Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[StarDust Bum]

547DENVER -548 ORLANDO
ORLANDO is 297-348 ATS (-85.8 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games since 1996.

549LA LAKERS -550 NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS are 29-44 ATS (-19.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

551WASHINGTON -552 NEW YORK
NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games when the line is +3 to -3 in the current season.

553PHOENIX -554 MIAMI
PHOENIX is 13-0 ATS (13 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

555PHILADELPHIA -556 GOLDEN STATE
PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 ATS (10.5 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the current season.

557BROOKLYN -558 PORTLAND
BROOKLYN is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games in the current season


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NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 23






-------------------------


NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 23

Denver @ Orlando
Nuggets (25-17)
— Denver is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games overall.
— Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in last seven road games.
— Under is 3-1 in Denver’s last four road games.

Magic (14-28)
— Orlando lost 10 of 11, 18 of its last 23 games.
— Magic is 6-2-1 ATS in last nine home games.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five home games.

— Denver won last eight series games.
— Nuggets are 3-1-1 ATS in last five visits to Orlando.
— Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.

Washington @ New York
Wizards (15-26)
— Wizards lost seven of last nine games (4-5 ATS)
— Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last eight road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 8-3 in their last ten road games

Knicks (21-22)
— New York is 2-4 SU since All-Star break,
— Knicks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games.
— Under is 3-0 in New York’s last three games.

— Washington won six of last nine series games.
— Wizards covered three of last four visits to Manhattan.
— Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

LA Lakers @ New Orleans
Lakers (28-15)
— Lebron James (ankle) missed last game (check status)
— Lakers won four of their last six games, lost last two.
— Lakers are 4-2 ATS in their last six road games.
— Under is 15-4-1 in their road games.

Pelicans (18-24)
— New Orleans is 3-3 SU since the All-Star break.
— Pelicans are 4-6 ATS in their last ten home games.
— Over is 22-7-2 in their last 31 games.

— Lakers won last seven series games.
— Los Angeles is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to New Orleans.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Phoenix @ Miami
Suns (28-13)
— Phoenix won 20 of its last 25 games (19-6 ATS).
— Suns are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

Heat (22-21)
— Miami lost last three games, after an 11-1 run.
— Heat is 1-4 ATS in last five home games.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four home games.

— Heat won seven of last ten series games.
— Suns are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Miami.
— Last six series games went over the total.

Philadelphia @ Golden State
76ers (30-13)
— 76ers won 12 of their last 15 games.
— Sixers are 3-1 ATS in their last four road games.
— Under is 4-1 in Philly’s last five road games.

Warriors (22-21)
— Golden State lost six of its last nine games.
— Warriors are 4-1 ATS in last five home games.
— Under is 3-0-1 in their last four games overall.

— Golden State won eight of last ten series games.
— 76ers are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to the Bay Area.
— Four of last six series games went over the total.

Brooklyn @ Portland
Nets (29-14)
— Brooklyn won 15 of their last 17 games (13-4 ATS).
— Nets are 8-1 ATS in last nine road games.
— Over is 8-2 in last ten Brooklyn road games.

Trailblazers (25-17)
— Portland won eight of its last 11 games SU.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Blazers are 9-4 ATS in last 13 home games.
— Over is 6-3 in Portland’s last nine home games.

— Trailblazers won eight of last ten series games.
— Nets covered four of their last five visits to Portland.
— Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.


-------------------------------


NBA

Tuesday, March 23

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Trend Report
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Denver @ Orlando
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games at home

Washington @ New York
Washington
Washington is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against New York
Washington is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 10 games when playing Washington
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

LA Lakers @ New Orleans
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Orleans's last 11 games at home

Phoenix @ Miami
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Miami is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing Phoenix

Philadelphia @ Golden State
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Golden State
Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Golden State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Philadelphia

Brooklyn @ Portland
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Brooklyn is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Portland
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Portland is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Brooklyn


-----------------------------------


Hoop Trends for Tuesday March 23
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Phoenix at Miami (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Suns are 13-0 ATS (9.27 ppg) on the road off a 10+ point win.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Phoenix at Miami (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Heat are 0-10 ATS (-8.05 ppg) at home off a loss in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Brooklyn at Portland (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Trail Blazers are 10-0-1 OU (14.05 ppg) after a game as a home dog in which Damian Lillard was their high scorer.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Philadelphia at Golden State (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Warriors are 0-10 OU (-14.10 ppg) off a road game in which Draymond Green had fewer than 10 points.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s 6-pack
NBA leaders in 3-point shooting %age:
56.6%— Tony Snell, All
49.0%— Joe Ingles, Utah
48.8%— Joe Harris, Bkln
46.7%— Bobby Portis, Milw
46.5%— Maxi Kleber, Dal
46.0%— Luke Kennard, LAC

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 542,379
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“I enjoyed last season, when we had the worst record in the league, more than I enjoyed that last season when we went to the Finals. Last year we had young guys who were trying every day, working hard and we had a great energy, great spirit and great camaraderie.”
Steve Kerr

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was USC’s coach in 2007, last time they made the Sweet 16?
(Hint: He used to coach the Chicago Bulls)

Monday’s quiz
When the Cubs won the World Series in 2016, they beat the Cleveland Indians.

Sunday’s quiz
Georgia coach Tom Crean was Dwyane Wade’s college coach at Marquette.

************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) Oregon 95, Iowa 80:
— Ducks ended first half on an 18-4 run, never looked back.
— Oregon’s shot chart had an awful lot of dunks/layups.
— Luka Garza ended a great college career, scoring 36 points.

12) Michigan 86, LSU 78:
— Wolverines are only Big 14 team left in tournament; 9 teams started.
— Michigan shot 66.7% inside arc, are in Sweet 16 for 3rd time in last four tourneys.
— LSU’s two best players both played 40:00, and it showed near the end.

11) Gonzaga 87, Oklahoma 71
— Gonzaga is 28-0, with one win by less than 10 points.
— Zags shot 57.1% inside arc, scored 1.26 points/possession.
— Oklahoma finished season losing six of its last eight games.

10) USC 85, Kansas 51:
— Trojans made nine of their first 13 3-pointers, are in first Sweet 16 since ‘07
— Pac-12 teams are 9-1 SU in this tournament.
— Kansas had won 9 of 10 games coming in; not a strong effort here.

9) Creighton 72, Ohio U 58:
— Ohio U emptied its bag when they upset Virginia Saturday.
— Bishop was 6-7 from floor, had 15 rebounds for Creighton.
— Bluejays held four of last five opponents to 62 or fewer points.

8) Alabama 96, Maryland 77:
— Alabama made 16-33 shots on arc; tough to beat that.
— Bet you its been long time since Maryland gave up 1.43 ppp.
— Terps finished 17-14, losing four of last six games.

7) Florida State 71, Colorado 53:
— Seminoles are shooting 38.2% on arc (#16), are #19 on offensive boards.
— Florida State is deep; they scored 41 points in first 30:00, 30 points in last 10:00.
— 23-9 Colorado started three seniors; really good year for them.

6) UCLA 67, Abilene Christian 47:
— UCLA had last four games in a row before this tournament started.
— You get feeling Abilene Christian beating Texas was their Super Bowl.
— UCLA-Alabama in Sweet 16 is a stark contrast of styles.

Cruddy set of set games Monday; one game decided by less than 14 points.

5) College basketball coaching stuff:
— Marquette fired Steve Wojciechowski, who made two NCAA tourneys (0-2) in 7 years.
— Hofstra coach Joe Mihalich stepped down, took another job in the athletic department.
— UNLV hired Kevin Kruger as its coach; his dad Lon Kruger was UNLV’s coach as recently was 2011, is coaching Oklahoma now.

4) Mountain West used to be a fun league, but it has gone downhill lately; last five tournaments, Mountain West teams are 1-7 in first round games. Going to be a one-bid league soon.

3) This was first time since 2003 that North Carolina went consecutive seasons without winning an NCAA Tournament game. In 2002/2003, Tar Heels went a combined 10-22 in ACC games and then they fired the coach, which is why Roy Williams came back to Chapel Hill.

I understand that there was no NCAA Tournament last year, but UNC went 14-19 and wasn’t getting in the tournament anyway.

2) Last three NCAA tournaments, ACC teams were combined 5-16 ATS in the first round.

1) Memo to myself: The first weekend of the NCAA Tournament is great fun, always. Next year, if I have half a brain, this column will be written in Las Vegas.

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, MARCH 22
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

SAC at CLE 07:30 PM
SAC -5.0........119 - 105........WINNER
O 223.0..................WINNER

OKC at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN -4.0..........112 - 103
O 230.5............LOSER

CHA at SA 08:30 PM
SA -5.5.........100 - 97.....LOSER
U 224.5...............WINNER

IND at MIL 09:00 PM
MIL -5.0...........113 - 140
U 232.0..............LOWER

UTA at CHI 09:00 PM
UTA -9.0................120 - 95...WINNER
U 228.0

TOR at HOU 09:00 PM
HOU +9.0.....99 - 117
U 223.0...................WINNER

BOS at MEM 09:00 PM
BOS +2.0...........126 - 132
O 219.5..............WINNER

ATL at LAC 10:00 PM
ATL +6.5............110 - 119......LOSER
O 225.5..............WINNER



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/22/2021..........7-4-0....63.63%......+13.00
03/21/2021........11-4-0....73.33.........+ 33.00
03/20/2021.........3-4-0.....42.85..........-7.00
03/19/2021.........7-7-0.....50.00%.......-3.50
03/18/2021.........4-7-0.....36.36%.......-18.50
03/17/2021.........6-11-0....35.29%......-30.50
03/16/2021..........7-2-0.....77.77%.......+24.00
03/15/2021..........4-5-0.....44.44%.......- 7.50
03/14/2021..........6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
03/13/2021..........4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
03/12/2021..........3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 ........10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021.......... 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 ..........9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 ..........12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021............ 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

TOTALS..............100 -92 -4.....52.087%......- 6.00

****************************************

Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, MARCH 22
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

SAC at CLE 07:30 PM
SAC -5.0
O 223.0

OKC at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN -4.0
O 230.5

CHA at SA 08:30 PM
SA -5.5
U 224.5

IND at MIL 09:00 PM
MIL -5.0
U 232.0

UTA at CHI 09:00 PM
UTA -9.0
U 228.0

TOR at HOU 09:00 PM
HOU +9.0
U 223.0

BOS at MEM 09:00 PM
BOS +2.0
O 219.5

ATL at LAC 10:00 PM
ATL +6.5
O 225.5



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/21/2021........11-4-0....73.33.........+ 33.00
03/20/2021.........3-4-0.....42.85..........-7.00
03/19/2021.........7-7-0.....50.00%.......-3.50
03/18/2021.........4-7-0.....36.36%.......-18.50
03/17/2021.........6-11-0....35.29%......-30.50
03/16/2021..........7-2-0.....77.77%.......+24.00
03/15/2021..........4-5-0.....44.44%.......- 7.50
03/14/2021..........6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
03/13/2021..........4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
03/12/2021..........3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 ........10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021.......... 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 ..........9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 ..........12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021............ 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

TOTALS...............93 -88 -4.....51.38%......- 19.00

****************************************

Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00

[StarDust Bum]

531SACRAMENTO -532 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

533OKLAHOMA CITY -534 MINNESOTA
OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-20 ATS (18 Units) as a road underdog in the last 3 seasons.

535CHARLOTTE -536 SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the current season.

537BOSTON -538 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 32-16 ATS (14.4 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

539INDIANA -540 MILWAUKEE
INDIANA is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the current season.

541TORONTO -542 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

543UTAH -544 CHICAGO
UTAH is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) after 3 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

543UTAH -544 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) in home games vs. winning teams in the current season.


-----------------------------------------


NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 22

Sacramento @ Cleveland
Kings (17-25)
— Sacramento is 3-3 SU since the All-Star break.
— Kings are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
— Under is 4-1 in Sacramento’s last five games

Cavaliers (16-26)
— Cleveland lost five of its last seven games.
— Cavaliers are 2-4 ATS since All-Star break.
— Last four Cleveland games went over the total.

— Sacramento won five of last six series games.
— Kings are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Cleveland.
— Three of last four series games stayed under.

Oklahoma City @ Minnesota
Thunder (18-24)
— Thunder lost three of their last five games.
— OKC is 3-5 ATS in their last eight road games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five road games.

Timberwolves (10-32)
— Minnesota is 3-3 SU since All-Star break.
— Wolves are 4-2 ATS in their last five games overall.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

— OKC won five of last six series games.
— Thunder is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Minnesota.
— Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Charlotte @ San Antonio
Hornets (20-21)
— Rookie guard LaMelo Ball (wrist) is out.
— Charlotte lost four of its last five road games SU.
— Hornets are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
— Over is 10-2 in Charlotte’s last 12 road games.

Spurs (22-17)
— San Antonio won four of its last five games.
— Spurs are 4-3 ATS in last seven home games.
— Under is 5-3 in Spurs’ last eight games.

— Spurs won last three series games.
— Hornets are 1-3 ATS in last four trips to the Alamo.
— Four of last six series games stayed under.

Utah @ Chicago
Jazz (30-11)
— Utah lost four of its last seven games.
— Jazz is 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games.
— Over is 8-4 in Utah’s last 12 games.

Bulls (19-22)
— Chicago won three of its last five games SU.
— Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

— Utah won four of last five series games.
— Jazz are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Chicago.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Toronto @ Houston
Raptors (17-25)
— Toronto lost eight in row, 10 of its last 11 games.
— Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.
— Eight of last ten Toronto games went over the total.

Rockets (11-30)
— Houston lost its last 20 games (2-18 ATS).
— Rockets are 0-12 ATS in last 12 home games.
— Under is 14-4-1 in their last 19 home games.

— Rockets won three of last four series games.
— Toronto is 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
— Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Boston @ Memphis
Celtics (21-21)
— Boston is 2-4 since the All-Star break.
— Celtics are 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games.
— Under is 3-1 in last four Boston games.

Grizzlies (19-20)
— Memphis split its last dozen games.
— Grizzlies are 7-3 ATS in last ten games overall.
— Under is 13-2 in their last 15 games.

— Boston won last ten series games.
— Celtics covered their last four visits to Memphis.
— Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Indiana @ Milwaukee
Pacers (19-22)
— Indiana lost 13 of its last 19 games.
— Pacers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.
— Over is 10-3-1 in Indiana’s last 14 games.

Bucks (27-14)
— Milwaukee won 11 of its last 12 games
— Bucks are 5-3 ATS in last eight home games.
— Over is 5-2 in Milwaukee’s last seven home games

— Bucks won six of last seven series games.
— Pacers are 0-5 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Atlanta @ LA Clippers
Hawks (22-20)
— Hawks are 8-0 SU since they fired their coach (6-1-1 ATS).
— Hawks are 3-5-1 ATS in their last nine road games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

Clippers (27-16)
— Clippers are 6-8 in their last 14 games overall.
— Clippers are 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
— Over is 5-3 in their last eight home games.

— Atlanta won three of last four series games.
— Hawks are 3-2 ATS in last five series games played here.
— Over is 7-3 in last eight series games.


----------------------------------


NBA

Monday, March 22

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sacramento @ Cleveland
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Minnesota
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games

Charlotte @ San Antonio
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Charlotte's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games
San Antonio
San Antonio is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Charlotte
San Antonio is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing Charlotte

Toronto @ Houston
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Toronto's last 16 games on the road
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
Houston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Toronto

Indiana @ Milwaukee
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indiana's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

Boston @ Memphis
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Memphis's last 13 games

Utah @ Chicago
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games

Atlanta @ LA Clippers
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


-----------------------------------------------------


NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, March 22

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (17 - 25) at CLEVELAND (16 - 26) - 3/22/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 2-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 2-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (18 - 24) at MINNESOTA (10 - 32) - 3/22/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 69-49 ATS (+15.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 50-32 ATS (+14.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-15 ATS (+20.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 53-40 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 41-62 ATS (-27.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 32-56 ATS (-29.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-31 ATS (-23.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 29-49 ATS (-24.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (20 - 21) at SAN ANTONIO (22 - 17) - 3/22/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 61-94 ATS (-42.4 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 209-261 ATS (-78.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 42-66 ATS (-30.6 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1146-1015 ATS (+29.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 583-493 ATS (+40.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 103-67 ATS (+29.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 389-307 ATS (+51.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 463-385 ATS (+39.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 48-33 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (21 - 21) at MEMPHIS (19 - 20) - 3/22/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
BOSTON is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in road games this season.
BOSTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
BOSTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
MEMPHIS is 52-39 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (19 - 22) at MILWAUKEE (27 - 14) - 3/22/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 90-143 ATS (-67.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 7-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 7-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (17 - 25) at HOUSTON (11 - 30) - 3/22/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
HOUSTON is 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
HOUSTON is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
HOUSTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
HOUSTON is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (30 - 11) at CHICAGO (19 - 22) - 3/22/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
UTAH is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
UTAH is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
UTAH is 57-39 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
CHICAGO is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO is 27-48 ATS (-25.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (22 - 20) at LA CLIPPERS (27 - 16) - 3/22/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 86-63 ATS (+16.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 48-71 ATS (-30.1 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 248-304 ATS (-86.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

-----------------------------------------------

[StarDust Bum]

Monday’s 6-pack
NBA leaders in 3-point shooting %age:
56.6%— Tony Snell, All
49.0%— Joe Ingles, Utah
48.8%— Joe Harris, Bkln
46.7%— Bobby Portis, Milw
46.5%— Maxi Kleber, Dal
46.0%— Luke Kennard, LAC

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 540,430
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“It’s no longer about me trying to move up any ladders, make more money. I’m at a great place in my life. I can coach six, seven more years, God willing, just try to make young men better, try to make the program reach heights it’s never reached. That’s all I have planned. It’s a great place to be. There’s some things that suck about being 68 (years old). The great thing about it is being at Iona, being able to teach with nobody bothering you, just make the players better.”
Rick Pitino

Monday’s quiz
When the Cubs won the World Series in 2016, who did they beat?

Sunday’s quiz
Georgia coach Tom Crean was Dwyane Wade’s college coach at Marquette.

Saturday’s quiz
Indiana’s 1976 team is the last unbeaten national champ in college basketball; going into that Final Four, there was another unbeaten team- Rutgers. Many of the Rutgers players had been recruited by Dick Vitale, who was a Rutgers assistant before becoming coach at Detroit.

*******************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

13) Oral Roberts 81, Florida 78:
Long time ago, on Oral Roberts’ home court, this was stamped on each baseline:

“Expect a miracle”
Not sure if it’s there anymore; they’re not on TV much.

Well, a 15-seed making the Sweet 16 is pretty darn close.

— Florida Gulf Coast (2013) was only previous #15-seed to make Sweet 16.
— ORU shot 59.3% inside arc; their two stars never came out of the game.
— Golden Eagles prepped for this; they played 3rd-hardest non-league schedule in country.

Ironically, when Florida Gulf Coast finally lost in 2013, they lost to Florida in the regional semifinals. Today, the Gators were the victims.

12) Loyola, Chi 71, Illinois 58:
— Loyola’s big man Krutwig had 19 points, 12 boards, 5 assists.
— Loyola was +6 in turnovers (17-11); they got most of the loose balls.
— Not only did the #1-seed lose, they never led in this game.

11) Loyola is a #8-seed in the Sweet 16. Since 1990, here is how 8-9 seeds have done in the Sweet 16:

— 10-8 SU in regional semifinal
— 10-7-1 ATS in those games; 1-2 ATS when favored, 9-5-1 otherwise.
— Loyola plays in O State in the regional semi-final this coming weekend.

10) This is the first NCAA Tournament ever to have at least four teams seeded #13 or lower make it into the second round.

9) Arkansas 68, Texas Tech 66:
— Hogs held Tech to 29.3% inside arc; they denied MacClung the ball a lot- he only took six shots.
— Arkansas basically played six guys; a 7th guy played only 3:00.
— Arkansas plays #15-seed Oral Roberts in their next game.

8) Baylor 76, Wisconsin 63:
— Baylor got seven games in after a 21-day COVID pause, before NCAA tourney.
— Bears turned ball over only four times, scored 1.19 ppp.
— Wisconsin started four seniors; if all those guys came back next year, and they can if they want, Badgers would have older starters than some NBA teams.

7) Houston 63, Rutgers 60:
— Cougars outscored Rutgers 13-2 over the final 4:33.
— Houston had 43-29 rebounding edge, with 16 offensive boards.
— This was first NCAA Tournament for Rutgers since 1991, so an excellent season for them.

6) Syracuse 75, West Virginia 72:
— Syracuse made 14-31 on the arc, shot 61.9% inside arc.
— Orangemen led 30-16 early; West Virginia led 53-52 with 9:15 left.
— Mountaineers ended season losing four of their last six games.

5) Villanova 84, North Texas 61:
— North Texas pulled big upset Friday, didn’t have much left here.
— Wildcats shot 15-30 on the arc, scored 1.42 ppp.
— Villanova had lost in this round four of last six years, so had to be a relief to get to the Sweet 16, especially with their point guard out for the year.

4) Shaka Smart’s NCAA Tournament resume:
at VCU:
2011— Won five tournament games, lost national semi-final (11-seed).
2012— Won one, lost one (12-seed).
2013— Won one, lost one (5-seed).
2014— Lost in 1st round (5-seed)
2015— Lost in 1st round (7-seed)
at Texas:
2016— Lost in 1st round (6-seed)
2018— Lost in 1st round (10-seed)
2020—Lost in 1st round (3-seed)

3) Oregon State 80, Oklahoma State 70:
— Oregon State only got in because they won Pac-12 tourney; they’re red-hot now.
— Lot of whistles: Beavers were 32-35 on foul line, Oklahoma State 26-38.
— Loyola-Oregon State is the rare 8-12 seed game next weekend.

2) Since 1997, Florida State coach Leonard Hamilton is 14-9 SU in NCAA tournament games.; underdog was 18-5 ATS in those games.

He was 3-10 ATS when favored, 8-2 when the underdog.

1) Think the Houston Texans regret not trading Deshaun Watson already? They could’ve gotten a huge haul for him last month, but now Watson seems to be facing an off-field legal battle, which at least will be a big distraction. Do other teams still want to trade for him?

[StarDust Bum]

SUNDAY, MARCH 21
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

IND at MIA 01:00 PM
IND +4.0...........109 - 106....WINNER
O 219.0...................LOSER

OKC at HOU 02:00 PM
OKC +4.0.........114 - 112.....WINNER
U 217.5....................LOSER

NO at DEN 03:00 PM
NO +6.0.........113 - 108
U 230.0..................WINNER

ORL at BOS 03:30 PM
ORL +8.5...........96 - 112
U 215.5...................WINNER

WAS at BK 07:00 PM
WAS +8.5........106 - 113......WINNER
O 248.0.................LOSER

CHI at DET 07:00 PM
DET +3.0............100 - 86
U 217.5......................WINNER

TOR at CLE 07:00 PM
CLE +7.5..........105 - 116
O 217.0.................WINNER

PHI at NY 08:00 PM
NY +1.0............101 - 100....PUSH
U 213.5..........................WINNER

DAL at POR 10:00 PM
DAL -2.0...............132 - 92........WINNER
O 229.0......................LOSER

LAL at PHO 10:00 PM
PHO -10.0.............94 - 111 .......WINNER
U 214.5...........................WINNER



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/21/2021........11-4-0....73.33.........+ 33.00
03/20/2021.........3-4-0.....42.85..........-7.00
03/19/2021.........7-7-0.....50.00%.......-3.50
03/18/2021.........4-7-0.....36.36%.......-18.50
03/17/2021.........6-11-0....35.29%......-30.50
03/16/2021..........7-2-0.....77.77%.......+24.00
03/15/2021..........4-5-0.....44.44%.......- 7.50
03/14/2021..........6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
03/13/2021..........4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
03/12/2021..........3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 ........10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021.......... 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 ..........9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 ..........12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021............ 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

TOTALS...............93 -88 -4.....51.38%......- 19.00

****************************************

Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00

[StarDust Bum]

SUNDAY, MARCH 21
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

IND at MIA 01:00 PM
IND +4.0
O 219.0

OKC at HOU 02:00 PM
OKC +4.0
U 217.5

NO at DEN 03:00 PM
NO +6.0
U 230.0

ORL at BOS 03:30 PM
ORL +8.5
U 215.5

WAS at BK 07:00 PM
WAS +8.5
O 248.0

CHI at DET 07:00 PM
DET +3.0
U 217.5

TOR at CLE 07:00 PM
CLE +7.5
O 217.0

PHI at NY 08:00 PM
NY +1.0
U 213.5

DAL at POR 10:00 PM
DAL -2.0
O 229.0

LAL at PHO 10:00 PM
PHO -10.0
U 214.5



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/20/2021..3-4-0.....42.85..........-7.00
03/19/2021..7-7-0.....50.00%.......-3.50
03/18/2021..4-7-0.....36.36%.......-18.50
03/17/2021..6-11-0....35.29%......-30.50
03/16/2021..7-2-0.....77.77%.......+24.00
03/15/2021..4-5-0.....44.44%.......- 7.50
03/14/2021..6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
03/13/2021..4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
03/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

TOTALS......82-84-4.....49.39%......- 52.00

****************************************

Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00

[StarDust Bum]

511INDIANA -512 MIAMI
INDIANA is 17-30 ATS (-16 Units) after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

513OKLAHOMA CITY -514 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

515NEW ORLEANS -516 DENVER
NEW ORLEANS are 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) off a road loss in the last 3 seasons.

517ORLANDO -518 BOSTON
BOSTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season in the current season.

519WASHINGTON -520 BROOKLYN
BROOKLYN is 52-36 ATS (12.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

521CHICAGO -522 DETROIT
CHICAGO is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

523TORONTO -524 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

525PHILADELPHIA -526 NEW YORK
NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) at home when the line is +3 to -3 in the current season.

527LA LAKERS -528 PHOENIX
LA LAKERS are 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

529DALLAS -530 PORTLAND
DALLAS are 37-22 ATS (12.8 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.


----------------------------------


NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 21

Indiana @ Miami
Pacers (18-22)
— Indiana lost 13 of its last 19 games.
— Pacers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.
— Over is 10-3-1 in Indiana’s last 14 games.

Heat (22-20)
— Miami lost last two games, after an 11-1 run.
— Heat is 1-3 ATS in last four home games.
— Over is 3-0 in their last three home games.

— Pacers drilled Miami here 137-110 Friday.
— Heat won seven of last nine series games.
— Indiana is 3-3 ATS in last six visits to Miami.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Oklahoma City @ Houston
Thunder (17-24)
— Thunder lost three of their last four games.
— OKC is 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Under is 4-0 in their last four road games.

Rockets (11-29)
— Houston lost its last 19 games (2-17 ATS).
— Rockets are 0-11 ATS in last 11 home games.
— Under is 14-3-1 in their last 18 home games.

— Teams split last ten series games.
— Thunder is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Houston.
— Four of last five series games stayed under.

New Orleans @ Denver
Pelicans (17-24)
— New Orleans lost five of their last seven games.
— Pelicans are 3-5 ATS in their last eight road games.
— Over is 22-6-2 in their last 30 games.

Nuggets (25-16)
— Denver is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games overall.
— Nuggets are 8-12 ATS at home this season.
— Over is 7-4 in Denver’s last 11 home games.

— New Orleans won four of last six series games.
— Pelicans covered their last three visits to Denver.
— Four of last five series games stayed under.

Orlando @ Boston
Magic (14-27)
— Orlando lost nine of ten, 17 of its last 22 games.
— Magic is 3-5 ATS in last eight road games.
— Under is 6-1 in their last seven road games.

Celtics (20-21)
— Boston is 1-4 since the All-Star break.
— Celtics are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
— Over is 9-5 in last 14 Boston games.

— Celtics won last four series games.
— Orlando is 4-3 ATS in its last seven visits to Boston.
— Four of last five series games went over.

Washington @ Brooklyn
Wizards (15-25)
— Wizards lost six of last eight games (3-5 ATS)
— Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last seven road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten road games

Nets (28-14)
— Brooklyn won 14 of their last 16 games (13-3 ATS).
— Nets are 6-4 ATS in last ten home games.
— Four of last five Brooklyn home games stayed under.

— Washington won five of last six series games.
— Wizards are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Brooklyn.
— Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Toronto @ Cleveland
Raptors (17-24)
— Toronto lost seven in row, nine of its last ten games.
— Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
— Seven of last nine Toronto games went over the total.

Cavaliers (15-26)
— Cleveland lost five of its last six games.
— Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS since All-Star break.
— Last three Cleveland games went over the total.

— Toronto won six of last seven series games.
— Raptors covered once in last five visits to Cleveland.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Chicago @ Detroit
Bulls (18-22)
— Chicago is 3-6 in its last nine games SU.
— Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

Pistons (12-29)
— Detroit lost 10 of its last 14 games
— Pistons are 7-3 ATS in last ten games overall.
— Under is 12-5 in Detroit’s last 17 games.

— Chicago won/covered last four series games.
— Bulls are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Detroit.
— Three of last four series games stayed under.

Philadelphia @ New York
76ers (29-13)
— 76ers won 11 of their last 14 games.
— Sixers are 3-0 ATS in their last three road games.
— Under is 3-1 in Philly’s last four road games.

Knicks (21-21)
— New York lost three of its last five games.
— Knicks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games.
— Over is 4-2 in New York’s last six games.

— 76ers won last ten series games.
— Philly is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Manhattan.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

LA Lakers @ Phoenix
Lakers (28-14)
— Lebron James (ankle) is out.
— Lakers won four of their last five games.
— Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
— Under is 14-4-1 in their road games.

Suns (27-13)
— Phoenix won 19 of its last 24 games (18-6 ATS).
— Suns are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games.
— Over is 8-4 in their last 12 home games.

— Los Angeles won seven of last nine series games.
— Lakers covered two of last three visits to Phoenix.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Dallas @ Portland
Mavericks (21-19)
— Mavericks won 12 of their last 17 games.
— Mavericks are 3-6 ATS in last nine road games.
— Under is 9-3 in last 12 Dallas games.

Trailblazers (25-16)
— Portland won eight of its last ten games SU.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Blazers are 9-3 ATS in last 12 home games.
— Over is 5-2 in Portland’s last seven games.

— Mavericks lost 125-119 here on Friday.
— Portland won last three series games.
— Dallas covered three of last four visits to Oregon.
— Last seven series games went over the total.


-------------------------------------


NBA

Sunday, March 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Indiana @ Miami
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indiana's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
Miami
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana

Oklahoma City @ Houston
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

New Orleans @ Denver
New Orleans
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Denver
Denver
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing New Orleans

Orlando @ Boston
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston
Boston is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Orlando
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando

Washington @ Brooklyn
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games
Brooklyn is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Toronto @ Cleveland
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto
Cleveland is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Toronto

Chicago @ Detroit
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games

Philadelphia @ New York
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
New York
New York is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Dallas @ Portland
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Portland
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Dallas

LA Lakers @ Phoenix
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
LA Lakers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Phoenix's last 12 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Phoenix is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games


----------------------------------------------------


NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 21

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INDIANA (18 - 22) at MIAMI (22 - 20) - 3/21/2021, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-6 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-5 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (17 - 24) at HOUSTON (11 - 29) - 3/21/2021, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 68-49 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-15 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
HOUSTON is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-7 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (17 - 24) at DENVER (25 - 16) - 3/21/2021, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (14 - 27) at BOSTON (20 - 21) - 3/21/2021, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (15 - 25) at BROOKLYN (28 - 14) - 3/21/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 149-192 ATS (-62.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 60-87 ATS (-35.7 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 87-63 ATS (+17.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (18 - 22) at DETROIT (12 - 29) - 3/21/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
CHICAGO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games this season.
CHICAGO is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
CHICAGO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHICAGO is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
DETROIT is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (17 - 24) at CLEVELAND (15 - 26) - 3/21/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (29 - 13) at NEW YORK (21 - 21) - 3/21/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 10-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (28 - 14) at PHOENIX (27 - 13) - 3/21/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHOENIX is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHOENIX is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
LA LAKERS are 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 5-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 6-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (21 - 19) at PORTLAND (25 - 16) - 3/21/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 240-191 ATS (+29.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 592-511 ATS (+29.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

------------------------------------


Hoop Trends for Sunday March 21
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Dallas at Portland (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Trailblazers are 11-0 ATS (9.45 ppg) off a home win in which they had assists on less than 40 percent of their made field goals.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Oklahoma City at Houston (2:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockets are 0-13 ATS (-9.81 ppg) as a favorite off a 10+ point loss.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Philadelphia at New York (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The 76ers are 13-0 OU (12.65 ppg) on the road with no rest off a win in which they scored at least 18 fast break points.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Indiana at Miami (1:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Heat are 0-12-1 OU (-11.38 ppg) at home after their opponent shot 50% or better from beyond the arc last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday’s 6-pack
NBA leaders in minutes/game:
37.9— James Harden, BK
36.8— Julius Randle, NY
36.7— Fred Van Vleet, Tor
36.3—Domantas Sabonis, Ind
36.2— Damian Lillard, Port
36.0— Collin Sexton, Clev

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 540,430
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Fact of the Day
This is first time since 1979 the Sweet 16 won’t have North Carolina, Duke or Kentucky in it.

Sunday’s quiz
Which current SEC basketball coach was Dwyane Wade’s college coach at Marquette?

Saturday’s quiz
Indiana’s 1976 team is the last unbeaten national champ in college basketball; going into that Final Four, there was another unbeaten team- Rutgers. Many of the Rutgers players had been recruited by Dick Vitale, who was a Rutgers assistant before becoming coach at Detroit.

Friday’s quiz
UMBC is the only #16-seed to beat a #1-seed in the NCAA Tournament- they beat Virginia in 2018.

**********************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping a sports Saturday

Abilene Christian 53, Texas 52:
— 23 turnovers for Texas, in a low-possession game.
— Abilene Christian leads country in forcing turnovers.
— Under Smart, Texas is 0-3 in NCAA Tournament games.

Ohio 62, Virginia 58:
Virginia’s last three NCAA tournaments:
— 2021- Lose in first round as a 4-seed (7.5-point favorite)
— 2019- Won national title
— 2018- Lost in first round as a 1-seed (22.5-point favorite)

— Two guys on Ohio U played the whole game.
— Virginia team got to Indiana Friday; they were 8-31 on the arc.
— Ohio-Creighton is an odd 2nd round game on Monday.

Colorado 96, Georgetown 78:
— Colorado made 16-25 on arc, scored 1.32 ppp.
— Four years at Georgetown, Patrick Ewing is 62-59, 26-44 in league games.
— Colorado plays Florida State in second round Monday.

Florida State 64, NC-Greensboro 54:
— Not often a team goes 0-9 on arc and wins, but Florida State did that here.
— This game was 51-50 with 4:52 left; UNCG played well.
— Seminoles played nine guys 10:00+; not many teams do that.

Kansas 93, Eastern Washington 84:
— EWU Eagles led by 10 with 17:58 left in game.
— Jayhawks made 12-30 on arc, scored 1.24 ppp.
— Jayhawks won nine of last ten games, after a 12-7 start.

LSU 76, St Bonaventure 61:
— LSU won five of its last six games, after a 4-6 midseason slump.
— Bonnies shot only 33.3% from floor.
— LSU gave up 78+ points in all their losses; Bonnies didn’t have enough firepower.

Michigan 82, Texas Southern 66:
— Game was 42-24 at halftime, stress-free day for the Wolverines.
— Livers missed another game for Michigan; they didn’t need him here.
— Monday’s game with LSU should be interesting.

Creighton 63, Cal-Santa Barbara 62:
— Kid on UCSB missed a putback at rim with 0:01 left.
— Gauchos led by 6 with 5:24 left; they outscored Creighton 13-4 on foul line.
— Creighton’s subs played total of 27:00, scored two points.

Alabama 68, Iona 55:
— Game was 33-32 at halftime; Alabama wore them down in 2nd half.
— Iona goes 12-6 in Pitino’s first year, with a 52-day pause; the man can coach.
— Alabama-Maryland will be an interesting game Monday.

Oklahoma 72, Missouri 68:
— Sooners won for only second time in last seven games.
— Mizzou shot only 35.5% inside arc in this game.
— Cuonzo Martin made Sweet 16 at Tennessee in 2014; since then, he is 0-3 in tourney games.

USC 72, Drake 56
— Game was 40-37 at halftime; Drake was 2 for its first 23 in 2nd half.
— Bulldogs had a great year, going 26-5 with a win in First Four Thursday.
— USC plays Kansas Monday, which should be a prime time game.

Maryland 63, UConn 54
— Maryland’s starters all played 33:00+; they held UConn to 32.3% from floor.
— Huskies lost their last two games, scoring 56-54 points.
— Since 1998, Maryland won 14 of 15 first round games.

Iowa 86, Grand Canyon 74:
— Iowa made 10-22 on arc, scored a whopping 1.37 ppp.
— Antelopes started four seniors, made NCAAs for first time, a terrific season.
— Iowa plays Oregon Monday; Ducks got a bye Saturday because of COVID.

Oregon advanced after VCU couldn’t play because of COVID issues.

Gonzaga 98, Norfolk State 55:
— When better team makes 14-27 on the arc, it’ll be an ugly game.
— Game was 43-23 at halftime, then it got worse.
— #1-seeds were 2-2 ATS, #2-seeds 1-3 this weekend.

UCLA 73, BYU 62:
— Surprisingly easy win for the Bruins, who play Abilene Christian Monday.
— Since 2003, WCC teams other than Gonzaga are 3-9 ATS in first round.
— Pac-12 teams are 5-0 SU so far this week.

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, MARCH 20
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

ATL at LAL 03:30 PM
ATL +4.0........99 - 94
O 220.0.................LOSER

SAC at PHI 08:00 PM
SAC +6.5..........105 - 129
O 230.5..................WINNER

GS at MEM 08:00 PM
GS +5.5...........103 - 111..LOSER
O 219.5...................LOSER

SA at MIL 09:00 PM
MIL -9.5...........113 - 120....LOSER
O 231.0.....................WINNER

CHA at LAC 10:00 PM
LAC -9.5.............98 - 125...........WINNER
O 232.0



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/20/2021..3-4-0.....42.85..........-7.00
03/19/2021..7-7-0.....50.00%.......-3.50
03/18/2021..4-7-0.....36.36%.......-18.50
03/17/2021..6-11-0....35.29%......-30.50
03/16/2021..7-2-0.....77.77%.......+24.00
03/15/2021..4-5-0.....44.44%.......- 7.50
03/14/2021..6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
03/13/2021..4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
03/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

TOTALS......82-84-4.....49.39%......- 52.00

****************************************

Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, MARCH 20
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

ATL at LAL 03:30 PM
ATL +4.0
O 220.0

SAC at PHI 08:00 PM
SAC +6.5
O 230.5

GS at MEM 08:00 PM
GS +5.5
O 219.5

SA at MIL 09:00 PM
MIL -9.5
O 231.0

CHA at LAC 10:00 PM
LAC -9.5
O 232.0



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/19/2021..7-7-0.....50.00%.......-3.50
03/18/2021..4-7-0.....36.36%.......-18.50
03/17/2021..6-11-0....35.29%......-30.50
03/16/2021..7-2-0.....77.77%.......+24.00
03/15/2021..4-5-0.....44.44%.......- 7.50
03/14/2021..6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
03/13/2021..4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
03/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

TOTALS......79-80-4.....49.68%......- 45.00

****************************************

Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00

[StarDust Bum]

501ATLANTA -502 LA LAKERS
ATLANTA is 11-29 ATS (-20.9 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

503SACRAMENTO -504 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

507SAN ANTONIO -508 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games as a favorite of 10 or more in the current season.

509CHARLOTTE -510 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, March 20









NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 20

Atlanta @ LA Lakers
Hawks (21-20)
— Hawks are 7-0 SU since they fired their coach (5-1-1 ATS).
— Hawks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games.
— 8 of Atlanta’s last 11 road games went over the total.

Lakers (28-13)
— Lakers won six of their last eight games.
— Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

— Lakers won eight of last nine series games.
— Atlanta is 2-3 ATS in last five series games played here.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

Sacramento @ Philadelphia
Kings (17-24)
— Sacramento split its last six games SU.
— Kings are 3-6 ATS in their last nine road games.
— Under is 4-0 in Sacramento’s last four games

76ers (28-13)
— 76ers won 10 of their last 13 games.
— Sixers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games.
— Under is 3-1 in Philly’s last four games.

— 76ers won last four series games.
— Kings covered their last three visits to Philly.
— Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

Golden State @ Memphis
Warriors (22-20)
— Golden State won three of its last four games.
— Warriors are 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
— Under is 8-1 in their last eight road games.

Grizzlies (18-20)
— Memphis lost five of its last seven games.
— Grizzlies are 6-3 ATS in last nine games overall.
— Under is 12-2 in their last 14 games.

— Warriors won 116-103 here last night.
— Teams split last six series games.
— Golden State is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Memphis.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

San Antonio @ Milwaukee
Spurs (22-16)
— San Antonio won four of its last five games.
— Spurs are 12-6 ATS on road this season.
— Under is 5-2 in Spurs’ last seven games.

Bucks (26-14)
— Milwaukee won 10 of its last 11 games
— Bucks are 5-2 ATS in last seven home games.
— Over is 4-2 in Milwaukee’s last six home games

— Milwaukee won five of last seven series games.
— San Antonio covered last four series games.
— Last five series games went over.

Charlotte @ LA Clippers
Hornets (20-20)
— Charlotte lost three of its last four road games SU.
— Hornets are 3-6 ATS in their last nine road games.
— Over is 10-1 in Charlotte’s last 11 road games.

Clippers (26-16)
— Clippers are 5-8 in their last 13 games overall.
— Clippers are 5-2 ATS in last seven home games.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

— Clippers won nine of last ten series games.
— Hornets are 3-3 ATS in last six series games played here.
— Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.




NBA

Saturday, March 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Atlanta @ LA Lakers
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Lakers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta

Sacramento @ Philadelphia
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Golden State @ Memphis
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Golden State's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Memphis's last 12 games

San Antonio @ Milwaukee
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing San Antonio

Charlotte @ LA Clippers
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Charlotte's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
LA Clippers is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Charlotte


-----------------------------------------------


NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 20

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (21 - 20) at LA LAKERS (28 - 13) - 3/20/2021, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 24-48 ATS (-28.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 4-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (17 - 24) at PHILADELPHIA (28 - 13) - 3/20/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 171-134 ATS (+23.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (22 - 20) at MEMPHIS (18 - 20) - 3/20/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (22 - 16) at MILWAUKEE (26 - 14) - 3/20/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1145-1015 ATS (+28.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 388-307 ATS (+50.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 302-364 ATS (-98.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 90-142 ATS (-66.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (20 - 20) at LA CLIPPERS (26 - 16) - 3/20/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 209-260 ATS (-77.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 42-65 ATS (-29.5 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 85-63 ATS (+15.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
CHARLOTTE is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Hoop Trends for Saturday March 20
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Sacramento at Philadelphia (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The 76ers are 10-0 ATS (9.70 ppg) at home after they shot under 40% from the field.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Golden State at Memphis (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Warriors are 0-10-1 ATS (-13.45 ppg) with no rest off a win in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Sacramento at Philadelphia (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The 76ers are 11-0 OU (11.27 ppg) as a home favorite coming off a game as a dog.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Golden State at Memphis (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Grizzlies are 0-9-1 OU (-10.65 ppg) off a game as a favorite in which Ja Morant was their high scorer.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[StarDust Bum]

Saturday’s 6-pack
Since 2000, biggest upsets in NCAA Tournament history:
+21.5— Norfolk State over Missouri, 2012
+20.5— Md-Baltimore County over Virginia, 2018
+17.5— Hampton over Iowa State, 2001
+16.5— Middle Tennessee State over Michigan State
+15— Oral Roberts over Ohio State, 2021
+14— Bucknell over Kansas, 2005

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 540,430
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“Nothing ends well, or else it wouldn’t end.”
Coughlin’s Law, from the movie Cocktail

Saturday’s quiz
Indiana’s 1976 team is the last unbeaten national champ in college basketball; going into that Final Four, there was another unbeaten team. Who was it?
(Hint: That school is also in this NCAA Tournament)

Friday’s quiz
UMBC is the only #16-seed to beat a #1-seed in the NCAA Tournament- they beat Virginia in 2018.

Thursday’s quiz
Since 2010, Dodgers (962) have the most regular season wins.

*************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up the first full day of March Madness

West Virginia 84, Morehead State 67:
— Bob Huggins wins his 900th game as a head coach.
— Morehead State made 10-19 on the arc, still didn’t cover as 12-point dogs.
— Sunday will be like a 2012 Big East reunion- West Virginia-Syracuse.

North Texas 78, Purdue 69, OT:
— Mean Green won its last five games, giving up 57 ppg.
— This was Mean Green’s first NCAA Tournament win in school history.
— Purdue is now 3-3 in their last six first round games.

Oral Roberts 75, Ohio State 72, OT:
— Four Oral Roberts starters played 42:00+
— Buckeyes shot 5-23 on arc, 9-18 on foul line. No bueno.
— If you care about such things, #15-seeds are 1-7 SU in next round, 2-5-1 ATS

Oregon State 70, Tennessee 56:
— Tennessee’s center Fulkerson (eye injury) didn’t play; Beavers’ 7-1 Silva was 8-8 from floor.
— Oregon State wins NCAA Tournament game for first time since 1982.
— Since 1987, #12-seeds are 31-18 ATS in 2nd round, 3-6 since 2014.

Florida 75, Virginia Tech 70, OT:
— Tech led by 10 early, by 8 with 15:03 left, let it slip away.
— Hokies sent game to OT with 3-pointer with 0:01 left.
— Florida G Appleby needed stitches for cut to forehead, played only 22:00.

Oklahoma State 69, Liberty 60:
— Liberty led by 3 at half; OSU outscored them 42-30 in second half.
— Cunningham was 3-14 from floor; he tends to coast in first half of games.
— Cunningham is obviously going to the NBA next year; how long does his brother keep his six-figure job as an assistant coach?

Arkansas 85, Colgate 68:
— Colgate played their butts off, led 31-17 early.
— Colgate made 12-27 on arc, but turned ball over 22 times (-12)
— Razorbacks won 12 of their last 14 games.

Loyola Chi 71, Georgia Tech 60:
— Tech got up 13-3 quickly, but missed Moses Wright, ACC player of year.
— Loyola was 11-27 on arc, outscored Tech 10-3 on foul line.
— Since 2013, MVC teams are 11-1 SU, 10-2 ATS in NCAA games.

Rutgers 60, Clemson 56:
— Clemson led by 5 early in 2nd half;
— Rutgers held Tigers to 35.6% from floor, outrebounded them 41-32.
— Favorites went 10-6 ATS in Friday’s games.

Villanova 73, Winthrop 63
— Villanova shot 57.7% inside arc, win for only 2nd time in last five games.
— Winthrop finishes season 23-2; they were in NCAA for only 2nd time in last decade.
— Villanova plays #13-seed North Texas Sunday.

Syracuse 78, San Diego State 62
— Syracuse made 15-27 on the arc; its easier shooting outside the dome.
— Buddy Boeheim had 30 points; he’ll be in the NBA in two years.
— San Diego State started four seniors; will their coach bolt for Minnesota?

Wisconsin 85, North Carolina 62:
— Only time Badgers scored more points this year? November 27, vs Ark-Pine Bluff.
— Wisconsin made 13-27 on arc, scored 1.29 points/possession.
— North Carolina was 2-5 this year when they rebounded 33.3% or less of their own missed shots; they grabbed 30% of their misses in this game.

Texas Tech 65, Utah State 53:
— Aggies shot 58% inside arc, but turned ball over 22 times (-14)
— Texas Tech forces turnovers 24.1% of time (#6).
— Arkansas-Texas Tech is a matchup from the old Southwest Conference.

Illinois 78, Drexel 49:
— This looked a 1-16 game; not competitive.
— Dragons have to be proud of making NCAAs for first time since 1996.
— Illinois took only eight foul shots, seven 3-pointers; they steamrolled Drexel.

Baylor 79, Hartford 55:
— This was a stress-free win for Baylor; they play Wisconsin-UNC winner Sunday.
— Baylor is shooting 41.4% on arc this season, best in country.
— America East teams are now 6-2 ATS in last eight tournament games; Hartford was +26.

Houston 87, Cleveland State 56:
— Cougars led by 8 at half, then coasted home; one of the day’s worst games.
— Last eight years, Horizon teams are 0-9 in NCAA’s (2-7 ATS)
— Houston has won 8 in a row, has #1 eFG% defense in country.

[StarDust Bum]

FRIDAY, MARCH 19
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

VT at FLA 12:15 PM
FLA +1.0...............70 -75.......WINNER

COLG at ARK 12:45 PM
COLG +8.5............68 - 85
O 161.5..................LOSER

DREX at ILL 01:15 PM
ILL -22.5............49 - 78.....WINNER
U 143.0.......................WINNER

USU at TTU 01:45 PM
USU +4.0...........53 - 65......LOSER
U 130.0

ORU at OSU 03:00 PM
ORU +15.5............75 - 72
O 158.0 ...........LOSER

HART at BAY 03:30 PM
BAY -25.5..........55 - 79.........LOSER
O 140.0.........................LOSER

GT at L-IL 04:00 PM
L-IL -5.5..........60 - 71....WINNER
U 124.0

ORST at TENN 04:30 PM
ORST +8.5...........70 - 56....WINNER
O 131.5....................LOSER

LIB at OKST 06:25 PM
LIB +7.0..............60 - 69....LOSER
O 139.0

**********************

EVENING BEST BETS:


BUFF at CSU 07:00 PM
BUFF +2.0..........73 - 75....PUSH
O 154.0.......................LOSER

WIS at UNC 07:10 PM
UNC -1.5........85 - 62.....LOSER
U 136.5...................LOSER

CLEVST at HOU 07:15 PM
HOU -20.0........56 - 87
O 134.5................WINNER

UNT at PUR 07:25 PM
UNT +7.0.............78 - 69...WINNER
O 124.5...................WINNER

LT at MISS 09:00 PM
LT +3.5................70 - 61.....WINNER
O 129.5

RUTG at CLEM 09:20 PM
RUTG -2.0..........60 - 56
U 125.0..........................WINNER

SYR at SDSU 09:40 PM
SDSU -3.0..........78 - 62...........LOSER
U 138.5...................LOSER

MORE at WVU 09:50 PM
MORE +13.0.......67 - 84........LOSER
O 136.0...............................WINNER

WIN at VILL 09:57 PM
WIN +6.5.........63 - 73
U 143.0....................WINNER



2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS


DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS

03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%.........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%..........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+2000

TOTALS..............19-17-1.................52.77%.........+1.50