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Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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  • Udog
    replied
    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, May 13


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  • Udog
    replied
    563LA CLIPPERS -564 CHARLOTTE
    LA CLIPPERS are 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

    565MILWAUKEE-566 INDIANA
    INDIANA is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

    569SAN ANTONIO -570 NEW YORK
    NEW YORK is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

    571PHILADELPHIA -572 MIAMI
    PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite in the current season.

    575TORONTO -576 CHICAGO
    CHICAGO is 19-41 ATS (-26.1 Units) in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

    577DENVER -578 MINNESOTA
    MINNESOTA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.

    579PORTLAND -580 PHOENIX
    PHOENIX is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games vs. winning teams in the current season.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    Thursday’s 6-pack
    Odds to win the Byron Nelson golf tournament:

    7-1— Bryson DeChambeau
    17-2— Jon Rahm
    10-1— Jordan Spieth
    14-1— Daniel Berger
    16-1— Brooks Koepka, Hideki Matsuyama
    18-1— Matthew Fitzpatrick

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 582,771
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “Its not who you play, it’s when you play them.”
    Bud Grant

    Thursday’s quiz
    Before moving to Tennessee Titans moved to Memphis and then Nashville, where did they call home?

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Brett Favre played his rookie year with the Atlanta Falcons.

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Willie Mays had his 90th birthday last week; he wore #24 for the majority of his Hall of Fame career.

    ******************************

    Thursday’s Den: Quick thoughts on the 2021 NFL schedule

    I’ll have more on the NFL schedule over the next few days, but here are some early thoughts on the 2021 schedule:

    — NFL teams will play 17 games this season for the first time; exhibition games have been reduced to three. AFC teams get the extra home game this season.

    — Regular season ends January 9th, with games in Buffalo and Cleveland. Have fun!!!

    — Jets traded QB Sam Darnold to Carolina this winter; the wise guys who create the schedule created an interesting Week 1 matchup, Jets @ Carolina. Go figure, a coincidence I’m sure.

    — Christmas is on a Saturday, Halloween is a Sunday this year; there are two Christmas games. Browns-Packers, Colts-Cardinals. Which casino will I be watching those games in?

    — This has nothing to do with football, but Halloween weekend in Las Vegas is tremendous, take my word on that.

    — Cowboys-Buccaneers is the Week 1 Thursday game, where the defending champ traditionally opens the next season at home. Home team is 15-3 SU in this game the last 18 years, 11-3-4 against the spread.

    — Don’t think the NFL foresees Aaron Rodgers being traded to Denver; Broncos have one game on in prime-time, Green Bay has five.

    — NFL doesn’t think much of the Patriots; only three primetime games, one of which is Tom Brady’s return to Foxboro in Week 4.

    — Thanksgiving Day slate:
    Bears @ Detroit, Raiders @ Dallas, Bills @ New Orleans

    — Non-schedule news; Green Bay signed backup QB Blake Bortles, re-uniting him with OC Nathaniel Hackett- they worked together in Jacksonville from 2015-18.

    — Division rivals Carolina/Tampa Bay have their two meetings in weeks 16/18.

    — I’m totally befuddled that Rams-Lions isn’t a primetime game. Detroit got one game on in primetime, at Green Bay in Week 2. Very surprised by this, seeing how the teams swapped quarterbacks this winter. ESPN obviously didn’t want the game.

    Every team got at least one primetime game; eight teams got just one.

    — Four teams have the earliest byes, Week 6— Falcons, Saints, Jets, 49ers.

    — Four teams have the latest byes, Week 14— Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Eagles.

    — Nine teams got the maximum five primetime games.

    — Cardinals/Chargers have three prime-time games, all at home, which is odd. Giants got three primetime games, all on the road— they can’t be real happy about that.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    Hoop Trends for Wednesday May 12
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:
    Matchup: Washington at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Hawks are 10-0 ATS (9.65 ppg) with rest coming off a home game.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
    Matchup: Houston at L.A. Lakers (10:40 p.m. ET)

    -- The Lakers are 0-9 ATS (-6.83 ppg) off a win where Kentavious Caldwell Pope attempted more three pointers than two pointers.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:
    Matchup: Washington at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Hawks are 14-0 OU (17.29 ppg) after they allowed at least 50% three-point shooting last game.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:
    Matchup: San Antonio at Brooklyn (8:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Nets are 0-10-1 OU (-7.91 ppg) at home off a win in a road game in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NBA

    Wednesday, May 12


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Washington @ Atlanta
    Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
    Atlanta
    Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

    San Antonio @ Brooklyn
    San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
    Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio
    Brooklyn is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

    Boston @ Cleveland
    Boston
    Boston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games
    Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing at home against Boston

    New Orleans @ Dallas
    New Orleans
    New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
    Dallas
    Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans

    Portland @ Utah
    Portland
    Portland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Utah
    Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

    Houston @ LA Lakers
    Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
    LA Lakers
    LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
    LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, May 12


    Washington @ Atlanta
    Wizards (32-37)
    — Wizards won 14 of last 20 games SU.
    — Wizards’ last four games were decided by total of five points.
    — Washington covered five of last six tries as an underdog.
    — Over is 8-2 in their last ten road games

    Hawks (38-31)
    — Hawks won four of last five games (3-2 ATS).
    — Hawks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
    — Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

    — Hawks won three of last four series games.
    — Washington lost 125-124 here Monday night.
    — Wizards are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Atlanta.
    — Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

    San Antonio @ Brooklyn
    Spurs (33-35)
    — San Antonio lost six of its last eight games.
    — Spurs are 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
    — Under is 3-2 in Spurs’ last five games.

    Nets (45-24)
    — Brooklyn lost four of its last six games SU.
    — Nets are 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
    — Under is 8-3 in last 11 Brooklyn games.

    — Nets won three of last four series games.
    — Spurs are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Brooklyn.
    — Over is 4-1 in last five series games.

    Boston @ Cleveland
    Celtics (35-34)
    — Boston lost four of its last five games.
    — Celtics are 1-3 ATS in their last four road games.
    — Over is 8-1 in their last nine games

    Cavaliers (21-48)
    — Cleveland lost its last 11 games SU (1-10 ATS).
    — Cavaliers are 1-6 ATS in last seven home games.
    — Under is 3-0 in last three Cleveland games.

    — Boston won nine of last ten series games.
    — Celtics are 2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Ohio.
    — Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

    New Orleans @ Dallas
    Pelicans (31-38)
    — New Orleans won five of its last eight games.
    — Pelicans are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six road games.
    — Under is 8-1 in their last nine games.

    Mavericks (40-29)
    — Mavericks won 10 of their last 13 games.
    — Mavericks are 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
    — Under is 3-0 in last three Dallas home games.

    — Mavericks won five of last six series games.
    — Pelicans are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Dallas.
    — Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

    Portland @ Utah
    Trailblazers (40-29)
    — Portland won eight of its last nine games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Blazers are 5-1 ATS in last six road games.
    — Under is 5-3-1 in Portland’s last nine road games.

    Jazz (50-19)
    — Utah won six of its last eight games SU.
    — Jazz is 3-2 ATS in its last five home games.
    — Over is 4-0 in Utah’s last five games.

    — Jazz won four of last five series games.
    — Portland is 2-3 ATS in last five trips to Utah.
    — Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

    Houston @ LA Lakers
    Rockets (16-53)
    — Houston lost 43 of its last 48 games SU.
    — Rockets are 6-2 ATS in last eight road games.
    — Over is 8-1 in their last nine road games.

    Lakers (38-30)
    — Lakers lost eight of their last 12 games.
    — Lakers are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 home games.
    — Under is 5-2-1 in their eight games.

    — Lakers won/covered last six series games.
    — Rockets are 2-2 ATS in last four road series games.
    — Under is 8-1 in last nine series games.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, May 12


    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    551WASHINGTON -552 ATLANTA
    WASHINGTON is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the current season.

    553SAN ANTONIO -554 BROOKLYN
    BROOKLYN is 51-33 ATS (14.7 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

    555BOSTON -556 CLEVELAND
    CLEVELAND is 10-30 ATS (-23 Units) after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher in the last 3 seasons.

    557PORTLAND -558 UTAH
    UTAH is 16-4 ATS (11.6 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

    559NEW ORLEANS -560 DALLAS
    DALLAS are 274-222 ATS (29.8 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.

    561HOUSTON -562 LA LAKERS
    HOUSTON is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the current season.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    Wednesday’s 6-pack
    Odds to win the Stanley Cup:

    +390— Colorado Avalanche
    +435— Vegas Golden Knights
    +675— Toronto Maple Leafs
    +775— Tampa Bay Lightning
    +880— Carolina Hurricanes
    +1075— Boston Bruins
    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 582,771
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. We didn’t pass it to our children in the bloodstream. It must be fought for, protected, and handed on for them to do the same.”
    Ronald Reagan

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Where did Brett Favre play his rookie year in the NFL?

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Willie Mays had his 90th birthday last week; he wore #24 for the majority of his Hall of Fame career.

    Monday’s quiz
    Sacramento is NBA team that has gone longest since they last made playoffs, 14 years.

    *********************************************

    Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

    13) News today signals that the A’s will start looking away from Oakland, to find a new ballpark to call home. Apparently playing at the Oakland Coliseum isn’t feasible in the long run, so now the big business of baseball kicks in— will the A’s leave Oakland for greener pa$ture$?

    12) Baseball is going to expand to 32 teams pretty soon, but they’ve said the stadium situations for the A’s/Rays will be clarified, before the expansion cities are chosen.

    Cities like Montreal, Nashville, Portland, Charlotte, San Jose and apparently Las Vegas are mentioned as new MLB locations. I can see the A’s moving to Portland or Las Vegas, the Rays moving north to Montreal, and Nashville getting an expansion team. Not sure if Charlotte is a viable alternative.

    11) I’ve been an A’s fan since I was five years old, back in the mid-60’s; lot of history in that decrepit old Coliseum, both baseball/football. Will be a sad day if the A’s leave Oakland.

    10) There would be one place the A’s could move that would be a vast improvement, and that is San Jose, an hour south of Oakland. Most everything would remain the same except for a new ballpark; lot of money in that area, but there is one small problem before that happens.

    San Francisco Giants have been blocking the A’s from moving there for years; they have the territorial rights to San Jose, even though they have no intention of ever going there.

    You can see the A’s ballpark in Oakland from the Giants’ ballpark across the bay, but they won’t let them move an hour away. Go figure.

    9) As far as Las Vegas goes, I love it there, have been there 28 times since 2009— living in New York, that’s a lot of air mileage. But five years ago, Las Vegas had no major league sports teams; UNLV basketball was their #1 thing.

    Now all of a sudden, three major league teams in five years? Town isn’t that big.

    8) San Diego Padres’ SS Fernando Tatis tested positive for COVID, is on the IL.

    7) Tim Tebow is going to sign on as a tight end with the Jaguars; his old college coach is the new coach in Jacksonville (Urban Meyer). Am guessing Tebow would also play special teams and be the #3 emergency QB. How much different is he than the Saints’ Taysom Hill?

    6) Dodgers 6, Mariners 4— Gavin Lux hits a 3-run bomb in the 8th inning for LA.

    5) Tigers 8, Royals 7— Kansas City lost its last nine games, gave up 26 runs in last three; they were down 7-0 in 8th inning of this game, tied it up, then lost it in the last inning.

    4) Indians 3, Cubs 2— Terry Francona must’ve really wanted this game; he left Bieber in for 121 pitches, most in MLB this season. Indians won seven of their last eight games.

    3) If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
    NL: Mets-Cardinals-Giants Wild Card: SD is #1, Phil/Mil/LA tied for last spot
    AL: Red Sox, White Sox, A’s. Wild Card: New York @ Cleveland

    2) Zion Williamson broke his finger when he was fouled last week, then I hear the Pelicans’ GM whining because Williamson got fouled and referees aren’t calling the games tight enough.

    The NBA is soft now; watch some old games from the 80’s/90’s, there was actual competition, where hard fouls were often committed in the name of winning. Today a guy breaks his finger and his GM whines in the media. Get tougher, people.

    1) NFL’s 2021 schedule comes out tonight; each team will play 17 games now, with all the NFC teams having an extra road game this season. Will be a lot to talk about tomorrow.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    Hoop Trends for Tuesday May 11
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:
    Matchup: Brooklyn at Chicago (8:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Bulls are 12-0 ATS (8.08 ppg) with less than two days rest after they had 5 or fewer offensive boards last game.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
    Matchup: Philadelphia at Indiana (8:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Pacers are 0-14 ATS (-8.18 ppg) at home off a road game.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:
    Matchup: Minnesota at Detroit (7:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Timberwolves are 11-0 OU (8.05 ppg) off a game as a favorite in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:
    Matchup: Brooklyn at Chicago (8:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Bulls are 0-11 OU (-22.50 ppg) at home off a win as a favorite in which Zach Lavine was their high scorer.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NBA

    Tuesday, May 11


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Denver @ Charlotte
    Denver
    Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
    Charlotte
    Charlotte is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Denver

    Minnesota @ Detroit
    Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
    Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

    Miami @ Boston
    Miami
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
    Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games

    LA Clippers @ Toronto
    LA Clippers
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games when playing Toronto
    Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home

    Philadelphia @ Indiana
    Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 16 games on the road
    Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games at home
    Indiana is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

    Dallas @ Memphis
    Dallas
    Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
    Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Memphis's last 18 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing Dallas

    Brooklyn @ Chicago
    Brooklyn
    Brooklyn is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
    Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games

    Orlando @ Milwaukee
    Orlando
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Orlando's last 10 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
    Milwaukee
    Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando

    Phoenix @ Golden State
    Phoenix
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games
    Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
    Golden State is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Phoenix

    Oklahoma City @ Sacramento
    Oklahoma City
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 11 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Oklahoma City's last 20 games on the road
    Sacramento
    Sacramento is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games

    New York @ LA Lakers
    New York
    New York is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 games
    New York is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
    LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 9 games when playing New York
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing at home against New York


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, May 11


    Denver @ Charlotte
    Nuggets (44-24)
    — Denver won 18 of its last 24 games, but lost last two.
    — Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in last seven road games.
    — Under is 7-4 in Denver’s last 11 games.

    Hornets (33-35)
    — Charlotte lost five of its last eight games SU.
    — Hornets are 2-4 ATS in their last six home games.
    — Over is 3-1 in Charlotte’s last four home games.

    — Denver won last four series games.
    — Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Charlotte.
    — series games.

    Minnesota @ Detroit
    Timberwolves (21-47)
    — Minnesota lost three of its last four games (1-2-1 ATS).
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Wolves are 4-1-1 ATS in last six road games.
    — Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

    Pistons (20-49)
    — Detroit lost nine of its last 11 games
    — Pistons are 5-3 ATS in last eight home games.
    — Under is 7-3 in Detroit’s last ten games.

    — Minnesota won last two series games, after losing previous eight.
    — Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Detroit.
    — Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

    Miami @ Boston
    Heat (37-31)
    — Miami won/covered nine of its last 12 games.
    — Heat is 4-1 ATS in last five road games.
    — Over is 9-0 in their last nine games.

    Celtics (35-33)
    — Boston lost three of its last four games.
    — Celtics are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
    — Over is 7-1 in their last eight games

    — Miami won six of last nine series games.
    — Heat covered three of last four visits to Boston.
    — Over is 5-1 in last six series games.

    LA Clippers @ Toronto
    Clippers (45-23)
    — Clippers lost four of their last six games.
    — Clippers are 0-4 ATS in last four road games.
    — Under is 10-1-1 in last dozen Clipper games.

    Raptors (27-41)
    — Toronto lost seven of its last nine games.
    — Raptors are 5-2-1 ATS in last eight home games.
    — Under is 5-1 in their last six home games.

    — Clippers won last three series games.
    — LA is 2-3 ATS in last five road series games.
    — Under is 6-1 in last seven series games.

    Philadelphia @ Indiana
    76ers (47-21)
    — 76ers won last eight games (6-2 ATS).
    — Sixers are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
    — Over is 4-2 in Philly’s last six games.

    Pacers (32-36)
    — Indiana lost five of its last eight games SU.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Pacers are 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
    — Over is 8-3 in Indiana’s last 11 games.

    — Philly won five of last eight series games.
    — 76ers are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Indiana.
    — Last three series games went over.

    Brooklyn @ Chicago
    Nets (44-24)
    — Brooklyn lost four of its last five games SU.
    — Nets are 4-5 ATS in last nine road games.
    — Under is 7-3 in last ten Brooklyn games.

    Bulls (29-39)
    — Chicago lost 11 of its last 18 games SU.
    — Bulls are 3-2 ATS in their last five home games.
    — Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

    — Brooklyn won eight of last ten series games.
    — Nets are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Chicago.
    — Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

    Dallas @ Memphis
    Mavericks (40-28)
    — Mavericks won 10 of their last 12 games.
    — Mavericks are 8-3 ATS in last 11 road games.
    — Under is 3-2 in last five Dallas games.

    Grizzlies (35-33)
    — Memphis won three of its last four games SU.
    — Grizzlies are 7-4 ATS in last 11 home games.
    — Under is 3-0 in last three Memphis games.

    — Dallas won five of last six series games.
    — Mavericks are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Memphis.
    — Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

    Orlando @ Milwaukee
    Magic (21-47)
    — Orlando lost its last three games.
    — Magic is 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
    — Over is 16-5 in their last 21 games overall.

    Bucks (43-25)
    — Milwaukee is 5-1 its last six games SU.
    — Bucks are 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Over is 11-4 in Milwaukee’s last 15 home games.

    — Bucks won last six series games (5-0-1 ATS).
    — Magic is 2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
    — Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

    Phoenix @ Golden State
    Suns (48-20)
    — Phoenix won six of its last eight games.
    — Suns are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Over is 18-5 in their last 23 games.

    Warriors (36-33)
    — Golden State won five of its last six games SU.
    — Warriors are 8-3 ATS in last 11 home games.
    — Under is 8-4 in their last 12 games.

    — Phoenix won five of last seven series games.
    — Suns are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to SF/Oakland.
    — Last eight series games stayed under the total.

    Oklahoma City @ Sacramento
    Thunder (21-48)
    — Thunder lost 24 of its last 26 games.
    — OKC is 3-7 ATS in their last ten games.
    — Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games.

    Kings (30-38)
    — Sacramento is 8-4 in its last 12 games SU.
    — Kings are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
    — Under is 5-0-1 in Sacramento’s last six games.

    — Kings won six of last nine series games.
    — Thunder is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Sacramento.
    — Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

    New York @ LA Lakers
    Knicks (37-30)
    — New York won 13 of its last 16 games.
    — Knicks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games.
    — Over is 13-6 in New York’s last 19 games

    Lakers (37-30)
    — Lakers lost eight of their last 11 games.
    — Lakers are 4-7 ATS in their last 11 home games.
    — Under is 4-2-1 in their seven games.

    — Teams split last six series games.
    — Knicks are 3-2 ATS in last five road series games.
    — Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

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  • Udog
    replied
    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, May 11


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  • Udog
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    529MINNESOTA -530 DETROIT
    DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games off a home loss in the current season.

    533MIAMI -534 BOSTON
    MIAMI is 66-46 ATS (15.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

    535LA CLIPPERS -536 TORONTO
    LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

    537BROOKLYN -538 CHICAGO
    BROOKLYN is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

    539DALLAS -540 MEMPHIS
    MEMPHIS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    541PHILADELPHIA -542 INDIANA
    PHILADELPHIA is 3-18 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins in the last 3 seasons.

    543ORLANDO -544 MILWAUKEE
    MILWAUKEE is 65-48 ATS (12.2 Units) in home games in the last 3 seasons.

    545PHOENIX -546 GOLDEN STATE
    PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after a division game in the current season.

    547OKLAHOMA CITY -548 SACRAMENTO
    SACRAMENTO is 48-28 ATS (17.2 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

    549NEW YORK -550 LA LAKERS
    NEW YORK is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) after 2+ road games in the current season.

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  • Udog
    replied
    Tuesday’s 6-pack
    Thru Sunday’s games, most profitable baseball teams to bet on ($100/game):

    +$784- Red Sox
    +$724- Rangers
    +$686- Mariners
    Least profitable teams to bet on ($100/game):
    -$1,142- Twins
    -$808- Tigers
    -$773- Rockies

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 581,756
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “Everyone thinks I’m a hypochondriac. It makes me sick.”
    Felix Unger

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Willie Mays had his 90th birthday last week; what number did he wear for the majority of his Hall of Fame career?

    Monday’s quiz
    Sacramento is NBA team that has gone longest since they last made playoffs, 14 years.

    ************************************************** ***

    Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

    — I’m sitting here in the middle of the night, about to turn the TV off and listen to music while I put this together, and what do I find but a spring football league on FS1.

    It is called the Spring League, and it has eight teams in it. I think they played in the Alamodome in San Antonio last year- this game was at Rice Stadium in Houston, which once hosted a Super Bowl (Dolphins over Vikings maybe???)

    FS1 had their best college football announcers calling the game, so I watched for a while.

    — Watched some of this last year; there are guys in it who have played in the NFL, including QB Ryan Mallett, who hasn’t played pro football since 2017. He started eight games for Texans/Ravens in 2014-15, then kind of went away. Now he is trying to make a comeback.

    — There was a kicker from the CFL with a very long name who kicked four field goals, including a 59-yarder; hard to believe he won’t get an invite to an NFL camp. You make 59-yard field goals and it doesn’t matter if you’re in the California Penal League, the NFL will find you.

    — Kevin Gilbride was coaching one of the teams; the guy will be 70 in August, he hasn’t been in the NFL since 2013, but he’s still out there coaching, trying to get guys to the next level.

    — One of the teams is called the Jousters, which is a tremendous nickname. Good logo, too.

    — So the Jousters give up a 65-yard TD pass, but the receiver has to be a show-off and drops the ball right at the goal line, it was really hard to tell if he had crossed the line or not, they review the play and say it was a touchdown.

    This is a pet peeve of mine; you’re playing in front of no fans, except on TV, busting your butt to make it to an NFL camp- after you make a great play to score a touchdown, you do something STUPID to risk that touchdown not counting.

    Coaches who lose get fired; teams that fumble on the 1-yard line lose.

    Anyway, sounds like The Spring League will be on the next few weeks, which is good.

    — I’ve never had coffee, ever; am I the only person who has never had it?

    My parents drank it, but to me, coffee grounds looked like mud, and why would you drink something that came from mud?

    I worked for the Division of Criminal Justice in Albany for 34 years; had a boss once who always and I mean always, had a coffee mug in his hand. It was like it was permanently attached to his hand. He was a good guy, let us be us, but damn he drank a lot of coffee.

    — I’m a big believer that they should re-do how basketball assists are measured.

    If a pass leads to a 3-point basket, it should be 1.5 assists, since 3 points is more than 2.

    If a pass leads to free throws, it should be 0.5 assists for every foul shot made; those points count just as much as baskets made.

    I used to keep track of assist opportunities, how many assists guys would have had if all the shots had been made— some guys create easier shots with their passes.

    5) Warriors 119, Jazz 116— Here is Golden State’s record, based on Steph Curry’s scoring:
    — 8-2 if he scores 40+
    — 16-9 if he scores 35+. He had 36 in this game.
    — 10-14 if he scores less than 30
    — 5-8 if he scores less than 25.

    4) Only once in their last 13 games has the Padres’ starting pitcher finished the 6th inning; their bullpen is going to be worn out by August, unless they trade for new guys.

    3) In their last 19 games, Dodgers are 0-6 in games where the winning run scores from the 7th inning on- they’ve lost 15 of last 20 games overall.

    2) Celtics’ star Jaylen Brown tore a ligament in his wrist, is out for the year.

    1) Las Vegas Raiders’ backup QB Marcus Mariota is from Hawai’i; he went to St Louis HS, where his backup was Ka’ai Tom, who last night played leftfield and batted 3rd for the Pirates.

    Pretty good high school team, with two major league athletes on it.

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