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NCAAF

Week 11

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Trend Report
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Tuesday, November 6

Kent State @ Buffalo
Kent State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kent State's last 6 games
Kent State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

Buffalo
Buffalo is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Buffalo is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games


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NCAAF
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 6

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KENT ST (2 - 7) at BUFFALO (8 - 1) - 11/6/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-1 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 11

Tuesday, November 6

Kent State @ Buffalo

Game 101-102
November 6, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
63.317
Buffalo
87.545
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 24
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 20
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-20); Over


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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11


Tuesday’s game

Buffalo won its last four games, by 10-18-14-9 points; they’re 5-1-1 in last seven games as a home favorite. Bulls threw for 684 yards in their last two games. Kent State got its first I-A win of season LW, beating winless (vs I-A teams) Bowling Green; two of Kent’s last three losses were by one point. Golden Flashes are 5-7 vs spread in last 12 games as road underdogs, 2-3 this year; they scored 23+ points in four of last five games. Six of last eight Buffalo games went over total; five of last six Kent games stayed under. MAC home favorites are 10-10 vs spread this year.


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Wake Forest QB Hartman out for season

WINSTON-SALEM, N.C. (AP) Wake Forest says starting quarterback Sam Hartman will miss the rest of the season with a leg injury.

Coach Dave Clawson disclosed Hartman's injury on Sunday, a day after he was hurt during a 41-24 loss to Syracuse.

Hartman had started all nine games for the Demon Deacons (4-5, 1-4 ACC) but becomes the 12th Wake Forest player to suffer a season-ending injury. He was 161 of 291 for 1,984 yards and 16 touchdowns.

Wake Forest plays at North Carolina State on Thursday night.


Kansas fires head coach Beaty

Kansas fired head football coach David Beaty on Sunday. Beatty will coach the Jayhawks' final three games this season.

The Jayhawks (3-6) are coming off a 27-3 home loss on Saturday to Iowa State.

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Early bettors hit Auburn odds, but Georgia still huge college football Week 11 favorite
Patrick Everson

Daniel Thomas and Auburn hope to show they've still got some muscle to flex in the SEC. The Tigers saw some early money for their Week 11 game at Georgia, but the Bulldogs remain 14.5-point favorites

Week 11 of the college football season has plenty of big-name games, but oddsmakers don’t expect them to be very competitive. We check in on the opening lines and early action for four contests, with insights from Derek Wilkinson, supervisor at The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

Auburn Tigers at No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (-14.5)

Georgia got rolled at Auburn in the regular season last year, then beat the Tigers in the CFP semifinals before losing the title game to Alabama. The Bulldogs (8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS), aiming to stay firmly in this year’s CFP conversation, dumped Kentucky 34-17 laying 9.5 points on the road in Week 10.

Auburn won four of its first five games, including an at-the-time big season-opening victory over Washington, and the loss was by just a point at Louisiana State. The Tigers (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS) then dropped two in a row to fall out of the rankings. Gus Malzahn’s troops followed with a couple of wins, including a 28-24 home victory over Texas A&M giving 3.5 points.

“This is one of the better matchups of the week. Georgia is a beast, but I’ve been fairly impressed by Auburn the last couple of weeks,” Wilkinson said Monday night. “We took a five-figure bet on Auburn earlier, but haven’t moved the line quite yet. We’re waiting to see which side the sharps like. I still think Georgia is just too strong right now, and being at home is going to help them cover that 14.5.”

No. 8 Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan State Spartans (-4)

Ohio State certainly has College Football Playoff aspirations, but can’ take any more blemishes such as the one in Week 8 at Purdue. The Buckeyes (8-1 SU, 3-6 ATS) followed that blowout loss with a bye, then struggled last Saturday at home against Nebraska, hanging on for a 36-31 victory as 17-point favorites.

Michigan State has won three of its last four SU and ATS, including a road upset of Penn State as a double-digit underdog in Week 7. This past week, the Spartans (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS) rolled past Maryland 24-3 as 3-point road faves.

“Both of these teams have been inconsistent, to say the least. It’ll be interesting to see which way the wiseguys bet this,” Wilkinson said. “We haven’t seen any action yet, but my guess is that the line is going to go up. I think Ohio State is much more talented, but it depends on which team shows up that day.”

No. 2 Clemson Tigers at No. 25 Boston College Eagles (-17.5)

Unbeaten Clemson is facing a ranked team this week but is a hefty favorite as it works toward a fourth straight CFP appearance. The Tigers (9-0 SU, 5-4 ATS) have not messed around the past four games, going 4-0 SU and ATS by a whopping combined score of 240-36. In Week 10, Clemson boatraced Louisville 77-16 as 38-point home favorites.

Boston College has won three in row SU and four in a row ATS in the battle for second-best team in the Atlantic Coast Conference. The Eagles (7-2 SU and ATS) topped Virginia Tech 31-21 as 2-point road faves in Week 10.

“We took a large wager on Clemson as soon as we opened it up, and we went to -18,” Wilkinson said. “Then the whole betting market moved to -20, so we did as well. I think that’s the direction the line is going to keep heading, too. Boston College can’t compete with Clemson, even if the Eagles are at home. I think this line will be 21 or 22 by Saturday.”

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Oklahoma Sooners (-18)

Oklahoma needs to stay focused in the annual Bedlam game in order to remain in the CFP picture. The Sooners (8-1 SU, 4-5 ATS) survived a shootout with Texas Tech in Week 10, winning 51-46 laying 14 points on the road.

Oklahoma State won its first three games, but hasn’t been up to par since, losing four of six SU and ATS. The Cowboys (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) got a nice home win over Texas in Week 9, but tumbled at Baylor in Week 10, 35-31 giving 6 points.

“Sometimes instate rivalry games are competitive, but I don’t think that will be the case this weekend. However, 18 is a lot of points,” Wilkinson said. “Oklahoma State has had some good wins this season, but I don’t think the Cowboys have a chance at winning this one. We haven’t seen much action on it yet. I think the line is going to drop a little throughout the week, just because it’s so high and the Sooners and Cowboys are rivals.”

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TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 6
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

KENT at BUFF 07:30 PM

BUFF -17.0

O 44.5

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Patterson runs for 2 TDs as Buffalo wins 48-14, goes to 9-1
November 6, 2018
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BUFFALO, N.Y. (AP) Jaret Patterson rushed for 187 yards and two touchdowns and Buffalo beat Kent State 48-14 on Tuesday night to run its record to 9-1 for the first time in school history.

The nine wins are the most in the Bulls' FBS history, dating to 1999. Buffalo is 6-0 in the Mid-American Conference for the first time.

While the freshman Patterson was posting a career-high yardage total, Tyree Jackson threw his 45th career touchdown pass for third place in Bulls history and the 24th of this season, tying for third. Adam Mitcheson was perfect on seven PAT attempts as he became the program's career scoring leader with 269 points.

Buffalo took off to a 21-0 lead in the first quarter on Patterson's 64-yard run in the first minute, a 1-yard touchdown from Jackson and a 2-yarder by Emmanuel Reed.

It was 34-0 at halftime and 48-0 until Kent State scored a pair of touchdowns in the final 10 minutes.

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Wednesday, November 7, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
7:00 PM Ohio Bobcats Miami-Ohio Redhawks
8:00 PM Toledo Rockets Northern Illinois Huskies

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College Football Best Bets and Opinions

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

11/06/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
11/03/2018 25-32-3 43.86% -51.00
11/02/2018 4-2-0 66.66% +9.00
11/01/2018 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00

Totals............33-38-3........46.47%.....-44.00


Best Bets:

Best Bets For November

DATE........................ATS..................U NITS....................O/U................UNITS..............TOTAL

11/06/2018..............1 - 0..................+5.00...................1 - 0................+5.00..............+10.00
11/03/2018.............10 - 13...............-21.50...................3 - 4................-7.00...............-28.50
11/02/2018..............2 - 1..................+4.50...................2 - 1................+4.50..............+9.00
11/01/2018..............2 - 1..................+4.50...................0 - 3................-16.50..............-12.00

Totals....................15 - 15.................-7.50....................6 - 8................-14.00..............-21.50

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Wednesday’s 6-pack

Some college hoop players on the shelf to start the season:

— USC – Elijah Weaver (ankle) out 2-3 weeks.

— BYU – Nick Emery (NCAA) suspended for nine games.

— Gonzaga – Killian Tillie (stress fracture in ankle) out eight weeks.

— Western Kentucky – Lamonte Bearden (academics) out until mid-December.

— Auburn – Austin Wiley (foot) will miss the season-opener. Danjel Purifoy (NCAA) will miss the first nine games.

— Baylor – Mario Kegler (suspended) for six games for violation of team rules. Makai Mason (ankle) questionable for season-opener.

Quote of the Day
“Go through the list and this team, over a long period of time, has been what it’s been. It hasn’t always mattered who the head coach has been. So to me, if you’re asking me, I’d say there has to be a complete overhaul of the entire organization.”
Troy Aikman, talking about the Cowboys

Wednesday’s quiz
Craig Morton started in Super Bowls for Dallas and what other team?

Tuesday’s quiz
Craig Morton played QB for the Dallas Cowboys in Super Bowl V, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

Monday’s quiz
The second Super Bowl was played at the Orange Bowl, in Miami.

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Wednesday’s Den: Wrapping up Opening Night in college hoop

13) Kansas 92, Michigan State 87— Jayhawks led this game the whole way, were up 50-36 at halftime, but Spartans fought back late and made the Kansas fans sweat.

Dick Vitale started his 40th season on ESPN with this game; he surprised me by saying that he thinks college basketball season starts too early, and shouldn’t begin until after Thanksgiving Day. Don’t think I agree with that; after Thanksgiving would be too late.

I liked the early season basketball marathon ESPN used to run for 24 hours, but they’ve done away with it now. That would’ve been early next week. Who needs sleep?

12) Duke 118, Kentucky 84— Blue Devils led this game 34-13 at one point, and then it got worse; impressive display by a very young Duke team- game was 59-42 at halftime, 85-52 with 12:22 left. Wildcats don’t get whacked like that very often.

11) Texas Southern 72, Baylor 69— When you pay an opponent to come to your gym and play, they’re not supposed to win. Last year, Texas Southern played its first 13 games on the road- their first home game was New Year’s Day. TSU started last year 0-13, lost by 31 at Baylor, but the Jonny Jones era gets off to an excellent start here.

10) Arizona State 102, Cal State-Fullerton 94 2OT— Titans made NCAAs LY but weren’t given a big chance here; Ahmad/Allman combined for 64 points, but no other Titan scored more than 11 points- they’ll need a third scorer to emerge.

ASU was only 26-44 on foul line; they took 18 more FT’s than Fullerton.

9) North Carolina 78, Wofford 67— This game was tied 46-all with 10:30 left, but reality set in down the stretch. Credit to Roy Williams for going to Wofford’s gym and playing a real road game— it’ll make the Tar Heels better. Wofford has to be encouraged by this game.

More teams need to have some guts and play some true road games.

8) Georgia State 74, East Tennessee State 68— Couple of solid mid-majors hooked up here; ETSU had 27 offensive rebounds, but were just 4-23 on arc, 17-27 on charity stripe. Four Georgia State starters played 35:00+, so not a lot of depth there.

7) Bills-Jets total this week is 36.5; it is the lowest NFL total since 2012.

6) Penn 72, George Mason 71— Quakers win a nail biter despite going 6-18 on the foul line.

5) Stony Brook 77, George Washington 74 OT— GW led this game 22-0 but lost; not exactly the best way to start your season. Stony Brook’s first points came 10:14 into the game; they were only 6-26 on arc, 17-27 on foul line, but they out-rebounded the Colonials 46-38, who were 16-34 on the foul line in at overtime loss.

4) Providence 77, Siena 67— Friars made 13-25 on arc, Saints 12-28 in relatively foul-free game; only 20 FT’s were tried in this game. Siena started a soph and two frosh in coach Christian’s Siena debut; they have to be somewhat encouraged by this game.

3) There are now 353 Division I basketball teams; Cal Baptist (WAC) and North Alabama (Atlantic Sun) are the two new teams this season.

2) Boston College 73, Milwaukee 53— BC was down 10 at the half in this game; they outscored the Panthers 46-16 in second half.

1) Louisiana Tech 71, Wichita State 58— Could be more of a rebuilding job than people thought for the Wheatshockers- they were a 10-point favorite here.

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Hot & Not Report
November 5, 2018
By YouWager.eu

Who's Hot and Who's Not

Week of November 5th

Last week's article dealt with the NFL as we had veteran QB's on a roll and warm weather, turnover prone teams as some of the best to fade. Well, Week 9 saw those five teams with QB's of 30+ end up going 2-3 ATS, as the Saints and Steelers came away with impressive victories, while Seattle and Denver had their chances all the way down to the final gun. Only the Washington Redskins saw their 3-0 ATS streak end rather quickly as they just couldn't stop Atlanta's running attack all afternoon long.

Over on the other side, the turnover prone teams from sunny California and Florida went 1-2 ATS (Jacksonville had their bye). That 1-2 ATS mark was the worst they could do though as San Francisco and Oakland played one another, so someone was bound to cover the number. Tampa Bay continued to turn the ball over with two more INT's thrown by Ryan Fitzpatrick, as the Bucs look like a prime candidate for a massive overhaul at nearly every position come this spring.

Today it's back to the college ranks as the CFB Playoff picture heats up with each passing Saturday and there are some pretty significant SU winning (and losing streaks) going on throughout the nation. SU wins don't lead to dramatic ATS success in college like they tend to do in the pros, but with many of the programs who are currently playoff contenders riding some significant runs, will any of them slip up this week?

Who's Hot

National Title contenders with winning streaks of 8 or more games – Alabama, Clemson, Michigan, Notre Dame

There's a real good chance we see those four teams as the CFB playoff selection committee's Top 4 this week, as Michigan should jump up into that 4th spot with LSU eliminated now. It shouldn't be surprising to see teams that are running the table in the mix to win it all, but all four of those squads went 4-0 ATS this past week. Alabama's got the longest SU winning streak of the group (11), followed by Notre Dame (10), Clemson (9), and Michigan (8). And it wouldn't be a piece on current winning streaks without a shout out to UCF's 21 straight wins, as the Knights continue to lobby for their inclusion among the nation's best teams.

Alabama and Notre Dame survived tough road tests against LSU and Northwestern respectively, while Clemson and Michigan put a woodshed beating on Louisville and Penn State respectively. All four of them enter this week as favorites of -18 or more currently, with Clemson and Alabama laying that kind of chalk against ranked foes again. Clemson's game is likely going to be the tougher one of the two, if for no other reason than they are on the road, and while it may already seem like a foregone conclusion that all four of those playoff contenders will walk away with SU wins this week, the point spread is always the great equalizer and it may get tougher and tougher to back these teams at such big numbers going forward.

It will be interesting to see if any of them have their point spreads fall below that key number of -17 throughout the week, and that's definitely something I'll be keeping my eye on up until kick-off. Alabama, Clemson, Michigan, and Notre Dame are a combined 23-13 ATS this year so it's not like they haven't padded many a bankroll already. And then when you throw in Alabama's perfect 9-0 ATS mark in first halves, these numbers are probably more likely to go up before they come down. Eventually there will be a point where some buyback could occur on those big 'dogs if that's the case, and then it's up to you to determine where you believe the value lies. That's why it always helps to set your own lines if you can, using them as a comparison point to help with your handicapping regarding powerhouse programs like these with huge lines to cover.

Who's Not

Navy and Louisville – Worst ATS records in the country (1-8 ATS) and owners of the longest losing streaks in their respective conferences

Last weekend may have been billed as “Showdown Saturday” in college football with all the big matchups we had, but a game that definitely didn't go unnoticed was the UTEP/Rice game which was a battle between the two longest losing streaks in the land. UTEP managed to snap their 20-game losing run by beating the Rice Owls – who now own the nation's longest losing streak at nine games – to avoid getting placed in this section today, as it's the longest losing streaks in the ACC and American conferences that get the attention here.

Louisville (ACC) and Navy (American) have each lost six straight contests coming into their respective matchups this week, but more importantly their 1-8 ATS mark has been burning bettor's money all year long. Louisville catching nearly 40 points was nowhere near enough against Clemson this past weekend, while Nave was blanked 42-0 by the Cincinnati Bearcats. That's seven straight ATS defeats for this proud Navy program that is void of significant talent this year, and with a trip to UCF on deck this weekend, I don't think we will see too many looking to take the +25.5 points with Navy that the Midshipmen are currently getting.

Louisville has lost four in a row against the number as they've allowed 56 or more points in three of their past four games. A regime change is likely coming for the Cardinals who clearly weren't prepared for life after QB Lamar Jackson, and this week's road test against a ranked Syracuse squad isn't likely to be fun either (Louisville is +21.5 currently).

These are probably two games where we will see the lines move in favor of the favorites, so if you like to bet against bad teams, I'd suggest getting your money down early.

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Power 5 Top Wagers - Week 11
November 6, 2018
By Bookmaker

By Kyle Markus

NCAA Football - Week 11 Power 5 Best Bets

The college football season is coming to a close, which means any upset loss can mean the end of the road for a team in the hunt for the College Football Playoff. The stakes can’t get much higher than these final couple of weeks, including the Week 11 slate of action which includes plenty of pivotal matchups.

There are a segment of games that stick out as the best choices against the spread. Here is the breakdown of which ways to go with your wagers in NCAA football betting.

Odds Analysis - per BookMaker.eu

The Louisville Cardinals were big underdogs last week against the Clemson Tigers and showed why, as they were utterly dominated in a blowout loss. The foe this week isn’t as talented but Louisville is still a 20.5-point underdog against the Syracuse Orange. The wheels have come off for Louisville, which is going to be on the wrong end of another blowout. Syracuse is the choice to cover this large spread.

The Northwestern Wildcats are on the road this week in a matchup against the Iowa Hawkeyes. Northwestern has hung tough with most teams on its schedule, including last week against Notre Dame. The 10-point spread is too high as Northwestern should not be this big of an underdog. Iowa doesn’t have enough firepower to cover this spread.

The Oregon Ducks have been unpredictable this season, with some clutch wins and some puzzling losses, Oregon is on the road this week against Utah. This one should be a really close game, and the 3.5-point underdog Ducks get just enough points to make them the right choice as the cover.

The Georgia Bulldogs are 14.5-point favorites at home against the Auburn Tigers. Auburn has some top-end talent but its offense is a question mark. Georgia is more well-rounded and playing at home. It’s not easy covering this big of a spread against a good team but the Bulldogs are gearing up for another national championship push and should cruise to the win. Take Georgia to cover the spread.

The LSU Tigers were shut out by Alabama last time out, and with their national championship hopes likely shot, will nonetheless try to bounce back on the road against Arkansas. LSU has much more talent, but a spread of 13.5 points seems high. The Tigers will struggle to pull away and the Razorbacks are the choice to cover this spread.

The Ohio State Buckeyes have been stumbling of late and have a crucial game this week on the road against Michigan State. The Spartans are 3.5-point home underdogs and would love to pull the upset. However, look for Ohio State to get back on track with an easier-than-expected victory to cover the spread against Michigan State.

Free NCAA Football ATS Picks

The best pick of the week is not a team that is involved in the national championship chase but has been playing well of late. The Arizona State Sun Devils have won back-to-back games over USC and Utah as touchdown underdogs. Arizona State is a sizable favorite on Saturday as it welcomes UCLA to Tempe. The Bruins have been bad this season and are the 12.5-point road underdogs.

Arizona State will continue to be better than the oddsmakers project, covering this spread easily in a blowout of UCLA. The Sun Devils suddenly have a path to the Pac-12 South title and an easy win will make that likelihood greater. Arizona State is at home and rolling, which makes the Sun Devils the right call to cover this spread in Week 11 of the college football season.

NCAA Football Pick: Arizona State Sun Devils to cover 12.5-spread as favorites against UCLA Bruins

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Games to Watch - Week 11
November 6, 2018
By YouWager.eu

College Football Week 11: Games to Watch

The current rankings in college football are not really up for debate, but that could very well change over the next few weeks. Looking at things as they stand now, it could well be the Notre Dame Fighting Irish who could be in trouble. Even if they go unbeaten the rest of the way, they may end up getting bumped in favor of a Power 5 team with won loss and a conference title. That said, it could all play out very differently, as this season has proven that we should take nothing for granted.

Let’s now look ahead to Week 11 to pick out the best games on the college football with all odds, props and futures for each game sponsored by YouWager.eu.

No. 8 Ohio State Buckeyes (-3½) at No. 24 Michigan State Spartans (+3½)

There is still a very good chance that a 1-loss Big Ten Championship winner could make it into the playoffs, with Ohio State and Michigan looking the most likely candidates. Those two will meet in the regular season soon enough, but for now, Ohio State need to keep their hopes alive with a win on the road against a Michigan State Spartans team that has been playing some serious shutdown offense over the last couple of weeks. The Buckeyes have looked very wobbly in their last two starts, losing to Purdue and barely getting by Nebraska. The Buckeyes win here, but it might be tight.

No. 18 Mississippi State Bulldogs (+25) at No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (-25)

Alabama got their toughest opponent of the season last week and ended up making things look very easy. The Crimson Tide went into Baton Rouge and blanked the LSU Tigers 29-0 in a lopsided victory that clinched the SEC West and a spot in the Conference Championship Game. The Tide look like a total lock for the No. 1 spot, as well as being the most likely to win it all again this year. They will have their hands full this weekend with a Mississippi State team that can put some points up on the board. QB Nick Fitzgerald may be the key for the Bulldogs in this one, as he may need to use his impressive running skills to escape a swarming Alabama D. Crimson Tide win and take one more step towards a repeat.

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Oklahoma State Cowboys (+18) at No. 6 Oklahoma Sooners (-18)

The Big 12 is another conference that could potentially have a 1-loss winner, although things could get a little more complicated if West Virginia end up being that team given that they essentially lost a week earlier this season with a weather cancellation. The Oklahoma Sooners are probably the favorites to be the conference champions, but they still have some work to do to get there, starting with a game against their big in-state rivals this weekend. The Cowboys already hurt the Texas Longhorns playoff hopes this season and will be looking to do the same to the Sooners. I do not see the upset happening here.

Auburn Tigers (+14) at No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (-14)

Of the teams with an outside shot at getting into the playoffs, it is perhaps the Georgia Bulldogs who have the toughest road to take. Since Georgia already has a loss on the season, they cannot afford another one, which means beating the Tigers this weekend and then taking out Alabama in the SEC Conference Championship Game, besides winning the other two regular season games they still need to play. That’s a tall order, but one that this team is talented enough to pull off. I think they start their playoff push with a win here.

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Early Line Moves - Week 11
November 6, 2018
By BetDSI

College Football Week 11 Opening Line Report

College Football Week 11 Early Line Moves Where has the early money gone in college football for Week 11? Bettors have taken a position on a couple of top teams this week, as they are betting Alabama at home against Mississippi State and they are taking Michigan on the road at Rutgers.

There are six games that we’ll look at in terms of early line moves for Week 11 in college football and we’ll also look at three games that have moved on or off the key number of three.

Odds per BetDSI

Week 10 Early Line Moves

NC State -15 to -17 vs. Wake Forest

It is easy to understand this line move, as NC State has the better record both straight up and ATS. The Wolfpack are 6-2 SU and 4-4 ATS, while the Demon Deacons are just 4-5 SU and 2-7 ATS. NC State has a good offense and when you are laying big points you want a team that can score and the Wolfpack are averaging just over 32 points per game this season.

Bowling Green +10 to +7.5 at Central Michigan

Bettors are taking the points with Bowling Green on the road at Central Michigan. Why bettors are getting involved in this one is unclear, but they sure have taken a strong position on Bowling Green. Both of these teams are terrible, as Bowling Green is 1-8 SU and 3-6 ATS, while Central Michigan is 1-9 SU and 5-5 ATS. There is very little to like about either team, but at least with the Falcons you are getting more than a TD.

Alabama -24 to -26 vs. Mississippi State

The Crimson Tide are just a machine, as they continue to roll. They dominated LSU last week and there is no reason to think they won’t rout Mississippi State. Bettors are laying the points on No. 1 Alabama in this contest. The concern if you back Alabama is a possible letdown after the big win against LSU. The Bulldogs are not a bad team at all, as they are ranked in the Top 25 and they are 6-3 SU and ATS. It is hard to ever make a case for going against Alabama, but this is a lot of points to be laying against a very good Mississippi State defense that ranks 3rd in the country.

Michigan -37 to -39 at Rutgers

Bettors are all over Michigan in this one against Rutgers and why not? The Wolverines are rolling and Rutgers is terrible. The Wolverines are 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS, while Rutgers is 1-8 SU and 4-5 ATS. The only question in this one is whether or not Rutgers can get the backdoor cover.

Virginia Tech +4 to +2 at Pittsburgh

Bettors like the Hokies in this one against the Panthers. Virginia Tech is 4-4 SU and 3-5 ATS, while Pittsburgh is 5-4 SU and ATS.

East Carolina +15.5 to +13.5 at Tulane

The Pirates are the play here for bettors plus the points at Tulane. East Carolina is just 2-6 SU and 2-6 ATS, but bettors are taking the big points. Tulane is 4-5 SU and 5-4 ATS.

Key Number Line Moves

Ohio -3 to -3.5 at Miami (Ohio)

The early week MAC games have seen some early live movement around the key number of three. The Bobcats have gone from a 3-point favorite on the road at Miami Ohio to a 3.5-point favorite. Ohio is 6-3 SU and ATS, while Miami is 3-6 SU, but 5-4 ATS.

Northern Illinois -1.5 to -3 vs. Toledo

Bettors like the Huskies at home in this one at Toledo. The Huskies are 6-3 SU and 5-4 ATS, while the Rockets are 5-4 SU and 4-5 ATS.

Utah -3 to -3.5 vs. Oregon

The Pac-12 South is a mess, as a number of teams are tied for the lead at 4-3, including the Utes. Bettors are backing the Utes at home on Saturday, as they host the Oregon Ducks. The Ducks are 6-3 SU, but they are just 3-6 ATS. The Utes are 6-3 SU and 5-4 ATS.

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ACC Report - Week 11
November 6, 2018
By Joe Williams

2018 ACC STANDINGS

ATLANTIC DIVISION

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Boston College 7-2 4-1 7-2 5-4
Clemson 9-0 6-0 5-4 5-4
Florida State 4-5 2-5 3-6 6-3
Louisville 2-7 0-6 1-8 6-3
North Carolina State 6-2 3-2 4-4 4-4
Syracuse 7-2 4-2 6-2-1 5-4
Wake Forest 4-5 1-4 2-7 6-3

COASTAL DIVISION
Duke 6-3 2-3 5-4 4-5
Georgia Tech 5-4 3-3 4-5 5-3-1
Miami-Florida 5-4 2-3 3-6 5-4
North Carolina 1-7 1-5 3-4-1 5-2-1
Pittsburgh 5-4 4-1 5-4 4-5
Virginia 6-3 4-2 7-2 4-5
Virginia Tech 4-4 3-2 3-5 4-4

Wake Forest at North Carolina (Thurs. - ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)
The Demon Deacons have had some major issues on the defensive side of the football, but they can score plenty of points, too. N.C. State was cruising along until they arrived in Clemson a few weeks ago, then they were blown out there and lost a tough one in Syracuse, too, before rebounding at home against Florida State last week. The Deacs limp in 2-9 ATS over the past 11 games overall, and 1-5 ATS in the past six conference battles and 0-6 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning record. While the Pack is 2-5-1 ATS over the past ACC battles, the home team has covered 18 of the past 22 meetings, while going 5-0 ATS in their past five home games vs. Wake. The favorite is also 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings.

Louisville at Syracuse (Fri. - ESPN2, 7:00 p.m. ET)
The Cardinals got trucked last week at Clemson, which has been the case for most. They head up to Syracuse to battle the Top 25 Orange, who are three-touchdown favorites. 'Cuse is already bowl eligible, too, and they have higher bowl expectations than just making it. Louisville is a dismal 6-20 ATS over the past 26, and they're 3-13 ATS in the past 16 against winning teams and 0-5 ATS in their past five road outings. The Orange are 1-5-2 ATS over their past eight against teams with a losing record, and they're 3-1-1 ATS in the past five at home and 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine games overall. The Cardinals have covered the past four in this series, but that was as the favorite. The over is 5-0 in 'Ville's past five in the ACC, but the under is 5-2 in their past seven against winning teams. The under is 15-5-1 in Syracuse's past 21 in the ACC, 11-4-1 in their past 16 at home and 19-8-1 in the past 28 overall.

North Carolina at Duke (ACC Network, 12:20 p.m. ET)
The Victory Bell is up for grabs between UNC and Duke at Wallace Wade. As of Tuesday evening the Blue Devils are favored by 10 1/2, which might be a bit much in a rivalry game. The Tar Heels are 6-2 ATS in the past eight against teams with a winning record, but they're just 1-3-1 ATS over the past five. Of course, it isn't a long road trip, just a quick jaunt up US 15-501 from Chapel Hill to Durham. The Blue Devils are just 2-5-1 ATS over the past eight at home, and 1-4 ATS in their past five at home against teams with a losing road record. The underdog has cashed in five of the past six meetings, and the under is 4-1 over the past five in this rivalry.

Liberty at Virginia (ACC Network, 3:00 p.m.)
The Flames have been able to pile up plenty of numbers on offense, but they struggle defensively. Virginia isn't a prolific offense, but they have a solid defense. This will be an interesting battle, with the Hoos favored by more than three touchdowns. Liberty has posted a 4-0 ATS mark in their past four against ACC foes, and they're 15-3 ATS in the past 18 non-conference battles. They're also 13-4 ATS in the past 17 road games, 6-2 ATS in the past eight against winning teams and 15-6 ATS in the past 21 games overall. UVA is 5-0 ATS in the past five against indies, and they're 7-2 ATS in the past nine games overall. The over is a number to watch, as Liberty has hit the over in four of the past five road games and 4-1 in the past five overall. The over is 5-1 in the past six for UVA outside of the conference, too.

Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m.)
The Hokies are skidding hard. The Panthers picked up a giant win at Virginia last week, pushing themselves into great shape in their bid for a spot in the ACC Championship Game. It's absolutely vital to protect their home field and win over the Hokies on Saturday to vanquish another challenger. Someone is leaving this game with five losses, which would be devastating to their bowl chances, particularly for Virginia Tech. The Hokies have failed to cover in four stragiht, while Pitt is 4-0 ATS in their past four overall and 6-1 ATS in the past seven inside the ACC. The under is 5-1 in the past six road games for the Gobblers, while going 9-2 in their past 11 against winning teams. Pitt has had the under go 15-6-1 in the past 22, and 9-4 in the past 13 conference tilts. In this series the 'dog is 10-1 ATS in the past 11 meetings. The Hokies are 1-10 ATS in the past 11 meetings, while going a dismal 0-7 ATS in the past seven trips to the Steel City.

Miami-Florida at Georgia Tech (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m.)
The Hurricanes had lofty expectations earlier in the season, but things have devolved quickly and now they're just trying to hang on and gain bowl eligibility. A loss at Georgia Tech would be devastating, and they're slight underdogs against the Ramblin' Wreck. Like Va. Tech-Pitt, someone is leaving with a fifth loss. The Canes are just 1-6 ATS in their ;ast seven on the road, while going 0-5 ATS in the past five against teams with a winning record. They're also 0-4 ATS in the past four ACC battles. Ga. Tech is just 1-4 ATS in the past five at home, and 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning sides, but they have covered four of the past five overall. UM is 7-2 ATS in the past nine meetings in this series, but the favorite is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 battles.

Florida State at Notre Dame (NBC, 7:30 p.m.)
The Seminoles are in a lot of trouble and need a huge upset to save their season. A loss here is their sixth setback after another loss at N.C. State last weekend. Notre Dame is trying to keep its record unblemished and help the Irish stay on the road for the playoffs. The Seminoles are just 2-5-2 ATS in the past nine road games, and 2-8-2 ATS in the past 12 against teams with a winning record, but the 'Noles are 5-1 ATS in their past six non-conference battles. For the Irish, they're 4-1-1 ATS in the past six overall, but they're just 2-5 ATS in the past seven home outings. The over is 5-1 in FSU's past six games overall, and 4-1-1 in their past six road games. The over is 5-1 in the past six overall for Notre Dame, too, but the under is 5-1 in their past six in the shadows of Touchdown Jesus.

Clemson at Boston College (ABC, 8:00 p.m.)
The Tigers have been hammering everyone lately, but they have a huge test going to Chestnut Hill in the fall air in front of a national audience. Clemson won't be intimidated, however. Boston College is a very good, disciplined and well-coached team, however. They won't be steamrolled like FSU, Louisville, Wake, etc. Clemson has covered four in a row, they're 4-1 ATS in the past five on the road and they're 4-0 ATS in the past four league games, too. B.C. is 9-1-1 ATS in their past 11 against teams with a winning record, 13-3-1 ATS in the past 17 ACC battles and 4-1 ATS in their past five home outings. While the road team is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings and Clemson is just 1-4 ATS in their past five tangles with B.C.

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Big 12 Report - Week 11
November 6, 2018
By Joe Williams

2018 BIG 12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Baylor 5-4 3-3 3-5-1 6-3
Iowa State 5-3 4-2 6-2 3-5
Kansas 3-6 1-5 4-5 4-5
Kansas State 3-6 1-5 5-4 3-6
Oklahoma 8-1 5-1 4-5 8-1
Oklahoma State 5-4 3-4 4-5 5-4
Texas 6-3 4-2 3-5-1 5-4
Texas Christian 4-5 2-4 2-7 4-5
Texas Tech 5-4 3-3 6-3 7-2
West Virginia 7-1 5-1 5-2-1 4-4

Texas Christian at West Virginia (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m.)
The Horned Frogs limp into Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown hoping to avoid their sixth loss of the season. There were some high expectations early on in the season for TCU, but now they are just trying to qualify for a bowl. A win over a Top 10 West Virginia team would be a big feather in their cap. The Mountaineers picked up a giant road win over Texas last week, yet are favored by just 13 in this one because of TCU's defense. The rank 27th nationally, allowing just 335 yards per game, and 190.7 yards per game through the air. TCU is just 0-8 ATS over the past eight conference games, 0-6 ATS in their past six overall and 1-7 ATS in the past eight against teams with a winning record. West Virginia has a 5-2-1 ATS mark over their past eight overall, and they're 4-1 ATS in the past five vs. TCU. The 'under' has also cashed in each of the past four meetings in this series.

Kansas at Kansas State (No national TV, 12:00 p.m.)
The Battle for the Sunflower State is rather significant, as the winner still has a chance for a shot at a bowl, while the loser will have a seventh loss and is officially going to be home for the holidays. In past years Kansas has been a pushover, and this game was an automatic win for K-State. However, the Wildcats have been putrid on offense this season, while the Jayhawks are slowly making progress. The Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in the past six against teams with a losing record, while the Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in the past five against conference opponents and they're 4-1 ATS in the past five games overall. The under is 22-10 in the past 32 road games for the Jayhawks, while the under is 8-3 in the past 11 overall for K-State and 5-2 in their past seven conference tilts. KU is 2-7 ATS in the past nine meetings, and 2-9 ATS in their past 11 sojourns to Manhattan. The favorite has cashed in 18 of the past 23 in this rivalry, too.

Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
Ahh, Bedlam. This is one of the better rivalries in college football, especially in recent years. The Sooners are trying to keep their playoff hopes alive, and Vegas likes OU by more than 17 points as of Tuesday evening. The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in the past seven road games, while going 3-7 ATS in the past 10 conference tilts. The Sooners are 14-5 ATS in the past 19 home outings, but they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five against teams with a winning record. The over is an impressive 8-3 in OK State's past 11 Big 12 battles, while going a perfect 5-0 in OU's past five and 6-1 in their past seven at home. The over is also an impressive 40-19-1 in the past 60 conference battles for the Sooners. In this series, the over is 4-1-1 in the past six, too. As far as the line, Oklahoma is 5-2 ATS in the past seven home games against their rivals, and 4-1 ATS in the past five Bedlam meetings overall.

Baylor at Iowa State (FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m.)
The Cyclones have been a doormat in recent seasons, but lately they're really turning it around and serving as a tough out in the Big 12. They're two games over .500, and an impressive 6-2 ATS overall on the season. Just ask West Virginia how tough it is to play in Ames. Or ask Texas Tech. Or even ask Oklahoma, as the Sooners only won by 10 in Ames are 18 1/2-point favorites back on Sept. 15. Iowa State is 3-1 SU/ATS in four home outings this season. The Cyclones are 24-6-1 ATS over the past 31 games overall, and 16-5 ATS in their past 21 home games. They're also 16-5-1 ATS in the past 22 against winning opponents. The Bears are 0-3-1 ATS in the past four meetings, and 0-3-1 ATS in their past four trips to Ames, too. The home team has hit an 11-3-1 ATS mark over the past 15 meetings, too.

Texas at Texas Tech (FOX, 7:30 p.m.)
For the second consecutive weekend there will be a national television audience checking in on Texas Tech. The Red Raiders put on an offensive show against Oklahoma last weekend but came up just short. Texas also came up short against West Virginia at home, so these are two teams on the come, trying to get back on a roll into the final weekends of the college football season. The Longhorns are 11-5-2 ATS in the past 18 against teams with a winning overall record, but they're just 1-3-1 ATS across their past five league games. For Texas Tech, they have covered a healthy five of the past six against winning sides, while going 6-2 ATS in the past eight games overall. They're also 5-2 ATS in the past seven league games.

The total trends are complete opposites. The under is 10-3 in the past 13 road games for Texas, while the under is an impressive 40-16 in the past 56 conference battles and 29-10 in the past 39 against winning teams. The over is 8-2 in the past 10 for the Red Raiders, and 21-8 in the past 29 home battles. The under is 5-1 in the past six meetings in this series, including a 4-0 under in the past four in Lubbock. The Longhorns have covered four straight trips to Lubbock, and they're 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings overall in this series.

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Mississippi State at Alabama
November 6, 2018
By Bookmaker

By Kyle Markus

NCAA Preview - Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

The Alabama Crimson Tide isn’t just the best team in the nation this year, but one of the best in recent memory. Alabama cruised past LSU last time out and will now aim to pick up another blowout victory when it hosts the Mississippi State Bulldogs.

The Crimson Tide is undefeated and has been absolutely dominating every opponent that tries to slow them down. Mississippi State is a ranked team but the talent gulf between these teams is very wide and Alabama will be expected to pull away early and pick up a sizable win.

The Crimson Tide has been huge favorites throughout the season and continue to live up to the billing. Is it possible Alabama has a letdown? Not likely with this much talent. The Crimson Tide should take another step toward clinching a College Football Playoff spot with a win in NCAA football wagering.

This NCAA football game between the Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Alabama Crimson Tide will be held at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama at 3:30 p.m ET on Saturday, November 10th, 2018. The game will be nationally televised on CBS.

We'll have NCAA football odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2018 NCAA football season.

Odds Analysis

Alabama is coming off a game in which it was a 13-point favorite on the road against No. 3 LSU and easily covered. The Crimson Tide is listed as the 24.5-point favorite against Mississippi State in this one. Alabama is a massive -2700 favorite on the moneyline as the oddsmakers seem hardly any chance at the Crimson Tide losing at home. The Bulldogs are the +1221 for those who want to take a flier.

The scoring total is listed at 51.5 points. Alabama’s offense has been much more powerful than usual on the season but the team’s elite defense keeps scoring down. If the Bulldogs can reach the end zone a couple times this game has a good chance of going “over” the total in NCAA football wagering.

Key Stat

7. That’s the national rank in Alabama’s points per game allowed, as the Crimson Tide is only giving up 14.1 per contest. Alabama’s number went down after shutting out LSU as the defense dominated against a team with some talented players at the skill positions. The Crimson Tide has always had a super talented defensive front, and that group is leading the way for yet another great defense.

As good as Alabama’s defense has been, Mississippi State’s defense has been even better. The Bulldogs are second in the country in points allowed at 12.3 per game. Mississippi State has held five opponents to 10 points or fewer.

The Bulldogs recently had a stretch where it faced off against three straight ranked teams and held Auburn, LSU and Texas A&M to an average of 13.7 points per game. Mississippi State will need its defense to hold stout to have a shot to win this one.

Player To Watch

Tua Tagovailoa -- The Bulldogs may have trouble holding up because they are facing the best quarterback in college football. Tagovailoa has been unreal this season, throwing for 2,361 yards with 27 touchdowns and one interception. He was picked off for the first time last week by LSU but still finished the contest with 295 yards through the air with a pair of touchdowns while adding a 44-yard touchdown run.

Mississippi State needs to get pressure on Tagovailoa to have a chance at keeping him in check.

Free NCAA Football ATS Picks

This is a big spread, and the Bulldogs are strong enough defensively to feel like they will have a shot at pulling the upset. They will be in for a rude awakening, as Alabama is by far the better team in this matchup.

The Crimson Tide offense will be able to score against Mississippi State’s tough defense. The spread is big but Alabama is still the pick to cover in NCAA football gambling.

NCAA Football Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide 37, Mississippi State Bulldogs 10

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Auburn at Georgia
November 6, 2018
By BetDSI

By Tom Wilkinson

College Football Betting Preview – Auburn at Georgia

The No. 5 ranked Georgia Bulldogs host the Auburn Tigers on Saturday night in a game that can be seen on ESPN. The Bulldogs have already clinched the SEC East, but Georgia has higher goals in mind, as they still could reach the College Football Playoff if they run the table. They have to be careful about this game on Saturday, as the Tigers come in playing well, having won their last two games, beating Ole Miss and Texas A&M. Let’s look at this matchup and college football picks.

Date and Time: Saturday, November 10, 2018, 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
College Football Odds at BetDSI: Georgia -14.5, O/U 50.5
Auburn vs. Georgia TV Coverage: ESPN

The Bulldogs are 8-1 overall and 6-1 in the SEC, while Auburn is 6-3 and 3-3. Georgia clinched the SEC East last week with a 34-17 win at Kentucky. Georgia will play Alabama in the SEC Championship Game on December 1st. This is a regular season revenge game on Saturday for Georgia, as they were routed last year at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, losing 40-17. The Bulldogs did beat Auburn last year in the SEC title game 28-7.

The Tigers started this season slowly, losing to Mississippi State and Tennessee, but they have gotten better and have looked good recently with a 31-16 win over Mississippi and a 28-24 win over A&M.

On the other side, Georgia is also playing well, having routed Florida and Kentucky the last two weeks. Despite that fact, quarterback Jake Fromm said to the media that winning the SEC East this year has been tougher than a year ago. "In my head, I remember last year blowing teams out and coming out of games in the second half," Fromm said, "That's not the way it's been this year. I don't think we're any worse or any better than we were last year. We're still trying to get to the level of where we want to play, and we haven't played there yet. It's an uphill climb, and we're ready to get there."

Matchup to Watch

If Auburn is going to stay close in this one, they have to stop Fromm and the Georgia passing attack. The Bulldogs are averaging 222.4 yards per game through the air, while Auburn is giving up 222.2 yards per game through the air. The Tigers simply can’t afford to get into a shootout with the Bulldogs, as Auburn’s offense is not as good as Georgia’s, as Auburn is only averaging about 28 points per game, while Georgia is putting up 38 points per contest.

Key Stats

Georgia leads the all-time series 58-56-8. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings at Georgia. The Tigers are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games.

Looking at the total, the Under is 10-3 in the Tigers last 13 games overall. The Under is 7-3 in the Tigers last 10 games in November. The Under is 19-6-1 in the Bulldogs last 26 home games. The Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings at Georgia.

Auburn vs. Georgia Picks

Remember what we said about the key matchup in this contest? If Auburn is going to be competitive they have to keep this a low scoring contest. They simply can’t trade points with Georgia and expect to win. I think that means a game that will see a lot of running and both teams playing tough defense and the trends definitely support the under.

I know the risk is that this game gets away from Auburn, but I think the situation is a good one for the Tigers and that this will be a tight, hard fought contest. I will take the points with the Tigers and I also really like the game to go under the total.

Auburn vs. Georgia Pick: Auburn +14.5 and Under 50.5 at BetDSI
Auburn vs. Georgia Score Prediction: Georgia 24, Auburn 17

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Wednesday, November 7

Ohio @ Miami-OH
Ohio
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami-OH
Ohio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Miami-OH
Miami-OH is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami-OH's last 6 games

Toledo @ Northern Illinois
Toledo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toledo's last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
Toledo is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Northern Illinois

Northern Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games when playing Toledo
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


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Wednesday, November 7

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OHIO U (6 - 3) at MIAMI OHIO (3 - 6) - 11/7/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TOLEDO (5 - 4) at N ILLINOIS (6 - 3) - 11/7/2018, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Wednesday’s games

Ohio won its last three games, scoring 49-52-59 points; Bobcats are 2-2 on road, are 5-3 in last eight games as road favorites, 1-1 this year. Ohio ran ball for 1,159 yards in last three games. Miami OH lost its last two games, allowing 31-51 points; Red Hawks covered five of their last six games. Under Martin, Miami is 5-4-1 as home underdogs, 1-0 this year- they’re 0-5 when they allow more than 23 points. Over is 5-3 in Ohio games this year; five of last six Miami games also went over.

Northern Illinois won its last five games; under Carey, Huskies are 11-15 as home favorites, 0-2 this year. NIU ran ball for 227+ yards in each of its last four wins. Toledo won its last two games, scoring 51-45 points; Rockets scored 45+ points in all five of their wins- they were held to 27 or less in their four losses. Toledo is 18-9 in its last 27 games as road underdogs, 1-1 this year. Toledo allowed 300+ PY in each of its last three games. Three of last four Toledo games, six of last eight NIU games stayed under the total.


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Wednesday's MACtion
November 6, 2018
By Brian Edwards

Gamblers have a pair of MACtion games to tackle Wednesday, meaning there are a pair of sides and totals, in addition to first quarter and first-half wagers. Let’s get you prepped up for these contests now before sorting through a plethora of national notes in Bonus Nuggets down below…

**Ohio at Miami (OH.)**

-- As of Tuesday morning, most betting shops had Ohio (6-3 straight up, 6-3 against the spread) installed as a 3.5-point road favorite with a total of 63. The RedHawks were +145 on the money line (risk $100 to win $145).

-- Ohio is 4-1 in MAC play, one game back of 5-0 Buffalo in the East Division standings. (The Bulls were hosting Kent State as heavy home favorites on Tuesday night. These rivals will collide in Athens in next Wednesday.

-- Frank Solich’s squad has won five of its past six games both SU and ATS, including last week’s 59-14 win at Western Michigan as a three-point road ‘chalk.’ The 73 combined points went ‘over’ the 65-point tally. The Bobcats stormed out to a 45-0 halftime lead and coasted into the win column. QB Nathan Rourke connected on 12-of-14 passes for 149 yards and three TDs without an interception. He also ran for 68 yards and two TDs on nine attempts. Senior RB A.J. Ouellette ran for 71 yards and one score on eight carries. Senior WR Andrew Meyer had four receptions for 65 yards, while senior WR Papi White had four grabs for 39 yards and one TD.

-- Ohio has won three straight games vs. Bowling Green (49-14), vs. Ball State (52-14) and at Western Michigan, combining to score 160 points. The Bobcats have taken the cash in four straight outings. Their three defeats came vs. Virginia (45-31 in Nashville), at Cincinnati (34-30) and at No. Illinois (24-21).

-- Rourke has completed 62.9 percent of his throws for 1,766 yards with a 17/5 touchdown-to-interception ratio. The junior signal caller has rushed for a team-high 637 yards and eight TDs with a 7.3 yards-per-carry average. Rourke’s favorite target is White, who has 42 receptions for 706 yards and seven TDs. Andrew Meyer has 27 catches for 370 yards and three TDs.

-- Ouellette has rushed for 609 yards and eight TDs with a 4.8 YPC average, while Maleek Irons has 566 rushing yards, six TDs and a 6.5 YPC average. Ouellette has 13 catches for 117 yards and one TD, while Irons has five receptions for 34 yards and one TD.

-- Miami (3-6 SU, 5-4 ATS) has lost outright in three of four home games while going 2-2 ATS. This is Chuck Martin’s second game as a home underdog this year, as it covered the spread in a 40-39 loss to Western Michigan as a three-point ‘dog.

-- Miami saw its 5-0 ATS run ended last Tuesday night in a 51-42 loss at Buffalo as a seven-point road underdog. The Bulls missed an extra point when they took a 48-42 advantage with 8:53 remaining, but kicker Adam Mitcheson made amends with 3:54 left by burying a 37-yard field goal to secure the spread cover. The RedHawks twice led by seven in the first quarter and battled back from two separate 14-point deficit in the third quarter. Trailing 42-28 with 2:29 left in the third, senior QB Gus Ragland hit Kenny Young for a 59-yard TD pass. Then with 17 ticks remaining in the third, Ragland pulled his team even at 42-42 on a one-yard TD plunge.

-- In the loss at Buffalo, Ragland completed 20-of-35 passes for 313 yards and one TD without an interception. He rushed 16 times for 53 yards and three TDs. RB Alonzo Smith ran for a team-best 63 rushing yards and two scores on 13 attempts. Young had five receptions for 95 yards and one TD.

-- Ragland has enjoyed a stellar career. During his senior campaign, he’s completed 60.2 percent of his passes for 2,082 yards with a 15/3 TD-INT ratio. Ragland has rushed for 198 yards and five TDs. For his career, Ragland has 5,847 passing yards, 866 rushing yards, a 54/11 TD-INT ratio and 12 rushing TDs.

-- Smith has run for 405 yards and four TDs with a 4.8 YPC average. Young has 34 receptions for 308 yards and four TDs, in addition to rushing for 259 yards and three TDs with a 6.8 YPC average. Jack Sorenson has become Ragland’s favorite target since two-time All-MAC selection James Gardner went down with a season-ending injury. Gardner, who had 92 receptions for 1,677 yards and 17 TDs in 2016 and ’17, had 12 catches for 157 yards before getting injured early in a Week 3 loss at Minnesota. Sorenson had made 39 grabs for 593 yards and two TDs.

-- As a home underdog during Martin’s five-year tenure, Miami owns a 5-4-1 spread record in 10 such spots.

-- Before last week’s loss at Buffalo, Miami went 3-2 SU and 5-0 ATS with its outright defeats coming by two combined points. In addition to the gut-wrenching defeat vs. Western Michigan, the RedHawks lost 31-30 at Army in double overtime as 6.5-point road underdogs. After the Black Knights went ahead 31-24 on their first possession to start the second OT, Miami responded with Ragland’s 18-yard TD pass to Luke Maycock. Martin then elected to go for two and the win on the road, but Ragland’s conversion pass failed. Ragland threw for 329 yards and four TDs without a pick at Army.

-- Ohio has won five games in a row in this head-to-head series, going 3-1-1 ATS with three consecutive spread covers. The lone non-cover came in a 41-16 win as a 26-point home favorite in 2013. The Bobcats won a 45-28 decision last season as 6.5-point home ‘chalk.’ The 73 combined points soared ‘over’ the 54-point total to end a 7-1 surge of ‘unders’ in this in-state rivalry. Rourke completed 21-of-33 passes for 294 yards and three TDs without an interception, in addition to rushing for 54 yards and three scores on 10 carries. White had five receptions for 80 yards and one TD. Ragland didn’t play due to an injury.

-- Miami will be without two defensive starters in senior LB Junior McMullen and senior DT Nate Trawich, both of whom are ‘out’ with season-ending injuries. In six games, McMullen had recorded 42 tackles, one sack, 3.5 tackles for loss, one QB hurry and one pass broken up. In five games, Trawich had produced 11 tackles and 0.5 sacks. Also, three other defensive starters – DB De’Andre Mongomery, DB Daryus Thompson and DB Deondre Daniels – are listed as ‘questionable.’ Daniels has missed four games in a row and Thompson sat out last week’s loss at Buffalo. Montgomery has 55 tackles, one sack and 0.5 TFL’s despite missing the loss at Army and being limited at Buffalo. Thompson has 19 tackles, two PBU, 1.5 TFL’s and one QB hurry.

-- The ‘over’ is 6-3 overall for the RedHawks, 2-2 in their home games. They’ve seen the ‘over’ hit at a 5-1 clip in their past six games. Miami's games have averaged combined scores of 55.8 PPG.

-- The ‘under’ is on a 3-1-1 run for the Bobcats, but they’ve watched the ‘over’ go 5-3-1 overall and 2-2 in their road assignments (3-2 if you count the ‘over’ that hit when Ohio’s road game at Virginia was moved to Nashville due to a hurricane in September). Ohio’s games have averaged combined scores of 67.8 PPG.

-- According to weather.com on Tuesday morning, the forecast in Oxford for Wednesday night was calling for clear skies, lights winds of 4-5 miles per hour and temperatures in the mid-30s Fahrenheit.

-- Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPNU.

**Toledo at Northern Illinois**

-- As of Tuesday morning, most spots had No. Illinois (6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS) listed as a three-point favorite with a total of 55.5. The Rockets were available to win outright for a +140 payout (risk $100 to win $140).

-- Since losing 37-19 at FSU in a game that was closer than the final score indicated on Sept. 22, Rod Carey’s team has won five games in a row while going 4-1 versus the number. NIU is off a 36-26 win at Akron as a six-point road favorite last Thursday. The 62 combined points catapulted ‘over’ the 37-point total to end a 4-0 run of ‘unders’ for the Huskies. Sophomore QB Marcus Childers attempted 28 passes and completed 21 of those for 188 yards and one TD without an interception. Sophomore RB Tre Harbison rushed 23 times for 169 yards and one TD.

-- No. Illinois has won two of its three home games while compiling a 1-2 spread record. The outright defeat was a 17-6 setback vs. Utah when the Utes got a pick-six late in the fourth quarter to put the game on ice. The only other loss for the Huskies came by a 33-7 count at Iowa in the season opener. They're 5-0 in conference play and sit atop the MAC West with a 1.5-game advantage over Western Michigan, which is 4-2 in league action and hosts NIU on the regular-season finale on Nov. 20. The Rockets still have a pulse in the division with their 3-2 MAC record, but they must win here to keep their conference hopes alive.

-- NIU is ranked 12th in the nation in run defense and 29th in scoring ‘D,’ limiting foes to an average of 21.7 PPG. This unit won’t have DE Quintin Wynne in the first half due to a targeting penalty from last week. Wynne has produced 21 tackles, one sack, four TFL’s and two QB hurries.

-- Toledo (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) has won back-to-back games both SU and ATS, including a 45-13 win over Ball State as a 19.5-point home favorite last Wednesday. The 58 combined points dropped ‘under’ the 64-point total. The Rockets’ defense produced five turnovers and scored a TD. Therefore, QB Eli Peters’s four interception were easily overcome. Peters completed 25-of-34 passes for 327 yards and two TDs. WR Diontae Johnson had five receptions for 100 yards, while Cody Thompson brought down six catches for 75 yards and one TD. Redshirt freshman RB Bryant Koback ran for 78 yards and two TDs on 15 attempts.

-- Toledo is 1-2 both SU and ATS in its three road assignments. The Rockets are 1-1 both SU and ATS as road underdogs this year and 3-3 ATS as road ‘dogs during Jason Candle’s three-year tenure.

-- Toledo is ranked 11th in the nation in scoring, averaging 41.2 PPG.

-- Peters is expected to get the starting nod at NIU since Mitchell Guadagni is ‘doubtful’ with a shoulder injury. Guadagni has missed two games and parts of several others. He has completed 57.5 percent of his passes for 1,053 yards with a 13/3 TD-INT ratio. Guadagni has rushed for 429 yards and three TDs with a 5.6 YPC average. Peter has connected on 53.7 percent of his throws for 998 yards with an 11/6 TD-INT ratio.

-- Toledo has one of the nation's top groups of WRs. Diontae Johnson, a first-team All-MAC selection last year, has 33 receptions for 583 yards and seven TDs. Diontae Johnson is second in the MAC in all-purpose yards with 1,095. Thompson, a first-team All-MAC choice in 2016 who missed last season injured and was redshirted, has 31 catches for 425 yards and 10 TDs. Jon’Vea Johnson has 21 grabs for 415 yards and four TDs.

-- Koback has rushed for a team-high 512 yards and nine TDs with a 5.8 YPC average. Shakif Seymour has 422 rushing yards, three TDs and a 4.6 YPC average, while Art Thompkins has 328 rushing yards, three TDs and a 5.3 YPC average.

-- Toledo beat NIU 27-17 as a 7.5-point home favorite in last season’s encounter at The Glass Bowl. The 44 combined points went ‘under’ the 56.5-point tally. Diontae Johnson had 10 receptions for 166 yards.

-- The ‘under’ is 7-2 overall for NIU, 3-0 in its home contests. The Huskies have seen their games average combined scores of 40.9 PPG.

-- The ‘over’ is 6-3 overall for Toledo, 2-1 in its road assignments. However, the Rockets have watched the ‘under’ go 3-1 in their past four contests. They’ve seen their games produce average combined scores of 72.0 PPG.

-- The ‘under’ has been a winner in six straight head-to-head meetings between these schools.

-- According to weather.com as of Tuesday morning, temperatures in Dekalb on Wednesday night are expected to dip into the mid-20s Fahrenheit. Conditions are supposed to clear but winds could be a factor at 10-20 mph.

-- ESPN2 will provide the broadcast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- Texas Tech QB Alan Bowman is ‘out’ for Saturday’s home game vs. Texas. The Red Raiders might be without star senior LB Dakota Allen, who was ‘questionable’ after leaving last week’s narrow loss to Oklahoma with a knee injury.

-- Stanford is dealing with a slew of key injuries heading into Saturday’s home game vs. Oregon State. RB Bryce Love (ankle), WR J.J. Arcega-Whiteside (ankle), OG Nate Herbig and back-up RB Trevor Speights are listed as ‘questionable.’ Love and Herbig were first-team All-Americans in Phil Steele’s preseason magazine and Arcega-Whiteside was a fourth-teamer. The Cardinal remains without defensive starters in LB Joey Alfieri and safety Ben Edwards, both of whom are out indefinitely. Arcega-Whiteside has 48 receptions for 754 yards and 11 TDs. The ‘over’ is on a 5-1 run for Stanford in its past six games.

-- The ‘under’ has cashed in five straight games for California, which was – depending on how you look at it -- fortunate to cover the number yet unfortunate to not pull the outright upset in a 19-13 loss at Washington State as a 7.5-point road underdog this past week. The Cougars missed a short field goal and an extra point in the second half, in addition to missing out on an easy scoring opportunity when Willie Taylor‘s interception that appeared destined to become a pick-six turned into a touchback instead. Taylor intercepted Cal’s RS freshman QB Chase Gabers at the Cal 40 and was tripped up three yards shy of paydirt. As Taylor was going down, however, he coughed the ball up before his knee was down and the ball went through the end zone. With the game tied and 7:34 remaining, Garbers was inexplicably lifted in favor of the more mobile back-up QB Brandon McIlwain, who started his career at South Carolina, on a first-and-10 play from WSU’s 12. McIlwain rolled to his right and overthrew his receiver in the end zone and was intercepted by Skyler Thomas. Nevertheless, Justin Wilcox’s defense held Mike Leach’s offense to a season-low 19 points one week after limiting Washington 10 points. The Golden Bears are at USC this week. They were 5.5-point road underdogs Tuesday morning, and a few offshores had released the total at 48.

-- As of early Tuesday, Utah State QB Jordan Love was ‘questionable’ for Saturday’s home vs. San Jose State. The Aggies improved to 8-1 both SU and ATS with last week’s 56-17 win at Hawaii as 18-point road ‘chalk.’ Love, who has thrown for 2,185 yards with an 19/4 TD-INT ratio, left the game in the first half after taking a knee to the helmet and didn’t return. The ‘over’ also improved to 8-1 when the 73 combined points went ‘over’ the 70.5-point total before the end of the third quarter. Love also has five rushing scores this year. He was replaced by RS freshman Henry Colombi, who has completed 33-of-40 throws this season for 239 yards. Colombi also has 122 rushing yards and one TD on 13 carries. Love has been on fire since Week 3, throwing 18 TD passes compared to merely one interception.

-- Speaking of Hawaii, this team has needed an open date in the worst way for more than a month. The Warriors, who are finally off this weekend after playing 11 games in 11 weeks, got off to a shocking 6-1 start, but they’ve lost four games in a row both SU and ATS as their insane travel schedule has caught up with them. All four of the L’s during Hawaii’s current slide have come by margins of 18 points or more. Although he’s certainly cooled off in recent weeks, QB Cole McDonald still has outstanding numbers for the season: 3,163 passing yards with a 32/6 TD-INT ratio.

-- South Alabama QB Evan Orth is dealing with a shoulder issue that has him listed as ‘questionable’ for Saturday’s home game vs. ULM. Orth has thrown for 1,704 yards with a 10/3 TD-INT ratio for the Jaguars.

-- UNLV QB Armani Rogers is hoping to return to action Saturday at San Diego State. Rogers has been out since late September with a broken toe. He’s ‘questionable’ against the Aztecs. Rogers had a 6/4 TD-INT ratio, 488 rushing yards, six rushing scores and a 6.9 YPC average before going down in Week 4. Without Rogers, the Rebels have lost five consecutive contests and gone 1-4 ATS.

-- San Diego State had been without star RB Juwan Washington since Week 4 until he returned this past weekend in a 31-23 non-covering triumph at New Mexico. Washington ran for 95 yards and two TDs on 11 carries. In five games, Washington has run for 608 yards and seven TDs with a 5.5 YPC average. Starting QB Christian Chapman also came back at UNM after missing six straight games while injured. Chapman connected on 13-of-19 throws for 182 yards and one TD without an interception.

-- Appalachian State QB Zac Thomas (concussion) has been upgraded to ‘probable' at Texas State. Thomas has an 11/4 TD-INT ratio, 1,145 passing yards, 281 rushing yards and six rushing TDs. After going down in a 34-14 loss at Ga. Southern, Thomas missed a 23-7 win at Coastal Carolina.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAA (COLLEGE)

DUNKEL'S HIGHLIGHTED GAME

Toledo at Northern Illinois - Wednesday November 7, 2018

The Huskies host a Toledo team that is coming off a 45-13 win over Ball State and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in the previous game. Northern Illinois is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Huskies favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-3).


WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 7, 2018

Ohio
@
Miami Of Ohio
Game 103-104
November 7, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Ohio
88.127
Miami of Ohio
81.341
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Ohio
by 7
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Ohio
by 4
61
Dunkel Pick: Ohio
(-4); Over

Toledo
@
Northern Illinois
Game 105-106
November 7, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Toledo
81.625
Northern Illinois
87.624
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Northern Illinois
by 6
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Northern Illinois
by 3
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois
(-3); Under