NBA
Dunkel
Milwaukee at Miami
The Heat look to open up the playoff series and build on their 9-0 ATS record in their last 9 games against teams with a losing SU record. Miami is the pick (-13) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 16. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-13). Here are all of today's picks.
SUNDAY, APRIL 21
Game 709-710: Atlanta at Indiana (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 114.929; Indiana 123.227
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 8 1/2; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-6 1/2); Under
Game 711-712: LA Lakers at San Antonio (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 120.531; San Antonio 119.550
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1; 192
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 8 1/2; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+8 1/2); Over
Game 713-714: Milwaukee at Miami (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 111.595; Miami 127.827
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 16; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 13; 199
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-13); Over
Game 715-716: Houston at Oklahoma City (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 118.932; Oklahoma City 127.556
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10; 213 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+10); Under
NBA
Long Sheet
Sunday, April 21
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ATLANTA (44 - 38) at INDIANA (49 - 32) - 4/21/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
INDIANA is 43-65 ATS (-28.5 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA LAKERS (45 - 37) at SAN ANTONIO (58 - 24) - 4/21/2013, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 34-47 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 89-68 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 73-54 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 121-88 ATS (+24.2 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 162-119 ATS (+31.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 112-80 ATS (+24.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 136-103 ATS (+22.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MILWAUKEE (38 - 44) at MIAMI (66 - 16) - 4/21/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 36-45 ATS (-13.5 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 46-36 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-5 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HOUSTON (45 - 37) at OKLAHOMA CITY (60 - 22) - 4/21/2013, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 80-49 ATS (+26.1 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NBA
Short Sheet
Sunday, April 21
First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Atlanta at Indiana, 1:00 ET TNT
Atlanta: 5-14 ATS playing their second game in five days
Indiana: 13-2 Under off 4+ ATS losses
First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
LA Lakers at San Antonio, 3:30 ET ABC
LA Lakers: 5-15 ATS as a road underdog
San Antonio: 10-1 ATS off a home loss
First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Milwaukee at Miami, 7:00 ET TNT
Milwaukee: 7-15 ATS revenging a loss by 10+ points
Miami: 27-13 ATS off a home game
First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Houston at Oklahoma City, 9:30 ET TNT
Houston: 0-8 ATS away off BB SU losses
Oklahoma City: 15-6 ATS off a SU loss
NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Sunday, April 21
Indiana has best defensive team in NBA (best FG% vs both 2-point and 3-point shots), but Atlanta has quickness advantage inside and will try to exploit it. Home side won all four Atlanta-Indiana games this season; Hawks lost both visits here, by 11-6 points, with both games going over. Atlanta is 2-5 in its last seven games overall, with four of last five going over total. Indiana lost five of its last six games, with four of last five going over as well- they played faster pace in games vs Atlanta than vs any other team in league. Hawks have lot of guys whose contracts are expiring, will they play for themselves or to advance?
Lot of older, injured stars in Laker-Spur series; Bryant is out, Nash is a ???, Parker/Ginobili are banged up and Diaw is out, which why Tracy McGrady was brought back from China. LA won last five games and 8 of last 9 to squeak into playoffs; they're 20-8 in last 28 games, 1-2 vs Spurs, with three games decided by total of 10 points-- all three stayed under total. Spurs lost seven of last ten games to fall out of #1 seed, but they were pointing to playoffs. Spurs shot under 39% in two of three games vs Lakers; they made 12-25 from arc in Lakers' only visit to this site. LA was +23 in FT's tried in two games played at Staples. Lakers' best two players with Bryant out are 7-footers; Spurs want to run.
Milwaukee lost 15 of last 21 games, finished 38-44, has as much chance of beating Miami best-of-7 as I do of dating Pamela Anderson. Bucks did upset Heat 104-85 at home Dec 29, forcing 20 turnovers (+15), but lost other three meetings by 7-13-11 points, with last three games staying under total. Only once in four meetings did Miami lead by more than a hoop at the half. Bucks have to try and make Heat shoot jumpers; Heat took 33-24-22-10 FTs in four meetings, going 8-35 from arc in last game April 9, so Milwaukee has to pack in defense, keep game slow as they can, and hope Miami is extremely overconfident. Good luck with that.
Houston star Harden came off bench for Thunder, but played starters' minutes; Rockets got whacked by 22-30 points by OC before holidays, but beat Thunder 122-119 in last meeting Feb 20, making 15-33 on arc (made 16-51 in two losses)- Harden had 46 that game. Houston turns it over more than any team in league partially because they run more than most teams; they've got to minimize OC's easy hoops, since its defense in halfcourt isn't exactly great. Thunder scored 120-124-119 in the three games with Houston, which is better-than-average #8 seed, but playing wrong style to upset this defensively-stout favorite.
NBA
Sunday, April 21
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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. INDIANA
Atlanta is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Indiana is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
3:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. SAN ANTONIO
LA Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 6 games on the road
San Antonio is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. MIAMI
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 16 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home
9:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Houston's last 18 games
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games at home
Dunkel
Milwaukee at Miami
The Heat look to open up the playoff series and build on their 9-0 ATS record in their last 9 games against teams with a losing SU record. Miami is the pick (-13) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 16. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-13). Here are all of today's picks.
SUNDAY, APRIL 21
Game 709-710: Atlanta at Indiana (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 114.929; Indiana 123.227
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 8 1/2; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-6 1/2); Under
Game 711-712: LA Lakers at San Antonio (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 120.531; San Antonio 119.550
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1; 192
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 8 1/2; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+8 1/2); Over
Game 713-714: Milwaukee at Miami (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 111.595; Miami 127.827
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 16; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 13; 199
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-13); Over
Game 715-716: Houston at Oklahoma City (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 118.932; Oklahoma City 127.556
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10; 213 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+10); Under
NBA
Long Sheet
Sunday, April 21
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ATLANTA (44 - 38) at INDIANA (49 - 32) - 4/21/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
INDIANA is 43-65 ATS (-28.5 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA LAKERS (45 - 37) at SAN ANTONIO (58 - 24) - 4/21/2013, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 34-47 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 89-68 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 73-54 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 121-88 ATS (+24.2 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 162-119 ATS (+31.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 112-80 ATS (+24.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 136-103 ATS (+22.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MILWAUKEE (38 - 44) at MIAMI (66 - 16) - 4/21/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 36-45 ATS (-13.5 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 46-36 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-5 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HOUSTON (45 - 37) at OKLAHOMA CITY (60 - 22) - 4/21/2013, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 80-49 ATS (+26.1 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NBA
Short Sheet
Sunday, April 21
First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Atlanta at Indiana, 1:00 ET TNT
Atlanta: 5-14 ATS playing their second game in five days
Indiana: 13-2 Under off 4+ ATS losses
First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
LA Lakers at San Antonio, 3:30 ET ABC
LA Lakers: 5-15 ATS as a road underdog
San Antonio: 10-1 ATS off a home loss
First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Milwaukee at Miami, 7:00 ET TNT
Milwaukee: 7-15 ATS revenging a loss by 10+ points
Miami: 27-13 ATS off a home game
First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Houston at Oklahoma City, 9:30 ET TNT
Houston: 0-8 ATS away off BB SU losses
Oklahoma City: 15-6 ATS off a SU loss
NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Sunday, April 21
Indiana has best defensive team in NBA (best FG% vs both 2-point and 3-point shots), but Atlanta has quickness advantage inside and will try to exploit it. Home side won all four Atlanta-Indiana games this season; Hawks lost both visits here, by 11-6 points, with both games going over. Atlanta is 2-5 in its last seven games overall, with four of last five going over total. Indiana lost five of its last six games, with four of last five going over as well- they played faster pace in games vs Atlanta than vs any other team in league. Hawks have lot of guys whose contracts are expiring, will they play for themselves or to advance?
Lot of older, injured stars in Laker-Spur series; Bryant is out, Nash is a ???, Parker/Ginobili are banged up and Diaw is out, which why Tracy McGrady was brought back from China. LA won last five games and 8 of last 9 to squeak into playoffs; they're 20-8 in last 28 games, 1-2 vs Spurs, with three games decided by total of 10 points-- all three stayed under total. Spurs lost seven of last ten games to fall out of #1 seed, but they were pointing to playoffs. Spurs shot under 39% in two of three games vs Lakers; they made 12-25 from arc in Lakers' only visit to this site. LA was +23 in FT's tried in two games played at Staples. Lakers' best two players with Bryant out are 7-footers; Spurs want to run.
Milwaukee lost 15 of last 21 games, finished 38-44, has as much chance of beating Miami best-of-7 as I do of dating Pamela Anderson. Bucks did upset Heat 104-85 at home Dec 29, forcing 20 turnovers (+15), but lost other three meetings by 7-13-11 points, with last three games staying under total. Only once in four meetings did Miami lead by more than a hoop at the half. Bucks have to try and make Heat shoot jumpers; Heat took 33-24-22-10 FTs in four meetings, going 8-35 from arc in last game April 9, so Milwaukee has to pack in defense, keep game slow as they can, and hope Miami is extremely overconfident. Good luck with that.
Houston star Harden came off bench for Thunder, but played starters' minutes; Rockets got whacked by 22-30 points by OC before holidays, but beat Thunder 122-119 in last meeting Feb 20, making 15-33 on arc (made 16-51 in two losses)- Harden had 46 that game. Houston turns it over more than any team in league partially because they run more than most teams; they've got to minimize OC's easy hoops, since its defense in halfcourt isn't exactly great. Thunder scored 120-124-119 in the three games with Houston, which is better-than-average #8 seed, but playing wrong style to upset this defensively-stout favorite.
NBA
Sunday, April 21
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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. INDIANA
Atlanta is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Indiana is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
3:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. SAN ANTONIO
LA Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 6 games on the road
San Antonio is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. MIAMI
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 16 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home
9:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Houston's last 18 games
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games at home
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