The Bum's March National Basketball Association News-Trends-Picks !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Golden State at Indiana
The Warriors look to bounce back from their 104-98 loss to Toronto on Sunday and come into tonight's contest with Indiana carrying a 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games following a SU defeat. Golden State is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MARCH 4

Game 501-502: Golden State at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 122.947; Indiana 123.267
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 5 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+5 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: San Antonio at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 124.896; Cleveland 115.837
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 208
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Philadelphia at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 102.656; Oklahoma City 118.740
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 16; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 20 1/2; 219
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+20 1/2); Under

Game 507-508: Miami at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 129.328; Houston 128.074
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 509-510: LA Clippers at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 125.999; Phoenix 120.661
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5 1/2; 214
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3; 218 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-3); Under

Game 511-512: New Orleans at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 114.814; LA Lakers 114.151
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1; 204
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1 1/2; 210
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+1 1/2); Under




NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 4

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GOLDEN STATE (36 - 24) at INDIANA (46 - 13) - 3/4/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 87-71 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 64-45 ATS (+14.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 59-36 ATS (+19.4 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
INDIANA is 140-96 ATS (+34.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
INDIANA is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-1 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (43 - 16) at CLEVELAND (24 - 37) - 3/4/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 131-106 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 656-565 ATS (+34.5 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 150-116 ATS (+22.4 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 129-88 ATS (+32.2 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 61-35 ATS (+22.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 334-275 ATS (+31.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (15 - 45) at OKLAHOMA CITY (45 - 15) - 3/4/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-50 ATS (-31.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 84-67 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 73-58 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (43 - 14) at HOUSTON (40 - 19) - 3/4/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (41 - 20) at PHOENIX (35 - 24) - 3/4/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 151-210 ATS (-80.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 101-139 ATS (-51.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
PHOENIX is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHOENIX is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
PHOENIX is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 35-26 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games after allowing 85 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (23 - 37) at LA LAKERS (21 - 39) - 3/4/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 24-33 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 150-203 ATS (-73.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 97-122 ATS (-37.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 129-168 ATS (-55.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 45-70 ATS (-32.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 8-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 4

Hot teams
-- Spurs won six of last seven games, are 17-13 vs spread on road.
-- Indiana won its last five games, but is 1-5-1 vs spread in its last seven. Warriors won five of their last seven games.
-- Miami won its last eight games (6-0-2 vs spread). Rockets won 11 of their last 13 games.
-- Thunder won last two games, but is 1-4-1 vs spread in last six.
-- Clippers won/covered their last four games. Phoenix is 5-3 in last eight games, is 19-12-1 vs spread at home.
-- Lakers won last two games by total of five points.

Cold Teams
-- Cleveland lost four of its last six games.
-- 76ers lost their last 14 games (3-11 vs spread).
-- Pelicans lost their last eight games (1-6-1 vs spread).

Series records
-- Spurs won last eight games with Cleveland, winning last three visits here, by 1-10-35 points.
-- Pacers won five of last six games with Golden State.
-- Rockets won their last seven games with Miami (3-4 vs spread).
-- Thunder won their last nine games with Philly (8-1 vs spread).
-- Clippers are 4-3 in last seven games with Phoenix, after going 1-13 in previous fourteen series games.
-- Lakers won ten of last eleven games with New Orleans.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine San Antonio games went over the total; seven of last nine Cavalier games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Golden State games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Houston games went over total.
-- Eight of last ten Oklahoma City games went over.
-- Five of last seven Clipper games went over total.
-- Six of last eight New Orleans games stayed under.




NBA

Tuesday, March 4

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cleveland's last 15 games at home
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio

7:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Golden State's last 24 games when playing Indiana
Golden State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Indiana is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Indiana's last 24 games when playing Golden State

8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. HOUSTON
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

9:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. PHOENIX
LA Clippers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of the LA Clippers last 11 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix is 11-1 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

10:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
LA Lakers are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games when playing at home against New Orleans


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NBA

Tuesday, March 4

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Game of the Day: Heat at Rockets
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Miami Heat at Houston Rockets (+1, 210)

The Houston Rockets are hoping LeBron James left all of his points at home. James will attempt to follow up his career-high 61-point effort on the second night of a back-to-back when the Miami Heat visit the Rockets on Tuesday. The superstar forward went 22-of-33 from the floor against the Charlotte Bobcats and threw in seven rebounds and five assists while posting the highest scoring total in franchise history.

Houston is capable of putting up some gaudy scoring numbers of its own and might have to turn Tuesday’s contest into a race with the Heat if Dwight Howard, who sat out practice on Monday due to back soreness, can’t go. The Rockets have taken 11 of their last 13, including a 129-103 win at Sacramento last week in which James Harden went off for 43 points in 31 minutes. Harden could have to deal with Dwyane Wade, who watched James’ historic night from the sidelines while resting but is expected to dress on Tuesday.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBATV, Sun Sports (Miami), CSN Houston

LINE HISTORY: Houston opened as a 1-point home underdog at some books. Others waited to post odds due to Dwight Howard's unknown status. The total opened at 210 points.

POWER RANKINGS: Miami (-14.5) - Houston (-11.5) + Home Court (-3.0) = Pick

INJURY WATCH: Rockets - Greg Smith (Ques. Knee), Chandler Parsons (Ques. Illness), Dwight Howard (Ques. Neck)

ABOUT THE HEAT (42-14 SU, 26-28-2 ATS, 32-24 O/U): James’ record night was the latest in a string of remarkable performances from the reigning MVP, who is shooting 67.2 percent from the field in three games while wearing a protective mask over his broken nose. “I think what helped was we couldn’t get no stops in the fourth quarter,” James told reporters of his record night. “That allowed me to stay in the game. … I wanted to try to close it out and I was happy I was able to make a few plays to help us win the game.” “King James” has shot 50 percent or better in each of his last eight games and is averaging 35.3 points in that span.

ABOUT THE ROCKETS (40-19 SU, 30-27-2 ATS, 28-29-2 O/U): Houston is in a battle with the Los Angeles Clippers and the Portland Trail Blazers for the Nos. 3-5 spots in the Western Conference and will face championship contenders Miami, Indiana, Portland and Oklahoma City over the next five games. The Rockets built up a 21-point lead after the first quarter against Detroit on Saturday but had to hold on for a 118-110 win. “I didn’t really like the way we came out in the second half,” Howard told reporters. “I thought we really should have kept the foot on the gas but we didn’t. We allowed them to get back in the game. That’s not what we need to do if we want to be a championship team.”

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Houston.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Heat are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four vs. Western Conference.
* Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. Eastern Conference.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Tuesday, March 4

Bettors beware of Warriors in Indiana

The Golden State Warriors have a long standing history of not covering in Indiana. In the past 12 games the Warriors have traveled to the Hoosier State, they are 1-11 ATS with the one cover coming all the way back on Feb. 5, 2007.

The Warriors will be +5.5-points when they visit the Indiana Pacers Tuesday.


Pelicans are have been bad SU, no better ATS

The New Orleans Pelicans have been on a terrible 1-10 skid and bettors have found no solace backing them against the spread. The Pelicans are an abysmal 1-8-2 ATS during their last 11 games with their one cover coming 10 days ago.

The Pelicans will be 2-point road dogs when they travel to LA to take on the Lakers Tuesday.


Thunder open with biggest line of the season

The Oklahoma City Thunder opened as 20-point home favorites for their game against the Philadelphia 76ers Tuesday. The line has since moved to -20.5 for the Thunder, showing that bettors are still backing Oklahoma City despite the massive spread.

Before the Thunder and 76ers' huge spread, the largest point differential of the season was 15.5.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, March 4

Golden State at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Golden State: 10-2 ATS revenging a SU loss vs opponent as a favorite
Indiana: 6-21 ATS after a win by 6 points or less

San Antonio at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
San Antonio: 70-47 ATS after playing a home game
Cleveland: 7-16 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent

Philadelphia at Oklahoma City, 8:05 ET
Philadelphia: 14-26 ATS after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog
Oklahoma City: 14-5 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

Miami at Houston, 8:05 ET
Miami: n/a
Houston: n/a

LA Clippers at Phoenix, 9:05 ET
LA Clippers: 3-13 ATS after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite
Phoenix: 21-11 ATS as an underdog

New Orleans at LA Lakers, 10:35 ET
New Orleans: 2-12 ATS against Pacific division opponents
LA Lakers: 15-7 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Tuesday

March 4, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Thunder are 10-0 ATS (6.75 ppg) since Nov 11, 2012 at home after a win in which their DPA was positive at home.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The 76ers are 0-12 OU (-8.96 ppg) since Nov 04, 2012 on the road after a game in which they shot less than 40% from the field but did not lose by 40+.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Warriors are 0-11-1 OU (-11.83 ppg) since Dec 07, 2013 after Stephen Curry was the Warriors’ high scorer on the road.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Suns are 0-12 OU (-9.04 ppg) since Jan 19, 2011 with a total of at least 191 after a win in which they shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Thunder are 0-7 ATS (-7.79 ppg) since Nov 18, 2009 after Russell Westbrook shot better than 66% from the field in a win.

-- The 76ers are 0-6-1 OU (-3.64 ppg) since Mar 10, 2013 on the road after Thaddeus Young was the 76ers’ high scorer in a loss.

[StarDust Bum]

Inside the Paint - Tuesday

March 4, 2014


Be sure to follow us on Twitter for daily NBA Betting Notes!

We’ve got a little more than six weeks of regular season action remaining in the NBA and if the recent league trends continue, the guys behind the betting counter might close up shop early.

From last Monday to Sunday, favorites went 43-6 straight up (87.7%). When you look at the overall numbers this season, you can see that this is a big deal considering favorites have won just under 70 percent of their games straight up.

For our purposes, against the spread (ATS) records are far more important and the favorites didn’t let up in that department either last week. The ‘chalk’ went 31-17-1 (64.5%) over the 7-day span and there were a couple back-door covers that actually hurt this number.

The bleeding continued for the bookmakers on Monday as the favorites went 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS. The lone team to capture the upset was the L.A. Lakers, who knocked off Portland 107-106 as 12-point underdogs (ML +700). Including last night’s results, favorites are now 50-7 SU and 37-19-1 ATS (66%) over the last eight days.

Will the underdogs finally bark tonight? I personally believe all things will eventually balance out but I’d still tread lightly for now.

Let’s take a closer look at Tuesday’s six-game card.

Golden State (36-24 SU, 29-29 ATS) at Indiana (46-13 SU, 33-25 ATS)

The one opening number that makes no sense to me for Tuesday’s card is the Pacers -5 ½ against the Warriors. On Jan. 20, Indiana stopped Golden State 102-94 as a two-point road underdog, which was its fifth win in the last six meetings between the pair. Last season, these teams met in Indiana and the Pacers dropped the Warriors 108-97 as 8 ½-point favorites. It’s pretty obvious that Indiana is much-improved this season and it’s also clear that Golden State has taken a step back. Yet, the Pacers are laying three points less a year later. See what I mean?

Golden State has gone 2-2 on its current six-game road trip and the two wins came against the Pistons and Knicks. The losses versus the Bulls and Raptors. On Wednesday, the Warriors wrap up the trip at Boston and based on these tendencies, I’d lean to the visitor.

Others might argue the line is fair considering Indiana’s current form. Since the All-Star break, the Pacers are 6-1 SU but only 1-5-1 ATS. Plus their last three wins have come by a combined 13 points.

If you bet numbers and not names, then I’m sure you’re leaning Golden State tonight.

San Antonio (43-16 SU, 28-31 ATS) at Cleveland (24-37 SU, 28-33 ATS)

The Spurs opened as 6 ½-point road favorites and the number has settled at 7 ½-points on Monday. San Antonio has been a solid investment (19-5 SU, 14-10 ATS) as a road favorite but VegasInsider.com handicapper Kevin Rogers believes the home ‘dog has value.

He explained, “The Spurs are coming off three consecutive wins at home, as San Antonio hits the road for just one game tonight at Cleveland before returning home on Thursday to host Miami in a major revenge spot. The Cavs have split eight games since the All-Star break, while owning a 9-3 ATS record since December as a home underdog. Cleveland was blown out at San Antonio the last time these teams met in Texas, as the Cavs should be up for this game against a Spurs' club that could be looking ahead. I'll take the points with the Cavs.”

Miami (43-14 SU, 27-28 ATS) at Houston (40-19 SU, 30-27 ATS)

LeBron James dropped a career-high 61 points last night in the Heat’s 124-107 win over the Bobcats, which was the team’s eighth straight win. Bettors riding Miami have been golden lately, watching the club go 6-0-2 ATS during their winning streak.

On Tuesday, the Heat begin a tough three-game road swing in Houston before heading to San Antonio and Chicago. The line opened pick ‘em but as of Tuesday morning, Miami has been listed as a short road favorite (-1) despite playing on no rest.

In back-to-back spots this season, Miami has gone 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS, with the losses coming at Brooklyn and Philadelphia. Total players should note that the ‘over’ is 7-3 in these situations for the Heat.

Houston has started the second-half of the season with a 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS mark. The Rockets have only been catching points once this season at home and they defeated the Spurs 97-90 on Jan. 28 as two-point ‘dogs.

Dwight Howard (back) and Chandler Parsons (flu) are both banged up but listed as ‘probable’ for this matchup.

Philadelphia (15-45 SU, 22-38 ATS) at Oklahoma City (45-15 SU, 33-27 ATS)

The Thunder opened as 20-point home favorites over the 76ers and you could argue that the line should be higher. I reached out to VegasInsider.com handicapper Marc Lawrence and asked him to dig up some numbers for me on this high point-spread. According to Marc and his database, he provided the below.

“There have been a total of 18 games with spreads of -20 or more in the NBA since 1990. The favorites are 9-9 ATS in these games. The highest was Cleveland -24.5 vs. Dallas on 12/23/1990 (won by 31). The most recent was Boston -22.5 over Miami on 3/30/2008 (won by 26).”

Whenever I see large numbers like this, I tend to stay away or play the favorite only because I never bet on an underdog in any sport unless I could see them winning outright. If you feel the 76ers can pull off the biggest upset of the season in the NBA, then take a shot on the generous money-line odds (40/1 – Bet $100 to win $4,000) at 5Dimes. Oklahoma City has won nine straight (8-1 ATS) against Philadelphia, which includes a 103-91 road win this season on Jan. 25.

L.A. Clippers (41-20 SU, 35-26 ATS) at Phoenix (35-24 SU, 37-20 ATS)

This is a nice matchup and the line tells you that it should be a competitive game. The Clippers opened as 3 ½-point road favorites and they’ll be looking to win and cover their fifth straight game. The Suns opened the second-half of the season with a 3-3 record but they showed some explosiveness over the weekend with back-to-back home wins and covers over the Pelicans (116-104) and Hawks (129-120). These teams met on Dec. 30 from the Staples Center and the Suns hammered the Clippers by 25 points (107-88) as 7 ½-point road underdogs. Los Angeles guard Jamal Crawford (calf) is expected to miss tonight’s game.

New Orleans (23-37 SU, 24-33 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (21-39 SU, 32-27 ATS)

Similar to the Thunder-76ers matchup, I don’t believe you can make an argument for either side. Both teams played Monday and dealing with fatigue hasn’t been good for the pair. The Lakers are 4-8 SU and 7-5 ATS on zero days rest while the Pelicans are 3-12 SU and 5-9-3 ATS.

The line opened as a pick ‘em and early money moved the Lakers to 2 ½-point home favorites. Los Angeles did pull off a big upset at Portland last night and has now won two straight. However, make a note that the Lakers haven’t won three in a row since late November.

New Orleans has dropped eight straight games (1-6-1 ATS), four of the last five by double digits.

[StarDust Bum]

MARCH RECORD

............................. 2 - 3 - 1 *****

............................. 5 - 2 - DOUBLE PLAYS

............................. 3 - 1 TRIPLE PLAYS


Tuesday, March 4

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Antonio - 7:00 PM ET San Antonio -7.5 500 *****
Cleveland - Under 202.5 500

Golden State - 7:00 PM ET Indiana -5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Indiana - Under 196.5 500

Miami - 8:00 PM ET Miami +1 500
Houston - Under 211 500

Philadelphia - 8:00 PM ET Philadelphia +21 500
Oklahoma City - Over 217.5 500

L.A. Clippers - 9:00 PM ET Phoenix +4 500
Phoenix - Over 219 500

New Orleans - 10:30 PM ET L.A. Lakers -2.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
L.A. Lakers - Under 211 500

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Memphis at Brooklyn
The Nets host a Memphis team that is coming off a 110-104 win over Washington and is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games after allowing more than 100 points in the previous game. Memphis is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-1). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 5

Game 701-702: Indiana at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 122.232; Charlotte 115.618
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 4 1/2; 189
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-4 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Houston at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 125.174; Orlando 116.683
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 8 1/2; 214
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 6 1/2; 208
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Utah at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 112.586; Washington 124.149
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 11 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 8; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-8); Under

Game 707-708: Memphis at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 121.300; Brooklyn 117.208
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 4; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 1; 189
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-1); Under

Game 709-710: Chicago at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 120.349; Detroit 121.626
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+3 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: Golden State at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 121.003; Boston 114.375
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 6 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 5; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-5); Under

Game 713-714: Sacramento at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 113.894; Milwaukee 116.881
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 3; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 3 1/2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+3 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: New York at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 114.143; Minnesota 120.374
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 6 1/2; 217
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 8 1/2; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+8 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: Dallas at Denver (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 121.034; Denver 111.193
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 10; 214
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 4; 218
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-4); Under

Game 719-720: Atlanta at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 114.793; Portland 120.695
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 6 224
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 8; 217
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+8); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Wednesday, March 5


Mavericks-Nuggets favors the road team

In the last 13 meetings between the Dallas Mavericks and the Denver Nuggets the road team is 11-2 against the spread.

The Mavs also have an amazing 21-11 ATS record this season on the road, while the Nuggets are a sub-par 11-19 ATS when at home.

The Mavs will travel to Denver as 4.5-point road faves Wednesday.


Rockets have had problems covering against Magic

It’s been a long time since the Houston Rockets have covered a spread against the Orlando Magic. The last time the Rockets covered against the Magic was April 7, 2009 and since then Houston is 0-8 ATS versus Orlando.

Earlier this season when the Rockets hosted the Magic, Houston failed to cover Orlando +13.5.

The Rockets will visit Orlando Wednesday and this game is currently off the board.


Hawks losing and not paying out to bettors

The Atlanta Hawks have been on a skid since the start of February, going 2-11 straight-up. Bettors have not found much solace in the Hawks as they are 2-10-1 against the spread during that time, including 0-6-1 on the road.

The Hawks will travel to Portland Wednesday. This game is currently off the board.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 5

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INDIANA (46 - 14) at CHARLOTTE (27 - 33) - 3/5/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 8-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (41 - 19) at ORLANDO (19 - 43) - 3/5/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (21 - 39) at WASHINGTON (31 - 29) - 3/5/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 78-61 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 51-36 ATS (+11.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 315-381 ATS (-104.1 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (34 - 25) at BROOKLYN (29 - 29) - 3/5/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 86-66 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 44-20 ATS (+22.0 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 105-75 ATS (+22.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (33 - 27) at DETROIT (24 - 36) - 3/5/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 31-46 ATS (-19.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-5 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 8-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (37 - 24) at BOSTON (20 - 40) - 3/5/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (21 - 39) at MILWAUKEE (12 - 47) - 3/5/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 25-34 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 23-32 ATS (-12.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
MILWAUKEE is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 37-58 ATS (-26.8 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 204-262 ATS (-84.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off an upset win as an underdog this season.
MILWAUKEE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 66-93 ATS (-36.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (21 - 40) at MINNESOTA (30 - 29) - 3/5/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
MINNESOTA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (36 - 25) at DENVER (25 - 34) - 3/5/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 81-61 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games this season.
DALLAS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 138-103 ATS (+24.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
DALLAS is 160-121 ATS (+26.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (26 - 32) at PORTLAND (41 - 19) - 3/5/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 2-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 5

Hot teams
-- Pacers won five of last six games, covered one of last seven.
-- Rockets won 12 of their last 14 games.
-- Wizards won six of their last seven games.
-- Warriors won six of their last eight games.
-- Grizzlies won seven of their last nine games. Brooklyn won four of its last five games.
-- Chicago won four of its last five games.
-- Minnesota won six of its last seven games.
-- Trailblazers won five of their last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Bobcats lost last three games by 10-17-17 points.
-- Magic lost six of last nine games, are 10-20-2 vs spread on road.
-- Utah lost last three games by 20-3-26 points.
-- Celtics lost six of their last seven games.
-- Pistons lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Bucks lost 22 of their last 27 games. Sacramento lost three of its last four games.
-- Knicks lost their last seven games (1-6 vs spread).
-- Denver lost its last six games, covered last two. Mavericks lost last two games, by 9-6 points.
-- Hawks lost 11 of their last 12 games (1-10-1 vs spread).

Series records
-- Pacers won five in row, 14 of last 15 games with Charlotte.
-- Rockets won last three games with Orlando by 8-8-10 points.
-- Jazz won last four games with Washington, by 14-7-4-3 points.
-- Warriors lost last four visits to Boston, by 8-14-4-8 points.
-- Nets won four of last six games with Memphis.
-- Pistons won two of last three vs Chicago, after losing previous seven.
-- Kings lost three of last four visits to Milwaukee.
-- Knicks won their last four games with Minnesota.
-- Nuggets won four of last five games with Dallas.
-- Hawks won eight of last ten games with Portland.

Totals
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Indiana games.
-- Six of last eight Houston games went over total.
-- Three of last four Utah games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last eight Golden State games stayed under.
-- Last seven Memphis games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Detroit games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Milwaukee games went over.
-- Seven of last ten New York games went over total; under is 5-2-1 in last eight Minnesota games.
-- Five of last seven Dallas games went over the total.
-- Last seven Atlanta games went over the total.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Wednesday, March 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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7:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. ORLANDO
Houston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Houston is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games
Orlando is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. CHARLOTTE
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Charlotte is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Indiana
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
UTAH vs. WASHINGTON
Utah is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

7:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Golden State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
Boston is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games at home

7:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Chicago is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Detroit's last 19 games when playing at home against Chicago
Detroit is 7-17-1 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Chicago

7:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Memphis's last 12 games on the road
Memphis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. DENVER
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. MILWAUKEE
Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Sacramento is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Milwaukee is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games at home

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. MINNESOTA
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
New York is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

10:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. PORTLAND
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Portland is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Portland is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Atlanta

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Wednesday

March 5, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Knicks are 12-0 ATS (7.46 ppg) since Jan 10, 2003 when playing the third game of a three-game road trip after losing the first two.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Nuggets are 12-0 OU (11.17 ppg) since Mar 02, 2003 at home after a loss in which their DPS was positive at home.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Knicks are 0-10 OU (-11.6 ppg) since Nov 28, 2012 on the road after Carmelo Anthony played more than 40 minutes on the road.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Grizzlies are 10-0-1 ATS (7.77 ppg) since Jan 23, 2012 as a road dog with at most one day of rest after a game in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least two.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Hawks are 7-0 OU (10.14 ppg) since May 01, 2013 after Kyle Korver made at least 5 threes.

-- The Pistons are 7-0 OU (9.07 ppg) since Nov 08, 2013 at home after Josh Smith shot worse than 33% from the field.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday's Tips

March 4, 2014


Grizzlies at Nets – 7:35 PM EST

Memphis: 34-25 SU, 27-30-2 ATS
Brooklyn: 29-29 SU, 30-28 ATS

The Grizzlies continue their push towards the Western Conference playoffs after starting their three-game road trip with a 110-104 triumph at Washington on Monday. Amazingly, Memphis sits in ninth place inside the West in spite of a 19-6 straight-up record the last 25 games, but the Grizzlies own a 3-4 SU and 4-3 ATS record the past seven away contests. Dave Joerger’s club has pushed the tempo lately by hitting the ‘over’ in seven straight games, while busting the 107-point mark in each of the last four contests. The Grizzlies are playing with revenge on Wednesday after getting tripped up by the Nets in late November as seven-point home favorites, 97-88.

Brooklyn returned home from a 4-2 road swing to dominate Chicago on Monday, 96-80 to beat the Bulls for the first time in three tries this season. Jason Kidd’s team has won five straight games at the Barclays Center, while winning five of the last six at home against Western Conference foes. The Nets are 6-2-1 to the ‘over’ the past nine opportunities after scoring less than 100 points in the previous contest, while scoring at least 105 points in the last four times in this situation.

Bulls at Pistons – 7:35 PM EST

Chicago: 33-27 SU, 31-29 ATS
Detroit: 24-36 SU, 27-32-1 ATS

These two division rivals are meeting up for the first time in nearly three months, as the road team has taken each of the first two matchups. The Bulls have won nine of their last 11 games, with the two losses coming on the highway to the Nets and Heat by double-digits. Since suffering a four-game skid in December, Chicago has compiled a 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS record off a loss, while dropping consecutive road games just twice since December.

The Pistons snapped a four-game skid in Monday’s 96-85 triumph over the slumping Knicks, while limiting an opponent to less than 100 points for the first time in eight games. Detroit has hit the ‘over’ in 10 of the past 13 games, including six of the last nine at the Palace of Auburn Hills. In four home contests against Central Division foes, the Pistons have lost three times, including a 99-79 setback to the Bulls in late November.

Mavericks at Nuggets – 8:05 PM EST

Dallas: 36-25 SU, 34-27 ATS
Denver: 25-34 SU, 25-34 ATS

The Nuggets continue to crash and burn after losing their sixth straight game on Monday to the Wolves. Denver managed a cover as 5 ½-point home ‘dogs with a 45-point fourth quarter, but the Nuggets’ defense has allowed at least 100 points in 16 of the last 17 games. Brian Shaw’s club has dropped five consecutive contests at the Pepsi Center since the All-Star break, as Denver lost just three regular season home games all of last season. In two matchups this season, the Nuggets have bested the Mavericks, including a 102-100 triumph as five-point underdogs on November 23.

The Mavs have lost consecutive games just three times since Christmas, as Dallas is coming off back-to-back losses to Chicago and San Antonio. Rick Carlisle’s squad picked up a late cover as 6 ½-point road ‘dogs against the Spurs on Sunday, improving to 6-3 ATS the last nine when receiving points away from the American Airlines Center. Dallas has broken the 100-point mark in seven of the past nine games on the highway, while cashing the ‘over’ seven times in this span.

Hawks at Blazers – 10:35 PM EST

Atlanta: 26-32 SU, 27-30-1 ATS
Portland: 41-19 SU, 32-28 ATS

The Hawks have fallen apart at the seams, dropping 11 of their past 12 games to drop into the eighth spot in the Eastern Conference playoff race. Atlanta continues its six-game road swing, which has started with losses at Boston and Phoenix. Defensively, the Hawks have been atrocious, seeing the ‘over’ hit in seven straight games, while giving up at least 106 points in six of the past seven contests. Atlanta has dropped seven of its previous nine games to Western Conference opponents, while last beating a Western squad on the road on November 5 at Sacramento.

Portland’s five-game winning streak went up in smoke in Monday’s shocking home defeat to the Lakers as 12-point favorites, 107-106. The Blazers have drilled the ‘under’ in six straight contests, but four of those totals closed at 214 or above, including the loss to Los Angeles, which closed at 222 ½. Terry Stotts’ team has not lost consecutive home games this season, but the Blazers are 2-5 ATS the last seven contests as a home favorite of seven points or more. Portland has beaten 10 of 12 Eastern Conference opponents at the Moda Center, but one of those losses did come to a horrid Philadelphia squad back in January.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Wednesday, March 5

Indiana at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Indiana: 15-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders
Charlotte: 1-8 ATS after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more

Houston at Orlando, 7:05 ET
Houston: 10-4 ATS in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games
Orlando: 2-21 ATS after playing a game as favorite

Utah at Washington, 7:05 ET
Utah: 7-3 ATS after allowing 110 points or more
Washington: 3-8 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7

Memphis at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
Memphis: 15-3 ATS after 3 or more consecutive overs
Brooklyn: 2-12 ATS at home where where the total is between 185 and 189.5

Chicago at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Chicago: 13-4 ATS in road games after a loss by 10 points or more
Detroit: 21-37 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders

Golden State at Boston, 7:35 ET
Golden State: 35-21 ATS in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5
Boston: 30-50 ATS at home revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less

Sacramento at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
Sacramento: 15-5 OVER after having lost 3 of their last 4
Milwaukee: 1-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog

NY Knicks at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
NY Knicks: 24-13 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points
Minnesota: 34-54 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more

Dallas at Denver, 8:05 ET
Dallas: 11-3 ATS off a road loss
Denver: 26-14 OVER after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more

Atlanta at Portland, 10:35 ET
Atlanta: 8-0 ATS after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher
Portland: 2-11 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders

[StarDust Bum]

MARCH RECORD

............................. 3 - 3 - 1 *****

............................. 5 - 3 - DOUBLE PLAYS

............................. 3 - 2 TRIPLE PLAYS


Wednesday, March 5

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Indiana - 7:00 PM ET Charlotte +5 500 *****
Charlotte - Under 192 500

Houston - 7:00 PM ET Houston -6.5 500
Orlando - Over 207.5 500

Utah - 7:00 PM ET Washington -8 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Washington - Under 198 500

Golden State - 7:30 PM ET Boston +5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Boston - Under 201 500

Memphis - 7:30 PM ET Memphis -1.5 500
Brooklyn - Under 189 500

Chicago - 7:30 PM ET Chicago -4 500 *****
Detroit - Over 192.5 500

Sacramento - 8:00 PM ET Sacramento -3.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Milwaukee - Under 205.5 500

New York - 8:00 PM ET New York +8.5 500
Minnesota - Over 212 500

Dallas - 8:00 PM ET Dallas -4.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Denver - Over 219.5 500

Atlanta - 10:30 PM ET Atlanta +9 500
Portland - Under 218.5 500