The bum's 2020-2921 nfl news, trends, picks !

[Udog]

Gridiron Angles - Week 8
Vince Akins

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:
Matchup: Minnesota at Green Bay
-- The Vikings are 12-0 ATS (9.00 ppg) since Nov 01, 2009 coming off a loss where they had a player with over 110 receiving yards.


NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:
Matchup: Pittsburgh at Baltimore
-- The Ravens are 0-11-2 ATS (-5.92 ppg) since Dec 24, 2011 as a favorite coming off a game as a favorite where they allowed at least 24 points.


TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:
Matchup: Pittsburgh at Baltimore
-- The Steelers are 8-0 ATS (7.19 ppg) since Oct 14, 2018 coming off a game where James Conner ran for at least 75 yards.


NFL O/U OVER TREND:
Matchup: Tennessee at Cincinnati
-- The Titans are 13-0-1 OU (12.00 ppg) since Dec 30, 2012 and as a favorite coming off a game where they had less than 28 minutes time of possession and allowed at least 14 points.


NFL O/U UNDER TREND:
Matchup: New Orleans at Chicago
-- The Bears are 0-14-1 OU (-8.53 ppg) since Oct 04, 2015 at home coming off a game as a dog where they failed to cover.


NFL CHOICE TREND:
Matchup: L.A. Chargers at Denver
-- The Chargers are 0-11 OU (-8.64 ppg) since Dec 24, 2015 when they are coming off a win and a playing a team below .500 on the season.


Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Udog]

Armadillo: NFL leaders in net punting this year:

48.0— Jack Fox, Det
46.8— Jake Bailey, NE
45.3— Cameron Johnston, Phil
44.6— Michael Dickson, Sea
44.2— Tress Way, Wash
43.3— Rigoberto Sanchez, Ind

[StarDust Bum]

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 1

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIN at GB 01:00 PM
MIN +5.5
U 48.0
+500 +500

LAR at MIA 01:00 PM
MIA +3.5
O 46.5
+500 +500

LV at CLE 01:00 PM
LV +1.0
U 47.0
+500 +500

PIT at BAL 01:00 PM
BAL -4.0
O 44.0
+500 +500

NYJ at KC 01:00 PM
NYJ +20.0
O 49.0
+500 +500

TEN at CIN 01:00 PM
TEN -7.5
O 49.5
+500 +500

NE at BUF 01:00 PM
NE +4.0
U 41.0
+500 +500

IND at DET 01:00 PM
IND -3.5
U 49.0
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

LATE GAMES:

LAC at DEN 04:05 PM
LAC -3.0
U 44.5
+500 +500

SF at SEA 04:25 PM
SF +1.0
O 54.0
+500 +500

NO at CHI 04:25 PM
NO -5.5
U 41.0
+500 +500

DAL at PHI 08:20 PM
PHI -10.5
U 42.5
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

COMPLETED PICKS

Past Completed Picks

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

11/01/2020 11-13-0 45.83% -1650 Detail

[StarDust Bum]

Monday’s 6-pack
Home favorites/underdogs in college football conferences:

AAC— 5-9-1 home favorites, 4-4 home underdogs
ACC— 11-10-1 HF, 10-5 HU
Big 14— 3-3 HF, 3-3 HU
Big X— 9-5-1 HF, 4-7 HU
C-USA— 2-12 HF, 3-3 HU
Mountain West— 4-1 HF, 3-3 HU
SEC— 9-8 HF, 10-8 HU
Sun Belt— 7-4 HF, 5-2 HU

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 230,626
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“This is what we have, this is our staff, these are our players. So right now, what we gotta do as a group is figure this out — why we’re blowing these leads that we’re getting, and why we’re not finishing games, like we need to, in the fourth quarter. We did it last week, and we didn’t do it this week. It’s too soon for changes right now.”
Chargers’ coach Anthony Lynn

Monday’s quiz
When the Bears won their only Super Bowl, who did they beat?

Sunday’s quiz
When the Chicago Bears won their only Super Bowl title, Jim McMahon was their QB.

Saturday’s quiz
Atlantic 10 basketball conference has three teams whose mascot is a Ram; Rhode Island, Fordham and Virginia Commonwealth.

***************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Buffalo 24, Patriots 21
— Newton fumbled on the Buffalo 13-yard line in last minute.
— Patriots lost last four games, scoring four TD’s on 39 drives, with 12 turnovers.
— New England is 0-3 on the road losing 35-30/26-10/24-21.
— In his career as a head coach, Belichick is now 58-71 without Brady.

— Bills beat New England for only 6th tine in last 41 tries.
— Buffalo scored 24 points in four red zone drives; NE scored 10 points on three drives.
— Bills ran for 190 yards; Singletary had 86, Moss 81
— Six of Buffalo’s eight games went over the total.

Steelers 28, Baltimore 24
— Steelers won their first seven games (6-1 ATS), scoring 30.1 ppg.
— Steelers are 9-2 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.
— Over is 4-1-1 in Pittsburgh’s last six games.
— Steelers won two of last three visits to Baltimore.

— Ravens outgained Pittsburgh 457-221, but turned ball over four times (-3).
— Jackson threw pick-6 in first minute of game; he completed only 13-28 passes.
— Baltimore is 10-17 ATS in last 27 games as a home favorite, 2-2 this year.
— Penalties: Steelers 3-30 yards, Ravens 9-110

Colts 41, Detroit 21
— Colts won five of their last six games.
— Indy scored two TD’s 0:08 apart early in fourth quarter.
— Colts outrushed Detroit 119-29.
— Indy is 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 post-bye games.

— Colts’ first three drives: 22 plays, 62 yards, no points.
— Indy’s last seven drives: 46 plays, 324 yards, 34 points.
— Lions allowed 27+ points in their four losses; 23-16-22 in their wins.
— Lions are 7-11 ATS in last 18 games as a home underdog.

Vikings 28, Green Bay 22
— Dalvin Cook: 30 carries 163 yards; 2 catches 63 yards, four TD’s.
— Cousins threw only 14 passes the whole game (10.1 yards/attempt).
— Minnesota covered four of its last five games overall.
— Vikings’ first four drives: 36 plays, 288 yards, 28 points.

— Green Bay’s first two drives: 28 plays, 147 yards, 14 points.
— Green Bay rest of the game: 38 plays, 214 yards, 8 points.
— Last four Green Bay games stayed under the total.
— Vikings are 3-2-1 SU in last six visits to Lambeau.

Cincinnati 31, Titans 20
— Titans are 4-0 when they score 31+ points, 1-2 when they don’t.
— Unusual thing; neither team went 3/out the whole game.
— Titans are 6-10 ATS in last 16 games as a road favorite.
— While in college at Texas A&M, Titans’ QB Tannehill was moved from WR to QB by Mike Sherman, who is father-in-law of Bengals’ coach Taylor.

— Bengals converted 10-15 third down plays.
— Cincinnati is 6-1-1 ATS this season.
— Bengals’ last six drives: 54 plays, 331 yards, 28 points.
— Cincinnati won five of last seven series games.

Raiders 16, Cleveland 6
— Raiders outgained Cleveland 309-223 on a windy day by Lake Erie.
— First Raider game this season that stayed under total.
— Raiders are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
— AFC West non-divisional road teams are 7-1-2 ATS.

— Browns scored 37.2 ppg in their wins, 6-7-6 points in their losses.
— Cleveland gained only 223 yards, had 14 first downs.
— Browns, Jets, Dallas were only teams that didn’t score a TD Sunday.
— Browns were outscored in second half in six of their eight games.

Kansas City 35, Jets 9
— Winless Jets are 1-7 ATS, losing road games by 10-29-24-26 points.
— Jets have been outscored 81-25 in 2nd half of their last six games.
— Jets are 8-20-2 ATS in last 29 games as a road underdog, 0-3 TY.
— First four times Jets had ball, they tried a FG, making three of them.

— Mahomes threw for 419 yards; Chiefs scored TD’s on 3 of first 4 drives.
— KC allowed 20 or fewer points in their wins, 40 points in their loss.
— Chiefs are 20-11 ATS in last 31 games as a home favorite, 3-2 TY.
— Five of their last seven games stayed under the total.

Miami 28, Rams 17
— Miami had four takeaways, ran punt back for a TD in first half.
— Dolphins allowed 17 or fewer points in their wins; 21-31-31 in losses.
— Miami is 13-9-1 ATS in last 23 games as a home underdog.
— Dolphins are first team since ’04 Colts to lead three games in a row at halftime, all by 18+ points.

— Tell your statistics to shut up: Rams outgained Miami 471-145 (not a misprint)
— Kupp caught 11 passes for 110 yards; he was targeted 21 times.
— Rams lost last five visits to Miami; their last win there was in 1976.
— LA has outscored opponents 103-32 in second half of games.

Saints 26, Chicago 23 OT
— New Orleans won its last four games, by 6-3-3-3 points.
— Saints allowed 23-29-27-24-23 points in their wins, 34-37 in losses.
— Saints won despite converting only 2-13 third down plays.
— All seven of their games this year went over the total.

— Bears led 13-3 in 2nd quarter, but Saints scored TD with 0:03 left in half.
— Chicago’s first four drives in 2nd half: 15 plays, 14 yards, zero points.
— Foles was sacked five times; Saints won field position by 9 yards.
— Bears lost their last six games with New Orleans.

Seattle 37, 49ers 27
— 49ers allowed 16 or fewer points in their wins, 24-25-43-37 in their losses.
— Niners ran ball 22 times for only 52 yards.
— 49ers trailed 30-7 before scoring three TD’s in garbage time.
— Garoppolo, Kittle left this game early with injuries.

— Seattle won six of its first seven games, scoring 35.7 ppg.
— Seahawks have scored 32 TD’s on 72 drives this season.
— Seattle converted 9-15 third down plays in this game.
— Seahawks five 2nd half drives: 38 plays, 203 yards, 24 points.
— Six of their seven games went over the total.

Denver 31, LA Chargers 30:
— Broncos drove 81 yards, scored winning TD as time expired.
— Denver’s last three drives: 25 plays, 236 yards, 21 points.
— Broncos are 9-5-1 ATS in last 15 games as a home underdog.
— Denver won 11 of last 14 series games.
— Chargers lost seven of last eight visits to Denver.

— LA led this game 24-3 with 7:00 left in third quarter.
— Since Week 2 of last year, Chargers are 2-14 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Chargers lost five of last six games, with two losses in OT.
— Chargers outgained Denver 485-351, but blew that big lead.
— Last four Charger games went over the total.

Philadelphia 23, Dallas 9
— Cowboys were outscored 86-22 in last three games.
— Last six games, Dallas is minus-14 in turnovers.
— Dallas lost its first four road games, 20-18/38-31/25-3/23-9.
— Cowboys are 4-8-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
— Cowboys are 0-8 ATS this year, joining ’98 Bengals, ’03 Raiders as last teams to start a season 0-8 ATS.

— Eagles won despite turning ball over four times (-2).
— Teams averaged 3.0/3.2 yards/pass attempt. Not good.
— Teams combined to convert 7-24 third down plays.
— At halfway mark of season, 3-4-1 Eagles lead NFC East.

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 2

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TB at NYG 08:15 PM

TB -13.0

O 46.5

[StarDust Bum]

COMPLETED PICKS

Past Completed Picks

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

11/02/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
11/01/2020 11-13-0 45.83% -1650 Detail

Total...........12-14-0.....46.15%.....-1700

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Interesting NFL spreads for Week 9:
— Green Bay (-2.5) @ San Francisco
— Seattle (-3) @ Buffalo
— Denver @ Atlanta (-4)
— Chicago @ Tennessee (-5.5)
— Detroit @ Minnesota (-4)
— Baltimore (-3) @ Indianapolis

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 231,320
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

Injury Report of the Day
49ers’ quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo is expected to be sidelined a minimum of six weeks after he sprained his ankle Sunday. Nick Mullens is expected to replace Garoppolo under center for Thursday’s game with Green Bay.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Heaven Can Wait, Warren Beatty played a quarterback for the Rams who dies unexpectedly; what number did Beatty’s character wear for the Rams?

Monday’s quiz
When the Bears won their only Super Bowl, they beat New England 46-10.

Sunday’s quiz
When the Chicago Bears won their only Super Bowl title, Jim McMahon was their QB.

******************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Didn’t have any Trick or Treaters Saturday night, so I’m stuck with two bags of candy (Three Musketeers, KitKats) that I’ll have to eat— can’t be wasting good candy.

I was reminded Saturday night that the last time Halloween was on a Saturday, I was in Las Vegas, at the SouthPoint Casino, a terrific place.

That Saturday night, I go downstairs to watch some college football in the sportsbook, but I see them rolling out a red carpet by the front door, complete with TV cameras and everything. I ask the security guard what’s up and he smiles: “Tonight is the Fetish and Fantasy Ball”. Alrighty then.

There are moments when you’re reminded that Las Vegas is different than most anywhere else, and that night was one of those times. They take Halloween very seriously in Las Vegas, and some of the costumes were, how can I say this…….revealing.

Later that night, I’m riding upstairs in an elevator and a couple (in costume) gets on the elevator; he is a prison warden, she is his prisoner, complete with neck and ankle shackles and a prisoner’s uniform ripped in strategic places. The elevator stops at my floor; I wish them well: as I leave the elevator “I know this won’t be a problem, but have a fun night.” They laugh and the elevator door closes.

Halloween is on a Sunday next year? Hmmmm……

12) Every so often watching NFL games, I’m reminded of something I saw on HBO’s Hard Knocks a few years ago, when they had the Houston Texans on.

This was the last episode of the summer, always the best episode of the series; they’ve chosen the Opening Day roster, and now the team has gathered in the lecture center where they have their meetings. Coach Bill O’Brien addresses the team and I’ll never forget his first words:

“Welcome to the most competitive business in the world.”

It is true, there is such a fine line between being really good and regressing into mediocrity, a couple breaks here and there can make all the difference.

11) I’m thinking about current events and all the legal hassles that are likely to ensue over the next few weeks, then I think of the great author John Grisham, sitting in his home, taking notes and getting 2-3 new books ready to roll, based on stuff that is happening now. I love reading his books; he is such a great story teller.

10) Was looking thru the 2020 Baseball Prospect Handbook that Baseball America puts out every winter, and they had Randy Arozarena ranked as the Cardinals’ #10 prospect- this was before he got traded to Tampa Bay.

To say that this guy came out of nowhere to be one of October’s stars this year isn’t an exaggeration; they had him as the #10 prospect out of only one roster, when he turned out to be one of the 2-3 best players in the whole playoffs.

9) Tampa Bay manager Kevin Cash is the only guy who has:
— Played in the Little League World Series
— Played in the College World Series
— Managed in the World Series

8) Weirdest part of the White Sox re-hiring 76-year old Tony LaRussa as manager is that I had forgotten that Hawk Harrelson was once the White Sox’ GM. Oy.

Harrelson was a slugger who quit baseball to try his hand on the pro golf tour- that didn’t last long, but he was popular in Boston because he helped the Red Sox win the pennant in 1967- he hit a combined 65 homers in 1968-69, but didn’t last much longer after that— he was out of baseball at age 29.

But Harrelson can talk, and he got a gig on Red Sox’ TV and then he moved on to the White Sox when he somehow convinced Jerry Reinsdorf to put him on TV in Chicago, where he remained for 30+ years.

In between there, Reinsdorf actually hired him to be the White Sox’ GM, where he fired both LaRussa, a future Hall of Fame manager and 29-year old Dave Dombrowski, who went on to be an excellent executive. Lets just say the GM thing didn’t go too well and back to TV he went.

Just reminds you that just because Reinsdorf owned the Chicago Bulls when Michael Jordan played there doesn’t mean he was this brilliant executive. His ownership of the White Sox has been checkered at best.

7) Pittsburgh Pirates turned down an $11M option on P Chris Archer, so he is now a free agent- on July 31, 2018, they traded Tyler Glasnow and Austin Meadows to get Archer from the Rays, then they cut him loose two years later. No bueno.

6) Since Week 2 of last season, Los Angeles Chargers are 2-14 in games decided by 8 or fewer points. They have a rookie QB now, but the kid has been playing well anyway, and they had Philip Rivers last year, so you tell me where the problem lies.

5) Texas Longhorns might be the most interesting team in college football this season; three of their last five games went to OT and one of the other two games ended 33-31.

4) In their last two games, Baltimore Ravens have 242 penalty yards; might be time to bring a retired referee into practice to help the guys straighten out a little. Ravens have also been outscored 49-20 in second half of their last two games.

3) Troy Aikman was saying last Thursday how the Carolina Panthers practice in pads most Wednesdays, and how they hit in practice more than any other NFL team. Will be curious how that effects them as the season goes on. Do they tackle better because of that? Will they get worn down?

2) TV guys were telling a story the other night about LSU offensive coordinator Steve Ensminger, who played QB at LSU in the late 70’s. Ensminger was telling stories about how when he got to LSU, they had ten quarterbacks on the roster— no scholarship limits back then. Took a little longer to climb the QB ladder back then,

These days, no one has experienced backups, because if they ain’t starting, then they’ll be departing, to a school where that they can start. Both of LSU’s backup QB’s this year are freshmen. LSU’s star last year, Joe Burrow, was a transfer from Ohio State.

1) RIP to the great basketball coach Billy Tubbs, who passed away this week at age 85; Tubbs was ahead of his time- his teams played fast break basketball back when coaches often strangled the game, before the shot clock/3-point shot. His teams were great fun to watch.

Tubbs’ coaching record:
1971-73: Southwestern: 31-24
1976-80: Lamar: 75-46
1980-94: Oklahoma: 333-132
1994-2002: TCU 156-95
2003-06: Lamar 121-89

Tubbs gave his players the freedom to shoot; he WANTED them to shoot quickly, and that helped his recruiting, since not many coaches did that then. He was definitely ahead of his time. Always enjoyed watching his teams play, RIP, coach.

[StarDust Bum]

Betting Recap - Week 8
Joe Williams

Overall Notes



The largest underdogs to win straight up

Bengals (+7, ML +260) vs. Titans, 31-20
Vikings (+6, ML +220) at Packers, 28-22
Steelers (+4, ML +175) at Ravens, 28-24
Dolphins (+3.5, ML +155) vs. Rams, 28-17
Broncos (+3, ML +130) vs. Chargers, 31-30

The largest favorites to cover

Chiefs (-19.5) vs. Jets, 35-9
Eagles (-10) vs. Cowboys, 23-9
Colts (-3.5) at Lions, 41-21

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week

The Los Angeles Chargers-Denver Broncos AFC West rivalry has had some amazing finishes over the years. The first installment of this season's series surely didn't disappoint...unless you were holding a Chargers (-3) ticket or a moneyline wager.

QB Justin Herbert and the Chargers fired out to a 24-3 lead midway through the third quarter before Broncos RB Phillip Lindsay galloped for a 55-yard touchdown run to slice the lead to 24-10. Still, anyone backing the Bolts, was feeling pretty good. That Lindsay TD certainly changed the day almost immediately for 'under' (44.5) bettors. It got much worse for the latter - quick.

In the fourth quarter, the Broncos sliced the lead to 24-17 with a nine-yard touchdown pass from QB Drew Lock to TE Albert Okwuegbunam. The Chargers answered back with a field goal with 7:57 to go, making it 27-17. Under bettors couldn't allow another point, but that was quickly dashed just 27 seconds later when Lock hit WR DaeSean Hamilton for a 40-yard scoring strike. Suddenly, Bolts side bettors were feeling the pinch, too. PK Michael Badgley booted a 33-yard field with 2:30 left in regulation to give Chargers side bettors hope. However, rookie WR KJ Hamler reeled in a 1-yard scoring strike from Lock with zeroes on the clock, and the extra point won it for Denver, 31-30. The only time Denver had been ahead was 3-0. Moneyline bettors and side bettors are feeling awfully sick after this one.

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II

The San Francisco 49ers-Seattle Seahawks game was well decided by the end of the third quarter. The Seahawks (-1) were leading 27-7 after 45 minutes, and it appeared side bettors were going to cruise to a winning ticket. The Seahawks added a field goal to go up 30-7 with 14:07 to go in the fourth quarter. However, a pair of touchdowns cut the lead to 30-20 with 4:16 left in regulation. RB DeeJay Dallas punched in a 1-yard touchdown to make it 37-20, putting side bettors minds at ease. However, that touchdown ended up pushing the total 'over' (54.5). The game ended up with a total of 64 points, but there was 30 total points in the final 14:07.

Total Recall

The lowest totals on the board on the Sunday slate were the New England Patriots-Buffalo Bills (41) and the New Orleans Saints-Chicago Bears (41) contests.

The Patriots-Bills game had a total of just 13 points on the board at halftime, and the 'under' was easily trending after 30 minutes. There were a total of just 20 points on the board until a touchdown and two-point conversion by the Pats with 3:03 to go in the third quarter to make it 14-14. A pair of two-yard touchdown runs by each of the quarterbacks made it a 21-21 game, and barring overtime, and a scoreless one at that, the 'over' was in the bag. And a PK Tyler Bass 28-yard field goal with 4:06 left in regulation gave the home side the 24-21 win. No overtime needed.

The Saints-Bears matchup was a field goal fest through 45 minutes. We had just two total touchdowns on the board with five field goals through 45 minutes, as the Saints clinged to a 16-13 lead. 'Under' bettors were hanging on, with New Orleans leading 23-13 with just under four minutes to go. But QB Nick Foles hit WR Darnell Mooney on a 3-yard scoring strike to make it 23-20. That was all total bettors needed to see.

The highest number on the board was the 49ers-Seahawks game (54.5), and we touched on how that one ended up above. We also had three games with a total of 49. The Indianapolis Colts-Detroit Lions, New York Jets-Kansas City Chiefs and Tennessee Titans-Cincinnati Bengals saw the 'over' cash in two of those three outings. The Chiefs did their part to hit the 'over', scoring 35 points, but the Jets could muster just nine total points in the loss.

In the first two primetime games of Week 8, the under went 2-0, with the Monday night game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New York Giants pending. The Atlanta Falcons-Carolina Panthers (52) gave was on pace for an 'over' result, with 30 points on the board at half time. But we saw two field goals and a touchdown with a failed two-point conversion in the final 30 minutes, and that was all. The Dallas Cowboys-Philadelphia Eagles (43) Sunday night affair looked more like a preseason game. It was ugly. Third-string QB Ben DiNucci made his first NFL start in place of the injured QBs Dak Prescott and Andy Dalton, and the visitors actually held a 9-7 lead at halftime. It was all Philly in the final 30, scoring a touchdown, two-point conversion, a touchdown and missed two-point conversion and a safety, while the Cowboys were blanked. Philadelphia won it 23-9, and the 'over' was never threatened at any point.

So far this season the under is 16-9 (64.0%) across 25 primetime games. In 2019, the 'under' went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.

Looking Ahead to Week 9

Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers (Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET)

The Packers are licking their wounds after a 28-22 at home against the Vikings, head coach Matt LaFleur's first loss in the NFC North Division since taking over before the 2019 season (8-1). Now, it's a quick turnaround for QB Aaron Rodgers and the boys, and they might be catching a break. While the 49ers had a spirited comeback in Seattle, it might have come with a cost. QB Jimmy Garoppolo (ankle) limped to the locker room early in the fourth quarter, replaced by QB Nick Mullens, while the team also saw RB Tevin Coleman, WR Dante Pettis and TE George Kittle leave the game for good. It's uncertain how much the lopsided score at the time played in their leaving, whether it was a precaution with a lopsided score and quick turnaround, or if the injuries are serious. The Niners are a difficult bunch to figure, as they won as home 'dogs against the Rams in Week 7, but lost as home favorites against the Eagles and Dolphins in Weeks 4-5.They're 1-3 SU/ATS in four games at Levi's Stadium, including 0-3 ATS as a home favorite. The Packers are 3-1 SU/ATS in four games on the road this season.

New York Giants at Washington Football Team (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

The Giants picked up their only victory of the season in a 20-19 win over the Washington Football Team in Week 6 as two-point favorites, failing to cover. The 'under' hit in that one, and is 5-2 in seven games overall for Big Blue. For Washington, they had their most complete game of the season before the bye, roughing up the Dallas Cowboys by a 25-3 score in Week 7 as a one-point underdog. The 'under' hit in that one, too, and is a perfect 3-0 for Washington over the past three.

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET)

The Raiders won 16-6 in the wind and occasional snow on the shores of Lake Erie in Cleveland, hitting a rare 'under' result. The Raiders were the only team in the AFC yet to see an under, going 5-0-1 prior to Sunday. It's uncertain what happened to the Chargers defense, but it's not good. After a 3-0 'under' run to start the season, with the offense averaging 17.3 PPG and the defense allowing 19.0 PPG, we have seen the offense score 31, 27, 39 and 30 across the past four, while allowing 38, 30, 29 and 31. It's like a tale of two seasons for the Chargers. Herbert and the offense is growing into a formidable force, but the defense suddenly doesn't feel it has to be perfect and has been way more giving.

New England Patriots at New York Jets (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)

The Patriots head into this Monday night affair with a 2-5 SU record. That's shocking, as they are now 3 1/2 games back of the first-place Bills, who just edged them 24-21 in Week 8 in windy Buffalo. QB Cam Newton was a little better, but still not good enough, and now the heat will get turned up even more on his seat. Some fans are calling for QB Jarrett Stidham to get the starting nod for the MNF game, and what better place than facing the lowly Jets. On a positive note, the Patriots did cover for the first time since Sept. 28, snapping an 0-3 ATS skid. And the 'over' result against the Bills also pumped the brakes on a 3-0 'under' run. The winless Jets were 19.5-point underdogs on the road against the Chiefs, but they hung in there, down just 21-9 at halftime, and 28-9 after three quarters. But they were unable to hang on for the cover. The 'under' did connect for the fourth straight game for Gang Green, as they have scored 10, 0, 10 and 9 across the past four games, or an average of 7.3 PPG.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL odds Week 9: Opening lines, sharp money & line movement
Patrick Everson

Drew Brees and the Saints barely escaped Chicago with a 26-23 overtime victory against the Bears. Next up for New Orleans is a trip to Tampa Bay, where The SuperBook has the Buccaneers -4.5.

NFL Week 8 is just about in the rearview mirror, with NFL Week 9 odds on the betting board and already getting some action. The Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers collide under the Thursday night lights, and the Sunday nighter pits the New Orleans Saints against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The SuperBook at Westgate's John Murray provided insights on NFL Week 9 opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting.

NFL Week 9 odds

These are the current NFL Week 9 odds, as of November 1.



Teams on bye: Los Angeles Rams, Philadelphia Eagles, Cleveland Browns, Cincinnati Bengals

Packers at 49ers odds
Opening line
49ers +2.5, Over/Under 50.5

Why the line moved
"We opened Packers -2.5 and are still there," Murray said Sunday night. "The public will be all over the Packers here. They’ll fall in love with the cheap road favorite, especially after seeing the 49ers get rolled today." Indeed, San Francisco went to Seattle as a 1-point underdog and trailed 30-7 in the fourth quarter, though the Niners rallied to make it respectable in a 37-27 loss.

Seahawks at Bills odds
Opening line
Bills +3, Over/Under 51

Why the line moved
The Seahawks, coming off a nice win over the 49ers, opened -3 (even) and stuck there Sunday night for this cross-country trek to Buffalo next weekend.

"This will be one of our most one-sided games on Sunday," Murray said. "Buffalo is 6-2, but really hasn’t been that impressive. Seattle rolled again today. This will be a huge-need game for us on Sunday."

Broncos at Falcons odds
Opening line
Falcons -4.5, Over/Under 47.5

Why the line moved
The Broncos trailed the Chargers 24-3 midway through the third quarter Sunday, but rallied for a 31-30 victory, capped by a touchdown on the game's last play. Atlanta notched a 25-17 win at Carolina in the Week 8 Thursday nighter, so the Falcons will have a little more rest this week. There was no movement on the line or the total Sunday night at The SuperBook.

Bears at Titans odds
Opening line
Titans -6.5, Over/Under 46.5

Why the line moved
"We opened Titans -6.5 and took some money on the Bears, and moved down to 6," Murray said. "All of a sudden, the Titans are on a losing skid, and we know the Bears are almost always a popular betting option with the public. This may be that rare game where we need the favorite."

Lions at Vikings odds
Opening line
Vikings -3.5, Over/Under 53.5

Why the line moved
Minnesota snagged a nice 28-22 upset win at Green Bay on Sunday, while Detroit got rolled at home 41-21 by Indianapolis. The SuperBook opened the Vikings -3.5 and the total 53.5, and there was no movement Sunday night.

Ravens at Colts odds
Opening line
Colts +2.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
"We opened the Ravens -2.5 and quickly moved to -3," Murray said. "Interesting game. We’ve really only seen Baltimore beat bad teams. And the Ravens just lost Ronnie Stanley for the year."

Stanley, Baltimore's All-Pro left tackle, suffered a broken left ankle in Sunday's 28-24 home loss to Pittsburgh.

"The Colts are quietly 5-2 and probably should be 6-1," Murray said. "Look for the public to back the Ravens, but they’ll be more hesitant to jump in on this one than they are with the Packers and Seahawks."

Panthers at Chiefs odds
Opening line
Chiefs -11.5, Over/Under 51

Why the line moved
Kansas City went off as a 19.5-point home favorite against the New York Jets on Sunday, the largest spread so far this season, and coasted to a 35-9 win and cover. Carolina lost at home to Atlanta 25-17 as a short fave in the Thursday nighter. So it's no surprise that Murray & Co. opened the Chiefs -11.5. There was no movement Sunday night on the line or the total.

Texans at Jaguars odds
Opening line
Jaguars +7, Over/Under 51.5

Why the line moved

Both these teams are coming off a bye, and both needed it: Houston is 1-6 SU and ATS, and Jacksonville is 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS. The first move on this game was toward the home 'dog, with the Jaguars moving to +6.5 Sunday night. The total was stable at 51.5.

Giants at Washington odds
Opening line
Washington -3, Over/Under 43

Why the line moved
New York is 1-6 SU, Washington is 2-5 SU—and they're both in the hunt for a division title in the awful NFC East. The SuperBook moved Washington to -3.5 Sunday night, while the total stuck at 43.

Raiders at Chargers odds
Opening line
Chargers -3, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
Las Vegas ground out a 16-6 win at Cleveland on Sunday, while Los Angeles blew a 24-3 lead at Denver and lost 31-30. So bettors quickly cut this spread in half Sunday night, with the Chargers dropping to -1.5 at The SuperBook.

"We did take some Raiders money, and that line was put up before yet another epic Chargers collapse," Murray said.

Steelers at Cowboys odds
Opening line
Off, Over/Under Off

Why the line moved
Pittsburgh rallied from a 17-7 halftime deficit to beat Baltimore 28-24 on the road Sunday, while Dallas and third-string QB Ben DiNucci lost at Philadelphia 23-9 in the Sunday nighter. Murray said The SuperBook held off posting the Steelers-Cowboys line, waiting for clarity on whether Andy Dalton (concussion) returns at QB or if the rookie DiNucci is again the starter.

Regardless, the Steelers will likely be laying double digits. Murray said the line will be in the range of Pittsburgh -10 if Dalton starts for Dallas and Pittsburgh -13 if DiNucci starts.

Dolphins at Cardinals odds
Opening line
Cardinals -5.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
Arizona had a bye this week, and perhaps that was fortuitous, as there were reports Sunday that two players tested positive for COVID-19 this weekend. That news broke after The SuperBook posted the opening number of Cardinals -5.5, and the book then took the game off the board while awaiting clarity on the situation. Miami, behind rookie QB Tua Tagovailoa, is coming off a solid 28-17 home win over the Los Angeles Rams.

Saints at Bucs odds
Opening line
Buccaneers -4.5, Over/Under 54.5

Why the line moved
New Orleans blew a 20-3 lead but got out of Chicago with a 26-23 overtime victory Sunday, while Tampa Bay still has Week 8 work to do in the Monday nighter at the New York Giants.

"We opened Bucs -4.5 and are still there," Murray said Sunday night. "The Saints seem to barely escape week after week. Drew Brees can’t throw the ball more than 10 yards down the field. I think the public will bet the Bucs pretty hard here, especially if they roll the Giants on Monday night."

The total was also stable Sunday night at 54.5.

Patriots at Jets odds
Opening line
Jets +7.5, Over/Under 41

Why the line moved
Post-Tom Brady, New England is a shell of itself, with a 2-5 SU record (3-4 ATS) after Sunday's 24-21 loss at Buffalo. But New York is the worst team in the league, at 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS. It's not much of a marquee Monday night matchup, but The SuperBook opened the Patriots -7.5 and the total 41, with no movement Sunday night.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL betting tips for Week 9: Bet Now or Bet Later
Jason Logan

The Las Vegas Raiders picked up an ugly 16-6 win at Cleveland in Week 8 but it was a serious character victory for Vegas, playing in an early 1 p.m. ET start in wind, rain and snow. Vegas is seeing early action versus the Chargers in Week 9.

By Week 9 of the NFL schedule, books and bettors are supposed to have a solid grasp on the contenders and pretenders. However, in this wonderful and whacky 2020 season, NFL betting has proven even more challenging with teams trying on both of those hats over the past eight weeks.

The best NFL betting strategy in all this madness is to get the best of the number for your wager. With the NFL Week 9 odds fresh out of the oven, here are our NFL betting tips for the spreads and totals to bet now and the ones to bet later.

Las Vegas Raiders (+1.5) at Los Angeles Chargers: Bet Now

This AFC West spread opened as big as Bolts -2.5 and is quickly moving towards pick’em after another classic Chargers’ collapse against the Broncos Sunday. Los Angeles is now 0-8 SU and 1-6-1 ATS against divisional foes since 2019.

The Raiders are coming off an ugly 16-6 win on the road in Cleveland, but that victory came in a 1 p.m. ET start (normally kryptonite for this franchise) and in less-than Las Vegas conditions (wind, rain, snow). The Silver and Black have played their best football away from the fancy new Sin City Stadium, going 3-1 SU and ATS on the road this year.

If you believe in the Silver and Black or just can’t bear another bad beat from the Bolts, snatch up Las Vegas and as many points as you can now before this line jumps the fence.

Detroit Lions (+3) at Minnesota Vikings: Bet Later

These NFC North foes were headed in different directions until Week 8, when the Vikings stunned the Packers at Lambeau and the Lions laid a big stinky egg hosting the Colts. This spread opened at the customary field goal for a divisional rivalry, but Minnesota -3 is now heavily juiced and a half-point hook is on the way.

Detroit laid down for a lot of points versus the Colts, however, the game can really be boiled down to a Matt Stafford strip-sack in the fourth quarter, which broke the Lions' back and erased any chance of a comeback. It snapped a two-game winning streak by Detroit, which had also won and covered in three of its last four.

The Vikings picked up just their second victory of the season in Week 8 and are now ripe for a major letdown spot after winning at Lambeau Field for the first time since 2017. Minnesota is the poster child for inconsistency, so if you like the Lions you may want to wait it out and get that oh-so valuable half-point at +3.5.

Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts (Under 45): Bet Now

Something is rotten in Raventown. Baltimore’s once-mighty offense is bringing up the rear in passing yards and reigning MVP Lamar Jackson has looked plain pedestrian over the past four games, struggling with accuracy and boasting a TD-to-INT count of 7-to-4 after tossing 36 touchdowns to only six interceptions in 2019.

On top of Jackson’s woes, the Ravens’ rushing attack could be missing a few gears with RB Mark Ingram a big question mark for Week 9 (ankle) and standout left tackle Ronnie Stanley lost for the season (broken ankle). Baltimore visits one of the NFL’s stingiest defenses in the Colts, who regained some clout on that side of the ball with a 41-21 win over Detroit on Sunday—forcing three fumbles (recovering one) and scoring a pick-6 to put the Lions away.

The total opened as high as 46.5 points Sunday night and quickly started ticking down with one-sided action on the Under. This total is at 45 as of late Sunday night but some books have taxed the Under to -115. If you like a low-scoring finish in Indy, bet this Under at the key number now.

Seattle Seahawks at Buffalo Bills (Over 51): Bet Later

Had this game been scheduled four weeks ago, this total may have flirted with 60 points. And while the Seahawks have kept their scoring output redlining through seven games (34.1 points per game—No. 1 in NFL) the Bills have not, suffering a major drop-off in scoring the past four games. Buffalo has averaged only 18.75 points since Week 5.

If there ever was a team to get right against, it’s Seattle. This defense sits dead last in total yards allowed and has given up 29 passing plays of 20 or more yards, and seven of 40-plus. That’s just what Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs and this receiving corps need to get their long-bomb groove back.

The Over/Under for this non-conference clash opened as high as 54.5 at some books but a market correction swiftly trimmed 1.5 off the top and then money on the Under booked it down to 51. If you expect the return of the Bills’ big plays and Russell Wilson to be Russell Wilson, wait to see how low this number goes before banging the Over gong.

[StarDust Bum]

Hot & Not Report - Week 9
Matt Blunt

NFL Week 9 Betting Angles

Fading NFL teams before a Thursday Night Football game is the gift that just keeps on giving, as both the Packers and 49ers fell rather easily this past week to the Vikings and Seahawks respectively.

Fading these teams pre-TNF on the outright money line is now 12-2 SU (85.7%) thanks to those wins by Minnesota and Seattle, and next up this week it calls for outright plays against the Colts and Titans, who are slated for a TNF game in Week 10.

And one more thing before I forget to comment on the Seahawks, as they benefited from being on the right side of that angle thanks to their defense actually deciding to play some defense for the first three quarters of that win.

Quarterback Russell Wilson continues to be the favorite for the MVP award as he and wide receiver DK Metcalf continue to carry this team, Seattle fans might want to tell Metcalf he might not want to campaign so hard for Wilson to win the league's Most Valuable Player award this season.

The NFL has not seen a league MVP go on to win the Super Bowl in their MVP season this century (20 years), as the last to do it was Kurt Warner with the Rams in 1999. Individual awards are always nice, but the goal every year is to hoist that Lombardi Trophy and working against that type of history is quite the uphill climb.

(Also, if you do believe Wilson will win the MVP this year, Seattle futures tickets may not be the best idea right now).

This week the hot and cold streaks shift to non-conference affairs as there are six of them on tap in Week 9 and there are some interesting runs going on in these AFC/NFC games. Heck, we've even got the Seattle Seahawks involved in one of them as well.

Let's get to it:

Who's Hot

Since the start of Week 4, road teams in non-conference games are 13-4 SU and 13-3-1 ATS

This is something I sat on last week as there were only two non-conference games on the slate, and road teams ended up going 1-1 SU and ATS with the Colts winning in Detroit, and the Rams losing in Miami.

But Week 7 saw all three road teams in non-conference games get the SU and ATS money (Green Bay over Houston, Tampa over Las Vegas, and SF over New England) as it just continued on down the path it had started weeks prior.

It is interesting to note that the LA Chargers have had a unique role in this non-conference run, as they covered the spread in both of their opportunities – vs Tampa Bay and New Orleans – and had they not done Chargers things in those games, the SU record could actually be much better for road teams here.

Who Do You Follow?

Broncos
Seahawks
Panthers
Bears
Dolphins
Steelers

Week 9 brings us the following non-conference games: Denver (+4) at Atlanta, Seattle (-2.5) at Buffalo, Carolina (+12) at Kansas City, Chicago (+6) at Tennessee, Miami (+4.5) at Arizona, and Pittsburgh (no line) at Dallas.

Among those contests are some interesting betting opportunities, as once again in these Hot/Not pieces we've found yet another reason to fade the Dallas Cowboys. I got up on Monday morning actually a little baffled at all the negative reaction to that Cowboys/Eagles game on SNF for how bad it was.

It wasn't the fact that the game turned out to be awful that was baffling, it was the fact that everyone complaining about it being a garbage dump of a game couldn't see it coming beforehand. I tried to warn you all about it in my SNF preview, but to each his own.

Who knows how high that line for the Steelers – the league's last remaining unbeaten – gets against the Cowboys this week, but if bettors needed yet another reason to fade what's going on in Jerry World, this would be it.

Having Carolina and Atlanta involved in two non-conference games off their TNF game is interesting as well given they do have the extra rest angle in their favor. Following this run would suggest backing the Panthers and going against the Falcons, but in both cases it's always better to do a lot more digging before you settle in on any play.

In terms of favorites/underdogs, there isn't as big of a discrepancy as the road/home splits for these recent non-conference games, as underdogs are 9-7-1 ATS against the closing line in that span.

Just another thing to keep in mind if there is some hesitance to back the Seahawks or Steelers simply because they are the favorites.

Who's Not

Expecting lower point totals in these non-conference games; Since the start of Week 4, non-conference games have averaged 55.29 points per game

Outlining things this way helps differentiate from the overall O/U record which sits at 10-7 O/U for the 17 non-conference games during this time.

Some of those 'unders' did stay low by the hook or a single point though, which makes the fact that the average point total in these games much more actionable.

Furthermore, only two of those 17 games finished with less than 45 total points scored, as they were the Colts/Bears game (30 total points) and Cardinals/Jets game (40 total points) in recent weeks.

The offenses the Jets and Bears possess right now are so bad that taking any 'over' with them is tough to begin with.

Chicago is involved again in this scenario this week, but they do face a Titans team that gives up 61.86% 3rd down conversion rate this year (a league worst this year and one of the worst numbers we've seen in decades), so who knows, maybe Chicago's offense ends up looking competent this week.

But with 15 of the 17 recent AFC/NFC games seeing at least 45 combined points, and 11 of the 17 games finishing with at least 54 points, it's this average of 55.29 points per game that could be critical this week.

Not one total in the five non-conference games with a line posted have a total currently listed higher than 53.5 (Seattle/Buffalo), and prior to the Miami/Arizona game coming off the board here, three of the five games had posted totals still in the 40's.

Now pairing up these two runs (road teams + high scoring games) to look at going 'over' the team totals of these road squads is something I didn't look at specifically, but it goes to reason that going that route would make a lot of sense.

So if you are looking for 'overs' in Week 9, in any form, it would make some sense to start with these non-conference games first to see what else you can find.

Play the Over Where?

Denver-Atlanta (50)
Seattle-Buffalo (54.5)
Carolina-Kansas City (52.5)
Chicago-Tennessee (46.5)
Miami-Arizona (48)
Pittsburgh-Dallas (NA)

[StarDust Bum]

301GREEN BAY -302 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) against teams who force 0.75 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.

451SEATTLE -452 BUFFALO
SEATTLE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=4.5 rushing yards/carry in the last 3 seasons.

453DENVER -454 ATLANTA
DENVER is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse over the last 2 seasons.

453DENVER -454 ATLANTA
Vic Fangio is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse (Coach of DENVER)

455CHICAGO -456 TENNESSEE
CHICAGO is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) off a home cover where the team lost as an underdog since 1992.

457DETROIT -458 MINNESOTA
DETROIT is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 27 or more points/game since 1992.

459BALTIMORE -460 INDIANAPOLIS
INDIANAPOLIS are 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in home games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season since 1992.

461CAROLINA -462 KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

463HOUSTON -464 JACKSONVILLE
JACKSONVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 2 seasons.

465NY GIANTS -466 WASHINGTON
NY GIANTS are 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the last 3 seasons.

467LAS VEGAS -468 LA CHARGERS
LA CHARGERS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game in the last 2 seasons.

469PITTSBURGH -470 DALLAS
DALLAS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread in the current season.

471MIAMI -472 ARIZONA
MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in weeks 5 - 9 in the last 2 seasons.

473NEW ORLEANS -474 TAMPA BAY
NEW ORLEANS are 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in road games after having won 4 out of their last 5 games in the last 2 seasons.

475NEW ENGLAND -476 NY JETS
NEW ENGLAND is 22-7 ATS (14.3 Units) in road games after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 9

Thursday, November 5

Green Bay @ San Francisco

Game 301-302
November 5, 2020 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
137.383
San Francisco
128.451
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 9
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 2 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(-2 1/2); Under


Sunday, November 8

Detroit @ Minnesota

Game 457-458
November 8, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
128.544
Minnesota
130.233
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 4
53
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+4); Over

Denver @ Atlanta

Game 453-454
November 8, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
129.781
Atlanta
131.180
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 4
50
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+4); Under

Houston @ Jacksonville

Game 463-464
November 8, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
123.022
Jacksonville
123.748
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
by 1
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 6 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(+6 1/2); Over

Carolina @ Kansas City

Game 461-462
November 8, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
126.562
Kansas City
144.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 18
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 10
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-10); Under

Seattle @ Buffalo

Game 451-452
November 8, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
138.242
Buffalo
128.926
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 9 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 2 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-2 1/2); Under

Chicago @ Tennessee

Game 455-456
November 8, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
124.654
Tennessee
139.399
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 14 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 5 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(-5 1/2); Over

Baltimore @ Indianapolis

Game 459-460
November 8, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
143.735
Indianapolis
131.356
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 12 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 4
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-4); Under

NY Giants @ Washington

Game 465-466
November 8, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
121.495
Washington
129.973
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 8 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 3 1/2
43
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-3 1/2); Under

Las Vegas @ LA Chargers

Game 467-468
November 8, 2020 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Las Vegas
135.013
LA Chargers
126.119
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Las Vegas
by 9
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 2 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Las Vegas
(+2 1/2); Over

Miami @ Arizona

Game 471-472
November 8, 2020 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
134.112
Arizona
141.474
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 7 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 4 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-4 1/2); Over

Pittsburgh @ Dallas

Game 469-470
November 8, 2020 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
141.935
Dallas
116.901
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 25
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
N/A

New Orleans @ Tampa Bay

Game 473-474
November 8, 2020 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
137.640
Tampa Bay
134.562
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 3
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
by 5 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+5 1/2); Under


Monday November 9

New England @ NY Jets

Game 475-476
November 9, 2020 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
127.678
NY Jets
117.877
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 10
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 7
41
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-7); Over