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**StarDust Bum** · 10-24-2018, 12:48 PM

Games to Watch - Week 9
October 23, 2018
By YouWager.eu

College Football Week 9: Games to Watch

The last two weeks of the college football season have delivered some dramatic changes to the national rankings, with many of the big guns misfiring and tumbling down the standings.

There is very little time left to make an impression, as the playoff committee are getting prepared to release their first set of rankings very shortly. Those teams who have slipped still have time to claw their way back into contention, but it all needs to start this weekend.

There are some massive games on the Week 9 schedule, so let’s take a look at 4 that you need to be tuning in to with all odds, props and futures for each game sponsored by YouWager.eu.

No. 9 Florida Gators vs. No. 7 Georgia Bulldogs

This is always one of the biggest games on the college football calendar in any given season, but it takes on a whole new level of importance this year. It is more than likely that the winner of this meeting in Jacksonville will go on to represent the East Division in the SEC Championship Game. A couple of weeks ago, it looked as though Georgia had the inside track to that crown for the second straight year, but a loss to LSU coupled with a strong run by Florida has turned this into a season saving game for both teams. This should be a great one, but I think it will be Georgia who come out on top.

No. 18 Iowa Hawkeyes at No. 17 Penn State Nittany Lions

You have to give some credit to the Hawkeyes for bouncing back so well after losing to Wisconsin a few weeks ago. Since that defeat, which just happens to be their only loss of the season, they have reeled off 3 straight wins and clawed their way back into the top 25. This week, they will be on the road to face a Penn State team that is reeling after seeing their playoff hopes go up in smoke. They took back to back losses to Ohio State and Michigan State before finally getting back to winning ways, albeit only just, against Indiana. This looks like a good match-up and I am taking Penn State to win.

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No. 14 Washington State Cougars at No. 24 Stanford Cardinal

If you have been looking for a team to consistently bet on this season, you could do a whole lot worse than the Washington State Cougars. They have won both of their games that they started as an underdog and have also covered the spread in each of their last 6 games. They took out the Oregon Ducks last week to throw the PAC 12 into complete havoc, but they have another tough one this week with a trip to Stanford. The Cardinal picked up a win over Arizona State last weekend after dropping back to back games and I think they will win again on Saturday night.

No. 6 Texas Longhorns at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Everyone quickly wrote off the Texas Longhorns after they lost to Maryland in Week 1, but they have had the last laugh, winning every game since them to take control of the Big 12. The Longhorns are in total control of their own destiny, but they cannot afford to look beyond this weekend. Yes, the Cowboys are having a down season and have lost 3 of their last 4, but make no mistake about it, this is still a very dangerous team that might just rise to the occasion this weekend. I have this as a close one, but I think Texas can pull out the big road win.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-24-2018, 12:52 PM

Georgia vs. Florida
October 24, 2018
By Bookmaker

By Kyle Markus

NCAA Preview - Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators

The Georgia Bulldogs have lost once this season and cannot afford another slip-up as they push for a spot in the College Football Playoff. That’s easier said than done as they have a tough game this week against fellow top-10 power the Florida Gators.

Georgia was expected to be this high in the national rankings but Florida has really surprised with a successful season. The oddsmakers aren’t completely sold on the Gators as the Bulldogs are sizable favorites to pick up this win. Both of these teams still have national championship aspirations but the loser will most likely be out of the hunt. This will also have large ramifications in the chase for the SEC championship in NCAA football betting.

This NCAA football game between the Georgia Bulldogs and Florida Gators will be held at TIAA Field in Jacksonville, Florida at 3:30 p.m ET on Saturday, October 27th, 2018. The game will be nationally televised on CBS.

We'll have NCAA football odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2018 NCAA football season.

Odds Analysis

Georgia is the 7-point favorite to take care of business against Florida. The teams will face off at a neutral site, and although it is closer to Florida, the location certainly helps Georgia from having to play in a super hostile environment. The scoring total is listed at 51.5 points, which is a nod to the impressive defenses on display.

The Bulldogs are listed as the -260 favorite on the moneyline. The Gators are the +215 underdog in NCAA football wagering.

Scheduling Situation

Georgia is in the midst of a tough stretch. The Bulldogs had to go on the road to face off against LSU last week and fell flat, finishing with a 36-16 loss. This game against Florida is a tough one as the Gators are playing well. There is no time to rest as Georgia will turn around and face off against the No. 12-ranked Kentucky Wildcats next week. Kentucky is not generally one of the better college football programs but has put together a really nice year.

Every team in the SEC has to deal with tough schedules, and this is a gauntlet for Georgia. If the Bulldogs can get through it without another loss they will remain in the hunt for the College Football Playoff.

Previous Matchup

It’s been a very impressive turnaround for Florida, considering where it was a season ago. When these teams matched up in 2017, Georgia cruised to a 42-7 win. The Gators finished 4-7 that year, which is unfathomable for a program that has always been among the best not only in the conference but in the entire country.

Georgia scored 21 points in the first quarter of last year’s game, eventually pulling out to a 35-0 lead heading into the fourth quarter. Georgia quarterback Jake Fromm only had to attempt seven passes, completing four of them for 101 yards with a touchdown and an interception. The backfield duo of Sony Michel and Nick Chubb led the way for the Bulldogs against Florida last year, but they both moved on to the NFL so Georgia can’t rely on them in this one. Fromm is back and will almost certainly need to play a big role in this matchup.

Free NCAA Football ATS Picks

This figures to be a defensive battle considering both teams are allowing fewer than 17 points per contest. Georgia is slightly more talented but this spread seems to be giving it too much credit. The Bulldogs will be plenty motivated as they have national championship aspirations still alive, but the underrated Gators are going to surprise once again.

Florida is the choice, not to simply cover the spread in this matchup but to pull out the unlikely upset victory in NCAA football gambling.

NCAA Football Pick: Florida Gators 24, Georgia Bulldogs 23

**StarDust Bum** · 10-24-2018, 12:53 PM

Texas at Oklahoma State
October 24, 2018
By BetDSI

By Tom Wilkinson

College Football Betting Preview – Texas vs. Oklahoma State

The 6th-ranked Texas Longhorns will try and avoid looking past the Oklahoma State Cowboys on Saturday night in a game that can be seen on ABC. The Longhorns come into this game at 6-1, while the Cowboys are 4-3. Texas has a chance to make the College Football Playoff if they run the table and the Longhorns will be favored in each of their last five games including this one on Saturday night in Stillwater. Let’s look at the contest and college football picks.

Date and Time: Saturday, October 27, 2018, 8:00 p.m. ET
Location: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK
College Football Odds at BetDSI: Texas -3, O/U 59.5
Texas vs. Oklahoma State TV Coverage: ABC

The Longhorns are not getting much respect from the oddsmakers, as they are just a 3-point road favorite. Texas has played much better than Oklahoma State this season and has a clear edge in talent on both sides of the ball. The Cowboys are just 1-3 in the Big 12, while Texas is 4-0. The Longhorns are expected to have quarterback Sam Ehlinger available for this contest. He injured his shoulder in the win over Baylor, but head coach Tom Herman said Ehlinger is "on schedule" to play.

The Longhorns have a big edge at quarterback with Ehlinger against Oklahoma State’s Taylor Cornelius. Against Kansas State, Cornelius tossed two interceptions and he had no touchdowns. Ehlinger has 11 touchdowns and just two interceptions this season, while Cornelius has 16 TDs and 8 interceptions, but keep in mind that 13 of those TD’s came against Missouri State, Iowa State and Kansas.

Texas is scoring 30.7 points per game and giving up 23 points per contest. The Cowboys are scoring 39.4 points per game but they are giving up over 28 points per game. Oklahoma State’s offensive numbers are skewed, as they scored over 50 points in their first two games against weak opponents.

Matchup to Watch

If the Cowboys are going to win this game then they have to run the ball effectively. There is no question that Justice Hill is the best Oklahoma State player on offense He has had two 100-yard rushing games against Texas. The Longhorns have been tough against the run this season, as they are giving up just 126.4 rushing yards per game. If Texas can stuff Hill and force Oklahoma State to throw, they should win this game going away.

Key Stats

The Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings at Oklahoma State. The Longhorns are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October. The Longhorns are 11-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week. The Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.

Looking at the total, the Under is 4-1 in the Longhorns last 5 games in October. The Under is 40-14 in the Longhorns last 54 conference games. The Under is 19-7 in the Longhorns last 26 road games. The Over is 9-4 in the Cowboys last 13 games overall. The Over is 73-34-2 in the Cowboys last 109 home games. The Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings at Oklahoma State.

Texas vs. Oklahoma State Picks

I am a little surprised that Texas is not getting more respect in this game, as the line of three seems low. That is the only thing about this game that worries me, as Texas is simply the better team on both sides of the ball than Oklahoma State. The Cowboys are playing at home and it is a night game, but this year’s Oklahoma State team simply isn’t that good. They are struggling to throw the ball and they have no defense.

The Longhorns should focus on stopping Hill and forcing Cornelius to beat them. Cornelius has shown no ability this season to beat good teams by throwing the ball, so if the Cowboys get down early I think this one is over. I will lay the points and take Texas on Saturday night.

Texas vs. Oklahoma State Pick: Texas -3 at BetDSI
Texas vs. Oklahoma State Score Prediction: Texas 33, Oklahoma State 20

**StarDust Bum** · 10-24-2018, 12:57 PM

Burning Questions - Week 9
October 24, 2018
By Tony Mejia

A look at the biggest variables facing teams entering this week's college football action:

Thursday

Baylor at West Virginia (-14/67), 7 p.m. ET: How does Will Grier bounce back from being held to just 100 passing yards by Iowa State as his Heisman chances crumbled? Will the extra days of rest re-charge a team that can still win the Big 12 but faces Texas, TCU and both Oklahoma schools to close things out? Can a Baylor team that has lost consecutive one-possession games against the Mountaineers despite the program's stature plummetting break through with its first upset since a 2014 win in Norman as a sign that its back on the way up?

Toledo at Western Michigan (-6.5/67.5), 7 p.m. ET: Do the Rockets "save" their disappointing season by taking down the 4-0 Broncos to tighten up the MAC West, giving themselves a chance? Can a defense that gave Toledo a shot against Buffalo last week contain a WMU offense that has scored 34 or more points in six of eight games? Since its opponents on its current six-game winning streak now a combined 11-35, how will Western fare against the most talented team it has seen since opening the season at Syracuse and Michigan? Who handles temperatures expected to dip into the 30s better?

Ball State at Ohio (-11/64), 7 p.m. ET: Which highly regarded QB, Riley Neal or Nathan Rourke, thrives in the 38 degree weather? Can the MAC's worst passs defense rise up to stop Neal, who will be getting his first look at the Bobcats since the teams haven't played since 2015? Can Ball State overcome losing its Homecoming game with such a short turnaround and a visit to Toledo on tap for Halloween night?

Appalachian State (-10/48) at Georgia Southern, 7:30 p.m. ET: Who will join Troy at 4-0 in Sun Belt play? Can the shortest turnaround of their season derail a Mountaineers team that has been incredibly impressive despite coming off their first ATS loss in Saturday's 27-17 conquest of the Ragin' Cajuns? Can the Eagles continue to flourish offensively afer scoring TDs on six consecutive possessions at New Mexico State last weekend? Will RB Logan Wright follow up a 2-TD breakout game to emerge as a battering ram for an attack that thrives on ball possession?

Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech (-3/58.5), 7:30 p.m. ET: Do the Yellow Jackets find the energy to play spoiler on the road with their chances of winning the Coastal realistically already dashed? Is QB TaQuon Marshall good to go after leaving Tech's Oct. 13 win over Duke with a leg injury? How does redshirt freshman QB Tobias Oliver handle a hostile atmosphere if he's pressed into action in place of Marshall? With extra preparation time due to a bye at his disposal, how well did Bud Foster fare in teaching a young defense how to handle Georgia Tech's triple option? Can the Hokies snap a run of three losses in four meetings against the Yellow Jackets in order to stay perfect in conference play? Can Virginia Tech's Justin Fuente improve to 4-1 off a bye in Blacksburg? Can QB Ryan Willis continue his steady work in place of the injured Josh Jackson?

Friday

Louisiana Tech at Florida Atlantic (-3.5/58), 6:30 p.m. ET: Does FAU get QB Chris Robison back from an ankle injury in time to get back to .500 and keep their C-USA East Division hopes live against the West's frontrunner? Will FBS sack leader Jaylon Ferguson disrupt whoever lines up under center for the Owls? Can he register a sack to become Conference USA's all-time sacks leader? How does Lane Kiffin get his offense to rebound after the lowest-scoring output of his tenure (7 points) in Saturday's demoralizing loss to Marshall? Will key Florida Atlantic safety Jalen Young (leg) for this one after an injury-filled month?

Miami, FL (-3.5/50) at Boston College, 7 p.m. ET: How do the Hurricanes respond to yet another QB change after Malik Rosier got his gig back from freshman N'Kosi Perry following a loss at Virginia? How will AJ Dillon look after missing the past few games due to a nagging ankle injury? Can a BC defense that posted seven sacks last time out harrass Rosier into mistakes? Will the "Bandana Game" atmosphore in Chestnut Hill prove too much for the 'Canes to overcome when combined with rainy, 45-degree weather?

Indiana (-2.5/54) at Minnesota, 8 p.m. ET: Will freshman QB Zack Annexstad be out there for the Gophers after suffering what is being described as an internal midsection injury against Nebraska, briefly resulting in hospitalization? Can redshirt freshman Tanner Morgan flourish at home against the Hoosiers if pressed into action? Will safety Antonio Shenault (head) be able to shake off an injury or will an already depleted secondary field more new faces? Will the absence of DT OJ Smith hinder the Minnesota run defense against burly freshman Stevie Scott? Does Gophers RB Shannon Brooks return after being arrested and suspended or will it remain the Mohamed Ibrahim show in the backfield? Can Indiana post its first win in Minneapolis since 1993 to keep from dipping under .500 for the first time all season and boost its fading bowl hopes?

Wyoming at Colorado State (-2.5/46), 10 p.m. ET: Do the Rams respond to a QB change with elusive runner Collin Hill getting his first start in over two years, replacing KJ Carta-Samuels? Who will the Cowboys ride at QB, redshirt freshman Tyler Vander Waal, the season-long starter, or true freshman Sean Chambers? Will starting freshman left guard Zach Watts, who hasn't played all season, help in injecting fresh legs or is this a youth movement the Rams can take advantage of? Can a Wyoming offense that ranks next-to-last in tne nation in scoring (15.5) gain some traction in Colorado Springs? Can the CSU offensive line hold up given its banged-up state? Whose bowl hopes realistically get snuffed out with a loss?

Utah (-10.5/54.5) at UCLA, 10:30 p.m. ET: Do the Utes avoid a letdown after impressively taking down USC to tighten up a now wide-open Pac-12 South? Can Chip Kelly put together a 3-game winning streak after a brutal start that would put the Bruins in postion to shockingly compete for a division title? Will freshman QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson return from suffering an injured throwing shoulder or will veteran Michigan transfer Wilton Speight get another opportunity after some solid work against Arizona? Can Tyler Huntley continue to effectively throw the ball to feast on a short-handed UCLA defense? Will the Pac-12's second-leading rusher, Brett Moss, have a field days against a Bruins' D that missed 18 tackles in surrendering 520 yards and 7.6 yards per carry against a 'Cats offense run by backup QB Rhett Rodriguez?

**StarDust Bum** · 10-24-2018, 12:59 PM

No. 25 App State puts new ranking on line against Eagles
October 24, 2018
By The Associated Press

STATESBORO, Ga. (AP) The first Top 25 ranking in Appalachian State's history is something coach Scott Satterfield has relished this week.

He's also tried to keep that achievement in perspective as he prepares to face an old friend in an important game.

That ranking will be on the line , as well as the path to a Sun Belt championship, when No. 25 Appalachian State visits Georgia Southern on Thursday night in a matchup of longtime rivals.

''It doesn't win you any football games and it's not going to beat Georgia Southern,'' Satterfield said of his team's debut in the Top 25.

The Mountaineers (5-1, 3-0 Sun Belt) and Eagles (6-1, 3-0) were former Southern Conference rivals who combined to win nine FCS (Division I-AA) national championships before making the move to FBS.

There are close ties on the coaching staffs. Georgia Southern coach Chad Lunsford was App State's tight ends coach from 2001-02 and lived in Satterfield's basement for a year when Satterfield also was a Mountaineers assistant on coach Jerry Moore's staff.

Lunsford said he and Satterfield are still friends, even though busy schedules mean ''you don't spend a lot of time communicating.''

''He was a huge influence on me as a young coach and did a lot for my family when I was up there also, so I've got a lot of respect for him,'' Lunsford said. ''I do consider him a friend to this day.''

Lunsford hired his defensive coordinator, Scot Sloan, from App State, where Sloan worked from 2010-17.

''He spent a long time here so obviously he's very familiar with our personnel,'' Satterfield said, adding Georgia Southern operates ''a very similar defense to what we're running, if not the same.''

Here are some other things to know about the App State-Georgia Southern game:

HIGH-SCORING MOUNTAINEERS

App State leads the Sun Belt with its average of 44.8 points per game. It also has the league's best scoring defense, allowing only 15.7 points.

''This will be a big-time challenge,'' Lunsford said. ''On paper I don't know if we've got a chance. I hope our players will step up and play over their heads and give us a shot.''

Darrynton Evans, who has run for an average of 119.7 yards in conference games, has helped the Mountaineers overcome the loss of Jalin Moore to a season-ending ankle injury. Evans ran for 115 yards at Arkansas State and 183 yards against Louisiana.

SECOND-HALF DEFENSE

App State's 27-17 win over Louisiana last week included a rarity - points allowed in the second half. Louisiana scored with 1:03 remaining for the first second-half points allowed by the Mountaineers' defense since a 45-38 overtime loss to No. 17 Penn State to open the season. The Mountaineers outscored Charlotte, Gardner-Webb, South Alabama and Arkansas State by a combined 65-0 in the second half.

TRIPLE OPTION ATTACK

Sophomore quarterback Shai Werts provides dual-threat skills as he directs Georgia Southern's option offense. Werts' 542 yards rushing and nine touchdowns lead the team. He has passed for 491 yards with four scores and no interceptions. For his career, Werts has 1,264 yards rushing with 12 touchdowns and 1,420 yards passing and 11 scores.

SUN RISES AGAIN

App State is only the second Sun Belt team to make the Top 25. Troy made a one-week appearance in the 2016, also at No. 25.

SOUTHERN RIVALRY

The Mountaineers lead the series 19-13-1, including a 16-11 advantage since Georgia Southern revived its program in 1982. The schools were Southern Conference rivals from 1993-2013. This will be the fifth straight game in the series played on a Thursday night.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-25-2018, 12:03 PM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Interesting trends for Week 8 in the NFL:

— Steelers are 1-5 in last six games as a divisional home favorite.

— Eagles are 2-7-1 in last ten games as a favorite.

— Saints covered five of their last six games.

— Bengals covered six of their last nine games.

— Colts covered their last five pre-bye games.

— Jaguars are 4-19 in last 23 games vs NFC teams.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…..

13) Cam Newton’s Sunday in Philadelphia:
Quarters 1-3: 9-of-17, 68 yards, 0 TDs, 0 INTs, not much of anything
4th quarter: 16-22, 201 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs— He looked like Dan Fouts

Once he got hot, the Panthers were unstoppable, but it was like someone flipped the on-switch and he started playing better.

12) Denver Broncos released backup QB Chad Kelly after he was arrested on trespassing charges Monday night. He was forcibly removed from the players’ Halloween party before he entered another person’s home where he didn’t belong.

11) There are whispers coming out of Ohio that at this time next year, Urban Meyer could be coaching the Cleveland Browns. We’ll see about that; not sure how Meyer would do dealing with the losing NFL coaches do, much more than college coaches.

10) College basketball starts November 6; on Opening Night, 52 D-I teams play a non-D-I opponent, which is embarrassing. Last year, D-I teams went 453-11 against non-D-I teams.

9) Darius Bazley is a young man who signed to play basketball at Syracuse this winter, but he won’t do that or play in the G-League, instead he is going to train on his own— he has signed an endorsement contract with New Balance, which will play him at least $1M.

Bazley will also intern at the company’s marketing, digital, footwear and apparel departments from January to March. Chances are he will go from April 2018 to July 2019 without playing in a competitive basketball game. Not sure how that is a good idea for his development as a player, but good luck to him.

8) Raiders supposedly turned down a 2nd round pick from the Eagles for Amari Cooper, before dealing him to the Cowboys Monday; Jon Gruden talked to the team Wednesday about the trade, but that seems kind of late, no? The trade was Monday.

7) Los Angeles Angels hired former Tiger skipper Brad Ausmus as their next manager.

6) This is just the third World Series where all four starting pitchers in Games 1-2 were lefty:

1963 – Koufax vs Ford, Podres vs Downing
1973 – Matlack vs Holtzman, Koosman vs Blue
2018 – Kershaw vs Sale, Ryu vs Price

5) James Harden left Houston’s 100-89 loss in Utah Wednesday with a hamstring issue that he says “isn’t serious). Harden missed seven games LY with a similar injury.

4) Nets 102, Cavaliers 86— Cleveland coach Tyrone Lue coached in the NBA Finals the last two years, but the Cavs are 0-4 already and Lue might get fired before Christmas. Losing to the Nets by 16 at home isn’t a good sign.

3) Red Sox 4, Dodgers 2— None of LA’s top four home run hitters have started a game in this WS yet, because they’re all lefty and God forbid a lefty hitter face a lefty pitcher.

2) Rams signed WR Austin Proehl to the practice squad, which sounds like an obscure note, except if you’re a Ram fan, the Phoehl name is royalty— Austin’s dad Ricky Proehl caught the game-winning TD pass in the 2000 NFC title game the year the Rams won the Super Bowl, and he also caught a TD pass in the Super Bowl two years later.

1) According to Psychology Living magazine, being sarcastic on a regular basis can add up to three years to your life, which means you’re stuck with me for three more years than you thought you were. Sarcasm is extremely healthy for the mind. Ha!!!

**StarDust Bum** · 10-25-2018, 12:12 PM

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Thursday, October 25

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TOLEDO (3 - 4) at W MICHIGAN (6 - 2) - 10/25/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
W MICHIGAN is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALL ST (3 - 5) at OHIO U (4 - 3) - 10/25/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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APPALACHIAN ST (5 - 1) at GA SOUTHERN (6 - 1) - 10/25/2018, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA TECH (3 - 4) at VIRGINIA TECH (4 - 2) - 10/25/2018, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BAYLOR (4 - 3) at W VIRGINIA (5 - 1) - 10/25/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Thursday, October 25

Baylor @ West Virginia
Baylor
Baylor is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing West Virginia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 6 games on the road

West Virginia
West Virginia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of West Virginia's last 6 games at home

Ball State @ Ohio
Ball State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ball State's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ball State's last 6 games on the road

Ohio
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ohio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Toledo @ Western Michigan
Toledo
Toledo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Western Michigan
Toledo is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games on the road

Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Western Michigan is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home

Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Virginia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 5 games when playing on the road against Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games when playing at home against Georgia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 6 games when playing Georgia Tech

Appalachian State @ Georgia Southern
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Appalachian State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Georgia Southern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

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Thursday, October 25

Ball State @ Ohio

Game 107-108
October 25, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ball State
64.620
Ohio
83.583
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio
by 19
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 10 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio
(-10 1/2); Under

Appalachian St @ Georgia Southern

Game 109-110
October 25, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Appalachian St
96.198
Georgia Southern
78.290
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 18
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Appalachian St
by 9 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Appalachian St
(-9 1/2); Over

Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech

Game 111-112
October 25, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Tech
87.495
Virginia Tech
93.655
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 6
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 3
59
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(-3); Under

Baylor @ West Virginia

Game 113-114
October 25, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baylor
84.158
West Virginia
102.923
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 19
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
West Virginia
by 13 1/2
67 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(-13 1/2); Under

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Thursday’s games

Toledo lost three of its last four games; they’ve allowed 39.5 ppg vs I-A teams this year. under Candle, Rockets are 2-3 as road underdogs- they completed lesss than half their passes in each of last three games. Western Michigan won its last six games after an 0-2 start (Syr/Mich); Broncos ran ball for 282/305 yards in last two games. Under Lester, WMU is 3-4 as a home favorite. Toledo won four of last six games with WMU; Rockets won two of last three visits to Kalamazoo. MAC home favorites are 5-7 vs spread this year.

Ball State is 2-5 vs I-A teams this year, 2-3 vs spread as an underdog; under Neu, Cardinals are 8-6 as road underdogs, 2-1 this year. Ohio U won three of last four games, allowing 26-24-14 points, after giving up average of 38.3 ppg in first four games. Bobcats covered six of their last seven games as a home favorite. Ball/Ohio split their last four meetings, last of which was in 2015; teams split last two games played here. Five of seven Ball games stayed under total, as did Ohio’s last three games.

Appalachian State won its last four I-A games, three by 26+ points, after OT loss at Penn State; Mountaineers are 11-5 vs spread in last 16 games as road favorites- they ran ball for average of 321 ypg in last four games. ASU won its last three games with Georgia Southern, winning 34-10 in their last visit here. Favorites covered last four series games. Eagles won their last four games since losing at Clemson, scoring 34.8 ppg; GSU are 4-3-1 as I-A home underdogs. Four of their six games this season stayed under the total.

Underdogs covered last six Georgia Tech-Virginia Tech games, winning last five SU; GT won its last two visits to Blacksburg, 30-20/27-24. Jackets covered last three visits here. GT lost four of its last six games, despite being favored in every game but one; they scored 63-66 in their wins. Jackets are 7-2-1 in last ten games as road underdogs. VT split its last four games; they’re 7-4 in last 11 games as home favorites. Hokies allowed 49-45 points in their two losses, at ODU and vs Notre Dame at home. ACC home favorites are 5-7 vs spread this year.

West Virginia had only nine FD’s in their last game, a 30-14 loss at Iowa State; under Holgorsen, WV is 15-22 as home favorites, 1-1 this year. Mountaineers scored 35+ points in all their wins this year. Under Rhule, Baylor is 3-3 as road dogs, 1-1 this year- they lost 66-33 at Oklahoma, 23-17 at Texas. West Virginia beat Baylor last two years, 38-36/24-21; home side won five of last six series games. Bears lost last three visits here, by 3-14-7 points. Big X home favorites are 4-7 vs spread this year. Over is 4-2 in Baylor games so far this season.

-------------------------------------

Tech Trends - Week 9
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Oct. 25

TOLEDO at WESTERN MICHIGAN...Toledo 5-2 last 7 as visiting chalk. WMU 5-9-1 spread vs. line since mid 2017.
Toledo, based on team trends.

BALL STATE at OHIO...Solich has covered four straight at Athens, and 5-1 last 6 as home chalk. Cards 3-6 last nine as road dog (though 2-1 in role this season).
Ohio, based on team trends.

APPALACHIAN STATE at GEORGIA SOUTHERN...App 5-1, GaSo 6-1 vs. line in 2018. Mounties 11-5 last 16 as visiting chalk and have won and covered last three vs. Eagles.
App State, based on team and series trends.

GEORGIA TECH at VIRGINIA TECH...Paul Johnson has upsets in outright wins as dog last two years vs. Fuente. Johnson 13-7-1 as dog since 2014. Dog team 5-0-1 last six in series. Hokies 4-8 vs. points since late 2017.
Georgia Tech, base don team and series trends.

BAYLOR at WEST VIRGINIA...Baylor has covered last three in series, and Bears 7-4 last 11 vs. spread away from Waco. Holgorsen just 2-6 vs. points last 8 as Big 12 host.
Baylor, based on team and series trends.

-------------------------------------------

Baylor at West Virginia
Joe Nelson

This week’s Thursday night game is a prominent Big XII clash as Baylor and West Virginia face off. Baylor looks to build on its season of improvement having already quadrupled last season’s win count while West Virginia is still a Big XII title threat despite its ugly loss at Iowa State two weeks ago.

Here is a look at Thursday’s Big XII game to start the final October college football weekend.

Match-up: Baylor Bears at West Virginia Mountaineers
Venue: At Milan Pusker Stadium in Morgantown, West Virginia
Time/TV: Thursday, October 25, 7:00 PM ET ESPN
Line: West Virginia -14, Over/Under 62
Last Meeting: 2017, West Virginia (-10) 38, at Baylor 36

The Mountaineers climbed to No. 6 in the polls with a 5-0 start to the season but hopes of emerging as a sleeper in the national picture were extinguished with a mid-October loss at Iowa State. The 30-14 final score didn’t do justice to how badly West Virginia lost as one of its touchdowns came on a blocked field goal return while they wound up out-gained 498-152 in what head coach Dan Hologorsen called “the worst offensive performance I have ever seen.”

Having a bye week to regroup should be useful for West Virginia, who still controls its destiny in the Big XII race. Next week West Virginia head to Austin to face the current conference leader Texas while the Mountaineers host Oklahoma in the regular season finale. West Virginia is 3-0 at home with dominant numbers including a 35-6 win over Kansas State and they beat the other one-loss squad Texas Tech on the road.

The offense is led by Will Grier, who has thrown for over 1,900 yards with 22 touchdowns and 10.0 yards per attempt. He owns the third best QB Rating in the nation but has thrown seven interceptions while taking 18 sacks as a lot is asked of him in Holgorsen’s offense. Grier has a very talented receiving corps to work with and big plays have been the norm in this offense that features about a 50/50 run/pass split.

After allowing 20 points in the first two FBS games of the season West Virginia has allowed 86 points in the past three Big XII games. Last season West Virginia surrendered over 31 points per game and 446 yards per game while finishing 7-6 and improvement defensively down the stretch will be the key to keeping the Mountaineers in Big XII contention.

Holgorsen is in his eighth season and despite some setbacks he has posted a 58-38 record and has had the Mountaineers in a bowl games in all but one season. Two years ago the Mountaineers won 10 games with a 7-2 Big XII record and getting his team in the Big XII title game would be a big milestone for the program.

Matt Rhule stepped into a challenging situation last year at Baylor following the multi-year fallout surrounding the departure of Art Briles. Rhule had a successful rebuild at Temple and was a respected hire if not a flashy choice. His tenure could not have started worse, losing to then FCS level Liberty as well as Texas-San Antonio in the first two games and eventually winding up 1-11 with only a win over Kansas.

Several results were competitive for the Bears however with an eight-point loss to Oklahoma and a two-point loss in this matchup with West Virginia. That game was fairly even statistically but West Virginia had a 38-13 lead before a great fourth quarter rally from Baylor.

Then a freshman, Charlie Brewer took over at quarterback in that game and posted solid numbers the rest of the season. This year Brewer has just three interceptions along with 10 touchdowns leading the offense. He has already surpassed last season’s passing yardage total but is completing passes at a much lower completion rate this season while also posting a lower yards per attempt average.

Baylor hasn’t been a great rushing team but after averaging only 3.4 yards per rush last season the Bears are posting 4.4 yards per rush this season with a committee approach led by JaMycal Hasty. Jalen Hurd has been the go-to receiver with 622 receiving yards and 47 receptions this season.

Baylor and West Virginia had fairly similar defensive statistics last season despite the contrasting records. This season the pass defense numbers are also very close with a slight edge to the Bears in completion rate and yards per attempt but Baylor has allowed more passing touchdowns while generating fewer interceptions. Run defense was the weakness for Baylor last season and this year the Bears have surrendered 5.7 yards per rush, seventh worst nationally and it will be interesting to see if the Mountaineers attack on the ground more than usual this week.

This year Baylor has allowed 31 points per game but surrendering 66 at Oklahoma weighs on the numbers. The Bears have already played Oklahoma and Texas while West Virginia is still to play both of the conference heavyweights to factor into the numbers. In its last game Baylor had the ball down six at Texas seeking a major upset. Brewer led the Bears inside the Texas 20-yard line but his final three passes all fell incomplete for a narrow defeat but it was a confidence-building effort as the Bears will feel like they can compete in every conference game.

Last season: West Virginia was in the national top 25 visiting winless Baylor in late October. The Mountaineers led 17-6 at halftime and 38-13 through three quarters to sit comfortably in front. Baylor scored two quick touchdowns early in the fourth quarter with a successful on-side kick in-between the scores. The Bears would add a field goal to trail by eight, eventually getting the ball back with fewer than five minutes remaining. Baylor was able to complete an 86-yard touchdown drive with 17 seconds remaining with a 3rd down score but failed on the two-point conversion that could have forced overtime. Grier threw five touchdowns in the game while the Bears out-rushed West Virginia 127-118 in a contest without a turnover.

Series History: Since West Virginia joined the Big XII in 2012 the Mountaineers are 4-2 S/U but just 1-5 ATS in this series. There has been great variance in the spreads with Baylor -30 in the 2013 meeting while West Virginia was -17½ in 2016. The most memorable and consequential meeting was the 2014 upset in Morgantown by West Virginia, winning 41-27 as an 8-point underdog. That was Baylor’s only loss on the regular season and they finished 11-1 and ranked #5 in the College Football Playoff rankings by season’s end. Ohio State controversially passed up TCU, who had been ranked #3 and shared the Big XII title with Baylor, in the final rankings to leave the Big XII out of the playoffs that season.

Historical Trends:

-- West Virginia is 33-44-3 ATS at home since 2006, going 28-38-3 ATS as a favorite, and 20-25-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite.

-- Baylor is 16-20 ATS on the road since 2011, going 8-7 ATS as a road underdog and 6-5 ATS as a double-digit underdog.

----------------------------------------

College Football's Top ATS Teams (based on cover %):

1. Washington St. 7-0 ATS
t2. Florida 6-1 ATS
t2. Fresno St. 6-1 ATS
t2. Georgia Southern 6-1 ATS
t2. Iowa 6-1 ATS
t2. UAB 6-1 ATS
t2. Utah St. 6-1 ATS
t2. Texas A&M 6-1 ATS
t2. Virginia 6-1 ATS
10. App. St. 5-1 ATS

College Football's Worst ATS Teams (based on cover %):

t130. Navy 1-6 ATS
t130. Louisville 1-6 ATS
t130. Wake Forest 1-6 ATS
t130. Florida Atlantic 1-6 ATS
127. Connecticut 1-5-1 ATS
t121. 5 teams tied at 2-6 ATS (Washington, UL-Monroe, UMass, New Mexico St., Wyoming)

**StarDust Bum** · 10-25-2018, 06:14 PM

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 25
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

BAY at WVU 07:00 PM
BAY +14.0
O 67.0

TOL at WMU 07:00 PM
WMU -5.0
O 69.0

BALL at OHIO 07:00 PM
OHIO -10.0
U 65.5

GT at VT 07:30 PM
GT +3.5
O 59.5

APP at GASO 07:30 PM
APP -11.0
O 48.5

**StarDust Bum** · 10-26-2018, 12:25 AM

Georgia Southern upsets No. 25 Appalachian State 34-14
October 25, 2018
By The Associated Press

STATESBORO, Ga. (AP) Shai Werts rushed for 129 yards, including a 47-yard touchdown run, and Georgia Southern upset No. 25 Appalachian State 34-14 on Thursday night to spoil the Mountaineers' first week in the Top 25.

Werts threw a 57-yard scoring pass to Darion Anderson early in the second quarter. It was Werts' only completion in three attempts for Georgia Southern (7-1, 4-0 Sun Belt). Wesley Fields had scoring runs of 10 and 18 yards in the Eagles' fifth straight win.

Georgia Southern fans stormed the field following the school's first home game against a Top 25 team.

Appalachian State quarterback Zac Thomas was knocked out of the game on the opening series for the Mountaineers (5-2, 3-1). The back of Thomas' helmet hit the ground as he was tackled following a 5-yard run. He was taken to the medical tent on the sideline and then escorted to the locker room. He didn't return. Backup quarterbacks Peyton Derrick and Jacob Huesman combined to throw four interceptions, and the Mountaineers also lost a fumble on a punt return.

NO. 13 WEST VIRGINIA 58, BAYLOR 14

MORGANTOWN, W.Va. (AP) - Will Grier threw three touchdown passes and West Virginia used a big second quarter to cruise past Baylor.

The Mountaineers (6-1, 4-1 Big 12) bounced back from a blowout loss at Iowa State with arguably their best performances of the season on both sides of the ball.

During a 31-point second quarter, Grier had TD tosses of 25 and 65 yards to David Sills, and Grier ran for a 1-yard score for a 41-0 halftime lead.

West Virginia had 10 first-half drives, compiled 435 yards by the break and 568 overall.

Grier, who was limited to 100 passing yards in the 30-14 loss to the Cyclones two weeks ago, had 302 by halftime Thursday. He finished 17 of 27 for 353 yards and sat out the fourth quarter.

Baylor (4-4, 2-3) had 287 total yards.

***************************

Oliver, Yellow Jackets run all over Hokies 49-28
October 25, 2018
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BLACKSBURG, Va. (AP) Backup quarterback Tobias Oliver ran for 215 yards and three touchdowns and Georgia Tech ran all over Virginia Tech for a 49-28 victory on Thursday night.

The Yellow Jackets (4-4, 2-3 ACC), playing without starter TaQuon Marshall, finished with 465 yards - all on the ground. Jordan Mason also scored three times as Georgia Tech won its third straight against the Hokies and third straight in Lane Stadium - without completing a pass.

Virginia Tech (4-3, 3-1), which led 21-14, faded after its defense forced a punt and Sean Savoy muffed it, setting the Yellow Jackets up for a tying 12-yard touchdown drive. The Yellow Jackets had a 20:34 to 9:26 time of possession advantage in the first half and an overwhelming 42:18-17:42 edge for the game.

''That was huge,'' said Jalen Johnson, who recovered the fumble. ''The offense was rolling and we got the ball back.''

Hokies coach Justin Fuente said the play wasn't the only issue, but it was a big one.

''It certainly was a big play, no question, but I don't feel it was the only play,'' he said.

Defensive coordinator Bud Foster's team gave up its most rushing yards since SMU got 500 in 1973.

''They did a great job blocking us. It's not just our front four. It's our front seven, our linebackers. They manhandled us tonight when it's all said and done.''

Georgia Tech scored the next 35 points and became the third team to score at least 45 against Virginia Tech this season. Old Dominion (49) and Notre Dame (45) are the others. Virginia Tech hadn't given up at least 40 points to three teams since 1991 when Miami (43), Rutgers (50) and Virginia (41) did it.

Virginia Tech talked all week of keeping the Yellow Jackets from dominating the time of possession.

The Hokies' first drive lasted 1:34, ending with Ryan Willis' 46-yard pass to Tre Turner, and their second took 58 seconds, ending with Damon Hazleton's 41-yard catch.

In between, the Yellow Jackets went 75 yards in 12 plays and followed Virginia Tech's second TD with an 11-play, 75-yard march to tie it at 14. Oliver kept the first drive alive with a 15-yard scramble, and Qua Searcy gained nine on a fourth-and-1 from the Yellow Jackets' 34 on the second drive.

The loss also cost the Hokies their grip on first place in the Coastal Division as they dropped into a tie with Virginia for the lead.

THE TAKEAWAYS

Georgia Tech: Oliver (7 yards per carry coming in vs. Marshall's 4.7) routinely spun away from contact to gain additional yards against the Hokies. But Marshall connected on 60- and 80-yard scoring throws to beat Virginia Tech last season, and Oliver's lone attempt - just his 10th attempt of the season - was miserably short of his target, leading to their first punt, which proved to be the turning point.

Virginia Tech: The Hokies' young defense again got burned by a backup quarterback. In a 49-35 loss at Old Dominion early in the season, drop-back passer Blake LaRussa replaced dual-threat Steven Williams and threw for 494 yards and four touchdowns for the previously winless Monarchs. TaQuon Marshall had started all seven games for coach Paul Johnson heading into the game, but sat out Thursday night with an undisclosed ''upper body'' injury.

UP NEXT

The Yellow Jackets are back on the road, playing at North Carolina next Saturday.

Virginia Tech continues a stretch of four home games in its last five, hosting Boston College next Saturday.

*************************

Toledo's 3rd quarter keys 51-24 win over Western Michigan
October 25, 2018
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KALAMAZOO, Mich. (AP) Eli Peters replaced injured starter Mitchell Guadagni and threw three second-half touchdown passes to help Toledo beat Western Michigan 51-24 on Thursday night.

Guadagni appeared to hurt his shoulder late in the second quarter and Peters opened the third with a 34-yard touchdown pass on a flea flicker to Reggie Gilliam for a 30-17 lead. Western Michigan fumbled on its next possession, and Peters found Cody Thompson for an 18-yard touchdown for a 20-point advantage.

Peters threw for 107 yards for Toledo (4-4, 2-2 Mid-American Conference). Guadagni was 10-of-18 passing for 140 yards and two touchdowns. Jameson Vest made three second-quarter field goals to move into second on Toledo's career list with 67.

Freshman Kaleb Eleby threw for 293 yards and two touchdowns in his debut for Western Michigan (6-3, 4-1), which had its six-game winning streak snapped.

Western Michigan wore special helmets, with a pink stripe dow

******************

Ohio runs for 411 yards, overpowers Ball State 52-14
October 25, 2018
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ATHENS, Ohio (AP) Nathan Rourke threw a touchdown pass and ran for two scores and Ohio gained 411 yards on the ground in the Bobcats' 52-14 victory over Ball State on Thursday night.

Ohio (5-3, 3-1 Mid-American Conference), averaging 208 yards on the ground, rushed for 208 yards and three touchdowns in the first half to help build a 31-7 lead. The Bobcats extended it to 52-7 with three rushing touchdowns in the third.

Ohio had its first 400-yard rushing game since 2005. The Bobcats have won five straight MAC home games,

Ohio capitalized on a Ball State fumble as A.J. Ouellette capped a 40-yard drive with a powerful run up the middle for a 17-7 lead. Rourke made it 24-7 on a 2-yard sneak with 1:23 left in the half and he connected with Andrew Meyer from 21 yards on their next drive.

Riley Neal threw a touchdown pass for Ball State (3-6, 2-3), and backup quarterback Drew Plitt had a rushing score.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-26-2018, 12:31 AM

Friday’s six-pack

College football trends for Week 8:

— Washington State is 15-5 in last 20 games as a road underdog.

— Home side covered 7 of last 10 Wisconsin-Northwestern games.

— Pitt is 8-15-1 vs spread in its last 24 home games.

— Kansas covered once in its last six games as a home underdog.

— New Mexico covered only two of last nine conference games.

— North Carolina covered six of its last eight games vs Virginia.

Tweet of the Day
“I was playing my job of man, so I didn’t really know what was going on. But, shoot, I’ve seen a replay and it was obviously a false start. We’ve been having a lot of things like that this whole entire year, so we’ve grown accustomed to it. I don’t think that made or broke this game, but at the end of the day we’ve just got to overcome any type of adversity, because it seems like don’t nobody want to see us succeed.”
Browns’ safety Damarious Randall, after officials missed an obvious false start against the Chargers Sunday- LA scored a TD on that play. The official who missed it was fired this week.

Friday’s quiz
Where did Brock Osweiler play his college football?

Thursday’s quiz
Long time ago, the Sacramento Kings were based in Cincinnati, and called the Royals; they moved to Kansas City, became the Kings, then later moved to Sacramento.

Wednesday’s quiz
Ben Simmons played his one year of college basketball at LSU.

*****************************

Friday’s List of 13: Random facts on a fall Friday

13) Thru seven weeks, NFL teams are 35-59 (59.3%) on 2-point conversions.

12) Kerryon Johnson ran for 158 yards Sunday for the Lions, the best day for a Detroit RB in seven years; Lions drafted Johnson with a pick they got from New England on draft day- the pick was originally the 49ers’ pick, but San Francisco traded that pick to New England in the Jimmy Garoppolo deal.

Funny how the Patriots trading Garoppolo wound up benefitting Detroit.

11) Ravens have allowed only one TD on the opening drive of a half this year, and that came on a 6-yard drive by Denver after a blocked punt. In their last four games, Baltimore has forced three turnovers on their opponents’ first drive of the game.

10) Last year, the Eagles converted 51.4% of 3rd down plays in the red zone, which was the 3rd best %age in the NFL. This year they are at 21.1%, ranking second-last in the NFL.

9) Dallas traded for WR Omari Cooper because their offense needs a jolt; in their seven games this season, Cowboys have gone 3/out on their first drive five times. Maybe Cooper can make their offense more explosive, allow them to get off to better starts.

8) In Buffalo Bills’ last four games: they were outscored 56-7 in first half. Bills had the ball 42 times in those games; they scored two TD’s, turned ball over 12 times.

7) Atlanta Falcons converted 32 of their last 55 third down plays.

6) 54 teams have led a World Series 2-0; 43 of them went on to win that World Series.

5) Best ppp in red zone this season:
Seattle 5.73 (15 drives), Baltimore 5.65 (26 drives), Kansas City 5.61 (33 drives)

4) Best ppp on drives that started 75+ yards from end zone:
Kansas City 3.05, New Orleans 2.86, Atlanta 2.72

3) Thru first nine days of the NBA season, home favorites were 24-20 vs spread, home underdogs 14-5.

Teams playing 2nd consecutive night are 9-5 vs spread; 3-3 when favored, 6-2 as dogs. 10 of those 14 games went over the total.

2) Cleveland Browns have played four OT games already this season; only one of their seven games was decided by more than four points. How many games does Hue Jackson have to win to keep his job?

NFL teams with a +2 or better turnover margin are 36-3-1 this season; Cleveland is 1-1-1, and everyone else is 35-2.

1) Since 2012, Denver Broncos have drafted five quarterbacks; none of those five guys is still on the Broncos.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-26-2018, 12:39 AM

College Football Best Bets For October

Date w-l-t % units record (ALL PLAYS BEST BETS AND OPINIONS )

10/25/2018 5-5-0 50.00% -2.50
10/23/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
10/20/2018 25-35-1 41.67% -67.50
10/19/2018 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
10/18/2018 0-4-0 0.00% -22.00
10/13/2018 23-39-1 37.10% -99.50
10/12/2018 5-1-0 83.33% +19.50
10/11/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
10/09/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
10/06/2018 32-39-0 45.07% -54.50
10/05/2018 1-5-0 16.66% -22.50
10/04/2018 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00

Totals............101-134-0........42.97%.....-232.00

best bets................. ats ...............units................ o/u...............units...............days total

10/25/2018............1 - 2...............-6.00...............3 - 1................+9.50..............+3.50
10/23/2018............1 -0...............+5.00...............1 - 0...............+5.00..............+10.00
10/20/2018............8 - 9...............-9.50...............6 - 5................-2.50...............-12.00
10/19/2018............1 - 1...............-0.50..............2 - 0...............+10.00.............+9.50
10/18/2018............0 - 2..............-11.00..............0 - 2...............-11.00..............-22.00
10/13/2018...........12 - 15............-22.50..............5 - 9...............-24.50..............-47.00
10/12/2018............3 -0................+15.00............2 - 1...............+5.50...............+20.50
10/11/2018............0 - 2................-11.00............1 - 1................-0.50................-11.50
10/09/2018............0 - 1................-5.50..............0 - 1................-5.50................-11.00
10/06/2018............6 - 18..............-49.50.............8 - 6...............+7.00...............-42.50
10/05/2018............0 - 3...............-16.50..............1 - 2..............-6.00.................-22.50
10/04/2018............2 - 0...............+10.00.............2 - 0..............+10.00..............+20.00

Totals..................34 - 53.............-102.50............31 - 28............-3.00...............-105.50

**StarDust Bum** · 10-26-2018, 12:46 AM

Friday, October 26

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MIAMI (5 - 2) at BOSTON COLLEGE (5 - 2) - 10/26/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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INDIANA (4 - 4) at MINNESOTA (3 - 4) - 10/26/2018, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UTAH (5 - 2) at UCLA (2 - 5) - 10/26/2018, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 120-87 ATS (+24.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WYOMING (2 - 6) at COLORADO ST (3 - 5) - 10/26/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOUISIANA TECH (5 - 2) at FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 4) - 10/26/2018, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, October 26

Louisiana Tech @ Florida Atlantic
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road

Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Florida Atlantic is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games

Miami-FL @ Boston College
Miami-FL
Miami-FL is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston College
Miami-FL is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Boston College

Boston College
Boston College is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games when playing Miami-FL

Indiana @ Minnesota
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indiana's last 15 games on the road

Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

Wyoming @ Colorado State
Wyoming
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wyoming's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wyoming's last 5 games

Colorado State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State's last 7 games

Utah @ California-Los Angeles
Utah
Utah is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Utah is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road

California-Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California-Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing Utah
California-Los Angeles is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games

------------------------------

Friday, October 26

Miami-FL @ Boston College

Game 115-116
October 26, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami-FL
96.831
Boston College
95.195
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-FL
by 1 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 3 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston College
(+3 1/2); Under

Indiana @ Minnesota

Game 117-118
October 26, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
82.033
Minnesota
84.442
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 2 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+2 1/2); Over

Utah @ UCLA

Game 119-120
October 26, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
99.042
UCLA
91.229
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 8
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 10 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UCLA
(+10 1/2); Over

Wyoming @ Colorado State

Game 121-122
October 26, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wyoming
77.950
Colorado State
69.976
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wyoming
by 8
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado State
by 2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Wyoming
(+2); Over

Louisiana Tech @ Florida Atlantic

Game 131-132
October 26, 2018 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisiana Tech
79.026
Florida Atlantic
78.408
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 1
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 3 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Louisiana Tech
(+3 1/2); Over

--------------------------------------

Friday’s games

Miami had won four I-A games in row before a 16-13 loss at Virginia; ‘canes were held under 150 RY in last two games, after running for 239+ yards in previous four games. Under Richt, Miami is 7-4 as road favorites. Boston College was held to 13-23 points in its losses; they scored 38+ in their wins. Eagles are 7-8 as home dogs under Addazio, 3-1 in last four tries. Underdogs covered three of last four Miami-BC games; teams haven’t met since ’12. ACC home underdogs are 6-4 vs spread. Four of six Miami games went over total; over is 5-2 in Eagle games.

Minnesota lost its last four games, allowing 43.3 ppg; Gophers gave up 383 YR to a winless Nebraska team LW, and lost 53-28- they’re 7-4 in last 11 games as home underdogs. Indiana lost last three games, giving up 41.3 ppg; they had Penn St by throat LW but lost 33-28. Under Allen, Hoosiers are 2-3 as road faves. Minnesota won three of last four games with Indiana, winning 16-7/63-26 in last two meetings played here- teams last met in ’13. Big 14 home underdogs are 6-9 vs spread. Three of last four Minnesota games, four of last five Indiana games went over.

UCLA scored 37-31 points in winning its last two games after an 0-5 start; since ’15, Bruins are 1-5 as home underdogs, 1-1 this year. UCLA allowed 462 TY in three of its last four games. Utah scored 40-42-41 points in winning its last three games; Utes are 4-3-1 in last eight games as a road favorite, 0-1-1 this year- they gained 1.036 TY in beating Arizona/USC last couple weeks. Road team won four of last five Utah-UCLA games; Utes won 52-45/30-28 in last two visits to the Rose Bowl. Underdogs are 3-2 vs spread in last five series games.

Wyoming lost its last six I-A games, scoring 13 ppg; they only beat I-AA Wofford 17-14. Cowboys threw for total of only 294 yards in last three games- they’re 0-3 as road underdogs this year, after being 11-7 the previous four years. Cowboys beat Colorado State 16-13/38-17 the last two years, but Josh Allen is in the NFL now; underdogs covered four of last five series games. CSU won two of its last three games after a 1-4 start; Rams are 1-5 in last six games as home favorites. Mountain West home favorites are 6-7 vs spread this season.

Florida Atlantic (-4) won 48-23 at Louisiana Tech LY, despite being outgained 512-415. FAU lost three of its last four games overall; under Kiffin, they’re 7-2 as home favorites. Owls allowed 200+ RY in four of seven games this year. Tech won three of its last four games; they’re 12-5 vs spread in their last 17 road games. Bulldogs scored 29+ points in all five of their wins, were held to 21-7 in their losses. C-USA home favorites are 5-11 vs spread this year.

--------------------------------

Friday, Oct. 26

MIAMI-FLA. at BOSTON COLLEGE...Richt on 3-8 spread skid since late 2017. Miami 1-6 vs. spread last seven away from home. Addazio 18-12-1 as dog since 2014, 8-2 vs. spread last 10 at Chestnut Hill.
Boston College, based on team trends.

INDIANA at MINNESOTA...Fleck just 3-9-1 vs. spread in Big Ten games since LY for Gophers. Minny also just 3-8 vs. points last 11 Big Ten home games.
Slight to Indiana, based on team trends.

UTAH at UCLA... Whittingham 5-2 vs. line vs. UCLA since Utes entered Pac-12 in 2011. Bruins 6-13 last 19 vs. line at home (1-3 for Chip). Utes 7-2 vs. spread last nine on Pac-12 road.
Utah, based on team and series trends.

WYOMING at COLORADO STATE...Border war! Bohl 2-8 vs. spread last ten games without Josh Allen. Though Wyo has beaten CSU last two years (both with Allen).
Slight to Colorado State, based on recent trends.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-26-2018, 12:47 AM

Friday's Tip Sheet
Brian Edwards

**Miami at Boston College**

-- Both teams have had two weeks to prepare for this ACC showdown. As of Thursday morning, most betting shops had Miami (5-2 straight up, 3-4 against the spread) installed as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 49.5. The Eagles were +145 on the money line (risk $100 to win $145).

-- Boston College (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS) is undefeated in four home games with a 3-1 spread record. The Eagles have beaten UMass (55-21), Holy Cross (62-14), Temple (45-35) and Louisville (38-20), with the lone non-cover coming against the Owls as 13-point home ‘chalk.’ They took the cash as 11-point home favorites vs. U of L last week, as the 58 combined points inched ‘over’ the 56.5-point total. With just a 24-20 advantage early in the fourth quarter, BC’s David Bailey scored on a one-yard touchdown run. Then with 3:34 remaining, Jeff Smith’s five-yard dash into the end zone gave BC the spread cover and allowed ‘over’ backers to rejoice. The Eagles had a 20-15 edge over the Cardinals in first downs and a 430-217 advantage in total offense. Anthony Brown completed 16-of-22 passes for 179 yards and one TD without an interception. Bailey rushed for 112 yards and one TD on 28 carries, while Ben Glines ran 17 times for 107 yards and one score.

-- BC star sophomore RB A.J. Dillon is ‘probable’ and set to return Friday night after missing back-to-back games with a sprained ankle. Dillon, a first-team All-ACC selection as a freshman in 2017 when he ran for 1,589 yards and 14 TDs, has rushed for 652 yards and six TDs with a 6.2 yards-per-carry average.

-- Boston College owns a 7-8 spread record in 15 games as a home underdog during Steve Addazio’s six-year tenure.

-- Brown, a third-year sophomore QB, has completed 58.7 percent of his throws for 1,238 yards with a 14/4 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Sophomore WR Kobay White has 15 receptions for 265 yards and three TDs, while Smith has 14 catches for 255 yards and three TDs.

-- Miami saw its five-game winning streak snapped in a 16-13 loss at Virginia as a seven-point road favorite on Oct. 13. Redshirt freshman QB N’Kosi Perry threw two first-half interceptions and was yanked in favor of senior QB Malik Rosier, who connected on 12-of-23 passes for 170 yards with one interception. Rosier ran for an 11-yard TD with 3:04 remaining to slice the deficit to three, but it was too little and too late for the Hurricanes. Travis Homer rushed for 95 yards on eight carries and made three catches for 50 yards. Trajan Bandy had a pair of interceptions for UM in the losing effort.

-- Mark Richt has decided to go back to Rosier as his starting QB in what seems to be an odd decision. Rosier has completed 52.1 percent of his passes for 781 yards with a 5/3 TD-INT ratio. However, he has just one TD pass compared to three picks in the two games he’s played in against Power Five opponents. Perry has a 56.2 completion percentage for 666 passing yards with an 11/5 TD-INT ratio. He had four TD passes without an interception to rally Miami to a 28-27 home win over FSU on Oct. 6.

-- Homer, a second-team All-ACC honoree in 2017, has rushed for a team-high 529 yards and one TD while averaging 5.8 YPC. He also has six catches for 68 yards. RB Deejay Dallas has 393 rushing yards, two TDs and a 5.8 YPC average. True freshman Lorenzo Lingard, the prize jewel of Richt’s most recent recruiting class, has run for 136 yards and two TDs with an 8.0 YPC average. However, Lingard injured his knee earlier this week and is ‘out’ indefinitely.

-- Jeff Thomas has emerged as UM’s top wideout, catching 17 balls for 401 yards and three TDs. Lawrence Cager has 15 receptions for 265 yards and six TDs, while Brevin Jordan has 18 grabs for 208 yards and four TDs.

-- Miami has compiled a 7-4 spread record as a road favorite on Richt’s watch since he took the job in 2016.

-- The ‘over’ is 5-2 overall for BC, 4-0 in its home games. The Eagles have seen their games average combined scores of 65.6 points per game.

-- The ‘over’ is 5-2 overall for the ‘Canes, 1-1 in their road assignments. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 55.6 PPG.

-- These former Big East rivals haven’t squared off since 2012. UM owns a 24-5 lead in the all-time series, including a 41-32 victory as a two-point road favorite in 2012. Going back to 2001, the ‘under’ is on a 5-1 run in the past six games in this rivalry.

-- Kickoff from Alumni Stadium in Chestnut Hill is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN. According to weather.com, the forecast is for cloudy skies with showers later at night. Winds are expected to be at around 10 miles per hour with temperatures in the upper 30s.

**Utah at UCLA**

-- As of Thursday morning, most books had Utah (5-2 straight up, 4-3 against the spread) listed as a 10.5-point favorite with a total of 54.5. The Bruins were +320 on the money line (risk $100 to win $320). The forecast is for perfect football weather – clear skies, light wind and a low temperature in the mid-60s.

-- Utah has won three consecutive games both SU and ATS to take over first place in the Pac-12 South with a 3-2 record in league play. USC is also 3-2 in conference action, but the Utes own the tiebreaker over the Trojans after beating them 41-28 as 6.5-point home ‘chalk’ last week. Junior QB Tyler Huntley balled out with 22 completions on 29 throws for 341 passing yards and four TDs without an interception. Huntley also ran for 33 yards and one TD. Zack Moss ran 25 times for 136 yards, and WR Britain Covey had four receptions for 79 yards and one TD.

-- Kyle Whittingham’s squad is 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS in three road outings to date. The Utes have failed to cover the number in a pair of games as road favorites this year. They won 17-6 at No. Illinois but needed a late pick-six to seal the game and didn’t cover as 12.5-point ‘chalk.’ As a 1.5-point road favorite at Washington State, Utah lost by a 28-24 count.

-- Huntley has completed 65.5 percent of his passes for 1,536 yards with an 11/3 TD-INT ratio. He has rushed for 240 yards and four TDs as well. Moss has run for a team-best 753 yards and seven TDs while averaging 5.6 YPC. He also has six catches for 36 yards and one TD. Covey has a team-best 42 receptions for 458 yards and one TD, in addition to rushing for 88 yards on nine attempts. He’s also completed 2-of-2 passes for 64 yards and one TD. Covey is ranked 10th in the Pac-12 in all-purpose yards with 677.

-- Utah’s defense is led by senior LB Chase Hansen, who has 63 tackles, 10 tackles for loss, four sacks, one QB hurry and two interceptions for 40 return yards and one TD. The Utes are ranked seventh in the nation in total defense, No. 1 at defending the run and 16th in scoring ‘D’ (17.7 PPG).

-- UCLA (2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS) got off to an atrocious 0-5 start to begin The Chip Kelly Era, only to respond with back-to-back victories at California (37-7) and vs. Arizona (31-30). Junior RB Joshua Kelley rushed 31 times for 136 yards and one TD, and he also had four catches for 43 yards in last week’s triumph over the Wildcats, who took the cash as 10-point road underdogs. Wilton Speight, the grad transfer QB from Michigan, hit on 17-of-27 pass attempts for 204 yards and two TDs without an interception. Theo Howard had three receptions for 84 yards, while Caleb Wilson had six catches for 82 yards.

-- UCLA has lost three of its four home games both SU and ATS. The Bruins have tasted defeat vs. Cincinnati (26-17), vs. Fresno State (38-14) and vs. Washington (31-24). Their lone spread cover came as 21-point home underdogs vs. the Huskies.

-- UCLA true freshman QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson left last week’s game due to an arm injury, but he’s been upgraded to ‘probable’ vs. Utah. Thompson-Robinson has a 60.2 completion percentage, 1,176 passing yards with a 6/3 TD-INT ratio. Speight will be ready if needed. He has completed 64.1 percent of his throws for 249 yards with a 2/1 TD-INT ratio.

-- Junior RB Joshua Kelley has emerged as the Bruins’ featured back, rushing for 569 yards and five TDs while averaging 5.5 YPC. Wilson has a team-best 29 receptions for 417 yards and one TD, and Howard has 28 grabs for 371 yards and two TDs. Kelley also has 15 catches for 119 yards.

-- This Pac-12 South rivalry has seen Utah prevail in back-to-back meetings and three of the past four both SU and ATS. The ‘under’ cashed in five consecutive encounters from 2011-15, but the ‘over’ has been a winner the past two games. Utah destroyed UCLA 48-17 as a 9.5-point home favorite last year, with the 65 combined points jumping ‘over’ the 53.5-point tally. Huntley threw for 234 yards and four TDs without an interception, and he rushed 18 times for 93 yards. Moss produced 153 rushing yards and two TDs on 23 attempts.

-- Utah won 52-45 at UCLA as a 3.5-point road underdog in 2016. Both teams scored enough points on their own to get ‘over’ the 42.5-point total.

-- The ‘over’ is 4-3 overall for Utah, 2-1 in its road contests. The Utes have watched their games average combined scores of 48.0 PPG.

-- The ‘over’ is 4-3 overall for the Bruins, 3-1 in their home outings. They’ve seen their games play to average combined scores of 54.1 PPG.

-- Kickoff is slated for 10:30 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- If you don’t follow me on Twitter or listen to my Games Galore podcast (feel free to subscribe on i-tunes and those other various pod platforms) or catch me on radio shows as a weekly guest with Chris Vernon (Fridays in Memphis), Sharp & Benning (1620 The Zone in Omaha on Thursday’s at 11:40 a.m. Eastern) or Qualk & Kelly (on The Roar in Clemson), then perhaps you haven’t heard of my recent guarantee? I’ve been suggesting it since the presser announcing the Ohio State head football coach’s three-game suspension, but it’s now been upgraded to GUARANTEE status: Oscar Liar will quit (or perhaps even get fired or agree to some sort of buyout) by Jan. 15 of 2019 at the absolute latest. Trust me, folks! When times get tough, Oscar gets gone. You will see soon…

-- BetOnline.ag has Alabama as the -175 favorite to win the College Football Playoff. If you want the field (any other team), you can get a +145 return. It’s October still, people, and the Crimson Tide is nearly a -200 ‘chalk’ to repeat as national champs. That’s utterly ridiculous, but more than fair. Look, we know we’ve got to let the games play out. Shit happens during a football season. Stuff like injuries, suspensions, chemistry issues, friction between coaching staff members, etc. But the only type of shit that’s going to prevent Nick Saban’s team from winning the CFP is a slew of injuries to at least four starters and one of them must include the Heisman Trophy favorite, sophomore QB Tua Tagovailoa. Otherwise, the Tide is just going to keep on rolling and remember, Tagovailoa is back next year, too. Holy Yikes!

-- Tagovailoa is the -300 ‘chalk’ to win the Heisman at BetOnline.ag. The next-shortest odds belong to Oklahoma’s Kyler Murray (+325), Ohio State’s Dwayne Haskins (6/1), PSU’s Trace McSorley (14/1), WVU’s Will Grier (18/1), UCF’s McKenzie Milton (20/1), Kentucky’s Benny Snell (50/1), Wisconsin’s Jonathan Taylor (50/1) and Oregon’s Justin Herbert (66/1).

-- FAU is a 3.5-point home favorite for Friday’s C-USA matchup vs. La. Tech in Boca Raton. Owls’ starting QB Chris Robison is ‘questionable’ with an ankle injury. Robison has been mediocre this season, anyway, throwing eight TD passes compared to 10 interceptions. He’s run for 183 yards and a pair of scores. Senior safety Jalen Young is also a question mark due to a knee injury. Young was a first-team All-CUSA pick in 2017 when he had 77 tackles and seven interceptions. La. Tech is 3-1 both SU and ATS in four road assignments, with the lone outright defeat coming at LSU. The CBS Sports College Network will have the telecast at 6:30 p.m. Eastern.

-- On FS1 at 8:00 p.m. Eastern on Friday, Minnesota (3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS) will play host to Indiana (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS) as a 2.5-point home underdog. The total was 54 late Thursday. Since starting P.J. Fleck’s second campaign with the Gophers 3-0 both SU and ATS, they’ve lost four games in a row against Big Ten competition by margins of 25, 16, 17 and 29 points.

-- 5Dimes.eu has updated some of its Games of the Year lines. Some examples include Texas -3 vs. WVU, Michigan -8.5 vs. PSU, PSU -7 vs. Wisconsin, Ohio State -2.5 vs. Michigan and Notre Dame -7.5 vs. USC.

-- You think TCU (3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS) head coach Gary Patterson was tired of KeVontae Turpin’s nonsense? When Patterson dismissed him from the program earlier this week after learning about an arrest this past Sunday and another one back in March, he told reporters that he hadn’t even informed Turpin yet but that the senior WR and special-teams ace could find out on Twitter. Turpin had 29 receptions for 410 yards and three TDs. He also returned a punt and a kickoff back for a TD. The Horned Frogs have also lost QB Shawn Robinson to a season-ending injury. Robinson (60.6%) has thrown for 1,326 yards with a mediocre 9/8 TD-INT ratio. Sophomore signal caller Michael Collins will get the starting nod at Kansas. Collins has completed only 13-of-31 throws (41.9%) for 247 yards with a 3/1 TD-INT ratio.

-- Michigan State lost its best WR Felton Davis to a season-ending Achilles injury in last week’s home loss to Michigan. Davis was a second-team All-B10 selection last year when he had 55 receptions for 776 yards and nine TDs. The senior, who has played his last down for the Spartans, had 31 catches for 474 yards and four TDs in seven games this season. Also, QB Brian Lewerke is ‘questionable’ with a shoulder injury (at least as of early Thursday) for this week’s home game vs. Purdue. The Boilermakers have won four games in a row and won over the hearts of America by not only destroying Ohio State, but introducing us to its inspiring fan Tyler Trent, who is courageously battling cancer like the incredible fighter that he is.

-- Wisconsin has been one of the nation’s biggest disappointments, yet it still controls its own destiny to win the Big Ten West. The Badgers might not have three-year starting QB Alex Hornibrook on Saturday at Northwestern, though. Hornibrook (11/6 TD-INT) is ‘questionable’ and in concussion protocol.

-- UMass QB Andrew Ford has been downgraded to ‘doubtful’ at UConn due to a leg injury. Ford, who has thrown for 1,340 yards with a 9/5 TD-INT ratio, had a 22/4 TD-INT ratio last season.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-26-2018, 12:48 PM

ACC Report - Week 9
October 24, 2018
By Joe Williams

2018 ACC STANDINGS

ATLANTIC DIVISION
Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Boston College 5-2 2-1 5-2 5-2
Clemson 7-0 4-0 3-4 3-4
Florida State 4-3 2-3 3-4 4-3
Louisville 2-5 0-4 1-6 4-3
North Carolina State 5-1 2-1 3-3 2-4
Syracuse 5-2 2-2 4-2-1 4-3
Wake Forest 3-4 0-3 1-6 5-2

COASTAL DIVISION
Duke 5-2 1-2 4-3 3-4
Georgia Tech 3-4 1-3 2-5 4-3
Miami-Florida 5-2 2-1 3-4 5-2
North Carolina 1-5 1-3 3-2-1 4-2
Pittsburgh 3-4 2-1 3-4 3-4
Virginia 5-2 3-1 6-1 3-4
Virginia Tech 4-2 3-0 3-3 3-3

Miami (Florida) at Boston College (Fri. - ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)
The Hurricanes were flattened by Virginia last time they hit the road, and they have had two weeks to stew about it due to a bye. They'll hit the road again, playing a tough Boston College team in their place. QB Malik Rosier is back under center after a demotion, and he will be looking to turn things around. Miami is just 1-5 ATS in the past six on the road, 1-5 ATS in their past six league games and 1-6 ATS in the past seven against teams with a winning overall record while going 3-8 ATS in the past 11 overall. Meanwhile, B.C. loves the crisp, cool air of fall, going 7-0 ATS in their past seven games in October. They're also 7-1-1 ATS in the past nine against winning teams, 13-3-1 ATS in the past 17 games overall and 6-2-1 ATS in their past nine at home while posting a whopping 10-1-1 ATS mark in the past 12 inside the conference.

Clemson at Florida State (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Tigers steamrolled N.C. State at home in a battle of the last ACC unbeatens, and now they set their sights on the normally hostile environment of Tallahassee. FSU is a wounded animal, and having a down year - or really, a transition year - as they Willie Taggart gets everyone on the same page. They're starting to show signs of life, whipping up on Wake Forest last week after a near-miss at Miami two weeks prior. They're 3-1 ATS over their past four overall, too, after opening 0-3 ATS.

Clemson enters 5-1 ATS over their past six games inside the league, and they're 9-4 ATS in the past 13 meetings with FSU. However, the home side is 14-6 ATS in the past 20 meetings overall in this series. FSU is 5-2 ATS in their past seven in Tallahassee, but just 2-6-2 ATS in the past 10 against winning sides and 2-9-2 ATS in their past 13 games inside the conference. Total bettors might be tempted by the over. While the under is 8-3-1 in Clemson's past 12 ACC games, the over is 4-1 in their past five true road games. And the over is 4-1-1 in FSU's past six against winning teams. The over is also 7-2 in the past seven meetings at Doak Walker Stadium, while going 9-4-1 in the past 14 meetings overall in this series.

Wake Forest at Louisville (ACC Network, 12:00 p.m.)
It's hard to believer we're about to flip the calendar to November and both Wake and the 'Ville are still searching for their first conference victory. Someone is going to head into November winless in the ACC. The Cardinals enter this game as a slight favorite, likely because Wake is 1-8 ATS in their past nine overall and 0-4 ATS in the past four against league opponents. Louisville isn't much better, though, cashing just twice in the past seven against losing teams and seven times in the past 26 overall. They're also just 3-10 ATS in the past 13 at home. While the under is 4-1 in the past five meetings in this series, the over is the dominant trend lately for both sides. The over is 5-1 in Wake's past six, and 16-7 in Louisville's past 23 inside the league while going a perfect 5-0 in their past five games in the month of October.

North Carolina at Virginia (ACC Network, 12:20 p.m.)
UNC continues to experience near-misses, falling short in overtime at Syracuse. The Tar Heels have covered two in a row, but they have lost those games. They're 1-5 SU, but the past two losses have been by three points each. They could very well by 3-3 if things broke another way, ever so slightly. They won't be a tough out for Virginia, who is looking to stay alive for the Coastal Division championship and their first-ever appearance in the ACC Championship. To realize those dreams, they need to win out in league and can't slip up against UNC. The Tar Heels are 6-1 ATS in the past seven league games, while going 7-2-1 ATS in the past 10 overall. The Hoos are 4-0 ATS in their past four at home, and 6-1 ATS in the past seven overall. UNC has rolled in this series in the recent past, going 4-0 ATS in the past four in Charlottesville, and 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings overall.

Duke at Pittsburgh (ACC Network, 3:30 p.m.)
The Blue Devils have been a hard team to figure out. They have won on the road, going 3-0 SU/ATS, and they're just 2-2 SU/1-3 ATS at home. Those two losses came against teams from the state of Virginia, too, so maybe they're easy to figure out. Duke is a perfect 5-0 ATS in their past five on the road, while going 14-6-1 ATS in the past 21 against losing teams. They're also 7-3 ATS in the past 10 overall. For Pittsburgh, they love the fall, going 4-0 ATS in their past four in the month of October. They're also 6-2 ATS in the past eight against winning teams, but just 8-17 ATS in the past 25 at home. The 'under' is the trend for both teams lately, going 5-0 in Duke's past five against losing teams and 7-2 in their past nine on the road. The under is also 13-5 in their past 18 overall, and 27-11 in the past 38 inside the ACC. The under is 14-5-1 in Pitt's past 20, and 8-3 in their past 11 inside the league.

North Carolina State at Syracuse (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m.)
Who would've thought the marquee game of the ACC weekend would be N.C. State-'Cuse, but that's what we're getting and it's gonna be a good one. Dave Doeren's Wolfpack got licked at Clemson last week, but they're still a decent 7-3-1 ATS in the past 11 road games. Syracuse is 8-3 ATS in its past 11 against winning sides, but just 2-5 ATS in the past seven inside the conference. Total bettors might like the 'under' in this one. The under is 12-4 in the Wolfpack's past 16 overall, and 6-2 in their past eight on the road. The under is also 20-8 in the past 28 conference tilts for N.C. State. For Syracuse, the under is 11-3-1 in their past 15 at home, and 5-1 in their past six following a straight-up win. The under is also 15-5-1 in their past 21 inside the ACC, and 12-4-1 in their past 17 against winning sides.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-26-2018, 12:50 PM

Big 12 Report - Week 9
October 25, 2018
By Joe Williams

2018 BIG 12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Baylor 4-3 2-2 2-4-1 5-2
Iowa State 3-3 2-2 4-2 2-4
Kansas 2-5 0-4 3-4 3-4
Kansas State 3-4 1-3 4-3 2-5
Oklahoma 6-1 3-1 3-4 6-1
Oklahoma State 4-3 1-3 3-4 4-3
Texas 6-1 4-0 3-4 3-4
Texas Christian 3-4 1-3 2-5 3-4
Texas Tech 5-2 3-1 5-2 5-2
West Virginia 5-1 3-1 4-2 2-4

Texas Tech at Iowa State (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m.)
The Red Raiders head to Ames, a dangerous place, regardless of Iowa State's overall record. Just ask West Virginia. Texas Tech enters the weekend 5-1 ATS over the past six outings, and 4-1 ATS in their past five league contests. In addition, they're 4-1 ATS in the past five on the road. Iowa State has managed a 5-1 ATS mark in their past six at home, and a 22-6-1 ATS record across the past 29 outings. They're also 21-6-1 ATS in the past 28 inside the conference, and 15-5-1 ATS across the past 21 against tems with a winning overall record.

Texas Christian at Kansas (FOX Sports 1, 3:00 p.m.)
TCU was a ranked team earlier in the year, but they have fallen on hard times and now are simply fighting for bowl eligibility. They cannot slip up against a doormat like Kansas, can they? The Horned Frogs have really struggled against the number, going just 3-7 ATS in the past 10 against losing teams, 0-4 ATS in the past four overall and 0-6 ATS across the past six conference outings. The Jayhawks have posted a 1-4 ATS record in the past five conference tilts, but they're 4-1 ATS in the past five against teams with a losing record. The under has dominated this series, going 5-1 in the past six meetings. TCU is 14-3 across the past 17 road outings, and 20-6 in the past 26 inside the league. For Kansas, the under is 15-5 in their past 20 against teams with a losing overall mark.

Kansas State at Oklahoma (FOX, 3:30 p.m.)
The Wildcats have really struggled offensively, and they're one game below .500 heading into hostile territory. If they're going to secure bowl eligibility they're going to need to start ticking off wins. They're more than a three-touchdown underdog in this one, and not expected to go home with a 'W'. K-State is 4-1 ATS in their past five road outings, and 4-1 ATS in the past five overall. They're also 20-8-1 ATS in the past 29 road games aginst a team with a winning home record, too. Oklahoma is 13-5 ATS in the past 18 at home, while cashing in seven of their past 10 inside the conference. However, they have had trouble getting up for lower-echelon teams, going 0-5 ATS in the past five against teams with a losing record. In this series, K-State is 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine trips to Norman, while the road team is 7-2 ATS in the past nine in the series. The 'over' has connected in eight of the past 10 in this series, too.

Texas at Oklahoma State (ABC, 8:00 p.m.)
The Longhorns roll into Stillwater looking to continue proving that they're back. The Cowboys are skidding hard and looking to avoid a setback which would drop them to .500. They money has been coming in on Texas, pushing the line from -1 1/2 to -3 1/2. The Longhorns have posted an 11-4-1 ATS mark in their past 16 against teams with a winning record, and 5-2 ATS in the past seven road outings against a team with a winning home mark. OK State is coming off a bye, and they have been good on rest. They're 4-1 ATS in the past five following a bye week, but they're just 2-6 ATS in the past eight conference outings. The Longhorns have dominated this series lately, going 4-1 ATS in the past five trips to Stillwater, while the road team is 9-2 ATS in the past 11 in the series. The favorite is also 8-1 ATS in the past nine meetings.

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