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Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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    Sunday’s 6-pack
    NFL over/under win totals:

    — Pittsburgh 8.5, -130
    — San Francisco 10, -125
    — Seattle 9.5, -130
    — Tampa Bay 11.5, -130
    — Tennessee 9, -115
    — Washington 8.5, -120

    Quote of the Day
    “If you’re a manager, you need a good bullpen and a sense of humor; if you don’t have one, you better have the other one.”
    Whitey Herzog

    Sunday’s quiz
    Which Hall of Famer has the most RBI’s in baseball history?

    Saturday’s quiz
    Houston Astros started playing in the Astrodome in 1965, their 4th year in existence; before they moved into the Astrodome, their nickname was the Colt .45’s, as in the Colt .45 gun.

    Friday’s quiz
    Tom Brady was drafted as a catcher by the Montreal Expos.

    ************************************************** **

    Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday, with some venting included

    13) Major League Baseball has a great product, but they’re TERRIBLE at promoting it.

    I watch baseball every night, at least 5-6 hours a night, more than that on weekends, but until Saturday, I had no idea that the 2,000,000th run in major league history was going to be scored this weekend. How is this possible? How could this not be promoted, talked about????

    The commissioner should be fired for this; the 2,000,000th run would’ve been something they could’ve promoted all season, had contests as to who would score the 2,000,000th run. Instead, crickets.

    What are they thinking about?!?!?!?!

    12) I’m 61 years old; when I was 15, the millionth run in major league history was scored, and believe me, MLB made a big deal out of it.
    — There was a cash prize given to whatever guy scored the 1,000,000th run.
    — Couple guys hit home runs that last day and sprinted around the bases, thinking they might be THAT guy (this was way before the Interweb).
    — A candy company was giving away stuff connected to the 1,000,000th run; it was fun.

    Bob Watson of the Astros scored the 1,000,000th run that year; pretty sure he scored it on a Sunday afternoon, maybe in San Francisco?

    Anyway, the point is that baseball is a great sport, but the people who run baseball act like they don’t like baseball— this is a problem. They’re the problem; the game is just fine.

    11) By the way, Bob Watson was a .295 career hitter who drove in 989 runs in his career, yet the thing I remember him for is scoring that 1,000,00th run.

    It was a big deal back then; it should’ve been a big deal this month.

    10) Padres 11, Astros 8 (12)
    — Tatis his a foul pop that should’ve been the last out in the 9th inning, but it wasn’t caught; he then tied the game with a 3-run homer.
    — Wil Myers hit a 3-run homer in the 12th for the win.
    — This was San Diego’s 4th straight extra inning game; the record is five, set by the 1908 Tigers.

    9) Astros played the Dodgers/Padres at home this week.
    — Last two games, they’re 3-32 with runners in scoring position.
    — This week, in four games, Houston’s bullpen allowed 25 runs in 16.2 IP.

    8) There are some really bad teams this season:
    — Arizona has lost 13 games in a row.
    — Baltimore has lost 12 games in a row.
    — Colorado is 3-22 on the road, shut out nine times in those 22 losses.

    Maybe these teams should dump the over-educated imbeciles in their front offices, and hire some old-school baseball people who know how to construct a roster. Or maybe if Colorado paid Arenado, or Arizona paid Goldschmidt, those teams wouldn’t be so bad.

    7) Bucks 120, Heat 103:
    — Milwaukee sweeps series 4-0, winning last three games by 34-29-17 points.

    6) 76ers 132, Wizards 103:
    — Sixers lead series 3-0, winning last two games by 25-29 points.

    5) Jazz 121, Grizzlies 111:
    — Utah grabs home court advantage back, leads series 2-1.
    — Jazz made 19-43 on the arc; Conley made 7-10.

    4) Trailblazers 115, Nuggets 95:
    — Series is tied 2-2; NBA office has to be relieved there is one good series.
    — Worst plus-minus for the Portland starters was +16; they cruised in this game.
    — Portland held Denver to 47 first half points, a big improvement.

    3) If you’re on Twitter, follow former NBA player Rex Chapman; he gets some great stuff sent to him, and he retweets it, most all of it good natured, fun stuff.

    Saturday he posted a video of a woman juggling, but the camera was over her head; it was a very unique way of watching someone juggle. Pretty cool actually.

    2) Last time the NHL went thru a playoff season without at least one series going to seven games? Way back in 1977.

    1) RIP to Gavin MacLeod, 90, who passed away this weekend. He had two great television roles:
    — He was Murray Slaughter, a writer at WJM TV on Mary Tyler Moore Show. His job basically was to bust anchorman Ted Baxter’s chops.
    — Then he graduated to his big role, Captain Stubing on The Love Boat.

    168 episodes of Mary Tyler Moore, 250 episodes of Love Boat; the man was in our living rooms an awful lot, from 1970-1987. A terrific actor. RIP, sir.

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  • Udog
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Saturday, May 29


    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
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    571MILWAUKEE -572 MIAMI
    MILWAUKEE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the current season.

    573DENVER -574 PORTLAND
    DENVER is 12-4 ATS (7.6 Units) in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games in the current season.

    575PHILADELPHIA -576 WASHINGTON
    PHILADELPHIA is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    577UTAH -578 MEMPHIS
    UTAH is 114-92 ATS (12.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Saturday, May 29


    Milwaukee @ Miami
    Bucks (lead 3-0)
    — Milwaukee won last two series games, by 34-29 points.
    — Bucks are +13/+25/+13 on boards in this series.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Bucks lost G DiVincenzo for the season.
    — Bucks held Miami to 36 points in first half of Game 3.

    Heat
    — Miami shot 20-50 on arc in Game 1; 17-60 in last two games.
    — Heat is 6-3 ATS in last nine home games.
    — Dragic had 43 points off bench in first two games; he shot 3-14 in Game 3. .
    — Butler was 8-32 from floor in first two games, was only 7-17 last game.
    — Heat shot under 38% from floor in two of three games.

    — Milwaukee is 6-3 in last nine series games.
    — Bucks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Miami.
    — Five of last seven series games stayed under.

    Denver @ Portland
    Nuggets (lead 2-1)
    — Nuggets were 4-8 on line in Game 1, 45-55 in Games 2-3.
    — Denver won 23 of its last 31 games SU.
    — Nuggets are 3-4 ATS in last seven road games.
    — Jokic scored 34-38-36 points in first three games.
    — Denver was 20-38 on arc in Game 3.

    Trailblazers
    — Blazers are 2-5 ATS in last seven home games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Denver had 61-73-64 points at halftime of the three games.
    — Blazers made 35-73 3’s in Games 1-2, then only 14-45 last game.
    — Denver outscored Portland 22-11 on foul line in Game 3.

    — Denver won seven of last ten series games.
    — All three games in this series went over.
    — Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.
    — Nuggets are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Portland.

    Philadelphia @ Washington
    76ers (lead 2-0)
    — 76ers won 12 of their last 14 games (9-5 ATS).
    — Sixers are 2-4 ATS in their last six road games.
    — Under is 15-4 in Philly’s last 19 road games.
    — In Game 2, 76ers’ starters shot 68% from the floor.
    — Philly shot 56% from floor in Game 2.

    Wizards
    — Wizards lost first two series games, by 7-25 points.
    — Washington lost Game 1 despite shooting 55.7% from floor.
    — Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
    — Wizards are 4-1 ATS in last five home games.
    — Westbrook is 9-27 from floor in first two series games.

    — 76ers won last seven series games.
    — 76ers are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Washington.
    — Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

    Memphis @ Utah
    Jazz
    — Utah won eight of its last 11 games SU.
    — Jazz is 5-3 ATS in its last eight road games.
    — In Game 1, Utah was 12-47 on arc; they were 19-39 in Game 2.
    — Over is 6-3 in last nine Utah games.
    — Jazz led last game 74-54 at halftime.

    Grizzlies (series 1-1)
    — Memphis won eight of its last ten games SU.
    — Grizzlies are 2-6 ATS in last eight home games.
    — Over is 3-0 in last three Memphis games.
    — Morant scored 47 points in the Game 2 loss.
    — So far in series, Grizzlies took 142 two-point shots, 43 3’s.

    — Utah won six of last seven series games (4-3 ATS)
    — Jazz is 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Memphis.
    — Over is 6-1 in last seven series games.




    NBA

    Saturday, May 29

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Trend Report

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Milwaukee @ Miami
    Milwaukee
    Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
    Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

    Denver @ Portland
    Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
    Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Portland
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Denver
    Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Philadelphia @ Washington
    Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
    Philadelphia is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
    Washington
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Washington is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

    Utah @ Memphis
    Utah
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Utah's last 13 games when playing on the road against Memphis
    Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Memphis
    Memphis
    Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Memphis's last 13 games when playing at home against Utah


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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  • Udog
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    Saturday’s 6-pack
    Week 1 NFL spreads:

    — Steelers @ Bills (-6)
    — 49ers (-7.5) @ Lions
    — Jets @ Panthers (-4)
    — Chargers (-1) @ Washington
    — Dolphins @ Patriots (-2)
    — Browns @ Chiefs (-6)

    Quote of the Day
    “You have brains in your head.
    You have feet in your shoes.
    You can steer yourself in any direction you choose.”
    Dr Seuss

    Saturday’s quiz
    Houston Astros started playing in the Astrodome in 1965, their 4th year in existence; what was the Astros’ nickname before they moved into the Astrodome?

    Friday’s quiz
    Tom Brady was drafted as a catcher by the Montreal Expos.

    Thursday’s quiz
    New Orleans Hornets drafted Anthony Davis when he came out of college in 2012; they became the Pelicans two years later.


    **************************


    Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind………

    13) Baseball is fun in part because you often see things you’ve never seen before; Thursday, there was a 62-pitch complete game. You don’t see that much.

    Rockies lost first game of a doubleheader 1-0 to the Mets; German Marquez was the losing pitcher, giving up 3 hits, one run in six innings. He only needed 62 pitches to finish six innings, and there was no 7th inning, since the Mets won.

    Seven inning doubleheaders are still weird to me. Hopefully this year will be the last of them.

    12) Colorado is 3-20 on the road, 16-12 at home. They figure to trade SS Trevor Story before the trade deadline (he is a free agent this winter). Going to be a long summer in Denver.

    11) One of the cool new stats programs they have in baseball is called StatCast; when someone hits a home run, the TV guys can tell you a few minutes later in how many ballparks it also would have been a homer in.

    Dodgers’ Matt Beaty hit a homer down the rightfield line Friday night; couple minutes later, Joe Davis reported that it would’ve been a home run in 20 of the 30 major league stadiums.

    10) Giants 8, Dodgers 5 (10)- Wild game late Friday night.
    — Giants broke a 2-2 tie with three runs in 8th inning.
    — Austin Barnes tied game with a pinch-hit homer in the 9th.
    — Albert Pujols appeared to have won the game with another homer, but LF Tauchman robbed him of a homer by catching the ball, sending the game to extra innings.
    — Giants scored three runs in the 10th for the win.
    — For the game, Dodgers were 2-14 with runners in scoring position.

    9) Giants are 31-20, tied with the Dodgers for 2nd in the NL West; they’ve got 19 players who are 30+ years old, most in the major leagues.

    8) Padres 10, Astros 3 (11)
    — Third straight extra inning game for San Diego.
    — Bad beat if you had under 8 runs in this game; Astros led 2-1 in the 8th.
    — Houston put OF Michael Brantley (hamstring) on IL.

    7) Detroit 3, New York 2 (10)— Robbie Grossman hit a walk-off tater in the 10th inning for Detroit. Was pretty good pitching duel between veteran Cole and youngster Mize.

    6) Billy McKinney is an OF for the Mets; he is 26 years old, has been in the majors for four years- he’s already played for four different teams:
    — A’s drafted him in first round in 2013, but he never played for them.
    — July 5, 2014- A’s traded him to the Cubs in a 5-player deal. Jeff Samardzija came to the A’s.
    — July 25, 2016- Cubs traded McKinney, three other guys to Bronx for Aroldis Chapman.
    — July 26, 2018- Bronx traded him and Brandon Drury to Toronto for JA Happ.
    — September 14, 2020- Milwaukee claimed him off waivers.
    — May 26, 2021- Milwaukee traded him to the Mets for a minor leaguer.

    McKinney is only 26, but he must be good at packing.

    5) Celtics 125, Nets 119:
    — Jayson Tatum scored a career high 50 points; he was 9-32 from floor in first two games.
    — Nets were +16 in 25:00 with Blake Griffin on floor, minus-22 in the 23:00 he sat out.
    — Nets lead series 2-1; home side won all three games.

    4) Hawks 105, Knicks 94:
    — Atlanta grabs 2-1 series lead.
    — Hawks shot 52% from floor; all five starters scored between 11-21 points.
    — Knicks’ star Julius Randle is 13-54 from floor in series.

    3) Clippers 118, Mavericks 108:
    — Down 2-0 in series, Clippers fell behind 30-11 early in this game.
    — Clippers shot 57.9% from floor; Kawhi Leonard scored 36 points.
    — Road team won all three series games.

    2) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
    NL- Mets, Cardinals, Padres. Wild Card: Dodgers-Giants
    AL- Rays, White Sox, A’s. Wild Card: New York @ Boston

    1) I’m writing this while watching an old episode of Columbo, from 1980 or so; haven’t seen this show since I was in college. This episode is about the owner of a pro football team who gets murdered; the football clips in this episode are Edmonton-Saskatchewan clips from the CFL.

    Pretty good show; Peter Falk was a great actor.

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  • Udog
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    561NEW YORK -562 ATLANTA
    ATLANTA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

    563BROOKLYN -564 BOSTON
    BOSTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

    565LA CLIPPERS -566 DALLAS
    LA CLIPPERS are 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.



    NBA
    Dunkel

    Friday, May 28







    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Friday, May 28


    Game 3’s, best-of-7:
    New York @ Atlanta
    Knicks
    — New York won five of its last seven games.
    — Knicks were down 13 at half in Game 2, rallied to tie series.
    — Under is 7-2 in New York’s last nine games.
    — Knicks are in playoffs for first time in eight years.
    — In first two games, Randle was only 11-39 from floor.

    Hawks (series 1-1)
    — Hawks won eight of last ten games (6-4 ATS).
    — Atlanta’s subs were minus-51 in Game 2.
    — Under is 5-0 in their last five games.
    — In Game 1, Bogdanovic was +17; he shot 2-13 on arc in Game 2.
    — Hawks had only 6 turnovers in Game 1, had 13 last game.

    — Knicks won five of last six series games.
    — Three of last seven series games went to OT.
    — Knicks are 3-0-1 ATS in last four trips to Atlanta.
    — First two games in this series stayed under.

    Brooklyn @ Boston
    Nets (lead 2-0)
    — Brooklyn won/covered its last seven games.
    — Nets are 7-5 ATS in last dozen road games.
    — Under is 7-4 in last 11 Brooklyn games.
    — Nets trailed Game 1 at half, led Game 2 71-47 at half.

    Celtics
    — Boston lost seven of its last nine games.
    — Tatum was only 9-32 from floor in first two games.
    — Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.
    — Under is 5-1 in their last six games

    — Nets won seven of last eight series games.
    — Nets are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Boston.
    — Four of last five series games stayed under the total.

    LA Clippers @ Dallas
    Clippers
    — Clippers lost eight of their last 12 games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Clippers are 2-6 ATS in last eight road games.
    — Over is 3-1 in last four Clipper games.
    — Clipper starters were combined minus-134 in first two games.

    Mavericks (lead 2-0)
    — Mavericks won 11 of their last 14 games.
    — Mavericks are 5-3 ATS in last eight home games.
    — Over is 6-1 in last seven Dallas games.
    — Doncic scored 31-39 in first two games.
    — Dallas is 35-70 on the arc in this series.

    — Dallas is 5-4 in last nine series games.
    — Clippers are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Dallas.
    — Five of last six series games stayed under the total.
    — Game 2 was 73-71 at halftime; not lot of defense there.




    NBA

    Friday, May 28

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Trend Report

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    New York @ Atlanta
    New York
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games
    New York is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
    Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
    Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Brooklyn @ Boston
    Brooklyn
    Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
    Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
    Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games

    LA Clippers @ Dallas
    LA Clippers
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Dallas
    LA Clippers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Dallas
    Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    Friday’s 6-pack
    Nevada casinos’ net win in April:

    — sports betting $27.2M
    — craps $28.1M
    — baccarat $29.4M
    — roulette $32.4M
    — blackjack $70.2M
    — penny slots $340.8M

    Quote of the Day
    “We are bitterly disappointed that the great Oklahoma-Nebraska rivalry, on the 50th anniversary of the Game of the Century, will kick off at 11 a.m. [local time]. We tried every possible avenue to proactively make our case. The Big 12 Conference also supported our strenuous efforts to secure a more traditional time that would honor this game and our fans. However, in the end, our TV partner chose to exercise its full contractual rights and denied our requests.”
    Oklahoma AD Joe Castiglione

    Friday’s quiz
    Which major league team once drafted Tom Brady as a catching prospect?

    Thursday’s quiz
    New Orleans Hornets drafted Anthony Davis when he came out of college in 2012; they became the Pelicans two years later.

    Wednesday’s quiz
    The first night World Series game was in 1971, Orioles-Pirates

    ************************************************** **********

    Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the long weekend here…….

    13) Trade deadline is going to be fascinating in baseball this summer, as teams try to keep their rosters fresh with healthy bodies. Guys are dropping like flies; will big market contenders part with prospects to try and acquire players who will help them win now, seeing how everyone should be operating at 100% capacity attendance-wise, by the end of June?

    12) Bucks 113, Heat 84:
    — Milwaukee leads series 3-0, winning last two games by 34-29 points.
    — Miami was 20-50 on arc in Game 1, lost in OT; they haven’t been the same since.
    — Dragic started this game for the Heat but went only 3-14 from floor.

    11) Nuggets 120, Blazers 115:
    — Denver grabs a 2-1 series lead.
    — Carmelo Anthony is minus-29 in 69:00 in this series.
    — Jokic scored 36 points, had 11 rebounds, five assists.

    10) Lakers 109, Suns 95:
    — LA grabs a 2-1 series lead.
    — Suns scored only 12 points in second quarter.
    — Anthony Davis scored 34 points, grabbed 11 rebounds.

    9) Orioles’ CF Cedric Mullins is 17-44 this season in the first inning, the most first inning hits of any major leaguer so far this season.

    8) Cubs 5, Pirates 3— Chicago’s bullpen has thrown 34.2 consecutive scoreless innings, the best stretch in franchise history. Cubs now trail St Louis by only a half-game in NL Central.

    7) Have to feel bad for Pirates’ P Tyler Anderson; he gave up two extra runs in this game after his 1B made the worst defensive play I’ve ever seen in a big league game.

    Man on second, two out, Javy Baez hits a grounder to 3rd; throw pulls the 1B off the bag, but he is standing there with the ball, blocking Baez from getting to the bag.

    Instead of giving up, Baez retreats towards home and the 1B chases him like an idiot, instead of just going and touching first base. When the 1B sees the running from second trying to score, he actually flips the ball to the catcher, and Diaz sprints to an uncovered first base.

    The guy “scoring” from second wouldn’t have scored if he had just tagged Baez. Totally brain dead; if I was the Pirates’ GM, I’d have sent the 1B down to AAA or released him.

    In Anderson’s last home start, a high pop up between the mound and home plate landed untouched with two out in an inning; next batter hit a two-run homer. The guy has no luck.

    6) Cubs TV guy/former MLB pitcher Jim Deshaies was telling a story on the air Wednesday, about when he was teammates with John Elway in the NY-Penn League, with Oneonta.

    Elway considered baseball his summer job; he knew his future was in football; Deshaies was saying that Elway, a lefty hitter, was a skilled bunter who would drag bunts for hits, and that he probably would’ve made the majors, had he stuck with baseball. Elway hit .318 with a .432 on-base %age, in his one season with Oneonta.

    I’m thinking he made the right career choice.

    5) Brewers 6, Padres 5 (10)— Jackie Bradley Jr had his first game-winning RBI in 3,448 career plate appearances, which was the most PA’s of any active player without a walk-off RBI. Jake Lamb (2,359) now has the most.

    4) MLB suspended former Mets’ manager Mickey Callaway thru 2022 and the Angels fired him as pitching coach, following an investigation into sexual harassment allegations.

    3) College football over/under win totals are out; not a lot of respect for UNLV’s squad, as they start their first season in front of fans as the new Allegiant Stadium. UNLV’s win total for this season is a paltry 1.5.

    2) They released the college bowl schedule this week; things kick off on December 17, with the Bahamas Bowl and Belk Bowl.

    1) December 29, there is a Fenway Bowl at 11am, followed by the Pinstripe Bowl at 2:15. I’m not sure college kids are going to be real excited about freezing their butts off in Boston/Bronx on a Wednesday afternoon in late December.

    Hawai’i Bowl is Christmas Eve; I expect to be watching that in a casino in the desert. Nothing says you have no social life as much as watching a bowl game in a casino on Christmas Eve!!!!

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  • Udog
    replied
    551MILWAUKEE -552 MIAMI
    MILWAUKEE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the current season.

    553PHOENIX -554 LA LAKERS
    LA LAKERS are 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

    555DENVER -556 PORTLAND
    PORTLAND is 44-26 ATS (15.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games in the last 3 seasons.




    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, May 27







    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, May 27


    Game 3’s, best-of-7:
    Milwaukee @ Miami
    Bucks (lead 2-0)
    — Milwaukee won first two series games, by 2-34 points.
    — Bucks are 1-3-1 ATS in last five road games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Milwaukee led last game 78-51 at the half.
    — Bucks were 22-53 on arc last game.
    — Bucks were +38 on boards in first two games.

    Heat
    — Miami covered 13 of its last 18 games.
    — Heat is 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
    — Dragic had 43 points off bench in first two games.
    — Butler was 4-22 from floor in Game 1, 4-10 in Game 2.
    — Miami was 20-50 on arc in Game 1, 8-28 in Game 2.

    — Milwaukee is 5-3 in last eight series games.
    — Bucks are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Miami.
    — Four of last six series games stayed under.

    Phoenix @ LA Lakers
    Suns (series 1-1)
    — Phoenix won four of its last five games.
    — Suns are 3-6-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Over is 22-7 in their last 29 games.
    — Suns are in playoffs for first time in a decade.
    — Chris Paul played only 23:00 in Game 2 (check status)

    Lakers
    — Davis shot 5-16 from floor, was minus -18 in Game 1; in Game 2, he was 18-21 on foul line, scored 34 points with 7 assists, much more assertive.
    — Lakers won seven of their last eight games SU
    — Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.
    — Under is 8-5-1 in their 14 games.
    — LA is just 17-59 on arc in two games.

    — Lakers won seven of last 11 series games.
    — Suns are 2-3 ATS in last five road series games.
    — Under is 7-4 in last 11 series games.

    Denver @ Portland
    Nuggets
    — Nuggets were 4-8 on line in Game 1, 24-30 in Game 2.
    — Denver won 22 of its last 30 games SU.
    — Nuggets are 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
    — Jokic scored 34-38 points in first two games.
    — Denver shot over 50% from floor both games.

    Trailblazers (series 1-1)
    — Portland won 11 of its last 14 games.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Blazers are 2-4 ATS in last six home games.
    — Denver had 61-73 points at halftime of the two games.

    — Blazers made 35-73 3’s in two games, which is really good.
    — Portland turned ball over 6 times in Game 1, 21 times in Game 2.

    — Denver won six of last nine series games.
    — Blazers are 1-2 ATS in last three visits to Portland.
    — Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.




    NBA

    Thursday, May 27

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    Trend Report

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    Milwaukee @ Miami
    Milwaukee
    Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
    Miami
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Miami's last 15 games

    Phoenix @ LA Lakers
    Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Phoenix's last 12 games
    LA Lakers
    LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    LA Lakers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

    Denver @ Portland
    Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games when playing on the road against Portland
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games
    Portland
    Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
    Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


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  • Udog
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    Thursday’s 6-pack
    Week 1 NFL spreads:

    — Dallas @ Tampa Bay (-6.5)
    — Arizona @ Tennessee (-2.5)
    — Seattle @ Indianapolis (-2.5)
    — Minnesota (-3) @ Cincinnati
    — Philadelphia @ Atlanta (-3.5)
    — Jacksonville (-2.5) @ Houston

    Quote of the Day
    “I didn’t actually know the playbook, necessarily, really, really good, and that’s no one else’s fault but my fault. Our play calls were simple when I was in. I didn’t have alerts and checks. Where now, I feel comfortable and I can maneuver my way through these things.”
    Dolphins’ QB Tua Tagovailoa

    Thursday’s quiz
    Which NBA team drafted Anthony Davis when he came out of college in 2012?

    Wednesday’s quiz
    The first night World Series game was in 1971, Orioles-Pirates

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Minnesota is known as “The Land of 10,000 Lakes”.

    **************************************************

    Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud………

    — Thumbs up to DMV in Albany; was there Wednesday morning to get my Real ID, which I thought I needed in order to travel again. Turns out they pushed all that back to 2023, but I got the Real ID, crossing one thing off my to-do list for 2023.

    — Travel tip; if you’re going to Las Vegas during football season, don’t stay on the Strip if the Raiders are home that weekend. Rooms at the Luxor/Excalibur are both over $400 for the Saturday night of the weekend I was looking at, and they ain’t the classiest joints in town.

    Looking at weekends where the Raiders aren’t home, rates are pretty normal.

    Rates at the SouthPoint were pretty good for the weekend the Raiders were home; that’s a few miles south of Allegiant Stadium. Good place.

    — How pitchers have fared after throwing their no-hitters this season:
    1) Joe Musgrove
    — Went 0-4, 5.63 in his next five starts, then 2-0, 0.75 in his last two.

    2) Carlos Rodon:
    — Is 3-2, 2.08 in six starts since his no-hitter.

    3) Madison Bumgarner:
    — His no-hitter was 7 innings, but it was a no-hitter.
    — is 2-2, 3.54 in five starts since; he’s been batting leg problems.

    4) John Means:
    — Is 0-0, 2.92 in two starts since the no-hitter; not sure where Orioles would be without him.

    5) Wade Miley:
    — Allowed nine runs in two starts (7.2 IP) since the no-hitter, is currently on the IL.

    6) Spencer Turnbull:
    — Allowed three runs in six IP, in his first start after the no-hitter.

    7) Corey Kluber:
    — Left his last start after 3 innings (shoulder), his first since the no-hitter.
    — He had thrown 100+ pitches in three of his previous four starts.

    — Braves’ OF Marcell Ozuna is out six weeks after dislocating two fingers while sliding headfirst into third base the other night. This is why some guys wear those oven mitts while running the bases, to protect their fingers.

    — They showed a clip of Clayton Kershaw’s MLB debut in 2008 yesterday; he was pitching against Albert Pujols who, 13 years later, is now his teammate with the Dodgers.

    — Amazon just bought MGM studios for $8B; they figure to use MGM’s massive collection of movies to help market Amazon Prime Video.

    — NFL salary cap was $198.2M last year; it’ll be $182.5M this year, because of the pandemic.

    — Is it weird that I watched a movie on TV the other night, then just got a recommendation on a similar movie on my phone? Do they track everything we do/watch?

    — Lot of baseball in the Big Apple today; twinbills in the Bronx and at CitiField, after lot of rain in New York City cancelled Wednesday’s games.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, May 26


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    541WASHINGTON -542 PHILADELPHIA
    WASHINGTON is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better in the current season.

    543ATLANTA -544 NEW YORK
    NEW YORK is 17-2 ATS (14.8 Units) in home games when the line is +3 to -3 in the current season.

    545MEMPHIS -546 UTAH
    UTAH is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the current season.




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, May 26


    Game 2’s, best-of-7:
    Washington @ Philadelphia
    Wizards
    — Wizards won three of their last five games SU.
    — Washington is 4-2-1 ATS in last seven road games.
    — Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
    — In Game 1, Wizards’ starters other than Beal/Westbrook were minus-49

    76ers (lead 1-0)
    — 76ers won 11 of their last 13 games (8-5 ATS).
    — Sixers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.
    — Over is 5-1 in Philly’s last six home games.
    — In Game 1, 76ers outscored Washington 23-12 on foul line.

    — 76ers won last six series games.
    — Wizards are 3-3 ATS in last six visits to Philly.
    — Under is 3-2 in last five series games.

    Atlanta @ New York
    Hawks (lead 1-0)
    — Hawks won eight of last nine games (6-3 ATS).
    — Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.
    — Under is 4-0 in their last four games.
    — In Game 1, Bogdanovic was +17; no one else was better than +8.

    Knicks
    — New York won four of its last six games.
    — Knicks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games.
    — Under is 6-2 in New York’s last eight games.
    — Knicks are in playoffs for first time in eight years.
    — In Game 1, Randle was only 6-23 from floor.

    — Knicks won four of last five series games.
    — Three of last six series games went to OT.
    — Hawks are 2-4 ATS in last six trips to Manhattan.
    — Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

    Memphis @ Utah
    Grizzlies (lead 1-0)
    — Memphis won eight of its last nine games SU.
    — Grizzlies are 5-7 ATS in last 12 games, 4-2 in last six on road.
    — Under is 7-3 in last ten Memphis games.
    — In Game 1, Memphis won despite their subs shooting 7-21.
    — Grizzlies took 80 two-point shots, 20 3’s.

    Jazz
    — Utah won seven of its last ten games SU.
    — Jazz is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 home games.
    — Under is 3-1 in Utah’s last four games.
    — In Game 1, Conley was +11; they were minus-14 in 15:00 he sat out.
    — Jazz took 47 3’s, only 34 two-point shots.

    — Utah won last six series games (4-2 ATS)
    — Grizzlies are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Utah.
    — Over is 4-1 in last five series games.




    NBA

    Wednesday, May 26

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    Trend Report

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Washington @ Philadelphia
    Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

    Atlanta @ New York
    Atlanta
    Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
    New York
    New York is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games

    Memphis @ Utah
    Memphis
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
    Memphis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
    Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Memphis


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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