The Bum's 2018 NBA Trends/Stats/Best Bets Thru The Playoffs !

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday's Best Bet
November 13, 2018
By BetOnline.ag

Tuesday NBA Best Bet
Charlotte vs Cleveland

The mighty sure take a big fall when the King leaves town, as this year has been disastrous for the Cleveland Cavaliers as it's the second time this organization has had to move on from a post-LeBron James era. Cleveland comes into this home game tonight with a 1-11 SU record (6-6 ATS), and that includes a 126-94 loss to this Hornets team 10 days ago.

Does anything change for the Cavaliers this time around?

BetOnline.ag Odds: Charlotte (-7.5); Total set at 218

If you were to look for a dictionary definition of what a professional sports team looks like after going all-out to win championships during a championship “window,” the 2018-19 Cleveland Cavaliers would be just that. The Cavs spent the past four years surrounding LeBron with veteran talent at nearly every position, and while it did result in four straight NBA Finals appearances and one title, it's the organization who's now stuck with a bunch of aged players who can't compete on a nightly basis in today's NBA. Kyrie Irving warned us all that this would happen, and it's why he got out when he did, but the Cavs look like they did after the first time LeBron left, tanking away a season to try and fast-track a rebuild with a #1 overall pick.

Tanking teams are inherently hard to back in the betting markets because you typically want a chance at an outright victory if you are going to consider taking the points with an underdog. A one-win Cleveland team doesn't exactly inspire too much confidence in that regard, but the results do suggest there has been some improvement.

Cleveland started the year on a six-game losing streak where the average margin of defeat was 12.83 points. They snapped that with a all-around performance in a 136-114 win over Atlanta, but have since lost five in a row. The margin of defeat during this five-game losing streak: 10.5 points.

Granted, that doesn't look like a dramatic improvement, but if you were to just look at the three games they lost since that first meeting with Charlotte, it's been defeats of 2, 9, and 1 point respectively. Obviously we can't just “throw out” that Charlotte game since they are the Cavs opponent tonight, but I don't think we will see the Hornets knock down 57% of their shots again, as seven different guys finished with double-digit points that evening.

For one, this is a road game rather than a home one for the Hornets, and two, Charlotte's probably already got one eye on their return trip home after tonight's end to this three-game road trip for a few days of rest and relaxation before they deal with Philly and Boston in their next two games. Charlotte lost to Philly by one in an OT game over the weekend, so even with a few days off after tonight's game, it's not hard to see that the Hornets may not be all that interested in bringing their best effort against a team they figure they can beat by just showing up.

Counting on the Cavs to show up is a bit tougher to stomach, but as those recent close games suggest, these Cavs players are still professionals and are getting tired of all the losing. Talent-wise they may not have what it takes to get many SU wins this year, but they are at home and seemingly on the precipice of snapping this losing streak. Cleveland is also 3-2 ATS this year when underdogs of 7+ points, while the Hornets are just 2-2 ATS this year when favored by less than nine.

With the betting percentages at VegasInsider.com currently sitting at about an 80/20 split in favor of Charlotte tonight (not surprising), it's not always the worst thing in the world to side with a home dog that nobody wants to come in other than the oddsmakers. Situationally, it's a pretty decent spot for the Cavs to come out and play hard, as chances are all those vets the Cavs currently have know that the next few months are basically an open audition for them to potentially get traded to a contender by March. Facing a team that handed it to them 10 days ago, I think we see those vets step up and find a way to keep this game well within this spread, if not have a shot at the outright win late.

Odds per - BetOnline.ag

Best Bet: Cleveland +7.5

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 13
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CHA at CLE 07:00 PM
CHA -9.0
U 214.5

HOU at DEN 09:00 PM
DEN -4.5
O 214.0

ATL at GS 10:30 PM
GS -11.5
O 228.5

[StarDust Bum]

NBA November's Best Bets and Opinions

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

11/13/2018 1-5-0 16.67% -22.50
11/12/2018 12-5-1 70.59% +32.50
11/11/2018 4-7-0 36.36% -18.50
11/10/2018 12-8-0 60.00% +16.00
11/09/2018 10-4-0 71.43% +28.00
11/08/2018 1-6-0 14.29% -28.00
11/07/2018 9-11-0 45.00% -15.50
11/06/2018 3-5-0 37.50% -12.50
11/05/2018 9-4-1 69.23% +23.00
11/04/2018 5-9-0 35.71% -24.50
11/03/2018 9-6-1 60.00% +12.00
11/02/2018 5-10-1 33.33% -30.00
11/01/2018 5-6-0 45.45% -8.00

Totals............85-86-3........49.70%....-48.10


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Best Bets For November

DATE........................ATS..................U NITS....................O/U................UNITS..............TOTAL

11/13/2018.............0 - 3..................-16.50...................1 - 2................-6.00................-22.50
11/12/2018.............2 - 1..................+4.50...................5 - 0................+25.00.............+29.50
11/11/2018.............1 - 3..................-11.50...................1 - 3...............-11.50...............-23.00
11/10/2018.............5 - 3..................+8.50....................5 - 2...............+14.00............+22.50
11/09/2018.............4 - 0..................+20.00..................4 - 2...............+9.00..............+29.00
11/08/2018.............0 - 3..................-16.50...................1 - 3...............-11.50...............-28.00
11/07/2018.............2 - 4..................-12.00...................5 - 4...............+5.00................-7.00
11/06/2018.............2 - 2..................-1.00.....................1 - 3...............-11.50..............-12.50
11/05/2018.............4 - 1..................+14.50..................2 - 2...............-1.00...............+13.50
11/04/2018.............3 - 2..................+4.00....................2 - 4...............-12.00...............-8.00
11/03/2018.............4 - 2..................+9.00....................4 - 3...............+3.50..............+12.50
11/02/2018.............3 - 2..................+4.00....................2 - 5...............-17.50..............-13.50
11/01/2018.............1 - 4..................-17.00....................2 - 1................+4.50.............-12.50

Totals...................31 - 30.................-10.00...................35- 34..............-10.00..............-20.00

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday’s 6-pack

Six more interesting games on this week’s college football schedule:

— Pittsburgh (-5.5) @ Wake Forest

— Wisconsin @ Purdue (-4.5)

— Northwestern (-2.5) @ Minnesota

— Missouri (-6) @ Tennessee

— Utah (-7) @ Colorado

— TCU @ Baylor (-2)

Quote of the Day
“It cancelled out the weed smell we usually get in Oakland.”
Chargers DL Corey Liuget, talking about the smoky smell in Oakland Sunday

Wednesday’s quiz
LSU’s basketball arena is named after which former LSU great?

Tuesday’s quiz
in the movie Hoosiers, the climactic basketball scenes were shot in Butler’s Hinkle Fieldhouse.

Monday’s quiz
Jim Harbaugh was the 49ers’ coach the last time they played in the playoffs, in 2013.

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Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings……

13) Monday night’s Rams-Chiefs game was moved from Mexico City to Los Angeles, after the NFL determined the field in Mexico City wasn’t up to NFL quality. Player safety took precedence over the almighty buck, which is the way it should be.

12) Random fact that doesn’t matter for Monday night’s game anymore; the altitude in Mexico City is 7,350 feet. Denver’s altitude is 5,280 feet, which is why the Broncos play in Mile High Stadium, at least thats what it was called before corporate sponsorship was invented.

11) Congrats to the great Bob Melvin, who was named AL Manager of the Year Tuesday night. I watch the A’s play every night; you have no idea how great a job he did, leading the team with the lowest payroll in baseball to the playoffs this past summer. Well deserved award!!!

That said, Tampa Bay’s Kevin Cash was also awesome this season, winning 90 games with a Rays’ squad that doesn’t exactly spend a lot of money either.

10) Eli Manning’s career W-L record in regular season games is 113-110; he is the only NFL QB ever with 100+ wins and 100+ losses for the same team.

Question for Giants’ fans out there: Who do you think was a better Giant, Eli Manning or Phil Simms? I’m curious what you think- e-mail me at [email protected]

9) If you’re debating whether Manning is a Hall of Famer, keep in mind that Joe Namath (62-63-4) is only Hall of Fame QB with a losing record- he won only two playoff games, one Super Bowl, albeit the Super Bowl that forced the AFL/NFL merger. By way of reference, Jim Plunkett was 72-72 and also won two Super Bowls- he isn’t in the HOF.

8) Brooklyn Nets’ star Caris LeVert hurt his foot in Minnesota Monday night; the injury was so gruesome, there were teammates in tears on the Brooklyn bench, but it turned out relatively well. LeVert dislocated his foot, won’t need surgery and could return later this season.

7) That didn’t take long; former Browns’ coach Hue Jackson is going to join the Cincinnati Bengals‘ coaching staff immediately; his title on the Bengals’ staff is unknown right now, but he joined the team Tuesday.

Bengals have a bye this week; they play the Browns play a week from Sunday, and then again in Week 16- those games figure to be very interesting.

6) Penny Hardaway is going to create a monster program at Memphis; not only is he a legend at Memphis he has two former NBA players (Sam Mitchell, Mike Miller) on his coaching staff, as well as another former Memphis Tiger (Tony Madlock). Memphis is a hotbed of high school talent; hard to believe Hardaway isn’t going to dominate the recruiting there.

Memphis-LSU game on SEC Network Tuesday night was great fun.

5) Golden State Warriors have dissension? Apparently, Draymond Green and Kevin Durant got into it late in Monday night’s loss to the Clippers, and the dispute spilled over into the locker room after the game. Green was then suspended for Tuesday night’s game.

I’ve said this before, but seems like in a league where most everyone is really rich, the NBA has an awful lot of angry people. If the Warriors can’t get along, who can?

Durant wasn’t happy on the Thunder, who were a very good team; now he’s not happy on the Warriors, who are a stacked team. Maybe he can go to China and score 50 a game like Jimmer Fredette and make all the decisions- maybe he’d be happy then.

4) Sacramento Kings beat the Spurs 104-99 Monday night, ending a 14-game losing streak against San Antonio. Kings are 8-6 and appear to be vastly improved, and they also seem to be enjoying the experience. Good for them.

3) Le’Veon Bell didn’t report to the Steelers by 4pm Tuesday, cannot play in the NFL this season; he forfeits all of his $15M salary, hoping to clean up as a free agent this winter. We’ll see how that works out for him.

2) Alabama is playing The Citadel in football this weekend; this is pathetic, that a team as good as Alabama is playing a I-AA team. Play a Sun Belt team, play a MAC team. Have some guts and play someone who can challenge you. This is embarrassing.

1) Nathan Peterman’s NFL career has mercifully come to an end, after the Bills cut him. Not sure what took them so long, but Josh Allen is almost ready to play again, so Peterman was released.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, November 14

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PHILADELPHIA (9 - 6) at ORLANDO (6 - 8) - 11/14/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 108-80 ATS (+20.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 75-99 ATS (-33.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (2 - 11) at WASHINGTON (4 - 9) - 11/14/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 48-67 ATS (-25.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 33-51 ATS (-23.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 41-57 ATS (-21.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 409-480 ATS (-119.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 115-159 ATS (-59.9 Units) in November games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (4 - 10) at BOSTON (7 - 6) - 11/14/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 64-46 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 8-5 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-5 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (6 - 6) at TORONTO (12 - 2) - 11/14/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (5 - 8) at BROOKLYN (6 - 8) - 11/14/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 127-167 ATS (-56.7 Units) in November games since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 52-35 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 224-181 ATS (+24.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (4 - 10) at OKLAHOMA CITY (8 - 5) - 11/14/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-45 ATS (-19.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (7 - 6) at MINNESOTA (5 - 9) - 11/14/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 46-71 ATS (-32.1 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (7 - 5) at MILWAUKEE (10 - 3) - 11/14/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 89-62 ATS (+20.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 408-478 ATS (-117.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 272-325 ATS (-85.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (7 - 6) at DALLAS (5 - 8) - 11/14/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 416-339 ATS (+43.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 8-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (7 - 5) at PHOENIX (2 - 11) - 11/14/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 176-135 ATS (+27.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 1053-925 ATS (+35.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 838-715 ATS (+51.5 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 341-280 ATS (+33.0 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 218-153 ATS (+49.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 426-344 ATS (+47.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
PHOENIX is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (10 - 3) at LA LAKERS (7 - 6) - 11/14/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 55-37 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 6-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 8-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, November 14

Philly won seven of its last ten games; they’re 2-5 on road, 0-2 as AF. Sixers’ last three games went over total. Magic won four of their last six games; they’re 3-5 at home, 2-4 as HU. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. 76ers won their last four games with Orlando; Sixers covered five of last six series games., including last four played here. Over is 9-1 in last ten series games.

Cavaliers hammered the Hornets last nite; they lost five of last six games but covered three of last four. Last six Cleveland games stayed under total. Washington won its last two games after a 2-9 start; they’re 2-3 at home, 2-2 as HF. Last three Wizard games went over. Cleveland won six of its last eight games with Washington; Cavaliers are 4-2 vs spread in their last six visits here. Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

Chicago split its last four games, covered five of last seven. Bulls are 2-4 on road, 3-3 as AU. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Boston is back from a 1-4 road trip; they’re 3-1 at home, 2-2 as HF. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Celtics won/covered seven of last eight games with Chicago; Bulls are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Beantown (over 5-0).

Pistons coach Casey takes on his old team for first time. Detroit lost six of its last eight games; they’re 3-3 on road, 2-1 as AU. Over is 4-2 in their road games. Toronto won six of its last seven games; they’re 7-1 at home, 5-3 as HF. Under is 4-2 in their last six games. Raptors won their last six games with Detroit; under is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Pistons are 2-2 vs spread in their last four visits to Canada.

Miami lost six of its last eight games; they’re 2-3 on road, 0-2 as HF. Eight of their last ten games went over the total. Brooklyn is 6-8 but lost star LeVert Monday; they’re 3-3 at home, 2-2 as HU. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Nets won their last three games with Miami; under is 7-1 in last eight series games. Heat covered four of its last five visits to Brooklyn.

New York lost four of its last five games; they’re 2-5 on road, 3-3 as AU. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Thunder won eight of their last nine games; they’re 5-2 at home, covering last four tries as a HF. Three of their last four games stayed under. Knicks lost four of last five games with Oklahoma City; NY is 1-4 vs spread in its last five visits to OKC. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Streaky New Orleans won its last three games; they’re 2-5 on road, 3-4 as AU. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Timberwolves lost five of their last six games; they’re 5-1 at home, 3-1 as HF. Five of their last six games stayed under. Minnesota won/covered its last four games with New Orleans; Pelicans are 1-3 vs spread in their last four visits here. Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Memphis lost three of its last five games; they’re 2-4 on road, 2-2 as AU. For of their last five games stayed under. Milwaukee split its last six games after a 7-0 start; they’re 6-0 at home, 5-1 vs spread. Over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Bucks won four of last five games with Memphis; home side won eight of last nine series games. Grizzlies are 1-4 vs spread in their last five visits to Milwaukee. Last three series games went over the total.

Utah won its last three games; they’re 5-2 on road, 2-2 as an AF. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Mavericks won three of last four games, with the loss by 15 at Utah; they’re 4-2 at home, 2-1 as HU. Over is 4-2 in their home games. Jazz won their last five games with Dallas; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Dallas. Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

San Antonio lost three of its last four games; they’re 2-3 on road, 1-1 as AF. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Suns lost 11 of last 12 games; they’re 2-5 at home, 4-3 as HU. Five of their last seven games stayed under the total. Spurs won their last five games with Phoenix (4-1 vs spread); they’re 4-3 vs spread in last seven visits to the desert. Four of last five series games stayed under.

Portland won/covered seven of its last eight games; they’re 3-1 on road, 2-1 as AU. Under is 7-1 in their last eight games. Lakers won five of their last six games; they’re 4-3 at home, 0-5 as HF. Last six Laker games stayed under the total. Lakers won by 4 at Portland 11 days ago, ending 9-game series skid; Trailblazers won/covered their last four series games played here. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Wednesday, November 14

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Trend Report
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Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Washington
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Wizards
Washington is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games
Washington is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 13 games
Washington is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland


Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Philadelphia's last 15 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Orlando
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Philadelphia is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando Magic
Orlando is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Orlando is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Orlando's last 16 games
Orlando is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Orlando is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Orlando is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Orlando is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


Miami Heat
Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games
Miami is 5-9-2 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Miami is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Brooklyn
Miami is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games at home
Brooklyn is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games at home
Brooklyn is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Miami
Brooklyn is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 8 games when playing Miami
Brooklyn is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
Brooklyn is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami


Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Chicago is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games
Chicago is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Chicago is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Chicago is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boston
Chicago is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing Boston
Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Chicago is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Celtics
Boston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
Boston is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games at home
Boston is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games at home
Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games when playing Chicago
Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago
Boston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago


Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Detroit's last 18 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Toronto's last 15 games
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 10 games at home
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Toronto is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Toronto's last 18 games when playing at home against Detroit


Memphis Grizzlies
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Memphis is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games on the road
Memphis is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Milwaukee
Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Milwaukee is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games
Milwaukee is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games at home
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Milwaukee is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Memphis
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis


New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
New Orleans is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
New Orleans is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Orleans's last 11 games when playing Minnesota
New Orleans is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 11 games when playing New Orleans
Minnesota is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans


New York Knicks
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
New York is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New York is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 9 games on the road
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
New York is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Oklahoma City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
Oklahoma City is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against New York


Utah Jazz
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 9 games
Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Utah is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 9 games on the road
Utah is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Dallas
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 8 games when playing Dallas
Utah is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Utah is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Dallas is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing Utah
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Utah
Dallas is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Utah
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah


San Antonio Spurs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
San Antonio is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
San Antonio is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games on the road
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
San Antonio is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Phoenix is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games
Phoenix is 3-19 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Phoenix is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Antonio


Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Portland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games
Portland is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
Portland is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games when playing LA Lakers
Portland is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 8 games when playing LA Lakers
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
LA Lakers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
LA Lakers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games at home
LA Lakers is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Portland
LA Lakers is 1-16 SU in its last 17 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 8 games when playing Portland
LA Lakers is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
LA Lakers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game of the Night: Blazers at Lakers – 10:35 PM EST – ESPN

Both these Western Conference squads are hitting their stride as Portland and Los Angeles meet up for the third time this season. The Blazers (10-3 SU, 10-3 ATS) sit atop the Northwest division after winning seven of its previous eight games to leap-frog Denver for the top spot. Portland finished off a 5-1 homestand by holding off Boston, 100-94 as two-point favorites on Sunday as Damian Lillard paced the Blazers with 19 points and 12 assists.

The Lakers (7-6 SU, 4-9 ATS) have overcome a slow 2-5 start by posting a 5-1 record the last six games to sneak above the .500 mark. LeBron James led Los Angeles with 26 points and the go-ahead dunk in the final seconds of Sunday’s narrow 107-106 home triumph over Atlanta, but the Lakers failed to cash as 11 ½-point favorites. The Lakers have won four of their last five games at Staples Center after starting 0-2 at home, while the Purple and Gold have cashed the UNDER in six straight contests.

The Blazers captured the first matchup of the season by spoiling James’ debut with the Lakers on opening night at the Moda Center, 128-119. Portland cashed as three-point favorites in a back-and-forth game that saw L.A. convert only 7-of-30 three-point attempts. The Lakers rebounded in the second meeting on November 3 in Portland with a 114-110 triumph as 3 ½-point underdogs, highlighted by a 32-16 third quarter to overcome a one-point halftime deficit.

The Butler Will Do It

Following a month of “Will He or Won’t He Get Traded,” the Wolves finally pulled the plug on Jimmy Butler’s time in Minnesota and traded the disgruntled swingman to Philadelphia. The 76ers (9-6 SU, 6-9 ATS) are lining themselves up to be a threat to win the Eastern Conference along with the Celtics, Raptors, and Bucks.

Butler is expected to suit up for the Sixers as they wrap up their three-game road trip in Orlando. Philadelphia rebounded from a late meltdown in an overtime loss at Memphis to defeat Miami on Monday, 124-114 as 2 ½-point underdogs. Joel Embiid dominated in the middle for Philadelphia by scoring 35 points and pulling down 18 rebounds, while the 76ers knocked down 15 three-pointers. The victory was only the second in eight opportunities away from Wells Fargo Center, while the 76ers own an 0-2 SU/AT mark in the role of a road favorite.

The Magic (6-8 SU, 6-8 ATS) have come back to life after beginning the season at 2-6 by winning four of their past six games. Orlando and Washington matched each other point for point through three quarters on Monday before the Wizards pulled away for a 117-109 victory to grab the narrow cover as 8 ½-point favorites. The Magic cashed as hefty 12 ½-point underdogs at Philadelphia on October 20 in a 116-115 setback, as Evan Fournier dropped in six treys and scored 31 points for Orlando.

You Again?

By the time mid-November hits, the Jazz (7-6 SU, 7-6 ATS) will have played the Grizzlies and Mavericks each three times. Utah finally beat Memphis for the first time in three tries on Monday as a short road favorite, while the Jazz seek their third victory over the Mavericks on Wednesday. In the first matchup at American Airlines Center on October 28, the Jazz held off the Mavs, 113-104 to cash as 4 ½-point favorites, led by Rudy Gobert’s double-double (23 points, 16 rebounds).

In the second meeting in Salt Lake City last Wednesday, Utah halted a four-game slide by blasting Dallas, 117-102 to cover as 9 ½-point favorites. Utah improved to 8-1 in the past nine meetings with Dallas since the start of the 2016-17 season, including five straight wins at home.

Now, the Mavericks (5-8 SU, 8-5 ATS) return to the Lone Star State after picking up their first road win in seven tries this season at Chicago on Monday. Dallas has won four of six contests at American Airlines Center, including recent double-digit victories over Oklahoma City and Washington. The Mavs have also cashed in four of six opportunities as an underdog, while seeking their first three-game winning streak of the season.

Strap it Up

The Spurs (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS) had won 19 of their previous meetings with the Kings before getting tripped up at Sacramento on Monday as short favorites. Now, San Antonio continues its road trip at Phoenix, looking to beat the Suns for the second time this season. In the first matchup at Talking Stick Resort Arena on Halloween night, the Spurs rolled the Suns, 120-90 as 6 ½-point favorites, as DeMar DeRozan knocked down 10-of-12 shots to pace San Antonio with 25 points.

The Suns (2-11 SU, 5-8 ATS) are back in the Valley following back-to-back road double-digit losses at New Orleans and Oklahoma City. Phoenix has dropped four straight overall, but has covered in three of its previous four home contests, including ATS victories in losses to Boston and Toronto. The Suns have finished UNDER the total in four of the last five home games, while the Spurs have gone UNDER in five of the past six games overall.

Double-Digit Home Favorite Traps?

(Part I)

The Celtics (7-6 SU, 4-9 ATS) have been one of the worst teams to back through the first month of the season. Boston stumbled on its recent road trip by losing four of five games with the only victory coming at Phoenix after the Celtics trailed by 22. The C’s failed to cash in all five road contests, including three losses as an underdog at Denver, Utah, and Portland. Boston returns home to host Chicago as a heavy favorite, as the Celtics own an 0-4 ATS record as chalk of eight points or more.

The Bulls (4-10 SU, 8-6 ATS) begin a rough stretch the next four days by heading to Boston tonight, Milwaukee on Friday, and hosting Toronto on Saturday. Chicago has scored less than 100 points in four of the past five games, while hitting the UNDER in six of the previous seven contests. The Bulls have covered in three straight road games, including as an 11-point underdog at New Orleans on November 7.

(Part II)

The Bucks (10-3 SU, 8-4-1 ATS) put their 6-0 home record on the line as the Grizzlies make their first visit to Fiserv Forum. Milwaukee split its four-game road trip as the Bucks lost in both favorite opportunities to the Blazers and Clippers, but shocked the Warriors and Nuggets as underdogs. Playing in the brand new Fiserv Forum, the Bucks have thrived as not only are their unbeaten but have won every home game by 11 points or more.

The Grizzlies (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS) suffered their first home loss of the season on Monday against Utah, halting a two-game winning streak. Memphis has lost three of its past four road contests, including a 117-101 defeat at Golden State on November 5. The Grizzlies were swept by the Bucks last season, while losing four of the past five meetings with the last win in Milwaukee coming in January 2014.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, November 14


Philadelphia @ Orlando

Game 701-702
November 14, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
123.299
Orlando
109.693
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 13 1/2
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 6
219 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-6); Under

Cleveland @ Washington

Game 703-704
November 14, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
107.552
Washington
120.976
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 13 1/2
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 11 1/2
219
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-11 1/2); Under

Chicago @ Boston

Game 705-706
November 14, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
111.273
Boston
119.783
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 8 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 12
209
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+12); Over

Detroit @ Toronto

Game 707-708
November 14, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
115.416
Toronto
120.915
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 5 1/2
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 9 1/2
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+9 1/2); Over

Miami @ Brooklyn

Game 709-710
November 14, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
112.785
Brooklyn
117.698
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 5
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 2
218
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+2); Over

New York @ Oklahoma City

Game 711-712
November 14, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
113.334
Oklahoma City
115.298
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 8 1/2
215
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+8 1/2); Over

New Orleans @ Minnesota

Game 713-714
November 14, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
116.212
Minnesota
120.775
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 4 1/2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
236 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-1 1/2); Under

Memphis @ Milwaukee

Game 715-716
November 14, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
117.382
Milwaukee
130.413
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 13
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 10
215
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-10); Under

Utah @ Dallas

Game 717-718
November 14, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
116.090
Dallas
120.629
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 4 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 4 1/2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+4 1/2); Over

San Antonio @ Phoenix

Game 719-720
November 14, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
110.739
Phoenix
111.407
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 1
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 5
212
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+5); Over

Portland @ LA Lakers

Game 721-722
November 14, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
121.390
LA Lakers
125.542
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 4
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 2 1/2
225
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(-2 1/2); Under

[Udog]

NBA's Best ATS Teams (based on cover %):

1. Trailblazers 10-3 ATS
t2. Kings 9-5 ATS
t2. Hornets 9-5 ATS
4. Bucks 8-4-1 ATS
t5. Mavericks 8-5 ATS
t5. Thunder 8-5 ATS
t5. Clippers 8-5 ATS
8. Grizzlies 7-5 ATS


NBA's Worst ATS Teams (based on cover %):

t28. Lakers 4-9 ATS
t28. Wizards 4-9 ATS
t28. Celtics 4-9 ATS
t26. Suns 5-8 ATS
t26. Heat 5-8 ATS
t26. Rockets 5-8 ATS
25. 76ers 6-9 ATS


NBA's Top OVER Teams (sorted by Over %):

t1. Bucks 10-3
t1. Heat 10-3
3. Raps 10-4
t4. Jazz 9-4
t4. Wizards 9-4
6. Pelicans 8-5
7. 76ers 9-6
t8. Clippers 7-6
t8. Mavericks 7-6


NBA's Top UNDER Teams (based on Under %):

1. Nuggets 9-4-1
t2. Magic 9-5
t2. Bulls 9-5
4. Grizzlies 8-4
5. Cavaliers 8-5
t6. Hornets 8-6
t6. Timberwolves 8-6
8. Lakers 7-5-1

[Udog]

🏀NBA ROSTER ALERT🏀

Jimmy Butler will start tonight vs Orlando in his 76ers debut.
Philadelphia has gone 9-6 O/U and 6-9 ATS so far this season.
Current Odds for tonight's matchup:
76ers: -6
Total: 218

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 14
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

PHI at ORL 07:00 PM
PHI -6.0
O 218.0

CLE at WAS 07:00 PM
CLE +11.5
O 216.0

MIA at BK 07:30 PM
BK +1.5
U 215.5

DET at TOR 07:30 PM
TOR -10.0
O 221.0

CHI at BOS 07:30 PM
BOS -13.0
U 212.0

NO at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN +1.5
O 236.0

MEM at MIL 08:00 PM
MIL -10.0
O 214.0

NY at OKC 08:00 PM
OKC -9.0
O 216.0

UTA at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL +5.0
O 212.0

SA at PHO 09:00 PM
SA -5.5
U 213.0

POR at LAL 10:30 PM
POR +3.0
U 223.0

[StarDust Bum]

Pistons beat Raptors 106-104 in Casey's return to Toronto
November 14, 2018
By The Associated Press

TORONTO (AP) Reggie Bullock made the winning shot as time expired and the Detroit Pistons rallied from a 19-point deficit to beat the Toronto Raptors 106-104 on Wednesday night, giving coach Dwane Casey a victory over his former team.

Blake Griffin had 30 points and 12 rebounds, Reggie Jackson and Langston Galloway each scored 13 points and Stanley Johnson had 12 for the Pistons. They had lost six of eight.

Kawhi Leonard scored 26 points and Pascal Siakam and Greg Monroe each had 17 for the Raptors. They have lost consecutive home games after a 7-0 start. Toronto (12-3) also failed to match the best start in franchise history. The Raptors went 13-2 to begin the 2014-15 season.

Toronto had won six straight over the Pistons, and nine of the previous 11 meetings.

GRIZZLIES 116, BUCKS 113

MILWAUKEE (AP) - Marc Gasol scored 29 points, Mike Conley added 26 and Memphis used a late 15-2 run to hand Milwaukee its first home loss of the season.

After losing a 15-point lead in the third quarter, Memphis surged ahead again late and held on with key baskets from Conley. With the shot clock winding down, Conley hit a turnaround jumper in the middle of the lane for a 113-109 lead with 26 seconds left.

Conley also hit two foul shots with 9.9 seconds left for a four-point lead, though Shelvin Mack went 1 of 2 at the line with 2.1 seconds left to give the Bucks one last chance trailing by three.

The Bucks inbounded the ball to their best 3-point shooter, Khris Middleton, but he missed near the top of the arc with two defenders in his face as time expired. Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 31 points, and Middleton added 25 for the Bucks.

MAGIC 111, 76ERS 106

ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) - Jimmy Butler had 14 points in his Philadelphia debut, but the 76ers collapsed late and lost to Orlando after Terrence Ross hit a tiebreaking 3-pointer with 8.7 seconds.

Butler played 33 minutes and shot 6 for 12 from the field. The four-time All-Star was acquired Monday from Minnesota in a five-player trade.

Orlando scored 21 straight points in the fourth quarter, then held the 76ers without a field goal over the final 3 1/2 minutes. Nikola Vucevic had 30 points, making two free throws with 5.8 seconds left.

Joel Embiid finished with a triple-double of 19 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists for the 76ers. J.J. Redick led Philadelphia with 22 points but committed two turnovers in the final 31 seconds.

TIMBERWOLVES 107, PELICANS 100

MINNEAPOLIS (AP) - Karl-Anthony Towns had 25 points and 16 rebounds, Andrew Wiggins scored 23 points and Minnesota beat New Orleans to to improve to 2-0 since trading Jimmy Butler.

Jeff Teague added 14 points and 14 assists. E'Twaun Moore scored a season-high 31 and Anthony Davis had 29 points and 11 rebounds for the Pelicans.

The game was Minnesota's first with forwards Robert Covington and Dario Saric. They were acquired from the Philadelphia 76ers along with injured guard Jerryd Bayless in exchange for the disgruntled Butler.

Covington started and had 13 points and seven rebounds. Saric added nine points and three rebounds.

MAVERICKS 118, JAZZ 68

DALLAS (AP) - Harrison Barnes scored 19 points and Dallas handed the Jazz their worst loss since moving to Utah.

While in New Orleans, the Jazz lost to Milwaukee by 56, 158-102 on March 14, 1979.

Dallas set a franchise mark for the fewest points allowed in a half at 22, giving up 13 in the third quarter and nine in the fourth. The previous record was 23 against Sacramento on Jan. 14, 2012. The 50-point margin of victory was the second-highest in team history behind a 53-point win over Philadelphia.

The Mavericks shot 58 percent, making 43 percent of their 3-point shots.

Ricky Rubio led Utah with 11 points.

THUNDER 128, KNICKS 103

OKLAHOMA CITY (AP) - Paul George scored a season-high 35 points to help Oklahoma City rout New York.

Steven Adams had 19 points and seven rebounds, and Dennis Schroder added 15 points and 12 assists for the Thunder. They have won nine of 10 since an 0-4 start, and improved to 4-1 since point guard Russell Westbrook was sidelined with a sprained left ankle.

Tim Hardaway, Jr. scored 20 points, and Enes Kanter added 19 for the Knicks.

CELTICS 111, BULLS 82

BOSTON (AP) - Kyrie Irving had 17 points and seven assists and Boston routed Chicago.

Jaylen Brown scored 18 points and Jayson Tatum added 14 to help Boston rebound from two straight losses on a 1-4 trip. Gordon Hayward had 11 points, and Al Horford added 10 points and eight rebounds.

Shaquille Harrison led Chicago with 16 points.

WIZARDS 119, CAVALIERS 95

WASHINGTON (AP) - Bradley Beal scored 20 points, Otto Porter added 15 and Washington beat undermanned Cleveland for its third straight victory.

Rookie Collin Sexton had a career-high 24 points for Cleveland. Playing the second of back-to-backs after topping Charlotte on Tuesday night, the Cavaliers are an NBA-worst 2-12.

In addition to forward Kevin Love (foot surgery), the Cavaliers were without starting point guard George Hill (hamstring), forward Sam Dekker (ankle) and forward Kyle Korver (sore right foot).

SUNS 116, SPURS 96

PHOENIX (AP) - T.J. Warren scored 16 of his 27 points in the first half and Phoenix built a big lead, almost lost it and then pulled away to beat San Antonio.

The Suns ended a four-game losing streak to improve to 3-11.

Deandre Ayton added 17 points and 10 rebounds, including a powerful dunk over Davis Bertans early in the fourth quarter. Isaiah Canaan had 19 points and made all five of his 3-pointers, Devin Booker had 13 points and 12 assists and the Suns shot a season-high 56 percent.

DeMar DeRozan had 24 points for the Spurs.

HEAT 120, NETS 107

NEW YORK (AP) - Tyler Johnson scored a season-high 24 points, Goran Dragic had 21 and Miami beat Brooklyn to snap a three-game losing streak.

Josh Richardson added 15 points and Hassan Whiteside had 14 points and 10 rebounds for the Heat. They never trailed and led by as much as 23.

Spencer Dinwiddie scored 18 points for the Nets in their first game since losing leading scorer Caris LeVert to a dislocated right foot.

SUNS 116, SPURS 96

LAKERS 126, BLAZERS 117

[StarDust Bum]

SCHEDULE FOR THURSDAY NOVEMBER 15, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home Site
8:05 PM Golden State Warriors Houston Rockets Toyota Center
9:05 PM Atlanta Hawks Denver Nuggets Pepsi Center
10:35 PM San Antonio Spurs Los Angeles Clippers Staples Center


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NBA November's Best Bets and Opinions

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

11/14/2018 8-14-0 36.36% -37.00
11/13/2018 1-5-0 16.67% -22.50
11/12/2018 12-5-1 70.59% +32.50
11/11/2018 4-7-0 36.36% -18.50
11/10/2018 12-8-0 60.00% +16.00
11/09/2018 10-4-0 71.43% +28.00
11/08/2018 1-6-0 14.29% -28.00
11/07/2018 9-11-0 45.00% -15.50
11/06/2018 3-5-0 37.50% -12.50
11/05/2018 9-4-1 69.23% +23.00
11/04/2018 5-9-0 35.71% -24.50
11/03/2018 9-6-1 60.00% +12.00
11/02/2018 5-10-1 33.33% -30.00
11/01/2018 5-6-0 45.45% -8.00

Totals............93-100-3......48.18%....-85.10


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Best Bets For November

DATE........................ATS..................U NITS....................O/U................UNITS..............TOTAL

11/14/2018.............3 - 4..................-7.00.....................3 - 7...............-23.50..............-30.50
11/13/2018.............0 - 3..................-16.50...................1 - 2................-6.00................-22.50
11/12/2018.............2 - 1..................+4.50...................5 - 0................+25.00.............+29.50
11/11/2018.............1 - 3..................-11.50...................1 - 3...............-11.50...............-23.00
11/10/2018.............5 - 3..................+8.50....................5 - 2...............+14.00............+22.50
11/09/2018.............4 - 0..................+20.00..................4 - 2...............+9.00..............+29.00
11/08/2018.............0 - 3..................-16.50...................1 - 3...............-11.50...............-28.00
11/07/2018.............2 - 4..................-12.00...................5 - 4...............+5.00................-7.00
11/06/2018.............2 - 2..................-1.00.....................1 - 3...............-11.50..............-12.50
11/05/2018.............4 - 1..................+14.50..................2 - 2...............-1.00...............+13.50
11/04/2018.............3 - 2..................+4.00....................2 - 4...............-12.00...............-8.00
11/03/2018.............4 - 2..................+9.00....................4 - 3...............+3.50..............+12.50
11/02/2018.............3 - 2..................+4.00....................2 - 5...............-17.50..............-13.50
11/01/2018.............1 - 4..................-17.00....................2 - 1................+4.50.............-12.50

Totals...................34 - 34.................-17.00...................38- 41..............-33.50..............-50.50

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday’s 6-pack

Odds to make the NFL playoffs this season:

Chicago Bears -350 (75.2%)

Carolina Panthers -260 (68.4%)

Baltimore Ravens +200 (31.6%)

Cincinnati Bengals +200 (31.6%)

Dallas Cowboys +200 (31.6%)

Atlanta Falcons +300 (23.8%)

Quote of the Day
“Nobody ever talks about Kevin’s free agency. It doesn’t bother any of us. This is the NBA. There are guys that are either under contract or are upcoming free agents. It’s the business. We are focused on this year. I didn’t think anybody in our locker room or anyone on our coaching staff thinks twice about Kevin’s free agency this summer. That’s next summer. We are coaching this year and we are playing this year.”
Steve Kerr

Thursday’s quiz
Portland Trailblazers have excellent guards, Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum; where did they play their college basketball?

Wednesday’s quiz
LSU’s basketball arena is named after the late Pete Maravich.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Hoosiers, the climactic basketball scenes were shot in Butler’s Hinkle Fieldhouse.


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Thursday’s List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) Lot of college basketball games in November are awful; mismatches and teams just scheduling easy wins, but Tuesday I was highly entertained by two excellent games.

Memphis-LSU was great entertainment; Penny Hardaway will build a power with the Tigers, and LSU has a strong young team, also. Both teams played fast and played well.

Georgetown-Illinois was fun to watch; Illini PG got a concussion during the afternoon walk-thru and didn’t play, which brings up a pet peeve of mine.

12) Some coaches are insane; they have these “walk-thrus” on game day but there are guys who turn them into practices— put it this way, you can’t get a concussion while walking. Having a practice on game day takes energy away from the game, which is all that matters. Getting your point guard hurt during a practice on game day is bleeping stupid.

Patrick Ewing’s team has upgraded its talent in his second year on the job, but they got a gift here when the other team’s point guard got hurt.

11) Draymond Green’s one-game suspension cost him $120,000, which is pocket change to Green, but the public nature of it makes it way more significant than that. Green has been the heart of this Warrior dynasty; the most important player isn’t always the best player.

10) Chiefs-Rams line is now 3.5, moving up from 2 or 2.5 when game was scheduled to be played in Mexico City. Total doesn’t seem to have moved, staying at 63.5, the highest NFL total ever.

9) Michigan 73, Villanova 46— Some alum gave Villanova so much money they named their gym after him, then they had FS1 interview him during the game. Too bad he couldn’t play; Michigan avenged (somewhat) their loss to Villanova in the national title game last April.

This game was 44-17 at halftime. Wow.

8) SEC decided to make Nashville the permanent home of its conference basketball tourney, signing a deal to keep the event in Music City thru 2035.

7) IUPUI 76, Boston College 69— Jaguars from the Horizon League were 16-point underdogs; a 6-3 guard named Camron Justice torched the Eagles for 29 points.

6) Magic 111, 76ers 106— Philly led by 16 early in 4th quarter, losing Jimmy Butler’s debut with the 76ers. Orlando is 7-8 and appears to be an improved team- their last winning season was seven years ago.

5) Timberwolves 107, Pelicans 100— Minnesota’s first game with Saric/Covington; from this point on, their record will be measured against Philly, because of the big trade.

4) Pistons 106, Raptors 104— Reggie Bullock scored on an out-of-bounds play at the buzzer as Dwane Casey won his return to Toronto after the Raptors fired him last spring, despite a regular season record of 320-238 (21-30 in playoffs).

3) Radford 63, Notre Dame 60— Not as big an upset as we’d think; Radford won the Big South LY, won a play-in game, then lost to Villanova in NCAA’s. Highlanders were only a 12.5-point underdog; they’re in top 20 nationally in experience, top 50 in minutes continuity and they play a slow tempo, so they’re hard to guard.

2) Singer Billy Idol became a US citizen this week; good to see people who are so happy when they become citizens. This country was built by immigrants, something we shouldn’t forget.

1) NFL flexed the Steelers-Raiders game out of the Sunday night slot on December 9 (Week 14) and instead will show Rams-Bears on NBC. Should be nice and balmy in Chicago for a night game on December 9th. Do they think of the fans in Chicago who pay to go to these games?