The Bum's NFL Playoff POD'S, STAT'S NEWS PLAYOFF GOY !!

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Dunkel

Super Bowl

Seattle vs. Denver
In Super Bowl XLVIII, the Seahawks face a Broncos team that is 15-2 ATS in its last 17 games when playing with 2 weeks of rest. Denver is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Broncos favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-2 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 2

Game 101-102: Seattle vs. Denver (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 142.278; Denver 147.399
Dunkel Line: Denver by 5; 44
Vegas Line: Denver by 2 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-2 1/2); Under




NFL
Long Sheet

Super Bowl

Sunday, February 2

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SEATTLE (15 - 3) vs. DENVER (15 - 3) - 2/2/2014, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
SEATTLE is 57-84 ATS (-35.4 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
DENVER is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
SEATTLE is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NFL
Short Sheet

Super Bowl

Sunday, February 2

Seattle at Denver, 6:30 ET
Seattle: 6-17 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest
Denver: 18-5 ATS after gaining 500 or more total yards in their previous game




NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Super Bowl

Denver/Seattle were AFC West rivals up until 2001, when Seahawks moved to the NFC. Seattle’s first-ever playoff win was 31-7 over the Broncos in the Kingdome in 1983, John Elway’s rookie year. Teams have met only three times since Seattle switched conferences, with Denver winning two of three, last of which was 31-14 Bronco win at Mile High in 2010—that also means the teams meet again next season, in the Thursday night season opener, maybe?

None of that matters here; what matters is what the weather is expected to come up better Sunday night than its been all winter in New Jersey, which favors Denver’s passing game. Broncos scored 41 ppg in winning two of three games on artificial turf this season (at Giants-Cowboys-Patriots). Seattle plays its home games on carpet. Both teams beat the Giants in this stadium this season. If they gave an over/under figure to bet on for TV ratings, I’d take the over. Lot of people are interested in this game.

Denver’s coach/QB have been in Super Bowls before, Manning has obviously won one. Seattle doesn’t have one player who has been in a Super Bowl; they have to guard against being too hyped up for the game, which you read has been a problem in previous Super Bowls. Manning spreads ball out so well, it is difficult for great Seattle defense to focus on stopping 1-2 guys, like Crabtree/Boldin with the 49ers.

This is only second time in last 20 years both #1 seeds got to this point. Underdogs covered five of last six Super Bowls, won four of six SU.

Seattle’s offense has not been as good away from home; they’re a bully team, trying to run ball down your throat. If Denver can contain the run and force Wilson to make plays to win the game, doubtful he can do it. I think the Broncos will win the game, something like 31-16.




NFL

Super Bowl

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Trend Report
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6:30 PM
SEATTLE vs. DENVER
Seattle is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games


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NFL

Sunday, February 2

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Trends - Seattle vs Denver
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Red - Hot trends are trends 80% or higher. Blue - Cold trends are trends 20% or lower.

ATS Trends

Seattle

Seahawks are 13-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Seahawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Seahawks are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 games on fieldturf.
Seahawks are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games following a S.U. win.
Seahawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Seahawks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win.
Seahawks are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall.

Denver

Broncos are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Broncos are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Broncos are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Broncos are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on fieldturf.
Broncos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 playoff games.


OU Trends

Seattle

Under is 7-0 in Seahawks last 7 games overall.
Under is 5-0 in Seahawks last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 6-0 in Seahawks last 6 games on fieldturf.
Under is 5-0 in Seahawks last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 6-0 in Seahawks last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

Denver

Under is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 13-2-1 in Broncos last 16 games on fieldturf.
Over is 24-7 in Broncos last 31 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 40-14-2 in Broncos last 56 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games following a ATS win.
Over is 7-3 in Broncos last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 41-18-1 in Broncos last 60 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 49-24-1 in Broncos last 74 games overall.


Head to Head

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Denver.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

[StarDust Bum]

MY SUPER PICK ON SUPERBOWL SUNDAY......

Sunday, February 2

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Seattle - 6:30 PM ET Seattle +2 500 TRIPLE PLAY

Denver - Over 47.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY


GOOD LUCK ALL !!

[StarDust Bum]

Awesome way to end the season.......Now on to Hoops with baseball season up coming


See you all next year.........

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six observations from one of the worst Super Bowls ever........

-- Losing a Super Bowl hurts; showing up for one unprepared and then quitting fairly early leaves a mark. Denver will have a hangover from this.

-- Referee Terry McAulay let Joe Namath toss the coin before Seattle's captains called heads/tails. He caught his mistake and the coin before it hit the ground, getting a terrible game off to a sloppy start.

-- Denver kick returner Trindon Holliday put Broncos in a hole by running the opening kick out from seven yards deep in the end zone, setting up the safety that happened on the Broncos' first play. Players whose only job is to run kicks back don't like to take touchbacks.

-- Seattle's DBs totally imtimidated Denver's WR's. Total mismatch.

-- Percy Harvin did more in the first half than he did all season.

-- AFC West/NFC West teams play each other next year. am guessing one of the primetime games next year will be a rematch of this awful game.


*****

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a not-so-super Sunday

13) NFL got lucky with the weather, then the game turned out to be a skunk anyway; you charge $16 for a cheesesteak at the stadium, and you're going to get a lousy game, its just bad karma.

12) Tennessee/Arizona State were two colleges that had the most alumni in the Super Bowl, if stuff like that interests you.

11) There has now been a safety in four of last six Super Bowls; there had been only five safeties in the first 42 Super Bowls.

10) Dodgers raised ticket prices 140% for this season, as expectations for the team with the highest payroll in baseball history are through the roof.

9) Arizona Wildcats are holding their breath that Brandon Ashley's foot injury isn't as bad as originally hoped. Ashley is their best defensive big guy and will be a huge loss if he is done for the season.

8) In case you were wondering, ESPN was showing a documentary on Mike Tyson when the Super Bowl kicked off. Always fun to see what they put on at a time when they know almost no one is watching.

7) Indiana 63, Michigan 52-- Wolverines lost fifth straight game at Indiana and lost their first conference game this season. Yogi Ferrell made 7-8 from the arc. Hoosiers play better against the better teams.

6) Nevada Wolf Pack is 8-1 vs spread in Mountain West games; three of their last four games went to overtime- they're a much-improved team.

5) Oregon State 71, UCLA 67-- Beavers survived 18 turnovers and shaky foul shooting (15-26) as they rallied to beat UCLA, which has been ordinary away from Westwood. Crowds in Corvallis were hurt by Sunday afternoon games when Seahawks were playing- they should pick up now.

4) Stephen Gallacher won the European tour event in Dubai; in last two rounds, he shot 61 (-13) on the back nine. Very impressive.

3) Took Kevin Stadler 239 tournaments, but he won on the PGA Tour in an unusual finish where all the contenders stumbled down the stretch. Now he will join his dad in Augusta, the first father/son duo in that event.

1) Congrats to Aeneas Williams on making the Pro Football Hall of Fame; back in August 2001, I met Williams in Canton, when the Rams played in the Hall of Fame Game against Miami.

They had an open practice on Sundays back then-- I was there to see Jack Youngblood/Jackie Slater get inducted in the Hall of Fame on Saturday, so I went to the open practice, and got this mini-helmet signed by some players, one of whom was Williams.

As he signed the helmet, we talked a little about his getting inducted into the Hall one day; my thought was if the Rams won the Super Bowl that year, he was a mortal lock to get in. He smiled as if he liked that idea.

Rams lost the Super Bowl that year but justice was done this weekend and Williams will be inducted in Canton this July. Good for him.

[StarDust Bum]

Super Bowl XLVIII Prop bet results

Here are just some of results of the many Prop bets from Super Bowl XLVIII.

- The length of the National Anthem was 131 seconds.

- The coin toss was tails and the Seahawks won the toss.

- There was no touchback on the opening kickoff

- The first team to kick a field goal was Seattle.

- Marshawn Lynch's first carry was under 3.5 yards.

- Peyton Manning's first pass was a completion.

- The number of coaches challenges went over 1.5.

- Marshawn Lynch was the first player to score a touchdown.

- Demayrius Thomas went over 5.5 receptions.

- Percy Harvin went under 48.5 receiving yards.

- There was a defensive and special teams touchdown scored in the game.

- A quarterback did not win the MVP.

- Malcolm Smith was +2,500 to win the MVP.

- Russell Wilson's rushing yards went under the total of 32.5.

- A team did not score in the last two minutes of the game.

- Richard Sherman did not record an interception.

- The team that scored first (Seahawks) won the game.

- The color of the Gatorade bath was orange.

- It didn't snow during the game.

- Members of the Red Hot Chili Peppers did go shirtless during the halftime show.

[Udog]

MY SUPER PICK ON SUPERBOWL SUNDAY......

Sunday, February 2

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Seattle - 6:30 PM ET Seattle +2 500 TRIPLE PLAY

Denver - Over 47.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY


GOOD LUCK ALL !!

Way to go, Bum!!!

[WThotrod]

Nice work, Bum!