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Thursday's Tip Sheet

September 23, 2014


The Thursday night college football schedule features three games this week highlighted by key matchups in the Big XII and Pac-12. Texas Tech and Oklahoma State face off in an opening conference game for both teams after 2-1 starts to the season and this will be a key game in the conference pecking order for two programs expected to slide a bit downward this season despite great success in the last decade.

Matchup: Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys
Venue: Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, Oklahoma
Date: Thursday, September 25, 2014
Time/TV: 7:30 PM ET - ESPN
Line: Oklahoma State -14
Last Meeting: 2013, Oklahoma State (PK) 52-34 at Texas Tech

Both teams were ranked in the top 18 of the polls last season when Oklahoma State visited the then 7-1 Red Raiders last season. Texas Tech had just suffered its first loss of the season to Oklahoma in a tight game and Oklahoma State stormed out to a 21-0 lead before Texas Tech crept within four by halftime with the help of a defensive touchdown. Ultimately the balanced offense for Oklahoma State was too much as the Cowboys pulled away in a game where Texas Tech had more yards.

That loss wound up being the second of five straight losses to close the regular season for Texas Tech after a 7-0 start but the Red Raiders did get a redeeming Holiday Bowl win over Arizona State. Oklahoma State wound up with a 10-2 regular season but they surrendered the Big XII title and a possible BCS bowl spot losing to Oklahoma in the season finale and then wound up losing to Missouri in the Cotton Bowl. With the season opening loss to Florida State this year it marked the first time since Mike Gundy’s first season in 2005 that the program had lost three consecutive games.

With very few starters back from last season’s team most have projected a fall for Oklahoma State this season and the Cowboys were a heavy underdog in the opening week game with Florida State in Arlington. Oklahoma State lost but earned a lot of respect in the defeat, taking the defending national champions down to the wire in a 37-31 game, rallying back from an early 17-0 deficit. Oklahoma State responded with wins in the next two weeks, although the 40-23 win over FCS Missouri State was not thoroughly impressive. The 43-13 win over Texas San Antonio was much more credible however as the Roadrunners have a strong veteran team that beat Houston and took Arizona to a three-point game in their other contests.

Junior quarterback J.W. Walsh was given a shot to start for the Cowboys last season but he eventually conceded the lead role to Clint Chelf. After a strong opening game this season Walsh unfortunately injured his foot in the game versus Missouri State, leaving junior Daxx Garman in charge of the Cowboys offense. Garman has filled in admirably with 559 passing yards and no interceptions but he is nowhere near the rushing threat that Walsh was and the competition will escalate in Big XII play.

Oklahoma State will face a Texas Tech defense that has allowed nearly 37 points per game this season despite a reasonably favorable schedule. Allowing 49 points against Arkansas is one thing but UTEP posted 26 points and Central Arkansas posted 35 points in narrow wins for the Red Raiders. The defensive staff is in flux right now as defensive coordinator Matt Wallerstedt resigned last week with speculation that the move was related to substance abuse rather than performance. Outside linebackers coach Mike Smith has taken over the defense for the rest of the season under second year head coach Kliff Kingsbury.

Texas Tech still possesses one of the great passing offenses in the nation and sophomore quarterback Davis Webb has thrown for nearly 1,000 yards in three games. He does have four interceptions already this season and he did struggle with less than 55 percent completions in his lone road start this season. The Red Raiders are aiming to be a bit more balanced offensively this season so far rushing for over 170 yards per game after averaging fewer than 120 yards per game on the ground last season.

For both teams the strength of the team and the coaching staff are on offense and both teams returned very few key experienced players on defense this season. Over the last three seasons this matchup has averaged nearly 80 points per game with Oklahoma State now having won and covered in five straight seasons in this series and another higher scoring game seems likely to kick off the college football weekend.

Line Movement: The line opened at -15 before falling to -13 and bouncing back to -14.

Texas Tech Historical Trends: Texas Tech has lost S/U & ATS in five straight meetings in this series while going 1-8 ATS vs. Oklahoma State since 2005. The Red Raiders are 6-13 ATS as a road underdog since 2005 and 4-12 ATS coming off a S/U loss since 2011. The Red Raiders are just 3-6 ATS as a double-digit underdog since 2010.

Oklahoma State Historical Trends: Oklahoma State is 85-62-1 ATS at home since 2002 and 41-18 ATS as a double-digit favorite since 2002. In that span Oklahoma State is impressively 29-10 ATS as a double-digit home favorite. The Cowboys are 4-0 S/U & ATS in the last four home meetings with Texas Tech going back to 2005.

There are two additional Thursday night games this week:

Appalachian State at Georgia Southern 7:30 PM ET (ESPNU)
Line: Georgia Southern -16

These FBS newcomers played regularly as Southern Conference members at the FCS level. Georgia Southern is the heavy favorite this week and this is a team that has made some noise already this season with a 2-2 start including a 28-6 win at South Alabama last week while also giving great scares to both NC State and Georgia Tech in narrow losses.

It is Appalachian State that has won the last three meetings between these programs however, including a 38-14 win last season with the Mountaineers posting 515 yards against the Eagles team that would eventually upset Florida late last season. Appalachian State is 1-2 this season with only a win over lowly FCS Campbell. In the hyped opening game with Michigan the Mountaineers did not compete well and last week with a great opportunity for a win the Mountaineers fell 21-20 against Southern Miss on the road. That was a game where Appalachian State had significant yardage edges and many great scoring opportunities but wound up missing three field goals. Despite the kicking woes the Mountaineers went for the tie upon scoring late and the cowardly move was punished with a blocked extra point to seal the defeat.

Georgia Southern is rushing for 357 yards per game this season, the second best mark nationally at this point in the season and this is even with the loss of running back Jerick McKinnon to the NFL. Appalachian State has been a bit more balanced and last week highly regarded redshirt freshman quarterback Taylor Lamb got his first start and played the full game, leading a productive attack but one that failed to cash in on several opportunities.


UCLA at Arizona State 10:00 PM ET (FOX1)
Line: UCLA -5½

Two undefeated Pac-12 South contenders face off Thursday night in what should be one of the bigger games of the Pac-12 season but injuries have soured the appeal of the game. UCLA quarterback Brett Hundley has been banged up with an elbow issue but is expected to play but senior Arizona State quarterback Taylor Kelly has been ruled out with a foot injury. Kelly had a brilliant season leading the Sun Devils to the division title last season and he will be replaced by senior Mike Bercovici who has played sparingly.

Last season Arizona State won 38-33 at UCLA in a matchup of top 20 teams late in the season in a game that clinched the division title for the Sun Devils. Arizona State had a modest yardage edge but benefitted from a defensive touchdown to build a 35-13 lead at halftime before UCLA made a valiant comeback that fell just short. UCLA opened the season projected as a national title contender but in a 3-0 S/U and 0-3 ATS start the Bruins have had underwhelming offensive numbers. The schedule has featured quality opposition but more was expected of a team with great experience coming off last season’s 10-3 campaign highlighted by blowout wins over USC and Virginia Tech to close the year.

Outside of Kelly the Sun Devils have one of the least experienced teams in the conference but Todd Graham did pull in some quality transfers to boost the squad. Arizona State is 3-0 but the schedule has been weak and the defense has looked vulnerable against questionable competition. UCLA has covered in eight of the last 11 meetings in this series but Arizona State has won S/U in four of the last seven meetings and the Bruins are just 25-37 ATS as a road favorite since 1988.

[StarDust Bum]

UCLA, ASU clash in the desert

September 24, 2014


UCLA BRUINS (3-0) at ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS (3-0)
Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Arizona State -5.5, Total: 59.5

Thursday night will be a huge night in determining the Pac-12 conference, as No. 11 UCLA travels to Tempe to take on No. 15 Arizona State.

Quarterback play is big in any game, but it may be even more important on Thursday night. In a 20-17 victory against Texas on Sept. 13, Bruins star QB Brett Hundley left the game early with an arm injury, but Jerry Neuheisel was able to come in and get the victory for the team. Right now, UCLA has not commented on who will be the starting quarterback in this game.

However, for Arizona State, QB Taylor Kelly will not start after suffering a foot injury. That means junior QB Mike Bercovici will get the start for the Sun Devils. While the Bruins (0-3 ATS) have not been dominant early in the season, winning all three of their games by a combined 18 points, the Sun Devils (1-2 ATS) have done a good job of taking care of business by winning all three of their games by at least 14 points.

This series has been tight since 1992 with ASU holding a 10-9 SU advantage, and UCLA having the 9-8-2 ATS edge. The Sun Devils hold a 5-3 SU edge at home in this timeframe with the clubs splitting the games 4-4 ATS. The past three meetings have been decided by a total of eight points with the Bruins winning 29-28 in 2011 and 45-43 in 2012 before falling at home to ASU last year, 38-33.

This series also has led to a lot of high-scoring games, as 11 of the past 17 meetings have finished Over the total. While UCLA is 49-31 ATS (61%) in September games since 1992, Arizona State's Todd Graham is 9-0 ATS as a home underdog of seven points or less as a college head coach.

Bruins LB Myles Jack (ankle) and Sun Devils DB Ezekiel Bishop (undisclosed) headline the list of players who are questionable for this game.

The Bruins were able to find out they have a quality backup after QB Jerry Neuheisel’s performance against Texas when he completed 23-of-30 passes for 178 yards and two touchdowns. While he showed he can win, going on the road in conference play is much more difficult. If QB Brett Hundley (686 pass yards, 8.5 YPA, 3 TD, 1 INT) is unable to go for the Bruins, they lose a guy at the quarterback position who can make plays with both his arm and his legs (74 rush yards, 1 TD).

If Neuheisel is playing quarterback, that means UCLA will have to get a big performance from RB Paul Perkins (304 rush yards, 4.8 YPC, 2 TD). Perkins also does a nice job of catching the ball out in the flat with nine grabs for 80 yards this season. The air attack of UCLA has been strong this year with 288.0 passing YPG (32nd in nation), but the ground game must continue to improve upon its 159.0 rushing YPG (73rd in FBS). Whoever is playing quarterback will have a talented wide receiver to throw to in Jordan Payton (19 catches, 266 yards, 1 TD). He is a big, athletic receiver that is not scared to go over the middle, and was the target that Neuheisel connected with to win the game with 3:00 remaining versus Texas.

Like the offense, there is a lot of talent on the defensive side of the ball, but this unit has had its struggles as well. The Bruins rank 60th in FBS in points allowed (24.0 PPG), but a big portion of that was given up against Memphis in a 42-35 win on Sept. 6. LB Myles Jack (26 tackles, 2 PD) is one of the elite players in all of the country, but he injured his ankle in the Texas game, and like with Hundley, the Bruins have not said what his status is for Thursday. LB Erik Kendricks (37 tackles, 1 TFL, 1 INT) is the leading tackler on the UCLA defense.

For the Sun Devils, who have the No. 7 scoring offense in the nation (47.0 PPG), adjusting to life without QB Taylor Kelly (625 pass yards, 168 rush yards, 7 total TD) won't be easy. Kelly is similar to Hundley in that he can make plays in all areas of the game.

While QB Mike Bercovici (14-for-24, 112 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT in career) does not have a lot of experience, he does have one of the elite ball carriers in the country on his team in RB D.J. Foster (510 rush yards, 9.4 YPC, 5 TD). Foster is a threat every time he touches the ball, and he can also create a lot of havoc in the screen game as well.

At wide receiver, the Sun Devils have another one of the top FBS players in junior WR Jaelen Strong (19 catches, 266 yards, 2 TD). At 6-foot-3 and 212 pounds, he is a matchup nightmare at the position. He is too big and strong for corners, but ASU can line him in the slot, where he will run away from safeties. For Bercovici being inexperienced, he will look for Strong early and often in this game.

DB Damarious Randall (26 tackles) is the leading tackler on the 38th-ranked scoring defense (20.3 PPG) in the country. Like the Sun Devils offense, the defense is a unit that relies heavily on speed. DB Jordan Simone had an interception in the win against Colorado, and these guys will have to be ready to defend against Payton as one of their mates in the secondary, DB Ezekiel Bishop, may be out due to injury.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF opening line report: Wolfpack a live dog with Seminoles in town

As the first month of the college football season closes, the games get a little bigger each week. And Week 5 gets off to an early start in the Pac-10 Conference, with No. 11 UCLA traveling to Tempe to meet 15th-ranked Arizona State.

The Bruins are off to a 3-0 SU start, but they’ve failed to cover in all three contests as heavy favorites – as 18-point road chalk at Virginia, 22-point home faves to Memphis, and laying 8.5 points two weeks ago against Texas, where they held on for a 20-17 victory.

The Sun Devils are also 3-0 SU (1-2 ATS) but haven’t faced a challenge, laying 45.5, 24 and 15.5 points respectively at home to Weber State and at New Mexico and Colorado.

UCLA quarterback Brett Hundley tweaked his left (non-throwing) elbow against Texas, and coach Jim Mora hasn’t yet disclosed Hundley’s status, so Bookmaker.eu lines manager John Lester said he hasn’t put up a line yet. But he likes ASU.

"The quarterback situation for UCLA is up in the air, which is why this is still off the board,” Lester said. “Arizona State will be playing its backup (Mike Bercovici), who has experience. This feels like a good spot for the Sun Devils.”


Florida State Seminoles (-23) at North Carolina State Wolfpack

The top-ranked Seminoles nearly suffered their first loss since 2012 on Saturday against visiting Clemson. Star-quarterback Jameis Winston sat out with a one-game suspension as his self-induced troubles mounted, and Florida State needed overtime to win 23-17 giving 9.5 points.

The ‘Noles are 3-0 SU but 0-3 ATS, while the Wolfpack are 4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS, but this will be N.C. State’s sternest test by far – its first four games were against Georgia Southern, Old Dominion, South Florida and last Saturday against Presbyterian.

"Well, we know the Seminoles will have their quarterback back, but Winston could be rusty or too eager to prove something,” Lester said. “There is also a bit of a letdown factor to consider after the emotional Clemson win. In my opinion, N.C. State is a live dog here.”


Missouri Tigers at South Carolina Gamecocks (-5.5)

Two teams that can ill-afford any more losses clash in an SEC contest.

Previously unbeaten Mizzou (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) suffered a stunning 31-27 home setback to Indiana as a 14-point favorite. No. 13 South Carolina (3-1 SU, 1-3 ATS), which got clubbed 52-28 by visiting Texas A&M in the season opener, has rebounded to win three straight, including an impressive 38-35 home win over Georgia as 6.5-point home underdogs.

However, the Gamecocks had to work to Saturday to beat Vanderbilt 34-24 as a 23-point road chalk.

"You have to worry about the mental state of this Mizzou squad after the shocking upset Saturday,” Lester said. “South Carolina got a wake-up call against Vandy, so they should be ready for this prime-time matchup.”


Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-12) at Syracuse Orange

The eighth-ranked Irish reached the BCS title game two years ago behind QB Everett Golson, then Golson was lost to academic suspension all of last year.

Now he’s back and looking to keep Notre Dame (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) unbeaten against the Orange (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS).

"We’re expecting a lot of action on the under, so we will be careful when making that number,” Lester said. “The Orange offense looks a bit stagnant right now, and the Irish have had a full week off to prepare for it.”

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF line watch: Grab Arkansas closer to kickoff

Spread to bet now

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Louisville Cardinals (-20.5)

Louisville was featured in this space last week, and the Cardinals warrant the ink again this week. Louisville waxed Florida International 34-3 last Saturday, so they return home with momentum. Louisville opened as 21-point favorites over Wake Forest, so lay the three touchdowns now before the line goes up.

Wake Forest is a team in transition. The Demon Deacons are in their first year under head coach Dave Clawson, and he’s installing his pass-heavy schemes. They’ve been competitive thus far, but they’ve played an extremely weak schedule. Louisville has too much offense, and with head coach Bobby Petrino’s knack for running up scores, bettors should play this game now in order to get the best of the number.


Spread to wait on

Arkansas Razorbacks (+8.5) at Texas A&M Aggies

Texas A&M opened as 10-point home favorites, and the initial money has come in on Arkansas, driving the line down to the current price of 8.5 and 9 in some spots. However, when the recreational bettors get involved later this week, this line is likely to tick upward.

Arkansas is remembered for last year’s miserable 3-9 SU season, so public bettors are reluctant to back the Razorbacks. That will be true in this game against No. 7 Texas A&M who is known for their high-scoring offense. The Aggies have won their four games by a combined score of 221-47 this season, so the betting public will be all over the Aggies as a single digit favorite. Wait this game out, and take Arkansas closer to kick off.


Total to watch

Northwestern Wildcats at Penn State Nittany Lions

Northwestern’s offense has disappointed thus far; the Wildcats have only scored 24, 15, and 24 points in their three games. They’ve played all three of their games at home, and the pressure to perform has been too much. In their first road game, we can expect a looser and more aggressive approach.

Penn State’s defense has been stout so far this season, but the Nittany Lions have played an awful slate of opposing offenses. Penn State’s offense finally broke out with 48 points last week versus Massachusetts after facing strong opposing defenses earlier this month. Northwestern’s defense is poor, so expect another good offensive game from Penn State. The seasonal numbers will skew the oddsmakers total on this game, so it might be set lower than it should be.

[StarDust Bum]

Mid-Major Money: Big profits from NCAAF small conferences

Team to watch: Bowling Green Falcons (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS)

This week: -4.5 at UMass

This line is absolutely on the move for Saturday’s MAC showdown between Bowling Green and Massachusetts. The Falcons opened at least -10 (-12.5 at some), but the line is down to as low as -4.5. Giving no more than a touchdown, now might be the perfect time to jump all over Bowling Green.

Bettors are perhaps scared off by the Falcons after both teams looked similarly poor against the Big Ten last week. Bowling Green got blown out 68-17 at Wisconsin and Massachusetts fell 48-7 at Penn State.

Bowling Green is also without quarterback Matt Johnson, who is done for the year. However, James Knapke has stepped in and has thrown for 795 yards and four touchdowns in three games. Knapke racked up 395 yards and three scores in a win over Indiana, which upset Missouri last week.


Team to beware: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)

This week: +7 at Navy

Don’t be fooled by Western Kentucky’s 19-7 home win over Navy last season. Midshipmen quarterback Keenan Reynolds was knocked out of that game in the second quarter with the visitors ahead 7-3.

Reynolds is good to go for Saturday’s rematch in Annapolis. After attempting only 12 passes in the first two games of 2014, the junior was 12 of 22 for 231 yards and a score as Navy took to the air in a 31-24 loss to Rutgers last week. Reynolds also has five rushing touchdowns in three games this year, including four in his last two.

Western Kentucky will have its hands full against an offense that ranks 15th nationally in third-down conversions, getting the job done more than 52 percent of the time. The Hilltoppers’ defense lost six starters from last season’s team and the unit is currently 116th in the nation overall (508.7 yards per game) and 114th in points allowed (41.0 per game).


Total team: Fresno State Bulldogs (1-3 SU, 4-0 O/U)

This week: at New Mexico

Fresno State head coach Tim DeRuyter said people will “probably figure it out” when it comes to who will start at quarterback against New Mexico Friday. That inevitably means the job is going to Brian Burrell, who played approximately two quarters and completed 13 of 20 passes for 145 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception last weekend.

On the other side of the ball, Fresno State safety Derron Smith said this is a game he does not look forward to, going up against New Mexico’s option offense. Smith admitted the defense has not been disciplined this season and it is “definitely going to be a struggle.”

The Over is 4-0-1 in the Bulldogs’ last five overall and 3-0-1 in their last four home games. The Over is 6-1 in the Lobos’ last seven at home and 5-1 in their last six Mountain West contests.

[StarDust Bum]

Four live NCAAF long shots that smell blood in the water

There’s blood in the water when it comes to many college football conferences, with perineal favorites falling off the pace and surprise contenders emerging as conference competition heats up.

Here are four mid-tier teams off to strong starts, who could stun the NCAAF world – and sportsbooks – if they continue to climb the standings:

Duke Blue Devils (4-0 SU, 2-1-1 ATS)

Odds to win ACC Championship: +1,600

Many forget that Duke was the other participant in last year’s ACC Championship game and also hung with Johnny Manziel and Texas A&M in their bowl game.

After a 10-4 season, Duke is 4-0 and headed on a similar path this year. The Blue Devils’ schedule hasn't been very tough but they've done what they were supposed to and currently rank 17th in the nation in scoring offense and seventh in scoring defense.

Duke also has a very favorable schedule as it doesn’t play Florida State, Clemson or Louisville. Duke could very well win the Coastal this year with FSU not playing like the world beater it was last season.


Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS)

Odds to win SEC Championship: +2,000

The Bulldogs finally got over the hump by beating LSU in Death Valley last week. This puts them in a great position but they still have an extremely tough schedule including home games against Texas A&M and Auburn coming up over the next three weeks.

What might give MSU an edge is its SEC East opponents: Kentucky and Vanderbilt. If there was ever a year that the West was wide open, it's this year and this is arguably Dan Mullen's most talented team.


Penn State Nittany Lions (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS)

Odds to win Big Ten Championship: +4,000

The Nittany Lions have recently received eligibility for the postseason and they could sneak up on some with such big odds against them. In their favor, the Big Ten is down overall this season.

Not in PSU’s favor is the fact it still has very tough matchups with divisional foes Michigan State and Ohio State. They do get a bye the week before playing Ohio State and both that game and the game against the Spartans are at home.


Wyoming Cowboys (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS)

Odds to win MWC Championship: +3,000

Everybody in the MWC already has at least one loss and the door is swinging wide open for anybody.

From 2011 to 2013, Wyoming's new head coach had a record of 43-2 and won three FCS National Championships. Craig Bohl knows how to win and he's shown that already with the Cowboys by leading them to three close victories that they probably would have lost last season.

If you are looking for an underdog in this conference, they could end up being a good value.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 5

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State
The Red Raiders head to Stillwater following a 49-28 loss to Arkansas at home and come into the contest with a 10-4-1 ATS record in their last 15 games following a double-digit home defeat. Texas Tech is the pick (+14) according to Dunkel, which has the Cowboys favored by only 10. Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+14). Here are all of this week's lined games.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 25

Game 103-104: Appalachian State at Georgia Southern (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 63.327; Georgia Southern 84.483
Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 21; 64
Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 17 1/2; 59
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (-17 1/2); Over

Game 105-106: Texas Tech at Oklahoma State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 86.506; Oklahoma State 96.484
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 10; 67
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 14; 71 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+14); Under

Game 107-108: UCLA at Arizona State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 101.265; Arizona State 92.612
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 8 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: UCLA by 4; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-4); Under


FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 26

Game 109-110: Middle Tennessee State at Old Dominion (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 77.778; Old Dominion 76.455
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 1 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 3; 67
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (+3); Over

Game 111-112: Fresno State at New Mexico (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 73.493; New Mexico 74.322
Dunkel Line: Even; 77
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 5 1/2; 73
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+5 1/2); Over


SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 27

Game 113-114: Wyoming at Michigan State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 75.333; Michigan State 109.611
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 34 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 31; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-31); Under

Game 115-116: Minnesota at Michigan (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 80.392; Michigan 99.026
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 18 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Michigan by 11 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-11 1/2); Over

Game 117-118: Maryland at Indiana (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 93.415; Indiana 95.100
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 1 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Indiana by 4 1/2; 69 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+4 1/2); Under

Game 119-120: Baylor at Iowa State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 112.180; Iowa State 94.680
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 17 1/2; 73
Vegas Line: Baylor by 21 1/2; 69
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+21 1/2); Over

Game 121-122: South Florida at Wisconsin (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 68.474; Wisconsin 108.612
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 40; 45
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 33; 50
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-33); Under

Game 123-124: Kent State at Virginia (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 64.086; Virginia 93.875
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 30; 38
Vegas Line: Virginia by 26 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-26 1/2); Under

Game 125-126: Western Michigan at Virginia Tech (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 71.073; Virginia Tech 89.142
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 18; 58
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 21 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+21 1/2); Over

Game 127-128: Temple at Connecticut (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 82.329; Connecticut 80.421
Dunkel Line: Temple by 2; 41
Vegas Line: Temple by 5; 45
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+5); Under

Game 129-130: Akron at Pittsburgh (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 68.627; Pittsburgh 90.943
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 22 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 19 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-19 1/2); Over

Game 131-132: Iowa at Purdue (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 93.468; Purdue 79.306
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 14; 49
Vegas Line: Iowa by 9 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-9 1/2); Over

Game 133-134: Tulane at Rutgers (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 78.497; Rutgers 86.389
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 8; 50
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 12; 54
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+12); Under

Game 135-136: Northwestern at Penn State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 80.982; Penn State 96.677
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 15 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Penn State by 10 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-10 1/2); Over

Game 137-138: Central Michigan at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 71.976; Toledo 81.926
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 10; 52
Vegas Line: Toledo by 15; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+15); Under

Game 139-140: Vanderbilt at Kentucky (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 71.337; Kentucky 91.429
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 20; 55
Vegas Line: Kentucky 16 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-16 1/2); Over

Game 141-142: Wake Forest at Louisville (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 75.274; Louisville 92.313
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 17; 39
Vegas Line: Louisville by 21 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+21 1/2); Under

Game 143-144: Colorado State at Boston College (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 84.856; Boston College 93.960
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 9; 66
Vegas Line: Boston College by 6 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (-6 1/2); Over

Game 145-146: Miami (OH) at Buffalo (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 69.033; Buffalo 70.734
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 5 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+5 1/2); Under

Game 147-148: Texas State at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 70.822; Tulsa 81.477
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 10 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 4; 62
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-4); Under

Game 149-150: UTEP at Kansas State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 74.014; Kansas State 96.803
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 23; 61
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 26 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+26 1/2); Over

Game 151-152: Louisiana Tech at Auburn (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 75.191; Auburn 111.329
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 36; 66
Vegas Line: Auburn by 32; 61
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-32); Over

Game 153-154: Bowling Green at Massachusetts (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 70.440; Massachusetts 68.806
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 1 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 5 1/2; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+5 1/2); Under

Game 155-156: Colorado at California (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 79.256; California 89.151
Dunkel Line: California by 10; 62
Vegas Line: California by 14; 67
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+14); Under

Game 157-158: TCU at SMU (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 99.529; SMU 64.622
Dunkel Line: TCU by 35; 57
Vegas Line: TCU by 31 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-31 1/2); Over

Game 159-160: Rice at Southern Mississippi (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 77.985; Southern Mississippi 65.459
Dunkel Line: Rice by 12 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Rice by 9 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (-9 1/2); Over

Game 161-162: Missouri at South Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 97.518; South Carolina 100.141
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 2 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 6; 63
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (+6); Under

Game 163-164: Western Kentucky at Navy (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 79.372; Navy 89.397
Dunkel Line: Navy by 10; 73
Vegas Line: Navy by 7; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Navy (-7); Over

Game 165-166: Notre Dame vs. Syracuse (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 97.761; Syracuse 89.127
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 8 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 13; 48
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+13); Under

Game 167-168: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 98.963; Texas A&M 113.561
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 14 1/2; 76
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 8; 69 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-8); Over

Game 169-170: Oregon State at USC (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 95.963; USC 100.983
Dunkel Line: USC by 5; 52
Vegas Line: USC by 9 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+9 1/2); Under

Game 171-172: North Carolina at Clemson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 86.130; Clemson 106.960
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 21; 73
Vegas Line: Clemson by 14; 67
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-14); Over

Game 173-174: Stanford at Washington (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 97.552; Washington 92.767
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 5; 44
Vegas Line: Stanford by 8; 48
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+8); Under

Game 175-176: Texas at Kansas (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 86.779; Kansas 77.944
Dunkel Line: Texas by 9; 36
Vegas Line: Texas by 14; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+14); Under

Game 177-178: Tennessee at Georgia (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 90.630; Georgia 111.512
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 21; 62
Vegas Line: Georgia by 16 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-16 1/2); Over

Game 179-180: Duke at Miami (FL) (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 88.225; Miami (FL) 98.211
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 10; 66
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 6 1/2; 62
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-6 1/2); Over

Game 181-182: Florida State at NC State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 105.933; NC State 89.486
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 16 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Florida State by 19 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+19 1/2); Under

Game 183-184: South Alabama at Idaho (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 68.662; Idaho 66.218
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 2 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 6; 59
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+6); Over

Game 185-186: Cincinnati at Ohio State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 86.042; Ohio State 106.907
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 21; 60
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 15; 64
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-15); Under

Game 187-188: Florida International at UAB (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 59.571; UAB 80.073
Dunkel Line: UAB by 20 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: UAB by 16; 52
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-16); Over

Game 189-190: Memphis at Mississippi (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 87.372; Mississippi 94.537
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 7; 52
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 19 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+19 1/2); Under

Game 191-192: TX-San Antonio at Florida Atlantic (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 83.679; Florida Atlantic 81.676
Dunkel Line: TX-San Antonio by 2; 43
Vegas Line: TX-San Antonio by 5 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+5 1/2); Under

Game 193-194: Troy at UL-Monroe (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 55.096; UL-Monroe 77.019
Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 22; 59
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 13; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (-13); Over

Game 195-196: Washington State at Utah (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 85.466; Utah 101.084
Dunkel Line: Utah by 15 1/2; 69
Vegas Line: Utah by 12; 66
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-12); Over

Game 197-198: Boise State at Air Force (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 82.537; Air Force 76.267
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 6 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Boise State by 13; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+13); Under

Game 199-200: New Mexico State at LSU (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 64.538; LSU 103.234
Dunkel Line: LSU by 38 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: LSU by 44; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+44); Over

Game 201-202: Illinois at Nebraska (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 80.564; Nebraska 103.931
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 23 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 20; 67
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-20); Under

Game 203-204: UNLV at San Diego State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 67.052; San Diego State 87.328
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 20 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 16; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-16); Over

Game 205-206: Nevada at San Jose State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 81.707; San Jose State 87.715
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 6; 50
Vegas Line: Nevada by 5; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+5); Under


OTHER MAJOR GAMES:

Game 211-212: Eastern Illinois at Ohio (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 67.941; Ohio 78.446
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 10 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 4213-214: Army at Yale (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Army 74.878; Yale 57.634
Dunkel Line: Army by 17; 40
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 5

Thursday, September 25

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APPALACHIAN ST (1 - 2) at GA SOUTHERN (2 - 2) - 9/25/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GA SOUTHERN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS TECH (2 - 1) at OKLAHOMA ST (2 - 1) - 9/25/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 75-46 ATS (+24.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OKLAHOMA ST is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCLA (3 - 0) at ARIZONA ST (3 - 0) - 9/25/2014, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 1-1 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, September 26

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIDDLE TENN ST (2 - 2) at OLD DOMINION (3 - 1) - 9/26/2014, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FRESNO ST (1 - 3) at NEW MEXICO (1 - 2) - 9/26/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
NEW MEXICO is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, September 27

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WYOMING (3 - 1) at MICHIGAN ST (2 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (3 - 1) at MICHIGAN (2 - 2) - 9/27/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARYLAND (3 - 1) at INDIANA (2 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 1:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BAYLOR (3 - 0) at IOWA ST (1 - 2) - 9/27/2014, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 1-1 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S FLORIDA (2 - 2) at WISCONSIN (2 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 77-51 ATS (+20.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENT ST (0 - 3) at VIRGINIA (2 - 2) - 9/27/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W MICHIGAN (2 - 1) at VIRGINIA TECH (2 - 2) - 9/27/2014, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEMPLE (2 - 1) at CONNECTICUT (1 - 3) - 9/27/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AKRON (1 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (3 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 1:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA (3 - 1) at PURDUE (2 - 2) - 9/27/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-1 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 1-1 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULANE (1 - 3) at RUTGERS (3 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 80-108 ATS (-38.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
TULANE is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
TULANE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 1-0 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS is 1-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORTHWESTERN (1 - 2) at PENN ST (4 - 0) - 9/27/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 1-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

C MICHIGAN (2 - 2) at TOLEDO (2 - 2) - 9/27/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
TOLEDO is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TOLEDO is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 2-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VANDERBILT (1 - 3) at KENTUCKY (2 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANDERBILT is 2-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WAKE FOREST (2 - 2) at LOUISVILLE (3 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO ST (2 - 1) at BOSTON COLLEGE (3 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI OHIO (0 - 4) at BUFFALO (2 - 2) - 9/27/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS ST (1 - 2) at TULSA (1 - 2) - 9/27/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
TULSA is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTEP (2 - 1) at KANSAS ST (2 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
UTEP is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
UTEP is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 129-95 ATS (+24.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISIANA TECH (2 - 2) at AUBURN (3 - 0) - 9/27/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOWLING GREEN (2 - 2) at MASSACHUSETTS (0 - 4) - 9/27/2014, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-1 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 2-0 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (2 - 2) at CALIFORNIA (2 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 97-129 ATS (-44.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
COLORADO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 1-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TCU (2 - 0) at SMU (0 - 3) - 9/27/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RICE (0 - 3) at SOUTHERN MISS (2 - 2) - 9/27/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN MISS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
RICE is 1-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
RICE is 1-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSOURI (3 - 1) at S CAROLINA (3 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W KENTUCKY (1 - 2) at NAVY (2 - 2) - 9/27/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 139-105 ATS (+23.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 139-105 ATS (+23.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) against Conference USA opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 128-97 ATS (+21.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 92-60 ATS (+26.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NOTRE DAME (3 - 0) vs. SYRACUSE (2 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games in September games since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 27-10 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS (3 - 1) vs. TEXAS A&M (4 - 0) - 9/27/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON ST (3 - 0) at USC (2 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in road games in September games since 1992.
OREGON ST is 104-74 ATS (+22.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OREGON ST is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
OREGON ST is 59-36 ATS (+19.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
USC is 1-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N CAROLINA (2 - 1) at CLEMSON (1 - 2) - 9/27/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STANFORD (2 - 1) at WASHINGTON (4 - 0) - 9/27/2014, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (1 - 2) at KANSAS (2 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 61-90 ATS (-38.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (2 - 1) at GEORGIA (2 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DUKE (4 - 0) at MIAMI (2 - 2) - 9/27/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-1 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA ST (3 - 0) at NC STATE (4 - 0) - 9/27/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S ALABAMA (1 - 2) at IDAHO (0 - 3) - 9/27/2014, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games in September games since 1992.
IDAHO is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 23-45 ATS (-26.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
IDAHO is 23-45 ATS (-26.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
IDAHO is 38-65 ATS (-33.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
IDAHO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in dome games since 1992.
IDAHO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (2 - 0) at OHIO ST (2 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 157-115 ATS (+30.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 157-115 ATS (+30.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 131-96 ATS (+25.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 145-101 ATS (+33.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA INTERNATIONAL (1 - 3) at UAB (2 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
UAB is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
UAB is 22-43 ATS (-25.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 1-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (2 - 1) at OLE MISS (3 - 0) - 9/27/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTSA (1 - 2) at FLA ATLANTIC (1 - 3) - 9/27/2014, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROY (0 - 4) at LA MONROE (2 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 1-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON ST (1 - 3) at UTAH (3 - 0) - 9/27/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
UTAH is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 1-1 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOISE ST (3 - 1) at AIR FORCE (2 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 117-76 ATS (+33.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 117-76 ATS (+33.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 95-62 ATS (+26.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 71-46 ATS (+20.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 83-57 ATS (+20.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 76-48 ATS (+23.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
AIR FORCE is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 1-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO ST (2 - 2) at LSU (3 - 1) - 9/27/2014, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 73-100 ATS (-37.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
LSU is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ILLINOIS (3 - 1) at NEBRASKA (4 - 0) - 9/27/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 108-140 ATS (-46.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 108-140 ATS (-46.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UNLV (1 - 3) at SAN DIEGO ST (1 - 2) - 9/27/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in road games since 1992.
UNLV is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
UNLV is 68-103 ATS (-45.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
UNLV is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UNLV is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-1 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEVADA (2 - 1) at SAN JOSE ST (1 - 2) - 9/27/2014, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEVADA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 5

Thurs, Sept. 25

Appalachian State at Georgia Southern, 7:30 ET
Appalachian St: 2-0 UNDER after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game
Georgia S: 6-0 ATS in all lined games

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State, 7:30 ET
Texas Tech: 21-8 ATS off a home loss
Oklahoma St: 75-46 ATS as a favorite

UCLA at Arizona State, 7:30 ET
UCLA: 9-27 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins
Arizona St: 16-4 ATS in home games after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games


Fri, Sept. 26

Mid Tennesse State at Old Dominion, 8:00 ET
Mid Tenn St: 8-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses ATS
Old Dominion: 4-0 after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins

Fresno State at New Mexico, 8:00 ET
Fresno St: 15-29 ATS in road games in weeks 5 through 9
New Mexico: 39-21 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points


Sat, Sept. 27

Wyoming at Michigan State, 12:00 ET
Wyoming: 7-18 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders
Michigan St: 9-1 ATS after allowing 150 or less total yards in their previous game

Minnesota at Michigan, 3:30 ET
Minnesota: 7-1 UNDER after playing 2 straight non-conference games
Michigan: 22-45 ATS after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers

Maryland at Indiana, 1:30 ET
Maryland: 6-0 ATS in road games after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game
Indiana: 5-18 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games

Baylor at Iowa State, 8:20 ET
Baylor: 7-0 ATS after a win by 35 or more points
Iowa St: 11-30 ATS after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games

South Florida at Wisconsin, 12:00 ET
S Florida: 3-12 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders
Wisconsin: 13-2 ATS in home games off a home blowout win by 28 points or more

Kent State at Virginia, 3:30 ET
Kent State: 6-0 ATS after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game
Virginia: 6-15 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest

Western Michigan at Virginia Tech, 12:30 ET
W Michigan: 4-13 ATS after a cover as a double digit favorite
Virginia Tech: 17-6 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses

Temple at Connecticut, 4:00 ET
Temple: 22-10 UNDER after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game
Connecticut: 25-12 ATS in home games against conference opponents

Akron at Pittsburgh, 1:30 ET
Akron: 6-0 ATS in road games after game with 50 or more pass attempts
Pittsburgh: 10-5 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest

Iowa at Purdue, 12:00 ET
Iowa: 6-0 ATS in road games
Purdue: 5-1 after playing 2 straight non-conference games

Tulane at Rutgers, 12:00 ET
Tulane: 11-3 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
Rutgers: 6-1 UNDER after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games

Northwestern at Penn State, 12:00 ET
Northwestern: 13-4 ATS in road games after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers
Penn St: 3-17 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games

Central Michigan at Toledo, 7:00 ET
C Michigan: 28-46 ATS as a road underdog
Toledo: 27-13 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread

Vanderbilt at Kentucky, 12:00 ET
Vanderbilt: 26-10 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games
Kentucky: 4-13 ATS against conference opponents

Wake Forest at Louisville, 3:30 ET
Wake Forest: 23-39 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games
Louisville: 1-8 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game

Colorado State at Boston College, 12:30 ET
Colorado St: 29-13 ATS in road games after a win by 17 or more points
Boston College: 29-14 ATS after a game where they forced no turnovers

Miami Ohio at Buffalo, 3:30 ET
Miami Oh: 6-17 ATS off a cover where the team lost as an underdog
Buffalo: 5-1 UNDER after a 2 game home stand

Texas State at Tulsa, 8:00 ET
Texas State: 6-4 OVER after playing their last game on the road
Tulsa: 0-6 ATS in non-conference games

Utep at Kansas State, 12:00 ET
Utep: 2-10 ATS after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game
Kansas St: 32-16 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse

Louisiana Tech at Auburn, 4:00 ET
Louisiana Tech: 2-10 ATS in road games after a game where they committed 4 or more turnovers
Auburn: 32-51 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game

Bowling Green at Massachusetts, 3:00 ET
Bowling Green: 15-6 ATS as a favorite
Massachusetts: 4-1 OVER after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games

Colorado at California, 4:00 ET
Colorado: 1-8 ATS in weeks 5 through 9
California: 5-14 ATS against conference opponents

TCU at SMU, 12:00 ET
TCU: 11-24 ATS after playing 2 straight non-conference games
SMU: 0-7 ATS in non-conference games

Rice at Southern Miss, 7:00 ET
Rice: 31-16 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game
Southern Miss: 8-20 ATS when playing on a Saturday

Missouri at South Carolina, 7:00 ET
Missouri: 29-15 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games
South Carolina: 5-1 UNDER after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games

Western Kentucky at Navy, 3:30 ET
W Kentucky: 4-1 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
Navy: 4-14 ATS in home games off 1 or more consecutive unders

Notre Dame at Syracuse, 8:00 ET
Notre Dame: 27-10 ATS in road games in weeks 5 through 9
Syracus: 30-15 ATS after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game

Arkansas at Texas AM, 3:30 ET
Arkansas: 45-27 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game
Texas AM: 16-31 ATS in road games off 1 or more straight overs

Oregon State at USC, 10:30 ET
Oregon St: 104-74 ATS against conference opponents
USC: 6-2 UNDER after playing a non-conference game

North Carolina at Clemson, 7:00 ET
N Carolina: 6-22 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games
Clemson: 9-1 ATS after playing their last game on the road

Stanford at Washington, 4:15 ET
Stanford: 11-2 ATS after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games
Washington: 17-33 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games

Texas at Kansas, 4:00 ET
Texas: 37-21 ATS in road games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers
Kansas: 61-90 ATS as an underdog

Tennessee at Georgia, 12:00 ET
Tennessee: 40-23 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Georgia: 11-3 OVER as a home favorite

Duke at Miami Florida, 7:30 ET
Duke: 6-0 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games
Miami FL: 4-13 ATS after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games

Florida State at North Carolina State, 3:30 ET
Florida St: 35-19 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread
N Carolina St: 2-9 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest

South Alabama at Idaho, 5:00 ET
S Alabama: 7-0 ATS in road games in September games
Idaho: 38-65 ATS against conference opponents

Cincinnati at Ohio State, 6:00 ET
Cincinnati: 22-9 ATS after a 2 game home stand
Ohio State: 90-62 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF

Week 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, September 25

7:30 PM
TEXAS TECH vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
Texas Tech is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Texas Tech's last 12 games on the road
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 6 games when playing at home against Texas Tech

7:30 PM
APPALACHIAN STATE vs. GA SOUTHERN
Appalachian State is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Appalachian State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Ga Southern is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games
Ga Southern is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

10:00 PM
UCLA vs. ARIZONA STATE
UCLA is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
UCLA is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona State is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Arizona State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games


Friday, September 26

8:00 PM
FRESNO STATE vs. NEW MEXICO
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Fresno State's last 9 games on the road
Fresno State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
New Mexico is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
New Mexico is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. OLD DOMINION
Middle Tennessee is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 6 games
Old Dominion is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


saturday, September 27

12:00 PM
TCU vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU's last 6 games
TCU is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Southern Methodis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games when playing TCU
Southern Methodist is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing TCU

12:00 PM
SOUTH FLORIDA vs. WISCONSIN
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of South Florida's last 8 games on the road
South Florida is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Wisconsin is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
Wisconsin is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

12:00 PM
IOWA vs. PURDUE
Iowa is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue's last 6 games when playing Iowa
Purdue is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Iowa

12:00 PM
WYOMING vs. MICHIGAN STATE
Wyoming is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wyoming's last 5 games
Michigan State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan State's last 5 games

12:00 PM
TEXAS EL PASO vs. KANSAS STATE
Texas El Paso is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
Texas El Paso is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas State's last 9 games at home
Kansas State is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home

12:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN vs. PENN STATE
Northwestern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Penn State
Northwestern is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Penn State
Penn State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Northwestern
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Penn State's last 13 games at home

12:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. GEORGIA
Tennessee is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Georgia
Tennessee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Georgia
Georgia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
Georgia is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Tennessee

12:00 PM
TULANE vs. RUTGERS
Tulane is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tulane's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Rutgers's last 8 games
Rutgers is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home

12:00 PM
VANDERBILT vs. KENTUCKY
Vanderbilt is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
Vanderbilt is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Kentucky is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Vanderbilt
Kentucky is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vanderbilt

12:30 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado State's last 5 games
Colorado State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston College's last 7 games at home
Boston College is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

12:30 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. VIRGINIA TECH
Western Michigan is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Western Michigan's last 7 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Virginia Tech is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
ARMY vs. YALE
Army is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Army is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Yale is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Yale is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

1:30 PM
AKRON vs. PITTSBURGH
Akron is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Akron's last 22 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

1:30 PM
MARYLAND vs. INDIANA
Maryland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Maryland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games

2:00 PM
EASTERN ILLINOIS vs. OHIO
Eastern Illinois is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games
Eastern Illinois is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Ohio is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Ohio is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games

3:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. MASSACHUSETTS
Bowling Green is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 6 games
Massachusetts is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Massachusetts's last 5 games

3:30 PM
KENT STATE vs. VIRGINIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kent State's last 6 games
Kent State is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Virginia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Virginia's last 10 games at home

3:30 PM
WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. NAVY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy's last 5 games at home
Navy is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

3:30 PM
ARKANSAS vs. TEXAS A&M
Arkansas is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas A&M's last 12 games at home
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. UAB
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Florida International's last 12 games
Florida International is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
UAB is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
UAB is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games

3:30 PM
WAKE FOREST vs. LOUISVILLE
Wake Forest is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Wake Forest's last 23 games
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Louisville is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

3:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. MICHIGAN
Minnesota is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Michigan is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

3:30 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. BUFFALO
Miami (Ohio) is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Miami (Ohio) is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

TBA
FLORIDA STATE vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Florida State is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
North Carolina State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 6 games when playing at home against Florida State

TBA
TENNESSEE TECH vs. HOUSTON
Tennessee Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Tennessee Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 9 games
Houston is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

4:00 PM
STANFORD vs. WASHINGTON
Stanford is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Stanford's last 10 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Stanford
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Stanford

4:00 PM
TEMPLE vs. CONNECTICUT
Temple is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Temple is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut
Connecticut is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Connecticut's last 8 games at home

4:00 PM
LOUISIANA TECH vs. AUBURN
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Louisiana Tech's last 16 games
Louisiana Tech is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Louisiana Tech
Auburn is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games

4:00 PM
COLORADO vs. CALIFORNIA
Colorado is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Colorado is 6-19 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of California's last 6 games
California is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games

4:00 PM
TEXAS vs. KANSAS
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Kansas
Kansas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas's last 7 games at home

5:00 PM
SOUTH ALABAMA vs. IDAHO
South Alabama is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
South Alabama is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Idaho's last 8 games at home
Idaho is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home

5:00 PM
UTSA vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of UTSA's last 7 games
UTSA is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 6 games at home
Florida Atlantic is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

6:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. OHIO STATE
Cincinnati is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
Ohio State is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
Ohio State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. AIR FORCE
Boise State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boise State's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Air Force's last 7 games
Air Force is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. TOLEDO
Central Michigan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toledo
Central Michigan is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toledo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toledo's last 8 games at home
Toledo is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home

7:00 PM
RICE vs. SOUTHERN MISS
Rice is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Rice is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
Southern Miss is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games
Southern Miss is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games

7:00 PM
TROY vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
Troy is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
Troy is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Monroe is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. CLEMSON
North Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Clemson
North Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Clemson
Clemson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against North Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Clemson's last 10 games

7:00 PM
MISSOURI vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Missouri's last 6 games
Missouri is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Carolina's last 6 games at home
South Carolina is 23-1 SU in its last 24 games at home

7:30 PM
DUKE vs. MIAMI
Duke is 10-2-1 ATS in its last 13 games
Duke is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Miami is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games

7:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. MISSISSIPPI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games on the road
Memphis is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Mississippi is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

7:30 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. LSU
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 5 games on the road
New Mexico State is 1-16 SU in its last 17 games on the road
LSU is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
LSU is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

8:00 PM
NOTRE DAME vs. SYRACUSE
Notre Dame is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Notre Dame's last 7 games
Syracuse is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Syracuse is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home

8:00 PM
TEXAS STATE vs. TULSA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas State's last 5 games on the road
Texas State is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Tulsa is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games
Tulsa is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

8:00 PM
WASHINGTON STATE vs. UTAH
Washington State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington State's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 12 games
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
UNLV vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
UNLV is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego State
UNLV is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego State
San Diego State is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
San Diego State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing UNLV

8:20 PM
BAYLOR vs. IOWA STATE
Baylor is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Iowa State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baylor's last 6 games when playing Iowa State
Iowa State is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games at home
Iowa State is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games

9:00 PM
ILLINOIS vs. NEBRASKA
Illinois is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Illinois is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games at home
Nebraska is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

10:30 PM
NEVADA vs. SAN JOSE STATE
Nevada is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose State
Nevada is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose State
San Jose State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nevada
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose State's last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
OREGON STATE vs. SOUTHERN CAL
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oregon State's last 10 games
Oregon State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Southern Cal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oregon State
Southern Cal is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing Oregon State

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 5

Thursday's games
Appalachian State trailed Southern Miss 20-14 last week, scored tying TD with 0:06 left, then had PAT blocked and lost 21-20, even though ASU outgained Southern Miss by 66 yards. ASU beat Eagles last three years, by 7-3-21 points- they won three of last four visits here. Eagles are pretty good, losing to NC State/Ga Tech on road by combined total of five points- they won 28-6 at South Alabama last week, even though they only completed six passes the whole game.

Oklahoma State doesn't play a road game until October 11, because they lost 7 starters on both sides of ball; OSU lost 37-31 to Florida State on a neutral field, so they're pretty good- they're 24-9 in last 33 games as a home favorite. Cowboys won last five games with Texas Tech, scoring 59 ppg in last three meetings, winning by 18-38-60 points. Tech failed to cover its last four visits here. Red Raiders gave up 438 rushing yards in last game, a 49-28 home loss to Arkansas- it was so bad they fired their defensive coordinator, saying he coached under the influence. Really.

Arizona State is 2-3 in last five games with UCLA; last three series tilts were decided by total of 8 points. Sun Devils lost QB Kelly; major step down to backup Bercovici, who threw four passes LY, is 9-17 this year. ASU won easily at New Mexico/Colorado, but they have to scale back their offense bigtime now. Bruins gutted out 20-17 win at Texas behind backup QB Neuheisel; check Hundley's (elbow) status for this. There is a big dropoff for them if Hundley sits, but not as much as ASU has. UCLA lost four of last six visits here; they're 5-2 as road underdogs in Mora era. Sun Devils are 9-4 as home favorites under Graham.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF

Thursday, September 25


Mora to wait on whether or not Hundley will start

UCLA head coach Jim Mora hasn't said much about the availability of his star quarterback Brett Hundley for their Thursday night matchup with Arizona State.

Mora did say he would push making the call on if Hundley would play or not this week as far out as he can. Hundley injured his non-throwing elbow in UCLA's 20-17 win over Texas on Sept. 13.

"Sometimes it goes right up to kickoff before you make that decision," Mora told reporters after practice on Tuesday. Hundley reportedly practiced on a limited basis.

UCLA is currently a 4.5-point favorite against the Sun Devils, but make sure to keep an eye on the line once Hundley's status is officially announced.

[StarDust Bum]

Mid-Major Money: Big profits from NCAAF small conferences

Team to watch: Bowling Green Falcons (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS)

This week: -4.5 at UMass

This line is absolutely on the move for Saturday’s MAC showdown between Bowling Green and Massachusetts. The Falcons opened at least -10 (-12.5 at some), but the line is down to as low as -4.5. Giving no more than a touchdown, now might be the perfect time to jump all over Bowling Green.

Bettors are perhaps scared off by the Falcons after both teams looked similarly poor against the Big Ten last week. Bowling Green got blown out 68-17 at Wisconsin and Massachusetts fell 48-7 at Penn State.

Bowling Green is also without quarterback Matt Johnson, who is done for the year. However, James Knapke has stepped in and has thrown for 795 yards and four touchdowns in three games. Knapke racked up 395 yards and three scores in a win over Indiana, which upset Missouri last week.


Team to beware: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)

This week: +7 at Navy

Don’t be fooled by Western Kentucky’s 19-7 home win over Navy last season. Midshipmen quarterback Keenan Reynolds was knocked out of that game in the second quarter with the visitors ahead 7-3.

Reynolds is good to go for Saturday’s rematch in Annapolis. After attempting only 12 passes in the first two games of 2014, the junior was 12 of 22 for 231 yards and a score as Navy took to the air in a 31-24 loss to Rutgers last week. Reynolds also has five rushing touchdowns in three games this year, including four in his last two.

Western Kentucky will have its hands full against an offense that ranks 15th nationally in third-down conversions, getting the job done more than 52 percent of the time. The Hilltoppers’ defense lost six starters from last season’s team and the unit is currently 116th in the nation overall (508.7 yards per game) and 114th in points allowed (41.0 per game).


Total team: Fresno State Bulldogs (1-3 SU, 4-0 O/U)

This week: at New Mexico

Fresno State head coach Tim DeRuyter said people will “probably figure it out” when it comes to who will start at quarterback against New Mexico Friday. That inevitably means the job is going to Brian Burrell, who played approximately two quarters and completed 13 of 20 passes for 145 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception last weekend.

On the other side of the ball, Fresno State safety Derron Smith said this is a game he does not look forward to, going up against New Mexico’s option offense. Smith admitted the defense has not been disciplined this season and it is “definitely going to be a struggle.”

The Over is 4-0-1 in the Bulldogs’ last five overall and 3-0-1 in their last four home games. The Over is 6-1 in the Lobos’ last seven at home and 5-1 in their last six Mountain West contests.

[StarDust Bum]

Four live NCAAF long shots that smell blood in the water

There’s blood in the water when it comes to many college football conferences, with perineal favorites falling off the pace and surprise contenders emerging as conference competition heats up.

Here are four mid-tier teams off to strong starts, who could stun the NCAAF world – and sportsbooks – if they continue to climb the standings:

Duke Blue Devils (4-0 SU, 2-1-1 ATS)

Odds to win ACC Championship: +1,600

Many forget that Duke was the other participant in last year’s ACC Championship game and also hung with Johnny Manziel and Texas A&M in their bowl game.

After a 10-4 season, Duke is 4-0 and headed on a similar path this year. The Blue Devils’ schedule hasn't been very tough but they've done what they were supposed to and currently rank 17th in the nation in scoring offense and seventh in scoring defense.

Duke also has a very favorable schedule as it doesn’t play Florida State, Clemson or Louisville. Duke could very well win the Coastal this year with FSU not playing like the world beater it was last season.


Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS)

Odds to win SEC Championship: +2,000

The Bulldogs finally got over the hump by beating LSU in Death Valley last week. This puts them in a great position but they still have an extremely tough schedule including home games against Texas A&M and Auburn coming up over the next three weeks.

What might give MSU an edge is its SEC East opponents: Kentucky and Vanderbilt. If there was ever a year that the West was wide open, it's this year and this is arguably Dan Mullen's most talented team.


Penn State Nittany Lions (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS)

Odds to win Big Ten Championship: +4,000

The Nittany Lions have recently received eligibility for the postseason and they could sneak up on some with such big odds against them. In their favor, the Big Ten is down overall this season.

Not in PSU’s favor is the fact it still has very tough matchups with divisional foes Michigan State and Ohio State. They do get a bye the week before playing Ohio State and both that game and the game against the Spartans are at home.


Wyoming Cowboys (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS)

Odds to win MWC Championship: +3,000

Everybody in the MWC already has at least one loss and the door is swinging wide open for anybody.

From 2011 to 2013, Wyoming's new head coach had a record of 43-2 and won three FCS National Championships. Craig Bohl knows how to win and he's shown that already with the Cowboys by leading them to three close victories that they probably would have lost last season.

If you are looking for an underdog in this conference, they could end up being a good value.

[StarDust Bum]

HISTORICALLY SPEAKING

All trends are Against the Spread unless noted:

Some pointspreads have been estimated and may not be accurate by game time

DD=double-digit, R=road, H=home, F=favorite, D=dog, L=last, S/U=straight-up

NCAA TRENDS (Trends current through September 20, 2014)
:
Appalachian State is 3-0 S/U the last 3 vs. Georgia So. – Georgia Southern is 4-0 this year

Texas Tech is 1-8 vs. OSU since ’05 – Oklahoma State is 85-62-1 at home since ‘02

UCLA is 8-3 vs. Arizona State since ’03 – Arizona State is 5-1 the last six as a home dog

Mid Tennessee St is 5-2 as a road favorite since ’11 – Old Dominion is 0-2 at home this year

Fresno State is 5-16 on Fridays since ’01 – New Mexico is 4-11 as a home dog since ‘09

Wyoming is 21-10 on the road since ’09 – Michigan State is 20-29-1 as DD favorite since ‘00

Minnesota is 2-28 S/U vs. Michigan since ’80 – Michigan is 6-0 S/U & ATS vs. Minn. since’06

Maryland is 15-22 as a R/F since ’87 – Indiana is 11-6 as a home underdog since ‘09

Baylor is 2-6 as a road favorite since ’11 – Iowa State is 23-14 as a DD home dog since ‘92

South Florida is 10-5 as a road dog since ’10 – Wisconsin is 13-6 as a DD H/F since ‘11

Kent State is 12-19-1 as a DD dog since ’04 – Virginia Tech is 1-4-1 the L6 as a 20+ favorite

W. Michigan is 12-27-2 as a dog since ’08 – Virginia Tech is 1-4-1 the L6 as a 20+ favorite

Temple is 7-1 vs. Connecticut since ’01 – Connecticut is 2-9 as a home favorite since ‘11

Akron is 21-32 as a DD road dog since ’98 – Pittsburgh is 29-46-2

Iowa is 8-13 the last 21 as a road favorite – Purdue is 2-7 as a home underdog since ‘12

Tulane is 3-0 vs. Rutgers since ’98 – Rutgers is 23-31 as a home favorite since ’92

Northwestern is 1-6 at Penn State since ’96 – Penn State is 11-5 at home since ‘12

Central Michigan is 4-15-1 the L20 as a R/D – Toledo is 43-25 as a home favorite since ‘98

Vanderbilt is 27-13-2 as a R/D since ’04 – Kentucky is 8-18 as a single-digit H/F since ‘88

Wake Forest is 10-17 as a road underdog since ’08 – Louisville is 13-22 as a H/F since ‘07

Colorado State is 17-12 as a single-digit R/D since ’00 – BC is 8-2 the L10 as a H/F

Miami, OH is 17-22-2 on the road since ’08 – Buffalo is 7-1 the last eight as a favorite

Texas State is 10-8 as an underdog since ’12 – Tulsa is 15-8 off a bye week since ‘03

UTEP is 12-20 on the road since ’09 – Kansas State is 65-41-1 as a H/F since ’80

Louisiana Tech is 8-15 as a 20+ dog since ’03 – Auburn is 31-18-1 as a 20+ fav since ‘84


Bowling Green is 25-16 as a favorite since ’08 – UMass is 10-15 as an underdog since ‘12

Colorado is 0-6 as a single-digit R/D since ’06 – California is 3-12 at home since ‘12

TCU is 0-5 the last 5 as a road favorite – SMU is 8-3 vs. TCU since ‘02

Rice is 3-7 as a road favorite since ’04 – Southern Miss is 6-11 as a home dog since ‘87

Missouri is 7-3 as a road underdog since ’11 – South Carolina is 34-4 S/U at home since ‘09

Western Kentucky is 15-4 the last 19 as a R/D – Navy is 19-31-1 as a H/F since ‘98

Notre Dame is 0-3 vs. Syracuse since ’03 – Syracuse is 17-5 in neutral site games since ‘88

Arkansas is 8-1 vs. Texas A&M since ’88 – Texas A&M is 2-10 in neutral sites since ‘05

Oregon State is 27-12-2 as an underdog since ’07 – USC is 42-28-1 as a home fav since ‘02

North Carolina is 7-4 vs. Clemson since ’96 – Clemson is 7-3 as a single-digit H/F since ‘09

Stanford is 12-6 as a R/F since ’10 – Washington is 28-21 as a home underdog since ‘81

Texas is 12-7 as a road favorite since ’08 – Kansas is 38-57-1 as a home underdog since ‘80

Tennessee is 6-2 vs. Georgia since ’06 – Georgia is 24-28-3 at home since ‘05

Duke is 47-36-2 as a road under dog since ’97 – Miami, FL is 24-43 as a H/F since ’02

Florida State is 2-11 vs. NC State since ’01 – NC State is 43-27-1 as a H/D since ‘80

South Alabama is 2-1 as a R/F since ’13 – Idaho is 4-9 the last 13 as a home underdog

Cincinnati is 2-6 as a road under dog since ’10 – Ohio State is 22-15 as a H/F since ‘09

Florida Intl is 16-46 S/U on the road since ’04 – UAB is 16-28-1 as a H/F since ‘98

Memphis is 10-15 vs. Mississippi since ’80 – Mississippi is 9-4 home vs. Memphis since ‘80

Texas San Antonio is 6-2 as a favorite since ’ 12 – Florida Atlantic is 18-26 at home since ‘04

Troy is 2-7 vs. UL-Monroe since ’03 – UL-Monroe is 6-11 at home since ‘11

Washington State is 5-0 as a R/D since ’13 – Utah is 10-20 as a single-digit H/F since ‘00

Boise State is 22-10-1 as a R/F since ’07 – Air Force is 2-0 vs. Boise State since ‘11

New Mexico State is 17-32as a 20+ dog since ’00 – LSU is 43-63-3 as a DD H/F since ‘80

Illinois is 15-9 as a DD dog since ’06 – Nebraska is 23-30-1 at home since ‘07

UNLV is 14-35-3 as a R/D since ’03 – San Diego State is 9-3 vs. UNLV since ‘02

Nevada is 1-7 as a road favorite since ’11 – San Jose State is 3-8 vs. Nevada since ‘02



NFL TRENDS (Trends current through September 21, 2014):

NY Giants are 2-5 v. Washington since ’11 – Washington is 5-1 the last six as a H/F

Miami is 17-35-1 as a favorite since ‘ 04 – Oakland is 3-9 vs. Miami since ‘97

Green Bay is 27-15-1 vs. Chicago since ’93 – Chicago is 1-5 S/U home vs. GB since ‘08

Buffalo is 6-13 on the road since ’12 – Houston is 3-8 at home since ‘13

Tennessee is 1-10 S/U at Indianapolis since ’03 – Indianapolis is 6-12-1 the last 19 as a H/F

Carolina is 11-7 as an underdog since ’12 – Baltimore is 1-4 the last five home games

Detroit is 5-17-1 as a R/F since ‘97 – NY Jets are 6-3* at home since ’13

*MNF Pending

Tampa Bay is 21-15-1 as a R/D since ’09 – Pittsburgh is 8-13-1 as a favorite since ‘12

Jacksonville is 4-8 as a dog of 7+ since ’13 – San Diego is 17-22 as a favorite since ‘10

Philadelphia is 4-8 the last 12 as an underdog – San Francisco is 16-10 as a H/F since ‘11

Atlanta is 15-10 as a road favorite since ’05 – Minnesota is 7-2 as a home dog since ‘12

New Orleans is 8-18 the last 26 as a R/F– Dallas is 2-8 vs. New Orleans since ‘94

New England is 2-7 the last 9 as a R/F – Kansas City is 9-18 at home since ‘11