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The Bum's 2017 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News Thru Playoffs !

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  • Sunday’s 6-pack

    These are only six guys since 1970 who played in both the NFL and major leagues; this excludes the 1987 NFL replacement games during the players’ strike:

    DJ Dozier

    Drew Henson

    Chad Hutchinson

    Bo Jackson

    Brian Jordan

    Deion Sanders

    Quote of the Day

    ”We would have taken a win if it was in an empty gym. Thank God January is over.”
    Chris Mullin, after St John’s won its first game since Dec 20

    Sunday’s quiz
    Who are the only two head coaches to win the Rose Bowl and the Super Bowl?

    Saturday’s quiz
    Donald Trump owned the New Jersey Generals in the USFL in the 80’s.

    Friday’s quiz
    Baker Mayfield played college football at Texas Tech before transferring to Oklahoma.

    *****************

    Sunday’s List of 13: Wrapping up a basketball Saturday…….


    13) Oklahoma State 84, Kansas 79
    Missouri 69, Kentucky 60
    St John’s 81, Duke 77

    This was the first time since March 6, 2005 that these three teams all lost on the same day.

    12) Washington 78, Arizona 75— First-year coach Mike Hopkins has the Huskies 17-6 , 7-3 in the Pac-12; they’ve got wins over Kansas/Arizona, have shot at making the NCAAs. Would be ironic if Washington made the NCAAs and Syracuse didn’t, seeing how Hopkins waited a long time for Jim Boeheim to retire, so he could take over that program.

    11) CAA race is interesting; Charleston leads at 9-3, game ahead of Northeastern/Wm & Mary. With one-third of the regular season left, nine of 10 teams already have four conference losses. Last place James Madison has three wins. 21 of 60 CAA games were decided by 4 or less points or in overtime.

    10) Central Michigan 101, Ohio U 98 2OT— Bobcats went 16-31 on foul line, blew 13-point lead with 12:21 left to play. Chippewas were 31-36 on the charity stripe.

    9) Colorado State asked basketball coach Larry Eustachy to step away from his job for a while, as they investigate the program— apparently he curses at players in practice and in 2014, was given a zero tolerance policy towards future verbal abuse of players.

    Eustachy’s base salary is $985,012 and if he gets fired for cause, it saves the school $3M. When the team is 10-15, 3-9 in the Mountain West like Colorado State is this year, people put up with a lot less shenanigans than they did when the team was winning.

    8) UCLA 82, USC 79— This was a really good game; 70 fast-paced possessions, Bruins had to make 12-26 on the arc to pull out the home win. Bennie Boatwright played only 9:00 for USC- -his foot still isn’t 100%.

    7) Upsets of the Day:
    Oklahoma State (+13) 84, Kansas 79
    Brown (+11.5) 102, Princeton 100 OT
    Citadel (+11.5) 100, Furman 92 OT
    St John’s (+11) 81, Duke 77
    SIU-Edwardsville 75, Jacksonville State 67
    Drexel (+9) 91, William & Mary 79
    East Carolina (+8) 88, Memphis 85 OT
    Drake (+8) 78, Bradley 68

    6) Ivy League teams play Friday/Saturday once conference play starts; Brown lost 95-90 in OT at Penn Friday night, then won 102-100 in OT at Princeton Saturday— had to be some tired kids on the bus back to Providence late Saturday night.

    5) Gonzaga 68, BYU 60— Zags beat BYU at home for first time in four years. Gonzaga in 11-1 in WCC, but is 0-7 vs spread in last seven games, another example of how gambling is difficult.

    4) Home favorites went 6-1 vs spread in SEC games Saturday; only team that didn’t cover was Auburn, which won by 12 laying 12.5. Tigers have a two-game lead over Tennessee in the SEC. Kentucky-Florida-Alabama are tied for third. Is Bruce Pearl national Coach of the Year?

    3) Middle Tennessee State leads Conference USA at 10-1; they’ve won six of seven road games in conference, but none of the six wins were by more than seven points.

    2) Cal-Davis 105, Long Beach State 104, 2OT— Aggies won despite suspending their best player, senior F Chima Moneke because to an unspecified violation of team rules at a hotel. No one was talking after the game, but the suspension is said to be indefinite.

    Long Beach’s Gabe Levin was 24-28 on foul line in this game. Lot of foul shots for one guy.

    1) Northern Colorado 86, Montana State 63— Bears’ Andre Spight scored 41 points; he was 8-21 on arc, 7-10 inside arc, with five assists, seven turnovers. He had the ball a lot. This was his 4th Big Sky game with 30+ points this season.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Sunday, February 4

      Knicks lost four of last five games with Atlanta; over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Hawks are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Manhattan. Atlanta lost five of its last six games; they’re 3-5 in last eight games as road underdogs. Four of their last five games went over. Knicks lost five of their last seven games; they’re 8-3 as home favorites. New York’s last four games went under the total.

      Bucks won their last nine games with Brooklyn; they’re 3-1-1 vs spread in last five games in the Barclays Center. Under is 3-1 in last four series games. Milwaukee won five of its last six games; they’re 3-1 as road favorites. Bucks’ last six games all stayed under the total. Nets lost five of their last six games; they’re 6-1-1 in last eight games as home underdogs. Seven of their last nine games stayed under the total.

      Toronto won seven of last nine games with Memphis; six of last eight series games stayed under the total. Grizzlies are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Canada. Memphis lost four of its last five games; they’re 5-2-1 in last eight games as road underdogs. Eight of its last ten games went over the total. Raptors won three of their last four games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. Three of their last four games went over.

      Portland won six of last nine games with the Celtics; they’re 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Boston. Last three series games went over. Trailblazers won seven of last nine games; they’re 9-6-1 as road underdogs. Three of their last four road games stayed under. Celtics won four of their last five games; they’re 5-7 in last 12 games as home favorites. Four of their last six games went over total.

      Oklahoma City won nine of last ten games with the Lakers; six of last nine series games stayed under the total. Lakers are 0-6 vs spread in last six games in this arena. Los Angeles won five of its last seven games; they’re 9-5 in last 14 games as road underdogs. Four of their last six games went over total. Thunder lost their last three games; they’re 5-13 vs spread in last 18 games as a home favorite. Six of their last eight games went over.

      Suns won seven of last ten games with Charlotte; last five series games went over. Hornets are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to the desert. Charlotte is 6-4 in its last ten games; they’re 3-1 as road favorites. Seven of their last ten games went over. Phoenix lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 8-14 vs spread as home underdogs. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • NBA

        Sunday, February 4


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PORTLAND @ BOSTON
        Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
        Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

        MILWAUKEE @ BROOKLYN
        Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games

        ATLANTA @ NEW YORK
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing New York
        Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of New York's last 11 games when playing Atlanta
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

        MEMPHIS @ TORONTO
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Memphis's last 14 games when playing on the road against Toronto
        Toronto is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Toronto's last 14 games when playing at home against Memphis

        LA LAKERS @ OKLAHOMA CITY
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
        LA Lakers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
        Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
        Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

        CHARLOTTE @ PHOENIX
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 10 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games at home


        -------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NBA
        Dunkel

        Sunday, February 4



        Atlanta @ New York

        Game 801-802
        February 4, 2018 @ 12:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Atlanta
        111.896
        New York
        119.759
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        New York
        by 8
        218
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        New York
        by 5
        211
        Dunkel Pick:
        New York
        (-5); Over

        Milwaukee @ Brooklyn


        Game 803-804
        February 4, 2018 @ 12:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Milwaukee
        121.563
        Brooklyn
        114.422
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Milwaukee
        by 7
        215
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Milwaukee
        by 4 1/2
        208 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Milwaukee
        (-4 1/2); Over

        Memphis @ Toronto


        Game 805-806
        February 4, 2018 @ 12:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Memphis
        116.735
        Toronto
        123.219
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Toronto
        by 6 1/2
        203
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Toronto
        by 12
        208
        Dunkel Pick:
        Memphis
        (+12); Under

        Portland @ Boston


        Game 807-808
        February 4, 2018 @ 12:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Portland
        122.398
        Boston
        121.521
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Portland
        by 1
        198
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Boston
        by 2
        202
        Dunkel Pick:
        Portland
        (+2); Under

        LA Lakers @ Oklahoma City


        Game 809-810
        February 4, 2018 @ 2:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        LA Lakers
        114.427
        Oklahoma City
        123.985
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Oklahoma City
        by 9 1/2
        221
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Oklahoma City
        No Line
        N/A
        Dunkel Pick:
        Oklahoma City
        N/A

        Charlotte @ Phoenix


        Game 811-812
        February 4, 2018 @ 3:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Charlotte
        118.508
        Phoenix
        114.623
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Charlotte
        by 4
        224
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Charlotte
        by 6 1/2
        219
        Dunkel Pick:
        Phoenix
        (+6 1/2); Over
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • NBA
          Long Sheet

          Sunday, February 4


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          ATLANTA (15 - 37) at NEW YORK (23 - 30) - 2/4/2018, 12:05 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          NEW YORK is 6-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
          ATLANTA is 6-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
          8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MILWAUKEE (28 - 23) at BROOKLYN (19 - 34) - 2/4/2018, 12:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MILWAUKEE is 363-438 ATS (-118.8 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
          BROOKLYN is 31-21 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
          BROOKLYN is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
          BROOKLYN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          MILWAUKEE is 131-97 ATS (+24.3 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MILWAUKEE is 5-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
          MILWAUKEE is 8-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MEMPHIS (18 - 33) at TORONTO (35 - 16) - 2/4/2018, 12:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MEMPHIS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
          MEMPHIS is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          TORONTO is 4-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
          TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          PORTLAND (29 - 23) at BOSTON (38 - 15) - 2/4/2018, 12:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          PORTLAND is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
          BOSTON is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games this season.
          BOSTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
          BOSTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
          BOSTON is 2-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          LA LAKERS (20 - 31) at OKLAHOMA CITY (30 - 23) - 2/4/2018, 2:05 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
          7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          CHARLOTTE (22 - 29) at PHOENIX (18 - 35) - 2/4/2018, 3:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CHARLOTTE is 56-70 ATS (-21.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          PHOENIX is 165-119 ATS (+34.1 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
          PHOENIX is 50-32 ATS (+14.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
          CHARLOTTE is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
          PHOENIX is 39-57 ATS (-23.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
          PHOENIX is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
          PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

            Odds to win the 2018 World Series

            5-1— Bronx Bombers

            11-2— Houston Astros

            6-1— Los Angeles Dodgers

            15-2— Cleveland Indians

            9-1— Chicago Cubs

            10-1— Boston Red Sox, Washington Nationals


            **********

            Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a super Sunday


            13) Eagles 41, Patriots 33— Before this season, Nick Foles was 20-16 as an NFL starting QB; he has never started more than 11 games in a season. Now he is a Philadelphia legend.

            Foles was 28-43 for 373 yards and three TD’s, ending an improbable story where he took over for an injured Carson Wentz and led the Eagles to their first Super Bowl title and 4th NFL title, their first one since 1960.

            I completely whiffed on this game; didn’t think a backup QB could hang 41 in a Super Bowl, so the next question is, does Foles go back to being a backup next year, or do the Eagles trade him, and if so, where do they trade him?

            12) This game broke the Super Bowl record for most total yards before the third quarter was over.

            11) So the Eagles score their first TD to make score 9-3; before they can try the PAT (which they missed), my DirecTV goes out, so I have to go downstairs, retrieve a stepladder and go out to sweep the inch or so of snow off the satellite dish. No bueno.

            Also had my 2017 tax return done by halftime, making it the most productive 90 minutes of my 2018, by far. Muy bueno.

            10) What does ESPN show during the Super Bowl?
            ESPN2— World Series of Poker
            ESPNU— College gymnastics
            ESPN— 30 for 30 on wrestler Ric Flair

            9) New England’s field goal on their first drive were first 1st-quarter points they’ve scored in the eight Super Bowls Brady has played in.

            This was first Super Bowl where both starting QB’s threw for 100+ yards each in first quarter.

            8) Over/under on numbers of players to throw a pass was 2.5, with the over +$180. Four guys threw passes in the first half.

            7) Home underdogs in college basketball were 0-6 vs spread Sunday; that doesn’t happen much.

            6) Gary Woodland shot a 64 Sunday and won the Phoenix Open. Best shot of the day was on the 16th hole, when Matt Kuchar damn near aced the popular par-3.

            5) How many football coaches around the country will put that trick play in that the Eagles used to score their second TD? That will be a popular 2-point play in high school games next fall.

            When Eagles’ TE Trey Burton went to college at Florida, he thought he would be Tim Tebow’s replacement at QB, but that never worked out. Funny how eight years later he throws a TD pass in a Super Bowl.

            4) First half total yardage was 350-323, Patriots; both teams averaged over nine yards per play.

            How would you like to be a Lions’ fan and see that stat? One DC (Jim Schwartz) used to be the Lions’ coach; the other (Matt Patricia) is the Lions’ next head coach.

            3) There had never been a sack-less Super Bowl; Graham’s sack/fumble with 2:10 left was the first sack of the game. Pretty good time for it.

            2) Friend of mine had two squares in a $1,000 per square pool; I’m guessing the guy who had 2-2 was cursing the fates…….until halftime, when the score was 22-12. Cha-ching!!!

            1- I’m guessing this Super Bowl got tremendous TV ratings; it was a terrific, fun game, with a dramatic finish. Next year’s Super Bowl is in Atlanta’s new stadium. Who will be in it?
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • NBA
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Monday, February 5


              Pistons won their last four games with Portland; over is 9-1 in last ten series games. Blazers are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Detroit. Portland lost its last two games after a 7-1 run; they’re 11-6-1 as road underdogs. Under is 4-1 in their last five road games. Detroit won its last three games; they’re 7-11 as home favorites. Pistons’ last five games went over the total.

              Washington won its last three games with the Pacers; they covered their last five visits to Indiana. Eight of last ten series games went over total. Wizards are 4-0 since John Wall had his knee scoped; they’re 9-3 as road underdogs. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Pacers won six of their last eight games; they’re 5-3 in last eight games as home favorites. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

              Miami/Orlando split their last 10 meetings; underdogs covered five of last seven. Magic are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Miami. Seven of last nine series games went over. Orlando lost four of its last five games; they covered last six tries as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over the total. Heat lost its last three games, all on road; they’re 4-11-1 as home favorites. Six of their last seven games stayed under.

              Jazz won five of last six games with New Orleans; they’re 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to Bourbon Street. Five of last seven series games went over. Utah won its last five games; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six road games. Six of their last nine games went over total. Pelicans lost three of their last four games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Four of their last six games stayed under.

              Nuggets lost seven of last nine games with Charlotte; eight of those games stayed under the total. Hornets covered three of their last four visits to Denver. Charlotte won its last three games; they’re 7-9-2 as road underdogs, 2-0 vs spread on road if they played night before. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Denver won five of its last seven games; they’re 3-5 in last eight games as home favorites. Three of their last four games went over.

              Chicago won five of its last six games with the Kings; seven of last nine series games went under the total. Bulls are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Sacramento. Chicago lost its last six games; they’re 13-10-1 as road underdogs. Six of their last eight games stayed under the total. Kings lost seven of their last ten games; they’re 0-3 as home favorites. Three of their last four games went over the total.

              Clippers won five of last eight games with Dallas; under is 5-3 in those games. Mavericks 1-3-1 vs spread in last five series games played in Staples. Dallas lost eight of its last ten games; they covered eight of last nine games as road underdogs. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Clippers won three of their last four games; they’re 9-4 in last 13 games as home favorites. LA’s last four games stayed under the total.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • NBA

                Monday, February 5


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Trend Report
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                PORTLAND @ DETROIT
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Detroit
                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Portland

                WASHINGTON @ INDIANA
                Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
                The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games when playing Indiana
                Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indiana's last 11 games when playing Washington

                ORLANDO @ MIAMI
                Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                Orlando is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
                Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

                UTAH @ NEW ORLEANS
                Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
                The total has gone OVER in 13 of New Orleans's last 16 games at home

                CHARLOTTE @ DENVER
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
                The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing Denver
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
                The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games when playing Charlotte

                CHICAGO @ SACRAMENTO
                Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home
                The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing Chicago

                DALLAS @ LA CLIPPERS
                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
                Dallas is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
                LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • NBA
                  Long Sheet

                  Monday, February 5


                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  PORTLAND (29 - 24) at DETROIT (25 - 26) - 2/5/2018, 7:05 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  PORTLAND is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  DETROIT is 4-0 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
                  DETROIT is 4-0 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
                  4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  WASHINGTON (30 - 22) at INDIANA (30 - 24) - 2/5/2018, 7:05 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  WASHINGTON is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
                  INDIANA is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
                  WASHINGTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as an underdog this season.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  WASHINGTON is 4-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
                  WASHINGTON is 4-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
                  5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  ORLANDO (15 - 36) at MIAMI (29 - 24) - 2/5/2018, 7:35 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  MIAMI is 6-5 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
                  MIAMI is 6-5 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
                  8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  UTAH (24 - 28) at NEW ORLEANS (28 - 24) - 2/5/2018, 8:05 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  UTAH is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
                  UTAH is 6-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
                  5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  CHARLOTTE (23 - 29) at DENVER (28 - 25) - 2/5/2018, 9:05 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  CHARLOTTE is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
                  CHARLOTTE is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
                  4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  CHICAGO (18 - 34) at SACRAMENTO (16 - 36) - 2/5/2018, 10:05 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  SACRAMENTO is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                  CHICAGO is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
                  3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  DALLAS (17 - 36) at LA CLIPPERS (26 - 25) - 2/5/2018, 10:35 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
                  DALLAS is 400-327 ATS (+40.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
                  DALLAS is 496-416 ATS (+38.4 Units) in road games since 1996.
                  DALLAS is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                  LA CLIPPERS are 110-143 ATS (-47.3 Units) in February games since 1996.
                  LA CLIPPERS are 91-122 ATS (-43.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  LA CLIPPERS is 5-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                  LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                  6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • NBA
                    Dunkel

                    Monday, February 5



                    Portland @ Detroit

                    Game 701-702
                    February 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Portland
                    116.225
                    Detroit
                    121.732
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Detroit
                    by 5 1/2
                    204
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Detroit
                    by 2
                    210 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Detroit
                    (-2); Under

                    Washington @ Indiana


                    Game 703-704
                    February 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Washington
                    117.214
                    Indiana
                    121.445
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Indiana
                    by 4
                    206
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Indiana
                    by 2
                    212 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Indiana
                    (-2); Under

                    Orlando @ Miami


                    Game 705-706
                    February 5, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Orlando
                    116.409
                    Miami
                    120.918
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Miami
                    by 4 1/2
                    209
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Miami
                    by 7
                    205 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Orlando
                    (+7); Over

                    Utah @ New Orleans


                    Game 707-708
                    February 5, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Utah
                    119.807
                    New Orleans
                    118.227
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Utah
                    by 1 1/2
                    218
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    New Orleans
                    by 2
                    213 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Utah
                    (+2); Over

                    Charlotte @ Denver


                    Game 709-710
                    February 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Charlotte
                    114.731
                    Denver
                    121.809
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Denver
                    by 7
                    222
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Denver
                    by 5 1/2
                    218 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Denver
                    (-5 1/2); Over

                    Chicago @ Sacramento


                    Game 711-712
                    February 5, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Chicago
                    112.731
                    Sacramento
                    117.348
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Sacramento
                    by 4 1/2
                    217
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Sacramento
                    by 1
                    211
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Sacramento
                    (-1); Over

                    Dallas @ LA Clippers


                    Game 713-714
                    February 5, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Dallas
                    116.298
                    LA Clippers
                    120.313
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    LA Clippers
                    by 4
                    210
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    LA Clippers
                    by 6 1/2
                    214 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Dallas
                    (+6 1/2); Under
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • Monday's Tip Sheet
                      February 4, 2018


                      Game of the Night: Blazers at Pistons – 7:05 PM EST

                      Portland (29-24 SU, 25-23-5 ATS) wraps up a rough three-game road trip after falling at Toronto and Boston. The Raptors blew out the Blazers on Friday, 130-105, as Portland trailed by 19 points after one quarter. Terry Stotts’ club built a 16-point halftime lead over the under-manned Celtics on Sunday, but Portland dropped a heart-breaker at the buzzer on Al Horford’s jumper, 97-96. Portland slipped to 2-6 in its last eight games away from the Moda Center, with four of those losses to strong playoff contenders (Toronto, Boston, Minnesota, and Houston).

                      The Pistons (25-26 SU, 25-24-2 ATS) are hitting their stride following the acquisition of Blake Griffin from the Clippers last week. Detroit upset Cleveland in the first game after the trade, then Griffin recorded a 24-point, 10-rebound effort in his Pistons’ debut, a 104-102 victory over the Grizzlies last Thursday. The Pistons held off the Heat on Saturday, 111-107, but failed to cash as 4 ½-point favorites to fall to 0-2 ATS with Griffin in the lineup.

                      Detroit is currently on a 5-0 OVER run, while each of the past five meetings with Portland eclipsed the OVER. Last season, these two teams needed overtime in each of the two matchups as the Pistons captured both games. Detroit edged Portland at the Moda Center, 125-124 as 3 ½-point underdogs, while the Pistons held off the Blazers at the Palace of Auburn Hills, 120-113 to pick up their fourth straight win in the series.

                      Not Hitting the Wall

                      Losing an All-Star player would normally set a team back, but that’s not the case in Washington. The Wizards (30-22 SU, 24-28 ATS) are riding a four-game winning streak since John Wall was sidelined with a left knee injury. Washington didn’t suffer a letdown on Saturday following consecutive home underdog wins over Oklahoma City and Toronto, as the Wizards chased the Magic, 115-98 as 4 ½-point favorites.

                      The Pacers (30-24 SU, 29-25 ATS) have pulled off six consecutive victories at Bankers Life Fieldhouse following Saturday’s 100-92 triumph over the 76ers. Each of the last five home wins have come against teams at .500 or below, as Indiana looks for better results against Washington after dropping three of four matchups last season.

                      New Orleans vs. Old Orleans

                      The Jazz didn’t make the playoffs in their first five seasons in New Orleans before shipping out to Salt Lake City in 1979. Utah (24-28 SU, 28-24 ATS) eventually put together a 20-year run of playoff appearances before failing to make the postseason in 2004. Quin Snyder’s team is coming off a division title last season, but the Jazz have fallen on hard times by sitting in last place of the Northwest.

                      However, the Jazz are starting to climb back to life after winning their fifth straight game on Saturday, 120-111 at San Antonio as six-point underdogs. Besides beating the Spurs, Utah also knocked off Toronto and Golden State in this stretch, while topping the 120-point mark in three consecutive contests.

                      Utah heads to New Orleans to face a Pelicans’ (28-24 SU, 26-25-1 ATS) squad that has lost three of four games since DeMarcus Cousins tore his Achilles’ tendon on January 26 against Houston. The latest defeat came at Minnesota on Saturday, 118-107, the fourth loss to the Wolves this season, in spite of Anthony Davis pouring in 38 points for New Orleans. The Jazz and Pelicans have split two meetings this season in Salt Lake City, while Utah has won three of the past four visits to Smoothie King Center since 2015.

                      Buzzing Around

                      For the third time this season, the Hornets (23-29 SU, 23-25-4 ATS) have put together a three-game winning streak. Charlotte torched Atlanta (123 points) and Indiana (133 points) prior to rallying past Phoenix on Sunday, 115-110. Although the Hornets failed to cover as 6 ½-point road favorites, the Hornets used a 20-2 run to start the fourth quarter and overcame 41% shooting from the floor to pick up their eighth away victory of the season.

                      Charlotte continues its four-game road swing against Western Conference foes as the Hornets head to Denver. The Nuggets (28-25 SU, 24-26-3 ATS) have experienced quite a week against three of the league’s top teams at home. Denver lost in the final seconds to Boston on Monday, but bounced back with a game-winning three-pointer at the buzzer to knock off Oklahoma City on Thursday. The Nuggets rallied past the defending champion Warriors on Saturday, 115-108 as five-point underdogs, improving to 3-1 SU/ATS as a home ‘dog.

                      Earlier this season, the Hornets ripped the Nuggets, 110-93 as two-point home ‘dogs in late October, the third consecutive win by Charlotte over Denver since March 2017. Each of the past six meetings at Pepsi Center have finished UNDER the total, while the Hornets are 3-1 SU/ATS in their previous four trips to Denver.

                      Sunshine State Showdown

                      Following a victory at Dallas to begin its four-game road trip, the Heat (29-24 SU, 25-25-3 ATS) cooled off the final three contests by losing at Cleveland, Philadelphia, and Detroit. All three defeats were decided by six points or less, capped off by Saturday’s 111-107 setback to the Pistons, but the Heat barely cashed as 4 ½-point ‘dogs. That high-scoring affair snapped a six-game UNDER streak, as well as ending a six-game stretch of scoring fewer than 100 points.

                      Miami returns home to battle Orlando (15-36 SU, 22-28-1 ATS), who had its eight-game covering streak as an underdog snapped in Saturday’s 115-98 home loss to Washington as 4 ½-point ‘dogs. Five ATS wins during that stretch came as a double-digit ‘dog, while the Magic have cashed in six straight games on the highway. Orlando topped Miami in the season opener at home, but the Heat have captured the last two matchups, including a six-point victory at Amway Center in late December.

                      Late Night Action

                      A pair of last-place squads meet up in Sacramento as the Kings entertain the Bulls. Chicago has dropped six consecutive games, including a pair of double-digit defeats to the Clippers and Blazers on its three-game road swing. The Kings fell apart in the fourth quarter of Saturday’s 106-99 defeat to the Mavericks to fall to 1-8 SU/ATS in their last nine games at Golden 1 Center. The Bulls had claimed five straight matchups with the Kings prior to Sacramento’s 106-105 close-shave win at the United Center in December.

                      The Mavericks have won only four of 15 games in 2018, but one of those victories came on Saturday at Sacramento. Dallas snapped a six-game stretch of scoring less than 100 points by putting up 106, while ending a six-game UNDER streak. The Mavs head to Staples Center to face the Clippers, who have won three of the past four contests, including a 10-point triumph over the Bulls on Saturday afternoon. Dallas and L.A. have split a pair of meetings this season as both teams have exchanged blowout wins on their home court.
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • Wheeling and Dealing Begins
                        February 4, 2018


                        Griffin Triggers Trade Market

                        Yup, that just happened. Blake Griffin is a member of the Detroit Pistons, the NBA trade market is officially life and…nothing else seems to be happening. The thing about a trade like this is that it has tremendous ripple effects. The Clippers are abandoning playoff hopes this year, but the Pistons are making an adorable push. How does this trade impact the current makeup of the NBA, and is there more to come?

                        BLAKE GRIFFIN TO THE DETROIT PISTONS

                        Maybe Blake Griffin going to a place called “Motor City” was fate ever since he dunked over a car.

                        Man…this was a lot to take in. So much so that I needed an extra day to process it and see what else might’ve happened. In the end, I don’t know how much it actually moves the needle no matter how seismic it felt on Monday night. Griffin is a supreme talent, but he’s also a player that relies on his explosiveness and burst to do damage. I love watching him play but his success relies on that of those around him.

                        Still, I can’t help but be magnetized by the new Detroit Pistons for a minute. It’s sort of like when Boogie got traded last year to a non-contender from another non-contender. There was buzz talking about Davis-Boogie going after that 8th seed in the west and maybe giving the Warriors some run in the first round. Boogie is the best center in the league when healthy, and Davis is undeniably one of the top-five guys in the NBA.

                        I don’t know where Griffin falls in that discussion to be honest. Top-20? Top-15 maybe? He can take over games. He has presence. He passes all of the eye tests in spades (when he’s on the court). Griffin boasts a player impact estimate of 15.0 flat, and this sandwiches him in with players on the level of Oladipo, Butler and Aldridge.

                        Maybe a move to Detroit revitalizes him. It’s not a straight fit with Drummond, although I love that both can move the ball offensively. Like New Orleans last season, the team will have to rely on their new, bullish pair of front courters because the rest of the team is a barren wasteland. There’s no point in getting in to it – nobody is taking the Pistons at +4000 to steal the Eastern Conference.

                        Beyond that all of the versatility that Detroit had in terms of cap space and roster adjustments has now evaporated. Tobias Harris is fine but sort of been “meh” for his entire career. Avery Bradley is criminally underrated, underappreciated and underpaid but that will get sorted when he signs with the Spurs this summer (I’m kidding but it seems like a great fit). The pair of them shored up a lot of Detroit’s flaws, which include Reggie Jackson’s health issues.

                        Boban is an Instagram sensation and the 2018 first rounder that the Clippers acquired is going to land somewhere around the mid-teens. Overall it’s a sensational haul for the Clippers, who have essentially thrown in the towel on the year with intentions of taking Jerry West in to the summer with boat loads of cash.

                        Griffin signed a $173 million deal for 5 years, and a lot of people have talked about how the value of that contract gets worse over time because of his age and supposed peak. I agree with all of it. You can’t be paying Drummond and Griffin in to their mid-thirties the sums that they’re going to be making. That’s life in Detroit where nobody of significance signs.

                        And that’s really what this trade was about. The Clippers found a perfect trade target for an albatross of a contract they no longer wanted, and Detroit has been screaming for a superstar for years. This is the same team that paid Reggie Jackson $80 million over five and will unload the Brinks truck for Andre Drummond. Markets like Detroit have to overpay or draft supremely well.

                        Shedding the books for the Clippers is a great idea in theory, but NBA free agents are deservedly self-entitled and are always negotiating with a stronger position than the teams. Unless West is tossing around those crippling no-trade exemptions in contracts to superstars this summer, there’s going to be a lot of animosity for the way he treated Griffin. I don’t know if that was worth it.

                        One of the big things for Detroit is that they can use Griffin to attract other players, and that’s where I believe the Clippers failed here. No matter what people think of him, he’s the type of guy that other players enjoy running with. He’s unselfish, makes you look great, he’s funny and a force of nature when beckoned on. Now that the Clippers have screwed him over by banishing him to the barrens of Motor City, it makes their franchise look a lot less attractive to free agents.

                        But what do I know? It just takes one player to say “thanks for that $150 million contract” and then I look like an idiot for saying anything intangible about the league.

                        As I’ve said before, I have problems with the regular season and the playoffs. We’re staring at a post-season that will be likely dominated by the Boston Celtics, Toronto Raptors and Cleveland Cavaliers on one side with the Warriors and Rockets in the west. But trades like this can make the second half of the regular season much more fun. The Clippers are too different of a team to bet on now, but eyes are on Detroit. This could be really fun times for the Pistons in the immediate future.

                        WASHINGTON IS IN DANGER


                        You sort of have to look at the Griffin trade as a two-season gamble for Detroit. They don’t have a lot of time to make things work before Griffin starts regressing. And really, you just have to look at the state of the Eastern Conference to say, “Hmmm…they might make it!” even if it takes a little bit of heavy handed optimism to get there.

                        The top-five in the Eastern Conference are locked in. Boston is taking their lumps right now but will be fine in the long run. Toronto looks like the real sleeper all of a sudden. Cleveland still has LeBron so nothing else really matters. Miami is solid, but not great. Milwaukee has the probably MVP and Jabari Parker coming back this week. None of those teams are moving.

                        The Pacers and Sixers sit in seventh and eighth right now and I don’t know how sustainable either entity is. Indiana is relying on a lot of factors that haven’t ever panned out together. Philly just needs to stay healthy. Basically there are two spots open to three teams. Indiana has to hang in there and Detroit has to use the momentum of the Griffin acquisition, along with another trade, to break through.

                        That leaves the Washington Wizards as the team in the most perilous position. They’ve been terrible all season and now John Wall is out for up to two freaking months with a knee injury. This is bad news for a team that simply doesn’t have anyone else on the roster to push them over the edge. Wall could be out for basically the rest of the regular season and the seams are already starting to fray for the Wizards in a bad way.

                        On paper they are a good team, but anyone that watches the games has to wonder how they can be competitive unless Beal is scoring 30 points a game. To put things in perspective, the oddsmakers have the Wizards at +2500 to win the east. Philly is +2000.

                        Simply put there is just a lack of depth when it comes to Washington. Otto Porter is a great role player, but by no means a cornerstone despite being paid like one. Markieff Morris and Marcin Gortat have fallen off a cliff this season. Beal continues to ascend as the deadliest shooter in the game, but he can only do so much. They’re just vulnerable all over the place.

                        Why else do you think they’re 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games? Washington was already one of the worst bets in the league. Unless Beal puts in an MVP-caliber run over the next two months with the show all to himself, the Wizards could be lottery bound.

                        If that gives Detroit the opening it needs to sneak in to the playoffs, they’ll be get a ton of reprieve (and playoff revenue) to further justify the trade. As for Washington, they’re now swallowing a jagged pill after having committed over $300 million to John Wall for the entirety of his career. And for what? Yikes.

                        ANTHONY DAVIS ISN’T GOING ANYWHERE


                        Speaking of Boogie Cousins, let’s pour one out for his 2017-18 season. There’s never a good time for a ruptured Achilles, but the Pelicans were competing hard with Houston in a statement game. The loss of Boogie has triggered mass rumors about a supposed fire sale in New Orleans.

                        That’s not happening.

                        Davis has been forever linked to the Boston Celtics simply because Danny Ainge wants him. So what? The Celtics have tons of assets and draft picks to trade away, but the fact is that Davis is a generational talent that is still really freaking young. New Orleans knows the hard truth – they will never get an ideal return for him, and lose whatever equity he represents on the free agent market in turn.

                        For whatever it’s worth Nikola Mirotic continues to be linked to the Pelicans in trade rumors.

                        CLEVELAND IS STILL SCREWED

                        I wrote about this last week, but the ripple effect of the Griffin trade is bad news for Cleveland. The Cavaliers have been pining for DeAndre Jordan, a trade rumor I scoffed at because Tristan Thompson is not worth trading for. He makes too much money and doesn’t produce enough to justify it.

                        News about the Clippers holding on to Jordan as an anchor for the team was leaked this week, probably as a measure to improve his trade value. If the Cavaliers are willing to ship that lottery pick from the Nets over to the Clippers, they have a done deal. I don’t understand what the point of hanging on to that pick is. DeAndre is by far the best player available on the realistic trade market now. If the Clippers are going to absorb Thompson’s contract, and deal with J.R. Smith, they have to top off the offer with a sweetener.

                        And as I’ve said, that Brooklyn pick is getting worse by the minute. The Nets are the sixth worst team in the league by record, but they have a real chance of vaulting the Bulls, Grizzlies, Lakers and Hornets to make that pick go from being top-5 to top-10. That’s a world of difference in a top heavy draft that really only has three sure-things.

                        However, with cap relief in sight and Jordan having a banner year, the Clippers don’t need to move on from him. The rebuild process for Los Angeles isn’t going to be a bottoming out process. They just want to re-jigger with some new toys.

                        CHARLOTTE HORNETS GET CRICKETS FOR FIRE SALE ATTEMPT


                        Last but certainly not least are the Charlotte Hornets, who had the funniest reaction in the world to putting every single asset they have on the trading block. Kemba Walker is a great piece to add, but nobody seems to want him. Dwight Howard anybody?! Anybody???

                        The trade market for Kemba has been dead silent. The Pacers and Knicks both kicked the tires on a trade, as did the Timberwolves, but nothing really got very far. Still, GRIFFIN JUST GOT TRADED TO THE PISTONS so anything can happen.

                        I sure hope so. The NBA is at its best when teams are willing to do crazy things.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

                          Odds to win the Eastern Conference of the NBA:

                          7-4— Cleveland Cavaliers

                          2-1— Boston Celtics, Toronto Raptors

                          20-1— Washington, Milwaukee, Philadelphia

                          40-1— Indiana, Miami, Detroit


                          Odds to win the NBA title:

                          -$250— Golden State Warriors

                          +$200— Everyone else


                          **********

                          Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Can baseball thoughts make you warmer?


                          It was 75 degrees when I got off the plane in Las Vegas Monday; problem is, I had been on that plane for 11 hours— more on that tomorrow.

                          Spring training starts next week; here are some baseball notes to keep you warm.

                          13) Houston Astros led MLB with a .478 slugging percentage LY and struck out only 1,087 times; they’re only second team since 1948 (’95 Indians) to lead league in SP while striking out the least amount of times in the league.

                          12) Atlanta Braves used nine 3rd basemen LY; with Chipper Jones getting in Hall of Fame this summer, it has been five years since he left Atlanta and they still haven’t found a replacement.

                          11) Chicago Cubs are 27-15 in their last 42 games against their rivals from St Louis.

                          10) Cubs had 100 quality starts in 2016, when they won the World Series; that number slipped to 77 last year, which put a big strain on their bullpen.

                          9) Speaking of which, Toronto’s bullpen threw 596.2 innings LY- thats 11 outs a game, which is just too much. If your starting pitchers can’t finish the 6th inning consistently, you’re in trouble.

                          8) Seattle Mariners made 219 player transactions last season; they used 61 different players, 15 of whom weren’t in Seattle’s organization when the season started.

                          7) Red Sox hit 168 homers last year, least in the American League.

                          6) Texas Rangers had three guys LY who hit 25+ homers while batting less than .210; they’re first team ever to do that.

                          5) Baltimore’s starting pitchers had a 5.70 ERA last year, which helps explain why they won 14 fewer games than in 2016.

                          4) Cincinnati Reds used 10 different ROOKIE starting pitchers LY; playing in their small home ballpark, thats just too many.

                          3) Angels’ first basemen hit a combined .231 LY; their second basemen hit .206, which is why they got Ian Kinsler. Albert Pujols is going to have to play a decent amount of 1B this year if Shotei Ohtani, is going to DH.

                          2) Detroit Tigers owe Miguel Cabrera $184M over the next six years; Cabrera is going to be 35 in April, so it is doubtful they’ll be able to get out from under that back-loaded contract.

                          1) Oakland A’s allowed 82 unearned runs LY, most in baseball; they made 121 errors, which is unacceptable. Maybe they shouldn’t have let infield coach Ron Washington bolt to Atlanta.
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • NBA
                            Armadillo's Write-Up

                            Tuesday, February 6


                            Cleveland won nine of last ten games with Orlando, but Magic covered last three; Cavaliers are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here, with last three going over total. Cleveland lost its last five road games; their last road win was here, on Jan 6. Cavaliers are 0-8 vs spread in last eight tries as road favorites. Orlando lost four of its last six games; they’re 4-1 in last five games as home dogs. Over is 4-1 in their last five games. Magic is 4-5 vs spread if they played night before.

                            Rockets won their last three games with Brooklyn; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five games in the Barclays Center. Three of last four series games went over. Houston won eight of its last nine games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as road favorites. Nine of their last ten games went under the total. Brooklyn lost six of its last seven games; they’re 12-6-1 as home underdogs. Eight of their last ten games stayed under.

                            Knicks lost five of last seven games with Milwaukee; they lost by hoop in Milwaukee Friday nite. Four of last five series games stayed under. Bucks won six of their last seven games; they’re 14-11 vs spread on road. Last seven Milwaukee games stayed under total. New York lost six of its last eight games; they’re 17-10 vs spread at home. Knicks’ last five games stayed under the total. Bucks’ star Antetokounmpo tweaked his right ankle Sunday (check status).

                            Memphis/Atlanta split their last ten games; Grizzlies are 3-2 vs spread in last five games in this arena. Seven of last eight series games stayed under. Memphis lost five of its last six games; they are 11-8-1 as road underdogs. Six of Grizzlies’ last eight games went over. Hawks lost five of their last seven games; they’re 2-3 vs spread as home favorites. Four of their last six games went over the total.

                            Home side won seven of last eight Boston-Toronto games; Celtics are 0-4 vs spread in last four visits to Canada. Six of last seven series games stayed under total. Boston won its last four games; they’re 8-1 vs spread as road underdogs. Four of their last five road gams went over the total. Raptors won four of their last five games; they covered three of last four home games. Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

                            Home side won last five Wizard-76er games; Wizards are 3-3 vs spread in last six visits here. Four of last five series games went over. Washington won its last five games; they’re 10-3 vs spread as road underdogs. Six of their last nine games went over total. Philadelphia lost four of its last five games; they’re 5-0 in last five games as home favorites. Five of their last seven games stayed under.

                            Road team won last four Phoenix-Laker games; Suns are 3-2 vs spread in last five series games in Staples. Seven of last eight series games went over. Phoenix lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 9-5 in last 14 games as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over total. Lakers won six of their last eight games; they’re 4-3 as home favorites. Over is 7-4 in their last eleven home games.

                            Golden State won/covered seven of last eight games with Oklahoma City; Thunder are 0-4 vs spread in last four visits to Oakland. Six of last seven series games stayed under. OKC lost its last four games; they’re 4-2-1 as road underdogs. Three of last four Thunder games stayed under the total. Warriors lost two of last three games; they’re 1-3-2 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • NBA

                              Tuesday, February 6


                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Trend Report
                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                              CLEVELAND @ ORLANDO
                              Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
                              Cleveland is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games when playing Orlando
                              Orlando is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
                              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

                              BOSTON @ TORONTO
                              Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Toronto
                              Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
                              Toronto is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home

                              MEMPHIS @ ATLANTA
                              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
                              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Memphis
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis

                              HOUSTON @ BROOKLYN
                              Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
                              Houston is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games when playing Brooklyn
                              Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games

                              MILWAUKEE @ NEW YORK
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
                              Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
                              The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 11 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

                              WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA
                              Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                              Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                              Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
                              Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

                              PHOENIX @ LA LAKERS
                              The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing LA Lakers
                              Phoenix is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
                              LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                              LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

                              OKLAHOMA CITY @ GOLDEN STATE
                              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing on the road against Golden State
                              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Golden State
                              Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
                              Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • NBA
                                Dunkel

                                Tuesday, February 6



                                Cleveland @ Orlando

                                Game 501-502
                                February 6, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Cleveland
                                119.561
                                Orlando
                                115.872
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Cleveland
                                by 4
                                226
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Cleveland
                                by 7
                                221
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Orlando
                                (+7); Over

                                Houston @ Brooklyn


                                Game 503-504
                                February 6, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Houston
                                123.229
                                Brooklyn
                                116.197
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Houston
                                by 7
                                220
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Houston
                                by 11
                                217
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Brooklyn
                                (+11); Over

                                Milwaukee @ New York


                                Game 505-506
                                February 6, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Milwaukee
                                120.902
                                New York
                                116.784
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Milwaukee
                                by 4
                                198
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Milwaukee
                                by 1 1/2
                                205
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Milwaukee
                                (-1 1/2); Under

                                Memphis @ Atlanta


                                Game 507-508
                                February 6, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Memphis
                                113.228
                                Atlanta
                                117.392
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Atlanta
                                by 4
                                200
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Atlanta
                                by 2
                                205 1/2
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Atlanta
                                (-2); Under

                                Boston @ Toronto


                                Game 509-510
                                February 6, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Boston
                                118.737
                                Toronto
                                125.328
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Toronto
                                by 6 1/2
                                201
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Toronto
                                by 5
                                206 1/2
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Toronto
                                (-5); Under

                                Washington @ Philadelphia


                                Game 511-512
                                February 6, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Washington
                                115.236
                                Philadelphia
                                124.985
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Philadelphia
                                by 9 1/2
                                207
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Philadelphia
                                by 6
                                213 1/2
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Philadelphia
                                (-6); Under

                                Phoenix @ LA Lakers


                                Game 513-514
                                February 6, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Phoenix
                                113.425
                                LA Lakers
                                117.895
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                LA Lakers
                                by 4 1/2
                                226
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                LA Lakers
                                by 8
                                217 1/2
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Phoenix
                                (+8); Over

                                Oklahoma City @ Golden State


                                Game 515-516
                                February 6, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Oklahoma City
                                121.378
                                Golden State
                                128.491
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Golden State
                                by 7
                                235
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Golden State
                                by 10
                                229
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Oklahoma City
                                (+10); Over
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                                Comment

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