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Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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  • Udog
    replied
    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, April 8


    LA Lakers @ Miami
    Lakers (32-19)
    — Lakers won four of their last six games (3-7 ATS in last ten).
    — Lakers are 6-9 ATS in their last 15 road games.
    — Under is 9-2 in their 11 games overall.

    Heat (26-25)
    — Miami won/covered four of its last five games.
    — Heat is 3-7 ATS in last nine home games.
    — Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

    — Lakers won seven of last ten series games.
    — LA covered once in last four visits to South Beach.
    — Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

    Chicago @ Toronto
    Bulls (21-28)
    — Chicago lost seven of its last ten games SU.
    — Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games.
    — Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

    Raptors (20-31)
    — Toronto lost 16 of its last 20 games.
    — Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.
    — Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

    — Toronto won nine of last ten series games.
    — Bulls covered two of last three road series games.
    — Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

    Cleveland @ Oklahoma City
    Cavaliers (18-32)
    — Cleveland lost five of its last six games.
    — Cavaliers are 3-6 ATS in their last nine road games.
    — Five of last seven Cleveland games stayed under the total.

    Thunder (20-31)
    — Thunder are 1-7 SU in their last eight games.
    — OKC is 3-7 ATS in their last ten home games.
    — Over is 7-2 in their last nine home games.

    — Thunder won last five series games (4-1 ATS)
    — Cavaliers are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to OKC.
    — Four of last five series games stayed under.

    Milwaukee @ Dallas
    Bucks (32-18)
    — Milwaukee won three of its last four games.
    — Bucks are 3-9 ATS in last 12 road games.
    — Over is 10-4 in Milwaukee’s last 14 games.

    Mavericks (28-22)
    — Mavericks are 10-6 SU since All-Star break.
    — Mavericks are 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
    — Under is 17-5 in last 22 Dallas games.

    — Milwaukee won four of last six series games.
    — Bucks are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Dallas.
    — Three of last four series games went over the total.

    Portland @ Utah
    Trailblazers (30-20)
    — Portland won five of its last seven games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Blazers are 3-2 ATS in last five road games.
    — Over is 5-2 in Portland’s last seven games.

    Jazz (38-13)
    — Utah lost its last two games, after a 9-0 run.
    — Jazz is 9-6 ATS in its last 15 home games.
    — Over is 6-4 in Utah’s last ten home games.

    — Jazz won three of last four series games.
    — Portland is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Utah.
    — Four of last five series games went over.

    Phoenix @ LA Clippers
    Suns (36-14)
    — Phoenix won 28 of its last 34 games (23-11 ATS).
    — Suns are 2-4 ATS in their last six road games.
    — Over is 5-0 in their last five games.

    Clippers (34-18)
    — Clippers won eight of their last ten games.
    — Clippers are 11-4 ATS in last 15 games at Staples.
    — Three of Clippers’ last four games stayed under the total.

    — Clippers won eight of last ten series games.
    — Suns are 1-3 ATS in last four series games played here.
    — Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

    Detroit @ Sacramento
    Pistons (15-36)
    — Detroit lost seven of its last ten games
    — Pistons are 9-6 ATS since the All-Star break.
    — Over is 5-1 in Detroit’s last six games.

    Kings (22-29)
    — Sacramento lost its last four games.
    — Kings are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games.
    — Under is 4-2 in Sacramento’s last six home games.

    — Kings won four of last five series games.
    — Pistons are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Sacramento.
    — Five of last six series games stayed under.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, April 8


    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    563LA LAKERS -564 MIAMI
    LA LAKERS are 26-52 ATS (-31.2 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

    565CLEVELAND -566 OKLAHOMA CITY
    CLEVELAND is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) against Northwest division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

    567MILWAUKEE -568 DALLAS
    MILWAUKEE is 34-19 ATS (13.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

    569PHOENIX -570 LA CLIPPERS
    PHOENIX is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.

    571PORTLAND -572 UTAH
    UTAH is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

    573DETROIT -574 SACRAMENTO
    DETROIT is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after a blowout loss by 15 points or more in the current season.

    575CHICAGO -576 TORONTO
    CHICAGO is 16-4 ATS (11.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game in the current season.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    Thursday’s 6-pack
    Odds to win The Masters:

    19-2— Bryson Dechambeau, Dustin Johnson
    11-1— Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas
    12-1— Jon Rahm
    19-1— Rory McIlroy
    22-1— Patrick Cantlay
    25-1— Xander Schauffele

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 556,307
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “Winning helps, and losing doesn’t.”
    Bill Parcells

    Thursday’s quiz
    What comedian played Lady Gaga’s father in A Star is Born?

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Art Fleming was the host of Jeopardy!, before Alex Trebek.

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Scott Drew coached Valparaiso for a year, before going to Baylor. He replaced his dad Homer Drew at Valpo and when he left, his dad went back and coached there some more, then was replaced by his other son, Bryce Drew.

    ************************************************** *********

    Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

    13) Arizona Wildcats finally fired basketball coach Sean Miller, who spent 12 years in Tucson, going 150-68 in Pac-12 games, 13-8 in NCAA tourney games, but 0-3 in Elite 8 games, last of which was in 2015. Things were not headed in an upward direction, though.

    Miller’s program wound up getting overwhelmed by problems with the NCAA:
    — Academic fraud.
    — Impermissible benefits.
    — Bribery.

    Not good. Where does Arizona turn from here? There are four candidates who played ball for the Wildcats; one of these guys is likely to get the nod:

    Luke Walton, Damon Stoudamire, Josh Pastner. Miles Simon

    12) One of the amusing parts of these job searches is that guys at other schools wind up getting their contracts extended, so they won’t consider bolting town for greener pa$ture$.

    — Cal-Santa Barbara gave Joe Pasternack a 5-year contract extension.
    — Maryland’s Mark Turgeon also got a 5-year extension.

    11) Its hard to win at gambling:
    — A’s 4, Dodgers 3 (10)— A’s were 0-6, looked terrible, so of course they win the game when Trevor Bauer starts against them. Go figure.
    — Rangers 2, Blue Jays 1— Kyle Gibson didn’t get out of the first inning in his first start; he blanked Toronto for six innings here, which makes no sense.

    10) I’m not a big fan of the new extra inning system, where the inning starts with a guy on 2nd base, but seeing how the A’s are 7-0 in extra innings this year and last, maybe I should be.

    9) Braves were 0-4, then they swept a twinbill in Washington Wednesday; Huascar Ynoa tossed five shutout innings for Atlanta in the nightcap.

    8) If one of the pitchers on your fantasy team is pitching and you see Jerry Layne is umping the plate, the next couple of hours might be fun. His strike zone is……..wide.

    7) Cardinals’ pitcher Génesis Cabrera wears number 92; he is the first major leaguer EVER to wear #92 in a regular season game.

    6) Mariners 8, White Sox 4— Seattle pitcher Justin Dunn allowed only one hit in 4.2 IP, but he also walked eight guys— he threw 48 strikes, 45 balls, allowed three runs.

    Here are some of the better survey answers we got on the question:
    What would you serve if you hosted The Masters champions’ dinner?

    5) Pete from Rome (NY, not Italy)— Baked lasagna or baked ziti. Messy, but good.

    4) Mr Dodger has an extensive menu:
    — Appetizer: Buffalo chicken wings, Waldorf salad.
    — Entree: New York strip steak
    — Vegetable: green beans Almondine
    — Dessert: New York cheesecake
    — Wines from the Fingerlakes Region, craft beer from the Albany area.

    3) G-squared— 16-ounce New York strip steak, with baked potatoes. Vegetatians can go back to the fairway and graze. 🙂

    2) Billy C— Surf and turf!!!

    1) Hoosier Mike:
    — Home Run frozen pizza
    — Pistachio pudding
    — Fillet steak
    — Mashed potatoes
    — String beans/carrots mixed
    — Hot bread rolls
    — Ben and Jerry’s ice cream

    0) Armadillo:
    — pasta and meatballs
    — cheesecake for dessert

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, April 7


    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NBA

    Wednesday, April 7


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Minnesota @ Indiana
    Minnesota
    Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

    Washington @ Orlando
    Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Orlando
    Orlando
    Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
    Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

    New York @ Boston
    New York
    New York is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Boston
    Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home

    New Orleans @ Brooklyn
    New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
    Brooklyn
    Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing New Orleans

    Memphis @ Atlanta
    Memphis
    Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    Atlanta
    Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Dallas @ Houston
    Dallas
    Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Dallas
    Houston is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Dallas

    Charlotte @ Oklahoma City
    Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
    Oklahoma City
    Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Charlotte

    San Antonio @ Denver
    San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Denver
    Denver
    Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against San Antonio

    Utah @ Phoenix
    Utah
    Utah is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Phoenix
    Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, April 7


    Minnesota @ Indiana
    Timberwolves (13-38)
    — Minnesota lost seven of its last ten games.
    — Wolves are 5-2 ATS in their last six games overall.
    — Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

    Pacers (22-27)
    — Indiana is 5-9 SU in its last fourteen games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Pacers are 0-10 ATS in their last ten home games.
    — Indiana is 6-3-1 ATS if it played the night before.
    — Over is 6-3 in Indiana’s last nine home games.

    — Pacers won last four series games.
    — Minnesota covered three of last four visits to Indiana.
    — Over is 3-1 in last four series games.

    Washington @ Orlando
    Wizards (17-32)
    — Wizards lost 12 of their last 15 games SU.
    — Wizards are 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Under is 6-1 in their last seven games

    Magic (17-33)
    — Orlando lost 15 of its last 19 games.
    — Magic is 9-4 ATS in last 13 games overall.
    — Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

    — Orlando won last six series games, covered last five.
    — Wizards are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Orlando.
    — Five of last six series games went over.

    New York @ Boston
    Knicks (25-26)
    — New York lost four of their last five games.
    — Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
    — Under is 8-3 in New York’s last 11 games.

    Celtics (25-26)
    — Boston is 5-8 SU in its last 13 games.
    — Celtics are 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
    — Boston is 4-6 ATS if it played the night before.
    — Under is 8-0 in their last eight home games.

    — Celtics won eight of last ten series games.
    — Knicks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Boston.
    — Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

    New Orleans @ Brooklyn
    Pelicans (22-28)
    — New Orleans lost three of its last four games.
    — Pelicans are 6-3 ATS in their last nine road games.
    — New Orleans is 3-5 ATS if it played night before.
    — Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

    Nets (35-16)
    — Brooklyn won 19 of their last 23 games
    — Nets are 1-6 ATS in last seven games overall.
    — Under is 7-2 in last nine Brooklyn games.

    — Nets won last three series games, covered last four.
    — Pelicans are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Brooklyn.
    — Six of last seven series games went over.

    Memphis @ Atlanta
    Grizzlies (25-23)
    — Memphis won seven of its last ten games.
    — Grizzlies are 9-1 ATS in last ten games overall.
    — Three of last four Memphis games stayed under total.

    Hawks (27-24)
    — Hawks is 13-4 SU since they changed coaches.
    — Hawks are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games.
    — Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

    — Memphis won five of last eight series games.
    — Grizzlies are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Atlanta.
    — Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

    Dallas @ Houston
    Mavericks (28-21)
    — Mavericks are 10-5 SU since All-Star break.
    — Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in last seven road games.
    — Under is 16-5 in last 21 Dallas games.

    Rockets (13-37)
    — Houston lost 27 of its last 29 games (6-23 ATS).
    — Rockets are 3-18 ATS in last 21 home games.
    — Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

    — Rockets won five of last seven series games.
    — Dallas covered four of last five visits to Houston.
    — Four of last five series games went over.

    Charlotte @ Oklahoma City
    Hornets (25-24)
    — Charlotte won five of its last eight games SU.
    — Hornets covered six of their last eight games.
    — Under is 12-2 in Charlotte’s last 14 games.

    Thunder (20-30)
    — Thunder are 1-6 SU in their last seven games.
    — OKC is 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
    — Over is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

    — Thunder won last five series games.
    — Charlotte is 3-1 ATS in last four trips to Oklahoma.
    — Last five series games stayed under the total.

    San Antonio @ Denver
    Spurs (24-24)
    — San Antonio lost eight of its last ten games.
    — Spurs are 4-0 ATS in last four road games- their last road game was 17 days ago.
    — Over is 8-3 in Spurs’ last eleven games.

    Nuggets (32-18)
    — Denver is 20-7 SU in its last 27 games overall.
    — Nuggets are 5-3 ATS in last eight home games.
    — Over is 6-2 in Denver’s last eight home games.

    — Nuggets won five of last seven series games.
    — Spurs are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Denver.
    — Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

    Utah @ Phoenix
    Jazz (38-12)
    — Utah won eight of its last nine games overall.
    — Jazz is 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games.
    — Under is 6-3 in Utah’s last nine games.

    Suns (35-14)
    — Phoenix won 27 of its last 33 games (22-11 ATS).
    — Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.
    — Over is 4-0 in their last four games.

    — Suns won last two meetings, after losing previous eight.
    — Jazz covered three of last four visits to the desert.
    — Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    545MINNESOTA -546 INDIANA
    MINNESOTA is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

    547WASHINGTON -548 ORLANDO
    WASHINGTON is 31-10 ATS (20 Units) in road games off a close road loss of 3 points or less since 1996.

    553DALLAS -554 HOUSTON
    HOUSTON is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

    555CHARLOTTE -556 OKLAHOMA CITY
    CHARLOTTE is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

    557MEMPHIS -558 ATLANTA
    MEMPHIS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

    561UTAH -562 PHOENIX
    UTAH is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the current season.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    Wednesday’s 6-pack
    Since 2000, colleges with most defensive backs taken in NFL Draft:
    32— Ohio State
    25— Alabama, LSU
    24— Florida, Miami, Virginia Tech
    20— Florida State
    19— Clemson, USC, Notre Dame
    18— Georgia, Texas

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 556,307
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “I don’t think I’d need to give up football to do it. They film 46 days a year. I worked 187 this year in Green Bay. That gives me 178 days to do ‘Jeopardy!’ So I feel like I could fit 46 into that 178 and make it work. It would be a dream job for sure, and I’m not shy at all about saying I want the job. That’s how I went into it. I want an opportunity to be in the mix.”
    Aaron Rodgers, who is looking for a second job

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Who was the host of Jeopardy!, before Alex Trebek?

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Scott Drew coached Valparaiso for a year, before going to Baylor. He replaced his dad Homer Drew at Valpo and when he left, his dad went back and coached there some more, then was replaced by his other son, Bryce Drew.

    Monday’s quiz
    Dusty Baker was manager of the Cincinnati Reds, last time they won a playoff game.

    **************************************************

    Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

    We’re doing a survey this week; you know how the guy who wins the Masters picks the menu for the champions’ dinner the next year? He can choose anything he likes.

    If you won the Masters, what food would you serve at the champions’ dinner?

    E-mail me at [email protected] or text me, if you know my cell number. We’ll post the results later on this week.

    13) Once a week, I order take-out food from an Olive Garden restaurant near my house; I order by phone, pay with a credit card, drive there, text them with what number parking space I’m in, and they bring my food out. It is a tremendous service and not very expensive.

    So this week it is nice out, so I’m sitting there in my car with the window open, waiting for my food, and this woman in a car two spaces away is on her phone, cursing her kids out. Loudly.

    “You bleeping kids!!! You better bleeping do what I said, or I’m calling your bleeping father to knock the bleep out of you!!!” She wasn’t happy.

    I had to put my COVID mask on to hide my laughing. Luckily the guy came out with my food and I was on my way. Hope the kids enjoyed their dinner.

    12) How would you like to be Deshaun Watson’s agent? Couple of months ago, it probably was a great gig; 25-year old QB, what could go wrong? Lets say he plays 12 more years in the NFL, at $25M a year, which is probably conservative; that’s $300M in salary for the next 12 years.

    Agent’s take is 3%, so that’s $9M for the agent. For representing one guy; these top agents have dozens of clients, so they’re cleaning up, but if Watson’s career blows up because of his current legal problems, that could be $9M or so down the drain. No bueno.

    11) Dodgers 5, A’s 1
    — Oakland is now 0-6, which isn’t good.
    — All four of their losses were by 4+ runs. A loss is a loss, but still…….
    — Last time the A’s were 0-6, their sixth loss was against Boston, whose starting pitcher that day was………Babe Ruth.

    10) The new extra inning format was designed to prevent games from going deep into the night, but Tuesday we had these two scores:
    — Red Sox 6, Rays 5 (12)
    — Arizona 10, Colorado 8 (13)

    Ryan McMahon hit three homers and a double for Colorado, and they still lost.

    9) Today is the day Jay Bruce finds out if he is staying in the Bronx this season, or moving on to another big league team. He homered Tuesday, making his case to stay, but when the Rangers traded 2B Roughned Odor to Bronx, it seemed to pave the way for Bruce to leave town— you figure DJ Lemahieu moves to 1B, and Odor plays 2B.

    If there was a DH in the National League, Bruce wouldn’t have to worry about employment, but not sure how many openings there are right now for guys with his skill set.

    8) Texas-El Paso basketball coach Rodney Terry quit to be an assistant coach at Texas; he is the second head coach to quit, in order to join Chris Beard’s Longhorn staff. Terry was at UTEP for three years, going 29-27 the last two years, 16-18 in C-USA games- he was head coach at Fresno State for seven years before that.

    7) Baylor Bears were the first team since UCLA in 1968 (with Lew Alcindor), to win both the national semifinal and final by 15+ points. Very impressive.

    6) San Jose State hired former Colorado State/Nebraska coach Tim Miles, who has his work cut out with the Spartans, and that’s being kind.

    My records go back to 1997; San Jose State hasn’t had a winning record in conference play once in that time- they went 17-16 one year, but were 5-11 in the WAC.

    Coach Miles has a great podcast which will probably get put on hold now; he’s a pleasant guy and we wish him luck. What he needs more than luck are some new recruits.

    5) Warriors 122, Bucks 121:

    — Golden State wins for only 2nd time in last nine games.
    — Bucks played without their star, Giannis Antetokounmpo
    — Steph Curry scored 41 points; he is great fun to watch.

    4) Padres’ SS Fernando Tatis has slight tearing in his labrum, but there is no damage to his rotator cuff; the Padres say he doesn’t require surgery. He is on the IL, will be tested in ten days or so; it is his non-throwing shoulder, but he hurt it while batting, so its hard to imagine this injury just goes away without some kind of surgery or extended rest.

    3) Nationals 6, Braves 5:
    — Juan Soto walked it off with a 9th inning single.
    — Max Scherzer gave up homers in 1st, 2nd, 3rd innings, for first time in his 378 career starts.
    — Braves are already 0-4.
    — Nationals were playing their opener, after they put ten players on the IL.

    2) Chicago Bears’ coach Matt Nagy will be calling plays again this fall, which may mean he was given the “make the playoffs or else” ultimatum. If he’s going to get fired, it might as well be his fault. Andy Dalton is Chicago’s new QB, which should be interesting.

    1) As you probably already know, I’m a big LA Rams fan; had NFL Network on this week and the talking heads on their morning show all agreed that they’d rather have Sam Darnold on their team than Jared Goff. Seriously? Let’s examine the facts.

    Darnold: three years, 13-25 record. No playoff games. 45 TD’s, 39 INT’s
    Goff: five years, 42-27 record, 3-3 playoffs. 107 TD, 55 INT’s. Won an NFC title.

    Goff is in Detroit now, but wake up people, he’s a pretty good QB.
    — Won a playoff game in Seattle 12 days after his broken thumb was operated on
    — Won an NFC title game 34-31 in New Orleans
    — Beat Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes 54-51 in a Monday night game.

    Yeah, he’s had better coaching than Darnold, and Goff’s contract is a burden on the salary cap, but he’s won big games for the last four years. Its about time people who supposedly know the sport acknowledge that.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    Hoop Trends for Tuesday April 6
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Philadelphia at Boston (7:40 p.m. ET)

    -- The 76ers are 11-0 ATS (6.00 ppg) as a favorite off a 10+ point loss in which they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Detroit at Denver (9:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Nuggets are 0-11 ATS (-7.68 ppg) at home off a win in which Nikola Jokic had at least 10 assists.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Chicago at Indiana (7:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Bulls are 10-0-1 OU (9.14 ppg) on the road off a home game in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Milwaukee at Golden State (10:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Warriors are 0-10-2 OU (-10.42 ppg) off a road loss in which Stephen Curry had a positive plus/minus.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, April 6


    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NBA

    Tuesday, April 6


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    Trend Report
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    Chicago @ Indiana
    Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Chicago's last 15 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Indiana is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Chicago

    New Orleans @ Atlanta
    New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Atlanta
    Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Philadelphia @ Boston
    Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home

    LA Lakers @ Toronto
    LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Toronto
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
    Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers

    Memphis @ Miami
    Memphis
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
    Memphis is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
    Miami
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Memphis

    Detroit @ Denver
    Detroit
    Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
    Denver
    Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Detroit

    Milwaukee @ Golden State
    Milwaukee
    Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 10 games
    Golden State is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Milwaukee

    Portland @ LA Clippers
    Portland
    Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    LA Clippers
    LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
    LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland


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  • Udog
    replied
    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, April 6


    Chicago @ Indiana
    Bulls (20-28)
    — Chicago lost seven of its last nine games SU.
    — Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
    — Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

    Pacers (22-26)
    — Indiana is 5-8 SU in its last thirteen games.
    — Pacers are 0-9 ATS in their last nine home games.
    — Over is 6-2 in Indiana’s last eight home games.

    — Pacers won nine of last ten series games.
    — Bulls are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Indiana.
    — Last five series games went over the total.

    New Orleans @ Atlanta
    Pelicans (22-27)
    — New Orleans is 5-3 SU in its last eight games.
    — Pelicans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
    — Over is 3-0 in their last three games.

    Hawks (26-24)
    — Hawks is 12-4 SU since they changed coaches.
    — Hawks are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games.
    — Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

    — Hawks won last four series games, covered last six.
    — Pelicans are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Atlanta.
    — Last three series games went over the total.

    Philadelphia @ Boston
    76ers (34-16)
    — 76ers won six of their last nine games.
    — Sixers are 6-3 ATS in their last nine road games.
    — Under is 8-3 in Philly’s last 11 games.

    Celtics (25-25)
    — Boston won four of its last six games.
    — Celtics are 3-2 ATS in their last five home games.
    — Under is 7-0 in their last seven home games.

    — Teams split last ten series games.
    — 76ers are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Boston.
    — Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

    LA Lakers @ Toronto
    Lakers (31-19)
    — Lakers lost six of their last nine games (2-7 ATS).
    — Lakers are 5-9 ATS in their last 14 road games.
    — Under is 9-1 in their ten games overall.

    Raptors (20-30)
    — Toronto lost 15 of its last 19 games.
    — Raptors are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games.
    — Over is 6-4 in their last ten games.

    — Toronto won last ten series games (9-1 ATS)
    — Lakers are 1-4 ATS in last five road series games.
    — Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

    Memphis @ Miami
    Grizzlies (24-23)
    — Memphis won six of its last nine games.
    — Grizzlies are 8-1 ATS in last nine games overall.
    — Last three Memphis games stayed under total.

    Heat (26-24)
    — Miami won/covered its last four games.
    — Heat is 3-6 ATS in last nine home games.
    — Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

    — Heat won five of last seven series games.
    — Grizzlies are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Miami.
    — Five of last six series games went over.

    Detroit @ Denver
    Pistons (15-35)
    — Detroit won three of its last five games
    — Pistons are 9-5 ATS since the All-Star break.
    — Under is 4-2 in Detroit’s last six road games.

    Nuggets (31-18)
    — Denver is 19-7 SU in its last 26 games overall.
    — Nuggets are 4-6 ATS in last ten home games.
    — Over is 5-2 in Denver’s last seven home games.

    — Home side won last five series games.
    — Pistons are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Denver.
    — Over is 3-1-1 in last five series games.

    Milwaukee @ Golden State
    Bucks (32-17)
    — Milwaukee won its last three games, by 1-15-18 points.
    — Bucks are 3-8 ATS in last 11 road games.
    — Over is 9-4 in Milwaukee’s last 13 games.

    Warriors (23-27)
    — Golden State lost seven of its last eight games SU.
    — Warriors are 5-3 ATS in last eight home games.
    — Under is 3-1 in their last four games overall.

    — Milwaukee won four of last five series games.
    — Bucks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to the Bay Area.
    — Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

    Portland @ LA Clippers
    Trailblazers (30-19)
    — Portland won five of its last six games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Blazers are 3-1 ATS in last four road games.
    — Over is 4-2 in Portland’s last six games.

    Clippers (33-18)
    — Clippers won seven of their last nine games.
    — Clippers are 10-4 ATS in last 14 games at Staples.
    — Clippers’ last three games stayed under the total.

    — Clippers won/covered last four series games.
    — Portland is 0-3 ATS in last three series games here.
    — Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    529CHICAGO -530 INDIANA
    INDIANA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

    531PHILADELPHIA -532 BOSTON
    PHILADELPHIA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    533NEW ORLEANS -534 ATLANTA
    NEW ORLEANS are 38-54 ATS (-21.4 Units) after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

    535LA LAKERS -536 TORONTO
    LA LAKERS are 4-20 ATS (-18 Units) against Atlantic division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

    537MEMPHIS -538 MIAMI
    MEMPHIS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

    539DETROIT -540 DENVER
    DETROIT is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the current season.

    541PORTLAND -542 LA CLIPPERS
    PORTLAND is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the current season.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    Tuesday’s 6-pack
    Active leaders in most sacrifice flies, career:
    115— Albert Pujols
    89— Evan Longoria
    86— Miguel Cabrera
    71— Yadier Molina
    67— Ryan Zimmerman
    62— Kurt Suzuki

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 554,522
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “Thankfully, persistence is a great substitute for talent.”
    Steve Martin

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Where did Scott Drew coach, before going to Baylor?

    Monday’s quiz
    Dusty Baker was manager of the Cincinnati Reds, last time they won a playoff game.

    Sunday’s quiz
    2017 was the last time two #1-seeds faced off for the national championship.

    ************************************************

    Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

    We’re doing a survey this week; you know how the guy who wins the Masters picks the menu for the champions’ dinner the next year? He can choose anything he likes.

    If you won the Masters, what food would you serve at the champions’ dinner?

    E-mail me at [email protected] or text me, if you know my cell number. We’ll post the results later on this week.

    13) Baylor 86, Gonzaga 70:
    — Game was 11-1 early on; Gonzaga never threatened to win.
    — Baylor led its two Final Four games by 25-10 points at halftime.

    — Baylor shot 10-23 on the arc, scored 1.26 ppp.
    — Great season ends for Gonzaga; they lost in finals twice in last four tournaments.

    12) 18 years ago, Scott Drew went to Waco to clean up an unspeakable mess; the previous coach had been fired after a Baylor player murdered another player, and the coach tried to frame the dead player as a drug dealer to cover up NCAA rules violations.

    Not good.

    Drew was advised not to take the Baylor job, that it was too big a mess, but by his fifth year in Waco, Baylor was 21-11, and in the NCAA Tournament. Two years later, he was in the Elite 8. Now he is a national champion.

    One of the great re-building jobs ever, for sure.

    11) Jets traded QB Sam Darnold to Carolina for three draft picks; a 2nd/4th/6th round pick, with two of those picks coming in 2022.

    Darnold was 13-25 as the Jets’ starting QB, but the franchise has been a mess; plus, he had mononucleosis at the start of last season. He is still only 23 years old, six months younger than Joe Burrow, the QB Panthers’ OC Joe Brady mentored at LSU.

    What do the Panthers do with Teddy Bridgewater? He has $10M of his $17M salary for next season fully guaranteed, which makes it harder to trade him.

    10) North Carolina hired alum/assistant coach Hubert Davis as its new basketball coach. Davis had been a Carolina assistant for nine years; he was working on ESPN before that. He played in the NBA for 12 years, has never been a head coach.

    UNC’s dilemma here here is that they seem to be obsessed with hiring alums to coach their basketball team, but a list of Tar Heel alums who are qualified to be an ACC head coach isn’t real long. Not sure this is an entry level position.

    9) Texas Tech replaced the departed Chris Beard with assistant Mark Adams, a defensive wizard who is a Tech alum (Beard is a Texas alum). We’ll see if Tech remains as active in the transfer portal as they were under Beard.

    8) Central Michigan picked a weird time to fire its coach Keno Davis; when you’ve been at a mid-major for nine years and have never made the NCAA’s, you’re on thin ice, but this seemed late, with recruiting/poaching already underway.

    Chippewas were 23-12 two years ago, but went 10-24 in MAC games the last two years- they haven’t been in the NCAA’s since 2003, when they had future NBA big man Chris Kaman.

    7) Padres’ SS Fernando Tatis Jr subluxated his left shoulder while batting Monday night; they’ll examine him again today, but he appears headed to the IL. Subluxation is a partial dislocation of the shoulder.

    22-year old Tatis signed a 14-year, $340M deal this winter; they need him healthy.

    6) Last year was the first time EVER in the major leagues that #2 hitters in the lineup hit more home runs (332) than #3 hitters in the lineup (289).

    5) Last year was first time ever the Mets led the major leagues in batting average, but they were 13th in runs scored, which obviously is more important.

    4) Major League Baseball is moving this July’s All-Star Game to Denver; should make for quite the Home Run Derby.

    3) Indiana hired alum Dane Fife as an associate coach to new head coach Mike Woodson; Fife spent the last ten years working for Tom Izzo at Michigan State.

    2) Aaron Rodgers is hosting Jeopardy! this week and next; he was a contestant in a celebrity tournament a few years ago, now he is taking a shot at hosting it. How weird would it be if he retired from the NFL to replace Alex Trebek as the show’s next permanent host?

    1) Was talking the other day about guys discussing futures bets on the NFL; the Darnold trade is a good example of how wagering on stuff this long before the season starts has the potential for disaster.

    Jets are almost sure to have a rookie QB starting now; as I type this, the only two QB’s on their depth chart are James Morgan (FIU) and Mike White (Western Kentucky). New coach Robert Saleh comes to the Jets from San Francisco; would they trade for Jimmy Garoppolo?

    Don’t forget to answer our survey question:

    If you won the Masters, what food would you serve at the champions’ dinner?

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