Monmouth 60
— Butler (+6) 70, Xavier 69 OT
— Northern Arizona (+6) 77, Portland State 66
6) Pac-12 tournament:
— Utah 98, Washington 95— Utes led by 19 with 5:08 left, hung on for dear life. Utah made 14-26 on the arc, shot 66.7% inside arc and only won by 3 points. Yikes.
— Cal 76, Stanford 58— Wheels fell off down the stretch for Stanford; they lost their last five games, finishing 14-13 after an 8-3 start.
5) LaMarcus Aldridge will be leaving the San Antonio Spurs; Gregg Popovich had nice things to say about Aldridge the person, but the team had been faring better when Aldridge was off the floor, so they’re going to trade him, and he’ll be away from the team until that happens.
Aldridge is a free agent this summer; he is averaging only 13.7 ppg, the fewest he’s scored since his rookie season, and only 4.5 rebounds/game, a career-low.
4) NFL salary cap is going down 8% next season, first time in a decade the cap hasn’t gone up.
Free agency starts March 17; NFL will be fighting for headlines with the NCAA Tournament.
3) Kansas Jayhawks fired their football coach the other day; they fired their athletic director yesterday. When you hire a new coach and the team goes 3-18 over two years, the wealthy boosters get queasy about coughing up more money. Rich people aren’t patient.
2) Dodgers’ ace Clayton Kershaw will be using a new baseball glove this season for the first time since 2009. Dodgers won the World Series, Kershaw retired his glove. Guess that means he isn’t superstitious.
1) To me, today (Thursday) is the best college basketball day of the year; 15 hours full of games from all over the country. A good to day to relax, eat pizza and watch a lot of ball. Enjoy.Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-11-2021, 01:54 AM.Leave a comment:
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WEDNESDAY, MARCH 10
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
WAS at MEM 08:00 PM
WAS +3.5...........112 - 127.....LOSER
O 237.0.......................WINNER
SA at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL -4.0................104 - 115....WINNER
U 224.0...........................WINNER
NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
03/10/2021 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
03/04/2021 9-7-2 55.56% +650 Detail
03/03/2021 12-8-0 60.00% +1600 Detail
03/02/2021 4-7-1 37.50% -1850 Detail
TOTALS............28-23-2.......54.90%.....+13.50
Totals.............27 - 20...........67.50%............+19.00
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Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50
Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00
Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00Leave a comment:
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WEDNESDAY, MARCH 10
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
WAS at MEM 08:00 PM
WAS +3.5
O 237.0
SA at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL -4.0
U 224.0Leave a comment:
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501WASHINGTON -502 MEMPHIS
WASHINGTON is 27-48 ATS (-25.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.
503SAN ANTONIO -504 DALLAS
DALLAS are 214-151 ATS (47.9 Units) after scoring 90 points or less since 1996.
NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Wednesday, March 10
Washington @ Memphis
Wizards (14-20)
— Wizards won eight of their last 11 games (9-2 ATS)
— Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Grizzlies (16-16)
— Memphis won three of its last five games.
— Grizzlies are 6-3 ATS in last nine games overall.
— Under is 8-0 in their last eight games.
— Memphis won four of last five series games.
— Wizards are 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Tennessee.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.
San Antonio @ Dallas
Spurs (18-14)
— San Antonio won seven of last 11 games overall.
— Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Under is 7-3-1 in Spurs’ last 11 games.
Mavericks (18-16)
— Mavericks won nine of their last 11 games.
— Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in last five home games.
— Under is 5-1 in last six Dallas games.
— Mavericks won four of last five series games.
— Spurs covered three of last four visits to Dallas.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.
NBA
Wednesday, March 10
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Trend Report
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Washington @ Memphis
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
San Antonio @ Dallas
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 8 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
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NBA
Dunkel
Wednesday, March 10
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Eastern Conference 1st Half Records, Trends
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Western Conference 1st Half Records, Trends
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Hoop Trends for Wednesday March 10
Vince Akins
ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Washington at Memphis (8:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Wizards are 10-0 ATS (9.75 ppg) after Russell Westbrook had at least 10 assists last game.
ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Antonio at Dallas (8:35 p.m. ET)
-- The Spurs are 0-13-1 ATS (-10.11 ppg) as a road dog after their turnovers increased by at least 10 from the game prior.
OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Antonio at Dallas (8:35 p.m. ET)
-- The Spurs are 13-0 OU (12.58 ppg) as a dog off a loss in which they had at least 5 turnovers more than their season-to-date average.
OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Washington at Memphis (8:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Grizzlies are 0-12 OU (-17.12 ppg) as a favorite with rest after they scored more than 50 points in the paint last game.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
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NBA
Long Sheet
Wednesday, March 10
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WASHINGTON (14 - 20) at MEMPHIS (16 - 16) - 3/10/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 149-191 ATS (-61.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 60-86 ATS (-34.6 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 27-48 ATS (-25.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SAN ANTONIO (18 - 14) at DALLAS (18 - 16) - 3/10/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 273-218 ATS (+33.2 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 1141-1013 ATS (+26.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 61-30 ATS (+28.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 233-167 ATS (+49.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
DALLAS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasonsLeave a comment:
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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the Big 14 tournament this week:
+150- Michigan
+350- Illinois, Iowa, Ohio State
+1000- Purdue
+1500- Wisconsin
+2500- Rutgers
+3500- Michigan State
+5000- Maryland, Minnesota
+6600- Indiana
+20000- Northwestern
+30000- Nebraska
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 525,117
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.
Quote of the Day
“I don’t really like stats. Exit velocity. I’m more of, exit hits……I dropped out as a sophomore, Look where I am now. I’m OK.”
Bryce Harper
Wednesday’s quiz
Before becoming head coach at Duke, where was Mike Krzyzewski the head coach?
Tuesday’s quiz
Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State
Monday’s quiz
Mariners/Seahawks used to play home games in the Kingdome.
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Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….
13) Gonzaga 88, BYU 78:
— BYU led this game 53-41 at halftime.
— Gonzaga outscored BYU 18-5 on foul line.
— Gonzaga made 12-26 on arc, BYU 11-28.
One of the first questions I’ll be asking myself Sunday night, after the NCAA brackets come out, is whether Gonzaga has been tested enough this season. They haven’t won a game by single digits since December 2 vs West Virginia. The WCC isn’t as good as it usually is, and the Zags have breezed thru this season, while other leagues are way more competitive.
Baylor-Michigan-Illinois have had lot of tough games; it has to make you a better team.
12) Dallas Cowboys’ QB Dak Prescott signed a 4-year, $160M deal, $123M guaranteed. By way of comparison, and without any editorial comment, here are some facts:
Prescott: 42-27 regular season record, 1-2 in playoffs
Jared Goff: 42-27 regular season record, 2-3 in playoffs, which doesn’t include his win in relief at Seattle in this year’s playoffs.
11) Interesting discussion on Mets’ TV the other day about whether a team can improve a lot on defense, without changing the players who are in the field.
Was reminiscent of Troy Aikman saying on NFL broadcasts how quarterbacks cannot learn to become more accurate passers. Aikman believes that once you get to the NFL level, you are what you are, though Buffalo Bill fans would bring up Josh Allen and dispute that.
Bottom line is, Keith Hernandez/Ron Darling didn’t paint an optimistic picture of the Mets’ defense for this season.
10) Last Friday, Troy State upset Texas-Arlington 91-86 in the Sun Belt tournament, which on the surface is no big deal, but there is an interesting back story.
From 2007-18, Scott Cross was Tex-Arlington’s coach; the last three years he was there, UTA went 72-33 overall, 37-15 in Sun Belt games. Damn good record, but they fired Cross because he didn’t win make the NCAA tournament— he made it once, in 2008, Cross’ second year there.
Since they told Cross to take a hike, Tex-Arlington is 44-47 overall, 31-26 in Sun Belt games. Not exactly an upgrade.
I’m guessing when Troy State beat UTA last week, their coach took special satisfaction in the win, seeing how that coach was Scott Cross.
9) I watched Hoosiers for the 50th or so time the other day; watching the credits at the end, they thanked the governor of Indiana, who at the time was a guy named Robert Orr.
Bobby Orr was the governor of Indiana? I thought he was a Canadian!!! (Its a joke)
8) Miami Marlins used 61 players in 60 games last year, 37 of them pitchers; their spring training must be a mess this year, trying to whittle down those 61 guys down to a roster of 26 players. Don Mattingly did a great job in a weird season last year; choosing the right guys for a 162-game season is a much different dilemma.
7) Angels’ broadcaster Jose Mota played one of the Detroit Tigers in the 1999 baseball movie, For Love of the Game, with Kevin Costner. Mota’s character makes a great play to preserve Billy Chapel’s perfect game; he and Mark Gubicza were talking about it on the Angels’ broadcast the other night. Mota said it was an easier play to make, since he read the script and knew where the ball was going to be hit.
Looking at the Angels’ website, they haven’t filled Victor Rojas’ play-by-play slot yet; they should choose Mota. He and Gubicza have a good chemistry.
6) Last season, 12 major league umpires opted out of working, because of COVID; at least three of them are back this year. The Athletic did an interesting article, talking to Phil Cuzzi, Gerry Davis and Brian Gorman about coming back to work and sitting out last year.
Davis has umpired 4.957 major league games; only three umps have gotten to 5,000 games, so that’ll be a big deal when Davis gets to 5,000.
Umpire Brian Gorman’s late wife was a Los Angeles Times staff photographer and picture editor who was a two-time recipient of the Pulitzer Prize.
5) Today is Wednesday of Championship Week, and there are already 300+ names in the college basketball transfer portal. People who sell game programs are going to clean up next year. Guys who write Blue Ribbon Yearbook are going to get headaches. Lot of kids jumping from team-to-team.
4) Colorado Rockies’ 1B CJ Cron is playing for his fifth time in the last five years; he started his career playing four years for the Angels, then went to Tampa Bay in 2018, Minnesota the next year, Detroit last year, and now Colorado.
He hit 55 homers in 2018-19; curious to see how many at-bats he gets this season.
3) NHL will be back on ESPN starting next season; curious to see if the league gets its own daily half-hour show, like the NBA has now. ESPN had forgotten about hockey since they last showed games in 2004. Good news for Steve Levy and Berry Melrose.
2) Turned on the TV when I woke up the other day, and all they’re talking about it is the royal family in England. I don’t give a rat’s ass about the royal family. Seriously, don’t want to hear one word about them, and I was an avid fan of Suits on USA Network, so I’m familiar with Meghan Markle’s work. She married a prince, good for her. Don’t want to hear about it.
Only Royals I care about are Whit Merrifield and Carlos Santana, Kansas City Royals.
1) I was fiddling around on the Interweb at 4am the other night when it dawned on me that in most years, this is my favorite two weeks of the whole year, conference tournaments this week, the NCAA’s next week. Watching basketball and eating pizza, good times.
The last year has seemed 10 years long; things are slowly getting better— several of my friends have gotten their vaccines and that’s a good thing. Watching basketball all week will also be a good thing— we didn’t get to do that last year. Getting back to normal will be the best thing.Leave a comment:
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Tuesday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the Pac-12 tournament this week:
+150- USC
+200- Colorado
+350- Oregon
+400- UCLA
+2000- Stanford
+2500- Arizona State
+3300- Utah
+8000- Washington State
+10000- Oregon State
+20000- California, Washington
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 523,430
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.
Quote of the Day
“I might have to get into that space … it’s very humbling. I mean, it’s a great honor to have one of my cards sell for that much.”
Lakers star Anthony Davis, after his rookie card sold for $1.045M last month
Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Dak Prescott play his college football?
Monday’s quiz
Mariners/Seahawks used to play home games in the Kingdome.
Sunday’s quiz
Tim Matheson was a star in Animal House and also played Vice President Hoynes in the old TV series, The West Wing.
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Tuesday’s Den: NBA trends at the halfway mark…….
Miami
— Won seven of last eight games SU.
— 5-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— 6-3 ATS in last nine road games.
— Last three games stayed under the total.
Milwaukee:
— Won six of last seven games SU.
— 10-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— 6-10 ATS as a road favorite.
— Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.
Minnesota:
— 0-5 SU/ATS since they changed coaches.
— Lost 13 of last 14 games SU, are 0-9 ATS in last nine.
— 6-9 ATS as a home underdog.
— Four of their last five games went over.
New Orleans:
— Lost three of their last four games SU.
— 2-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— 3-7 ATS in last ten road games.
— 12 of their last 14 games went over.
New York
— Won eight of last ten games SU.
— 6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— 7-5 ATS in last dozen road games.
— Under is 7-0-1 in their last eight road games.
Oklahoma City
— 4-6 SU in their last ten games.
— 5-10 ATS as a home underdog.
— 8-3 ATS in last eleven road games.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Orlando
— Lost their last five games SU.
— 5-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— 2-6 ATS in last eight road games.
— Last four road games stayed under total.
Philadelphia
— Won six of their last eight games SU.
— 13-6 ATS at home.
— 0-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Over is 7-3 in their last ten road games.
Phoenix
— Won/covered 16 oof their last 19 games.
— 11-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— Covered eight of last nine road games.
— Over is 6-2 in their last eight home games.
Portland
— Won their last four games.
— 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
— 12-6 ATS on the road this season.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.
Sacramento
— Lost 11 of their last 13 games SU/ATS.
— 2-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— 9-7 ATS on the road this season.
— 11 of their last 12 games went over.
San Antonio
— Spurs split their last eight games SU.
— They’re 3-6 ATS in last nine home games.
— Covered nine of their 13 road games.
— Under is 6-1-1 in their last eight home games.
Toronto
— Raptors lost four of their last five games.
— 6-10 ATS in Tampa, their temporary home.
— 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.
— Last four Toronto games went over.
Utah
— Jazz finished with a 1-3 road trip, after a 21-2 run.
— Utah is 13-0-1 ATS in its last 14 home games.
— Covered only one of last five road tilts.
— Over is 9-3 in their last twelve games.
Washington
— Won eight of their last eleven games SU.
— Covered five of last six home games.
— Covered five of last six road games.
— Four of last five series games stayed under.Leave a comment:
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Monday’s 6-pack
Six best college basketball teams, at 2-point FG% offense (W-L record)
64.4%— Gonzaga (24-0)
60.8%—Furman (16-9)
59.4%—Belmont (26-4)
58.0%— Loyola, Chi (24-4)
57.6%— Weber State (17-5)
57.4%— Colorado State (17-5)
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 523,430
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.
Fact of the Day
This is the first time since 1996 where no ACC team is ranked in the nation’s top 10, heading into the ACC tournament. Only 5th time it has ever happened.
Monday’s quiz
What was the name of the domed stadium where the Mariners/Seahawks used to play?
Sunday’s quiz
Tim Matheson was a star in Animal House and also played Vice President Hoynes in the old TV series, The West Wing.
Saturday’s quiz
In the movie Little Big League, Ken Griffey Jr makes a game-saving catch to end the Minnesota Twins’ season.
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Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend……
13) An underrated aspect of this college basketball season is that EVERY SENIOR in the country can come back and play in college again next season. The better seniors will take their talents and try to make money playing pro ball, but that’s just the tip of the iceberg. Will be curious to see what I think will be a huge amount of player movement this spring/summer.
12) Liberty 79, North Alabama 75— Liberty won the Atlantic Sun title here; they had already clinched the league’s automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament, because North Alabama just moved to D-I and isn’t eligible yet to play in March Madness.
Liberty has been in the A-Sun three years; they’ve won the league title all three years.
11) Michigan State 70, Michigan 64— This win makes the next week a little easier for fans, players and coaches in East Lansing. Would appear that this win gets the Spartans into the field of 68, but the more they do this coming week the better- playing Maryland Thursday afternoon in the Big 14 tournament is next on Michigan State’s calendar.
10) NCAA Tournament, like everything else, will be different this year; the second weekend of the tournament, usually Thursday-Sunday, will now be Saturday-Tuesday, with the regional finals being played Monday/Tuesday night, March 29-30.
9) USC 64, UCLA 63— Trojans swept their crosstown rivals this year; they’ll be the #2-seed in the Pac-12 tournament. UCLA lost its last three games and is 5-6 in its last 11 games, after a 12-2 start.
8) From 2006-08, under coach Ben Howland, UCLA made the Final Four three years in a row, going 97-17 those three years, but five years later, Howland got fired after a 25-10 season, saying his style of play wasn’t exciting enough. When a team wins seven national titles in a row, like UCLA did under John Wooden, the fanbase has unrealistic expectations.
In those three Final Four years, UCLA ranked #298-251-209 in tempo, but they went 97-17, so no one said anything. Howland’s last year, the 25-10 season, they were #35 in tempo, but they lost in the first round of the NCAA’s, and a change was made. They played faster, like people wanted, but they didn’t make the Final Four.. Some people are never happy.
7) My point is this: Mick Cronin is now UCLA’s coach; he is 36-20 at UCLA, 25-12 in Pac-12 games, solid numbers. But this is a fanbase who didn’t like Ben Howland’s style; here are the tempos that Mick Cronin’s teams have played the last eight years:
2021: #333 17-8 record (13-6 Pac-12)
2020: #325 19-12, 12-6 (no NCAAs)
2019: #338 28-7, 14-4 AAC (0-1 NCAA)
2018: $330 31-5, 16-2 (1-1)
2017: #330 30-6, 16-2 (1-1)
2016: #333 22-11, 12-6 (0-1)
2015: #339 23-11, 13-5 (1-1)
2014: #328 27-7, 15-3 (1-1)
Cronin went 6-9 in NCAA tourney games at Cincinnati, made one Sweet 16. At this time next year, the UCLA fanbase is going to start mumbling, if they aren’t already. Cronin wins a lot, his teams defend well, but fact of the matter is, he is no Ben Howland.
6) St Bonaventure-VCU are going to play in the A-14 championship game, but that game isn’t until Sunday in Dayton. Both teams are expected to make the NCAA Tournament, which will be held entirely in Indiana, and Dayton is close to Indiana, so the teams can get on a bus and go right from Dayton to their hotel where they’ll hunker down for the NCAA Tournament.
5) Florida basketball coach Mike White played college basketball at Ole Miss, where his roommate was teammate Keith Carter, who is now the athletic director at Ole Miss. Athletic director is a nice way of saying “lead fundraiser”; Carter raised a record $45.6M in cash contributions for the Rebels, in 2015-16.
Couple of very successful friends there; you wonder how many college roommates are both making six-figure salaries these days (White makes seven figures).
4) Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit Foxboro next season, which obviously is Tom Brady going back home to face his former employers. Would love to see the backroom negotiating with the TV networks who want to televise that game; it won’t be in Week 1- the Super Bowl champ opens the next season at home. But you know NBC/ESPN/FOX all want that game.
3) Speaking of which, apparently the NFL schedule will be released in May this year, a little later than usual. Schedule usually comes out before the draft, but with the COVID situation still developing, it makes sense to release the schedule a little later.
2) 31-year old Blake Griffin signed on with the Brooklyn Nets, after accepting a buyout from Detroit; Griffin has already earned $255M in his playing career and is due another $29.5M next year, so he is joining Brooklyn for the rest of this year, to try and win a championship.
1) Astros have injury issues in their pitching rotation; they signed Jake Odorizzi this weekend to a 2-year deal. Odorizzi has a 62-56 career record, was 15-7 for Minnesota in 2019- he started only four games LY, because of bruised ribs and a blister.Leave a comment:
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Sunday’s 6-pack
Six best college basketball teams, at 2-point FG% (W-L record)
41.2%— Saint Peter’s (13-10)
41.7%— Michigan (19-2)
42.1%— USC (21-6)
42.4%— Jackson State (11-5)
42.6%— Houston (20-3)
42.9%— Cal-Irvine (16-8)
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 520,518
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.
Quote of the Day
“There are no ongoing discussions. The (NBA’s) logo is iconic. … It doesn’t feel to me that this is the appropriate moment (to change it).”
NBA commish Adam Silver
Sunday’s quiz
What actor who was a star in Animal House also played the Vice President in the old TV series, The West Wing?
Saturday’s quiz
In the movie Little Big League, Ken Griffey Jr makes a game-saving catch to end the Minnesota Twins’ season.
Friday’s quiz
Terry Francona has managed three major league teams; the Indians, Red Sox and the Phillies.
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Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday
13) OVC tournament: Morehead State 86, Belmont 71
This game started at 8:00pm ET; these players had their COVID tests at 8:30 or 9:30am, 11 or so hours before the game, then had shootarounds, then went back to their hotels for the rest of the day. Not the ideal way to prepare for the biggest game of the year.
Last six years, Belmont is 91-15 regular season OVC games; they’ve only won the OVC tourney once in those six seasons, going 6-5 in OVC tournament games.
Morehead State is in the NCAA’s for the first time in ten years.
12) Tough day for #1-seeds in low/mid major tournaments: Texas State, Wagner, Navy, UMBC all got beat Saturday. Play-in games in Dayton in 10 days are going to have some odd teams playing. NCAA Tournament is more fun when higher seeds win the smaller leagues.
11) Oklahoma State 85, West Virginia 80:
— Cowboys won even though their star player (Cunningham) didn’t play (ankle).
— Oklahoma State won six of its last seven games.
— ESPN’s Fran Fraschilla may be campaigning to be the agent for OSU coach Mike Boynton; the last couple times he worked Cowboy games, he made Boynton sound like a combination of Dean Smith/John Wooden.
— Seeing how Boynton hired Cunningham’s brother as an assistant coach, paying him a reported $200,000/year, comparing him to Larry Brown would be more accurate.
— 30+ years ago, Kansas hired Danny Manning’s dad as an assistant coach; couple years later, Brown’s Jayhawks won the national title, led by Danny Manning. It is legal, and it happens a decent amount, but it doesn’t make you Dean Smith.
10) St John’s 81, Seton Hall 71:
— Pirates led this game, 18-0. Eighteen to nothing.
— Seton Hall lost its last four games (hello NIT??)
— St John’s won nine of its last 12 games.
9) Purdue 67, Indiana 58— Boilermakers have beaten Indiana nine times in a row; Archie Miller’s seat keeps getting hotter.
People on social media scoffed at me (imagine that???) for suggesting that Steve Alford would be a good coach for Indiana. He obviously played there; he’s been a good coach at five other D-I schools. He’d energize the fanbase, then all he’d have to do is win. A lot.
8) Notre Dame 83, Florida State 73— This score clinches the ACC regular season title for Virginia. Couple weeks ago, I was prepared to declare the Seminoles as my dark horse choice to win the national title, now I’m queasy. Florida State doesn’t have a star, that one guy who is a 100% cinch to get a basket/free throws, anytime they need one.
7) Upsets of the Day:
— Morehead State (+7) 86, Belmont 71
— Oklahoma State (+7) 85, West Virginia 80
— Appalachian State (+5) 76, Texas State 73, OT
— UAB (+4.5) 65, North Texas 61
— Providence (+4) 54, Villanova 52
6) MVC tournament:
— Loyola 65, Indiana State 49— Ramblers won 16 of their last 17 games.
— Drake 71, Missouri State 69— Drake is down two starters to injury; they split a pair of games with Loyola three weeks ago. Bulldogs didn’t have to play Friday because Northern Iowa had COVID issues, and that helped them in this difficult game against Missouri State.
5) Southern Conference tournament:
— #2/#3-seeds both got upset Saturday, leaving NC-Greensboro a clear path to their 2nd NCAA bid over the last 20 years.
— Either VMI/Mercer is going to be in the SoCon final; neither finished over .500 in conference games during the regular season.
4) Summit League tournament:
— South Dakota State 84, Omaha 71—
— South Dakota 86, Western Illinois 69— Finally, a league where the better teams win.
3) Sun Belt tournament:
— Appalachian State 76, Texas State 73 OT— Last September, Texas State fired Danny Kaspar, because of he was accused of using racially insensitive language toward his players. Kaspar had been at Texas State for seven years, going 45-22 the last two years.
This season, assistant Terrence Johnson led the Bobcats to an 18-7 record, 12-3 and top seed in the Sun Belt, but they stumbled in this game and now appear headed to the NIT.
2) WCC tournament:
— Saint Mary’s 52, LMU 47— James Naismith was turning over in his grave during this game; not a very good exhibition of offense.
— Pepperdine 78, Santa Clara 70— Waves play BYU Monday night; WCC smartly takes Sunday off, but mostly it is because BYU isn’t allowed to play games on Sundays.
1) America East tournament:
— UMBC/Vermont tied for the regular season title; they both lost Saturday, leaving Hartford and Mass-Lowell to play for the conference title next Saturday. Hartford is ranked #199, Lowell #217; winner will obviously go to Dayton for a play-in game. This is only second time in last six years the regular season champ didn’t win the conference tournament.Leave a comment:
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Saturday’s 6-pack
Six least experienced college basketball teams (W-L record)
342) Kennesaw State (5-19)
343) Presbyterian (7-15)
344) Duke (11-10)
345) Stetson (11-14)
346) Auburn (12-14)
347) Alabama A&M (6-8)
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 520,518
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.
Quote of the Day
“It’s about the money. And when they say it’s not about the money, then it is definitely about the money.”
Former Giants’ GM George Young
Saturday’s quiz
In the movie Little Big League, which Hall of Fame outfielder makes a game-saving catch to end the Minnesota Twins’ season?
Friday’s quiz
Terry Francona has managed three major league teams; the Indians, Red Sox and the Phillies.
Thursday’s quiz
In the history of the Oakland A’s, Mark McGwire has hit the most home runs (363)
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Saturday’s Den: NBA trends at the halfway point…….
Atlanta:
— Won both their games since changing coaches.
— 1-4-1 ATS in last six road games.
— 3-5 ATS in last eight home games.
— Over is 6-3 in their last nine road games.
Boston:
— Won their last four games (2-2 ATS), all at home.
— 0-6 SU/ATS in last six road games.
— 3-4 ATS if they played the night before.
— Five of last six home games went over.
Brooklyn:
— Won/covered 10 of last 11 games.
— Won/covered last seven home games.
— 5-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— Over is 13-3 in their last sixteen road games.
Charlotte:
— 7-5 SU in their last dozen games.
— 9-5 ATS in their last 14 road games.
— 5-3 ATS if they played the night before.
— Over is 12-1 in their last 13 road games.
Chicago:
— Won six of their last nine games.
— 10-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— 5-2 ATS if they played the night before.
— Over is 8-4 in their last dozen road games.
Cleveland:
— Won four of their last five games (5-0 ATS)
— 4-11 ATS as a road underdog.
— 8-6 ATS in their last 14 home games.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games.
Dallas:
— Won nine of their last 11 games.
— 4-10 ATS as a home favorite.
— 2-4 ATS if they played the night before.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
Denver:
— Won/covered their last four games.
— 4-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— 9-6 ATS in their last fifteen road games.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four home games.
Detroit:
— Lost seven of their last nine games.
— 9-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— 5-2 ATS if they played the night before.
— Last three road games went over the total.
Golden State:
— Lost last three games, by 26-2-22 points.
— 7-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— 4-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last six road games stayed under the total.
Houston:
— Lost their last thirteen games (1-12 ATS)
— 1-7 ATS as a home underdog.
— 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Under is 11-2-1 in their home games.
Indiana:
— Lost five of last six games (0-6 ATS)
— 6-12 ATS at home.
— 4-2-1 ATS if they played night before.
— Over is 5-0-1 in their last six road games.
LA Clippers:
— Lost four of last five games, all on the road.
— 7-5 ATS in last dozen home games.
— 6-0 ATS if they played the night before.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
LA Lakers:
— Lost six of their last eight games.
— 3-7 ATS in last ten home games.
— 1-3 ATS if they played the night before.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
Memphis:
— 8-5 SU in their last thirteen games.
— 5-3 ATS in their last eight home games.
— 7-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last eight games stayed under the total.Leave a comment:
Leave a comment: