NBA Week 5 thread (35-20, +$1738 on the year)...

[TCB in a Flash]

Congrats & thanks again!

[bwade210]

Congratulations on the winner and thanks for all of your write ups!

[drugstuntman]

what is this - 5 in a row....???? sure am glad I found you here brewer, you are a huge help to the forum, thanks!

[brewers7]

Vinny:

Thanx for explaining things and feel free to do so...

I started posting on various forums 4 NBA seasons ago, and I remember Vinny Vegas from just about Day 1...So he probably knows me better than any internet poster...

He is my watch-dog here, as I can't be here all the time to answer all of the questions...

I am simply sharing information and knowledge and trying to help people...

Yes, I am plugging my NBA database here and there, but I don't see a problem doing that because it is a powerful weapon for the serious handicapper...

One forum banned me today because 3 people asked me a question about my database, and I answered their questions without posting a link to it, but an overzealous (and undoubtedly JEALOUS) moderator banned me because he has a problem with me mentioning my NBA database...

Well, hey, sorry...I am helping a lot of people who want to learn how to handicap by passing on my 20+ years of experience and knowledge with these previews and write-ups...I am not selling a service on ANY forum, I am selling my NBA database for those interested and I feel the trade-off is fair...I don't openly sell, it, but if people ask questions about it, I answer them...I am not hurting anyone by mentioning my NBA database from time to time...

But there are a few moderators out there who think they can handicap and are very jealous of other handicappers who are clearly better than they are...That's too bad...Their forums will suffer...

I am just happy to post here and help out...

Thanx again Vinny, for having my back here...

Anyway, here are my previews for today and I'll have a bet later...

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Early looks at Thursday's games:

Detroit at Miami: James Posey is probable for Miami...This is obviously a revenge spot for the Heat knocking the Pistons out of the playoffs last season...Detroit has won 13 of the last 16 h2h vs. Miami in the regular season and 10-6 ATS in those games...The Pistons have won 6 of the last 8 regular season games at Miami...The last 8 in this h2h series have gone Under, but 6 of those were from the playoffs last season...Still, in the regular season, 5 of the alst 7 have gone Under between these two teams...DET seems to be downplaying this game in the newspapers while MIA is saying this is a statement game for them, so I am wondering if MIA is more motivated for this one...DET has won 6 in a row and has 3 days rest for this game, but MIA has won 2 straight since Dwayne Wade has become the point guard 3 games ago, and MIA has scored 100+ points in all 3 of those games...And with this being a TNT game, I cannot help but look at the Over here...

Utah at LA Lakers: Brian Cook is questiobale for the Lakers...Quick revenge spot here for the Lakers, who lost at Utah last week and blew a decent 4Q lead...Utah is 7-4 SU & 9-1-1 ATS vs. LAL the last 11 games h2h...7 out of those 11 games went Over...The Lakers were 8-1 SU at Home before losing to MILW 2 days ago, as they settled for perimeter shots, taking a team record 37 threes...I would imagine Coach Phil Jackson had something to say about that at practice yesterday...MILW used a zone defense against the Lake-Show, and LAL seemed to have problems attacking it, as they settled for treys all night...Utah is 3-1 SU & 2-2 ATS in the back-end of bk-2-bks this season but in all 4 cases, their opponent was on a back-ender, too, while the Lakers are 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS when they have rest and their opponents do not this season...Big let-down spot for Utah off the win last night vs. San Antonio...


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[bwade210]

Always love your writeup my friend!

[the lumberjack]

thanks and gl B7!!!!!!!!!!

[brewers7]

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Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ================================================== ======================
Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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Preseason posted plays: 9-3-1
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Season To Date: 38-20, +$2138

Sides: 17-8, +$969, Totals: 13-9, +$701, 1H bets: 1-1, -$4, 2H bets: 3-1, +$193, ML: 1-1, +$29, Quarters: 3-0, +$250

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Thursday, November 30

Los Angeles Lakers -4 -- $156 to win $150 --- (or LA Lakers -4 hcp @1.962, 1.5/10, Pinnacle)

Quick revenge spot here for the Lakers, who lost at Utah last week and blew a decent 4Q lead...The Lakers were 8-1 SU at Home before losing to MILW 2 days ago, as they settled for perimeter shots, taking a team record 37 threes...I would imagine Coach Phil Jackson had something to say about that at practice yesterday...MILW used a zone defense against the Lake-Show, and LAL seemed to have problems attacking it, as they settled for treys all night...Utah is 3-1 SU & 2-2 ATS in the back-end of bk-2-bks this season but in all 4 cases, their opponent was on a back-ender, too, while the Lakers are 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS when they have rest and their opponents do not this season...Big let-down spot for Utah off the win last night vs. San Antonio...Lakers in bounce-back mode after the loss to Milwaukee, plus the quick-revenge spot vs. Utah here makes them a play...Utah already won a fairlt big game vs. LAL in come-from-behind fashion, and afetr a big win last night, what is the motivation for the Jazz?...In Real Estate, the 3 most important things are Location, Location & Location...In NBA Handicapping, the 3 most important factors is determining which team has more Motivation, Motivation & Motivation...I feel the Lakers have the motivational edge here tonight...

Good Luck...brewers7
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Thursday's Picks for tracking purposes:

Sides:

1) LAL, 2) Det

Totals:

1) Det ov, 2) LAL un
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Please note: Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above...
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Recent Results:
Yesterday: 1-0 (+$150)
Last 3 days: 3-0 (+$400)
Last 7 days: 7-3 (+$436)
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Database sample links: http://www.tricountyleague.com/TeamSample.xls
http://www.tricountyleague.com/SeasonBySeasonSample.xls
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Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot...Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Money management…Bet with your head, not over it...Stay humble…Act professional…
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[drugstuntman]

thanks brewer !!!!!!!

[Tnbreakers]

Thanks and Good Luck!

[PhilJr]

GL and appreciate what you have brought to the forum

[ChangingMyLuck3]

brewer, you are GOD. i thought I was god, but I guess I must be one level down... im on it!

[thaikarate1]

Thanks Brewer

I am going to put a little on a parlay on your opinion.

[GrandPa]

Wonder if God has an apprenticeship program? I'll apply!

Thanks and GL

[Stealth]

Thanks B7. Always appreciated!!!

[SACPAC]

Thanks B7 And Good Luck..