The Bum's NFL Playoff POD'S, STAT'S NEWS PLAYOFF GOY !!

[StarDust Bum]

SEAHAWKS/BRONCOS
OVER
37.5
-
340
SEAHAWKS/BRONCOS
UNDER
37.5
+280
SEAHAWKS/BRONCOS
OVER
42.5
-
180
SEAHAWKS/BRONCOS
UNDE
R
42.5
+160
SEAHAWKS/BRONCOS
OVER
54.5
+220
SEAHAWKS/BRONCOS
UNDER
54.5
-
260
SEAHAWKS/BRONCOS
OVER
61.5
+375
SEAHAWKS/BRONCOS
UNDER
61.5
-
450
-----------------------------------------------------------
**Players must
play in individual props for action**
THE FOLLOWING PROPOSITIONS MAY BE PARLAYED UP TO 2 TEAMERS
OPENING COIN TOSS WILL BE:
HEADS
-
103
TAILS
-
103
WILL EITHER TEAM SCORE 3 STRAIGHT TIMES?
**Excludes extra points and 2 point
conversions
***Includes safeties
YES
-
175
NO
+155
WILL EITHER TEAM SCORE IN THE FIRST 6 1/2 MINUTES OF THE GAME?
**(Includes safety)
YES
-
110
NO
-
110
WILL EITHER TEAM SCORE IN THE FINAL 2 MINUTES OF
THE FIRST HALF?
**(Includes safety)
**(If score happens with exactly 2 minutes remaining in First Half
-
Yes is the winner)
YES
-
240
NO
+200
WILL EITHER TEAM SCORE IN THE FINAL 3 1/2 MINUTES OF THE GAME?
**(Includes safety)
**(In
cludes Overtime)
YES
-
160
NO
+140
TEAM TO HAVE THE FIRST PENALTY:
**(Declined Penalties Do Not Count)
SEAHAWKS
-
110
BRONCOS
-
110
MOST PENALTY YARDS
**(Declined penalties do not count)
SEAHAWKS
-
120
BRON
COS
EVEN
WILL BOTH TEAMS MAKE 33 YARD OR LONGER FIELD GOALS?
**(If no Field Goal is made, no is the winner)
YES
+175
NO
-
200
TOTAL QB SACKS BY: BOTH TEAMS
OVER
4.5
+140
UNDER
4.5
-
160
TEAM TO USE COACHE
S CHALLENGE FIRST
**(Official Challenges from the league are excluded)
SEAHAWKS
-
110
BRONCOS
-
110
RUSSELL WILSON (SEA) FIRST PASS WILL BE:
**(Interception is incomplete)
COMPLETE
-
170
INCOMPLETE
+150
WILL
RUSSELL WILSON (
SEA) THROW AN INTERCEPTION?
YES
-
125
NO
+105
RUSSELL WILSON (SEA) FIRST RUSHING ATTEMPT
**(If No Rush Attempt
-
Under is the winner)
OVER
5.5
EVEN
UNDER
5.5
-
120
MARSHAWN LYNCH (SEA) FIRST RUSHING ATTEMPT
**(If No
Rush Attempt
-
Under is the winner)
OVER
3.5
+110
UNDER
3.5
-
130
ROBERT TURBIN (SEA) FIRST RUSHING ATTEMPT
**(If No Rush Attempt
-
Under is the winner)
OVER
3.5
+130
UNDER
3.5
-
150
PERCY HARVIN (SEA) FIRST RECEPTION
**(If No Re
ception
-
Under is the winner)
OVER
10.5
+110
UNDER
10.5
-
130
GOLDEN TATE (SEA) FIRST RECEPTION
**(If No Reception
-
Under is the winner)
OVER
11.5
EVEN
UNDER
11.5
-
120
DOUG BALDWIN (SEA) FIRST RECEPTION
**(If No Reception
-
Under is
the winner)
OVER
11.5
-
110
UNDER
11.5
-
110
ZACH MILLER (SEA) FIRST RECEPTION
**(If No Reception
-
Under is the winner)
OVER
9.5
+120
UNDER
9.5
-
140
JERMAINE KEARSE (SEA) FIRST RECEPTION
**(If No Reception
-
Under is the winner)
O
VER
11.5
+110
UNDER
11.5
-
130
MARSHAWN LYNCH (SEA) FIRST RECEPTION
**(If No Reception
-
Under is the winner)
OVER
4.5
-
145
UNDER
4.5
+125
FIRST GROSS PUNT BY: JON RYAN (SEA)
(If no punt
---
all bets are refunded)
**Must be an off
icial punt
OVER
41.5
EVEN
UNDER
41.5
-
120
WILL FIRST KICKOFF BY STEVEN HAUSCHKA (SEA) RESULT IN A TOUCHBACK?
(If no Kickoff
---
all bets are refunded)
YES
+155
NO
-
175
PEYTON MANNING (DEN) FIRST PASS WILL BE:
**(Int
erception is incomplete)
COMPLETE
-
190
INCOMPLETE
+170
WILL PEYTON MANNING (DEN) THROW AN INTERCEPTION?
YES
-
200
NO
+175
KNOWSHON MORENO (DEN) FIRST RUSHING ATTEMPT
**(If No Rush Attempt
-
Under is the winner)
OVER
3.5
+125
UNDER
3.5
-
145
MONTEE BALL (DEN) FIRST RUSHING ATTEMPT
**(If No Rush Attempt
-
Under is the winner)
OVER
3.5
+115
UNDER
3.5
-
135
DEMARYIUS THOMAS (DEN) FIRST RECEPTION
**(If No Reception
-
Under is the winner)
OVER
10.5
-
110
UNDER
10.5
-
110
WES WELKER (DEN) FIRST RECEPTION
**(If No Reception
-
Under is the winner)
OVER
7.5
-
130
UNDER
7.5
+110
ERIC DECKER (DEN) FIRST RECEPTION
**(If No Reception
-
Under is the winner)
OVER
10.5
-
110
UNDE
R
10.5
-
110
JULIUS THOMAS (DEN) FIRST RECEPTION
**(If No Reception
-
Under is the winner)
OVER
9.5
-
110
UNDER
9.5
-
110
KNOWSHON MORENO (DEN) FIRST RECEPTION
**(If No Reception
-
Under is the winner)
OVER
6.5
-
120
UNDER
6.5
EVEN
MONTEE BALL (DEN) FIRST RECEPTION
**(If No Reception
-
Under is the winner)
OVER
4.5
-
145
UNDER
4.5
+125
FIRST GROSS PUNT BY: BRITTON COLQUITT (DEN)
(If no punt
---
all bets are refunded)
**Must be an official punt
OVER
42.5
-
11
0
UNDER
42.5
-
110
WILL FIRST KICKOFF BY MATT PRATER (DEN) RESULT IN A TOUCHBACK?
YES
+150
NO
-
170
SHORTEST TD OF GAME
**If no td is scored
--
all bets are refunded
**Includes all returns
***Fumble recovery in end zone
--
und
er is the winner
OVER
1.5
EVEN
UNDER
1.5
-
120
----------------------------------------------------------
S
B
XLVIII PROPOSITIONS
***STRAIGHT BETS ONLY
---
NO PARLAYS ON THESE PROPS
**Players must play in individual props for action**
WILL EITHER TEAM SCORE 4 STRAIGHT TIMES?
**Excludes extra points and 2 point conversions
***Includes safeties
YES
+240
NO
-
280
TEAM TO SCORE FIRST
SEAHAWKS
-
105
BRONCOS
-
115
TEAM TO SCORE LAST
SEAHAWKS
-
110
BRONCOS
-
110
LONGEST MADE FIELD GOAL OF GAME
**(If no FG is made
--
all bets are refunded)
OVER
43.5
-
110
UNDER
43.5
-
110
SHORTEST MADE FIELD GOAL OF GAME
**(If no FG is made
--
all bets are refunded)
OVER
24.5
-
120
UNDER
24.5
EVEN
TOTAL FIELD GOALS MADE BY: BOTH TEAMS
OVER
3.5
+130
UNDER
3.5
-
150
DISTANCE OF FIRST MADE FIELD GOAL OF GAME
**(If no FG is made
--
all bets are refunded)
OVER
33.5
-
125
UNDER
33.5
+105
TOTAL YARDAGE OF ALL MAD
E FIELD GOALS OF GAME
**(If no FG is made
--
all bets are refunded)
OVER
111.5
-
110
UNDER
111.5
-
110
WILL EITHER TEAM MAKE A FIELD GOAL IN THE FIRST QUARTER?
YES
EVEN
NO
-
120
WILL EITHER TEAM MAKE A FIELD GOAL IN THE S
ECOND QUARTER?
YES
-
270
NO
+230
WILL EITHER TEAM MAKE A FIELD GOAL IN THE THIRD QUARTER?
YES
-
125
NO
+105
WILL EITHER TEAM MAKE A FIELD GOAL IN THE FOURTH QUARTER?
YES
-
170
NO
+150
FIRST SCORE OF THE GAME WILL BE:
TOUCHDOWN
-
170
ANY OTHER SCORE
+150
LONGEST TD OF GAME
**(Includes all returns
-
If no TD is scored
--
all bets are refunded)
OVER
44.5
-
110
UNDER
44.5
-
110
TOTAL TOUCHDOWNS BY: BOTH TEAMS
OVER
5.5
+120
UNDER
5.5
-
140
FIRST TOUCHDOWN OF THE GAME WILL BE:
PASSING TD
-
170
ANY OTHER TD
+150
TOTAL YARDAGE OF ALL TOUCHDOWNS OF GAME
**(Includes all returns
-
If no TD is scored
--
all bets are refunded)
OVER
74.5
-
110
UNDER
74.5
-
110
WILL THE SEAHAWKS SCORE A TOUCHDOWN IN THE FIRST QUARTER?
YES
+130
NO
-
150
WILL THE SEAHAWKS SCORE A TOUCHDOWN IN THE SECOND QUARTER?
YES
-
150
NO
+130
WILL THE SEAHAWKS SCORE A TOU
CHDOWN IN THE THIRD QUARTER?
YES
+105
NO
-
125
WILL THE SEAHAWKS SCORE A TOUCHDOWN IN THE FOURTH QUARTER?
YES
-
155
NO
+135
WILL THE BRONCOS SCORE A TOUCHDOWN IN THE FIRST QUARTER?
YES
+1
20
NO
-
140
WILL THE BRONCOS SCORE A TOUCHDOWN IN THE SECOND QUARTER?
YES
-
180
NO
+160
WILL THE BRONCOS SCORE A TOUCHDOWN IN THE THIRD QUARTER?
YES
-
110
NO
-
110
WILL THE BRONCOS SCORE A
TOUCHDOWN IN THE FOURTH QUARTER?
YES
-
165
NO
+145
LARGEST LEAD OF THE GAME BY: EITHER TEAM
OVER
13.5
-
175
UNDER
13.5
+155
TOTAL NUMBER OF KICKOFF RETURNS BY: BOTH TEAMS
**(Returns only
--
Excludes Touchbacks, Out of
Bounds & Fair Catches)
OVER
6.0
-
170
UNDER
6.0
+150
TEAM TO SCORE LAST IN THE FIRST HALF:
SEAHAWKS
-
105
BRONCOS
-
115
LAST SCORE OF THE FIRST HALF WILL BE:
**(Conversions do not count)
TOUCHDOWN
EVEN
ANY OTHER SCORE
-
120
WILL THERE BE A SAFETY?
YES
+550
NO
-
800
WILL THERE BE OVERTIME?
YES
+600
NO
-
900
WILL THE GAME BE DECIDED BY EXACTLY 3 POINTS?
YES
+330
NO
-
400
WILL THE TEAM THAT S
CORES FIRST
--
WIN THE GAME?
YES
-
170
NO
+150
TOTAL INTERCEPTIONS BY: BOTH TEAMS
OVER
1.5
-
130
UNDER
1.5
+110
TOTAL FUMBLES LOST BY: BOTH TEAMS
OVER
1.5
+150
UNDER
1.5
-
170
WILL THERE BE A SPECIAL
TEAMS OR DEFENSIVE TOUCHDOWN?
YES
+160
NO
-
180
WILL THERE BE A SUCCESSFUL 2 POINT CONVERSION?
YES
+425
NO
-
550
WILL THE GAME BE TIED AFTER 0
-
0?
**Score is counted after the completion of extra point o
r 2 point conversion
***Example
--
Denver is up 6
-
0 and Seattle scores a TD to make it 6
-
6 and makes the extra point and
leads 7
-
6 and that is the final score
--
no would be the winner.
YES
+105
NO
-
125
FIRST TURNOVER OF THE GAME WI
LL BE:
INTERCEPTION
-
155
FUMBLE
+135
LAST SCORE OF THE GAME WILL BE:
TOUCHDOWN
-
200
ANY OTHER SCORE
+175
WILL AT LEAST 1 QUARTER BE SCORELESS?
**At least one quarter will have a 0
-
0 score
***Overtime quarters count
YES
+230
NO
-
270
TOTAL NUMBER OF DIFFERENT PLAYERS TO HAVE A PASSING ATTEMPT
**(2 Point conversions do not count)
OVER
2.5
+290
UNDER
2.5
-
350
TOTAL GROSS PASSING YARDS BY: RUSSELL WILSON (SEA)
OVER
211.5
-
110
UNDER
21
1.5
-
110
TOTAL COMPLETIONS BY:
RUSSELL WILSON (SEA)
**(If no Completions
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
16.5
-
110
UNDER
16.5
-
110
TOTAL PASS ATTEMPTS BY:
RUSSELL WILSON (SEA)
**(If no Pass Attempts
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
27.5
-
110
UNDER
27.5
-
110
RUSSELL WILSON (SEA) WILL HAVE MORE GROSS PASSING YARDS IN WHICH HALF:
**(Second Half includes overtime)
FIRST HALF
-
110
SECOND HALF
-
110
TOTAL RUSHING YARDS BY:
RUSSELL WILSON (SEA)
**(If no Rushing Attempt
--
Under is th
e winner)
OVER
30.5
-
110
UNDER
30.5
-
110
LONGEST RUSH BY: RUSSELL WILSON (SEA)
**(If no Rushing Attempt
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
11.5
+110
UNDER
11.5
-
130
LONGEST COMPLETION BY: RUSSELL WILSON (SEA)
**(If no Completion
--
Under
is the winner)
OVER
38.5
-
110
UNDER
38.5
-
110
TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: RUSSELL WILSON (SEA)
OVER
0.5
-
420
UNDER
0.5
+350
TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: RUSSELL WILSON (SEA)
OVER
1.5
+105
UNDER
1.5
-
125
TOTAL TOUC
HDOWN PASSES BY: RUSSELL WILSON (SEA)
OVER
2.5
+375
UNDER
2.5
-
450
WHAT WILL RUSSELL WILSON (SEA) THROW FIRST:
TD PASS
-
240
INTERCEPTION
+200
WILL RUSSELL WILSON (SEA) THROW A TOUCHDOWN PASS IN THE 1ST QUARTER?
YES
+240
NO
-
280
WILL RUSSELL WILSON (SEA) THROW A TOUCHDOWN PASS IN THE 2ND QUARTER?
YES
+155
NO
-
175
WILL RUSSELL WILSON (SEA) THROW A TOUCHDOWN PASS IN THE 3RD QUARTER?
YES
+210
NO
-
2
50
WILL RUSSELL WILSON (SEA) THROW A TOUCHDOWN PASS IN THE 4TH QUARTER?
**(Does not include overtime)
YES
+160
NO
-
180
DISTANCE OF FIRST RUSSELL WILSON (SEA) TOUCHDOWN PASS
**(If No TD Pass
--
All bets are refunded)
OVER
14
.5
-
110
UNDER
14.5
-
110
WILL RUSSELL WILSON (SEA) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES
+500
NO
-
700
TOTAL RUSHING YARDS BY: MARSHAWN LYNCH (SEA)
**(If no Rushing Attempt
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
92.5
-
110
UNDER
92.5
-
11
0
LONGEST RUSH BY: MARSHAWN LYNCH (SEA)
**(If no Rushing Attempt
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
17.5
-
110
UNDER
17.5
-
110
TOTAL RUSHING ATTEMPTS BY: MARSHAWN LYNCH (SEA)
**(If no Rushing Attempt
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
21.5
-
110
UNDER
21.5
-
110
WILL MARSHAWN LYNCH (SEA) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES
-
145
NO
+125
WILL MARSHAWN LYNCH (SEA) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN IN THE FIRST HALF?
YES
+180
NO
-
210
TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: MARSHAWN LYNCH
(SEA)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
13.5
-
110
UNDER
13.5
-
110
LONGEST RECEPTION BY: MARSHAWN LYNCH (SEA)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
8.5
-
130
UNDER
8.5
+110
TOTAL RECEPTIONS BY: MARSHAWN LY
NCH (SEA)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
1.5
-
140
UNDER
1.5
+120
TOTAL RUSHING YARDS BY: ROBERT TURBIN (SEA)
**(If no Rushing Attempt
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
10.5
-
110
UNDER
10.5
-
110
LONGEST RUSH BY: ROBER
T TURBIN (SEA)
**(If no Rushing Attempt
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
5.5
-
120
UNDER
5.5
EVEN
TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: PERCY HARVIN (SEA)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
45.5
-
110
UNDER
45.5
-
110
LONGEST RECEPTION
BY: PERCY HARVIN (SEA)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
20.5
-
110
UNDER
20.5
-
110
TOTAL RECEPTIONS BY: PERCY HARVIN (SEA)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
3.5
-
120
UNDER
3.5
EVEN
WILL PERCY HARVIN (S
EA) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES
+200
NO
-
240
WILL PERCY HARVIN (SEA) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN IN THE FIRST HALF?
YES
+400
NO
-
500
WILL PERCY HARVIN (SEA) HAVE A RUSHING ATTEMPT?
YES
-
175
NO
+155
TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: GOLDEN TATE (SEA)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
49.5
-
110
UNDER
49.5
-
110
LONGEST RECEPTION BY: GOLDEN TATE (SEA)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
20.5
-
110
UNDER
20.5
-
110
TOTAL RECEPTIONS BY: GOLDEN TATE (SEA)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
3.5
EVEN
UNDER
3.5
-
120
WILL GOLDEN TATE (SEA) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES
+200
NO
-
240
WILL GOLDEN TATE (SEA) SCORE A
TOUCHDOWN IN THE FIRST HALF?
YES
+400
NO
-
500
TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: DOUG BALDWIN (SEA)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
40.5
-
110
UNDER
40.5
-
110
LONGEST RECEPTION BY: DOUG BALDWIN (SEA)
**(If n
o Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
19.5
-
110
UNDER
19.5
-
110
TOTAL RECEPTIONS BY: DOUG BALDWIN (SEA)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
3.5
+130
UNDER
3.5
-
150
WILL DOUG BALDWIN (SEA) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES
+240
NO
-
280
TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: ZACH MILLER (SEA)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
24.5
-
110
UNDER
24.5
-
110
LONGEST RECEPTION BY: ZACH MILLER (SEA)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
13.5
-
110
UNDER
13.5
-
110
WILL ZACH MILLER (SEA) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES
+240
NO
-
280
TOTAL POINTS BY: STEVEN HAUSCHKA (SEA)
OVER
7.5
-
110
UNDER
7.5
-
110
TOTAL FIELD GOALS MADE BY: STEVEN HAUSCHKA (S
EA)
OVER
1.5
-
130
UNDER
1.5
+110
WILL JON RYAN (SEA) PUNT A TOUCHBACK?
(If Jon Ryan has zero punts
--
No is the winner)
**(Jon Ryan will punt and a touchback occurs)
YES
+200
NO
-
240
LONGEST GROSS PUN
T BY: JON RYAN (SEA)
(If no punts
---
all bets are refunded)
**Must be an official punt
OVER
51.5
+110
UNDER
51.5
-
130
SHORTEST GROSS PUNT BY: JON RYAN (SEA)
(If no punts
---
all bets are refunded)
**Must be an official punt
OVER
33.5
+110
UNDER
33.5
-
130
TOTAL PUNTS BY: JON RYAN (SEA)
(If no punts
---
under is winner)
**Must be an official punt
OVER
4.5
-
130
UNDER
4.5
+110
TOTAL NUMBER OF DIFFERENT SEAHAWKS TO HAVE A RUSHING ATTEMPT
**(Conversions do not count)
OVER
4.0
+125
UNDER
4.0
-
145
TOTAL NUMBER OF DIFFERENT SEAHAWKS TO HAVE A PASS RECEPTION
**(Conversions do not count)
OVER
7.5
+145
UNDER
7.5
-
165
TOTAL NUMBER OF DIFFERENT SEAHAWKS TO SCORE
**(Safety does not count
--
Includes kicke
r, 2 point conversions count)
OVER
3.5
+160
UNDER
3.5
-
180
WILL THE SEAHAWKS GET A RUSHING TOUCHDOWN?
YES
-
180
NO
+160
WILL THE SEAHAWKS GET A RUSHING TOUCHDOWN IN THE FIRST HALF?
YES
+150
NO
-
170
TOTAL FIRST DOWNS BY: SEAHAWKS
OVER
19.0
-
110
UNDER
19.0
-
110
TOTAL POINTS BY: SEAHAWKS
OVER
23.0
-
110
UNDER
23.0
-
110
TOTAL FIRST HALF POINTS BY: SEAHAWKS
OVER
11.5
-
110
UNDER
11.5
-
110
TOTAL FIRST
QUARTER POINTS BY: SEAHAWKS
OVER
3.5
-
110
UNDER
3.5
-
110
WHAT WILL HAPPEN FIRST:
**(Includes safety
--
Bet continues until Seahawks punt or score)
**(Must be official Punt)
SEAHAWKS SCORE
+150
SEAHAWKS PUNT
-
170
WILL THE SEAHAWKS SCOR
E IN ALL 4 QUARTERS?
**(Overtime does not count)
YES
+250
NO
-
300
TOTAL MADE THIRD DOWN CONVERSIONS BY: SEAHAWKS
**(3rd Down Conversion by Penalty does not count)
OVER
5.0
+120
UNDER
5.0
-
140
WILL THE SEAHAWKS C
ONVERT A 4TH DOWN ATTEMPT?
**(4th Down Conversion by Penalty does not count)
YES
+155
NO
-
175
TOTAL RUSHING YARDS BY: SEAHAWKS
OVER
129.5
-
110
UNDER
129.5
-
110
TOTAL QB SACKS BY: SEAHAWKS DEFENSE
OVER
1.5
+11
0
UNDER
1.5
-
130
DEFENSIVE PROPS SHOULD INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING STIPULATIONS:
Tackles include Defensive+Special Teams solo+assisted tackles.
SACKS DO NOT COUNT
---
Very important to stipulate this
NFL.com is used for the results of the Tackle pro
ps
TOTAL SOLO & ASSISTED TACKLES BY: BOBBY WAGNER (SEA)
**(Sacks do not count, Defensive+Special teams solo+assisted tackles count)
OVER
10.5
-
110
UNDER
10.5
-
110
TOTAL SOLO & ASSISTED TACKLES BY: EARL THOMAS (SEA)
**(Sacks do not count, D
efensive+Special teams solo+assisted tackles count)
OVER
7.5
-
110
UNDER
7.5
-
110
TOTAL SOLO & ASSISTED TACKLES BY: KAM CHANCELLOR (SEA)
**(Sacks do not count, Defensive+Special teams solo+assisted tackles count)
OVER
8.5
EVEN
UNDER
8.5
-
120
TOTAL SOLO & ASSISTED TACKLES BY: RICHARD SHERMAN (SEA)
**(Sacks do not count, Defensive+Special teams solo+assisted tackles count)
OVER
3.0
-
110
UNDER
3.0
-
110
TOTAL SOLO & ASSISTED TACKLES BY: BRUCE IRVIN (SEA)
**(Sacks d
o not count, Defensive+Special teams solo+assisted tackles count)
OVER
2.5
EVEN
UNDER
2.5
-
120
WILL RICHARD SHERMAN (SEA) INTERCEPT A PASS?
YES
+210
NO
-
250
WILL EARL THOMAS (SEA) INTERCEPT A PASS?
YES
+270
NO
-
330
WILL BYRON MAXWELL (SEA) INTERCEPT A PASS?
YES
+240
NO
-
280
--------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL GROSS PASSING YARDS BY: PEYTON MANNING (DEN)
OVER
286.5
-
110
UND
ER
286.5
-
110
TOTAL COMPLETIONS BY: PEYTON MANNING (DEN)
**(If no Completions
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
26.5
-
110
UNDER
26.5
-
110
TOTAL PASS ATTEMPTS BY: PEYTON MANNING (DEN)
**(If no Pass Attempts
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
41.5
-
110
UNDER
41.5
-
110
PEYTON MANNING (DEN) WILL HAVE MORE GROSS PASSING YARDS IN WHICH HALF:
**(Second Half includes overtime)
FIRST HALF
-
110
SECOND HALF
-
110
TOTAL RUSHING ATTEMPTS BY: PEYTON MANNING (DEN)
**(If no Rushing Attempt
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
1.5
+145
UNDER
1.5
-
165
LONGEST COMPLETION BY: PEYTON MANNING (DEN)
**(If no Completion
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
34.5
-
110
UNDER
34.5
-
110
TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: PEYTON MANNING (DEN)
OVER
1.5
-
200
UNDER
1.5
+175
TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: PEYTON MANNING (DEN)
OVER
2.0
+105
UNDER
2.0
-
125
TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: PEYTON MANNING (DEN)
OVER
2.5
+160
UNDER
2.5
-
180
WHAT WILL PEYTON MANNING (DEN) THRO
W FIRST:
TD PASS
-
240
INTERCEPTION
+200
WILL PEYTON MANNING (DEN) THROW A TOUCHDOWN PASS IN THE 1ST QUARTER?
YES
+160
NO
-
180
WILL PEYTON MANNING (DEN) THROW A TOUCHDOWN PASS IN THE 2ND QUARTER?
YES
-
120
NO
EVEN
WILL PEYTON MANNING (DEN) THROW A TOUCHDOWN PASS IN THE 3RD QUARTER?
YES
+165
NO
-
185
WILL PEYTON MANNING (DEN) THROW A TOUCHDOWN PASS IN THE 4TH QUARTER?
**(Does not include overtime)
YES
-
110
NO
-
110
DISTANCE OF FIRST PEYTON MANNING (DEN) TOUCHDOWN PASS
**(If No TD Pass
--
All bets are refunded)
OVER
12.5
-
110
UNDER
12.5
-
110
WILL PEYTON MANNING (DEN) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES
+1000
NO
-
20
00
TOTAL RUSHING YARDS BY: KNOWSHON MORENO (DEN)
**(If no Rushing Attempt
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
56.5
-
110
UNDER
56.5
-
110
LONGEST RUSH BY: KNOWSHON MORENO (DEN)
**(If no Rushing Attempt
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
13.5
-
120
UNDER
13.5
EVEN
TOTAL RUSHING ATTEMPTS BY: KNOWSHON MORENO (DEN)
**(If no Rushing Attempt
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
14.5
-
110
UNDER
14.5
-
110
WILL KNOWSHON MORENO (DEN) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES
+160
NO
-
180
WILL KN
OWSHON MORENO (DEN) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN IN THE FIRST HALF?
YES
+350
NO
-
420
TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: KNOWSHON MORENO (DEN)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
24.5
-
110
UNDER
24.5
-
110
LONGEST RECEPTION BY
: KNOWSHON MORENO (DEN)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
11.5
-
110
UNDER
11.5
-
110
TOTAL RECEPTIONS BY: KNOWSHON MORENO (DEN)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
2.5
-
140
UNDER
2.5
+120
TOTAL RUSHING YAR
DS BY: MONTEE BALL (DEN)
**(If no Rushing Attempt
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
36.5
-
110
UNDER
36.5
-
110
LONGEST RUSH BY: MONTEE BALL (DEN)
**(If no Rushing Attempt
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
10.5
-
120
UNDER
10.5
EVEN
TOTAL RUSH
ING ATTEMPTS BY: MONTEE BALL (DEN)
**(If no Rushing Attempt
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
9.5
-
110
UNDER
9.5
-
110
WILL MONTEE BALL (DEN) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES
+260
NO
-
310
TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: MONTEE BALL (DEN
)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
9.5
-
120
UNDER
9.5
EVEN
TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: DEMARYIUS THOMAS (DEN)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
72.5
-
110
UNDER
72.5
-
110
LONGEST RECEPTION BY: DEMARYIUS T
HOMAS (DEN)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
24.5
-
110
UNDER
24.5
-
110
TOTAL RECEPTIONS BY: DEMARYIUS THOMAS (DEN)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
5.0
-
125
UNDER
5.0
+105
WILL DEMARYIUS THOMAS (DEN)
SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES
+125
NO
-
145
WILL DEMARYIUS THOMAS (DEN) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN IN THE FIRST HALF?
YES
+290
NO
-
350
TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: WES WELKER (DEN)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner
)
OVER
54.5
-
110
UNDER
54.5
-
110
LONGEST RECEPTION BY: WES WELKER (DEN)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
18.5
-
110
UNDER
18.5
-
110
TOTAL RECEPTIONS BY: WES WELKER (DEN)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
5.5
EVEN
UNDER
5.5
-
120
WILL WES WELKER (DEN) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES
+155
NO
-
175
WILL WES WELKER (DEN) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN IN THE FIRST HALF?
YES
+360
NO
-
430
TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY:
ERIC DECKER (DEN)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
61.5
-
110
UNDER
61.5
-
110
LONGEST RECEPTION BY: ERIC DECKER (DEN)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
18.5
-
110
UNDER
18.5
-
110
TOTAL RECEPTIONS BY: ERIC
DECKER (DEN)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
4.5
-
120
UNDER
4.5
EVEN
WILL ERIC DECKER (DEN) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES
+165
NO
-
185
WILL ERIC DECKER (DEN) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN IN THE FIRST HALF?
YES
+360
NO
-
430
TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: JULIUS THOMAS (DEN)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
50.5
-
110
UNDER
50.5
-
110
LONGEST RECEPTION BY: JULIUS THOMAS (DEN)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
18.5
-
110
UNDER
18.5
-
110
TOTAL RECEPTIONS BY: JULIUS THOMAS (DEN)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
4.5
-
110
UNDER
4.5
-
110
WILL JULIUS THOMAS (DEN) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN?
YES
+170
NO
-
190
W
ILL JULIUS THOMAS (DEN) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN IN THE FIRST HALF?
YES
+350
NO
-
420
TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: ANDRE CALDWELL (DEN)
**(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
6.5
+110
UNDER
6.5
-
130
WILL VIRGIL GREEN
(DEN) HAVE AT LEAST 1 RECEPTION?
YES
+160
NO
-
180
TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: JACOB TAMME (DEN)
*(If no Reception
--
Under is the winner)
OVER
10.5
+120
UNDER
10.5
-
140
TOTAL POINTS BY: MATT PRATER (DEN)
OVER
7.5
-
140
UNDER
7.5
+120
TOTAL FIELD GOALS MADE BY: MATT PRATER (DEN)
OVER
1.5
-
120

[StarDust Bum]

Las Vegas Hotel & Casino SuperBook
SUPER BOWL
XLVIII
--
PROPOSITIONS
METLIFE STADIUM
--
EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ
SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 2, 2014
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS VS DENVER BRONCOS
ALTERNATE POINTSPREADS
SEAHAWKS
-
3.5
+190
BRONCOS
+3.5
-
220
SEAHAWKS
-
7.5
+360
BRONCOS
+7.5
-
430
SEAHAWKS
-
10.5
+475
BRONCOS
+10.5
-
650
SEAHAWKS
-
14.5
+650
BRONCOS
+14.5
-
1000
SEAHAWKS
+7.5
-
260
BRONCOS
-
7.5
+220
SEAHAWKS
+10.5
-
420
BRONCOS
-
10.5
+350
SEAHAWKS
+14.5
-
700
BRONCOS
-
14.5
+500
SEAHAWKS
+17.5
-
950
BRONCOS
-
17.5
+625
ALTERNATE TOTALS

[StarDust Bum]

Pro Bowl Notebook

January 25, 2014


Aloha Stadium will host the 2013-14 Pro Bowl this Sunday from Honolulu, Hawaii. In past years, the matchup was between players from the AFC and NFC. This year, the NFL decided to do away with the non-conference affair and have a fantasy draft with all of the players from both conferences.

The teams will be called Team Rice and Team Sanders after NFL Hall of Famers Jerry Rice and Deion Sanders. The pair drafted the team earlier this week over a two-day span.
Advertisement
Oddsmakers open this game as a pick ‘em but early action has made Team Rice a 1 ½-point favorite over
Team Sanders.

The Pro Bowl has been known as an easy ‘over’ ticket the past couple years due to a lack of effort from the defensive players.

After the 2012 installment when the AFC defeated the NFC 59-41, NFL commissioner Roger Goodell talked about ending the exhibition. The closing total on this game was 75.

The players insisted on putting up more of a fight last year and they did, but the two teams still put up a combined 97 points on the board. The closing total on this matchup was 79 ½ points.
This year, bookmakers were well aware of the trend from the defensive players and they opened with a total of 95. As of Saturday evening, that number has dropped nearly a touchdown and is sitting at 89 ½ points. Putting up triple digits is certainly possible but somebody doesn’t believe so.

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET wtih NBC providing national coverage.

Listed below are the players available for each team and the outcomes of the previous Pro Bowls.

TEAM RICE

Offensive Players

Drew Brees, New Orleans QB
Philip Rivers, San Diego QB
Alex Smith, Kansas City QB
Matt Forte, Chicago RB
LeSean McCoy, Philadelphia RB
DeMarco Murray, Dallas RB
Mike Tolbert, Carolina FB
Josh Gordon, Cleveland WR
Brandon Marshall, Chicago WR
Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona WR
Alshon Jeffery, Chicago WR
Jimmy Graham, New Orleans TE
Tony Gonzalez, Atlanta TE
Jordan Gross, Carolina T
Tyron Smith, Dallas T
Joe Thomas, Cleveland T
Jahri Evans, New Orleans G
Ben Grubbs, New Orleans G
Evan Mathis, Philadelphia G
Ryan Kalil, Carolina C
Nick Mangold, New York Jets C

Defensive Players
Robert Quinn, St. Louis DE
Cameron Jordan, New Orleans DE
Cameron Wake, Miami DE
Kyle Williams, Buffalo DT
Jason Hatcher, Dallas DT
Marcell Dareus, Buffalo DT
Robert Mathis, Indianapolis OLB
Justin Houston, Kansas City OLB
John Abraham, Arizona OLB
Vontaze Burfict, Cincinnati ILB
Derrick Johnson, Kansas City ILB
Alterraun Verner, Tennessee CB
Joe Haden, Cleveland CB
Brandon Flowers, Kansas City CB
Jairus Byrd, Buffalo FS
Antrel Rolle, New York Giants FS
Eric Reid, San Francisco CB

Special Teams Players
Stephen Gostkowski, New England PK
Johnny Hekker, St. Louis P
Dexter McCluster, Kansas City PR
Justin Bethel, Arizona ST
Matt Overton, Indianapolis LS

TEAM SANDERS

Offensive Players
Nick Foles, Philadelphia QB
Cam Newton, Carolina QB
Andrew Luck, Indianapolis QB
Jamaal Charles, Kansas City RB
Eddie Lacy, Green Bay RB
Alfred Morris, Washington RB
Marcel Reece, Oakland FB
A.J. Green, Cincinnati WR
Dez Bryant, Dallas WR
Antonio Brown, Pittsburgh WR
DeSean Jackson, Philadelphia WR
Jason Witten, Dallas TE
Jordan Cameron, Cleveland TE
Branden Albert, Kansas City T
Duane Brown, Houston T
Trent Williams, Washington T
Marshal Yanda, Baltimore G
Logan Mankins, New England G
Kyle Long, Chicago G
Mike Pouncey, Miami C
Alex Mack, Cleveland C

Defensive Players
J.J. Watt, Houston DE
Mario Williams, Buffalo DE
Greg Hardy, Carolina DE
Ndamukong Suh, Detroit DT
Gerald McCoy, Tampa Bay DT
Tamba Hali, Kansas City OLB
Terrell Suggs, Baltimore OLB
Brian Orakpo, Washington OLB
Luke Kuechly, Carolina ILB
Patrick Peterson, Arizona CB
Darrelle Revis, Tampa Bay CB
Brent Grimes, Miami CB
Tim Jennings, Chicago CB
Eric Berry, Kansas City SS
T.J. Ward, Cleveland SS
Eric Weddle, San Diego FS

Special Teams Players
Justin Tucker, Baltimore K
Brandon Fields, Miami P
Cordarrelle Patterson, Minnesota KR
Matthew Slater, New England ST
J.J. Jansen, Carolina LS

Pro Bowl Results (1971-2013)

2013 - NFC 62, AFC 35
2012 - AFC 59, NFC 41
2011 - NFC 55, AFC 41
2010 - AFC 41, NFC 34
2009 - NFC 30, AFC 21
2008 - NFC 42, AFC 30
2007 - AFC 31, AFC 28
2006 - NFC 23, AFC 17
2005 - AFC 38, NFC 27
2004 - NFC 55, AFC 52
2003 - AFC 45, NFC 20
2002 - AFC 38, NFC 30
2001 - AFC 38, NFC 17
2000 - NFC 51, AFC 31
1999 - AFC 23, NFC 10
1998 - AFC 29, NFC 24
1997 - AFC 26, NFC 23, OT
1996 - NFC 20, AFC 13
1995 - AFC 41, NFC 13
1994 - NFC 17, AFC 3
1993 - AFC 23, NFC 20, OT
1992 - NFC 21, AFC 15
1991 - AFC 23, NFC 21
1990 - NFC 27, AFC 21
1989 - NFC 34, AFC 3
1988 - AFC 15, NFC 6
1987 - AFC 10, NFC 6
1986 - NFC 28, AFC 24
1985 - AFC 22, NFC 14
1984 - NFC 45, AFC 3
1983 - NFC 20, AFC 19
1982 - AFC 16, NFC 13
1981 - NFC 21, AFC 7
1980 - NFC 37, AFC 27
1979 - NFC 13, AFC 7
1978 - NFC 14, AFC 13
1977 - AFC 24, NFC 14
1976 - NFC 23, AFC 20
1975 - NFC 17, AFC 10
1974 - AFC 15, NFC 13
1973 - AFC 33, NFC 28
1972 - AFC 26, NFC 13
1971 - NFC 27, AFC 6

[StarDust Bum]

SBXLVIII Betting Trends

January 26, 2014


SB XLVIII – A Charlie Brown Super Bowl

To better visualize the winner of Super Bowl XLVIII we look to Winston Churchill, who once said, “The farther back you can look the farther forward you are likely to see.”

In the case of Super Bowls past, we can look back as far as 1967. Coupled with the power of our way-back machine – aka our database – let’s break down what appears to be a very evenly matched Super Bowl game between Denver and Seattle at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey.

Here is our list of checks and balances for SB XLVIII.

Even Steven

Not only is SB XLVIII the first Super Bowl in 20 years to pair No. 1 seeds from each conference, both teams bring identical 15-3 records into the fray.

Looking deeper, each team squared off against five common opponents (both faced the AFC South) this season, both going 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in those games with Denver going 5-0 ITS (In The Stats) for a net of +748 yards. Seattle was 4-1 ITS for net of +428 yards,

In games versus fellow playoff teams this season, the Broncos went 6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS, 7-2 ITS for a net of +621 yards. The Seahawks were 4-2 SU and ATS, 3-2-1 ITS, for a net of +244 yards.

Edge: None.

Head-To-Head

The Broncos are 16-5 SU and 12-8-1 ATS in games versus the Seahawks since 1993.

Denver has won the last 10 games in a row in this series in games in which they’ve owned a win percentage of .800 or greater.

Seattle is 1-19 SU in its last twenty games versus AFC West opponents who sport a win percentage of .800 or greater.

Edge: Broncos.

Statistically Speaking

Seattle’s defense is ranked No.1 overall, surrendering 284 YPG while allowing a league low 15 PPG. Denver’s offense is ranked No. 1 overall, gaining 454 YPG, scoring a league best 36 PPG.

This marks the fifth time in Super Bowl history that a team with the No. 1 defense has faced the team with the No. 1 offense. Defense has beat offense 3 of the 4 previous meetings. In addition teams with the better defense have won 39 of the previous 47 Super Bowls.

However, teams with the better defense are just 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS the last seven Super Bowls.

Edge: None.

Logistically Speaking

Teams arriving to the Super Bowl off three consecutive home games (Seattle) are 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS since 2000, including 0-5 SU and ATS off a win of 6 or less points

Super Bowl teams off four consecutive home games (Seattle) are 0-3 SU and ATS since 2000, losing all three times SU as a favorite. The Seahawks last game away from Seattle was 34 days ago (December 15).

Super bowl favorites of 5 or less points in ‘double rest’ affairs - week of rest first playoff game and week of rest before the Super Bowl – are 1-7 both SU and ATS (Broncos).

Edge: None.

Behind Center

To no one’s surprise, both quarterbacks bring terrific QB Ratings in to the contest. Denver’s Peyton Manning finished the regular season as the league’s top-ranked signal caller at 115.1 on 55 TDs and 10 INTs. Seattle’s Russell Wilson owned a 101.2 QB Rating, with 26 TDs and 9 INTs.

The postseason’s QB Ratings show Manning at 107.0, while Wilson’s numbers have further regressed during the playoffs down to 89.1.

Manning is 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in his career versus Seattle, including 2-0 ATS as a favorite. He is also 28-7 SU and 22-12-1 ATS with the Broncos.

After winning SB XLI with the Colts in 2007, Manning has completed 248 of 366 passes for 18 TDs and 7 INTS in a total of nine postseason efforts since.

Wilson is 27-9 SU and 25-11 ATS as a starting QB with the Seahawks, including 5-4 SU and 8-1 ATS as a dog.

Wilson has tossed for less than 200 yards in over half of his starts, 19 to be exact including 9 this season (including each of his last 6 games).

FYI: the Manning-led Broncos are 12-2 SU and 10-4 ATS in game in which they have managed to hold opponents to 200 or less passing yards in a game.

Edge: Broncos.

On The Sidelines

Denver’s John Fox brings an 8-5 SU and ATS NFL postseason career mark into this game, dropping a 32-29 decision as a 7-point dog to New England in SB XXVII.

Fox is just 11-22 SU and 12-20-1 ATS in his NFL career in games versus .769 or greater opposition.

Seattle’s Pete Carroll is 5-4 SU and 6-3 ATS in his NFL playoff career.

The good news is Carroll is 36-24-4 ATS as an underdog in the NFL. The bad news is he is 1-5 SU/ATS as a dog of 2 or less points, and 0-11 SU as an underdog in games in which his team owns a win percentage of .647 or more.

Edge: None.

Super Bowl History

-- The NFC has controlled the last 32 Super Bowls, going 21-11 SU and 20-10-3 ATS, including 4-1 SU and ATS the last five years. The AFC, though, actually holds the upper hand of late, going 10-6 SU the last 16 years.

-- The last NFC No. 1 seed (Seahawks), other than New Orleans in 2009, to win a Super Bowl was St. Louis in 2000.

-- 17 of the last 20 quarterbacks have owned a QB Rating of 92.6 or better.

-- Favorites of 3 or less points (Broncos) are 7-4 SU and ATS, and 5-6 to the ‘Under’.

-- Teams who won their last two playoff games against foes that were off a playoff road win (Seahawks) are 4-8 SU/ATS, including 1-5 SU/ATS since 2000.

-- Teams who score 20 or fewer points in the game are 6-30 SU and 9-33 ATS. Teams who score 21 or more points in the game are 40-12 SU and 36-14-2 ATS.

-- The SU winner of a Super Bowl game is 39-6-2 ATS all-time.

Edge: None.

Ups And Downs

The oddsmakers have done their best job posting Over/Under totals on Super Bowl games. That’s confirmed by the fact that there have been 24 ‘Overs' and 22 ‘Unders’ in this history of the big game – with no total available in the inaugural game.

After the Giants and Patriots played to 17-14 ‘Under’ in 2008, each of the last five Super Bowl totals results have alternated, going: O-U-O-U-O since.

The big story in the world of Over/Under total in the NFL this season was the success realized in non-conference games throughout the 2013 season as these games were an amazing 49-15 to the ‘Over’.

Despite the success of this betting trend this season, there has not been a major move to the ‘Over’ in this year’s Super Bowl, due largely to the fact the game is being played outdoors in New Jersey.

Cold temperatures, snow and wind will likely be the determining factor as to which direction the opening total of 47.5 settles.

Edge: The weatherman.

As Charlie Brown would say, “That’s my 5 cents.” Enjoy the game!

[StarDust Bum]

Super Bowl Sunday weather forecast update

Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos (-2, 47)

There is an expected high of 37 degrees on Sunday, with a low of 24. There will be periodical clouds mixed with sunshine during the day, before mainly clearing in the evening. The chance of precipitation is down to 20 percent and winds are expected to blow across the field at 10-15 mph.




NFL
Dunkel

Super Bowl

Seattle vs. Denver
In Super Bowl XLVIII, the Seahawks face a Broncos team that is 15-2 ATS in its last 17 games when playing with 2 weeks of rest. Denver is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Broncos favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-2 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 2

Game 101-102: Seattle vs. Denver (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 142.278; Denver 147.399
Dunkel Line: Denver by 5; 44
Vegas Line: Denver by 2 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-2 1/2); Under




NFL
Long Sheet

Super Bowl

Sunday, February 2

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (15 - 3) vs. DENVER (15 - 3) - 2/2/2014, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
SEATTLE is 57-84 ATS (-35.4 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
DENVER is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
SEATTLE is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NFL
Short Sheet

Super Bowl

Sunday, February 2

Seattle at Denver, 6:30 ET
Seattle: 6-17 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest
Denver: 18-5 ATS after gaining 500 or more total yards in their previous game




NFL

Super Bowl

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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6:30 PM
SEATTLE vs. DENVER
Seattle is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games


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NFL

Sunday, February 2

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Trends - Seattle vs Denver
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Red - Hot trends are trends 80% or higher. Blue - Cold trends are trends 20% or lower.

ATS Trends

Seattle

Seahawks are 13-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Seahawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Seahawks are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 games on fieldturf.
Seahawks are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games following a S.U. win.
Seahawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Seahawks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win.
Seahawks are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall.

Denver

Broncos are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Broncos are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Broncos are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Broncos are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on fieldturf.
Broncos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 playoff games.


OU Trends

Seattle

Under is 7-0 in Seahawks last 7 games overall.
Under is 5-0 in Seahawks last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 6-0 in Seahawks last 6 games on fieldturf.
Under is 5-0 in Seahawks last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 6-0 in Seahawks last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

Denver

Under is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 13-2-1 in Broncos last 16 games on fieldturf.
Over is 24-7 in Broncos last 31 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 40-14-2 in Broncos last 56 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games following a ATS win.
Over is 7-3 in Broncos last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 41-18-1 in Broncos last 60 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 49-24-1 in Broncos last 74 games overall.


Head to Head

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Denver.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

[StarDust Bum]

Advantage - Denver

January 27, 2014


Following a devastating double-overtime loss to the Ravens in last season's divisional playoffs, the Broncos rebounded by winning the AFC Championship this season. Denver has put together a 28-7 record the last two seasons with Peyton Manning at the helm, as the Broncos seek their first Super Bowl title since 1998.

When many fans point to Denver's success, the first thing to highlight is the home-field advantage playing at Sports Authority Field. The Broncos won nine of 10 games at home this season, while limiting the Chargers and Patriots to a combined 33 points in two playoff victories. However, Denver put together a 6-2 record on the road this season, with the two losses coming against playoff squads New England and Indianapolis. Granted, the Broncos squandered a 24-0 lead in the loss to the Patriots, while scoring 33 points in Manning's return to the Hoosier State in a 39-33 defeat to the Colts.

The Broncos' offense put up at least 30 points in 13 games this season, including 41 points against the Giants at Met Life Stadium back in Week 2, the site of the Super Bowl. Denver won all four games against the NFC, while breaking the 40-point barrier in all four victories against the Eagles, Giants, Redskins, and Cowboys.

When analyzing Manning's playoff history, the star quarterback lost his first three postseason games with the Colts from 1999-2002, but won nine of his next 16 in Indianapolis, including all four in the 2006 playoffs. In Denver, Manning has won two of three playoff contests, although he has not played on the road yet with the Broncos in the postseason.

NFL Expert and VegasInsider.com handicapper Joe Nelson has some interesting statistics that backs taking the Broncos, "The Denver offense posted record setting numbers this season, scoring over 36 points per game on the season. Those figures include two playoff games that featured lower numbers but featured the Broncos in complete control. If you take away the three games against San Diego, the one team that seemed to be able to slow Denver down, the Broncos averaged 39 points per game."

On the opposite side of the ball, Nelson breaks down how well the Broncos have performed of late, "Denver's defense does not have Seattle's overall statistical profile, but down the stretch and in the playoffs, Denver was arguably more impressive on defense. In the two playoff games, the Broncos allowed just three points combined in the first three quarters of the two games as almost all of the scoring for San Diego and New England came with the game all but in hand for the Broncos. The teams that did give the Denver defense problems were mostly strong down field passing teams, the Cowboys and Giants early in the season, the Colts, and a Patriots squad with Rob Gronkowski was some of the most productive teams against the Broncos."

VegasInsider.com handicapper Antony Dinero says the reliance of Manning is key for the Broncos' success, "Denver's fortunes ride on Manning's ability to make the correct adjustments at the line of scrimmage, something he does as well as anyone in NFL history. The challenge is doing it against a Seahawks defense that flies around and feasts on turnovers, so he'll have to be conservative, riding the running game and picking his spots. If he can avoid turnovers and give the Broncos a chance to steal this late, you have to like his chances of avoiding a Colin Kaepernick-type mistake in the Super Bowl's late stages, setting himself up to win a second title."

Nelson mentions John Fox's defense has slowed opponents down on the ground, "Denver actually has featured a superior run defense to Seattle and none of the last four foes for the Broncos have topped 87 yards rushing with the two playoff opponents combining for only 129 yards rushing. If Seattle is unable to run the ball effectively, they will have little chance of keeping up with the Broncos."

Favorites of 3 ½ points or less in Super Bowl history have put together a strong 8-3 SU/ATS record, as the last team in this situation was Green Bay three years ago holding off Pittsburgh, 31-25 as three-point 'chalk.' Three of the last four Super Bowls played outdoors have gone to the AFC, including Pittsburgh (SB XLIII), Indianapolis (XLI), and New England (XXIX).

[StarDust Bum]

Advantage - Seattle

January 28, 2014


The betting public is keen on Peyton Manning and the Broncos winning the Super Bowl as short favorites. However, Seattle's top-ranked defense may have something to say about the lack of respect shown to the top-seed in the NFC. The Seahawks own the top home-field advantage in the NFL, but Seattle shocked many people with its success on the highway this season.

Pete Carroll's club won six of eight games away from CenturyLink Field, including victories over Carolina and Arizona. The Seahawks fell short by six points at Indianapolis, while losing on a late field goal at San Francisco, 19-17. Seattle covered six times on the highway, as the Seahawks' defense limited five of those opponents to 19 points or less. In nine straight games overall, the Seahawks have allowed 20 points or less, winning seven times in this stretch.

Seattle won three of four games against AFC foes, while covering twice in these contests. The Seahawks failed to cash as three-point favorites at Indianapolis, while falling short of the 12 ½-point number in a 20-13 home triumph over the Titans. Since last season, Seattle has won six of eight interconference contests, with the two losses coming as a three-point road favorite.

In spite of the Seahawks' numbers going down offensively of late, NFL Expert and VegasInsider.com handicapper Joe Nelson points out that the defenses they faced had something to do with it, "Seattle's offense struggled down the stretch by most measures, scoring just 22 points per game in the seven games after a Week 12 bye. In six of those seven games, the Seahawks faced a team that finished in top eight in the NFL in total defense. On the season, the Seahawks played eight games against teams that finished in the top six in the league in total defense, while Denver did not play a single one. The Broncos actually only played five games all season against teams that finished in the top 20 in the league in total defense."

Taking it a step further, Nelson says the Seahawks held their own considering their competition, "On a yards-per-play basis the numbers are just as glaring, Seattle faced a top 10 yards per play defense in half of its 18 games this season, while Denver only faced one such game all season as the record-setting numbers for the Broncos came against an incredibly weak slate of defenses. Turnovers often decide NFL games and Seattle was the best team in the league at creating turnovers, averaging 2.4 turnovers per game. The Seahawks were also one of the best teams at not giving the ball away while Denver struggled with turnovers this season with 1.6 giveaways per game and those mistakes came against much lesser defensive teams than Seattle."

VegasInsider.com handicapper Antony Dinero points to the weather as a positive for the Seahawks on Sunday, "Seattle is hoping inclement weather can join its pursuit of a championship. Not that the Seahawks are some sort of novelty act, but conditions that make it trickier on Manning and the Broncos passing game obviously favor the team with the top defense and power running game. If snow flurries accompany wind or rain, coach Carroll will undoubtedly be smiling while trying to keep warm, getting an assist from Mother Nature in cementing his game plan."

Nelson makes mention as well of Seattle's top flight passing defense as a major factor, "While the Saints wound up with 301 yards passing in the divisional playoff game with a few big plays in a late rally after Seattle built a lead, no other team topped 214 yards passing against Seattle all season long and it is certainly difficult to envision a scenario where the Broncos win without success in the air."

The Seahawks won their first two playoff games at home against the Saints and 49ers, but Seattle is no stranger to playing on the highway in the postseason. Last season, the Seahawks won at Washington as three-point favorites, before falling short in the divisional round at Atlanta, 30-28 as 2 ½-point underdogs. In Carroll's four postseason road games as coach of the Seahawks, they have covered three times with the lone ATS loss coming at Chicago in 2011 as 10-point 'dogs one week after shocking the Saints in the Wild Card round.

[StarDust Bum]

Super Bowl Rankings

January 28, 2014


All-Time Super Bowl Rankings

Back by popular request are the All-time Super Bowl rankings, presented in inverse order. Beginning with the 47th and lowest-ranked Super Bowl game, and working our way to number one.

Remember, I've been around for them all!

47-XXXV, Baltimore 34 - N.Y. Giants 7 (at Tampa)...An exceedingly drab game with little or no drama, dominated by the Ravens defense, which rendered the Giants' offense helpless while holding it without a score. Indeed, the only fireworks in XXXV came in bang-bang-bang succession in the 3rd Q, with TDs on successive plays by Baltimore's Duane Starks (interception), New York's Ron Dixon (kickoff return), and the Ravens' Jermaine Lewis (yet another kickoff return). Otherwise, XXXV threatened to put Sominex out of business.

46-XXVII, Dallas 52 - Buffalo 17 (at Pasadena)...The Bills' capitulation was particularly appalling because they simply didn't seem so overmatched in this game. But their almost-comical nine turnovers precluded this from becoming the competitive affair most envisioned. Buffalo's only highlight was WR Don Beebe streaking downfield to slap the ball out of Leon Lett's hand before the latter would have scored one last TD for the rampant Cowboys.

45-XXVI, Washington 37 - Buffalo 24 (at Minneapolis)...More one-sided than the final might indicate, as the Redskins enjoyed 24-0 & 37-10 leads before a couple of garbage-time Buffalo TDs made the final more respectable. Thurman Thomas forgetting about his helmet at the start of the game portended a dispirited effort by the Bills, who lost contact early and were never in the game.

44-XV, Oakland 27 - Philadelphia 10 (at New Orleans)...A disappointing showing by the Eagles, who were down 14-0 before the 1st Q ended, contributed heavily to an absolute lack of drama in XV. Three TD passes by Jim Plunkett and 3 picks by Raider LB Rod Martin highlighted the surprisingly one-sided proceedings.

43-XXII, Washington 42- Denver 10 (at San Diego)...This one ceased to be a competitive affair about midway in the 2nd Q, when the Redskins were in the midst of the most-devastating stanza in SB history. The startling 35 points (including four Doug Williams TD passes) in that period required only 18 plays in the five TD drives and set a one-quarter SB scoring record that will be hard to top, and it was all the more amazing because Denver had looked ready to score an early KO of its own when it jumped to a quick 10-0 lead. When the carnage was complete, Washington had amassed a SB record 602 yards, and theretofore obscure RB Timmy Smith gained a SB-record 204 yards rushing. With the result a fait accompli, the second half more resembled a scrimmage than a championship game.

42-XXIV, San Francisco 55 - Denver 10 (at New Orleans)...The biggest-ever SB blowout lacked any drama whatsoever. But San Francisco's dominance was so complete, and, indeed, breathtaking, that we felt almost privileged to watch such excellence.

41-XX, Chicago 46 - New England 10 (at New Orleans)...Although this game was absolutely no contest, it was a bit more entertaining than other title game blowouts simply because the "Super Bowl Shuffle" Bears were such a colorful (and absolutely dominating) bunch.

40-XXIX, San Francisco 49 - San Diego 26 (at Miami)...Though the final margin wasn't quite as large as some other famous SB beatings, this game was every bit as one-sided as the worst of them, as the 49ers appeared capable of scoring whenever they pleased before easing up in the 2nd half. Complete mismatch.

39-XII, Oakland 32 - Minnesota 14 (at Pasadena)...The Vikings were simply manhandled in a battle that lacked much intrigue after the Raiders moved easily to a 16-0 halftime lead and cruised home. Oakland's dominance was reflected in a then SB-record 266 yards rushing, with vet DB Willie Brown's 75-yard interception return TD (captured so eloquently by Raiders radio play-by-play voice Bill King) a nice capper in the 4th quarter.

38-VIII, Miami 24 - Minnesota 7 (at Houston)...A surprisingly non-competitive game, as most figured the Vikings, with Fran Tarkenton back at the controls, rated a good chance. Instead, the outcome was never in doubt past the 1st Q, with the Dolphins practically disdaining the pass (Bob Griese only threw the ball 7 times!) and instead bludgeoning the Vikes behind Larry Csonka's 145 yards rushing. A more impressive Miami win than in the Super Bowl vs. the Redskins the previous year.

37-XXXIII, Denver 34 - Atlanta 19 (at Miami)...Denver finally got to enjoy an easy Super Bowl win in a contest that lacked any sustained drama, with the Broncos up by as much as 31-6 in the 4th Q. In the aftermath, there would be a nice "feel good" factor as John Elway, in what would be his final game, was named MVP following his 336-yard passing night.

36-XXVII, Dallas 30 - Buffalo 13 (at Atlanta)...Even when the favored Cowboys seemed to sleepwalk through the 1st half, trailing 13-6 at intermission, there seemed to be an inevitability about XXVII that the Bills would again find a way to lose, as they had done in the three previous Super Bowls. It took James Washington's 46-yard fumble return for a 3rd-Q TD to finally turn the tide, and Dallas never seemed in danger thereafter, with Buffalo providing little resistance in the 2nd half and surrendering meekly in the end.

35-VI, Dallas 24 - Miami 3 (at New Orleans)...Although the outcome was still in doubt at halftime, when Dallas led only 10-3, the Cowboys quickly took control in the 3rd Q, and Miami didn't threaten thereafter. The enduring memory of this game was controversial Cowboy RB Duane Thomas (flanked by none other than Jim Brown) and his famous one-word answer ("evidently") to a long-winded question from CBS broadcaster Tom Brookshier on the postgame show.

34-XVIII, L.A. Raiders 38 - Washington 9 (at Tampa)...Another good-looking matchup that failed to materialize, the outcome essentially decided by Jack Squirek's 5-yard interception return TD off an ill-advised Joe Theismann screen pass just 5 seconds before halftime. Indeed, the Raider dominance was somewhat startling, with CBs Mike Haynes & Lester Hayes blanketing the Skin wideouts. A number of highlight-reel runs by Marcus Allen (en route to a then-SB record 191 yards rushing) provided some excitement after the outcome was decided.

33-XXXVII, Tampa Bay 48 - Oakland 21 (at San Diego)...This game was almost more interesting for its ironies (none greater than HC Jon Gruden, in his first year with the Bucs after leaving Oakland) than any action on the field. The Raiders made it mildly interesting in the 4th Q, cutting a 34-3 deficit to 34-21, before the Bucs capped the game with a pair of exclamation points in the form of two interception TDs in the last two minutes, their 2nd and 3rd such scores of the contest.

32-II, Green Bay 33 - Oakland 14 (at Miami)...The Super Bowl concept was still enough of a novelty in January of 1968 that just seeing AFL and NFL teams on the same field was something special. Unlike the previous year vs. the Chiefs, however, Green Bay was in control from the outset and never seriously threatened. This SB would eventually gain more notoriety for being Vince Lombardi's last game as head coach of the Packers.

31-XXI, N.Y. Giants 39 - Denver 20 (at Pasadena)...This was a bit more competitive than the Broncos' other one-sided SB losses of the era, as Denver performed ably in the first half and even led at intermission, 10-9. But the game became a runaway before the 3rd Q ended when the Giants erupted behind Phil Simms' deadly accuracy (completing 22 of 25 passes!) en route to a then-SB record one half record for points (30 of 'em!).

30-XIX, San Francisco 38 - Miami 16 (at Palo Alto)...Unless you were a 49er fan, this one was a disappointment, as it failed to live up to its much-hyped "shootout" billing. The San Francisco defense, however, made sure there was no drama by muffling Dan Marino and his record-setting Dolphin offense, while Joe Montana & Co. toyed with an overmatched Miami stop unit.

29-XII, Dallas 27 - Denver 10 (at New Orleans)...What shaped up as an intriguing matchup failed to materialize as expected, as Denver self-destructed with 6 turnovers and QB Craig Morton was banished to the bench in the 3rd Q. Although the Broncos rallied briefly behind backup QB Norris Weese and hinted at a possible grandstand finish for a time in the second half, the Cowboys' arsenal of weapons proved too much, with a couple of spectacular TDs (Butch Johnson's acrobatic 45-yard TD catch from Roger Staubach, which might have been overturned had replay been in effect, and an option pass from RB Robert Newhouse to WR Golden Richards) sealing the outcome in the 2nd half.

28-VII, Miami 14 - Washington 7 (at Los Angeles)...Added significance because it was the final installment of the Dolphins' perfect 17-0 season. But the game was mostly a bore after the Dolphins took control in the 1st half, with the "No-Name" defense throttling the Skins for most of the day. Became mildly interesting late in the 4th Q after Garo Yepremian's infamous flubbed FG and Mike Bass' subsequent TD return, but that was about the only drama of the afternoon.

27-XL, Pittsburgh 21 - Seattle 10 (at Detroit)...Although there was considerable drama for a time well into the 4th quarter, XL was a bit of a disappointment and hardly a shining hour for the referees, whose series of extremely questionable calls (almost all favoring the Steelers) at crucial moments of the game distorted the proceedings. Pittsburgh did capitalize when presented with opportunities, however, and used big scoring plays by Willie Parker & Hines Ward to shift the momentum in the second half.

26-IX, Pittsburgh 16 - Minnesota 6 (at New Orleans)...A taut affair (with a 2-0 halftime score!) dominated by LB Jack Lambert and the Steel Curtain defense, which held the Vikes to a SB-low 117 yards. Indeed, Minnesota's offense didn't score, but Matt Blair's blocked punt and recovery by Terry Brown for a TD early in the 4th Q did get the Vikings within 9-6 and suggested a possible dramatic finish before game-MVP Franco Harris (a then-SB record 158 yards rushing) put the contest away, and giving beloved Steelers owner Art Rooney his first-ever title.

25-XXXIX, New England 24 - Philadelphia 21 (at Jacksonville)...The final score of the only Jacksonville SB suggests it might warrant a better ranking. But the game never had a real flow to it, there were few memorable plays, and the only enduring memories of XXXIX are the Eagles taking their own sweet time during a late drive that demanded more urgency, and Terrell Owens' post-game complaints about Donovan McNabb. Hardly a classic.

24-XLI, Indianapolis 29 - Chicago 17 (at Miami)...Arguably the best 1st Q in SB history, featuring the first-ever opening kickoff returned for a TD (Chicago's Devin Hester going 92 yards). But another SB first, almost an entire game played in a deluge, slowed the contest thereafter and exacerbated a feeble performance by Bears QB Rex Grossman. Although Peyton Manning and the Colts dominated the statistical battle, Chicago gamely hung around until Kelvin Hayden's 56-yard interception TD return in the 4th quarter finally gave Indy some breathing room.

And now, the top 23 Super Bowl...all of the way to number one...

23-IV, Kansas City 23 - Minnesota 7 (at New Orleans)...There was always a delightful symmetry attached to this surprising result, as it evened the AFL-NFL ledger at 2 wins apiece before the merger and shut up the numerous "NFL supremacists" once and for all. More entertaining than the score suggests, with the brilliant and creative game plan of Hank Stram ("Sixty-five Toss Power Trap!") immortalized by NFL Films.

22-I, Green Bay 35 - Kansas City 10 (at Los Angeles)...Historically, perhaps the most important Super Bowl of them all. No one knew what to expect, and the fact the underdog AFL Chiefs were definitely in the game at halftime, trailing the powerful Packers only 14-10, opened more than a few eyes (we know, we were there!). This one was a lot more interesting than many historians would lead you to believe.

21-XXXI, Green Bay 35 - New England 21 (at New Orleans)...Plenty of big plays, including a Super Bowl-record 99-yard kick-return TD by Green Bay's Desmond Howard (game MVP) that effectively ended the upstart Patriots' upset hopes in the 3rd Q. But the Packers always appeared in control, and the only late drama surrounded Green Bay's attempts to cover the 14-point spread (a late missed FG by Chris Jacke kept the final margin at 14).

20-XVI, San Francisco 26 - Cincinnati 21 (at Pontiac)...The early-version Bill Walsh 49ers didn't yet have Jerry Rice or Roger Craig, but they did have Joe Montana and an underrated supporting cast that was in control of this entertaining game a bit more than the final score suggests (a last-second Cincy TD cut the final margin to 5). Credit the Bengals for making it a bit more interesting when rallying from a 20-0 halftime deficit, though a dramatic goal-line stand (and a big tackle on Pete Johnson from unsung 49er LB Dan Bunz) kept Cincy at bay. Another unsung hero was 49er PK Ray Wersching, who hit 4 FGs and helped the 49ers with his effective kickoffs that consistently put the Bengals in poor field position.

19-***, Dallas 27 - Pittsburgh 17 (at Tempe)...The Steelers made this a more-compelling game than many anticipated, rallying from an early 13-0 deficit to close within 20-17 in the 4th Q, and might have pulled the upset had Cowboy DB (and game MVP) Larry Brown not made the second of his two picks of Pittsburgh QB Neil O'Donnell deep in the 4th Q, setting up the clinching TD for Barry Switzer-coached Dallas.

18- XLV, Green Bay 31 - Pittsburgh 25 (at Arlington)...This one teased at becoming a memorable classic, as the Steelers hinted at a dramatic comeback throughout the second half, but in the end there would be no late-game thrills as the Packer defense kept Pittsburgh far away from another last-minute miracle. Three costly giveaways including a poorly-thrown Ben Roethlisberger pass returned for a TD by Nick Collins late in the 1st Q put the Steelers in an early hole from which they could never escape.

17-XXV, N.Y. Giants 20 - Buffalo 19 (at Tampa)...Drama-wise, perhaps this one deserves to be rated higher, as it wasn't decided until Bills PK Scott Norwood shoved his last-second, 47-yard FG just wide to the right. Norwood's miss, however, remains the only really memorable play of a game that mostly bored because of the Giants' ball-control tactics featuring RB Ottis Anderson (and backup QB Jeff Hostetler, who executed a bulletproof game plan) that were brutally effective, helping the G-Men control the ball for over 40 minutes vs. the high-powered and favored Bills. Though the finish was tension-packed, the game didn't make for particularly exciting viewing in a rather tedious affair.

16-V, Baltimore 16 - Dallas 13 (at Miami)...Though perhaps the sloppiest Super Bowl with 11 turnovers (earning it the "Blunder Bowl" label instead), V nonetheless produced the first dramatic finish in SB history when Colts rookie PK Jim O'Brien nailed a 32-yard FG with only 5 seconds to play. Earl Morrall, one of the goats of SB III, relieved John Unitas at QB and performed admirably for the Colts, who still needed a couple of late picks by Rick Volk and, finally, by Mike Curtis off Cowboys QB Craig Morton to set up the tying and winning scores deep in the 4th quarter.

15-III, N.Y. Jets 16 - Baltimore 7 (at Miami)...For a long while, the historical significance of this one (first AFL victory after Green Bay wins the previous two years) demanded its inclusion in the top ten, although some recent thrillers have pushed Jets-Colts down the list. This one made Joe Namath famous after his brash "guarantee" of victory before the game. The Jet defense, RB Matt Snell (121 yards rushing and scorer of New York's lone TD), PK Jim Turner (3 FGs), and Colt sloppiness (5 TOs) also figured prominently in game that seemed almost surreal as it unfolded, since few figured the 18-point underdog Jets had a chance to stay close, much less win! (Read more about SB III on these pages online this week)

14-XVII, Washington 27 - Miami 17 (at Pasadena)...An entertaining Super Bowl that, save perhaps for John Riggins' exploits that included a then-SB record 166 yards rushing and a memorable, 43-yard TD run on a 4th down play with 10 minutes to play that finally put the Redskins ahead for good, seems to have been forgotten by many gridiron aficionados. The Dolphins didn't do much offensively (only 176 yards of offense and a mere 4 pass completions combined between QBs David Woodley & Don Strock), but stayed close thanks to Jimmy Cefalo's 76-yard TD reception and Fulton Walker's SB-record 98-yard kickoff return TD in a game that remained tense deep into the 4th quarter.

13-XIV, Pittsburgh 31 - L.A. Rams 19 (at Pasadena)...We think this one has been a bit overlooked by Super Bowl historians, as it featured plenty of spectacular plays and a gutsy performance by the underdog Rams, behind QB Vince Ferragamo, who actually led after each of the first three quarters of play. A 25-yard HB-option TD pass from Lawrence McCutcheon to Ron Smith gave the Rams their final lead at 19-17, but XIV is more remembered for the spectacular play of Steeler wideouts Lynn Swann and John Stallworth, the latter catching a 73-yard bomb from Terry Bradshaw to put the Men of Steel up for good at 24-19 and then effectively sealing the deal with another highlight-reel, 45-yard grab to set up Franco Harris' late, clinching TD.

12-XXXII, Denver 31 - Green Bay 24 (at San Diego)...Breaking a 13-year run of NFC Super Bowl dominance, the underdog Broncos finally prevailed after four previous SB failures in an exciting game that might be best remembered for QB John Elway's "helicopter" scramble that secured a key first down on a 3rd-Q Denver TD drive. Yet it was RB Terrell Davis who ended up the game's MVP with 157 yards rushing and 3 TDs, the last a game-winning 1-yard blast with only 1:45 to play.

11-X, Pittsburgh 21 - Dallas 17 (at Miami)...Though not regarded as highly as their Titanic battle three years hence, the "bicentennial" Pittsburgh-Dallas clash was a memorable one nonetheless, if for no other reason than confirming Steeler WR Lynn Swann's brilliance with a couple of unforgettable grabs (including a late 64-yard TD catch) en route to a then-SB record 161 receiving yards. No matter Swann's heroics, this one turned out a bit closer than Pittsburgh fans would have liked due to Roger Staubach's 34-yard TD pass to Percy Howard (Howard's only career catch!) with 1:48 to play, then, after getting the ball back in the last minute, moving close enough for Staubach to bomb toward the end zone from inside the Steeler 40 in the final seconds, before Glen Edwards' pick finally sealed the game on the last play.

10-XLVI-NY Giants 21 - New England 17 (at Indianapolis)...Eerily similar to their meeting four years earlier at Glendale, this one was another grandstand finish that was also decided in the last minute by a late, long Giants TD drive led by Eli Manning, and featured another circus deep-ball catch by one of his wideouts (this time Mario Manningham after David Tyree's heroics four years earlier). Tom Brady was bombing into the end zone on the final play, but a cautious short-passing game and lack of big plays limited the impact of the Patriot "O" throughout.

9-XXIII, San Francisco 20 - Cincinnati 16 (at Miami)...Lots of drama, as despite being outgained by a near 2-to-1 margin, Cincy hung tough thanks to Stanford Jennings' 93-yard kickoff return TD late in the 3rd Q and a couple of missed FGs by 49er PK Mike Cofer, and even held a late 16-13 lead thanks to a Jim Breech FG with only 3:20 to play. But the incomparable Joe Montana cemented his place in Canton by authoring perhaps the best winning drive in Super Bowl history, taking the 49ers 92 yards to the title, culminating with a 10-yard TD toss to John Taylor with just :34 to play.

8-XLIV, New Orleans 31 - Indianapolis 17 (at Miami)...More compelling than the final scoreline suggests, as the underdog Saints were still trailing deep into the 4th Q and didn't put the game away until Tracy Porter's 74-yard interception return for a TD with 3 minutes to go. Although the game lacked some anticipated fireworks, it had sustained drama, with Porter's interception and a nervy onside kick called by Saints HC Sean Payton to begin the second half ranking as highlights alongside QB Drew Brees' nearly-flawless performance.

7-XIII, Pittsburgh 35 - Dallas 31 (at Miami)...Long considered the standard by which great Super Bowls should be measured, this one featured great teams, great players, and great plays, though the most-enduring memory of XIII might be veteran Cowboys TE Jackie Smith dropping a sure TD pass that would have leveled the score at 21 apiece in the 3rd Q. It was also an unofficial title bout for "team of the decade," as each had won two Super Bowls in the '70s prior to kickoff. All it lacked was a real down-to-the-wire finish, as a belated Dallas rally in the final few minutes narrowed a 35-17 Steeler lead to the 35-31 final margin. Though the last TD, scored with 22 seconds to play, caused apoplexy for many wagerers and Vegas sports books, with the pointspread having bounced between 31/2-41/2 for much of the previous two weeks!

6-XXXVI, New England 20 - St. Louis 17 (at New Orleans)...Any Super Bowl decided on the final play (in this case Adam Vinatieri's 48-yard FG at the gun) deserves a high ranking. Though it took a while for this one to warm up after the underdog Patriots kept the high-powered Rams at bay until the 4th Q, when Kurt Warner rallied St. Louis from 14 points down to a 17-17 tie. Rather than play for overtime, however (as TV analyst John Madden infamously suggested), New England went for the win, and Tom Brady (then 24 years old) led a dramatic drive that resulted in Vinatieri's game-winning FG.

5-XXXIV, St. Louis 23 - Tennessee 16 (at Atlanta)...Last plays don't get much more dramatic than what we saw in XXXIV! And Ram DB Mike Jones hauling down Titan WR Kevin Dyson just short of the goal qualifies as at least the most-electrifying last-play in SB history. Much of this game didn't suggest such a dramatic finish, however, as the Rams moved methodically to a 16-0 lead late in the 3rd Q before the Titans started to stir. But this game came alive in the 4th Q, as Tennessee rallied to tie before Kurt Warner's 73-yard TD bomb to Isaac Bruce with just 1:52 to play proved to be the winning points and a prelude to some last-second thrills.

4-XLII, N.Y. Giants 17 - New England 14 (at Glendale, AZ)...For three quarters, the undefeated 18-0 Patriots, on the doorstep of pro football immortality, simply could not shake the scrappy 12-point underdog Giants, who used their stubborn defense to create an extremely taut and tense affair reminiscent of a nervy pitching duel in baseball. Then, not unlike the last lap of 10,000-meter race at the Olympics, both broke into a sprint for the finish line, with three lead changes in the final quarter. In the end, however, it was the surprising G-Men on top, with Eli Manning answering Tom Brady's late TD drive with one of his own that was capped by a 13-yard TD pass to Plaxico Burress with 35 seconds to play. A circus catch by WR David Tyree on New York's final drive (after a Houdini-like escape in the pocket by Eli) rates alongside Lynn Swann's acrobatics a generation earlier and the aforementioned late-game snare by the Giants' Mario Manningham four years hence, as among the best catches in Super Bowl annals.

3-XLIII, Pittsburgh 27 - Arizona 23 (at Tampa)...Although one of the chippiest SBs, big plays and a wild fourth quarter made XLIII one to remember. The Steelers looked on the verge of a KO several times, first after dominating early action, then after LB James Harrison's 100-yard TD interception on the last play of the first half staked Pittsburgh to a 17-7 lead at the break. The Cards' defense grimly kept the Steelers within earshot until the Kurt Warner-led offense finally awakened in the 4th Q, and for a moment it appeared as if Larry Fitzgerald's 64-yard TD catch with 2:37 to play would give the Big Red their first title in 61 years. But Ben Roethlisberger, who had been mostly muted since the 1st Q, calmly drove Pittsburgh downfield for the winning TD pass in heavy traffic to Santonio Holmes with just 35 seconds to play.

2-XXXVII, Baltimore 34 - San Francisco 31 (at New Orleans)...Into the third quarter, this one seemed more likely to rank low on the list alongside some of the blowout SB results of the '80s and early '90s before a turn of events with a surreal twist (a 34-minute delay caused by a partial blackout inside of the Superdome early in the 2nd half) presaged one of the most electrifying second halves in SB history. Baltimore had been cruising until the delay, up 28-6 and aided by an NFL postseason record 108-yard KR TD by Jacoby Jones, before the 49ers caught fire after the blackout and scored 17 unanswered points in just over 4 minutes to narrow the gap to 28-23. Behind suddenly-hot QB Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco continued to pile on the pressure in the 4th Q, pulling to within a missed 2-point conversion of tying the game, then threatening to steal the contest when a dramatic late drive reached the Ravens' 7 inside of the final two minutes. Baltimore would gallantly repel the threat, take a subsequent safety, then hold its breath as SF's Ted Ginn, Jr. came close to breaking a punt return on the game's final play in a dramatic finish that left a nation limp.

1-XXXVIII, New England 32 - Carolina 29 (at Houston)...A rare Super Bowl slugfest with a dramatic finish. Though it took a while for this one to warm up (no scoring until late in 1st half), it turned into a real corker, especially a wild 4th Q (perhaps the best 15 minutes in SB history) that featured three lead changes and a total of 37 points. Carolina, which had rallied to take a 22-21 lead on an 85-yard TD pass from Jake Delhomme to Muhsin Muhammad with 6:53 to play, fell behind 29-22 on a Tom Brady-Mike Vrabel TD pass and Kevin Faulk 2-point PAT, only to level matters on a Delhomme-Ricky Proehl scoring pass with 1:08 to play. Brady then led a textbook game-winning drive, ending in Adam Vinatieri's 41-yard FG at the final gun. Both defenses were spent by the end of the game, when the last team with the ball looked like it was going to win. Indeed, XXXVIII deserves to be remembered for the great game it was, rather than for Janet Jackson's malfunctioning wardrobe at halftime!

[StarDust Bum]

Betting SBXLVIII Props

January 30, 2014


Super Bowl XLVIII Props - LVH SuperBook

Super Bowl Props… Betting Tips

Super Bowl XLVIII kicks off Feb. 2 in chilly New Jersey when Denver meets Seattle in a matchup of former AFC West squads with identical records.

Aside from betting the game itself, a myriad of betting propositions abound in every Super Bowl as amateur gamblers with an opinion come out of the closet like mops on cleaning day.

It's important to remember that when betting Super Bowl props the odds maker holds a huge edge as many of the props carry as much of a 40-cent 'juice' edge in his favor. Thus, it's critically important to make sure you have some sort of built-in advantage working in your favor before taking the plunge.

In addition, the props are designed to create added action for the books.

"The props were designed not only to get us publicity but to spread the money out. We didn't just want one big decision for the day; we want 10 or 20 big decisions. Our chances obviously are better if we have 20 major decisions compared to one," said Jay Kornegay, director of Race and Sports at the LVH Super Book in Las Vegas.

Furthermore, it's important to realize that props are set for the public and because they tend to bet on teams and players to succeed (yes bets), most of the money is going to be bet on the 'positive' side of a prop.

According to Kornegay the Super Bowl is the only NFL game of the season where he doesn't set the line with the professional bettors in mind. The professionals, he adds, do bet on props but the handle taken in from the public masses that flock to Las Vegas during Super Bowl weekend far outweighs the smart money.

With that thought in mind, here are some tips on some of the more popular propositions when it comes to prop wagering on this year's Super Bowl.

The Coin Toss

A wildly popular prop that fans love betting on is the Coin Toss. It's fast and it takes place just prior to kickoff.

Amazingly, the NFC had won the pregame coin flip 14 years in a row until New England and Baltimore prevailed each of the last two Super Bowls.

What does it mean? Nothing. The odds on the NFC winning this year's coin flip: 50/50.

Quarterback Action Tops Player Props

Bets involving the quarterbacks are extremely popular and for all the right reasons as signal callers have won the Super Bowl MVP award 26 times in 47 previous Super Bowl games, with Baltimore Ravens QB Joe Flacco taking the honors last year.

Running backs and wide receivers have carted home the MVP trophy seven times each, with others (read: defensive performers) also totaling seven MVP's.

Denver’s Peyton Manning (+110) and Seattle’s Russell Wilson (+325) lead the MVP charge this year.

In head-to-head proposition competition the LVH favors Manning over Wilson in each of the following categories: -10.5 most completions; -0.5 most touchdown passes; -78.5 most gross passing yards.

Most rushing yards finds Seattle’s Marshawn Lynch -30.5 over Knowshon Moreno.

Most receiving yards finds Denver’s Eric Decker -9.5 over Seattle’s Golden Tate; Denver’s Wes Welker -15.5 over Seattle’s Doug Baldwin and Denver’s Julius (not Demaryius) Thomas -25.5 over Seattle’s Zach Miller.

My groundswell of support for is for Broncos WR Welker to go ‘over’ 54.5 receiving yards as well as ‘over’ 5.5 pass receptions.

In two career losing Super Bowl games with Tom Brady and the Patriots, Welker – who figures to be Manning’s primary underneath target - managed to catch 7 passes for 60 yards in one game and 11 passes for 107 yards in the other.

Team Scoring Tendencies

Sharp edges can be found when it comes to scoring props but rest assured, you are not pulling the wool over the linemakers eyes.

Here is a breakdown of quarter-by-quarter scoring average points per game scored and allowed in each quarter for each team.

Note: both teams played exactly 18 games each this season.

1Q – Denver: 7.8 / 3.4
1Q – Seattle: 4.2 / 1.4

2Q – Denver: 9.7 / 7.3
2Q – Seattle: 8.5 / 6.4

3Q – Denver 8.1 / 5.8
3Q – Seattle: 5.4 / 2.7

4Q – Denver: 10.9 / 7.2
4Q – Seattle: 7.3 / 4.2

Notice both the Broncos and Seahawks have each scored and allowed the fewest points in the first stanza. They have also each allowed the most points in 2nd quarter action.

Breaking their games down by the half we find:

1st Half – Denver: 17.5 / 10.8
1st Half – Seattle: 12.7 / 7.8

2nd Half – Denver: 18.9 / 13.0
2nd Half – Seattle: 12.7 / 6.8

Buyer beware.

Player Scoring Tendencies

The leading candidate to score the first touchdown in Super Bowl XLVIII is Seattle RB Marshawn Lynch with Denver WR’s Wes Welker, Eric Decker, Julius Thomas and Demaryius Thomas a whisker off.

Over the previous 47 Super Bowls, wide receivers lead the brigade, scoring the first touchdown 20 times. Baltimore WR Anquan Boldin found the end zone first for the Ravens against the 49ers in Super Bowl XLVII last year.

Running backs are right on their heels with 16 initial scores. Tight ends have scored first five times, with quarterbacks, kick returners and defensive players two times each.

2 For The Money

A popular prop is whether or not there will be a safety in the game.

With each of the last two Super Bowl games having produced a Safety, the popularity of playing betting safeties has increased. FYI: teams who record them are 5-3 in Super Bowl games, with 6 coming via the defense and 2 by way of penalty.

In terms of non-conventional scoring (sans touchdowns, field goals and extra points), safeties (8 – one every 5.87 games) rank only behind kickoffs for a touchdown (9 – one every 5.22 games), and just ahead of 2-point conversions (6 – one every 7.83 games).

The LVH Superbook offered a safety at ‘Yes’ +550 and ‘No’ -800 for Super Bowl XLVIII. A successful 2-point conversion is ‘Yes’ +425 and ‘No’ -550.

Who Will Have More… Odd Props

Melding Super Bowl props with other sports is another popular wagering option.

The LVH features no less than 48 cross-sports opportunities (up from 38 last year) ranging from Manning’s pass attempts (-7.5) versus Kevin Durrant points, to Wilson’s passing yards (-16.5) versus the Celtics/Magic total points.

College hoops gets into the fray with the Pitt Panthers points -15.5 over Wes Welker’s receiving yards, along with Marshawn Lynch rushing yards -9.5 over UCLA points scored.

Golfers are offered 7 cross-props (that just sounds wrong), the most popular of which is Tigers Woods’ 4th round score -5.5 versus Eric Decker’s receiving yards.

Soccer fanatics rejoice with no less than 13 ‘Who Gets More’ options, including pitting Liverpool goals (-0.5) up Wilson’s TD touchdowns.

Hockey fans can get in the game, too, with a half-dozen propositions, featuring the Red Wings’ goals (+105) going up against the Seahawks rushing touchdowns (-125).

And on and on it goes. Where it stops only Jay Kornegay knows.

One thing is for sure. This will mark the first time in 10 years that the team with the best record in the league will win the Super Bowl.

That’s a lock.

[StarDust Bum]

Advantage - Over

January 31, 2014


Advantage: Denver · Seattle · Over · Under
Super Bowl XLVIII kicks off Sunday and the betting public is backing Denver as the short favorite over Seattle according to our Betting Trends.

The total is a little different and even though the ‘over’ is catching more tickets, you can argue both ways for this week’s matchup.

Depending where you play, you could’ve bet this number as low as 46 ½ and as high as 49 ½ points, which it spiked up to on Thursday.

As of Friday, the total is hovering around 48 points.

In this piece, I’ve listed reasons why you might lean to the ‘over.’ Along with my thoughts, I received great feedback from three handicappers on VegasInsider.com.

CD’s Angles

Denver has seen the ‘over’ go 11-8 this season, which includes a 6-2 record on the road. In those road games, the Broncos have averaged 36.3 points per game.

Since Peyton Manning arrived, the Broncos have gone 3-1 with a week of rest, two byes during the regular season and two breaks in between the playoffs. Denver has scored 34, 35, 28 and 24 points while the defense has allowed 14, 38, 20 and 17 points. The lone loss came to the Ravens (35-38) in last year’s Divisional Playoff Round.

The Broncos have only seen three totals listed below 50 this season and the ‘over’ went 2-1 in those games.

Even though Seattle has watched the ‘under’ go 5-3 on the road, the Seahawks have shown the ability to score away from home (23 PPG).

Denver saw the ‘over’ go 4-0 in its four games against the NFC, scoring 41, 52, 51 and 45 points.

Seattle saw the ‘over’ go 3-1 in its four games against the AFC this season.

The pair both played against the New York Giants MetLife Stadium this season and both Denver (41-23) and Seattle (23-0) came out victorious.

During the regular season, the league saw the ‘over’ go 49-15 (76.5%) this season.

Denver has played in six Super Bowls and the ‘over’ has gone 5-1 in those games.

The last two meetings between the Broncos and Seahawks both went ‘over’ albeit in the preseason. I understand some might not weigh those numbers heavily but check out these stats.

Russell Wilson – 18-of-29 (62%) 282 yards, 4 TDs
Peyton Manning – 27-of-39 (69%) 340 yards, 2 TDs, 2 INTs

I know some might dismiss these number but both games were in Week 2 of the preseason and each quarterback showed that they could move the ball. Wilson’s numbers could be a tad misleading because he backed up Matt Flynn in 2012 and faced weaker defensive players. However, he was 8-of-12 for 127 yards and two touchdowns this August.

Expert Angles

Paul Bovi

For those that side with the over, that weather forecast surely bodes well for the high side of 47 given the likelihood of a negligible effect, if any at all, upon the ability to throw the football as well as kicking field goals into the crisp Jersey air. The case could easily be made for Denver's record breaking scoring average of 37.9 points per game and the multitude of weapons at Peyton Manning's disposal that are poised to overwhelm the league leading Seahawk defense, Richard Sherman and all, or so they would say. The third year player out of Stanford, who has garnered a great deal of attention in the aftermath of his postgame NFC Championship rant and was the leading vote getter for this year's Pro Bowl, picked off 8 passes in 2013 and is known to be a lock down corner and a ferocious tackler. That said, over bettors will undoubtedly cite Manning's ability to find the open receiver amongst his many targets and for the most part, avoid Sherman.

The other side of the ball features the notably inconsistent Seahawk offense taking on a Denver defense that has fielded more than its’ fair share of criticism this year, particularly against the pass, where they ranked 27th in the league and allowed a NFL game leading 506 yards to Dallas quarterback Tony Romo. During the first 14 games of the regular season, the Bronco defense was able to hold only two teams to less than 20 points, that the Jacksonville Jaguars who tallied 19, and the Kansas City Chiefs who managed only 17 in a 10-point loss to Denver on Nov. 17.In the AFC Championship two weeks ago, the Broncos held New England to a mere 16 points in their 10- point win, missed opportunities were the order of the day for the Pats as QB Tom Brady overthrew both Matthew Slater and Julian Edelman on what well could have been scoring plays. Returning to the Seahawk lineup will be Percy Harvin, who has been out with a concussion and managed to be in the lineup for all of 40 snaps this season. Assuming Harvin, who has been practicing at full speed all week, plays and does so effectively, he will undoubtedly elevate a mediocre Seahawk receiving corps into a formidable one as he combines with Golden Tate and Doug Baldwin to form a dangerous trio along with jump-ball specialist WR Jermaine Kearse and TE Zach Miller. In their 23-15 playoff win over the Saints, QB Russell Wilson completed 8 of 11 passes for 92 yards while Harvin was in the lineup and only 1-of-7 after his departure. Coincidence? You decide.

Mike Rose

You should bet the OVER Because it’s the last game of the year and the NFL must close out the season with a bang….right? On a more serious note, there wasn’t an offense in the league better than the AFC champion Denver Broncos at moving the pigskin and putting points on the scoreboard. They punched their ticket to Super Bowl XLVIII by gouging the opposition with an average of 457.3 YPG and turned all those yards into 37.9 PPG. Peyton Manning and his gifted wide receiver corps averaged better than 8.0 yards per pass, and #18 already went into MetLife back in Week 2 and had one of his better games of the season in throwing for 307 yards and 2 TDs. Seattle also paid a visit to frigid East Rutherford this season and spanked the Giants 23-0 in Week 15, so they too are familiar with how MetLife plays in terms of the weather conditions. On top of possessing one of the most dominant defenses ever witnessed in the modern era of the NFL that routinely forces turnovers, the Seahawks also happen to boast one of the more unforgiving ground attacks that saw it rush for an average of 136.8 YPG (#4) with Marshawn Lynch leading the charge. Denver’s defense did a solid job limiting the run in both of its playoff wins, but it’s yet to run up against a running back cut from the excelled cloth of Beast Mode. The league’s top two field goal kickers in Prater & Hauschka competing against one another can only help over bettors provided Mother Nature doesn’t wreak havoc.

Joe Nelson

While the Super Bowls of the 1980s and 1990s featured a heavy lean to the ‘over’ the trend has flipped with six of the last nine Super Bowls playing ‘under’. Three of the last six Super Bowls have featured a total in the 50s and this year’s game currently features a total lower than 14 of the last 25 Super Bowls despite this game featuring two teams that are in the top eight in the league in scoring offense. The Broncos were the highest scoring regular season team in NFL history and if you take away the seven games against division rivals this is a Broncos team that averaged 41 points per game. In the four games against NFC teams Denver actually scored over 47 points per game on average. Seattle was statistically the best defense in the NFL this season by most measures but Seattle did play eight games against teams in the bottom 10 of the NFL in yards per play offense and the Seahawks only played three games against the NFL’s top 10 yards per play teams. The Seattle offense was much better than it often gets credit for as well as the Seahawks has scored almost 26 points per game this season despite playing 13 games against the top 15 teams in the league in total defense. The Seahawks actually played eight games this season against teams that finished in the top six in the NFL in total defense. By most measures Denver was a very average defense this season and while the Broncos have been sharp defensively in the playoffs the lower scoring games in the run to the Super Bowl has pushed this total to the lowest number in any Broncos game all season. The average total in a Denver game this season was 54 so there is almost an entire touchdown taken off with respect for Seattle’s defense. Weather is a valid concern for what should be the coldest Super Bowl ever but weather is often over compensated for in NFL games as the field will be meticulously cared for given the huge stage and the players have advanced equipment suitable for all conditions.

[StarDust Bum]

Advantage - Under

January 31, 2014

In our first SB XLVIII total piece, we provided you plenty of reasons why you should bet the ‘over’ on Sunday. For this column, we’ll turn our attention to the ‘under.’

Listed below are my quick thoughts, plus we have some great analysis from three handicappers on VegasInsider.com as well!

CD’s Angles

The ‘over’ went 127-107-2 (54%) during the regular season. However, the ‘under’ has gone 8-2 (80%) in the playoffs.

Even though Denver has leaned to the ‘over’ (11-7) this season, the ‘under’ has cashed in its last five games behind a defense that has only surrendered 17.4 PPG during this span.

The Seahawks have watched the ‘under’ go 12-6 (67%) this season and that includes a current run of seven straight ‘under’ tickets.

On the road, Seattle watched the ‘under’ go 5-3 but make a note that the three ‘over’ tickets came in games played indoors against Houston (23-20), Indianapolis (28-34) and Arizona (34-22). Plus, the game against the Texans went to overtime due to a late Houston collapse.

Since Pete Carroll arrived in Seattle, the team has gone 3-2 with rest and that includes this year’s 23-15 victory over New Orleans in the Divisional Playoffs. Including the result against the Saints, the ‘Hawks have allowed an average of 14.4 points per game with time to prepare.

Seattle has only had one appearance in the Super Bowl, which came in 2006. The Seahawks lost 21-10 to the Steelers and the combined 31 points never threatened the closing total of 47.

Peyton Manning has played in two Super Bowls and both games went ‘under’ the number.

2007 – Indianapolis 29 Chicago 17 (UNDER 47)
2010 – Indianapolis 17 New Orleans 31 (UNDER 57)

Six of the last nine Super Bowls have stayed ‘under.’ Keep in mind that the ‘over’ and ‘under’ has alternated for the past six Super Bowls. Baltimore defeated San Francisco 34-31 in last year’s matchup, which was an easy ‘over’ ticket. If you believe this trend will hold, then the ‘under’ is due on Sunday.

Expert’s Angles

Joe Nelson

The record setting Denver offense certainly deserves some respect but who exactly did the Broncos have to play this season? Denver only played one game all season against a defense that finished the season in the top 11 of the league in yards per play defense. Eight of the 18 games for the Broncos came against a team in the bottom eight of the league in that measure. Thirteen of the 18 games for Denver came against teams ranking in the bottom 12 of the NFL in total defense as well.

Seattle was the ranked first in total defense this season by almost 20 yards per game as well as being the No. 1 scoring defense and the No. 1 yards per play defense. This is a historically great defense especially compared with the upward scoring of the league in general this season. The most passing yards against the Seahawks in the regular season was just 214 yards, the Saints did eclipse that mark in the divisional round of the playoffs but New Orleans did not score a single point through three quarters in that game, posting a total of 156 yards through its first eight possessions before getting a few late scores.

While the Seattle defense will get most of the attention, Denver has allowed just 15 points per game in the last four games despite some notable injuries. The scoring against Denver is also inflated with 30 of 33 points allowed in the two playoff games coming in the fourth quarter. Denver is currently the fourth best rush defense in the NFL in yards per game allowed, holding foes to less than 98 yards per game, on just 3.9 yards per carry, both figures that best the great Seattle defense against the run.

This matchup should play out favorably for both defenses as Seattle’s great rush offense will face a very good rush defense and the great passing game for Denver will deal with a great Seattle pass defense. Seattle has also been top takeaway team in the league, averaging 2.4 turnovers created per game and with this high number even one missed scoring opportunity could disrupt the scoring pace significantly. Add in a chance of poor weather and the added pressure and attention of this big game for two teams that were much better performers at home and it is easy to see this game unfolding as a lower scoring affair.

Paul Bovi

Under bettors will likely have to rely on the defenses to provide sufficient resistance so as to keep the scoring at a premium. Those favoring the low side of the number will undoubtedly point to Denver's resurgent defense which has held the opposition to an average of 15 points per game over their last four encounters, the latter two regular season games along with two playoff wins over San Diego and New England. While the Broncos lost CB Chris Harris and LB Von Miller to injury, the return of veteran CB Champ Bailey could very well help bolster their much maligned stop unit. Facing that defense is a Seahawks' offense which has been ordinary at best of late, having averaged only 22 points in its last five contests. In their two playoff wins that generated 23 points apiece, Seattle totaled an anemic 585 yards.

Mike Rose

The Seahawks were an under bettor’s best friend with it owning the league’s top-ranked points and total yardage allowed defenses. In all, Seattle played to low scorers in 10 of its 16 overall regular season games as well as in each playoff contest. Their games averaged a grand total of 40.3 PPG. Though Denver was largely an over team throughout a bulk of the 2013-14 season, it enters Super Bowl XLVIII having played to low scorers in five straight with the defense allowing just one of those opponents to tally 20-plus points. It just held quarterback Tom Brady and the Patriots vaunted offense to 16 points and did it by completely shutting down running back LeGarrette Blount and company on the ground. If they’re able to limit Beast Mode as well, it will force head coach Pete Carroll to look to his less efficient passing game. If “Mother Nature” somehow plays a role in this contest, blustery conditions could also prevent both Matt Prater and Steven Hauschka from continuing to be the money kickers they were up to this point. Keeping numerous 3-spots off the board can only be beneficial to under bettors. The weather factor could also only force both teams to continue looking to the ground. With that the case, the clock becomes an ally of those expecting a low score with it tick, tick, ticking away.

[StarDust Bum]

SBXLVIII - Prop Predictions

February 1, 2014


2014 Prop Sheets: LVH · Sportsbook.ag · William Hill

According to Jay Kornegay, Vice President of Race & Sports at the Las Vegas Hotel & Casino, proposition wagers will account for 55-60% of their handle on Super Bowl XLVIII.

Kornegay and his staff at the LVH have outdone themselves again this year with hundreds of props available for the betting public.

Similar to past Super Bowls, we chose 10 of the most popular props for this year’s matchup and asked seven of our analysts to make a prediction.

1) Which player will score the 1st Touchdown?

Antony Dinero: Marshawn Lynch, Seattle Seahawks
Brian Edwards: Eric Decker, Denver Broncos (10/1)
Chris David: Julius Thomas, Denver Broncos (10/1)
Joe Nelson: Doug Baldwin, Seattle Seahawks (15/1)
Kevin Rogers: Eric Decker, Denver Broncos (10/1)
Mike Rose: Julius Thomas, Denver Broncos (10/1)
Sheldon Frank: Wes Welker, Denver Broncos (10/1)

Consensus: Eric Decker & Julius Thomas

Quick Thoughts – Brian Edwards: I like the props that have big payouts. I want the majority of my bankroll to be on the side or total, and then I like to make small plays on the props that have nice payouts. For instance, the player to score the first touchdowns. I've hit this twice in recent years, nailing Devin Hester on the opening kickoff at 25/1 odds in the Bears' loss to the Colts and Peyton Manning. And I hit Anquan Boldin last season at 12/1 odds. This year there are four quality options in my opinion. Denver TE Jacob Tamme caught the first TD against the Pats in the AFC title game, and he's available at 18/1 odds. Denver WRs Wes Welker and Eric Decker are at 10/1, while Seattle WR and special-teams ace Percy Harvin is at 12/1. I'll go with Decker (10/1).

2) Will either team score three straight times? YES (-175) NO (+155)

Antony Dinero: NO
Brian Edwards: NO
Chris David: YES
Joe Nelson: YES
Kevin Rogers: NO
Mike Rose: NO
Sheldon Frank: YES

Consensus: NO

Quick Thoughts – Joe Nelson: This is always a tricky prop as scoring three straight times sounds less likely than it actually is. ‘Yes’ would have hit in 14 of 18 Seattle games this season including each of the last five games and only once all season in 18 games did Denver or Denver’s opponent fail to score three consecutive times.

3) Will Peyton Manning throw an Interception? YES (-200) NO (+175)

Antony Dinero: YES
Brian Edwards: YES
Chris David: NO
Joe Nelson: NO
Kevin Rogers: NO
Mike Rose: YES
Sheldon Frank: YES

Consensus: YES

Quick Thoughts – Kevin Rogers: Peyton Manning has thrown just 11 interceptions in 18 games this season. Three of those interceptions came in a Week 8 over Washington, so his ill-advised throws are few and far between. We know about all of the publicity Richard Sherman has received recently and Manning will not force throws to his side of the field. The return is excellent on this prop, as I’ll take the shot with Manning not tossing a pick on Sunday.

Quick Thoughts – Mike Rose: The Seahawks picked off a league best 20 passes in the regular season and added two more in the NFC championship game. Only four games were played to entirety without the Seahawks intercepting at least one pass, and two of those games came against cagey veteran Drew Brees. While Peyton Manning is cut from the same cloth as the Saints field general, he is well known for coming up short in the biggest of games and this one going on Sunday doesn’t get any bigger. This Seahawks defense is relentless and has no problem talking the talk, but unlike most mouthpieces, they also walk the walk. Richard Sherman and his mates will make it extremely tough for #18 to find much breathing room, and that will force him to try and squeeze the pigskin into tight places on a couple of occasions. I foresee at least one of those instances leading directly to an interception leading to a mopey Manning on the sideline furiously breaking down the printed footage on the sideline with his OC.

4) Total Field Goals Made by both teams. OVER 3.5 (+130) UNDER 3.5 (-150)

Antony Dinero: OVER
Brian Edwards: OVER
Chris David: UNDER
Joe Nelson: OVER
Kevin Rogers: OVER
Mike Rose: OVER
Sheldon Frank: OVER

Consensus: OVER

5) Total Touchdowns Scored by both teams. OVER 5.5 (+120) UNDER 5.5 (-140)

Antony Dinero: UNDER
Brian Edwards: UNDER
Chris David: OVER
Joe Nelson: UNDER
Kevin Rogers: UNDER
Mike Rose: OVER
Sheldon Frank: UNDER

Consensus: UNDER

6) Total Completions by Russell Wilson. OVER 16.5 (-110) UNDER 16.5 (-110)

Antony Dinero: OVER
Brian Edwards: UNDER
Chris David: OVER
Joe Nelson: OVER
Kevin Rogers: OVER
Mike Rose: OVER
Sheldon Frank: OVER

Consensus: OVER

Quick Thoughts – Joe Nelson: Wilson had 16 or fewer completions in five of the last six games but in the five games in which he was held below that figure down the stretch he faced a team that finished in the top 8 of the NFL in total defenses. Denver has a great run defense but the pass defense has been shaky at times, an area made worse with recent injuries. Look for Seattle to work in some easy throws early to get the young quarterback comfortable on the big stage. Denver allowed over 22 completions to opponents per game this season with only two foes all season held below 18 and the priority for the Broncos should be stopping the run which could open up opportunities in the air.

7) Longest Rush by Marshawn Lynch. OVER 17.5 (-110) UNDER 17.5 (-110)

Antony Dinero: OVER
Brian Edwards: OVER
Chris David: UNDER
Joe Nelson: UNDER
Kevin Rogers: OVER
Mike Rose: OVER
Sheldon Frank: OVER

Consensus: OVER

8) Total Gross Passing Yards by Peyton Manning. OVER 286.5 (-110) UNDER 286.5 (-110)

Antony Dinero: UNDER
Brian Edwards: UNDER
Chris David: OVER
Joe Nelson: UNDER
Kevin Rogers: UNDER
Mike Rose: OVER
Sheldon Frank: OVER

Consensus: UNDER

Quick Thoughts – Joe Nelson: In the playoffs, New Orleans QB Drew Brees threw for 309 yards against Seattle but that was the only time all season a quarterback came close to this figure and most of those yards came in garbage time as Seattle mostly had the game in hand until the dicey few minutes.

9) Most Rushing Yards – Marshawn Lynch -30.5 (-110) vs. Knowshon Moreno +30.5 (-110)

Antony Dinero: Knowshon Moreno
Brian Edwards: Marshawn Lynch
Chris David: Marshawn Lynch
Joe Nelson: Knowshon Moreno
Kevin Rogers: Knowshon Moreno
Mike Rose: Knowshon Moreno
Sheldon Frank: Marshawn Lynch

Consensus: Knowshon Moreno

Quick Thoughts – Sheldon Frank: When you think of the Seahawk offense, you think of running back Marshawn Lynch. Yes, there are plays when Russell Wilson buys time by scrambling and then hits a receiver deep but when the Seahawks want to make a statement, they hand the ball to No. 24. Knowshon Moreno gashes teams when they're geared to stop the Broncos' passing game. Beast Mode is the more talented and more durable running back and is at the heart of what Seattle does offensively. Go with Marshawn Lynch to out-gain Knowshon Moreno on the ground by at least 31 yards because he's, "all about the action, Boss!"

10) Will Richard Sherman intercept a pass? YES (+210) NO (-250)

Antony Dinero: NO
Brian Edwards: YES
Chris David: NO
Joe Nelson: NO
Kevin Rogers: NO
Mike Rose: YES
Sheldon Frank: NO

Consensus: NO

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Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

We've been looking at Super Bowl props in this space for the last week. Here's a look at six more of them (LVH puts out a 44-page PDF of the props available). It covers pretty much everything........

-- Phil Mickelson's 4th-round score -14.5 vs Moreno's rushing yards

-- Brandt Snedeker's 4th round score -24.5 vs Tate's receiving yards.

-- Keegan Bradley's 4th round score -1.5 vs D Thomas' receiving yards

-- Jets/Canadiens total, -0.5 vs Julius Thomas' receptions

-- Red Wings/Caps total, -0.5 vs D Thomas' receptions

-- Will Richard Sherman have an INT? yes +$210, no -$250

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Super Bowl XLVIII betting: Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos

Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos (-2, 48)

Peyton Manning has commanded center stage from the moment he was taken with the top overall draft pick in 1998 and the spotlight will never be brighter than when he leads the Denver Broncos against the Seattle Seahawks in Super Bowl XLVIII on Sunday night at New Jersey's MetLife Stadium.

Manning put together the finest season by a quarterback in NFL history - shattering records for touchdowns and yards - and a victory could settle the debate of whether he is the greatest quarterback of all time. Conversely, a loss by the Broncos will drop the league's only four-time (and soon to be five) MVP below .500 in the postseason and 1-2 in Super Bowls to bolster the argument by his detractors that he continually comes up short in the big game.

Who's No. 1? It is the quintessential matchup, pitting the Broncos' top-ranked offense against Seattle's league-best defense, marking only the fifth time in Super Bowl history that the NFL's highest-scoring team (Denver, 606 points) squared off against an opponent that surrendered the fewest points (Seattle, 231).

“We wouldn’t have it any other way,” bombastic Seahawks cornerback Richard Sherman said. “They’re an unbelievable record-setting offense with a Hall of Fame quarterback. That’s as tough as it gets. The No. 1 defense against the No. 1 offense.” It is also only the second time in 20 seasons that the No. 1 seeds in each conference reached the Super Bowl - the last coming when Manning's Indianapolis Colts lost to New Orleans in Super Bowl XLIV four years ago.

The first outdoor cold-weather Super Bowl - and the potential for playing in a blizzard - caused a lot of teeth-gnashing leading up to the game, but conditions are expected to be relatively benign with temperatures in the mid-30s and light winds. That's a huge plus for Manning and a Broncos' offense that features an unprecedented five players to have scored at least 10 touchdowns.

“We’ve spread the ball around so well all season, so it’s hard for teams to know who to key on,” said Manning, who was held to a season-low 150 yards passing in bitter cold and high winds at New England in late November. Seattle has built a legendary home-field advantage at CenturyLink Field but like Denver, has already played at MetLife this season. The Seahawks blanked the New York Giants 23-0 on Dec. 15 while the Broncos scored 31 second-half points in a 41-23 victory over the Giants on Sept. 15.


TV: 6:25 p.m. ET, Fox.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low 40s, above freezing with a 23 percent chance of rain turning to ice pellets in the fourth quarter. Winds are expected to blow NNW from corner to corner at MetLife Stadium at speeds of 4-6 mph.

LINE HISTORY: The spread opened at a pick'em and immediately drew action on the Broncos, pumping the spread as high as Denver -3.5. Seahawks money came back and bought the underdog, trimming this line down to -2. The total opened 47.5 and was bet down to 47 with the extended forecast calling for bad weather in East Rutherford. However, with the weather clearing up, action on the Over has drive the number as high as 48.5.

POWER RANKINGS: Seahawks (-7.3) - Broncos (-7.0) = Seahawks -0.3

KEY INJURIES: Seattle: Jordan Hill DT (Prob. - Groin), Percy Harvin WR (Prob. - Concussion), Doug Baldwin WR (Prob. - Hip), Brandon Browner (Out - Suspension). Denver: Mitch Unrein DT (Prob. - Knee), Knowshon Moreno (Prob. - Ribs), Tony Carter CB (Prob. - Arm), Matt Prater (Prob. Illness), Sione Fua (Ques. - Calf).

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "If we don't start seeing more Seahawks money we might, might have to get to Denver -3. Personally, I don't want that to happen but everyone is in love with the Broncos and with the early weather reports calling for a decent day in Jersey, getting to -3 isn't out of the question. At this point, it might be the only way to see some Seahawks money but it really will expose us to getting sided on the biggest game of the year. Going to -3 and then this game landing three, I'll be looking for work come Monday." - Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.ag.

WHY BET SEATTLE (15-3 SU, 12-6-0 ATS, 6-12 O/U): Aside from allowing 14.4 points per game, Seattle surrendered the fewest total yards and passing yards while leading the league in takeaways (39) and interceptions (28), including a league-best eight by Sherman. Quarterback Russell Wilson tied Ben Roethlisberger for the second-most wins (27) in his first two seasons but he did not throw for more than one touchdown or 215 yards in his past six games.

One of the reasons is bullish running back Marshawn Lynch, who has gone over 100 yards four times in six postseason games and rushed for 249 yards and three TDs in the Seahawks' playoff wins over New Orleans and San Francisco. Wilson will also get back a big weapon in wideout Percy Harvin, who played in only one game during the regular season after recovering from hip surgery and suffered a concussion in the victory over New Orleans that caused him to miss the next contest.

WHY BET DENVER (15-3 SU, 11-6-1 ATS, 11-7 O/U): Wide receivers Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker are only the second tandem with more than 1,000 yards and 10 touchdowns in consecutive seasons. Add in Wes Welker (87 catches, 10 TDs) and tight end Julius Thomas (65 catches, 12 TDs) along with 1,000-yard rusher Knowshon Moreno and it's not hard to see why Manning threw for 55 scores and 5,477 yards - both NFL single-season records.

Denver's high-powered offense overshadowed a much-maligned defense that has made enormous strides and yielded an average of 14 points over the past four games since a 27-20 home loss to San Diego on Dec. 12. "We kind of made a pact after the San Diego loss," said Broncos coach John Fox, the sixth coach to lead two different teams to a Super Bowl. "Basically, everybody made a pact that we're going to be the best we can be these last five games. We've gone through four of them; we've got one remaining."

SUPER BOWL TRENDS:

* The Broncos are 16-5 SU and 12-8-1 ATS in games versus the Seahawks since 1993.

* This marks the fifth time in Super Bowl history that a team with the No. 1 defense has faced the team with the No. 1 offense. Defense has beat offense three of the four previous meetings. In addition, teams with the better defense have won 39 of the previous 47 Super Bowls. However, teams with the better defense are just 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS the last seven Super Bowls.

* The NFC has controlled the last 32 Super Bowls, going 21-11 SU and 20-10-3 ATS, including 4-1 SU and ATS the last five years. The AFC, though, actually holds the upper hand of late, going 10-6 SU the last 16 years.

* The big story in the world of NFL totals this season was the success realized in non-conference games throughout the 2013 season as these games were an amazing 49-15 to the Over.

CONSENSUS PICKS: 66 percent of bets on Broncos (-2), 51 percent on Over 48.

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Forty-eight great betting notes for Super Bowl XLVIII

We're just a few hours away from Super Bowl XLVIII so it's time to really buckle down and get focused on your bets. We put together a list of the best 48 Super Bowl betting notes we could find to help you with your handicapping down the stretch.

1. Sunday’s game will be only the third time in the last 20 years the two preseason favorites have met in the Super Bowl. The NFC has won the two previous meetings with the New Orleans Saints beating the Indianapolis Colts in 2009 and the Dallas Cowboys beating the Buffalo Bills in 1993.

2. The closest approximation of this year’s Super Bowl matchup was in 2002, when the league’s best defensive team, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, beat the Oakland Raiders, who were the league’s second-highest scoring team, 48-21.

3. Twenty-one of 47 Super Bowls have featured a Top-5 total offense against a Top-5 total defense. In those instances, the defense has beaten the offense 13 times SU. However, teams with the better defense are just 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in the last seven Super Bowls.

4. The NFC has held the upper hand over the AFC in Super Bowl games since the 1980 season, going 21-11 SU and 20-10-3 ATS.

5. The team that scores first is 31-16 SU in the Super Bowl.

6. The Broncos’ starters have an average 5.7 seasons in the NFL, 3.3 playoffs and players who have experienced five different Super Bowls. The Seahawks starters have an average of 4.6 seasons, 2.5 playoff seasons, and no Super Bowl appearances.

7. Denver’s coaching staff has a combined 49 NFL seasons, 19 playoff seasons, and three Super Bowls between them while Seattle’s coaching staff have 38 NFL seasons, 19 playoff seasons, and zero Super Bowls between them.

8. Seattle beat Denver 40-10 as a 5-point favorite in the preseason. Peyton Manning was 11 for 16 for 163 yards passing and a TD while Russell Wilson went 8-for-12 for 127 yards and two scores.

9. The Broncos set an NFL record with 606 points scored this season. Not one of the next eight teams on the all-time season scoring list went on to win the Super Bowl.

10. The team that controls the clock usually wins. Teams that have a superior time of possession have won nine of the last 12 Super Bowls SU. The Seahawks have averaged 29:59 minutes of possession in their two playoff games while the Broncos have averaged over 35:30 minutes of possession in their two postseason games.


Total

11. The Seattle Seahawks have given up only 30 points twice in two seasons – a Week 5 loss at Indianapolis and a 30-28 loss to the Atlanta Falcons in last year’s divisional playoff round. Denver has scored at least 30 points in 12 of 18 games this season.

12. According to the website Advanced NFL Stats, temperatures of 25 degrees or less affect play calling. The same website says a winds of 15 mph or stronger also affects play calling.

13. Terry McAulay was named head official for Super Bowl XLVIII. McAulay presided over both Super Bowl XXXIX, in which the Patriots beat the Eagles 24-21 as 7-point favorites and Super Bowl XLIII in which the Steelers beat the Cardinals 27-23 as 6.5-point favorites. In Super Bowl XXXIX, there were 10 penalties called for 82 yards total. In Super Bowl XLIII, there were 18 penalties for 182 yards total.

14. Weather Underground isn’t predicting a major storm but is expecting “a frontal system that with colder air retreating, all precipitation types, from snow, to sleet, to rain, are on the table with this system.”

15. Cold weather and frozen fields could push both teams' preparations indoors which coaches agree is not ideal because the synthetic field is harder on their players’ legs.

16. In 10 playoff games there have only been seven pass interference calls made. Seattle is the most penalized teams in terms of pass interference calls with 13 in 18 games for a total of 232 yards. Denver is the second biggest beneficiary of pass interference calls with 14 calls against for 215 yards.

17. Eight of the past 12 Super Bowl winners were flagged for more penalty yards than the loser. Seattle was the most penalized team during the regular season with 7.9 per game while Denver was 30 of 34 with 7.1 per game.

18. Seattle has given up an NFL-low 231 points this year with only 101 of those points coming in the second half.

19. Peyton Manning has averaged 295 yards and has thrown 19 touchdowns versus 10 interceptions in his last eight games in sub 40-degree weather.

20. Broncos had a touchdown drive of 7 minutes, one second against the San Diego Chargers to go with scoring drives of 7:50 and 7:52 Sunday against the Patriots. Those are the three longest scoring drives of the season for the Broncos. Denver is slowing down its pace on offense, compared to a hurried no-huddle attack in the regular season.


Props

21. The winning QB has been Super Bowl MVP in six of the last seven games. Peyton Manning is currently the oddsmakers' favorite at 8/5 while Russell Wilson is next at 13/4.

22. After the quarterbacks, Marshawn Lynch is, at 6/1, the oddsmakers’ favorite to life the MVP trophy. No running back has been named MVP since Terrell Davis was in 1998.

23. The total for how many times Peyton Manning will say “Omaha” is 27.5. The Broncos QB used it 44 times in the divisional round versus San Diego and 31 versus New England.

24. The AFC has won the last two coin tosses in a row. Before that the NFC had won 13 straight.

25. "Heads" has been the right call in the last five Super Bowls and six of the last seven.

Seattle Seahawks

26. Seattle WR Percy Harvin was given the all clear to return to practice after suffering a concussion versus the Saints and did so this past Wednesday. He still needs to be given medical clearance to play Sunday.

27. Russell Wilson is leaving no stone unturned in preparation for the big game. The Seattle QB is anticipating 56 different balls to be used during the game and the larger Super Bowl emblem will make the ball slicker than usual.

28. The Seahawks defense has held standout tight ends Jimmy Graham and Vernon Davis to a combined three catches and 24 yards in their two playoff games. Denver TEs Julius Thomas and Jacob Tamme were instrumental in the team’s AFC Championship win making 10 catches for 109 yards and two TDs.

29. Pete Carroll intends on keeping the competition for starting left guard open through the week leading up to the big game with Dan Carpenter, Michael Bowie, and Paul McQuistan all vying for the position.

30. With Harvin in the lineup the Seahawks will, at times, be able to lineup with at least three wide receivers. They have had such a formation on only 12 first-down attempts, 16 second-down attempts, and 24 third downs.

31. This will be Seattle’s third trip to Meadowlands in the last three years. They beat the Giants 36-25 as 10-point underdogs in 2011 and 23-0 as 9.5-point favorites in December. The O/U is 1-1 in those games both times with a 43.5-point total.

32. Russell Wilson is 8-1 ATS as an underdog as the Seahawks starter.

33. Percy Harvin faced the Broncos as a member of the Minnesota Vikings racking up a career-high 175 yards from scrimmage. One hundred of those yards came on a pair of touchdown catches covering 52 and 48 yards.

34. The Seahawks were dead last, converting only 49 percent of chances when facing third and fourth-and-two to convert or a goal-to-go situation inside the two-yard line.

Denver Broncos

35. The Denver Broncos gave up the third-most receiving yards to tight ends this season. Seattle TE Zach Miller caught only 33 passes for 387 yards and five TDs but was most prolific in December with 11 catches for 139 yards and two TDs.

36. Denver kicker Matt Prater missed three straight days of practice because of illness but managed to fly with the team to New York Sunday. Team took precautions to ensure Prater didn’t pass anything on.

37. Defenses have made nearly 200 pressure calls versus Peyton Manning this season. He has been sacked only five times on these occasions while passing for 14 touchdowns and five interceptions.

38. Denver RB Knowshon Moreno was listed as questionable with a rib injury suffered in the fourth quarter of the AFC Championship Game. Moreno says he will be good to go Sunday and doesn’t expect needing to wear any additional padding.

39. The Broncos run game averaged 30 rushes and five yards per carry in their three cold weather games this season. Overall, Denver averaged almost 29 carries per game for just 4.1 yards per carry over the regular season.

40. The Broncos offense has given the ball away 28 times in 18 games while the Seahawks defense have 42 takeaways.

41. Denver has almost 500 snaps of no-huddle offense this season with 89 so far in the postseason. They have scored 57 touchdowns from this package in 18 games this season.

42. Denver kicker Matt Prater was so prolific through the postseason that, when combined with the Mile High air, the Denver Broncos’ special teams did not field a kick return all playoffs. It is expected that Percy Harvin, the league’s best kick returner in 2011 and 2012 will be healthy enough to return kickoffs this Sunday.

43. Manning has been touched only once this postseason and has not been sacked.

44. Broncos WR DeMaryius Thomas welcomes the opportunity to face All-Pro cornerback Richard Sherman despite Sherman not allowing a reception this postseason as well as having the best defensive passer rating of any defensive back this season at 47.3. The second-lowest opposing passer rating was Seattle’s Byron Maxwell at 47.8.

45. Denver was 4-1 SU and ATS this season against teams with a Top-10 rushing offense. The Over is 4-1 in those games.

46. Broncos offensive line consultant Alex Gibbs was Seattle’s assistant head coach and offensive line coach in 2010 and worked with Seahawks offensive line coach Tom Cable in Atlanta in 2006.

47. The Broncos are 8-2 SU in 10 games that Peyton Manning has worn a glove this season, throwing 33 touchdowns against five interceptions.

48. Since the Broncos were tagged for 177 yards on the ground in week 15, they have allowed the opposing team to rush for 87, 64, 65, and 64 yards respectively the past four games. The Broncos are 3-1 ATS in those games and the under is 4-0.