The Bum's NFL November's POD'S Stats-News Etc. !

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NFL

Sunday, November 24

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Peyton Manning vs. Tom Brady: Who's the better bet?
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Week 12 action in the NFL features a number of marquee matchups - but one clearly rises above the rest as Peyton Manning and his Denver Broncos visit New England for a showdown with Tom Brady and the Patriots.

Manning and Brady will face off for the 14th time - and will do so with playoff implications for both teams. The Broncos are tied with the Kansas City Chiefs for top spot in the AFC West, while Brady's Patriots have a two-game lead in the AFC East and can strengthen their hold on top spot with a win.

Here's a breakdown of the all-time matchup in a special Tale of the Tape:

Straight-up: Brady 9, Manning 4

Brady has dominated the head-to-head record between the future Hall-of-Fame QBs, winning the first six encounters - including the 2003 AFC Championship Game - and going 6-2 at Foxboro Stadium. Manning does have the most significant victory of the series, leading Indianapolis back from an 18-point deficit to prevail 38-34 in the 2006 AFC title game. It's the biggest comeback in conference championship history.

ATS: Brady (6-5-2)

This matchup is much closer than the SU history, in part due to a series of closely contested games. Brady kicked off the tete-a-tete with a 5-0-1 ATS record - highlighted by a 44-13 rout of Manning's Indianapolis Colts in Brady's first career start - but Manning covered in each of the next four matchups. The two have split three spreads since, including a narrow Brady cover in New England's thrilling 31-28 victory over Indianapolis in their last meeting in 2011.

O/U: 8-5-0

With two of the best quarterbacks of a generation facing off, points are often scored in bunches - and the Brady-Manning encounters are no exception. The first meeting saw 57 points scored, kicking off a trend that saw the teams combine for greater than 50 points in five of the first seven showdowns. The high-water mark of 72 points was set in New England's 38-34 win in Week 13 of the 2003 season and equaled in the Colts' 38-34 win in the 2006 AFC title game.

Passing yards: Manning 3,821, Brady, 3,059

Manning has edged out Brady when it comes to passing yardage, averaging a whopping 293.9 yards per game compared to Brady's mark of 235.3. Manning has a number of big yardage games against the Patriots on his career resume, including a 349-yard performance in the 2006 conference championship and a 326-yard effort in a 27-20 triumph over the Patriots earlier that season. Brady was hurt by a 168-yard showing in their first-ever encounter in 2001.

Touchdowns/interceptions: Manning: 27/19; Brady: 23/12

Known more as a gunslinger than his Patriots counterpart, it should surprise no one that Manning has more touchdowns and interceptions in the all-time series. Manning handed Brady his first victory as a starting quarterback, throwing three interceptions - two of which were run back for scores. He also has a place in history as the first quarterback to throw for four touchdowns against the Bill Belichick-led Patriots in 2003 - albeit in defeat.

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SNF - Broncos at Patriots

November 22, 2013


DENVER BRONCOS (9-1) at NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (7-3)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Denver -2.5 & 54.5
Opening Line & Total: Broncos -3 & 56

The Patriots try to shake off their controversial Monday night loss when they host the 9-1 Broncos on Sunday night.

New England lost to Carolina 24-20 on Monday, but on the game’s final play, TE Rob Gronkowski was clearly held in the end zone but the referees deemed the ball uncatchable. Denver, on the other hand, took down the undefeated Chiefs 27-17 to win their third straight game (SU and ATS).

This game features a pair of future Hall of Fame quarterbacks with Tom Brady going 9-4 in his career when facing a Peyton Manning-led team. These two franchises last met in October of last year, when Brady threw for 223 yards and scored two touchdowns (1 passing, 1 rushing) in leading his team to a 31-7 cushion late in the third quarter before Manning threw two of his three touchdowns to make the final score 31-21. This marked the Patriots' third straight double-digit home win over the Broncos.

But since 1992, Denver holds the 10-7 advantage (SU and ATS) in this series. In the same span, New England is 20-8 ATS (71%) as a home underdog. The Patriots are also 6-0 ATS against AFC West division opponents over the past three seasons. However, in the past two years, Denver is 16-5 ATS (76%) as a favorite and 9-1 ATS in the second half of the season.

The Broncos have two key injuries on offense with WR Wes Welker (concussion) and TE Julius Thomas (knee), but both are expected to play on Sunday night. But S Rahim Moore (leg) is out indefinitely and top CB Champ Bailey (foot) is questionable. New England has even more major concerns in the secondary though, with CB Aqib Talib (hip) questionable and both CB Alfonzo Dennard (knee) and S Steve Gregory (thumb) out.

Denver came away with a big victory over the Chiefs last game despite tallying its lowest point total of the year (27 points). But the Broncos have now won three straight despite QB Peyton Manning (ankles) not being 100 percent healthy. Manning threw for 323 yards with a touchdown and no interceptions against a strong K.C. defense, and continues to the lead the NFL in both passing yards (3,572) and passing touchdowns (34) while ranking second to Nick Foles in passer rating (118.3). He's thrown just six picks all year. Including playoffs, Manning is just 5-9 in his career versus New England, but has still put up strong numbers with 291 passing YPG, 29 TD and 19 INT in these 14 meetings.

With two of his top receivers, WR Wes Welker (concussion) and TE Julius Thomas (knee) slowed by injuries, he will lean heavily on WR Demaryius Thomas, who has 304 receiving yards and 4 TD over the past three games to give him 914 yards and nine scores on the year. With the Patriots secondary banged-up, Thomas should have another huge game like he has in the previous two meetings in this series, racking up 296 receiving yards on 16 catches.

The Broncos passing game is outstanding, but they rank 28th in the NFL in rushing yards per carry (3.6). However, rookie RB Montee Ball rushed for two touchdowns last week, and top RB Knowshon Moreno has eight rushing touchdowns this year, which is a big reason with Denver leads the NFL in red zone efficiency (79%).

The Broncos boast a run defense that has allowed just 92.7 yards per game (4th in NFL) and 3.7 yards per carry (5th in league) this season. They do, however, struggle against the pass, surrendering 279.1 yards per game (28th in NFL). Especially if CB Champ Bailey (foot) can't play, Denver will have its work cut out for them going against Tom Brady and the Patriots offense.

The Patriots have gotten their passing game going over the past two games with QB Tom Brady throwing for 728 yards and five touchdowns in those weeks. In the past two home meetings with Denver, Brady has completed 75.4% of his passes for 586 yards, 7 TD and only 1 INT. A big part of the Patriots sudden passing success is the return of TE Rob Gronkowski. Since returning from back and forearm injuries, Gronkowski has 343 receiving yards in four games and a touchdown in each of the past two weeks.

The healthy return of RB Shane Vereen (wrist) last week was also a boost to the passing game, as Vereen led the Patriots in targets (11), catches (8) and receiving yards (65) in the loss to Carolina. RB Stevan Ridley has also gotten himself going for New England as of late. Despite a costly lost fumble against the Panthers last week, Ridley has rushed for 414 yards and seven touchdowns over the past five games.

The Patriots defense has been decimated by injuries all season, and could really miss top CB Aqib Talib (hip) in this one. New England allows just 229.2 passing YPG (12th in NFL), and they will need to continue to defend the pass well facing Peyton Manning’s offense. The Patriots have really struggled against the run (125.7 rushing YPG allowed, 27th in NFL), but a solid red zone efficiency (52%, 11th in NFL) has led to just 19.9 PPG allowed (7th in NFL). Turnovers have also saved this defense, as they have tallied 19 takeaways this season.

[StarDust Bum]

2013 SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL SCHEDULE

Week Matchup Line Score ATS

1 N.Y. Giants at Dallas -3.5, 49.5 36-31 Favorite-Over

2 San Francisco at Seattle -2.5, 44.5 29-3 Favorite-Under

3 Chicago at Pittsburgh -2.5, 40.5 40-23 Favorite-Over

4 New England at Atlanta -3, 50 30-23 Underdog-Over

5 Houston at San Francisco -4, 44 34-3 Favorite-Under

6 Washington at Dallas -6, 53.5 31-16 Favorite-Under

7 Denver at Indianapolis -6.5, 56.5 39-33 Underdog-Over

8 Green Bay at Minnesota -7.5, 47.5 44-31 Favorite-Over

9 Indianapolis at Houston -1, 42.5 27-24 Favorite-Over

10 Dallas at New Orleans -6.5, 55 49-17 Favorite-Over

11 Kansas City at Denver -7.5, 49.5 27-17 Favorite-Under

12 Denver at New England - - -

13 Arizona at Philadelphia - - -

14 Atlanta at Green Bay - - -

15 Cincinnati at Pittsburgh - - -

16 New England at Baltimore - - -

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday Night POD:


Denver - 8:30 PM ET New England +1 500 POD # 1

New England - Under 54 500 POD # 2

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Most popular, least popular picks in the LVH Super Contest, where 1,034 contestants pick five games each week of the NFL season........they paid $1,500 each to be in this contest, by the way.

Most pop. (24-46-2 vs spread)

1) Patriots 314 - W
2) Cardinals 282 - W
3) Cowboys 276 - W
4) Steelers 265 - W
5) 49ers 256
6) Chargers 255 - W

Least popular (35-34-2)

28) Texans 61 - L
T24) Raiders 92 - L
T24) Raiders 92 - L
T22) Redskins 103
T22) Lions 103 - L
21) Vikings 113 - W


*****

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Sunday........

13) Ravens 19, Jets 3-- Geno Smith was 9-22 passing, converted once on 12 third down plays; is Josh Cribbs the Jets' best QB?

12) Buccaneers 24, Lions 21-- Whomever makes decisions in Tampa has an interesting one regarding the head coach; Bucs are playing better, but didn't start until season was lost. Lions were -5 in turnovers, had a punt blocked.

11) Jaguars 13, Texans 6-- Houston is awful; they haven't won a game since Week 2. Andre Johnson only caught two passes. These teams play in couple weeks on Thursday night football. Oy.

10) Vikings 26, Packers 26-- Minnesota led 23-7 in 4th quarter, but Matt Flynn (cut by three teams in last year) rallied Pack to an important tie. Look at the NFC North standings, this tie helped the Packers- if they beat Detroit Thursday and the Bears lose next week, Green Bay is back in first place.

9) Chargers 41, Chiefs 38-- KC's defensive line took some injury hits in this game; San Diego scored 31 points in second half, averaged a huge 9.9 yards per pass attempt. Broncos come to Arrowhead next week.

8) Panthers 20, Dolphins 16-- Carolina plays the Saints in Weeks 14-16; should be good theater. Panthers have won seven games in row, last two on last-minute TD drives.

While I'm here, a tangent; any violent hit gets penalized now, to the point where it is almost counter productive to rush the passer. Too many flags; it is a violent game, that's why it is popular. Don't ruin it, Roger.

7) Interesting college basketball scores from Sunday:
-- North Carolina 93, Louisville 84-- UNC took 38 FTs, six 3's.
-- Duke 91, Vermont 90-- Vermont shot 65% wth only six turnovers.
-- Georgetown 84, VCU 80-- Disappointing 1-2 trip for the Rams.
-- Stony Brook 104, Detroit 102, 3 OT-- Jameel Warney: 32 pts/21 reb.
-- Charlotte 63, Michigan 61-- Pretty big upset in Puerto Rico.
-- UMass 62, Clemson 56-- Huge month for the Minutemen.

6) Steelers 27, Browns 11-- Pittsburgh is 5-2 since an 0-4 start; Big Ben is now 16-1 against the Browns, who lost QB Campbell to injury and seem to be doomed to another lost season. This was the first road win in eight AFC North games this season.

5) Rams 42, Bears 21-- St Louis ran ball for 258 yards; Jeff Fisher's staff has done a tremendous job of making the Rams a decent running team since the injury to Sam Bradford. Too bad they're in the NFL's toughest division.

4) Cowboys 24, Giants 21-- Both teams had 11 accepted penalties; Giants were 3-12 on third down, scored one TD, two FGs in red zone- they ran ball for 202 yards, but averaged only 4.8 yards/ pass attempt. Teams that scored a defensive TD today were 5-1 SU/ATS.

3) Titans 23, Raiders 19-- Ryan Fitzpatrick drove Titans to winning TD in last minute; they converted 10-18 on 3rd down. Oakland tried six FGs on 11 drives but missed two of them, and that hurt. Raiders are now 0-4 this season in game following a win.

2) Cardinals 40, Colts 11-- Bruce Arians coached Indy for most of last year, so he had to have some kind of advantage here. In their last four games, Colts have been outscored 93-12 in first half, which coincides with Reggie Wayne getting hurt. Not much urgency in that bad a division, though.

1) Patriots 34, Broncos 31 OT-- I went out to get snacks before the Sunday nite game and it was damn cold out; why does the NFL schedule night games in frigid weather? Do they care about the ticket buying public, player safety, for that matter? Or the quality of the product? Cold weather games aren't as much fun-- who likes to sit outside and freeze?

[StarDust Bum]

NFL

Monday, November 25

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Monday Night Football betting: 49ers at Redskins
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San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins (+4.5, 47)

A pair of teams led by underachieving quarterbacks look to avoid a third consecutive loss when the Washington Redskins host the San Francisco 49ers on Monday night. Washington's Robert Griffin III and San Francisco's Colin Kaepernick burst onto the NFL scene a year ago and gave defenses fits but haven't enjoyed the same success this season. The 49ers are on the fringes of the NFC playoff picture, and the Redskins are in last place in the NFC East.

Kaepernick turned in another mediocre outing, statistically-speaking, in a 23-20 loss at New Orleans last week, but 49ers coach Jim Harbaugh doesn't understand the criticism of his quarterback. "I think he's doing a heck of a job," Harbaugh told reporters. "I guess I'd be puzzled to why people would think that. What's most important is what we see." Griffin's numbers also have dropped off as he returns from offseason knee surgery, and he came under fire this week for comments following last week's 24-16 loss at Philadelphia that seemed to deflect blame toward offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan and the team's receivers.

TV: 8:40 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: The line opened +4.5 was bet to +6 before being bet back down to +4.5. The Total opened at 49 and has been bet down to 47.

WEATHER: Temperature will be in the mid 30s with a 6 mph wind blowing across the field.

POWER RANKINGS: San Francisco (-5.5) - Washington (+4.0) + home field (-3.0) = San Francisco -6.5

ABOUT THE 49ERS (6-4, 7-3 ATS): San Francisco isn't in panic mode yet, as its consecutive losses have come by a combined four points, unlike its clunkers in Weeks 2 and 3. The defense is still one of the best units in the league and has forced two or more turnovers in seven of 10 games. The lack of offensive production is cause for concern, though, with the 49ers averaging 173.5 total yards over the past two games.

ABOUT THE REDSKINS (3-7, 3-7 ATS): Griffin's sophomore slump has been somewhat overstated considering Washington leads the league in rushing (155.2 yards per game) and ranks sixth in total offense (412.1). The bigger issue is on defense, as the Redskins rank 28th in total defense (389.9) and 30th in scoring (31.1). Washington has allowed 400 or more yards in six of 10 games including three of the last four.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-0-2 ATS in the last six meetings.
* 49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Redskins are 1-7 ATS in their last eight versus the NFC.
* Over is 4-1 in the Redskins in last five games overall.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. San Francisco has an 8-0 record when Kaepernick starts and has a rating of 100 or better, a mark he has achieved only three times this season.

2. Washington TE Jordan Reed, who leads NFL rookies with 45 catches, is listed as questionable after leaving last week's game with a concussion.

3. Griffin does not have a rushing touchdown and is averaging 5.2 yards per carry after rushing for seven scores and 6.8 yards per attempt last season.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL

Monday, November 25

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Tale of the Tape: 49ers at Redskins
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They were applauded for their performances as first-year starters in 2012 - but one year later, Colin Kaepernick and Robert Griffin III find themselves struggling with the sophomore slump.

The two slumping signal-callers face off Monday night when Kaepernick leads his San Francisco 49ers into Maryland to face Griffin's Washington Redskins. San Francisco comes in having lost back-to-back games, while the Redskins are all but out of the playoff picture at 3-7.

Read the breakdown in our betting tale of the tape:

Offense

No team in the NFL has had more trouble moving the ball through the air than San Francisco, which is averaging an anemic 168 passing yards per game. Kaepernick has struggled mightily in the absence of star wide receiver Michael Crabtree, who won't be back against the Redskins but may make his season debut the following week. The 49ers' saving grace has been the run game, which is averaging a robust 141 yards per game and has racked up 15 touchdowns.

Griffin has regressed but is still orchestrating an above-average pass attack, averaging 257 yards per game with 14 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. He'll be hard-pressed to match his season averages with the 49ers' staunch defense opposing him and standout tight end Jordan Reed sitting out the contest as he recovers from a concussion. Washington's run game has been elite, averaging a league-best 155.2 yards while scoring 12 touchdowns.

Edge: Washington


Defense

The 49ers continue to be one of the stingiest teams in the league when it comes to pass defense, limiting the opposition to 220 yards per contest with 11 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. One area that has given San Francisco trouble is the pass rush, where it has registered just 21 sacks totaling 150 yards. The 49ers have allowed just 103.8 rushing yards per game so far this season, with an average of 3.9 yards against per carry and nine scores surrendered.

The Redskins have been victimized all season long by opposing pass attacks, surrendering 275 yards per game through the air with 19 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Washington has also struggled to generate much of a pass rush, coming into the Monday nighter with 25 sacks for 162 yards. Washington's run defense hasn't been much better, giving up 115 yards per game on 4.3 yards per attempt and allowing 15 touchdowns through the first 10 games.

Edge: San Francisco


Special Teams

San Francisco's return game has struggled for most of the year, averaging just 20.9 yards per kickoff return and seven yards per punt return. The 49ers are a minus in both categories, having surrendered an average of 22.5 yards per kickoff-return attempt ans 7.4 yards per punt-return chance. Veteran placekicker Phil Dawson has connected on 14-of-17 field-goal opportunities in 2013, and hit both attempts - including a 55-yarder - in last week's loss to New Orleans.

Washington hasn't done much in the return department, averaging 20.2 yards per kickoff return and just 5.8 yards on punt returns. It has been stingy with kick returns, allowing just 20.3 yards per attempt, but has been burned for a pair of punt-return touchdowns and is allowing 18 yards per attempt - the second-worst mark in the league. Kicker Kai Forbath has hit just 7-of-11 field-goal attempts this season, and didn't have a single opportunity last week versus Philadelphia.

Edge: San Francisco


Notable Quotable

"It would have been much better to have played these guys earlier in the season than now. This is game 11 and he's 11 weeks improved from where he was in their opener ... So he's getting more and more confident with his knee." - 49ers defensive coordinator Vic Fangio on Griffin and his improving running ability

"I know his receiving corps has been banged up. He's had some guys injured. He hasn't had his number one receiver in Crabtree, Mario Manningham just came back, and so that hurts you, having lost them." - Redskins LB London Fletcher on Kaepernick's struggles

[StarDust Bum]

Can San Francisco rebound?

November 25, 2013


SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (6-4) at WASHINGTON REDSKINS (3-7)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: San Francisco -6 & 47.5
Opening Line & Total: 49ers -4.5 & 48

The 49ers look to get back on track with a road win over the lowly Redskins on Monday night.

Both San Francisco and Washington have lost two straight games. The most recent defeat for the 49ers was against the Saints on the road where they fell 23-20, but covered as 3.5-point underdogs. Washington, on the other hand, has two straight SU and ATS losses, dropping road games to the Vikings and Eagles. The last time these two teams met was in November of 2011 when San Francisco prevailed 19-11 on the road as a 4.5-point favorite. Since 1992, the 49ers are 4-1 SU against the Redskins in Washington, but are just 3-2 ATS in those games.

As the coach of San Francisco, Jim Harbaugh is 14-3 ATS versus poor defensive teams that allow more than 5.65 yards per play. However, teams such as Washington after a game where it forced no turnovers, against an opponent after a game where it forced 3+ turnovers, are 138-79 ATS (64%) over the past 10 seasons. Although Redskins starting WR Leonard Hankerson will miss the rest of the season with a knee injury and starting TE Jordan Reed (concussion) is questionable, top WR Pierre Garcon (ankle) is listed as probable. The 49ers will likely be without CB Tarell Brown (ribs) and G Mike Iupati (knee), but there's a slight chance that they could be getting back top WR Michael Crabtree, who has missed the whole season recovering from a torn Achilles.

The 49ers have lost two straight games and their offense has really struggled in those defeats with a paltry 14.5 PPG and 173.5 total YPG. Against the Saints last week, the 49ers rushed for a season-low 81 yards on 22 carries (3.7 YPC). San Francisco ranks last in the NFL in passing offense with a paltry 168.0 YPG and QB Colin Kaepernick must play better if the 49ers are going to get back to the playoffs. After tallying a 98.3 passer rating in 2012, that number has dipped to 81.8 this season as he has completed just 56.7% of his passes for 1,802 yards (7.2 YPA), 11 TD and 7 INT. He has also lost four fumbles. Despite last week's struggles, the Niners are still a great running team with 141.0 rushing YPG (5th in NFL). RB Frank Gore has led the way this season, rushing for 748 yards with seven touchdowns, and before being held to 48 yards last week, he had compiled at least 70 rushing yards in each of his previous seven contests. Kaepernick has contributed a lot to the running game too with 335 yards (6.0 YPC) and three touchdowns on the ground.

San Francisco's offense is much better when TE Vernon Davis is healthy. Davis has been slowed by numerous injuries but still has 34 receptions for 553 yards and a team-high eight touchdowns this season. WR Anquan Boldin has been the top target with 630 receiving yards, but the possible return of Michael Crabtree (1,105 rec. yards, 9 TD last year) could really add another element to this offense. San Francisco's defense has been solid this year allowing just 323.8 total YPG (7th in NFL). This includes 220.0 YPG through the air (10th in NFL) and 103.8 YPG on the ground (T-12th in NFL) The Niners rank fourth in the league in scoring defense (17.8 PPG allowed) and sixth in defending third downs (35.0%). This has also been a very opportunistic unit with multiple takeaways in six of their past seven games, forcing 18 turnovers during this stretch.

After surprising many with a playoff berth last season, Washington has had a very disappointing 2013 campaign. The Redskins offense has moved the ball very well this season with 412.1 total YPG (6th in NFL), which includes 256.9 YPG through the air (11th in league) and an NFL-best 155.2 YPG on the ground. The problem, however, is that the Redskins are getting these yards after falling behind early and that their defense can't stop anybody. Washington's defense is allowing 389.9 total YPG (28th in NFL), including 274.9 YPG through the air (26th in league) and 115.0 YPG on the ground (19th in NFL). The Redskins have also been terrible in the red zone (68% efficiency, 2nd-worst in NFL), which has led to 31.1 PPG allowed (3rd-worst in league). This is despite being on the field for just 28:36 (6th-fewest in NFL) because of how well the Washington ground game has been.

RB Alfred Morris has been one of the few bright spots for Washington as he has rushed for 918 yards (5.1 YPC) and five touchdowns on the season. The Redskins offense would be better off giving him the ball more often than letting QB Robert Griffin III continue to turn the ball over. Griffin has really struggled this season as he continues to recover from a torn ACL, throwing for 14 touchdowns and 10 interceptions this season. That is twice as many picks as he threw in 15 games in his rookie year, when he finished with 20 TD and 5 INT. And after rushing for 815 yards (6.8 YPC) and 7 TD in 2012, Griffin has just 345 rushing yards (5.2 YPC) and zero touchdowns this season.

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MNF - 49ers at Redskins

November 24, 2013

The 49ers and Redskins each won their divisions last season, but the two teams are going in different directions heading towards the postseason in 2013. San Francisco heads east for the second straight week looking to change its luck after getting squeezed at New Orleans last Sunday, while trying to stay within arms length of Seattle inside the NFC West.

The Niners were in line to grab the road win with a 20-17 lead late in the fourth quarter as San Francisco LB Ahmad Brooks sacked Saints' quarterback Drew Brees and caused a fumble. In spite of San Francisco recovering the fumble, Brooks was flagged for a personal foul and negating the turnover, even though the linebacker never hit Brees with his head.

New Orleans took advantage of the second chance by driving down to kick the game-tying field goal with two minutes remaining, then Garrett Hartley drilled the game-winner from 31 yards out to give the Saints a 23-20 triumph. The 49ers managed to cover as 3 ½-point road underdogs, but San Francisco backers felt like this team should have cashed outright. The two teams combined for just one touchdown in the second half, as the 'under' of 50 hit with little pressure.

The Redskins suffered their fourth consecutive road loss in a 24-16 setback at Philadelphia as 4 ½-point underdogs. Washington fell behind, 24-0 before scoring a pair of touchdowns in the fourth quarter, as the Eagles pulled off the season sweep of their division rivals. The Redskins rushed for 191 yards in the defeat, but Mike Shanahan's team dropped to 0-3 inside the NFC East.

New Orleans and Seattle will likely hold the top two seeds in the NFC playoffs, as San Francisco is going to fight it out with Detroit, Carolina, and Arizona for one of two Wild Card spots in the postseason. Washington started last season at 3-6, but found a way to pull off seven straight victories to finish 10-6. The Redskins sit in that same position this season with a 3-7 mark, but are just two back of Philadelphia in the loss column in the NFC East.

The last time these teams met up, came in 2011 at FedEx Field as the 49ers held off the Redskins, 19-11. San Francisco cashed as a four-point road favorite in spite of scoring just one touchdown, while knocking down four field goals from David Akers. The Niners received 105 yards on the ground from Frank Gore, as San Francisco is making its third visit to the Nation's Capital since 1999.

In spite of the two-game skid, Jim Harbaugh's team has covered six of the last seven games, including four straight away from Candlestick Park. Since the start of 2011, the Niners have compiled an 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS record as a favorite off a loss, with the lone straight-up defeat coming in Week 3 to Indianapolis. San Francisco has been terrific in the road favorite role since last October by winning and covering seven of the last eight opportunities.

This is the biggest number the Redskins will receive as a home underdog this season after splitting a pair of games as a one-point 'dog against the Bears and Lions. Washington fell to Detroit in Week 3, while outlasting Chicago in a wild victory in Week 7. In fact, the last time the Redskins receiving at least four points at FedEx Field came in 2011, as Washington cashed as 7 ½-point 'dogs in a 34-27 defeat to New England.

Favorites own a dreadful 4-7 ATS record on Monday nights this season, as Carolina's victory over New England last Monday snapped a three-game cover streak by underdogs. The 'under' has cashed in five of the last six Monday contests, with the lone 'over' barely cashing two weeks ago between Miami and Tampa Bay.

Both the 49ers and Redskins haven't dominated one way or the other in the totals department, but Washington is 4-1 to the 'over' the last five games. The Niners have drilled the 'under' the previous two games following a three-game streak of 'overs,' while posting a 3-2 mark to the 'over' on the highway this season.

San Francisco is listed as a 4 ½-point road favorite, while the total is set at 47. Game-time temperatures look to be in the mid-30's, as the contest kicks off at 8:30 PM EST and can be seen on ESPN.

[StarDust Bum]

Monday, November 25

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Francisco - 8:40 PM ET San Francisco -5 500 DOUBLE POD

Washington - Under 46.5 500 POD # 2

[StarDust Bum]

NFL Week 13 opening line report: Oddsmakers giving thanks

This Thanksgiving, Las Vegas oddsmakers are thankful for a relatively tight set of NFL games on the holiday Thursday.

Outside of the Dallas Cowboys being favored by 9.5 points at home to Oakland, the other two contests should stay within a touchdown, which is good news on a day when the turkey-stuffed public loves to pound the favorite and the Over.

“That’s the way it is anytime you see marquee schedules,” Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, tells Covers. “Everyone will have their separate wagers rolling into each other on Thanksgiving. But this year’s schedule presents a pretty good challenge to bettors.”

The biggest question on everyone’s mind heading into Thursday’s trio of games is the status of Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers, who has missed the last three games with a broken collarbone. Korner is advising his clients to keep the game off the board until more is known on Rodgers but says to expect a 7-point swing if the former MVP is ready to go.

“Without (Rodgers), I’d have to say Detroit by a touchdown,” Korner says of Thursday’s early game. “If he’s back, probably around a pick. Detroit was a ‘bet against’ team last week, with early money on Tampa Bay. We’ll see what happens with them with a short week.”

Korner expects the majority of the middle game action to come in strong on Dallas. Most shops are dealing the Cowboys as 9.5-point home favorites but Korner isn’t convinced books will want to go above the key number of 10.

“We’re wary of the Oakland-Dallas game. That’s the trouble game,” says Korner. “Oakland has come down with such a thud last week and Dallas is coming off a big win. All the action with be on Dallas.”

As for the night cap, Korner says books couldn’t be happier to have a rivalry like Pittsburgh-Baltimore split the action. This AFC North grudge match could have a ton of parlay action rolling into it depending on the outcome of the first two games.

“This is the game you want,” he says. “These types of games, anything can happen. The difference is pretty much the home field.”

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (+2)

With both of these AFC West powers coming off a loss, bettors have some tough terrain to scale in Week 13. Denver took the first meeting with Kansas City easily two weeks ago but playing in Arrowhead is a completely different scenario.

“These two are meeting again on such short notice that it is coming in around a pick,” says Korner. “There is a revenge factor for Kansas City but certainly the Chiefs need to redefine themselves and this is the game to do it.”


New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks (-6)

Korner sent out this spread at Seattle -4 but agrees with the move many books have taken to Seahawks -6. New Orleans just hasn’t been the same team away from the Big Easy and heads to the toughest venue in football – CenturyLink Field – where Monday temperatures are expect to be around freezing with a chance of showers.

“That line plays into Seattle, not that the conditions and the home field aren’t noted,” he says. “New Orleans’ last game is going to be on people’s minds – scoring only 17 points on the road in Atlanta – and how different that scoring is between home and the road."




Packers' Rodgers 'slim to none' to play on Thanksgiving

Cheeseheads and Green Bay bettors alike were holding out hope that MVP QB Aaron Rodgers would be able to return to action this Thursday when the Packers head to Detroit to take on the Lions on Thanksgiving.

As reported by Dan Gantt of Pro Football talk, Aaron Rodgers wants to play this week, but Packers coach Mike McCarthy told reporters it would be a 'huge stretch' to think he would be sufficiently recovered from a broken collar bone to play the Lions on Thursday. Rodgers suffered the broken collar bone four weeks ago against Chicago.

McCarthy is leaning towards starting Matt Flynn at QB for the Packers (5-5-1 ATS) against the Lions (6-5 ATS), after solid relief work replacing Scott Tolzien against Minnesota this past Sunday.




Doomed in the dome: Bills struggle in Toronto

The Buffalo Bills make their annual trip north of the border as they 'host' the Atlanta Falcons at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Canada this week.

The date with Atlanta marks the sixth regular season game the Bills will play in the Rogers Centre since 2008.

Despite the game being billed as a home game, Buffalo has had very little success in Toronto.

In the five games in Ontario, the Bills own a 1-4 SU record, 1-3-1 ATS record and 1-4 O/U mark.

The lone Over was the result of the Seattle Seahawks hanging 50 points on the dismal Bills in last season's game.

The Bills are currently 3.5-point favorites and the total is 46.

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Tech Trends - Week 13

November 26, 2013

Thursday, Nov. 28 - NFL, 8:20 p.m. EST

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions Lions 0-9 SU and vs. line last nine at home on Thanksgiving. Pack 1-6 vs. line last seven as visitor. Lions only 1-3 vs. line last 5 and 2-5 last seven TY. Slight to Pack and "over," based on team trends.

Oakland Raiders at Dallas Cowboys Cowboys "over" 9-4 last 13 at home. Oakland 3-2 as road dog TY. Slight to "over" and Raiders, based on "totals" and team trends.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens Last four and six of last seven reg.-season meetings between these two decided by exactly 3 points! Steel 5-13 last 18 vs. line away. Ravens have covered seven straight at home. Ravens, if laying fewer than three, based on recent trends.


Sunday, Dec. 1 - All games to start at 1:00 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts Colts only 2-3 vs. line at home TY. Indy also starting to go "over" (last five) after 22-7-1 "under" run prior. Titans 5-0 vs. line away TY. "Over" and Titans, based on recent trends.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cleveland Browns Jags still just 3-8 vs line TY and 3-12 last 15 but have covered 2 of last 3 TY. Slight to Jags, based on recent trends.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers Bucs "over" 6-1 last seven TY. TB has also covered three four straight since Oct. 24 loss to Panthers. Carolina however has won last 7 SU "Over" and slight to Bucs, based on recent "totals" and team trends.

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings Bears "over" 10-3 last 12 since late 2012, Vikes "over" 11-1 last 12 since late 2012. Bears 6-2 vs. line last 8 meetings. "Over" and slight to Bears, based on "totals" and series trends.
Arizona Cardinals at Philadelphia Eagles Big Red 6-3 vs. line last nine away. Eagles just 1-12 vs. spread as host. Cardinals, based on team trends.

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets Road team 6-1 vs. line last 7 meetings. Dolphins, based on series trends.
New England Patriots at Houston Texans Pats "over" 44-21-1 since last 2009. Texans no 2-9 vs. line TY. Patriots and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.


Sunday, Dec. 1 - Games to start at 4:05 p.m. and 4:25 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Atlanta Falcons vs. Buffalo Bills Game in Toronto. Bills 1-3-1 vs. line in five Toronto games since 2008. But they are 5-1 vs. spread as host TY. Bills also "over" 7-4 TY. Bills and slight to "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers Rams have covered 6 of last 7 TY and covered both vs. SF in 2012, though lost 35-11 to 49ers earlier this season. 49ers 6-1-1 last eight vs. line TY. Fisher 9-4 as road dog since LY. Rams had covered 5 of last 6 meetings entering this season. Rams, based on team trends.

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Chiefs have dropped 4 of last 5 vs. number including Nov. 17 at Denver. Broncos now 16-5 vs. line last 21 reg.-season games on board. Denver "over" 9-2 TY and 45-20-1 since late 2009 but 6 of last 7 "under" vs. Chiefs. Broncos, based on recent trends.

Cincinnati Bengals at San Diego Chargers Chargers 1-3 SU and vs. spread since their "bye" on Oct. 27. Bengals only 1-3-1 vs. line away TY. Slight to Bengals, based on recent trends.


Sunday, Dec. 1 - NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

New York Giants at Washington Redskins NYG 4-2 vs. line last 6 TY. Prior to 49ers, Skins 387 vs. spread in 2013, 1-5 vs. line last six as host since late LY. NYG "under" 9-3-1 last 12 away. Giants and slight to "under," based on team and "totals" trends.


Monday, Dec. 2 - ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge


New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks Saints 1-3 vs. line away TY, Seattle 7-4 vs. line TY, 19-8-1 last 28 on board since early 2012. Also 9-3 last 12 vs. spread at home and "over" 7-4 last 11 at CenturyLink Field, 13-6 "over" last 19 since mid 2012. Seahawks and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

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Total Talk - Thanksgiving

November 27, 2013


Due to the Thanksgiving Day slate this Thursday, bettors will be able to lock and load early in Week 13. We’ll recap last week’s action and go over the rest of the slate in our weekly Total Talk installment. For now, let’s break down the three games on tap.

Green Bay at Detroit (FOX, 12:30 p.m. ET)

Oddsmakers sent out an opening total of 49 ½ points on this matchup and its held steady all week. Since 2001, Green Bay and Detroit have met five times on Thanksgiving. The Packers have taken four of these encounters including the last three. Total players have watched the ‘under’ go 3-2 during this span and most of the fireworks came from the Packers, who had either Brett Favre or Aaron Rodgers under center. Favre is long gone and Rodgers (shoulder) isn’t expected to play again this week. Starting in his place is backup Matt Flynn.

Green Bay showed some offense last week in its 26-26 tie at home against Minnesota. Flynn didn’t start but he passed for 218 yards while completing 21-of-36 passes against the Vikings. Flynn has only started three games in his career, two of them coming in his first stint with the Packers and one earlier this season with the Raiders. In the starts with Green Bay, Flynn tossed nine touchdowns, which included a six-touchdown performance in the final game of the 2011 regular season against Detroit.

Detroit has watched the ‘over’ go 4-1 at home this season and that record would’ve been 5-0 but last week’s game against Tampa Bay (24-21) barely missed the closing number (48) due to a key late turnover. The 21 points scored by the Lions was the lowest total they put up at Ford Field this season. Prior to this outcome, Detroit has scored 34, 49, 24 and 31 in its first four games at home.

On Oct. 6 from Lambeau Field, Green Bay defeated Detroit 22-9 and the closing total of 54 points was never threatened. The Lions didn’t have wide receiver Calvin Johnson due to a knee injury. Including this outcome, the ‘under’ is now 5-1 in the last six meetings. On Thanksgiving, Detroit has watched the ‘under’ produce a 7-4 mark the past 11 seasons but the ‘over’ has gone 2-1 the past three years.

Oakland at Dallas (CBS, 4:30 p.m. ET)

This total looks like an ‘over’ play when you look at the scoring by Dallas (34.6 PPG) at home this season but some bettors might be scratching their heads on the opening number, which was sent out at 45 ½. As of Wednesday, this number is sitting at 46 ½ points which is the lowest home total for Dallas this season. Even though the Cowboys have scored in bunches at home, total players have watched the ‘under’ go 3-2.

Oakland has leaned to the ‘under’ (6-4-1) this season but the ‘over’ is 3-2 in its road games. QB Matt McGloin will get his third start for the Raiders on Thursday and the former walk-on at Penn State has looked better than expected. In last week’s 23-19 home loss to Tennessee, McGloin passed for 260 yards and led the team to five scores, unfortunately four of them were field goals.

The one thing you can say about the ‘Boys on Thanksgiving is that they do score and put on a show. It’s been 11 years since Dallas has been held under 20 points on Turkey Day. Despite the high-scoring performances by Dallas, the ‘under’ has gone 4-2 in its last six games played on the holiday. The two games that went ‘over’ during this span were also losses by the Cowboys as they fell to the Saints (30-27) in 2010 and last year to the Redskins (38-31).

Lastly, this matchup fits the AFC-NFC ‘over’ trend that has connected at a 75 percent (39-13) mark this season.

Pittsburgh at Baltimore (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET)

The Steelers nipped the Ravens 19-16 on Oct. 20 from Heinz Field and the combined 35 points fell ‘under’ the closing total of 41. Prior to this outcome, the ‘over’ was on a 4-1 run in this series. For the rematch on Thursday night, the total is hovering between 40 and 41 points and that might be considered too high when you break down the total numbers for both clubs.

Despite putting up a bunch of points in its last four games (31, 23, 37, 27) Pittsburgh has still watched the ‘under’ go 7-4 on the season. Baltimore has also leaned to the ‘under’ this season (7-3-1) and that includes a 5-0 record to the ‘under’ at home. The Ravens defense has allowed an average of 10.8 PPG at home, which includes last week’s 19-3 home win against the N.Y. Jets.

The Steelers (22.1 PPG) and Ravens (20.6 PPG) are both in the bottom half of the league in scoring and both have had trouble running the football as well. When you factor in low temperatures from Maryland, passing the football might not be an option.

This will be the eighth season that the NFL will have a primetime game on Thanksgiving Day. In the first seven matchups, the ‘under’ has gone 4-3. Baltimore has played under the lights on Turkey Day before as it defeated San Francisco 16-6 at home during the 2011 season.

Fearless Predictions

If you’re reading this piece, then you’re probably betting and for that, we say be thankful that you can. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end - Good Luck and Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours!

Best Over: Oakland-Dallas 47
Best Under: Pittsburgh-Baltimore 41
Best Team Total: Over 19 Oakland

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100):
Over 39 ½ Green Bay-Detroit
Over 38 Oakland-Dallas
Under 50 Pittsburgh-Baltimore

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Thankgiving Tips

November 26, 2013

Packers at Lions (-6 ½, 50) - 12:30 PM EST

Green Bay: 5-5-1 SU, 5-6 ATS
Detroit: 6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS

The NFC North race is turning into a battle of attrition heading into the final month of the season. The Packers looked to be the team to beat until quarterback Aaron Rodgers suffered a left collarbone injury four weeks, as Green Bay is winless in the month of November. Green Bay is going through quarterbacks like donuts at this point as one-time Packer Matt Flynn, re-signed last week after spending time in Oakland and Buffalo this season, came in relief for Scott Tolzien.

Flynn helped engineer a comeback as the Packers trailed the Vikings, 23-7 at home, leading Green Bay to 16 unanswered points and the game to overtime. However, both teams exchanged field goals in overtime and the contest finished in a 26-26 tie, as the Vikings cashed tickets in the underdog role. Once at 5-2, the Packers have slipped to 5-5-1, but can regain first place with a Thanksgiving victory at Detroit.

The Lions stubbed their toe in Sunday's 24-21 home defeat to the suddenly surging Buccaneers to drop their second straight game. Tampa Bay took control thanks to a pair of huge plays, an interception return for a touchdown prior to halftime and an 85-yard scoring strike from Mike Glennon to Tiquan Underwood to start the fourth quarter. Matt Stafford threw four interceptions for Detroit, who has failed to cover its last three games at Ford Field.

In the last meeting at Lambeau Field in October, Green Bay silenced Detroit's offense in a 22-9 triumph to cash as 10-point favorites. The Packers' offense put up 449 yards, including 99 on the ground from running back Eddie Lacy. The victory was the fifth in a row in the series for the Packers, while Green Bay enters Thursday's action with three victories in the last four visits to Ford Field.

Rodgers likely won't suit up for the fourth straight game, meaning Flynn will make his first start for the Packers since Week 17 of the 2011 season. In that start, Flynn faced this same Lions' squad, tossing six touchdown passes and throwing for 480 yards in a 45-41 triumph which eventually got him a nice contract with Seattle.

Raiders at Cowboys (-9 ½, 45 ½) - 4:30 PM EST

Oakland: 4-7 SU, 6-4-1 ATS
Dallas: 6-5 SU, 8-3 ATS

Just when you think the Cowboys are cooked, they pull off a huge divisional victory on the road. That was the case this past Sunday, as Dallas held off New York, 24-21 to cash outright as 2 ½-point road underdogs. The Cowboys built a 21-6 advantage before the Giants rallied for 15 unanswered points to even the game at 21-21, but Dan Bailey's 35-yard field goal at the gun gave Dallas the road triumph. Now, the Cowboys return home seeking their third consecutive victory at AT&T Stadium.

The Raiders couldn't capitalize off a road victory at Houston two weeks ago as Oakland was tripped up at home by Tennessee. The Titans won a back-and-forth affair at the Black Hole by edging the Raiders, 23-19 thanks to a Ryan Fitzpatrick touchdown pass in the closing seconds to Kendall Wright. Former Penn State quarterback Matt McGloin started for the second straight week for Oakland, throwing for 260 yards, but the Raiders held the ball for just 24 minutes.

The last time these teams met up, it happened on Thanksgiving in 2009, as the Cowboys cruised past the Raiders, 24-7 to cash as 13 ½-point home favorites. Tony Romo tossed a pair of touchdown passes, while Dallas rushed for 195 yards, even though none of the running backs who played in that game are currently on the roster.

The Cowboys have struggled in the past as a home favorite, but Dallas has turned things around this season with a 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS mark when laying points in Arlington. However, Dallas looks to turn things around against the AFC West, as the Cowboys have already lost to the Chiefs, Broncos, and Chargers, which actually doesn't hurt them for tiebreaker purposes in the NFC playoff hunt.

Steelers at Ravens (-3, 40 ½) - 8:30 PM EST

Pittsburgh: 5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS
Baltimore: 5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS

Following an 0-4 start, the Steelers have woken up and won five of their past seven games to forge back into the AFC playoff race. The first five spots in the AFC seem to be spoken for, but that final position is up for grabs with six teams sitting at 5-6 heading into this week's action. Pittsburgh or Baltimore can get a leg up with a win on Thursday night, as both clubs are coming off dominating performances this past week.

The Steelers' defense kept the Browns out of the end zone until the final minutes of a 27-11 rout of Cleveland on Sunday, the second divisional victory for Pittsburgh this season. Mike Tomlin's team has won and covered three straight games, but the Steelers own a 2-4 record away from Heinz Field, which includes losses to the Raiders and Vikings.

The Ravens shut down the anemic Jets' offense in a 19-3 home triumph as four-point favorites, while forcing three turnovers. Even though Baltimore reached the end zone just once, the Ravens improved to 4-1 at home, while cashing the 'under' in all five contests at M&T Bank Stadium this season.

The last four meetings between these teams have been decided by three points each, including a 19-16 victory by the Steelers last month. In fact, eight of the previous 10 matchups between these divisional rivals has seen a three-point decision, as this line sits at three heading into Thursday.

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NFL
Long Sheet

Week 13

Thursday, November 28

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GREEN BAY (5 - 5 - 1) at DETROIT (6 - 5) - 11/28/2013, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
DETROIT is 22-42 ATS (-24.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DETROIT is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
DETROIT is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) in November games since 1992.
DETROIT is 30-51 ATS (-26.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 5-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 5-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OAKLAND (4 - 7) at DALLAS (6 - 5) - 11/28/2013, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PITTSBURGH (5 - 6) at BALTIMORE (5 - 6) - 11/28/2013, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-2 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-2 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, December 1

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TENNESSEE (5 - 6) at INDIANAPOLIS (7 - 4) - 12/1/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 17-37 ATS (-23.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (9 - 2) at KANSAS CITY (9 - 2) - 12/1/2013, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (2 - 9) at CLEVELAND (4 - 7) - 12/1/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (3 - 8) at CAROLINA (8 - 3) - 12/1/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 49-25 ATS (+21.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 70-38 ATS (+28.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 46-22 ATS (+21.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (6 - 5) at MINNESOTA (2 - 8 - 1) - 12/1/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
CHICAGO is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CHICAGO is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CHICAGO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CHICAGO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CHICAGO is 9-30 ATS (-24.0 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (7 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (6 - 5) - 12/1/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (5 - 6) at NY JETS (5 - 6) - 12/1/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (2 - 9) vs. BUFFALO (4 - 7) - 12/1/2013, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games off a win against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ST LOUIS (5 - 6) at SAN FRANCISCO (7 - 4) - 12/1/2013, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 96-131 ATS (-48.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 103-134 ATS (-44.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (8 - 3) at HOUSTON (2 - 9) - 12/1/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 100-73 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 100-73 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 157-117 ATS (+28.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) in December games since 1992.
HOUSTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games this season.
HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (7 - 4) at SAN DIEGO (5 - 6) - 12/1/2013, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 115-148 ATS (-47.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY GIANTS (4 - 7) at WASHINGTON (3 - 8) - 12/1/2013, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 28-51 ATS (-28.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 17-37 ATS (-23.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, December 2

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NEW ORLEANS (9 - 2) at SEATTLE (10 - 1) - 12/2/2013, 8:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
SEATTLE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.