The Bum's March National Basketball Association News-Trends-Picks !

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday, March 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Miami - 8:00 PM ET Miami +3.5 500
San Antonio - Over 206 500

Oklahoma City - 9:00 PM ET Oklahoma City -6 500
Phoenix - Over 217 500

L.A. Clippers - 10:30 PM ET L.A. Lakers +11 500
L.A. Lakers - Under 224.5 500

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 8

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UTAH (21 - 41) at PHILADELPHIA (15 - 46) - 3/8/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (23 - 40) at CLEVELAND (24 - 39) - 3/8/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 26-37 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (29 - 33) at MEMPHIS (35 - 26) - 3/8/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (19 - 44) at SAN ANTONIO (45 - 16) - 3/8/2014, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-0 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (32 - 29) at MILWAUKEE (12 - 49) - 3/8/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 79-61 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-8 ATS (+17.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 52-36 ATS (+12.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
WASHINGTON is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 25-35 ATS (-13.5 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 23-33 ATS (-13.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
MILWAUKEE is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 5-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (26 - 34) at LA CLIPPERS (43 - 20) - 3/8/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 153-195 ATS (-61.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
ATLANTA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 103-139 ATS (-49.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 8

Hot teams
-- Knicks won last two games, after losing previous seven.
-- Bobcats won six of their last nine games.
-- Memphis won eight of its last eleven games.
-- Spurs won eight of their last nine games (6-3 vs spread).
-- Wizards won seven of their last eight games.
-- Clippers won/covered their last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Cavaliers lost six of their last eight games.
-- 76ers lost their last 15 games (3-12 vs spread). Jazz lost their last five games (1-4 vs spread).
-- Magic lost seven of last ten games, is 10-20-2 vs spread on road.
-- Milwaukee lost six of its last eight games.
-- Atlanta lost 13 of last 14 games, covered once in last eight.

Series records
-- Knicks won six of last eight games with Cleveland.
-- Home side won last eight Utah-Philly games.
-- Grizzlies won three of last four games with Charlotte.
-- Spurs won seven of last eight games with Orlando.
-- Wizards won four of last six games with Milwaukee; both meetings this year (1-1) went to overtime.
-- Clippers lost seven of last nine games with Atlanta.

Totals
-- Nine of last thirteen New York games went over total.
-- Five of last six Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Memphis games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Orlando-San Antonio games went over.
-- Four of last five Washington games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Atlanta games.




NBA

Saturday, March 8

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New York's last 12 games on the road
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cleveland's last 16 games at home

7:30 PM
UTAH vs. PHILADELPHIA
Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Utah

8:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. MEMPHIS
Charlotte is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Charlotte's last 22 games on the road
Memphis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Charlotte

8:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. SAN ANTONIO
Orlando is 1-15-2 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Orlando is 1-17 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando
San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando

9:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MILWAUKEE
Washington is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games

10:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. LA CLIPPERS
Atlanta is 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games at home
LA Clippers are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing Atlanta

[StarDust Bum]

Fact or Fiction

March 7, 2014


We're officially in the stretch run here of the 2013-14 NBA season, and there are teams jockeying for position in both conferences. To sort through what's fact and what's fiction of what we have seen in the last week in the Association, we're going to go over six pressing topics and make our decisions as to whether they're the truth or just some made up unreality.

FACT

It Was Only a Matter of Time Until the Pacers Faced Market Correction: This doesn't mean that Indiana is a bad team. It just means that the market has been going through correction in its games. Sure, the Pacers had no business losing to the Bobcats by 22 on Wednesday night, but that doesn't mean it's the end of the world. It still only counts as one loss. The Pacers have only covered two games in the last month, but that isn't deterring us from thinking that this is still one of the best teams in the league. The ATS defeats though, might continue to pile up.

The 76ers Really Might Not Reach Their Season Win Total: When you've got a season win total of 16.5 and you start out 3-0, you probably should get there. Philly was 15-31 once upon a time too, at least before this 15-game losing streak. When you really look at it, where are the games which the Sixers are winning down the stretch? Utah on Saturday? The Knicks at the Garden on Monday? Sacramento on Wednesday? If not any of those three games, they'll be on a 22-game losing streak for sure when the Knicks come to town on Friday 3/21, and if that game is lost, the losing streak will reach at least 26 until the end of March when Detroit comes to the City of Brotherly Love.

When Healthy, the Clippers Have the Deepest Team in the NBA: Most think that it's San Antonio which takes that title, but when JJ Redick and Jamal Crawford are healthy, this is a heck of a team. We know that the starting five is legit, and beyond that, the Clips would have Darren Collison, Matt Barnes (or Danny Granger), Crawford, Willie Green, Reggie Bullock, Hedo Turkoglu, and Glen Davis to choose from. That's an amazing roster full of guys with playoff experience on it. Head Coach Doc Rivers might be the man who can get these Clippers into the NBA Finals.

FICTION

The Spurs Proved That They Should Be Amongst the Favorites To Win the Championship When They Beat Up Miami: Sorry, Spurs fans. We just don't believe it right now. Sure, San Antonio whooped up on the Heat last night, but the reason why we don't think that that win was good enough to get the Spurs the inside track is because the Western Conference is just so darn stacked. Even as the #1 seed in the West, the Spurs are likely to have to deal with a team like Memphis in the opening round of the playoffs, and beyond that, it could be Portland or Houston or LA. None of those are good matchups for sure. The Spurs might be the best in the West, but the best doesn't always end up being the deserving favorite.

This Is the Year the Charlotte Bobcats Win Their First Playoff Game: Charlotte has only been to the playoffs once in team history, and it was swept in four games by the Magic several seasons ago. This year, the Bobcats will get into the playoffs again, and many think that a win over Indiana by 22 points at home on Wednesday is an indication that this is the best edition franchise has ever had. That might be true. (As sad as that is.) However, the Bobcats, unless they can run down Brooklyn, who is three games in front of them at this point, will have to deal with either Miami or Indiana in the opening round of the playoffs. Don't think for a second that when all the cards are on the table that there will be any give in either of those teams' games at that point.

The Phoenix Suns Are the Sleeper Team in the Western Conference: Color us unimpressed right now with the Suns. Sure, they have games like they did earlier this week against Oklahoma City when they shoot lights out, Gerald Green goes off for 41 points, and they beat a team they probably had no business beating. But in the playoffs, you have to be consistent. Can the Suns win two games in a six-game series? Surely. But they aren't going to be able to win 12 games against three of the best teams in the NBA just to get to the NBA Finals this year. We love the energy this team has and think Hornacek has done a heck of a job in his first year at the helm, but let's be realistic here for a moment. Teams that play matador defense just don't win championships. It didn't work for the Suns back in their heyday with Steve Nash and Amare Stoudemire, and it isn't going to work with Dragic and company this time around either.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Saturday, March 8


Struggling Cavs 2.5-point faves hosting Knicks

It's feast or famine for Cleveland Cavaliers backers and right now, it's all famine.

The Cavs are 0-3 straight up and against the spread in their last three games having failed against the Memphis Grizzlies, San Antonio Spurs and Charlotte Bobcats.

Despite faltering in recent games, the Cavs are 2.5-point favorites with the New York Knicks visiting Saturday.


Clippers looking strong when double-digit favs

The Los Angeles Clippers have been lights out as huge favorites. The Clippers have covered the past six games when they were favored by double-digit points. The most recent victim of this trend was the Lakers, the Clippers cross-city rival, who got demolished by 48 points Thursday.

As added motivation to bettors, the home team has covered the last five games between the Clippers and the Atlanta Hawks, who LA will host Saturday..

The Clippers opened +13.5 when they host the slumping Hawks.


Bottom-dwellers Jazz/76ers solid Over play

When the Utah Jazz and the Philadelphia 76ers play, they've managed to muster some rare offense. In the past 21 match-ups between the Jazz and 76ers, the Over is 16-5.

The games also trend towards to Over when they are played in Philly. Out of the past 10 played in the Wells Fargo Center the Jazz and 76ers have gone Over seven times.

The Jazz and 76ers open with a total of 206.5.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Atlanta at LA Clippers
The Clippers host Atlanta tonight with the Hawks coming off a 111-97 loss to Golden State last night and carrying a 1-10-1 ATS record in their last 12. games following a SU defeat. LA is the pick (-14 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 23. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-14 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, MARCH 8

Game 501-502: Utah at Philadelphia (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 115.933; Philadelphia 102.705
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 13; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 5 1/2; 207
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-5 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: New York at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 116.203; Cleveland 114.138
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 199
Dunkel Pick: New York (+1 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Charlotte at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 115.618 Memphis 126.843
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 11; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 8 1/2; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-8 1/2); Under

Game 507-508: Orlando at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 112.732; San Antonio 129.458
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 16 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 15; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-15); Over

Game 509-510: Washington at Milwaukee (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 121.694; Milwaukee 109.534
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 12; 214
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 8; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-8); Over

Game 511-512: Atlanta at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 109.884; LA Clippers 132.927
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 23; 213
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 14 1/2; 219 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-14 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Saturday, March 8

Utah at Philadelphia, 7:35 ET
Utah: 12-4 ATS after allowing 105 points or more
Philadelphia: 2-12 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less

New York at Cleveland, 7:35 ET
New York: 11-24 ATS as an underdog
Cleveland: 13-5 ATS after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers

Charlotte at Memphis, 8:05 ET
Charlotte: 17-35 ATS in non-conference games
Memphis: 56-43 ATS as a favorite

Orlando at San Antonio, 8:35 ET
Orlando: 7-15 ATS in non-conference
San Antonio: 29-14 ATS after scoring 110 points or more

Washington at Milwaukee, 9:05 ET
Washington: 7-0 ATS in road games off a home win
Milwaukee: 12-23 ATS on Saturday games

Atlanta at LA Clippers, 10:35 ET
Atlanta: 8-18 ATS as a road underdog
Clippers: 11-2 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite

[StarDust Bum]

MARCH RECORD

............................. 5 - 3 - 1 *****

............................. 6 - 4 - DOUBLE PLAYS

............................. 4 - 3 TRIPLE PLAYS


Saturday, March 8

Game Score Status Pick Amount

New York - 7:30 PM ET New York +1 500
Cleveland - Under 200 500

Utah - 7:30 PM ET Utah -6.5 500 *****
Philadelphia - Over 207 500

Charlotte - 8:00 PM ET Charlotte +8.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Memphis - Under 185.5 500

Orlando - 8:30 PM ET Orlando +15.5 500
San Antonio - Under 203.5 500

Washington - 9:00 PM ET Washington -7.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Milwaukee - Over 205.5 500

Atlanta - 10:30 PM ET Atlanta +15 500
L.A. Clippers - Over 220 500

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 9

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MIAMI (43 - 16) at CHICAGO (34 - 28) - 3/9/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
MIAMI is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 29-46 ATS (-21.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 8-8 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 10-6 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (46 - 16) at LA LAKERS (21 - 42) - 3/9/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 119-78 ATS (+33.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 85-68 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 74-59 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 141-108 ATS (+22.2 Units) in road games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 98-124 ATS (-38.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 147-185 ATS (-56.5 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 27-41 ATS (-18.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-5 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (27 - 34) at NEW ORLEANS (25 - 37) - 3/9/2014, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 151-203 ATS (-72.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 80-111 ATS (-42.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (22 - 40) at BROOKLYN (30 - 30) - 3/9/2014, 6:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (24 - 38) at BOSTON (21 - 41) - 3/9/2014, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 44-74 ATS (-37.4 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 7-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (34 - 26) at MINNESOTA (31 - 30) - 3/9/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 111-146 ATS (-49.6 Units) in March games since 1996.
TORONTO is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games this season.
TORONTO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
MINNESOTA is 164-213 ATS (-70.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (42 - 20) at HOUSTON (43 - 19) - 3/9/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (46 - 16) at DALLAS (37 - 26) - 3/9/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 82-62 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 302-237 ATS (+41.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against Central division opponents this season.
DALLAS is 438-370 ATS (+31.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
INDIANA is 64-47 ATS (+12.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (36 - 25) at GOLDEN STATE (39 - 24) - 3/9/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHOENIX is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games this season.
PHOENIX is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 61-89 ATS (-36.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 9

Hot teams
-- Bulls won five of their last seven games.
-- Thunder won three of their last four games.
-- Nuggets won lost last two games, but lost six of their last seven road games. New Orleans also won last two games, after it lost eight in a row before that.
-- Brooklyn won four of its last five games.
-- Houston won six of its last seven games. Trailblazers won six of their last eight.
-- Toronto won eight of its last ten games. Timberwolves won seven of their last nine.
-- Golden State won eight of its last ten games. Suns won three of their last four.

Cold Teams
-- Miami lost last two games, after winning its previous eight.
-- Lakers lost last three games, allowing 136.3 ppg. Really, they did.
-- Pistons lost six of their last seven games. Boston lost seven of nine.
-- Sacramento lost four of its last six games.
-- Pacers lost their last three games, by 2-22-26 points. Dallas lost three of its last four games.

Series records
-- Heat won five of last six games with Chicago.
-- Lakers lost seven of last nine games with Oklahoma City.
-- Nuggets lost last three visits to New Orleans, by 2-24-16 points.
-- Pistons won five of their last six games with Boston. Celtics lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Nets won five of last seven games with Sacramento.
-- Rockets won four of last five games with Portland.
-- Raptors won five in row, nine of last ten games with Minnesota.
-- Pacers won three of last four games with Dallas.
-- Warriors won seven of last nine games with Phoenix.

Totals
-- Three of last four Miami games went over total.
-- Five of last six Thunder games went over total.
-- 15 of last 19 Denver-New Orleans games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Detroit games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Sacramento games stayed under.
-- Last eight Portland games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Minnesota-Toronto games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Dallas-Indiana games stayed under total.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Golden State games.

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NBA

Sunday, March 9

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
MIAMI vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Chicago is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

3:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the LA Lakers last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City

6:00 PM
DETROIT vs. BOSTON
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

6:00 PM
DENVER vs. NEW ORLEANS
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Denver's last 12 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
New Orleans is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

6:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. BROOKLYN
Sacramento is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Sacramento is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Sacramento

7:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games
Portland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. MINNESOTA
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto

7:30 PM
INDIANA vs. DALLAS
Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Indiana
Dallas is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Indiana

9:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. GOLDEN STATE
Phoenix is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Golden State
Phoenix is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Golden State's last 10 games

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NBA

Sunday, March 9

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NBA bettors should fade or forget these four tanking teams
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Tanking is alive and well in the NBA. Just ask former Toronto Raptors GM Brian Colangelo, who admitted to tanking during the 2011-12 NBA season last week.

And with a bumper crop of pro talent in the college ranks counting the days until the NBA Draft and just about 20 games left on the schedule, these four teams could be full tank mode by the end of this week. Bettors beware.

Philadelphia 76ers (15-46 SU, 22-39 ATS)

You knew the tank was on when on draft night, the 76ers traded their starting point guard (Jrue Holiday) for a prospect who everyone knew wouldn’t play this season (Nerlens Noel). However, much to everyone’s surprise, they still find themselves second from bottom.

But after trading their best all-around player, Evan Turner, at the deadline it seems the Sixers want to make a serious run at the basement. The result is a 15-game losing streak (that has featured notable NBA players like Henry Sims and James Anderson playing significant minutes) which has seen them come within 10 points of their opponent only five times.


Los Angeles Lakers (21-42 SU, 33-29-1 ATS)

Think the Lakers are too prideful an organization to throw in the towel? Well, the 408 points they’ve allowed in the last three games says otherwise. Los Angeles is 3-7 SU and 5-5 ATS in its last 10 games, but has been especially dreadful during that three-game stretch, watching New Orleans, the L.A. Clippers, Denver shoot a collective 56.3 percent.

The team sounds like it’s shutting down Kobe Bryant and Steve Nash for the year and with 12 of 19 games remaining against Western Conference playoff games (including two each against OKC, San Antonio, and the L.A. Clippers) the Lakers are quite happy to play out the string and see what the offseason brings them.


New Orleans Pelicans (25-37 SU, 26-32-4 ATS)

It’s obvious the Pelicans expected to be better than they are. That’s the only way to explain putting a first-round pick, along with Nerlens Noel, in their deal to land Jrue Holiday. But they have been bad and the only way for that deal to not look outright terrible is to finish in the bottom five in the league, where that pick becomes a protected one.

New Orleans currently sits with the tenth-worst record but is only three games up on the Lakers, who have the fifth worst. Of the Pelicans remaining games, 14 are against teams currently in the playoffs including seven against the like of the Heat, Thunder, Spurs, Clippers, and Rockets.


Utah Jazz (21-41 SU, 27-32-3 ATS)

A 114-88 loss to the lowly Milwaukee Bucks tells you everything about the Utah Jazz at this point – they’re not too concerned about winning. They followed that crap effort with a loss to New York Friday.

Utah isn’t the most enticing of NBA markets, far away from the bright lights of a Los Angeles, New York, or Chicago. The chances of the Jazz enticing any superstars through free agency aren’t very good, so the NBA draft represents their best hope at getting that transcendent player. Given their recent play it seems the Jazz are making a serious play to get one in this draft.

The problem is they currently sit fifth and what they need – a scorer, namely Andrew Wiggins or Jabari Parker- probably won’t be available to them at that position. So Utah is going to want to try and get as high as possible by losing as much between now and the end of the season.

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Sunday

March 9, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Bulls are 12-0-1 ATS (13.85 ppg) since Dec 18, 2012 with at most one day of rest after a game in which they scored less than 10% of their points from the three-point line.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Raptors are 10-0 OU (20.35 ppg) since Nov 29, 2006 on the road after a win in which their opponent shot less than 60% from the free-throw line.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Pistons are 11-0 OU (10.27 ppg) since Apr 01, 2013 on the road after Andre Drummond had more rebounds than points in a game they did not lose by more than 15.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Celtics are 0-14 ATS (-10.82 ppg) since Nov 01, 2009 at home off a win in which they never trailed.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Thunder are 8-0 OU (16.12 ppg) since Mar 30, 2013 after Reggie Jackson scored fewer than 10 points in a loss.

-- The Warriors are 0-7 OU (-18.71 ppg) since Dec 21, 2013 at home after Andrew Bogut shot better than 66% from the field.

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MARCH RECORD

............................. 6 - 3 - 1 *****

............................. 6 - 5 - DOUBLE PLAYS

............................. 4 - 4 TRIPLE PLAYS



Sunday, March 9

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Miami - 1:00 PM ET Chicago +4.5 500 *****
Chicago - Under 187 500

Oklahoma City - 3:30 PM ET Oklahoma City -12 500
L.A. Lakers - Under 229.5 500

Denver - 6:00 PM ET New Orleans -1.5 500
New Orleans - Under 213.5 500

Detroit - 6:00 PM ET Detroit +1 500 *****
Boston - Under 204 500

Sacramento - 6:00 PM ET Sacramento +7 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Brooklyn - Under 203 500

Portland - 7:00 PM ET Portland +5.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Houston - Over 213.5 500

Toronto - 7:00 PM ET Toronto +4.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Minnesota - Under 206.5 500

Indiana - 7:30 PM ET Indiana -1.5 500
Dallas - Under 196.5 500

Phoenix - 9:00 PM ET Golden State -7 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Golden State - Over 213 500

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Monday, March 10


Underdogs have a solid showing Sunday

Underdogs had a solid day against the spread in NBA action Sunday.

It was the dogs' day, going 6-3 ATS in Sunday's games, hitting at a mark of almost 67 percent, the highlight of which was the Los Angeles Lakers 114-110 win over Oklahoma City as 12-point dogs.

Home dogs were an even more impressive 3-0 ATS.


Suns' guard Eric Bledsoe, doubtful for Monday's game

Bledsoe underwent arthroscopic surgery to repair meniscus cartilage in his right knee on January 9th. He has returned to practice but is not expected to play Monday against the Clippers.


Heat guard Dwyane Wade, doubtful Monday

Wade is expected to sit out Monday's game against the Wizards due to a scheduled day of rest.


Pacers lose fourth straight, fail to cover again

The Indiana Pacers continue to struggle. After last night's 105-94 road loss to the Dallas Mavericks the Pacers have now lost four games in a row straight up, but the skid for Pacers backers goes back much further.

Indiana has failed to cover the spread in seven consecutive games and are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games. They will try to get back on track Tuesday when they host the Boston Celtics.

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NBA
Dunkel

Denver at Charlotte
The Nuggets head to Charlotte tonight with a 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games versus the Bobcats. Denver is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Bobcats favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Denver (+6). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, MARCH 10

Game 501-502: Denver at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 112.660; Charlotte 115.518
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 3; 213
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 6; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+6); Over

Game 503-504: Washington at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 121.694; Miami 126.430
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 5; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7; 204
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+7); Under

Game 505-506: Philadelphia at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 98.569; New York 121.254
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 22 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 15 1/2; 213
Dunkel Pick: New York (-15 1/2); Under

Game 507-508: Toronto at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 121.175; Brooklyn 126.4339
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 5; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 2 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-2 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: Atlanta at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 112.006; Utah 113.680
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 1 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+2 1/2); Under

Game 511-512: Orlando at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 112.664; Milwaukee 116.881
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 4; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-1 1/2); Over

Game 513-514: Phoenix at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 118.914; LA Clippers 130.804
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 12; 231
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10; 220
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-10); Over