NBA Week 5 thread (35-20, +$1738 on the year)...

[KazDog]

Brewer....You just have the one play for tonight. Over Suns/bucks. Correct?

KAZ

[tash]

Thanks For Posting!

[SACPAC]

Thanks B7 Good Luck..

[vinnyvegas]

Winner

[Moose21]

Great job!!!!!!!!!!!

[KR-V3]

Thanks again B7!!!! that call was tits!!

[vinnyvegas]

Brewer....You just have the one play for tonight. Over Suns/bucks. Correct?

KAZ

KDog, yes he usually only plays one...unless he posts a 2nd H which has been rare this year.

One play, one winner PER NIGHT lately...on a god damn roll he is!

[tash]

Yes He Is....thanks Watch Dog!

[Stealth]

Keep up the great work B7. You are the best!!

[brewers7]

Thanx folks...Don't know how long it will last, but I am trying...

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Early looks at Saturday's games:

Philadelphia at New Jersey: Shavlik Randolph broke his ankle on Thursday duriing practice (in what teammates referred to as a Joe Theisman type of injury and Mo Cheeks said he had never seen anything like it in his life -- Randolph was carted away in an ambulance to the hospital) and is Out indefinitely & Chris Webber is expected to play for Philly...Josh Boone & Eddie House are probable for NJ...NJ suddenly owns this h2h series, going 7-4 SU & 9-2 ATS, although the Sixers have won 2 straight and 3 of 4 h2h...Philly had 4 days rest earlier in the season and then won outright at Seattle on 11/15, but this is a chart-play to NJ, who had lost 6 straight (didn't cover in 5 and had a push) and then won in come-from-behind fashion at BOS and covered...Not seeing any angles on the total at all except that Philly did go Under with 4 days rest in that game at SEA...

Miami at Memphis: Definitely a chart-play to fade Memphis here after Covering 6 straight and then Not Covering last time out at Staples against the Clips...Dwayne Wade is coming off one of the worst games of his career so he, personally, is in major bounce-back mode here...These teams have played 6 straight Unders h2h...MEMP just one Under at Home in regulation time this season (5-1 to the Under in regualtion), but the Heat are 5-1 to the Over on the Road...Something has to give here with the total and I am thinking Over since Miami has scored 100+ in 3 of their last 4 games since Wade has taken over as the point-guard and he should bounce back after his 5-for-23 outing since, to this point of the season, he has not had 2 games in a row where he has shot less than 40% in a game...

Toronto at New York: Morris Peterson is doubtful for Toronto...The Knicks are 1-6 at Home and 5-6 on the Road while Toronto is diametrically opposite of that with a 1-8 Road record and 5-2 at Home...So NY is 1-6 at Home and TOR is 1-8 on the Road...Something has got to give...Toronto is 5-1 SU & ATS in this h2h series...And yes, we have another 4-of-5 game here, and in fact, BOTH teams are playing their 4th game in 5 nights...This is the strongest of the 4-of-5 trends, generally speaking, and it is 1-1 ATS this season, despite going up against 2 very tough situational spots with other trends going against them in those 2 spots...The Knicks had three 4-of-5 spots last year, going 0-3 SU & ATS, losing by 26 to DET, 33 to LAL and 7 to CHAR...Toronto was also 0-2 SU @ ATS in the 4-of-5 spot last year, with one being at Home and one being on the Road...TOR has won 3 of 4 and the Knicks lost last night, but I think TOR can take this one and get the 4-of-5 trend in the win column here as the knicks are feeling the pressure at Home because the MSG fans are being super-tough on them...And Starbury doesn't like his role (big surprise) so him and Isiah aren't seeing eye-to-eye...NY is 0-3 SU & ATS at Home on the back-end of a bk-2-bk when their opponent is also on a back-ender this season...There is a strong chart-play to the Over for Toronto because after 5 straight and 7 of 8 Unders, they now have 2 straight Overs...NY 4-1 to the Over on back-enders, and TOR has been strong to the Over the past season or 2 and are already 2-0 to the Over this season back-enders so Everything points to an Over here...

Sacramento at San Antonio: Ron Artest is questionable with back spasms for SAC...Manu Ginobili expected to miss for SA...A quick revenge spot here for SAC since the Spurs knocked them off on 11/19 at SAC, but is this really a factor here at all?...The kings were throttled and embarrassed on National TV last night, so they are certainly in bounce-back mode, but are 0-2 SU & ATS in the back-end of bk-2-bks on the Road this season...SA has lost 2 straight, so I expect this team to come with some vim and vigor tonight, and that can only be bad news for SAC...SA is 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS when they have rest and their opponent does not at Home this season, going Under in 2 of those games...These 2 have gone under 5 of their last 7 regular season games...

Cleveland at Houston: Larry Hughes is questionable for Cleveland...Tracy McGrady has won all 5 games against LeBron James and the Cavs when he has played, averaging 35.2 points per game in the 5 wins...CLE did win the last meeting, 104-102 in OT on 3/26/06, but McGrady missed that game...These teams have gone Under 4 of the last 5 h2h and HOU is 5-1 SU & ATS h2h the last 6...TMAC is also coming off a bad shooting game at PHOE that saw him go 9-for-26...So TMAC is in bounce-back mode, as is HOU...The Rockets haven't covered 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall and are 3-1 SU, BUT 0-4 ATS this season when they have rest and their opponent does not, with the last 3 going Under...HOU is also Under 5 straight now...CLE is Over 3 straight and pushed on the total the game before that...CLE is 0-3 SU & ATS on the back-end of bk-2-bks games on the Road this season, and all 3 times, they won the front-end...HOU is 6-1 SU at Home, but 1-6 ATS, not coveing 6 straight...

Washington at Chicago: No total posted...Malik Allen is questionable for Chicago...CHI is 26th in the league in FG% allowed (what defense?)...The Bulls won 3 of 4 from the Wiz last season to avenge a playoff ouster the season before...The Bulls have now won 3 straight after losing 6 straight...The Wiz have won 2 straight after losing 7 of 8...Bulls Over 4 of 5...Both teams Over 2 of 3 games on back-enders this season...CHI 1-2 ATS and WAS 2-1 ATS in back-enders this season...The Wiz are winless on the Road this season at 0-7, but are 3-4 ATS...CHI 3-1 SU & ATS this season...

Indiana at Denver: Jermaine O'Neal is probable, but not 100% healthy for Indy...Joe Smith is questionable and Nene Hilario is expected to miss for Denver...This is the other 4-of-5 game for the night...Indy did not cover in this spot already on the Road by a bucket at CHI on 11/11 after covering and winning the entire gameThe Bulls made a late run to win, outscoring Indy 30-14 in the 4Q...Indy was 0-2 SU & ATS last season in 4 of 5's, but one of the losses was at Home (where you are supposed to lose in this situational spot), but the other game was on the Road at CLE, a 30-point loss as they lost every game of that 4-of-5 and didn't cover the last 3, while with the current 4-of-5, Indy has covered every game and won the first 2...Indy 3-3 SU & 4-2 ATS in the back-end of bk-2-bks this season and 1-0 SU & ATS when they and their opponent are both on back-enders...DEN is 1-2 SU & ATS on the back-end of bk-2-bks this season...Indy 4-2 and DEN 2-0-1 to the Over on back-enders this season...Indy Over 3 straight, while DEN is a chart-play to the under, but does this even apply to the Nuggets this season?...DEN 4-0 SU & ATS the last 4 vs. Indy...

Seattle at Utah: SEA was 7-2 SU & ATS vs. Utah coming into the season in their last 9 vs. Utah at Home, but the Jazz have already beat them once, 118-109 at Seattle on 11/17...Utah in an extreme bounce-back spot after a 30-point loss against the Lakers on National TV last time out...SEA is 1-2 SU & 2-1 ATS in back-enders this season while Utah is getting their first shot at an unrested opponent when they have rest...SEA 2-1 to the Under in their back-enders this season...

LA Lakers at LA Clippers: Revenge spot here for the Clips as they lost to the Lake-Show on 11/21 by 4, 105-101...Very stromg chart-play here for the Clips as they won and Covered last time out against MEMP after having a NC7, losing 6 of those games...Lakers in a bit of a let-down spot after the revenge spot demolition on National TV against Utah, where Kobe went off for 52 points and had 30 in the 3Q on 9-for-9 shooting from the field and 10-for-10 shooting from the FT line...Lakers have won 3 of 4 in this h2h series, but the Clips had won 3 straight before that...Kobe has averaged 40 points per game vs. the Clips in the last 7 games against them...Lakers a chart-play to the Over as they started the season with 4 Overs, then 6 unders, now 4 Overs and a push the last 5...Both teams have been strong at Staples this season...

Milwaukee at Golden State: No total posted...Jason Richardson is questionable for GS...The Warriors have already played 7 games this season where they had rest and their opponent did not (all at Home) and have gone 4-3 SU & ATS and 5-2 to the Over in this spot...MILW is 1-3 ATS overall and 0-1 ATS on the Road in back-enders this season...GS had won 4 straight h2h meetings before losing by 3 at Home to the Bucks last season in a quick-revenge spot on 11/15/05, and MILW was on the back-end of a bk-2-bk in that game and GS had 1 days rest...GS Over 5 of their last 6 overall and MILW Over 3 straight Overall...

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[Spark]

Brewers .. were you and I on another forum at one time??? I think so ...

[vinnyvegas]

Brewers .. were you and I on another forum at one time??? I think so ...

Spark, YES it's who you think it is/was...good one to have here!!!

[Spark]

Spark, YES it's who you think it is/was...good one to have here!!!

Great ....

Yes ... Good Guy vinny ... Thanks ...

Now get your wife to post for us ...

[vinnyvegas]

Great ....

Yes ... Good Guy vinny ... Thanks ...

Now get your wife to post for us ...

LMAO...

She says ARK +3 (her best play of CFB this year...)

I'M NOT KIDDING!!

[bwade210]

Love the writeups and the great plays, good luck my friend!