The bum's 2020-2921 nfl news, trends, picks !

[StarDust Bum]

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

New England 36, Raiders 20
— Raiders lost three fumbles (-2 in TO’s) converted 3-9 on third down.
— Las Vegas has given up 32 ppg so far this season.
— Last three years, Raiders are 9-15 ATS as a road underdog.

— New England ran ball for 250 yards; Michel ran 9 times for 117 yards.
— Since 2013, Patriots are 17-8 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last 4+ years, New England is 26-13-1 ATS as a home favorite.

Buffalo 35, Rams 32
— Rams were down 28-3, rallied to take lead, but lost on a TD with 0:15 left.
— LA is 6-2 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.
— Rams have run ball for 153-191-167 yards, converting 22-39 on 3rd down.

— Buffalo’s first five drives: 36 plays, 251 yards, 28 points.
— Bills converted a 3rd-and-22 on the game-winning drive.
— Bills won first three games, scoring 27-31-35 points, gaining 1,303 yards.
— Buffalo’s coaches have done very well developing QB Allen’s skills.

Pittsburgh 28, Texans 21
— Texans in first half: six drives- three 3/outs. 3 touchdowns.
— Houston in 2nd half: 17 plays, 41 yards, 2 first downs, 0 points.
— Texans lost their first two games, giving up 34-33-28 points.

— Steelers won their first three games, scoring 26-26-28 points.
— Pitt outgained Houston 387-260, ran ball for 169 yards.
— Steelers’ last seven drives of game: 60 plays, 349 yards, 21 first downs, 25 points.

49ers 36, NJ Giants 9
— 49ers sweep their New Jersey road trip, beating Jets/Giants in consecutive weeks.
— 49ers had eight drives; four TD’s, three FG’s, one missed FG.
— NFC West teams are 8-2 ATS outside their division this year.

— Giants lost their first three games, by 10-4-27 points.
— Giants have been outrushed 369-170 this season.
— Big Blue is 1-12 ATS in last dozen games as a home underdog.

Titans 31, Minnesota 30
— Tennessee won its first three games, by total of six points.
— Gostkowski kicked six field goals; he made 54, 55-yard FG’s in final 6:31 for the win.
—Tannehill threw for 321 yards; no Titan caught more than five passes.

— Vikings lost their first three games, allowing 43-28-31 points.
— Minnesota lost field position by 14-15-11 yards; they’re minus-5 in turnovers.
— Last 4+ years, Vikings are 5-1 ATS as a home underdog.

Cleveland 34, Washington 20
— Washington trailed 17-0/20-0 in their two games; they trailed 17-7 at half here.
— Washington rallied to lead 20-17 after third quarter, was outscored 17-0 in 4th quarter.
— Redskins turned ball over four times, averaged only 5.2 yards/pass attempt.

— Cleveland’s first three drives: 25 plays, 85 yards, no points.
— Cleveland’s last nine drives: 52 plays, 229 yards, 34 points.
— Chubb ran 19 times for 108 yards, two TD’s.

Bengals 23, Philadelphia 23
— Bengals are 0-2-1; their games were decided by total of 8 points.
— Cincy allowed 545 rushing yards in their first three games.
— Last 3+ years, Bengals are 16-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.

— Eagles are 0-2-1 in first three games, were outscored 49-13 in 2nd half.
— Philly turned ball over eight times in three games, is -7 in turnovers.
— Eagles are 4-11-1 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite.

Bears 30, Atlanta 26
— Chicago won its first three games, by four points each.
— Foles replaced Trubisky at QB in 3rd quarter, went 16-29 for 188 yards, three TD’s
— Bears’ first 10 drives: 59 plays, 268 yards, 10 points.
— Bears’ last three drives: 17 plays, 161 yards, 20 points.

— Atlanta led this game 26-10 with 7:00 left.
— Falcons lost 40-39 in Dallas LW, blowing 29-10 halftime lead- how many games like this do they have to lose before they fire the coach?
— Falcons are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.

Indianapolis 36, Jets 7
— Jets lost first three games, by 10-18-29 points- they were outscored 59-13 in first half.
— Jets’ offense was outscored 16-7 by the Colts’ defense in this game.
— Jets are 8-18-1 ATS in last 27 games as a road underdog.

— Colts outgained their first three opponents by an average of 384-228/game.
— Indy had a 16-yard advantage in starting field position, not counting the two pick-6’s.
— Colts are 11-6-1 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.

Panthers 21, LA Chargers 16
— Carolina despite scoring only one TD- they kicked five field goals.
— Panthers won field position by 13 yards in this game; they were +4 in turnovers.
— Carolina is 4-0 against the Chargers in California.

— Chargers outgained Carolina 436-302, but turned ball over four times.
— LA lost its first two games at SoFi Stadium, by total of 8 points.
— Chargers are 3-10 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.

Lions 26, Arizona 23
— Detroit was +3 in turnovers, won field position by 17 yards.
— NFL teams that were +2 or better or turnovers are 9-0 this week.
— Detroit is 2-0-1 in its last three visits to the desert.

— Arizona had only three plays of 20+ yards; they had 11 in first two games.
— Last 5+ years, Cardinals are 8-15 ATS as a home favorite.
— DeAndre Hopkins caught 10 balls for 137 yards, but no TD’s.

Buccaneers 28, Denver 10
— Tampa Bay held Denver to 226 yards, was +2 in turnovers.
— Buccaneers are 7-3-3 ATS in last 13 gamest AFC teams.
— Last 4+ years, Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS as a road favorite.

— Denver lost its first three games, by 2-5-18 points.
— Backup QB Driskel got the start; he is now 1-8 as an NFL starter. 3rd-stringer Rypien replaced him, was 8-9 for 53 yards, with an INT.
— McManus did make a 56-yard field goal for the Broncos.

Seattle 38, Cowboys 31
— Dallas gave up 39-38 points in splitting its last two games.
— Cowboys threw ball for 461 yards, outgained Seattle by 110 yards, but turned ball over three times (-2)
— Dallas missed two PAT’s and a 2-point conversion.

— Seahawks won their first three games, scoring 38-35-38 points (15 TD’s/33 drives).
— Seattle has run 188 plays; only 29 of them have been on third down.
— Seahawks won four of last five series games,.

Packers 37, New Orleans 30
— Green Bay won its first three games, scoring 43-42-37 points (13 TD’s/27 drives)
— Packers scored on seven of nine drives in this game (4 TD’s, 3 FG’s)
— Lazard caught six passes for 146 yards, including a 72-yard TD.

— Kamara caught 13 passes for 138 yards, ran ball 12 times for 58 yards.
— Over is 3-0 in New Orleans games this season.
— Saints are 5-12 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.

[StarDust Bum]

Monday’s 6-pack
Playoff matchup/odds:

Dodgers (-300) vs Brewers (+240)
Braves (-125) vs Reds (+105)
Cubs (-190) vs Marlins (+160)
Padres (-175) vs Cardinals (+145)

Rays (-210) vs Blue Jays (+170)
A’s (-135) vs White Sox (+110)
Twins (-120) vs Astros (+100)
Indians (+110) vs Yankees (-135)


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 203,481
Please wear a mask when you go out.

Quote of the Day
”I need to be the same guy on our best days and on our worst days. Anything past that does not help the team. All I can focus on is us finishing better. That’s where my focus needs to be.”
Falcons coach Dan Quinn

Monday’s quiz
Of the 32 starting QB’s in the NFL, how many played college football in the Pac-12?

Sunday’s quiz
Marv Levy is known for winning four AFC titles in Buffalo; he also coached the Chiefs, before he coached in Buffalo.

Saturday’s quiz
Kyle Shanahan is the only current NFL head coach whose father was also an NFL head coach. Sean McVay’s grandfather was once coach of the Giants.

[StarDust Bum]

Betting Recap - Week 3
Joe Williams

Overall Notes



National Football League Year-to-Date Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 33-13-1
Against the Spread 25-22

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 25-21-1
Against the Spread 24-23

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 28-18-1

The largest underdogs to win straight up

Panthers (+6, ML +240) at Chargers, 21-16
Lions (+5.5, ML +200) at Cardinals, 26-23
Packers (+3, ML +145) at Saints, 37-30

The largest favorites to cover

Colts (-11.5) vs. Jets, 36-7
Browns (-7) vs. Washington, 34-20
Patriots (-7) vs. Raiders, 36-20
Buccaneers (-6) at Broncos, 28-10
Seahawks (-5.5) vs. Cowboys, 38-31

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week

If you were holding an under ticket in the Cincinnati Bengals-Philadelphia Eagles battle, congrats. If you were holding an over ticket, my condolences.

The Bengals were leading 23-16 before QB Carson Wentz desperately scrambled for the right corner of the end zone, diving for the pylon with 21 seconds left in regulation to tie the game 23-23. Over bettors everywhere likely said bad words. I, personally, was holding a Bengals +5 ticket, so all of a sudden my smile disappeared, as a potential touchdown in overtime by Philadelphia would sink me after I'd been on the correct side most of the day. Thankfully that scenario didn't play out.

Anyway, neither team did much of anything in the overtime session, never really threatening to score. The Eagles did drive down the field late, and PK Jake Elliott was about to trot out for the 59-yard field goal to win it. However, a false start penalty caused the Eagles to back it up five yards and head coach Doug Pederson elected to punt the ball away and accept the tie.

Oddly enough, these teams who meet every four years have played to a tie in two of the previous four meetings. Remember when Donovan McNabb didn't know that overtime ended in a tie? That was a game on Nov. 16, 2008 in Cincinnati.

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week -- Part 2

The Atlanta Falcons (-2.5) were leading 26-10 heading to the fourth quarter over the Chicago Bears. It looked like Atlanta was going to avenge last week's disgusting collapse on the road against the Dallas Cowboys when they blew a 39-24 lead to fall 40-39. The Week 3 Falcons told the Week 2 Falcons, hold my beer. They allowed 20 unanswered points in the fourth quarter on their home field, becoming the first team in NFL history to lose consecutive games when leading by 15 or more points in the final quarter. If you plan to bet the Falcons in the future, make sure to play the opponent on the second-half or live betting in the fourth quarter.

Total Recall

The lowest total on the board was in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Denver Broncos (42.5) game, one which saw future Hall of Fame QB Tom Brady squaring off against backup QB Jeff Driskel, with QB Drew Lock sidelined due to injury. The game looked like it was going to be a slam-dunk over, as the Bucs led 23-10 at halftime. Over bettors rejoiced. Then we saw a total of five points in the second half, including a scoreless fourth quarter. Ouch.

The second-lowest total (43.5) was in both the San Francisco 49ers-New York Giants game and the battle between the Carolina Panthers-Los Angeles Chargers. The 49ers led the Giants 29-9 late in the fourth quarter before RB Jeff Wilson Jr. punched one in from two yards out to push the total just over, 36-9.

The Panthers surprised the Chargers in a field-goal fest. The Panthers settled for a total of five field goals, including four on trips to the red zone. The game featured just three touchdowns, and only one team posted a double-digit point total (Panthers, 12) in a single quarter.

The highest total on the board Sunday didn't disappoint. The Dallas Cowboys and Seattle Seahawks (57) saw the line rise from 55.5 to 57 during the week. It could have gone way higher. The teams were tied 9-9 after the first quarter, and Seattle led 23-15 at halftime. The scoring continued in the second half, as the Seahawks won 38-31, hanging on to the end similar to their Week 2 SNF win. The teams combined for at least 14 points in every quarter in this one.

The first two primetime games saw the total go 1-1, with the Monday night game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens (55) pending. The Miami Dolphins routed their Sunshine State neighbors, the Jacksonville Jaguars, 31-13. The over was on pace at halftime, with a total of 28 points on the board, but a low-scoring second half send under bettors to the window with a win. The anticipated shootout between the Green Bay Packers and New Orleans Saints (52) lived up to the hype despite the fact both WRs Davante Adams and Michael Thomas were sidelined for their respective teams.

So far this season the over is 5-4 (55.5%) across nine primetime games. In 2019, the 'over' was just 17-31-1 (35.4%) during primetime games.

Looking Ahead to Week 4

Denver Broncos at New York Jets (Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET)

The Broncos slipped to 0-3 when they lost to the Bucs in Week 3. Driskel, the replacement for the injured Lock, was benched in the fourth quarter in favor of QB Brett Rypien, who was just recalled from the practice squad Saturday. Ouch. Jets QB Sam Darnold, meanwhile, had a pair of pick-sixes in a loss to Indianapolis. The offensive play in this Thursday night battle might be so bad that the opening total of 40 might be a bit high.

Seattle Seahawks at Miami Dolphins (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

The Seahawks have scored 35 or more points in each of their three victories, all over results. This will be the second of their five trips to the Eastern Time Zone this season. Seattle won 38-25 in Week 1 as a pick 'em on a total of 49.5. The Dolphins have gotten a couple of extra days to prepare for the Seahawks after topping the Jaguars at TIAA Bank Field last Thursday. That might not be the only advantage the Dolphins face, as they also have the advantage of the heat and humidity of South Florida, a 10 am PT kickoff time for the Seahawks and, of course, the high travel for Seattle.
New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)

The Patriots square off with the defending champions, who have had a brutal schedule to date. The Chiefs have already faced playoff teams Houston, Baltimore and now New England in three of the first four games, and they had a difficult overtime win on the road against the Chargers in Week 2. The Patriots have a highly-anticipated game for the second time in three weeks. They came up just short in a Week 2 Sunday Night Football battle in Seattle, losing 35-30 as QB Cam Newton was stuffed at the goal line at the gun to end the game. That's how close they are to being 3-0 SU.

Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)

The collapsing Falcons take a trip to Lambeau Field on Monday night, getting an extra day to watch the excruciating film from their loss to the Bears. There are a lot of people who feel head coach Dan Quinn could be out of a job soon after his team made NFL history with the two big blown fourth-quarter leads. The Packers are probably the absolute worst opponent for Atlanta to face in Week 4, as they lead the NFL with 40.7 points per game, hitting the over in all three of their outings. In fact, Green Bay games have seen the over hit by at least 12 points in each of the three outings.

[StarDust Bum]

Chiefs vs. Ravens Week 3 Odds, Preview
Matt Blunt

The AFC Championship game that was “supposed” to happen in the 2019-20 playoffs gets to be played nine months later on MNF, as the defending champs from Kansas City travel to Baltimore.

Remember, it was the Ravens who were the #1 seed in the AFC last year and slipped up vs Tennessee in the Divisional round to not give the world the Baltimore/KC AFC Championship everyone was expecting.

There is a lot less at stake in this actual meeting then there would have been had last year's playoffs played out differently for Baltimore, but that may actually be a good thing for Chiefs backers here.

Three of the last four times the defending champs had a Conference Championship rematch game in the regular season the following year they lost those games outright. Not specifically applicable here, but both organizations know that they'll have to likely overcome this particular foe to get where they ultimately want to go this season, and it would not be shocking to see a big time playoff feel to this game as well.

Betting Resources

Week 3 Matchup: AFC vs. AFC
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
Location: Baltimore, MD
Date: Monday, Sept. 28, 2020
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

Line Movements

Spread: Ravens -3.5
Money-Line: Ravens -185, Chiefs +165
Total: 54


The Baltimore Ravens have started the season 2-0 and they're listed as favorites against the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday. (AP)

2020 Betting Stats

Kansas City

Overall: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U

Baltimore

Overall: 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS, 0-2 O/U

Over vs. Under

Handicapping the Total

If we were to continue down the path of treating this game to something of a fictional AFC Championship rematch game, then it's interesting to note that in those four games that the reigning champs returned to face the team they beat to get there, the 'under' has cashed every single time.

It's not going to specifically apply this year with the Chiefs and Titans not on the dance card together, but treating it in a similar light down this brainstorming path does make quite a bit of sense.

Because when you really think about the game, sure, both QB's are going to get all the accolades and deservedly so, but because of their skills, both teams should essentially come in with a similar mindset from a strategical point of view; limit the time said opposing quarterback is on the field and can hurt them.

That means run the ball, shorten the game, and be comfortable with it because in the end, both sides are plenty comfortable with asking their guy to make that quick scoring drive late if need be. The talent's definitely there for either side to pull it off.

Both defenses are going to want to make sure they keep everything in front of them as much as possible, and that leaves easy running lanes open as well as plenty of space in the flat to work the short game. Again, two things both offenses are plenty comfortable in executing because of the belief it will eventually open up things deep.

With all the talk being about the explosiveness of these offenses, the stronger perception is already going to be siding with the 'over' in this game and there might not be a number that's too high for some just looking to get action down on a high profile MNF game.

The contrarian angle here was always going to be the 'under', and when thought about on top of all those other potential terms laid out in regards to more run plays, leading to longer drives etc, I do believe the 'under' is the only way to look here.

Yes it's the scarier play to pull the trigger on in a contest between the last two league MVP's, but all of that is already part of the number that currently sits out there in the market. But the Ravens defense has held both of their opponents to 16 or fewer points in two games this year, and KC's defensive unit hasn't allowed more than 20 points against in two games. Points easily lost or cast aside in the eye popping headlines constantly created about the QB's.

KC's offense has recently shown that getting into high gear away from home can be tough for them with a 0-4 O/U run going on the road, and the Ravens are on a 1-5 O/U run themselves as a home favorite.

It's a play that's never going to be popular, but that doesn't mean it can't hit. It's not like a 27-24 game between these two can't live up to all the hype it's getting right?

Head-to-Head History

Sept. 22, 2019 - Kansas City 33 vs. Baltimore 28, Chiefs -4.5, Over 52.5
Dec. 9, 2018 - (OT) Kansas City 27 vs. Baltimore 24, Chiefs -6.5, Over 48.5

Handicapping the Side

If this game does indeed live up to half the expectation that's getting thrust upon it, it's going to be a pretty easy game to pass on action on the side and simply take in as a football fan.

There is very little that separates these two teams on paper, and when they meet you hope that they both execute at a high level and let the chips fall where they may.

If forced to make a selection here, I'd end up on the Chiefs only because the line dictates you should with that hook at +3.5, a number that's been settled in all week.

Asking yourself why it hasn't come back down to +3 if most are going to take the hook from a simple numbers standpoint brings even more legitimate concerns as to why staying off the side is quite easy to do.

Taking that hook at +3.5, but when Baltimore appears plenty attractive from a money line angle, there is just little reason to force things.

Key Injuries

Kansas City

LB Dorian O'Daniel: Knee, Ankle - Questionable
CB Charvarius Ward: Hand - Questionable
WR Sammy Watkins: Concussion, Neck - Questionable

Baltimore

G D.J. Fluker: Shoulder - Questionable
S Anthony Levine Sr.: Abdomen - Questionable
DT Justin Madubuike: Knee - Questionable
WR Chris Moore: Finger - Questionable
CB Tavon Young: Knee - Out

[StarDust Bum]

SEEMS EVERYONE IS ON THE RAVENS WHICH USUALLY MEANS YOU KNOW WHAT BUT I THINK THIS IS THE RIGHT WAY TO GO..


MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 28

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

KC at BAL 08:15 PM

BAL -3.5

U 54.5

[StarDust Bum]

COMPLETED PICKS

Past Completed Picks

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/28/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/27/2020 11-17-0 39.29% -3850 Detail
09/24/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/21/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/20/2020 15-11-0 57.69% +1450 Detail
09/17/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/14/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/13/2020 11-14-1 44.00% -2100 Detail
09/10/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail

Totals........44-47-1.......48.35%.....-37.50

[StarDust Bum]

NFL odds Week 4: Opening lines, sharp money & line movement
Patrick Everson

NFL Week 3 is in the books, NFL Week 4 odds are on the betting board, and a few games are already getting action. Among the noteworthy matchups are a couple of AFC clashes: the New England Patriots visit the Kansas City Chiefs, and the Las Vegas Raiders host the unbeaten Buffalo Bills.

The SuperBook at Westgate's John Murray provided insights on NFL Week 4 opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting.

NFL Week 4 odds

These are the current NFL Week 4 odds, as of September 27.



Broncos at Jets odds

Opening line
Jets +2.5, Over/Under 40

Why the line moved
Denver very likely won't have QB Drew Lock, and definitely won't have standout wideout Courtland Sutton and star linebacker Von Miller, both lost for the season. Yet the Broncos opened -2.5 at The SuperBook, which says a lot about the Jets in this battle of winless teams. There was no line movement Sunday night.


Colts at Bears odds

Opening line
Bears +2.5, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
The Bears are 3-0 SU (2-1 ATS), but SuperBook oddsmakers were more impressed with the 2-1 SU and ATS Colts. And apparently, early bettors were, too, as this line moved to Colts -3 Sunday night.


Saints at Lions odds

Opening line
Lions +5.5, Over/Under 54.5

Why the line moved
There was no line movement Sunday night at The SuperBook before this game came off the board at kickoff of the Packers-Saints contest. Saints-Lions will go back up Monday morning.


Cardinals at Panthers odds

Opening line
Panthers +4.5, Over/Under 52.5

Why the line moved
After the Cardinals' unexpected home loss to the Lions and the Panthers' surprising road upset of the Chargers, early bettors seemed to think 4.5 points was too many for visiting Arizona in Week 4. This line dipped to Cardinals -3.5 Sunday night at The SuperBook.


Jaguars at Bengals odds

Opening line
Bengals -3, Over/Under 48

Why the line moved
Jacksonville looked awful in a 31-13 Thursday night home loss to Miami, while Joe Burrow and the Bengals scratched out a 23-23 tie as 5.5-point underdogs at Philadelphia. So The SuperBook gave the Bengals a 3-point nod, and there was no line movement Sunday night.


Browns at Cowboys odds

Opening line
Cowboys -4.5, Over/Under 56

Why the line moved
Cleveland (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) has a better record than Dallas (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS), but Cleveland's two wins were at home over Cincinnati and Washington, while Dallas' two losses were on the road against the Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks. The SuperBook opened at Cowboys -4.5 and moved to -5 Sunday night.


Vikings at Texans odds

Opening line
Texans -4, Over/Under 53.5

Why the line moved
In a battle of winless teams, The SuperBook opened Houston -4 against Minnesota, and there was no line movement Sunday night.

"Talk about a must-win spot for the Texans. They’ll be desperate after falling to 0-3 on Sunday. They’ve played a brutal schedule," Murray said Sunday night, noting Houston's first three weeks were at Kansas City, vs. Baltimore and at Pittsburgh. "The Vikings finally showed some life today. I still don’t really know what to make of them."

Minnesota lost to Tennessee 31-30 Sunday, giving up a late field goal.


Seahawks at Dolphins odds

Opening line
Dolphins +7, Over/Under 54.5

Why the line moved
Seattle is 3-0 SU and ATS, putting both those marks on the line in a cross-country trek in Week 4. The SuperBook didn't move Sunday night off the opener of Seahawks -7.


Chargers at Buccaneers odds

Opening line
Buccaneers -6.5, Over/Under 45

Why the line moved
Tom Brady and Tampa Bay (2-1 SU and ATS) won and cashed their last two, and after the Chargers laid an egg against the Panthers, early bettors apparently put some early dollars on the Buccaneers. The SuperBook opened Tampa -6.5 and moved to -7 Sunday night.


Steelers at Titans odds

Opening line
Titans -1.5, Over/Under 47

Why the line moved
Tennessee opened -1.5 at The SuperBook, and there was no line movement Sunday night.

"Both teams come in to this matchup at 3-0," Murray said. "The Steelers have been impressive, while the Titans seem to just barely squeak by every week. I'm thinking the public will look to back Pittsburgh here."


Ravens at Washington odds

Opening line
Washington +13.5, Over/Under 52

Why the line moved
No surprise that The SuperBook opened this game with a nearly two-touchdown spread. But nobody was biting Sunday night, and the Ravens remained -13.5.


Giants at Rams odds

Opening line
Rams -11, Over/Under 47

Why the line moved
Los Angeles (2-1 SU and ATS) rallied from a 21-3 deficit at Buffalo and nearly pulled out the win, falling 35-32 on a last-minute Bills TD. New York (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) had a great opportunity at home in Week 3, going off as a 3-point pup against a 49ers outfit in need of a M*A*S*H unit. Yet the Giants got boatraced 36-9. So The SuperBook felt Rams -11 was about right Sunday night, and in fact, the line later went to -11.5.


Patriots at Chiefs odds

Opening line
Chiefs -7, Over/Under 53.5

Why the line moved
"We opened this game Chiefs -7. We discussed using -7.5, but we’ve noticed sharps betting against the Chiefs every week this season – with varying results so far," Murray said. "I expect good two-way handle here, with the Chiefs included in a lot of moneyline parlays, especially if they get by Baltimore on Monday Night Football."


Bills at Raiders odds

Opening line
Raiders +2.5, Over/Under 52.5

Why the line moved
The spread didn't move early, but the price did, with Buffalo going from -2.5 to -2.5 (-120). Murray has high expectations for betting on this Sunday matchup.

"This could end up being the monster-handle game of the week," Murray said. "The Bills come in 3-0, and Josh Allen is playing at a Pro Bowl level. I didn't expect to be saying that three weeks ago. The Raiders were in a terrible spot Sunday against the Patriots, and they wore down in the second half, but we still think they’re a solid team. I expect good two-way action here."


Eagles at 49ers odds

Opening line
49ers -5.5, Over/Under 45

Why the line moved
San Francisco QB Jimmy Garoppolo (ankle) could return in Week 4, and early bettors might be thinking just that, as this line moved to Niners -6 Sunday night.


Falcons at Packers odds

Opening line
Packers -6.5, Over/Under 58

Why the line moved
This line went up before Sunday night's Packers-Saints game, and per The SuperBook's standard operating procedure, the line was taken off the board once Packers-Saints kicked off.

"I don’t even have a joke about coach Dan Quinn and the Falcons here. It’s like they’re trying to choke away these games," Murray said, alluding to Atlanta blowing double-digit fourth-quarter leads in two consecutive games. "The Packers will finish off the majority of the moneyline parlays that survive next Sunday."

[StarDust Bum]

Betting Recap - Week 3
Joe Williams

Overall Notes



National Football League Year-to-Date Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 33-13-1
Against the Spread 25-22

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 25-21-1
Against the Spread 24-23

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 28-18-1

The largest underdogs to win straight up

Panthers (+6, ML +240) at Chargers, 21-16
Lions (+5.5, ML +200) at Cardinals, 26-23
Packers (+3, ML +145) at Saints, 37-30

The largest favorites to cover

Colts (-11.5) vs. Jets, 36-7
Browns (-7) vs. Washington, 34-20
Patriots (-7) vs. Raiders, 36-20
Buccaneers (-6) at Broncos, 28-10
Seahawks (-5.5) vs. Cowboys, 38-31

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week

If you were holding an under ticket in the Cincinnati Bengals-Philadelphia Eagles battle, congrats. If you were holding an over ticket, my condolences.

The Bengals were leading 23-16 before QB Carson Wentz desperately scrambled for the right corner of the end zone, diving for the pylon with 21 seconds left in regulation to tie the game 23-23. Over bettors everywhere likely said bad words. I, personally, was holding a Bengals +5 ticket, so all of a sudden my smile disappeared, as a potential touchdown in overtime by Philadelphia would sink me after I'd been on the correct side most of the day. Thankfully that scenario didn't play out.

Anyway, neither team did much of anything in the overtime session, never really threatening to score. The Eagles did drive down the field late, and PK Jake Elliott was about to trot out for the 59-yard field goal to win it. However, a false start penalty caused the Eagles to back it up five yards and head coach Doug Pederson elected to punt the ball away and accept the tie.

Oddly enough, these teams who meet every four years have played to a tie in two of the previous four meetings. Remember when Donovan McNabb didn't know that overtime ended in a tie? That was a game on Nov. 16, 2008 in Cincinnati.

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week -- Part 2

The Atlanta Falcons (-2.5) were leading 26-10 heading to the fourth quarter over the Chicago Bears. It looked like Atlanta was going to avenge last week's disgusting collapse on the road against the Dallas Cowboys when they blew a 39-24 lead to fall 40-39. The Week 3 Falcons told the Week 2 Falcons, hold my beer. They allowed 20 unanswered points in the fourth quarter on their home field, becoming the first team in NFL history to lose consecutive games when leading by 15 or more points in the final quarter. If you plan to bet the Falcons in the future, make sure to play the opponent on the second-half or live betting in the fourth quarter.

Total Recall

The lowest total on the board was in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Denver Broncos (42.5) game, one which saw future Hall of Fame QB Tom Brady squaring off against backup QB Jeff Driskel, with QB Drew Lock sidelined due to injury. The game looked like it was going to be a slam-dunk over, as the Bucs led 23-10 at halftime. Over bettors rejoiced. Then we saw a total of five points in the second half, including a scoreless fourth quarter. Ouch.

The second-lowest total (43.5) was in both the San Francisco 49ers-New York Giants game and the battle between the Carolina Panthers-Los Angeles Chargers. The 49ers led the Giants 29-9 late in the fourth quarter before RB Jeff Wilson Jr. punched one in from two yards out to push the total just over, 36-9.

The Panthers surprised the Chargers in a field-goal fest. The Panthers settled for a total of five field goals, including four on trips to the red zone. The game featured just three touchdowns, and only one team posted a double-digit point total (Panthers, 12) in a single quarter.

The highest total on the board Sunday didn't disappoint. The Dallas Cowboys and Seattle Seahawks (57) saw the line rise from 55.5 to 57 during the week. It could have gone way higher. The teams were tied 9-9 after the first quarter, and Seattle led 23-15 at halftime. The scoring continued in the second half, as the Seahawks won 38-31, hanging on to the end similar to their Week 2 SNF win. The teams combined for at least 14 points in every quarter in this one.

The first two primetime games saw the total go 1-1, with the Monday night game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens (55) pending. The Miami Dolphins routed their Sunshine State neighbors, the Jacksonville Jaguars, 31-13. The over was on pace at halftime, with a total of 28 points on the board, but a low-scoring second half send under bettors to the window with a win. The anticipated shootout between the Green Bay Packers and New Orleans Saints (52) lived up to the hype despite the fact both WRs Davante Adams and Michael Thomas were sidelined for their respective teams.

So far this season the over is 5-4 (55.5%) across nine primetime games. In 2019, the 'over' was just 17-31-1 (35.4%) during primetime games.

Looking Ahead to Week 4

Denver Broncos at New York Jets (Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET)

The Broncos slipped to 0-3 when they lost to the Bucs in Week 3. Driskel, the replacement for the injured Lock, was benched in the fourth quarter in favor of QB Brett Rypien, who was just recalled from the practice squad Saturday. Ouch. Jets QB Sam Darnold, meanwhile, had a pair of pick-sixes in a loss to Indianapolis. The offensive play in this Thursday night battle might be so bad that the opening total of 40 might be a bit high.

Seattle Seahawks at Miami Dolphins (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

The Seahawks have scored 35 or more points in each of their three victories, all over results. This will be the second of their five trips to the Eastern Time Zone this season. Seattle won 38-25 in Week 1 as a pick 'em on a total of 49.5. The Dolphins have gotten a couple of extra days to prepare for the Seahawks after topping the Jaguars at TIAA Bank Field last Thursday. That might not be the only advantage the Dolphins face, as they also have the advantage of the heat and humidity of South Florida, a 10 am PT kickoff time for the Seahawks and, of course, the high travel for Seattle.
New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)

The Patriots square off with the defending champions, who have had a brutal schedule to date. The Chiefs have already faced playoff teams Houston, Baltimore and now New England in three of the first four games, and they had a difficult overtime win on the road against the Chargers in Week 2. The Patriots have a highly-anticipated game for the second time in three weeks. They came up just short in a Week 2 Sunday Night Football battle in Seattle, losing 35-30 as QB Cam Newton was stuffed at the goal line at the gun to end the game. That's how close they are to being 3-0 SU.

Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)

The collapsing Falcons take a trip to Lambeau Field on Monday night, getting an extra day to watch the excruciating film from their loss to the Bears. There are a lot of people who feel head coach Dan Quinn could be out of a job soon after his team made NFL history with the two big blown fourth-quarter leads. The Packers are probably the absolute worst opponent for Atlanta to face in Week 4, as they lead the NFL with 40.7 points per game, hitting the over in all three of their outings. In fact, Green Bay games have seen the over hit by at least 12 points in each of the three outings.

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NFL betting tips for Week 4: Bet Now or Bet Later
Jason Logan

Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills have gone Over the total in all three games to open the 2020 season and travel to Las Vegas for a potential Sin City shootout in Week 4.

The great thing about NFL betting on Sundays is that win or lose, you have a brand-new set of point spreads and totals coming down the pike mere minutes after the week’s game finish.

Depending on your NFL betting strategy, you may want to attack those lines the second they hit the board. Or you may want to play it cool and wait for some line moves and get a better deal later in the week.

These are our best betting tips when it comes to the NFL Week 4 odds to bet now and bet later.

Denver Broncos (-2.5) at New York Jets: Bet Now

After the way the Broncos and Jets performed in Week 3, the Week 4 Thursday Night Football matchup is shaping up to be a game only a gambler could love – especially if you grab Denver under the field goal right now.

The 0-3 Broncos hit the board at -2.5 on the road, fresh off a bruising loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at home. Denver is dinged up, missing bodies on both sides of the ball, but at least it’s not New York. Gang Green was flattened on the road by Indianapolis in Week 3 and QB Sam Darnold threw more INTs returned for touchdowns (2) than touchdowns for his actual team (1).

I wouldn’t blame anyone for passing on this primetime turd altogether, but if you like the Broncos or can’t, in clear conscience, bring yourself to bet on the Jets, grab Denver under the key number of a field goal now.


Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans (-1): Bet Later

The lookahead line for this matchup was around Tennessee -2.5 last week, but when the actual opener hit the board Sunday night, the Titans were giving -2 for only a few minutes before getting slimmed to 1-point home chalk.

The Steelers are coming off an impressive performance against Houston to improve to 3-0 SU on the year. And while Tennessee is also 3-0 SU to start 2020, its been far less dominant in those wins and is 0-3 ATS with those three games decided by a combined six points.

The Titans could be missing Pro Bowl LT Taylor Lewan for Week 4, facing a Pittsburgh pass rush that leads the league with 15 sacks. But if you’re putting your money on the Music City, wait it out and see if this sucker jumps the fence with action coming in on the Steelers. You could get an extra point or two on the home side.

Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders (Over 49.5): Bet Now

The Bills’ offensive transformation continues to post points, with Buffalo edging the L.A. Rams with 35 points at home in Week 3. Josh Allen and the Bills passing game are tops in all the land and have helped Buffalo blow through all three totals so far this season.

Week 4 presents a taller task, with the total for the team’s trip to Sin City sitting just below 50 points. That’s not going to last long, given the state of the Raiders defense but also how well the Vegas offense performed in its first game in Allegiant Stadium.

The Raiders scored 34 points in that Monday Night Football win over the New Orleans Saints and scored 34 points in their opening game against the Carolina Panthers. The Week 3 result, a 36-20 loss at New England, had a lot to do with the Patriots dominating the football (34:39 TOP) and not giving Las Vegas much time to do anything on offense (as well as some injuries to WR that you should keep an eye on). Even so, the final score still went Over and makes the Silver and Black 3-0 Over/Under on the year.

If you’re banking on a big-time shootout in the Nevada desert, get the Over now.

Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers (Under 51.5): Bet Later

The total for this Week 4 game is a bit puzzling, considering the makeup of the Panthers playbook. Carolina, which will still be without star RB Christian McCaffrey this Sunday, is involved in a game with a total at 51.5 points – and it climbed to 51.5 after opening at 51.

The Panthers are far from an explosive team under Teddy Bridgewater and managed to post just 21 points in Week 3’s win over the Los Angeles Chargers, despite the Bolts coughing the ball up four times (three fumbles, one INT).

Now, the other side of this coin, the Arizona Cardinals, will likely do the lion’s share of the scoring in this one. But Arizona hasn’t really blown the doors off opponents either and the defense has been more impressive than the offense, checking opponents to only 20.3 points per game and staying Under in all three games so far.

Like I said, the initial move was to the Over, so wait it out and see if this gets to the key number of 52 before pouncing on the Under.

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NFL Week 4 Injuries, Weather
Patrick Everson

The San Francisco 49ers lost backup TE Jordan Reed last Sunday, but they might get starting TE George Kittle back for Week 4 against the Philadelphia Eagles.

NFL Week 3 is in the rearview mirror, NFL Week 4 odds are on the board, and several betting factors are already in play. That includes the typical injury news, but also the potential for key players to return from injuries, with the San Francisco 49ers certainly hoping that’s the case.

This week’s NFL Cheat Sheet serves as one-stop shopping for all that information and more.

Week 4 Injuries

San Francisco 49ers: Tight end Jordan Reed suffered an MCL sprain in Sunday’s road rout of the New York Giants, and he could miss six-to-eight weeks. However, fellow tight end George Kittle (knee) might return this week at home against the Philadelphia Eagles, and more importantly, quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo (ankle) could return. The Niners are already up a point at The SuperBook at Westgate, from -5.5 to -6.5.

Seattle Seahawks: The status of running back Chris Carson (knee) is uncertain for Sunday’s road game against the Miami Dolphins. Seattle opened -7 at The SuperBook and dipped to -6.5 a couple times early, before sticking there on Monday.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Wideout Chris Godwin injured a hamstring in Sunday’s win at Denver, and his status is uncertain for a home tilt against the Los Angeles Chargers. But nobody is backing off the Bucs early at The SuperBook, where Tampa Bay moved from -6.5 Sunday night to -7.5 by Monday night.

Denver Broncos: The injuries keep piling up for the Broncos, with defensive tackle Jurrell Casey ruled out for the season Monday with a torn biceps. He is the sixth Denver starter to be injured in the young season, including star LB Von Miller, CB A.J. Bouye, WR Courtland Sutton and QB Drew Lock. Despite the injuries, Denver is currently a three-point favorite on the road against the New York Jets on Thursday Night Football.

Week 4 Weather

Seattle Seahawks at Miami Dolphins: The early-week forecast calls for a 50 percent chance of rain Sunday in Miami, with modest winds of 10-15 mph. The total at The SuperBook was steady through Monday at the opener of 54.5.

Los Angeles Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: There’s a 40 percent chance of showers, along with 10-15 mph winds, for Sunday’s game. The total opened at and remained 45 through Monday at The SuperBook.

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101DENVER -102 NY JETS
NY JETS are 47-74 ATS (-34.4 Units) after a road loss since 1992.

251INDIANAPOLIS -252 CHICAGO
INDIANAPOLIS are 23-9 ATS (13.1 Units) after 2 straight wins by 10 or more points since 1992.

253NEW ORLEANS -254 DETROIT
DETROIT is 7-26 ATS (-21.6 Units) vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 27 or more points/game since 1992.

255ARIZONA -256 CAROLINA
CAROLINA is 28-11 ATS (15.9 Units) in home games after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game since 1992.

257JACKSONVILLE -258 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in home games after being outrushed by 100 or more yards last game since 1992.

259CLEVELAND -260 DALLAS
DALLAS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse in the last 3 seasons.

261MINNESOTA -262 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after playing their last game on the road in the last 2 seasons.

263SEATTLE -264 MIAMI
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=4.5 rushing yards/carry in the last 3 seasons.

265LA CHARGERS -266 TAMPA BAY
LA CHARGERS are 41-20 ATS (19 Units) in road games vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return since 1992.

267PITTSBURGH -268 TENNESSEE
PITTSBURGH is 65-31 ATS (30.9 Units) vs. good passing QB (>7 PYA) since 1992.

269BALTIMORE -270 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a loss in the last 2 seasons.

271NY GIANTS -272 LA RAMS
NY GIANTS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games vs. poor defenses (>=5.65 YPP) in the last 3 seasons.

273NEW ENGLAND -274 KANSAS CITY
NEW ENGLAND is 33-12 ATS (19.8 Units) after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.

275BUFFALO -276 LAS VEGAS
LAS VEGAS are 4-20 ATS (-18 Units) in home games after allowing 400 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games since 1992.

277PHILADELPHIA -278 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against teams who force 0.75 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.

279ATLANTA -280 GREEN BAY
ATLANTA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

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NFL
Long Sheet

Week 4

Thursday, October 1

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DENVER (0 - 3) at NY JETS (0 - 3) - 10/1/2020, 8:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, October 4

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INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 1) at CHICAGO (3 - 0) - 10/4/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
CHICAGO is 55-82 ATS (-35.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ORLEANS (1 - 2) at DETROIT (1 - 2) - 10/4/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
DETROIT is 149-187 ATS (-56.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (2 - 1) at CAROLINA (1 - 2) - 10/4/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (1 - 2) at CINCINNATI (0 - 2 - 1) - 10/4/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 41-64 ATS (-29.4 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (2 - 1) at DALLAS (1 - 2) - 10/4/2020, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MINNESOTA (0 - 3) at HOUSTON (0 - 3) - 10/4/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 53-31 ATS (+18.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SEATTLE (3 - 0) at MIAMI (1 - 2) - 10/4/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 39-63 ATS (-30.3 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LA CHARGERS (1 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (2 - 1) - 10/4/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS are 130-96 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 130-96 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 104-75 ATS (+21.5 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 38-63 ATS (-31.3 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PITTSBURGH (3 - 0) at TENNESSEE (3 - 0) - 10/4/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 83-56 ATS (+21.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 65-37 ATS (+24.3 Units) in October games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 125-161 ATS (-52.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALTIMORE (2 - 1) at WASHINGTON (1 - 2) - 10/4/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 94-126 ATS (-44.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 94-126 ATS (-44.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 94-126 ATS (-44.6 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY GIANTS (0 - 3) at LA RAMS (2 - 1) - 10/4/2020, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
LA RAMS are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS are 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ENGLAND (2 - 1) at KANSAS CITY (3 - 0) - 10/4/2020, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 272-209 ATS (+42.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 272-209 ATS (+42.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 88-50 ATS (+33.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 130-98 ATS (+22.2 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 130-98 ATS (+22.2 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 46-23 ATS (+20.7 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 209-153 ATS (+40.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 200-154 ATS (+30.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 68-44 ATS (+19.6 Units) in October games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 129-93 ATS (+26.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 2-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (3 - 0) at LAS VEGAS (2 - 1) - 10/4/2020, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LAS VEGAS is 56-85 ATS (-37.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 84-112 ATS (-39.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 84-112 ATS (-39.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PHILADELPHIA (0 - 2 - 1) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 1) - 10/4/2020, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, October 5

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ATLANTA (0 - 3) at GREEN BAY (3 - 0) - 10/5/2020, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 117-85 ATS (+23.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 200-146 ATS (+39.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NFL

Week 4

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Trend Report
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Thursday, October 1

Denver @ NY Jets
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
Denver is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
NY Jets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


Sunday, October 4

Indianapolis @ Chicago
Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 7 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Pittsburgh @ Tennessee
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games at home

Cleveland @ Dallas
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
Dallas is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home

Minnesota @ Houston
Minnesota
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games

New Orleans @ Detroit
New Orleans
New Orleans is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing New Orleans

Arizona @ Carolina
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Carolina
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games at home

Baltimore @ Washington
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games

LA Chargers @ Tampa Bay
LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Chargers's last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
LA Chargers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing LA Chargers

Seattle @ Miami
Seattle
Seattle is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games at home
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Seattle

Jacksonville @ Cincinnati
Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Cincinnati
Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville

NY Giants @ LA Rams
NY Giants
NY Giants is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
NY Giants is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LA Rams
LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Rams's last 6 games
LA Rams is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Buffalo @ Las Vegas
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Buffalo's last 17 games on the road
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

New England @ Kansas City
New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Philadelphia @ San Francisco
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
San Francisco is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games


Monday, October 5

Atlanta @ Green Bay
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 4

Thursday, October 1

Denver @ NY Jets

Game 101-102
October 1, 2020 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
128.608
NY Jets
122.191
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 6 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 2 1/2
40
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-2 1/2); Under


Sunday, October 4

Baltimore @ Washington

Game 269-270
October 4, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
136.081
Washington
126.180
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 10
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 14
47
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+14); Over

New Orleans @ Detroit

Game 253-254
October 4, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
138.337
Detroit
126.185
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 12
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 4
55
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-4); Under

LA Chargers @ Tampa Bay

Game 265-266
October 4, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Chargers
123.780
Tampa Bay
136.635
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 13
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
by 7 1/2
45
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-7 1/2); Over

Indianapolis @ Chicago

Game 251-252
October 4, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indianapolis
133.736
Chicago
132.540
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 1
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 3
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+3); Over

Arizona @ Carolina

Game 255-256
October 4, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
128.387
Carolina
121.767
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 6 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 3 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-3 1/2); Over

Jacksonville @ Cincinnati

Game 257-258
October 4, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
119.672
Cincinnati
128.550
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 9
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 3
48
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-3); Under

Minnesota @ Houston

Game 261-262
October 4, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
129.700
Houston
128.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 4
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+4); Under

Seattle @ Miami

Game 263-264
October 4, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
137.371
Miami
132.217
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 5
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 7
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+7); Over

Pittsburgh @ Tennessee

Game 267-268
October 4, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
137.585
Tennessee
131.858
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 5 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1
47
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-1); Under

Cleveland @ Dallas

Game 259-260
October 4, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
125.697
Dallas
134.266
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 8 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 4 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-4 1/2); Over

NY Giants @ LA Rams

Game 271-272
October 4, 2020 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
120.379
LA Rams
136.169
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Rams
by 16
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 12 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Rams
(-12 1/2); Under

Buffalo @ Las Vegas

Game 275-276
October 4, 2020 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
135.324
Las Vegas
126.868
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 8 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 2 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-2 1/2); Over

New England @ Kansas City

Game 273-274
October 4, 2020 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
141.123
Kansas City
143.514
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 2 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 7 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(+7 1/2); Under

Philadelphia @ San Francisco

Game 277-278
October 4, 2020 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
130.161
San Francisco
134.827
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 4 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 7
45
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+7); Under


Monday, October 5

Atlanta @ Green Bay

Game 279-280
October 5, 2020 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
129.387
Green Bay
139.019
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 9 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 7
58
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(-7); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 4

Broncos (0-3) @ NJ Jets (0-3)
— 3rd-string QB Rypien gets his first NFL start here; he played in relief in LW’s loss to Tampa Bay (8-9 for 53 yards, one INT).
— Denver has been outscored 47-20 in first half; they’ve scored only 3.78 points/red zone drive (34 points/9 drives).
— Broncos are 3-6 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.
— AFC West teams are 6-3-1 ATS outside their division.

— Jets lost their first three games, allowing 31.3 ppg.
— Jets have been outscored 59-13 in first half.
— Gang Green has converted only 12 of 39 third down plays.
— Jets are 4-6-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.
— AFC East teams are 1-3 ATS as a non-divisional underdog.

— Denver won five of last seven series games.
— Broncos won three of last five visits here.

Colts (2-1) @ Chicago (3-0)
— Indy scored 28.7 ppg in winning two of first three games.
— Colts have allowed only 7 plays of 20+ yards, fewest in league.
— Indy lost its only road game, even though they outgained Jaguars by 204 yards.
— Last 4+ years, Colts are 2-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— AFC South teams are 2-6 ATS outside their division, 0-4 on road.

— Foles makes his first start for Chicago here; he rallied Bears to comeback win last week in Atlanta.
— Bears won their first three games, by 4-4-4 points- they trailed two of the games at halftime.
— Chicago is 11-3-1 ATS in last 15 games as a home underdog.
— NFC North teams are 4-2 ATS outside their division.

— Colts won three of last five series games; they won three of last four visits here.

Saints (1-2) @ Detroit (1-2)
— Saints lost their last two games, giving up 71 points.
— New Orleans has only nine plays of 20+ yards in three games- they’ve been outscored 57-37 in 2nd half of games.
— Saints are 12-4 ATS in last 16 games as a road favorite, 0-1 this year.
— NFC South teams are 3-5 ATS outside their division, 3-1 on road.

— Detroit lost two of first three games, outscored 56-26 in second half- they’re giving up 30.7 ppg.
— Lions have scored 23-21-26 points, scoring seven TD’s on 33 drives.
— Detroit is 6-9 ATS in its last 15 games as a home underdog.
— NFC North teams are 4-2 ATS outside their division.

— Detroit won three of last four series games; they lost last meeting 52-38 in Superdome three years ago.
— Teams split last four meetings here; Saints last visited Detroit in 2014.

Cardinals (2-1) @ Carolina (1-2)
— Arizona won two of its first three games, scoring 29 ppg.
— All three Cardinal games stayed under the total.
— Arizona lost field position all three games; they’ve been good in red zone (64 points on 11 drives).
— Cardinals are road favorite for first time since 2017; they’re 3-4 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.
— NFC West teams are 8-2 ATS outside their division, 6-1 if favored.

— Carolina won its first game LW; they were +4 in turnovers against rookie QB Herbert.
— Panthers scored 55 points on 13 red zone drives (4.23 ppp, not great)
— Carolina is 5-3-1 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.
— NFC South teams are 3-5 ATS outside their division, 0-4 at home.

— Carolina won last four series games; two of them were in playoffs.
— Home team won four of last five series games.
— Kingsbury’s last game at Texas Tech was a loss to Baylor, coached by Matt Rhule.

Jaguars (1-2) @ Cincinnati (0-3)
— Jaguars lost last two games, allowing 33-31 points, turning ball over six times (-4)- they lost field position in those games, by 16-12 yards.
— Jacksonville outscored foes 39-22 in second half of games.
— Jaguars are 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog.
— AFC South teams are 2-6 ATS outside their division, 0-4 on road.

— Bengals are off to an 0-2-1 start; they scored 30-23 points in last two games.
— Cincy has only six plays of 20+ yards in its three games.
— Bengals’ three games were decided by total of eight points.
— Cincy is 5-8 ATS in its last 13 games as a home favorite.
— AFC North teams are 5-2-1 ATS outside their division.

— Jaguars are 13-9 in series, winning 23-7/27-17 in last two meetings.
— Teams split last four series games played here.

Browns (2-1) @ Dallas (1-2)
— Cleveland won its last two games, scoring 35-34 points.
— Browns ran ball for 173.7 ypg so far this season.
— Last 4+ years, Cleveland is 10-18-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— AFC North teams are 5-2-1 ATS outside their division.

— Dallas lost two of first three games; last two weeks, they played 40-39/31-38 games.
— Cowboys turned ball over six times (-5) in last two games- they lost field position by 17-14 yards in those games.
— Last 2+ years, Dallas is 8-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— NFC East teams are 1-9-1 ATS outside their division, 0-4 if favored.

— Dallas is 4-0 vs the Browns, winning by average of 13 points.
— Cleveland lost 19-12/23-20 OT in their two visits here.

Vikings (0-3) @ Houston (0-3)
Titans had COVID-related issues this week; unsure if this game will be re-scheduled, because of contact tracing involving the Vikings.
— Minnesota lost its first three games, allowing 34 ppg.
— Vikings already have seven turnovers; they’re -5 in turnovers, and lost field position in their games by 14-15-16 yards.
— Minnesota is 3-8-1 ATS in its last dozen games as a road underdog.
— NFC North teams are 4-2 ATS outside their division.

— Houston lost its first three games, giving up 28.3 ppg.
— Texans don’t have a takeaway yet (-4); they’ve played three strong teams.
— Houston has been outscored 41-19 in the 2nd half of games.
— Texans are 8-12-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog.
— AFC South teams are 2-6 ATS outside their division, 2-2 at home.

— Minnesota won last four series games, winning 31-13 in last meeting (2016)
— Vikings won 34-28 OT/23-6 in their last two visits here.

Seahawks (3-0) @ Miami (1-2)
— Seattle won all three games, but they’ve given up 28.7 ppg (over 3-0).
— Seahawks have 15 touchdowns on 33 drives; they’re +4 in turnovers.
— Seattle is 6-1-4 ATS in its last 11 games as a road favorite.
— Seahawks won field position all three games, by 6-13-14 yards.
— NFC West teams are 8-2 ATS outside their division, 6-1 if favored.

— Miami is 1-2, but they did score 28-31 points the last two weeks.
— Dolphins are 12-8-1 ATS in last 21 games as a home underdog.
— Miami is 4-8 ATS in its last dizen games vs NFC teams.
— AFC East teams are 1-3 ATS as a non-divisional underdog.

— Dolphins won five of last seven series games.
— Home side won last four series games; four of last five series games were decided by 4 or fewer points.
— Seahawks lost four of last five series games, with lone win in 1996.

Chargers (1-2) @ Tampa Bay (2-1)
— Chargers scored 17.3 ppg in their 1-2 start; Herbert lost both his starts.
— All three Charger games stayed under the total.
— LA’s three games were decided by total of 11 points.
— Chargers actually converted 16-28 on 3rd down in their two losses.
— AFC West teams are 6-3-1 ATS outside their division, 3-1-1 on road.

— Tampa Bay won its last two games, scoring 59 points (7 TD’s on 21 drives).
— Buccaneers scored 60 points on ten red zone drives- very efficient.
— Tampa Bay is 5-12-2 ATS in its last 19 games as a home favorite.
— NFC South teams are 3-5 ATS outside their division, 1-3 if favored.

— Chargers are 8-3 in series, winning 34-24/28-21 in last two meetings.
— LA won five of six visits here, with only loss 34-29 in 2012.

Steelers (3-0) @ Tennessee (3-0)
Titans had COVID-related issues this week; unsure if this will be re-scheduled, possibly moved to Monday night
— Steelers won their first three games, scoring 26-26-28 points.
— Pittsburgh is 5-8-2 ATS in its last 15 games as a home favorite.
— Steelers have outrushed opponents 419-162 so far this season.
— AFC North teams are 5-2-1 ATS outside their division.

— Tennessee won its first three games by combined total of six points.
— Titans are scoring 26.7 ppg; they’ve only had one turnover (+4) so far.
— Tennessee is 5-3 ATS in its last eight games as a home underdog.
— AFC South teams are 2-6 ATS outside their division, 2-2 at home.

— Pittsburgh won five of last seven series games; they lost last meeting 40-17.
— Teams split last four meetings played here.

Ravens (2-1) @ Washington (2-1)
— Short week, short travel here for Baltimore, after Monday’s loss to the Chiefs.
— Ravens only had 70 passing yards Monday; they’ve scored 30.3 ppg this year
—Baltimore is outscoring teams 37-13 in 2nd half of games- all three of their games stayed under the total.
— Ravens are 6-0-1 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.
— AFC North teams are 5-2-1 ATS outside their division.

— Washington lost its last two games, giving up 64 points, 318 rushing yards.
— Washington has been outscored 54-14 in the first half this season.
— Washington is 9-9 ATS in its last 18 games as a home underdog.
— NFC East teams are 1-9-1 ATS outside their division, 1-5 if an underdog.

— Teams split last six meetings; Redskins won last two, by 3-6 points.
— Teams split last four meetings played here.

NJ Giants (0-3) @ LA Rams (2-1)
— Giants lost their first three games, scoring 12.7 ppg.
— Big Blue has been out rushed 369-170, outscored 4-16 in first half.
— Giants have only 19 points in six trips inside the red zone.
— Giants are 11-3 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog.
— NFC East teams are 1-9-1 ATS outside their division, 1-5 if an underdog.

— Rams lost in Buffalo LW, are 2-1, scoring 29.7 ppg.
— LA has outscored opponents 52-20 in second half of games.
— Rams have converted 22-39 third down plays this season.
— Under McVay, LA is 9-9-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— NFC West teams are 8-2 ATS outside their division, 6-1 if favored.

— Giants won 7 of last 8 series games, but lost last meeting 51-17 in ’17.
— Giants won last three road series games, all in St Louis- they last played the Rams in California (Anaheim) in 1994.
— Sean McVay’s grandfather coached the Giants back in the 70’s.

Patriots (2-1) @ Kansas City (3-0)
— New England is 2-1; they scored 66 points in last two games, but lost only road game 35-30 in Seattle.
— Patriots are +4 in turnovers; they ran ball for 217-250 yards in their wins, 67 in their loss.
— Last 4+ years, New England is 2-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— AFC East teams are 3-3 ATS outside their division, 2-1 at home.

— Short week for the Chiefs after their 34-20 win in Baltimore Monday.
— KC won its first three games, scoring 30.3 ppg.
— Chiefs gave up 341 YR the last two weeks, also allowed a kick return TD last week.
— KC is 18-10 ATS in its last 28 games as a home favorite.
— AFC West teams are 6-3-1 ATS outside their division, 2-1-1 if favored.

— Teams split last six series games- KC won 23-16 in Foxboro LY, after losing at home in OT in AFC title game two years ago.
— Teams split last four meetings played here.

Bills (3-0) @ Las Vegas (2-1)
— Buffalo won its first three games, scoring 27-31-35 points.
— Bills converted 50% of their 3rd down plays in all three games.
— Buffalo was outscored in 2nd half all three games, by total of 61-34.
— Last 4+ years, Bills are 4-4 ATS as a road favorite.
— AFC East teams are 3-3 ATS outside their division, 2-0 if favored.

— Raiders won two of first three games, scoring 34-34-20 points.
— Las Vegas converted 16-28 on 3rd down in its wins; 3-9 in their loss.
— All three Raider games went over the total.
— Las Vegas is 7-5-1 ATS in its last 13 games as a home underdog.
— AFC West teams are 6-3-1 ATS outside their division, 3-2 at home.

— Buffalo won three of last five series games, but they lost last five visits to LA/Oakland- their last road win against the Raiders was in 1991.

Eagles (0-2-1) @ San Francisco (2-1)
— Eagles allowed 29 ppg in their 0-2-1 start; they’ve been outscored 49-13 in 2nd half.- Eagles were favored in all three games
— Philly turned ball over eight times in three games, is already -7 in turnovers.
— Eagles are 9-5 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog.
— NFC East teams are 1-9-1 ATS outside their division, 1-5 if an underdog.

— 49ers beat Giants 36-9 last week while playing without 10 injured starters.
— Niners outscored first three opponents 50-19 in first half of games.
— 49ers converted 15 of last 25 third down plays.
— SF is 5-11-1 ATS in its last 17 games as a home favorite.
— NFC West teams are 8-2 ATS outside their division, 6-1 if favored.

— Philly won six of last eight series games; last meeting was in 2017.
— Three of last four series games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Eagles won four of last five visits to San Francisco.

Falcons (0-3) @ Green Bay (3-0)
— Falcons are 0-3; they led 26-10 with 7:00 left last week, led 29-10 at halftime week before.
— Atlanta has been outscored 74-33 in second half of games.
— Falcons have allowed 18 plays of 20+ yards, most in the NFL.
— Atlanta is 5-3 ATS in its last eight games as a road underdog.
— NFC South teams are 3-5 ATS outside their division, 3-1 on road.

— Green Bay won its first three games, scoring 43-42-37 points.
— All three Packer games went over the total.
— Green Bay won field position all three games, by 14-8-5 yards.
— Packers covered seven of last ten games as a home favorite.
— NFC North teams are 4-2 ATS outside their division.

— Home side won last six series games.
— Average total in last five series games: 64.2.
— Falcons lost last three visits to Lambeau, by 1-6-14 points.