Tuesday’s 6-pack
NCAA Tournament trends:
— Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round.
— Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round.
— Last three years, #3-seeds are 7-5 ATS in first round.
— Last four years, #4-seeds are 6-10 ATS in first round.
— Last four years, underdogs are 10-5-1 ATS in 5-12 games.
— Last 20 national champs went 15-4-1 ATS in their 1st round game.
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 535,472
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.
Quote of the Day
“Everyone handles it differently. Some get emotional. Some get upset. Some thank you for the opportunity. You’ve got to be ready to react to everything. But you understand it’s what you’ve got to deal with. There’s a big difference between breaking with the club and going to Triple A.” Bruce Bochy, on players getting sent down during spring training
Tuesday’s quiz
UConn won the national title in 2014; who was their coach?
Monday’s quiz
Rick Pitino has coached both the Knicks and the Celtics.
Sunday’s quiz
We know Hawai’i is the 50th state; Delaware was the first state.
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Tuesday’s Den: Conference trends for the NCAA’s first weekend
Conference trends for the first weekend of the NCAAs:
ACC
— Last three years (we’re not counting 2020 as a year, since there was no tournament), ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round.
— Since 2013, ACC teams are 35-13 SU in first round
— Last five years, 16 of 37 ACC teams (43.2%) made the Sweet 16.
American
— UConn was 2014 national title out of the AAC.
— Last five years, AAC teams are 7-8 in first round, 1-6 in 2nd round.
— During that time, 2019 Houston is only Sweet 16 team they’ve had.
A-14
— Last five years, A-14 teams are 6-10 in the first round.
— A-14’s last Sweet 16 team was Dayton, back in 2014.
Big East
— Last three years, Big East teams are 18-14 in first round.
— Last three years, Big East teams are 5-13 in 2nd round.
— Thats 5 of 32 teams (15.6%) making the Sweet 16.
Big Sky
— Big Sky teams lost their last 13 first round games.
— Big Sky teams are 1-7-1 ATS in last nine first round games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Montana in 2006 was last Big Sky team to win an NCAA game.
Big West
— Since 2014, Big West teams are 4-4 in play-in/first round games.
— Since 2003, Big West teams are 0-6 ATS in their 2nd tournament game.
Big 14:
— Last three years, Big 14 teams are 16-3 in first round (11-8 ATS)
— Last three years, Big 14 teams are 8-8 in 2nd round
— Thats 8 of 19 teams (42.1%) teams in Sweet 16.
Big X
— Last three years, Big X teams are 12-7 in first round games.
— Last three years, Big X teams are 8-4 on 2nd round games.
— Thats 8 of 19 teams (42.1%) teams in Sweet 16, same as the Big 14.
CAA
— Since VCU left the CAA in 2012, things haven’t gone well.
— Last seven years, CAA teams are 0-7 in NCAA games (5-2 ATS)
— Last eight years, six different teams have represented the CAA
Conference USA
— C-USA teams won five of their last seven first round games.
— Those five C-USA teams that won went 0-5 ATS in second round.
Horizon League
— Butler made the Final Four in 2010/2011 out of the Horizon.
— Since then, Butler jumped ship to gr$$n$r pa$ture$.
— Last eight years, Horizon teams are 0-8 in NCAA’s (2-6 ATS)
MAAC
— Siena was last MAAC team to win an NCAA game, in 2009.
— Since then, MAAC teams are 0-11 SU, 2-9 ATS.
MAC
— Buffalo won its first round game in 2018/2019, ending the MAC’s five-game losing skid in first round games.
— MAC teams covered their last four first round games.
— Since 2003, MAC teams are 1-4 ATS in second round.
— Since 2003, Ohio U in ’12 is MAC’s only Sweet 16 team.
Missouri Valley
— Since 2013, MVC teams are 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS in NCAA games.
— Those nine teams went 4-5 ATS in 2nd round games.
Wichita State-Drake is a first round game, old MVC rivals.
— Last eight years they were in the MVC, Wichita went 122-16 in Valley games; they totally dominated.
— Last five years Wichita was in the Valley, Drake went 26-64 in MVC games.
— In four years since Wichita (and also Creighton) bolted, Drake is 45-27.
Mountain West
— Since 2014, Mountain West teams are 3-8 in play-in/first round games.
— Those teams went 2-4 ATS when favored, 2-3 as an underdog, 4-7 overall.
Ohio Valley
— Since 2009, OVC teams are 8-2-1 ATS in NCAA tourney games, but they’ve lost seven of last eight SU.
— When Murray State whacked Marquette two years ago, it snapped a 7-game losing skid for the OVC in NCAA tourney games.
Pac-12
— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 19-13 in first round games.
— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 13-6 in second round games.
— Thats 13 of 32 Pac-12 teams (40.6%) that made the Sweet 16— that will surprise some people.
SEC
— Last four years, SEC teams are 17-6 SU in NCAA games, 11-12 ATS
— Thats 7-10 ATS when favored, 2-2 as an underdog, 2-0 when pick ‘em.
— Last four years, SEC teams are 10-7 in 2nd round games
— Thats 10 of 23 SEC teams (43.5%) that made the Sweet 16
Southern
— Wofford’s win in 2019 snapped So-Con’s 0-10 skid in NCAA games.
— That said, SoCon teams are 7-4-1 ATS in last dozen NCAA games.
Summit
— Summit teams lost 16 of last 17 first round games (6-9-2 ATS)
— Summit teams covered four of last six first round games.
— Summit teams are 2-0 SU in play-in games.
Sun Belt
— Since 2003, Sun Belt teams are 6-14 in NCAA Tournament games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Since 2010, Sun Belt teams are 4-8 ATS in NCAA Tournament games.
— Over last 20 years, Sun Belt has changed a lot, as schools jumped conferences.
WAC
— WAC teams lost their last 13 NCAA Tournament games.
— WAC teams are 3-6 ATS in last nine NCAA Tournament games.
— New Mexico State won this league seven of last eight years, so Grand Canyon winning WAC tournament is different— this is their first NCAA bid.
WCC
— Last time someone other than Gonzaga/BYU/Saint Mary’s repped the WCC? 2008, when the San Diego Toreros made the tournament.
— Gonzaga won its last 11 first round games (6-5 ATS)
— During that time, Gonzaga is only 3-7-1 ATS in 2nd round games.
— Gonzaga won its last five second round games SU- they’re expected to do a lot more than that this season.
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MONDAY, MARCH 15
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
MIL at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS +8.5..........133 - 122.........LOSER
O 242.5...........................WINNER
SAC at CHA 07:00 PM
SAC +3.5............116 - 122.....LOSER
O 239.0..........................LOSER
NY at BK 08:00 PM
NY +8.5.................112 - 117
O 223.0........................WINNER
SA at DET 08:00 PM
SA -3.0...........109 - 99
O 215.5......................LOSER
IND at DEN 09:00 PM
DEN -5.0......106 - 121....WINNER
U 224.0
LAC at DAL 09:00 PM
DAL +2.0..........109 - 90
O 227.5......................LOSER
MEM at PHO 10:00 PM
PHO -7.0.............99 - 122......WINNER
U 227.0
LAL at GS 10:30 PM
LAL -2.5
U 224.0
NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
03/15/2021..4-5-0.....44.44%.......- 7.50
03/14/2021..6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
03/13/2021..4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
03/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850
TOTALS......55-53-4.....50.92%......- 16.50
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Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50
Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00
Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00Leave a comment:
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MONDAY, MARCH 15
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
MIL at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS +8.5
O 242.5
SAC at CHA 07:00 PM
SAC +3.5
O 239.0
NY at BK 08:00 PM
NY +8.5
O 223.0
SA at DET 08:00 PM
SA -3.0
O 215.5
IND at DEN 09:00 PM
DEN -5.0
U 224.0
LAC at DAL 09:00 PM
DAL +2.0
O 227.5
MEM at PHO 10:00 PM
PHO -7.0
U 227.0
LAL at GS 10:30 PM
LAL -2.5
U 224.0
NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
03/14/2021..6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
03/13/2021..4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
03/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850
TOTALS......51-48-4.....51.51%......- 9.00
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Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50
Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00
Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00Leave a comment:
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501MILWAUKEE -502 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 35-17 ATS (16.3 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days in the last 3 seasons.
505NEW YORK -506 BROOKLYN
NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 2+ road games in the current season.
507SAN ANTONIO -508 DETROIT
DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders in the current season.
507SAN ANTONIO -508 DETROIT
SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.
509INDIANA -510 DENVER
INDIANA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the current season.
511LA CLIPPERS -512 DALLAS
LA CLIPPERS are 16-6 ATS (9.4 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
513MEMPHIS -514 PHOENIX
MEMPHIS are 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.
515LA LAKERS -516 GOLDEN STATE
GOLDEN STATE is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in home games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.
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NBA
Dunkel
Monday, March 15
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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Monday, March 15
Sacramento @ Charlotte
Kings (15-23)
— Sacramento is 3-12 SU/ATS in last 15 games overall.
— Kings are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Over is 11-3 in Sacramento’s last 14 games
Hornets (19-18)
— Charlotte is 9-5 in its last 14 games SU.
— Hornets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.
— Under is 6-1 in Charlotte’s last seven home games.
— Hornets won seven of last eight series games.
— Kings are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Charlotte.
— Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.
Milwaukee @ Washington
Bucks (24-14)
— Milwaukee won eight of its last nine games (5-4 ATS).
— Bucks are 0-5 ATS in last five road games.
— Over is 4-2 in Milwaukee’s last six road games
Wizards (14-23)
— Wizards lost four of last five games, are 10-4 ATS in last 14.
— Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last eight home games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Bucks won last six series games, scoring 125+ points in all six.
— Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Washington.
— Last six series games went over the total.
New York @ Brooklyn
Knicks (20-19)
— New York won nine of last 13 games (12-5 ATS last 17).
— Knicks are 5-3 ATS in their last eight road games.
— Over is 3-0 in New York’s last three games.
Nets (26-13)
— Brooklyn won/covered 12 of their last 13 games.
— Nets are 6-3 ATS in last nine home games.
— Five of last six Brooklyn home games stayed under.
— Nets won five of last seven series games.
— Knicks covered three of last four visits to Brooklyn.
— Nine of last ten series games stayed under the total.
San Antonio @ Detroit
Spurs (19-16)
— San Antonio is 8-6 in its last 14 games overall.
— Spurs are 5-4 ATS in their last nine road games.
— Under is 8-4-1 in Spurs’ last 13 games.
Pistons (10-28)
— Detroit lost nine of its last 11 games
— Pistons are 5-2 ATS in last seven games overall.
— Under is 8-3 in Detroit’s last 11 games.
— San Antonio won eight of last ten series games.
— Spurs are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Detroit.
— Three of last four series games went over.
LA Clippers @ Dallas
Clippers (25-15)
— Clippers lost five of their last seven games overall.
— Clippers are 1-5 ATS in last six road games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six road games.
Mavericks (20-17)
— Mavericks won 11 of their last 14 games.
— Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in last six home games.
— Under is 7-2 in last nine Dallas games.
— Clippers won seven of last ten series games.
— LA covered five of last seven visits to Dallas.
— Four of last six series games went over.
Indiana @ Denver
Pacers (17-20)
— Indiana lost 11 of its last 16 games.
— Pacers are 4-7 ATS in their last 11 road games.
— Over is 7-3-1 in Indiana’s last 11 games.
Nuggets (22-16)
— Denver is 10-5 in its last 15 games overall.
— Nuggets are 6-11 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 6-2 in Denver’s last eight games overall.
— Nuggets won six of last nine series games.
— Indiana covered three of last four visits to Denver.
— Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.
Memphis @ Phoenix
Grizzlies (17-18)
— Memphis lost three of its last four games.
— Grizzlies are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games overall.
— Under is 9-2 in their last 11 games.
Suns (25-12)
— Phoenix won 17 of its last 21 games (16-5 ATS).
— Suns are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games.
— Over is 7-2 in their last nine home games.
— Memphis won six of last seven series games.
— Grizzlies covered three of last four visits to Phoenix.
— Five of last six series games stayed under.
LA Lakers @ Golden State
Lakers (25-13)
— Lakers lost six of their last nine games.
— Lakers are 3-6 ATS in their last nine road games.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.
Warriors (20-19)
— Golden State lost four of its last five games.
— Warriors are 7-3 ATS in last ten home games.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
— Lakers won four of last five series games.
— Lakers are 3-2 ATS in last five trips to the Bay Area.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.
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NBA
Monday, March 15
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Trend Report
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Sacramento @ Charlotte
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Sacramento's last 14 games
Charlotte
Charlotte is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Sacramento
Charlotte is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Milwaukee @ Washington
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
New York @ Brooklyn
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 10 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 7 games
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Brooklyn's last 10 games when playing New York
San Antonio @ Detroit
San Antonio
San Antonio is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
San Antonio is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games
LA Clippers @ Dallas
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Indiana @ Denver
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indiana's last 13 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver
Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Indiana
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Memphis @ Phoenix
Memphis
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
LA Lakers @ Golden State
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of LA Lakers's last 21 games on the road
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Golden State
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Golden State is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
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NBA
Long Sheet
Monday, March 15
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MILWAUKEE (24 - 14) at WASHINGTON (14 - 23) - 3/15/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 89-141 ATS (-66.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SACRAMENTO (15 - 23) at CHARLOTTE (19 - 18) - 3/15/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 208-258 ATS (-75.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 4-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW YORK (20 - 19) at BROOKLYN (26 - 13) - 3/15/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 256-209 ATS (+26.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
NEW YORK is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 6-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SAN ANTONIO (19 - 16) at DETROIT (10 - 28) - 3/15/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 1142-1015 ATS (+25.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 385-307 ATS (+47.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 383-317 ATS (+34.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 460-385 ATS (+36.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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INDIANA (17 - 20) at DENVER (22 - 16) - 3/15/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA CLIPPERS (25 - 15) at DALLAS (20 - 17) - 3/15/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 464-379 ATS (+47.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 591-509 ATS (+31.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
DALLAS is 90-70 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 84-62 ATS (+15.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 9-5 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 9-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MEMPHIS (17 - 18) at PHOENIX (25 - 12) - 3/15/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHOENIX is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHOENIX is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
MEMPHIS is 50-37 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 185-228 ATS (-65.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA LAKERS (25 - 13) at GOLDEN STATE (20 - 19) - 3/15/2021, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 5-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 5-4 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Hoop Trends for Monday March 15
Vince Akins
ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Sacramento at Charlotte (7:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Kings are 11-0 ATS (9.05 ppg) on the road off a road loss in which they led by double digits.
ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Indiana at Denver (9:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Pacers are 0-10 ATS (-6.70 ppg) as a dog after they had 6+ double digit scorers last game.
OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Clippers at Dallas (9:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Clippers are 10-0-2 OU (9.54 ppg) as a favorite off a loss as a favorite in which they never led.
OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Golden State (10:35 p.m. ET)
-- The Warriors are 0-10 OU (-20.25 ppg) at home off a win as a dog in which they scored a least 18 fast break points.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)Leave a comment:
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Monday’s 6-pack
First round games in the NIT, which will begin in Texas:
— Colorado State-Buffalo
— Davidson-NC State
— Boise State-SMU
— Memphis-Dayton
— Saint Louis-Mississippi State
— Richmond-Toledo
— Saint Mary’s-Western Kentucky
— Ole Miss-Louisiana Tech
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 534,813
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.
Quote of the Day
“I just have to identify qualities and people that I want to go to war with. I need to continue to recruit those guys. I need to find more people like Kimani Lawrence and Remy Martin, and guys that just lay it out on the line and play with their heart. Kimani is blue-collar. We have an opportunity to reshape our team this offseason and we’re going to work hard to do that.”
Arizona State coach Bobby Hurley
Monday’s quiz
Which two NBA teams has Rick Pitino coached?
Sunday’s quiz
We know Hawai’i is the 50th state; Delaware was the first state.
Saturday’s quiz
2014 was the last time a team that was lower than a #2-seed won the national title in college basketball, when #7-seed UConn won the title.
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Monday’s Den: Random stuff on a Sunday night……..
Every year (except last year) when I see the field of 68 after watching wall-to-wall college basketball for four days, my brain gets scrambled for a few hours. There is a lot of info to go thru before I post knowledge on the first round games later this week.
For today, here are random, scrambled thoughts/information that crossed my mind at various times today:
13) Gonzaga is the fifth team since 1977 to enter the NCAA tournament unbeaten:
1979— Indiana State, lost in finals
1991— UNLV, lost in semi-finals
2014— Wichita State, lost in 2nd round
2015— Kentucky— lost in semi-finals
12) Over the last 16 years, the overall #1-seed in the country has won three national titles; they also failed to get out of the first weekend four times. 2013 was the last time the overall #1-seed won the national title, when Rick Pitino’s Louisville team won it all.
11) Speaking of which, Iona is the fifth program Rick Pitino has led to the NCAA Tournament; 31 of his assistant coaches have gone on to become head coaches. Iona plays Alabama in the first round, so they probably won’t be around very long, but they had a 51-day pause this season – they didn’t play a single game in January. Just getting here is a big accomplishment.
10) Arkansas hasn’t been to a Sweet 16 since 1996; since then, 96 different schools have had teams get to the Sweet 16. Razorbacks need to get by Colgate, then either Texas Tech/Utah State to get to the Sweet 16 this year.
9) No team has ever won the national title, after losing their first conference tournament game. Purdue/West Virginia are in that boat this season.
8) This is the first time since 1976 that neither Duke/Kentucky is in the tournament; 1976 is also the last time there was an undefeated national champ (Indiana).
7) Unusual baseball situation Sunday nite: Dodgers P Julio Urias struck out three batters in the first inning against the Royals, but he only got two outs in the first inning, because of a passed ball after one of the strikeouts. Dodgers took him out after 29 pitches, but because it is spring training, he got to re-enter the game and pitched the second inning.
Dodgers made couple errors in the first inning that led to Urias’ demise, plus the passed ball; not often a pitcher strikes out three guys but doesn’t finish the first inning.
6) I’m optimistic about a new baseball rule that would require teams to have two infielders on each side of the diamond; eliminating shifts will discourage guys from just trying to jack the ball over the fence all the time. Fewer strikeouts maes the game more fun to watch.
5) Add Tampa Bay to the list of teams (Milwaukee) that drive owners in fantasy baseball crazy; in a 9-inning game Sunday, Rays used nine different pitchers. You never have any idea how they are going handle pitchers on a given day— they took Blake Snell out of a World Series last year when he was dominating the other team- they just think differently than most people.
4) Last repeat champion in college basketball; the 2007 Florida Gators. Virginia is the current defending champ; over half their team was in quarantine Sunday for contact tracing. They hope to travel out to Indianapolis on Friday,
3) The great quarterback Drew Brees retired Sunday; when you retire on the day the brackets come out, that means you don’t want any attention. Brees will be in Canton in five years.
2) Sunday night, I’m flipping channels between the shows analyzing the brackets and some spring baseball, and I see that ESPN2 televises freakin’ cornhole!!!! Do people watch this? Please God in heaven, tell me they don’t bet on it (DraftKings is a sponsor). Yikes.
On a personal note, RIP to former town of Colonie supervisor Fred Field, who passed away this weekend at age 88. Mr Field was an industrial engineer for 30 years, served as town supervisor of my hometown for 18 years— he was a good guy, RIP, sir.
1) As the week goes on, I’ll be posting information on all the basketball games; takes some time to organize the information I have, then get the TV schedule, but eventually it gets done.
This is one of my favorite weeks all year; lets hope everyone stays healthy and the tournament is a fun one. Lord knows we could all use some fun.Leave a comment:
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SUNDAY, MARCH 14
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
MEM at OKC 02:00 PM
MEM -7.5.............122 - 128
U 220.0.....................LOSER
UTA at GS 04:00 PM
UTA -6.5..............119 - 131.....LOSER
O 232.5...........................WINNER
SA at PHI 06:30 PM
SA +4.0...............99 - 134
O 223.0.......................WINNER
MIA at ORL 07:00 PM
ORL +7.5............102 - 97...WINNER
U 209.0.......................WINNER
CLE at ATL 07:30 PM
CLE +6.0............82 - 100
O 222.5...................LOSER
POR at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN +4.5............112 - 114
O 234.0.................LOSER
BOS at HOU 08:00 PM
BOS -11.0.............134 - 107
U 222.0....................LOSER
LAC at NO 09:00 PM
NO +6.0..............115 - 135.....WINNER
U 232.0..................LOSER
TOR at CHI 09:00 PM
CHI -3.0..............95 - 118
U 230.0.................WINNER
NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
03/14/2021..6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
03/13/2021..4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
03/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850
TOTALS......51-48-4.....51.51%......- 9.00
****************************************
Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50
Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00
Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00Leave a comment:
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Hoop Trends for Sunday March 14
Vince Akins
ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Boston at Houston (8:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Rockets are 10-0 ATS (10.10 ppg) as a 8+ point dog after their opponent made at least 10 more free throws than they did last game.
ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at Minnesota (8:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Timberwolves are 0-17-1 ATS (-6.89 ppg) after Karl Anthony Towns was their high scorer last game.
OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Clippers at New Orleans (9:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Pelicans are 14-0-1 OU (12.03 ppg) after Brandon Ingram was their high scorer.
OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Boston at Houston (8:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Rockets are 0-14 OU (-10.61 ppg) as a home dog coming off a game as a dog.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)Leave a comment:
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SUNDAY, MARCH 14
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
MEM at OKC 02:00 PM
MEM -7.5
U 220.0
UTA at GS 04:00 PM
UTA -6.5
O 232.5
SA at PHI 06:30 PM
SA +4.0
O 223.0
MIA at ORL 07:00 PM
ORL +7.5
U 209.0
CLE at ATL 07:30 PM
CLE +6.0
O 222.5
POR at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN +4.5
O 234.0
BOS at HOU 08:00 PM
BOS -11.0
U 222.0
LAC at NO 09:00 PM
NO +6.0
U 232.0
TOR at CHI 09:00 PM
CHI -3.0
U 230.0
NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
03/13/2021..4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
03/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850
TOTALS......45-42-4.....51.72%......- 6.00
****************************************
Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50
Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00
Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00Leave a comment:
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557MEMPHIS -558 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 90-70 ATS (13 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.
559UTAH -560 GOLDEN STATE
UTAH is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) off a home win in the current season.
561SAN ANTONIO -562 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
563MIAMI -564 ORLANDO
MIAMI is 34-14 ATS (18.6 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.
565CLEVELAND -566 ATLANTA
CLEVELAND is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
567BOSTON -568 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.
569PORTLAND -570 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
571TORONTO -572 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.
573LA CLIPPERS -574 NEW ORLEANS
LA CLIPPERS are 40-21 ATS (16.9 Units) in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.
--------------------------------------
NBA
Long Sheet
Sunday, March 14
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MEMPHIS (17 - 17) at OKLAHOMA CITY (16 - 22) - 3/14/2021, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 67-47 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 50-36 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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UTAH (28 - 9) at GOLDEN STATE (19 - 19) - 3/14/2021, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.
UTAH is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
UTAH is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SAN ANTONIO (19 - 15) at PHILADELPHIA (26 - 12) - 3/14/2021, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 81-52 ATS (+23.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 1142-1014 ATS (+26.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 385-306 ATS (+48.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 383-316 ATS (+35.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MIAMI (20 - 18) at ORLANDO (13 - 25) - 3/14/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 246-201 ATS (+24.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
ORLANDO is 27-41 ATS (-18.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 7-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CLEVELAND (14 - 23) at ATLANTA (18 - 20) - 3/14/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 24-40 ATS (-20.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 233-288 ATS (-83.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 136-192 ATS (-75.2 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BOSTON (19 - 18) at HOUSTON (11 - 25) - 3/14/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
BOSTON is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in road games this season.
BOSTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
BOSTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-0 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PORTLAND (22 - 15) at MINNESOTA (8 - 30) - 3/14/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-54 ATS (-29.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-45 ATS (-19.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-34 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-31 ATS (-24.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TORONTO (17 - 21) at CHICAGO (16 - 20) - 3/14/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 255-209 ATS (+25.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA CLIPPERS (25 - 14) at NEW ORLEANS (16 - 22) - 3/14/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 84-61 ATS (+16.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
-----------------------------------------------
NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Sunday, March 14
Memphis @ Oklahoma City
Grizzlies (17-17)
— Memphis split its last eight games.
— Grizzlies are 8-3 ATS in last 11 games overall.
— Under is 9-1 in their last ten games.
Thunder (16-22)
— Thunder split their last ten games.
— OKC is 2-5-1 ATS if they played night before.
— Over is 3-0 in their last three home games.
— Memphis won four of last five series games.
— Grizzlies are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Oklahoma.
— Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.
Utah @ Golden State
Jazz (28-9)
— Utah split its last eight games, after a 19-1 run.
— Jazz is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games.
— Over is 6-2 in Utah’s last eight games.
Warriors (19-19)
— Golden State lost its last four games.
— Warriors are 6-3 ATS in last nine home games.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.
— Utah won last five series games.
— Jazz covered last four visits to the Bay Area.
— Last five series games went over the total.
San Antonio @ Philadelphia
Spurs (19-15)
— San Antonio is 8-5 in its last 13 games overall.
— Spurs are 5-3 ATS in their last eight road games.
— Under is 8-3-1 in Spurs’ last 12 games.
76ers (26-12)
— Embiid (knee) is out here.
— 76ers won eight of their last ten games.
— Sixers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
— Over is 4-1 in Philly’s last five games.
— 76ers won five of last six series games.
— Spurs are 3-3 ATS in last six visits to Philly.
— Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.
Miami @ Orlando
Heat (20-18)
— Miami won nine of its last ten games overall.
— Heat is 5-0 ATS in last five road games.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
Magic (13-25)
— Orlando lost seven in row, 15 of its last 19 games.
— Magic is 5-7 ATS in last 12 home games.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Miami won four of last five series games.
— Heat is 2-3 ATS in its last five visits to Orlando.
— Last three series games went over the total.
Cleveland @ Atlanta
Cavaliers (14-23)
— Cleveland lost 12 of its last 16 games.
— Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
— Six of last eight Cleveland games stayed under the total.
Hawks (18-20)
— Hawks are 4-0 SU since they fired their coach .
— Hawks are 4-5 ATS in their last nine home games.
— 14 of Atlanta’s last 18 games went over the total.
— Cleveland won/covered last four series games.
— Cavaliers covered three of last four visits to Atlanta.
— Four of last five series games stayed under.
Boston @ Houston
Celtics (19-18)
— Boston won four of its last five games SU.
— Celtics are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Over is 7-3 in last nine Boston games.
Rockets (11-25)
— Houston lost its last 15 games (2-13 ATS).
— Rockets are 0-7 ATS in last seven home games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Rockets won last five series games.
— Celtics 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Houston.
— Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.
Portland @ Minnesota
Trailblazers (22-15)
— Portland won five of its last six games SU.
— Blazers are 10-5 ATS in last 15 road games.
— Over is 5-1 in Portland’s last six games.
Timberwolves (7-30)
— Minnesota lost 14 of last 16, 24 of its last 29 games.
— Wolves are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
— Over is 6-1 in their last seven games.
— Portland won eight of last ten series games.
— Blazers covered once in last five visits to Minnesota.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.
Toronto @ Chicago
Raptors (17-21)
— Raptors have had COVID issues, may be missing guys.
— Toronto lost five of its last its six games.
— Raptors are 6-3 ATS in their last nine road games.
— Four of last five Toronto games went over the total.
Bulls (16-20)
— Chicago lost four of its last five games SU.
— Bulls are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 home games.
— Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Toronto won last ten series games (6-4 ATS)
— Raptors covered five of last six visits to Chicago.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
LA Clippers @ New Orleans
Clippers (25-14)
— Clippers lost four of their last six games overall.
— Clippers are 1-4 ATS in last five road games.
— Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
Pelicans (16-22)
— New Orleans lost five of its last seven games overall.
— Pelicans are 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
— Over is 20-5-2 in their last 27 games.
— Clippers won last four series games.
— LA covered once in its last four visits to Bourbon Street.
— Four of last five series games went over the total.
--------------------------------------
NBA
Sunday, March 14
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Memphis @ Oklahoma City
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home
Utah @ Golden State
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Golden State
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Utah
San Antonio @ Philadelphia
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
San Antonio is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Miami @ Orlando
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
Orlando is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Miami
Cleveland @ Atlanta
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Boston @ Houston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Boston's last 16 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 11 games at home
Portland @ Minnesota
Portland
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
LA Clippers @ New Orleans
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 13 of New Orleans's last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 10 games at home
Toronto @ Chicago
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Chicago's last 21 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Toronto
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NBA
Dunkel
Sunday, March 14
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Sunday’s 6-pack
— Georgetown 73, Marquette 48— #8-seed Hoyas win the Big East.
— Texas 91, Oklahoma State 86— Longhorns had lost last six Big X title games.
— Grand Canyon 74, New Mexico State 56— Bryce Drew’s Antelopes win WAC.
— Iona 60, Fairfield 51— Rick Pitino gets his Gaels into the NCAAs.
— North Texas 61, Western Kentucky 57 OT— Mean Green’s first title since 2010.
— Oregon State 70, Colorado 68— Beavers win Pac-12 tourney for first time.
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 533,868
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.
Quote of the Day
“Try not to do too many things at once. Know what you want, the number one thing today and tomorrow. Persevere and get it done.”
George Allen
Sunday’s quiz
We know Hawai’i is the 50th state; which state was the first state?
Saturday’s quiz
2014 was the last time a team that was lower than a #2-seed won the national title in college basketball, when #7-seed UConn won the title.
Friday’s quiz
Of the 31 conference tournaments this month, four were/are being played in Las Vegas.
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Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday
13) Last three days have been very excellent; sat around my house in hooded sweatshirts and sweats, watched ball for 14-16 hours a day, ate pizza, took a lot of notes. Life almost seemed normal again.
In most years, this is my favorite week of the year; last year it was a disaster, when everything shut down because of the pandemic. This week, college basketball was everywhere, the way it is supposed to be in March. Filled in the voids with spring training baseball. Good stuff.
Sunday night the brackets come out, something we all missed last year.
Meanwhile, there was other stuff going on besides college basketball:
12) Every summer, HBO does Hard Knocks, a behind-the-scenes look at NFL training camp, usually one team each summer. They do five one-hour shows during the summer; it is fun to learn some things that normally behind-the-scenes. It helps promote the league.
Baseball needs to do this!!! Give HBO access to a team every spring; Lord knows there is enough free time for managers/coaches/players to talk on camera. Let HBO spen six weeks with the Angels so America can learn about Trout, and Ohtani. Next year do the Padres.
Promote the game!!! Young people need to learn how great baseball is; there is so much stuff going on these days, so much competition for the entertainment dollar. Expose baseball to as many people as possible; that would seem like a good business move.
Speaking of which, why do they black out TV broadcasts of games on MLB Network? Let as many people watch games as want to do it— it is STUPID to black games out.
11) Major league baseball now controls the minor leagues; starting this season, they’re going to use the minors as a laboratory for new rules. Different levels will have different experiments:
— All four infielders will have to have both feet on the infield dirt.
— Teams will have to have two infielders on each side of th einfield.
— 0:15 pitch clock, which seems to be a bit much.
— Throws to first base vs baserunners will be limited.
— Robotic ball/strike umpires (I really dislike this one, maybe even hate it)
10) The motivation for all this is that MLB wants more baseballs put in play; less strikeouts and walks, more game action. If there are only two fielders on the right side of the infield, guys can go to the other way more— hard grounders that are pulled are more likely to be hits. Fewer batters will try to hit home runs all the time.
Batting average in the major leagues the last three years:
2018: .248
2019: .252
2020: .245— In 2000, it was .270. Shifts have badly hurt offense; offense makes the game more fun to watch.
9) Worlds colliding: a guy named Frank McCourt used to own the Dodgers- it didn’t go well. He had to sell the team, after he spent too much money in his personal life, and his toxic divorce proceedings pushed the Dodgers into bankruptcy. No bueno.
McCourt now owns a soccer team in France, a team previously owned by a guy who was the CEO of Adidas. When the guy passed away in 2009, his wife inherited the team— she is worth $5.9B, according to Forbes magazine, the richest Russian-born woman in the world. She later sold the soccer team to McCourt.
Anyway, it turns out that the Adidas guy was 2nd-cousins with Julia Louis-Dreyfus, who played Elaine on the Seinfeld TV show. Like I said, worlds colliding.
8) Chicago Cubs hired Jon Sciambi as their new TV play-by-play guy, a huge upgrade over the last guy, who moved to White Sox radio. Sciambi is awesome and will team with former big league pitcher Jim Deshaies. The reason I care about this a decent amount is that I have both Anthony Rizzo and Kris Bryant on my fantasy team, so I’m going to be watching the Cubs a lot this season.
7) Was watching the Milwaukee Brewers play in the middle of the night this week, the replay of an exhibition game, and got this sick feeling that I get every March when I watch the Brewers.
They’re analytically-driven, which means their front office guys all went to fancy colleges, and they do unusual things with the team, then use their college degrees to defend them when they don’t work. Translation: I will never have another Milwaukee pitcher on my fantasy team.
6) Random sports trivia; Arkansas hoop coach Eric Musselman is the son of the late coach Bill Musselman, who coached the Minnesota Gophers, also in the NBA and in the CBA, with the Albany Patroons, who played three miles from my house. Musselman’s Gophers won the 1972 Big Ten championship, back before there was a conference tournament.
When Bill Musselman was at Minnesota, one of the subs on his team was this guy who was pretty good in another sport, a 6-6 outfielder you may have heard of. Guy named Dave Winfield, a baseball Hall of Famer.
5) Tip of the cap to Nick Markakis, who retired this week after a 15-year career where he hit .288 for the Orioles/Braves, with a career on-base % of .357. Pretty freakin’ good.
Markakis played in 147+ games in 12 of his 15 seasons; he wound up with 2,388 hits. He was on my fantasy team for several years, was a big help— one of the best “abilities” is dependability.
4) NCAA Tournament schedule is a little different this year:
— Play-in games will all be on Thursday.
— First round games are Friday/Saturday
— Second round games are Sunday/Monday
— Second weekend of the tournament will be Saturday-Tuesday.
3) Georgia Tech 80, Florida State 75
— This was only second time EVER (Georgia Tech-Virginia in 1990) that the ACC title game didn’t have a team from North Carolina in it.
— Georgia Tech wins ACC title for first time since 1993.
2) 12-15 years ago, when I used to go to Florida every summer to watch the AAU national tournament at Disney World, I’d venture to different high schools in the Kissimmee area to watch games. When I went back to work the next week, I’d tell people how I spent my vacation, and more than one person gave me an odd look. Go figure.
One day I’m at Poinciana HS watching games, sitting on a cafeteria table, behind one of the baskets and this young coach sits on the other end of the table. I struck up a conversation with him and picked his brain for a couple hours, learned a lot. Probably asked too many questions, but learned a lot.
Maybe 4-5 years ago, I’m at Bishop Gorman HS in Las Vegas watching games, and once again I’m sitting next to the same guy, and we had another good conversation. Now I’m a nobody, he had no reason to be nice to me, or answer my numerous questions, but he did.
Josh Pastner is a hell of a nice guy; was so happy to see him win this game and win the ACC title. He was a sub as a player on great Arizona teams under Lute Olson and now has been a head coach for 12 years, seven at Memphis, five at Georgia Tech. Congrats coach!!!
1) Since AFL-NFL merger, most starts for a QB-coach combo without making playoffs:
85— Jim Zorn/Jack Patera, (expansion Seahawks)
59— David Carr/Dom Capers (expansion Texans)
52— Ryan Tannehill/Joe Philbin (Dolphins)
48— Derek Carr/Jon Gruden (Raiders)Leave a comment:
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SATURDAY, MARCH 13
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
NY at OKC 02:00 PM
NY -5.0...............119 - 97.......WINNER
O 209.0............................WINNER
MIL at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS +11.0.................125 - 119
O 240.5...........................WINNER
TOR at CHA 07:00 PM
CHA -2.5...........104 - 114.........WINNER
U 233.5
DET at BK 07:00 PM
BK -11.0............95 - 100.........LOSER
O 227.0......................LOSER
SAC at ATL 07:30 PM
SAC +4.0..............106- 121.......LOSER
O 238.0
POR at MIN 08:00 PM
POR -4.5............125 - 121..........LOSER
U 234.0...........................LOSER
IND at PHO 10:00 PM
PHO -7.0..........................122 - 111...........LOSER
U 223.0
NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
03/13/2021..4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
03/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850
TOTALS......45-42-4.....51.72%......- 6.00
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Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50
Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00
Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00Leave a comment:
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SATURDAY, MARCH 13
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
NY at OKC 02:00 PM
NY -5.0
O 209.0
MIL at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS +11.0
O 240.5
TOR at CHA 07:00 PM
CHA -2.5
U 233.5
DET at BK 07:00 PM
BK -11.0
O 227.0
SAC at ATL 07:30 PM
SAC +4.0
O 238.0
POR at MIN 08:00 PM
POR -4.5
U 234.0
IND at PHO 10:00 PM
PHO -7.0
U 223.0
NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
01/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850
TOTALS......41-36-4.....53.24%......+7.00
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Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50
Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00
Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00Leave a comment:
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541NEW YORK -542 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 289-234 ATS (31.6 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game since 1996.
543DETROIT -544 BROOKLYN
DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the current season.
545MILWAUKEE -546 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the current season.
547TORONTO -548 CHARLOTTE
CHARLOTTE is 44-68 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games since 1996.
549SACRAMENTO -550 ATLANTA
SACRAMENTO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days in the current season.
551PORTLAND -552 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
555INDIANA -556 PHOENIX
INDIANA is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, March 13
New York @ Oklahoma City
Knicks (19-19)
— New York won eight of last 12 games (11-5 ATS last 16).
— Knicks are 4-3 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Under is 7-2-1 in New York’s last ten road games.
Thunder (16-21)
— Thunder won four of their last six games.
— OKC is 3-1 ATS in last four home games.
— Under is 9-4 in their last 13 games.
— Thunder won eight of last nine series games.
— Knicks covered once in last four visits to Oklahoma.
— Four of last five series games went over.
Detroit @ Brooklyn
Pistons (10-27)
— Detroit lost eight of its last ten games
— Pistons are 6-4 ATS in last ten road games.
— Under is 7-3 in Detroit’s last ten games.
Nets (25-13)
— Brooklyn won/covered 11 of their last 12 games.
— Nets are 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
— Four of last five Brooklyn home games stayed under.
— Nets won four of last six series games.
— Detroit is 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Brooklyn.
— Last three series games went over the total.
Toronto @ Charlotte
Raptors (17-19)
— Toronto lost four of its last its five games.
— Raptors are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
— Last four Toronto games went over the total.
Hornets (18-18)
— Charlotte is 8-5 in its last 13 games SU.
— Hornets are 4-2 ATS in their last six home games.
— Over is 7-2 in Charlotte’s last nine games.
— Toronto won four of last five series games.
— Raptors is 1-2 ATS in last three visits to Charlotte.
— Over is 6-1-1 in last eight series games.
Milwaukee @ Washington
Bucks (23-14)
— Milwaukee won seven of its last eight games (5-3 ATS).
— Bucks are 0-4 ATS in last four road games.
— Under is 3-1 in Milwaukee’s last four games
Wizards (14-22)
— Wizards lost three of last four games, are 9-4 ATS in last 13.
— Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last seven home games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Milwaukee won last five series games (4-1 ATS)
— Bucks are 4-3 ATS in last seven visits to Washington.
— Last five series games went over the total.
Sacramento @ Atlanta
Kings (15-22)
— Sacramento is 3-11 SU/ATS in last 14 games overall.
— Kings are 7-4 ATS in their last 11 road games.
— Over is 11-2 in Sacramento’s last 13 games
Hawks (17-20)
— Hawks are 3-0 SU since they fired their coach .
— Hawks are 3-5 ATS in their last eight home games.
— 13 of Atlanta’s last 17 games went over the total.
— Sacramento won/covered last four series games.
— Kings are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Atlanta.
— Over is 5-1 in last six series games.
Portland @ Minnesota
Trailblazers (21-15)
— Portland won four of its last five games SU.
— Blazers are 10-4 ATS in last 14 road games.
— Over is 4-1 in Portland’s last five games.
Timberwolves (7-29)
— Minnesota lost 13 of last 15, 23 of its last 28 games.
— Wolves are 1-9 ATS in their last ten games overall.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
— Portland won seven of last nine series games.
— Blazers covered once in last four visits to Minnesota.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.
Dallas @ Denver
Mavericks (19-17)
— Mavericks won 10 of their last 13 games.
— Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in last seven road games.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight Dallas games.
Nuggets (22-15)
— Denver is 10-4 in its last 14 games overall.
— Nuggets are 6-10 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 5-2 in Denver’s last seven games overall.
— Nuggets won five of last eight series games.
— Mavericks covered four of last five visits to Denver.
— Over is 3-1 in last four series games played here.
Indiana @ Phoenix
Pacers (16-20)
— Indiana lost 11 of its last 15 games.
— Pacers are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
— Over is 6-3-1 in Indiana’s last ten games.
Suns (25-11)
— Phoenix won 17 of its last 20 games (16-4 ATS).
— Suns are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six road games.
— Indiana won six of last eight series games.
— Pacers covered four of last six trips to the desert.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.
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NBA
Saturday, March 13
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Trend Report
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New York @ Oklahoma City
New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing New York
Oklahoma City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New York
Detroit @ Brooklyn
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Detroit's last 22 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Brooklyn is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Toronto @ Charlotte
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 12 games on the road
Charlotte
Charlotte is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games
Milwaukee @ Washington
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Sacramento @ Atlanta
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Sacramento's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Portland @ Minnesota
Portland
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Indiana @ Phoenix
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games on the road
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Dallas @ Denver
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
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NBA
Long Sheet
Saturday, March 13
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NEW YORK (19 - 19) at OKLAHOMA CITY (16 - 21) - 3/13/2021, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 67-46 ATS (+16.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 255-209 ATS (+25.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
NEW YORK is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DETROIT (10 - 27) at BROOKLYN (25 - 13) - 3/13/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 59-86 ATS (-35.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 86-62 ATS (+17.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 4-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MILWAUKEE (23 - 14) at WASHINGTON (14 - 22) - 3/13/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 5-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TORONTO (17 - 20) at CHARLOTTE (18 - 18) - 3/13/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SACRAMENTO (15 - 22) at ATLANTA (17 - 20) - 3/13/2021, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PORTLAND (21 - 15) at MINNESOTA (8 - 29) - 3/13/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
PORTLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
MINNESOTA is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 29-54 ATS (-30.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-31 ATS (-25.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 26-47 ATS (-25.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DALLAS (19 - 17) at DENVER (22 - 15) - 3/13/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 463-379 ATS (+46.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 239-190 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 590-509 ATS (+30.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
DENVER is 44-76 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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INDIANA (16 - 20) at PHOENIX (25 - 11) - 3/13/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHOENIX is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHOENIX is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NBA
Dunkel
Saturday, March 13
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Hoop Trends for Saturday March 13
Vince Akins
ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Toronto at Charlotte (7:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Hornets are 12-0 ATS (12.08 ppg) after they had more than eight times as many field goal attempts as turnovers last game.
ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Dallas at Denver (10:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Nuggets are 0-13 ATS (-10.19 ppg) at home coming off a win that had at least eight lead changes.
OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Sacramento at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. ET)
-- The Kings are 14-0 OU (14.96 ppg) coming off a game as a favorite.
OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: New York at Oklahoma City (2:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Knicks are 0-18 OU (-14.31 ppg) after Julius Randle had at least 5 turnovers last game.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)Leave a comment:
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Saturday’s 6-pack
Top six scoring teams in Division I:
92.1— Gonzaga
86.4— Colgate
85.0— Iowa
84.8— Baylor
84.5— Southern Utah
83.9— Bryant
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 532,151
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.
Quote of the Day
“Nobody ever changed the world by doing what everyone else was doing.”
Mark Cuban
Saturday’s quiz
When was the last time a team that was lower than a #2-seed won the national title in college basketball?
Friday’s quiz
Of the 31 conference tournaments this month, four were/are being played in Las Vegas.
Thursday’s quiz
Bob Brenly was manager of the Arizona Diamondbacks when they won their only World Series title.
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Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy basketball day
13) Pac-12 tourney:
Oregon State 75, Oregon 64
— Beavers were picked last in pre-season polls, finished a surprising 5th in regular season, now they’re playing for the league title Saturday.
— Oregon State is 20-44 on the arc the last two days.
Colorado 72, USC 70
— Buffs had a 17-0 run in first half, needed a tip dunk with 0:02.3 left for the win.
— Colorado has now beaten USC seven times in a row.
12) Big 14 tourney:
Michigan 79, Maryland 66
— 11:30am opener saw Michigan coach Howard get tossed after he got into a kerfuffle with Maryland coach Turgeon. Michigan is 20-3; Howard should be happier.
Ohio State 87, Purdue 78 OT
— Buckeyes led by 18 at half, needed OT for the win.
— Purdue was only 15-27 on the foul line.
11) ACC tourney:
— Georgia Tech advanced to finals because Virginia couldn’t play due to COVID issues.
Florida State 69, North Carolina 66:
— Florida State has unusually good depth; they’ll be a popular pick to make the Final Four.
— North Carolina shot 34% inside arc, had 21 offensive rebounds.
10) Big X tourney:
Oklahoma State 83, Baylor 74:
— Cowboys outscored Baylor 31-14 over final 7:49.
— OSU star Cunningham tweaked his ankle last week and missed a game, but played 77:00 out of 80:00 the last two days.
— Baylor heads into the NCAA Tournament at 22-2.
Texas advanced to the finals, because Kansas couldn’t play due to COVID issues.
9) Big East tourney:
Georgetown 66, Seton Hall 58
— #8-seed Hoyas are in Big East finals for first since since 2010.
— Seton Hall lost five of last six games, finishes 14-13. No bueno.
Creighton 59, UConn 56
— Bluejays won the MVC tournament last two years they were in that league, but they’ve never won the Big East tournament- they’re favored to do that tonight.
— Creighton outscored UConn 11-3 over final 5:26 of this game.
— Bluejays are #40 experience team; they’re an experienced group.
8) Big Sky tourney:
Montana State 80, Southern Utah 77 OT
— Top-seeded Thunderbirds get upset here.
Eastern Washington 78, Montana 50
— Eagles won 12 of their last 13 games
7) Upsets of the Day:
— Oregon State (+8) 75, Oregon 64
— Montana State (+6.5) 80, Southern Utah 77 OT
— Fairfield (+6.5) 52, Saint Peter’s 47
— Cincinnati (+5.5) 74, SMU 71
— Georgetown (+3.5) 66, Seton Hall 58
6) SEC tourney:
— All four favorites won Friday; I’m hoping Ole Miss gets in the NCAA Tournament- they looked like a tournament team in their 76-73 loss to LSU. Non-conference losses to Dayton/Wichita aren’t going to help their cause any.
Arkansas 70, Missouri 64:
— Razorbacks have won nine games in a row.
— Officials totally dominated this game- the TV guys stopped counting when they got to 17 offensive fouls in this game. Guys were flopping all over the place.
— Underrated thing about Eric Musselman; he’s coached two NBA teams and he also coached in the CBA— the guy is an X’s-and-O’s savant.
5) MAAC tourney:
Iona 70, Niagara 64
— Rick Pitino re-surfaces on national TV Saturday; his Gaels are playing for their fifth MAAC tournament title in last six tries.
— Iona didn’t play a game in January; they had a 7-week COVID pause, and didn’t play for 17 days before this tournament. Gaels have a new coach (albeit a Hall of Fame coach) and #274 continuity team, but they’re favored to win their league title tonight.
4) MAC tourney:
Ohio 87, Toledo 80
— Toledo hasn’t made the NCAA’s since I was in college (1982); they were the top seed here, but got upset here, despite shooting 69.4% inside arc.
Buffalo 81, Akron 74 OT
— Buffalo survived miserable 8-19 shooting on foul line; they were down 5 with 6:32 left.
— Bulls have won seven games in a row; they’re trying for 5th NCAA bid in last six tournaments.
3) Conference USA tourney
Western Kentucky 64, UAB 60
— Hilltoppers made 10-20 on arc; they also have an NBA-type big man in Bassey, who had 22 points, 7 rebounds, 4 blocked shots.
North Texas 54, Louisiana Tech 48:
— Mean Green won last three nights, giving up 53 ppg. They’re experience team #16 and they play a very slow tempo. North Texas last made the NCAA’s in 2010.Leave a comment:
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FRIDAY, MARCH 12
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
PHI at WAS 08:00 PM
WAS +4.5...........127 - 101.......LOSER
O 234.0...................LOSER
CLE at NO 08:00 PM
NO -7.0............82 - 116
O 229.0.................LOSER
DEN at MEM 08:00 PM
DEN -3.0..............103 - 102
U 227.5.....................WINNER
ORL at SA 09:00 PM
ORL +6.5..........77 - 104.........LOSER
U 215.5..................WINNER
MIA at CHI 09:00 PM
MIA -2.0............101 - 90.........WINNER
O 220.5......................LOSER
HOU at UTA 10:00 PM
UTA -17.0............99 -114
O 228.5................LOSER
IND at LAL 10:30 PM
IND +4.5.........100 - 105......LOSER
O 217.0....................LOSER
NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
01/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850
TOTALS......41-36-4.....53.24%......+7.00
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Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50
Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00
Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00Leave a comment:
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