The Bum's March National Basketball Association News-Trends-Picks !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, March 10

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DENVER (27 - 35) at CHARLOTTE (29 - 34) - 3/10/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 26-35 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 143-191 ATS (-67.1 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DENVER is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHARLOTTE is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in home games in March games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 86-120 ATS (-46.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 17-36 ATS (-22.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 34-54 ATS (-25.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (33 - 29) at MIAMI (43 - 17) - 3/10/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (15 - 47) at NEW YORK (24 - 40) - 3/10/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 62-44 ATS (+13.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (35 - 26) at BROOKLYN (31 - 30) - 3/10/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 112-146 ATS (-48.6 Units) in March games since 1996.
TORONTO is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games this season.
TORONTO is 65-40 ATS (+21.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
TORONTO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
BROOKLYN is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 6-5 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (26 - 35) at UTAH (22 - 41) - 3/10/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (19 - 45) at MILWAUKEE (12 - 50) - 3/10/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 63-80 ATS (-25.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in road games this season.
ORLANDO is 41-55 ATS (-19.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ORLANDO is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 26-35 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 66-94 ATS (-37.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 8-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 7-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (36 - 26) at LA CLIPPERS (44 - 20) - 3/10/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 37-27 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHOENIX is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games this season.
PHOENIX is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 152-210 ATS (-79.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 103-140 ATS (-51.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-5 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-5 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 10

Hot teams
-- Charlotte won its last six home games.
-- Raptors won six of their last seven games; Nets won five of six.
-- Wizards won eight of their last nine games.
-- New York won its last three games, by 12-27-10 points.
-- Clippers won/covered eight of their last ten games.

Cold Teams
-- Nuggets lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Miami lost its last three games, but won five in row at home (3-1-1 vs spread in last five home games).
-- 76ers lost their last 16 games (0-6 vs spread in last six).
-- Magic lost five of its last seven games, are 11-20-2 vs spread on road.. Milwaukee lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Hawks lost their last six games (0-5-1 vs spread), 14 of last 15. Utah lost five of its last six games.
-- Suns lost five of their last eight games.

Series records
-- Nuggets won four of last five games with Charlotte.
-- Raptors won three of their last four games with Brooklyn.
-- Heat won four of last five games with Washington.
-- Knicks won eight of last eleven games with Philly.
-- Bucks lost 10 of last 13 games with Orlando.
-- Hawks won their last five games with Utah.
-- Phoenix lost three of last four games at the Clippers.

Totals
-- Last four Denver games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Brooklyn games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Washington games went over.
-- Four of last five Philly games stayed under.
-- Last eight Milwaukee games went over. Under is 22-11 in Orlando road games this season.
-- Four of last five Atlanta-Utah games went over total.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Clipper games. Four of last five Phoenix games went over the total.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Monday, March 10

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DENVER vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games at home

7:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MIAMI
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Toronto is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
New York is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Philadelphia

8:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
Orlando is 1-18 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games

9:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. UTAH
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games
Atlanta is 2-12-1 ATS in its last 15 games
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Utah is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

10:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games
LA Clippers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Phoenix
LA Clippers are 6-16 SU in their last 22 games when playing Phoenix

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Monday, March 10


Nets' forward Paul Pierce, questionable Monday

Pierce left Sunday's game against the Kings after re-aggravating a shoulder injury. He is questionable to play Monday against the Raptors.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, March 10

Denver at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Denver: 26-35 ATS in all games
Charlotte: 21-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses

Washington at Miami, 7:35 ET
Washington: 17-8 ATS as a road underdog
Miami: 1-11 ATS at home after playing 3 consecutive road games

Philadelphia at New York, 7:35 ET
Philadelphia: 7-16 ATS off a home loss
New York: 9-1 ATS in home games off an upset win as an underdog

Toronto at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
Toronto: 16-6 ATS as a road underdog
Brooklyn: 41-60 ATS after a game where they covered the spread

Atlanta at Utah, 9:05 ET
Atlanta: 10-21 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders
Utah: 18-7 ATS after having lost 4 of their last 5 games

Orlando at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
Orlando: 9-1 OVER after a combined score of 225 points or more
Milwaukee: 15-27 ATS as a home underdog

Phoenix at LA Clippers, 10:35 ET
Phoenix: 16-7 ATS as a road underdog
LA Clippers: 21-8 OVER off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite

[StarDust Bum]

Monday, March 10

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Denver - 7:00 PM ET Charlotte -5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Charlotte - Over 211 500

Toronto - 7:30 PM ET Toronto +2 500
Brooklyn - Under 198 500

Washington - 7:30 PM ET Miami -6.5 500 *****
Miami - Under 204 500

Philadelphia - 7:30 PM ET Philadelphia +15.5 500
New York - Over 214.5 500

Orlando - 8:00 PM ET Orlando -1 500 *****
Milwaukee - Over 203.5 500

Atlanta - 9:00 PM ET Utah +2 500 *****
Utah - Under 201 500

Phoenix - 10:30 PM ET L.A. Clippers -10.5 500 *****
L.A. Clippers - Over 217.5 500

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 11

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BOSTON (22 - 41) at INDIANA (46 - 17) - 3/11/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 64-48 ATS (+11.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (22 - 41) at DETROIT (24 - 39) - 3/11/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (42 - 21) at MEMPHIS (36 - 26) - 3/11/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 88-67 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 57-43 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 52-30 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (13 - 50) at MINNESOTA (31 - 31) - 3/11/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 64-83 ATS (-27.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 33-60 ATS (-33.0 Units) against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 204-263 ATS (-85.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MILWAUKEE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-0 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (46 - 16) at CHICAGO (35 - 28) - 3/11/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 133-107 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 658-566 ATS (+35.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 57-39 ATS (+14.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 152-117 ATS (+23.3 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 130-88 ATS (+33.2 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 137-104 ATS (+22.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 282-225 ATS (+34.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 30-46 ATS (-20.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 51-79 ATS (-35.9 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (44 - 19) at OKLAHOMA CITY (46 - 17) - 3/11/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 85-69 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 74-60 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 102-60 ATS (+36.0 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-7 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-5 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (38 - 26) at GOLDEN STATE (40 - 24) - 3/11/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 4-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 11

Hot teams
-- Celtics won three of last five games, after losing 10 of their previous 13 games.
-- Spurs won their last six games (3-3 vs spread). Chicago won six of its last eight games.
-- Grizzlies won four of their last five games.
-- Minnesota won seven of its last ten games.
-- Rockets won last five games, covered three of last four.
-- Dallas is 12-5 in last 17 games, but lost last two on road. Warriors won five of their last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Pacers lost last four games, by 2-22-26-11 points.
-- Pistons lost seven of their last eight games. Sacxramento lost five of its last seven.
-- Portland lost three of its last four games.
-- Bucks lost five of their last seven games.
-- Thunder is 3-5 in last eight games but won last three at home.

Series records
-- Pacers won last three games with Boston by 15-27-5 points.
-- Pistons won seven of last eight games with Sacramento.
-- Bulls won five of last eight games with San Antonio.
-- Grizzlies won five of last six games with Portland.
-- Bucks lost three in row vs Minnesota by 10-9-18 points.
-- Thunder won six of last eight games with Houston.
-- Mavericks lost four of last five games at Oakland.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Boston games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Indiana-Sacramento games went over total.
-- Eight of last ten Chicago-San Antonio games stayed under.
-- Eight of last nine Portland games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last nine Milwaukee games went over total.
-- Seven of last eight Rocket-Thunder games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Dallas games went over the total.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Tuesday, March 11

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
Boston is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games

7:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. DETROIT
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Sacramento's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

8:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Minnesota is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. CHICAGO
San Antonio is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games at home
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Portland's last 9 games
Portland is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Memphis's last 10 games
Memphis is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Portland

8:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

10:30 PM
DALLAS vs. GOLDEN STATE
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Tuesday, March 11

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Bank Shots: NBA's weekly betting news and notes
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For the week of March 3-9

Hottest ATS - Houston Rockets (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS)

Houston was perfect straight up last week, earning impressive home victories over Miami, Indiana and Portland while squeezing in a comfortable win in Orlando. They were within a basket of covering against the Trail Blazers, prevailing 118-113 in overtime after entering as a 6.5-point fave. The Rockets are quickly becoming the team nobody wants to face in the playoffs, with James Harden playing some of the best basketball of his career.


Coldest ATS - Indiana Pacers (0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS)

It's panic time in the Hoosier State after the Pacers put up what was easily the worst one-week performance of an otherwise sensational season. Indiana lost all four games - three by double digits - and hit the low point of its year with losses to Charlotte and Houston by a combined 48 points. The Pacers have struggled to score all season - and while that wasn't a concern when they had the league's stoutest defense, that unit has been torched for triple-digit points in three straight games, while giving up 30 3-pointers over that stretch.


Best Over play - Milwaukee Bucks (1-3 SU, 4-0 O/U)

While the Lakers win the award for the "overest" overs of the week, the Bucks have been the more consistent team when it comes to game-by-game over totals. With Milwaukee already looking ahead to next year, its games have been high-paced back-and-forth affairs - and while the Bucks will probably lose far more than they'll win the rest of the way, they look like a strong over play. In their last three games - losses to Sacramento, New Orleans and Washington - all ended better than 12 points higher than the total.


Best Under play - Portland Trail Blazers (1-3 SU, 1-3 O/U)

Talk about a role reversal: Once the darlings of the over sphere, Portland was one of the league's top "under" plays last week. The Blazers began with a one-point loss to the Lakers - despite going in as a 12-point fave - and followed that up with a blowout win over the Atlanta Hawks and narrow losses to the Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets. Only the Houston game went over the total - and that was only because it went to overtime; had it ended in regulation, Portland would have had its first perfect under week of the season.


Surveying the schedule

The Phoenix Suns continue their improbable run to a postseason berth this week - and will be getting back a key player, as well. Guard Eric Bledsoe is expected to return from a knee injury in time for Wednesday's game against the Cleveland Cavaliers, though he has left open the possibility of coming back Monday night in Los Angeles. The Suns will play three of their four games away from Phoenix, visiting the Clippers before hosting the Cavaliers and returning to the road for games in Boston and Toronto.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Tuesday, March 11

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This week's best NBA spot bet opportunities
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Letdown spot

Golden State is playing some good basketball right now, and the Warriors come into their Tuesday night home game against Dallas on a 4-game winning streak. Golden State will play in Los Angeles against the Clippers the next night before having Thursday off. The Warriors will host Cleveland on Friday night then play next at Portland on Sunday.

The Warriors will play three strong teams from the Western Conference and one also-ran from the East. Golden State’s games against the Mavericks, Clippers, and Trail Blazers are much more important than their tilt against the Cavaliers. The Warriors will likely take the Cleveland game lightly on Friday night since they’ll be in a flat spot off their previous two games with the game in Portland on deck.


Lookahead spot

Milwaukee has had a dismal season, and they begin this week with just 12 wins. The Bucks play a brutal schedule this week with five games, including three on the road. It’s hard to say the Bucks will look past any opponent, but that may well be the case on Saturday night in New York.

The Bucks beat the Knicks the last time they played, and since that game will the Bucks’ fourth in six nights, they may fail to show up in New York. They’ll have an eye on Sunday’s home game versus Charlotte. The Bucks lost 111-110 in overtime in Charlotte after a blowing an 18-point lead, so Milwaukee may concede the game in New York on Saturday in order to avenge their loss to the Bobcats on Sunday.


Schedule spot

Portland has three important games on tap this week. The Trail Blazers will play at Memphis and at San Antonio on a back-to-back set, and they’ll host Golden State on Sunday. The Trail Blazers will be in a poor scheduling spot for their game on Friday night in New Orleans.

The Trail Blazers will be playing their third game in four nights against the Pelicans, and that game just happens to fall in between their tough back-to-back set and their crucial home game against the Warriors. The Pelicans will be off the night before, and they’ll be playing just their second game over a 5-day stretch.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Tuesday, March 11

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Three teams that can shake up NBA odds with statement weeks
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The trick to betting NBA futures is to grab a team before they make a few statement wins and trim the price on their odds to win the championship.

If you’re hunting for value, here are three NBA contenders facing big challenges this week. If these clubs can string some wins together and make statement, you’ll quickly see their futures value dry up:

Houston Rockets (+1,200)

Watching the Houston Rockets these days, you have every right to think you’re watching the Western Conference’s best team.

After all, they’re eerily similar to the Orlando Magic circa 2009 that had Dwight Howard anchoring the middle for a bunch of 3-point bombers that together managed to win the Eastern Conference title.

Now with Dwight fully integrated and the likes of James Harden and Chandler Parsons running around the perimeter, Houston has won eight of 10 (6-4 ATS) including wins over Miami, Indiana, and Portland.

The Rockets now stand 2.5 games behind San Antonio for top spot out West and with road games against Oklahoma City, Chicago, and Miami this week the Rockets can make a serious pitch to say they are the West’s, if not the league’s - best team.


Toronto Raptors (+6,000)

The Toronto Raptors just continue to surprise everyone. Canada’s team has gone from a long-running joke to the third-best squad in the Eastern Conference. Their most recent run has the team going 8-2 SU (7-3 ATS) in their past 10, as they now sit a full game above Chicago with two games in hand.

One of those games is at Brooklyn, who the Raptors would face if the playoffs were to begin today. They then host Detroit before welcoming the contrasting styles of the Memphis Grizzlies and Phoenix Suns Friday and Sunday.

Memphis’ “punch you in the mouth” brand of basketball has given Toronto problems in the past while the high-octane Suns could have them going basket-for-basket instead of sticking with the defense-first approach that has been successful.

But if Toronto can negotiate this week you will see its confidence continue to grow and provide a springboard for the team to possibly get out of the first round of the playoffs for the first time in over 10 years.


Golden State Warriors (+1,600)

The Golden State Warriors, currently sixth in the conference, are in a weird spot. People don’t really take them seriously as Western Conference contenders yet they’re definitely a cut above those teams fighting for the final playoff spots out West.

The Warriors have a great chance to separate themselves from the latter this week. They welcome Dallas (seventh spot out West) Monday night before going to the Clippers and Trail Blazers later in the week (they host Cleveland in between these games as well).

All told, the Warriors are an NBA second-best 20-14 away from home this year and beat the Clippers and Blazers by 19 and 15 points respectively in their last head-to-head meetings.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, March 11

Boston at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Boston: 16-30 ATS against Central division opponents
Indiana: 20-9 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more

Sacramento at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Sacramento: 7-0 OVER after a blowout loss by 15 points or more
Detroit: 19-10 OVER as a favorite

Portland at Memphis, 8:05 ET
Portland: 12-23 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses
Memphis: 41-25 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite

Milwaukee at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
Milwaukee: 1-9 ATS off an upset win as an underdog
Minnesota: 14-4 ATS against Central division opponents

San Antonio at Chicago, 8:05 ET
San Antonio: 15-7 ATS in road games after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite
Chicago: 21-33 ATS in non-conference games

Houston at Oklahoma City, 8:05 ET
Houston: 17-7 UNDER after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread
Oklahoma City: 32-17 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite

Dallas at Golden State, 10:35 ET
Dallas: n/a
Golden State: n/a

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Boston at Indiana
The Celtics head to Indiana tonight carrying a 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 games versus Eastern Conference opponents. Boston is the pick (+11 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Pacers favored by only 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (+11 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MARCH 11

Game 551-552: Boston at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 114.257; Indiana 117.608
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 3 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 11 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+11 1/2); Over

Game 553-554: Sacramento at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 113.497; Detroit 118.626
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 5; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3; 211
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3); Over

Game 555-556: Portland at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 122.680; Memphis 124.075
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 1 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+3 1/2); Under

Game 557-558: Milwaukee at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 112.146; Minnesota 121.480
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 9 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 14 1/2; 214
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+14 1/2); Under

Game 559-560: San Antonio at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 125.020; Chicago 126.380
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 5; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+5); Under

Game 561-562: Houston at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 122.074; Oklahoma City 128.207
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6; 222
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3 1/2; 217
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-3 1/2); Over

Game 563-564: Dallas at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 119.337; Golden State 126.793
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 7 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 5; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-5); Under

[StarDust Bum]

Bulls battle Spurs

March 11, 2014


San Antonio Spurs (46-16) at Chicago Bulls (35-28)

Sportsbook.ag Tip-off: Tuesday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Line: San Antonio -5, Total: 190.5

The Bulls look to win two huge games in a row when they host the streaking Spurs on Tuesday night.

San Antonio continues to be a powerhouse in the NBA despite its aging superstars and has won six straight games SU (3-3 ATS) coming into this one. They have scored more than 110 points in five of those games including a 121-112 win as 15.5-point favorites against the Magic on Saturday night. The Spurs shot an efficient 53.1% from the field in the game (9-of-20 threes) and each of the starters scored in double-digits. Chicago has remained a tough team to play against even after losing PG Derrick Rose to injury for another year and trading away SF Luol Deng to the Cavaliers. The Bulls have been victorious both SU and ATS in six of their past eight games played including a big 95-88 overtime victory over the Heat on Sunday. Chicago held the NBA's top shooting team to just 40.5% FG and limited LeBron James to 8-for-23 FG on the night. San Antonio plays well wherever it goes, as evidenced by the best road record in the league (23-8 SU, 74%) while producing a strong 18-13 ATS mark (58%, 9th in NBA).

The Bulls are solid at United Center though, with a home record of 19-11 SU and 16-14 ATS this season. When these teams first met this season on Jan. 29, Chicago stole a 96-86 win as 7.5-point road underdogs, outrebounding the Spurs by eight (39-31) and forcing 19 turnovers in the game. These teams have split the four games they have played over the past three seasons (both SU and ATS), but San Antonio still holds a commanding 21-12 SU edge (19-14 ATS) since 1996, which includes an 11-5 SU mark (10-6 ATS) in Chicago. The Spurs have also been good to bettors after scoring 105+ points for two straight games, as they are 32-12 ATS (73%) in all such games over the past three seasons. Meanwhile, Tom Thibodeau is 90-64 ATS (58%) after playing a home game as the Bulls head coach. The only significant injury between the two teams is still PG Derrick Rose (knee), who is out the entire season for the Bulls.

San Antonio has scored 104.6 PPG (7th in NBA) this season while ranking second in the league in both shooting (48.9% FG) and assists (25.0 APG). The Spurs have been even more dominant during their six-game win surge, scoring an incredible 113.0 PPG (49.7% FG) while holding opponents to 99.7 PPG, which is not as strong as their season average of 98.1 PPG (6th in NBA) given up. PG Tony Parker (17.8 PPG, 6.2 APG) broke out against Orlando for 30 points on 11-of-19 shooting while also dishing out five assists. Over 21 career games against Chicago, Parker has averaged 17.9 PPG (51% FG) and 6.3 APG, including 20 points and six assists in the Jan. 29 loss.

Despite being nearly 38 years old, PF Tim Duncan (15.5 PPG, 10.0 RPG, 2.0 BPG) continues to be effective with a double-double in three of his past five games. His 17 points and 12 rebounds in the loss to the Bulls earlier this year are right in line with his career numbers of 19.6 PPG and 12.1 RPG in 29 games against them. SG Manu Ginobili (12.3 PPG, 4.5 APG, 3.1 RPG) is one of the best reserves in the league, but did not play in the first game against the Bulls. He has scored 15.8 PPG (41% FG) to go along with 5.2 RPG and 4.2 APG over 16 career games (10 starts) against them.

Former Chicago SG Marco Belinelli (11.4 PPG) and PG Patty Mills (9.9 PPG) both scored in double-figures in the loss to the Bulls two months ago, combining for 23 points on 9-of-22 FG. Chicago has lost its top two offensive weapons this year and is scoring an NBA-worst 93.1 PPG on a paltry 43.1% FG (3rd-worst in league) this season. The lack of offense has not stopped the club from succeeding this season though, as opponents have scored an NBA-low 92.2 PPG on 43.2% FG (2nd-lowest in league). The Bulls have averaged a strong 97.0 PPG on 45.8% FG over their past eight games, while their defense has given up 100+ points just once over the past 14 contests (89.4 PPG allowed). C Joakim Noah (12.1 PPG, 11.3 RPG, 4.8 APG, 1.5 BPG, 1.1 SPG) is the best passing center in the league and has two triple-doubles over his past five games. His near triple-double (10 points, 10 rebounds, 8 assists) helped the Bulls defeat the Spurs earlier this season, but Noah has averaged just 6.5 PPG (44% FG) and 8.5 RPG against them over 11 career games (10 starts).

PG D.J. Augustin (11.8 PPG, 4.4 APG) was a great addition to the team in December and has scored 22+ points in three of five March contests, averaging 20.2 PPG on 52% FG (46% threes) and 27-of-28 FT so far this month. He has netted only 6.0 PPG (28% FG) with 4.7 APG in nine career games (4 starts) against the Spurs, but did score 15 points while dishing out five assists with just one turnover in the lone meeting this season. PF Carlos Boozer (14.2 PPG, 8.5 RPG) has been struggling over the past four contests, averaging just 9.3 PPG (37% FG) and 7.5 RPG. He was strong against San Antonio this year though (16 points, 12 rebounds), and will need to get back to form in order for Chicago make this a competitive game.