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The Bum's College Basketball Best Bets Thru March Madess !

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  • #16
    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Saturday, March 2

    -- Syracuse (+7) won 70-68 at Louisville Jan 19, its third straight series win, despite turning ball over 16 times (-7); Cardinals won two of last three visits here, losing 52-51 LY- they've won seven of last eight games overall, winning last four, all by 14+ points. Syracuse is 4-5 in last nine games after an 18-1 start, losing last two games by 11-3 points. Big East home teams are 12-19 in games with spread of 4 or less points.
    -- VCU won six of last seven games, but covered only three of last 12; they're 5-1 SU at home, 3-3 as home favorites, with four wins by 12 or more points. Butler split its last four games; they're 4-2 on A-16 road, with all four wins by six or less points. Bulldogs are 2-1 as an A-16 dog; four of their last five games were decided by 5 or less points. A-16 home favorites of 7 or less points are 27-14 against the spread.
    -- Notre Dame lost four of last five visits to Marquette, losing by 13-2-26-22 points; home side is 8-3 in last 11 series games. Irish won seven of last nine games, allowing 42-41 points in last two; they're 4-3 on road in Big East, losing by 4-16-17. Marquette is 8-0 at home in Big East, 3-3 as home favorite, with four of last five home wins by 10+ points. Big East home favorites of 7 or less points are 8-23 against the spread.
    -- Delaware's last six games (5-1) were all decided by 1 or 2 points; Hens (+6.5) won 79-72 at George Mason Feb 9, outscoring Patriots 25-9 on foul line, in second straight win over Mason, after losing 13 of previous 14 meetings. Delaware won three in row, nine of last 11 games; they are 2-5-1 as CAA home favorite. CAA home favorites of 5 or less points are 10-20 vs spread. Mason won/covered its last four road games.

    -- Valparaiso won 13 of last 15 games; they're 6-1 on Horizon road, with only loss by 12 at Youngstown; Crusaders (-8.5) beat Green Bay 73-61 at home Jan 23, forcing 16 (+8) turnovers, outscoring Green Bay 27-17 on foul line. Underdogs are 11-7 in Horizon games where spread is 3 or less points. Green Bay won four of last five games; they're 6-1 at home in Horizon, with only loss to Wright State, in double OT.
    -- Kentucky won eight of last nine games vs Arkansas, losing 77-76 last visit here in OT; Wildcats won three in row, 8 of last 10 games, but they are 0-2 on road since Noel got hurt, losing by 17-30 points. Arkansas is 7-0 at home in SEC, with wins vs Florida/Mizzou; three of its last four games were decided by 5 or less points. SEC home favorites of 4 or less points are 9-10 vs spread. Kentucky is 2-3 as an underdog this season.
    -- Miami (+3) shot 62% inside arc, held Duke to 4-23 outside arc- they crushed Blue Devils 90-63 Jan 23, 'canes' 2nd straight series win, after losing 11 of previous 12 series games. Miami won in OT at Cameron in LY's meeting. Quick turnaround for Duke club that lost Thursday nite at Virginia; they're 7-0 at home in ACC, with six of seven wins by 13+. ACC home favorites of 6+ points are 25-11 against the spread.
    -- Denver won 14 of last 15 games, with lone loss 53-42 (+2) Jan 23 at New Mexico State; Pioneers made just 3-18 from arc, were outscored on foul line, 12-3. Aggies won 13 of last 14 games, losing last away game, at Utah State; they're 3-6 vs spread as an underdog this year. Denver is 5-1 as a WAC home favorite, winning home games by 11+ points. WAC home favorites are 16-31 against the spread, 9-16 if laying 8+ points.
    -- Kansas State (-4.5) beat Baylor 81-61 two weeks ago, holding Jackson to 7 points while forcing 19 turnovers (+13), making 11-25 from arc in its fifth series win in last seven tries. Wildcats won eight of last nine, are 5-2 on Big X road, losing at Iowa State/Kansas. Favorites are 11-7 in Big X games with spread of 4 or less points. Baylor lost six of last nine, but is 5-2 at home in Big X, losing only to Oklahoma/Iowa State.

    -- Boise PG Marks played only 9 minutes, Eliorraga didn't play at all in 77-57 (+9.5) loss at Colorado State Jan 30; Rams shot 55.6% inside arc, but missed 16-35 foul shots, or it would've been worse. Boise won four of last five games, covered six of last seven; they've won last five home games, but are just 1-4 vs top four in MWC. Rams won eight of last nine games. Dogs are 8-3 in MWC games with spread of 3 or less points.
    -- Wichita State (-2.5) beat Creighton 67-64 Jan 19, its fourth series win in last five tries, holding Bluejays other than McDermott to 36.1% from floor. Shockers won last two visits here, by 14-21 points. Wichita is 4-4 in last eight games, Creighton 3-3 in last six, so at-large bid not lock for either side. Wichita's last four road games were all decided by 5 or less points. MVC home favorites of 6 or less points are 8-5 vs spread.
    -- UCLA (+8.5) raced to 21-5 lead, won 84-73 at Arizona Jan 24, ending 6-game skid in Tucson; Wildcats lost six of last seven visits here, losing by 22-7 points last two years- they're 3-3 in last six games overall, 5-3 on Pac-12 road, allowing 76.7 ppg in losses, 66 or less in wins. Bruins won five of last six games, are 3-4 as home favorites (5-2 SU), with four wins at home by 8+. Pac-12 home favorites of 5 or less points are 9-20.
    -- Canisius (+1) shot 58% inside arc, won 67-50 at Rider Jan 25, second Griffin win in last seven series games; Broncs won seven of last nine in this gym, won last four games overall- they're 4-1 as MAAC road dog this year. MAAC home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-15 vs spread. Canisius won six of last seven home games; they're 3-5 against spread as home favorites. 11 of last 15 Canisius games stayed under the total.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #17
      NCAAB

      Saturday, March 2

      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Study group: Saturday’s Top 25 NCB betting notes
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      (21) Butler at (25) VCU (-7.5)

      Butler and Virginia Commonwealth look to keep their Atlantic 10 title chances alive when they meet Saturday. The Bulldogs have been held under 70 points in five straight games but are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss.

      (9) Louisville at (12) Syracuse (-1.5)

      The Cardinals will try to remain within striking distance of first place when they play their final road game of the season against the Orange. Locked in a second-place tie with Marquette, Louisville suffered its last loss two weeks ago in the five-overtime thriller at Notre Dame, but has won four straight by double digits since. Syracuse fell from first place in the Big East into a tie for fourth with a loss last Saturday to Georgetown – snapping the nation’s longest home winning streak at 38. Syracuse has won three straight in the series, including a 70-68 victory at Louisville on Jan. 19

      Alabama at (6) Florida (-17)

      First place in the Southeastern Conference is on the line when Florida hosts Alabama Saturday. Alabama trails the Gators by a game and it can win the regular-season championship by winning its last three regular-season games. Florida expects to at full strength for the stretch run. Key reserves Will Yeguete (knee), Michael Frazier (concussion) and Casey Prather (head gash) are all expected to play Saturday. The Crimson Tide are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.

      (17) Memphis at Central Florida (+6)

      Perhaps content with its 18-game winning streak and comfortable lead in Conference USA, No. 17 Memphis suffered its first setback in over three months earlier this week. Memphis entered Tuesday’s non-conference tilt against Xavier tied with Akron for the country’s longest active winning streak, but a listless first half caught up to the Tigers in a 64-62 loss. The Tigers will try to avoid two straight road losses against a Golden Knights team they defeated 93-71 on Feb. 13. Memphis is 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings.

      West Virginia at (5) Kansas (-16)

      Kansas is locked in a first-place tie with Kansas State in the Big 12 race and on the short list of schools in contention for a No. 1 seed in the upcoming NCAA tournament. The Jayhawks have posted five straight victories and coach Bill Self became the ninth-fastest coach to reach 500 career wins with an overtime victory at Iowa State on Monday. West Virginia has lost three straight games and is 1-4 ATS in its last five overall.

      (20) Notre Dame at (22) Marquette (-6)

      The race for one of the four double-byes in the Big East Tournament is wide open, making the Golden Eagles’ home tilt against the Fighting Irish a critical matchup. Marquette extended the country’s second-longest home winning streak to 24 games in Monday’s 74-71 victory over Syracuse. Notre Dame has won four of five after clubbing Cincinnati 62-41 on Sunday and is 4-1 against ranked opponents this season.

      Texas at (18) Oklahoma State (-12.5)

      Oklahoma State looks to complete a regular-season sweep of Texas when the Cowboys host the Longhorns. Oklahoma State won the first meeting 72-59 on Feb. 9 behind 23 points from freshman point guard Marcus Smart. The Cowboys have won nine of their last 10 games and are 13-2 at home. Texas is 3-2 since star point guard Myck Kabongo returned to the squad but is just 1-7 on the road. The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last six Saturday games.

      (19) Saint Louis at George Washington (+5)

      The Billikens have won 10 straight, the longest active streak in the A-10 and the first double-digit win streak for the program since the 1993-94 team won its first 14 games. George Washington, meanwhile, has dropped two straight and four of five. During Saint Louis' 10-game win streak, the Billikens have led by at least 17 points in eight of those 10 contests. The Billikens are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.

      Wyoming at (14) New Mexico (-11.5)

      New Mexico hopes to add a regular-season Mountain West title to its impressive resume when the Lobos host Wyoming. The Lobos can guarantee at least a share of the title with a win at The Pit, where they are 13-1 this season. The Cowboys, who have lost three straight, haven’t won at New Mexico since 2003. Wyoming is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games.

      Portland at (2) Gonzaga (-26)

      Gonzaga, which is 14-1 at home, has an 11-game win streak and is coming off a 70-65 victory at BYU on Thursday that gave the Bulldogs their 10th outright West Coast Conference regular-season title. The Bulldogs have taken the last 19 meetings and lead the conference in scoring with 77 points per game and are tops in scoring defense (58.2). Portland lost 71-49 at home to Gonzaga on Jan. 17.

      (24) Akron at Buffalo (+6.5)

      Akron has the nation's longest win streak but Buffalo has beaten the Zips three straight times at home. The Zips, playing as a ranked team for the first time in program history, survived an overtime game at Ohio to extend their streak to 19 games and build a two-game in the Mid-American East Division standings. The Bulls, who have lost back-to-back games by a combined three points, have never beaten a ranked opponent. The Zips are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400.

      (7) Miami-Florida at (3) Duke (-6.5)

      Miami can clinch its first outright conference title in program history on Saturday with a win at Duke, which is looking to avenge a 27-point loss to the Hurricanes on Jan. 23. The Hurricanes have won nine of their last 10 games since handing Duke its worst regular-season defeat in nearly 30 years. Duke senior forward Ryan Kelly remains out with a foot injury, and he’s not expected to return until next week. The Hurricanes are 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings at Duke.

      (13) Kansas State at Baylor (-2)

      Kansas State will try to inch closer to its first conference title since 1977 when it travels to Baylor for a Big 12 game. The Wildcats have won four straight since their latest loss to the Jayhawks on Feb. 11. While Baylor ended a three-game losing streak with a 65-62 victory Wednesday against West Virginia. The Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last four Saturday games.

      Iowa at (1) Indiana (-14.5)

      Indiana wasn’t overly concerned after being upset by Minnesota on Tuesday, but the loss likely guaranteed the top-ranked Hoosiers won’t overlook visiting Iowa. The Hoosiers have won two of their last three games against Iowa, including a 69-65 victory in Iowa City on Dec. 31 in the Big Ten opener for both teams. Indiana has held its last five opponents to less than 43 percent shooting from the floor and is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.

      Rutgers at (8) Georgetown (-14.5)

      Rutgers will try to win a road game against a top 10 opponent for the first time in school history when it travels to Georgetown. The Scarlet Knights have lost nine of 10, including back-to-back games since leading scorer Eli Carter was lost for the season. The Hoyas rallied to beat Connecticut in double overtime last time out to extend their win streak to 10 games. Georgetown is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games overall.

      (11) Arizona at UCLA (PICK)

      UCLA and Arizona will try to remain in the hunt for a piece of the Pac-12 crown when they meet Saturday in Los Angeles. The Wildcats suffered a painful loss Wednesday at USC and sit tied for third with California, one-half game behind UCLA and a game behind Oregon. Across town Wednesday, the Bruins took care of business in overtime against visiting Arizona State for their third straight victory. UCLA last won a regular-season conference championship in 2007-08. UCLA’s leading scorer Shabazz Muhammad, who averages a team-high 18.3 points and leads the Pac-12 in 3-point shooting percentage at 44.9, has been dealing with pink eye recently, but is expected to play against Arizona. The Bruins are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.

      Santa Clara at (23) St. Mary’s (-11.5)

      Santa Clara will travel to Saint Mary’s in the regular-season finale for both teams. The Gaels locked up second place in the West Coast Conference when No. 2 Gonzaga held on to beat BYU on Thursday. Santa Clara can still finish third with a victory against Saint Mary’s and a loss by BYU on Saturday at Loyola Marymount, though either result would be a major upset. Saint Mary’s leading scorer Matthew Dellavedova might have something to prove after matching his season-low with four points and committing six turnovers when these teams met Feb. 7(84-63 St. Mary’s win) at Santa Clara. The Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning record.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #18
        NCAAB

        Saturday, March 2

        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        In low-scoring season, high-scoring conferences the best under bets
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        College basketball scores are down all over the country, with NCAA Div. 1 programs averaging just under 67.5 points per game.

        According to a recent story in USA Today, this NCAAB season is on pace to become the lowest-scoring since 1952. The biggest culprits are conferences like the Mid-Eastern Athletic (62.04) and Southwestern Athletic (62.84) while leagues like the ACC (69.9) and West Coast Conference (70.1) are at the high end of the scale.

        Oddsmakers have done a good job balancing the daily totals, with all lined games going 1,164-1,184 over/under as of Friday. However, there are a few conferences which have been very kind to fans of the under during this low-scoring season.

        Scoring average is for all games involving teams from that conference as of Feb. 27. Over/under total from all lined games involving a team from that conference.

        Pac-12

        Scoring average: 69.49 points per game
        Over/under: 87-138-2 over/under (61 percent)

        The Pac-12 is among the highest-scoring conferences in the land but has constantly stayed under the number. The Pac-12 has a smaller sample size than some of the other major conferences due to the fact that many of its non-conference games were without totals. But the proof has been in the pudding during conference play, with the league boasting a collecting 33-55-1 over/under mark against each other heading into the weekend.

        West Coast Conference

        Scoring average: 70.09 points per game
        Over/under: 66-93-1 (58 percent)

        The WCC is the highest-scoring conference in college basketball, but much like the Pac-12, finds most of its games finishing below the total. The under is 39-26 in conference play (60 percent) with teams like Gonzaga and St. Mary’s staying below the number most nights. In fact, following Thursday’s non-conference win over BYU, which played under the 145-point total, the Bulldogs are 1-9 over/under in their last 10 games.

        SEC

        Scoring average: 69.08 points per game
        Over/under: 125-148-3 (54 percent)

        The SEC has some high-scoring members, like Ole Miss (79.3), but also some programs, like Mississippi State (59.2), which have struggled to put the ball in the basket. The Southeastern Conference boasts a 44-54-1 over/under count in league play heading into the weekend. Programs like Alabama (5-17 over/under) and South Carolina (6-12 over/under) have kept under bettors happy in the SEC.

        Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference

        Scoring average: 66.61 points per game
        Over/under: 77-92-1 (54 percent)

        The MAAC has been a quiet gold mine for under bettors. The league’s overall betting stats are smaller than the major conferences because many of its games don't have lines available. The MAAC has gone 32-42 over/under in conference clashes with teams like Rider (4-14 over/under) and Canisius (5-12 over/under) among the best under plays in college basketball.

        Note: The lowest-scoring conferences – Mid-Eastern Athletic (62.04), Southwestern Athletic (62.84), America East (63.28) – have a combined over/under record of 15-17-2 in lined games this season.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #19
          Saturday, March 2

          Game Score Status Pick Amount

          Butler - 12:00 PM ET VCU -7 500
          VCU - Under 136.5 500

          Maryland - 12:00 PM ET Maryland -1 500
          Wake Forest -

          Old Dominion - 12:00 PM ET Northeastern -8.5 500
          Northeastern -

          Louisville - 12:00 PM ET Syracuse -2 500
          Syracuse - Over 130.5 500

          Alabama - 12:00 PM ET Florida -16.5 500
          Florida - Under 118 500

          Ohio - 12:00 PM ET Ohio -5 500
          Bowling Green -

          Memphis - 1:00 PM ET Memphis -7 500
          Central Florida - Over 145.5 500

          Jacksonville St. - 1:00 PM ET Jacksonville St. +17.5 500
          Belmont - Over 137 500

          Iowa St. - 1:30 PM ET Oklahoma -4.5 500
          Oklahoma -

          Tennessee - 1:45 PM ET Tennessee -1 500
          Georgia -

          Western Michigan - 2:00 PM ET Western Michigan -1.5 500
          Eastern Michigan -

          Wichita St. - 2:00 PM ET Wichita St. +5.5 500
          Creighton - Over 134 500

          Georgia Southern - 2:00 PM ET Georgia Southern +19.5 500
          Davidson -

          Detroit - 2:00 PM ET Illinois-Chicago +5.5 500
          Illinois-Chicago - Under 141.5 500

          Rider - 2:00 PM ET Rider +6.5 500
          Canisius -

          West Virginia - 2:00 PM ET Kansas -16 500
          Kansas - Over 133.5 500

          Chattanooga - 2:00 PM ET Chattanooga +4 500 POD # 1
          Appalachian St. -

          Notre Dame - 2:00 PM ET Notre Dame +6 500
          Marquette - Under 126.5 500

          George Mason - 2:00 PM ET Delaware -1.5 500
          Delaware - Under 141 500

          Rhode Island - 2:00 PM ET Rhode Island +12.5 500
          Temple -

          Massachusetts - 2:00 PM ET Massachusetts +3.5 500
          Xavier - Over 138.5 500

          Duquesne - 2:00 PM ET Duquesne +16.5 500
          La Salle -

          Ball St. - 2:00 PM ET Ball St. +6.5 500
          Toledo -

          Youngstown St. - 2:00 PM ET Wright St. -6.5 500 POD # 2
          Wright St.
          -
          Marshall - 2:00 PM ET Marshall +3.5 500
          Houston -

          Texas-El Paso - 2:00 PM ET Texas-El Paso -10 500
          Rice -

          Penn St. - 3:00 PM ET Minnesota -15 500 POD # 3
          Minnesota - Under 129.5 500

          Southern Methodist - 3:00 PM ET UAB -5.5 500
          UAB -

          Arizona St. - 3:00 PM ET Southern California -3 500
          Southern California - Over 137.5 500

          Pepperdine - 3:00 PM ET San Diego -6 500
          San Diego -

          St. Peter's - 3:00 PM ET Niagara -12.5 500
          Niagara -

          Cleveland St. - 3:00 PM ET Loyola-Chicago -6 500
          Loyola-Chicago -

          Kent St. - 3:00 PM ET Miami (OH) +3 500
          Miami (OH) -

          Valparaiso - 3:00 PM ET Valparaiso +2 500
          Green Bay - Over 134.5 500

          Idaho - 3:00 PM ET Idaho -2.5 500
          Texas State -

          Kentucky - 4:00 PM ET Kentucky +3 500 POD # 3
          Arkansas - Over 148 500

          Charleston - 4:00 PM ET Charleston -11.5 500
          Furman -

          Hofstra - 4:00 PM ET Hofstra +11 500
          Towson -

          UNLV - 4:00 PM ET Nevada +5.5 500 POD # 4
          Nevada - Over 140 500

          Texas - 4:00 PM ET Oklahoma St. -12.5 500
          Oklahoma St. - Under 130.5 500

          Saint Louis - 4:00 PM ET Saint Louis -5 500 POD # 5
          George Washington -

          Richmond - 4:00 PM ET Dayton -5.5 500
          Dayton -

          Texas Christian - 4:00 PM ET Texas Christian +5.5 500
          Texas Tech -

          Louisiana State - 4:00 PM ET Missouri -13.5 500 POD # 6
          Missouri -

          Tulane - 4:05 PM ET Tulane +1 500
          Tulsa -

          Weber St. - 4:05 PM ET Weber St. -9 500
          Northern Arizona -

          Samford - 4:30 PM ET Samford +6 500
          Western Carolina -

          Indiana St. - 5:00 PM ET Indiana St. +5.5 500
          Evansville -

          Wyoming - 5:00 PM ET New Mexico -12 500 POD # 7
          New Mexico -

          Portland - 5:00 PM ET Gonzaga -26 500
          Gonzaga -

          North Dakota State - 5:00 PM ET North Dakota State -14 500Nebraska Omaha -

          Mississippi - 5:00 PM ET Mississippi -12 500
          Mississippi St. - Over 143.5 500

          SIU - Edwardsville - 5:00 PM ET SIU - Edwardsville +7 500
          Eastern Illinois -

          Louisiana-Lafayette - 5:00 PM ET Louisiana-Lafayette -3.5 500
          Louisiana-Monroe -

          Colorado - 5:00 PM ET California -4.5 500 POD # 8
          California - Over 130 500

          North Dakota - 5:05 PM ET North Dakota +3.5 500
          Eastern Washington -

          Nebraska - 5:15 PM ET Illinois -13.5 500
          Illinois - Under 126 500

          Akron - 6:00 PM ET Akron -7 500
          Buffalo -

          IUPU - Ft. Wayne - 6:00 PM ET IUPU - Ft. Wayne +7.5 500
          Oakland -

          James Madison - 6:00 PM ET William & Mary -2 500
          William & Mary -

          New Mexico St. - 6:00 PM ET Denver -8 500
          Denver -

          Harvard - 6:00 PM ET Harvard -6.5 500
          Pennsylvania -

          Miami-Florida - 6:00 PM ET Miami-Florida +7.5 500
          Duke - Over 136 500

          Dartmouth - 6:00 PM ET Dartmouth +18 500
          Princeton -

          Middle Tennessee St. - 6:30 PM ET Middle Tennessee St. -7 500 POD # 9
          Western Kentucky -
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #20
            This is what i had for the evening plays.......had computer problems......


            Citadel - 7:00 PM ET Citadel +12 500
            Wofford -

            NC-Greensboro - 7:00 PM ET NC-Greensboro +8.5 500
            Elon University -

            Fordham - 7:00 PM ET St. Joseph's -14.5 500
            St. Joseph's -

            South Carolina - 7:00 PM ET South Carolina +9 500
            Texas A&M - Under 124.5 500

            Kansas St. - 7:00 PM ET Kansas St. +3 500
            Baylor - Over 135 500

            Yale - 7:00 PM ET Cornell +2 500
            Cornell -

            NC-Wilmington - 7:00 PM ET NC-Wilmington +13 500
            Drexel -

            Seattle - 7:00 PM ET Seattle +4 500
            Texas-San Antonio -

            Florida International - 7:00 PM ET Florida International -1 500Florida Atlantic -

            Charlotte - 7:00 PM ET St. Bonaventure -6 500
            St. Bonaventure -

            Brown - 7:00 PM ET Columbia -7.5 500
            Columbia -

            Long Beach St. - 7:00 PM ET UC Irvine -3 500
            UC Irvine -

            UMKC - 7:30 PM ET Indiana - Purdue -1 500
            Indiana - Purdue -

            Iowa - 7:30 PM ET Indiana -14.5 500
            Indiana - Under 146 500

            Illinois St. - 8:00 PM ET Northern Iowa -2.5 500
            Northern Iowa -

            Central Michigan - 8:00 PM ET Central Michigan -1 500
            Northern Illinois -

            San Jose St. - 8:00 PM ET Louisiana Tech -18.5 500
            Louisiana Tech -

            East Carolina - 8:00 PM ET East Carolina +11.5 500
            Southern Miss -

            Utah St. - 8:00 PM ET Texas-Arlington -2.5 500
            Texas-Arlington -

            Colorado St. - 8:00 PM ET Colorado St. +1.5 500
            Boise St. -

            St. John's - 8:00 PM ET Providence -8 500
            Providence -

            Arkansas St. - 8:00 PM ET Arkansas St. -3 500
            Arkansas-Little Rock -

            Pacific - 8:00 PM ET UC Riverside +9 500
            UC Riverside -

            Clemson - 8:00 PM ET Clemson -1 500
            Virginia Tech -

            South Dakota - 8:00 PM ET Western Illinois -10 500
            Western Illinois -

            Bradley - 8:05 PM ET Missouri St. -2 500
            Missouri St. -

            Southern Illinois - 8:05 PM ET Southern Illinois +5.5 500
            Drake -

            Morehead St. - 8:30 PM ET Tennessee Tech +2 500
            Tennessee Tech -

            South Alabama - 8:30 PM ET Troy +1 500
            Troy -

            SE Missouri St. - 8:30 PM ET SE Missouri St. +10 500
            Murray St. -

            Eastern Kentucky - 8:30 PM ET Tennessee St. +0 500
            Tennessee St. -

            Tenn-Martin - 8:30 PM ET Tenn-Martin +5 500
            Austin Peay -

            Rutgers - 9:00 PM ET Georgetown -14 500
            Georgetown - Under 121 500

            Vanderbilt - 9:00 PM ET Auburn +2 500
            Auburn - Over 122 500

            Arizona - 9:00 PM ET UCLA -1 500
            UCLA - Over 148 500

            Montana - 9:05 PM ET Montana -4 500
            Montana St. -

            UC Davis - 9:05 PM ET Cal St. Fullerton -3 500
            Cal St. Fullerton -

            Santa Clara - 10:00 PM ET Santa Clara +11 500
            St. Mary's -

            Air Force - 10:00 PM ET Air Force +1 500
            Fresno St. -

            UC Santa Barbara - 10:05 PM ET CSU Northridge -4.5 500
            CSU Northridge -

            Idaho State - 10:05 PM ET Idaho State +5.5 500
            Sacramento State -

            Northern Colorado - 10:35 PM ET Portland St. -1 500
            Portland St. -

            Brigham Young - 11:00 PM ET Brigham Young -8 500
            Loyola Marymount - Over 140.5 500

            Cal Poly SLO - 11:59 PM ET Hawaii -4 500 POD
            Hawaii -
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #21
              Sunday Hoops Action

              March 3, 2013

              The Big Ten kicks-off the final week of college basketball's regular season with two big matchups on Sunday's slate. At the top of the list is No. 9 Michigan State vs. No. 4 Michigan, but to get you warmed up for that long standing rivalry, Purdue will head to Madison to face No. 17 Wisconsin. The Big East also gets in the act this Sunday with Villanova on the road against No. 23 Pittsburgh in a high noon start. The following is a handicapping guide for all three conference showdowns starting with an in-depth look at our game of the day.

              Vegas Insider's Game of the Day

              No. 9 Michigan State Spartans vs. No. 4 Michigan Wolverines (4 p.m. CBS)

              The Spartans come into this matchup with back-to-back losses both straight-up and against the spread to Indiana and Ohio State that put a major crimp in their chances to win the Big Ten regular season title. They are 22-6 SU overall and 11-4 in conference play. Michigan State is 5-4 ATS in its last nine games but under .500 on the year at 10-13-2 ATS. The total has gone OVER in three of its last five games.

              Behind a 17-point night by Gary Harris, the Spartans rolled over Michigan 75-52 as 1 ½-point home underdogs the first time they met this season with the total staying UNDER the 127-point line. Both Harris and Keith Appling are averaging over 13 points a game and Michigan State as a whole is scoring 70 points a game while shooting 46.8 percent from the field and 34.7 percent from three-point range.

              The Wolverines need to quickly regroup for this contest after a stunning collapse against Penn State is this past Wednesday in an 84-78 loss as 13-point road favorites. It was the Nittany Lions first conference victory this season and Michigan's fifth loss against 10 wins in the Big Ten. The Wolverines are now 23-5 SU and 13-12-1 ATS after failing to cover in six of their last seven games. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games.

              Trey Burke could be a big factor in this game after scoring a game-high 18 points the first time these two teams met, but also look for Tim Hardaway Jr. and Glenn Robinson III to play a significant role for the Wolverines as well. Michigan has the edge in scoring with 76 points-per-game and is shooting 49.5 percent from the floor. Defensively, it is allowing an average of 62.1 points a game verse Michigan State's 59.9-point average.

              The home team in this series has covered the spread in the last four meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last eight games between the two. Michigan State is just 1-5 ATS in its last six trips to Michigan.

              Best of the Rest

              Villanova Wildcats vs. No. 23 Pittsburgh Panthers (12 p.m. ESPN3)

              ESPN bracketology expert Joe Lunardi had Villanova listed as one of the last four-in when it comes to this year's NCAA Tournament but it probably needs a victory on Sunday to stay on this list after losing to Seton Hall 66-65 this past Monday as a four-point road favorite. Overall, the Wildcats are 18-11 SU and 16-9-1 ATS. They have failed to cover in three of their last four games and the total has stayed UNDER in six of their last nine outings.

              Pittsburgh is 10-6 SU in the Big East this season including a 58-43 rout over Villanova as a 4 ½-point road favorite on Jan.16. It is just 2-2 SU and ATS in its last four games after losing to Marquette and Notre Dame before knocking-off St. Johns and South Florida its last two time out. The Panthers are 11-11 ATS overall this season but just 4-7 ATS at home. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last eight games.

              Purdue Boilermakers vs. No. 17 Wisconsin Badgers (1 p.m. ESPN)

              Purdue has been relegated to playing the role of spoiler in this contest after losing seven of its last 10 games to fall to 13-15 SU on the year and 6-9 in Big Ten Play. It has failed to cover in six of its last eight games and is a costly 10-16-1 ATS overall. The Boilermakers have really struggled on the road this season with just three SU victories in 10 games and a 3-6-1 road record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last six games.

              The surging Badgers will win the Big Ten regular season title if they win their final three games and Indiana loses one more time as a result of a 64-59 victory over the Hoosiers as 10 ½-point road underdogs earlier in the year. They are now 11-4 SU in conference play and 22-6 overall with a 6-1 record in their last seven games. ATS, Wisconsin has covered in seven of its last nine games but is still below .500 on the year at 11-14. It has gone 15-2 SU at home this season and 8-7 ATS. The total has gone OVER in five of its last seven contests.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #22
                Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

                With smaller conference tournaments on the horizon, here are some trends with regards to how teams perform in these end-of-season events.......

                -- Either #1 or #2 seed has won CAA tourney ten years in a row; UNCW was last non-Virginia winner, back in 2006.

                -- Same thing in MAAC; nine of last ten winners were either #1/#2 seed; '11 St Peter's (11-7, #4 seed) being the exception.

                -- Wichita State hasn't won MVC tourney since 1987; over last six years, they are only 5-6 in Arch Madness games. This could be their year.

                -- Montana has severe injury issues, so Weber State will be favored to win the Big Sky, but Wildcats have won it only once in last seven years-- they blew a 20-point halftime lead in the '10 final, haven't won it since. Top seed has won Big Sky last two years, after winning it only once in previous six tournaments.

                -- Last four times top seed won OVC tourney, that team won by 2+ games in regular season; this year's #1 seed? 12-4 Belmont, two games better than Eastern Kentucky, which lost at Tennessee State last night.

                -- Davidson won SoCon tourney four of last seven years, but lost in first tournament game two of other three years.


                *****


                Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday........

                13) Ryan Kelly was stellar with 36 points as Duke held off Miami 79-76, but if Kelly is just coming back from a foot injury, how smart was it to play him 32 stressful minutes in what was basically a meaninglesss game?

                I'll chart his minutes played the rest of the way and keep you posted.

                12) As much as Dick Vitale gushes over Duke, my lasting impression of this interesting, high-level game was this:

                Sometimes the better team doesn't win. Miami is better than Duke.

                11) VCU 84, Butler 52-- Bulldogs' first conference loss by 30+ points since 1986, against Oral Roberts. Lot of water under the bridge since then.

                10) Angels renewed Mike Trout's contract at $510,000 for this season, $20,000 over the major league minimum, which annoyed agent Craig Landis, as it should have. Don't the Angels want to keep Trout long-term, or does it not matter in the long run? Trout will clean up later on no matter what.

                As for Landis, will be interesting to see if Trout fires him. Scott Boras goes to most of the Angel home games, sits right behind the plate.

                9) Creighton coach Greg McDermott said he has no voice in whether his Bluejays bolt the Missouri Valley Conference for the Big East; its going to be a basketball-driven league and you don't ask the coach, whose star player is also his son? Just seems odd.

                In an unrelated rant, does the Big East need a team in Nebraska?

                8) Oklahoma 86, Iowa State 69-- Sooners went 34-34 from foul line, tying all-time record for most FTs without a miss, a mark also held by Cal-Irvine ('81) and Samford ('90).

                7) Virginia Cavaliers are doing well at 20-8, 10-5 in ACC, but they're 0-3 vs CAA teams, including a loss to a dreadful Old Dominion squad that fired its coach already. Trap game for Cavaliers against Boston College Sunday.

                6) They have pitch counts in the World Baseball Classic, just like Little League; if you throw 50+ pitches, think you have to sit the next three days, but you do get a free freeze pop at the concession stand.

                5) Not only do the Miami Marlins have a rookie manager, they've got 73 players in camp; seeing as only 25 make a big league roster, they've got their major league team, AAA team and AA team in major league camp. Sometimes you wonder if they know what they're doing.

                A local kid named Mahoney from over the river in Troy homered twice for the Marlins Saturday; he's a first baseman who is a .274 career hitter in his 619 minor league games-- he had four ABs with Baltimore LY.

                4) Watching Arizona-UCLA Saturday night, and one thing was very clear; Wildcats' coach Sean Miller has very little faith in his guards. He called one timeout when his point guard had ball in transition going full-tilt towards the basket. Arizona is 3-4 in its last seven games after a 20-2 start.

                3) Three years ago, Erick Green scored 2.6 ppg in 12.6 mpg as a freshman at Virginia Tech; this year, Green is leading the country in scoring at 24.9 ppg. The lesson: Work on your game, improve your skills, and it'll pay off.

                I'm convinced kids play too many games in the summer and do not work as much as they should on improving their skills. I sound old, I know.....

                2) Saturday was the 51st anniversary of Wilt Chamberlain scoring 100 points in an NBA game, which for some reason, was played in Hershey, PA. How much money would the Big Dipper be getting paid in today's game?

                1) Gonzaga has a certain amount of pressure on them this month; over last 11 years, Zags are just 2-6 in NCAA second round games, with one of those wins against a #12 seed that had posted a big first round upset. If you like to invest in basketball, know that Gonzaga covered only twice in its last nine games as an NCAA tournament favorite.

                Sometimes its easier to be the hunter rather than the hunted; Gonzaga will be the hunted later this month, thats for sure.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #23
                  Sunday, March 3

                  Game Score Status Pick Amount

                  Manhattan - 12:00 PM ET Manhattan +7 500
                  Loyola-Maryland -

                  Villanova - 12:00 PM ET Pittsburgh -10 500
                  Pittsburgh -

                  Purdue - 1:00 PM ET Wisconsin -14.5 500
                  Wisconsin - Over 118.5 500

                  Siena - 2:00 PM ET Iona -17 500
                  Iona -

                  Florida St. - 2:00 PM ET North Carolina -13 500 POD
                  North Carolina - Over 147 500

                  DePaul - 2:00 PM ET South Florida -3.5 500
                  South Florida -

                  Fairfield - 2:00 PM ET Fairfield -4 500
                  Marist -

                  Washington St. - 3:30 PM ET Washington -6.5 500
                  Washington - Under 131 500

                  Virginia - 4:00 PM ET Boston College +4.5 500
                  Boston College -

                  Michigan St - 4:00 PM ET Michigan St +4.5 500 POD
                  Michigan - Over 132.5 500

                  Utah - 5:00 PM ET Stanford -10.5 500
                  Stanford -

                  N.C. State - 6:00 PM ET Georgia Tech +4 500
                  Georgia Tech - Over 137.5 500
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    NCAAB
                    Long Sheet

                    Sunday, March 3

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    MICHIGAN ST (22 - 6) at MICHIGAN (23 - 5) - 3/3/2013, 4:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    MICHIGAN is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                    MICHIGAN is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                    MICHIGAN is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
                    MICHIGAN is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
                    MICHIGAN ST is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                    MICHIGAN ST is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    MICHIGAN is 3-2 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
                    MICHIGAN is 3-2 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
                    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    VILLANOVA (18 - 11) at PITTSBURGH (22 - 7) - 3/3/2013, 12:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    VILLANOVA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
                    VILLANOVA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
                    VILLANOVA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
                    PITTSBURGH is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    PITTSBURGH is 4-0 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
                    PITTSBURGH is 4-0 straight up against VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
                    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    FLORIDA ST (15 - 13) at N CAROLINA (20 - 8) - 3/3/2013, 2:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    FLORIDA ST is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) after a conference game this season.
                    FLORIDA ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
                    N CAROLINA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
                    N CAROLINA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
                    N CAROLINA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                    N CAROLINA is 65-41 ATS (+19.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
                    N CAROLINA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                    N CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    FLORIDA ST is 3-2 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
                    N CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
                    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    DEPAUL (11 - 17) at S FLORIDA (10 - 17) - 3/3/2013, 2:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    DEPAUL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
                    S FLORIDA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games this season.
                    S FLORIDA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
                    S FLORIDA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
                    S FLORIDA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
                    S FLORIDA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    S FLORIDA is 3-0 against the spread versus DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
                    S FLORIDA is 3-0 straight up against DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
                    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    WASHINGTON ST (11 - 17) at WASHINGTON (15 - 13) - 3/3/2013, 3:30 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    WASHINGTON is 3-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
                    WASHINGTON is 4-2 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
                    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    VIRGINIA (20 - 8) at BOSTON COLLEGE (12 - 16) - 3/3/2013, 4:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    VIRGINIA is 59-83 ATS (-32.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
                    VIRGINIA is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
                    VIRGINIA is 52-79 ATS (-34.9 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
                    VIRGINIA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
                    BOSTON COLLEGE is 124-93 ATS (+21.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
                    BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
                    BOSTON COLLEGE is 76-52 ATS (+18.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
                    VIRGINIA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
                    VIRGINIA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
                    VIRGINIA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite this season.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-2 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
                    BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-2 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
                    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    UTAH (11 - 16) at STANFORD (16 - 13) - 3/3/2013, 5:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    UTAH is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
                    UTAH is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
                    UTAH is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
                    UTAH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                    UTAH is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    UTAH is 2-1 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
                    STANFORD is 2-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
                    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    NC STATE (20 - 8) at GEORGIA TECH (15 - 12) - 3/3/2013, 6:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    NC STATE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
                    GEORGIA TECH is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    NC STATE is 2-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
                    NC STATE is 3-1 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
                    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    MANHATTAN (12 - 16) at LOYOLA-MD (20 - 10) - 3/3/2013, 12:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    LOYOLA-MD is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                    MANHATTAN is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    MANHATTAN is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                    MANHATTAN is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                    MANHATTAN is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                    MANHATTAN is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                    MANHATTAN is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                    MANHATTAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
                    MANHATTAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
                    MANHATTAN is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
                    MANHATTAN is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                    MANHATTAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
                    LOYOLA-MD is 51-81 ATS (-38.1 Units) in all home games since 1997.
                    LOYOLA-MD is 51-81 ATS (-38.1 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
                    LOYOLA-MD is 44-71 ATS (-34.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
                    LOYOLA-MD is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1997.
                    LOYOLA-MD is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
                    LOYOLA-MD is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    LOYOLA-MD is 3-2 against the spread versus MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
                    LOYOLA-MD is 5-0 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
                    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    FAIRFIELD (17 - 13) at MARIST (9 - 20) - 3/3/2013, 2:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    MARIST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
                    FAIRFIELD is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    FAIRFIELD is 5-1 against the spread versus MARIST over the last 3 seasons
                    FAIRFIELD is 6-0 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
                    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    SIENA (7 - 22) at IONA (16 - 13) - 3/3/2013, 2:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    SIENA is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                    SIENA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
                    SIENA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                    IONA is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
                    IONA is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
                    IONA is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    SIENA is 4-2 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
                    IONA is 4-2 straight up against SIENA over the last 3 seasons
                    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    PURDUE (13 - 15) at WISCONSIN (20 - 8) - 3/3/2013, 1:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    PURDUE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
                    PURDUE is 63-90 ATS (-36.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
                    PURDUE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                    PURDUE is 49-77 ATS (-35.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
                    WISCONSIN is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    WISCONSIN is 2-1 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
                    WISCONSIN is 2-1 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
                    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      NCAAB
                      Armadillo's Write-Up

                      Sunday, March 3

                      -- Home side won four of last five Purdue-Wisconsin games; Boilers lost last two visits here, by 7-7 points. Purdue lost seven of last nine games; they've lost last three on road, by 20-28-10 points-favorites covered all eight of their Big Dozen road games (0-6 as road dog). Big Dozen double digit home favorites are 13-11 vs spread. Wisconsin won seven of last eight games, covering last five; they're 3-4 as a home favorite.
                      -- Michigan State (+1.5) shot 55% inside arc, forced 16 turnovers (+8) in 75-52 thrashing of Michigan Feb 12, its 12th win in last 17 series games, but Spartans did lose last two visits here, by 1-7 points. State lost last two games; they're 5-3 on Big Dozen road, with losses by 13-5-8 points. Michigan is 3-4 in last seven games after bad loss at Penn State- they are 3-4 as home faves. Big Dozen home favorites of 6 or less are 14-7.
                      -- Pitt (-4.5) held Villanova to 32% from floor, forced 18 turnovers (+3) in 58-43 win in Philly Jan 16, Panthers' fifth straight series win, by 5-3-10-9-15 points. Pitt is a bully team; their last six wins were all by 10+ points- Panthers are 2-5 in league games decided by less than 10 points. Big East home favorites of 9+ points are 11-17 vs spread. Villanova won five of last seven games; they're 4-2 vs spread as a road underdog.
                      -- North Carolina (+3) won 77-72 at Florida State Jan 12, shooting 53% inside arc, 8-20 outside it; Tar Heels won 13 of last 16 series games, are 5-1 in last six played here, with four wins by 13+. UNC won four in a row, all by 9+ points since losing at Duke; they're 5-2 as home favorites. ACC double digit home favorites are 14-5 vs spread. Seminoles are 2-5 in last seven games, losing last three on road by 25-18-10 points.

                      -- South Florida won its last seven games with DePaul, winning last two here by 9-11 points, but Bulls lost last nine games (1-8 vs spread) since upsetting Georgetown Jan 19, its only Big East win this season. USF is 0-1 as a league favorite. DePaul lost 11 of last 12 games, but is 4-3 as a road underdog, with four road losses by 11+ points, other two in OT. Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-18 vs spread.
                      -- Washington (+4.5) won 68-63 in Pullman Jan 5, racing to 23-6 lead, blowing it, then rallying late for 8th win in last 10 series games. Cougars lost three of last four visits here, losing by 7-28-10 points. Pac-12 home favorites of 7 or less points are 18-29 vs spread. State is 2-5-1 as a road dog, with five of seven road losses by 11+ points. Huskies lost eight of last 11 games; they're 3-2 as home favorite, winning by 10-4-10 points.
                      -- Trap game for Virginia after it beat Duke last game; Cavaliers (-9) beat Boston College 65-51 at home Jan 26, shooting 64% inside arc but Cavs lost three of last four visits to BC, losing by 5-13-3 points. Eagles lost 10 of last 13 games but won three of last four at home, beating Wake and Maryland in last two at home. Five of BC's last seven games went under the total. ACC home underdogs are 21-9 against the spread.
                      -- Stanford (-3) made 9-15 from arc in 87-56 waxing of Utah Jan 27, kind of game losing side doesn't easily forget, especially when Cardinal lost five of last seven games, including last three at home. Utes lost three in a row, by 4-10-18 points, scoring 53.3 ppg; they're 5-3 as Pac-12 dogs on road. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 5-9 vs spread. Stanford lost four of last five games, failed to cover last four home games.

                      -- NC State (-9) beat Georgia Tech 83-70 at home Jan 9, shooting 54% inside arc in game they trailed by 4 with 10:17 left. Wolfpack won two of last three visits here, four of last five overall; they're 2-5 on road, 0-3 as road favorites, with only wins by 5 at BC, 1 at Clemson. ACC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 13-7 vs spread. Tech is 5-8 in its last 13 games, losing three of last four at home (1-2 as ACC home dog).
                      -- Manhattan (+2.5) shot 31.1% from floor, 8-19 from foul line in 51-41 home loss to Loyola Jan 25, its fifth straight series loss, by 15-12-1-2-10 points. Jaspers won six of last seven games, are 6-0 as MAAC road dogs-- underdogs covered all eight of their road games. Loyola won five of last seven games; they're 3-5 vs spread as a home favorite. MAAC home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-17 against the spread.
                      -- Fairfield (-13) were up 20 at half, crushed Marist 71-37 Jan 24, its 7th win in last eight series games, but how do Stags bounce back from awful 34-31 loss at Manhattan Friday night? MAAC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 8-5 vs spread. Fairfield won two of last three visits here; they lost four of last six on road. Marist won three of last four games, with three of those four wins by five or less points (4-2 as home dog).
                      -- Iona (-11) won 66-62 at Siena Jan 4, after being down 10 with 10:10 to play; Gaels lost their last six visits here, with last two by 6-3 points. Iona lost six of last eight games overall, with one of those eight decided by more than four points. Gaels are 4-4 as home faves (0-3 in last three). MAAC double digit home favorites are 8-6 vs spread. Siena lost six of last seven games; they're 3-5 as MAAC road underdogs.
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        NCAAB

                        Sunday, March 3

                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                        Trend Report
                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        12:00 PM
                        VILLANOVA vs. PITTSBURGH
                        Villanova is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Villanova's last 8 games on the road
                        Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Villanova
                        Pittsburgh is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home

                        12:00 PM
                        MANHATTAN vs. LOYOLA
                        Manhattan is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Manhattan's last 6 games on the road
                        Loyola is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Manhattan
                        Loyola is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

                        1:00 PM
                        PURDUE vs. WISCONSIN
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Purdue's last 6 games on the road
                        Purdue is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
                        Wisconsin is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 7 games

                        2:00 PM
                        DEPAUL vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
                        The total has gone OVER in 5 of DePaul's last 5 games on the road
                        DePaul is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida's last 6 games
                        South Florida is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

                        2:00 PM
                        SIENA vs. IONA
                        Siena is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Siena's last 7 games when playing on the road against Iona
                        Iona is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
                        Iona is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Siena

                        2:00 PM
                        FAIRFIELD vs. MARIST
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fairfield's last 6 games when playing on the road against Marist
                        Fairfield is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Marist's last 7 games when playing Fairfield
                        Marist is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Fairfield

                        2:00 PM
                        FLORIDA STATE vs. NORTH CAROLINA
                        Florida State is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against North Carolina
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 6 games when playing on the road against North Carolina
                        North Carolina is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Florida State
                        North Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida State

                        3:30 PM
                        WASHINGTON STATE vs. WASHINGTON
                        Washington State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
                        Washington State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games at home
                        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games when playing Washington State

                        4:00 PM
                        MICHIGAN STATE vs. MICHIGAN
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 7 games when playing on the road against Michigan
                        Michigan State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Michigan
                        Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan's last 7 games when playing at home against Michigan State

                        4:00 PM
                        VIRGINIA vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia's last 5 games on the road
                        Virginia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
                        Boston College is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 6 games at home

                        5:00 PM
                        UTAH vs. STANFORD
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games on the road
                        Utah is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games on the road
                        Stanford is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Stanford's last 7 games at home

                        6:00 PM
                        NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. GEORGIA TECH
                        North Carolina State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Georgia Tech
                        North Carolina State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia Tech's last 9 games when playing North Carolina State
                        Georgia Tech is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing North Carolina State
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          NCAAB

                          Sunday, March 3

                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Michigan State at Michigan: What bettors need to know
                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          Michigan State Spartans at Michigan Wolverines (-4, 132.5)

                          Michigan’s Big Ten title hopes probably ended after blowing a 15-point lead in the second half and losing at last-place Penn State on Wednesday. The fourth-ranked Wolverines should be an angry, focused group when they return home to face rival Michigan State on Sunday afternoon. Michigan can still be a major factor in the conference and NCAA tournaments, but must find answers after losing four of its last seven. The Wolverines are certainly comfortable at home where they are 16-0 overall and 7-0 in the Big Ten. However, they were hammered at Michigan State 75-52 on Feb. 12.

                          The 10th-ranked Spartans also need to restart, coming off consecutive losses to Indiana and Ohio State. Michigan State, which outrebounded Michigan 39-27 in the first meeting, is 5-3 on the road in conference play and stands one game behind Indiana in the Big Ten going into the weekend.

                          TV: 4 p.m. ET, CBS.

                          ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (22-6, 11-4 Big Ten): One of the reasons the Spartans could not get over the hump in close games against the Buckeyes and Hoosiers was leading scorer Keith Appling’s sudden shooting slump. The junior guard was 2-of-14 from the field and 0-of-6 from 3-point range the last two contests, dropping his scoring average to 13.4 -- slightly ahead of freshman guard Gary Harris (13.2). Adreian Payne and Derrick Nix have done a solid job inside, both averaging more than 12 points the last five games. Payne, Nix and Branden Dawson (10.4 points) all shoot over 50 percent from the field.

                          ABOUT MICHIGAN (23-5, 10-5): The Wolverines might have needed the slap in the face from Penn State to get back to basics and finish strong. After facing the Spartans, Michigan plays at Purdue and hosts Indiana to end the regular season. Player of the year candidate Trey Burke hasn’t slowed down, shooting 49.6 percent from the field. Burke is second in the Big Ten in scoring (18.8) and first in assists (6.9). Tim Hardaway Jr., averaging 15.2 points, will have to be better than the 1-of-11 shooting performance at Michigan State. The Wolverines can also play better defense. They stand ninth in field-goal percentage defense in Big Ten games.

                          TRENDS:

                          * Wolverines are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.
                          * Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
                          * Under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.
                          * Under is 7-1 in Wolverines’ last eight vs. a team with a winning record.

                          TIP-INS:

                          1. The Spartans are third in the Big Ten in scoring defense and Michigan is second in offense.

                          2. Michigan F/C Jordan Morgan scored 11 points against Penn State, his first time in double figures since Jan. 3.

                          3. The Wolverines lead the all-time series 94-76, but Michigan State has won 20 of the last 26 meetings.
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            NCAAB
                            Dunkel

                            Michigan State at Michigan
                            The Spartans look to take advantage of a Michigan team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against Big Ten opponents. Michigan State is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spartans favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

                            SUNDAY, MARCH 3

                            Game 819-820: Michigan State at Michigan (4:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 74.625; Michigan 72.077
                            Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 2 1/2; 128
                            Vegas Line: Michigan by 4 1/2; 132 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+4 1/2); Under

                            Game 821-822: Villanova at Pittsburgh (12:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 64.006; Pittsburgh 74.377
                            Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 10 1/2
                            Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 9
                            Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-9)

                            Game 823-824: Florida State at North Carolina (2:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 55.689; North Carolina 74.209
                            Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 18 1/2; 152
                            Vegas Line: North Carolina by 13; 147
                            Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-13); Over

                            Game 825-826: DePaul at South Florida (2:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 54.781; South Florida 59.216
                            Dunkel Line: South Florida by 4 1/2
                            Vegas Line: South Florida by 3
                            Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-3)

                            Game 827-828: Washington State at Washington (3:30 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 58.258; Washington 63.052
                            Dunkel Line: Washington by 5; 126
                            Vegas Line: Washington by 7; 131
                            Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+7); Under

                            Game 829-830: Virginia at Boston College (4:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 71.331; Boston College 63.410
                            Dunkel Line: Virginia by 8
                            Vegas Line: Virginia by 4 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-4 1/2)

                            Game 831-832: Utah at Stanford (1:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Utah 56.008; Stanford 68.506
                            Dunkel Line: Stanford by 12 1/2
                            Vegas Line: Stanford by 10
                            Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-10)

                            Game 833-834: NC State at Georgia Tech (6:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: NC State 67.465; Georgia Tech 62.314
                            Dunkel Line: NC State by 5; 142
                            Vegas Line: NC State by 4; 136 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick: NC State (-4); Over

                            Game 835-836: Manhattan at Loyola-MD (12:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 50.800; Loyola-MD 59.394
                            Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 8 1/2
                            Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 7
                            Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (-7)

                            Game 837-838: Fairfield at Marist (2:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 51.946; Marist 55.051
                            Dunkel Line: Marist by 3
                            Vegas Line: Fairfield by 4 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick: Marist (+4 1/2)

                            Game 839-840: Siena at Iona (2:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Siena 41.204; Iona 60.110
                            Dunkel Line: Iona by 19
                            Vegas Line: Iona by 17
                            Dunkel Pick: Iona (-17)

                            Game 841-842; Purdue at Wisconsin (1:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 58.062; Wisconsin 80.665
                            Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 22 1/2; 122
                            Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 14; 118
                            Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-14); Over
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              Monday, March 4

                              Game Score Status Pick Amount

                              Cincinnati 0 0th Cincinnati +10.5 500
                              Louisville 0 Over 122.5 500

                              Texas Tech 0 0th Kansas -24 500 POD
                              Kansas 0 Under 140 500

                              Savannah State - 9:00 PM ET No.Carolina A&T -2 500
                              No.Carolina A&T - Under 108.5 500

                              Baylor - 9:00 PM ET Baylor -1 500
                              Texas - Over 139 500

                              Montana - 9:05 PM ET Southern Utah +2.5 500
                              Southern Utah -
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Bracketology Update

                                March 5, 2013

                                As usual, we break down the projected matchups by each region, beginning with the sub-regionals, which this year will begin on Thursday, Mar. 21. The term "protected seed" refers to seeds 1 thru 4 in any region, with those seeds usually accompanied by a geographically-convenient sub-regional assignment.

                                Straight-up records, RPI, and Strength of Schedule (SOS) ratings are thru Sunday, March 3.

                                March Mayhem has arrived!


                                EAST REGIONAL (Washington, D.C.)

                                At Philadelphia...

                                1 Duke (SUR 25-4, RPI-1, SOS-2) vs. 16 Robert Morris (22-9, 113-169)...Even before F Ryan Kelly returned to the Duke fold with a bang (and how...36 points!) last weekend vs. the Miami Hurricanes, we had the Blue Devils on the top line. Now, with Kelly back and apparently in top form, don't be surprised if the Blue Devils ride into the Dance as the overall No. 1 seed, especially if they win the ACC Tourney. Meanwhile, the home team of the Pittsburgh Airport, Robert Morris, qualified to host this week's Northeast Tourney when beating Bryant in a 77-75 thriller at Coraopolis last Thursday. The Smithfield, RI-based Bulldogs, however, might like their chances in a rubber match vs. the Colonials. Games involving top contenders Robert Morris, Bryant, Wagner, Long Island, and Quinnipiac were almost all closely contested this season. The Colonials, however, are the only entry in that lot that might avoid a 16 vs. 16 play-in game.

                                8 Creighton (24-7, 37-79) vs. 9 San Diego State (20-8, 33-26)...After briefly worrying about their at-large prospects last week, the Creighton Bluejays finished the regular season on an upbeat note with a pair of wins, including a home thumping of Wichita State in the battle for top seed at this week's Arch Madness in St. Louis, so Greg McDermott's side is now surely on safe ground entering the conference tourney. Steve Fisher's SDSU has been mostly treading water for the last month while it loses contact with the Mountain West leaders; if the Aztecs are lucky, they would land a 10 or 11 seed, but we think they look awfully likely to be sentenced to one of the dreaded 8-9 games in the sub-regionals instead.


                                At Kansas City...

                                4 Kansas State (24-5, 19-52) vs. 13 Davidson (23-7, 75-107)...How about an all-Wildcat battle? Welcome into protected seed territory for K-State, which passed another test in the top-heavy Big 12 by winning at Baylor last Saturday on Rodney McGruder's clutch three-pointer at the buzzer (after a wild final-second sequence). Bruce Weber's Wildcats have won five straight and are tied for the lead atop the loop with Kansas, although to keep a protected seed, KSU might have to beat Oklahoma State in the reg.-season finale this weekend (or, of course, win the Big 12 Tourney). The SoCon Tourney will begin later this week in the Blue Ridge hub of Asheville, with Bob McKillop's Davidson the top seed after closing the regular season with 14 straight wins. Note that the only league rep to beat the Wildcats in conference play was Georgia Southern, which paid dearly for that transgression last weekend when on the wrong end of an 83-48 revenge beating administered by Davidson. Matt Matheny's Fighting Phoenix of Elon and Doug Wojcik's College of Charleston Cougars look to be Davidson's main competition in Asheville.

                                5 Ohio State (21-7, 20-20) vs. 12 La Salle (20-7, 45-89)...We haven't knocked OSU down from a 4 to a 5 seed because of their nervous win last week at Northwestern. Rather, we're speculating just a bit because we think the Buckeyes will lose at least once this week to either Indiana or Illinois, which, short of a run to the Big Ten title game, would likely move OSU from a protected seed and a chance at the Dayton sub-regional, only 70 or so miles from Columbus. We'll let Thad Matta's team prove us wrong. Meanwhile, John Giannini's La Salle has avoided most of the banana peels in this year's A-10 and should be in good shape for the Explorers' first trip to the Dance in 21 years, even if losing in this Saturday's regular-season finale at hot Saint Louis.

                                At Dayton...

                                2 Georgetown (23-4, 10-3) vs. 15 Stony Brook (22-6, 83-266)...We weren't even including Georgetown as a protected seed until recent projections; now, if the dominoes fall right over the next two weeks, the Hoyas could enter the Dance as a number one regional seed. We also weren't thinking about JT III and Otto Porter as coach of the year and Wooden Award candidates, respectively, until a few weeks ago, either; a lot can change in a short period of time during this particular college hoops season. As for Stony Brook, it has clinched the top seed in this week's America East Tourney in Albany. The Seawolves, winners of 10 of their last 11, will likely have to fend off entries such as Vermont, Boston U, Hartford (the last team to beat Stony, on Feb. 10) and the host Great Danes from Albany before qualifying for their first-ever Big Dance invite.

                                7 Cal (20-9, 42-34) vs. 10 Cincinnati (20-9, 49-32)...If the regular season extended into April, red-hot Cal might qualify for a protected seed; Mike Montgomery's Golden Bears are now the hottest team in the Pac-12 with seven straight wins, including successes vs. all of the loop's top contenders, and can expect to be wearing their home white unis (or, if the mood strikes, their fancy goldenrod alternate outfits) at the outset of the sub-regionals. We don't know if Cincinnati was in trouble of dropping out of the field entirely if it lost last Saturday vs. UConn, but there's no question it was a welcome win for the Bearcats, who had been sliding the wrong way the past month. Oldtimers might recall this as a rematch of Final Four games in 1959 & '60, when Cal teams coached by Pete Newell beat George Smith's Cincy teams, featuring Oscar Robertson, two straight years in national semifinal matchups.


                                At Austin...

                                3 Florida (23-5, 10-23) vs. 14 Princeton (16-9, 115-143)...Big doings last weekend in the Ivy League. Not only did Princeton avenge an earlier loss to Harvard by winning the return match at Jadwin Gym on Friday, but the Crimson's subsequent stumble on Saturday at Penn puts the Tigers temporarily back in control at the top of the loop. Princeton, however, has three tricky road dates remaining on the schedule; win out and Mitch Henderson's squad qualifies for the Dance. But also remember that a flat-footed tie at the end of the regular season would necessitate the second one-game Ivy playoff in the last three seasons between the Tigers and Harvard. Stay tuned. As for Florida, we think the Gators probably gave up any hope of a top regional seed when losing in midweek at Tennessee. With the SEC profile a bit down this season, the Gators probably do no better than a three seed on Selection Sunday.

                                6 Saint Louis (23-5, 26-28) vs. 11 Virginia (20-9, 57-112)/Villanova (18-12/55-37)...Saint Louis wasn't even a sure thing to make the Dance a few weeks ago; now the Billikens have an outside shot at a protected seed if they keep winning through the upcoming A-10 Tourney at Barclays Center in Brooklyn after the event was played in Atlantic City's Boardwalk Hall the past several years. And Jim Crews is generating a lot of support as a potential national Coach of the Year (we second the nomination). Bad losses within the last week from both Virginia (at Boston College) and Villanova (at Seton Hall) have those two straddling the cut line, though in the Cavs' case a Thursday win over Duke was a huge plus. The 'Hoos have been trying to overcome an RPI that was badly damaged by early losses to Colonial foes George Mason, Delaware, and Old Dominion, and while we think they're in the field at the moment, Tony Bennett's side has little margin for error. The regular-season finale vs. Maryland could have huge implications. 'Nova also likely barely remains in safe territory after two straight losses, and could really use another marquee win over Georgetown in its reg.-season finale on Wednesday to feel more comfy about a call on Selection Sunday. Sunday's extremely bitter OT loss at Pitt could have been another big chip for Jay Wright to cash on Selection Sunday.


                                SOUTH REGIONAL (Arlington, TX)

                                At Dayton...

                                1 Indiana (25-4, 7-18) vs. 16 Mercer (21-10, 131-272)/Norfolk State (19-10, 172-328)...Now alone and a game-and-a-half clear atop the Big Ten, Indiana has the look of a number one regional seed, even after last week's loss at Minnesota. Although there is still time to slip down a notch or two with games vs. Ohio State and at Michigan to close the regular season in the next week before the Big Ten Tourney. Whatever, a sub-regional assignment to Dayton, an easy drive for most Hoosier fans, looks very likely. Mercer's chance of escaping a 16 vs. 16 play-in game took a knock when losing last week at Florida Gulf Coast, which could also serve as a warning shot from the Eagles (who conquered Miami-Fla. early in the season) before this week's Atlantic Sun Tourney, which the Bears will host in Macon. We're positive the MEAC Tourney champ is involved in one of the 16 vs. 16 games; right now the clear favorite looks to be the Spartans from Norfolk State, last year's Big Dance Cinderella and undefeated in conference play and with 13 wins in a row heading into Monday night's game vs. the Rattlers from Florida A&M.

                                8 Oregon (23-6, 50-104) vs. 9 Colorado State (22-7, 17-25)...Oregon was in the discussion for a protected seed not long ago, but that was before the foot injury suffered by star frosh G Dominic Artis, who returned to active duty in limited minutes last Saturday vs. Oregon State. Perhaps we have seeded the Ducks a bit low, especially since they are currently tied with UCLA atop the Pac-12, but the RPI and SOS do not cry injustice for a middling seed. A loss this week at Colorado (which is very possible) and failure to win the Pac-12 Tourney probably puts the Ducks in 7-9 seed range. CSU's bid is safe, but the Rams have been slipping a bit since they cracked the national rankings for the first time in 59 years a few weeks ago. Three losses in their last four games have conceded the reg.-season Mountain West crown to New Mexico, and Larry Eustachy's team is now in real danger of getting stuck in an 8-9 game.


                                At Austin....

                                4 Oklahoma State (22-6, 22-55) vs. 13 Akron (23-5, 46-138)...A mid-major result that got little notice nationally last weekend, but was potentially significant in regard to Selection Sunday, involved Akron losing at Buffalo, 81-67. That result not only ended the Zips' nation's best 19-game win streak, but also put a dent in a possible at-large case if needed should Keith Dambrot's team lose in the MAC Tourney at Cleveland next week. Meanwhile, note the growing chorus of support for OSU, which is now a chic projection to make the Final Four among select college hoops aficionados. This would be a rematch of a November game at the Puerto Rico Tipoff (the Cowboys a 69-65 winner) that was a much-more compelling matchup than anyone realized at the time.

                                5 Pittsburgh (22-7, 44-56) vs. 12 Middle Tennessee (27-4, 24-127)...Pitt remains in the frame for a possible protected seed after Sunday's narrow OT escape vs. Villanova. What might eventually hold the Panthers back is a paucity of quality non-conference wins, although a deep run in the Big East Tourney could overcome that factor. As an aside, Pitt fans are forewarned to be very concerned about rumors that HC Jamie Dixon is going to be courted seriously by Southern Cal for the Trojans' job once the regular season is complete. Dixon, a California native, is reportedly tops on Troy's target list. Another possible interesting Selection Sunday dilemma could arise if MTSU should blow the upcoming Sun Belt Tourney, as it did a year ago. This time, however, Kermit Davis' Blue Raiders would seem to have a stronger at-large case if needed. No matter, expect countless bubble teams to be big MTSU fans when the Sun Belt festivities commence next week at Hot Springs.


                                At Lexington...

                                2 Miami-Florida (23-5, 3-4) vs. 15 Niagara (18-12, 122-151)...For Miami, the temporary consequence of losing at Duke on Saturday is probable relinquishment of a top regional seed, even though the Canes are still likely to win the ACC regular-season crown. Miami now has more the look of a 2 seed unless Jim Larranaga's bunch can win the conference tourney in enemy territory at Greensboro. The Metro-Atlantic Tournament begins this week in Springfield, MA, and your guess is as good as any who might emerge from what appears to be the nation's most wide-open tourney. Joe Mihalich's Niagara, featuring prolific-scoring G Antoine Mason, enters as the top seed, so it gets a provisional nod for the moment, although we wouldn't be surprised if any from among seven entries ended up as the winner. Having said that, we would watch out for Canisius, Iona, and last year's winner of this event, Dancin' Jimmy Patsos' Loyola-Maryland Greyhounds.

                                7 Missouri (21-8, 35-53) vs. 10 Memphis (25-4, 18-70)...After a midweek non-league loss at Xavier, we've re-evaluated our position on Memphis, which we seeded as high as a 5 in our last update. But considering the Tigers' lack of quality wins, and the credibility issues regarding this year's Conference USA, that loss vs. the Musketeers likely has huge seeding consequences for Josh Pastner's team. Though (contrary to some bracketologists) we highly doubt Memphis is in a position to land on the wrong side of the cut line should it lose in the upcoming conference tourney in Tulsa, we suspect the Tigers have a good chance of wearing the road unis in the sub-regionals. Mizzou has made a fortress of its home court in Columbia and should be safely into the field of 68 after Saturday's win vs. pesky LSU. Missouri's body of work compares very favorably with a mass of other SEC contenders level or almost level in the standings but with lesser cases to make to the Selection Committee.


                                At Salt Lake City...

                                3 Marquette (21-7, 11-8) vs. 14 Bucknell (25-5, 14)...As the Big East race begins to resemble the old Demolition Derby from the Islip Speedway that used to be described so enthusiastically by Jim McKay on ABC's Wide World of Sports, Marquette finds itself as one of the last cars still running, tied for second place in the loop with Louisville (and behind only Georgetown) entering this last regular-season week before the Big East changes forever next season. And likely favored in the last two regular-season games at Rutgers and St. John's, the Golden Eagles appear to be a very good bet to earn a protected seed. The Patriot League Tourney begins later this week, with the alma mater of CBS head honcho Les Moonves, Bucknell, owning homecourt edge as long as it stays alive in the event. All eyes, however, are on second-seed Lehigh, which won the league tourney last year (and beat Duke in the sub-regionals) but has been without star G C.J. McCollum (23.9 ppg) since early January due to a broken foot. McCollum tossed the crutches away in late February, but his rehab would have to be fast-forwarded for him to be on the court for the Mountain Hawks in the Patriot Tourney that extends to March 13. If the Bison qualify instead, keep an eye on 6-11 C Mike Muscala, one of the potential breakout players in March.

                                6 Wisconsin (20-9, 26-17) vs. 11 Temple (21-8, 41-48)...We had been toying with the idea of granting Wisconsin a protected seed, but that was before its shocking Sunday home loss vs. Purdue. With a real logjam appearing on the 4-5-6 lines, we dock the Badgers and lower them after the result vs. the Boilermakers. And for reason, too; Bo Ryan's team likely goes into the Dance as no better than the 4th or 5th-rated Big Ten entry, so we suspect Wiscy is in the 5-6 range at the moment. Fran Dunphy's Temple exhaled a huge sigh of relief when surviving an upset bid by dangerous Detroit last week at the Liacouras Center; a loss would have been very damaging to Owl at-large hopes. Instead, we suspect Bill Cosby's alma mater will be one of five A-10 entries to the Dance, and make Fran Dunphy six-for-six in qualifying for the NCAAs since taking the Temple job in the 2007-08 season.


                                MIDWEST REGIONAL (Indianapolis)

                                At Kansas City...

                                1 Kansas (25-4, 4-13) vs. 16 Charleston Southern (17-11, 186-282)/ Texas Southern (17-14, 179-267)...We have always expected Kansas to be destined for the sub-regional at the Sprint Center in nearby Kansas City, where the Jayhawks have already played this season and will be on display again next week in the Big 12 Tournament. After that puzzling detour in early February when losing three straight (including an inexplicable loss at TCU), Bill Self's team has stabilized with recent OT road wins at Oklahoma State and Iowa State, and looks to be a good bet to earn a top regional seed. The Big South race has more resembled one of Vince McMahon's WWE Battle Royals, with everyone in the league seemingly landing a haymaker or two. Top seeds entering the conference tourney at Conway, SC (where Coastal Carolina is the host) are Barclay Radabaugh's Charleston Southern Buccaneers and Scott Cherry's High Point Panthers, though many in the region are warning to keep an eye on the Gardner-Webb Bulldogs, as the Boiling Springs, NC entry closed the regular season on a 7-game win streak. The new team to beat in the SWAC Tourney is Texas Southern, as the Houston-based Tigers wrested top spot in the league from Southern U by beating the Jaguars 79-66 last week, TSU's 12th win in a row. Keep in mind that the Tigers were within shouting distance of Colorado, San Diego State, and Kansas State in pre-SWAC action.

                                8 Illinois (21-9, 34-9) vs. 9 Butler (22-7, 22-45)...Illinois' profile is strong enough that it was probably safely into the field of 68 prior to last weekend, but just in case, avoiding that banana peel vs. Nebraska (and it wasn't easy) has probably guaranteed the Illini an invitation. Butler's ticket is punched, too, but the Bulldogs have been slipping down the seeding scale in recent weeks, with home losses to Charlotte and Saint Louis prior to last Saturday's blowout loss at VCU. Having lost contact with the top of the A-10 (now occupied by the SLU Billikens), many are suspecting that shrewd HC Brad Stevens might have been doing it with mirrors in the first half of the season at Hinkle Fieldhouse.


                                At Philadelphia...

                                4 Syracuse (22-7, 15-7) vs. 13 Valparaiso (24-7, 62-174)...Man, are we tempted to push the 'Cuse out of protected seed territory with three losses on the trot entering its midweek game vs. DePaul, which will be the Orange's last-ever Big East game at the Carrier Dome. Maybe Syracuse needs to beat Georgetown in the regular-season finale and make a nice run in the Big East Tourney to stay on the fourth line, but we believe it is all still within the reach of Jim Boeheim's team. Meanwhile, winning the regular-season crown has made Valparaiso the host team in the Horizon Tourney, where another title game vs. Ray McCallum's Detroit (as was the case last year when the Titans romped) appears to be in the offing before Bryce Drew's squad qualifies for the Dance.

                                5 Arizona (23-6, 13-28) vs. 12 Boise State (20-8, 43-63)...There, we've done it, knocking Arizona out of protected seed status after it lost a pair of Pac-12 road games in the L.A. area last week (including a bad loss at Southern Cal and second loss of the season vs. UCLA). The Wildcats enter the last week of the regular season in fourth place in the Pac-12, having lost 4 of their last 7, and might need a deep run in the conference tourney next week in Las Vegas to climb back to the fourth line. We also welcome Boise State to the lineup for the first time since early in our projection process. The Broncos have been helped by the solid conference RPI of the Mountain West, which has been jockeying with the Big Ten for top league spot all season. Last week's win over Colorado State was the deposit on an at-large slot; victories this week over either UNLV or San Diego State should move the Broncos further to the safe side of the cut line. Non-conference wins at Creighton and to a lesser extent vs. LSU, and a close road loss at Michigan State, are not hurting the Boise profile, either.


                                At Auburn Hills...

                                2 Michigan (24-5, 12-44) vs. 15 Montana (20-6, 100-270)...Though last week's hard-to-fathom loss at Penn State ranks alongside Kansas' defeat at TCU as the most startling upset of the season, John Beilein's Michigan recovered in time to beat Michigan State in a Sunday showdown to keep itself in the mix for a slot on the second (or perhaps even the first) line come Selection Sunday. Yet the Wolverines, only 4-4 in their last eight games, might still have to beat both Purdue and Indiana this week to stay at a number two. Montana is still most likely to be the host team for next week's Big Sky Tourney, but even if the event is held in Missoula, we're not sure the Grizzlies will even be favored, if star performers Will Cherry and Mathias Ward are hurting. In which case don't be surprised if hot Weber State (winner of nine straight entering home games vs. Portland State on Thursday, and Eastern Washington on Saturday) steals the bid from the Grizzlies.

                                7 North Carolina (22-7, 46-72) vs. 10 Saint Mary's (26-5, 38-113)...There's no more reason to worry about North Carolina making the Dance after five straight wins and a renewed bounce in the Tar Heels' step after Roy Williams' switch to a 4-G lineup a few weeks ago. Now Carolina is likely to be wearing its home white in the first sub-regional game, and some are beginning to wonder if Roy might be doing one of his best-ever coaching jobs after losing almost the entirety of last year's starting lineup to the NBA. Saint Mary's deftly avoided a banana peel on Saturday night vs. Santa Clara and should have no bubble concerns heading into the WCC Tourney that begins later this week at the Orleans Hotel Arena in Las Vegas.


                                At San Jose...

                                3 New Mexico (25-4, 2-3) vs. 14 South Dakota State (22-9, 72-176)...You're darned right New Mexico deserves a protected seed, pulling away to a clear regular-season title in what has been alternately (with the Big Ten) the nation's top-rated RPI league, the Mountain West, for the entire season. Heck, the Lobos' RPI (2) and SOS (3) suggests we might be short-changing them for a three seed. But expect a sub-regional assignment in either San Jose or Salt Lake City for Steve Alford's bunch. We know this would be another rematch of a regular-season game in which SDSU dealt the Lobos one of their four defeats after an arduous 1200-mile bus ride from Nashville (Belmont) to Albuquerque in December, dodging blizzards (which made air travel impractical) en route. First, the Jackrabbits must dispose of the regular-season Summit co-champ Western Illinois Leathernecks (who lost twice to SDSU) and dangerous North Dakota State (now with star G Taylor Braun back in action after injury) and others in the conference tourney at Sioux Falls, SD.

                                6 Notre Dame (22-7, 46-72) vs. 11 Belmont (24-6, 23-38)...Notre Dame has been hovering at the periphery of protected-seed territory all season, but it is getting crowded for those coveted spots, and last Saturday's loss at Marquette suggests the Fighting Irish are more likely in the 5-6 range as Selection Sunday approaches. As for Rick Byrd's Belmont, its solid RPI (23) and SOS (38) numbers suggest it might deserve better than an 11 seed, although we can never quite predict how the Selection Committee values mid-major success. In the Bruins' case, it might also mean they could get serious at-large consideration should they lose in this week's OVC Tourney, conducted at the old Municipal Auditorium across town from campus in Nashville. Although expected top challenger Murray State inexplicably flopped as a heavy favorite in two home games vs. UT-(Dean) Martin and SE Missouri State, neither an OVC contender, last week.


                                WEST REGIONAL (Phoenix)

                                at San Jose...

                                1 Gonzaga (29-2, 9-70) vs. 16 Northeastern (19-11, 159-208)...With Gonzaga having ascended to the top of the national rankings (not that it has meant a hoot this season) and being heavily favored for this week's WCC Tourney in Las Vegas, we fully expect the Zags to be the number one seed in the West. San Jose appears the most-likely sub-regional destination. The Colonial Tourney begins in Richmond later this week, but there were troubling developments last weekend as top seed Northeastern was dumped by lowly Old Dominion, the Huskies' third loss in five games that also included another puzzling setback vs. downtrodden UNC-Wilmington. Bad, bad losses both. The Colonial winner is now in real danger of falling into one of the 16 vs. 16 play-in games; should Bill Coen's Northeastern win the conference tourney, it probably stays at a non-play-in 16 seed, but any other CAA team that might win in Richmond is at risk of being placed in the "First Four" games at Dayton.

                                8 Virginia Commonwealth (23-6, 31-34) vs. 9 Oklahoma (19-9, 22-6)...We had been seeding VCU much higher for most of this season, and Saturday's dominating romp past Butler might advance the Rams' case for something better than an 8 on Selection Sunday. But once Shaka Smart's team dropped out of the lead in the A-10, we saw no compelling reason to keep them it protected seed territory. Meanwhile, it didn't take long for Lon Kruger to get Oklahoma back to the Dance, which hasn't happened since Blake Griffin's days in 2009. The Sooners, however, look a lot like many of Kruger's many past Big Dance entries that didn't escape the first weekend, good enough to perhaps win a game, as a likely 8 or 9 seed doesn't suggest a deep run for OU. This will, however, be Lon's record fifth appearance with a different school (Kansas State, Florida, Illinois, UNLV, and now the Sooners) in the Dance.


                                At Salt Lake City...

                                4 UNLV (22-7, 14-19) vs. 13 La Tech (26-3, 48-205)...We were wondering if UNLV might drop as low as a 10 or 11 seed a few weeks ago. Now, however, with a real chance to end the regular season on a 9-game win streak (especially with the Mountain West Tourney on its home court at the Thomas & Mack Center), and the Mountain's conference RPI being so strong, Dave Rice's Runnin' Rebels are positioned to climb into a protected seed assignment to either Salt Lake or San Jose. Where the opponent could be pesky La Tech, which has stayed unbeaten in the better-than-advertised WAC and might have an outside shot at an at-large bid should it lose in the conference tourney next week in Las Vegas (although its poor SOS numbers suggest that could be a tough sell). What they're really worried about in Ruston is that Ole Miss' recent collapse could cost HC Andy Kennedy his job and prompt a call to Bulldog HC Michael White, a former Rebel and destined for the brighter lights of a major conference very soon.

                                5 UCLA (22-7, 32-27) vs. 12 Maryland (20-9. 70-113/Tennessee (17-11, 56-36)...With all due respect to ESPN's Jay Bilas, whose games we reffed while he was a prep at Rolling Hills, CA High and whose opinion we usually concur, we were surprised he listed Arizona as a more dangerous threat in the Big Dance than UCLA while broadcasting last Saturday's Bruins-Wildcats game at Pauley Pavilion. The Bruins have looked downright scary on some occasions in recent weeks, as Ben Howland has finally convinced his many star frosh (such as Shabazz Muhammad, Jordan Adams, and Kyle Anderson) to play defense and rebound, while sr. North Carolina transfer PG Larry Drew II lends stability to the operation. Look out for these guys later this month. We had Tennessee pegged as a regular at-large entry after the Vols beat Florida for their sixth straight win last Tuesday, but a Saturday loss at Georgia (which has been playing much better lately) has forced us to put Cuonzo Martin's Vols into one of the at-large play-in games (as we have done with a similar profile Virginia after its Sunday loss at BC). We admit that Maryland is our last team in the field and a very provisional vote; the Terps are still going to have to play their way into the Dance with difficult tests vs. North Carolina and at Virginia prior to the ACC Tourney.


                                At Lexington...

                                2 Louisville (24-5, 5-12) vs. 15 Long Beach State (17-11, 120-145)...While preparing for the odd sight of Louisville wearing its home whites and being well-supported in normally hostile territory at Lexington's Rupp Arena in the sub-regionals, Saturday's win at Syracuse reminded all that Rick Pitino's Cards are once again rounding into form in time for March Madness, with a rugged frontline led by ultra-physical 6-11 Senegalese C Gorgui Dieng able to compensate for some of the maddening inconsistencies of Gs Peyton Siva & Russ Smith. But when Siva & Smith are blowing hot at the same time, look out! Big West leader Long Beach State is hardly going to be a convincing favorite in the conference tourney next week at the Anaheim Honda Center, especially after its Saturday loss down the 405 Freeway at UC Irvine. The Beach and any winner of the Big West Tourney could easily be slotted into one of the 16 seeds, or perhaps even one of the 16 vs. 16 play-in games at Dayton.

                                7 Minnesota (20-9, 15-1) vs. 10 Colorado (19-9, 29-21)...After wobbling to the point where they had slipped into severe bubble trouble with 8 losses in 11 games, the Gophers bounced back big last week with a huge home win over then-No. 1 Indiana and romp past Penn State to suddenly shore up any weaknesses in their Big Dance profile. Now at 20 wins and with the nation's best SOS, Minnesota has moved safely away from the cut line. Colorado's sub-30 RPI and SOS will also be enough to qualify the Buffs for the field of 68, but their seeding status has been falling with so many split weekends (like the last one in the Bay Area) during the Pac-12 campaign.


                                At Auburn Hills....

                                3 Michigan State (22-7, 8-15) vs. 14 Stephen F. Austin (24-3, 64-301)...Recent losses to Indiana and Ohio State and Sunday's bitter setback at Michigan have probably ended any discussion about Michigan State qualifying for a number one seed. But a three spot should still be good enough to give Tom Izzo's team a preferred sub-regional assignment to nearby Auburn Hills, also Michigan's likely destination, thus setting up some delicious crowd dynamics as fans of the Spartans and Wolverines surely offer throaty support for foes of the other. Which means a lot of fans at The Palace could be yelling for dangerous SFA if the Nacogdoches, TX-based Lumberjacks survive the upcoming Southland Tourney, where the likes of Northwestern State (beaten by just 1 point last weekend vs. the Lumberjacks) and Oral Roberts might pose problems in the conference tourney next week at Katy. With the nation's leading scoring defense at 50.1 ppg, SFA is one longshot entry that none of the big boys will be eager to face. Coached by mustachioed Danny Kaspar (who bears a striking resemblance to long-ago cartoon character Cool McCool), the Jacks have won at Lon Kruger's Oklahoma and recently at Big West leader Long Beach State in the BracketBusters.

                                6 NC State (21-8, 30-24) vs. 11 Wichita State (24-7, 40-93)...Another team nobody wants to see in March is NC State, which got hot right about this point of the campaign last season and advanced to the Sweet 16 and has looked the part again in recent weeks with wins in five of its last six. Mark Gottfried can silence a lot of his critics with another deep run in the Dance. As for Wichita, we don't think it fell out of the field with its two losses last week, including relinquishing the Missouri Valley reg.-season title to Creighton, but its seed slot probably dropped. Maybe to its advantage, as the Shockers were looking like an 8-9 game candidate, and now might get a break in the 10-11 range. By the way, there will be a lot of Wichita and Creighton fans around the country in this week's Arch Madness at St. Louis, as any number of other dangerous Valley entries (Indiana State, Northern Iowa, Illinois State) are capable of an upset and thus squeezing the edge of the bubble a bit tighter, as the Valley would become a 3-bid league.

                                Last four in: Maryland, Tennessee, Villanova, Virginia.

                                Last four out: Iowa State, Kentucky, Baylor, Arizona State.

                                Next four out: Alabama, Southern Miss, Ole Miss, Iowa
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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