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Early looks at Monday's games:
Philadelphia at Miami: Stephen Hunter is questionable for Philly...An early revenge spot here for the Heat after losing at Philly on 11/5...The Heat have won 5 straight at Home vs. Philly h2h...Have to figure Coach Pat Riley is going to figure out ways to win sooner than later with this Miami squad...Almost looks too easy to take Miami here, which of course scares me, as 79% of the bets are on the Heat and we have no line-move...6 of the last 7 between these 2 teams have gone Over...MIA has gone Over 4 straight overall and PHI has gone Over 2 straight...
Minnesota at Dallas: The Mavs haven't covered this Vegas number against Minny at Home in 8 straight games and 11 of 12...There have been Unders in 5 of the last 7 between thse 2 at Dallas and 6 of 7 overall...Dallas has won 9 straight, covering 8 (and 4 in a row) while Minny has suddenly won and covered 3 straight...My first instinct is to jump on Minny, but Dallas is playing so well right now, and with Josh Howard back for his third same now since coming back from injury, they will only get better...But I have always been a DOG player in the NBA, so my lean will be with the points here...Besides, it isn't easy to win 10 in a row in the NBA or any professional sport...
Orlando at Utah: Why does Vegas keep making these Orlndo totals hight?...The Magic are 7-2-1 to the Under their last 10 (with Denver as one of the Overs, so that doesn't even count, does it?), and the pace of many of these games aren't all that quick...Now granted, Utah is Over 7 of their last 9, but had a 169 last time out at GS, who played a zone against Utah and dared them to make outside shots...The result?...The Jazz shot 32.5%, a season-low for any team in the NBA this season...Now I usually have a kneejerk reaction to taking teams off extremely bad shooting nights like this as it is a bounce-bak spot, but Utah has the Spurs up next, so it may be a bit of a look-ahead game, too...Plus, after the 12-1 start, I see some losses coming here in the short-term for the Jazz...This line has come down 1/2 a point despite 63% action on the Jazz to this point...
San Antonio at Golden State: Manu Ginobili is questionable for the Spurs and Baron Davis and Michael Pietrus are questionable for the Warriors.80% of the early action was on SA, but now that is down to 55% action on the Spurs...SA has won 7 straight h2h, covering 6 of those games...But GS has a new coach this season, and having Don NElson on the sidelines makes all the difference in the world...The Spurs are 7-0 SU & ATS this season on the Road, which is not only impressive, it is difficult to maintain in the NBA...This won't last much longer, and this undefeated stretch may end tonight...To me, it doesn't matter if Davis or Pietrus play or not because GS has a lot of interchangeable parts on this team...However, SA will probably be without Ginobili for the second straight game, and this DOES matter because teams generally rise up their first game with a star player injured...SA is 5-2 to the Over on the Road this season, while GS is a coin-flip at Home, with 5 Unders and 5 Overs...
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Early looks at Monday's games:
Philadelphia at Miami: Stephen Hunter is questionable for Philly...An early revenge spot here for the Heat after losing at Philly on 11/5...The Heat have won 5 straight at Home vs. Philly h2h...Have to figure Coach Pat Riley is going to figure out ways to win sooner than later with this Miami squad...Almost looks too easy to take Miami here, which of course scares me, as 79% of the bets are on the Heat and we have no line-move...6 of the last 7 between these 2 teams have gone Over...MIA has gone Over 4 straight overall and PHI has gone Over 2 straight...
Minnesota at Dallas: The Mavs haven't covered this Vegas number against Minny at Home in 8 straight games and 11 of 12...There have been Unders in 5 of the last 7 between thse 2 at Dallas and 6 of 7 overall...Dallas has won 9 straight, covering 8 (and 4 in a row) while Minny has suddenly won and covered 3 straight...My first instinct is to jump on Minny, but Dallas is playing so well right now, and with Josh Howard back for his third same now since coming back from injury, they will only get better...But I have always been a DOG player in the NBA, so my lean will be with the points here...Besides, it isn't easy to win 10 in a row in the NBA or any professional sport...
Orlando at Utah: Why does Vegas keep making these Orlndo totals hight?...The Magic are 7-2-1 to the Under their last 10 (with Denver as one of the Overs, so that doesn't even count, does it?), and the pace of many of these games aren't all that quick...Now granted, Utah is Over 7 of their last 9, but had a 169 last time out at GS, who played a zone against Utah and dared them to make outside shots...The result?...The Jazz shot 32.5%, a season-low for any team in the NBA this season...Now I usually have a kneejerk reaction to taking teams off extremely bad shooting nights like this as it is a bounce-bak spot, but Utah has the Spurs up next, so it may be a bit of a look-ahead game, too...Plus, after the 12-1 start, I see some losses coming here in the short-term for the Jazz...This line has come down 1/2 a point despite 63% action on the Jazz to this point...
San Antonio at Golden State: Manu Ginobili is questionable for the Spurs and Baron Davis and Michael Pietrus are questionable for the Warriors.80% of the early action was on SA, but now that is down to 55% action on the Spurs...SA has won 7 straight h2h, covering 6 of those games...But GS has a new coach this season, and having Don NElson on the sidelines makes all the difference in the world...The Spurs are 7-0 SU & ATS this season on the Road, which is not only impressive, it is difficult to maintain in the NBA...This won't last much longer, and this undefeated stretch may end tonight...To me, it doesn't matter if Davis or Pietrus play or not because GS has a lot of interchangeable parts on this team...However, SA will probably be without Ginobili for the second straight game, and this DOES matter because teams generally rise up their first game with a star player injured...SA is 5-2 to the Over on the Road this season, while GS is a coin-flip at Home, with 5 Unders and 5 Overs...
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