Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

The bum's 2020-2921 nfl news, trends, picks !

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • #46
    THURSDAY NIGHT NFL PICK:

    THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 17

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    CIN at CLE 08:20 PM
    CIN +6.0
    U 44.5

    +500 +500
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #47
      Gridiron Angles - Week 2
      Vince Akins

      NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:
      Matchup: Minnesota at Indianapolis (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

      -- The Colts are 15-0-1 ATS (12.44 ppg) since Dec 27, 2015 when the total is over 37 and they failed to cover by at least seven points last game.


      NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:
      Matchup: Atlanta at Dallas (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

      -- The Falcons are 0-10-1 ATS (-8.45 ppg) since Oct 15, 2017 coming off a home game where they scored more points than expected.


      TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:
      Matchup: New England at Seattle (8:20 p.m. ET)

      -- The Patriots are 0-12 OU (-12.46 ppg) since Dec 17, 2017 facing a team Julian Edelman had at least 75 receiving yards against last meeting.


      SUPER SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:
      Teams: Indianapolis and San Francisco

      -- NFL System: Teams which lost in week one as a -6 or better favorite are 23-11 ATS.


      NFL O/U OVER TREND:
      Matchup: N.Y. Giants at Chicago (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

      -- The Bears are 13-0 OU (13.27 ppg) since Sep 17, 2006 coming off a road win and facing a team under.400 on the season.


      NFL O/U UNDER TREND:
      Matchup: Buffalo at Miami (1:00 p.m. ET)

      -- The Bills are 0-11 OU (-10.55 ppg) since Dec 07, 2008 off a game as a favorite where they allowed no more than 15 first downs


      NFL CHOICE TREND:
      Matchup: Baltimore at Houston (4:25 p.m. ET)

      -- The Texans are 0-8-2 OU (-6.80 ppg) since Dec 25, 2017 coming off a game where they allowed at least 30 points.


      Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

      Comment


      • #48
        Injury roundup: Patriots' Julian Edelman, N'Keal Harry expected to play

        It looks like Cam Newton and the New England Patriots will be at full strength against the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday night.

        Patriots wide receivers Julian Edelman (knee) and N'Keal Harry (shoulder) are both expected to play, a source tells NFL Network Insider Ian Rapoport.

        Both Edelman and Harry had five receptions in last Sunday's victory over the Miami Dolphins.

        The Patriots (1-0) take on the Seahawks (1-0) in Seattle at 8:20 p.m. ET.

        Other injury news we're keeping an eye on ahead of Sunday's Week 2 games:


        Atlanta Falcons left tackle Jake Matthews (knee) is listed as questionable, but he is expected to play against the Dallas Cowboys, a source tells Rapoport.
        Cowboys left tackle Tyron Smith (neck), his status is much more up in the air. Dallas will make a determination Sunday, but Smith must improve a great deal to get on the field, per Rapoport.

        Baltimore Ravens left tackle Ronnie Stanley (hip) and cornerback Jimmy Smith (hip) are both listed as questionable, but both should play against the Houston Texans, according to Rapoport.
        On the Houston side, running back Duke Johnson (ankle) is not expected to play, while wide receiver Brandin Cooks (quad) should be good to go.

        Chicago Bears pass-rusher Robert Quinn, who arrived as a big-time free agent this offseason but missed Week 1, is expected to make his debut today vs. the New York Giants, per Rapoport. He was listed as questionable with an ankle injury.

        Giants wide receiver Golden Tate, listed as questionable after missing Week 1 with a hamstring injury, is expected to play today. He should be at full strength, according to Rapoport.

        Denver Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton, dealing with an AC joint sprain, has a good chance to play, but the team wants to work him out pregame to make sure his ailment has healed enough, a source tells Rapoport.

        Detroit Lions wide receiver Kenny Golladay hasn't practiced since injuring his hamstring Sept. 9 and is out again today against the Green Bay Packers, but head coach Matt Patricia said Saturday: "He's really close." They'll see how he progresses, but it sounds like Golladay could be back for Week 3, according to NFL Network's Tom Pelissero.

        Packers right tackle Billy Turner (knee) practiced all week, but his status for today's game against the Lions is very uncertain, a source tells Pelissero. There could be more shuffling for Aaron Rodgers' line, which lost right guard Lane Taylor to a season-ending knee injury last week.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #49
          SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 20

          GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


          DET at GB 01:00 PM
          DET +7.0
          O 51.0

          +500 +500

          JAC at TEN 01:00 PM
          JAC +7.0
          O 44.5

          +500 +500

          BUF at MIA 01:00 PM
          MIA +5.5
          O 42.5

          +500 +500

          NYG at CHI 01:00 PM
          NYG +4.5
          O 42.5

          +500 +500

          MIN at IND 01:00 PM
          IND -3.5
          U 49.0

          +500 +500

          DEN at PIT 01:00 PM
          PIT -6.0
          U 41.0

          +500 +500

          SF at NYJ 01:00 PM
          NYJ +7.0
          O 41.5

          +500 +500

          CAR at TB 01:00 PM
          CAR +7.5
          O 47.0

          +500 +500

          ATL at DAL 01:00 PM
          ATL +3.0
          O 53.0

          +500 +500

          LAR at PHI 01:00 PM
          PHI -2.0
          U 46.0

          +500 +500

          ******************************

          WAS at ARI 04:05 PM
          ARI -7.5
          U 46.5

          +500 +500

          KC at LAC 04:25 PM
          KC -8.5
          U 47.0

          +500 +500

          BAL at HOU 04:25 PM
          HOU +7.5
          O 49.5

          +500 +500
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #50
            COMPLETED PICKS

            Past Completed Picks

            DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


            09/20/2020 15-11-0 57.69% +1450 Detail
            09/17/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
            09/14/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
            09/13/2020 11-14-1 44.00% -2100 Detail
            09/10/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail

            Totals........30-27-1.......52.63%.....+2.50
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-25-2020, 12:19 AM.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #51
              Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

              Dallas 40, Falcons 39
              — Atlanta didn’t cover an onside kick with 1:49 left; watch the highlights, someone has to lose their job over this. Inexcusable loss.
              — Falcons led 20-0; game was 29-10 at halftime.
              — Atlanta ran 72 plays, Dallas 81; lot of plays for an NFL game.
              — Very seldom a team is +3 in turnovers, wins field position by 17 yards, and loses.

              — Prescott is first player ever with 450+ passing yards, 3 rushing TD’s in same game.
              — Dallas turned ball over on three of first five possessions.
              — Dallas hung 570 yards on Atlanta’s defense.
              — Cowboys won eight of last ten home openers (3-1-1 ATS last five)

              Rams 37, Philadelphia 19
              — Game swung on great end zone INT by Darious Williams when LA led 21-16.
              — Rams’ first three drives: 23 plays, 196 yards, 21 points.
              — LA converted 16-29 on 3rd down in first two games.
              — Last three years, Rams are 16-9 ATS on the road.
              — Under McVay, LA is 4-0 in road openers, scoring 35.3 ppg.

              — LA outgained Eagles 449-363; Rams ran ball for 191 yards.
              — Last two years, Philly is 5-12 ATS at home.
              — Eagles are 3-9 ATS in last 12 home openers.

              Tampa Bay 31, Panthers 17
              — 1st drive: INT, 2nd: fumble, 4th: lost on downs.
              — Bridgewater threw for 365 yards, but they turned ball over four times (-2).
              — Carolina gave up 65 points in losing its first two games.
              — Last 2+ years, Panthers are 5-8 ATS as a road underdog.

              — Bucs started two drives in Carolina territory, scored on first play both times.
              — Fournette had 12 carries for 103 yards and two TD’s.
              — Since 2014, Tampa Bay is now 5-15-2 ATS as a home favorite.

              Pittsburgh 26, Broncos 21
              — Denver QB Lock hurt his shoulder in first quarter, didn’t return.
              — Former Florida Gator Driskel was 18-34/256 yards, two TD’s.
              — Broncos converted only 8-27 third down plays in first two games.
              — Broncos lost their last four road openers, by 10-13-5 points (1-3 ATS).

              — Roethlisberger threw for 311 yards; Steelers won first home opener in three years.
              — Conner ran for 106 yards and a TD.
              — Last three years, Pittsburgh is 9-12 ATS as a home favorite.

              49ers 31, NJ Jets 13
              — First play of game, Mostert ran 80 yards for a TD.
              — 49ers had lot of injuries; backup QB Mullens played 2nd half.
              — 49ers are 10-5 ATS in last 15 road openers.

              — Jets were outgained 763-531 LW in their first two games.
              — Two trips to red zone, Jets kicked two FG’s.
              — 49ers’ first four drives: 31 plays, 221 yards, 21 points.

              Bills 31, Miami 28
              — Allen was 24-35 for 417 yards, averaged 11.5 yards/attempt. Wow.
              — Bills drove 97 yards for a TD on their first drive.
              — Under McDermott, Buffalo is 3-2 ATS as a road favorite.
              — Bills won six of last seven series games.

              — Miami allowed 217 rushing yards LW; they threw 3 INT’s (-2 TO’s)
              — Last 4+ years, Miami is 12-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
              — Dolphins covered via the back door with 0:49 left.
              — Over is 15-3 in their last 18 home openers.

              Indianapolis 28, Vikings 11
              — On a day where Stefon Diggs caught 8 passes for 153 yards for Buffalo, Vikings gained total of 175 yards on 47 plays here.
              — Cousins completed 11-26 passes, with three INT’s. In a dome.
              — In their history, Vikings are 0-12 in road games against the Colts.
              — Vikings are 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
              — Minnesota is 4-12-1 SU in last 17 road openers (5-10-2 ATS).

              — Minnesota gave up 522 yards LW, allowing five TD’s on nine drives.
              — Colts outgained first two opponents 799-416.
              — Last three years, Indy is 10-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
              — In nine red zone drives this year, Colts have scored only 34 points.

              Chicago 17, Giants 13
              — Giants’ RB Barkley hurt his knee early; they fear a torn ACL.
              — Giants had ball on 10-yard line as game ended, but couldn’t score.
              — Giants started one drive on Chicago’s 25, but settled for a FG.
              — Big Blue covered 15 of its last 21 games as a road underdog.

              — Chicago scored 10 points on its first two drives, led 17-0 at halftime.
              — Bears in 2nd half: 28 plays, 97 yards, no points, one huge sigh of relief.
              — Under is 5-1-1 in Bears’ last seven home openers.

              Green Bay 42, Lions 21
              — Lions are 9-24-1 under Patricia; they were 36-28 under Caldwell, and they fired him.
              — Detroit’s first two drives: 21 plays, 150 yards- they led 14-3.
              — Detroit’s last nine drives: 38 plays, 154 yards, 7 points.
              — Lions are 16-23 ATS in last 39 games as a road underdog.

              — Packers gained 1,010 yards, scored nine TD’s on 18 drives in two games.
              — Green Bay is 26-15-2 ATS in last 43 games as a home favorite.
              — Packers won eight in row, 13 of last 14 home openers (11-3 ATS).

              Tennessee 33, Jaguars 30
              — Jax outgained Titans 480-354, had 30 first downs, converted 10-14 on 3rd down.
              — Jaguars completed 49-65 passes, converted 15-24 on 3rd down in splitting their first two games.
              — J’ville covered its last four road openers (3-0 ATS).
              — Jaguars lost their last seven visits to Nashville.

              — Gostkowski kicked a 49-yard FG with 1:36 left after Titans blew a 2-TD lead.
              — Under Vrabel, Tennessee is 3-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
              — Titans won eight of last ten series games.
              — Tannehill threw for 239 yards, four TD’s.

              Arizona 30, Washington 15
              — Washington fell behind 17-0 last week, 20-0 in this game.
              — Washington had trouble containing mobile QB Murray- he ran for 67 yards.
              — Washington was down 27-3, then scored TD’s on TD’s on last two drives.

              — Arizona ran ball for 340 yards, converted 14-31 on 3rd down in first two games.
              — Cardinals scored two TD’s, kicked two FG’s on first six drives.
              — Murray threw for 286 yards, ran for 67 more.

              Chiefs 23, LA Chargers 20 OT
              — Chiefs’ first six drives: 33 plays, 142 yards, 6 points.
              — Chiefs’ last four drives: 40 plays, 232 yards, 17 points.
              — Butker kicked two 58-yard FG’s, including game-winner in OT
              — Reid’s SU record after a bye or Thursday game: 18-2.
              — Chiefs won 12 of last 13 series games.

              — QB Taylor was scratched just before kickoff; rookie Herbert made his NFL debut.
              — Herbert was 22-33 for 311 yards, actually looked pretty good, averaging 8.5 yards/pass attempt.
              — Chargers led 17-6 midway thru third quarter.

              Ravens 33, Texans 16
              — Baltimore scored 71 points in winning its first two games.
              — Ravens had a pick-6, was +2 in turnovers again.
              — Baltimore ran ball for 230 yards.
              — Ravens are 5-0-1 ATS in last six games as a road favorite.
              — Baltimore is 9-4 ATS in last 13 road openers.

              — Texans started 16 of 18 drives at their 25 or worse field position in first two games.
              — How does passing game stack up after trading star WR Hopkins?
              — Since 2013, Houston is 5-11 ATS as a home underdog.
              — Houston covered twice in its last eight home openers.

              Seahawks 35, Patriots 30
              — NE ran ball for 217 yards LW, but only 67 yards here.
              — Newton threw ball for 397 yards, but got stopped on 2-yard line running ball on last play of the game.
              — Patriots scored on a pick-6 on first series of the game.
              — Five red zone drives, 23 points.

              — Seahawks won their last 12 home openers (9-3 ATS).
              — Seattle completed 52-63 passes, scored 10 TD’s on 20 drives in first two games.
              — Seahawks held Newton to 47 rushing yards; Patriot RB’s combined for 20 YR.
              — Seattle had a 13-yard edge in stating field position.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #52
                You have the need and the right to spend part of your life caring for your soul. It is not easy...To be a soulful person means to go against all the pervasive, prove-yourself values of our culture and instead treasure what is unique and internal and valuable in yourself and your own personal evolution.


                Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

                Most popular picks this week in the Westgate SuperContest:
                401- Kansas City -6.5— L
                306- Green Bay -6— W
                302- 49ers -6.5— W
                293- Giants +5.5— W
                290- Eagles 1— L
                287- Arizona 6.5— W
                Season record: 8-4

                Americans who have died from COVID-19: 199,938
                Please wear a mask when you go out.

                ***************************************


                Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

                Dallas 40, Falcons 39
                — Atlanta didn’t cover an onside kick with 1:49 left; watch the highlights, someone has to lose their job over this. Inexcusable loss.
                — Falcons led 20-0; game was 29-10 at halftime.
                — Atlanta ran 72 plays, Dallas 81; lot of plays for an NFL game.
                — Very seldom a team is +3 in turnovers, wins field position by 17 yards, and loses.

                — Prescott is first player ever with 450+ passing yards, 3 rushing TD’s in same game.
                — Dallas turned ball over on three of first five possessions.
                — Dallas hung 570 yards on Atlanta’s defense.
                — Cowboys won eight of last ten home openers (3-1-1 ATS last five)

                Rams 37, Philadelphia 19
                — Game swung on great end zone INT by Darious Williams when LA led 21-16.
                — Rams’ first three drives: 23 plays, 196 yards, 21 points.
                — LA converted 16-29 on 3rd down in first two games.
                — Last three years, Rams are 16-9 ATS on the road.
                — Under McVay, LA is 4-0 in road openers, scoring 35.3 ppg.

                — LA outgained Eagles 449-363; Rams ran ball for 191 yards.
                — Last two years, Philly is 5-12 ATS at home.
                — Eagles are 3-9 ATS in last 12 home openers.

                Tampa Bay 31, Panthers 17
                — 1st drive: INT, 2nd: fumble, 4th: lost on downs.
                — Bridgewater threw for 365 yards, but they turned ball over four times (-2).
                — Carolina gave up 65 points in losing its first two games.
                — Last 2+ years, Panthers are 5-8 ATS as a road underdog.

                — Bucs started two drives in Carolina territory, scored on first play both times.
                — Fournette had 12 carries for 103 yards and two TD’s.
                — Since 2014, Tampa Bay is now 5-15-2 ATS as a home favorite.

                Pittsburgh 26, Broncos 21
                — Denver QB Lock hurt his shoulder in first quarter, didn’t return.
                — Former Florida Gator Driskel was 18-34/256 yards, two TD’s.
                — Broncos converted only 8-27 third down plays in first two games.
                — Broncos lost their last four road openers, by 10-13-5 points (1-3 ATS).

                — Roethlisberger threw for 311 yards; Steelers won first home opener in three years.
                — Conner ran for 106 yards and a TD.
                — Last three years, Pittsburgh is 9-12 ATS as a home favorite.

                49ers 31, NJ Jets 13
                — First play of game, Mostert ran 80 yards for a TD.
                — 49ers had lot of injuries; backup QB Mullens played 2nd half.
                — 49ers are 10-5 ATS in last 15 road openers.

                — Jets were outgained 763-531 LW in their first two games.
                — Two trips to red zone, Jets kicked two FG’s.
                — 49ers’ first four drives: 31 plays, 221 yards, 21 points.

                Bills 31, Miami 28
                — Allen was 24-35 for 417 yards, averaged 11.5 yards/attempt. Wow.
                — Bills drove 97 yards for a TD on their first drive.
                — Under McDermott, Buffalo is 3-2 ATS as a road favorite.
                — Bills won six of last seven series games.

                — Miami allowed 217 rushing yards LW; they threw 3 INT’s (-2 TO’s)
                — Last 4+ years, Miami is 12-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
                — Dolphins covered via the back door with 0:49 left.
                — Over is 15-3 in their last 18 home openers.

                Indianapolis 28, Vikings 11
                — On a day where Stefon Diggs caught 8 passes for 153 yards for Buffalo, Vikings gained total of 175 yards on 47 plays here.
                — Cousins completed 11-26 passes, with three INT’s. In a dome.
                — In their history, Vikings are 0-12 in road games against the Colts.
                — Vikings are 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
                — Minnesota is 4-12-1 SU in last 17 road openers (5-10-2 ATS).

                — Minnesota gave up 522 yards LW, allowing five TD’s on nine drives.
                — Colts outgained first two opponents 799-416.
                — Last three years, Indy is 10-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
                — In nine red zone drives this year, Colts have scored only 34 points.

                Chicago 17, Giants 13
                — Giants’ RB Barkley hurt his knee early; they fear a torn ACL.
                — Giants had ball on 10-yard line as game ended, but couldn’t score.
                — Giants started one drive on Chicago’s 25, but settled for a FG.
                — Big Blue covered 15 of its last 21 games as a road underdog.

                — Chicago scored 10 points on its first two drives, led 17-0 at halftime.
                — Bears in 2nd half: 28 plays, 97 yards, no points, one huge sigh of relief.
                — Under is 5-1-1 in Bears’ last seven home openers.

                Green Bay 42, Lions 21
                — Lions are 9-24-1 under Patricia; they were 36-28 under Caldwell, and they fired him.
                — Detroit’s first two drives: 21 plays, 150 yards- they led 14-3.
                — Detroit’s last nine drives: 38 plays, 154 yards, 7 points.
                — Lions are 16-23 ATS in last 39 games as a road underdog.

                — Packers gained 1,010 yards, scored nine TD’s on 18 drives in two games.
                — Green Bay is 26-15-2 ATS in last 43 games as a home favorite.
                — Packers won eight in row, 13 of last 14 home openers (11-3 ATS).

                Tennessee 33, Jaguars 30
                — Jax outgained Titans 480-354, had 30 first downs, converted 10-14 on 3rd down.
                — Jaguars completed 49-65 passes, converted 15-24 on 3rd down in splitting their first two games.
                — J’ville covered its last four road openers (3-0 ATS).
                — Jaguars lost their last seven visits to Nashville.

                — Gostkowski kicked a 49-yard FG with 1:36 left after Titans blew a 2-TD lead.
                — Under Vrabel, Tennessee is 3-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
                — Titans won eight of last ten series games.
                — Tannehill threw for 239 yards, four TD’s.

                Arizona 30, Washington 15
                — Washington fell behind 17-0 last week, 20-0 in this game.
                — Washington had trouble containing mobile QB Murray- he ran for 67 yards.
                — Washington was down 27-3, then scored TD’s on TD’s on last two drives.

                — Arizona ran ball for 340 yards, converted 14-31 on 3rd down in first two games.
                — Cardinals scored two TD’s, kicked two FG’s on first six drives.
                — Murray threw for 286 yards, ran for 67 more.

                Chiefs 23, LA Chargers 20 OT
                — Chiefs’ first six drives: 33 plays, 142 yards, 6 points.
                — Chiefs’ last four drives: 40 plays, 232 yards, 17 points.
                — Butker kicked two 58-yard FG’s, including game-winner in OT
                — Reid’s SU record after a bye or Thursday game: 18-2.
                — Chiefs won 12 of last 13 series games.

                — QB Taylor was scratched just before kickoff; rookie Herbert made his NFL debut.
                — Herbert was 22-33 for 311 yards, actually looked pretty good, averaging 8.5 yards/pass attempt.
                — Chargers led 17-6 midway thru third quarter.

                Ravens 33, Texans 16
                — Baltimore scored 71 points in winning its first two games.
                — Ravens had a pick-6, was +2 in turnovers again.
                — Baltimore ran ball for 230 yards.
                — Ravens are 5-0-1 ATS in last six games as a road favorite.
                — Baltimore is 9-4 ATS in last 13 road openers.

                — Texans started 16 of 18 drives at their 25 or worse field position in first two games.
                — How does passing game stack up after trading star WR Hopkins?
                — Since 2013, Houston is 5-11 ATS as a home underdog.
                — Houston covered twice in its last eight home openers.

                Seahawks 35, Patriots 30
                — NE ran ball for 217 yards LW, but only 67 yards here.
                — Newton threw ball for 397 yards, but got stopped on 2-yard line running ball on last play of the game.
                — Patriots scored on a pick-6 on first series of the game.
                — Five red zone drives, 23 points.

                — Seahawks won their last 12 home openers (9-3 ATS).
                — Seattle completed 52-63 passes, scored 10 TD’s on 20 drives in first two games.
                — Seahawks held Newton to 47 rushing yards; Patriot RB’s combined for 20 YR.
                — Seattle had a 13-yard edge in stating field position.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #53
                  MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 21

                  GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


                  NO at LV 08:15 PM

                  LV +4.0

                  U 47.5



                  ALSO PLAYED AS A 2 TEAM PARLAY FOR 200
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #54
                    COMPLETED PICKS

                    Past Completed Picks

                    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


                    09/21/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
                    09/20/2020 15-11-0 57.69% +1450 Detail
                    09/17/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
                    09/14/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
                    09/13/2020 11-14-1 44.00% -2100 Detail
                    09/10/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail

                    Totals........31-28-1.......52.54%.....+2.00
                    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-25-2020, 12:20 AM.
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #55
                      Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

                      Six interesting spreads for Week 3 NFL games:
                      — Miami @ Jacksonville (-3, 47.5)
                      — Las Vegas @ New England (-6.5, 47)
                      — LA Rams @ Buffalo (-2.5, 47)
                      — Houston @ Pittsburgh (-3.5, 45)
                      — San Francisco (-4.5, 41) @ NJ Giants
                      — Tennessee (-2.5, 47.5) @ Minnesota

                      Americans who have died from COVID-19: 199,938
                      Please wear a mask when you go out.


                      **********

                      Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

                      13) Las Vegas 34, Saints 24
                      — Penalties: Saints 10-129 yards, Raiders 3-13 yards
                      — Saints averaged 7.4 yards/play, converted 7-11 on 3rd down.
                      — New Orleans lost eight of its last ten road openers.

                      — Raiders converted 16-28 on 3rd down, scored 68 points in winning their first two games.
                      — Las Vegas ran 76 plays, the Saints only 57, but were outgained by 49 yards.
                      — AFC West teams are 5-0-1 ATS outside their division.

                      12) Raiders have spent $52.6M of their salary cap on their offensive line, the most of any team in the league.

                      When the Raiders’ move to Las Vegas was approved by the league, the vote was 31-1; for some unknown reason, Miami Dolphins were the team that voted against the move.

                      11) Being a head coach involves having both onions and a feel for your team.

                      3rd quarter Sunday, Rams lead 21-16 at Philly, 6:51 left in 3rd quarter. LA has 4th and a foot on their own 29, after intercepting a Wentz pass in the end zone on the Eagles’ previous drive. Most coaches, maybe 90%, maybe higher, punt the ball there.

                      McVay has the Rams go for it, Goff sneaks for the first down, and Rams go down and kick a FG on a drive that went 68 yards on 16 plays and gave his defense a nice rest.

                      10) NFL injury issues:
                      — Giants’ RB Saquon Barkley is out for the year.
                      — Panthers’ RB Christian McCaffrey is out 4-6 weeks.
                      — Broncos’ QB Drew Lock is out for 3-5 weeks.

                      9) With Lock out for a while, Jeff Driskel figures to be backed up by Brett Rypien, who played college ball at Boise State but has to make his NFL debut.

                      8) So far this season, NFC West reams are 6-0 ATS outside their division; AFC West teams are 5-0-1 ATS. NFC East teams are 1-5.

                      7) Deion Sanders is going to be the football coach at Jackson State, where his son will undoubtedly follow him to play quarterback.

                      Shedeur Sanders has verbally committed to play at Florida Atlantic, but that’s about to change; the kid is an accurate passer, a 4-star recruit. He played on ESPN a few weeks ago, and looked pretty good. Deion Sanders is the offensive coordinator for his son’s high school team.

                      6) They were talking on a ballgame the other night how hitters are no longer allowed to watch videos in between their at bats, and it has screwed up some hitters, who are used to doing that and need it to adjust their approach. Thank the Astros and their garbage can for that.

                      5) ESPN had Ian Happ miked while he played the outfield Sunday night; this bothers me, it is an intrusion on the game. Alex Rodriguez actually was busting Happ’s chops because he roots for the Cleveland Browns. Who in the commissioner’s office thinks BS like that is a good idea?

                      4) I’m thinking that if the expanded baseball playoffs that start next week are popular with fans, they’ll become a permanent part of the major leagues, in combination with a slightly shorter regular season (154 games?)

                      One thing I DO NOT want to see ever are automated umpires for balls/strikes; no thank you.

                      3) 203 ballplayers have made their major league debut this season, 18 of them play for the Miami Marlins. Someone’s going to write an interesting book about this unusual season.

                      2) Of the 30 current major league managers, Colorado’s Bud Black is the only one who was a pitcher in the major leagues. 10 of the 30 skippers were catchers in their playing days.

                      1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
                      AL East: Tampa Bay, New York
                      AL Central: Chicago, Minnesota
                      AL West: Oakland, Houston
                      AL wild cards: Cleveland, Toronto

                      NL East: Atlanta, Miami
                      NL Central: Chicago, St Louis
                      NL West: Los Angeles, San Diego
                      NL wild cards: Philadelphia, Cincinnati
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #56
                        NFL odds Week 3: Opening lines, sharp money & line movement
                        Patrick Everson

                        Lamar Jackson and the Ravens will face a stern Monday night test at home against the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs. The SuperBook installed Baltimore as a 3-point favorite.

                        NFL Week 2 is almost in the books, NFL Week 3 odds are on the board and already getting some attention. Among the marquee matchups is a massive Monday nighter between the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs and the Baltimore Ravens.

                        The SuperBook at Westgate's John Murray provided insights on NFL Week 3 opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting. Covers will update this report with NFL sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the week.

                        NFL Week 3 odds

                        These are the current NFL Week 3 odds, as of September 20.



                        Dolphins at Jaguars odds

                        Opening line

                        Jaguars -2, Over/Under TBA

                        Why the line moved

                        Jacksonville is 1-1 SU, but cashed in in its first two games, losing to Tennessee 33-30 Sunday but covering as a 7-point road underdog. Miami is out of the gate 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS, getting a last-minute touchdown Sunday to cover as a 5.5-point home 'dog in a 31-28 loss to the Bills.

                        So John Murray and his oddsmaking team at The SuperBook made the Jags modest 2-point favorites at home for the Thursday night tilt, and there was apparently a little early Jacksonville interest, as the line went to Jags -2.5.


                        Raiders at Patriots odds

                        Opening line

                        Patriots -6.5, Over/Under TBA

                        Why the line moved
                        "We opened the Patriots -6.5 and didn’t take much action on it before pulling it down when the Sunday night game kicked off," Murray said Sunday night. It's The SuperBook's standard practice to take a game down when a team is involved in the Sunday night conttest, as the Patriots were against the Seahawks.

                        "It's a short week for the Raiders and a tough traveling spot, with them going east in Week 1, then back here for the Monday Night Football game, and then back out to the East Coast for an early kickoff."


                        Rams at Bills odds

                        Opening line

                        Bills -3.5, Over/Under TBA

                        Why the line moved
                        The Bills are out of the gate 2-0 SU (1-1 ATS), but so are the Rams, who cashed in both games, including a 37-19 victory at Philadelphia on Sunday. Although the Rams are playing back east two consecutive weeks, the first move at The SuperBook was toward Los Angeles, from +3.5 to +3 Sunday night.


                        Texans at Steelers odds

                        Opening line

                        Steelers -6, Over/Under TBA

                        Why the line moved
                        There was no movement Sunday night, though Murray expressed some sympathy for Houston, with its tough early-season schedule. "I don’t know what the Texans did to deserve an opening three weeks of at Chiefs, home against Ravens and at Steelers."


                        49ers at Giants odds

                        Opening line

                        Giants +4, Over/Under TBA

                        Why the line moved
                        There was no move in this game Sunday night at The SuperBook, but Murray said setting the opening number was a little challenging, due to key injuries on both sides. There's concern that Giants running back Saquon Barkley may have torn an ACL in Sunday's loss to the Bears, so he could be lost for the season.

                        Likewise, 49ers star defensive end is also thought to have a torn ACL suffered in Sunday's win over the Jets. And San Francisco QB Jimmy Garoppolo has a high ankle sprain, so his status for Week 3 is uncertain.

                        "Those guys (on the 49ers) are worth a couple points, and then Barkley is worth half-a-point to a point," Murray said, noting The SuperBook probably would've opened the Niners at -6 if not for the injury issues.


                        Titans at Vikings odds

                        Opening line

                        Vikings +2.5, Over/Under TBA

                        Why the line moved
                        The SuperBook gave Tennessee the nod as short road chalk, but the first move was to the home 'dog Minnesota, as this line moved to Titans -2 Sunday night.


                        Washington at Browns odds

                        Opening line

                        Browns -6.5, Over/Under TBA

                        Why the line moved
                        There was no movement Sunday night at The SuperBook.


                        Bengals at Eagles odds

                        Opening line

                        Eagles -5.5, Over/Under TBA

                        Why the line moved
                        With the opener of 5.5 a relatively dead number, it appears The SuperBook just wanted to see which way bettors would take it. And they took it toward the Eagles, as the line ticked up to -6 Sunday night.


                        Bears at Falcons odds

                        Opening line

                        Falcons -3, Over/Under TBA

                        Why the line moved
                        This line saw no movement Sunday night, but many observers think the Atlanta sideline should see some movement this week – as in, coach Dan Quinn should be fired. The Falcons blew a 39-24 fourth-quarter lead at Dallas, including allowing an onside kick recovery that led to the Cowboys' game-winning field goal as time expired. That marked the only time Dallas led Sunday.


                        Jets at Colts odds

                        Opening line

                        Colts -9, Over/Under TBA

                        Why the line moved
                        Indianapolis (1-1 SU and ATS) rolled over visiting Minnesota 28-11 laying 3.5 points Sunday, while New York fell to 0-2 SU and ATS in a 31-13 home loss to San Francisco. It seems like this number is high, but The SuperBook went a little higher still Sunday night, with the first move to Colts -9.5.


                        Panthers at Chargers odds

                        Opening line

                        Chargers -6.5, Over/Under TBA

                        Why the line moved
                        There was no line movement at The SuperBook on Sunday night, although Los Angeles was certainly impressive as it fell just short to Kansas City in overtime earlier in the day.


                        Lions at Cardinals odds

                        Opening line

                        Cardinals -5.5, Over/Under TBA

                        Why the line moved
                        Another game that opens at 5.5 and quickly moves toward the favorite. Arizona is out to a 2-0 SU and ATS start, and early bettors were impressed enough to help move the line to -6.5 Sunday night.


                        Buccaneers at Broncos odds

                        Opening line

                        Broncos +5.5, Over/Under TBA

                        Why the line moved
                        The Broncos could very well be without QB Drew Lock, who suffered a shoulder injury in Sunday's loss to Pittsburgh. So another game that opens 5.5 moved toward the favorite, in this case the visiting Buccaneers, who went to -6 Sunday night.


                        Cowboys at Seahawks odds

                        Opening line

                        Seahawks -4.5, Over/Under TBA

                        Why the line moved
                        "We opened the Seahawks -4.5 and took some money on Dallas right away," Murray said, noting the game came off the board shortly thereafter, since the Seahawks were playing the Sunday nighter against the Patriots. "There should be good two-way action here. Gotta keep a close eye on the injury report for Dallas."


                        Packers at Saints odds

                        Opening line

                        Saints -3.5, Over/Under TBA

                        Why the line moved
                        "We opened Saints -3.5 and took some money both ways," Murray said of action on Sunday night. "The Packers look like they’re a lot better than we realized coming into the season, but we don’t want to overreact too much to their wins over the Vikings and Lions."


                        Chiefs at Ravens odds

                        Opening line

                        Ravens -3, Over/Under TBA

                        Why the line moved
                        "These are pretty clearly the two best teams in the NFL, and this looks to be the game of the year, at least as far as the regular season is concerned," Murray said. "We have the Ravens as a slightly better team than the Chiefs and the home-field advantage bumps it to Baltimore as a 3-point favorite to open. There was no discussion on this line. Everyone in the room made it Baltimore -3. It looks like all the other books agreed."

                        And as of late Sunday night, there was no line movement, either.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • #57
                          Hot & Not Report - Week 3
                          Matt Blunt

                          NFL Week 3 Betting Angles

                          Two weeks of the season has already come and gone, and before you know it we will be at Halloween, eight weeks will have gone by and you'll still be doing preseason prep for the Pac-12.

                          Week 3 is one of my favorite weeks of the NFL season though because the first impressions and subsequent follow ups have already been seen, and perspectives on teams are starting to take some sort of shape. Two games worth of box scores begin to form more data, and yet every season the same things seem to hold true in Week 3 every year.

                          So it's into the archives for an updated version of a popular piece last year as there is no reason to change. It performed well once again. It's all about the spread record for Week 3 road teams and if they've got a goose egg in one column, you'll want to take it to crack.

                          Who's Hot

                          Week 3 road teams that are 0-2 ATS to start the year are 15-4 ATS in Week 3 the past four seasons, including 6-1 ATS a year ago


                          Brought this one up at the right time a season ago with a nice 6-1 ATS mark this week, and the 2020 season brings us another strong list of candidates. Some of these teams are even up against some perfect 2-0 ATS teams as well.

                          Who do you Follow?

                          Cowboys
                          Jets
                          Texans
                          Titans
                          Panthers
                          Lions

                          This means that plays on Dallas (+4.5) at Seattle, the NY Jets (+10.5) at Indianapolis, Houston (+4) at Pittsburgh, Tennessee (-2.5) at Minnesota, Carolina (+7.5) at LA Chargers, and Detroit (+5.5) at Arizona all should be considered for the card.

                          A couple of those lines still can have the look of ones that are a little too steeped in a two-week snap judgement and different weighing injuries can be. Carolina's going to be missing McCaffrey which is behind that number getting over a TD as part of the latter, and the Jets may not be as bad as they seem if you believe Buffalo's a contender this year and the catching an angry 49ers team who just happened to be 0-1 SU after losing the Super Bowl.

                          At the same time, as someone who has the Vikings to make the Super Bowl an 0-2 SU start in the fashion it's gone down for the Vikings has not gone over well, and I'm not quite ready to write them off yet either. Tennessee's managed to let two teams hang around when they probably shouldn't have too, and laying points on the road with a team you know has kicking issues never feels comfortable.

                          The cases for taking the points in five of those six games where it applies is something that won't take much work to have me on board, but there probably isn't much of a hurry to rush to grab these ugly dogs either. Carolina and the Jets are likely to get very little support overall, and I don't know how much market sentiment is left to make many want to back the Lions and Texans led by Matt Patricia and Bill O'Brien respectively.

                          Dallas is always going to be a public darling regardless, but up against Russell Wilson and his MVP chatter already making the rounds, that overwhelming Dallas money is probably going to be more balanced. That spread isn't likely to be moving too far either way.

                          But after seven games fit this role a season ago and it produced at that 85% clip, it was time to go right back to it and see how the six games that qualify this year end up treating the bankrolls.

                          Who's Not

                          Week 3 road teams that are 2-0 ATS are 4-9 ATS the past four years; 1-0 ATS in 2019


                          This is not going to have the large volume of plays that the other run does, as of the nine teams that are 2-0 ATS, the majority of them are at home in Week 3.

                          Who do you Fade?

                          Packers
                          Rams
                          Raiders

                          But this would imply that fading the Packers (+4.5) vs New Orleans and the Los Angeles Rams (+2.5/3) at Buffalo should be other options to be considered, as should looking to go against the Raiders (+6) at New England after they defeated the Saints on Monday Night Football.

                          Monday's impressive win by the Raiders over the Saints in their Las Vegas home opener could open up the flood gates for plenty of generic Green Bay love as a downgrade on the Saints more then anything, but I'm sure the Raiders may come off that +6 number as well.

                          The loss for the Saints likely still brings plenty of Packers love, but Patriots backers are probably going to want to look to get that play down sooner rather then later with New England looking just fine through two games of the Cam Newton era.

                          Finally, playing against the Rams means you are playing on a strong Bills team that's remained undefeated and kept the backdoor open too long for the Dolphins to get the late ATS cover on Sunday. There are worse options every week then having a ticket that's got the Bills at home on it though.

                          However, it would only be backing the two AFC East teams of these three games that I think I'd end up putting on the card, as even with Packers love expected, I'm still not sure the Saints aren't being valued much higher than they should be.
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • #58
                            Tech Trends - Week 3
                            Bruce Marshall

                            Thursday, Sept. 24

                            MIAMI at JACKSONVILLE (NFL Network, 8:20 p.m. ET)


                            After spread cover vs. Bills, Dolphins 10-4 vs. line last 14 since early 2019.
                            Jags now “over” 4 of last 5 as host after Indy opener and 2-0 “over” this season.

                            Tech edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.


                            Sunday, Sept. 27

                            L.A. RAMS at BUFFALO (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)


                            Rams now 10-2 vs. spread their last 12 as visitor since late in 2018 campaign, and they have won and covered seven straight in early kickoffs in Eastern Time Zone (or London).
                            Bills 4-6 last ten as Orchard Park chalk.

                            Tech edge: Rams, based on team trends.


                            LAS VEGAS at NEW ENGLAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

                            Raiders have now covered last 3 and 6 of last 9 as visitor after opening win at Carolina.
                            Raiders had closed 2019 “under” 6 of last 7 before “overs” vs. Panthers and Saints.
                            Into last Sunday night at Seattle, Belichick “under” 21-12 last 33 reg.-season games, also 21-10 as Gillette Stadium reg.-season chalk since 2016.

                            Tech edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.


                            HOUSTON at PITTSBURGH (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

                            Texans now no covers last 4 as dog after covering 8 of previous 11 in role.
                            Steel now on 14-5 and 16-6 “under” runs after opener vs. G-Men, and 9-6 vs. spread last 15 at Heinz Field (much of that minus Big Ben LY).

                            Tech edge: Steelers and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


                            SAN FRANCISCO at N.Y. GIANTS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

                            G-Men now no covers last 7 as MetLife dog after opener vs. Steel.
                            Niners 7-2 vs. spread as visitor since 2019.

                            Tech edge: Niners, based on team trends.


                            TENNESSEE at MINNESOTA (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

                            Titans entered 2020 on 9-4 spread uptick but have failed to cover first two in 2020.
                            Vikes “over” 9-4 last 13 reg.-season games.

                            Tech edge: “Over” and Titans, based on “totals” and team trends.


                            WASHINGTON at CLEVELAND (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

                            Browns 0-2 vs. line for Stefanski after non-cover vs. Cincy, and Cleveland now 5-12-1 vs. line since 2019.

                            Tech edge: Football Team, based on Browns negatives.


                            CINCINNATI at PHILADELPHIA (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

                            Cincy now 5-3 as visiting dog since LY (not counting Rams in London) for Taylor and also on 5-1 “over” run.
                            Birds 5-14 vs. line last 18 at Linc, 4-10 last 13 as home chalk.
                            Philly was “under” last 7 at home in 2019 before “over” vs. Rams.

                            Tech edge: Bengals, based on team trends.


                            CHICAGO at ATLANTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

                            Bears rallied for win in opener but no cover vs. G-Men last week and now 5-14 last 19 on board.
                            Chicago 1-4 as dog in 2019 but got the W in role in opener vs. Lions.
                            Falcs closed 2019 on 6-2 SU and spread rush.
                            Falcs dropped first two SU in 2020 (though did cover at Dallas).

                            Tech edge: slight to Falcons, based on recent trends.


                            N.Y. JETS at INDIANAPOLIS (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)

                            Jets only 3-7 vs. line last ten away (3-6 for Gase) after loss at Buffalo in opener.
                            NY did cover 5 of last 6 as dog in 2019 before loss vs. Bills, and also no cover as dog last week vs. Niners.
                            Philip Rivers 5-14 vs. line with Chargers and Colts since late 2018.

                            Tech edge: Slight to Jets, based on team trends.


                            CAROLINA at L.A. CHARGERS (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)

                            Bolts now in new stadium but were 1-8 vs. line their last nine at Carson from late 2018 thru 2019, all prior to cover vs. KC last week.
                            Bolts also “under” 6-1 last 7 as host since 2019, and were 2-8 LY as chalk, though did squeeze narrowest of covers in Cincy opener.
                            Panthers on 1-8-1 spread skid after opening losses vs. Raiders and Bucs, though also “over” 14-5 after first two in 2020.

                            Tech edge: “Over” and slight to Panthers, based on “totals” trends and extended Chargers home negatives.


                            DETROIT at ARIZONA (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)

                            Kingsbury now 12-5-1 vs. line with Cards after 2-0 start in 2020.
                            Note Cards only 0-1 as chalk in 2019, but handled role vs. Football team last week.
                            Lions on 6-12 spread skid since LY, and “over” 12-6 since 2019 after extended “under” run prior.

                            Tech edge: Cards and ”Over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


                            TAMPA BAY at DENVER (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)

                            Broncos 10-4 last 14 vs. points since early 2019 (covered first two in 2020 even though 0-2 SU), and now “under” 19-8 since mid-2018 (Fangio 10-8 “under” since LY).
                            If Denver a dog here note Fangio 7-2 last 9 in role. Bruce Arians only 6-11-1 vs. line with Bucs, and his teams “over” 29-12 last 41 with Cards & Bucs.

                            Tech edge: Ravens, based on team trends.


                            DALLAS at SEATTLE (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)

                            Dallas only 8-10 vs. line its last 18 as visitor, though Cowboys 6-1 last 7 as reg.-season dog.
                            Hawks entered 2020 just 2-7 vs. line last 9 as Seattle chalk.

                            Tech edge: Cowboys, based on team trends.


                            GREEN BAY at NEW ORLEANS (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)

                            Saints got money vs. Bucs in opener, though they were only 3-9 previous 12 as Superdome chalk.
                            Pack 3-0 as dog vs. teams other than 49ers last year.

                            Tech edge: Packers, based on team trends.


                            Monday, Sept. 28

                            KANSAS CITY at BALTIMORE (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)


                            Chiefs stretched win and cover streak to 10 in opener vs. Texans, though failed to get money vs. Bolts last week.
                            Andy Reid also 9-2 as dog since 2017, and won close games at Arrowhead (but covered neither) the past two years vs. Baltimore.
                            Ravens however have won 14 straight reg.-season games SU, covering 11 of last 12.
                            Last three meetings “over” including LY.

                            Tech edge: “Over” and slight to Ravens, based on “totals” and team trends.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • #59
                              301MIAMI -302 JACKSONVILLE
                              MIAMI is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in road games after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game since 1992.

                              461LAS VEGAS -462 NEW ENGLAND
                              NEW ENGLAND is 46-23 ATS (20.7 Units) after allowing >=30 pts. since 1992.

                              463LA RAMS -464 BUFFALO
                              LA RAMS are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) with <=6 days rest in the last 2 seasons.

                              465HOUSTON -466 PITTSBURGH
                              PITTSBURGH is 27-10 ATS (16 Units) in home games after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

                              467SAN FRANCISCO -468 NY GIANTS
                              NY GIANTS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games as a dog in the last 2 seasons.

                              469TENNESSEE -470 MINNESOTA
                              MINNESOTA is 36-18 ATS (16.2 Units) at home when the total is 45.5-49 since 1992.

                              471WASHINGTON -472 CLEVELAND
                              CLEVELAND is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in home games after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.

                              473CINCINNATI -474 PHILADELPHIA
                              PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after a loss in the last 3 seasons.

                              475CHICAGO -476 ATLANTA
                              CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after playing a game at home in the last 2 seasons.

                              477NY JETS -478 INDIANAPOLIS
                              NY JETS are 15-30 ATS (-18 Units) in road games after allowing >=30 pts. since 1992.

                              479CAROLINA -480 LA CHARGERS
                              CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after 2 straight overs in the last 3 seasons.

                              481DETROIT -482 ARIZONA
                              ARIZONA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) at home when the total >=49.5 since 1992.

                              483TAMPA BAY -484 DENVER
                              TAMPA BAY is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

                              485DALLAS -486 SEATTLE
                              SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game in the last 3 seasons.

                              487GREEN BAY -488 NEW ORLEANS
                              GREEN BAY is 19-8 ATS (10.2 Units) off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a division rival since 1992.

                              489KANSAS CITY -490 BALTIMORE
                              KANSAS CITY is 12-4 ATS (7.6 Units) against conference opponents in the last 2 seasons.
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • #60
                                NFL
                                Long Sheet

                                Week 3


                                Thursday, September 24

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                MIAMI (0 - 2) at JACKSONVILLE (1 - 1) - 9/24/2020, 8:20 PM
                                There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                                Head-to-Head Series History
                                JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
                                JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
                                1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                Sunday, September 27

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                LAS VEGAS (1 - 0) at NEW ENGLAND (1 - 1) - 9/27/2020, 1:00 PM
                                Top Trends for this game.
                                NEW ENGLAND is 271-209 ATS (+41.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
                                NEW ENGLAND is 271-209 ATS (+41.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
                                NEW ENGLAND is 208-153 ATS (+39.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
                                NEW ENGLAND is 199-154 ATS (+29.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
                                NEW ENGLAND is 131-91 ATS (+30.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

                                Head-to-Head Series History
                                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                LA RAMS (2 - 0) at BUFFALO (2 - 0) - 9/27/2020, 1:00 PM
                                Top Trends for this game.
                                BUFFALO is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
                                LA RAMS are 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                                LA RAMS are 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                                LA RAMS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
                                LA RAMS are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
                                LA RAMS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

                                Head-to-Head Series History
                                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                HOUSTON (0 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (2 - 0) - 9/27/2020, 1:00 PM
                                Top Trends for this game.
                                PITTSBURGH is 110-81 ATS (+20.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
                                PITTSBURGH is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

                                Head-to-Head Series History
                                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 1) at NY GIANTS (0 - 2) - 9/27/2020, 1:00 PM
                                Top Trends for this game.
                                NY GIANTS are 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
                                NY GIANTS are 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                                NY GIANTS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 3 seasons.
                                NY GIANTS are 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

                                Head-to-Head Series History
                                NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
                                NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
                                1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                TENNESSEE (2 - 0) at MINNESOTA (0 - 2) - 9/27/2020, 1:00 PM
                                Top Trends for this game.
                                MINNESOTA is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
                                MINNESOTA is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
                                TENNESSEE is 55-31 ATS (+20.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
                                TENNESSEE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

                                Head-to-Head Series History
                                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                WASHINGTON (1 - 1) at CLEVELAND (1 - 1) - 9/27/2020, 1:00 PM
                                Top Trends for this game.
                                WASHINGTON is 68-98 ATS (-39.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

                                Head-to-Head Series History
                                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                CINCINNATI (0 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 2) - 9/27/2020, 1:00 PM
                                Top Trends for this game.
                                PHILADELPHIA is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

                                Head-to-Head Series History
                                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                CHICAGO (2 - 0) at ATLANTA (0 - 2) - 9/27/2020, 1:00 PM
                                Top Trends for this game.
                                CHICAGO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                                CHICAGO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                                CHICAGO is 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
                                CHICAGO is 54-82 ATS (-36.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

                                Head-to-Head Series History
                                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                NY JETS (0 - 2) at INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 1) - 9/27/2020, 4:05 PM
                                There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                                Head-to-Head Series History
                                NY JETS is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
                                NY JETS is 1-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
                                1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                CAROLINA (0 - 2) at LA CHARGERS (1 - 1) - 9/27/2020, 4:05 PM
                                Top Trends for this game.
                                LA CHARGERS are 51-29 ATS (+19.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

                                Head-to-Head Series History
                                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                DETROIT (0 - 2) at ARIZONA (2 - 0) - 9/27/2020, 4:25 PM
                                Top Trends for this game.
                                DETROIT is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
                                DETROIT is 148-187 ATS (-57.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
                                DETROIT is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in road games against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
                                ARIZONA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
                                ARIZONA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

                                Head-to-Head Series History
                                ARIZONA is 1-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
                                DETROIT is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
                                1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                TAMPA BAY (1 - 1) at DENVER (0 - 2) - 9/27/2020, 4:25 PM
                                There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                                Head-to-Head Series History
                                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                DALLAS (1 - 1) at SEATTLE (2 - 0) - 9/27/2020, 4:25 PM
                                There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                                Head-to-Head Series History
                                SEATTLE is 2-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                                SEATTLE is 1-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                                1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                GREEN BAY (2 - 0) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 0) - 9/27/2020, 8:20 PM
                                There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                                Head-to-Head Series History
                                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                Monday, September 28

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                KANSAS CITY (2 - 0) at BALTIMORE (2 - 0) - 9/28/2020, 8:15 PM
                                Top Trends for this game.
                                KANSAS CITY is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                                KANSAS CITY is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                                KANSAS CITY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                                KANSAS CITY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                                KANSAS CITY is 61-38 ATS (+19.2 Units) in September games since 1992.

                                Head-to-Head Series History
                                BALTIMORE is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
                                KANSAS CITY is 2-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
                                2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                                Comment

                                Working...
                                X