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NFL

Monday, December 16

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Tale of the Tape: Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions
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The Baltimore Ravens look to continue their improbable run at an AFC playoff berth as they visit the Detroit Lions in the NFL Monday nighter.

The defending-champion Ravens look to be all but out of the postseason picture, but have reeled off three-straight wins to remain in the hunt. The Lions are in the same position, but are coming off a subpar effort in a 34-20 defeat at the hands of the Philadelphia Eagles.

Here's the breakdown in our betting tale of the tape:

Offense

Baltimore's offensive attack has been the team's weak spot for most of the season, but has steadily improved over the course of the team's winning streak. The Joe Flacco-led pass assault averages a modest 227.9 yards per game - ranking it in the lower half in the NFL - but tossed three touchdowns in last week's 29-26 triumph over the Minnesota Vikings. The run game remains a black hole, averaging a paltry 82.3 yards per game while compiling just six scores.

The Detroit passing game is among the most potent in the league, coming into the game with an average of 297 yards per contest. Matthew Stafford has thrown 27 touchdown passes on the season, with All-Pro wide receiver Calvin Johnson the biggest beneficiary (1,351 yards, 12 TDs). Detroit has scuffled when it comes to rushing yards - averaging just 112.5 per game - but has racked up 12 touchdowns on the ground, led by Joique Bell's seven scores.

Edge: Detroit


Defense

The days of the Ravens owning one of the league's most imposing defenses are long gone, but Baltimore remains at least respectable on the defensive side of the football. They've surrendered an average of 232 passing yards per contest, having allowed 21 touchdowns while forcing just nine interceptions. The Ravens have piled up 37 sacks, and have been particularly stingy against the run - surrendering just 3.8 yards per carry and three scores this season.

Detroit has followed the same recipe as Baltimore on the defensive end through the first 13 games. The Lions have struggled against the pass for the most part, allowing opposing quarterbacks to average 256 yards while giving up 22 touchdowns and snagging 13 interceptions. Teams have had a difficult time running against Detroit, however, averaging just 4.1 yards per attempt while scoring nine TDs.

Edge: Baltimore


Special Teams

Baltimore boasts one of the more impressive return games in the league entering Monday night, averaging 25.7 yards per kickoff return and 14.8 yards per punt return - and having scored a touchdown on both. Opponents are averaging just 22.8 yards per kickoff-return try and 9.6 yards per punt-return attempt. Veteran kicker Justin Tucker has been close to automatic all season long, connecting on 29-of-31 field-goal attempts - including 13-of-15 from 40-plus yards.

Like the Ravens, Detroit has recorded a kick-return and a punt-return touchdown, averaging 26 yards per kickoff return and 9.9 yards per punt return. The Lions are allowing a whopping 26.1 yards per kickoff return, but have limited opponents to 126 yards on 25 total punt returns - and a long run of just 17 yards. Kicker David Akers hasn't been as sharp as he has in recent years, missing five of his 20 field-goal chances and he's just 3-of-6 from between 40 and 49 yards.


Notable Quotable

"Their reputation, they definitely live up to it. I don't know if you want to call it physical or dirty. Whatever the refs see, that's what they see. But needless to say, I'm not going to spark any fire." - Ravens RB Ray Rice on the Lions defense

"Sometimes you just need to know when to keep your mouth shut, but you know, he's a rookie, he'll learn." - Lions WR Calvin Johnson in response to Ravens FS Matt Elam, who referred to Johnson as "old"

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GAME MATCHUP SITE DATE TIME (ET) TV

New Mexico Bowl Colorado State vs. Washington State Albuquerque, N.M. Dec. 21 2 p.m. ESPN

Las Vegas Bowl Fresno State vs. USC Tickets Las Vegas Dec. 21 3:30 p.m. ABC

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Buffalo vs. San Diego State Tickets Boise, Idaho Dec. 21 5:30 p.m. ESPN

New Orleans Bowl Tulane vs. La.-Lafayette Tickets New Orleans Dec. 21 9 p.m. ESPN

Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl Ohio vs. East Carolina St. Petersburg, Fla. Dec. 23 2 p.m. ESPN

Hawaii Bowl Oregon State vs. Boise State Honolulu Dec. 24 8 p.m. ESPN

Little Caesars Pizza Bowl Pittsburgh vs. Bowling Green Tickets Detroit Dec. 26 6 p.m. ESPN

Poinsettia Bowl Northern Illinois vs. Utah State Tickets San Diego Dec. 26 9:30 p.m. ESPN

Military Bowl Maryland vs. Marshall Tickets Annapolis, Md. Dec. 27 2:30 p.m. ESPN

Texas Bowl Syracuse vs. Minnesota Tickets Houston Dec. 27 6 p.m. ESPN

Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl BYU vs. Washington Tickets San Francisco Dec. 27 9:30 p.m. ESPN

Pinstripe Bowl Rutgers vs. Notre Dame Tickets Bronx, N.Y. Dec. 28 Noon ESPN

Belk Bowl North Carolina vs. Cincinnati Tickets Charlotte, N.C. Dec. 28 3:20 p.m. ESPN

Russell Athletic Bowl Miami (Fla.) vs. Louisville Tickets Orlando, Fla. Dec. 28 6:45 p.m. ESPN

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl Kansas State vs. Michigan Tickets Tempe, Ariz. Dec. 28 10:15 p.m. ESPN

Armed Forces Bowl Middle Tennessee vs. Navy Tickets Fort Worth, Texas Dec. 30 11:45 a.m. ESPN

Music City Bowl Georgia Tech vs. Mississippi Tickets Nashville, Tenn. Dec. 30 3:15 p.m. ESPN

Alamo Bowl Oregon vs. Texas Tickets San Antonio Dec. 30 6:45 p.m. ESPN

Holiday Bowl Arizona State vs. Texas Tech Tickets San Diego Dec. 30 10:15 p.m. ESPN

AdvoCare V100 Bowl Boston College vs. Arizona Tickets Shreveport, La. Dec. 31 12:30 p.m. ESPN

Sun Bowl Virginia Tech vs. UCLA Tickets El Paso, Texas Dec. 31 2 p.m. CBS

Liberty Bowl Rice vs. Mississippi State Tickets Memphis, Tenn. Dec. 31 4 p.m. ESPN

Chick-fil-A Bowl Duke vs. Texas A&M Tickets Atlanta Dec. 31 8 p.m. ESPN

Gator Bowl Nebraska vs. Georgia Tickets Jacksonville, Fla. Jan. 1 Noon ESPN2

Heart of Dallas Bowl UNLV vs. North Texas Tickets Dallas Jan. 1 Noon ESPNU

Capital One Bowl Wisconsin vs. South Carolina Tickets Orlando, Fla. Jan. 1 1 p.m. ABC

Outback Bowl Iowa vs. LSU Tickets Tampa, Fla. Jan. 1 1 p.m. ESPN

Rose Bowl Stanford vs. Michigan State Tickets Pasadena, Calif. Jan. 1 5 p.m. ESPN

Fiesta Bowl Baylor vs. UCF Tickets Glendale, Ariz. Jan. 1 8:30 p.m. ESPN

Sugar Bowl Alabama vs. Oklahoma Tickets New Orleans Jan. 2 8:30 p.m. ESPN

Cotton Bowl Oklahoma State vs. Missouri Tickets Arlington, Texas Jan. 3 8 p.m. FOX

Orange Bowl Clemson vs. Ohio State Tickets Miami Jan. 3 8:30 p.m. ESPN

Compass Bowl Houston vs. Vanderbilt Tickets Birmingham, Ala. Jan. 4 1 p.m. ESPN

GoDaddy Bowl Ball State vs. Arkansas State Mobile, Ala. Jan. 5 9 p.m. ESPN

BCS Championship Florida State vs. Auburn Tickets Pasadena, Calif. Jan. 6 8:30 p.m. ESPN

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How do College Football Teams with New Coaches Perform in Bowl Games?


With high-profile coaching changes at USC, Washington and Boise State this season, we looked back in our database of sports betting information to examine how teams historically perform ATS (against the spread) with new coaches in bowl games.

Should we expect these teams to suffer a drop in performance? Or do college football teams rally around their new coaches and actually overperform, providing value for bettors?

To perform the analysis, we isolated each instance of a college team playing a bowl game with a new head coach and compiled the results (since 2005) in the table below:
Teams w/ New Coaches

ATS Record

ATS Win %
All Teams 16-14-1 53.3%

At first look, there didn’t appear to be much of an edge with all teams led by new coaches posting a 16-14 (53.3%) ATS record. However, after dicing up the results a bit further, there is a significant difference in performance when comparing favorites to underdogs.
Teams w/ New Coaches

ATS Record

ATS Win %
Underdogs 5-8 35.7%
Favorites 11-6-1 64.7%

While this sample size is incredibly small and not something we’d recommend solely using as a betting system, favorites clearly outperform underdogs when playing bowl games with new coaches.

Even with new coaches, teams that are still favored over opponents in bowl games are most likely expected to win due to greater talent. It makes sense that a team with superior or more experienced players is better equipped to perform well in spite of a late-season coaching change.

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New Orleans Bowl

December 20, 2013


New Orleans Bowl (ESPN, 9:00 p.m.)
ULL Ragin Cajuns (8-4 SU, 4-8 ATS) vs. Tulane Green Wave (7-5 SU, 9-3 ATS)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Tulane -1.5 & 49.5
Opening Line & Total: Green Wave -2.5 & 49.5

UL-Lafayette tries to win the New Orleans Bowl for the third straight season as they take on in-state rival Tulane on Saturday night.

The Ragin' Cajuns have had plenty of success in the Superdome in the past two postseasons. Two years ago they won a close 32-30 battle against San Diego State, and then won 43-34 against East Carolina in front of a New Orleans Bowl record-setting crowd last season. UL-Lafayette won eight straight games between Sept. 14 and Nov. 16, including starting 5-0 in conference play, before losing their its final two games of the season to Sun Belt foes UL-Monroe and South Alabama.

The Green Wave also started conference play in strong fashion, winning their first four games against C-USA opponents. They looked as if they would be competing to play in the conference championship until they lost three of their final four games and finished fourth in the West division. Tulane put up a strong effort against eventual conference champion Rice in its final game, losing only 17-13 as 9.5-point underdogs and held the Owls to zero points in the second half. This will be Tulane’s 11th bowl game and first since 2002, going 4-6 SU in its previous 10, but winning its past two bowls.

The Ragin' Cajuns are currently on a five-game ATS losing streak and are only 4-8 ATS this season while the Green Wave have been an impressive 9-3 ATS, including 7-1 ATS over their past eight games. These two programs squared off last season with UL-Lafayette pounding Tulane by a score of 41-13, but failing to cover the large 31-point spread. They outrushed the Green Wave 294-53 in that game and forced three turnovers. Both teams are relatively healthy for this game, but the big question is whether or not UL-Lafayette QB Terrance Broadway can play after breaking his arm on Nov. 30. He's considered questionable right now, as the doctors have not yet cleared him to play.

After scoring 23+ points in 10 straight games, the Ragin’ Cajuns really missed junior QB Terrance Broadway (2,276 pass yards, 19 TD, 10 INT) in the regular season finale, scoring just eight points at South Alabama with three UL-Lafayette quarterbacks combining to complete just 9-of-26 passes for 143 yards (5.5 YPA), 1 TD and 2 INT. If Broadway is not able to go, freshman QB Brooks Haack (224 pass yards, 6.4 YPA, 1 TD, 1 INT) will be taking the snaps. Broadway also adds a lot to the running game with 421 rushing yards (3.6 YPC) and eight touchdowns on the ground.

The uncertainty at quarterback makes HBs Alonzo Harris (868 rush yards, 4.7 YPC, 13 TD) and Elijah McGuire (818 rush yards, 8.9 YPC, 7 TD) that much more important. McGuire has been lightning in a bottle this season with four games of at least 11 yards per carry, but he rushed the ball only three times for 13 yards in the loss to South Alabama. Junior WR Jamal Robinson has been the main target in the passing game with 812 receiving yards (16.2 avg.) and eight touchdowns, but he is coming off a game where he had only one catch for 11 yards.

LB Justin Anderson (124 tackles) leads this defense that has allowed 26.9 PPG to their opponents this season (68th in nation), including giving up 30+ points in four of the past five games. The Cajuns have done a decent job stopping the run (4.2 YPC), but have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 61.2% of their passes for 239 YPG.

Tulane surprisingly won seven games this season despite having an offense that ranks 104th in FBS passing yards (176 YPG) and 102nd in rushing yards (128 YPG). QB Nick Montana has a subpar 1,654 passing yards (5.7 YPA) with 14 TD and 9 INT this season, but he has thrown four touchdowns and zero picks over his past contests. That's quite an improvement from his 0 TD and 5 INT in two games to start the month of November.

Senior HB Orleans Darkwa has 780 rushing yards on 172 attempts (4.5 YPC) while adding nine touchdowns, but has been wildly inconsistent. He has three 100+ yard games this year, but has also been held to 50 yards or less in six different contests. The true star on the offense has been senior WR Ryan Grant, who has compiled 926 receiving yards on 70 receptions (13.2 avg.) and nine touchdowns. He has 7+ catches in six games this year, and hopes to be playing on Sundays next season.

The defense has played pretty well all season, allowing only 21.2 PPG (19th in nation), including holding four of the past five opponents to 17 points or less. The defense has been especially tough versus the run, giving up only 119 YPG on 3.1 YPC, and has forced multiple turnovers in all but one game this season, totaling 33 takeaways in the 12 games.

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New Mexico Bowl

December 20, 2013


New Mexico Bowl (ESPN, 2:00 p.m.)
Colorado State Rams (7-6 SU, 9-4 ATS) vs. Washington State Cougars (6-6 SU, 9-3 ATS)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Washington State -5.5 & 66
Opening Line & Total: Cougars -3.5 & 65

The first step in the resurgence of the Washington State program under Mike Leach is in full tilt as his team is back in a bowl game, taking on Colorado State in the New Mexico Bowl on Saturday in Albuquerque.

Last season, the Cougars were able to win only three games, but have doubled that this season behind an air attack that averages 364.5 passing yards per game, which ranks fourth in the nation. In the season opener, WSU lost to the Auburn 31-24, and while it didn’t appear to be an important game at the time, Auburn is now in the national championship, showing the Cougars have the ability to play with anybody in the country. Washington State (9-3 ATS) has done a good job of beating all the teams it is supposed to beat (4-0 SU and ATS when favored), but its past five losses have all come by double figures, losing by an average of 26.8 PPG over these five defeats. The Cougars have faced many balanced offenses this season in Pac-12 play, and they are going up against another such offense in this bowl game.

Colorado State (9-4 ATS) has scored at least 27 points in all but two of its games, and one of those exceptions was against Alabama. The Rams have averaged more than 200 yards both rushing and passing this season, but Leach is 20-5 ATS (80%) versus good rushing teams (200+ YPG) as a collegiate head coach. However, excellent rushing teams (4.8+ YPC) such as Colorado State facing a poor rushing team (3.0 to 3.5 YPC) are 108-66 ATS (62%) over the past five seasons. Both of these teams have a tendency to struggle on defense, which should make for an entertaining, high-scoring game.

In a battle of two high-powered offenses, Washington State junior QB Connor Halliday (4,187 pass yards, 28 TD, 21 INT) has the ability to put up monster numbers, but he must limit the turnovers. In his team's six losses, he threw 14 interceptions, compared to just 10 touchdowns. When he remains composed and does not always try to make the big play, the Cougars can be a great on offense. What makes the passing game dangerous is their ability to spread the ball around to many different receivers. With so many passing yards, it is surprising to see that the leading receiver for Washington State is Gabe Marks, who has 69 catches for 770 yards and 6 TD on the season. The Cougars have nine different receivers with at least 200 yards this year, with eight of those receivers catching at least two touchdowns. However, the offense is too one-dimensional at times, ranking 123rd in the country with 58.7 rushing YPG on a paltry 3.1 YPC.

On defense, Washington State allows 31.3 PPG, which ranks 92nd in the country. The unit was playing well at the beginning of the year, holding USC to seven points in Week 2, but has been brutal in its losses, allowing 47.0 PPG in the six defeats. In a loss to Oregon State on Oct. 12, Beavers QB Sean Mannion threw for 493 yards and four touchdowns against the Cougars. The Rams have the ability to throw the ball, but can be equally as dangerous with their potent ground game.

Colorado State junior QB Garrett Grayson (3,327 pass yards, 21 TD and 10 INT) was very good this season, but he has not had to do it all on his own. Sophomore RB Kapri Bibbs (1,572 rush yards, 6.2 YPC and 28 TD) has been a star in his first season getting the carries, as his 28 scores rank second in the nation behind only Navy QB Keenan Reynolds. While his numbers are sensational, he has been somewhat inconsistent on the ground. Bibbs has rushed for over 200 yards in three of his past seven games, (including back-to-back games of 312 and 291) but has also been under 80 yards eight times this season, including three of his past five contests. However, Bibbs has shown enough ability to make the Cougars defense have to respect him, which will open up the passing attack for Grayson.

While the offense (35.3 PPG, 29th in FBS) has been very good, the defense has been subpar, allowing 28.6 PPG (79th in nation). The Rams have really struggled defending the pass, surrendering 265 YPG on 63% completions. Against San Jose State on Oct. 12, David Fales threw for 431 yards and three touchdowns. The bowl season offers many styles of games, and this matchup is for the fans that love high-scoring matchups. Expect lots of touchdowns to be scored in this contest that could go down to the wire.

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Saturday's Bowl Action

December 20, 2013


Las Vegas Bowl

Matchup: Fresno State vs. Southern California
Venue: Sam Boyd Stadium
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
Time/TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC

-- As of Friday afternoon, most books had USC (9-4 straight up, 6-7 against the spread) installed as a six-point favorite with a total of 62. Gamblers can back the Bulldogs on the money line for a +210 return (risk $100 to win $210). For first-half bets, USC is favored by 3 ½ with a total of 31 ½.

-- Fresno St. (11-1 SU, 5-7 ATS) is in its first underdog situation of the season. Any disappointment of not getting to a BCS bowl was most likely forgotten by the Bulldogs when they saw their name next to that of USC’s. I would expect FSU to play with a chip on its shoulder due to the fact that most of its players were bypassed by the Trojans in the recruiting process.

-- Fresno St. went unbeaten until suffering a 62-52 loss at San Jose St. on Nov. 29. The Bulldogs recovered the following week to win the Mountain West Conference title game by a 24-17 count over Utah St. They hooked up their betting supporters as 2.5-point home ‘chalk.’ Derek Carr threw for 404 yards and three touchdowns against the Aggies.

-- Carr has enjoyed a sensational senior campaign and will have NFL scouts galore on hand to watch him in Vegas. He has completed 70.1 percent of his throws for 4,866 yards with a 48/7 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Carr’s favorite target is Davante Adams, who has hauled in 122 receptions for 1,654 yards and 23 TDs. Josh Harper, who missed the MWC title game with a groin injury, has 79 catches for 1,011 yards and 13 TDs.

-- USC has hired a new coach in former assistant Steve Sarkisian, but it will be without Ed Orgeron after he led the team to six wins in its last eight games. Oregeron bolted town after not getting the head job. Therefore, you have to wonder what the mindset is for this team going into the postseason. Remember, USC completely no-showed the Sun Bowl last year by losing 21-7 to a seven-loss Ga. Tech squad.

-- USC had won five consecutive games before getting thumped 35-14 by UCLA in its regular-season finale. Brett Hundley paced the Bruins with 80 rushing yards and a pair of TD scampers. Javorious Allen ran for 123 yards and one TD. Allen, a product of Tallahassee Lincoln High School that has produced the likes of former Florida OT Zach Pillar, former UF defensive end Kevin Carter and former FSU cornerback Antonio Cromartie, has 10 rushing scores in USC’s last five games.

-- Southern Cal has been a single-digit favorite four times this year, going 2-2 ATS.

-- USC will be without two starting offensive linemen. OT Aundrey Walker and center Marcus Martin are both out after sustaining knee injuries.

-- The ‘under’ is 9-4 overall for the Trojans. Meanwhile, totals have been an overall wash for the Bulldogs (6-6).

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

Matchup: Buffalo vs. San Diego State
Venue: Bronco Stadium
Location: Boise, Idaho
Time/TV: 5:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

-- These teams will meet in the Idaho Potato Bowl on the smurf turf in Boise. Buffalo will have to venture across country, but it will be familiar with the cold conditions in Idaho. San Diego St. won’t have to travel as far, but the weather won’t be to its liking.

-- As of Friday afternoon, most spots had San Diego St. (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS) listed as a 1 ½-point favorite with a total of 51.

-- Before laying an egg in a 45-19 loss at UNLV in its regular-season finale, Rocky Long’s squad had won seven of its eight previous games. The lone defeat during that span came to Fresno State in overtime.

-- San Diego St. is by RB Adam Muema, who rushed for 1,015 yards and 12 TDs during the regular season. QB Quinn Kaehler threw for 2,796 yards with a 17/9 TD-INT ratio.

-- Buffalo (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS) has one of the nation’s premier players in LB Khalil Mack, who won the Lambert Award for the country’s top linebacker. Mack has 94 tackles, 19 tackles for loss, 10.5 sacks and three interceptions this season. He returned two of those picks for TDs and he has 15 career forced fumbles.

-- Buffalo produced a seven-game winning streak before dropping two of its last three games. The Bulls lost a 24-7 decision at home to eventual MAC champ Bowling Green in their regular-season finale.

-- Buffalo QB Joe Licata had a solid season, throwing 2,628 yards with a 21/7 TD-INT ratio. Brandon Oliver ran for a team-high 1,421 yards and 15 TDs.

-- San Diego St. compiled a 3-1 spread record in four games as a single-digit favorite.

-- Buffalo went 2-3 ATS in five games as an underdog.

-- ESPN will have the telecast at 5:30 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- Three SEC quarterbacks won’t play in the postseason – Georgia’s Aaron Murray, LSU’s Zach Mettenberger and Vandy’s Austyn Carta-Samuels.

-- In Saturday’s New Mexico Bowl at 2:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN, Washington St. is favored by 5 ½ vs. Colorado St. The ‘over’ is 8-3 for the Rams, who have gone 3-2 ATS in five games as underdogs.

-- Tulane is favored by 1 ½ or two vs. UL-Lafayette in Saturday night’s New Orleans Bowl at the Superdome. The Ragin’ Cajuns will most likely be without starting QB Terrance Broadway, who has an injured wrist. Without Broadway, UL-Lafayette got smashed 30-8 at South Alabama in its regular-season finale.

-- Tulane has covered the number at a 7-1 clip in its last eight games. On the flip side, the Ragin’ Cajuns are in the midst of a 0-5 ATS slide.

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Betting college football teams ending long bowl droughts

One of the best parts about bowl season is watching the schools that haven't made the postseason cut in years finally return to the holiday tradition. While detractors point to the meaninglessness of some of the bowl game calendar, the programs that haven't had the luxury of playing one more game in December show just how special the season is.

Here’s a look at schools ending bowl droughts in 2013, including two matchups that will feature teams that are all ending long droughts.

UNLV (12 Years) vs. North Texas (Eight Years)

Playing on New Year’s Day, UNLV and North Texas will both be ending two of the longest bowl droughts in the NCAA when they square off in the Heart of Dallas Bowl. Both schools got over the six-win requirement, with UNLV hitting a 7-5 record and North Texas having a strong year with an 8-4 record in the C-USA.

There isn’t much between these schools, who both managed to be just good enough in mid-major conferences to squeak into bowl season, but the Mean Green's 9-3 ATS record is slightly better than the Runnin' Rebels 8-4 mark.

Playing in its home state, North Texas is a deserved favorite, but at 6.5 points the number is high. If that number hits over a touchdown by New Year’s, bettors may want to go with UNLV.

Washington State (Nine Years) vs. Colorado State (Four Years)

With Mike Leach restoring Washington State to respectability after a falling out at Texas Tech, the Cougars will be grabbing all of the headlines heading into Saturday's Advocare V100 Bowl. Washington State will be returning to a bowl game for the first time in nearly a decade.

Colorado State should not be ignored either, after ending its bowl drought after nearly half a decade - something that will give them bragging rights over rival Colorado, which continued its bowl drought this season.

The Rams will be in extremely tough against a Pac-12 team that has hung with some top-notch opponents and appears to be on the rise under Leach. Washington State is a 4.5-point favorite.

Buffalo (Four Years)

The Buffalo Bulls will be ending their bowl streak in 2013 in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl when they take on San Diego State Saturday. Buffalo has star linebacker Khalil Mack, who will be a likely first-round pick, and hold a fourth-best turnover rate in the nation at +15.

San Diego State has an overtime win against Boise State on its resume, but has played teams close in 2013 with four overtime games - three of which were won by the Aztecs. Playing on the "Smurf Turf" in Boise at the Famous Idaho Bowl, the Aztecs will have the advantage of travel distance on their side, which could be why this line has moved from Buffalo -3.5 to SDSU -1.

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Beyond the BCS: Big profits from NCAAF small conferences

Team to watch: Northern Illinois Huskies (12-1 SU, 8-5 ATS)

Poinsettia Bowl: -1 vs. Utah State

The Poinsettia Bowl may not be what Northern Illinois had in mind after playing in the Orange Bowl last season, especially not when it was undefeated going into last Friday’s MAC Championship against Bowling Green. Still, this is the final game for senior QB Jordan Lynch. He will want to impress NFL scouts while also proving his worth for the Heisman Trophy ceremony invitation he received. The Huskies are 5-2 ATS in their last seven overall.

Up next for NIU is Utah State on Dec. 26. The Aggies will still be without Chuckie Keeton, who threw 18 touchdowns compared to only two picks before tearing an ACL and MCL on Oct. 4. Freshman backup Darell Garretson has been mediocre by comparison, with nine TDs and five INTs in seven games.

Garretson is questionable due to a severe concussion in last week’s MWC Championship loss to Fresno State. Utah State is also expected to miss Travis Reynolds (51 catches, 832 yards, four TDs), who suffered a knee injury on Nov. 23.


Team to beware: Boise State Broncos (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS)

Hawaii Bowl: +4 vs. Oregon State

The domino effect of Steve Sarkisian’s move to USC is underway, and the second one to fall came in the form of Boise State head coach Chris Petersen bolting for Washington. Now the Broncos will contest the Sheraton Hawaii Bowl on Dec. 24 against Oregon State with interim Bob Gregory at the helm.

Petersen’s long-awaited departure for a BCS program came near the end of a rebuilding year for the Broncos, who have losses to Washington (by 32 points), Fresno State, BYU, and San Diego State. They also have a QB controversy on their hands, as Joe Southwick missed four games with an ankle injury but returned in a Nov. 30 rout of New Mexico to attempt two passes in relief of Grant Hedrick.

Either Southwick or Hedrick may be without receivers Kirby Moore and Shane Williams-Rhodes. Leading tackler Ben Weaver is also questionable due to injury.


Total team: Ball State Cardinals (10-2 SU, 8-4 O/U)

GoDaddy Bowl: (48.5) vs. Arkansas State

Head coach Pete Lembo, thought of as a great offensive mind, has already interviewed with Wake Forest and UConn this month. Andy why not? Lembo’s offense is averaging 40.1 points per game this season, 14th most in the FBS.

How are the Cardinals scoring so much? They are ninth in the FBS in turnover margin (+1.0 per game) and seventh in fewest penalty yards per contest (31.58). On the defensive side of the ball, cornerback Quintin Cooper will likely remain out with the broken leg he sustained on No. 15.

The over is 4-0 in Ball State’s last four overall. Arkansas State, the Jan. 5 GoDaddy Bowl opponent, has scored at least 31 points in four straight games and the over is also 4-0 in its last four overall.

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Bowl season's best/worst ATS and Over/Under teams

Best ATS

Auburn Tigers (11-2-0 ATS)

Auburn has been fantastic this year rushing the ball, ranked first overall with 335.7 yards. They are also 11th overall in total yards with 505.3. Auburn covered its first 10 games by a comfortable margin and is an 8.5-point underdog versus Florida State – the other top ATS team in college football - in the BCS title game.

Florida State Seminoles (11-2-0 ATS)

Florida State’s margin of victory is 42.3 points per game - a record in the BCS era. Florida State is ranked second overall in points scored (53) and sixth in total yards with 529.4. Defensively, the Seminoles are first overall in passing yards allowed (152) and points allowed with a measly 10.7.


Worst ATS

Georgia Bulldogs (3-8-1 ATS)

The Bulldogs have gone 2-3-1 ATS at home and 1-5 ATS away. Georgia’s fall from fifth in preseason rankings to out of the polls is in large part to key injuries. Georgia lost QB Aaron Murray to a season-ending knee injury in November. After winning and covering in their first two games, the Bulldogs went 1-1-8 ATS in their final 10 games. Georgia is a 9-point favorite versus Nebraska in the Gator Bowl on New Year’s Day.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-8 ATS)

The Scarlet Knights have gone 0-2-0 ATS in games played on grass (UCF and Connecticut) and have failed to cover both 20-plus point spreads with their offense struggling to run the ball. Defensively, the Knights are ranked fourth in rushing yards allowed (94.6) but struggle against the pass, sitting 122nd and allowing 311.4 yards per game. Rutgers is a 15.5-point underdog taking on Notre Dame at Yankee Stadium in the Pinstripe Bowl on December 28.


Best Over

Florida State Seminoles (10-3 O/U)

The Seminoles have the most points for and the second-lowest points against in the country. Quarterback Jameis Winston ranks second with the most touchdown passes (38) and has the league’s highest yards per pass attempt at 10.9. Florida State is on pace to score more points than any team in the history of college football needing only 28 more to snap the 2008 Oklahoma State Cowboys’ record of 716 points. The total for the BCS Championship is at 66 points.

Georgia Bulldogs (9-3 O/U)

Georgia has an offense scoring points (458) and a defense giving them up (353). Offensively, the Bulldogs are ranked 17th in total yards (489.8) and 16th in total passing yards with 313.8. Their defense is allowing 29.4 points good for 82nd and 232.8 passing yards. Georgia has faced nine totals of 60 or more points and has topped the number in seven of those games.


Best Under

Louisville Cardinals (3-9 O/U)

The Cardinals defense has been fantastic in preventing opponents from scoring. They’re ranked second overall in total yards allowed with 258.2. They are eighth in passing yards allowed (171.7), second in rushing yards allowed (86.5) and third in total points allowed with 12.4 a game. Louisville takes on Miami in the Russell Athletic Bowl on December 28.

Bowling Green Falcons (4-9 O/U)

The Falcons are ranked in the Top 10 defensively in three categories: eighth in total yards allowed (308.7), fourth in passing yards allowed with 166.2, and fifth in points allowed (14.8). The Falcons are also in the Top 25 in holding their opponents to a 34.4 percent completion rate on third downs. Bowling Green meets Pittsburgh in the Little Caesars Pizza Bowl on December 26.

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NCAAF betting: Five teams poised for letdowns in bowl games

Every college bowl season comes with teams who are playing in games they never thought they would be in after heartbreaking losses. Those teams can often bring value as they can go into the game just wanting to get things over with while their opponents are eying up an upset.

Here is a look at five teams that will be less than excited with their bowl destinations this holiday season.

Northern Illinois (Lost MAC Championship to Bowling Green)

The Huskies had dreams of another return to the BCS with Heisman candidate Jordan Lynch registering eye-popping rushing numbers as a quarterback along the way before Bowling Green got their revenge on Northern Illinois in the MAC Championship Game in convincing fashion. Luckily for NIU, their opponent Utah State is also coming off a disappointing loss in the Mountain West Championship Game to Fresno State at home last weekend and will also be reeling.

Northern Illinois is getting -1.5 and Utah State lost to the two top quality programs in the Mountain West in Boise State and Fresno, with Lynch putting up such solid numbers and wanting to end his college career on a high note to attract NFL attention, the Huskies are likely not the team to find value when it comes to a lack of motivation following a letdown.


USC (Lost to UCLA to end season)

USC has been a mess all season and are going through the emotional roller coaster of their interim coach Ed Orgeron being replaced by Steve Sarkisian for next season as the Trojans opted to bring in an established head coach following USC's loss to their rivals in UCLA to end their Pac 12 season. Going up against Derek Carr and the Fresno State Bulldogs, a team that has top wide receiver talent and a dominant passing game, the Trojans could be looking at an upset going against the nation's best passer in Carr.

USC are currently sitting as 6-point favorites over Fresno State.


Oregon (Lost to Stanford/Arizona to lose Pac 12 title)

The Ducks were pegged as the team that was going to face Alabama in the BCS National Championship Game backed by the early Heisman favorite in redshirt-sophomore Marcus Mariota before an MCL sprain slowed Mariota and Oregon's offense in losses to Stanford and Arizona to dash their Pac 12 title hopes. The Ducks will now have to settle for a game against Texas to end their season, but they might not mind facing the Longhorns who struggled mightily against a similar offensive scheme in Baylor to end their season. They are two touchdown favorites, but Texas showed that they struggled to match the pace of a high speed offense. Oregon could very well run up the score against the Longhorns who have more than their share of distractions with the current Mack Brown/Nick Saban rumors that ended with Saban extending his contract at Alabama.


Georgia (Lost Aaron Murray to season ending ACL injury)

Georgia hasn't been the same since losing Aaron Murray in what was the final blow of an injury-plagued season for the Bulldogs. They will be playing a Nebraska team that is also missing their starter in Taylor Martinez. But as 9-point favorites without the quarterback who has been the staple of their program for years, Georgia may be in line for an upset against the Cornhuskers.


Miami Hurricanes (Missed ACC Championship Game with three-game losing streak)

Miami expected to win the ACC Coastal to avenge a loss to Florida State in the ACC Championship Game, but instead were shocked by an upstart Duke in the final loss of a three-game losing streak that dashed any dreams of the Hurricanes returning to a BCS bowl. Losing Duke Johnson at running back, Miami has just not been the same team and will be in tough against the 11-1 Louisville Cardinals and likely first overall draft pick Teddy Bridgewater. The Hurricanes run on swagger, and they haven't had much of it since their losing streak.

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Handicapping bowl season's biggest betting totals

Sky-high bowl totals are becoming the norm with the pass-heavy, all-offense evolution of college football.

Last season saw six bowl games with totals of 70 points or more, including a record-high 82-point total in the Holiday Bowl between Baylor and UCLA.

This bowl season, there are just two bowl games with Over/Unders at 70 points or more – the Holiday Bowl between Arizona State and Texas Tech (70), and the Chick-fil-A Bowl featuring Texas A&M and Duke (72).

Since 1985, there have been 26 bowl totals of 70 points or more. Those games have gone a combined 15-11 O/U, including a 2-4 O/U record during last year’s bowl season. And bowl totals of 74 points and above are 8-4 O/U over the past 27 years.

Here are the 12 highest bowl totals since 1985:

82 – Baylor 49, UCLA 26 (Dec. 27, 2012)
80 – Baylor 67, Washington 56 (Dec. 29, 2011)
79 – Arizona 49, Nevada 48 (Dec. 15, 2012)
78.5 – Louisville 44, Boise State 40 (Dec. 31, 2004)
77.5 – Tulsa 63, Bowling Green 7 (Jan. 6, 2008)
77 – Hawaii 59, UAB 40 (Dec. 24, 2004)
75.5 – Hawaii 54, Houston (Dec. 25, 2003)
75 – Oregon 42, Oklahoma State 31 (Dec. 30, 2008)
74.5 – Tulsa 62, Hawaii 35 (Dec. 24, 2010)
74 – UCLA 50, Northwestern 38 (Dec. 30, 2005)
74 – Oregon 45, Wisconsin 38 (Jan. 2, 2012)
74 – Oregon 35, Kansas State 17 (Jan. 3, 2013)

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Betting college football bowl season's coaching moves

We’re heading into bowl season, a time when some coaches are on the hot seat and when rising coaches and hot-shot coordinators are often on the move. Such moves can represent good opportunities for spot bets. Here’s a quick snapshot of the coaching carousel:

USC Trojans (9-4 SU, 6-7 ATS)

Holiday Bowl: -6 vs. Fresno State

Earlier this month, USC hired Steve Sarkisian away from Washington, prompting interim Trojans coach Ed Orgeron to quit before USC’s Las Vegas Bowl date with Fresno State on Dec. 21. In the interim, Clay Helton will lead USC – becoming the school’s third coach this season. Orgeron picked up the pieces and engineered a 6-2 SU finish to the season (5-3 ATS), and the Trojans would’ve run through a wall for him in the bowl game. But the players might not feel the same way about Helton.


Washington Huskies (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS)

Fight Hunger Bowl: -3 BYU

The Huskies hired Chris Petersen away from Boise State, leaving Washington with interim coach Marques Tuiasosopo in the Fight Hunger Bowl vs. Brigham Young. Washington players are likely feeling the sting of Sarkisian spurning them for a Pac-12 rival. Perhaps they rise up for the bowl game.


Boise State Broncos (8-4, 6-6 ATS)

Hawaii Bowl: +2.5 vs. Oregon State

Interim coach Bob Gregory has the reins at Boise State. Chris Petersen led the Broncos to their greatest heights, including two BCS bowl victories. This year, Boise State goes to the Hawaii Bowl against Oregon State. Not exactly a BCS game. In fact, not even the same area code. Could a letdown follow? Bettors seem to think so, moving BSU from -2.5 to +2.5.


Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-5 SU, 5-6-1 ATS)

GoDaddy Bowl: +9 vs. Ball State

Arkansas State coach Bryan Harsin jumped to Boise State to replace Petersen, so the Red Wolves will have interim coach John Thompson for the GoDaddy Bowl against Ball State. This line has jumped from -8 to -9 at some books.


Michigan State Spartans (12-1 SU, 8-4-1 ATS)

Rose Bowl: +4.5 vs. Stanford

Michigan State defensive coordinator Pat Narduzzi is another hot prospect, having led a unit that is arguably the best in the nation. He already spurned Connecticut, so he might actually stick around to finish the job against Stanford in the Rose Bowl.


Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-4 SU, 5-6-1 ATS)

Pinstripe Bowl: -15.5 vs. Rutgers

Notre Dame, a 15.5-point favorite against Rutgers in the Pinstripe Bowl, has lost two key assistants. Defensive coordinator Bob Diaco bolted for the head coaching job at Connecticut, just a week after offensive coordinator Chuck Martin left to become head coach at Miami of Ohio.


Bowling Green Falcons (10-3 SU, 10-3 ATS)

Little Caesars Pizza Bowl: -5 vs. Pittsburgh

Bowling Green’s Dave Clawson, whose squad upset Northern Illinois in the MAC title game, jumped ship to Wake Forest. So Bowling Green will lean on interim coach Adam Scheier against Pittsburgh in the Little Caesars Pizza Bowl. The Falcons have dropped from -6 to -5 since Clawson’s departure.


Coaching moves to watch

The Mack Brown-Nick Saban soap opera continues. Brown is rumored to be resigning this week from Texas, which faces Oregon (-14) in the Alamo Bowl, and rumor has it Texas is offering piles of cash to Alabama’s Saban, who has a Sugar Bowl date with Oklahoma (+15). … Nebraska coach Bo Pelini is definitely on the hot seat heading into a meeting with Georgia (+9) in the Gator Bowl.

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season

Fresno State vs. USC
The Trojans bring a 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 bowl games against a Fresno State team that is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 bowl appearances. USC is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Trojans favored by 21. Dunkel Pick: USC (-6). Here are all of this year's bowl games:

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 21

Game 201-202: Washington State vs. Colorado State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 91.173; Colorado State 91.519
Dunkel Line: Even; 70
Vegas Line: Washington State by 5; 65
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+5); Over

Game 203-204: Fresno State vs. USC (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 88.778; USC 109.543
Dunkel Line: USC by 21; 58
Vegas Line: USC by 6; 63
Dunkel Pick: USC (-6); Under

Game 205-206: Buffalo vs. San Diego State (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 87.395; San Diego State 77.125
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 10 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 1; 53
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+1); Over

Game 207-208: Tulane vs. UL-Lafayette (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 80.592; UL-Lafayette 71.130
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 9 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


MONDAY, DECEMBER 23

Game 209-210: East Carolina vs. Ohio (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 93.439; Ohio 59.372
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 34; 57
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 13 1/2; 62
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-13 1/2); Under


TUESDAY, DECEMBER 24

Game 211-212: Boise State vs. Oregon State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 91.258; Oregon State 96.110
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 5; 70
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 2 1/2; 65
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-2 1/2); Over


THURSDAY, DECEMBER 26

Game 213-214: Pittsburgh vs. Bowling Green (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 84.332; Bowling Green 100.650
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 16 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 5; 50
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-5); Under

Game 215-216: Utah State vs. Northern Illinois (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 91.807; Northern Illinois 91.074
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 4 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 1 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+1 1/2); Over


FRIDAY, DECEMBER 27

Game 217-218: Marshall vs. Maryland (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 86.002; Maryland 87.490
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 1 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Marshall by 2 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+2 1/2); Over

Game 219-220: Syracuse vs. Minnesota (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 85.446; Minnesota 95.916
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 10 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 4; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-4); Under

Game 221-222: BYU vs. Washington (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 101.765; Washington 98.866
Dunkel Line: BYU by 3; 64
Vegas Line: Washington by 3; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (+3); Over


SATURDAY, DECEMBER 28

Game 223-224: Rutgers vs. Notre Dame (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 70.366; Notre Dame 98.894
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 28 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 15; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-15); Under

Game 225-226: Cincinnati vs. North Carolina (3:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 94.040; North Carolina 94.290
Dunkel Line: Even; 62
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 3; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3); Over

Game 227-228: Miami (FL) vs. Louisville (6:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 84.791; Louisville 97.430
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 12 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Louisville by 3; 56
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-3); Under

Game 229-230: Michigan vs. Kansas State (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 96.329; Kansas State 96.945
Dunkel Line: Even; 52
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 4; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+4); Under


MONDAY, DECEMBER 30

Game 231-232: Middle Tennessee State vs. Navy (11:45 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 77.327; Navy 86.864
Dunkel Line: Navy by 9 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Navy by 6; 55
Dunkel Pick: Navy (-6); Under

Game 233-234: Mississippi vs. Georgia Tech (3:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 94.954; Georgia Tech 96.029
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 1; 61
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 3; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+3); Over

Game 235-236: Oregon vs. Texas (6:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 116.722; Texas 95.922
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 21; 63
Vegas Line: Oregon by 13 1/2; 68
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-13 1/2); Under

Game 237-238: Arizona State vs. Texas Tech (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 114.147; Texas Tech 87.211
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 27; 65
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 14; 71
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-14); Under


TUESDAY, DECEMBER 31

Game 239-240: Arizona vs. Boston College (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 89.854; Boston College 85.935
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 4; 64
Vegas Line: Arizona by 7 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+7 1/2); Over

Game 241-242: Virginia Tech vs. UCLA (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 87.850; UCLA 111.371
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 23 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: UCLA by 7; 47
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-7); Under

Game 243-244: Rice vs. Mississippi State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 90.076; Mississippi State 92.583
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 2 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 7; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+7); Over

Game 245-246: Duke vs. Texas A&M (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 96.369; Texas A&M 98.496
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 2; 69
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 13; 74 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (+13); Under


WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 1

Game 247-248: Nebraska vs. Georgia (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 95.486; Georgia 97.091
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 1 1/2; 65
Vegas Line: Georgia by 9 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+9 1/2); Over

Game 249-250: UNLV vs. North Texas (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 77.731; North Texas 87.857
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 10; 50
Vegas Line: North Texas by 6 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-6 1/2); Under

Game 251-252: Wisconsin vs. South Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 102.684; South Carolina 110.728
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 8; 57
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 1; 51
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+1); Over

Game 253-254: Iowa vs. LSU (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 92.357; LSU 108.656
Dunkel Line: LSU by 16 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: LSU by 7; 49
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-7); Under

Game 255-256: Stanford vs. Michigan State (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 111.121; Michigan State 110.710
Dunkel Line: Even; 49
Vegas Line: Stanford by 5; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+5); Over

Game 257-258: Central Florida vs. Baylor (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 90.384; Baylor 109.752
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 19 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Baylor by 16 1/2; 68
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-16 1/2); Under


THURSDAY, JANUARY 2

Game 259-260: Oklahoma vs. Alabama (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 108.920; Alabama 112.060
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 3; 58
Vegas Line: Alabama by 15; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (+15); Over


FRIDAY, JANUARY 3

Game 261-262: Oklahoma State vs. Missouri (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 119.981; Missouri 105.881
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 14; 64
Vegas Line: Missouri by 1 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (+1 1/2); Over

Game 263-264: Clemson vs. Ohio State (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 104.834; Ohio State 114.123
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 9 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 2 1/2; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-2 1/2); Under


SATURDAY, JANUARY 4

Game 265-266: Vanderbilt vs. Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 92.717; Houston 94.638
Dunkel Line: Houston by 2; 59
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 3; 54
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+3); Over


SUNDAY, JANUARY 5

Game 267-268: Arkansas State vs. Ball State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 85.546; Ball State 84.065
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 1 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Ball State by 9 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (+9 1/2); Under


MONDAY, JANUARY 6

Game 269-270: Auburn vs. Florida State (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 117.040; Florida State 120.581
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 3 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Florida State by 8 1/2; 67
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+8 1/2); Over

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NCAAF
Long Sheet

Bowl Season


Saturday, December 21

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COLORADO ST (7 - 6) vs. WASHINGTON ST (6 - 6) - 12/21/2013, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
WASHINGTON ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
COLORADO ST is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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USC (9 - 4) vs. FRESNO ST (11 - 1) - 12/21/2013, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (8 - 4) vs. SAN DIEGO ST (7 - 5) - 12/21/2013, 5:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LA LAFAYETTE (8 - 4) at TULANE (7 - 5) - 12/21/2013, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 1-0 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, December 23

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OHIO U (7 - 5) vs. E CAROLINA (9 - 3) - 12/23/2013, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
E CAROLINA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Tuesday, December 24

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OREGON ST (6 - 6) vs. BOISE ST (8 - 4) - 12/24/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 114-74 ATS (+32.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 114-74 ATS (+32.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 72-41 ATS (+26.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 65-36 ATS (+25.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
OREGON ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
OREGON ST is 98-67 ATS (+24.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OREGON ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Thursday, December 26

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PITTSBURGH (6 - 6) vs. BOWLING GREEN (10 - 3) - 12/26/2013, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UTAH ST (8 - 5) vs. N ILLINOIS (12 - 1) - 12/26/2013, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Friday, December 27

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MARSHALL (9 - 4) vs. MARYLAND (7 - 5) - 12/27/2013, 2:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SYRACUSE (6 - 6) vs. MINNESOTA (8 - 4) - 12/27/2013, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (8 - 4) vs. BYU (8 - 4) - 12/27/2013, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 71-101 ATS (-40.1 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BYU is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, December 28

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RUTGERS (6 - 6) vs. NOTRE DAME (8 - 4) - 12/28/2013, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CINCINNATI (9 - 3) vs. N CAROLINA (6 - 6) - 12/28/2013, 3:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI (9 - 3) vs. LOUISVILLE (11 - 1) - 12/28/2013, 6:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.
MIAMI is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MICHIGAN (7 - 5) vs. KANSAS ST (7 - 5) - 12/28/2013, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, December 30

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MIDDLE TENN ST (8 - 4) vs. NAVY (7 - 4) - 12/30/2013, 11:45 AM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 135-103 ATS (+21.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 135-103 ATS (+21.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games against Conference USA opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NAVY is 71-36 ATS (+31.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
NAVY is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NAVY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OLE MISS (7 - 5) vs. GEORGIA TECH (7 - 5) - 12/30/2013, 3:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
OLE MISS is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
GEORGIA TECH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (8 - 4) vs. OREGON (10 - 2) - 12/30/2013, 6:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS TECH (7 - 5) vs. ARIZONA ST (10 - 3) - 12/30/2013, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
TEXAS TECH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tuesday, December 31

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BOSTON COLLEGE (7 - 5) vs. ARIZONA (7 - 5) - 12/31/2013, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 45-75 ATS (-37.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA TECH (8 - 4) vs. UCLA (9 - 3) - 12/31/2013, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
UCLA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
UCLA is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSISSIPPI ST (6 - 6) vs. RICE (10 - 3) - 12/31/2013, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 99-70 ATS (+22.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
RICE is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DUKE (10 - 3) vs. TEXAS A&M (8 - 4) - 12/31/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
DUKE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
TEXAS A&M is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Wednesday, January 1

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NEBRASKA (8 - 4) vs. GEORGIA (8 - 4) - 1/1/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 1-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 1-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UNLV (7 - 5) vs. NORTH TEXAS (8 - 4) - 1/1/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISCONSIN (9 - 3) vs. S CAROLINA (10 - 2) - 1/1/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
WISCONSIN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
WISCONSIN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
WISCONSIN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA (8 - 4) vs. LSU (9 - 3) - 1/1/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN ST (12 - 1) vs. STANFORD (11 - 2) - 1/1/2014, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCF (11 - 1) vs. BAYLOR (11 - 1) - 1/1/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BAYLOR is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BAYLOR is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
BAYLOR is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, January 2

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OKLAHOMA (10 - 2) vs. ALABAMA (11 - 1) - 1/2/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) against SEC opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, January 3

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OKLAHOMA ST (10 - 2) vs. MISSOURI (11 - 2) - 1/3/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
MISSOURI is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
OKLAHOMA ST is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEMSON (10 - 2) vs. OHIO ST (12 - 1) - 1/3/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 155-113 ATS (+30.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 155-113 ATS (+30.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 129-94 ATS (+25.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 115-80 ATS (+27.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OHIO ST is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, January 4

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HOUSTON (8 - 4) vs. VANDERBILT (8 - 4) - 1/4/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
HOUSTON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, January 5

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ARKANSAS ST (7 - 5) vs. BALL ST (10 - 2) - 1/5/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, January 6

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AUBURN (12 - 1) vs. FLORIDA ST (13 - 0) - 1/6/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
FLORIDA ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
FLORIDA ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
FLORIDA ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
FLORIDA ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
FLORIDA ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
AUBURN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
AUBURN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
AUBURN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
AUBURN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
AUBURN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
AUBURN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
AUBURN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Bowl Season

Sat, Dec. 21

Colorado St at Washington St, 2:00 ET
Colorado St: 17-6 ATS in road games off a win by 21 pts or more over a conf rival
Washington St: 12-30 ATS after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6

USC at Fresno State, 3:30 ET
USC: 1-8 ATS in road games when playing on a Saturday
Fresno St: 16-5 ATS when playing on a Saturday

Buffalo at San Diego State, 5:30 ET
Buffalo: 6-1 ATS as a favorite
San Diego St: 10-22 ATS after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games

UL - Lafayette at Tulane, 9:00 ET
UL - Lafayette: 5-1 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest
Tulane: 1-5 ATS after gaining 40 or less rushing yards last game


Mon, Dec. 23

Ohio at E Carolina, 2:00 ET
Ohio: 0-7 ATS off a win against a conference rival
E Carolina: 7-0 ATS after a loss by 17 or more points
College Football Betting Trends - Tue, Dec. 24

Oregon St at Boise St, 8:00 ET
Oregon St: 15-5 ATS in road games after a bye week
Boise St: 5-14 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games


Thurs, Dec. 26

Pittsburgh at Bowling Green, 6:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 19-34 ATS off a home loss
Bowling Green: 11-2 ATS after a win by 17 or more points

Utah State at N Illinois, 9:30 ET
Utah St: 8-1 ATS in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders
N Illinois: 2-7 ATS after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games


Fri, Dec. 27

Marshall at Maryland, 2:20 ET
Marshall: 16-9 ATS after a game where they forced no turnovers
Maryland: 2-10 ATS after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers

Syracuse at Minnesota, 6:00 ET
Syracuse: 2-13 ATS off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog
Minnesota: 13-3 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games

Washington at BYU, 9:30 ET
Washington: 16-32 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 games
BYU: 9-2 ATS after playing their last game on the road


Sat, Dec. 28

Rutgers at Notre Dame, 12:00 ET
Rutgers: 5-1 ATS in a bowl game
Notre Dame: 5-18 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games

Cincinnati at N Carolina, 3:20 ET
Cincinnati: 3-11 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in 3 straight games
N Carolina: 6-1 ATS after playing a conference game

Miami at Louisville, 6:45 ET
Miami: 1-5 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games
Louisville: 14-3 ATS after playing a conference game

Michigan at Kansas State, 6:45 ET
Michigan: 0-7 ATS off an extremely close home loss by 3 points or less
Kansas St: 16-6 ATS when playing on a Saturday


Mon, Dec. 30

Middle Tenn St at Navy, 11:45 AM ET
Middle Tenn St: 5-17 ATS in road games after playing 3 straight conference games
Navy: 14-4 ATS in road games against Conference USA opponents

Ole Miss at Georgia Tech, 3:15 ET
Ole Miss: 12-3 ATS road games after a game where they committed 4 or more TOs
Georgia Tech: 3-12 ATS after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 3 straight games

Texas at Oregon, 6:45 ET
Texas: 6-0 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest
Oregon: 1-5 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games

Texas Tech at Arizona State, 6:45 ET
Texas Tech: 3-12 ATS after allowing 37 points or more last game
Arizona St: 10-4 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games


Tue, Dec. 31

Boston College at Arizona, 12:30 ET
Boston College: 9-2 ATS after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers
Arizona: 15-31 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

Virginia Tech at UCLA, 2:00 ET
Virginia Tech: 44-26 ATS off a road win
UCLA: 3-12 ATS road games off an upset win over a conf rival as an underdog

Mississippi St at Rice, 4:00 ET
Mississippi St: 1-5 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread
Rice: 6-1 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference rivals

Duke at Texas AM, 8:00 ET
Duke: 10-3 ATS in all lined games
Texas AM: 6-21 ATS in road games after a bye week


Wed, Jan. 1

Nebraska at Georgia, 12:00 ET
Nebraska: 23-6 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6
Georgia: 7-1 ATS as a neutral field favorite of 7.5 to 14 points

UNLV at North Texas, 12:00 ET
UNLV: 4-15 ATS in road games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game
N Texas: 13-4 ATS after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6

Wisconsin at S Carolina, 1:00 ET
Wisconsin: 8-2 ATS in games played on turf
S Carolina: 8-16 ATS after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games

Iowa at LSU, 1:00 ET
Iowa: 21-8 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games
LSU: 4-8 ATS after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games

Michigan St at Stanford, 5:00 ET
Michigan St: 0-6 ATS against Pac Twelve conference opponents
Stanford: 12-4 ATS after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games

UCF at Baylor, 8:30 ET
UCF: 1-6 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 games
Baylor: 15-5 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games


Thurs, Jan. 2

Oklahoma at Alabama, 8:30 ET
Oklahoma: 0-7 ATS against SEC opponents
Alabama: 18-7 ATS after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game


Fri, Jan. 3

Oklahoma St at Missouri, 8:00 ET
Oklahoma St: 13-4 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
Missouri: 2-10 ATS in road games off an upset loss as a favorite

Clemson at Ohio State, 8:00 ET
Clemson: 2-8 ATS after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games
Ohio State: 33-16 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses


Sat, Jan. 4

Houston at Vanderbilt, 1:00 ET
Houston: 0-7 ATS in road games after allowing 6 points or less last game
Vanderbilt: 17-6 ATS after a win by 6 or less points
College Football Betting Trends - Sun, Jan. 5

Arkansas St at Ball St, 9:00 ET
Arkansas St: 20-36 ATS after a game where 60 total points or more were scored
Ball St: 19-8 ATS in games played on turf


Mon, Jan. 6

Auburn at Florida St, 8:30 ET
Auburn: 7-0 ATS off a win against a conference rival
Florida St: 7-1 OVER after playing a conference game