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  • FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 2
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    PITT at UVA 07:30 PM
    UVA -7.0
    U 47.0


    WKU at MTU 08:00 PM
    MTU -13.5
    O 52.5


    COLO at ARIZ 10:30 PM
    ARIZ -2.5
    O 57.0
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • Freshman Mobley runs for 198 yards, Middle Tennessee wins
      November 2, 2018
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      MURFREESBORO, Tenn. (AP) Chaton Mobley set a school freshman record with 198 rushing yards and Middle Tennessee State beat Western Kentucky 29-10 on Friday night.

      Brent Stockstill was 24-of-42 passing for 228 yards and two touchdowns for MTSU (6-3, 5-1 Conference USA), which is off to its best start in league play since joining in 2013. The Blue Raiders are 19-3 in their last 22 home conference games.

      MTSU opened the game with a six-play, 75-yard scoring drive, ending in Stockstill's back-shoulder pass to Ty Lee for 43 yards. Freshman Zack Dobson scored his first career touchdown, a 5-yard reception, to extend the lead to 17-3. Crews Holt capped the first-half scoring with a 39-yard field goal for a 20-3 lead.

      Holt made five field goals - with a long of 42 - to tie the program record for most makes in a game.

      Drew Eckels went 12 of 32 for 195 yards for Western Kentucky (1-8, 0-5). Backup Steven Duncan tossed a 45-yard touchdown pass to Lucky Jackson to pull to 23-10 late in the third quarter.

      WKU's seniors were trying to become the first class since 1976 to win all four matchups in the series over their careers.

      **************************

      Penn shuts out Cornell in 2nd half in 20-7 victory
      November 2, 2018
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      ITHACA, N.Y. (AP) Ryan Glover threw for 131 yards and a touchdown and Pennsylvania beat Cornell 20-7 on Friday night to claim the Trustees' Cup trophy.

      Glover found Christian Pearson wide open in the middle of the end zone for a 19-yard score and a 17-7 lead early in the fourth quarter. Brian O'Neill knocked down a Cornell pass in the end zone on fourth down with 2:36 remaining and, after a Penn punt, Conor O'Brien made an interception at the goal line to seal it.

      Karekin Brooks had 71 yards rushing and a touchdown for Penn (6-2, 3-2 Ivy League).

      Brooks took a direct snap in the wildcat formation and scored from 6-yards out early in the third to give Penn a 10-7 lead. It was his first touchdown in the past four games after seven rushing TDs in his first 52 carries of the season.

      Dalton Banks was 17-of-35 passing for 183 yards and a touchdown for Cornell (3-5, 2-3). The Big Red took a 7-3 lead on Banks' connection with Lars Pedersen for 13 yards, capping a 16-play drive in the second quarter.

      **********************

      ARIZONA 42, COLORADO 34
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • College Football Best Bets and Opinions

        DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

        11/02/2018 4-2-0 66.66% +9.00
        11/01/2018 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00

        Totals...............6-6-0........50.00%.....-3.00


        Best Bets:

        Best Bets For November

        DATE........................ATS..................U NITS....................O/U................UNITS..............TOTAL

        11/02/2018..............2 - 1..................+4.50...................2 - 1................+4.50..............+9.00
        11/01/2018..............2 - 1..................+4.50...................0 - 3................-16.50..............-12.00

        Totals.......................4 - 2..................+9.00...................2 - 4................-12.00..............-3.00
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • Saturday’s best 13 games

          Purdue is favored over Iowa for first time since ’07; Boilers (+7) upset Iowa in Iowa City 24-15 LY, ending a 4-game series skid. Hawkeyes won last three visits here, by 14-14-24 points. Purdue won four of its last five games; they’re 7-3 in last ten games as a home favorite, 0-2 this year. Boilers allowed 972 TY in last two weeks, 788 thru the air- all of their wins this year are by 17+ points- three of their four losses are by 4 or fewer points. Iowa is 1-4 in its last five games as a road underdog. Over is 4-1 in last five Hawkeye games.

          Kentucky is 7-1 this year, despite scoring 15-14-14 points in their last three games; last five Wildcat games stayed under total. Under Stoops, Kentucky is 4-11-2 as home underdogs, but 1-0 this year- they’re 11-6 vs spread in last 17 games as an underdog. Georgia won its last eight games with Kentucky, covering last five; they won their last five visits here (3-2 vs spread). Under Smart, Dawgs are 7-4 as road favorites, 2-2 this year; they scored 36+ points in all their wins this year, were held to 16 in their 36-16 loss at LSU.

          Duke lost three of last four games; they scored 45 points at Pitt LW but still lost, 54-45. Blue Devils gave up 484 rushing yards LW!!! Duke is 13-8 in last 21 games as road underdogs, 3-0 this year. Miami lost its last two games, scoring 13-14 points; ‘canes are 2-6 in last eight games as a home favorite. In its last three games, Miami completed only 47-100 passes- not good. Miami won its last four games with Duke; Blue Devils lost last three visits here, by 19-12-35 points. Three of last four Duke games stayed under the total.

          Florida State lost 59-10 at home to Clemson LW, its worse home loss ever; Seminoles lost two of last three games, are 1-2 on road, with win 28-24 over lowly Louisville. FSU covered three of last four games as road underdogs. NC State lost its last two games after a 5-0 start, giving up 41-51 points; under Doeren, State is 12-13 as home favorites, 2-1 this year. Wolfpack (+11) upset Florida State in Tallahassee LW, snapping 4-game series skid; FSU won its last two visits here, 24-20/56-41. Four of last five FSU games went over;

          Boston College won three of last four games, but lost last two road games, at Purdue/NC State; under Addazio, Eagles are 5-6 as road favorites. BC ran ball for 251/223 yards the last couple weeks. Virginia Tech won its last three games with Boston College, winning last meeting here 49-0 two years ago. Hokies gave up 700 rushing yards in last two games, getting lit up for 465 RY by Ga Tech’s option attack LW; under Fuente, Hokies are 0-2 as home underdogs, 0-1 this year. Va Tech is 1-4 vs spread in game following their last five losses.

          Oklahoma won its last six games with Texas Tech, winning last three visits to Lubbock by 7-12-21 points; average total in last five series games is 86.2. Sooners scored 52.8 ppg in their last four games, running ball for 323/322 yards in last two; under Riley, they’re 2-3 as a road favorite, 1-1 this year. Texas Tech won five of last seven games and scored 31-34 points in the two losses; Red Raiders are 3-5 in their last eight games as home underdogs. Over is 6-1 in Oklahoma games, 6-2 in Texas Tech games this year.

          West Virginia is 6-1, losing its last road game at Iowa State; Mountaineers are underdogs for first time this year- they’re 3-1 in last four games as road underdogs, 7-4 vs spread in last 11 true road games. WVU gained 464+ TY in all six of its wins; they were held to 152 at ISU. West Virginia/Texas split their last six games; WVU won two of its last three visits to Austin. Longhorns had 6-game win streak snapped in 38-35 loss at Oklahoma St LW; under Herman, Texas is 2-6 vs spread as home favorites- they allowed 500 TY in two of last three games.

          Notre Dame is 8-0 this season, covering all three games as single digit favorites; Irish scored 56-45 points in winning their two true road games, by 29-22. ND is is 5-2 in its last seven games as road favorites, 2-0 this year. Northwestern won its last four games, upsetting Wisconsin LW when Badgers’ #1 QB didn’t play. Wildcats covered four of their last five games as a home dog. Northwestern (+17) upset Irish 43-30 in South Bend in last meeting, four years ago. Four of last five ND games went over the total. Northwestern held three of last four for under 20 points.

          Utah won its last four games, scoring 40+ points in all four games; Utes ran ball for 200+ yards in each of last five games. Utah is 5-4 in its last nine games as road favorites, 1-2 this year. Arizona State won four of last six games with Utah; Utes lost two of last three visits to Tempe, but won last one. ASU lost four of last six games but won at USC LW (Trojans played their #3 QB); all four of Sun Devils’ losses this year by exactly 7 points. ASU is 6-3 in its last nine games as a home underdog, 1-1 this season.

          Chip Kelly returns to Eugene with his 2-6 Bruins team that gave up 614 rushing yards in its last two games- six of their last seven opponents scored 30+ points. UCLA covered four of its last six games as road underdogs. Bruins beat Oregon 31-13 LY, snapping 4-game series skid- they lost last three visits here by 28-18-17 points. Ducks lost their last two games, giving up 34-44 points; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as home favorites. Under is 5-2 in last seven Oregon games. UCLA scored 31-37 points in its two wins; they’re 0-6 scoring less than 31 points.

          Road team won last six Texas A&M-Auburn games; Aggies won last three visits here, by 13-3-42 points. A&M is on road for 3rd straight game; Aggies covered three of last four games as a road underdog- they’re 0-3 when giving up more than 328 TY- Auburn gained 448-484 in their last two games. Auburn is 5-14-1 vs spread in its last 20 games as home favorites; they lost two of last three games overall but won at Ole Miss LW. Tigers game up 328/324 PY in their last two games. Last four A&M games, five of last six Auburn tilts stayed under the total.

          Michigan won three of last four games with Penn State- they lost 42-13 in Happy Valley LY. PSU lost its last two visits here, 49-10/18-13. Wolverines won its last seven games, holding last two opponents to 13-7 points; Michigan held last five opponents to 283 or less TY, Michigan State to 94 TY in their last game two weeks ago. Penn State is 6-2 with both losses at home; they were outgained in their last three games. Nittany Lions are 3-7 in last ten games as road underdogs. Four of last six Michigan games, six of eight PSU games went over the total.

          Alabama won its last seven games with LSU, winning last three visits here, by 10-7-4 points. Crimson Tide is 8-0 this year, 5-3 vs spread; they scored 62-65-58 points in winning/covering their three true road games. Bama is 9-5 in its last 14 games as road favorites, 2-1 this season. LSU gained only 239 TY in a 19-3 home win over Miss State LW; Tigers is 3-0 vs spread as an underdog this year; since ’10, they’re 4-2 as home underdogs. Over last 11 years, LSU is 1-1 as a double digit underdog. Four of last five Alabama games, four of last five LSU tilts went over.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • Pac-12 Report - Week 10
            November 1, 2018
            By Joe Williams


            2018 PAC-12 STANDINGS

            NORTH DIVISION


            Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
            California 5-3 2-3 3-4-1 2-6
            Oregon 5-3 2-3 2-6 3-5
            Oregon State 2-6 1-4 3-5 6-2
            Stanford 5-3 3-2 4-4 4-4
            Washington 6-3 4-2 2-7 1-8
            Washington State 7-1 4-1 8-0 6-2

            SOUTH DIVISION
            Arizona 4-5 3-3 5-4 2-7
            Arizona State 4-4 2-3 5-3 4-4
            Colorado 5-3 2-3 5-3 2-6
            Southern California 4-4 3-3 2-6 5-3
            UCLA 2-6 2-3 3-5 4-4
            Utah 6-2 4-2 5-3 4-4

            Colorado at Arizona (Fri. - FOX Sports 1, 10:30 p.m. ET)
            The Buffaloes have been skidding - hard - losing three in a row after going into USC unbeaten and with a Top 25 ranking a few weeks ago. Arizona is recovering somewhat, and they have Khalil Tate back at the helm on offense after an ankle injury. These teams are still alive in the Pac-12 South for a berth in the championship game, believe it or not. A loss, though, and they're likely done. Colorado is 2-5 ATS in their past seven on the road against a team with a losing home record, while going 0-3-1 ATS in the past four in November. Arizona is 6-2 ATS in the past eight at home, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven overall. However, the road team has dominated this series with a 6-0 ATS mark across the past six games. The over is also 6-1 in the past seven meetings.

            Utah at Arizona State (No national TV, 4:00 p.m.)
            The Utes appear to be the class of the Pac-12 South, they just need to prove it with a big road win against a Sun Devils team still in the hunt. The Utes are favored by a touchdown as of Thursday morning. Utah is 4-0 ATS in the past four conference games, and 4-0 ATS in the past four games overall while going 20-8 ATS in their past 28 overall. AZ State hasn't been too shabby against the number lately, either, going 15-6 ATS in their past 21 at home, and 10-4 ATS in the past 14 league games. Utah has dominated the series lately, at least against the number, cashing in four of the past five meetings.

            UCLA at Oregon (FOX, 7:30 p.m.)
            The Bruins opened the season 0-5, but they rattled off a pair of wins to actually get themselves back into the hunt in the Pac-12 South race believe it or not. Or really, the rest of the field played their way down to UCLA's level. In any event, Oregon has send them off and eliminate them from bowl eligibility with a bounce-back game. A couple of weeks ago Oregon was feeling good about itself with a win over Washington, and the sky seemed to be the limit. Now, the sky is falling. Both teams have been ugly against the number, as UCLA is 5-11 ATS in the past 16 conference games and 5-12 ATS in their past 17 on the road. Oregon is 2-7 ATS in their past nine overall, and 1-5 ATS in the past six at home. They're also a dismal 1-8 ATS in the past nine against teams with a losing record, too. The favorite has hit in five of the past six in this series, while the under is 5-2-2 in the past nine meetings overall.

            Stanford at Washington (Pac-12 Network, 9:00 p.m.)

            Just a few weeks ago this looked like it might be a play-in game for the conference's chance at a playoff team. Now, both teams are starting a fourth loss in the face. The Huskies are 10-point favorites as of Thursday morning, but neither side appears to have a lot of momentum lately. Stanford is 4-1 ATS in their past five road games, while Washington is 4-1 ATS in the past five home games against teams with a losing road record. However, the Huskies are also 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning sides and 0-5 ATS in their past five confernece tilts. The over is 4-1 in Stanford's past five overall, and 4-1 in their past five road outings. The undere has dominated for UW, going 8-1 in their past nine games and 4-0 in the past four at home. The under is also 5-1 in their past six league games. The home team has hit in four straight against the number, while the under is 5-2 in the past seven meetings in Seattle.

            Southern California at Oregon State (FS1, 10:00 p.m.)
            The Trojans slipped to .500 with a loss last week, while Oregon State kept hope alive for a bowl appearance, winning at Colorado. However, the Beavs have to win out to go bowling. The way things have gone in the Pac-12 this year, who knows? USC opened as a two-touchdown favorite and the number moved to 16 1/2 by Thursday morning. While USC is 7-3 ATS in their past 10 against losing teams, they're just 5-17-1 ATS in the past 23 overall, 2-6-1 ATS in the past nine league games and 2-8-1 ATS in the past 11 on the road. Oregon State has posted a 4-1 ATS mark in their past five following a straight-up win. However, they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five at home and 1-8 ATS in the past nine inside the conference. In this series the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the past six, with USC just 1-5 ATS in their past six trips to Corvallis. The home team is 8-3 ATS in the past 11, too. The under has also cashed in four in a row in the series, and four of the past five in Corvallis.

            California at Washington State (ESPN, 10:45 p.m.)
            Washington State has been automatic against the number this season, posting an unblemished 8-0 ATS mark. They're in the driver's seat in the Pac-12 North, and they might still have an outside chance at a spot in the national playoff if things break a certain way and we get pandemonium in the final month. They need to keep the peddle to the metal, though, and now slip up against a team like Cal. The Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS i nthe past five road games, while going 5-2 ATS in the past seven battles against teams with a winning record. The Cougars are 5-0 ATS in the past five against teams with a winning record, while going 18-6 ATS in their past 24 on The Palouse. They're also 23-9 ATS in the past 32 inside the league. The road team is 10-4 ATS in the past 14 in this series, however, with the under going 6-1-1 in the past eight meetings.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • Big 12 Report - Week 10
              November 1, 2018
              By Joe Williams


              2018 BIG 12 STANDINGS

              Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
              Baylor 4-4 2-3 2-5-1 6-2
              Iowa State 4-3 3-2 5-2 3-4
              Kansas 3-5 1-4 4-4 4-4
              Kansas State 3-5 1-4 4-4 3-5
              Oklahoma 7-1 4-1 4-4 7-1
              Oklahoma State 5-3 2-3 4-4 5-3
              Texas 6-2 4-1 3-5 4-4
              Texas Christian 3-5 1-4 2-6 4-4
              Texas Tech 5-3 3-2 5-3 6-2
              West Virginia 6-1 4-1 5-2 3-4

              Iowa State at Kansas (No national TV, 12:00 p.m.)
              The Cyclones picked up an impressive home win against Texas Tech last week, while Kansas surprised TCU at home to give their long-starved fans a much-needed conference win and some hope. The Cyclones are more than a two-touchdown favorite on the road, which is a spot TCU found itself in last weekend, but Iowa State is playing much better than TCU at the time. Plus, I-State is 8-1-1 ATS in the past 10 on the road, while going 20-5-1 ATS across their past 26 inside the league. Kansas is still just 8-20 ATS in the past 28 against teams with a winning record, although 6-2 ATS in their past eight appearances in the month of November. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the past five in this series, and the Cyclones are 2-5 ATS in their past seven trips to Lawrence. The under has cashed in four of the past five meetings.

              Oklahoma State at Baylor (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m.)
              The Cowboys picked up a huge win against Texas last week, keeping hope alive not just for a bowl game, but a decent one. Baylor is looking to splash cold water on their accomplishment and knock them down a peg. The Bears are just 1-6 ATS in their past seven at home, and 2-5-1 ATS in the past eight overall, so they might not be in good shape to pull the upset. The over is 10-4 in OK State's past 14 overall, and 21-8 in the past 29 conference tilts. The over is also frequent for Baylor lately, too, going 7-2 in their past nine overall, and 39-19-1 in their past 59 at home. In this series, though, the under is 4-1 in the past five in Waco. The favorite is 16-5 ATS in the past 21 in this series, and the Cowboys are 9-3 ATS in the past 12 battles.

              West Virginia at Texas (FOX, 3:30 p.m.)
              The Mountaineers head down to Austin looking to add to the woes of the Longhorns. Everyone was touting that Texas was 'back' after a win over Oklahoma in the Red River rivalry game. But they rose to a Top 10 ranking, headed to Oklahoma State with possible playoff hopes, and they were dropped. Now, they might have to readjust their goals. A loss to the Longhorns will really shake the fan base once more. West Virginia arrives 4-1-1 ATS in the past six against winning sides, and 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings overall. Texas is 11-5-1 ATS in the past 17 against teams with a winning overall record, but they're just 1-6 ATS in the past seven games in the month of November.

              The under has dominated for both sides, going 27-13 in the past 40 conference tilts, and 6-2 in their past eight on the road against teams with a winning home record. The under is 40-15 in the past 55 conference battles for Texas, while going 39-19-1 in their past 59 home games. The under is also 29-9 in the past 38 against winning teams for the Longhorns.

              Kansas State at Texas Christian (FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m.)
              It's the Purple Bowl, and the way things are going for both of these teams, that could be the only bowl they play in this series. K-State's offense is pitiful, and TCU is reeling after a stunning straight-up road loss at Kansas as a two-touchdown favorite. Someone will leave the field in Fort Worth with a sixth loss, something neither of these teams has experienced much of lately. K-State is 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight following a non-cover, but they're just 2-5 ATS in the past seven on the road against a team with a losing home record. The Horned Frogs are in a tailspin, and against the number, too. They're 0-7 ATS in their past seven conference tilts, and 0-5 ATS in the past five overall. They're also just 7-19 ATS in the past 26 at home and 3-8 ATS in the past 11 against teams with a losing overall mark.

              Oklahoma at Texas Tech (ABC, 8:00 p.m.)
              The Sooners might still have a shot at a playoff spot, but like many other contenders with one loss they need some craziness in the final month while taking care of their own business. Texas Tech would love to dash their hopes in a rare national TV game in primetime. Of course, a lot of eyes might be tuning in to the Alabama-LSU game, at least while that one is close.

              Oklahoma heads into this one 13-4 ATS in the past 17 against teams with a winning overall mark, and 8-3 ATS in the past 11 conference tilts. However, they have covered just twice in the past seven true road outings. Texas Tech is 4-1 ATS in the past five against winning teams and 5-2 ATS in the past seven games overall. However, they're 2-7 ATS in the past nine at home against teams with a winning road record.

              The over has dominated this series lately, going 6-1 in the past seven meetings. The over is also 7-2 in Tech's past nine overall, and 20-8 in their past 28 in Lubbock. The over is 4-0 in Oklahoma's past four games, and 4-1 in their past five road outings. The over is also 39-19-1 in their past 59 conference battles. In this series, the home team is 5-0 ATS in the past five, and Oklahoma is 1-4 ATS in the past five trips to Texas Tech. As of Thursday AM, Oklahoma was favored by 13 1/2 with a total hovering around 78.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • ACC Report - Week 10
                November 1, 2018
                By Joe Williams


                2018 ACC STANDINGS

                ATLANTIC DIVISION


                Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
                Boston College 6-2 3-1 6-2 5-3
                Clemson 8-0 5-0 4-4 4-4
                Florida State 4-4 2-4 3-5 5-3
                Louisville 2-6 0-5 1-7 5-3
                North Carolina State 5-2 2-2 3-4 3-4
                Syracuse 6-2 3-2 5-2-1 5-3
                Wake Forest 4-4 1-3 2-6 6-2

                COASTAL DIVISION
                Duke 5-3 1-3 4-4 4-4
                Georgia Tech 4-4 2-3 3-5 5-3
                Miami-Florida 5-3 2-2 3-5 5-3
                North Carolina 1-6 1-4 3-3-1 5-2
                Pittsburgh 4-4 3-1 4-4 4-4
                Virginia 6-2 4-1 7-1 4-4
                Virginia Tech 4-3 3-1 3-4 4-3

                Pittsburgh at Virginia (Fri. - ESPN2, 7:30 p.m. ET)
                It's hard to believe, but this is a very important game in the Coastal Division. The Panthers are 3-1 in the conference, while the Cavaliers are 4-1. A loss doesn't necessarily eliminate either side from winning the division, but a win will put someone in the driver's seat, especially Virginia. The Panthers are an impressive 5-1 ATS across their past six conference tilts, while going 7-2 ATS in their past nine tries against winning teams. The Hoos, favored by seven points as of Thursday morning, enter 5-0 ATS in the past five at Scott Stadium, while going 7-1 ATS in their past eight overall. They, too, are 4-1 ATS over their past five ACC outings, too. Looking at the total trends, the under is 8-1 in Pitt's past nine road games and 14-6-1 in their past 21 overall. The under is also 7-3 in their past 10 against winning teams and 3-1-1 in the past five vs. UVA. The under is 25-12-1 in the past 38 inside the ACC for the Cavs, too. While Pitt is 3-1-1 ATSa in the past five meetings, the favorite is 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight in this series.

                Louisville at Clemson (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
                The Cardinals have been brutally bad this season, something we haven't seen in Louisville in a long time. Clemson has been amazingly good this season, something which has been very frequent lately. They are favored by 38 1/2 points as of Thursday morning, and that might even be a bit low. Ask skidding Florida State how good Clemson is, as the Tigers handed them their worst-ever home loss last week, 59-10. To say Clemson is clicking is an understatment, as they have outscored their past three opponents (3-0 SU/ATS) by a combined 163-20, or an average winning margin of 47.7 PPG. The Cardinals are 7-20 ATS in their past 27 games overall, and 0-4 ATS in the past four road games. Clemson is 6-1 ATS in the past seven ACC outings, but just 1-4 ATS in the past five in Death Valley.

                Syracuse at Wake Forest (ACC Network, 12:00 p.m. ET)
                The Orange are already bowl eligible after winning a pair of exciting home games against North Carolina and North Carolina State over the past two weekends. Now, they'll play for the third straight weekend against a Tar Heel state team when they head to the Triad to take on the Demon Deacons. They earned their first ACC win last week by throttling Louisville. The Orange has posted a 7-2 ATS mark over the past nine games overall, and they're 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight overall. Last week's cover for Wake was a rarity, as the Deacs are 1-4 ATS in the past five ACC battles, and 2-8 ATS in the past 10 overall. They're also 1-5 ATS in the past six at home, and 0-5 ATS in the past five against winning teams.

                Georgia Tech at North Carolina (ACC Network, 12:15 p.m.)

                The Ramblin' Wreck look to add to UNC's woes and officially eliminate them from bowl eligibility. This game opened at 4 1/2 at most shops, but Georgia Tech is up to a six-point favorite as of Thursday morning. Ga. Tech is 5-1 ATS in the past six against losing teams, but just 3-7 ATs in their past 10 games overall. They're also just 1-3-1 ATS in the past five following a straight-up win. UNC has covered their past four at Kenan, and they're 6-2 ATS in the past eight games inside the ACC. The Tar Heels are also 6-2 ATS in the past eight confernce games, and 7-3-1 ATS in the past 11 overall. The over is 4-0 in the past four meetings in Chapel Hill, while going 6-2 in the past eight overall. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings, but the home team is also 4-1 ATS in the past five with Georgia Tech just 2-5 ATS in the past seven trips to Chapel Hill.

                Florida State at North Carolina State (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
                Florida State got cracked hard at home, as they're not even close to being in the same league with Clemson. N.C. State isn't that far off, as they were hammered 41-7 by the Tigers two weeks ago. Two weeks ago the Wolfpack was also ranked, and now they have two losses in a row and are desperate for a win. The Seminoles are 2-7-2 ATS in their past 11 against winning sides, and a terrible 2-10-2 ATS in their past 14 inside the conference. N.C. State isn't much better, going 1-5-1 ATS in their past seven ACC games. However, the Wolfpack are likely kryptonite to the Seminoles, even when things were going well in Tallahassee. FSU is 4-16-1 ATS in the past 21 meetings, and 0-7-1 ATS in their past eight visits to Carter-Finley. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings, too.

                Boston College at Virginia Tech (ACC Network, 3:45 p.m.)

                The Eagles returned to the rankings after a solid home win over Miami last week on Red Bandana Day. Look it up, as it's one of the coolest traditions in all of sports. BC and Va. Tech are each 3-1 in the conference, but for some reason BC's record feels a lot better. The Hokies have been very erratic this season, losing to a then-winless Old Dominion, beating a good Duke team and then losing at home to a so-so Georgia Tech side. You never know who is going to show up. The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in the past four against winning teams, and 7-1 ATS in the past eight road games while going 14-3-1 ATS in the past 18 overall and 12-3-1 ATS in the past 16 conference battles. Va. Tech is 6-2 ATS in the past eight home games against a team with a winning road mark, but they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five overall. In this series, the Eagles are 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings, while the over is 7-3-1 in the past 11 in the series, including 4-0-1 in the past five in Blacksburg.

                Duke at Miami-Florida (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m.)

                Both of these teams are skidding, as the Blue Devils lost a shootout at Pittsburgh to suffer a third loss, and Miami was dumped by BC last time out on Friday, following up a disappointing road setback to Virginia. But Miami has been solid at home, going 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS. Duke is 5-1 ATS in the past six on the road, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven against winning teams. However, they have managed a 3-7-1 ATS in the past 11 inside the conference and 1-4 ATs in the past five overall. Miami just 1-4 ATS in their past five overall, and 1-6 ATS in the past seven inside the league. They have also failed to cover in four in a row against teams with a winning overall record. While the over is 5-2 in the past eight meetings, the under has dominated lately for both teams. The under is 10-2 in Duke's past 12 ACC games, and 7-3 in their past 10 on the road. The over is 5-1 in Miami's past six at home, but the under is 10-3 in the past 13 league games forthe Canes and 5-2 in their past seven at home against teams with a winning road record.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • SEC Notebook - Week 10
                  November 2, 2018
                  By Brian Edwards


                  Texas A&M at Auburn**

                  -- As of Friday afternoon, most books had Auburn (5-3 straight up, against the spread) installed as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 48.5. The Aggies were +155 on the money line (risk $100 to win $155).

                  -- Since Texas A&M joined the SEC, the road team has won outright in all six head-to-head confrontations.

                  -- Gus Malzahn’s team has had two weeks to prepare for this spot after defeating Ole Miss 31-16 as a 4.5-point road ‘chalk’ two weeks ago. The victory stopped the bleeding after back-to-back losses at Mississippi State (23-9) and vs. Tennessee (30-24) but with road games at Georgia and Alabama on the horizon, Malzahn and Auburn need this victory over A&M in the worst way.

                  -- JaTarvious Whitlow was the catalyst against the Rebels in Oxford, rushing 19 times for 170 yards. Whitlow also had four receptions for 38 yards and one TD. Jarrett Stidham completed 13-of-22 throws for 215 yards and one TD without an interception.

                  -- Auburn is 2-3 in SEC play and can pull into a third-place tie with the Aggies if it wins Saturday at Jordan-Hare Stadium. The Tigers are 3-2 SU but an abysmal 1-4 ATS at home this year.

                  -- Stidham has had a disappointing campaign. His overall numbers don’t necessarily reflect that, as he’s completed 60.4 percent of his passes for 1,714 yards with an 8/4 touchdown-to-interception ratio. However, that’s his career-low completing percentage by far. Stidham threw all four of his interceptions in home L’s to LSU (22-21) and Tennessee, and he completed only 50.0 percent of his throws in the loss at MSU.

                  -- Whitlow has run for a team-high 626 yards and four TDs while averaging 6.3 yards per carry, but he’s listed as ‘questionable’ vs. A&M due to an ankle injury. Starting junior OT Jack Driscoll is also a question mark with a knee injury.

                  -- Auburn is ranked 13th in the nation in scoring defense, limiting foes to an average of 16.5 PPG. Junior DE Marlon Davidson is one of this unit’s catalysts, but he’s dealing with an ankle sprain that has him listed as ‘questionable.’ Davidson has recorded 35 tackles, 2.5 sacks, one tackle for loss, seven QB hurries, three blocked PAT’s or FGs and two passes broken up. Also, starting CB Jamel Dean is ‘questionable’ with a shoulder injury. Dean has contributed 13 tackles, five PBU, one interception and one TFL.

                  -- Texas A&M (5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS) has lost two of its three road games while posting a 2-1 spread record. Jimbo Fisher’s team allowed a 10-7 intermission lead to get away in last week’s 28-13 loss at Mississippi State as a three-point underdog. The Aggies couldn’t establish any sort of rushing attack against MSU’s stout defensive line, gaining only 61 yards on 22 carries for an abysmal 2.8 YPC average. Kellen Mond completed only 23-of-46 passes for 232 yards with one TD and one interception. Quartney Davis had six receptions for 59 yards and one TD.

                  -- Mond has connected on 59.6 percent of his throws for 2,032 yards with an 11/6 TD-INT ratio. He has run for 257 yards and four TDs. Junior RB Trayveon Williams has run for 824 yards and eight TDs, averaging 5.5 YPC. TE Jace Sternberger has 31 receptions for 509 yards and six TDs.

                  -- Texas A&M is ranked No. 22 in the nation in total defense, fifth versus the run and 29th in scoring ‘D’ (21.5 PPG).

                  -- When these SEC West adversaries collided in College Station last season, Auburn captured a 42-27 victory as a 14.5-point road favorite. Stidham hit 20-of-27 pass attempts for 268 yards and three TDs without an interception. Darius Slayton had two catches for 99 yards and one TD, while Ryan Davis had seven receptions for 80 yards and one TD. A&M’s Williams ran for 103 yard on 15 carries in the losing effort.

                  -- The Aggies have seen the ‘under’ hit in four straight games to improve to 5-3 overall, 2-1 in their road assignments. Their games have averaged combined scores of 51.4 PPG.

                  -- The ‘under’ is 6-2 overall for Auburn, 3-2 in its home games on The Plains. The Tigers have watched their games average combined scores of 44.9 PPG.

                  -- Kickoff is scheduled for noon Eastern on ESPN.

                  **South Carolina at Ole Miss**

                  -- As of Friday afternoon, most books had this SEC showdown listed as a pick ‘em with a total of 68.5 points for ‘over/under’ wagers.

                  -- South Carolina (4-3 straight up, 3-4 against the spread) improved to 3-3 in SEC play by capturing a 27-24 win over Tennessee this past Saturday. The Volunteers covered the spread as nine-point underdogs, though. The 45 combined points dropped ‘under’ the 53-point total. Parker White’s 25-yard field goal with 5:52 remaining was the difference. Rico Dowdle led the way with 140 rushing yards and one TD on 14 carries. Jake Bentley completed 11-of-16 passes for 152 yards with one TD and one pick. Bryan Edwards hauled in three receptions for 96 yards.

                  -- Will Muschamp’s team has seen the ‘under’ go 4-1 in its past five games to improve to 4-3 overall. The ‘under’ is 2-0 for the Gamecocks in their road games this year and, going back further, the ‘under’ has been a winner in six straight USC road assignments. South Carolina has seen its games average combined scores of 54.1 points per game. This is the highest total USC has seen all year long. In fact, the Gamecocks have had only one total about 55.5 points. That was the 62.5-point tally for the Missouri game that went over in USC’s 37-35 comeback victory.

                  -- South Carolina is 1-1 both SU and ATS in two road outings this year, winning 37-14 at Vanderbilt before losing 24-10 at Kentucky.

                  -- South Carolina announced Friday that it's added a 12th game to replace its suspended Week 3 contest vs. Marshall. The Gamecocks will host Akron on Dec. 1.

                  -- Ole Miss (5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS) has had two weeks to prepare for this spot. Matt Luke’s team has won outright in three of five home games, going 2-3 ATS. The Rebels are mired in a 1-5 ATS slump. They had won back-to-back games, including their only SEC win at Arkansas (37-33), before losing 31-16 vs. Auburn as five-point home underdogs on Oct. 20.

                  -- The ‘over’ is 5-3 overall for the Rebels, but the ‘under’ is 3-2 in their home games. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 73.0 points per game. The ‘over’ had hit in three consecutive games for Ole Miss until the 47 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 64-point tally in the loss to Auburn.

                  -- Ole Miss has an outstanding offense and is deplorable on the other side of the ball. The Rebels are ranked No. 124 in the nation out of 130 FBS teams in total defense, No. 117 in pass defense, No. 111 at defending the run and No. 108 in scoring ‘D’ (34.6 PPG).

                  -- On the flip side, Ole Miss is ranked fifth in the country in total offense, fourth in passing yards and No. 21 in scoring with its 38.4 PPG average. This unit did take a big hit a few weeks ago when WR D.K. Metcalf went down with a season-ending neck injury. Metcalf had 26 receptions for 569 yards and five TDs.

                  -- Ole Miss senior QB Jordan Ta’amu still has plenty of weapons around him. Ta’amu has connected on 64.6 percent of his throws for 2,622 yards with a 16/5 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He’s also run for 296 yards and four TDs. Junior WR A.J. Brown, considered by many to be a future first-round pick in the 2019 NFL Draft, has 60 catches for 805 yards and five TDs. DakMarkus Lodge has caught 40 balls for 550 yards and two TDs. Juco transfer RB Scottie Phillips has rushed for 782 yards and nine TDs while averaging 6.3 yards per carry.

                  -- These teams haven’t met since USC won a 16-10 decision as a four-point home underdog back in 2009. Spencer Lanning buried three field goals and Stephen Garcia found Patrick DiMarco for a two-yard TD pass to propel the Gamecocks to victory.

                  -- Ole Miss had won five consecutive head-to-head meetings over USC until 2008 when Steve Spurrier’s squad won 31-24 as a two-point underdog in Oxford. Mike Smelley threw three TD passes to pace the Gamecocks.

                  -- The SEC Network will provide television coverage at noon Eastern.

                  **Georgia at Kentucky**

                  -- The SEC East will be on the line in Lexington at 3:30 p.m. Eastern on Saturday. CBS will have the telecast. Kentucky will be vying for its first trip to the SEC Championship Game since its inception in 1992.

                  -- As of Friday afternoon, most spots had Georgia (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) listed as a nine-point ‘chalk’ with a total of 44.5. The Wildcats were available at +270 odds to win outright (risk $100 to win $270).

                  -- Kentucky (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) rallied from a 14-3 fourth-quarter deficit to win on a walk-off TD pass with no time left at Missouri last week. Trailing by 11 with 5:18 remaining, UK’s Lynn Bowden returned a punt 67 yards for a TD to give his team life. When the UK defense got a third-down stop, Kentucky took over at its own 19. The Wildcats drove the length of the field and as time expired on a play from the Mizzou 10, the Tigers were flagged for pass interference. With one untimed down remaining, QB Terry Wilson found TE C.J. Conrad for a two-yard TD pass to lift UK to a 15-14 win as a 7.5-point road underdog.

                  -- Wilson completed 22-of-31 passes for 267 yards with one TD and one interception. Bowden had 13 receptions for 166 yards, while Benny Snell rushed 19 times for 67 yards. UK’s defense gave up 13 first down to Missouri in the first half, only to hold the Tigers without a FD in the final 30 minutes. UK had a 385-249 advantage in total offense.

                  -- UK is 5-0 SU and 2-3 ATS at home this year.

                  -- Mark Stoops’s squad is 3-1 both SU and ATS as an underdog this season. The lone defeat was a bad beat when the ‘Cats lost 20-14 in overtime at Texas A&M as 4.5-point ‘dogs. They are 1-0 ATS as home ‘dogs this year, but they’re just 4-11-2 ATS as home ‘dogs on Stoops’s watch. I’m not sure that bettors should put much stock in that stat, however, since Stoops has –by far – his best team.

                  -- Kentucky is ranked second in the country in scoring defense, limiting foes to an average of 13.0 PPG. The ‘Cats are No. 10 in total defense, No. 24 at defending the pass and No. 19 in run ‘D.’ Senior DE Josh Allen is the leader of this unit and is on his way to garnering first-team All-American honors. Allen has produced 56 tackles, 10 sacks, 4.5 TFL’s, five forced fumbles, five QB hurries and four PBU.

                  -- UGA is 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS in three road assignments.

                  -- After taking its first loss of the season by a 36-16 count at LSU, Kirby Smart’s team bounced back last week to beat Florida 36-17 as a seven-point favorite in Jacksonville. The Bulldogs played turnover-free football and forced three turnovers. When UF took its first and only lead at 14-13 early in the third quarter, UGA answered with a 12-yard TD pass from Jake Fromm to Jeremiah Holloman. After both teams traded FGs, Fromm found Terry Godwin for a 24-yard scoring strike with 8:39 left to put the Bulldogs ahead 29-17. They’d tack on another score on D’Andre Swift’s 33-yard dash to paydirt.

                  -- Fromm connected on 17-of-24 throws for 240 yards and three TDs without an interception vs. UF. Swift ran for 104 yards and one TD on 12 attempts.

                  -- UGA owns a 6-4 spread record as a road favorite during Smart’s three-year tenure.

                  -- Assuming the total holds at 44.5 points or fewer, it'll be the lowest total both squads have seen this season. UGA’s previous low total was 50, while UK had a total of 45 earlier this season.

                  -- The ‘under’ is 6-2 overall for UK, 3-2 in its home contests. However, the ‘under’ is on a five-game winning streak for the ‘Cats, who have seen their games average combined scores of 38.6 PPG.

                  -- The ‘under’ is 4-3-1 overall for UGA, but the ‘over’ is 3-0 in its road outings.

                  **Missouri at Florida**

                  -- As of Friday afternoon, most books had Florida (6-2 SU, 6-2 ATS) installed as a six-point home favorite with a total of 57. The Tigers were +190 on the money line.

                  -- Florida is 3-1 both SU and ATS in four home games this year. In last week’s loss to UGA, third-year redshirt sophomore QB Feleipe Franks missed a wide-open Vann Jefferson on the first play from scrimmage. Trailing 3-0 after UGA got a score on its opening drive, Dan Mullen dialed up a flea-flicker on the first play and Jefferson was 7-8 yards behind the closest defender. Franks overthrew him by at least five yards. He would later throw an interception and fumble at UF’s own 2. In that case, however, the Florida defense produced a seven-play goal-line stand (UGA got a fresh set of downs after a shaky PI call) that was reminiscent of the 49ers’ epic goal-line stand vs. the Bengals in the early 1980s Super Bowl played at the old Silverdome in Pontiac, Michigan.

                  -- Florida star cornerback C.J. Henderson was injured in the first quarter vs. UGA and left the game without returning. Nevertheless, he’s ‘probable' vs. Mizzou and is expected to start. Starting safety Brad Stewart, who had the game-clinching pick-six in the win over LSU, was suspended and didn’t play against Georgia. Stewart is listed as ‘probable' vs. Missouri, but I’m not sure bettors can trust that because Mullen told the media he’d play last week after being asked about his status.

                  -- Missouri (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) remained winless in four SEC games when UK rallied to victory in Columbia last week. Drew Lock completed 15-of-27 passes for 165 yards. The senior signal caller has a 16/6 TD-INT ratio for the season, but he’s only thrown one TD pass compared to five picks against conference opponents.

                  -- Even though he’s missed five straight games, Emanuel Hall remains Mizzou’s WR leader with 18 receptions for 430 yards and three TDs. The third-team All-SEC selection last year has been dealing with a groin injury and the recent passing of his father. The Tigers are optimistic that he can play this week, although he’s listed as ‘questionable.’

                  -- Barry Odom’s club is 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS on the road. As a road underdog during his three-year tenure, Missouri has limped to a 2-6 ATS record.

                  -- Odom is 0-7 in seven games against ranked teams. Lock is 0-9 when starting against a ranked foe. Since the Gators are ranked, both guys get a chance to remove the donut from those resumes.

                  -- The ‘over’ is 2-0-1 for UF in its past three games, 4-3-1 overall. Totals have been a wash for the Gators at home (2-2). They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 51.2 PPG.

                  -- The ‘over’ is 5-2-1 overall for the Tigers, but they’ve seen the ‘under’ cash in two of their past three games. Missouri’s games have averaged combined scores of 64.4 PPG.

                  -- Kickoff is slated for 4:00 p.m. Eastern on the SEC Network.
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • SEC Notebook - Week 10
                    November 2, 2018
                    By Brian Edwards


                    Texas A&M at Auburn**

                    -- As of Friday afternoon, most books had Auburn (5-3 straight up, against the spread) installed as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 48.5. The Aggies were +155 on the money line (risk $100 to win $155).

                    -- Since Texas A&M joined the SEC, the road team has won outright in all six head-to-head confrontations.

                    -- Gus Malzahn’s team has had two weeks to prepare for this spot after defeating Ole Miss 31-16 as a 4.5-point road ‘chalk’ two weeks ago. The victory stopped the bleeding after back-to-back losses at Mississippi State (23-9) and vs. Tennessee (30-24) but with road games at Georgia and Alabama on the horizon, Malzahn and Auburn need this victory over A&M in the worst way.

                    -- JaTarvious Whitlow was the catalyst against the Rebels in Oxford, rushing 19 times for 170 yards. Whitlow also had four receptions for 38 yards and one TD. Jarrett Stidham completed 13-of-22 throws for 215 yards and one TD without an interception.

                    -- Auburn is 2-3 in SEC play and can pull into a third-place tie with the Aggies if it wins Saturday at Jordan-Hare Stadium. The Tigers are 3-2 SU but an abysmal 1-4 ATS at home this year.

                    -- Stidham has had a disappointing campaign. His overall numbers don’t necessarily reflect that, as he’s completed 60.4 percent of his passes for 1,714 yards with an 8/4 touchdown-to-interception ratio. However, that’s his career-low completing percentage by far. Stidham threw all four of his interceptions in home L’s to LSU (22-21) and Tennessee, and he completed only 50.0 percent of his throws in the loss at MSU.

                    -- Whitlow has run for a team-high 626 yards and four TDs while averaging 6.3 yards per carry, but he’s listed as ‘questionable’ vs. A&M due to an ankle injury. Starting junior OT Jack Driscoll is also a question mark with a knee injury.

                    -- Auburn is ranked 13th in the nation in scoring defense, limiting foes to an average of 16.5 PPG. Junior DE Marlon Davidson is one of this unit’s catalysts, but he’s dealing with an ankle sprain that has him listed as ‘questionable.’ Davidson has recorded 35 tackles, 2.5 sacks, one tackle for loss, seven QB hurries, three blocked PAT’s or FGs and two passes broken up. Also, starting CB Jamel Dean is ‘questionable’ with a shoulder injury. Dean has contributed 13 tackles, five PBU, one interception and one TFL.

                    -- Texas A&M (5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS) has lost two of its three road games while posting a 2-1 spread record. Jimbo Fisher’s team allowed a 10-7 intermission lead to get away in last week’s 28-13 loss at Mississippi State as a three-point underdog. The Aggies couldn’t establish any sort of rushing attack against MSU’s stout defensive line, gaining only 61 yards on 22 carries for an abysmal 2.8 YPC average. Kellen Mond completed only 23-of-46 passes for 232 yards with one TD and one interception. Quartney Davis had six receptions for 59 yards and one TD.

                    -- Mond has connected on 59.6 percent of his throws for 2,032 yards with an 11/6 TD-INT ratio. He has run for 257 yards and four TDs. Junior RB Trayveon Williams has run for 824 yards and eight TDs, averaging 5.5 YPC. TE Jace Sternberger has 31 receptions for 509 yards and six TDs.

                    -- Texas A&M is ranked No. 22 in the nation in total defense, fifth versus the run and 29th in scoring ‘D’ (21.5 PPG).

                    -- When these SEC West adversaries collided in College Station last season, Auburn captured a 42-27 victory as a 14.5-point road favorite. Stidham hit 20-of-27 pass attempts for 268 yards and three TDs without an interception. Darius Slayton had two catches for 99 yards and one TD, while Ryan Davis had seven receptions for 80 yards and one TD. A&M’s Williams ran for 103 yard on 15 carries in the losing effort.

                    -- The Aggies have seen the ‘under’ hit in four straight games to improve to 5-3 overall, 2-1 in their road assignments. Their games have averaged combined scores of 51.4 PPG.

                    -- The ‘under’ is 6-2 overall for Auburn, 3-2 in its home games on The Plains. The Tigers have watched their games average combined scores of 44.9 PPG.

                    -- Kickoff is scheduled for noon Eastern on ESPN.

                    **South Carolina at Ole Miss**

                    -- As of Friday afternoon, most books had this SEC showdown listed as a pick ‘em with a total of 68.5 points for ‘over/under’ wagers.

                    -- South Carolina (4-3 straight up, 3-4 against the spread) improved to 3-3 in SEC play by capturing a 27-24 win over Tennessee this past Saturday. The Volunteers covered the spread as nine-point underdogs, though. The 45 combined points dropped ‘under’ the 53-point total. Parker White’s 25-yard field goal with 5:52 remaining was the difference. Rico Dowdle led the way with 140 rushing yards and one TD on 14 carries. Jake Bentley completed 11-of-16 passes for 152 yards with one TD and one pick. Bryan Edwards hauled in three receptions for 96 yards.

                    -- Will Muschamp’s team has seen the ‘under’ go 4-1 in its past five games to improve to 4-3 overall. The ‘under’ is 2-0 for the Gamecocks in their road games this year and, going back further, the ‘under’ has been a winner in six straight USC road assignments. South Carolina has seen its games average combined scores of 54.1 points per game. This is the highest total USC has seen all year long. In fact, the Gamecocks have had only one total about 55.5 points. That was the 62.5-point tally for the Missouri game that went over in USC’s 37-35 comeback victory.

                    -- South Carolina is 1-1 both SU and ATS in two road outings this year, winning 37-14 at Vanderbilt before losing 24-10 at Kentucky.

                    -- South Carolina announced Friday that it's added a 12th game to replace its suspended Week 3 contest vs. Marshall. The Gamecocks will host Akron on Dec. 1.

                    -- Ole Miss (5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS) has had two weeks to prepare for this spot. Matt Luke’s team has won outright in three of five home games, going 2-3 ATS. The Rebels are mired in a 1-5 ATS slump. They had won back-to-back games, including their only SEC win at Arkansas (37-33), before losing 31-16 vs. Auburn as five-point home underdogs on Oct. 20.

                    -- The ‘over’ is 5-3 overall for the Rebels, but the ‘under’ is 3-2 in their home games. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 73.0 points per game. The ‘over’ had hit in three consecutive games for Ole Miss until the 47 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 64-point tally in the loss to Auburn.

                    -- Ole Miss has an outstanding offense and is deplorable on the other side of the ball. The Rebels are ranked No. 124 in the nation out of 130 FBS teams in total defense, No. 117 in pass defense, No. 111 at defending the run and No. 108 in scoring ‘D’ (34.6 PPG).

                    -- On the flip side, Ole Miss is ranked fifth in the country in total offense, fourth in passing yards and No. 21 in scoring with its 38.4 PPG average. This unit did take a big hit a few weeks ago when WR D.K. Metcalf went down with a season-ending neck injury. Metcalf had 26 receptions for 569 yards and five TDs.

                    -- Ole Miss senior QB Jordan Ta’amu still has plenty of weapons around him. Ta’amu has connected on 64.6 percent of his throws for 2,622 yards with a 16/5 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He’s also run for 296 yards and four TDs. Junior WR A.J. Brown, considered by many to be a future first-round pick in the 2019 NFL Draft, has 60 catches for 805 yards and five TDs. DakMarkus Lodge has caught 40 balls for 550 yards and two TDs. Juco transfer RB Scottie Phillips has rushed for 782 yards and nine TDs while averaging 6.3 yards per carry.

                    -- These teams haven’t met since USC won a 16-10 decision as a four-point home underdog back in 2009. Spencer Lanning buried three field goals and Stephen Garcia found Patrick DiMarco for a two-yard TD pass to propel the Gamecocks to victory.

                    -- Ole Miss had won five consecutive head-to-head meetings over USC until 2008 when Steve Spurrier’s squad won 31-24 as a two-point underdog in Oxford. Mike Smelley threw three TD passes to pace the Gamecocks.

                    -- The SEC Network will provide television coverage at noon Eastern.

                    **Georgia at Kentucky**

                    -- The SEC East will be on the line in Lexington at 3:30 p.m. Eastern on Saturday. CBS will have the telecast. Kentucky will be vying for its first trip to the SEC Championship Game since its inception in 1992.

                    -- As of Friday afternoon, most spots had Georgia (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) listed as a nine-point ‘chalk’ with a total of 44.5. The Wildcats were available at +270 odds to win outright (risk $100 to win $270).

                    -- Kentucky (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) rallied from a 14-3 fourth-quarter deficit to win on a walk-off TD pass with no time left at Missouri last week. Trailing by 11 with 5:18 remaining, UK’s Lynn Bowden returned a punt 67 yards for a TD to give his team life. When the UK defense got a third-down stop, Kentucky took over at its own 19. The Wildcats drove the length of the field and as time expired on a play from the Mizzou 10, the Tigers were flagged for pass interference. With one untimed down remaining, QB Terry Wilson found TE C.J. Conrad for a two-yard TD pass to lift UK to a 15-14 win as a 7.5-point road underdog.

                    -- Wilson completed 22-of-31 passes for 267 yards with one TD and one interception. Bowden had 13 receptions for 166 yards, while Benny Snell rushed 19 times for 67 yards. UK’s defense gave up 13 first down to Missouri in the first half, only to hold the Tigers without a FD in the final 30 minutes. UK had a 385-249 advantage in total offense.

                    -- UK is 5-0 SU and 2-3 ATS at home this year.

                    -- Mark Stoops’s squad is 3-1 both SU and ATS as an underdog this season. The lone defeat was a bad beat when the ‘Cats lost 20-14 in overtime at Texas A&M as 4.5-point ‘dogs. They are 1-0 ATS as home ‘dogs this year, but they’re just 4-11-2 ATS as home ‘dogs on Stoops’s watch. I’m not sure that bettors should put much stock in that stat, however, since Stoops has –by far – his best team.

                    -- Kentucky is ranked second in the country in scoring defense, limiting foes to an average of 13.0 PPG. The ‘Cats are No. 10 in total defense, No. 24 at defending the pass and No. 19 in run ‘D.’ Senior DE Josh Allen is the leader of this unit and is on his way to garnering first-team All-American honors. Allen has produced 56 tackles, 10 sacks, 4.5 TFL’s, five forced fumbles, five QB hurries and four PBU.

                    -- UGA is 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS in three road assignments.

                    -- After taking its first loss of the season by a 36-16 count at LSU, Kirby Smart’s team bounced back last week to beat Florida 36-17 as a seven-point favorite in Jacksonville. The Bulldogs played turnover-free football and forced three turnovers. When UF took its first and only lead at 14-13 early in the third quarter, UGA answered with a 12-yard TD pass from Jake Fromm to Jeremiah Holloman. After both teams traded FGs, Fromm found Terry Godwin for a 24-yard scoring strike with 8:39 left to put the Bulldogs ahead 29-17. They’d tack on another score on D’Andre Swift’s 33-yard dash to paydirt.

                    -- Fromm connected on 17-of-24 throws for 240 yards and three TDs without an interception vs. UF. Swift ran for 104 yards and one TD on 12 attempts.

                    -- UGA owns a 6-4 spread record as a road favorite during Smart’s three-year tenure.

                    -- Assuming the total holds at 44.5 points or fewer, it'll be the lowest total both squads have seen this season. UGA’s previous low total was 50, while UK had a total of 45 earlier this season.

                    -- The ‘under’ is 6-2 overall for UK, 3-2 in its home contests. However, the ‘under’ is on a five-game winning streak for the ‘Cats, who have seen their games average combined scores of 38.6 PPG.

                    -- The ‘under’ is 4-3-1 overall for UGA, but the ‘over’ is 3-0 in its road outings.

                    **Missouri at Florida**

                    -- As of Friday afternoon, most books had Florida (6-2 SU, 6-2 ATS) installed as a six-point home favorite with a total of 57. The Tigers were +190 on the money line.

                    -- Florida is 3-1 both SU and ATS in four home games this year. In last week’s loss to UGA, third-year redshirt sophomore QB Feleipe Franks missed a wide-open Vann Jefferson on the first play from scrimmage. Trailing 3-0 after UGA got a score on its opening drive, Dan Mullen dialed up a flea-flicker on the first play and Jefferson was 7-8 yards behind the closest defender. Franks overthrew him by at least five yards. He would later throw an interception and fumble at UF’s own 2. In that case, however, the Florida defense produced a seven-play goal-line stand (UGA got a fresh set of downs after a shaky PI call) that was reminiscent of the 49ers’ epic goal-line stand vs. the Bengals in the early 1980s Super Bowl played at the old Silverdome in Pontiac, Michigan.

                    -- Florida star cornerback C.J. Henderson was injured in the first quarter vs. UGA and left the game without returning. Nevertheless, he’s ‘probable' vs. Mizzou and is expected to start. Starting safety Brad Stewart, who had the game-clinching pick-six in the win over LSU, was suspended and didn’t play against Georgia. Stewart is listed as ‘probable' vs. Missouri, but I’m not sure bettors can trust that because Mullen told the media he’d play last week after being asked about his status.

                    -- Missouri (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) remained winless in four SEC games when UK rallied to victory in Columbia last week. Drew Lock completed 15-of-27 passes for 165 yards. The senior signal caller has a 16/6 TD-INT ratio for the season, but he’s only thrown one TD pass compared to five picks against conference opponents.

                    -- Even though he’s missed five straight games, Emanuel Hall remains Mizzou’s WR leader with 18 receptions for 430 yards and three TDs. The third-team All-SEC selection last year has been dealing with a groin injury and the recent passing of his father. The Tigers are optimistic that he can play this week, although he’s listed as ‘questionable.’

                    -- Barry Odom’s club is 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS on the road. As a road underdog during his three-year tenure, Missouri has limped to a 2-6 ATS record.

                    -- Odom is 0-7 in seven games against ranked teams. Lock is 0-9 when starting against a ranked foe. Since the Gators are ranked, both guys get a chance to remove the donut from those resumes.

                    -- The ‘over’ is 2-0-1 for UF in its past three games, 4-3-1 overall. Totals have been a wash for the Gators at home (2-2). They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 51.2 PPG.

                    -- The ‘over’ is 5-2-1 overall for the Tigers, but they’ve seen the ‘under’ cash in two of their past three games. Missouri’s games have averaged combined scores of 64.4 PPG.

                    -- Kickoff is slated for 4:00 p.m. Eastern on the SEC Network.
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • Alabama at LSU
                      November 2, 2018
                      By Brian Edwards


                      SEC Notebook - Week 10

                      Alabama (8-0 straight up, 5-3 against the spread) is ranked No. 1 in the newest College Football Rankings and that title is certainly well deserved. Nick Saban’s team has won all eight of its games by at least 22 points. The Crimson Tide has been so dominant that its star QB Tua Tagovailoa hasn’t taken a snap in the fourth quarter all season.

                      On paper and by just about anyone’s eye test, this squad appears to be Saban’s best and one of the most dominant in college football history. But nobody earns the latter honor through only eight games. In fact, this team can’t even claim the former billing unless it wins the CFP. So obviously, Alabama still has plenty of work to do.

                      With that said, let’s take a moment to ****** what this club has accomplished to date. For gamblers who have backed the Tide in the first quarter and the first half, in addition to taking its team total ‘over’ in the first quarter, first half and for the game, those bettors have cashed tickets at an insane 36-3-1 clip.

                      For those gamblers who regularly read my weekly SEC Notebook, you’re freakin’ welcome since I’ve been pointing you toward this sequence of bets since Week 3! When I write my SEC content on Friday, the lines for the first quarter and the teams totals in the first quarter and first half usually aren’t available yet.

                      As I write this on Friday afternoon, we do have a first-half line already as ‘Bama is a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 27.5. We also have a team total for the game (34.5 pts. for the Tide; LSU’s is 19.5). Most books have Alabama installed as a 14.5-point favorite (we’re talking about the game now) with a total of 53.5. The Tigers are anywhere from +450 to +500 on the money line.

                      Tagovailoa is a monster -400 ‘chalk’ to win the Heisman Trophy at Sportsbook.ag. He has 25 TD passes without an interception, in addition to a pair of rushing scores. The true sophomore QB has connected on 70.4 percent of his passes for 2,066 yards.

                      Najee Harris has run for a team-best 489 yards and four TDs with a 6.3 yards-per-carry average. Damien Harris has 435 rushing yards and five TDs while averaging 6.4 YPC.

                      Jerry Jeudy reminds me of former Florida Gator WRs Jack Jackson and Jacquez Green. He has lightning-fast speed and an incredibly quick burst. Jeudy has 31 receptions for 777 yards and 10 TDs, while Jaylen Waddle has 21 catches for 457 yards and three TDs. Henry Ruggs has caught 24 balls for 444 yards and a team-best seven TDs. Devonta Smith, who was upgraded to ‘probable' on Friday, has 21 grabs for 409 yards and three TDs.

                      Since giving up backdoor covers in three straight games, Alabama has covered the number in back-to-back outings vs. Missouri (39-10) and at Tennessee (58-21). Tagovailoa threw for 306 yards and four TDs against the Vols, while Josh Jacobs ran for 68 yards and two scores on 12 carries.

                      LSU (7-1 SU, ATS) will be without its best player in junior LB Devin White for the first half. White was flagged for a shaky targeting penalty in the second half of his team’s 19-3 win over Mississippi State two weeks ago. The enormity of his absence for the first 30 minutes can’t be overstated. White was a second-team All-American last season and is en route to garnering first-team honors in 2018. He has recorded 76 tackles, six TFL’s, one sack, six QB hurries, four PBU, one forced fumble and one fumble return for 29 yards.

                      LSU has notable wins over Miami (33-17 at Jerry World), at Auburn (22-21 on a walk-off FG), vs. La. Tech (38-21), vs. Ole Miss (45-16), vs. UGA (36-16) and vs. MSU (19-3). The Tigers took their lone defeat at Florida by a 27-19 score.

                      LSU intercepted Mississippi State QB Nick Fitzgerald four times at Tiger Stadium two weeks ago. Grant Delpit had a pair of picks, Nick Brossette scored on a one-yard TD run and Cole Tracy buried four FGs against the Bulldogs.

                      The difference for LSU this season has been the timely play of Ohio State grad transfer QB Joe Burrow, who doesn’t have the cleanest stats but has been money at crunch time. Burrow has run for 250 yards and four TDs and wasn’t intercepted for the first time until Week 6.

                      Brossette has rushed for a team-high 697 yards and 10 TDs, averaging 4.6 yards per carry. Clyde Edwards-Helaire has run for 521 yards and five TDs with a 5.0 YPC average. WR Justin Jefferson has 30 receptions for 471 yards and two TDs.

                      Since Ed Orgeron replaced Les Miles as head coach, he has compiled a 15-4 spread record in 19 SEC games. Oregon owns an 11-1 spread record in his past 12 SEC contests. As a home underdog on his watch, LSU is 2-1 both SU and ATS.

                      Since LSU won a 9-6 overtime decision at Alabama in 2011, the Crimson Tide has won seven games in a row over the Tigers while going 5-2 ATS. The past three wins and four of the last five have come by double-digit margins.

                      When these bitter rivals squared off in Tuscaloosa last season, Alabama won by a 24-10 count but LSU took the cash as a 20.5-point road underdog. The 44 combined points slithered ‘under’ the 45-point tally. QB Jalen Hurts, who is ‘questionable’ Saturday night due to a sprained ankle, threw one TD pass and ran for another score.

                      This rivalry has seen the ‘under’ hit in four straight games and nine of the past 10. The ‘under’ is on a 5-0 run when the game is played in Baton Rouge. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the past five head-to-head meetings.

                      The ‘over’ is 6-2 overall for ‘Bama this season, 2-1 in its three road contests. Both ‘unders’ came when the total was in the 70s. In fact, both totals were the highest we’ve seen in Alabama football history. The Tide’s games have averaged combined scores of 70.0 PPG.

                      The ‘over’ is 5-3 overall for LSU, 3-2 in its home games. The ‘over’ had hit in four consecutive outings for the Tigers until their win over MSU fell way below the 45.5-point total. LSU’s games have averaged combined scores of 45.5 PPG.

                      CBS will provide the broadcast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • Alabama at LSU
                        November 2, 2018
                        By Brian Edwards


                        SEC Notebook - Week 10

                        Alabama (8-0 straight up, 5-3 against the spread) is ranked No. 1 in the newest College Football Rankings and that title is certainly well deserved. Nick Saban’s team has won all eight of its games by at least 22 points. The Crimson Tide has been so dominant that its star QB Tua Tagovailoa hasn’t taken a snap in the fourth quarter all season.

                        On paper and by just about anyone’s eye test, this squad appears to be Saban’s best and one of the most dominant in college football history. But nobody earns the latter honor through only eight games. In fact, this team can’t even claim the former billing unless it wins the CFP. So obviously, Alabama still has plenty of work to do.

                        With that said, let’s take a moment to ****** what this club has accomplished to date. For gamblers who have backed the Tide in the first quarter and the first half, in addition to taking its team total ‘over’ in the first quarter, first half and for the game, those bettors have cashed tickets at an insane 36-3-1 clip.

                        For those gamblers who regularly read my weekly SEC Notebook, you’re freakin’ welcome since I’ve been pointing you toward this sequence of bets since Week 3! When I write my SEC content on Friday, the lines for the first quarter and the teams totals in the first quarter and first half usually aren’t available yet.

                        As I write this on Friday afternoon, we do have a first-half line already as ‘Bama is a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 27.5. We also have a team total for the game (34.5 pts. for the Tide; LSU’s is 19.5). Most books have Alabama installed as a 14.5-point favorite (we’re talking about the game now) with a total of 53.5. The Tigers are anywhere from +450 to +500 on the money line.

                        Tagovailoa is a monster -400 ‘chalk’ to win the Heisman Trophy at Sportsbook.ag. He has 25 TD passes without an interception, in addition to a pair of rushing scores. The true sophomore QB has connected on 70.4 percent of his passes for 2,066 yards.

                        Najee Harris has run for a team-best 489 yards and four TDs with a 6.3 yards-per-carry average. Damien Harris has 435 rushing yards and five TDs while averaging 6.4 YPC.

                        Jerry Jeudy reminds me of former Florida Gator WRs Jack Jackson and Jacquez Green. He has lightning-fast speed and an incredibly quick burst. Jeudy has 31 receptions for 777 yards and 10 TDs, while Jaylen Waddle has 21 catches for 457 yards and three TDs. Henry Ruggs has caught 24 balls for 444 yards and a team-best seven TDs. Devonta Smith, who was upgraded to ‘probable' on Friday, has 21 grabs for 409 yards and three TDs.

                        Since giving up backdoor covers in three straight games, Alabama has covered the number in back-to-back outings vs. Missouri (39-10) and at Tennessee (58-21). Tagovailoa threw for 306 yards and four TDs against the Vols, while Josh Jacobs ran for 68 yards and two scores on 12 carries.

                        LSU (7-1 SU, ATS) will be without its best player in junior LB Devin White for the first half. White was flagged for a shaky targeting penalty in the second half of his team’s 19-3 win over Mississippi State two weeks ago. The enormity of his absence for the first 30 minutes can’t be overstated. White was a second-team All-American last season and is en route to garnering first-team honors in 2018. He has recorded 76 tackles, six TFL’s, one sack, six QB hurries, four PBU, one forced fumble and one fumble return for 29 yards.

                        LSU has notable wins over Miami (33-17 at Jerry World), at Auburn (22-21 on a walk-off FG), vs. La. Tech (38-21), vs. Ole Miss (45-16), vs. UGA (36-16) and vs. MSU (19-3). The Tigers took their lone defeat at Florida by a 27-19 score.

                        LSU intercepted Mississippi State QB Nick Fitzgerald four times at Tiger Stadium two weeks ago. Grant Delpit had a pair of picks, Nick Brossette scored on a one-yard TD run and Cole Tracy buried four FGs against the Bulldogs.

                        The difference for LSU this season has been the timely play of Ohio State grad transfer QB Joe Burrow, who doesn’t have the cleanest stats but has been money at crunch time. Burrow has run for 250 yards and four TDs and wasn’t intercepted for the first time until Week 6.

                        Brossette has rushed for a team-high 697 yards and 10 TDs, averaging 4.6 yards per carry. Clyde Edwards-Helaire has run for 521 yards and five TDs with a 5.0 YPC average. WR Justin Jefferson has 30 receptions for 471 yards and two TDs.

                        Since Ed Orgeron replaced Les Miles as head coach, he has compiled a 15-4 spread record in 19 SEC games. Oregon owns an 11-1 spread record in his past 12 SEC contests. As a home underdog on his watch, LSU is 2-1 both SU and ATS.

                        Since LSU won a 9-6 overtime decision at Alabama in 2011, the Crimson Tide has won seven games in a row over the Tigers while going 5-2 ATS. The past three wins and four of the last five have come by double-digit margins.

                        When these bitter rivals squared off in Tuscaloosa last season, Alabama won by a 24-10 count but LSU took the cash as a 20.5-point road underdog. The 44 combined points slithered ‘under’ the 45-point tally. QB Jalen Hurts, who is ‘questionable’ Saturday night due to a sprained ankle, threw one TD pass and ran for another score.

                        This rivalry has seen the ‘under’ hit in four straight games and nine of the past 10. The ‘under’ is on a 5-0 run when the game is played in Baton Rouge. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the past five head-to-head meetings.

                        The ‘over’ is 6-2 overall for ‘Bama this season, 2-1 in its three road contests. Both ‘unders’ came when the total was in the 70s. In fact, both totals were the highest we’ve seen in Alabama football history. The Tide’s games have averaged combined scores of 70.0 PPG.

                        The ‘over’ is 5-3 overall for LSU, 3-2 in its home games. The ‘over’ had hit in four consecutive outings for the Tigers until their win over MSU fell way below the 45.5-point total. LSU’s games have averaged combined scores of 45.5 PPG.

                        CBS will provide the broadcast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • The Triple Option: College football Week 10 picks and predictions
                          Andrew Caley

                          Halloween is over. The calendar has flipped to November. That means a few things. The fun part of fall is has come to an end, and the two-month stress fueled build up to Christmas is upon us.

                          I am legitimately shocked about how fast my house transforms from the oranges and browns of October to the halls being decked out with Christmas trimmings. Now don’t get me wrong, I love Christmas as much as anyone and I can’t wait to watch Jingle All The Way multiple times in a few weeks, but it is too god damned early to be hearing Christmas songs and for the lady to be bugging me about when the lights can go up.

                          Thank goodness I’m a bit of a traditionalist and require a real tree, or there might be one standing up in my living room already. But the main point of this is we can’t get ahead of ourselves, whether its Christmas or college football.

                          Because the Christmas switch getting flipped means something else: Another college football season is flying by. It’s already Week 10, which means the College Football Playoff (still hate that name) selection committee gave us our first look at the initial CFP rankings and there were no surprises.

                          Alabama, of course led the way, followed by Clemson, then LSU at No. 3 and Notre Dame rounded out the top 4. But an interesting stat surfaced this week. The No. 3 ranked team in the initial rankings have never made the Playoff in the four previous seasons of this process. And I’m sorry Tigers fans, the way things are set up, it might happen again.

                          Oddsmakers certainly think they’re still a long shot to make it to the CFP, at least in terms of the Tigers national championship odds. LSU’s odds are also a little perilous at 40/1. Here’s what the Top 4 would look like according to the Superbook at Westgate in terms of national title odds:

                          * 1: Alabama 2/5
                          * 2: Clemson 7/2
                          * 3: Notre Dame 6/1
                          * T-4: Ohio State 12/1
                          * T-4: Michigan 12/1
                          * T-4: Georgia 12/1

                          But first and foremost, the biggest reason LSU is a longshot to make the CFP, is staring it right in the face this weekend. Alabama. The No. 1 ranked Crimson Tide head to Death Valley Tide for a huge SEC matchup where they are currently two-touchdown faves.

                          Two touchdowns may seem like a lot considering the Tigers are the third ranked team in the country, have an elite defense, have played the tougher schedule and are at home. Well, that’s just how impressive the Tide and quarterback Tua Tagovailoa have been this season.

                          Tagovailoa, the runaway Heisman favorite, has thrown for 2,066 yards on 70.4 percent passing with 25 touchdowns and no interceptions and he still hasn’t played a fourth quarter yet this season. He is special and a true difference maker. While the Tigers have Joe Burrow, who is a game manager at best.

                          And don’t give me the “Tagovailoa hasn’t faced the pressure he will in Death Valley” argument. He came into the national championship at halftime, down 13-0, and just led the Tide to one of the most exciting comeback victories in recent memory.

                          Alabama won’t only dash LSU’s CFP hopes this weekend (no two-loss team has qualified for the CFP so far). They’ll cover the spread as well. I’m going to play it a little safe though and buy a half-point.

                          Pick:
                          Alabama -13.5

                          West Virginia Mountaineers at Texas Longhorns (-2, 58)

                          Everyone knows not to fade Todd Herman when he’s an underdog. Luckily, for us Texas is a slight home favorite for this week’s matchup with West Virginia.

                          Texas has struggled since its impressive win over Oklahoma. It followed that victory up by having to tough out a 6-point win over Baylor as 14-point home favorites and lost outright at Oklahoma State last week 38-35 as 2.5-point road faves.

                          West Virginia meanwhile, followed up its disappointing loss to Iowa State by beating the snot out of Baylor 58-14 as 14.5-point faves and it matches up very well against Texas. The Mountaineers are one of the best passing teams in the nation behind senior quarterback Will Grier, while the Longhorns rank 90th against the pass. Grier has passed for 2,272 with 25 touchdowns compared to just seven interceptions on 70.3 percent passing.

                          While both teams still have a shot at the Big 12 title, only West Virginia still has a shot at the CFP and Grier has too many weapons for the Longhorns to handle. The Mountaineers won’t just cover but win outright.

                          Pick:
                          West Virginia +2

                          Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan Wolverines (-12, 52.5)

                          Michigan definitely has a shot at the CFP if it can win out and claim a Big Ten title, but just like everyone else a second loss can dash those hopes in a hurry.

                          There’s no doubting the awesomeness of the Wolverines defense. They rank sixth in points allowed per game and first in total and passing yards. However, Trace McSorely is the most talented quarterback they have gone up against this year and Penn State is probably a little better than its record suggests.

                          After a gut-punch of a loss to Ohio State, the Nittany Lions dropped its second in a row in an obvious letdown spot against Michigan State. But James Franklin should have his team up for this matchup with Michigan.

                          While the Wolverines defense is great, the other side of the ball has been a little more of a question mark. The biggest being whether Shea Patterson step up in a big game?

                          This matchup is much closer than 12-points.

                          Pick:
                          Penn State +12

                          Last week: 2-1
                          Season to date: 15-12
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • ⚠️COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEATHER WARNING⚠️

                            ��️High winds expected for Oklahoma State (-6) at Baylor. Forecast calling for cross winds of 20 to 30 MPH with higher gusts possible . Line opened at -8 and has moved to -6.


                            Forecast calling for winds of 10 to 20 mph corner to corner today as Michigan State (-3) travels to face an embattled Maryland program.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • Burning Questions - Week 10
                              Tony Mejia

                              Saturday

                              Syracuse (-5.5/77) at Wake Forest, 12 p.m. ET:
                              Can Syracuse’s banged up secondary rise up with corners Scoop Bradshaw and Chris Frederick moving well and ready to return to the lineup? Can Dave Clawson make it three straight wins over Dino Babers in this battle of offensive gurus and former Bowling Green head coaches? Will Syracuse improve on its plus-9 turnover margin by pressuring freshman QB Sam Hartman into mistakes? Does Wake improve its chances for a third straight bowl berth with an upset here?

                              Nebraska at Ohio State (-19.5/73), 12 p.m. ET:
                              Will Nebraska freshman QB Adrian Martinez be able to hang with Ohio State’s Dwayne Haskins, who hosted him on a recruiting visit to Columbus less than a year ago? Does a Huskers secondary that has been torched by most QBs have any chance to slow down the best passer on their schedule in Haskins and the tremendous receiving corps he has at his disposal? Can the Huskers improve on a pass rush that has produced just six sacks to give their DBs a fighting chance? Will WR Binjimen Victor emerge quickly in place of injured Austin Mack, who is out the rest of the way after foot surgery?

                              Memphis (-11.5/65) at East Carolina, 12 p.m. ET:
                              Can the nation’s second-leading rusher, Memphis’ Darrell Henderson (10.07 ypc), pick up where he left off before experiencing leg pain that kept him out against Missouri? Will head coach Mike Norvell’s inclination that Henderson won’t be under any restrictions hold true? How can the porous Memphis defense keep WR Trevon Brown from finishing with double-digit receptions, 140-plus receiving yards and at least one touchdown for the third straight game? Who will be passing him the ball, Reid Herring, still dealing with coming back from a concussion, or freshman Holton Ahlers, a top recruit who threw for 406 yards against UCF? Will the Tigers win their first road game of the season and snap a run of four straight losses in Greenville?

                              Michigan State (-3/45) at Maryland, 12 p.m. ET:
                              Will all the distractions and disharmony over Maryland’s inept handling of former head coach D.J. Durkin’s reinstatement and subsequent firing be too much for the team to overcome at home? Will top Terps running back Ty Johnson return from a calf strain to challenge the Big Ten’s top rush defense, surrendering just 2.7 ypc? With normal starting QB Brian Lewerke dealing with a shoulder injury, will redshirt freshman Rocky Lombardi continue to impress in his first road start? Will RB L.J. Scott getting back close to 100 percent help the Sparty offense get comfortable despite a reshuffled offensive line and the absences of center Matt Allen and top receiver Felton Davis?

                              Rutgers at Wisconsin (-28.5/50.5), 12 p.m. ET:
                              How will star RB Jonathan Taylor bounce back from a brutal game where he managed just 46 yards and fumbled twice in a loss at Northwestern? How many turnovers will the Badgers add to their haul of eight forced over the past two weeks against miscue-prone freshman Art Sitkowski and the Scarlet Knights? Will Wisconsin QB Alex Hornibrook hang in there in the pocket to wait for plays to develop or will he be looking to throw immediately since he just came out of concussion protocol? Can the Badgers avoid looking ahead to road games against Penn State and Purdue to secure this easily despite resting multipe defensive starters like NT Olive Sagapolu and safety Scott Nelson?

                              Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan (-13.5/46.5)
                              , 12 p.m. ET: Will the Chippewas record their first MAC win of the season by beating rival EMU for the sixth time in seven meetings? Will the QB tandem of Tyler Wiegers and Mike Glass III continue to flourish in holding serve at home to get the Eagles to .500 through 10 games? With freshman LaQuan Johnson and sophomore Robinson Stuart set to start for injured upperclassment up front, can the CMU defensive line generate pressure and stop the run? Will 6-foot-7, 240-pound QB Tony Poljan be able to move the Chips effectively now that he's got the starting gig back with Tommy Lazzaro out for the season and freshman George Pearson back in a reserve role?

                              Air Force at Army (-6/42.5), 12 p.m. ET:
                              Who will value the ball and avoid turnovers best in the face of steady showers and driving winds expected in West Point for this one? After dominating Navy 35-7 to open October, will the Falcons claim the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy by pulling off a road upset of the current holders? Can the Black Knights beat Air Force in consecutive seasons for the first time in over a decade? With 10 starters back from last year's 21-0 home loss to Army, does Air Force have enough talent and experience to return the favor? Can Air Force QB Isaiah Sanders improve on a 60.6 completion percentage that ranks best among the service-academy QBs? Will Army dominate possession at home by winning a few gambles to add to a fourth-down conversion percentage (89.7%) that leads the nation?

                              Iowa State (-16/46) at Kansas, 12 p.m. ET:
                              Can ISU star running back David Montgomery, the Big 12's rushing leader, pick up his fifth 100-yard game in a row? Does KU freshman RB Pooka Williams continue striking a blow for the Jayhawks with his ability to break big gains? Coming off an upset of TCU, will the Jayhawks have the requisite confidence to flirt with another upset? WIll Cyclones freshman QB Brock Purdy continue his emergence by again hooking up with standout WR Hakeem Butler?

                              Texas A&M at Auburn (-4/48), 12 p.m. ET:
                              Which dual-threat QB, Kellen Mond or Jarrett Stidham, finds a rhythm first? With WR Jhamon Ausbon still out with a foot injury, do the Aggies have the firepower to consistently move it through the air against the Tigers? Can a rushing offense that has had issues moving it consistently and is averaging the fewest yards in the Gus Malzahn era overcome the potential absence of top RB JaTarvious Whitlow, who is listed as questionable due to a shoulder injury and ankle sprain? Coming off a bye, can an offensive line that's as healthy as it has been this season and is getting back right tackle Jack Driscoll produce results against the SEC's third-ranked run defense?

                              Oklahoma State (-6/69) at Baylor, 12 p.m. ET:
                              Which high-powered offense best handles 20-plus-mile-per-hour wind gusts? How does Bears QB Charlie Brewer bounce gack from going 1-for-8 with three interceptions in a loss to West Virginia now that he's made it through concussion protocol? Can Oklahoma State build on last week's upset of Texas to secure bowl eligibility and get back to .500 in Big 12 play? With this year's Cowboys continue to be more effective on the ground than through the air due to Taylor Cornelius' inconsistent passing and the explosiveness of Justice Hill and Chuba Hubbard?

                              Louisville at Clemson (-40/61), 12 p.m. ET:
                              Should this spread, Louisville's largest since 1987, be an indictment of where the Cardinals program has fallen post-Lamar Jackson under Bobby Petrino? Can the 'Ville improve to 2-7 ATS by hanging within this big number? Can Tigers RB Travis Etienne get back on track against Louisville's brutal run defense to make life easier on freshman QB Trevor Lawrence?

                              South Carolina (PK/69) at Ole Miss, 12 p.m. ET:
                              What effect will Ole Miss' bowl ban for this season being upheld earlier this week have on the team since picking up a sixth victory here no longer carries any significance? Can the Gamecocks adjust to playing only their third road game of the season, a rarity this deep into things in November? How will South Carolina's depleted secondary fare against the best set of receivers it has seen since surrendering 41 points to Georgia at home two months ago?

                              Georgia Tech (-5/65) at North Carolina, 12:15 p.m. ET:
                              Can the Yellow Jackets remain hot on the trail of an ACC Coastal crown by taking down the least successful team in the ACC outside of the 'Ville? With starting QB Ta'Quon Marshall back, will we see Tobias Oliver improve on a brilliant debut that delivered a convincing win over Virginia Tech? Since both QBs are set to play, does that increase the chances they'll pour it on against the Tar Heels? Will Georgia Tech snap a run of defeats in Chapel Hill, winning for the first time at Kenan Stadium since a 68-50 eye-opener back in 2012?

                              Penn State at Michigan (-12/52.5), 3:45 p.m. ET:
                              Will star Michigan DE Rashan Gary return from a foot injury to quell rumors that he's already hung up his cleats to start preparing for the draft? Can Trace McSorley's deft ball-handling and ability to tuck and run give a Wolverines defense that has been dominant since losing the opener at Notre Dame fits? Will Shea Patterson continue improving to punish a Penn State defense that has looked vulnerable when it's mattered most? Can Jim Harbaugh put last week's bye to good use to improve to just 4-3 with extra time to prepare?
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • ⚠️COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEATHER WARNING⚠️

                                Forecast are calling for high winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts potentially reaching over 40mph corner to corner as Air Force travels to West Point to take on Army (-6) .


                                Forecasts are calling for more high winds as Liberty takes on Umass. With corner to corner winds starting at 10 to 15 mph then increasing to 25 to 35 mph later today.
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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