The Bum's February's NBA POD's Stats, Trends, News, & Game of the Year !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 19

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CHICAGO (27 - 25) at TORONTO (29 - 24) - 2/19/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 65-79 ATS (-21.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against Central division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (22 - 31) at CHARLOTTE (24 - 30) - 2/19/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 35-48 ATS (-17.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 82-116 ATS (-45.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 7-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (16 - 39) at CLEVELAND (21 - 33) - 2/19/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 23-32 ATS (-12.2 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in road games this season.
ORLANDO is 38-52 ATS (-19.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ORLANDO is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (25 - 28) at ATLANTA (25 - 27) - 2/19/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
ATLANTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 74-59 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 48-35 ATS (+9.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (20 - 33) at NEW ORLEANS (23 - 29) - 2/19/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 22-31 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 57-38 ATS (+15.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
NEW YORK is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (41 - 12) at MINNESOTA (25 - 28) - 2/19/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (19 - 35) at PHOENIX (31 - 21) - 2/19/2014, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (24 - 27) at UTAH (19 - 33) - 2/19/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 100-72 ATS (+20.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (39 - 15) at PORTLAND (36 - 17) - 2/19/2014, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (31 - 22) at SACRAMENTO (18 - 35) - 2/19/2014, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (36 - 17) at LA LAKERS (18 - 35) - 2/19/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

San Antonio at Portland
The Spurs head to Portland tonight where they are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games against the Trail Blazers. Portland is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Trail Blazers favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Portland (-2). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 19

Game 701-702: Chicago at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 115.132; Toronto 125.920
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 11; 179
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 2 1/2; 183
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-2 1/2); Under

Game 703-704: Detroit at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 118.935; Charlotte 117.822
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 2 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+2 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Orlando at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 113.927; Cleveland 114.201
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 7; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+7); Under

Game 707-708: Washington at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 119.184; Atlanta 117.759
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Over

Game 709-710: New York at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 115.983; New Orleans 120.545
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 4 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 3 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Indiana at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 122.852; Minnesota 116.511
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 3 1/2 198
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-3 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Boston at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 110.489; Phoenix 123.942
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 13 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 8; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-8); Over

Game 715-716: Brooklyn at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 121.260; Utah 113.390
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 8; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 2 1/2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-2 1/2); Under

Game 717-718: San Antonio at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 117.651; Portland 124.724
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 7; 218
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 2; 212 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-2); Over

Game 719-720: Golden State at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 121.438; Sacramento 114.587
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 7; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 5; 207
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-5); Under

Game 721-722: Houston at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.651; LA Lakers 116.235
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 4 1/2; 220
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 8 1/2; 213
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+8 1/2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Wednesday, February 19

Chicago at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Chicago: 30-46 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins
Toronto: 8-1 ATS against Central division opponents

Detroit at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Detroit: 17-3 OVER when the line is +3 to -3
Charlotte: 22-9 OVER when playing only their 2nd game in 7 days

Orlando at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Orlando: 9-23 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less
Cleveland: 21-8 ATS against Southeast division opponents

Washington at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Washington: 19-8 ATS in road games off a home loss
Atlanta: 2-10 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days

New York at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
New York: 8-19 ATS as an underdog
New Orleans: 25-12 OVER as a favorite

Indiana at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
Indiana: n/a
Minnesota: n/a

Boston at Phoenix, 9:05 ET
Boston: n/a
Phoenix: n/a

Brooklyn at Utah, 9:05 ET
Brooklyn: 11-1 ATS in road games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days
Utah: 17-30 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent

San Antonio at Portland, 10:05 ET
San Antonio: n/a
Portland: n/a

Golden State at Sacramento, 10:05 ET
Golden State: n/a
Sacramento: n/a

Houston at LA Lakers, 10:35 ET
Houston: n/a
LA Lakers: n/a

[StarDust Bum]

FEBRUARY'S RECORD:

25- 17 *****

11- 12 DOUBLE PLAY

10- 5 TRIPLE PLAY



Wednesday, February 19

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Detroit - 7:00 PM ET Charlotte -2.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Charlotte -

Orlando - 7:00 PM ET Orlando +6 500 *****
Cleveland -

Chicago - 7:00 PM ET Toronto -3 500
Toronto -

Indiana - 8:00 PM ET Minnesota +3 500
Minnesota -

New York - 8:00 PM ET New Orleans -3.5 500 *****
New Orleans -

Boston - 9:00 PM ET Phoenix -6 500
Phoenix -

Brooklyn - 9:00 PM ET Brooklyn -3.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Utah -

San Antonio - 10:00 PM ET Portland -1.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Portland -

Golden State - 10:00 PM ET Golden State -4 500 *****
Sacramento -

Houston - 10:30 PM ET L.A. Lakers +8.5 500

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Thursday

February 20, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Heat are 12-0 ATS (7.58 ppg) since Feb 21, 2013 on the road when facing a team that covered by double digits against them in their previous same-season meeting.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Rockets are 0-12 OU (-20.58 ppg) since Apr 05, 2011 when facing a team they beat in their previous two match-ups of the season, and won by more than three in the last matchup.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Heat are 11-0 ATS (6.64 ppg) since Nov 17, 2012 on the road after Ray Allen shot worse than 33% from the field in a win.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Bucks are 0-12 ATS (-11.71 ppg) since Mar 22, 2012 at home after a win in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least two and scored more than 95 points.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Rockets are 7-0 OU (13.29 ppg) since Nov 02, 2012 after James Harden had at least 10 assists in a win.

-- The Thunder are 7-0 OU (13.50 ppg) since Nov 10, 2013 at home after Reggie Jackson played fewer than 30 minutes in a road win.

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday Tips

February 20, 2014


Heat at Thunder - 8:05 PM EST

Miami: 38-14 SU, 23-28-1 ATS
Oklahoma City: 43-12 SU, 32-23 ATS

A rematch of the 2012 NBA Finals takes place at Chesapeake Energy Arena tonight as the Thunder goes for the season sweep of the Heat. The last time these teams hooked up in South Florida in late January, Oklahoma City overcame an early 18-point deficit to chase out Miami, 112-95 to cash as four-point road underdogs. In fact, the Thunder even took a 25-point lead in the second half, led by Kevin Durant's 33 points, as OKC played without point guard Russell Westbrook.

However, the Thunder is expected to get Westbrook back in the lineup tonight after missing the last 28 games following minor knee surgery. Oklahoma City put together a 21-7 SU and 17-11 ATS during Westbrook's absence, while winning nine consecutive games at home. The Thunder has lost six of the last seven meetings with the Heat, including each of the last two at Chesapeake Energy Arena.

The Heat is playing the final leg of a six-game road trip (broken up by the All-Star break), as Miami held off Dallas on Tuesday night, 117-106 for its third straight victory. LeBron James scored a season-high 42 points, while the Heat topped the 100-point mark for the sixth time in the last seven games. Miami has covered twice in three opportunities as an underdog this season, including outright victories against the Clippers and Blazers.

Oklahoma City has been off since last Thursday's 107-103 triumph over the Lakers, but the Thunder failed to cash as 10 ½-point road favorites. OKC has drilled the 'over' in four of the past five games, including three of the last four at Chesapeake Energy Arena. In Miami's last 11 road games, the Heat has hit the 'over' seven times, while doing so in the previous two victories at Dallas and Golden State.

Nuggets at Bucks - 8:05 PM EST

Denver: 24-28 SU, 22-30 ATS
Milwaukee: 10-43 SU, 21-32 ATS

Two teams going nowhere meet in Milwaukee, but it's actually the Bucks who are playing with confidence right now. Milwaukee won just its 10th game of the season on Tuesday, a 104-100 triumph as three-point home underdogs against Orlando, but it was the sixth cover in seven tries. Also, the Bucks have cashed 'dog tickets six consecutive times, including four straight when receiving points at BMO Harris Center.

And then we have the Nuggets. Following a 12-4 stretch from mid-November through early December, Denver has fallen off the mountain by losing 20 of its past 31 games, including five in a row. Brian Shaw's club fell in overtime on Tuesday to Phoenix after blowing a late fourth quarter lead, while losing six of their past seven games away from the Pepsi Center.

The Bucks and Nuggets hooked up in Denver on February 5, as Denver held on for a 110-100 victory, but failed to cover as 11 ½-point favorites. Ty Lawson scored 18 points and dished out 13 assists for the Nuggets, but the point guard will miss his third straight game tonight with injured ribs. Denver has compiled a 6-3 SU and 5-4 ATS record as a road favorite this season, while winning seven straight meetings with Milwaukee.

Rockets at Warriors - 10:35 PM EST

Houston: 37-17 SU, 28-24-2 ATS
Golden State: 32-22 SU, 24-27-3 ATS

Both these clubs are playing with no rest, as the Rockets go for their third win over the Warriors this season. Houston beat Golden State twice in a one-week span back in December, including a 116-112 triumph at Oracle Arena as 3 ½-point underdogs, the seventh victory in eight meetings for the Rockets. Now, Houston will try to extend its eight-game winning streak following another victory last night.

Kevin McHale's club went into Staples Center on Wednesday night and dominated the Lakers, 134-108, the seventh straight contest in which the Rockets have topped the 100-point mark. Seven Rockets scored in double-figures, as Dwight Howard scored 20 points and pulled down 13 rebounds in his first game in Los Angeles since signing with the Rockets in the offseason. Playing with no rest has been no problem for the Rockets this season, posting a 9-4 SU/ATS record on the second of a back-to-back.

The Warriors are seeking consecutive wins for just the second time since early January, as Golden State knocked off Sacramento last night, 101-92 to cash as five-point road favorites. Mark Jackson's team is just 6-10-1 ATS since a 10-game winning streak that ended last month, while losing six of its past 10 contests played at Oracle Arena. The Warriors have won three of their last four games with no rest, but Golden State has covered just once in this stretch.

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.......

13) Jim Weinstein lost his job this week. Never heard of him? I hadn’t either, but remember Super Bowl Sunday, when there was a crush of people at the train station in New Jersey, trying to get to Swamp Stadium?

Well, Mr Weinstein was the head of the New Jersey transit system and is the scapegoat for that debacle-- he is now unemployed.

12) Dallas Cowboys won a coin flip with Baltimore and will pick 16th in the NFL Draft in May, with Ravens going 17th.

11) For what its worth, under is 17-9 in Olympic hockey so far, with four games left to go- the third place game in the Olympics is for a medal, so you figure it is way more competitive than most consolation games.

10) My thoughts on the college football play clock debate is this: If you play faster, it tires players out, which slows them down, which creates less violent collisions, which reduces injuries. In my opinion, Saban/Bielema are trying to get rid of the fast-paced offenses because they don’t use it and its really hard to defend. There is no way they have evidence it increases injuries.

9) In the same winter a pitcher named Balfour got $12M for two years from Tampa Bay, a pitcher named Homer (Bailey) signs a 6-year, $105M contract with the Reds.

Is this a great country or what?

Not sure why Dusty Baker isn’t back with the Reds- they made the playoffs three of last four years. Didn’t do much once they got there, but not like this team is the Big Red Machine or anything.

8) Cleveland Cavaliers won their first six games after firing their GM; they were 16-33 before he got fired. Coincidence?

7) Las Vegas Wranglers minor league hockey team is moving downtown, into a modular arena that will seat 3,500 fans atop the Plaza Hotel- they had been playing for the last decade at the Orleans Arena.

6) Speaking of the Orleans hotel, they have a great 24-hour coffee shop. Tremendous pancakes; just thought you should know.

5) Tough news for Wyoming’s leading scorer Larry Nance Jr; he tore his ACL Monday night and is done for the year. Cowboys are an improved team this year but this is a tough blow.

4) No word on when the Iowa-Indiana game will be made up after a beam fell from the arena ceiling Tuesday, but the women’s game at Indiana can be played in that arena this week, since no one goes to women’s games anyway, so the seats where the beam fell can be blocked off and not be a hazard to anyone. If they played the men’s game with no fans, they’d be forfeiting a sellout, which is an awful lot of money.

3) Miami Dolphins finally fired offensive line coach Jim Turner; not sure what took them so long, since Turner was in the middle of the bullying debacle that haunted the Fish last season. Miami also fired the trainer who didn't cooperate with the NFL's investigation.

2) Saint Louis 89, George Mason 85 ot-- Billikens are 24-2, Patriots 9-17, but both Saint Louis wins over Mason this year came in OT. Go figure.

1) Boston College 62, Syracuse 59 ot-- If you play with fire long enough, eventually you get burned. BC is only 3-10 in ACC, but they made 11-22 on the arc and made enough plays down stretch to pull the huge upset. Orange have been letting inferior teams hang around-- it cost them here.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 20

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MIAMI (38 - 14) at OKLAHOMA CITY (43 - 12) - 2/20/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-23 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 72-54 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (24 - 28) at MILWAUKEE (10 - 43) - 2/20/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 21-32 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 20-30 ATS (-13.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
MILWAUKEE is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 47-72 ATS (-32.2 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 32-59 ATS (-32.9 Units) against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 203-261 ATS (-84.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MILWAUKEE is 65-91 ATS (-35.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-0 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (37 - 17) at GOLDEN STATE (32 - 22) - 2/20/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 20

Hot teams
-- Oklahoma City won 15 of its last 17 games. Heat won 11 of its last 14 game (3-1-1 vs spread in last five).
-- Rockets won their last eight games (6-2 vs spread).

Cold Teams
-- Milwaukee lost 19 of its last 22 games. Nuggets lost last five games, are 0-6 vs spread in last six.
-- Golden State split its last six home games.

Series records
-- Nuggets won their last seven games with Milwaukee.
-- Thunder lost six of last seven games with Miami.
-- Rockets won 17 of last 20 games with Golden State.

Totals
-- Six of last nine Milwaukee games went over total.
-- Four of last five Heat-Thunder games went over.
-- Seven of last ten Golden State games stayed under.




NBA

Thursday, February 20

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 12 games when playing at home against Miami

8:00 PM
DENVER vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Denver's last 22 games
Denver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 14 games when playing Denver

10:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Houston's last 16 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing Houston
Golden State is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games at home


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NBA

Thursday, February 20

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Game of the Day: Heat at Thunder
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Miami Heat at Oklahoma City Thunder (-3.5, 205.5)

The Miami Heat attempt to avenge a 17-point loss to Oklahoma City when they visit the Thunder in Thursday’s nationally televised showdown. Kevin Durant scored 33 points when Oklahoma City posted a 112-95 victory in Miami on Jan. 29 while LeBron James scored 34 for the Heat. The two leading MVP candidates figure to be primed for the rematch, while Thunder guard Russell Westbrook is a game-time decision to return from his latest knee surgery.

The Heat are wrapping up a six-game road trip and have won six of their last seven games after recording a 117-106 road victory over Dallas on Tuesday. James scored a season-best 42 points on 16-of-23 shooting for his 50th career 40-point outing and he is averaging 38.3 points over the last three contests. Oklahoma City is playing for the first time since the All-Star break concluded and possesses the top record in the NBA. Durant is also on a roll and is averaging 40 points over the last three games and his 43-point outing against the Los Angeles Lakers on Feb. 13 was his eighth such outing of the season.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: The Thunder opened as 3.5-point home faves and the total opened 205.5.

POWER RANKINGS: Miami (-14.3) - Thunder (-14.5) + Home Court (-3.0) = Thunder -4.2

INJURY WATCH: Russell Westbrook, Thunder (Knee - Probable)

ABOUT THE HEAT (38-14 SU, 23-28-1 ATS, 31-21 O/U): James is third in the NBA in scoring (26.8) – Durant leads at 31.5 – and has played spectacularly since a dismal 13-point outing in a loss to lowly Utah on Feb. 8. A surprise scoring contributor in the victory over Dallas was journeyman forward Chris Andersen, who scored a season-best 18 points on 7-of-9 shooting as Miami pulled within 2 1/2 games of Eastern Conference-leading Indiana. “From here on out, we’ve got to take care of business and try and get that first spot back,” Andersen said afterward.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (43-12 SU, 32-23 ATS, 28-27 O/U): Westbrook has missed the last 27 games and Oklahoma City has thrived without him, going 20-7 during the stretch. The star point guard originally hurt his knee in last season’s playoffs against the Houston Rockets and he has experienced two setbacks – both requiring additional surgery – this season. Westbrook practiced with the squad on Wednesday and it will be interesting to see if coach Scott Brooks handles Westbrook cautiously to avoid another setback. Durant has stepped up with 20 30-point outings during Westbrook’s latest absence.

TRENDS:

* Over is 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Heat are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last six vs. NBA Southeast.
* Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last five Thursday games.

CONSENSUS: 52 percent of wagers are on the Heat +3.5.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, February 20

Miami at Oklahoma City, 8:00 ET
Miami: 19-32 ATS off a road win
Oklahoma City: 15-7 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread

Denver at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
Denver: 42-27 OVER in road games
Milwaukee: 11-2 OVER in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread

Houston at Golden State, 10:35 ET
Houston: n/a
Golden State: n/a

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NBA
Dunkel

Miami at Oklahoma City
The Heat head to Oklahoma City tonight carrying a 6-1 ATS record in the last 7 games versus the Thunder. Miami is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 20

Game 501-502: Miami at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 123.126; Oklahoma City 123.479
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3); Over

Game 503-504: Denver at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 108.847; Milwaukee 112.908
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 4; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 4 1/2; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+4 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Houston at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 124.193; Golden State 123.208
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 1; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 1; 212
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+1); Under

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FEBRUARY'S RECORD:

26- 19 *****

13- 12 DOUBLE PLAY

10- 6 TRIPLE PLAY


Thursday, February 20

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Denver - 8:00 PM ET Denver -4.5 500 *****
Milwaukee - Over 204 500

Miami - 8:00 PM ET Miami +3 500 *****
Oklahoma City - Under 206 500

Houston - 10:30 PM ET Houston -1.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Golden State - Over 212.5 500

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

LA Clippers at Memphis
The Clippers look to bounce back from their 113-103 home loss to San Antonio as they head to Memphis tonight with an 8-0 ATS record in their last 8 games following an upset loss as a favorite. LA is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21

Game 801-802: New Orleans at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 114.821; Charlotte 125.605
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 11; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 3; 192
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-3); Under

Game 803-804: Cleveland at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 117.312; Toronto 122.687
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 5 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 8 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+8 1/2); Over

Game 805-806: Dallas at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 120.115; Philadelphia 103.827
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 16 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 12 1/2; 212
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-12 1/2); Over

Game 807-808: New York at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 118.044; Orlando 114.103
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 4; 191
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 2 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-2 1/2); Under

Game 809-810: Atlanta at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 118.169; Detroit 117.152
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 218
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 4; 209
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+4); Over

Game 811-812: Denver at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 110.690; Chicago 125.021
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 14 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 7; 192
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7); Under

Game 813-814: LA Clippers at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 124.883; Memphis 121.413
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 1 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-1 1/2); Over

Game 815-816: San Antonio at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 117.651; Phoenix 123.942
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 6 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 1 1/2; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1 1/2); Under

Game 817-818: Utah at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 116.805; Portland 122.707
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 6; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 8; 202
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+8); Over

Game 819-820: Boston at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 114.394; LA Lakers 113.540
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 200
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+2); Under

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NBA

Friday, February 21

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Game of the Day: Spurs at Suns
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San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns (+1.5, 209.5)

The San Antonio Spurs look to finish the nine-game rodeo road trip in style when they wrap up the annual excursion against the Phoenix Suns on Friday. San Antonio is 6-2 on the trip to improve its NBA-best road mark to 22-7 and they resumed play after the All-Star break with back-to-back wins over the Los Angeles Clippers and Portland Trail Blazers despite the absence of All-Star point guard Tony Parker. Phoenix stands sixth in the Western Conference and is 18-9 at home.

Backup guard Patty Mills has been a force with Parker out and averaged 27 points against the Clippers and Trail Blazers to raise his average to 21 over the past seven games. He’s doing what Tony usually does in taking over in that fourth quarter,” swingman Danny Green said, aware that Mills scored 29 fourth-quarter points in the two victories. The Suns are 11 games above .500 to equal a season best and have defeated the Denver Nuggets and Boston Celtics since play resumed.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, KENS (San Antonio), FSN Arizona (Phoenix)

LINE HISTORY: Phoenix opened as a 1.5-point favorite but action on the Spurs flipped that spread to Suns +1.5. The total has climbed from 208.5 to 209.5.

POWER RANKINGS: Spurs (-12.5) - Suns (-8.3) + Home Court (-3.0) = Spurs -1.2

INJURY WATCH: Spurs - Kawhi Leonard (Prob - hand), Tim Duncan (Ques - rest), Aron Baynes (Ques - knee), Tony Parker (Out - hand). Suns - Eric Bledsoe (Out - knee).

ABOUT THE SPURS (40-15 SU, 27-28 ATS, 33-21 O/U): Small forward Kawhi Leonard is expected to return to the lineup after missing the past 13 games due to a broken finger. Leonard was averaging 11.6 points, 6.1 rebounds and 1.7 steals prior to his injury and San Antonio also missed his ability to shut down opposing forwards. The Spurs got center Tiago Splitter (shin) back against Portland and veteran guard Manu Ginobili (hamstring) recently returned as well. Parker is sidelined with injuries to his shin, groin, hand and back.

ABOUT THE SUNS (32-21 SU, 35-17-1 ATS, 29-23 O/U): Guard Gerald Green continues to excel as the fill-in starter with Eric Bledsoe (sidelined). Green is averaging 26 points over the last four games, including a career-best 36-point outing against Denver on Tuesday. Phoenix is 11-4 this season when Green scores 20 or more points and the journeyman is averaging 16.3 points in his 35 starts. Green has made multiple 3-pointers in five straight games and nine of the last 11.

TRENDS:

* Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Phoenix.
* Spurs are 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.
* Over is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings.
* Road team is 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings.

CONSENSUS: 64 percent of bets on Spurs -1.5 and 64 percent of bets on Over 209.5.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Friday, February 21

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New York's last 17 games
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Orlando's last 12 games
Orlando is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games

7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games at home
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
New Orleans is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Charlotte is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
Charlotte is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. TORONTO
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

7:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. DETROIT
Atlanta is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
Detroit is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. MEMPHIS
LA Clippers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games when playing Memphis
Memphis is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Memphis is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

8:00 PM
DENVER vs. CHICAGO
Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 15 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
Chicago is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver

9:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Phoenix's last 20 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Phoenix's last 11 games when playing at home against San Antonio

10:00 PM
UTAH vs. PORTLAND
Utah is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah's last 9 games
Portland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

10:30 PM
BOSTON vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
LA Lakers are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 21

Hot teams
-- Charlotte won six of its last nine games.
-- Mavericks won six of their last eight games.
-- Cavaliers won/covered their last six games. Toronto won three of its last four games.
-- Bulls won/covered their last four games.
-- Memphis won four of their last five games. Clippers won three of their last four.
-- Phoenix won 10 of its last 14 games. Spurs won seven of their last nine games.
-- Jazz won three of their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Pelicans lost three of their last four games.
-- Magic lost last three games, by 8-4-5 points. New York lost six of its last eight games.
-- 76ers lost their last nine games (2-7 vs spread).
-- Hawks lost their last seven games (0-6-1 vs spread). Detroit lost last three games, by 4-12-18 points.
-- Nuggets lost five of their last six games.
-- Trailblazers lost four of their last five games.
-- Lakers lost 23 of their last 28 games. Celtics lost three of their last four games.

Series records
-- Pelicans won eight of las ten games with Charlotte.
-- Knicks won their last eight games with Orlando.
-- 76ers lost eight of last ten games with Philly.
-- Raptors are 7-4 in their last eleven games with Cleveland.
-- Hawks won nine of last eleven games with Detroit.
-- Nuggets won seven of last eight games with Chicago.
-- Clippers lost five of last six games with Memphis.
-- Spurs won 11 of last 13 games with Phoenix.
-- Portland is 2-0 vs Utah this season, winning by 32-11 points.
-- Lakers won five of their last six games with Boston.

Totals
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Charlotte games.
-- Over is 14-1-1 in last sixteen NY-Orlando games.
-- Four of last five Philly games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Cleveland games stayed under.
-- 18 of 27 Atlanta road games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Chicago games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Clipper games went over the total.
-- Seven of Spurs' last eight games went over total.
-- Six of last eight Utah games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Boston games stayed under total.