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  • Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    — Arizona State 80, USC 78— Trojans’ last three losses are by total of six points.

    — North Carolina 82, Duke 78— Duke scored 49 points in first half, 29 in second.

    — North Texas 67, UAB 60— Mean Green is 7-4 in C-USA; last five years, they were 30-60.

    — UCLA 82, Arizona 74— Bruins made 11-24 behind the arc; this is only their 2nd road win.

    — Tennessee State 64, Belmont 56— Pretty big upset in the OVC.

    — Tulsa 91, Tulane 89 OT— Tulsa was 29-40 on foul line; they were down 10 at the half.


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random thoughts from the desert……

    13) One of things that I like about is Las Vegas is sitting in the sportsbook, watching games, and thinking…….last night, I was thinking about how this website can improve.

    Came up with couple of ideas, one of which will start in April— I think you’ll enjoy it, and one will take place next fall— some people might not like this one as much, but hopefully it’ll make this site a better one to read and one you can profit more from reading.

    12) Cleveland Cavaliers made three trades Thursday; they dealt six players, acquired four, and hopefully improved their team.

    11) Someone on ESPN Thursday afternoon casually mentioned that “Isaiah Thomas might come off the bench for the Lakers.” Not long after, a message appeared on ESPN’s crawl that Thomas’ agent had texted someone at ESPN, saying “Thomas WILL NOT COME OFF THE BENCH for the Lakers.” Apparently someone is really sensitive about what he hears on TV.

    10) I’ve spent 17 years of my life involved with basketball teams- I did a lot with analytics and numbers to help the head coach make decisions.

    If I ever got back into this, one of things I’d change is making sure a player who assisted on a 3-point shot would get credit for 1.5 assists— would have to make a new category, but you get my point. Passing for a foul shot or 3-point basket needs to be recognized, not just 2-point baskets.

    9) Upsets of the Night:
    UL-Monroe (+12) 66, Georgia Southern 64
    North Texas (+10) 67, UAB 60
    UCLA (+9) 82, Arizona 74
    Monmouth (+8.5) 72, Iona 50
    Tennessee State (+7.5) 64, Belmont 56
    Wisconsin (+5.5) 78, Illinois 69

    8) One of the new and not necessarily better features of the Westgate sportsbook is an increased interest in hockey- they had the volume up on the hometown Golden Knights’ game Thursday night, instead of UCLA-Arizona, with Pasch/Walton on the mike. No bueno.

    7) Question of the Day: What would you do if you were worth $10 billion? I was watching a movie on TV last week about the guy who founded Facebook- he has to be pretty damn rich now, right? He is 33 years old and is worth $73 billion, 73 freakin’ billion dollars.

    What does he do every day that keeps him interested? Having a sick amount of money is great, but you have to have something that makes you jump out of bed in the morning. I wonder how the really rich people stay motivated? What makes them get up in the morning?

    6) Dodger pitcher Ross Stripling went to seven weddings this offseason, including his own; five of the seven were guys on the Dodgers getting married.

    5) Manhattan College is in the Bronx, not Manhattan; Long Island University is in Brooklyn, not on Long Island.

    4) Toronto Raptors’ guard Kyle Lowry gave $1M to his alma mater Villanova, so they can re-do the locker room facilities in their fieldhouse.

    Seems like a lot of cash, but Lowry has struck gold in the NBA- he has a 3-year, $90M contract, so giving away $1M of it ain’t such a big deal, but its a big deal to Villanova— it is the largest gift they’ve ever gotten from a former athlete.

    3) Portland Trailblazers hired former referee Don Vaden, to serve as a consultant who offers advice on league rules, background on referee personalities and tendencies, and knowledge on how to avoid or draw fouls. Good idea.

    2) 49ers gave QB Jimmy Garoppolo a 5-year, $137.5M contract, which is a lot of cabbage for a guy with seven NFL starts— he did win all seven of them.

    1— Why do college basketball teams have timeouts on the court while NBA teams have them on the bench, where they’re supposed to be?
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Friday, February 9


      Pelicans won seven of last ten games with Philly; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five games in this building. Five of last seven series games stayed under. New Orleans lost four of its last five games; they’re 9-8 as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over. 76ers lost four of their last six games; they covered their last six games as home underdogs. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

      Blake Griffin against his old team. Clippers lost last two games with Detroit, after winning previous eight; they’re 1-2-1 vs spread in last four visits to the Motor City. Over is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. Clippers won four of their last five games; they’re 7-2 in last nine games as road underdogs. LA’s last five games went under the total. Pistons won their last five games; they’re 3-8 in last 11 games as home favorites. Over is 6-1 in their last seven games.

      Road team won seven of last nine Cleveland-Atlanta games; Cavaliers are 2-3 vs spread in last five games in this arena. Over is 9-1 in last ten series games. Cleveland is 4-3 in its last seven games; they’re 0-9 in last nine games as road favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. Hawks lost six of their last nine games; they’re 6-3 vs spread in last nine games as home dogs, 7-3-1 if they played nite before. Last three Atlanta games stayed under.

      Celtics won their last five games with Indiana; last four series games went over. Pacers are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Boston. Indiana won six of its last nine games, they’re 2-6 in last eight games as road underdogs. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Celtics won five of their last six games; they’re 5-8 in last 13 games as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under.

      Miami won its last four games with the Bucks; over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Milwaukee is 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to south Florida. Bucks won seven of their last eight games; they’re 7-4 in last 11 games as road underdogs. Last eight Milwaukee games stayed under total. Heat lost its last five games; they’re 4-12-1 as home favorites. Last three Miami games went over the total.

      Minnesota won its last four games with Chicago; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five visits to the Windy City. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Timberwolves lost their last five road games; they’re 7-5-1 vs spread as road favorites. Four of their last six games stayed under. Bulls lost their last seven games (0-6 vs spread in last six); they’re 9-7 as home underdogs. Seven of their last nine games stayed under.

      Rockets won their last five games with Denver; three of last four series games stayed under total. Nuggets are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Houston. Denver won six of its last eight games; they’re 1-4-1 in last six games as road favorites. Four of their last five games went over the total. Houston won its last six games; they’re 4-9 vs spread in last 13 games as home favorites. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

      Home side won last eight Charlotte-Utah games; Hornets are 1-3-1 vs spread in last five visits to Utah. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Charlotte is 3-4 in its last seven games, 8-10-2 as road underdogs, 4-4 if they played night before. Four of their last five games went over the total. Jazz won its last seven games (6-1 vs spread); they’re 4-12 in last 16 games as home favorites. Four of their last five games went over.

      Home side won last five Portland-Sacramento games; Blazers are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits here. Seven of last nine series games stayed under total. Portland lost three of its last four games; they’re 3-3-1 if they played night before, 5-4 as road favorites. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Sacramento is 4-3 in its last seven games; they’re 0-5 in last five games as home underdogs. Over is 5-5 in their last ten games.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • NBA

        Friday, February 9


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        LA CLIPPERS @ DETROIT
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
        Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

        NEW ORLEANS @ PHILADELPHIA
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 11 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
        Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
        Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

        CLEVELAND @ ATLANTA
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
        Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
        Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Cleveland

        INDIANA @ BOSTON
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Boston
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games on the road
        Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
        Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

        DENVER @ HOUSTON
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
        Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver

        MILWAUKEE @ MIAMI
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games on the road
        Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
        Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

        CHARLOTTE @ UTAH
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
        Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
        Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte

        MINNESOTA @ CHICAGO
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
        Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games

        PORTLAND @ SACRAMENTO
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
        Portland is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Sacramento
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing Portland
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 10 games at home
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • NBA
          Dunkel

          Friday, February 9



          New Orleans @ Philadelphia

          Game 801-802
          February 9, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          New Orleans
          116.202
          Philadelphia
          123.710
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Philadelphia
          by 7 1/2
          226
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Philadelphia
          by 5 1/2
          221 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Philadelphia
          (-5 1/2); Over

          LA Clippers @ Detroit


          Game 803-804
          February 9, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          LA Clippers
          115.023
          Detroit
          122.534
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Detroit
          by 7 1/2
          223
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Detroit
          by 3
          217
          Dunkel Pick:
          Detroit
          (-3); Over

          Cleveland @ Atlanta


          Game 805-806
          February 9, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Cleveland
          118.737
          Atlanta
          117.665
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Cleveland
          by 1
          209
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Cleveland
          No Line
          N/A
          Dunkel Pick:
          Cleveland
          N/A

          Indiana @ Boston


          Game 807-808
          February 9, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Indiana
          119.872
          Boston
          118.698
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Indiana
          by 1
          197
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Boston
          by 5
          204 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Indiana
          (+5); Under

          Milwaukee @ Miami


          Game 809-810
          February 9, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Milwaukee
          121.339
          Miami
          120.486
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Milwaukee
          by 1
          205
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Miami
          by 1 1/2
          198 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Milwaukee
          (+1 1/2); Over

          Minnesota @ Chicago


          Game 811-812
          February 9, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Minnesota
          121.367
          Chicago
          116.290
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Minnesota
          by 5
          221
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Minnesota
          by 7
          215 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Chicago
          (+7); Over

          Denver @ Houston


          Game 813-814
          February 9, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Denver
          117.473
          Houston
          126.981
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Houston
          by 9 1/2
          214
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Houston
          No Line
          N/A
          Dunkel Pick:
          Houston
          N/A

          Charlotte @ Utah


          Game 815-816
          February 9, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Charlotte
          113.542
          Utah
          121.896
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Utah
          by 8 1/2
          201
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Utah
          by 4 1/2
          208 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Utah
          (-4 1/2); Under

          Portland @ Sacramento


          Game 817-818
          February 9, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Portland
          118.563
          Sacramento
          115.776
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Portland
          by 3
          202
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Portland
          by 6 1/2
          207 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Sacramento
          (+6 1/2); Under
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • NBA
            Long Sheet

            Friday, February 9


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NEW ORLEANS (28 - 25) at PHILADELPHIA (26 - 25) - 2/9/2018, 7:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NEW ORLEANS is 123-159 ATS (-51.9 Units) in road games in the second half of the season since 1996.
            PHILADELPHIA is 77-55 ATS (+16.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
            PHILADELPHIA is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ORLEANS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
            NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LA CLIPPERS (27 - 25) at DETROIT (27 - 26) - 2/9/2018, 7:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            LA CLIPPERS are 110-144 ATS (-48.4 Units) in February games since 1996.
            LA CLIPPERS are 91-123 ATS (-44.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
            LA CLIPPERS are 211-267 ATS (-82.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DETROIT is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
            LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CLEVELAND (31 - 22) at ATLANTA (17 - 38) - 2/9/2018, 7:35 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            ATLANTA is 7-7 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
            CLEVELAND is 10-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
            11 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            INDIANA (30 - 25) at BOSTON (40 - 16) - 2/9/2018, 7:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            BOSTON is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games this season.
            BOSTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
            BOSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
            INDIANA is 216-165 ATS (+34.5 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            BOSTON is 5-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
            BOSTON is 6-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
            5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MILWAUKEE (30 - 23) at MIAMI (29 - 26) - 2/9/2018, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MILWAUKEE is 365-438 ATS (-116.8 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
            MILWAUKEE is 53-99 ATS (-55.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
            MIAMI is 75-60 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            MIAMI is 142-109 ATS (+22.1 Units) in February games since 1996.
            MIAMI is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            MIAMI is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home games this season.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MIAMI is 6-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
            MIAMI is 6-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
            5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MINNESOTA (34 - 23) at CHICAGO (18 - 35) - 2/9/2018, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MINNESOTA is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 53-82 ATS (-37.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
            MINNESOTA is 37-60 ATS (-29.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            CHICAGO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MINNESOTA is 4-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
            MINNESOTA is 4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DENVER (29 - 25) at HOUSTON (40 - 13) - 2/9/2018, 8:05 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DENVER is 5-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
            HOUSTON is 5-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
            5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CHARLOTTE (23 - 31) at UTAH (26 - 28) - 2/9/2018, 9:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            CHARLOTTE is 56-73 ATS (-24.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            CHARLOTTE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
            CHARLOTTE is 23-44 ATS (-25.4 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
            CHARLOTTE is 174-218 ATS (-65.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
            CHARLOTTE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
            UTAH is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            CHARLOTTE is 4-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
            CHARLOTTE is 3-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PORTLAND (30 - 25) at SACRAMENTO (17 - 36) - 2/9/2018, 10:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            PORTLAND is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            SACRAMENTO is 4-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
            PORTLAND is 7-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
            7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • Hoop Trends - Friday
              February 9, 2018


              ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

              -- The Timberwolves are 11-0 ATS (6.59 ppg) on the road off a road game in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

              OU TREND OF THE DAY:

              -- The Kings are 12-0 OU (12.96 ppg) at home off a win as a favorite in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.

              PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

              -- The Rockets are 0-10-1 OU (-12.18 ppg) off a win in which James Harden made at least five three pointers.

              CHOICE TREND:


              -- The Kings are 0-12 ATS (-5.58 ppg) as a dog with more than one day of rest after a win in which they trailed after the third.

              ACTIVE TRENDS:

              -- The Pistons are 0-12 ATS (-10.04 ppg) at home after Andre Drummond shot worse than 33 percent from the field last game.

              -- The Hornets are 0-10 OU (-14.65 ppg) as a dog off a road loss in which Kemba Walker took more than 20 shots.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • Friday's Tip Sheet
                February 9, 2018


                Game of the Night: Bucks at Heat (-1 ½, 198 ½) – 8:05 PM EST


                The crazy NBA trade deadline came to a conclusion on Thursday afternoon with the Cavaliers wheeling and dealing for nearly a roster overhaul. One of the veterans that Cleveland parted with was Dwyane Wade, who makes his triumphant return to Miami following 13 seasons with the Heat to go along with three championships. Wade is expected to take the court on Friday as the Heat try to rebound from a five-game losing streak.

                Miami (29-26 SU, 25-27-3 ATS) has slipped to second place in the Southeast division behind surging Washington as the Heat’s defense has let them down recently. Following a five-game stretch of allowing less than 100 points, Miami has given up 111, 111, and 109 points the past three trips to the court, resulting in three consecutive OVERS. The latest setback came against Houston on Wednesday, 109-101 as 4 ½-point underdogs, even though both Josh Richardson and Goran Dragic posted 30-point efforts.

                Milwaukee (30-23 SU, 23-25-2 ATS) seeks its first victory in three tries against Miami this season after losing twice in a four-day span to the Heat last month. The Bucks have won seven of eight games since firing head coach Jason Kidd, including a sweep of the struggling Empire State squads with road blowouts of the Nets and Knicks this week. Milwaukee is riding an eight-game UNDER streak, while yielding below 100 points six times in this stretch.

                Motor City Reunion

                The Pistons (27-26 SU, 26-25-2 ATS) haven’t lost since acquiring Blake Griffin from the Clippers last month, going 5-0. In Griffin’s four games in the lineup, the All-Star forward has averaged 21.5 ppg, while Detroit has eclipsed the 111-point mark in three straight games. The only negative has been their lack of covering big numbers, as the Pistons are 0-3 ATS as a favorite of 4 ½ points or more, although their only ATS win came in a blowout of Portland on Monday as 2 ½-point favorites.

                Griffin will face off against Los Angeles (27-25 SU, 28-23-1 ATS) for the first time as the Clippers embark on a seven-game road trip. The Clips have heated up of late by winning four of their last five games, including a pair of home victories over the Bulls and Mavericks. Surprisingly, Doc Rivers’ squad has performed well on the highway since late December by compiling a 5-1 SU/ATS mark, including victories at Golden State and New Orleans. The Clippers are playing with revenge after falling to the Pistons at home in late October, 95-87.

                Cav Plenty (Of New Faces)

                A house cleaning took place on Thursday in Cleveland as the Cavaliers (31-22 SU, 15-37-1 ATS) parted ways with six players, most notably disgruntled guard Isaiah Thomas. The diminutive guard was dealt to the Lakers along with Channing Frye, while Wade, Jae Crowder, Derrick Rose, and Iman Shumpert were also sent packing. The final game with the old contingent saw LeBron James drill a jumper at the buzzer to lift the Cavaliers past the Timberwolves, 140-138 in overtime on Wednesday.

                The Cavaliers travel to Atlanta tonight as the appetizer prior to Sunday’s showdown with the Celtics in Boston. Cleveland is riding a horrific 0-12 ATS run away from Quicken Loans Arena, while winning only once in this span, coming at Orlando on January 6. The Hawks (17-38 SU, 28-25-2 ATS) have covered in each of the first three meetings with the Cavaliers this season, including a 117-115 upset of Cleveland in November. Following a 6-0 ATS run as a home underdog, the Hawks are 1-3 ATS in their past four when receiving points at Philips Arena.

                The Butler is Back

                Minnesota (34-23 SU, 28-27-2 ATS) sits atop the Northwest division and part of that success is due to the offseason acquisition of guard Jimmy Butler from Chicago. Butler leads the Wolves by averaging 22.3 ppg, one of five Minnesota players putting up double-digits each game. The Wolves head to the United Center in Chicago as Butler plays his first game against his old team as Minnesota tries to snap a five-game skid away from the Target Center.

                Chicago (18-35 SU, 29-23-1 ATS) has spiraled out of control recently by losing seven straight games, while dropping all three contests on their west coast swing. Extending back to late December, the Bulls have yielded at least 105 points in nine consecutive home outings, although Chicago has hit the UNDER in three straight home games. Facing the Western Conference has been no picnic either for Fred Hoiberg’s team, who is 1-8 the past nine matchups against the West, while covering three times.

                Sandwich Spot

                The Celtics (40-16 SU, 34-20-2 ATS) became the first Eastern Conference squad to reach the 40-win mark in Thursday’s 110-104 overtime triumph at Washington. Boston ended a five-game skid at Capital One Arena as Kyrie Irving led the Celtics with 28 points, while drilling three free throws late in regulation to force overtime. Boston knocked out Washington in the second round of last season’s playoffs, while the Celtics take on the re-tooled Cavaliers on Sunday afternoon at TD Garden in a rematch of the Eastern Conference Finals.

                In the middle of these two playoff rematches, the Celtics welcome in the Pacers (30-25 SU, 29-26 ATS), who have been off since Monday’s home loss to the Wizards. Indiana’s contest against New Orleans on Wednesday was postponed due to a leak at Smoothie King Center, as the Pacers look to improve on a 5-1 record in their last six opportunities off a loss. Indiana has dropped five consecutive matchups with Boston, including a pair of home defeats to the Celtics this season. The Pacers have struggled of late away from Bankers Life Fieldhouse by losing four of their past five on the highway with the lone victory coming at San Antonio.

                Fast Break


                -- The 76ers have won seven straight games at Wells Fargo Center as Philadelphia hosts New Orleans. The Pelicans have lost three consecutive games only once this season, as New Orleans is 7-1 SU/ATS off back-to-back defeats. In their first matchup in December, the Pelicans outlasted the 76ers, 131-124, but the last three matchups in Philadelphia have finished UNDER the total.

                -- The Rockets return home following a four-game sweep of their road trip, as Houston seeks its seventh straight win as Denver invades the Toyota Center. Houston has failed to cover in its past three home victories as heavy favorites, while Denver has won its previous three games, even though the Nuggets have dropped six consecutive road contests.

                -- Charlotte looks to rebound following an overtime setback at Portland on Thursday as the Hornets wrap up their road swing at Utah. The Hornets try to avoid their first three-game skid since mid-December, but it won’t be easy as the Jazz look to extend their winning streak to eight after a perfect 4-0 road swing. Utah fell to Charlotte last month, 99-88, but the Jazz have not lost to the Hornets/Bobcats franchise in the past 10 meetings at home.

                -- Portland ended a three-game skid in Thursday’s home victory over Charlotte as the Blazers have a quick turnaround with a visit to Sacramento. The Blazers and Kings have split a pair of matchups this season with the home team winning each time, while Sacramento tries to improve on a 1-6 record off a home victory after knocking off Chicago on Monday.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • Dinero Tracker - Feb. 9
                  February 9, 2018


                  Read the Dinero Tracker's mission statement here
                  Last night's ATS Records
                  NBA: 5-2 | NCAA BB: 13-21


                  Thursday's action wasn't as exciting as Wednesday's but continued my slide in college as a tough two days filled with backdoor covers or falling just shy on a total continued. The pros was much kinder once again, although my two losses came by a half-point, which is never pleasant. If Jusuf Nurkic had just made his second free-throw in the closing stages of Portland's 109-103 OT win over Charlotte, it would've been a much happier evening. Atlanta hit a 3-pointer at the buzzer in my guarantee loss that liked it plus 1.5 in Orlando, but that only pulled it within a bucket. The Hawks had their chances and lost to the depleted Magic, so it was a wager I don't regret. The same can't be said for a lot of what went down in college, where there were a number of whiffs in addition to a few maddening bad beats. The NBA lock is now 17-for-25 (68%) since Jan. 11. Here's Thursday's recap, complete with some of the highlights (and lowlights):

                  FRIDAY'S FREE SELECTION

                  The pick: Minnesota -7


                  Jimmy Butler is back in town playing the best basketball of his career, and since LeBron James got the last word in Wednesday's classic OT game in Cleveland, I don't think a hangover ensues for the Timberwolves. The Bulls have a lot of moving parts keeping them from gaining a rhythm, from Zach LaVine still working his way back to Kris Dunn barely out of concussion protocol and still not playing. Lauri Markkanen returns from paternity leave, so the expectation here is that the Timberwolves will be able to put this game away. Ride Minnesota and lay the points.

                  THURSDAY'S FREE SELECTION

                  The pick: Oregon -5


                  The Ducks have slipped back to 5-5 in Pac-12 play in a season where the conference is undeniably down, so Dana Altman's team badly needs to get on track over the next three weeks. Look for an increased sense of urgency to fuel Oregon here since its a big swing game considering it will be favored against Washington State this weekend and then can make significant closing statements in a four-game stretch against the league's top teams, USC, UCLA, Arizona State and Arizona. The Ducks can still rescue their season. It just has to start tonight against the sizzling Huskies, who have pulled off four straight league wins, three of them upsets. Look for Elijah Brown and Payton Pritchard to have big games and lay the points, riding Oregon.

                  Result: We got back on track to make it 4-for-5 on freebies after laying a million points with Villanova and watching them get dropped outright by St. John's. The Ducks restored order by stifling Washington 65-40. This was certainly a fun one to be on because there was never any doubt this was coming in over the final 10 minutes of action. This line went from -5 to -8 at one point, but Oregon covered the line shift comfortably.

                  THURSDAY'S BIG PAYDAY

                  The pick: South Dakota -9, South Dakota/IPFW OVER 154


                  The Mastodons have won consecutive games in Fort Wayne by a double-digits, but they're a team that hasn't fared well on the road since their up-tempo style doesn't travel as well, particularly against teams capable of filling it up themselves. The first meeting between these teams featured the Coyotes winning by 10 in Indiana on Jan. 11, but this return game should be higher-scoring, though likely with a different result. Ride South Dakota -9 and back the over for the in-game parlay.

                  Result: The Coyotes got up 21-3 and never trailed, pulling off a wire-to-wire act after scoring the first 11 points. Their second-half lead never dipped below double-digits, so we were never in danger of losing the cover and the over came in late since IPFW fought to lose 86-69. The teams combined for 87 second-half points to deliver on the total portion of the in-game parlay.

                  LOCK THAT DIDN'T CLICK

                  The pick: Arizona -9

                  This is a golden opportunity for the Wildcats to show that the next 6 weeks will be different than the first few months of the season. UCLA has the look of a 10 seed that's going to struggle to make the NCAA Tournament this season, while U of A can challenge for a spot on the top rung if they can get themselves straight. Expect that to begin with a strong effort here. Lay the points and ride Arizona, guaranteed.

                  Result: The Wildcats thought they could get by on talent alone, failing to play a lick of defense and putting multiple reasons why this has been perhaps Sean Miller's most trying year on full display. Despite the presence of a Top-5 lock in 7-footer DeAndre Ayton, the Wildcats are soft and inexcusably bad on defense. They lost focus late in the first half, allowing UCLA guard Jaylen Hands to hit three straight 3-pointers to help put this game away. At home, that they weren't good enough to put themselves in position to rescue this result speaks volumes about how much underachieving @APlayersProgram is currently doing in Tucson.

                  TOTAL RECALL

                  The pick: Gonzaga/Pacific OVER 145

                  Damon Stoudamire has Pacific playing a lot better than they have since moving from the Big West to the West Coast Conference, but I don't see them scaring the Zags like San Diego did Saint Mary's. Expect the Tigers to be proficient enough offensively to score with Gonzaga, in part because they won't be able to stop them. Take the over here.

                  Result: While I could whine about how Tra Holder's game-winner for ASU against USC prevented OT and left us a basket short on the over, I'll confess to whiffing on this one. Gonzaga spotted the danger of getting into a track meet with the Tigers and played deliberately, working clock and often kicking it back out to reset after obtaining second chances. They failed to cover, too, and came nowhere near our prediction as the Bulldogs pulled out a 71-61 win.

                  CARDIAC ATTACK

                  The pick: Middle Tennessee -19.5

                  The Owls haven't played many teams better than the Blue Raiders squad that they're visiting tonight. Texas Tech, Georgia State and UNLV each beat depleted Rice by over 20 points, and you should expect this second of three straight road games to feature a total disconnect. Lay the points and ride Middle Tennessee.

                  Result: This beat was horrible. Middle Tennessee rolled to a 17-point lead and knocked down 15 3-pointers, two of which came on the first possessions of the second half, putting it up 23 points and en route to the wildly lopsided result I expected. Although Rice hung around, the Blue Raiders went up 28 points with 4:37 left and got a 3-pointer from walk-on Chase Miller that set the building off in putting them up 23 with 1:21 remaining. Although the Owls hit a pair of free-throws with 32 seconds left, so long as MTSU milked the shot clock, this would wrap right there. Instead, the Blue Raiders wanted to get Miller one last look, and he took the shot with enough time for Rice to rebound, get down the court and put in a Najja Hunter layup at the buzzer. Final score: 94-75.

                  SWING AND A MISS

                  The pick: Duke +1.5/OVER 167

                  Losing to St. John's should be a major wake-up call for a Blue Devils squad that simply doesn't defend like they should. If going up against a rival in their house can't get them amped up after an unforgiveable loss in Madison Square Garden, Mike Krzyzewski has major issues on his hands. The Tar Heels will struggle to stop them and are overly reliant on Joel Berry. Ride Duke and the over for the in-game parlay.  

                  Result: Maybe Mike Kryzezewski and Sean Miller can have conference call therapy, since they appear to be in the same boat in fielding incredibly talented teams that can't be bothered to defend. Joel Berry and Kenny Williams had great games, Grayson Allen struggled and the Blue Devils squandered a first-half lead after scoring 50 points over the first 20 minutes. They were held to 28 in the second half in part because they failed to gather defensive rebounds, allowing the Tar Heels multiple second-chance opportunities that made the Blue Devils work to do the one thing that doesn't come easily. The under coming in was a slap in the face as UNC prevailed 82-78.

                  PROOF OF CLAIRVOYANCE

                  The pick: UC-Santa Barbara +1.5

                  In a strange development given that that the winner in this battle of 7-2 Big West teams takes over sole possession of the conference lead, the top forwards for both teams will be sidelined. Chima Moneke and Jalen Canty each got suspended, but between those substractions, the visiting Gauchos have to like that trade off considering what a great rebounder/defender Moneke is. I don't see UC-Davis surviving his absence. Take the points and ride UC-Santa Barbara.  

                  Result: This went as expected, since the Aggies couldn't defend without Moneke and got blitzed at home by the Gauchos. UCSB scored 49 first-half points and shot 56 percent from the floor. Nevada transfer Leland King had 19 points and 15 boards to help fill in for Canty. The Gauchos shot 11-for-20 from 3-point range an put the game away at the light.
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 9
                    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


                    LAC at DET 07:00 PM
                    DET -3.0
                    U 220.0


                    NO at PHI 07:00 PM
                    NO +5.0
                    O 219.5

                    IND at BOS 07:30 PM
                    BOS -4.0
                    U 204.0


                    CLE at ATL 07:30 PM
                    ATL +2.0

                    MIL at MIA 08:00 PM
                    MIL +1.0

                    DEN at HOU 08:00 PM
                    HOU -8.5
                    O 221.5

                    CHA at UTA 09:00 PM
                    UTA -6.0
                    U 205.5


                    MIN at CHI 09:30 PM
                    MIN -7.5

                    POR at SAC 10:30 PM
                    POR -4.5
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

                      Odds for the college basketball national championship

                      Villanova 7-2— opened at 12-1

                      Michigan State 4-1— opened at 20-1

                      Duke 9-2— opened at 12-1

                      Virginia 7-1— opened at 30-1

                      Purdue 7-1— opened at 60-1

                      Kansas 20-1— opened at 12-1


                      **********

                      Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: In a perfect world, where I made the decisions……

                      13) Every kid would learn basic life skills in high school: cooking, laundry, how to write a check, how to do a budget, the divorce laws.

                      12) We’d get rid of the designated hitter, once and for all.

                      11) NFL players wouldn’t have radios in their helmets; coaches have six days to prepare the players. Sunday should be the players’ day to play.

                      10) Speaking of which, no Thursday NFL games, except for Week 1 and Thanksgiving Day.

                      9) Get rid of the electoral college; whichever presidential candidate gets the most votes, they win the election. Seems simple enough. I’ve felt this way about the electoral college since I was in high school, a very long time ago.

                      8) Kids could go straight from high school to the NBA or G-League, but if you go to college to play ball, then you’re not eligible for the draft for two years.

                      7) Major leagues would have a salary floor and a salary cap; none of this BS the Marlins are doing, dumping all your good players, insuring a 100-loss seasons not only this year but for the foreseeable future.

                      6) NBA playoff series would be two out of three until the Finals, which would be best-of-5. the way the NBA is now, the playoffs suck; who can beat Golden State four out of seven games?

                      5) Relief pitchers have to face at least two batters when they come in, instead of one; if MLB is really concerned about pace of play, nothing drags it down like left/right pitching changes. if a lefty reliever can’t get righty hitters out, then they shouldn’t be in the big leagues.

                      4) I’d be in favor of college basketball adopting the NBA’s 8-second rule for getting the ball over halfcourt; most anything that encourages pressing and a faster-paced game is a good thing.

                      3) I’d make cigarettes illegal; they’re known to cause cancer. What is good about them?

                      2) I’d make sure DirecTV picked up the Pac-12 Network. Its not too much to ask.

                      1— One news item:

                      Bad times at Colorado State: on Thursday, the basketball team boycotted practice because of growing frustration over lack of communication from the school about an investigation into coach Larry Eustachy’s treatment of players/staff.

                      Apparently the school wants to fire Eustachy, who makes around $950K a year; I’m guessing the delay is they’re making damn sure they can fire him for cause and not have to pay him.
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • NBA
                        Long Sheet

                        Saturday, February 10


                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        NEW ORLEANS (28 - 26) at BROOKLYN (19 - 37) - 2/10/2018, 6:05 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        NEW ORLEANS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
                        NEW ORLEANS is 123-160 ATS (-53.0 Units) in road games in the second half of the season since 1996.
                        NEW ORLEANS is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
                        BROOKLYN is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
                        BROOKLYN is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
                        BROOKLYN is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                        BROOKLYN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
                        NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
                        3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        MILWAUKEE (30 - 24) at ORLANDO (18 - 36) - 2/10/2018, 7:05 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        MILWAUKEE is 365-439 ATS (-117.9 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
                        MILWAUKEE is 151-191 ATS (-59.1 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
                        MILWAUKEE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                        ORLANDO is 58-76 ATS (-25.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                        ORLANDO is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
                        ORLANDO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
                        ORLANDO is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
                        ORLANDO is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        ORLANDO is 5-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
                        MILWAUKEE is 5-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
                        4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        LA CLIPPERS (28 - 25) at PHILADELPHIA (27 - 25) - 2/10/2018, 7:05 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
                        LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
                        3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        WASHINGTON (31 - 24) at CHICAGO (19 - 35) - 2/10/2018, 8:05 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        WASHINGTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
                        WASHINGTON is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                        CHICAGO is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.
                        CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog this season.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        CHICAGO is 5-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
                        WASHINGTON is 6-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                        5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        SAN ANTONIO (35 - 21) at GOLDEN STATE (42 - 13) - 2/10/2018, 8:35 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        SAN ANTONIO is 1032-903 ATS (+38.7 Units) in all games since 1996.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        GOLDEN STATE is 8-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
                        GOLDEN STATE is 9-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
                        7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        LA LAKERS (23 - 31) at DALLAS (17 - 38) - 2/10/2018, 8:35 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        DALLAS is 6-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
                        DALLAS is 7-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
                        6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        DENVER (29 - 26) at PHOENIX (18 - 38) - 2/10/2018, 9:05 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        DENVER is 175-224 ATS (-71.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
                        PHOENIX is 166-120 ATS (+34.0 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
                        PHOENIX is 51-33 ATS (+14.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
                        PHOENIX is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        DENVER is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
                        DENVER is 7-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
                        6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        NBA
                        Armadillo's Write-Up

                        Saturday, February 10


                        Nets lost seven of last eight games with New Orleans; over is 6-2 in last eight series games. Pelicans are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Brooklyn. New Orleans lost five of its last six games; they’re 7-3 as road favorites. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Brooklyn lost eight of its last nine games; they’re 13-6-1 as home underdogs. Five of their last eight games stayed under the total.

                        Milwaukee won five of last seven games with the Magic; Bucks are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Orlando. Four of last five series games stayed under. Bucks won seven of last nine games; they’re 4-2 as road favorites, 6-3-1 if they played night before. Bucks’ last nine games went under the total. Magic won four of their last five games; they’re 6-1 in last seven tries as home underdogs. Three of their last four games stayed under.

                        76ers lost eight of last ten games with the Clippers; three of last four series games stayed under. Clips are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here. LA won five of its last six games, beating Pistons and Blake Griffin last nite; Clippers are 16-7 vs spread on road, 4-3 if they played night before. LA’s last six games stayed under. Philly won three of its last four games; they’re 1-5 vs spread if they played night before, 16-7 vs spread overall at home. Three of their last four stayed under.

                        Washington won its last four games with Chicago, but Bulls covered four of last five; Wizards are 3-3 vs spread in last six visits to the Windy City. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Washington lost its last two games after a 5-game win streak; they’re 6-6 as road favorites. Six of last eight Wizard games went over. Chicago lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 9-7 as home dogs, 4-4 if they played night before. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

                        Golden State won its last six games with the Spurs (5-1 vs spread); five of last six series games went over total. San Antonio is 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Oakland. Spurs split their last ten games; they’re 5-4 as road underdogs- six of their last eight games went over. Golden State lost three of its last five games; they’re 2-5-2 vs spread in last nine home games. Three of their last four games stayed under.

                        Lakers lost nine of last ten games with Dallas; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four games in this building. Six of last eight series games stayed under. Los Angeles won four in row, eight of last ten games; they covered three of last five road games. Lakers’ last four games stayed under the total. Mavericks lost seven of their last eight games; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four home tilts. Seven of their last nine games stayed under.

                        Nuggets won seven of last eight games with Phoenix; they’re 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to the desert. Five of last six series games went over. Denver won six of its last nine games; they’re 3-5 as road favorites. Five of their last six games went over total. Suns lost nine of their last ten games; they’re 1-6 vs spread in last seven home games. Three of their last four games went over the total.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • NBA

                          Saturday, February 10


                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Trend Report
                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          NEW ORLEANS @ BROOKLYN
                          New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
                          The total has gone OVER in 15 of Brooklyn's last 19 games when playing New Orleans
                          The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Brooklyn's last 20 games at home

                          MILWAUKEE @ ORLANDO
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
                          Orlando is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
                          Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

                          LA CLIPPERS @ PHILADELPHIA
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
                          LA Clippers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
                          Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                          Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

                          WASHINGTON @ CHICAGO
                          Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
                          Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington

                          SAN ANTONIO @ GOLDEN STATE
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Golden State
                          The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
                          Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
                          Golden State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio

                          LA LAKERS @ DALLAS
                          LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                          LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
                          Dallas is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing LA Lakers

                          DENVER @ PHOENIX
                          Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Phoenix
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Denver
                          Phoenix is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Denver


                          ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          NBA
                          Dunkel

                          Saturday, February 10



                          New Orleans @ Brooklyn

                          Game 501-502
                          February 10, 2018 @ 6:05 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          New Orleans
                          115.676
                          Brooklyn
                          116.498
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Brooklyn
                          by 1
                          225
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          New Orleans
                          by 1 1/2
                          220
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Brooklyn
                          (+1 1/2); Over

                          Milwaukee @ Orlando


                          Game 503-504
                          February 10, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Milwaukee
                          118.735
                          Orlando
                          115.238
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Milwaukee
                          by 3 1/2
                          212
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Milwaukee
                          by 5
                          207
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Orlando
                          (+5); Over

                          LA Clippers @ Philadelphia


                          Game 505-506
                          February 10, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          LA Clippers
                          117.878
                          Philadelphia
                          122.792
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Philadelphia
                          by 5
                          212
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Philadelphia
                          by 2 1/2
                          217 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Philadelphia
                          (-2 1/2); Under

                          Washington @ Chicago


                          Game 507-508
                          February 10, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Washington
                          123.226
                          Chicago
                          113.092
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Washington
                          by 10
                          211
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Washington
                          by 5
                          215 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Washington
                          (-5); Under

                          San Antonio @ Golden State


                          Game 509-510
                          February 10, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          San Antonio
                          120.912
                          Golden State
                          129.012
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Golden State
                          by 8
                          223
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Golden State
                          by 11
                          215 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          San Antonio
                          (+11); Over

                          LA Lakers @ Dallas


                          Game 511-512
                          February 10, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          LA Lakers
                          117.512
                          Dallas
                          116.499
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          LA Lakers
                          by 1
                          219
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Dallas
                          by 2 1/2
                          213
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          LA Lakers
                          (+2 1/2); Over

                          Denver @ Phoenix


                          Game 513-514
                          February 10, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Denver
                          121.335
                          Phoenix
                          112.409
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Denver
                          by 9
                          214
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Denver
                          by 7
                          219 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Denver
                          (-7); Under
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • NBA

                            Saturday, February 10


                            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            NBA Game of the Day: Spurs at Warriors betting preview and odds
                            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors (-11, 215)

                            The Golden State Warriors still can't seem to keep their cool, but at least they're back in the win column. The Warriors will again attempt to keep their emotions in check when they host the San Antonio Spurs in a key Western Conference battle on Saturday.

                            Golden State general manager Bob Myers addressed the team prior to Thursday's game about the growing number of technical fouls the team is accumulating, and head coach Steve Kerr agreed that the team needs "to do a much better job of staying poised," but All-Star forward Draymond Green still went out on Thursday and earned his NBA-leading 14th technical foul. "Yeah, I don't know what to do at this point," Green told reporters. "It really don't matter what I agree with. I don't have no power in this situation. Yeah, I don't know what to do at this point. It is what it is." The Warriors still managed to skip past the Western Conference-worst Dallas Mavericks 121-103, but the Spurs present a different challenge. San Antonio snapped its own two-game slide while beginning a six-game road trip by blasting the Phoenix Suns 129-81 on Wednesday.

                            TV:
                            8:30 p.m. ET, ABC

                            LINE HISTORY:
                            The Warriors opened as 10-point home chalk and money coming in on the defending champs boosted that number up a full point to -11 at most shops. The total hit the board at 218 and has been bet down to 215.

                            POWER RANKINGS:
                            Spurs (-6.3) - Warriors (-12.1) + home court (-3) = Spurs -8.8

                            INJURY REPORT:


                            Spurs - PG Dejounte Murray (Out, Ankle), PG Tony Parker (Out, Back), SF Rudy Gay (Late February, Heel), SF Kawhi Leonard (Out Indefinitely, Quadricep).

                            Warriors - PF Jordan Bell (Mid-February, Ankle).

                            MATCHUP CHART:




                            ABOUT THE SPURS (35-21 SU, 29-25-2 ATS, 24-32 O/U):
                            Wednesday's contest matched the most one-sided loss in history for the Suns and one of the most complete performances for San Antonio, which held Phoenix to 34 percent from the floor. The one downside came in the second quarter, when starting point guard Dejounte Murray went down with an ankle injury. The 21-year-old is still getting used to leading the offense for the Spurs but scored 14 points on 7-of-12 shooting in 13 minutes before leaving on Wednesday and scored in double figures in six of the last eight games.

                            ABOUT THE WARRIORS (42-13 SU, 24-30-1 ATS, 28-27 O/U):
                            Whoever the Spurs start at point guard on Saturday will have to contend with Golden State's Stephen Curry, who breezed to 20 points on 7-of-12 shooting and eight assists in 30 minutes on Thursday. The Warriors fell behind by 10 points at the end of the first quarter in the win before outscoring Dallas 98-70 the rest of the way. "I think our talent just took over in the third quarter," Kerr told reporters. "We obviously had a lot more talent on the floor tonight than they did. Then Steph (Curry) and KD (Kevin Durant) got going, and they were hitting tough, contested shots."

                            TRENDS:


                            * Over is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

                            * Over is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

                            * Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Golden State.

                            * Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

                            CONSENSUS:
                            Users are backing the road dog Spurs in this matchup, with 59 percent of pointspread picks. When it comes to the total, 60 percent of wagers are on the Over.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • Hoop Trends - Saturday
                              February 10, 2018


                              ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

                              -- The 76ers are 0-10 ATS (-9.20 ppg) when the line is within 3 of pick coming off a game as a favorite.

                              OU TREND OF THE DAY:

                              -- The Clippers are 10-0 OU (12.35 ppg) as a dog off a win where they allowed 15+ points less than Vegas projected.

                              PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

                              -- The Magic are 0-8-1 ATS (-12.22 ppg) at home off a win in which Evan Fournier was the high scorer.

                              CHOICE TREND:

                              -- The Mavericks are 0-13 OU (-16.31 ppg) when they are off two straight losses as underdogs.

                              ACTIVE TRENDS:

                              -- The Bulls are 11-0 ATS (7.14 ppg) at home when coming off a win.

                              -- The Bucks are 0-8 OU (-12.25 ppg) on the road after Giannis Antetokounmpo was the high scorer.


                              ************************



                              Saturday's Tip Sheet
                              February 9, 2018


                              Game of the Night: Spurs at Warriors (-11, 215) – 8:30 PM EST

                              Golden State (42-13 SU, 24-30-1 ATS) avoided its first three-game losing streak of the season by rallying past Dallas on Thursday, 121-103 to cash as 14-point favorites. The defending champions trailed by 10 points after one quarter but stormed back to even the game at halftime, while outscoring the Mavs in the second half by 18. The Warriors knocked down 14 three-pointers, as Kevin Durant and Stephen Curry each drilled four treys apiece to bounce back from Tuesday’s 20-point home setback to Oklahoma City.

                              San Antonio (35-21 SU, 29-25-2 ATS) also faced a two-game skid heading into its previous contest, as the Spurs didn’t mess around in a 129-81 blasting of the Suns on Thursday. The Spurs easily cashed as 10-point road favorites, while taking firm control in the first half by outscoring the Suns, 69-31 in the opening 24 minutes. Perhaps the most impressive statistic for Gregg Popovich’s team was limiting Phoenix to 3-of-32 shooting from three-point range, while pulling off the four-game season sweep of the Suns.

                              The Warriors have captured six consecutive meetings with the Spurs since last season, including the four-game sweep in the Western Conference Finals. In the first matchup this season at the AT&T Center, the Warriors erased an early 19-point first quarter deficit to blow out the Spurs, 112-92. To put that in proper context, Golden State outscored San Antonio, 100-61 in the final 38:16 to easily cover as 8 ½-point favorites, while Curry, Durant, and Klay Thompson combined to drill 10 three-pointers.

                              The Spurs have been a solid defensive team on the highway by limiting 12 of the past 14 opponents to 100 points or less, but own a dreadful 2-8 SU record in the role of a road underdog. The Warriors haven’t helped backers of late by posting a 5-9 ATS mark the last 14 contests, while last covering consecutive games at Oracle Arena in late December in wins over Cleveland and Utah.

                              Red, White, and Blue Times Two

                              The Clippers and 76ers are each on the second end of a back-to-back set as the two squads hook up in Philadelphia. Los Angeles (28-25 SU, 29-23-1 ATS) started its seven-game winning streak with a bang by knocking off old friend Blake Griffin and Detroit on Friday, 108-95. The Clippers improved to 5-1 the last six games overall, while moving to 6-1 in the past seven contests away from Staples Center. Los Angeles and Philadelphia share identical 1-6 records with no rest this season, as the Clippers own a 1-5 road mark on the second of a back-to-back.

                              The 76ers (27-25 SU, 29-22-1 ATS) demolished the Pelicans from the start on Friday as Philadelphia led 26-6 in the first quarter. Brett Brown’s team moved its home winning streak to eight with the 100-82 blowout of New Orleans, while improving to 8-2 SU/ATS in its last 10 opportunities in the favorite role. The Sixers edged the Clippers at Staples Center in mid-November, 109-105 as two-point underdogs, while Philadelphia has covered in each of the past four meetings.

                              Hot and Cold

                              The Lakers (23-31 SU, 29-25 ATS) have caught fire of late by putting together a 12-4 SU/ATS the last 16 games, including a current four-game winning streak. Los Angeles pulled away from a short-handed Oklahoma City squad in Thursday’s 106-81 blowout as one-point home favorites, while winning its eighth consecutive game at Staples Center. The Lakers knocked off the Mavericks in their first matchup this season in mid-January, 107-101 in overtime, ending a 14-game skid to Dallas dating back to the start of the 2013-14 season.

                              The Mavericks (17-38 SU, 27-27-1 ATS) are going the wrong way of late by dropping seven of their past eight and 13 of their last 17 since the calendar shifted to January. Dallas has lost three straight home games, while scoring 97 points or fewer in each of those defeats, as the Mavs have struck the UNDER in seven consecutive contests at the American Airlines Center.

                              Something Has to Give

                              Both the Pelicans and Nets look to turn around their losing ways as they hook up at Barclays Center. New Orleans (28-26 SU, 26-27-1 ATS) was never in Friday’s contest at Philadelphia, as the Pelicans trailed by 32 heading into the fourth quarter of a 100-82 setback. The Pelicans suffered three straight losses for the second time this season, while falling to 1-5 SU/ATS the past six contests. New Orleans has captured seven of the last eight meetings with Brooklyn since March 2014, while ripping the Nets, 128-113 as nine-point home favorites in late December.

                              Brooklyn (19-37 SU, 33-23 ATS) has lost four in a row and eight of its previous nine games, in spite of covering in its past two defeats to Houston and Detroit. The Nets have struggled against Western Conference opponents at Barclays Center by compiling a 2-8 record with the only wins coming against Utah in mid-November and Minnesota in early January.

                              Three’s Not Allowed

                              Amazingly, Washington (31-24 SU, 25-30 ATS) has not lost three straight games this season, posting a perfect 8-0 record off consecutive defeats. The Wizards are in this situation again at the United Center on Saturday following losses to Philadelphia and Boston. Washington rallied to lead Boston late on Thursday, but the Celtics ultimately beat the Wizards in overtime, as Scott Brooks’ team fell to 1-3 this season in games decided past regulation.

                              The Wizards have had their way the Bulls lately by winning four straight meetings since December 2016, but Chicago has covered in the past three matchups, including as eight-point ‘dogs in a 114-110 loss at Capital One Arena on New Year’s Eve. The Bulls (19-35 SU, 30-23-1 ATS) play with no rest following Friday’s win against Minnesota, as Chicago has stumbled to a 2-7 record on the second of a back-to-back set this season.
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • Dinero Tracker - Feb. 10
                                February 10, 2018


                                Read the Dinero Tracker's mission statement here
                                Last night's ATS Records
                                NBA: 7-2 | NCAA BB: 3-6


                                The NBA continues to be great, while college is slip, sliding away. The NBA lock is now 18-for-26 (69%- nice!) since Jan. 11. Here's Thursday's recap, complete with some of the highlights (and lowlights):

                                SATURDAY'S FREE SELECTION

                                The pick: Texas Tech ML -117

                                This is a massive game for both programs, each of which have illusions of making the NCAA Tournament. The Red Raiders have won five straight and have already made it to 20 wins, so pulling off a victory at home here would do wonders for Kansas State's resume, while a loss would drop them to 6-6 in Big 12 play. Look for a competitive game here, but expect rebounding to make the difference as the visitors pull off a win in the Little Apple. Ride Texas Tech on the money line to avoid laying the point on the road.

                                FRIDAY'S FREE SELECTION

                                The pick: Timberwolves -7

                                Jimmy Butler is back in town playing the best basketball of his career, and since LeBron James got the last word in Wednesday's classic OT game in Cleveland, I don't think a hangover ensues for the Timberwolves. The Bulls have a lot of moving parts keeping them from gaining a rhythm, from Zach LaVine still working his way back to Kris Dunn barely out of concussion protocol and still not playing. Lauri Markkanen returns from paternity leave, so the expectation here is that the Timberwolves will be able to put this game away. Ride Minnesota and lay the points.

                                Result: I don't like losing freebies, especially when up double-digits at halftime. The Wolves scored 40 second-quarter points and led by 11 in Chicago, but were outscored 33-19 in an ugly third quarter and then couldn't stop Zach LaVine from endearing himself to his new fans in the fourth, allowing him to score 15 of his 35 points in the final 12 minutes. At one point, the Bulls were down 17, so there will be no apologies offered for this call. Butler scored 37 points, one off his season-high.

                                FRIDAY'S LOCK

                                The pick: Rockets/Nuggets OVER 222

                                The Nuggets struck out in their pursuit of Memphis wing Tyreke Evans, but should still have enough firepower to run with the Rockets in Houston. Denver is deep and has Will Barton and Gary Harris playing at a high level, so expect them to hang with a fast pace. Ride the over for Friday's NBA guaranteed winner.

                                Result: This total was cleared by a dozen, clinched with 1:24 left as the Nuggets finally reached the century mark in a dreadful 130-104 loss. Will Barton needs to bring it every night, like the Rockets do. The Warriors should win the Western Conference finals, but they'll have a battle on their hands. Those boys are serious.

                                LOCK THAT DIDN'T CLICK

                                The pick: Brown/Cornell OVER 154

                                Neither of these teams are well-equipped to play defense, so they often don't bother. Brown has been involved in shootouts throughout the Ivy League season, Weill Cornell has gifted scores that they can depend on the stretch a defense. Count on both teams getting into the 80s and ride the over, guaranteed.

                                Result: Unfortunately, Brown failed to show up. Que paso? The Bears shot 31 percent Top scorer Desmond Cambridge shot 9-for-24, good for 36 percent, and was the most lethal Brown scorer. Sometimes life doesn't go your way. Or math. Step it up, Brown. The pace was there.

                                TOTAL RECALL

                                The pick: Penn/Dartmouth OVER 138

                                The Big Green were able to score effectively enough to notch a pair of covers last week, losing at Cornell and Columbia. They're home for this one, but take a step up in class with the first-place Quakers coming into town. The unbeaten Ivy League leaders are shooting the ball extremely well and face a defense that can't cover. Ride Penn and the over for the in-game parlay.

                                Result: Dartmouth shot 28 percent and hung around. So, yes, I lost this both ways. Because Dartmouth shot 28 percent and hung around. 11-for-42 from the field. And hung around. There are ways you can't win.

                                SWING AND A MISS

                                The pick: Princeton +2

                                The Tigers come into Cambridge looking to bounce back from a blowout home loss to Penn by getting past a Crimson team that has won five of the last six in the Ancient Eight. The Crimson have persevered despite point guard Bryce Aiken, the team's most dynamic player, being healthy enough to rely on. He was listed as doubtful for this one, but since he's not 100 percent, the call here is that the visitors will walk out of Lavietes Pavilion with a win. Take the bucket and ride Princeton.

                                Result: Harvard won by 15. Aiken didn't play. Christian Juzang is running with his opportunity.

                                PROOF OF CLAIRVOYANCE

                                The pick: Heat PK'em/UNDER 199

                                Expect a playoff atmosphere in South Florida tonight for Dwyane Wade's return. The Bucks are down a number of regulars, so even with Jabari Parker back, Giannis Antetokounmpo will have his hands full against one of the league's top defensive teams. Ride Miami in this pick'em and back the under for the in-game parlay. ?

                                Result: Spot on. Google details.
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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