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Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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  • Udog
    replied
    NBA

    Friday, April 16


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Indiana @ Utah
    Indiana
    Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
    Utah
    Utah is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games at home
    Utah is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games

    New Orleans @ Washington
    New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of New Orleans's last 20 games when playing Washington
    Washington
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
    Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

    Oklahoma City @ Detroit
    Oklahoma City
    Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 11 games on the road
    Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 13 games when playing Oklahoma City
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home

    LA Clippers @ Philadelphia
    LA Clippers
    LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    Philadelphia is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing LA Clippers

    Charlotte @ Brooklyn
    Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 10 games
    Brooklyn
    Brooklyn is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing Charlotte

    Orlando @ Toronto
    Orlando
    Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
    Toronto
    Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando

    Denver @ Houston
    Denver
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games on the road
    Denver is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
    Houston
    Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

    Memphis @ Chicago
    Memphis
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games
    Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games at home
    Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Memphis

    Miami @ Minnesota
    Miami
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 12 games on the road
    Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Miami
    Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami

    Portland @ San Antonio
    Portland
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Portland's last 10 games when playing San Antonio
    San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio's last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games at home

    New York @ Dallas
    New York
    New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 10 games when playing Dallas
    Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas's last 11 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing New York


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Friday, April 16


    Indiana @ Utah
    Pacers (26-28)
    — Indiana won five of its last seven games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Pacers are 6-3 ATS in their last nine road games.
    — Over is 4-1 in Indiana’s last five games.

    Jazz (41-14)
    — Utah won three of its last four games.
    — Jazz is 3-3 ATS in its last six home games.
    — Over is 3-2 in Utah’s last five home games.

    — Teams split last ten meetings.
    — Pacers are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Utah.
    — Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

    Oklahoma City @ Detroit
    Thunder (20-35)
    — Thunder are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games.
    — OKC is 5-7 ATS in their last dozen road games.
    — Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

    Pistons (16-39)
    — Detroit lost 10 of its last 14 games
    — Pistons are 11-7-1 ATS since the All-Star break.
    — Over is 4-2 in Detroit’s last six home games.

    — OKC won five of last six series games.
    — Thunder are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Detroit.
    — Three of last four series games went over.

    LA Clippers @ Philadelphia
    Clippers (39-18)
    — Clippers won 13 of their last 15 games.
    — Clippers are 4-1-1 ATS in last six road games.
    — Four of Clippers’ last six games went over the total.

    76ers (38-17)
    — 76ers won 10 of their last 14 games.
    — Sixers are 2-4 ATS in their last six home games.
    — Under is 12-4 in Philly’s last 16 games.

    — 76ers won five of last seven series games.
    — Clippers are 1-9 vs spread in last ten series games.
    — Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

    New Orleans @ Washington
    Pelicans (25-30)
    — New Orleans won three of its last four games.
    — Pelicans are 6-9 ATS in their last 15 road games.
    — Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

    Wizards (21-33)
    — Wizards won four of last five games SU (5-1 ATS last six).
    — Wizards are 4-5 ATS in last nine home games.
    — Under is 8-4 in their last 12 games

    — New Orleans won/covered last three series games.
    — Pelicans are 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Washington.
    — Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.

    Charlotte @ Brooklyn
    Hornets (27-27)
    — Charlotte lost its last three games SU.
    — Hornets are 3-5 ATS in their last eight games.
    — Under is 15-4 in Charlotte’s last 19 games.

    Nets (37-18)
    — Brooklyn split its last six games SU.
    — Nets are 2-7 ATS in last nine home games.
    — Over is 4-1 in last five Brooklyn games.

    — Nets are 6-4 SU in last ten series games.
    — Hornets are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Brooklyn.
    — Five of last six series games stayed under.

    Orlando @ Toronto
    Magic (17-37)
    — Orlando lost 19 of its last 24 games.
    — Magic is 8-4 ATS in last 12 games overall.
    — Over is 4-0 in their last four road games.

    Raptors (22-34)
    — Toronto lost four of its last six games.
    — Raptors are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.
    — Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

    — Toronto won last ten series games (9-1 ATS)
    — Magic is 0-5 ATS in last five road series games.
    — Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

    Memphis @ Chicago
    Grizzlies (27-26)
    — Memphis lost three of its last four games SU.
    — Grizzlies are 12-3 ATS in last 15 games overall.
    — Over is 5-1 in last six Memphis games.

    Bulls (22-32)
    — Chicago lost its last four games SU (0-4 SU).
    — Bulls are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.
    — Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

    — Bulls won six of last seven series games.
    — Grizzlies are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Chicago.
    — Under is 3-0-1 in last four series games.

    Denver @ Houston
    Nuggets (35-20)
    — Denver won nine of its last 11 games.
    — Jamal Murray tore his ACL, is done for the year.
    — Nuggets are 7-3 ATS in last ten road games.
    — Under is 7-1 in Denver’s last eight road games.

    Rockets (14-41)
    — Houston lost 31 of its last 34 games (8-26 ATS).
    — Rockets are 3-16 ATS in last 19 home games.
    — Over is 6-1 in their last seven games.

    — Home side won last eight series games.
    — Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
    — Three of last four series games went over.

    Miami @ Minnesota
    Heat (28-26)
    — Miami lost three of its last five games SU.
    — Heat is 8-5 ATS in last 13 road games.
    — Under is 4-1 in their last five road games.

    Timberwolves (14-41)
    — Minnesota lost 11 of its last 15 games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Wolves lost last two home games by 30-25 points.
    — Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

    — Minnesota won last four series games.
    — Heat is 3-1-1 ATS in last five visits to Minnesota.
    — Over is 7-1 in last eight series games.

    Portland @ San Antonio
    Trailblazers (31-23)
    — Portland lost four of its last five games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Blazers are 3-6 ATS in last nine road games.
    — Under is 5-2 in Portland’s last seven games.

    Spurs (26-26)
    — San Antonio lost 11 of its last 15 games.
    — Spurs are 2-7 ATS in last nine home games.
    — Over is 12-4 in Spurs’ last sixteen games.

    — Teams split last ten series games.
    — Blazers are 2-3 ATS in last five trips to the Alamo.
    — Over is 9-1 in last ten series games.

    New York @ Dallas
    Knicks (29-27)
    — New York won its last four games SU.
    — Knicks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games.
    — Over is 5-2 in New York’s last seven games.

    Mavericks (30-24)
    — Mavericks won seven of their last ten games.
    — Mavericks are 3-4 ATS in last seven home games.
    — Under is 19-7 in last 26 Dallas games.

    — Teams split last ten series games.
    — Knicks covered four of last five trips to Dallas.
    — Under is 9-1 in last ten series games.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NBA
    Dunkel

    Friday, April 16


    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    533INDIANA -534 UTAH
    UTAH is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in home games off a home win in the current season.

    535LA CLIPPERS -536 PHILADELPHIA
    LA CLIPPERS are 36-17 ATS (17.3 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

    537OKLAHOMA CITY -538 DETROIT
    DETROIT is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) off a home loss in the current season.

    539NEW ORLEANS -540 WASHINGTON
    NEW ORLEANS are 37-53 ATS (-21.3 Units) vs. losing teams in the last 3 seasons.

    541CHARLOTTE -542 BROOKLYN
    BROOKLYN is 26-11 ATS (13.9 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

    543ORLANDO -544 TORONTO
    ORLANDO is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    545MEMPHIS -546 CHICAGO
    CHICAGO is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.

    547MIAMI -548 MINNESOTA
    MINNESOTA is 5-20 ATS (-17 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

    549DENVER -550 HOUSTON
    HOUSTON is 24-52 ATS (-33.2 Units) after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

    551PORTLAND -552 SAN ANTONIO
    SAN ANTONIO is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots in the last 3 seasons.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    Friday’s 6-pack
    Major league leaders, on-base %age (minimum 20 AB’s):

    .583— Brandon Nimmo, NYM
    .547— Yuli Gurriel, Hst
    .526— Vladimir Guerrero, Tor
    .522— Yermin Mercedes, CWS
    .519— Max Muncy, LAD
    .492— Ronald Acuna, Atl
    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 565,067
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “If you are building for the future, you’re going to lose your job.”
    Oakland basketball coach Greg Kampe, talking about the new college basketball transfer rules

    Friday’s quiz
    In the movie Rocky, before Rocky Balboa fought Apollo Creed the first time, how many professional fights had he lost? (He had 44 wins)

    Thursday’s quiz
    Sean Green holds the record for most total bases in one game; on May 23, 2002, he hit four homers, a single and a double (19 TB)

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Since the 1983-84 season, Charles Oakley holds the NBA record for most rebounds in one game, with 35.

    ************************************************** ********

    Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..

    13) Later this month, the NCAA is expected to approve a new rule, where players can transfer once, without sitting out a year— they’re not eligible if they’ve already transferred.

    This is expected to cause chaos for a while, in both football/basketball; it’ll be just like baseball, rich teams poaching from the not-so-rich. It’ll be interesting to see how it all plays out.

    12) Baylor just won the national championship in basketball; 54% of their points this season came from players who transferred into Baylor.

    11) My fantasy baseball team is desperate for a catcher who can hit; Jorge Alfaro looks terrible, so I added Tucker Barnhart, but he platoons. One of three things needs to happen:

    — I added Yermin Mercedes, the White Sox’ hitting prodigy who is supposedly a catcher but hasn’t caught in a big league game yet, so he isn’t eligible to use behind the plate until the White Sox put him there.
    — Texas Rangers have a kid in the minors (Sam Huff) who can hit— he was 11-31 in a brief cameo in the majors last year, but right now he is getting more experience in the minors.
    — Mariners’ utility guy Todd France is supposedly their emergency catcher; would be nice of Seattle had an emergency and let France catch for an inning or two.

    10) 30 or so years ago, I spent 11 months of my life working as a court assistant in a county courthouse. Interesting experience; the best part were the actual trials. I would swear the witnesses in, keep an inventory of the evidence, all that stuff.

    One thing I learned, and I heard this from more than one lawyer; in a criminal trial, if the defendant is innocent, he/she will testify. If they’re guilty, not so much.

    9) Actually, the best part of that job was the first Friday of each month, the matrimonial conferences; only people present were the husband/wife, their lawyers, the judge, the court stenographer and me.

    Some funny stuff happened, but you’re sitting there out in the open- you’d better not laugh.

    8) One rule I’d be in favor of; when the playoffs start, the highest-seeded team can choose which team they play in the first round of the playoffs. They used to do this in the G-League, we do it in our fantasy baseball league. Makes things a little more interesting, plus it would make for good television, when the teams announced their choices.

    7) A’s 8, Detroit 4:
    — Detroit pitchers walked 12 guys; they threw 51 pitches, just in the 6th inning.
    — Thru six innings, Tiger pitchers threw 161 pitches, Oakland pitchers 82.

    6) Few years ago in July, I’m sitting in a Las Vegas casino playing video poker, watching the Diamondbacks— their game goes 12 innings. At the same time, and this is a Friday night, the third round of the British Open is starting on the TV next to the baseball game.

    So at the same time, I’m watching a Friday night baseball game and Saturday morning golf. As if I wasn’t confused enough, then I hit a jackpot at video poker. Pretty good night.

    5) Utah State hired Ryan Odom to be its new basketball coach, making the long move from UMBC; it is unusual in that Odom brings all three of his assistants with him to Logan. Usually, one of the three assistants would inherit the job Odom left behind, but UMBC hired the guy that was Penn State’s interim coach last year.

    Odom went 29-17 in conference games in the three years since he upset Virginia in the NCAA Tournament, the only #1-#16 upset ever.

    Utah State won 74 games the last three years; he is inheriting a good program in a league that hasn’t been getting better. Will be interesting to see how Richard Pitino/Kevin Kruger do in the Mountain West, having been hired at New Mexico/UNLV.

    4) I read this on the Interweb, so it has to be true; French people sleep an average of 8.83 hours/day, more than any other country.

    3) Washington Nationals are batting their pitcher 8th; this isn’t a good idea. Tony LaRussa started this near the end of his tenure in St Louis, so it gained credibility, and at one point, several teams tried it, but don’t think anyone ever did it in a playoff game, which would’ve been the ultimate endorsement.

    Hopefully next year everyone will use the DH and this argument will be put to rest.

    2) I was amusing myself the other night by looking thru hotels.com, pricing hotels in Las Vegas during football season for this fall; I could really go for a chicken salad sandwich at the Carnegie Deli at The Mirage, especially with a Dr Brown’s soda.

    Makes me hungry just thinking about it.

    1) I’m getting my first vaccine shot April 25; it was supposed to be in a tent in a parking at the college I went to, but they’re moving the vaccine site to a **** a half-mile away. I’m thinking this is a good thing, don’t have to worry about the weather interrupting things.

    But the vaccine site is right across the hall from the Apple store; this could get expensive.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    Hoop Trends for Thursday April 15
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Boston at L.A. Lakers (10:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Celtics are 11-0-1 ATS (10.04 ppg) off a road game when the total is at least 15 points less than their last game.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Sacramento at Phoenix (10:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Kings are 0-10 ATS (-8.05 ppg) off a home loss in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Sacramento at Phoenix (10:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Kings are 12-0 OU (22.29 ppg) on the road off a 10+ point loss in which they had more than 12 steals.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Boston at L.A. Lakers (10:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Lakers are 0-10 OU (-16.25 ppg) off a road game that had at least 8 lead changes.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    525MILWAUKEE -526 ATLANTA
    ATLANTA is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent in the current season.

    527GOLDEN STATE -528 CLEVELAND
    GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the current season.

    529BOSTON -530 LA LAKERS
    BOSTON is 21-5 ATS (15.5 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.




    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, April 15







    NBA

    Thursday, April 15


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Milwaukee @ Atlanta
    Milwaukee
    Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    Atlanta
    Atlanta is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

    Golden State @ Cleveland
    Golden State
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games
    Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    Boston @ LA Lakers
    Boston
    Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing Boston

    Sacramento @ Phoenix
    Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Phoenix
    Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Phoenix is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, April 15


    Milwaukee @ Atlanta
    Bucks (34-20)
    — Milwaukee is 5-6 SU in its last ten games.
    — Bucks are 5-10 ATS in last 15 road games (2-0 last two).
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Over is 12-6 in Milwaukee’s last 18 games.

    Hawks (30-25)
    — Hawks is 16-5 SU since they changed coaches.
    — Hawks are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games.
    — Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

    — Milwaukee won last five series games.
    — Bucks are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Atlanta.
    — Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.

    Golden State @ Cleveland
    Warriors (27-28)
    — Golden State won four of its last five games SU.
    — Warriors are 1-5 ATS in last six road games.
    — Under is 11-4 in their last 15 road games.

    Cavaliers (20-33)
    — Cleveland won three of its last five games.
    — Cavaliers are 1-3 ATS in their last four home games.
    — Five of last five Cleveland games went over the total.

    — Golden State won last 10 series games (8-2 ATS)
    — Warriors won/covered their last five trips to Cleveland.
    — Three of last four series games went over the total.

    Boston @ LA Lakers
    Celtics (29-26)
    — Boston won six of its last seven games.
    — Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.
    — Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

    Lakers (34-21)
    — Lakers are 6-4 SU in their last ten games.
    — Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games at Staples.
    — Over is 4-1 in their five games overall.

    — Lakers won four of last six series games.
    — Celtics are 3-2 ATS in last five series games played here.
    — Five of last six series games went over.

    Sacramento @ Phoenix
    Kings (22-33)
    — Sacramento lost its last eight games.
    — Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.
    — Under is 7-4 in Sacramento’s last 11 games.

    Suns (39-15)
    — Phoenix won 31 of its last 38 games (4-4 ATS last eight).
    — Suns are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.

    — Sacramento won five of last eight series games.
    — Kings are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Phoenix.
    — Six of last nine series games stayed under.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    Thursday’s 6-pack
    Odds for this week’s RBC Heritage golf tournament:

    19-2— Dustin Johnson
    13-1— Webb Simpson
    17-1— Collin Morikawa, Patrick Cantlay
    19-1— Daniel Berger
    23-1— Tyrell Hatton
    28-1— Cam Smith, Paul Casey, Will Zalatoris
    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 562,428
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “Don’t throw away the old bucket until you know if the new bucket holds water.”
    Anonymous

    Thursday’s quiz
    What baseball player holds the record for most total bases in one game?

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Since the 1983-84 season, Charles Oakley holds the NBA record for most rebounds in one game, with 35.

    Tuesday’s quiz
    In the history of the NBA, Ray Allen has made the most 3-point shots, 2,973.

    ************************************************

    Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

    13) White Sox 8, Indians 0:
    — Carlos Rodon throws a no-hitter, allowing a hit batter in 9th inning.
    — Last two years, Rodon started only 11 games; lot of injury issues.

    — Already 2nd no-hitter this year, both with no walks, but one hit batter. Before this year, that had happened only four times in the previous 100 years.

    12) Nationals 6, Cardinals 0— Yadier Molina is first player ever to catch 2,000+ games with the same team.

    11) Coming into Wednesday’s games, major league batting average was only .235; last year it was .245, which was the lowest since 1972.

    I’m thinking shifts will be outlawed next season; they want more offense in the game.

    10) Near the end of last season, Angels’ SS Andrelton Simmons opted out of the season; he didn’t want to go into quarantine for the playoffs.

    This year, now with Minnesota, Simmons opted not to get the vaccine.

    This week, Simmons tested positive for COVID, so now he is in quarantine. Go figure.

    9) Was weird seeing Blake Snell pitch for the Padres Tuesday night, throw 38 pitches and not finish the first inning. Teams are going to be very vigilant about monitoring pitch counts and inning counts this year, with last year having been a shortened season.

    8) Minnesota rookie OF Alex Kirilloff is the first player ever whose first career hit came in a playoff game. He made his 2021 debut for the Twins yesterday.

    7) Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes is the first pitcher in the last 100 years to strike out 30+ batters in his first three starts of a season, without walking anyone.

    6) Cleveland’s Shane Bieber has allowed five runs in 21.1 IP, striking out 35 guys, but he doesn’t have any wins; Indians didn’t score a run in the first five innings of any of those three games.

    5) Toronto 5, Bronx 4:
    — New York is 2-1 when Cole pitches, 3-6 with any other starter.
    — DH Stanton got another day off; why? Is being a DH that strenuous?
    — Bo Bichette hit a walk-off homer in the 9th inning.

    4) Red Sox swept a twinbill in Minnesota; they’re first team ever to start a season 0-3, then win 9+ games in a row. Twins scored total of three runs in the two games.

    3) Mets 5, Phillies 1:
    — David Peterson pitched a strong game for the Mets.
    — Peterson’s father was a horse trainer; he trained Seattle Slew the year after that great horse won the Triple Crown— owners had fired Billy Turner, the previous trainer.

    2) College basketball stuff:
    — Arizona named Gonzaga assistant Tommy Lloyd as their new coach.
    — NC-Greensboro coach Wes Miller is now the Cincinnati coach.
    — Joe Golding bolts from Abilene Christian to Texas-El Paso.

    1) Gonzaga is a unique situation; they’re pretty much what UNLV was 30 years ago; I’m not sure a Pac-12 team hiring Mark Few’s right-hand man will translate well.
    — Can he recruit top flight players to the desert?
    — Can he recruit top flight players who will stay more than one year?
    — Arizona has won A LOT over the last 35 years; can he satisfy a spoiled fanbase?

    College basketball is changing drastically; every kid who makes two layups in a row either wants to jump to to the NBA or to a better conference. Very difficult to develop continuity.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    Hoop Trends for Wednesday April 14
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
    Matchup: L.A. Clippers at Detroit (8:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Pistons are 12-0-3 ATS (8.20 ppg) facing an opponent that has a season-to-date points per field goal attempt average of better than 1.3925.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Orlando at Chicago (8:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Magic are 0-15 ATS (-14.73 ppg) with rest after allowing 50-plus points in the paint last game.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: L.A. Clippers at Detroit (8:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Pistons are 14-0 OU (11.07 ppg) at home with more than one day of rest coming off a road game.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Golden State at Oklahoma City (9:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Warriors are 0-12 OU (-16.54 ppg) on the road after Stephen Curry had the highest plus/minus on the team last game.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, April 14


    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NBA

    Wednesday, April 14


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Milwaukee @ Minnesota
    Milwaukee
    Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    Minnesota is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

    Cleveland @ Charlotte
    Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
    Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Charlotte's last 14 games

    Brooklyn @ Philadelphia
    Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

    San Antonio @ Toronto
    San Antonio
    San Antonio is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
    San Antonio is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games when playing at home against San Antonio
    Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Antonio

    LA Clippers @ Detroit
    LA Clippers
    LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    LA Clippers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

    New York @ New Orleans
    New York
    New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    New York is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    New Orleans
    New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
    New Orleans is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing New York

    Orlando @ Chicago
    Orlando
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Orlando's last 18 games when playing Chicago
    Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando

    Indiana @ Houston
    Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 10 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 10 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games

    Golden State @ Oklahoma City
    Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Golden State's last 11 games when playing Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
    Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oklahoma City's last 11 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State

    Dallas @ Memphis
    Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games
    Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis
    Memphis
    Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games

    Washington @ Sacramento
    Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Sacramento
    Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing Washington
    Sacramento is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Washington

    Miami @ Denver
    Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 11 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
    Denver
    Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, April 14


    Milwaukee @ Minnesota
    Bucks (33-20)
    — Milwaukee is 4-6 SU in its last ten games.
    — Bucks are 4-10 ATS in last 14 road games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Over is 11-6 in Milwaukee’s last 17 games.

    Timberwolves (14-41)
    — Minnesota lost 10 of its last 14 games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Wolves are 4-2 ATS in their last six home games.
    — Minnesota is 5-6-1 ATS if it played the night before.
    — Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

    — Milwaukee won last five series games.
    — Bucks are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Minnesota.
    — Three of last four series games went over.

    Cleveland @ Charlotte
    Cavaliers (19-33)
    — Cleveland lost seven of its last nine games.
    — Cavaliers are 4-3 ATS in their last seven road games.
    — Last five Cleveland games went over the total.

    Hornets (27-25)
    — Charlotte is 4-5 SU in its last nine games SU.
    — Hornets are 3-4 ATS in their last seven games.
    — Under is 14-4 in Charlotte’s last 18 games.

    — Teams split last eight series games.
    — Cavaliers are 3-1 ATS in last four visits to Charlotte.
    — Three of last four series games went over.

    Brooklyn @ Philadelphia
    Nets (37-17)
    — Brooklyn won 21 of their last 26 games
    — Nets are 2-4 ATS in last five road games.
    — Under is 8-4 in last 12 Brooklyn games.

    76ers (37-17)
    — 76ers won nine of their last 13 games.
    — Sixers are 5-3 ATS in their last eight home games.
    — Under is 12-3 in Philly’s last 15 games.

    — 76ers won eight of last ten series games.
    — Nets are 0-5 ATS in last five visits to Philly.
    — Four of last five series games went over.

    San Antonio @ Toronto
    Spurs (26-26)
    — San Antonio won last two games, after a 2-10 skid.
    — Spurs are 7-1 ATS in last eight road games.
    — Over is 11-4 in Spurs’ last fifteen games.

    Raptors (21-34)
    — Toronto lost four of its last five games.
    — Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
    — Over is 3-2 in their last five games.

    — Spurs won seven of last ten series games.
    — San Antonio is 4-0 ATS in last four road series games.
    — Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

    LA Clippers @ Detroit
    Clippers (38-18)
    — Clippers won 12 of their last 14 games.
    — Clippers are 4-1 ATS in last five road games.
    — Four of Clippers’ last five games went over the total.

    Pistons (16-38)
    — Detroit lost nine of its last 13 games
    — Pistons are 11-7 ATS since the All-Star break.
    — Over is 6-3 in Detroit’s last nine games.

    — Clippers won four of last five series games.
    — LA is 2-1-1 ATS in last four visits to Detroit.
    — Four of last six series games stayed under.

    Orlando @ Chicago
    Magic (17-37)
    — Orlando lost 19 of its last 23 games.
    — Magic is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games overall.
    — Over is 3-0 in their last three road games.

    Bulls (22-31)
    — Chicago lost 10 of its last 14 games SU.
    — Bulls are 3-7 ATS in their last ten home games.
    — Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

    — Teams split last eight series games.
    — Magic is 3-3 ATS in last six visits to Orlando.
    — Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

    New York @ New Orleans
    Knicks (28-27)
    — New York won last three games, by 4-6-15 points.
    — Knicks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
    — Under is 10-5 in New York’s last 15 games.

    Pelicans (25-29)
    — New Orleans won its last three games.
    — Pelicans are 6-3 ATS in their last nine home games.
    — Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.

    — Pelicans won six of last eight series games.
    — Knicks are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to New Orleans.
    — Three of last four series games went over the total.

    Indiana @ Houston
    Pacers (25-28)
    — Indiana won four of its last six games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Pacers are 5-3 ATS in their last eight road games.
    — Over is 3-1 in Indiana’s last four games.

    Rockets (14-40)
    — Houston lost 30 of its last 33 games (8-25 ATS).
    — Rockets are 3-15 ATS in last 18 home games.
    — Over is 5-1 in their last six games.

    — Rockets won five of last seven series games.
    — Pacers are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Houston.
    — Under is 9-1 in last ten series games.

    Golden State @ Oklahoma City
    Warriors (26-28)
    — Golden State won three of its last four games SU.
    — Warriors are 0-5 ATS in last five road games.
    — Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

    Thunder (20-34)
    — Thunder are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games.
    — OKC is 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games.
    — Over is 3-1 in their last four home games.

    — Thunder won four of last five series games.
    — Golden State is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Oklahoma.
    — Under is 9-1 in last ten series games.

    Dallas @ Memphis
    Mavericks (29-24)
    — Mavericks lost three of their last four games.
    — Mavericks are 6-2 ATS in last eight road games.
    — Under is 19-6 in last 25 Dallas games.

    Grizzlies (27-25)
    — Memphis won five of its last seven games SU.
    — Grizzlies are 11-3 ATS in last 14 games overall.
    — Over is 4-1 in last five Memphis games.

    — Dallas won four of last five series games.
    — Mavericks are 3-1 ATS in last four visits to Memphis.
    — Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

    Miami @ Denver
    Heat (28-26)
    — Miami won six of its last eight games SU.
    — Heat is 8-4 ATS in last 12 road games.
    — Under is 4-0 in their last four road games.

    Nuggets (34-20)
    — Denver lost last two games, after an 8-0 run.
    — Jamal Murray tore his ACL, is done for the year.
    — Nuggets are 4-5 ATS in last nine home games.
    — Under is 3-1 in Denver’s last four games.

    — Nuggets won six of last eight series games.
    — Miami is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Colorado.
    — Four of last five series games stayed under total.

    Washington @ Sacramento
    Wizards (20-33)
    — Wizards won three of last four games SU (4-1 ATS last five).
    — Wizards are 9-6 ATS in last 15 road games.
    — Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games

    Kings (22-32)
    — Sacramento lost its last seven games.
    — Kings are 1-3 ATS in their last four home games.
    — Under is 5-2 in Sacramento’s last seven games.

    — Kings won four of last five series games.
    — Wizards are 1-3-1 ATS in last five trips to Sacramento.
    — Six of last seven series games stayed under.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    501BROOKLYN -502 PHILADELPHIA
    BROOKLYN is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

    503CLEVELAND -504 CHARLOTTE
    CLEVELAND is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

    507ORLANDO -508 CHICAGO
    CHICAGO is 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

    509NEW YORK -510 NEW ORLEANS
    NEW YORK is 19-5 ATS (13.5 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 in the current season.

    511MILWAUKEE -512 MINNESOTA
    MINNESOTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.

    513LA CLIPPERS -514 DETROIT
    DETROIT is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the current season.

    515GOLDEN STATE -516 OKLAHOMA CITY
    GOLDEN STATE is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

    517INDIANA -518 HOUSTON
    HOUSTON is 30-56 ATS (-31.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

    519DALLAS -520 MEMPHIS
    DALLAS are 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

    521WASHINGTON -522 SACRAMENTO
    SACRAMENTO is 7-20 ATS (-15 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    Wednesday’s 6-pack
    NFL teams that pay out the most $$$ in workout bonuses:

    $5.1M— Green Bay
    $3.7M— Jacksonville
    $3.2M— Buffalo
    $3.1M— Kansas City
    $1.9M— Carolina, Cincinnati
    $1.8M— Las Vegas
    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 562,428
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “The worst part of this approach is that it doubles the stress of the compressed schedule. Rather than playing for a playoff spot and being able to rest players as the standings become clearer, teams have to approach every game as a playoff game to either get into or stay in the top 6 since the consequences, as Luka said, are enormous. So players are playing more games and more minutes in fewer days.”
    Mark Cuban, on the NBA’s play-in playoff format

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Since the 1983-84 season, who holds the NBA record for most rebounds in one game?

    Tuesday’s quiz
    In the history of the NBA, Ray Allen has made the most 3-point shots, 2,973.

    Monday’s quiz
    When Rams’ QB Matthew Stafford was a high school QB in Texas, his team’s center was Clayton Kershaw. Now both of them are playing ball in Los Angeles.

    ************************************************** *

    Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

    13) Dak Prescott got a 4-year, $160M contract from the Cowboys, which apparently includes a $1M incentive for winning a Super Bowl. $126M of that money is guaranteed.

    Prescott has a 42-27 career W-L record in regular season, 1-2 in playoffs; he played in only five games last season, after he broke/dislocated his ankle.

    12) Here’s something you don’t see every day; Monday night, Milwaukee Brewers brought in a relief pitcher late in their game, but turns out the guy’s name wasn’t written on the lineup card, so he couldn’t pitch, and they had to quickly get someone else warmed up to enter the game.

    You wouldn’t think stuff like that would happen in the major leagues.

    11) Players who have had 3+-homer games for three different teams:
    — Johnny Mize— StL, NYG, NYY
    — Alex Rodriguez— Sea, Tex, NYY
    — Dave Kingman— Cubs, NYM, A’s
    — Mark Teizeira— Tex, Atl, NYY
    — JD Martinez— Det, Ariz, Bos

    10) Most pitches thrown in a game this season:
    118– Johnny Cueto
    113— Shane Bieber (last night)
    112— Joe Musgrove (perfect game)
    111— Lance Lynn
    110– Trevor Bauer
    105— Johnny Cueto

    9) Longtime major league ump Joe West has been awarded $500,000 plus interest in damages in a defamation suit against former MLB catcher Paul LoDuca that was filed in October 2019.

    There was a podcast where LoDuca accused reliever Billy Wagner of bribing West to get a bigger strike zone. He accused that Wagner let West use his 1957 vintage Chevrolet to make the strike zone change when he was up at bat.

    Apparently, LoDuca lied in the podcast about how many times West has ejected him in his career; the judge who made the ruling raised the possibility that West will not be elected to the Baseball Hall of Fame because of LoDuca’s statements.

    West, by the way, was one of the umpires in the replay center Sunday night, when they missed a call on the Phillies scoring the winning run on a close play at home plate in the last inning.

    8) Rangers 8, Rays 3— Texas breaks out for eight runs, after being shut out in three of their previous four games.

    7) Red Sox 4, Twins 2— Boston wins its 7th game in a row on a snowy afternoon in Minnesota. Rafael Devers has hit five homers in his last four games.

    6) Denver Nuggets’ star Jamal Murray tore his ACL, is out for the year, tough break for a Denver team that is 34-20, the #4-seed in the Western Conference.

    5) Mets 4-4, Phillies 3-0: Big day for the Metropolitans, who swept a twinbill, holding the Phils to three runs total.

    4) “I don’t know who that is. I know he’s going to be the owner. But I don’t know anything about baseball.”

    Thats Timberwolves’ star rookie Anthony Edwards, talking about baseball Hall of Famer Alex Rodriguez, who will soon be a co-owner of Minnesota’s NBA team.

    3) Former NFL running back Eddie George is the new football coach at Tennessee State; George played nine seasons in the NFL and ran for 10,441 yards, but he has never coached before.

    George played for the Tennessee Titans, where his coach was Jeff Fisher, whose son Brandon is expected to be on the Tennessee State coaching staff.

    2) Now that Chris Beard is the basketball coach at Texas, they’re going to poach players from teams all over the country. Longhorns poached kids from Utah/Kentucky on Tuesday, and also announced that Andrew Jones will be staying with the Longhorns next season.

    1) Having trouble getting used to doubleheaders being 7-inning games; a game is 2-2 in fifth inning and you forget that this is a late-inning situation. You do the same thing for 60 years, it is difficult to shift gears and think in a different way.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    Hoop Trends for Tuesday April 13
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
    Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Charlotte (8:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Lakers are 11-0 ATS (9.45 ppg) on the road after Kyle Kuzma had a plus/minus at least 10 less than the team margin last game.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Atlanta at Toronto (7:40 p.m. ET)

    -- The Raptors are 0-10 ATS (-11.30 ppg) off a road loss in which Kyle Lowry had at least 5 turnovers.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Boston at Portland (10:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Trailblazers are 11-0 OU (13.59 ppg) after a game as a home dog in which Damian Lillard shot worse than 33 percent.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Boston at Portland (10:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Celtics are 0-12 OU (-11.71 ppg) off a win as a dog in which Jayson Tatum was their high scorer.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

    Leave a comment:

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