The Bum's College Footall Best Bets For August-Sept Conference Recaps, Trends, Stats!

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 3

Thursday, September 11

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LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 1) at NORTH TEXAS (1 - 1) - 9/11/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTH TEXAS is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
NORTH TEXAS is 1-0 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (1 - 1) at BYU (2 - 0) - 9/11/2014, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, September 12

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TOLEDO (1 - 1) at CINCINNATI (2 - 0) - 9/12/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BAYLOR (2 - 0) at BUFFALO (1 - 1) - 9/12/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BAYLOR is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BAYLOR is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BAYLOR is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, September 13

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INDIANA (1 - 0) at BOWLING GREEN (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 1-0 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OHIO U (1 - 1) at MARSHALL (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 1-1 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 2-0 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UCF (0 - 1) at MISSOURI (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 1-0 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 1-0 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NC STATE (2 - 0) at S FLORIDA (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 48-72 ATS (-31.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
NC STATE is 9-28 ATS (-21.8 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
NC STATE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
NC STATE is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI OHIO (0 - 2) at MICHIGAN (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KENT ST (0 - 2) at OHIO ST (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 156-115 ATS (+29.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 156-115 ATS (+29.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 130-96 ATS (+24.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 144-101 ATS (+32.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 120-90 ATS (+21.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E MICHIGAN (1 - 1) at OLD DOMINION (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 14-37 ATS (-26.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E CAROLINA (1 - 1) at VIRGINIA TECH (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SYRACUSE (1 - 0) at C MICHIGAN (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) against MAC opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PITTSBURGH (2 - 0) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BOISE ST (1 - 1) at CONNECTICUT (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GA SOUTHERN (1 - 1) at GEORGIA TECH (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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IOWA ST (0 - 2) at IOWA (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
IOWA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 1-1 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 1-1 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W VIRGINIA (1 - 1) at MARYLAND (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 2-0 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND is 1-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MASSACHUSETTS (0 - 2) at VANDERBILT (0 - 2) - 9/13/2014, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANDERBILT is 1-1 against the spread versus MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT is 2-0 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOUISVILLE (2 - 0) at VIRGINIA (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WYOMING (2 - 0) at OREGON (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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AIR FORCE (1 - 1) at GEORGIA ST (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 67-93 ATS (-35.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
AIR FORCE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 25-49 ATS (-28.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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W KENTUCKY (1 - 1) at MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS (1 - 0) at DUKE (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 61-89 ATS (-36.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 41-65 ATS (-30.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 41-65 ATS (-30.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 42-64 ATS (-28.4 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 34-58 ATS (-29.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GEORGIA (1 - 0) at S CAROLINA (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARKANSAS (1 - 1) at TEXAS TECH (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 69-47 ATS (+17.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 69-47 ATS (+17.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 67-45 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 69-47 ATS (+17.3 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARKANSAS ST (1 - 1) at MIAMI (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MISSISSIPPI ST (2 - 0) at S ALABAMA (1 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
S ALABAMA is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAFAYETTE (1 - 1) at OLE MISS (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ILLINOIS (2 - 0) at WASHINGTON (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 68-106 ATS (-48.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (2 - 0) at TCU (1 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
TCU is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games after a bye week since 1992.
TCU is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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W MICHIGAN (0 - 1) at IDAHO (0 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
IDAHO is 23-44 ATS (-25.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
IDAHO is 23-44 ATS (-25.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
IDAHO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
IDAHO is 35-59 ATS (-29.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
IDAHO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games in dome games since 1992.
IDAHO is 47-75 ATS (-35.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
IDAHO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARMY (1 - 0) at STANFORD (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARMY is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
ARMY is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARMY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ARMY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 1-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 1) at ALABAMA (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN MISS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WAKE FOREST (1 - 1) at UTAH ST (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH ST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TULSA (1 - 1) at FLA ATLANTIC (0 - 2) - 9/13/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UTSA (1 - 1) at OKLAHOMA ST (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTSA is 1-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 straight up against UTSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA MONROE (2 - 0) at LSU (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.
LA MONROE is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
LSU is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PURDUE (1 - 1) vs. NOTRE DAME (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 2-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KENTUCKY (2 - 0) at FLORIDA (1 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NAVY (1 - 1) at TEXAS ST (1 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 138-104 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 138-104 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 70-33 ATS (+33.7 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 70-33 ATS (+33.7 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 127-96 ATS (+21.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 91-59 ATS (+26.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NAVY is 73-36 ATS (+33.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (2 - 0) at OKLAHOMA (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW MEXICO ST (2 - 0) at UTEP (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 72-99 ATS (-36.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
UTEP is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UCLA (2 - 0) vs. TEXAS (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
UCLA is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PENN ST (2 - 0) at RUTGERS (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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USC (2 - 0) at BOSTON COLLEGE (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 1-0 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
USC is 1-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RICE (0 - 1) at TEXAS A&M (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
RICE is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 1-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N ILLINOIS (2 - 0) at UNLV (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 68-101 ATS (-43.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA ST (2 - 0) at COLORADO (1 - 1) - 9/13/2014, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 95-129 ATS (-46.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEBRASKA (2 - 0) at FRESNO ST (0 - 2) - 9/13/2014, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEVADA (2 - 0) at ARIZONA (2 - 0) - 9/13/2014, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 47-76 ATS (-36.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF

Week 3

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Trend Report
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Thursday, September 11

8:00 PM
LOUISIANA TECH vs. NORTH TEXAS
Louisiana Tech is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Louisiana Tech's last 14 games
North Texas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of North Texas's last 11 games

9:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. BYU
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games on the road
Houston is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of BYU's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of BYU's last 6 games at home


Friday, September 12

7:00 PM
TOLEDO vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toledo's last 6 games
Toledo is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
BAYLOR vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Baylor's last 15 games
Baylor is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games
Buffalo is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Buffalo is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games


Saturday, September 13

12:00 PM
GA SOUTHERN vs. GEORGIA TECH
Ga Southern is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Ga Southern is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 6 games at home
Georgia Tech is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

12:00 PM
INDIANA vs. BOWLING GREEN
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indiana's last 14 games on the road
Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Bowling Green's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Bowling Green's last 24 games

12:00 PM
KENT STATE vs. OHIO STATE
Kent State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kent State's last 6 games on the road
Ohio State is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
Ohio State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games

12:00 PM
CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. MISSOURI
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Central Florida's last 18 games on the road
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Missouri is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Missouri's last 5 games

12:00 PM
SYRACUSE vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Syracuse's last 10 games on the road
Syracuse is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 5 games at home
Central Michigan is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games at home

12:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. CONNECTICUT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boise State's last 5 games on the road
Boise State is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Connecticut is 7-15-3 ATS in its last 25 games
Connecticut is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games

12:00 PM
MASSACHUSETTS vs. VANDERBILT
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Massachusetts's last 14 games
Massachusetts is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Vanderbilt is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games at home

12:00 PM
EAST CAROLINA vs. VIRGINIA TECH
East Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 7 games
Virginia Tech is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
Virginia Tech is 7-12-3 ATS in its last 22 games at home

12:00 PM
OHIO vs. MARSHALL
Ohio is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Ohio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Marshall is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

12:00 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. MARYLAND
West Virginia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
West Virginia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Maryland's last 6 games when playing at home against West Virginia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 6 games at home

12:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida International's last 6 games at home
Florida International is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home

12:30 PM
LOUISVILLE vs. VIRGINIA
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisville's last 8 games
Virginia is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
Virginia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

2:00 PM
AIR FORCE vs. GEORGIA STATE
Air Force is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
Air Force is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Georgia State is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia State's last 9 games at home

2:00 PM
WYOMING vs. OREGON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wyoming's last 6 games
Wyoming is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 5 games at home

3:00 PM
UC DAVIS vs. COLORADO STATE
UC Davis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
UC Davis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado State's last 10 games

3:00 PM
INDIANA STATE vs. BALL STATE
Indiana State is 1-18 SU in its last 19 games
Indiana State is 1-18 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Ball State is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games
Ball State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

3:30 PM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of North Carolina State's last 7 games on the road
North Carolina State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
South Florida is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games
South Florida is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games

3:30 PM
ARKANSAS vs. TEXAS TECH
Arkansas is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arkansas's last 8 games on the road
Texas Tech is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
ALABAMA A&M vs. UAB
No trends available
UAB is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UAB's last 6 games

3:30 PM
ARKANSAS STATE vs. MIAMI
Arkansas State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arkansas State's last 9 games on the road
Miami is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Miami is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games

3:30 PM
KANSAS vs. DUKE
Kansas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games
Duke is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Duke is 13-5-1 ATS in its last 19 games at home

3:30 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. MICHIGAN
Miami (Ohio) is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 7 games
Michigan is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
GEORGIA vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia's last 6 games on the road
Georgia is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
South Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Carolina's last 9 games

3:30 PM
IOWA STATE vs. IOWA
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Iowa State's last 13 games
Iowa State is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Iowa's last 9 games when playing Iowa State
Iowa is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Iowa State

4:00 PM
ILLINOIS vs. WASHINGTON
Illinois is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois's last 6 games
Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games at home

4:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. SOUTH ALABAMA
Mississippi State is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 6 games on the road
South Alabama is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games
South Alabama is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

4:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. TCU
Minnesota is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
TCU is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of TCU's last 8 games at home

4:00 PM
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE vs. MISSISSIPPI
Louisiana-Lafayette is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 6 games
Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Mississippi's last 11 games at home

5:00 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. IDAHO
Western Michigan is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games
Western Michigan is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Idaho is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Idaho's last 8 games

5:00 PM
ARMY vs. STANFORD
Army is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Army is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Stanford is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games
Stanford is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games at home

6:00 PM
EASTERN MICHIGAN vs. OLD DOMINION
Eastern Michigan is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
Eastern Michigan is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games
Old Dominion is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

6:00 PM
SOUTHERN MISS vs. ALABAMA
Southern Miss is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Alabama
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Miss's last 6 games when playing Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Southern Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Alabama's last 6 games when playing at home against Southern Miss

7:00 PM
TULSA vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tulsa's last 6 games
Tulsa is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Florida Atlantic is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games at home
Florida Atlantic is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games

7:00 PM
ABILENE CHRISTIAN vs. TROY
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Troy's last 10 games at home
Troy is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games at home

7:00 PM
UTSA vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
UTSA is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UTSA's last 5 games
Oklahoma State is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
Oklahoma State is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games

7:00 PM
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. LSU
Louisiana-Monroe is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LSU's last 6 games at home
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
WAKE FOREST vs. UTAH STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Wake Forest's last 11 games on the road
Wake Forest is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Utah State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah State's last 7 games

7:00 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. UNLV
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 6 games
Northern Illinois is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
UNLV is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UNLV's last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Middle Tennessee's last 5 games
Middle Tennessee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

7:30 PM
KENTUCKY vs. FLORIDA
Kentucky is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky
Florida is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games

7:30 PM
PURDUE vs. NOTRE DAME
Purdue is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Notre Dame
Purdue is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Notre Dame's last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Notre Dame's last 6 games

8:00 PM
PENN STATE vs. RUTGERS
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Penn State's last 22 games
Penn State is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Rutgers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rutgers's last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
NAVY vs. TEXAS STATE
Navy is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy's last 6 games
Texas State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas State's last 6 games

8:00 PM
UCLA vs. TEXAS
UCLA is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UCLA's last 6 games
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Texas is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games

8:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. TEXAS EL PASO
New Mexico State is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico State's last 6 games
Texas El Paso is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games when playing New Mexico State

8:00 PM
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA vs. TULANE
Southeastern Louisiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Southeastern Louisiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Tulane is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Tulane is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

8:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. OKLAHOMA
Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 5 games at home
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
PORTLAND STATE vs. WASHINGTON STATE
Portland State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Portland State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington State's last 5 games at home
Washington State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
SOUTHERN CAL vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
Southern Cal is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Cal's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston College's last 8 games
Boston College is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

9:00 PM
RICE vs. TEXAS A&M
Rice is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
Rice is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas A&M is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:00 PM
ARIZONA STATE vs. COLORADO
Arizona State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona State's last 7 games on the road
Colorado is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games at home
Colorado is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games

10:30 PM
NEBRASKA vs. FRESNO STATE
Nebraska is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Nebraska is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fresno State's last 5 games at home
Fresno State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

11:00 PM
NEVADA vs. ARIZONA
Nevada is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Nevada is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF

Week 3


Sun Belt, C-USA among best ATS conferences, AAC the worst

The most talented teams don’t always make for the best bets.

How else could you explain mid-major conferences like the Sun Belt and Conference USA boasting a 68 percent ATS success rate through the first two weeks of the season, while power leagues like the AAC, ACC, Big Ten and Pac-12 continue to burn bettors?

The Sun Belt (13-6 combined ATS record amongst members) and C-USA (17-8 ATS) each boast a 68 percent success rate against the spread heading into Week 3, despite ranking among the weakest conferences in college football.

The Sun Belt boasts three undefeated ATS teams at 2-0 ATS: New Mexico State, Arkansas State, and Georgia Southern. The C-USA, which has 13 members compared to the Sun Belt’s 11, has six perfect 2-0 ATS teams: UAB, FIU, Middle Tennessee, UTEP, Louisiana Tech, and Texas-San Antonio.

The only group with a combined ATS record better than those two mid-majors is the four-team stable of Independent programs not confined by a conference, which have gone combined 6-1 ATS (86 percent) in the first two weeks of the schedule. Navy has the lone blemish on the Independents’ record, failing to cover as a 13.5-point underdog to Ohio State in Week 1.

In fact, the only other conference to show a profit during that span is the all-mighty SEC. Its members are 16-10 ATS (62 percent) in the opening 14 days of football – likely a grim result for bookmakers who take a ton of action on SEC schools every time they face a non-conference opponent.

The biggest money pit in college football is the still new-car smell AAC, whose members have only covered in 32 percent of their games this year. American Athletic Conference programs are just 7-13 ATS, with UConn, Houston, SMU and Tulane bringing up the rear at 0-2 ATS.

The Mid-American Conference (10-15 ATS, 40 percent), Big Ten (11-16 ATS, 41 percent), Mountain West (10-14 ATS, 42 percent), Pac-12 (10-14 ATS, 42 percent), ACC (11-15 ATS, 42 percent), and Big 12 (9-9 ATS, 50 percent) round out the bottom of the ATS rankings.


Oklahoma struggling to cover versus SEC

The Oklahoma Sooners have had their fare share of troubles covering against the SEC. The Sooners are a measly 1-5 against the spread in their last six games against the conference.

Oklahoma takes on the Tennessee Volunteers Saturday. The No. 3-ranked Sooners are currently -20.5 faves for the matchup.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 3

Thurs, Sept. 11

Louisiana Tech at North Texas, 8:00 ET
Louisiana Tech: 2-14 ATS in road games after a 2 game road trip
North Texas: 8-1 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest

Houston at BYU, 9:00 ET
Houston: 1-9 ATS after allowing 6 points or less last game
BYU: 5-3 UNDER after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game


Friday, Sept. 12

Toledo at Cincinnati, 7:00 ET
Toledo: 25-12 ATS after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game
Cincinnati: 10-8 OVER as a favorite

Baylor at Buffalo, 8:00 ET
Baylor: 51-32 ATS as a favorite
Buffalo: 1-4 UNDER as a home underdog


Saturday, Sept. 13

Indiana at Bowling Green, 12:00 ET
Indiana: 0-6 ATS after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game
Bowling Green: 27-11 ATS off a home win by 17 points or more

Ohio at Marshall, 12:00 ET
Ohio: 7-1 UNDER as a road underdog
Marshall: 6-0 ATS in home games

UCF at Missouri, 12:00 ET
UCF: 3-5 UNDER after playing a non-conference game
Missouri: 8-1 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game

NC State at S Florida, 3:30 ET
NC State: 5-19 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
S Florida: 3-11 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders

Miami (OH) at Michigan, 3:30 ET
Miami (OH): 6-15 ATS as an underdog
Michigan: 22-43 ATS after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers

Kent ST at Ohio ST, 12:00 ET
Kent ST: 1-3 UNDER off a home loss
Ohio ST: 120-90 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest

E Michigan at Old Dominion, 6:00 ET
E Michigan: 3-11 ATS as a road underdog
Old Dominion: 4-1 OVER in all lined games

E Carolina at Virginia Tech, 12:00 ET
E Carolina: 1-9 ATS after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games
Virginia Tech: 14-4 ATS off an upset win as an underdog

Syracuse at C Michigan, 12:00 ET
Syracuse: 11-3 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
C Michigan: 0-6 ATS in home games

Pitt at FLA International, 12:00 ET
Pitt: 5-7 UNDER as a favorite
FLA International:6-3 OVER in non-conference games

Boise ST at Connecticut, 12:00 ET
Boise ST: 8-4 OVER in road games
Connecticut: 1-3 UNDER in road games

GA Southern at Georgia Tech, 12:00 ET
GA Southern: 1-0 OVER as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points
Georgia Tech: 10-22 ATS in home games after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game

Iowa ST at Iowa, 3:30 ET
Iowa ST: 4-16 ATS in road games off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival
Iowa: 0-6 ATS in home games off 1 or more consecutive unders

West Virginia at Maryland, 12:00 ET
West Virginia: 4-2 OVER as a road underdog
Maryland: 3-5 UNDER after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers

Massachusetts at Vanderbilt, 12:00 ET
Massachusetts: 5-7 UNDER as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points
Vanderbilt: 14-12 OVER in all lined games

Louisville at Virginia, 12:30 ET
Louisville: 6-4 OVER off a home win
Virginia: 13-27 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game

Wyoming at Oregon, 2:00 ET
Wyoming: 13-3 ATS in road games after a game where they committed no turnovers
Oregon: 19-8 ATS after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games

Air Force at Georgia ST, 2:00 ET
Air Force: 11-28 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival
Georgia ST: 8-6 OVER after playing a conference game

W Kentucky at Middle Tenn ST, 7:00 ET
W Kentucky: 16-6 ATS in road games against conference opponents
Middle Tenn ST: 4-13 ATS off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog

Kansas at Duke, 3:30 ET
Kansas: 3-13 ATS off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite
Duke: 12-4 ATS in all games

Georgia at S Carolina, 3:30 ET
Georgia: 16-10 OVER in all lined games
S Carolina: 4-13 ATS in home games after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game

Arkansas at Texas Tech, 3:30 ET
Arkansas: 33-17 ATS after scoring 42 points or more last game
Texas Tech: 69-47 ATS in home games

Arkansas ST at Miami, 3:30 ET
Arkansas ST: 6-0 ATS in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders
Miami: 7-0 ATS after a win by 17 or more points

Miss St at S Alabama, 4:00 ET
Miss ST: 1-3 UNDER against Sun Belt conference opponents
S Alabama: 5-6 UNDER after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers

LA Lafayette at Ole Miss, 4:00 ET
LA Lafayette: 7-0 ATS off a big upset loss by 17 points or more as a favorite
Ole Miss: 19-9 ATS in all lined games

Illinois at Washington, 4:00 ET
Illinois: 1-8 ATS in road games
Washington: 2-11 ATS as a home favorite of 14.5 to 17 points

Minnesota at TCU, 4:00 ET
Minnesota: 1-5 UNDER after playing 2 straight non-conference games
TCU: 30-16 ATS in home games after allowing 14 points or less

W Michigan at Idaho, 5:00 ET
W Michigan: 1-8 ATS after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored
Idaho: 35-59 ATS after playing a conference game

Army at Stanford, 5:00 ET
Army: 0-7 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread
Stanford: 3-12 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite

S Miss at Alabama, 6:00 ET
S Miss: 5-15 ATS in road games off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite
Alabama: 7-0 ATS in home games after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games

Wake Forest at Utah ST, 7:00 ET
Wake Forest: 21-8 ATS after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games
Utah ST: 17-7 ATS in games played on turf

Tulsa at FLA Atlantic, 7:00 ET
Tulsa: 22-39 ATS after a loss by 17 or more points
FLA Atlantic: 6-0 ATS after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game

UTSA at Oklahoma ST, 7:00 ET
UTSA: 4-7 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders
Oklahioma ST: 10-7 OVER off 1 or more consecutive unders

LA Monroe at LSU, 7:00 ET
LA Monroe: 6-0 ATS in road games after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game
LSU:0-6 ATS off a home win

Purdue vs Notre Dame, 7:30 ET
Purdue: 2-11 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
Notre Dame: 2-11 ATS off 1 or more straight overs

Kentucky at Florida, 7:30 ET
Kentucky: 3-13 ATS against conference opponents
Florida: 37-20 ATS in home games after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game

Navy at Texas ST, 8:00 ET
Navy: 138-104 ATS in all lined games
Texas ST: 7-9 UNDER as an underdog

Tennessee at Oklahmoa, 8:00 ET
Tennessee: 40-22 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Oklahoma: 1-8 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points

New Mexico ST at UTEP, 8:00 ET
New Mexico ST: 0-7 ATS in road games after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more
UTEP: 8-18 ATS in all games

UCLA vs Texas, 8:00 ET
UCLA: 49-30 ATS in September games
Texas: 35-20 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse

Penn ST at Rutgers, 8:00 ET
Penn ST: 14-5 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
Rutgers: 6-0 ATS after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers

USC at Boston College, 8:00 ET
USC: 11-18 UNDER in all lined games
Boston College: 32-16 ATS after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers

Rice at Texas A&M, 9:00 ET
Rice: 10-1 ATS after playing their last game on the road
Texas A&M: 19-6 ATS in home games after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored

N Illinois at UNLV, 7:00 ET
N Illinois: 37-61 ATS after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers
UNLV: 5-15 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse

Arizona ST at Colorado, 10:00 ET
Arizona ST: 2-10 ATS in road games off a double digit road win
Colorado: 95-129 ATS when playing on a Saturday

Nebraska at Fresno ST, 10:30 ET
Nebraska: 11-7 OVER as a favorite
Fresno ST: 3-12 ATS off a road blowout loss by 28 points or more

Nevada at Arizona, 11:00 ET
Nevada: 9-1 ATS after gaining 125 or less passing yards in last game
Arizona: 11-24 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points

[StarDust Bum]

Mid-Major Money: Big profits from NCAAF small conferences

Team to watch: Utah State Aggies

This week: -14 vs. Wake Forest

Utah State quarterback Chuckie Keeton has completed a horrendous 31 of 65 (47.7 percent) passes through two games, but head coach Matt Wells chalks it up to unselfish play and smart decision-making while under pressure and on the run. Wells said he anticipates Keeton enjoying his best outing of the season against a Wake Forest squad that ranked 88th in FBS total defense in 2013.

Expected to be one of the bottom-feeders in a weak ACC, Wake Forest is off to a sluggish start in its non-conference slate. The Demon Deacons lost to Louisiana Monroe 17-10 before beating Gardner-Webb 23-7.

At this rate, their injury/suspension list will read like an oversized novel by the time the season ends. The most recent addition is suspended backup quarterback Kevin Sousa. Wake Forest is 1-5 ATS in its last six overall.


Team to beware: UNLV Runnin’ Rebels

This week: +9.5 vs. Northern Illinois

UNLV’s scoring offense rankings in the bottom five nationally after the team put up 13 points in each of its first two contests. The Rebels are coming off a 13-12 win over Northern Colorado, but they threw four interceptions in that victory. The offensive line was expected to be one of the best in the Mountain West but has been mediocre at best and it is now going up against a Northern Illinois defense that recorded five sacks in last week’s upset of Northwestern.

Northern Illinois runs a zone-read offense - the same system used by Arizona in the Wildcats’ 58-13 season-opening rout of UNLV. The Rebels also have to prepare for three quarterbacks after Northern Illinois utilized a trio against Northwestern in the early stages of the post-Jordan Lynch era. Drew Hare was most effective, completing six of 10 passes for 109 yards and two touchdowns.


Total team: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

This week: 54 at North Texas

The Under is 10-4 in Louisiana Tech’s last 14 overall, 5-1 in its last six conference games, and 10-2 in North Texas’ last 12 home games. But sometimes you just have to throw trends out the window, and that is the case for this Thursday’s game between the Bulldogs and the Mean Green.

Louisiana Tech is coming off a week in which it pinned 533 yards and 48 points on an opponent (Louisiana-Lafayette) that was favored to win by 16 points. A balanced attack in the Bulldogs’ 28-point win saw Cody Sokol throw for 295 yards and Kenneth Dixon rush for 184. North Texas, meanwhile, clobbered SMU 43-6.

On the defensive side of the ball, Tech safety Thomas McDonald (personal) is still questionable and Mean Green backup safety John Schilleci was arrested earlier this week and suspended for Thursday’s contest.

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Five high-scoring NCAAF teams having problems producing points

Did someone forget to pay the power bill? These college football programs have gone from having a lights-out offense to having the lights turned off on the scoreboard.

We break down why these once-potent point producers are struggling to find paydirt in 2014 and what’s up next for them – and NCAAF bettors.

Ball State Cardinals (8-5 O/U 2013, 0-2 O/U 2014)

Through two games in 2013, the Cardinals averaged 45.5 points but so far this season, they’ve scored just 21.5 ppg. They did play Iowa, which factors into the decline, but the change at QB is the real reason behind this dip.

Keith Wenning (35 TD vs. 7 INT in 2013) is gone and replaced with sophomore Ozzie Mann (56.5 percent completions, 2 TD vs. 1 INT). Ball State also lost three of its four top receivers, including Willie Snead who snagged 106 balls last season.

Next game: vs. Indiana State (-17, N/A)


SMU Mustangs (7-5 O/U 2013, 1-1 O/U 2014)

After averaging 26.8 ppg in 2013, the Mustangs have managed just three points in two games. Head coach June Jones has resigned and their defensive coordinator has been named the interim coach.

Southern Methodist doesn’t appear to be settled on a starting QB heading into the bye week. It also leads the nation with five fumbles lost and has turned the ball over eight times in two games. This could get worse before it gets better.

Next game: vs. Texas A&M (N/A) Sept. 20


Fresno State Bulldogs (6-6-1 O/U 2013, 2-0 O/U 2014)

Derek Carr threw for over 5,000 yards in 2013. His replacements Brandon Connette and Brian Burrell have struggled to gain their footing, completing just 55.3 percent of their passes and throwing for a combined 221 ypg.

The Bulldogs also had to replace a tandem of receivers that combined to catch 231 balls in 2013. Their average points per game has decreased from 43.4 to 20 and they’re currently 0-2 ATS. However, due to their porous defense they are 2-0 O/U.

Next game: vs. Nebraska (+10, 66)


Ohio State Buckeyes (10-4 O/U 2013, 1-1 O/U 2014)

Everybody knows about the Braxton Miller injury and its huge impact on the Buckeyes. What hasn't been talked about as much is the loss of 1,500-yard rusher Carlos Hyde. Hyde averaged 7.31 ypc in 2013 on 17 attempts per game.

So far, Ohio State’s leading rusher (not counting QB JT Barrett) has run for a total of 76 yards in two games. The combination of a new QB and a lackluster running game has spelled doom for the Buckeyes.

Next game: vs. Kent State (-32, 51)


Vanderbilt Commodores (8-5 O/U 2013, 0-2 O/U 2014)

Under James Franklin, Vanderbilt forged an identity of being a hard-nosed team that went to war in the trenches and wasn't afraid to get dirty. Under new coach Derek Mason, the only identity Vandy has is that it has no identity.

After two games, the Commodores are dead last in the SEC and 125th in the nation in total offense. They haven't found anyone to replace All-SEC performer Jordan Matthews. The three QBs that have been used have combined for zero TD and four INT, and the team is tied for the lead in the nation with eight turnovers.

Next game: vs. UMass (-17, 49)

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 3

Houston at BYU
The Houston Cougars head to BYU on Thursday night and come into the contest with a 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 road games. Houston is the pick (+18 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the BYU Cougars favored by only 14 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Houston (+18 1/2). Here are all of this week's lined game.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 11

Game 103-104: Louisiana Tech at North Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 55.956; North Texas 74.809
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 19; 54
Vegas Line: North Texas by 3 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-3 1/2); Over

Game 105-106: Houston at BYU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 86.069; BYU 100.535
Dunkel Line: BYU by 14 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: BYU by 18 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+18 1/2); Over


FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 12

Game 107-108: Toledo at Cincinnati (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 86.614; Cincinnati 101.224
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 14 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 11; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-11); Under

Game 109-110: Baylor at Buffalo (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 100.140; Buffalo 73.316
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 27; 63
Vegas Line: Baylor by 33; 67 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+33); Under


SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 13

Game 111-112: Indiana at Bowling Green (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 83.951; Bowling Green 84.880
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 1; 75
Vegas Line: Indiana by 7; 69 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+7); Over

Game 113-114: Ohio at Marshall (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 71.997; Marshall 96.278
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 24 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Marshall by 20 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-20 1/2); Under

Game 115-116: Central Florida at Missouri (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 93.790; Missouri 106.764
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 13; 58
Vegas Line: Missouri by 10; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-10); Over

Game 117-118: North Carolina State at South Florida (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina State 75.531; South Florida 76.993
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 1 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: North Carolina State by 2 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+2 1/2); Over

Game 119-120: Miami (OH) at Michigan (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 62.524; Michigan 90.054
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 27 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Michigan by 31; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+31); Over

Game 121-122: Kent State at Ohio State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 67.880; Ohio State 103.113
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 35; 56
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 32; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-32); Over

Game 123-124: Eastern Michigan at Old Dominion (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 50.723; Old Dominion 71.875
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 21; 77
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 18; 72
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (-18); Over

Game 125-126: East Carolina at Virginia Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 87.836; Virginia Tech 95.751
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 8; 55
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 11; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+11); Over

Game 127-128: Syracuse at Central Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 89.740; Central Michigan 71.975
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 18; 47
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 6 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-6 1/2); Under

Game 129-130: Pittsburgh at Florida International (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 85.552; Florida International 63.752
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 22; 43
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 26 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+26 1/2); Under

Game 131-132: Boise State at Connecticut (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 92.266; Connecticut 73.177
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 19; 58
Vegas Line: Boise State by 16; 49
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-16); Over

Game 133-134: Georgia Southern at Georgia Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 73.260; Georgia Tech 90.184
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 17; 61
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 20; 57
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+20); Over

Game 135-136: Iowa State at Iowa (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 81.845; Iowa 99.607
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 18; 46
Vegas Line: Iowa by 10; 49
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-10); Under

Game 137-138: West Virginia at Maryland (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 92.350; Maryland 90.374
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 2; 53
Vegas Line: Maryland by 3 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+3 1/2); Under

Game 139-140: Massachusetts at Vanderbilt (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 57.254; Vanderbilt 83.230
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 26; 53
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 16 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-16 1/2); Over

Game 141-142: Louisville at Virginia (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 96.582; Virginia 93.450
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 3; 51
Vegas Line: Louisville by 7; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+7); Over

Game 143-144: Wyoming at Oregon (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 76.330; Oregon 116.286
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 40; 62
Vegas Line: Oregon by 43 1/2; 65
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+43 1/2); Under

Game 145-146: Air Force at Georgia State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 74.340; Georgia State 60.185
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 14; 53
Vegas Line: Air Force by 11; 59
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-11); Under

Game 147-148: Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 81,336; Middle Tennessee State 86.673
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 5; 69
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 1; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-1); Over

Game 149-150: Kansas at Duke (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 72.791; Duke 85.131
Dunkel Line: Duke by 12 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Duke by 15 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+15 1/2); Under

Game 151-152: Georgia at South Carolina (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 103.378; South Carolina 101.331
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 2; 55
Vegas Line: Georgia by 6; 60
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+6); Under

Game 153-154: Arkansas at Texas Tech (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 85.130; Texas Tech 94.522
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 9 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-2); Under

Game 155-156: Arkansas State at Miami (FL) (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 77.083; Miami (FL) 97.321
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 20; 61
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 16; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-16); Over

Game 157-158: Mississippi State at South Alabama (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 92.031; South Alabama 81.693
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 10 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 15; 54
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+15); Over

Game 159-160: UL-Lafayette at Mississippi (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 68.956; Mississippi 106.603
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 37 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 27; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-27); Under

Game 161-162: Illinois at Washington (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 86.476; Washington 96.519
Dunkel Line: Washington by 10; 61
Vegas Line: Washington by 13 1/2; 65
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+13 1/2); Under

Game 163-164: Minnesota at TCU (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 83.929; TCU 100.729
Dunkel Line: TCU by 17; 52
Vegas Line: TCU by 14; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-14); Over

Game 165-166: Western Michigan at Idaho (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 62.429; Idaho 60.877
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 1 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Idaho by 3; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+3); Over

Game 167-168: Army at Stanford (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Army 79.000; Stanford 103.395
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 24 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Stanford by 28 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Army (+28 1/2); Under

Game 169-170: Southern Mississippi at Alabama (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 60.127; Alabama 111.613
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 51 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Alabama by 47 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-47 1/2); Under

Game 171-172: Wake Forest at Utah State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 69.860; Utah State 88.262
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 18 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Utah State by 14; 44
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-14); Under

Game 173-174: Tulsa at Florida Atlantic (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 72.169; Florida Atlantic 74.708
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 2 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Pick; 52
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic; Over

Game 175-176: TX-San Antonio at Oklahoma State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 84.303; Oklahoma State 105.560
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 21; 74
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 177-178: UL-Monroe at LSU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 79.869; LSU 107.620
Dunkel Line: LSU by 28; 55
Vegas Line: LSU by 31; 52
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+31); Over

Game 179-180: Purdue vs. Notre Dame (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 76.298; Notre Dame 94.279
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 18; 51
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 28; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+28); Under

Game 181-182: Kentucky at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 82.537; Florida 103.997
Dunkel Line: Florida by 21 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Florida by 17 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-17 1/2); Under

Game 183-184: Navy at Texas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 88.931; Texas State 81.775
Dunkel Line: Navy by 7; 52
Vegas Line: Navy by 11; 57
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+11); Under

Game 185-186: Tennessee at Oklahoma (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 87.234; Oklahoma 111.608
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 24 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 20 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-20 1/2); Over

Game 187-188: New Mexico State at UTEP (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 56.400; UTEP 70.777
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 14 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: UTEP by 11; 61
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-11); Over

Game 189-190: UCLA at Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 97.857; Texas 104.335
Dunkel Line: Texas by 6 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: UCLA by 8; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+8); Under

Game 191-192: Penn State at Rutgers (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 93.149; Rutgers 82.628
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 10 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Penn State by 3; 53
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-3); Under

Game 193-194: USC at Boston College (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 101.953; Boston College 88.073
Dunkel Line: USC by 14; 47
Vegas Line: USC by 17 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+17 1/2); Under

Game 195-196: Rice at Texas A&M (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 80.063; Texas A&M 114.327
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 34 1/2; 75
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 31 1/2; 71
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-31 1/2); Over

Game 197-198: Northern Illinois at UNLV (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 79.152; UNLV 79.558
Dunkel Line: Even; 48
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 10; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+10); Under

Game 199-200: Arizona State at Colorado (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 93.868; Colorado 83.709
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 10; 65
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 16; 68
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+16); Under

Game 201-202: Nebraska at Fresno State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 106.756; Fresno State 84.973
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 22; 66
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 10; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-10); Over

Game 203-204: Nevada at Arizona (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 87.108; Arizona 197.540
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 10 1/2; 69
Vegas Line: Arizona by 15 1/2; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+15 1/2); Over


OTHER MAJOR GAMES:

Game 211-212: Alabama A&M at UAB (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama A&M 36.499; UAB 75.166
Dunkel Line: UAB by 38 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 213-214: UC-Davis at Colorado State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 68.440; Colorado State 86.189
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 18; 49
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 215-216: Indiana State at Ball State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 56.906; Ball State 85.107
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 28; 68
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 217-218: Abilene Christian at Troy (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Abilene Christian 52.380; Troy 67.985
Dunkel Line: Troy by 15 1/2; 67
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 219-220: SE Louisiana at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Louisiana 79.926; Tulane 77.376
Dunkel Line: SE Louisiana by 2 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 221-222: Portland State at Washington State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 65.710; Washington State 87.884
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 22; 55
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 223-224: Northern Iowa at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 79.123; Hawaii 77.056
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 2; 56
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF

Thursday, September 11


Chance of thunderstorms for Thursday night game

According to Weather Underground, forecasts are calling for a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms in Denton, TX as the North Texas Mean Green host the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Thursday evening.

Temperatures look to be in the mid-70s for kickoff and wind will from the north at six mph.

The Mean Green are currently 3.5-point home faves and the total opened at 48.


Syracuse and Central Michigan could see rainstorm

The Syracuse Orange and Central Michigan Chippewas will be playing in less than ideal conditions Saturday. At kickoff there is a 60 percent chance of rain and there will be winds gusting from seven to nine miles per hour.

Central Michigan are 7-point home dogs Saturday.

[StarDust Bum]

Tech Trends - Week 3

September 9, 2014


Thursday, September 11

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at

LA TECH at NORTH TEXAS
LT turnaround with covers first two TY after 4-13 mark vs. line entering 2014. UNT 7-1 vs. spread last eight at Denton.

Slight UNT, based on team trends.


HOUSTON at BYU
Cougs 4-1 as dog in 2013 including home cover vs. BYU. But UH just 3-5 last 8 on board after covering previous nine. BYU 14-7 as Provo chalk since 2010 and 17-8 as DD chalk since 2009.

BYU, based on extended trends.


Friday, September 12

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend


TOLEDO at CINCINNATI
Rockets 9-2 as visiting dog since 2011. Also covered 7 of last 9 as non-MAC reg.-season visitor. Tuberville just 4-5 as chalk LY.

Toledo, based on team trends.


BAYLOR at BUFFALO
Bulls 5-6 as home dog for Jeff Quinn since 2010. Art Briles 28-12 overall vs. line since 2011 but only 2-8 as visiting chalk since 2008.

Baylor, based on overall spread mark.


Saturday, September 13

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend


INDIANA at BOWLING GREEN
Hoosiers 3-6 as road dog past two years, but routed BGSU LY at home. IU 6-9 vs. line away for Kevin Wilson since 2011. Falcs 11-6 vs. line at Doyt Perry since 2011

BGSU, based on team trends.


OHIO at MARSHALL
Revenge for Herd after 34-31 loss to Ohio LY. Herd 7-0 as home chalk LY, and home team 3-1 vs. spread in Marshall games since 2013. Solich 0-5 as road dog since LY.

Marshall, based on team trends.


UCF at MISSOURI
O'Leary 4-0 as dog LY, 20-10 in role since 2007. Pinkel only 5-6 last 11 vs. points as non-conf. host.

UCF, based on team trends.


NC STATE at SOUTH FLORIDA
Doeren no covers last seven and just 1-9 vs. line last nine since mid 2013. Pack 2-11-1 vs. number as visitor since 2011. USF just 3-17-1 last 21 vs. spread at Tampa (2-7 for Taggart).

Slight to USF, based on extended NCS woes.


MIAMI-OHIO at MICHIGAN
Miami 6-18-1 vs. line since 2012, and RedHawks only 2-11 as road dog past two seasons. Wolverines 1-3 vs. line last four after Notre Dame, but Hoke 10-4 as DD chalk since 2011.

Michigan, based on team trends.


KENT STATE at OHIO STATE
Urban Meyer only 3-5 vs. line as non-Big 10 host since 2012, and Meyer only 8-11 as DD chalk that span. Flashes 6-4 as visiting dog since 2012

Kent State, based on team trends.


EASTERN MICHIGAN at OLD DOMINION
EMU 3-16 last 19 on board and 3-10 vs. spread away since 2012.

OSU, based on EMU negatives.


EAST CAROLINA at VIRGINIA TECH
Ruffin McNeill 6-10 as visiting dog since 2010. But Beamer only 6-12-1 as home chalk since 2011, and failed to cover vs. ECU in 2011 & 2013.

ECU, based on team and recent series trends.


SYRACUSE at CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Cuse only 4-7 as chalk since 2012, but Chips 0-5 as home dog since 2012 and 1-7 in role since 2011.

Syracuse, based on team trends.


PITT at FIU
Golden Panthers now 10-17 last 27 on board. Also 3-8 since 2012 as home dog.

Pitt, based on FIU negatives.


BOISE STATE at UCONN
UConn was 11-2 as home dog since 2009 entering season but no covers first two at home TY. Boise 22-9 as visiting chalk since 2008.

Boise, based on extended trends.


GEORGIA SOUTHERN at GEORGIA TECH
Paul Johnson vs. old employer. GT 11-6-1 as home chalk since 2011, 12-5-1 overall as chalk since 2012.

GT, based on home chalk marks.


IOWA STATE at IOWA
ISU has covered 7 of last 10 meetings and 7 of last 8 vs. Hawkeyes in Iowa City. Ferentz 4-11 last 15 as home chalk since late 2011. Cyclones 4-1 vs. spread last five as reg.-season non-Big 12 visitor.

ISU, based on series trends.


WEST VIRGINIA at MARYLAND
Terps have won and covered last four as non-conf. host (counts 2013 at Balt. vs. WVU). Terps 7-3 vs. spread in first four games of season since 2012.

Maryland, based on team trends.


UMASS at VANDERBILT
UMass covered last year's game at Gillette Stadium. Not sure how much to shade pre-Mason Vandy trends, as Dores were 9-3 as home chalk 2011-13 but now 0-2 SU and vs. line TY.

Slight to UMass, based on recent Vandy woes.


LOUISVILLE at VIRGINIA
Cavs 2-0 vs. line TY but were 3-11-2 last 16 vs. spread at home entering 2014.

Louisville, based on UVa home woes.


WYOMING at OREGON
Ducks 8-9 last 17 as Eugene chalk, 3-5 last 8 vs. points as non-Pac host. Wyo 17-6 as visiting dog since 2009 and 8-2 last 10 vs. line as non-MW visitor.

Wyo, based on team trends.


AIR FORCE at GEORGIA STATE
GSU was 4-1 as Georgia Dome dog last season. Force 0-4 as road chalk since 2012 and 6-20 overall vs. line since 2012.

Slight to GSU, based on team trends.


WESTERN KENTUCKY at MIDDLE TENNESSEE
MT 6-2-1 last nine at home. WKU 7-2 last 9 as visiting dog.

Slight to WKU, based on team trends.


KANSAS at DUKE
Weis 9-14 vs. line with Jayhawks, just 4-7 as road dog since 2012. KU 5-11 in role since 2011. Cutcliffe 8-1 last 9 as Durham chalk, 11-4-1 last 16 on board overall.

Duke, based on team trends.


GEORGIA at SOUTH CAROLINA
Spurrier 4-1-2 last 7 vs. line against Richt, and Spurrier has won and covered last two meetings at Columbia. Richt 0-5 as visiting dog since 2010.

SC, based on team and series trends.


ARKANSAS at TEXAS TECH
Red Raiders just 4-9 last 13 as Lubbock chalk (1-4 for Kingsbury), TT also no covers last seven reg.-season games.

Arkansas, based on recent TT marks.


ARKANSAS STATE at MIAMI-FLORIDA
Canes 1-9 vs. line last 10 since mid 2013, Canes also 14-26 as home chalk since 2007. Red Wolves 8-3 as visiting dog since 2011.

Ark State, based on team trends.


MISSISSIPPI STATE at SOUTH ALABAMA
MSU 6-1 vs. line last 7 since late 2013 and Bulldogs were 4-1 vs. line away from Starkville LY. USA 9-4 vs. line since LY but 1-3 as home dog since 2012.

MSU, based on recent trends.


UL-LAFAYETTE at OLE MISS
Hugh Freeze teams now 29-11 vs. line since 2011. Rebs 6-3 as home chalk for Freeze. Cajuns 11-4 as visiting dog since 2011 though only 2-3 in role LY.

Ole Miss, based on Hugh Freeze trends.


ILLINOIS at WASHINGTON
Chris Petersen teams just 6-13 their last 19 on board. Huskies only 4-7 as DD chalk since 2012. Illini, however, just 1-7 as visiting dog for Beckman since 2012.

Slight to UW, based on Illini negatives.


MINNESOTA at TCU
Jerry Kill 3-1 as visiting dog LY. Kill 11-5 last 16 on board. Frogs just 5-9 as home chalk since 2011 and 6-18-1 overall as chalk that span.

Minnesota, based on TCU chalk woes.


WESTERN MICHIGAN at IDAHO
Vandals 6-19 vs. line since 2012 and 2-8 against spread ay Kibbie Dome that span. Broncs only 9-17 vs. spread since 2012 and 5-3 last 8 vs. line on road.

WMU, based on Idaho woes.


ARMY at STANFORD
West Point covered easily LY at Michie. Cardinal just 2-4 vs. line last six after facing SC. Tree 5-9 as Farm chalk since 2012. .

Army, based on Stanford Farm chalk woes.


SOUTHERN MISS at ALABAMA
USM 1-24 SU and 6-19 vs. line post-Fedora. Nick only 5-9 laying 20 or more at Tuscaloosa since 2012.

Slight to Alabama, based on USM woes.


WAKE FOREST at UTAH STATE
Clawson covered 8 of last 9 as visitor with BGSU but 0-1 in role with Deacs. Wake also just 8-16 last 24 as visiting dog after ULM loss.

Slight to Utah State, based on team trends.


TULSA at FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Not sure where FAU goes under Partridge after over achieving vs. line past two seasons when covering 17 of 24. Tulsa just 4-10 vs. spread since LY and if dog note mere 1-4 mark last five in role.

Slight to FAU, based on team trends.


UTSA at OKLAHOMA STATE
UTSA now 6-1 last seven vs. spread since late LY, also "under" last 6 and 8 of last 9. Coker covered vs. OSU LY. Gundy, however, 23-10 as Stillwater chalk since 2008, and Cowboys 35-18-1 vs. line overall since 2010.

Slight to UTSA, based on recent trends.


UL-MONROE at LSU
ULM 10-6 as visiting dog since 2011 but just 6-7 as DD dog for Todd Berry since 2010. Les Miles just 5-10 laying DD since 2012 and 6-9 laying 20 or more since 2011.

Slight to ULM, based on team trends.


PURDUE vs. NOTRE DAME (at Indianapolis)
Purdue 4-11 last 15 on board. Boilermakers haven't beaten ND SU since 2007 but have covered 3 of last 5 meetings. Golson now 9-4-1 vs. line as QB for Irish since 2012.

ND, based on recent Purdue woes.


KENTUCKY at FLORIDA
Gators have covered last seven vs. UK, which hasn't beaten Florida SU since 1986! Cats 4-12 as road dog since 2010. Muschamp just 5-12 as chalk since 2012.

Slight to Florida, based on series trends.


NAVY at TEXAS STATE
Mids 7-2 vs. line last 9 away from Annapolis, and have covered 11 of last 15 on board. Franchione only 2-4 overall vs. line at Bobcat Stadium LY.

Navy, based on recent trends.


TENNESSEE at OKLAHOMA
UT 3-8 as visiting dog since 2011 (Butch Jones 1-3 in role LY). Stoops only 7-9 laying DD since 2012, however, and no covers last four at Norman vs. non-Big 12 foes.

Slight to UT, based on OU negatives.


NEW MEXICO STATE at UTEP
Ags haven't beaten nearby UTEP SU since 2008 and haven't covered last five vs. Miners, either. NMSU just 2-8-1 as road dog since 2012.

UTEP, based on series trends.


UCLA vs. TEXAS (at Jerry Jones AT&T Stadium, Arlington)
road. Horns just 7-13 as dog since 2009,

Slight to UCLA, based on team trends.


PENN STATE at RUTGERS
Rutgers 12-5 as dog since 2011, 7-3 in role for Kyle Flood, 16-5 SU at home since 2011.

Rutgers, based on team trends.


SOUTHERN CAL at BOSTON COLLEGE
C 9-4 vs. line as host since 2012. SC 8-19 as visiting chalk since 2008. Sarkisian just 2-3 as road chalk past three years at U-Dub.

BC, based on team trends.


RICE at TEXAS A&M
Even after ND loss, Rice 6-2 as visiting dog since 2012, but Owls have now dropped 4 of last 5 vs. line. Sumlin 3-6 laying DD in 2013 but has covered first two in 2014.

Slight to A&M, based on recent trends.


NORTHERN ILLINOIS at UNLV
Bobby Hauck 12-5-1 as home dog since 2010. But NIU 13-2 vs. line last 15 as visitor.

Slight to NIU, based on team trends.


ARIZONA STATE at COLORADO
Buffs have covered 5 of last 7 at Boulder (MacIntyre 4-2 LY) but have been destroyed past three years by ASU, losing and failing to cover all and never closer than 34 points. Todd Graham 5-1 as visiting chalk since 2012.

ASU, based on series trends.


NEBRASKA at FRESNO STATE
Bulldogs 4-11-1 last 16 on board since late 2012. FSU also just 2-5 vs. spread at Dog House LY. Bo Pelini 4-1 vs. line away from Lincoln LY.

Nebraska, based on recent trends.


NEVADA at ARIZONA
Pack just 4-8 vs. spread as visitor since 2012, but is 6-3 as DD dog since 2011. Rich-Rod has covered five straight vs. non-Pac foes at Tucson.

Arizona, based on team trends.

[StarDust Bum]

Bulls aim to upset No. 8 Baylor

September 10, 2014


Baylor Bears (2-0) vs. Buffalo Bulls (1-1)
Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Baylor -34, Total: 67.5

No. 8 Baylor has dominated over its first two contests and looks to remain undefeated when it travels to Buffalo on Friday night.

Baylor has had no issues in its first two games, but that was expected as the team was favored by 31.5 points against SMU and 46.5 points versus Northwestern State. The Bears have outscored their opponents by a score of 115-6 and easily covered both lines while having six scoring plays of 40 yards or more. Against Northwestern State, an FCS team, they totaled an immense 720 total yards while converting 13-of-16 third downs, but surprisingly turned the ball over twice.

Buffalo came away victorious in its first game, winning 38-28, but failed to cover the large 27-point spread as a home favorite against Duquesne. The Bulls followed that up with a 47-39 loss as three-point underdogs against Army in which they were down by 30 points early in the fourth quarter before cutting it down over the final 10 minutes. Turnovers did them in as they outgained the Black Knights 549 to 466, but threw three picks as they attempted to make a comeback.

These programs squared off last year in Waco, TX with Baylor dominating as 28.5-point favorites, winning by a score of 70-13 while they outgained the Bulls 781 to 363 and went turnover free. Before that, the Bears had won both SU and ATS in the matchup in both 2007 and 2010, outscoring Buffalo 68-27 over the two contests.

Trends show that Baylor is 23-10 ATS (70%) after gaining 525+ yards per game in its previous two contests since 1992, while the Bulls are 3-0 ATS after 2+ straight ATS defeats since the start of 2012.

The injury report should be watched for this game as starting QB Bryce Petty (back) and last year’s No. 1 receiver Antwan Goodley (leg) are listed as questionable for Baylor, while Buffalo has no significant injuries on its roster.

Over the first two games of this year, Baylor has averaged 647 YPG (4th in FBS) while throwing for the sixth-most yards (384 YPG) and getting 263 YPG on the ground. They have done most of this without the help of last year’s Big 12 Player of the Year, QB Bryce Petty (161 yards, 2 TD), who missed last week’s game with an injured back. They will not rush his return either since QB Seth Russell, who threw for 438 yards (11.7 YPA) and 5 TD (0 INT) in their most recent contest, has done so well.

The quarterback position in this offense is expected to run, and has already rushed the ball for a touchdown twice this year after Petty and Russell combined for 17 scores on the ground in 2013. The backfield has been comprised of three players so far with HBs Johnny Jefferson (164 yards, 1 TD), Shock Linwood (122 yards, 2 TD) and Silas Nicata (124 yards, 3 TD) all earning 20+ carries over two blowout victories. Linwood is the expected feature back after splitting carries with Lache Seastrunk in 2013 and totaling 881 yards (6.9 YPC) with eight touchdowns.

Meanwhile, freshman WR KD Cannon was explosive against Northwestern State, going for 223 yards (37.2 avg) and already has tallied four touchdowns on the young season. WRs Davion Hall (11 rec, 164 yards, 1 TD) and Jay Lee (10 rec, 158 yards, 2 TD) have been the other workhorses in the passing game thus far with top WR Antwan Goodley missing the first two games.

The Bears have not played any offenses of note so far, so the fact that they have allowed a meager 134 YPG (2nd in FBS) and 3.0 PPG (3rd in FBS) is no real surprise. Buffalo should give them a little more of a test, but LB Bryce Hager (14 tackles) hopes he can lead the team to another impressive performance.

The Buffalo offense has actually played quite well in the early going and ranks in the top-30 in total yards (510.5 YPG) while slinging the ball around for an impressive 347 YPG (16th in FBS). They have scored 38.5 PPG and have shown they can be explosive as they posted 36 points against Army in the second half of their week two loss. The Bulls have a strong offensive line with all five of their starters returning from 2013 and QB Joe Licata (694 yards, 8 TD, 4 INT) has already put forth two performances of 295+ yards.

In the team’s bid to make a comeback against Army, the junior QB was 34-for-49 (69%) with 396 yards (8.1 YPA) and 5 TD while also trying to force the ball, leading to three interceptions. HB Anthone Campbell has carried the workload in the backfield with 194 yards on 46 carries (4.2 YPC) while scoring two touchdowns. He should receive a lot of help from hybrid HB/WR Devin Campbell who has rushed for 78 yards (6.5 YPC) and caught the ball eight times for 67 yards (8.4 avg) with 2 TD.

The Bulls lost nearly all of their WR production from last year but seem to be rebounding quite will as five different players have six or more receptions. The leaders to come out of this group are WRs Ron Willoughby (187 yards, 2 TD) and Marcus McGill (163 yards, 2 TD) who have combined for 25 catches in the first two contests.

The defense has not looked on par over the first two games, and seems to be feeling the loss of LB Khalil Mack as they have allowed 37.5 PPG with 419.5 YPG to their opponents. DB Adam Redden (16 tackles, 2 sacks) and LB Lee Skinner (15 tackles) have a tough task ahead of them with Baylor and hope they can capture some for their defensive prowess from last year when they allowed just 13.2 PPG to opponents at home.

[StarDust Bum]

Friday's Tip Sheet

September 10, 2014


**Toledo at Cincinnati**

-- As of Wednesday morning, most betting shops had Cincinnati (0-0 straight up, 0-0 against the spread) installed as an 11-point home favorite with a total of 59.5. Bettors can back the Rockets on the money line for a +330 return (risk $100 to win $330).

-- Tommy Tuberville's team went 9-4 both SU and ATS in his first season at the helm after replacing Butch Jones. The Bearcats won nine of their first 11 games, but they lost a 31-24 decision to Louisville as three-point home underdogs in overtime to close the regular season. Then at the Belk Bowl, Cincy got thumped 39-17 by North Carolina as a 2.5-point 'dog.

-- Cincy returns seven starters on offense and six on defense. QB Brendon Kay is gone and Notre Dame transfer Gunner Kiel has been named the starter for the opener. Kiel, who was an original oral commitment to LSU before changing his mind on Signing Day, was considered the nation's No. 1 prep signal caller in the 2012 class. Things didn't work out in South Bend and we'll see how it goes at Cincy. If Kiel is ineffective, Tuberville has another experienced option in Munchie Legaux, who has 13 career starts and offers a scrambling dynamic. Legaux suffered a season-ending knee injury in 2013 but has recovered and is ready to go Friday if needed.

-- Cincy posted a 3-2 spread record in five games as a home favorite last season. In six games as a double-digit 'chalk' whether at home or on the road, the Bearcats went 3-3 ATS.

-- Cincy returns its top three rushers and one of the AAC's top wide receivers in Shaq Washington, who had 999 all-purpose yards in 2013. Washington had 78 receptions for 783 yards. The Bearcats have one of the league's best pass rushers in junior DE Silverberry Mouhon, who was a second-team All-AAC selection after recording 9.5 sacks and seven QB hurries.

-- Toledo (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) won its opener by a 54-20 count over New Hampshire as an 11-point home favorite. QB Phillip Ely, a transfer from Alabama, completed 24-of-34 passes for 337 yards and four touchdowns without an interception. Kareem Hunt rushed for 136 yards and two scores on 20 carries.

-- Missouri came to The Glass Bowl last week and the oddsmakers gave Toledo plenty of respect, listing it as just a 3.5-point home underdog. This was a bad line, however, and I jumped all over it. Missouri raced out to an early lead and coasted to a 49-24 victory and easy spread cover. The Rockets defense gave up 502 yards of total offense and allowed Maty Mauk to throw five TD passes. On the bright side, Hunt was productive once again, rushing for 148 yards and three TDs on just 15 carries.

-- The biggest downer coming out of the loss to Missouri was the season-ending injury to Ely, who tore his ACL. The starting job now goes to true sophomore Logan Woodside, who started one game as a freshman when he completed 21-of-41 passes for 240 yards and one TD without an interception. In the second half against the Tigers, Woodside connected on 6-of-10 throws for 52 yards. With Woodside at QB, look for a heavy dose of Hunt, who is averaging 8.1 yards per carry.

-- Toledo has thrived as a road underdog on Matt Campbell's watch, going 7-1 ATS. Whether at home or away or on a neutral field, the Rockets are 4-1 ATS in five games as double-digit 'dogs during Campbell's tenure.

-- The 'over' has hit in both of Toledo's games with scoring outputs of 74 and 73 combined points.

-- These schools squared off at The Glass Bowl two seasons ago, with Toledo capturing a 29-23 win as a six-point home underdog. The Rockets got the victory thanks to a long pick-six and a Bernard Reedy kickoff return for a TD.

-- Cincy's Nipper Stadium is undergoing expansion and renovation this year, so the Bearcats' home games will be played at the home of the Bengals, Paul Brown Stadium.

-- Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPNU.

**Baylor at Buffalo**

-- As of Wednesday morning, most spots had Baylor (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) installed as a 34-point favorite with a total of 67.5. -- After missing a chance to pad his stats in an easy Week 2 win, Baylor senior QB Bryce Petty has been upgraded to 'probable' and will start against the Bulls. In a 45-0 season-opening home win over SMU, Petty sustained a pair of cracked bones in his lower back. He only played in the first half, connecting on a pair of TD passes and running for another score.

-- Without Petty, Art Briles' squad cruised to a 70-6 home win over Northwestern State as a 47-point home favorite. Baylor raced out to a 49-3 advantage by halftime. Seth Russell was outstanding in Petty's place, throwing for 438 yards and five TDs without an interception. He also had a rushing score. True freshman WR K.D. Cannon, the prize of the program's 2014 recruiting haul, exploded with six receptions for 223 yards and three TDs. Johnny Jefferson rushed for a team-high 107 yards and one TD, while Silas Nacita had 104 rushing yards and a pair of TDs.

-- In the win over the Demons, Baylor played without Petty, WR Antwan Goodley, WR Levi Norwood, WR Corey Coleman and WR Clay Fuller. Along with Petty, Coleman has been upgraded to 'probable' for Friday night. However, Goodley (leg) remains 'doubtful,' while Norwood and Fuller are 'out.'

-- During Briles's seven-year tenure, Baylor is 3-6 ATS in nine games as a road favorite. The Bears are 1-6 ATS in its last seven such spots going back to 2011.

-- Buffalo (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS) failed to cover the spread in a 38-28 Week 1 victory over Duquesne as a 28.5-point home favorite. Joe Licata completed 25-of-36 passes for 298 yards and three TDs, while Anthone Taylor ran for 115 yards and two TDs. Ron Willoughby had 10 receptions for 132 yards and two TDs.

-- Buffalo lost a 47-39 decision at Army as a three-point underdog last weekend. The Bulls trailed 28-3 midway through the third quarter, but Licata nearly brought them all the way back. The junior signal caller was intercepted three times, which obviously helped create the deficit. However, Licata ended up throwing for 401 yards and five TDs, pulling his team to within eight points with 2:42 remaining on a TD pass and another throw into the end zone to convert a two-point conversion. Marcus McGill had seven catches for 128 yards and two TDs.

-- Buffalo owns a 5-6 spread record in 11 games as a home underdog during Jeff Quinn's tenure.

-- When these teams met in Waco last year, Baylor rolled to a 70-13 win as a 27.5-point road 'chalk.' The Bears had 781 yards of total offense with Petty passing for 338 yards and a pair of TDs without an interception.

-- ESPN will have the telecast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

[StarDust Bum]

Battle of the Cougars

September 10, 2014


Houston Cougars (1-1) at BYU Cougars (2-0)
Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: BYU -18.5, Total: 58

After a beating of Texas this past weekend, the BYU Cougars host the Houston Cougars as they attempt to stay undefeated.

Houston did not look good in the first game of the season, falling by a score of 27-7 against the UTSA Roadrunners, but bounced back in an easy matchup facing Grambling State, prevailing by a score of 47-0 in against a Tigers team that was 1-11 last season. Not too much should be taken from the win, since Grambling state hurt themselves with 15 penalties for 147 yards while also turning the ball over six times as the Cougars converted only 4-of-14 on third downs.

BYU has looked great in its first two games, first handling Connecticut with a 35-10 win followed by a huge 41-7 defeat of Texas in Austin as one-point underdogs. It was their defense that was the hero here, grabbing four takeaways and holding a usually potent Longhorns offense to a woeful 258 total yards. The rushing attack for the Cougars was unstoppable with 248 yards on the ground; giving them two consecutive games over 200 rushing yards.

Last year these programs met and both offenses were clicking in a 47-46 barnburner, which BYU won, but failed to cover as a 10-point favorite. Both teams threw for more than 400 yards with the big difference coming from the Brigham Young runners as they outpaced Houston on the ground 264 to 48.

Bettors should take into consideration that BYU is a mere 7-26 ATS (21%) after a two-game road trip since 1992 while Houston is 1-9 ATS after allowing six points or less in their previous game in the same timeframe. There are no significant injuries going into this contest for either team.

Houston’s usually potent offense currently ranks 80th in rushing (218 YPG) and 102nd in passing (124.5 YPG), and has not faced a tough team such as BYU. Leading their offense is QB John O’Korn who was solid last season (3,117 yards, 28 TD, 10 INT) and has completed 35-of-68 passes (52%) for 404 yards (5.9 YPA) while throwing just a single touchdown and four picks this year. It was his play that took the team down against UTSA as he threw 4 INT and completed a mere 21-of-43 attempts.

It does get a little more promising with the running game, as HB Kenneth Farrow has rushed for 151 yards on 20 attempts (7.6 YPC) and a touchdown while last year’s top rusher, HB Ryan Jackson, has two touchdowns in 13 attempts (50 yards). The team likes to spread the ball out, and through the first couple of contests they already have three different players with seven or more receptions. Leading the way is WR Deontay Greenberry (206 yards) while WR Greg Ward Jr. (40 yards) has the sole receiving touchdown.

It is hard to size up the Cougars defense at this point of the season with their shutout victory coming against such a weak team, but they have allowed their opponents to gain 263 yards per game so far. Both LB Derrick Mathews (16 tackles, 1 sack) and DB Trevon Stewart (10 tackles) hope they can continue to put forth solid performances as this team looks to win their second straight contest.

BYU has been phenomenal in the early going while ranking in the top-65 at both passing (244.5 YPG) and rushing (226.5 YPG) with 38.0 PPG (42nd in FBS). QB Taysom Hill (489 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT) has improved through the air this year after throwing 14 interceptions in 2013, but threw for just 181 yards and 1 INT in the win over Texas.

The real threat comes from Hill’s legs, which have propelled him to 194 yards (5.4 YPC) and five touchdowns after leading the team with 1,344 rushing yards (5.5 YPC, 10 TD) in 2013. Helping him in the backfield will be HB Jamaal Williams who missed the first game of the year, but went for 89 yards (4.7 YPC) against the Longhorns. These two players combined for 2,577 yards on the ground last year and should be the main focal point for any opposing defense. With last year’s top receiver, Cody Hoffman, out of the picture, the Cougars are targeting plenty of players, and four wideouts have caught at least five passes with WR Jordan Leslie (107 yards) leading the way.

As mentioned previously, the defense for BYU is the main reason for the team's success, having allowing only 8.5 PPG and 306.5 YPG to their opponents over the first two weeks. LB Bronson Kaufusi had two sacks in the first game of the year and hopes to be an important piece of this defense moving forward.

[StarDust Bum]

Houston at BYU

September 10, 2014


The third week of the College football season starts Thursday night with a matchup between Houston and BYU. While the season in Houston started poorly with an upset loss, BYU has impressively moved to 2-0 with back-to-back road wins, including last week’s huge win at Texas. Here is a look at the teams and this week’s ESPN matchup between two sets of Cougars.

Match-up: Houston Cougars at BYU Cougars
Venue: LaVell Edwards Stadium in Provo, Utah
Date: Thursday, September 11, 2014
Time/TV: 9:00 PM ET – ESPN
Line: BYU -17.5, Over/Under 57.5
Last Meeting: 2013, BYU (-10) 47-46 at Houston

Houston is coming off of an easy home win vs. FCS Grambling last week. The Cougars were led by RB Kenneth Farrow, who rushed for 130 of Houston's 275 rush yards (6.9 YPC) in a 47-0 win. It was a nice comeback victory after a disappointing home loss to UT-San Antonio to open the season - a game in which the Cougars totaled -26 rush yards. QB Josh O'Korn has gotten off to a bit of a disappointing start. He is completing just 51.5% of his throws with just one touchdown and four interceptions. This week, Houston hits the road for the first time this season to take on BYU.

This is a tough spot for BYU. The Cougars are off of a 41-7 win at Texas. It was a hard-fought game for one half as BYU led just 6-0 at the midpoint before opening the floodgates with a 28-point third quarter. Do-everything QB Taysom Hill led the way with three rushing touchdowns. Through two games, Hill is completing 73% of his passes and averaging 244.5 pass YPG; but the real threat he presents is with his feet as he already has 196 rushing yards and five touchdowns. BYU will try to avoid a letdown performance here, something the Cougars couldn't avoid last year. After 2013's blowout win over Texas, the Cougars returned home and laid an egg against Utah - losing by seven points as a six-point favorite.

Defensively both of these teams have been very solid through two weeks. BYU is allowing just 76.5 rushing yards per game on 2.3 yards per carry. Opposing QB's are completing just 57% against BYU with one touchdown and two interceptions. Houston's 'D' (which returned nine starters from 2013), ranks 24th against the pass, 35th against the run, and 11th in total yards allowed - albeit stats that may be skewed in their favor considering their two opponents were UT-San Antonio and FCS Grambling.

These two met for the first time ever in 2013 in one of the more entertaining games of the season. The game featured two ties, eight lead changes, and neither team led by more than 10 points. Taysom Hill threw a touchdown with 1:08 left to give BYU the lead. The defense held on Houston's final drive and BYU won, 47-46. BYU tallied 681 yards of total offense, including 264 rushing yards on 71 total carries. Houston's O'Korn completed 29-of-45 passes for 363 yards with three touchdowns but also three interceptions. Houston was able to cover as the double-digit underdog (+10).

BYU is 10-3 S/U & ATS in its last 13 home openers, including back-to-back ATS wins by an average of 21.5 points. BYU is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 games as a home favorite of 17 points or more. Houston is 5-18 S/U & 8-14 ATS in its last 23 road openers, but is 3-2 S/U & ATS in the last five years. Houston is 8-4 ATS in the last 12 as a double-digit underdog, but that record worsens to just 5-10 ATS as a road underdog of 17 points or more dating back to 1997.

[StarDust Bum]

Big Ten Report - Week 3

September 10, 2014


GAME OF THE WEEK

Penn State (-3.5) at Rutgers - 8:00 p.m. ET
PSU & Rutgers open up B1G conference play on Saturday in Rutgers. For the Scarlet Knights, it's their first conference game as a member of the conference. Rutgers is 2-0 heading into this week with wins over Washington State and FCS Howard. The Knights are led by QB Nova (31-of-46 for 563 yards, 6 TD, 1 INT) and RB James (216 rush yards on 5.1 YPC with 4 TD). Nova, James, and the rest of this offense will have their first difficult test against PSU's defense; a unit that ranks 4th against the run, 15th in overall defense, and 25th in scoring defense. Rutgers' defensive numbers aren't very good at this point in the season after allowing 538 yards to Washington State and 427 to FCS Howard. The Knights will have to clean things up on defense as PSU's QB Hackenberg is on his way to a breakout campaign. The sophomore already has 773 pass yards (65.1%) with 4 TD & 4 INT. The Nittany Lions were able to avoid a letdown performance in a 21-3 win over Akron after coming home from a week one game in Dublin. Motivation won't be lacking for either side as we expect Rutgers to be fired up for their first home conference game in a primetime setting. On the other side, PSU got some good news this week that the NCAA released the ban on postseason play - meaning the Nittany Lions will be eligible for a bowl this year. Not that the Nittany Lions weren't playing with high-intensity before, but that news certainly won't hurt the motivation going forward. Penn State is 15-8 SU in the last 23 Big Ten road games, but just 1-4 SU & ATS in the last 5. PSU is 7-0 SU & 5-2 ATS in the last seven games against Rutgers, but the last meeting was in 1995. Rutgers is just 2-7 ATS in the last nine home games.

BEST OF THE REST

Iowa (-13.5) vs. Iowa State - 3:30 p.m. ET
Is it time to be concerned about performance of the Hawkeyes? They knew they were going to get a tough battle from FCS Northern Iowa in week one, but still only escaped with an eight-point win. Then last week they barely squeaked by at home against Ball State. QB Rudock threw two TD in the final 2:52 to give Iowa the 17-13 win. Arguably the most concerning aspect of Iowa's season so far is the inability to effectively run the ball. The Hawks rank 97th in rushing with just 132 YPG. Things won't get any easier as star LT, and likely top draft pick, Brandon Scherff is out indefinitely with a knee injury. Jake Rudock has posted solid numbers (572 yards on 68.8% with 4 TD and 0 INT), but Iowa needs to run it better. Solid defense and adequate QB play can take this team only so far. As ordinary as Iowa has been so far, they're in a much better position than rival Iowa State. ISU is already 0-2 after losses to FCS North Dakota State and conference rival Kansas State. The offense has been abysmal. QB Richardson has just 1 TD and 3 INT while top RB Wimberly has just 75 yards on 23 carries. They rank near the bottom of every major offensive statistical category. The defensive unit hasn't been much better as the Cyclones rank 121st against the rush, 68th against the pass, 110th in total yards allowed, and 100th in PPG allowed. This rivalry is split 7-7 since 2000 and Iowa State is 10-4 ATS over that span. Nine of those 14 matchups have been decided by 10 points or less, including three straight meetings by a total of just 12 points. Iowa is 0-2 ATS this season, failing to cover as a double-digit favorite in both of its games. ISU is 0-2 SU, but covered as a double-digit underdog against a solid Kansas State team last week.

Minnesota (+14) at TCU - 4:00 p.m. ET
Minnesota will take a big step up in competition this week as they visit TCU after home dates with FCS Eastern Illinois and Middle Tennessee State. Minnesota QB Mitch Leidner sprained his MCL against MTSU last week and his status remains uncertain. Leidner's strength is his ability to run from the QB position; if this sprain has a negative effect on his rushing ability, expect the Gophers to go with backup QB Chris Streveler. Streveler, the redshirt freshman, has thrown one pass in his career. Minnesota's strength is in the rushing attack. David Cobb rushed for 220 yards in last week's win over MTSU and the Gophers now rank 30th in rush YPG through two weeks. Expect TCU to stack the box this weekend in an attempt to make the Gophers beat them through the air. TCU had last week off after a blowout win over FCS Samford in week one. The Horned Frogs wracked up a +412 yard advantage and +24 first downs in the 48-14 blowout win. TCU returned 16 starters from last year's squad and this defense has the potential to be really, really good. Offensively QB Boykin leads the way along with a stable of solid running backs and experienced receivers. They'll give Minnesota's defense - which has looked vulnerable - their toughest test of the season to date. Dating back to 2007, the Gophers are 22-10 ATS as an underdog of 10-points or more - includes a 13-7 ATS record on the road. Minnesota is 13-3 SU & 12-4 ATS in the last 16 road openers. TCU is 3-8 ATS in the last 11 home games and just 0-3 ATS since 2004 against Big Ten squads.

Maryland (-3) vs. West Virginia - 12:00 p.m. ET
Maryland may have switched conferences, but their rivalry with West Virginia still stands strong. The Terps ended a seven-game losing streak to the Mountaineers with last year's 37-0 shutout victory. The 37-point margin of victory was the largest in this series since 1951! Maryland's 2013 season unraveled after that win, but they'll look to repeat the formula with another win over West Virginia on Saturday. The Terps had a closer-than-expected matchup with South Florida last week. They used a blocked punt return for TD in the 4th quarter to propel them to a seven-point victory - failing to cover as the 11-point favorite. Maryland managed just 116 rush yards on 2.9 YPC and they turned the ball over six times; but credit to the defense for holding USF's offense down the stretch and getting the win on the road. QB C.J. Brown has had a rough-go of it so far in 2014. He's completing just 53.8% with 3 TD and 2 INT despite having one of the top WR corps to throw to. Brown will have to clean up his game as the competition level goes up in this rivalry matchup with WVU. West Virginia wasn't supposed to stick with Alabama in week one, but the Mountaineers made a ball-game of it, never trailing by more than 10 points and cutting the lead to seven points in the 4th quarter. There was no hangover in week two as WVU trounced FCS Towson 54-0. QB Clint Trickett leads the way in this explosive offense. Trickett has 713 pass yards on 75.3% completions with 3 TD and 0 INT so far. He spreads the wealth nicely as three receivers already have 10 catches. Trickett didn't play in last year's blowout loss to Maryland, but this offense will be motivated to make some noise after the Terps held them scoreless. The Terps are just 1-6 SU & 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings, going 0-3 SU & ATS at home over that span (-11.6 PPG). Maryland is 9-22 ATS in the last 29 as a home favorite. West Virginia is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 as a road underdog.

Illinois (+14.5) at Washington - 4:00 p.m. ET
Credit the Illini for coming from behind yet again to get a win; but needing to come-from-behind in two straight weeks at home against FCS Youngstown State and Western Kentucky is a bit concerning. Wes Lunt continues to put up huge numbers and appears to be a strong fit for Bill Cubit's offense. Lunt now has 741 yards (67%) with 7 TD and just 1 INT. Lunt has had to be "the man" in the offense since the rushing attack isn't making a huge impact. RB's Ferguson & Young have combined to rush for 160 yards and 2 TD on 48 carries - a measly 3.3 YPC. Another concern has to be the performance of the defense. They allowed 400 yards to WKU last week and now rank 73rd in yards allowed and 72nd in points allowed through two weeks. This week Illinois goes on the road for the first time in 2014 to take on a fellow team that has had two uninspiring performances. Washington barely escaped with a win in a trip to Hawaii in week one and had to battle FCS Eastern Washington to win a shootout, 59-52. Eastern Washington tallied an astonishing 573 yards and 35 first downs against the Huskies and their QB Adams threw 7 TD! If an FCS QB can do that to Washington, they have to be extremely concerned about what Illinois' Lunt will do this week. Washington ranks near the bottom of every major defensive category so far. That will need to be cleaned up as UW's offense isn't well-equipped to win shootouts. The Huskies have run the ball with success (265 YPG with eight rush TD) but QB's Miles & Lindquist have combined to comlete just 24-of-50 passes for 342 yards and 2 TD. Illinois has revenge on its mind after a 10-point loss to the Huskies last September. The 10-point margin actually should have been larger as Washington was +288 yards and +13 first downs - but -2 in TO's, allowing Illinois to keep it rather close. The Illini have lost 11 of their last 12 road/neutral openers with the average loss by 17 PPG. Washington is just 8-15 ATS in its last 23 as a double-digit favorite while Illinois is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 as a double-digit underdog.

Michigan (-31) vs. Miami (OH) - 3:30 p.m. ET
The good news for Michigan is that it can't get much worse than what happened last week. The Wolverines were shutout for the first time since 1984 and it came at the hands of their bitter rival, Notre Dame, in the final scheduled game of the series. Michigan didn't get much going on offense, rushing for just 100 yards on 2.9 YPC and tossing for 189. They turned the ball over four times to Notre Dame's zero, and the defense was picked apart by ND's QB Golson. The only positive to take from that game was that Michigan's run defense held ND to just 54 rush yards on 1.7 YPC. The Wolverines will have to avoid a letdown after such a meaningful game last week, but that shouldn't be too difficult at home against Miami of Ohio, who has dropped 18 consecutive games. Miami showed some promise in a week one matchup against a good Marshall team. The Hawks were down by eight points at the end of the 3rd quarter before losing by 15 (covered as the 24-point underdog). Things didn't look nearly as promising in last week's home loss to FCS Eastern Kentucky. Miami turned the ball over six times and managed just 10 points against the FCS foe. QB Andrew Hendrix, the graduate transfer from ND, has a strong arm and already has 677 pass yards through two weeks. Michigan is 5-0 SU vs. Miami (last game was in 2008) and 33-1 SU vs. the MAC conference. Michigan is just 4-8 ATS in its last 12 as a favorite of 25 points or more. The Wolves are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 game at The Big House.

Ohio State (-32) vs. Kent State - 12:00 p.m. ET
Ohio State, like Michigan, will try to bounce back from a disheartening loss. The Buckeyes lost a regular season game for the first time under head coach Urban Meyer; and their first home loss since 2011. Braxton Millers absence under center was truly felt last week as redshirt freshman JT Barrett really struggled against Virginia Tech. VA Tech stacked the box and shut down OSU's rushing attack (108 yards on 2.7 YPC) and Barrett couldn't take advantage. Barrett completed just 9-of-29 passes with 1 TD and 3 INT and was inefficient on third down (4-of-16 conversions). The offensive line that replaced four starters from 2013 appeared overmatched by the Hokies and the defense wasn't pretty either. The Buckeyes will have a chance to get right this week against Kent State. Things are looking bleak for Kent State. The Golden Flashes have dropped both games so far this season, losing to Ohio and South Alabama. (0-2 ATS). QB Reardon has 4 TD and just 1 INT, but he has been inefficient (58%) and mild (5.8 yards per attempt). KSU is averaging just 47.5 rush yards per game and they've scored just 4 TD through two games. The Golden Flashes are 2-23-1 in the last 26 road openers including six straight losses by an average of 28 PPG. OSU has won both meetings with Kent State since 2000, winning by 34 points in 2002 and 45 points in 2007. Ohio State is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 games as a favorite of 25 points or more.

Nebraska (-10) at Fresno State - 10:30 p.m. ET
The Huskers avoided a near-disaster against FCS McNeese State last week. With the game tied at 24 with just seconds remaining, the Huskers and Cowboys appeared to be headed for overtime. Star RB Ameer Abdullah took a pass 58 yards for a touchdown with 20 seconds left on the clock, giving Nebraska the seven-point win. The Huskers we saw in week one were vastly superior to the version we saw against FCS McNeese State last week. Which version will get on the plane to Fresno State? QB Armstrong was electric on the ground last week (131 yards on 11 carries) but was a bit inefficient through the air (16-of-31 with 2 TD and 1 INT). Abdullah couldn't get going on the ground as he tallied just 54 rush yards on 17 carries. Defensively the Huskers were a bit too lenient against their FCS foe, allowing 338 yards and 24 points while allowing the Cowboys to hold the ball for +9 minutes TOP. Fresno State, now 0-2, is desperate for a win and playing at home for the first time - Nebraska has to show up ready for a fight. FSU has looked outmatched in back-to-back road losses to Pac-12 members, USC (L 13-52) & Utah (L 27-59). The Bulldogs lost a lot of star power from 2013's team and nothing has gone right so far in 2014. QB's Connette and Burrell have been inefficient (55%) while combining to throw 3 TD and 4 INT. The defense has been absolutely atrocious. FSU is allowing 613.5 YPG (126th) and 55.5 PPG (127th) through two games. The Bulldogs are hoping that a return home, where they are 13-0 the past two years, gets them back on the right track. The only prior meeting between these two was in 2011. Fresno visited Nebraska as a 28-point underdog. They trailed 26-28 late before two late touchdowns put the game away for the Huskers (FSU cover). Nebraska is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 games as a road favorite of 10 points or more.

Purdue (+28.5) at Notre Dame - 7:30 p.m. ET
What a difference a week makes. A week after Purdue started the season on a strong note, beating Western Michigan by nine and notching 43 points in the process, Purdue came crashing back down with a 17-point blowout loss at home to Central Michigan. CMU moved the ball with relative ease against Purdue, tallying 333 yards and 19 first downs despite playing conservative most of the 2nd half. Purdue QB Etling did not have a good day, starting with an INT that CMU returned for a touchdown just five minutes into the game. Etling was replaced by sophomore Austin Appelby, who didn't exactly fare well himself. Coaches have opened up the competition and a starter for this week has not been named. Things will get tougher for the Boilermakers as they travel to South Bend this Saturday. They'll hope to catch Notre Dame in a letdown spot after the Irish put a beat-down on rival Michigan last weekend. ND QB Golson completed 23-of-34 passes for 226 yards with 3 TD and no INT against Michigan while ND's defense dominated, forcing three turnovers and becoming the first team to shutout the Wolverines since 1984. Notre Dame has given up a total of 17 points through two weeks of play - bad news for a Purdue team that has huge questions on offense. Notre Dame has won 23 of the past 28 games in this series, including six straight. The Boilers have covered the past two seasons, however, losing by just three points in 2012 (+14) and seven points in 2013 (+18). Notre Dame is just 4-12 ATS in the last 16 as a favorite of 27 points or more. Purdue is just 7-19 SU and 8-16-1 ATS in its last 26 road openers. The Boilers are also just 3-7 ATS in the last 10 as an underdog of 20 points or more.

Indiana (+6) at Bowling Green - 12:00 p.m. ET
The Hoosiers were off last week after dismantling FCS Indiana State in week one. Indiana has one of the more underrated offensive line units in the nation and they used it to perfection against FCS Indiana State. The Hoosiers ran the ball 69 times for 455 yards (6.6 YPC) and four scores. RB's Coleman and Roberts combined for 376 of those rush yards and QB Sudfeld only had to attempt 18 passes. If Indiana has successfully instilled a rushing presence into its offensive arsenal - they could be a serious sleeper in the Big Ten. The defense also had a promising effort, albeit against an FCS program, as it allowed just 170 total yards and 10 first downs. This week they travel to Bowling Green for their first road trip of the season. Bowling Green had a rough start to the season. The Falcons were blown out by Western Kentucky in week one and lost starting QB Matt Johnson to a season-ending hip injury in the process. They regrouped for a bounce back 48-7 win over FCS VMI last week. VMI was able to tally 418 yards and 24 first downs while controlling the ball for nearly 40 minutes. Bowling Green had three special teams touchdowns and forced three VMI turnovers. BG QB Knapke had a good starting debut (22-of-31 for 237 yards) while the rushing attack churned out 260 rush yards on 7.0 YPC. Bowling Green has dropped three straight games against Big Ten squads (since 2008), losing by an average of 33.6 PPG. Indiana is just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 as a road underdog.

Michigan State - Bye Week
For the better part of two quarters, Michigan State looked like the superior team to Oregon, leading 27-18 midway through the 3rd quarter. The wheels came off after that as Oregon scored the final 28 points of the game in the 46-27 win. MSU QB Cook completed just 29-of-47 passes and had 2 costly INT's while the rushing attack never really got going (123 yards on 3.4 YPC). The defense was good for a while, but Oregon's up-tempo pace clearly exhausted the Spartans. MSU allowed Oregon's Heisman candidate QB Mariota to throw for 318 yards and 3 scores while the Ducks added 173 rush yards. The 46 points allowed by MSU was the most under Dantonio since allowing 49 to #7 Penn State in 2008. Sparty is off this week before hosting Eastern Michigan next Saturday.

Wisconsin - Bye Week
It wasn't easy to watch as the Badgers struggled to just a 9-3 halftime lead against FCS Western Illinois, but credit the Badgers for coming out hot in the 2nd half and racing to a 37-3 victory. Western Illinois stacked the box against the Badgers, limiting star RB Gordon to just 38 yards on 17 carries. QB McEvoy, who looked helpless in the week one loss to LSU, finally showed why he won the starting job. McEvoy completed 23-of-28 passes, including 17 straight at one point - for 283 yards with 3 TD and 1 INT. It was a promising sight as McEvoy shined and the defense held Western Illinois to just 162 total yards and 11 first downs. The Badgers are off this week before hosting Bowling Green.

Northwestern - Bye Week
This seems like a broken record. Northwestern continues to lose in heartbreaking fashion. Five of their seven losses in 2013 were by 10 points or fewer and they've already dropped two such games this season. Last week Northern Illinois came into Evanston and handed Northwestern a 23-15 loss. NIU rushed for 221 yards on 4.0 YPC while QB Hare tossed 2 TD on just 10 attempts. Northwestern was stalled on offense as they totaled just 72 rush yards on 37 carries (1.9 YPC). To make matters worse, QB Siemian left in the 4th quarter with a leg injury. FCS Western Illinois visits Evanston next Saturday.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF

Thursday, September 11


Chance of thunderstorms for Thursday night game

According to Weather Underground, forecasts are calling for a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms in Denton, TX as the North Texas Mean Green host the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Thursday evening.

Temperatures look to be in the mid-70s for kickoff and wind will from the north at six mph.

The Mean Green are currently 3.5-point home faves and the total opened at 48.


Syracuse and Central Michigan could see rainstorm

The Syracuse Orange and Central Michigan Chippewas will be playing in less than ideal conditions Saturday. At kickoff there is a 60 percent chance of rain and there will be winds gusting from seven to nine miles per hour.

Central Michigan are 7-point home dogs Saturday.