The Bum's NBA Regular and Playoff Season's Best Bets !!

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, April 20

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BOSTON (41 - 40) at NEW YORK (54 - 28) - 4/20/2013, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games this season.
BOSTON is 73-102 ATS (-39.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
BOSTON is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 47-34 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) in home games this season.
NEW YORK is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 377-320 ATS (+25.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 9-7 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 11-5 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (47 - 35) at DENVER (57 - 25) - 4/20/2013, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
DENVER is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 19-3 ATS (+15.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
DENVER is 34-24 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
DENVER is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games this season.
DENVER is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
DENVER is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
DENVER is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.
DENVER is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
DENVER is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
DENVER is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
DENVER is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DENVER is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
DENVER is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 7-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-4 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (45 - 37) at BROOKLYN (49 - 33) - 4/20/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 36-45 ATS (-13.5 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 180 and 184.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 50-75 ATS (-32.5 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BROOKLYN is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BROOKLYN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-5 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 8-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (56 - 26) at LA CLIPPERS (56 - 26) - 4/20/2013, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 47-32 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 52-35 ATS (+13.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
MEMPHIS is 77-58 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 64-34 ATS (+26.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 69-96 ATS (-36.6 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 185-246 ATS (-85.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 146-200 ATS (-74.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 74-105 ATS (-41.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 10-7 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 11-7 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
12 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, April 21

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ATLANTA (44 - 38) at INDIANA (49 - 32) - 4/21/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
INDIANA is 43-65 ATS (-28.5 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (45 - 37) at SAN ANTONIO (58 - 24) - 4/21/2013, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 34-47 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 89-68 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 73-54 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 121-88 ATS (+24.2 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 162-119 ATS (+31.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 112-80 ATS (+24.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 136-103 ATS (+22.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (38 - 44) at MIAMI (66 - 16) - 4/21/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 36-45 ATS (-13.5 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 46-36 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-5 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (45 - 37) at OKLAHOMA CITY (60 - 22) - 4/21/2013, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 80-49 ATS (+26.1 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Saturday, April 20

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Boston at New York, 3:00 ET ABC
Boston: 1-8 ATS off a loss by 15+ points
New York: 19-7 ATS at home after winning 3 of their last 4 games

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Golden State at Denver, 5:30 ET ESPN
Golden State: 1-10 ATS away off BB ATS wins
Denver: 12-1 ATS at home with a total of 210+ points

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Chicago at Brooklyn, 8:00 ET ESPN
Chicago: 16-6 ATS away with a total of 180 to 189.5 points
Brooklyn: 2-10 ATS at home playing with revenge

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Memphis at LA Clippers, 10:30 ET ESPN
Memphis: 20-10 ATS off a home win
LA Clippers: 7-0 Over as a home favorite of 6 points or less


Sunday, April 21

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Atlanta at Indiana, 1:00 ET TNT
Atlanta: 5-14 ATS playing their second game in five days
Indiana: 13-2 Under off 4+ ATS losses

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
LA Lakers at San Antonio, 3:30 ET ABC
LA Lakers: 5-15 ATS as a road underdog
San Antonio: 10-1 ATS off a home loss

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Milwaukee at Miami, 7:00 ET TNT
Milwaukee: 7-15 ATS revenging a loss by 10+ points
Miami: 27-13 ATS off a home game

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Houston at Oklahoma City, 9:30 ET TNT
Houston: 0-8 ATS away off BB SU losses
Oklahoma City: 15-6 ATS off a SU loss
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[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Saturday, April 20

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Trend Report
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3:00 PM
BOSTON vs. NEW YORK
Boston is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Boston is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing New York
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

5:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. DENVER
Golden State is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Denver
Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Chicago's last 15 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Chicago is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
Brooklyn is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago

10:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 7 games when playing at home against Memphis
LA Clippers are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Memphis

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Saturday, April 20

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NBA Eastern Conference playoff preview: Round 1
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The Eastern Conference playoffs are a complicated sandwich of sorts. On top you have the Miami Heat and on the bottom the Milwaukee Bucks. But in between is one of the tightest and most competitive groups in years.

Teams seeded No. 2 through No. 7 have just as much of a chance to make the conference finals as the clubs ranked above or below them. The Knicks, Pacers, Nets, Bulls, Hawks and Celtics are all capable of beating each other on any given night. That parity should open up value in the series prices and Eastern Conference futures market.

No. 1 Miami Heat vs. No. 8 Milwaukee Bucks

Season series: Heat won 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-3 O/U

Series prices: Miami -6,000, Milwaukee +4,000

Why bet Miami: Why not? The Heat are hands down the class of the NBA and have been waiting for this moment since hoisting last year’s Larry O’Brien Trophy. Miami continued to build on its NBA-best record despite resting LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh over the final weeks of the schedule, and kept covering thanks to a deep and experienced bench.

Why bet the Bucks: Milwaukee has known its first-round opponent for some time now and has had plenty of tape to hammer out a game plan for the Heat. In their one win over Miami, the Bucks were able to force 22 turnovers. They rank second in the NBA in forcing turnovers (16.1) while the Heat coughed the ball up 14 times a night – fourth most in the league.

No. 2 New York Knicks vs. No. 7 Boston Celtics

Season series: Knicks won 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 1-3 O/U

Series prices: New York -400, Boston +300

Why bet the Knicks: The Celtics were one of the few Eastern Conference playoff teams the Knicks beat up on, with N.Y. going 3-1 SU and ATS. New York defeated Boston by an average of more than 13 points in its three wins over the Celtics. The Knicks are also expected to have Tyson Chandler and Kenyon Martin back for the playoffs.

Why bet the Celtics: Boston has used a platoon of athletic guards – Avery Bradley, Courtney Lee and Jordan Crawford – to replace Rajon Rondo, giving the Celtics scoring depth off the bench. Boston also heads into the postseason with a heavy heart following the bombings at the Boston Marathon. The Celtics could step up as inspiration for a city in need of some good news.

No. 3 Indiana Pacers vs. No. 6 Atlanta Hawks

Season series: Split 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 3-1 O/U

Series prices: Indiana -600, Atlanta +400

Why bet the Pacers: Indiana earned the No. 3 seed in the East despite having its star forward Danny Granger for just five games all season. The Pacers are a tough out at home, where they went 30-10 SU (22-18 ATS). They rebound well and play tight defense – two key components for any successful postseason run.

Why bet the Hawks: Indiana limped into the postseason with just one win in its final six games. The Hawks, who are a tough road team - 23-18 ATS - could steal a game or two in Indianapolis. The teams split their four games SU and ATS this year but Atlanta has been the better wager, going 10-4 ATS in their last 14 head-to-heads.

No. 4 Brooklyn Nets vs. No. 5 Chicago Bulls

Season series: Bulls won 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 2-2 O/U

Series prices: Brooklyn -165, Chicago +145

Why bet the Nets: Brooklyn is peaking at the right time and a lot of that is due to Deron Williams. After playing much of the season injured, Williams is feeling good and was filling it up down the home stretch. The Nets were stellar in tight games this season, boasting a 9-4 SU record in games decided by three points or less and were 5-0 in overtime affairs.

Why bet the Bulls: Chicago has played its best ball against Eastern Conference playoff teams. The Bulls were 12-7 SU and 14-5 ATS versus teams seeded No. 2 through No. 7. The case isn’t completely closed on Derrick Rose’s possible return, but Chicago has managed to get along without him. The grimy Bulls are more than comfortable playing at the Nets’ slow-motion pace.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Saturday, April 20

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NBA Western Conference playoff preview: Round 1
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It was a wild ride in the Western Conference and the fun won’t end with the regular season. Oklahoma City edged out San Antonio for the top seed while the L.A. Lakers, expected to run the table in the conference, squeaked into the No. 7 spot on the final night of the season.

The L.A. Clippers, Denver and Memphis have all looked like title contenders at times this year and Golden State and Houston are as dangerous as any team with their high-powered offenses. Needless to say, there are more surprises in store for the West during the postseason.

No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder vs. No. 8 Houston Rockets

Season series: Thunder won 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, 3-0 O/U

Series prices: Oklahoma City -2,000, Houston +1,200

Why bet the Thunder: Oklahoma City lost just seven games at home and went 27-14 ATS as a host this season. Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook are a handful for Houston’s porous defense and combined to average just under 50 points in the three games with the Rockets. Houston’s up-and-down game leads to a league-high 16.4 turnovers a game.

Why bet the Rockets: Houston can explode offensively and finished second in the NBA with 106 points per game. The Thunder have struggled in close games, going just 3-6 SU in contests decided by three points or less. And don’t forget about former OKC guard James Harden, who averaged more than 29 points in the three games versus his former club, including a 46-point performance in their last meeting.

No. 2 San Antonio Spurs vs. No. 7 Los Angeles Lakers

Season series: Spurs won 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS, 0-3 O/U

Series prices: San Antonio -1,600, Los Angeles +1,000

Why bet the Spurs: San Antonio lost only six games at home all season while L.A. was terrible on the road, going 16-25 SU and 15-25-1 ATS. Spurs PG Tony Parker is going to be a handful for the Lakers’ unathletic duo of Steven Blake and Steve Nash, who is less than healthy. San Antonio shoots better than 79 percent from the foul line, L.A. shoots an NBA-worst 69.2 percent. No Kobe. Who makes the tough shots?

Why bet the Lakers: Pau Gasol and Dwight Howard is the best frontcourt tandem in the league and should push the Spurs around under the basket. Los Angeles was the second-best rebounding team in the NBA while San Antonio finished second last on the glass in the West. Lakers get Games 3, 4 and 6 at Staples Center, where they have lost just once since the All-Star break (13-1 SU, 7-6-1 ATS).

No. 3 Denver Nuggets vs. No. 6 Golden State Warriors

Season series: Nuggets won 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 3-1 O/U

Series prices: Denver -600, Golden State +400

Why bet the Nuggets: Denver was the best home team in the NBA, going 38-3 SU and 28-13 ATS inside the thin air of the Pepsi Center. The Nuggets dominate the boards, ranking tops in the league in rebounding, especially on the offensive glass. Denver is tough to game plan for with seven active players averaging nine or more points. The Nuggets rolled into the postseason, losing only two of their final 10 games.

Why bet the Warriors: Golden State can bust a game wide open with its 3-point threats, topping the NBA from distance at 40.3 percent. Stephen Curry has been insane since his All-Star snub, averaging 26 points since the break. Andrew Bogut is getting back into shape and could be a problem for Denver down low, especially if Kenneth Faried continues to miss time.

No. 4 Los Angeles Clippers vs. No. 5 Memphis Grizzlies

Season series: Clippers won 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 1-3 O/U

Series prices: Los Angeles -185, Memphis +145

Why bet the Clippers: Los Angeles brings momentum into the postseason, having won seven straight to end the year (5-2 ATS). The Clippers have the mental edge over Memphis, having won the season series and eliminated the Grizzlies in last year’s playoffs. L.A.’s athletic frontcourt of Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan made life tough for Memphis leading scorer Zach Randolph last spring. The Clips thrive on turnovers, leading the league in steals and forcing opponents to cough the ball up 16.1 times per game.

Why bet the Grizzlies: Memphis’ slowed-down pace could keep the Clippers’ fastbreak in check and limit turnovers. The Grizzlies were the best team in the West at limiting turnovers, coughing the ball up just 14 times a game. Memphis has excelled in tight games, going 4-1 in overtime and 6-4 in games decided by three points or less. The Clippers were 0-2 in OT and just 3-5 in games decided by three or less.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Saturday, April 20

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NBA betting review: Best and worst wagers of the season
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The 2012-13 NBA regular season has come to a close, so it’s time to review the best and worst bets in the Association prior to the playoffs.

Best ATS

Overall: Oklahoma City Thunder (49-31-2 ATS) – The Thunder had massive expectations heading into the 2012-13 campaign and they sure didn’t disappoint bettors.

Home: Denver Nuggets (28-13 ATS) – Bettors cashed on the Nuggets all season long, especially at home where they had an astounding 38-3 straight-up record.

Road: Dallas Mavericks (27-14 ATS) – The Mavericks aren’t playoff bound, but bettors loved their performances away from Dallas this year.

Worst ATS

Overall: Charlotte Bobcats (31-50-1 ATS) – The Bobcats struggled to win 21 games and bettors shouldn’t be surprised by their awful ATS record. Better luck next year.

Home: Chicago Bulls (13-28 ATS) – The Bulls were a fade all year long at the United Center, but were 23-18 ATS on the road.

Road: Charlotte Bobcats (14-26-1 ATS) – The Bobcats were seemingly double-digit dogs in every road game, but they still couldn’t cover the points.

Best over

Overall: Sacramento Kings (48-32-2 over/under) – The Kings allowed 105.1 points per game, which made them an awesome over play.

Home: Sacramento Kings (26-13-2 O/U) – The Kings averaged 95.9 points per game on the road this season, but put up 104.6 per contest at the friendly confines of Sleep Train Arena.

Road: Denver Nuggets (26-14-1 O/U) - The Nuggets averaged 103.9 points per game on the road and gave up 104.4 - the perfect recipe for an over play.

Best under

Overall: Memphis Grizzlies (31-50-1 over/under) – Memphis was the only team in the league not to surrender more than 90 points per game (89.3).

Home: Memphis Grizzlies (14-27 O/U) – The Griz held opponents to only 87 points per game at home.

Road: Washington Wizards (12-29 O/U) – The Wiz put up almost 98 points per game at home but went cold away from the Verizon Center, averaging 88.6 points.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Saturday, April 20

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NBA season win totals: Lakers fall 16 wins shy
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The Los Angeles Lakers didn't live up to their high expectations in the regular season, which is why the Lake Show is the biggest underachiever with the 2012-13 NBA win total props finishing 16 games below its win total line, according to BetOnline.com.

The Houston Rockets weren't expected to be in the playoffs when the props were released, but when they acquired James Harden from Oklahoma City three days before the season began, the original total of 31 was bound to go over. The Rockets' +14 differential finishes as the biggest gain in the league.

Teams went a combined 13-14-3 over/under on season win totals. The total fell between one and two games of the projected marks for seven different teams.

Three teams that overachieved:
Houston +14 (31 win total prop, 45 wins), Golden State +12 (35, 47), New York +8 (46, 54)

Three teams that underachieved:
LA Lakers -16 (61, 45), Philadelphia -15 (49, 34), Boston -10 (51, 41)

Three pushes:
Utah 43, Charlotte 21, Oklahoma City 60

Total earnings if a $100 bettor went 27-0-3: $2,352.07

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Memphis at LA Clippers
The Clippers look to open up the playoff series and take advantage of a Memphis team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. LA is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-5). Here are all of Saturday's picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 20

Game 701-702: Boston at New York (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 117.623; New York 121.749
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 4; 193
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6 1/2; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+6 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Golden State at Denver (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 118.735; Denver 131.308
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 12 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 7 1/2; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-7 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Chicago at Brooklyn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 115.395; Brooklyn 123.314
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 8; 178
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4 1/2; 182 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-4 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: Memphis at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 121.842; LA Clippers 128.811
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7; 184
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5; 179
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-5); Over
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[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Memphis at LA Clippers
The Clippers look to open up the playoff series and take advantage of a Memphis team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. LA is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-5). Here are all of Saturday's picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 20

Game 701-702: Boston at New York (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 117.623; New York 121.749
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 4; 193
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6 1/2; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+6 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Golden State at Denver (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 118.735; Denver 131.308
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 12 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 7 1/2; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-7 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Chicago at Brooklyn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 115.395; Brooklyn 123.314
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 8; 178
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4 1/2; 182 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-4 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: Memphis at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 121.842; LA Clippers 128.811
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7; 184
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5; 179
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-5); Over

[StarDust Bum]

Clippers-Grizzlies Outlook

April 19, 2013


No. 4 Los Angeles Clippers vs. No. 5 Memphis Grizzlies

Series Price: Los Angeles -170, Memphis +150

Series Format: Memphis, 2-2-1-1-1

Game 1 - Saturday, April 20 (10:30 PM EST, ESPN)
Game 2 - Monday, April 22 (10:30 PM EST, TNT)
Game 3 - Thursday, April 25 (9:30 PM EST, TNT)
Game 4 - Saturday, April 27 (4:30 PM EST, TNT)
Game 5* - Tuesday, April 30 (TBD)
Game 6* - Friday, May 3 (TBD)
Game 7* - Sunday, May 5 (TBD)

HEAD TO HEAD COMPARISONS

TEAM SU ATS HOME AWAY OVER/UNDER PPG DPPG

Los Angeles Clippers 56-26 45-37 32-9 24-17 45-37 101.1 94.6

Memphis Grizzlies 56-26 46-34-2 32-9 24-17 31-50-1 93.4 89.3

2012-13 Head to Head Meetings
Date Results Total
04/13/13 Los Angeles 91 (+2) @ Memphis 87 UNDER 182.5
03/13/13 Memphis 96 (+6) @ Los Angeles 85 UNDER 185
01/14/13 Los Angeles 99 (+4.5) @ Memphis 73 UNDER 192.5
10/31/12 Memphis 92 @ Los Angeles 101 (-4) OVER 187.5

Skinny: In order to grab home-court advantage in the opening round, the Clippers needed to stave off the feisty Kings on the final day of the regular season. Los Angeles meets Memphis for the second consecutive postseason in the first round in the 4/5 matchup. However, the Grizzlies are looking for revenge after getting bounced by the Clippers in seven games last May, as Los Angeles stole the decisive contest at FedEx Forum, 82-72.

The Clips pretty much cruised to their first Pacific Division title in franchise history thanks in large part to a 17-game winning streak from Thanksgiving through the end of December. Vinny Del Negro's team stole the headlines from the rival Lakers for most of the season as the Clips put together a solid 32-9 record at Staples Center (34-9 including the two "road" victories over the Lakers). Los Angeles finished the regular season with seven consecutive wins, while covering five of their last seven home contests.

The Grizzlies owned the league's best defense this season by allowing 89.3 points per game, resulting in 50 'unders.' Memphis cashed the 'under' in 11 of 16 opportunities as an underdog, which will be its role in the first two games of this series. Lionel Hollins' club finished with the fifth seed in spite of winning nine of their final 11 games, while hitting the 'under' at a 9-1 clip down the stretch.

Head-to-Head Matchups: Los Angeles dominated the season series with three victories in four tries, which started on opening night at Staples Center. The Clips beat the Grizzlies, 101-92 to cash as four-point favorites, but needed a 28-15 run in the final quarter to put away the victory. L.A. torched the normally stifling Memphis defense with 51% shooting from the floor, including 29 points off the bench from Jamal Crawford.

Nearly 2 ½ months later when the two teams met up in Memphis, the Clippers took the court without star point guard Chris Paul. It didn't matter as Los Angeles cruised to a 99-73 road triumph as 4 ½-point underdogs, as the Clips limited the Grizzlies to just 30% shooting. Eric Bledsoe filled in for Paul with 14 points, while Crawford and Matt Barnes put in 16 points apiece off the bench.

The lone victory in the season series for the Grizzlies came at Staples Center in March, as Memphis beat up Los Angeles, 96-85 to cash outright as six-point 'dogs. The Clippers were limited to 33 points in the second half, as Marc Gasol, Tayshaun Prince, and Zach Randolph combined for 52 points. 'Under' bettors lucked out following a 106-point first half on a 185-point total, as the two teams contributed just 75 points after halftime.

The Clips captured the final meeting at FedEx Forum last Saturday, 91-87 as two-point 'dogs. L.A. rallied in the fourth quarter by outscoring Memphis, 23-14, while the game finished 'under' the total of 182 ½. The two teams combined to miss 14 free throws, as the Clips and Grizzlies put up just 76 points in the second half, which could be a good 'under' look following halftime in this series.

Betting Notes: Los Angeles put together a 25-16 ATS record at Staples Center, including an 11-7 ATS mark as a single-digit favorite. The Clips made money as a road 'dog, posting an 8-4 ATS ledger, while winning outright at New York, Indiana, San Antonio, and Houston (not to mention the two victories at Memphis).

The Grizzlies were an average squad when receiving points on the highway, going 7-7-1 ATS, but compiled a 5-10 SU record in these 15 contests. As a home favorite, Memphis went 21-18-1 ATS, while cashing the 'under' in 27 of 41 games at FedEx Forum.

Series Outlook: Memphis squandered a 27-point lead in the series opener last April to Los Angeles, while failing to close out the series finale at home. The Grizzlies definitely have revenge on their minds, but they won't have home-court advantage in this series. The Clips have the pressure on them after a strong regular season, but Memphis will advance in six games.

[StarDust Bum]

Nets-Bulls Outlook

April 19, 2013


No. 4 Brooklyn Nets vs. No. 5 Chicago Bulls

Series Price: Brooklyn -155, Chicago +135

Series Format: Brooklyn, 2-2-1-1-1

Game 1 - Saturday, April 20 (8:00 PM EST, ESPN)
Game 2 - Monday, April 22 (8:00 PM EST, TNT)
Game 3 - Thursday, April 25 (8:30 PM EST, NBA TV)
Game 4 - Saturday, April 27 (2:00 PM EST, TNT)
Game 5* - Monday, April 29 (TBD)
Game 6* - Thursday, May 2 (TBD)
Game 7* - Saturday, May 4 (TBD)

HEAD TO HEAD COMPARISONS
TEAM SU ATS HOME AWAY OVER/UNDER PPG DPPG

Brooklyn Nets 49-33 39-40-3 26-15 23-18 41-40-1 96.9 95.1

Chicago Bulls 45-37 36-46 24-17 21-20 37-44-1 93.2 92.9

2012-13 Head to Head Meetings
Date Results Total
04/04/13 Chicago 92 (+5.5) @ Brooklyn 90 UNDER 188.5
03/02/13 Brooklyn 85 @ Chicago 96 (-4.5) OVER 177.5
02/01/13 Chicago 89 @ Brooklyn 93 (-5) OVER 180.5
12/15/12 Brooklyn 82 @ Chicago 83 (-4.5) OVER 184

Skinny: Deron Williams' ankles throbbed, compromising their owner 's game, forcing him to be rightfully bypassed for the All-Star game in the same season where he became the face of Brooklyn's new franchise. He utilized the break to get right, grab another of cortisone shots and plasma therapy treatment. Since, he's been rejuvenated, averaging 22.9 points and reminding everyone why the Nets broke the bank to keep him from joining the Mavericks.

Now if we could only see the point guard who precociously took Utah to the 2007 Western Conference finals in his first postseason face off against the youngest MVP in NBA history, we'd really have something in this Nets-Bulls pairing.

Derrick Rose, however, remains a no-show despite having been cleared to return. He's practiced for weeks, can finally dunk off his left leg but still doesn't feel comfortable enough to return. Rose hasn't ruled it out, even though it seems far-fetched. Teammates have expressed nothing but support and would welcome him back in whatever role Tom Thibodeau carves out, but his availability will be a major question mark throughout the next few weeks. While the Bulls appear patient, fans in Rose's hometown of Chicago are growing antsy. An early deficit might elicit louder groans, especially since the Bulls have been held together by scotch tape down the stretch.

Joakim Noah (plantar fasciitis) and Taj Gibson (knee) enter the postseason at less than 100 percent, so if Rose is to join the party, he's more liable to do it early as a show of solidarity.

Brooklyn will be counting on riding the momentum of bringing the playoffs to Barclays Center and snapping a five-year drought between postseason appearances to surge ahead early. That task would be made easier if Joe Johnson and Gerald Wallace return to form, as the Nets had both sit for the better part of the last month.

Johnson has been banged up since the All-Star break, but offered a pair of promising performances before winding down. Wallace has admitted he's lost confidence in his offense and has cracked double-figures in scoring just three times in his last 27 games. With Luol Deng and Jimmy Butler among the top defensive wing combos taking the floor this weekend, Chicago has every reason to believe they can muck things up as it likes to and steal homecourt early.

Just think, if the Bulls get it done, they can buy Rose more time.

Head-to-Head Matchups: Williams and Brook Lopez combined for 58 points in the April 4 meeting, a game memorable for an intense fourth quarter that belied what you would've expected from beat-up second-place teams that had little hope of winning their division. Despite the absence of Noah and Gibson, the Bulls rallied from a 16-point first-half deficit behind big shots from Nate Robinson and 29 points and 18 rebounds from Carlos Boozer, holding on when a wide open Lopez jumper rimmed out at the buzzer.

Williams helped foul out Kirk Hinrich and had Robinson on the brink of disqualification en route to a 30-point night, so Thibodeau has undoubtedly had a few nights of light sleep hoping to devise ways to slow him down. Williams averaged 19.8 points and 6.8 assists in four games against Chicago. Lopez is another major threat, having averaged a team-high 22 points on 53 percent shooting over the four regular-season meetings, but the Bulls have to be encouraged by Noah averaging 16 points, 10 rebounds in five assists in two games he participated in, both victories.There is uncertainty over how long he'll be able to go due to aforementioned recurring foot pain, but his history suggests that if he's able to walk, he'll be out there.

Due to the uncertainty regarding the health of so many key figures, x-factors could play a major role on both sides. Robinson and Butler were terrific down the stretch, while Mohammed is also likely to be a factor inside for the Bulls. Marco Belinelli and Rip Hamilton will be vying for time behind Butler at the two. Standout rebounder Reggie Evans, Kris Humphries, C.J. Watson, Marshon Brooks and Keith Bogans will all be counted on heavily by Brooklyn coach P.J. Carlesimo and be especially vital if Johnson and Wallace fail to respond.

Betting Notes: Oddsmakers have clung tightly to a five-point margin in every encounter, favoring the home team each time. Therefore it should be no surprise the Nets opened as a 4.5-to-5-point favorite. The last three games resulted in totals that reached 182, 181 and 182, so it's clear that is where the Game 1 number was pulled from. The Bulls have won seven of the last 10 meetings between the teams.

Series Outlook: Because of the homecourt edge and the uncertainty surrounding Noah and Rose, the Nets are in the driver's seat to reach the Eastern Conference semis. Still, Chicago won't be lacking for confidence, having clawed their way to this position despite being short-handed the last few months. Odds are good that this will be a long series, creating a huge window for the speculation over Rose's potential return to continue. It may ultimately come down to whether Williams is unchallenged as the premier catalyst in the series, in which case Brooklyn should advance in seven.

[StarDust Bum]

Saturday, April 20

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Boston - 3:00 PM ET Boston +7 500 POD # 3
New York - Over 189.5 500

Golden State - 5:30 PM ET Denver -7.5 500 POD # 2
Denver - Under 211 500


Back later with evening games later....GOOD LUCK !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Memphis at LA Clippers
The Clippers look to open up the playoff series and take advantage of a Memphis team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. LA is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-5). Here are all of Saturday's picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 20

Game 701-702: Boston at New York (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 117.623; New York 121.749
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 4; 193
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6 1/2; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+6 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Golden State at Denver (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 118.735; Denver 131.308
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 12 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 7 1/2; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-7 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Chicago at Brooklyn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 115.395; Brooklyn 123.314
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 8; 178
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4 1/2; 182 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-4 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: Memphis at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 121.842; LA Clippers 128.811
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7; 184
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5; 179
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-5); Over




NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, April 20

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BOSTON (41 - 40) at NEW YORK (54 - 28) - 4/20/2013, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games this season.
BOSTON is 73-102 ATS (-39.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
BOSTON is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 47-34 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) in home games this season.
NEW YORK is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 377-320 ATS (+25.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 9-7 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 11-5 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (47 - 35) at DENVER (57 - 25) - 4/20/2013, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
DENVER is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 19-3 ATS (+15.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
DENVER is 34-24 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
DENVER is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games this season.
DENVER is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
DENVER is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
DENVER is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.
DENVER is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
DENVER is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
DENVER is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
DENVER is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DENVER is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
DENVER is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 7-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-4 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (45 - 37) at BROOKLYN (49 - 33) - 4/20/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 36-45 ATS (-13.5 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 180 and 184.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 50-75 ATS (-32.5 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BROOKLYN is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BROOKLYN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-5 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 8-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (56 - 26) at LA CLIPPERS (56 - 26) - 4/20/2013, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 47-32 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 52-35 ATS (+13.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
MEMPHIS is 77-58 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 64-34 ATS (+26.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 69-96 ATS (-36.6 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 185-246 ATS (-85.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 146-200 ATS (-74.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 74-105 ATS (-41.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 10-7 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 11-7 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
12 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, April 21

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ATLANTA (44 - 38) at INDIANA (49 - 32) - 4/21/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
INDIANA is 43-65 ATS (-28.5 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (45 - 37) at SAN ANTONIO (58 - 24) - 4/21/2013, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 34-47 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 89-68 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 73-54 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 121-88 ATS (+24.2 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 162-119 ATS (+31.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 112-80 ATS (+24.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 136-103 ATS (+22.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (38 - 44) at MIAMI (66 - 16) - 4/21/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 36-45 ATS (-13.5 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 46-36 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-5 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (45 - 37) at OKLAHOMA CITY (60 - 22) - 4/21/2013, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 80-49 ATS (+26.1 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Short Sheet

Saturday, April 20

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Boston at New York, 3:00 ET ABC
Boston: 1-8 ATS off a loss by 15+ points
New York: 19-7 ATS at home after winning 3 of their last 4 games

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Golden State at Denver, 5:30 ET ESPN
Golden State: 1-10 ATS away off BB ATS wins
Denver: 12-1 ATS at home with a total of 210+ points

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Chicago at Brooklyn, 8:00 ET ESPN
Chicago: 16-6 ATS away with a total of 180 to 189.5 points
Brooklyn: 2-10 ATS at home playing with revenge

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Memphis at LA Clippers, 10:30 ET ESPN
Memphis: 20-10 ATS off a home win
LA Clippers: 7-0 Over as a home favorite of 6 points or less


Sunday, April 21

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Atlanta at Indiana, 1:00 ET TNT
Atlanta: 5-14 ATS playing their second game in five days
Indiana: 13-2 Under off 4+ ATS losses

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
LA Lakers at San Antonio, 3:30 ET ABC
LA Lakers: 5-15 ATS as a road underdog
San Antonio: 10-1 ATS off a home loss

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Milwaukee at Miami, 7:00 ET TNT
Milwaukee: 7-15 ATS revenging a loss by 10+ points
Miami: 27-13 ATS off a home game

First Round, Game One (Series Tied 0-0)
Houston at Oklahoma City, 9:30 ET TNT
Houston: 0-8 ATS away off BB SU losses
Oklahoma City: 15-6 ATS off a SU loss




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 20

Knicks have home court edge in playoffs for first time in 12 years; they last won a playoff series in 2000, but they did win last three games with Celtics, by 3-15-19 points, making 26-59 behind arc in two games in this arena (16-56 in Boston). Celtics have 4th-best defensive 3-point %age, have more playoff experience on their side, but they're without Rondo, which will be glaring here. Three of four series games this year stayed under the total. Lot of pressure on New York to win this series.

Denver won three of four vs Golden State this season, with only loss a game they led 60-51 at half, but teams last played January 13 and other three meetings were in November. Nuggets are 38-3 at home; they won by 11 both times they hosted Warriors this season. Golden State is in playoffs for only second time in last 19 years, but shaky health of Curry and Bogut is problem. Denver is 5-1 since Gallinari got hurt; they've got 57 wins because they're very deep. Three of four series tilts went over. Denver is #1 team on offensive boards; Warriors #1 on defensive end.

Chicago won three of four vs Brooklyn this year, with wins by 1-11-2 points, as three of four series games were decided by four or less points. Nets shot 52% from floor in its only win, less than 45% in their losses. Chicago won both series games that stayed under total- Brooklyn led by 11 in last series game, but lost 92-90 at home 16 days ago. Noah's foot in a problem; Bulls beat Nets both times he played. Derrick Rose's absence will hurt here; guy has been practicing 5-on-5 but can't/won't play, not a good thing for a star. I'm not a fan of teams who fired their coach during the season, and the Nets canned Avery Johnson long time ago.

Clippers won Game 7 in Memphis in first round LY, after blowing 3-1 lead in series where four games were decided by 1 or 2 points, or in OT; Clips won three of four meetings this year, winning both games on road in series where visitor led all four games at half. Memphis shot 41% or less in its three losses to LA, 54.4% in the win; they averaged 16 boards a game on offensive end vs LA, which blocked 30 shots in four games vs Griz, which had 3rd-best record in league after All-Star break. Memphis takes the lest 3-pointers in NBA, so Clipper big guys have to neutralize Zach Randolph as best they can inside.




NBA

Saturday, April 20

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Trend Report
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3:00 PM
BOSTON vs. NEW YORK
Boston is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Boston is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing New York
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

5:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. DENVER
Golden State is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Denver
Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Chicago's last 15 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Chicago is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
Brooklyn is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago

10:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 7 games when playing at home against Memphis
LA Clippers are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Memphis

[StarDust Bum]

NBA Evening POD'S

Chicago - 8:00 PM ET Chicago +4.5 500 POD # 1

Brooklyn - Over 181.5 500

Memphis - 10:30 PM ET L.A. Clippers -5.5 500 POD # 4

L.A. Clippers - Under 179 500 POD # 5

[StarDust Bum]

2013 NBA Playoff Results

April 20, 2013


2012 Playoff Results

NBA First Round

-- Home teams are 4-0
-- Favorites are 4-0 straight up
-- Underdogs are 2-2 against the spread
-- The Under is 2-2

Away Home Score ATS Result Total Result

Saturday Apr. 20, 2013

Boston New York (-7.5) 85-78 Underdog Under (189)

Golden State Denver (-7.5) 97-95 Underdog Under (211.5)

Chicago Brooklyn (-4.5) 106-89 Favorite Over (181.5)

Memphis L.A. Clippers (-5.5) 112-91 Favorite Over (178.5)

Sunday Apr. 21, 2013
Atlanta Indiana - - -
L.A. Lakers San Antonio - - -
Milwaukee Miami - - -
Houston Oklahoma City - - -

Monday Apr. 22, 2013
Chicago Brooklyn - - -
Memphis L.A. Clippers - - -

Tuesday Apr. 23, 2013
Milwaukee Miami - - -
Boston New York - - -
Golden State Denver - - -

Wednesday Apr. 24, 2013
Houston Oklahoma City - - -
Atlanta Indiana - - -
L.A. Lakers San Antonio - - -

Thursday Apr. 25, 2013
Miami Milwaukee - - -
Brooklyn Chicago - - -
L.A. Clippers Memphis - - -

Friday Apr. 26, 2013
New York Boston - - -
San Antonio L.A. Lakers - - -
Denver Golden State - - -

Saturday Apr. 27, 2013
Brooklyn Chicago - - -
L.A. Clippers Memphis - - -
Indiana Atlanta - - -
Oklahoma City Houston - - -

Sunday Apr. 28, 2013
New York Boston - - -
Miami Milwaukee - - -
San Antonio L.A. Lakers - - -
Denver Golden State - - -

Monday Apr. 29, 2013
Indiana Atlanta - - -
*Chicago Brooklyn - - -
Oklahoma City Houston - - -

Tuesday Apr. 30, 2013
*Milwaukee Miami - - -
*L.A. Lakers San Antonio - - -
*Golden State Denver - - -
*Memphis L.A. Clippers - - -

Wednesday May 1, 2013
*Boston New York - - -
*Atlanta Indiana - - -
*Houston Oklahoma City - - -

Thursday May 2, 2013
*Miami Milwaukee - - -
*Brooklyn Chicago - - -
*San Antonio L.A. Lakers - - -
*Denver Golden State - - -

Friday May 3, 2013
*New York Boston - - -
*Indiana Atlanta - - -
*Oklahoma City Houston - - -

Saturday May 4, 2013
*Milwaukee Miami - - -
*Chicago Brooklyn - - -
*L.A. Lakers San Antonio - - -
*Golden State Denver - - -

Sunday May 5, 2013
*Boston New York - - -
*Atlanta Indiana - - -
*Houston Oklahoma City - - -
*Memphis L.A. Clippers - - -

*If Neccessary