The Bum's February's NBA POD's Stats, Trends, News, & Game of the Year !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Wednesday, February 26

Orlando at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Orlando: 5-18 ATS as a favorite
Philadelphia: 30-17 OVER in home games after playing a game as an underdog

Atlanta at Boston, 7:35 ET
Atlanta: 66-95 ATS in road games off a home loss
Boston: 40-20 ATS against Southeast division opponents

Cleveland at Oklahoma City, 8:05 ET
Cleveland: 10-21 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread
Oklahoma City: 20-9 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite

New Orleans at Dallas, 8:05 ET
New Orleans: 25-14 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more
Dallas: 6-16 ATS in home games after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games

LA Lakers at Memphis, 8:05 ET
LA Lakers: 12-4 ATS in road games after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games
Memphis: 10-25 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points

Golden State at Chicago, 8:05 ET
Golden State: 12-2 OVER when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points
Chicago: 32-47 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins

Detroit at San Antonio, 8:35 ET
Detroit: 4-15 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points
San Antonio: 11-2 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more

Phoenix at Utah, 9:05 ET
Phoenix: 10-2 ATS against Northwest division opponents
Utah: 38-18 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 200

Brooklyn at Portland, 10:05 ET
Brooklyn: 38-58 ATS after a game where they covered the spread
Portland: 18-7 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread

Houston at LA Clippers, 10:35 ET
Houston: 8-0 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games
LA Clippers: 5-16 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games

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[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Wednesday

February 26, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Spurs are 11-0 ATS (7.14 ppg) since Feb 18, 2012 with two or more days of rest after a game in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Pelicans are 10-0 OU (8.30 ppg) since Mar 03, 2010 with at least one day of rest if not an 8+ point dog, after a double digit loss in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least two.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Warriors are 0-10 OU (-14.10 ppg) since Dec 07, 2013 after Stephen Curry was the Warriors’ high scorer on the road.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Celtics are 10-0 ATS (9.05 ppg) since Feb 06, 2011 at home with at most one day of rest after a loss in which the percentage of their baskets that were assisted was at least ten percentage points lower than their season-to-date average.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Jazz are 0-8 OU (-14.56 ppg) since Feb 28, 2012 after Gordon Hayward scored fewer than 10 points the last two games.

-- The Spurs are 9-0 ATS (9.78 ppg) since Jan 18, 2012 after Daniel Green was the Spurs’ high scorer on the road.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday's Tips

February 25, 2014


Warriors at Bulls - 8:05 PM EST

Golden State: 35-22 SU, 27-27-3 ATS
Chicago: 30-26 SU, 28-28 ATS

The Warriors continue their six-game road swing on Wednesday, as Golden State looks for its fifth consecutive victory. Mark Jackson's club knocked off the Pistons on Monday as 3 ½-point favorites, 104-96 to remain undefeated since the All-Star break, while limiting each of their last four opponents to below 99 points. The Warriors overcame an early 16-point deficit the last time they faced the Bulls back on February 6 to rally for a 102-87 home triumph as six-point favorites.

The Bulls have won nine of their last 10 home matchups with Golden State, while holding the Warriors to 91 points or below eight times. Chicago is riding a four-game SU/ATS winning streak when playing without rest, as the Bulls are coming off Tuesday's victory at Atlanta. The Bulls have won three in a row at the United Center, with all three victories coming by double-digits, but Chicago has dropped each of its last two games in the role of a home underdog.

Suns at Jazz - 9:05 PM EST

Phoenix: 33-23 SU, 36-19-1 ATS
Utah: 20-36 SU, 25-28-3 ATS

The Suns and Jazz meet for the final time in the regular season as Utah goes for the series split. Following a pair of victories by Phoenix in November, the Jazz stunned the Suns right after Thanksgiving in the Valley, 112-104 to cash outright as 8 ½-point underdogs. Utah snapped a three-game skid in Monday's blowout of Boston, but the Jazz has lost and failed to cover in three of their last four opportunities as a home underdog.

Phoenix will be playing on no rest following Tuesday's home defeat to Minnesota, as Wednesday's game is the lone road venture for the Suns in a nine-game span. Jeff Hornacek's team has fared well on the second of a back-to-back, posting a 7-2 SU/ATS record since losing at home to Utah in late November. In the role of a road favorite, the Suns have shined with a 4-1 SU/ATS record, while scoring at least 112 points in all four wins in this situation.

Nets at Blazers - 10:05 PM EST

Brooklyn: 26-28 SU, 27-27 ATS
Portland: 39-18 SU, 31-26 ATS

The Blazers continue to play without All-Star forward LaMarcus Aldridge, who is suffering from a groin injury. Portland owns a 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS record with Aldridge out, as the Blazers go for the season sweep of the Nets. The previous matchup between these two teams came back in November at the Barclays Center, as Portland cruised past Brooklyn, 108-98, as the Blazers played with no rest. Terry Stotts' club is in that rest situation again following Tuesday's win at Denver, as Portland is just 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS the last four games on the second of a back-to-back after beginning the season 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS the first 11 opportunities in this scenario.

The Nets look to capitalize off Sunday's road favorite triumph over the Lakers, as Brooklyn has now alternated wins and losses in each of its last five trips to the court. Jason Kidd's team has lost each of their past three games as an away underdog, while scoring 96 points or fewer in eight of their previous nine opportunities in the road 'dog role. The Nets have taken care of business against unrested clubs since December, posting a 6-1 SU/ATS record when facing teams on the second of a back-to-back.

Rockets at Clippers - 10:35 PM EST

Houston: 39-18 SU, 30-25-2 ATS
Los Angeles: 39-20 SU, 33-26 ATS

Both teams are on the verge of 40 victories, as the Rockets wrap up a five-game West Coast swing. Houston heads to Southern California after Tuesday's blowout of Sacramento, as the Rockets have won nine of their past 10 games. Kevin McHale's team is listed as a road underdog for the first time since a January 29 victory at Dallas, a game played without top scorer James Harden. Houston's offense continues to scorch opponents by eclipsing the 101-point mark in eight of the last nine games, but that has resulted in only five 'overs.'

The Clippers return home following consecutive victories at Oklahoma City and New Orleans, as Los Angeles has now drilled the 'over' in eight of the past nine games. Los Angeles has given up at least 105 points in eight of the last nine, while allowing at least 113 points in each of its past two home contests against Portland and San Antonio. This season, the Clips have beaten the Rockets twice, with both meetings coming back in November. The last time Houston invaded Staples Center on November 4, the Rockets gave up a whooping 137 points, the second-most scored in regulation by a team this season.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday, February 26

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Orlando - 7:00 PM ET Philadelphia +3.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Philadelphia - Over 215 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Atlanta - 7:30 PM ET Boston -3 500
Boston - Under 204.5 500

New Orleans - 8:00 PM ET Dallas -7 500 *****
Dallas - Under 204.5 500

L.A. Lakers - 8:00 PM ET Memphis -11.5 500
Memphis - Over 198.5 500 *****

Cleveland - 8:00 PM ET Oklahoma City -14.5 500
Oklahoma City - Under 205 500

Detroit - 8:30 PM ET San Antonio -10.5 500
San Antonio - Under 210.5 500 *****

Phoenix - 9:00 PM ET Utah -2 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Utah - Under 200 500

Brooklyn - 10:00 PM ET Brooklyn +2.5 500
Portland - Over 207.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Houston - 10:30 PM ET Houston +5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
L.A. Clippers - Over 222 500

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 27

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MILWAUKEE (11 - 45) at INDIANA (43 - 13) - 2/27/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 23-33 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 21-31 ATS (-13.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
MILWAUKEE is 300-362 ATS (-98.2 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MILWAUKEE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-30 ATS (-21.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
INDIANA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games this season.
INDIANA is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (29 - 28) at TORONTO (32 - 25) - 2/27/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 76-60 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 25-8 ATS (+16.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 50-35 ATS (+11.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 8-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (21 - 36) at MIAMI (40 - 14) - 2/27/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 24-33 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
MIAMI is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 59-40 ATS (+15.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-6 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-5 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
10 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (26 - 29) at DENVER (25 - 31) - 2/27/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 27

Hot teams
-- Pacers won three of last four games, are 2-5-1 vs spread in last eight.
-- Raptors won six of their last seven games. Washington won its last four games, is over .500 (29-28).
-- Miami won eight of last nine games (4-0-1 vs spread in last five).

Cold Teams
-- Bucks lost six of last eight games, but covered four of last five.
-- Knicks lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Denver lost eight of its last nine games. Nets lost five of last seven road games; they lost by 44 last night.

Series records
-- Pacers won their last four games with Milwaukee.
-- Raptors won their last four games with Washington.
-- Knicks won four of last six games with Miami.
-- Nuggets won seven of last nine games with Brooklyn.

Totals
-- Four of last five Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Raptor-Wizard games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven New York games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Denver game stayed under the total.




NBA

Thursday, February 27

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. INDIANA
Milwaukee is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. TORONTO
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Washington's last 18 games on the road
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Toronto is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. MIAMI
New York is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
New York is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against New York
Miami is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against New York

10:30 PM
BROOKLYN vs. DENVER
Brooklyn is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games
Denver is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games


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NBA

Thursday, February 27

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Game of the Day: Knicks at Heat
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New York Knicks at Miami Heat (-10, 202)

LeBron James and Raymond Felton are both expected to be on the court when the New York Knicks visit the Miami Heat on Thursday. James missed Sunday’s win over the Chicago Bulls after suffering a broken nose in a win over the Oklahoma City Thunder last week and will play with a protective mask. Felton was arrested in New York on Tuesday on gun charges after his wife turned in an unregistered loaded firearm to the police.

Felton’s legal troubles are the last thing the Knicks need as they try to bust out of their latest lengthy slump. Carmelo Anthony is averaging 35.7 points the last 10 games but New York is just 2-8 in that span and inconsistent production from Felton and the rest of the guard rotation is one reason for the drought. The Heat have won five straight and are 11-2 in their last 13 games while making a move toward the top spot in the Eastern Conference, where the Indiana Pacers enjoy a two-game lead.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: Miami opened as high as -10.5 and is now at -10. The total opened at 202 points.

POWER RANKINGS: Knicks (-3.8) - Heat (-14.5) + Home court (-3.0) = Heat -13.7

INJURY WATCH: Knicks - Carmelo Anthony (Prob. Personal), Raymond Felton (Prob. Disciplinary). Miami - LeBron James (Prob. - Nose).

ABOUT THE KNICKS (21-36 SU, 24-33 ATS, 32-25 O/U): Felton was back at practice on Wednesday and had little to say about the incident or his impending court date. “This is not a distraction to this team,” Felton told reporters. “I’m focusing on finishing out this season, finishing out these games with my teammates.” Felton managed eight points and seven assists while Anthony had his third outing of 40 or more points in the last four games only to have New York drop a 110-108 decision at home to the Dallas Mavericks on Monday when Dirk Nowitzki’s last-second shot bounced around the rim and fell through.

ABOUT THE HEAT (40-14 SU, 25-28-1 ATS, 31-23 O?U): James tested out his new mask as a full participant in practice on Wednesday and made it through the contact drills with no issues. “It’s still uncomfortable, but I still have to wear it,” James told reporters of the mask. “It gets hot under there, and it fogs up, but I’ve worn one before. I’ve been hit, but it lessens the impact.” James was on fire before suffering the broken nose and is averaging 37 points, 9.5 rebounds and 5.3 assists in the last four games.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Miami.
* Under is 13-4-1 in the last 18 meetings.
* Favorite is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
* Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

CONSENSUS: 59 percent of bets are on Miami -10.


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NBA

Thursday, February 27

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Zombie Team: Trip East could raise Jazz from the dead
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Sometimes in sports betting, a team can be so bad that the market severely discounts its odds and it actually becomes a good bet. We call those “Zombie Teams”.

Each week, we unleash our favorite “Zombie Team” on the bookies, explaining just how these terrible teams have come back from the betting dead and are biting books with hidden value.

This week’s Zombie Team: Utah Jazz (20-36 SU, 25-28-3 ATS)

Being bad in the Western Conference should come with an asterisk next to your record. The Jazz sit at the bottom of the Northwest Division with just 20 wins, but go through the gauntlet every week against quality Western rivals.

If Utah was in the East, 20 wins would have it in the playoff race – and it would likely have more than 20 wins if the Jazz were going up against the weaker conference more often than not. NBA bettors can put that theory to the test this week when the Jazz hit the road for a six-game Eastern Conference trip, starting in Cleveland Friday night.

The Jazz have already begun to show “Zombie Team” potential, covering in two of their last three games before Wednesday’s home date with the Phoenix Suns. Utah is 8-11-1 ATS versus Eastern Conference opposition this season and will have underdog status in just about every stop on this trip – save for Milwaukee and Philadelphia.

Utah gets a Cavaliers team with its star player planning his escape, the Pacers playing the second of a back-to-back after a traveling from Boston, the Bucks (who are actually a Zombie Team on the way out), the Wizards without their top interior defender, the Knicks quitting on their head coach, and finally the 76ers, who are home underdogs to the Magic Tuesday - Nuff said.

Despite their current place in the standings, the Jazz are still working hard and having fun. Rookie center Rudy Gobert was recently razzed by his teammate with the ole’ popcorn in the car prank and leading scorer Gordon Hayward is putting in extra time to get his shot back on track after some struggles from the floor. Utah was also one of the teams mentioned frequently in trade deadline talks but now that all those rumors are over, the players can focus on the home stretch of the season.

A chance to get away from Salt Lake City and the grind of the Western Conference schedule could breathe new life into the Jazz and have this potential “Zombie Team” rising from the dead when it comes to covering the spread.


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NBA

Thursday, February 27

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Heat's revived defense could open the door for NBA Unders
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Defense wins championships, and if that’s the case then we may as well give the Miami Heat their third straight Larry O’Brien Trophy.

Miami is locking it down on defense following the All-Star break, a practice that’s becoming the norm for this dynasty in the making. Miami has allowed just 81 and 79 points in wins over the Oklahoma City Thunder and Chicago Bulls respectively, playing Under the total in both contests.

"We're starting to put it together defensively,'' forward Chris Bosh told reporters following Sunday’s 93-79 win over the Bulls. ''We got off to a slow start early in the season, but I think right now we're starting to get it, starting to click.''

This recent swing in defensive intensity and Miami’s renewed focus, could give added value to the Under in the Heat’s upcoming contests. And with games against three of the league’s worst offensive teams - Knicks, Magic, and Bobcats - perhaps the Under has a better than average chance of continuing its run.

As mentioned, these performances have some precedent. The Heat allowed more than 96 points only twice in the 10 games following the All-Star break last season with the O/U going 4-5-1. The season prior, the Under paid out in seven of the 10 games post Valentine’s Day (there was no All-Star Game in the strike-shortened season) with Miami allowing just 90 points per game in that span.

During that 2011-12 season, the Heat were especially hungry after losing the NBA title the previous spring. The result was a defense that allowed just 92.5 points per game and boasted a 25-39-2 Over/Under record. Last year, the Heat were in the midst of their 27-game winning streak following the All-Star Game, laying waste to pretty much anyone who stepped in front of them.

This year, it seems the experienced Heat were taking it easy in the first half of the schedule. They currently sit second in the Eastern Conference, two games back of the Indiana Pacers, and are allowing over 98 points per game while averaging 104.1 themselves. That’s led to a 31-23 O/U record through 54 games - a trend that could be flipped on its ear if Miami finds it championship form in the home stretch of the season.

The Heat host the New York Knicks Thursday night. The early odds in Las Vegas have the suggested total at 202 points. The Under has been the smart play when these teams meet, going 4-13-1 Over/Under in their previous 18 encounters.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Thursday, February 27

Pistons bad beat of the Spurs had bettors shocked

The Detroit Pistons were already out of the game when Peyton Siva drained a meaningless three with five seconds left in the game. However, that meaningless three meant that the Pistons covered the 10.5-point spread by a half-point.

Siva only played in the final 40 seconds of the game for the Pistons and drained his only field goal attempt.

The last-second cover means the Pistons are now a perfect 3-0 ATS when they are double-digit dogs this season.


LeBron James, Miami Heat - Prob Thurs

Miami Heat forward LeBron James suffered a broken nose February 20th against the Thunder and has not played since. He was a full participant in practice Wednesday, wearing a protective mask, and is expected to play Thursday against the Knicks.


Anthony Davis, New Orleans - day-to-day

Davis left Wednesday's game against the Mavericks due to a shoulder injury and is questionable to return.


Pacers and Bucks have biggest spread all season

The Indiana Pacers and the Milwaukee Bucks will both be facing the largest spread of the NBA season when they face-off Thursday.

The Pacers have opened at 15.5 home favorites against the lowly Bucks Thursday.


Wizards have not been able to cover in Toronto

The Washington Wizards have been a phenomenal road play against the spread this season, but they still struggle when they visit Toronto. In the past seven visits to Toronto the Wizards are 1-6 ATS.

The Wizards opened as a 5.5-point road dog for their game against the Raptors Thursday.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Brooklyn at Denver
The Nuggets (25-31) host a Brooklyn team that is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games against a team with a losing SU record. Brooklyn is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Nets favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-1). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 27

Game 501-502: Milwaukee at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 108.908; Indiana 122.069
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 13; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 16; 197
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+16); Under

Game 503-504: Washington at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 117.999; Toronto 126.296
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 8 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 5; 197
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-5); Over

Game 505-506: New York at Miami (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 117.150; Miami 124.813
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 7 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 9 1/2; 202
Dunkel Pick: New York (+9 1/2); Under

Game 507-508: Brooklyn at Denver (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 119.000; Denver 112.163
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 7; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 1; 202
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-1); Over

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Thursday

February 27, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Raptors are 10-0 ATS (6.30 ppg) since Dec 19, 2012 with at most one day of rest after a game on the road in which they scored more than 30% of their points from the three-point line.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Knicks are 10-0 OU (13.40 ppg) since Jan 16, 2014 after a game in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Wizards are 10-0 ATS (8.15 ppg) since Apr 15, 2013 on the road after John Wall was the Wizards’ high scorer at home.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Bucks are 0-13-1 OU (-14.68 ppg) since Mar 24, 2000 as a dog after playing on the road when they had at least ten more assists in their previous game than in the game before.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Heat are 7-0 OU (15.71 ppg) since Mar 30, 2012 after Chris Bosh was the Heat’s high scorer in a home win.

-- The Wizards are 6-0 ATS (6.58 ppg) since Dec 18, 2013 on the road after Bradley Beal shot better than 50% from the arc.

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday's Tips

February 26, 2014


Bucks at Pacers - 7:05 PM EST

Milwaukee: 11-45 SU, 23-33 ATS
Indiana: 43-13 SU, 33-22-1 ATS

The Bucks are playing better, in spite of owning the league's worst record. Milwaukee is coming off a 20-point blowout of Philadelphia on Monday, improving to 8-2 ATS the last 10 games. Larry Drew's club has allowed at least 100 points in eight straight contests, including Saturday's 110-100 home defeat to the Pacers. Milwaukee has hit the 'over' in three of the last four away contests, while posting a 3-1 ATS record in the past four highway ventures as double-digit underdogs.

The Pacers overcame a slow start in Monday's rout of the Lakers, 118-98 as 13 ½-point favorites. Indiana is just 2-5-1 ATS the last eight contests, but Frank Vogel's team has compiled a 4-1 SU/ATS home record against division foes. The Pacers have fared well as a home favorite of at least nine points since mid-January, posting a 7-3-1 ATS mark, while limiting six of the last eight opponents at home to 98 points or less.

Wizards at Raptors - 7:05 PM EST

Washington: 29-28 SU, 31-25-1 ATS
Toronto: 32-25 SU, 34-22-1 ATS

The Raptors have owned the Wizards this season by beating Washington three times. The last two victories came at the Verizon Center, including a 103-93 triumph on February 18 as 2 ½-point underdogs. Since that defeat, the Wizards have won four consecutive games, although all four victories came against teams currently below .500 (Magic, Pelicans, Cavaliers, and Hawks). Since December, Washington has covered a remarkable 15 of 18 games on the highway, including six in a row.

Toronto has won six of its last seven games, while limiting its past six opponents to 94 points or fewer. Dwane Casey's club is 5-1 SU and 3-2-1 ATS the previous six games at the Air Canada Center, while winning nine of the past 10 home contests against Eastern Conference foes. The Raptors and Wizards have finished 'under' the total in seven of the last eight meetings, including four in a row at the ACC.

Knicks at Heat - 8:05 PM EST

New York: 21-36 SU, 24-33 ATS
Miami: 40-14 SU, 25-28-1 ATS

Things have officially fallen apart for New York's basketball team, as the Knicks have lost nine of their last 11 contests to fall 15 games below .500. New York found a way to cover as 2 ½-point home underdogs in Monday's buzzer-beating loss to Dallas, as Mike Woodson's team is 4-7 ATS since the start of February. The Knicks have split two meetings with the Heat this season, as Miami won at Madison Square Garden, 106-91 as 4 ½-point favorites on February 1.

LeBron James is expected to return to the Heat lineup after suffering a nose injury in last Thursday's blowout of the Thunder. Miami did quite alright without its MVP in Sunday's 93-79 win over Chicago as five-point favorites, the fifth victory in a row and the eighth in nine games in the month of February. Erik Spoelstra's team has covered four of their past five games as double-digit favorites dating back to December, but the Heat lost both home meetings with the Knicks last season.

Nets at Nuggets - 10:35 PM EST

Brooklyn: 26-29 SU, 27-28 ATS
Denver: 25-31 SU, 23-33 ATS

The Nets play the sixth of a seven-game road swing on Thursday, as Brooklyn heads to Denver with no rest. Jason Kidd's team owns a dreadful 3-10 SU and 6-7 ATS record on the second of a back-to-back, coming off Wednesday's blowout loss at Portland. The Nets were blown out by the Nuggets at home in December, 111-87, but that was a different Denver team than what is currently taking the court.

Brian Shaw's club has won just five of their past 18 games, while allowing at least 100 points in 18 of the last 20 contests. The Nuggets haven't lost three successive home games this season, while going 3-0 at the Pepsi Center off a pair of home defeats. Denver has burned bettors over the last month, covering just once in the last 10 games, including a 1-6 ATS record at home. The Nuggets have had success at home against the Nets recently, winning each of the past six meetings at Pepsi Center since 2008.

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, February 27

Milwaukee at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Milwaukee: 21-31 ATS as an underdog
Indiana: 19-10 ATS as a home favorite

Washington at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Washington: 20-8 ATS in road games
Toronto: 18-9 OVER after 1 or more consecutive unders

NY Knicks at Miami, 8:00 ET
NY Knicks: 10-20 ATS as an underdog
Miami: 34-18 ATS second half of the season

Brooklyn at Denver, 10:35 ET
Brooklyn: 5-15 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5
Denver: 44-25 ATS off a home loss against a division rival

[StarDust Bum]

February's record:

34- 25 *****

20- 18 double play

11- 11 triple play

0 - 1 nba goy


Thursday, February 27

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Milwaukee - 7:00 PM ET Milwaukee +15 500
Indiana - Over 196.5 500

Washington - 7:00 PM T Washington +5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Toronto - Over 197 500

New York - 8:00 PM ET Miami -9 500 *****
Miami - Under 202 500

Brooklyn - 10:30 PM ET Denver +2 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Denver - Under 202 500

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Utah at Cleveland
The Cavaliers come into tonight's contest against the Jazz following a 114-104 win over Oklahoma City and carrying a 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Cleveland is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 28

Game 801-802: Utah at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 113.545; Cleveland 121.985
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 8 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 4 1/2; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-4 1/2); Under

Game 803-804: Memphis at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 119.740; Oklahoma City 120.740
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6; 192
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+6); Over

Game 805-806: Golden State at New York (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 123.947; New York 115.913
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 8; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 6; 201
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-6); Over

Game 807-808: Charlotte at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 121.317; San Antonio 122.903
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 1 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 809-810: Chicago at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 126.517; Dallas 120.021
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 6 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 4 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-4 1/2); Over

Game 811-812: New Orleans at Phoenix (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 113.394; Phoenix 120.661
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 813-814: Sacramento at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 114.916; LA Lakers 114.672
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 206
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, February 28

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UTAH (21 - 36) at CLEVELAND (23 - 36) - 2/28/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (32 - 24) at OKLAHOMA CITY (43 - 15) - 2/28/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 83-66 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 72-57 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against Southwest division opponents this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 83-66 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 10-5 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 8-7 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (35 - 23) at NEW YORK (21 - 37) - 2/28/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 59-89 ATS (-38.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
NEW YORK is 59-41 ATS (+13.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 24-34 ATS (-13.4 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-0 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 2-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (27 - 30) at SAN ANTONIO (41 - 16) - 2/28/2014, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (31 - 26) at DALLAS (36 - 23) - 2/28/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 80-60 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) against Central division opponents this season.
DALLAS is 436-369 ATS (+30.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 2-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (23 - 34) at PHOENIX (33 - 24) - 2/28/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (20 - 37) at LA LAKERS (19 - 39) - 2/28/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 5-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 6-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 28

Hot teams
-- Memphis won five of its last six games.
-- Warriors won four of their last five games.
-- Dallas won 10 of last 12 games. Bulls won seven of their last eight.
-- Bobcats won last four games, are 6-1-1 vs spread in last eight. Spurs won four of their last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Cleveland lost three of its last four games. Jazz lost four of their last five road games.
-- Thunder is 0-3 since Russell Westbrook returned to lineup.
-- Knicks lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Sacramento covered twice in its last eight games (3-5 SU). Lakers lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Pelicans lost seven of their last eight games. Phoenix lost last three.

Series records
-- Cavaliers won last two games with Utah, after losing previous six.
-- Grizzlies won five of last seven games with Oklahoma City.
-- Warriors won six of last eight games with New York.
-- Bulls lost three of last four visits to Dallas, by 1-7-2 points.
-- Spurs won eight of last nine games with Charlotte (5-3-1 vs spread).
-- Lakers won their last four games with Sacramento.
-- Suns won six of last eight games with New Orleans.

Totals
-- Last six Utah road games stayed under total.
-- Last four Memphis games went over the total.
-- Last five Golden State games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Dallas games went over total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Charlotte games.
-- Five of last six Laker games went over the total.
-- Four of last five New Orleans games stayed under.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Friday, February 28

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
UTAH vs. CLEVELAND
Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games
Cleveland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

8:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Memphis's last 20 games
Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Memphis

8:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games on the road
Golden State is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
New York is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New York's last 10 games at home

8:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. DALLAS
Chicago is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago

8:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. SAN ANTONIO
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Charlotte is 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of San Antonio's last 17 games when playing Charlotte
San Antonio is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home

10:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. PHOENIX
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Phoenix's last 12 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing New Orleans

10:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Sacramento is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of the LA Lakers last 22 games when playing Sacramento